Final Results

JPMorgan Russian Securities PLC 29 January 2008 LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT JPMORGAN RUSSIAN SECURITIES PLC UNAUDITED FINAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31ST OCTOBER 2007 Chairman's Statement I am delighted to report that your Company has produced another year of strong returns for shareholders with a total return of +52.5% being achieved from net assets, compared to a return of +47.6% (in sterling terms) from the Company's new benchmark, the MSCI Russian 10/40 Equity Indices Index. This has been particularly pleasing given the increased volatility in the Russian equities market this year. The Company's share price rose by 52.4% during the year to 31st October 2007 with the discount to net asset value standing at 7.7% at the year-end. This is the fifth successive year that net assets have outperformed the benchmark index since the Company became listed on the London Stock Exchange in December 2002. Indeed, when performance is judged over the long term, the total return on net assets equates to 627.7%. Revenue and Earnings The revenue loss after taxation for the year to 31st October 2007 was £739,000 with a loss per share of 1.32p. No dividend is payable in respect of the year ended 31st October 2007. Authority to Repurchase the Company's Shares During the year under review the Company repurchased 80,000 shares for cancellation at a discount of 11.6%. The Board continues to believe that a facility to reduce discount volatility is important to have in place, and is therefore seeking approval from shareholders to renew the authority at the forthcoming Annual General Meeting. Corporate Governance The Company operates in accordance with corporate governance best practice. The Board has reviewed the investment management, secretarial and marketing services provided to the Company by JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited. This annual review has included their performance record, management processes, investment style, resources and risk control mechanisms. The Board was satisfied with the results of the review and therefore in the opinion of the Directors, the continuing appointment of JPMAM for the provision of these services is in the interests of shareholders as a whole. Board of Directors In accordance with the Company's Articles of Association, I will be retiring by rotation at the forthcoming Annual General Meeting, along with Mr Patrick Gifford. A Nomination Committee of the Board, consisting of Directors who are not standing for re-election by rotation, has met to consider the attributes and contribution of myself and Mr Gifford to the Board's deliberations. Following this review, the Board recommends to shareholders that, taking into account our respective investment experience and contribution to the Board, both Mr Gifford and I be re-elected. VAT on Management Fees Following a ruling by the European Court of Justice, HM Revenue & Customs has recently accepted that investment trusts should be exempt from VAT on investment management fees. This means that henceforth, VAT will no longer be charged on investment management fees and that the Company is entitled to seek reimbursement of the VAT paid in previous years. However the Board has been advised that the change will not have a significant financial impact on the Company, as it has been able to recover most of the VAT suffered on investment management fees paid in the past. Outlook Despite the recent downturn in the global economy, your Board remains optimistic about the long term benefits of investing in the Russian economy. As detailed in the Investment Managers' Report, the country appears to have all the required ingredients to sustain economic growth. In particular a key theme developing in Russia is the rise of the consumer and of consumer-related stocks, and the portfolio is positioned to take advantage of this trend. In short, Russia continues to offer exciting investment opportunities for more adventurous investors. Annual General Meeting The Company's fifth Annual General Meeting will be held on Monday 3rd March 2008 at 12.00 noon., at Trinity House, Tower Hill, London, EC3N 4DH. In addition to the formal part of the meeting, there will be a presentation from the investment managers who will answer questions on the portfolio and performance. There will also be an opportunity to meet the Board, the investment managers and representatives of JPMorgan Asset Management. I look forward to seeing as many of you as possible at this meeting. Shareholders are asked to submit in writing any detailed or technical questions that they wish to raise at the AGM in advance to the Company Secretary at Finsbury Dials, 20 Finsbury Street, London EC2Y 9AQ. Alternatively you can lodge questions on the Company's website at jpmrussiansecurities.co.uk. Pamela Idelson Smith Chairman 28th January 2008 Investment Managers' Report We are very pleased to report another successful year of investing in the Russian equity market. The Company achieved a total return on net assets of +52.5% against a benchmark return from the MSCI Russian 10/40 Equity Indices Index of +47.6% for the 12 months ended 31st October 2007. Political and Economic Review The Russian State recently declared two clear priorities. They are investment in infrastructure and social spending. We anticipate that investment and consumption will be two leading factors for economic growth in Russia over the next decade. We can see some parallels with China, in terms of the impact on economic growth from significant state-led investment. Taking into account the vast territory of Russia, a lack of significant investment in the last decade and with the associated revenue support of continued strong economic growth, we would not be surprised to see a 20-25% annual increase in infrastructure related investment projects. Clearly it will take time to make all investment agencies work efficiently at federal and regional levels, but some pilot projects such as Sochi (infrastructure development in preparation for the Winter Olympic Games in 2014), will be a good test for the outlook of the entire country. High rates of economic growth in the last decade have given a significant boost to the GDP per capita of Russian consumers; Russia has leapfrogged the rest of the major emerging market economies and clearly stands out in this respect. With close to US$10,000 of GDP per capita today and forecast to be somewhat higher next year, Russian society is moving from an industrial base towards a service-led economy. This fundamental change will not take place overnight and it is unlikely to be a smooth transition, but we are very certain that the relative size of the service sector in the Russian economy in ten years from now, will be significantly larger than today. In the political arena the forthcoming election season is unlikely to bring any major surprises and the general direction of economic policy in Russia will be the same as it has been for the last five years. We anticipate that the high political risks assigned today to the Russian market, due to the uncertainty related to elections, will dissipate within the next six to nine months, and we are less concerned about Russian political risk than most of the western mass media. Market and Portfolio Review The differentiation of performance among sectors and stocks in Russia is becoming more evident and the market is gaining some signs of maturity. The Russian market tried to decouple from the oil price, but did not really manage to achieve this. It is important to realise the positive and negative consequences of this tendency. Earnings growth for the majority of the Russian energy sector has significantly lagged behind the oil price increase. In spite of this, Russian energy stocks have risen with the market and are now valued at similar multiples to their global peers. Therefore investors will demand the same level of equity returns from Russian companies as from the rest of the global sector. We are somewhat sceptical that Russian companies, with the State as a controlling shareholder, will be run as efficiently and in the interests of minority shareholders as they would be run without State control. In the last five years we have been living in an environment with continuous upgrades of long term oil prices. During this period the consensus oil price moved up from US$12-15 pbbl to US$65-75 pbbl. This is a massive increase which reflects the reality of the current situation in the oil industry, supply and demand balance in the global economy and the significant impact of geopolitical risks. We are bullish on the oil price outlook, which is one of the reasons for our positive outlook on the Russian economy. We do not think that the oil price will collapse in 2008, but we do expect a slowdown in the rate of increase going forward. We think that the profitability of the Russian oil sector has passed its peak and that the operational environment for oil companies is becoming very challenging. We do not believe that the Russian State will need to amend oil taxation in the near future. Taxation of the oil sector in its current form is forcing diversification and enhancing value creation in the economy, which are key priorities for the Russian Government. Finally, a great deal of value has been assigned by market commentators to the residual value of Russian oil companies, but after the 'Yukos' saga and the last four years of soft nationalisation in the Russian energy sector, it is difficult to believe that any company of a significant size and value could be easily sold to the highest bidder on the market rather than being sold to the State at an arbitrary price. These factors together with the Government's desire to prioritise infrastructure and human capital have led us to our major portfolio decision of being underweight the energy sector. The portfolio has a large overweight position in financials, real estate and materials. The largest contributors to the Company's outperformance during the year were the investments in Sberbank and Mechel. The underweight position in the energy sector also was a significant contributor to outperformance. Outlook Today Russia as a major global emerging market participant is far more integrated in the global economic cycle than it was in the past. It has proved immune to the global liquidity crunch, due to plentiful domestic liquidity and an undeveloped banking sector. However as a major global commodity producer, Russia would be exposed to any significant slowdown in the global demand for natural resources. In addition we would identify a risk in the year ahead to be a significant withdrawal of investment by overseas investors who have enjoyed positive returns for a number of years. We believe in a long-term bright future for Russia. The country has all the required ingredients to sustain economic growth: plentiful natural resources; domestic liquidity; industrial/infrastructure capital and human capital. There is long list of anticipated reforms and challenges in front of Russia as a country. We believe that a steady path of economic and social development will continue and as a result we expect Russia to be significantly larger in terms of its economy in a decade from now, and we expect this to be reflected fully in the value of the Russian equity market. Oleg I. Biryulyov Vitaly N. Kazakov Investment Managers 28th January 2008 For further information, please contact: Alison Vincent For and on behalf of JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited - Secretary 020 7742 6000 JPMorgan Russian Securities plc Unaudited figures for the year ended 31st October 2007 Income Statement (Unaudited) (Audited) Year ended 31st October 2007 Year ended 31st October 2006 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Gains from investments held at fair value through profit or loss - 137,901 137,901 - 102,441 102,441 Net foreign currency gains - 1,786 1,786 - 853 853 Income from investments (note 2) 7,311 - 7,311 4,137 - 4,137 Other interest receivable and similar income (note 2) 158 - 158 251 - 251 Gross return 7,469 139,687 147,156 4,388 103,294 107,682 Management fee (5,063) - (5,063) (3,511) - (3,511) Other administrative expenses (903) - (903) (554) - (554) Net return on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation 1,503 139,687 141,190 323 103,294 103,617 Finance costs (1,259) - (1,259) (502) - (502) Net return/(loss) on ordinary activities before taxation 244 139,687 139,931 (179) 103,294 103,115 Taxation (983) - (983) (574) - (574) Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities after taxation (739) 139,687 138,948 (753) 103,294 102,541 (Loss)/return per share (note 3) (1.32)p 249.63p 248.31p (1.34)p 184.14p 182.80p All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the year. The 'Total' column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company and the 'Revenue' and 'Capital' columns represent supplementary information. The 'Total' column represents all the information that is required to be disclosed in a Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses ('STRGL'). For this reason a STRGL has not been presented. JPMorgan Russian Securities plc Unaudited figures for the year ended 31st October 2007 Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders' Funds (Unaudited) Called up Capital Share Other redemption Capital Revenue capital reserve reserve reserve reserve Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 At 31st October 2005 562 53,361 39 111,209 (906) 164,265 Adjustment to opening shareholders' funds at 1st November 2005 to reflect the adoption of bid prices - - - (1,276) - (1,276) Repurchase of shares for cancellation (2) (548) 2 - - (548) Total return/(loss)from ordinary - - - 103,294 (753) 102,541 activities At 31st October 2006 560 52,813 41 213,227 (1,659) 264,982 Repurchase of shares for cancellation (1) (416) 1 - - (416) Total return/(loss) from ordinary - - - 139,687 (739) 138,948 activities At 31st October 2007 559 52,397 42 352,914 (2,398) 403,514 JPMorgan Russian Securities plc Unaudited figures for the year ended 31st October 2007 Balance Sheet (Unaudited) (Audited) 31st October 2007 31st October 2006 £'000 £'000 Fixed assets Equity investments at fair value through profit or loss 424,128 272,343 Investment in liquidity fund at fair value through profit or 17,676 2,464 loss _______ _______ Total invetment portfolio 441,804 274,807 Current assets Debtors 2,784 1,266 Cash and short term deposits 17,553 1,491 _______ _______ 20,337 2,757 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year (58,627) (12,582) _______ _______ Net current liabilities (38,290) (9,825) _______ _______ Total assets less current liabilities 403,514 264,982 _______ _______ Total net assets 403,514 264,982 ======= ======= Capital and reserves Called up share capital 559 560 Other reserve 52,397 52,813 Capital redemption reserve 42 41 Capital reserve 352,914 213,227 Revenue reserve (2,398) (1,659) _______ _______ Shareholders' funds 403,514 264,982 ======= ======= = Net asset value per share (note 4) 721.4p 473.1p Cash Flow Statement (Unaudited) (Audited) 31st October 2007 31st October 2006 £'000 £'000 Net cash inflow/(outflow) from operating activities (note 5) 1,108 (561) Returns on investments and servicing of finance (1,134) (525) Net cash outflow from capital expenditure and financial (9,542) (4,769) investment Net cash inflow/(outflow) from financing 25,447 (7,501) _______ _______ Increase/(decrease) in cash for the year 15,879 (13,356) ======= ======= Notes to the Accounts 1. Accounting policies The accounts are prepared in accordance with the Companies Act 1985 and 2006, United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('UK GAAP') and with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies' (the 'SORP') issued by the AIC in December 2005. The Preliminary Announcement is prepared on the same basis as set out in the previous year's annual accounts. 2. Income (Unaudited) (Audited) 31st October 2007 31st October 2006 £'000 £'000 Income Income from investments Dividends from investments listed overseas 7,311 4,137 Other interest receivable and similar income Deposit interest 158 251 7,469 4,388 3. (Loss) / return per share (Unaudited) (Audited) 31st October 2007 31st October 2006 £'000 £'000 (Loss)/return per share is based on the following: Revenue loss (739) (753) Capital return 139,687 103,294 Total return 138,948 102,541 Weighted average number of shares in issue 55,957,427 56,094,887 Revenue loss per ordinary share (1.32)p (1.34)p Capital return per ordinary share 249.63p 184.14p Total return per ordinary share 248.31p 182.80p 4. Net asset value per share The net asset value per share is based on the net assets attributable to the ordinary shareholders of £403,514,000 (2006: £264,982,000) and on the 55,932,812 (2006: 56,012,812) shares in issue at the year end. (Unaudited) (Audited) 31st October 2007 31st October 2006 5. £'000 £'000 Reconciliation of total return on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation to net cash inflow from operating activities Total return on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation 141,190 103,617 Less capital return before finance costs and taxation (139,687) (103,294) Decrease / (increase) in accrued income 44 (370) Decrease in other debtors 62 21 Increase in accrued expenses 482 53 Overseas withholding tax (983) (588) Net cash inflow / (outflow) from operating activities 1,108 (561) 6. Status of preliminary announcement The financial information set out in this preliminary announcement does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 31st October 2007 or 2006, as defined in Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The comparative financial information is an extract from the statutory accounts for the year ended 31st October 2006. Those accounts, upon which the auditors issued an unqualified opinion and which contained no statement under Section 237 (2) or 237 (3) of the Companies Act 1985, have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The statutory accounts for the year ended 31st October 2007 have not been delivered to the Registrar of Companies, nor have the auditors yet reported on them. The statutory accounts for the year ended 31st October 2007 will be finalised on the basis of the information presented by the Directors in this preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the approval of the accounts by the Board of Directors. JPMORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT (UK) LIMITED This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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