Final Results
JPMorgan Russian Securities PLC
29 January 2008
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT
JPMORGAN RUSSIAN SECURITIES PLC
UNAUDITED FINAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31ST OCTOBER 2007
Chairman's Statement
I am delighted to report that your Company has produced another year of strong
returns for shareholders with a total return of +52.5% being achieved from net
assets, compared to a return of +47.6% (in sterling terms) from the Company's
new benchmark, the MSCI Russian 10/40 Equity Indices Index.
This has been particularly pleasing given the increased volatility in the
Russian equities market this year. The Company's share price rose by 52.4%
during the year to 31st October 2007 with the discount to net asset value
standing at 7.7% at the year-end. This is the fifth successive year that net
assets have outperformed the benchmark index since the Company became listed on
the London Stock Exchange in December 2002. Indeed, when performance is judged
over the long term, the total return on net assets equates to 627.7%.
Revenue and Earnings
The revenue loss after taxation for the year to 31st October 2007 was £739,000
with a loss per share of 1.32p. No dividend is payable in respect of the year
ended 31st October 2007.
Authority to Repurchase the Company's Shares
During the year under review the Company repurchased 80,000 shares for
cancellation at a discount of 11.6%. The Board continues to believe that a
facility to reduce discount volatility is important to have in place, and is
therefore seeking approval from shareholders to renew the authority at the
forthcoming Annual General Meeting.
Corporate Governance
The Company operates in accordance with corporate governance best practice. The
Board has reviewed the investment management, secretarial and marketing services
provided to the Company by JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited. This annual
review has included their performance record, management processes, investment
style, resources and risk control mechanisms. The Board was satisfied with the
results of the review and therefore in the opinion of the Directors, the
continuing appointment of JPMAM for the provision of these services is in the
interests of shareholders as a whole.
Board of Directors
In accordance with the Company's Articles of Association, I will be retiring by
rotation at the forthcoming Annual General Meeting, along with Mr Patrick
Gifford. A Nomination Committee of the Board, consisting of Directors who are
not standing for re-election by rotation, has met to consider the attributes and
contribution of myself and Mr Gifford to the Board's deliberations. Following
this review, the Board recommends to shareholders that, taking into account our
respective investment experience and contribution to the Board, both Mr Gifford
and I be re-elected.
VAT on Management Fees
Following a ruling by the European Court of Justice, HM Revenue & Customs has
recently accepted that investment trusts should be exempt from VAT on investment
management fees. This means that henceforth, VAT will no longer be charged on
investment management fees and that the Company is entitled to seek
reimbursement of the VAT paid in previous years. However the Board has been
advised that the change will not have a significant financial impact on the
Company, as it has been able to recover most of the VAT suffered on investment
management fees paid in the past.
Outlook
Despite the recent downturn in the global economy, your Board remains optimistic
about the long term benefits of investing in the Russian economy. As detailed in
the Investment Managers' Report, the country appears to have all the required
ingredients to sustain economic growth. In particular a key theme developing in
Russia is the rise of the consumer and of consumer-related stocks, and the
portfolio is positioned to take advantage of this trend. In short, Russia
continues to offer exciting investment opportunities for more adventurous
investors.
Annual General Meeting
The Company's fifth Annual General Meeting will be held on Monday 3rd March 2008
at 12.00 noon., at Trinity House, Tower Hill, London, EC3N 4DH. In addition to
the formal part of the meeting, there will be a presentation from the investment
managers who will answer questions on the portfolio and performance. There will
also be an opportunity to meet the Board, the investment managers and
representatives of JPMorgan Asset Management. I look forward to seeing as many
of you as possible at this meeting.
Shareholders are asked to submit in writing any detailed or technical questions
that they wish to raise at the AGM in advance to the Company Secretary at
Finsbury Dials, 20 Finsbury Street, London EC2Y 9AQ. Alternatively you can lodge
questions on the Company's website at jpmrussiansecurities.co.uk.
Pamela Idelson Smith
Chairman 28th January 2008
Investment Managers' Report
We are very pleased to report another successful year of investing in the
Russian equity market. The Company achieved a total return on net assets of
+52.5% against a benchmark return from the MSCI Russian 10/40 Equity Indices
Index of +47.6% for the 12 months ended 31st October 2007.
Political and Economic Review
The Russian State recently declared two clear priorities. They are investment in
infrastructure and social spending. We anticipate that investment and
consumption will be two leading factors for economic growth in Russia over the
next decade. We can see some parallels with China, in terms of the impact on
economic growth
from significant state-led investment. Taking into account the vast territory of
Russia, a lack of significant investment in the last decade and with the
associated revenue support of continued strong economic growth, we would not be
surprised to see a 20-25% annual increase in infrastructure related investment
projects. Clearly it will take time to make all investment agencies work
efficiently at federal and regional levels, but some pilot projects such as
Sochi (infrastructure development in preparation for the Winter Olympic Games in
2014), will be a good test for the outlook of the entire country.
High rates of economic growth in the last decade have given a significant boost
to the GDP per capita of Russian consumers; Russia has leapfrogged the rest of
the major emerging market economies and clearly stands out in this respect. With
close to US$10,000 of GDP per capita today and forecast to be somewhat higher
next year, Russian society is moving from an industrial base towards a
service-led economy. This fundamental change will not take place overnight and
it is unlikely to be a smooth transition, but we are very certain that the
relative size of the service sector in the Russian economy in ten years from
now, will be significantly larger than today.
In the political arena the forthcoming election season is unlikely to bring any
major surprises and the general direction of economic policy in Russia will be
the same as it has been for the last five years. We anticipate that the high
political risks assigned today to the Russian market, due to the uncertainty
related to elections, will dissipate within the next six to nine months, and we
are less concerned about Russian political risk than most of the western mass
media.
Market and Portfolio Review
The differentiation of performance among sectors and stocks in Russia is
becoming more evident and the market is gaining some signs of maturity.
The Russian market tried to decouple from the oil price, but did not really
manage to achieve this. It is important to realise the positive and negative
consequences of this tendency. Earnings growth for the majority of the Russian
energy sector has significantly lagged behind the oil price increase. In spite
of this, Russian energy stocks have risen with the market and are now valued at
similar multiples to their global peers. Therefore investors will demand the
same level of equity returns from Russian companies as from the rest of the
global sector. We are somewhat sceptical that Russian companies, with the State
as a controlling shareholder, will be run as efficiently and in the interests of
minority shareholders as they would be run without State control.
In the last five years we have been living in an environment with continuous
upgrades of long term oil prices. During this period the consensus oil price
moved up from US$12-15 pbbl to US$65-75 pbbl. This is a massive increase which
reflects the reality of the current situation in the oil industry, supply and
demand balance in the global economy and the significant impact of geopolitical
risks. We are bullish on the oil price outlook, which is one of the reasons for
our positive outlook on the Russian economy. We do not think that the oil price
will collapse in 2008, but we do expect a slowdown in the rate of increase going
forward. We think that the profitability of the Russian oil sector has passed
its peak and that the operational environment for oil companies is becoming very
challenging. We do not believe that the Russian State will need to amend oil
taxation in the near future. Taxation of the oil sector in its current form is
forcing diversification and enhancing value creation in the economy, which are
key priorities for the Russian Government.
Finally, a great deal of value has been assigned by market commentators to the
residual value of Russian oil companies, but after the 'Yukos' saga and the last
four years of soft nationalisation in the Russian energy sector, it is difficult
to believe that any company of a significant size and value could be easily sold
to the highest bidder on the market rather than being sold to the State at an
arbitrary price. These factors together with the Government's desire to
prioritise infrastructure and human capital have led us to our major portfolio
decision of being underweight the energy sector. The portfolio has a large
overweight position in financials, real estate and materials.
The largest contributors to the Company's outperformance during the year were
the investments in Sberbank and Mechel. The underweight position in the energy
sector also was a significant contributor to outperformance.
Outlook
Today Russia as a major global emerging market participant is far more
integrated in the global economic cycle than it was in the past. It has proved
immune to the global liquidity crunch, due to plentiful domestic liquidity and
an undeveloped banking sector. However as a major global commodity producer,
Russia would be exposed to any significant slowdown in the global demand for
natural resources. In addition we would identify a risk in the year ahead to be
a significant withdrawal of investment by overseas investors who have enjoyed
positive returns for a number of years.
We believe in a long-term bright future for Russia. The country has all the
required ingredients to sustain economic growth: plentiful natural resources;
domestic liquidity; industrial/infrastructure capital and human capital. There
is long list of anticipated reforms and challenges in front of Russia as a
country. We believe that a steady path of economic and social development will
continue and as a result we expect Russia to be significantly larger in terms of
its economy in a decade from now, and we expect this to be reflected fully in
the value of the Russian equity market.
Oleg I. Biryulyov
Vitaly N. Kazakov
Investment Managers
28th January 2008
For further information, please contact:
Alison Vincent
For and on behalf of
JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited - Secretary
020 7742 6000
JPMorgan Russian Securities plc
Unaudited figures for the year ended 31st October 2007
Income Statement
(Unaudited) (Audited)
Year ended 31st October 2007 Year ended 31st October 2006
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Gains from investments held at fair
value through profit or loss - 137,901 137,901 - 102,441 102,441
Net foreign currency gains - 1,786 1,786 - 853 853
Income from investments (note 2) 7,311 - 7,311 4,137 - 4,137
Other interest receivable and
similar income (note 2) 158 - 158 251 - 251
Gross return 7,469 139,687 147,156 4,388 103,294 107,682
Management fee (5,063) - (5,063) (3,511) - (3,511)
Other administrative expenses (903) - (903) (554) - (554)
Net return on ordinary activities
before finance costs and taxation
1,503 139,687 141,190 323 103,294 103,617
Finance costs (1,259) - (1,259) (502) - (502)
Net return/(loss) on ordinary
activities before taxation 244 139,687 139,931 (179) 103,294 103,115
Taxation (983) - (983) (574) - (574)
Net (loss)/return on ordinary
activities after taxation (739) 139,687 138,948 (753) 103,294 102,541
(Loss)/return per share (note 3) (1.32)p 249.63p 248.31p (1.34)p 184.14p 182.80p
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the year.
The 'Total' column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
Company and the 'Revenue' and 'Capital' columns represent supplementary
information. The 'Total' column represents all the information that is required
to be disclosed in a Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses ('STRGL').
For this reason a STRGL has not been presented.
JPMorgan Russian Securities plc
Unaudited figures for the year ended 31st October 2007
Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders' Funds (Unaudited)
Called up Capital
Share Other redemption Capital Revenue
capital reserve reserve reserve reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
At 31st October 2005 562 53,361 39 111,209 (906) 164,265
Adjustment to opening shareholders'
funds at 1st November 2005 to reflect
the adoption of bid prices - - - (1,276) - (1,276)
Repurchase of shares for cancellation (2) (548) 2 - - (548)
Total return/(loss)from ordinary - - - 103,294 (753) 102,541
activities
At 31st October 2006 560 52,813 41 213,227 (1,659) 264,982
Repurchase of shares for cancellation (1) (416) 1 - - (416)
Total return/(loss) from ordinary - - - 139,687 (739) 138,948
activities
At 31st October 2007 559 52,397 42 352,914 (2,398) 403,514
JPMorgan Russian Securities plc
Unaudited figures for the year ended 31st October 2007
Balance Sheet (Unaudited) (Audited)
31st October 2007 31st October 2006
£'000 £'000
Fixed assets
Equity investments at fair value through profit or loss 424,128 272,343
Investment in liquidity fund at fair value through profit or 17,676 2,464
loss _______ _______
Total invetment portfolio 441,804 274,807
Current assets
Debtors 2,784 1,266
Cash and short term deposits 17,553 1,491
_______ _______
20,337 2,757
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year (58,627) (12,582)
_______ _______
Net current liabilities (38,290) (9,825)
_______ _______
Total assets less current liabilities 403,514 264,982
_______ _______
Total net assets 403,514 264,982
======= =======
Capital and reserves
Called up share capital 559 560
Other reserve 52,397 52,813
Capital redemption reserve 42 41
Capital reserve 352,914 213,227
Revenue reserve (2,398) (1,659)
_______ _______
Shareholders' funds 403,514 264,982
======= =======
=
Net asset value per share (note 4) 721.4p 473.1p
Cash Flow Statement (Unaudited) (Audited)
31st October 2007 31st October 2006
£'000 £'000
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from operating activities (note 5) 1,108 (561)
Returns on investments and servicing of finance (1,134) (525)
Net cash outflow from capital expenditure and financial (9,542) (4,769)
investment
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from financing 25,447 (7,501)
_______ _______
Increase/(decrease) in cash for the year 15,879 (13,356)
======= =======
Notes to the Accounts
1. Accounting policies
The accounts are prepared in accordance with the Companies Act 1985 and 2006,
United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('UK GAAP') and with the
Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust
Companies' (the 'SORP') issued by the AIC in December 2005. The Preliminary
Announcement is prepared on the same basis as set out in the previous year's
annual accounts.
2. Income
(Unaudited) (Audited)
31st October 2007 31st October 2006
£'000 £'000
Income
Income from investments
Dividends from investments listed overseas 7,311 4,137
Other interest receivable and similar income
Deposit interest 158 251
7,469 4,388
3. (Loss) / return per share
(Unaudited) (Audited)
31st October 2007 31st October 2006
£'000 £'000
(Loss)/return per share is based on the following:
Revenue loss (739) (753)
Capital return 139,687 103,294
Total return 138,948 102,541
Weighted average number of shares in issue 55,957,427 56,094,887
Revenue loss per ordinary share (1.32)p (1.34)p
Capital return per ordinary share 249.63p 184.14p
Total return per ordinary share 248.31p 182.80p
4. Net asset value per share
The net asset value per share is based on the net assets attributable to the
ordinary shareholders of £403,514,000 (2006: £264,982,000) and on the 55,932,812
(2006: 56,012,812) shares in issue at the year end.
(Unaudited) (Audited)
31st October 2007 31st October 2006
5. £'000 £'000
Reconciliation of total return on ordinary activities
before finance costs and taxation to net cash inflow
from operating activities
Total return on ordinary activities before finance
costs and taxation 141,190 103,617
Less capital return before finance costs and taxation (139,687) (103,294)
Decrease / (increase) in accrued income 44 (370)
Decrease in other debtors 62 21
Increase in accrued expenses 482 53
Overseas withholding tax (983) (588)
Net cash inflow / (outflow) from operating activities 1,108 (561)
6. Status of preliminary announcement
The financial information set out in this preliminary announcement does not
constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 31st October
2007 or 2006, as defined in Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The
comparative financial information is an extract from the statutory accounts for
the year ended 31st October 2006. Those accounts, upon which the auditors issued
an unqualified opinion and which contained no statement under Section 237 (2) or
237 (3) of the Companies Act 1985, have been delivered to the Registrar of
Companies. The statutory accounts for the year ended 31st October 2007 have not
been delivered to the Registrar of Companies, nor have the auditors yet reported
on them. The statutory accounts for the year ended 31st October 2007 will be
finalised on the basis of the information presented by the Directors in this
preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies
following the approval of the accounts by the Board of Directors.
JPMORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT (UK) LIMITED
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