Interim Results

JP Morgan Fleming Indian IT PLC 24 June 2004 JPMORGAN FLEMING INDIAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT OF UNAUDITED RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS TO 31st MARCH 2004 The Board today release the unaudited interim results of the Company for the six months to 31st March 2004. The following are comments from the Chairman: Performance I am pleased to report that the Company's return on net assets for the six months to 31st March 2004 was +23.5%, outperforming the +17.2% total return of the Company's benchmark, the MSCI India Index (in sterling terms). The return to shareholders over the period was +37.0%, which not only reflected the move in underlying portfolio performance but the narrowing of the discount over the period from 14.1% to 4.6%. Warrants When the Company was launched, shareholders received one warrant for every five shares purchased. Under the terms and conditions of the warrants, holders of warrants had a final right on 2nd February 2004 to exercise all or part of their holding of warrants and subscribe at £1 per share for fully paid ordinary shares of 25 pence each in the Company. I am delighted to report that on 2nd February 2004, 13,342,677 new ordinary shares of 25 pence each were allotted as a result of the exercise of 13,342,677 warrants to subscribe for ordinary shares. In accordance with the terms and conditions of the warrants, a trustee was appointed and exercised the remaining warrants leading to the allotment of a further 3,453,923 new ordinary shares. These shares were subsequently sold on 5th February 2004 at a price of 109 pence per share and a distribution on a pro rata basis was made to those holders of warrants. The total number of ordinary shares in issue following the exercise of warrants was 83,941,392. Market Review The six months ended 31st March 2004 was a period of two distinct halves, with the first half more constructive for India than the second. The fourth quarter of 2003 was a period of solid performance for the economy, the corporate sector and indeed the Indian equity market. India's GDP expanded at 10.4% year on year during the quarter, overtaking China to become the fastest growing economy in Asia. While benefits of the good monsoon helped the agriculture sector, where growth registered 17% year on year, industry and services too performed well, delivering growth of 7% and 9% respectively. Corporate India's performance for the fourth quarter of 2003 was not only impressive, but it was also ahead of expectations, both in terms of quantum and quality. Revenue growth was 12%, operating profit growth was 23% and net earnings growth was 32.2%. In addition to this strong all-round performance, the results once again beat expectations, forcing the consensus to upgrade estimates. The Indian equity market responded strongly to this positive growth backdrop. The popular BSE Sensex of 30 leading stocks appreciated by 30%. While the bulk of the buying was by foreign investors, who continued to display an almost insatiable appetite for Indian equities, domestic investors participated too, especially in December 2003, when the market appreciated by a substantial 17%. The second half of the six-month period was markedly different in many ways, leading to mildly negative returns for Indian equities in local currency terms. First, it became clear that the elections were on the horizon. While it was believed that the same BJP-led coalition government would return to power, it also meant a slowdown in key economic and structural reforms momentum before elections. Additionally, with the government realising that it was unlikely to meet its privatisation target for the fiscal year 2004 (delay in the HPCL strategic sale, mainly), it announced a large sell-off programme in key government owned stocks aggregating over US$3bn. Although the issues were fully subscribed, this cash call on the market, unprecedented in terms of scale and timing, adversely altered the demand/supply dynamic for Indian equities. Several companies also took advantage of buoyant market conditions to raise additional resources, with convertible bonds being the preferred instrument. Concerns regarding China's economic slowdown also began to manifest themselves. While India's direct economic linkages with China are relatively low, commodity producers in India have certainly benefited from higher product prices, driven largely by China's demand for the same. Outlook Although fundamentals remain robust - economic growth tracking 7%+, earnings growth continuing above 25%, interest rates remaining low and stable and valuations below mid teens - two factors temper our enthusiasm in the short term. First, is politics and the implications of the recent elections outcome. Second, are liquidity and technical factors that could work to India's disadvantage. Contrary to all expectations, the election outcome did not return the incumbent National Democratic Alliance government to power. Political uncertainty has resurfaced and appears likely to stay. The new government stays in power with the support of the communist parties. Reforms may slow down and some steps such as privatisation may be revisited. Policy related sectors and stocks such as oil & gas, banking and power have suffered severe price erosion already. There have been concerns more recently that higher US interest rates and the prospect of a stronger US dollar may result in unwinding of the 'carry trade'. India has certainly been a big beneficiary of strong foreign flows throughout this six month period, which aggregated US$6bn. We know that some of this money does not have to be in India and believe that some investors will look to exit as US interest rates rise, the US dollar strengthens and risk appetite reduces sharply. The direction of foreign flows, a critical driver of equities in 2003 and in the first quarter of 2004, will determine the market direction, at the very least in the short term. On a medium to slightly longer term basis, India should be a relatively more attractive market in Asia, in an environment of a slowing China. India's dependence on China from an international trade perspective and from a corporate earnings growth perspective remains among the lowest in Asia. Economic growth and corporate performance is relatively unconnected to China. The key exception here is producers of internationally traded commodities. In terms of strategy, we have reduced exposure to international cyclicals such as steel, non-ferrous metals, shipping and oil and increased exposure to domestically focussed as well as pharmaceuticals and IT service stock. As a tactical measure, we are maintaining about 5-6% cash in the portfolio. Michael Cannan It is with regret that the Board has learned of the death of the former Chairman of the Company, Michael Cannan. Michael was Chairman from the Company's inception until 30th September 2002. Philip Daubeney Chairman 24th June 2004 For further information, please contact: Carolyn Ladd J.P. Morgan Fleming Asset Management (UK) Limited, 020 7742 6000 Secretary to the Company JPMorgan Fleming Indian Investment Trust plc Unaudited figures for the six months ended 31st March 2004 Consolidated Statement of Total Return (Unaudited) Six months to 31st March 2004 Six months to 31st March 2003 Year to 30th September 2003 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Realised gains on investments - 3,038 3,038 - 1,153 1,153 - 5,178 5,178 Net change in unrealised gains - 23,570 23,570 - 509 509 - 22,571 22,571 Currency (losses)/ gains on cash and short term deposits - (16) (16) - 1 1 - (34) (34) held during the period Currency translation difference - (6,787) (6,787) - (383) (383) - (3,993) (3,993) Other capital items - (43) (43) - 6 6 - (38) (38) Exchange adjustments - (16) (16) - 147 147 - 1,567 1,567 Unrealised losses on intercompany loan - - - - (30) (30) - 153 153 Realised gains on intercompany loan - 557 557 - - - - - - Overseas dividends 403 - 403 171 - 171 1,055 - 1,055 Deposit interest 28 - 28 4 - 4 10 - 10 _______ ________ _______ _______ ________ _______ _______ _______ _______ Gross return 431 20,303 20,734 175 1,403 1,578 1,065 25,404 26,469 Management fee (486) - (486) (285) - (285) (607) - (607) Other administrative expenses (362) - (362) (302) - (302) (557) - (557) Interest payable (37) - (37) (13) - (13) (40) - (40) _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ (Loss)/return before (454) 20,303 19,849 (425) 1,403 978 (139) 25,404 25,265 taxation Taxation (4) - (4) (22) - (22) (43) - (43) ______ _______ _______ ______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ (Loss)/return attributable to shareholders (458) 20,303 19,845 (447) 1,403 956 (182) 25,404 25,222 ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== (Loss)/return per (0.63)p 28.08p 27.45p (0.62)p 1.95p 1.33p (0.26)p 36.49p 36.23p ordinary share JPMorgan Fleming Indian Investment Trust plc Unaudited figures for the six months ended 31st March 2004 CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET 31st March 31st March 30thSeptember 2004 2003 2003 £'000 £'000 £'000 Investments at valuation 105,714 44,367 68,417 Net current liabilities (1,499) (797) (844) ______ _______ _______ Total net assets 104,215 43,570 67,573 ===== ===== ===== Net asset value per ordinary share 124.2p 64.5p 100.6p CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT 2004 2003 2003 £'000 £'000 £'000 Net cash outflow from operating activities (301) (224) (191) Net cash outflow from returns on investments and (36) (13) (37) servicing of finance Net cash (outflow)/inflow from capital expenditure and (16,980) 3,382 3,070 financial investment Net cash inflow /(outflow) from financing 17,755 (4,781) (4,703) _______ ______ ______ Increase/(decrease) in cash for the period 438 (1,636) (1,861) ===== ==== ==== The above financial information does not constitute statutory accounts as defined in Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. Statutory accounts for the year ended 30th September 2003 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. J.P. MORGAN FLEMING ASSET MANAGEMENT (UK) LIMITED 24th June 2004 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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