LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT
JPMORGAN JAPANESE INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
UNAUDITED HALF YEAR RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED
31ST MARCH 2009
Chairman's Statement
Performance
Over the six months to 31st March 2009, the Japanese market, in line with equity markets worldwide, continued to decline. The Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section (TOPIX) Index expressed in sterling terms fell by 3.7% and your Company saw a decline in net assets of 6.6%, an underperformance of 2.9%. This is a further disappointing result for both shareholders and your Board. As elsewhere in the world, however, there has been considerable share price volatility in the Tokyo Stock Market in the period under review. Though there has been an improvement in relative performance when compared with other funds in this sector, your Board has maintained its close watch on the portfolio management process. Included in this monitoring was a further visit to Tokyo by a Committee of the Board and this visit noted that additional refinements to this process were being implemented.
As outlined in the last Annual Report, responsibility for the portfolio was transferred to Tokyo as recently as December 2007. Your Board believes that a reasonable time should be allowed to elapse before the revised management arrangements can be fully assessed, particularly given the amount of instability suffered in the Tokyo Stock Market since the end of 2007.
Further detail on the background against which the Company performed is discussed in the Investment Managers' Report below.
Revenue and Dividends
As I emphasised in my year end report, dividend streams from Japan remain unpredictable and dividends paid in previous years should not be taken as a guide to future payments. This year, having received the benefit of the strong appreciation of the yen and the settlement of the Investment Trust VAT Case, it appears likely that, barring unforeseen circumstances, the Company will be in a position to at least maintain its final dividend of 2.8p per share.
Prospects
The Japanese market has made modest advances since the end of March and the investment management team have increased the Company's gearing level to reflect the valuation case for Japanese equities. Your Board supports this position and believes that Japanese companies will benefit once the global economy recovers.
Jeremy Paulson Ellis
Chairman
29th May 2009
Investment Managers' Report
Over the six months to 31st March 2009 the Japanese stockmarket, as measured by the TOPIX Index, fell 3.7% in sterling terms in what was a difficult period for global financial markets. The considerable daily volatility of the previous quarter persisted as what began as a Western financial crisis developed into a full blown global economic crisis.
The political impasse in Japan continues; Taro Aso, six months into the Prime Minister's job, has seen his popularity ratings fall below those of his recent predecessors. The lack of political stability has led to a policy response to the crisis that is seen as increasingly inadequate. Japan needs a stimulus package in excess of USD350 million, initiatives thus far add up to under half that amount. With the populace increasingly disillusioned with both the political landscape and the bureaucrats, the need for change has never been greater. The sense of crisis is growing, but there is no one transformational figure at the moment capable of grasping the opportunity.
The economic data released in the first quarter of 2009 has been apocalyptic. Industrial production has fallen to 1983 levels when capacity was 25% lower. Japanese exports fell 46% in January, on top of a 35% drop in December. This is the steepest slide since 1957. Nominal wages are falling and hours of overtime worked have declined dramatically, down 30% year-on-year. Japan's GDP shrank at an annualised rate of 15.2% in the first quarter of 2009, twice the rate of any other developed economy. There has also been a sharp deterioration in the current account surplus - still marginally positive on a seasonally adjusted basis but sharply negative over December and January, bringing into question the sustainability of current yen levels against other currencies globally.
Lay-offs are occurring at a much faster rate than they did during previous downturns -35% of the workforce are now on temporary contracts and as such the barriers to 8%+ unemployment are lower. Permanent employees are now being let go. It is a near certainty that unemployment will exceed the post-war record of 5.5% it hit in 2002/2003.
The Market
The 3.7% fall, in sterling terms, in the TOPIX Index over the six months to 31st March 2009 masks the true extent of the savage falls in stock prices in Japan. In yen terms the market fell by 28.0%. The market fell in mid March to a 25 year low but recovered somewhat in the second half of March. Foreign investors in March remained net sellers for the seventh month in a row.
Companies expected to make a loss over the next two years now comprise 25% of TOPIX listed stocks. Analyst expectations for next year are still too high and the divergence between consensus and those at the bottom end of the range has never been higher. Such are the level of losses coming through that it is difficult to say exactly what price/earnings ('P/E') multiple the market is currently on. On a median basis it is trading at 13x twelve month forward consensus earnings estimates. On an average basis the P/E is closer to 30x.
Performance
The net asset value of the Company fell by 6.6% over the six month period and underperformed the benchmark TOPIX Index by 2.9%. The primary cause of this underperformance relates to the Company's overweight positions in Telecom and Pharmaceutical stocks which performed poorly in March relative to the other areas of the market such as Financial and Automaker stocks where the portfolio is underweight. Our investment stance towards the more defensive Telecom and Pharmaceutical sectors reflects our belief that it is appropriate to focus on earnings stability and balance sheet strength during this period of corporate stress and uncertain economic outlook.
Outlook
Corporate profits in Japan are likely to remain under severe downward pressure due to the low capacity utilisation and weak pricing power that exists in the manufacturing sector. This is also having a knock-on effect on domestic employment and consumption.
Global Markets have fallen further and faster than at any time since the 1930s and equity fund flows have almost dried up. Japan, with its gloomy economic fundamentals and lack of political initiative, has been particularly affected. However, the substantial share price declines have seen the emergence of value in Japanese equities. Since the end of March we have seen the Japanese market rise by 14% in yen terms and there remains a sharp divergence between optimists and pessimists with regard to the continuing severity of future earnings declines. We believe that the valuation case is compelling and to reflect this we have increased the level of gearing utilised by the Company to 109%.
James Elliot
Nicholas Weindling
Investment Managers
29th May 2009
Interim Management Report
The Company is required to make the following disclosures in its half year report.
Principal Risks and Uncertainties
The principal risks and uncertainties faced by the Company fall into six broad categories: market; investment and strategy; accounting, legal and regulatory; corporate governance and shareholder relations; operational; and financial. Information on each of these areas is given in the Business Review within the Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 30th September 2008.
During the market turmoil in the latter part of 2008, JPMAM reacted with heightened management scrutiny of counterparty risk. In addition, reviews were initiated of exposures, policies, procedures and legal arrangements applicable to the major sources of counterparty exposure.
Related Parties Transactions
During the first six months of the current financial year, no transactions with related parties have taken place which have materially affected the financial position or the performance of the Company during the period.
Directors' Responsibilities
Jeremy Paulson Ellis
Chairman
For further information, please contact:
Andrew Norman
For and on behalf of
JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited, Secretary
020 7742 6000
Please note that up to date information on the Company, including daily NAV and share prices, factsheets and portfolio information can be found at www.jpmjapanese.co.uk
Income Statement
for the six months ended 31st March 2009
|
(Unaudited) |
(Unaudited) |
(Audited) |
||||||
|
Six months ended |
Six months ended |
Year ended |
||||||
|
31st March 2009 |
31st March 2008 |
30th September 2008 |
||||||
|
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
Losses from investments held at fair value through profit or loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net foreign currency losses |
- |
(2,072) |
(2,072) |
- |
(1,551) |
(1,551) |
- |
(1,610) |
(1,610) |
Income from investments |
5,102 |
- |
5,102 |
3,868 |
- |
3,868 |
6,995 |
- |
6,995 |
Other interest receivable and similar income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross return/(loss) |
5,342 |
(28,584) |
(23,242) |
3,917 |
(69,997) |
(66,080) |
7,160 |
(126,984) |
(119,824) |
Management fee |
(192) |
(767) |
(959) |
(253) |
(1,012) |
(1,265) |
(476) |
(1,904) |
(2,380) |
VAT recoverable (note 3) |
345 |
3 |
348 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Other administrative expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return/(loss) on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finance costs |
(35) |
(141) |
(176) |
(20) |
(83) |
(103) |
(62) |
(248) |
(310) |
Net return/(loss) on ordinary activities before taxation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Taxation |
(1,522) |
1,165 |
(357) |
(538) |
267 |
(271) |
(956) |
469 |
(487) |
Net return /(loss) on ordinary activities after taxation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return/(loss) per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period.
The 'Total' column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company and the 'Revenue' and 'Capital' columns represent supplementary information prepared under guidance issued by the Association of Investment Companies. The Total column represents all the information that is required to be disclosed in a Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses ('STRGL'). For this reason a STRGL has not been presented.
Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders' Funds
|
Called up |
|
Capital |
|
|
|
Six months ended |
share |
Other |
redemption |
Capital |
Revenue |
|
31st March 2009 |
capital |
reserve |
reserve |
reserves |
reserve |
Total |
(Unaudited) |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
At 30th September 2008 |
43,500 |
166,791 |
5,462 |
76,687 |
5,653 |
298,093 |
Shares bought back and cancelled |
(725) |
- |
725 |
(3,911) |
- |
(3,911) |
Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends appropriated in the period |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31st March 2009 |
42,775 |
166,791 |
6,187 |
44,452 |
4,475 |
264,680 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Called up |
|
Capital |
|
|
|
Six months ended |
share |
Other |
redemption |
Capital |
Revenue |
|
31st March 2008 |
capital |
reserve |
reserve |
reserves |
reserve |
Total |
(Unaudited) |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
At 30th September 2007 |
44,176 |
166,791 |
4,786 |
210,645 |
5,372 |
431,770 |
Shares bought back and cancelled |
(669) |
- |
669 |
(5,252) |
- |
(5,252) |
Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends appropriated in the period |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31st March 2008 |
43,507 |
166,791 |
5,455 |
134,568 |
3,240 |
353,561 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Called up |
|
Capital |
|
|
|
Year ended |
share |
Other |
redemption |
Capital |
Revenue |
|
30th September 2008 |
capital |
reserve |
reserve |
reserves |
reserve |
Total |
(Audited) |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
At 30th September 2007 |
44,176 |
166,791 |
4,786 |
210,645 |
5,372 |
431,770 |
Shares bought back and cancelled |
(676) |
- |
676 |
(5,291) |
- |
(5,291) |
Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends appropriated in the year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 30th September 2008 |
43,500 |
166,791 |
5,462 |
76,687 |
5,653 |
298,093 |
Balance Sheet
as at 31st March 2009
|
(Unaudited) |
(Unaudited) |
(Audited) |
|
31st March 2009 |
31st March 2008 |
30th September 2008 |
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
Fixed assets |
|
|
|
Investments held at fair value through profit or loss |
276,920 |
369,028 |
321,882 |
Current assets |
|
|
|
Debtors |
5,578 |
4,105 |
8,929 |
Cash at bank and in hand |
11,066 |
7,471 |
35,333 |
|
16,644 |
11,576 |
44,262 |
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year |
(28,884) |
(27,043) |
(68,051) |
Net current liabilities |
(12,240) |
(15,467) |
(23,789) |
Total assets less current liabilities |
264,680 |
353,561 |
298,093 |
Total net assets |
264,680 |
353,561 |
298,093 |
Capital and reserves |
|
|
|
Called up share capital |
42,775 |
43,507 |
43,500 |
Other reserve |
166,791 |
166,791 |
166,791 |
Capital redemption reserve |
6,187 |
5,455 |
5,462 |
Capital reserves |
44,452 |
134,568 |
76,687 |
Revenue reserve |
4,475 |
3,240 |
5,653 |
Shareholders' funds |
264,680 |
353,561 |
298,093 |
Net asset value per share (note 5) |
154.7p |
203.2p |
171.3p |
Cash Flow Statement
for the six months ended 31st March 2009
|
(Unaudited) |
(Unaudited) |
(Audited) |
|
Six months ended |
Six months ended |
Year ended |
|
31st March 2009 |
31st March 2008 |
30th September 2008 |
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
Net cash inflow from operating activities (note 6) |
|
|
|
Net cash outflow from returns on investments and servicing of finance |
|
|
|
Net cash inflow from capital expenditure and financial investment |
|
|
|
Dividend paid |
(4,840) |
(4,897) |
(4,899) |
Net cash outflow from financing |
(47,231) |
(50,110) |
(16,987) |
(Decrease)/increase in cash for the period |
(33,859) |
6,790 |
35,143 |
Reconciliation of net cash flow to movement in net debt |
|
|
|
Net cash movement |
(33,859) |
6,790 |
35,143 |
Loans repaid in the period |
43,317 |
44,147 |
11,090 |
Exchange movements |
(2,072) |
(1,551) |
(1,609) |
Movement in net debt in the period |
7,386 |
49,386 |
44,624 |
Net debt at the beginning of the period |
(17,511) |
(62,135) |
(62,135) |
Net debt at the end of the period |
(10,125) |
(12,749) |
(17,511) |
Represented by: |
|
|
|
Cash at bank and in hand |
11,066 |
7,471 |
35,333 |
Debt falling due within one year |
(21,191) |
(20,220) |
(52,844) |
Net debt at the end of the period |
(10,125) |
(12,749) |
(17,511) |
Notes to the Accounts
for the six months ended 31st March 2009
1. Financial statements
The information contained within the financial statements in this half year report has not been audited or reviewed by the Company's auditors
The figures and financial information for the year ended 30th September 2008 are extracted from the latest published accounts of the Company and do not constitute statutory accounts for that year. Those accounts have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and included the report of the auditors which was unqualified and did not contain a statement under either section 498(2) or 498(3) of the Companies Act 2006.
2. Accounting policies
The accounts have been prepared in accordance with United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('UK GAAP') and with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies' issued in January 2009.
All of the Company's operations are of a continuing nature.
The accounting policies applied to these half year accounts are consistent with those applied in the accounts for the year ended 30th September 2008.
3. VAT recoverable
No VAT has been charged on management fees since November 2007 when HM Revenue & Customs announced acceptance that VAT was not chargeable on investment trust management fees. The Company has since recovered VAT amounting to £348,000 in respect of VAT paid in the past and this has been allocated between revenue and capital in the same proportions as it was originally expensed to revenue and capital. Interest amounting to £151,000 has also been received and is included within 'Other interest receivable and similar income' and allocated wholly to revenue.
4. Return/(loss) per share
|
(Unaudited) |
(Unaudited) |
(Audited) |
|
Six months ended |
Six months ended |
Year ended |
|
31st March 2009 |
31st March 2008 |
30th September 2008 |
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
Return/(loss) per share is based on the following: |
|
|
|
Revenue return |
3,662 |
2,765 |
5,180 |
Capital loss |
(28,324) |
(70,825) |
(128,667) |
Total loss |
(24,662) |
(68,060) |
(123,487) |
Weighted average number of shares in issue |
172,200,517 |
174,764,457 |
174,344,727 |
Revenue return per share |
2.1p |
1.6p |
3.0p |
Capital loss per share |
(16.4)p |
(40.5)p |
(73.8)p |
Total loss per share |
(14.3)p |
(38.9)p |
(70.8)p |
5. Net asset value per share
Net asset value per share is calculated by dividing the funds attributable to ordinary shareholders by the number of
ordinary shares in issue at 31st March 2009 of 171,098,266 (31st March 2008: 174,028,919 and 30th September 2008:
174,001,919).
6. Reconciliation of total net loss on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation to net cash inflow from operating
activities
|
(Unaudited) |
(Unaudited) |
(Audited) |
|
Six months ended |
Six months ended |
Year ended |
|
31st March 2009 |
31st March 2008 |
30th September 2008 |
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
Total net loss on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation |
|
|
|
Add back capital loss before finance costs |
|
|
|
Increase in net debtors and accrued income |
(961) |
(930) |
(488) |
Overseas taxation |
(357) |
(271) |
(487) |
Expenses charged to capital |
(764) |
(1,012) |
(1,904) |
Net cash inflow from operating activities |
3,137 |
1,110 |
3,319 |
JPMORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT (UK) LIMITED
www.jpmjapanese.co.uk