Interim Results
Fleming Japanese Inv Trust PLC
29 May 2003
THE FLEMING JAPANESE INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT OF
UNAUDITED RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS
TO 31st MARCH 2003
The Board today release the unaudited interim results of the Company for the six
month period to 31st March 2003.
The following are comments from the Chairman:
Chairman's Interim Statement
Review
It is disappointing to report to shareholders that there have been further falls
in the Company's net asset value and share price over the six months to 31st
March 2003.
The net asset value over the six-month period fell by 15.6%. This compares with
a fall of 12.6% in the benchmark index, the Tokyo Stock Exchange 1st Section
Index expressed in sterling terms. The share price fell by 18.8% reflecting a
widening of the discount to 21.8%.
The overall performance of the Japanese index over the period masked widely
diverging returns. The TOPIX Core 30 index, which comprises 30 of the largest
and highest quality companies in the market (some of which are owned in your
fund), fell by 18% in yen against a drop of 12.6% for the market as a whole.
Many of the Core 30 stocks have high profit margins and returns on equity,
strong balance sheets, quality management teams, and relatively cheap
valuations. This ought to have made them more attractive to investors, but
because they are also global companies which derive substantial portions of
their business from outside Japan, worries about war with Iraq, concerns about
US economic growth and the weakness of the dollar weighed heavily on them and
led to selling pressure.
The period also saw the implementation of so-called 'Daiko Henjo' selling,
whereby public pension funds liquidate assets to pay back into the government
pension scheme. The selling tended to be focused on good quality, liquid, highly
priced stocks and led to sharp declines in the share prices of some of Japan's
most successful companies, such as Honda and Ricoh. Despite there being a clear
long-term investment case for these companies and notwithstanding low
valuations, they under-performed the market which had a material impact on the
returns of the Company relative to benchmark.
A corollary to our exposure to the quality stocks is that our performance was
also affected by not being exposed to many areas of the market that performed
well, almost by default. Small cap stocks held up well because they were either
under-owned or not sufficiently liquid for the purposes of 'Daiko Henjo' selling
and, even more frustratingly, the share prices of some of Japan's weakest
companies with the worst balance sheets were among the strongest performers
simply because investors expected banks to delay loan foreclosures.
Our investment style leads us to focus on the strongest and best Japanese
corporations. Inevitably there will be periods, such as the current one, when
what might be seen as relief rallies among the weaker companies affect our
performance adversely. In the long run, however, we believe that focusing on the
better quality names is an investment approach which will work.
Outlook
The economic signals from Japan are mixed. Recent macro indicators suggest that
the economy is struggling. Forecasts are for almost zero sales growth, and the
predicted 12% rise in pre-tax profits is wholly attributable to cost cutting.
Nevertheless, the economic downturn may be shallower than expected. This is
because exports to Asia and China have continued to grow. The growth has come
not just from the better-known sectors such as autos and machinery, but also
from products such as scrap iron, waste plastic and recycled paper, in all of
which Japan used to be a net importer. Partly as a result, capital expenditure
has also seen steady improvement.
In the past, valuations of Japanese stocks have been difficult to justify. This
has now changed. After a severe de-rating, certain areas of the market are
cheap, both in relative and absolute terms. For example, in the January-March
quarter, Canon's operating earnings rose more than 80% year-on-year and net
profit more than doubled. The company has a world market share of more than 70%
for laser-beam printers, robust future growth prospects, a strong balance sheet
and a price-to-earnings multiple of 16 times. Many stocks in the Company's
portfolio, such as Ricoh, Honda, Shin-Etsu Chemical, Toyota and Denso are in
similar situations. These companies now account for a meaningful proportion of
the Japanese index, and their cheap valuations make an increasingly strong case
for the overall Japanese stock market finding support at or around current
levels.
Share Repurchases
The Company's authority to repurchase shares for cancellation was renewed by
shareholders at the Annual General Meeting in December. Since then the Company
has repurchased 2,010,000 ordinary shares at an average discount of 19.8% and a
cost of £2.5 million. This reduced the issued share capital by just over 1% and
had the effect of enhancing the net asset value return by 0.3%.
Allocation of Expenses
The Board has decided to amend its practice of charging the management fee and
finance costs wholly to revenue and instead with effect from 1st October 2002,
charge 20% to revenue and 80% to capital in line with the Boards expected
long-term split of returns, in the form of income and capital gains
respectively.
David Ritchie
Chairman 29th May 2003
Please note that the above statements may differ from the final version to be
published in the interim accounts.
For further information, please contact:
Jonathan Latter
J.P. Morgan Fleming Asset Management (UK) Limited, 020 7742 3408
Secretary to the Company
The Fleming Japanese Investment Trust plc
Unaudited figures for the six months ended 31 March 2003
Statement of Total Return (Unaudited)
Six months to 31 March 2003 Six months to 31 March 2002 Year to 30 September 2002
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Realised (losses)/gains - (19,953) (19,953) - 1,981 1,981 - 1,694 1,694
on investments
Net change in - (32,697) (32,697) - 20,122 20,122 - (72,313) (72,313)
unrealised appreciation
Currency losses on cash
and short-term - -
(253) (253) (1,374) (1,374) - (1,306) (1,306)
deposits held during
the period
Unrealised (losses)/ - (38) (38) - 6,937 6,937 - 6,937 6,937
gain on currency hedges
Change in unrealised - - - 1,788 1,788 2,321 2,321
gains on Yen loans
Realised (losses)/gains - (481) (481) - 3,601 3,601 - 3,602 3,602
on repayment of Yen
loan
Other capital charges - (14) (14) - - - (34) (34)
Overseas dividends 2,014 - 2,014 1,646 - 1,646 3,369 - 3,369
Sundry receipts 502 - 502 - - - - - -
Stock lending fees 62 - 62 79 - 79 222 - 222
Deposit interest 7 - 7 7 - 7 10 - 10
_______ ________ _______ ______ _______ ________ _______ _______ _______
Gross return 2,585 (53,436) (50,851) 1,732 33,055 34,787 3,601 (59,099) (55,498)
Management fee (200) (800) (1,000) (1,418) - (1,418) (2,749) - (2,749)
Other administrative (237) - (237) (201) - (201) (362) - (362)
expenses
Interest payable (84) (337) (421) (963) - (963) (1,552) - (1,552)
_______ _______ _______ ______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______
Return before taxation 2,064 (54,573) (52,509) (850) 33,055 32,205 (1,062) (59,099) (60,161)
Taxation (478) - (478) (247) - (247) (505) - (505)
______ _______ _______ ______ _______ ______ _______ _______ _______
Total return 1,586 (54,573) (52,987) (1,097) 33,055 31,958 (1,567) (59,099) (60,666)
attributable to
ordinary shareholders
Return per ordinary 0.84p (28.06)p (28.22)p (0.57)p 17.21p 16.64p (0.82)p (31.08)p (31.90)p
share
The Fleming Japanese Investment Trust plc
Unaudited figures for the six months ended 31 March 2003
BALANCE SHEET 31 March 31 March 30 Sept
2003 2002 2002
£'000 £'000 £'000
Investments at valuation 304,898 458,223 361,180
Net current assets/(liabilities) 6,435 (319) (4,490)
Creditors (amounts falling due after more than one year) (26,676) (26,069) (18,282)
_______ _______ _______
Total net assets 284,657 431,835 338,408
===== ===== =====
Net asset value per ordinary share 152.1p 229.3p 180.2p
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
2003 2002 2002
£'000 £'000 £'000
Net cash inflow from operating activities 57 145 495
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from returns on investments and
servicing of finance
419 (577) 21,518
Net cash inflow from capital expenditure and financial
investment
7,983 64,421 51,969
Net cash outflow from financing (14,655) (92,923) (79,670)
_______ _______ ______
(Decrease) in cash for the period (6,196) (28,934) (5,688)
===== ===== ====
The above financial information does not constitute statutory accounts as
defined in Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. Statutory accounts for the
year ended 30 September 2002 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies.
J.P. MORGAN FLEMING ASSET MANAGEMENT (UK) LIMITED
29th May 2003
This information is provided by RNS
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