European Embedded Value |
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Page 75 |
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Consolidated Income Statement |
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For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
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2010 |
2009 |
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Notes |
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£m |
£m |
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From continuing operations |
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Risk |
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5.01 |
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663 |
913 |
Savings1 |
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5.01 |
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204 |
77 |
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Investment management1 |
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5.08 |
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179 |
144 |
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International |
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5.09 |
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163 |
170 |
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Group capital and financing |
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5.10 |
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54 |
47 |
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Investment projects2 |
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(39) |
(32) |
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Operating profit |
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1,224 |
1,319 |
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Variation from longer term investment return |
5.11 |
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161 |
(413) |
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Effect of economic assumption changes |
5.12 |
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292 |
(335) |
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Property losses attributable to non-controlling interests |
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- |
(19) |
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Profit before tax attributable to equity holders of the Company |
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1,677 |
552 |
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Tax expense on profit from ordinary activities |
5.14 |
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(446) |
(114) |
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Effect of UK Budget tax changes |
5.14 |
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33 |
- |
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Tax impact of corporate restructure |
5.14 |
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- |
59 |
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Profit for the year |
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1,264 |
497 |
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Loss attributable to non-controlling interests |
2.15 |
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- |
19 |
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Profit attributable to equity holders of the Company |
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1,264 |
516 |
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p |
p |
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Earnings per share |
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5.15 |
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Based on profit attributable to equity holders of the Company |
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21.71 |
8.86 |
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Diluted earnings per share |
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5.15 |
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Based on profit attributable to equity holders of the Company |
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21.41 |
8.81 |
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1. The composition of the Savings and Investment management segments has changed. Institutional retail business is now included in the Savings segment. The 2009 comparatives have been amended accordingly in line with the new definition. The effect has been to reduce Savings 2009 operating profit by £5m with an offsetting increase in the Investment management segment's operating profit. |
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2. Investment projects relate to strategic investments including Solvency II. |
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European Embedded Value |
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Page 76 |
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Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income |
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For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
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2010 |
2009 |
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£m |
£m |
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Profit for the year |
1,264 |
497 |
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Other comprehensive income after tax |
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Exchange differences on translation of overseas operations |
(5) |
(88) |
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Actuarial (losses) on defined benefit pension schemes |
(5) |
(90) |
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Actuarial losses on defined benefit pension schemes transferred to unallocated divisible surplus |
4 |
62 |
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Total comprehensive income for the year |
1,258 |
381 |
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Total comprehensive income/(expense) attributable to: |
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Non-controlling interests |
- |
(19) |
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Equity holders of the Company |
1,258 |
400 |
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Consolidated Balance Sheet |
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As at 31 December 2010 |
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2010 |
2009 |
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Notes |
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£m |
£m |
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Assets |
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Investments |
317,234 |
290,550 |
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Long term in-force business asset |
3,060 |
2,645 |
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Other assets |
6,482 |
6,348 |
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Total assets |
326,776 |
299,543 |
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Equity |
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Shareholders' equity |
5.17/5.18 |
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7,730 |
6,695 |
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Non-controlling interests |
2.15 |
|
|
47 |
2 |
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Total equity |
7,777 |
6,697 |
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Liabilities |
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Subordinated borrowings |
2.14 |
|
|
1,897 |
1,870 |
|||||
Unallocated divisible surplus |
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|
1,469 |
1,284 |
|||||
Participating contract liabilities |
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|
|
16,329 |
16,176 |
|||||
Non-participating contract liabilities |
|
|
|
284,751 |
263,085 |
|||||
Senior borrowings |
2.14 |
|
|
1,435 |
1,407 |
|||||
Other liabilities and provisions |
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|
|
13,118 |
9,024 |
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Total liabilities |
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|
318,999 |
292,846 |
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Total equity and liabilities |
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|
|
326,776 |
299,543 |
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European Embedded Value |
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Page 77 |
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Notes to the Financial Statements |
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5.01 Profit/(loss) for the year |
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Risk and |
Investment |
Inter- |
Group |
Total |
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Savings |
manage- |
national |
capital |
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ment |
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and |
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financing |
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For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
Notes |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
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Business reported on an EEV basis: |
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Contribution from new business after cost of capital |
5.03/5.05 |
|
333 |
|
44 |
|
377 |
|||
Contribution from in-force business: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- expected return1 |
|
|
407 |
|
120 |
|
527 |
|||
- experience variances |
5.07 |
|
188 |
|
6 |
|
194 |
|||
- operating assumption changes |
5.07 |
|
(58) |
|
(20) |
|
(78) |
|||
Development costs |
|
|
(15) |
|
- |
|
(15) |
|||
Contribution from shareholder net worth2 |
|
|
|
|
22 |
138 |
160 |
|||
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
Operating profit on covered business |
|
|
855 |
- |
172 |
138 |
1,165 |
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|
Business reported on an IFRS basis: |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
General insurance |
2.01(f) |
|
(8) |
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|
|
(8) |
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Savings investments non-covered business3 |
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20 |
|
|
|
20 |
|||
Investment management4 |
5.08 |
|
|
179 |
|
|
179 |
|||
Group capital and financing |
5.10 |
|
|
|
|
(84) |
(84) |
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Investment projects5 |
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|
|
|
|
(39) |
(39) |
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International non-covered business6 |
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|
|
(9) |
|
(9) |
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Total operating profit |
|
|
867 |
179 |
163 |
15 |
1,224 |
|||
Variation from longer term investment return |
5.11 |
|
115 |
(8) |
43 |
11 |
161 |
|||
Effect of economic assumption changes |
5.12 |
|
252 |
- |
40 |
- |
292 |
|||
Property losses attributable to non-controlling interests |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|||
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Profit before tax |
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|
1,234 |
171 |
246 |
26 |
1,677 |
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Tax (expense)/credit on profit from ordinary activities |
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|
(332) |
(34) |
(84) |
4 |
(446) |
|||
Effect of UK Budget tax changes |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
33 |
33 |
|||
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|
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|
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|
Profit for the year |
|
|
902 |
137 |
162 |
63 |
1,264 |
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|
Operating profit attributable to: |
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|
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|
|
|
|||
Risk |
|
|
663 |
|
|
|
|
|||
Savings |
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|
204 |
|
|
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|
|||
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1. The expected return on in-force is based on the unwind of the risk discount rate on the opening, adjusted base value of in-force (VIF). The opening base VIF of the Risk and Savings business was £3,679m in 2010. This is adjusted for effects of opening model changes of £39m to give an adjusted opening base VIF of £3,718m. This is then multiplied by the opening risk discount rate of 8.0% and the result grossed up at the notional attributed tax rate of 27% to give a return of £407m. |
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2. The 2010 Group capital and financing contribution from shareholder net worth (SNW) comprises £146m from the average return of 5.9% on the average balance of invested assets of £2.5bn; offset by pre-tax corporate expenses charged to shareholders' funds of £(8)m. |
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3. Savings investments non-covered business mainly comprises Savings investments on an IFRS basis, adjusted for Suffolk Life, International (Ireland) and business conducted in Germany. |
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4. Investment management operating profit excludes £27m (2009: £28m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis and as a consequence are included in the Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis. |
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5. Investment projects comprises Solvency II and other strategic investments. |
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6. International non-covered business includes our joint venture operations in Egypt, the Gulf, India and business unit costs of £5m (2009: £4m) allocated to the International segment. |
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European Embedded Value |
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Page 78 |
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Notes to the Financial Statements |
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5.01 Profit/(loss) for the year (continued) |
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Risk and |
Investment |
Inter- |
Group |
Total |
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Savings |
manage- |
national |
capital |
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|
ment |
|
and |
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
financing |
|
For the year ended 31 December 2009 |
|
Notes |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
||
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|
Business reported on an EEV basis: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Contribution from new business after cost of capital |
5.03/5.05 |
|
305 |
|
23 |
|
328 |
|||
Contribution from in-force business: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- expected return1 |
|
|
496 |
|
118 |
|
614 |
|||
- experience variances |
5.07 |
|
46 |
|
17 |
|
63 |
|||
- operating assumption changes |
5.07 |
|
156 |
|
1 |
|
157 |
|||
Development costs |
|
|
(30) |
|
- |
|
(30) |
|||
Contribution from shareholder net worth2 |
|
|
|
|
|
16 |
125 |
141 |
||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating profit on covered business |
|
|
973 |
- |
175 |
125 |
1,273 |
|||
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Business reported on an IFRS basis: |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
||
General insurance |
2.01(f) |
|
17 |
|
|
|
17 |
|||
Other Risk non-covered business |
|
|
(3) |
|
|
|
(3) |
|||
Savings investments non-covered business3 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
3 |
|||
Investment management4 |
5.08 |
|
|
144 |
|
|
144 |
|||
Group capital and financing |
5.10 |
|
|
|
|
(78) |
(78) |
|||
Investment projects |
|
|
|
|
|
(32) |
(32) |
|||
International non-covered business5 |
|
|
|
|
(5) |
|
(5) |
|||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total operating profit |
|
|
990 |
144 |
170 |
15 |
1,319 |
|||
Variation from longer term investment return |
5.11 |
|
(501) |
(4) |
62 |
30 |
(413) |
|||
Effect of economic assumption changes |
5.12 |
|
(249) |
- |
(97) |
11 |
(335) |
|||
Property losses attributable to non-controlling interests |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
(19) |
(19) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit before tax |
|
|
240 |
140 |
135 |
37 |
552 |
|||
Tax (expense)/credit on profit from ordinary activities |
|
|
(67) |
(37) |
(43) |
33 |
(114) |
|||
Tax impact of corporate restructure6 |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
59 |
59 |
|||
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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Profit for the year |
|
|
173 |
103 |
92 |
129 |
497 |
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Operating profit attributable to: |
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|
|||
Risk |
|
|
913 |
|
|
|
|
|||
Savings |
|
|
77 |
|
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1. The expected return on in-force is based on the unwind of the risk discount rate on the opening, adjusted base value of in-force (VIF). The opening base VIF of the Risk and Savings business was £4,268m in 2009. This is adjusted for the effects of opening model changes of £31m to give an adjusted opening base VIF of £4,299m. This is then multiplied by the opening risk discount rate of 8.3% and the result grossed up at the notional attributed tax rate of 28% to give a return of £496m. |
||||||||||
2. The 2009 Group capital and financing contribution from shareholder net worth (SNW) of £125m comprises the average return of 7% on the average balance of invested assets of £2.1bn (£138m); offset by an adjustment for opening tax and other modelling changes of £(2)m and pre-tax corporate expenses charged to shareholders' funds of £(11)m. |
||||||||||
3. Savings investments non-covered business comprises Savings investments on an IFRS basis, and adjustments for Suffolk Life and other Savings operations. |
||||||||||
4. 2009 Investment management operating profit excludes £28m of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis and as a consequence are included in the Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis. |
||||||||||
5. Other includes our joint venture operations in Egypt, the Gulf, India and business unit costs of £4m allocated to the International segment. |
||||||||||
6. In 2009, in addition to current year investment return, £469m was released from the Shareholder Retained Capital and declared as surplus for tax purposes. As a result of the 2007 corporate restructure, this release along with current year movements did not give rise to any incremental tax and therefore resulted in a £59m benefit to embedded value. |
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European Embedded Value |
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Page 79 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.02 New business summary1 |
||||||||||
|
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|
|
APE2 |
PVNBP3 |
Margin4 |
APE |
PVNBP |
Margin |
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
Notes |
|
£m |
£m |
% |
£m |
£m |
% |
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Risk |
|
|
5.03 |
|
382 |
2,925 |
10.3 |
366 |
2,728 |
10.4 |
Savings |
|
5.03 |
|
628 |
3,934 |
0.8 |
532 |
3,676 |
0.5 |
|
International |
|
5.05 |
|
116 |
1,017 |
4.3 |
109 |
876 |
2.6 |
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1,126 |
7,876 |
4.8 |
1,007 |
7,280 |
4.5 |
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1. Covered business only. |
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2. Annual Premium Equivalent (APE) comprises the new annual premiums together with 10% of single premiums. |
||||||||||
3. The present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) on the EEV basis is defined as the present value of annual premiums plus single premiums for any given period. It is calculated using the same assumptions as for the contribution from new business but determined as at the point of sale. |
||||||||||
4. The new business margin is defined as the contribution from new business (including the cost of solvency capital) divided by the PVNBP. |
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5.03 Risk and Savings1 new business by product |
||||||||||
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|
|
Annual |
Present |
Capital- |
Single |
PVNBP |
Contri- |
Margin |
|
|
|
|
premiums |
value of |
isation |
premiums |
|
bution |
|
|
|
|
|
|
annual |
factor2 |
|
|
from new |
|
|
|
|
|
|
premiums |
|
|
|
business3 |
|
For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
% |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Protection |
175 |
860 |
4.9 |
- |
860 |
55 |
6.4 |
|||
Annuities |
- |
- |
- |
2,065 |
2,065 |
245 |
11.9 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Risk |
175 |
860 |
4.9 |
2,065 |
2,925 |
300 |
10.3 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unit linked bonds4 |
- |
- |
- |
586 |
586 |
8 |
1.4 |
|||
Pensions, stakeholder and other non profit |
300 |
1,135 |
3.8 |
1,373 |
2,508 |
3 |
0.1 |
|||
With-profits savings |
71 |
232 |
3.3 |
608 |
840 |
22 |
2.6 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Savings |
371 |
1,367 |
3.7 |
2,567 |
3,934 |
33 |
0.8 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Risk and Savings |
546 |
2,227 |
4.1 |
4,632 |
6,859 |
333 |
4.9 |
|||
Cost of capital |
|
|
|
|
|
47 |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contribution from new business before cost of capital |
|
|
|
|
|
380 |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the year ended 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Protection |
180 |
866 |
4.8 |
- |
866 |
68 |
7.9 |
|||
Annuities |
- |
- |
- |
1,862 |
1,862 |
217 |
11.7 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Risk |
180 |
866 |
4.8 |
1,862 |
2,728 |
285 |
10.4 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unit linked bonds |
- |
- |
- |
677 |
677 |
(4) |
(0.6) |
|||
Pensions, stakeholder and other non profit |
144 |
515 |
3.6 |
1,289 |
1,804 |
(11) |
(0.6) |
|||
With-profits savings |
103 |
316 |
3.1 |
879 |
1,195 |
35 |
2.9 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Savings |
247 |
831 |
3.4 |
2,845 |
3,676 |
20 |
0.5 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Risk and Savings |
427 |
1,697 |
4.0 |
4,707 |
6,404 |
305 |
4.8 |
|||
Cost of capital |
|
|
|
|
|
40 |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contribution from new business before cost of capital |
|
|
|
|
|
345 |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Covered business only. |
||||||||||
2. The capitalisation factor is the present value of annual premiums divided by the amount of annual premiums. |
||||||||||
3. The contribution from new business is defined as the present value at point of sale of assumed profits from new business written in the period and then rolled forward to the end of the financial period using the risk discount rate applicable at the end of the reporting period. |
||||||||||
4. For 2010, business written through International (Ireland) has been removed from covered business. This business is now reported on an IFRS basis within Other savings, making the presentation comparable with the IFRS financial statements. If International (Ireland) had been removed from covered business in 2009, the contribution from new business would be increased by £2m. Comparatives have not been restated. |
||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 80 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.04 Non profit internal rate of return (IRR) and payback period1 by product |
||||||||||
|
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|
IRR |
Payback |
IRR |
Payback |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
period |
|
period |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
years |
% |
years |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Protection |
15 |
5 |
17 |
5 |
||||||
Annuities2 |
>30 |
<0 |
>30 |
<0 |
||||||
Unit linked bonds |
11 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
||||||
Pensions, stakeholder and other non profit |
8 |
13 |
6 |
14 |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. The payback period is calculated on an undiscounted basis. |
||||||||||
2. Given negative strain on annuity business and an immediate IFRS payback, the IRR calculation is infinite. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.05 International1 new business |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
APE |
PVNBP |
Contri- |
Cost of |
Margin |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
bution |
capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
from new |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
business2 |
|
|
For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
% |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA3 |
52 |
443 |
40 |
4 |
8.9 |
|||||
Netherlands |
18 |
166 |
2 |
2 |
1.4 |
|||||
France |
46 |
408 |
2 |
4 |
0.6 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
116 |
1,017 |
44 |
10 |
4.3 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the year ended 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA |
49 |
354 |
17 |
2 |
4.9 |
|||||
Netherlands |
22 |
193 |
5 |
3 |
2.7 |
|||||
France |
38 |
329 |
1 |
5 |
0.1 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
109 |
876 |
23 |
10 |
2.6 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Excludes core retail investments in France and new business from joint operations in Egypt and India which are reported on an IFRS basis. |
||||||||||
2. Contribution from new business is reported after the cost of capital. |
||||||||||
3. The 2010 USA margin primarily reflects an increase to the reinvestment rate following a change in methodology. The 10-year treasury spot yield was replaced by the average treasury forward rates weighted according to the expected timing and amounts of future reinvestment cash flows. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.06 International1 new business in local currency |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annual |
Present |
Capital- |
Single |
PVNBP |
Contri- |
Cost of |
Margin |
|
|
|
premiums |
value of |
isation |
premiums |
|
bution |
capital |
|
|
|
|
|
annual |
factor |
|
|
from new |
|
|
|
|
|
|
premiums |
|
|
|
business2 |
|
|
For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
m |
m |
|
m |
m |
m |
m |
% |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA3 |
$80 |
$690 |
8.6 |
- |
$690 |
$62 |
$7 |
8.9 |
||
Netherlands |
€7 |
€48 |
6.9 |
€146 |
€194 |
€3 |
€2 |
1.4 |
||
France |
€27 |
€203 |
7.5 |
€277 |
€480 |
€3 |
€5 |
0.6 |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the year ended 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA |
$76 |
$553 |
7.3 |
- |
$553 |
$27 |
$3 |
4.9 |
||
Netherlands |
€9 |
€61 |
6.8 |
€157 |
€218 |
€6 |
€3 |
2.7 |
||
France |
€15 |
€105 |
7.2 |
€264 |
€369 |
€1 |
€5 |
0.1 |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Excludes core retail investments in France and new business from joint operations in Egypt and India which are reported on an IFRS basis. |
||||||||||
2. Contribution from new business is reported after the cost of capital. |
||||||||||
3. The 2010 USA margin primarily reflects an increase to the reinvestment rate following a change in methodology. The 10-year treasury spot yield was replaced by the average treasury forward rates weighted according to the expected timing and amounts of future reinvestment cash flows. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 81 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.07 Analysis of experience variances and operating assumption changes |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and Savings |
|
International |
||||
|
|
|
|
Experience |
Operating |
Total |
|
Experience |
Operating |
Total |
|
|
|
|
variances |
assumption |
|
|
variances |
assumption |
|
|
|
|
|
|
changes |
|
|
|
changes |
|
For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Persistency |
- |
(16) |
(16) |
|
(1) |
(14) |
(15) |
|||
Mortality/morbidity |
- |
(28) |
(28) |
|
(12) |
(13) |
(25) |
|||
Expenses |
(1) |
1 |
- |
|
(10) |
(1) |
(11) |
|||
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- US Capital restructure |
30 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|||
- Bulk purchase annuity data loading |
59 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|||
- UK cost of capital unwind |
54 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|||
- Modelling changes and other experience variances |
46 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
189 |
(15) |
174 |
|
29 |
8 |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
188 |
(58) |
130 |
|
6 |
(20) |
(14) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and Savings persistency assumption changes relate to the strengthening of lapse assumptions for individual protection and non profit pensions. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and Savings mortality assumption changes reflect the strengthening of the annuity business mortality assumptions partially offset by favourable individual protection mortality. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The US Capital restructuring programme involved replacing the Triple X financing solution with an internal reinsurance structure. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
Risk and Savings |
|
International |
||||
|
|
|
|
Experience |
Operating |
Total |
|
Experience |
Operating |
Total |
|
|
|
|
variances |
assumption |
|
|
variances |
assumption |
|
|
|
|
|
|
changes |
|
|
|
changes |
|
For the year ended 31 December 2009 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Persistency |
(5) |
(42) |
(47) |
|
(2) |
(13) |
(15) |
|||
Mortality/morbidity |
(6) |
114 |
108 |
|
13 |
26 |
39 |
|||
Expenses |
(19) |
60 |
41 |
|
(7) |
(12) |
(19) |
|||
Other |
76 |
24 |
100 |
|
13 |
- |
13 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
46 |
156 |
202 |
|
17 |
1 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009 Risk and Savings persistency operating assumption changes relate to the strengthening of lapse assumptions for individual protection and unit linked bond policies; partially offset by improved persistency for with-profits products. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009 Risk and Savings mortality assumption changes relates to favourable annuitant mortality experience in 2009 which has been reflected in the latest three year average experience, and favourable individual protection mortality. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009 Risk and Savings expense assumption changes primarily reflects the £76m impact of the cost reductions delivered in 2009; partially offset by the impact of assumed higher future investment expenses of £(29)m. Other smaller items have a net positive impact of £13m. Expense experience variances include the impact of redundancy costs as a result of the cost reduction programme and exceptional project expenses and other items; partially offset by the impact of lower maintenance expenses than assumed of £6m. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and Savings other experience variances include £44m reflecting a reassessment of future reserve releases as data is loaded onto the BPA system and £43m relating to one-off modelling improvements. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009 International mortality operating assumption changes primarily reflects improved claims ratios on group protection business in France, following positive experience in 2009. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 82 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.08 Investment management operating profit |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pension funds (managed and segregated)1 |
148 |
128 |
||||||||
Other non-pension2 |
20 |
16 |
||||||||
Investment management services for internal funds3 |
11 |
- |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Investment management operating profit |
179 |
144 |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. The managed pension funds business within Investment management has been reported on an IFRS basis as management believe IFRS to be the most appropriate reporting basis for the Investment management business. |
||||||||||
2. Other non-pension includes institutional segregated mandates, private equity and property (both in the UK and overseas). The increase has been driven by non-pension segregated mandates. |
||||||||||
3. Investment management services for internal funds excludes £27m (2009: £28m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis within the Risk and Savings covered business on an EEV basis. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.09 International operating profit |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Europe |
|
|
|
|||||||
|
Netherlands |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52 |
29 |
|
France1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9) |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Europe operating profit |
43 |
66 |
||||||||
USA |
129 |
109 |
||||||||
Other2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(9) |
(5) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total International operating profit |
163 |
170 |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. The EEV operating loss in France reflects £26m of adverse operating assumption changes. These changes relate to Group risk morbidity, following higher claims experience in 2010, and also a reduction in the assumed future investment margin applied to the main savings product. |
||||||||||
2. Other includes our joint venture operations in Egypt, the Gulf, India and business unit costs of £5m (2009: £4m) allocated to the International segment. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.10 Group capital and financing operating profit1 |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment return2 |
187 |
191 |
||||||||
Interest expense3 |
(121) |
(127) |
||||||||
Investment expenses |
(3) |
(3) |
||||||||
Unallocated corporate expenses |
(5) |
(4) |
||||||||
Other |
(4) |
(10) |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Group capital and financing operating profit |
54 |
47 |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysed as: |
|
|
||||||||
On an EEV basis |
138 |
125 |
||||||||
On an IFRS basis |
(84) |
(78) |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Group capital and financing represents operating profit on the shareholder assets held within the covered business, reported on an embedded value basis, and operating profit on the shareholder assets held outside the covered business reported on an IFRS basis. |
||||||||||
2. Of the £187m investment return, £146m is reported on an EEV basis within contribution from SNW based on a 5.9% average return on the average balance of invested assets of £2.5bn. |
||||||||||
3. Interest expense excludes non recourse financing (see Note 2.14). |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 83 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.11 Variation from longer term investment return |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Business reported on an EEV basis: |
|
|
|
|||||||
Risk and Savings1 |
103 |
(513) |
||||||||
International2 |
43 |
62 |
||||||||
Group capital and financing |
82 |
(8) |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
228 |
(459) |
Business reported on an IFRS basis: |
|
|
|
|||||||
Risk and Savings |
12 |
12 |
||||||||
Investment management |
(8) |
(4) |
||||||||
Group capital and financing3 |
(71) |
38 |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
161 |
(413) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. The £103m Risk and Savings covered business variation from longer term investment return reflects the strong recovery in equity and property markets resulting in a £85m investment variance from the Savings business on assets backing with-profit policies together with higher expected management charges on unit linked policies. A further £73m investment variance is due to the impact on projected tax within the embedded value from both prior year tax adjustments and market recoveries during 2010. Increased cost of capital arising from the reduction in the equity ratio for assets backing solvency capital has resulted in a £(71)m negative variance. Additionally, favourable market conditions during 2010 have allowed the annuity business to reduce some of its credit exposure to corporates and overall trading impact has resulted in a £18m positive variation. |
||||||||||
2. International covered business variation from longer term investment return primarily reflects the impact of the US capital restructure. |
||||||||||
3. Group capital and financing primarily relates to negative debt related investment variance. (See Note 2.07). |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.12 Effect of economic assumption changes |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Business reported on an EEV basis: |
|
|
||||||||
Risk and Savings1 |
252 |
(249) |
||||||||
International |
40 |
(97) |
||||||||
Group capital and financing |
- |
11 |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
292 |
(335) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. 2010 Risk and Savings economic assumption changes include £341m (2009: £125m) relating to the decrease in the UK risk discount rate in 2010 from 8.0% to 7.3%, and £39m as a result of a fall in expense inflation assumptions. These are offset by £(138)m as a result of the lower expected returns, higher cost of capital on increased annuity reserves and other consequential impacts within lower yielding environments. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.13 Time value of options and guarantees |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and Savings1 |
15 |
13 |
||||||||
International |
13 |
19 |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28 |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Includes £10m (2009: £9m) relating to UK with-profits business, and £5m (2009: £4m) relating to UK non profit business. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 84 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.14 Tax |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit/ |
|
Profit/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(loss) |
Tax |
(loss) |
Tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
before |
(expense)/ |
before |
(expense)/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
tax |
credit |
tax |
credit |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
From continuing operations |
|
|
|
|
||||||
Risk |
663 |
(179) |
913 |
(254) |
||||||
Savings |
204 |
(54) |
77 |
(23) |
||||||
Investment management |
179 |
(36) |
144 |
(38) |
||||||
International |
163 |
(54) |
170 |
(57) |
||||||
Group capital and financing |
54 |
(8) |
47 |
(8) |
||||||
Investment projects |
(39) |
11 |
(32) |
9 |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating profit |
1,224 |
(320) |
1,319 |
(371) |
||||||
Variation from longer term investment return |
161 |
(43) |
(413) |
158 |
||||||
Effect of economic assumption changes |
292 |
(83) |
(335) |
99 |
||||||
Property losses attributable to non-controlling interests |
- |
- |
(19) |
- |
||||||
Effect of UK Budget tax changes |
- |
33 |
- |
- |
||||||
Tax impact of corporate restructure |
- |
- |
- |
59 |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit/(loss) before tax / Tax |
1,677 |
(413) |
552 |
(55) |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The UK EEV calculations and the tax rate used for grossing up in the income statement are based on a UK corporation tax rate of 27% (2009: 28%). See Note 5.21 for further details of tax assumptions. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.15 Earnings per share |
||||||||||
(a) Earnings per share |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit |
Tax |
Profit |
Per share |
Profit |
Tax |
Profit |
Per share |
|
|
|
before |
expense |
after |
|
before |
expense |
after |
|
|
|
|
tax |
|
tax |
|
tax |
|
tax |
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
p |
£m |
£m |
£m |
p |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share based on profit/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
(loss) attributable to equity holders |
1,677 |
(413) |
1,264 |
21.71 |
571 |
(55) |
516 |
8.86 |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(b) Diluted earnings per share |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit |
Number |
Per share |
Profit |
Number |
Per share |
|
|
|
|
|
after |
of |
|
after |
of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
tax |
shares1 |
|
tax |
shares1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
p |
£m |
£m |
p |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit attributable to equity holders of the Company |
1,264 |
5,827 |
21.71 |
516 |
5,824 |
8.86 |
||||
Net shares under options allocable for no further consideration |
- |
79 |
(0.30) |
- |
33 |
(0.05) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings per share |
1,264 |
5,906 |
21.41 |
516 |
5,857 |
8.81 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Weighted average number of shares. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The number of shares in issue at 31 December 2010 was 5,866,669,323 (31 December 2009: 5,862,216,780). |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 85 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.16 Group embedded value reconciliation |
||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Covered business |
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
UK |
UK |
UK |
Total |
Inter- |
Non- |
Total |
|
|
|
|
free |
required |
value of |
UK |
national |
covered |
|
|
|
|
|
surplus |
capital |
in-force |
|
|
business |
|
For the year ended 31 December 2010 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Value of in-force business (VIF) |
- |
- |
3,679 |
3,679 |
928 |
- |
4,607 |
|||
Shareholder net worth (SNW) |
1,067 |
1,521 |
- |
2,588 |
518 |
(1,018) |
2,088 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,067 |
1,521 |
3,679 |
6,267 |
1,446 |
(1,018) |
6,695 |
Exchange rate movements |
- |
- |
- |
- |
7 |
(12) |
(5) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,067 |
1,521 |
3,679 |
6,267 |
1,453 |
(1,030) |
6,690 |
Operating profit/(loss) for the year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- New business contribution1 |
(258) |
178 |
323 |
243 |
|
|
|
|||
- Expected return on VIF |
- |
- |
297 |
297 |
|
|
|
|||
- Expected transfer from Non profit VIF to SNW2 |
688 |
(166) |
(522) |
- |
|
|
|
|||
- With-profits transfer |
46 |
- |
(46) |
- |
|
|
|
|||
- Expected return on SNW |
45 |
72 |
- |
117 |
|
|
|
|||
Generation of embedded value |
521 |
84 |
52 |
657 |
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Experience variances |
121 |
11 |
(7) |
125 |
|
|
|
|||
- Operating assumption changes |
(14) |
1 |
(28) |
(41) |
|
|
|
|||
- Development costs |
(11) |
- |
- |
(11) |
|
|
|
|||
Variances |
96 |
12 |
(35) |
73 |
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating profit for the year |
617 |
96 |
17 |
730 |
117 |
57 |
904 |
|||
Non-operating profit/(loss) for the year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- Investment variances |
95 |
49 |
(6) |
138 |
|
|
|
|||
- Economic assumption changes |
- |
- |
184 |
184 |
|
|
|
|||
- Effect of UK Budget tax changes |
- |
- |
33 |
33 |
|
|
|
|||
Non-operating profit/(loss) for the year |
95 |
49 |
211 |
355 |
53 |
(48) |
360 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit for the year |
712 |
145 |
228 |
1,085 |
170 |
9 |
1,264 |
|||
Capital movements3 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
184 |
(184) |
- |
|||
Intra-group distributions4 |
(207) |
- |
- |
(207) |
(44) |
251 |
- |
|||
Dividends to equity holders of the Company |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(238) |
(238) |
|||
Net movements in employee share schemes |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
17 |
17 |
|||
Transfer to non-covered business5 |
(19) |
- |
- |
(19) |
- |
19 |
- |
|||
Other reserve movements including pension deficit6 |
(158) |
(26) |
(21) |
(205) |
- |
202 |
(3) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Embedded value |
1,395 |
1,640 |
3,886 |
6,921 |
1,763 |
(954) |
7,730 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Represented by: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- Non profit |
|
|
3,372 |
|
|
|
|
|||
- With-profits |
|
|
514 |
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Value of in-force business |
- |
- |
3,886 |
3,886 |
1,015 |
- |
4,901 |
|||
Shareholder net worth |
1,395 |
1,640 |
- |
3,035 |
748 |
(954) |
2,829 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. The free surplus reduction of £258m to finance new business includes £80m IFRS new business strain and £178m additional required capital. |
||||||||||
2. The increase in free surplus of £688m from the expected transfer from the in-force non profit business includes £522m of IFRS operational cash generation and a £166m reduction in required capital. |
||||||||||
3. The capital movement of £184m reflects the capital contribution made to the US to enable the repurchase of Potomac securities. |
||||||||||
4. UK intra-group distributions reflect a £300m dividend paid from Society to Group and dividends of £93m paid to Society from subsidiaries (primarily Nationwide Life). Dividends of $53m from the USA, €10m from the Netherlands and €2m from France were also paid to Group. |
||||||||||
5. The transfer to non-covered business represents the IFRS profits arising in the period from the provision of investment management services by Legal & General Investment Management to the UK covered business, which have been included in the operating profit of the covered business on the look through basis. |
||||||||||
6. Other reserve movements primarily comprise the transfer from the covered business of Nationwide Life following the Part VII transfer of the majority of the insurance business in 2009. |
||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 86 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.16 Group embedded value reconciliation (continued) |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covered business |
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
UK |
UK |
UK |
Total |
Interna- |
Non- |
Total |
|
|
|
|
free |
required |
value of |
UK |
tional |
covered |
|
|
|
|
|
surplus |
capital |
in-force |
|
|
business |
|
For the year ended 31 December 2009 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Value of in-force business (VIF) |
- |
- |
4,268 |
4,268 |
1,059 |
- |
5,327 |
|||
Shareholder net worth (SNW) |
509 |
1,369 |
- |
1,878 |
404 |
(1,088) |
1,194 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
509 |
1,369 |
4,268 |
6,146 |
1,463 |
(1,088) |
6,521 |
Exchange rate movements |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(153) |
65 |
(88) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
509 |
1,369 |
4,268 |
6,146 |
1,310 |
(1,023) |
6,433 |
Operating profit for the year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- New business contribution1 |
(189) |
155 |
253 |
219 |
|
|
|
|||
- Expected return on VIF |
- |
- |
358 |
358 |
|
|
|
|||
- Expected transfer from Non profit VIF to SNW2 |
648 |
(147) |
(501) |
- |
|
|
|
|||
- With-profits transfer |
46 |
- |
(46) |
- |
|
|
|
|||
- Expected return on SNW |
34 |
61 |
- |
95 |
|
|
|
|||
Generation of embedded value |
539 |
69 |
64 |
672 |
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Experience variances |
30 |
29 |
(31) |
28 |
|
|
|
|||
- Operating assumption changes |
285 |
(23) |
(152) |
110 |
|
|
|
|||
- Development costs |
(21) |
- |
- |
(21) |
|
|
|
|||
Variances |
294 |
6 |
(183) |
117 |
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating profit/(loss) for the year |
833 |
75 |
(119) |
789 |
117 |
42 |
948 |
|||
Non-operating (loss)/profit for the year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- Investment variances |
(66) |
2 |
(276) |
(340) |
|
|
|
|||
- Economic assumption changes |
(66) |
75 |
(180) |
(171) |
|
|
|
|||
- Tax impact of corporate restructure |
59 |
- |
- |
59 |
|
|
|
|||
Non-operating (loss)/profit for the year |
(73) |
77 |
(456) |
(452) |
(21) |
22 |
(451) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit/(loss) for the year |
760 |
152 |
(575) |
337 |
96 |
64 |
497 |
|||
Capital movements |
- |
- |
- |
- |
50 |
(50) |
- |
|||
Intra-group distributions3 |
(154) |
- |
- |
(154) |
(10) |
164 |
- |
|||
Dividends to equity holders of the Company |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(185) |
(185) |
|||
Net movements in employee share schemes |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
19 |
19 |
|||
Loss attributable to non-controlling interests |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
19 |
19 |
|||
Transfer to non-covered business4 |
(20) |
- |
- |
(20) |
- |
20 |
- |
|||
Other reserve movements including pension deficit |
(28) |
- |
(14) |
(42) |
- |
(46) |
(88) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Embedded value |
1,067 |
1,521 |
3,679 |
6,267 |
1,446 |
(1,018) |
6,695 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Represented by: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
- Non profit |
|
|
3,213 |
|
|
|
|
|||
- With-profits |
|
|
466 |
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Value of in-force business |
- |
- |
3,679 |
3,679 |
928 |
- |
4,607 |
|||
Shareholder net worth |
1,067 |
1,521 |
- |
2,588 |
518 |
(1,018) |
2,088 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. The free surplus reduction of £189m to finance new business includes £27m IFRS new business strain and £155m additional required capital. Other items have a net positive impact of £7m. |
||||||||||
2. The increase in free surplus of £648m from the expected return on the in-force non profit business includes £496m of IFRS operational cash generation and a £147m reduction in required capital. Other items have a net positive impact of £5m. |
||||||||||
3. Intra-group distributions comprise a £154m dividend paid from Society to Group, and distributions from the covered businesses of USA ($6m), Netherlands (€5m) and France (€3m). |
||||||||||
4. The transfer to non-covered business represents the IFRS profits arising in the period from the provision of investment management services by Legal & General Investment Management to the UK covered business, which have been included in the operating profit of the covered business on the look through basis. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 87 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.17 Analysis of shareholders' equity |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and |
Investment |
Inter- |
Group |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Savings |
manage- |
national |
capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ment |
|
and |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
financing |
|
As at 31 December 2010 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysed as: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
IFRS basis shareholders' equity1 |
265 |
324 |
1,664 |
2,574 |
4,827 |
|||||
Additional retained profit/(loss) on an EEV basis |
3,886 |
- |
136 |
(1,119) |
2,903 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity on an EEV basis |
4,151 |
324 |
1,800 |
1,455 |
7,730 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprising: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Business reported on an IFRS basis |
265 |
324 |
37 |
(1,580) |
(954) |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Business reported on an EEV basis: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Shareholder net worth |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
- Free surplus2 |
|
|
501 |
1,395 |
1,896 |
|||||
- Required capital to cover solvency margin |
|
|
247 |
1,640 |
1,887 |
|||||
Value of in-force |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
- Value of in-force business |
4,220 |
|
1,090 |
|
5,310 |
|||||
- Cost of capital |
(334) |
|
(75) |
|
(409) |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk and |
Investment |
Inter- |
Group |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Savings |
manage- |
national |
capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ment |
|
and |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
financing |
|
As at 31 December 2009 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysed as: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
IFRS basis shareholders' equity1 |
233 |
305 |
1,372 |
2,286 |
4,196 |
|||||
Additional retained profit/(loss) on an EEV basis |
3,679 |
- |
108 |
(1,288) |
2,499 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity on an EEV basis |
3,912 |
305 |
1,480 |
998 |
6,695 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprising: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Business reported on an IFRS basis |
233 |
305 |
34 |
(1,590) |
(1,018) |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Business reported on an EEV basis: |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Shareholder net worth |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
- Free surplus2 |
|
|
263 |
1,067 |
1,330 |
|||||
- Required capital to cover solvency margin |
|
|
255 |
1,521 |
1,776 |
|||||
Value of in-force |
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
- Value of in-force business |
3,987 |
|
1,012 |
|
4,999 |
|||||
- Cost of capital |
(308) |
|
(84) |
|
(392) |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Shareholders' equity supporting the non profit Risk and Savings businesses is held within Legal & General Assurance Society Limited and Legal & General Pensions Limited and is managed on a groupwide basis within the Group capital and financing segment. |
||||||||||
2. Free surplus is the value of any capital and surplus allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business at the valuation date. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Further analysis of shareholders' equity is included in Note 5.18. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 88 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.18 Segmental analysis of shareholders' equity |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covered |
Other |
Total |
Covered |
Other |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
business |
business |
|
business |
business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
EEV |
IFRS |
|
EEV |
IFRS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
basis |
basis |
|
basis |
basis |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
- Risk reported on an EEV basis |
2,563 |
- |
2,563 |
2,530 |
- |
2,530 |
||||
- General insurance |
- |
120 |
120 |
- |
120 |
120 |
||||
- Other |
- |
3 |
3 |
- |
- |
- |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Risk |
2,563 |
123 |
2,686 |
2,530 |
120 |
2,650 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Savings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
- Savings reported on an EEV basis |
1,323 |
- |
1,323 |
1,149 |
- |
1,149 |
||||
- Savings investments |
- |
121 |
121 |
- |
100 |
100 |
||||
- Other |
- |
21 |
21 |
- |
13 |
13 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Savings |
1,323 |
142 |
1,465 |
1,149 |
113 |
1,262 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment management |
- |
324 |
324 |
- |
305 |
305 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
International |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
- USA |
1,220 |
- |
1,220 |
904 |
- |
904 |
||||
- Netherlands |
335 |
- |
335 |
316 |
- |
316 |
||||
- France |
208 |
- |
208 |
226 |
- |
226 |
||||
- Emerging markets |
- |
37 |
37 |
- |
34 |
34 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total International |
1,763 |
37 |
1,800 |
1,446 |
34 |
1,480 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group capital and financing |
3,035 |
(1,580) |
1,455 |
2,588 |
(1,590) |
998 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8,684 |
(954) |
7,730 |
7,713 |
(1,018) |
6,695 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.19 Reconciliation of shareholder net worth |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK covered |
Total |
UK covered |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
business |
|
business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
2010 |
2009 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SNW of long term operations (IFRS basis) |
4,154 |
5,781 |
3,876 |
5,214 |
||||||
Other liabilities (IFRS basis) |
- |
(954) |
- |
(1,018) |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity on the IFRS basis |
4,154 |
4,827 |
3,876 |
4,196 |
||||||
Purchased interest in long term business |
(86) |
(91) |
(114) |
(126) |
||||||
Deferred acquisition costs/deferred income liabilities |
(253) |
(1,211) |
(250) |
(1,132) |
||||||
Contingent loan1 |
(551) |
(551) |
(421) |
(421) |
||||||
Deferred tax2 |
(238) |
85 |
(324) |
(33) |
||||||
Other3 |
9 |
(230) |
(179) |
(396) |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholder net worth on the EEV basis |
3,035 |
2,829 |
2,588 |
2,088 |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. On an EEV basis the contingent loan (between Society and LGPL) is modelled within the VIF. On an IFRS basis the contingent loan asset is included within the Group capital and financing net assets. |
||||||||||
2. Deferred tax represents all tax which is expected to be paid under current legislation. |
||||||||||
3. Other total business also includes the different treatment of the US Triple X securitisation on an EEV and IFRS basis. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Embedded Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 89 |
|
Notes to the Financial Statements |
||||||||||
5.20 Sensitivities |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In accordance with the guidance issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in October 2005 the table below shows the effect of alternative assumptions on the long term embedded value and new business contribution. |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect on embedded value as at 31 December 2010 |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As |
1% lower |
1% higher |
1% lower |
1% higher |
1% higher |
|
|
|
|
|
published |
risk |
risk |
interest |
interest |
equity/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
discount |
discount |
rate |
rate |
property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
rate |
rate |
|
|
yields |
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK |
6,921 |
426 |
(368) |
186 |
(169) |
96 |
||||
International |
1,763 |
130 |
(111) |
23 |
(37) |
5 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total covered business |
8,684 |
556 |
(479) |
209 |
(206) |
101 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As |
10% |
10% |
10% |
5% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
published |
lower |
lower |
lower |
lower |
lower |
|
|
|
|
|
|
equity/ |
maint- |
lapse |
mortality |
mortality |
|
|
|
|
|
|
property |
enance |
rates |
(UK |
(other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
values |
expenses |
|
annuities) |
business) |
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK |
6,921 |
(183) |
87 |
86 |
(166) |
43 |
||||
International |
1,763 |
(6) |
16 |
20 |
n/a |
100 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total covered business |
8,684 |
(189) |
103 |
106 |
(166) |
143 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect on new business contribution for the year |
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As |
1% lower |
1% higher |
1% lower |
1% higher |
1% higher |
|
|
|
|
|
published |
risk |
risk |
interest |
interest |
equity/ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
discount |
discount |
rate |
rate |
property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
rate |
rate |
|
|
yields |
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK |
333 |
52 |
(44) |
26 |
(23) |
12 |
||||
International |
44 |
15 |
(13) |
(1) |
1 |
- |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total covered business |
377 |
67 |
(57) |
25 |
(22) |
12 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As |
10% |
10% |
10% |
5% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
published |
lower |
lower |
lower |
lower |
lower |
|
|
|
|
|
|
equity/ |
maint- |
lapse |
mortality |
mortality |
|
|
|
|
|
|
property |
enance |
rates |
(UK |
(other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
values |
expenses |
|
annuities) |
business) |
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK |
333 |
(18) |
12 |
16 |
(14) |
6 |
||||
International |
44 |
- |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
12 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total covered business |
377 |
(18) |
14 |
17 |
(14) |
18 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Opposite sensitivities are broadly symmetrical. |
European Embedded Value Page 90
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.21 Assumptions
UK assumptions
The assumed future pre-tax returns on fixed interest and RPI linked securities are set by reference to the portfolio yield on the relevant backing assets held at market value at the end of the reporting period. The calculated return takes account of derivatives and other credit instruments in the investment portfolio. Indicative yields on the portfolio, excluding annuities within Legal & General Pensions Limited (LGPL), but after allowance for long term default risk, are shown below.
For LGPL annuities, separate returns are calculated for new and existing business. Indicative combined yields, after allowance for long term default risk and the following additional assumptions, are also shown below. These additional assumptions are:
i. Where cash balances are held at the reporting date in excess or below strategic investment guidelines, then it is assumed that these cash balances are immediately invested or disinvested at current yields.
ii. Where interest rate swaps are used to reduce risk, it is assumed that these swaps will be sold before expiry and the proceeds reinvested in corporate bonds with a redemption yield 0.70% p.a. (0.70% p.a. at 31 December 2009) greater than the swap rate at that time (i.e. the long term credit rate).
iii. Where reinvestment or disinvestment is necessary to rebalance the asset portfolio in line with projected outgo, this is also assumed to take place at the long term credit rate above the swap rate at that time.
The returns on fixed and index-linked securities are calculated net of an allowance for default risk which takes account of the credit rating, outstanding term of the securities, and increase in the expectation of credit defaults over the economic cycle. The allowance for corporate securities expressed as a level rate deduction from the expected returns for annuities was 29bps at 31 December 2010 (42bps at 31 December 2009).
Economic assumptions
As at 31 December |
|
2010 |
2009 |
2008 |
|
|
% p.a. |
% p.a. |
% p.a. |
|
|
|
|
|
Equity risk premium |
|
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Property risk premium |
|
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Investment return (excluding annuities in LGPL) |
|
|
|
|
- Gilts: |
|
|
|
|
- Fixed interest |
|
3.4 - 4.0 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
- RPI linked |
|
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
- Non gilts: |
|
|
|
|
- Fixed interest |
|
3.6 - 5.0 |
4.4 - 6.2 |
4.2 - 8.4 |
- Equities |
|
7.5 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
- Property |
|
6.0 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term rate of return on non profit |
|
|
|
|
annuities in LGPL |
|
5.5 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Risk free rate1 |
|
4.0 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
Risk margin |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
Risk discount rate (net of tax) |
|
7.3 |
8.0 |
8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Inflation |
|
|
|
|
- Expenses/earnings |
|
4.1 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
- Indexation |
|
3.6 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
1. The risk free rate is the gross redemption yield on the 15 year gilt index (20 year gilt index for 31 December 2009 and 31 December 2008).
UK covered business
i. Assets are valued at market value.
ii. Future bonus rates have been set at levels which would fully utilise the assets supporting the policyholders' portion of the with-profits business. The proportion of profits derived from with-profits business allocated to shareholders has been assumed to be 10% throughout.
iii. The value of in-force business reflects the cost, including administration expenses, of providing for benefit enhancement or compensation in relation to certain products.
European Embedded Value Page 91
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.21 Assumptions (continued)
iv. Other actuarial assumptions have been set at levels commensurate with recent operating experience, including those for mortality, morbidity, persistency and maintenance expenses (excluding the development costs referred to below). These are normally reviewed annually.
An allowance is made for future improvements in annuitant mortality based on experience and externally published data. Male annuitant mortality is assumed to improve in accordance with 100% of CMI2009 Working Paper 41, with a Long Term Rate of improvement of 1.5% for future experience, and 2.0% for statutory reserving. Female annuitant mortality is assumed to improve in accordance with 100% of CMI2009, with a Long Term Rate of improvement of 1.0% for future experience and 1.5% for statutory reserving. In each case, the annual improvement is assumed to reduce linearly after age 85 to zero at age 120.
On this basis, the best estimate of the expectation of life for a new 65 year old Male CPA annuitant is 24.0 years (31 December 2009: 24.5 years). The expectation of life on the regulatory reserving basis is 25.6 years (31 December 2009: 25.7 years).
v. Development costs relate to investment in strategic systems and development capability that are charged to the covered business. Projects charged to the non-covered business are included within Investment projects in Group capital and financing.
International
vi. Key assumptions:
As at 31 December |
|
2010 |
2009 |
2008 |
|
|
% p.a. |
% p.a. |
% p.a. |
USA |
|
|
|
|
Reinvestment rate |
|
5.5 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
Risk margin |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
Risk discount rate (net of tax) |
|
6.6 |
7.4 |
6.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Europe |
|
|
|
|
Government bond return |
|
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
Risk margin |
|
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
Risk discount rate (net of tax) |
|
6.5 |
7.1 |
8.0 |
vii. Other actuarial assumptions have been set at levels commensurate with recent operating experience, including those for mortality, morbidity, persistency and maintenance expenses.
Tax
viii. The profits on the covered business, except for the profits on the Society shareholder capital held outside the long term fund, are calculated on an after tax basis and are grossed up by the notional attributed tax rate for presentation in the income statement. The tax rate used for grossing up is the long term corporate tax rate in the territory concerned, which for the UK is 27% (2009: 28%) taking into account the enacted rate of corporation tax of 27%, which applies from 1 April 2011. The profits on the Society shareholder capital held outside the long term fund are calculated before tax and therefore tax is calculated on an actual basis.
Stochastic calculations
ix. The time value of options and guarantees is calculated using economic and non-economic assumptions consistent with those used for the deterministic embedded value calculations.
This section describes the models used to generate future investment simulations, and gives some sample statistics for the simulations used. A single model has been used for UK and international business, with different economic assumptions for each territory.
Government nominal interest rates are generated using a LIBOR Market Model projecting full yield curves at annual intervals. The model provides a good fit to the initial yield curve.
The total annual returns on equities and property are calculated as the return on 1 year bonds plus an excess return. The excess return is assumed to have a lognormal distribution. Corporate bonds are modelled separately by credit rating using stochastic credit spreads over the risk free rates, transition matrices and default recovery rates. The real yield curve model assumes that the real short rate follows a mean-reverting process subject to two normally distributed random shocks.
The significant asset classes are:
- UK with-profits business - equities, property and fixed rate bonds of various durations;
- UK annuity business - fixed rate and index-linked bonds of various durations; and
- International business - fixed rate bonds of various durations
European Embedded Value Page 92
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.21 Assumptions (continued)
The following table sets out means and standard deviations (StDev) of future returns as at 31 December 2010 for the most significant asset classes. Correlations between asset classes have been set based on an internal assessment of historical data.
|
10-year return |
20-year return |
||
|
Mean1 |
StDev2 |
Mean1 |
StDev2 |
UK Business (Sterling) |
|
|
|
|
Government bonds |
3.8% |
3.9% |
4.8% |
4.3% |
Corporate bonds |
5.4% |
4.0% |
6.1% |
4.5% |
Property (excess returns) |
2.0% |
15.2% |
2.0% |
14.9% |
Equities (excess returns) |
3.5% |
20.2% |
3.6% |
20.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
European Business (Euro) |
|
|
|
|
Long Government bonds3 |
3.4% |
4.5% |
4.1% |
4.4% |
Short Government bonds4 |
3.4% |
3.9% |
4.1% |
7.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
US Business (US Dollar) |
|
|
|
|
Long Government bonds3 |
3.7% |
6.0% |
5.0% |
6.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
1. For asset classes other than for equities and property, mean returns are calculated as the mean return in excess of 1 year government bonds plus the mean return on 1 year government bonds. Mean excess returns for the equities and property are calculated as the mean return in excess of 1 year government bonds. Each mean return is derived by calculating the accumulated value of a unit asset invested to time n years for each simulation, averaging the resultant values across all simulations, then calculating the equivalent annual return required to give this average accumulation (by taking the nth root of the average accumulation and deducting 1).
2. Standard deviations are calculated by accumulating a unit investment for n years in each simulation, taking the natural logarithm of the result, calculating the variance of this statistic, dividing by n and taking the square root. Equities and property values use excess returns. The results are comparable to implied volatilities quoted in investment markets.
3. Long term bonds are defined to be 10 year par-coupon bonds.
4. Short term bonds are defined to be 1 year duration bonds.
The risk discount rate is scenario dependent within the stochastic projection. It is calculated by applying the deterministic risk margin to the risk free rate in each stochastic projection.
Sensitivity calculations
x. A number of sensitivities have been produced on alternative assumption sets to reflect the sensitivity of the embedded value and the new business contribution to changes in key assumptions. Relevant details relating to each sensitivity are:
- 1% variation in discount rate - a one percentage point increase/decrease in the risk margin has been assumed in each case (for example a 1% increase in the risk margin would result in a 4.3% risk margin).
- 1% variation in interest rate environment - a one percentage point increased/decreased parallel shift in the risk free curve with consequential impacts on fixed asset market values, investment return assumptions, risk discount rate, including consequential changes to valuation bases.
- 1% higher equity/property yields - a one percentage point increase in the assumed equity/property investment returns, excluding any consequential changes, for example, to risk discount rates or valuation bases, has been assumed in each case (for example a 1% increase in equity returns would increase assumed total equity returns from 7.3% to 8.3%).
- 10% lower equity/property market values - an immediate 10% reduction in equity and property asset values.
- 10% lower maintenance expenses, excluding any consequential changes, for example, to valuation expense bases or potentially reviewable policy fees (a 10% decrease on a base assumption of £10 per annum would result in an £9 per annum expense assumption).
- 10% lower assumed persistency experience rates, excluding any consequential changes to valuation bases, incorporating a 10% decrease in lapse, surrender and premium cessation assumptions (a 10% decrease on a base assumption of 7% would result in a 6.3% lapse assumption).
- 5% lower mortality and morbidity rates, excluding any consequential changes to valuation bases but including assumed product repricing action where appropriate (for example if base experienced mortality is 90% of a standard mortality table then, for this sensitivity, the assumption is set to 85.5% of the standard table).
The sensitivities for covered business allow for any material changes to the cost of financial options and guarantees but do not allow for any changes to reserving bases or capital requirements within the sensitivity calculation, unless indicated otherwise above.
European Embedded Value Page 93
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.22 Methodology
Basis of preparation
The supplementary financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the European Embedded Value (EEV) Principles issued in May 2004 by the European Insurance CFO Forum.
The supplementary financial statements have been audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP and prepared with assistance from our consulting actuaries; Towers Watson in the UK and Milliman in the USA.
Covered business
The Group uses EEV methodology to value individual and group life assurance, pensions and annuity business written in the UK, Continental Europe and the US. The UK covered business also includes non-insured self invested personal pension (SIPP) business.
The managed pension funds business has been excluded from covered business and is reported on an IFRS basis, as management believe IFRS to be the most appropriate reporting basis for the investment management business.
All other businesses are accounted for on the IFRS basis adopted in the primary financial statements.
There is no distinction made between insurance and investment contracts in our covered business as there is under IFRS.
Description of methodology
The objective of EEV is to provide shareholders with realistic information on the financial position and current performance of the Group.
The methodology requires assets of an insurance company, as reported in the primary financial statements, to be attributed between those supporting the covered business and the remainder. The method accounts for assets in the covered business on an EEV basis and the remainder of the Group's assets on the IFRS basis adopted in the primary financial statements.
The EEV methodology recognises profit from the covered business as the total of:
i. cash transfers during the relevant period from the covered business to the remainder of the Group's assets; and
ii. the movement in the present value of future distributable profits to shareholders arising from the covered business over the relevant reporting period.
Embedded value
Shareholders' equity on the EEV basis comprises the embedded value of the covered business plus the shareholders' equity of other businesses, less the value included for purchased interests in long term business.
The embedded value is the sum of the shareholder net worth (SNW) and the value of the in-force business (VIF). SNW is defined as those amounts, within covered business (both within the long term fund and held outside the long term fund but used to support long term business), which are regarded either as required capital or which represent free surplus.
The VIF is the present value of future shareholder profits arising from the covered business, projected using best estimate assumptions, less an appropriate deduction for the cost of holding the required level of capital and the time value of financial options and guarantees (FOGs).
Service companies
All services relating to the UK covered business are charged on a cost recovery basis, with the exception of investment management services provided to Legal & General Pensions Limited (LGPL) and to Legal & General Assurance Society Limited (Society). Profits arising on the provision of these services are valued on a look through basis.
As the EEV methodology incorporates the future capitalised cost of these internal investment management services, the equivalent IFRS profits have been removed from the Investment management segment and are instead included in the results of the Risk and Savings segments on an EEV basis.
The capitalised value of future profits emerging from internal investment management services are therefore included in the embedded value and new business contribution calculations for the Risk and Savings segments. However, the historical profits which have emerged continue to be reported in the shareholders' equity of the Investment management segment on an IFRS basis. Since the look through into service companies includes only future profits and losses, current intra-group profits or losses must be eliminated from the closing embedded value and in order to reconcile the profits arising in the financial period within each segment with the net assets on the opening and closing balance sheet, a transfer of IFRS profits for the period from the UK SNW is deemed to occur.
New business
New business premiums reflect income arising from the sale of new contracts during the reporting period and any changes to existing contracts, which were not anticipated at the outset of the contract.
In-force business comprises previously written single premium, regular premium and recurrent single premium contracts.
European Embedded Value Page 94
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.22 Methodology (continued)
Department of Work and Pensions rebates have not been treated as recurring and are included in single premium new business when received.
New business contribution arising from the new business premiums written during the reporting period has been calculated on the same economic and operating assumptions used in the embedded value at the end of the financial period. This has then been rolled forward to the end of the financial period using the risk discount rate applicable at the end of the reporting period.
The present value of future new business premiums (PVNBP) has been calculated and expressed at the point of sale. The PVNBP is equivalent to the total single premiums plus the discounted value of regular premiums expected to be received over the term of the contracts using the same economic and operating assumptions used for the embedded value at the end of the financial period. The new business margin is defined as new business contribution at the end of the reporting period divided by the PVNBP. The premium volumes and projection assumptions used to calculate the PVNBP are the same as those used to calculate new business contribution.
Projection assumptions
Cash flow projections are determined using best estimate assumptions for each component of cash flow and for each policy group. Future economic and investment return assumptions are based on conditions at the end of the financial period. Future investment returns are projected by one of two methods. The first method is based on an assumed investment return attributed to assets at their market value. The second, which is used in the US, where the investments of that subsidiary are substantially all fixed interest, projects the cash flows from the current portfolio of assets and assumes an investment return on reinvestment of surplus cash flows. The assumed discount and inflation rates are consistent with the investment return assumptions.
Detailed projection assumptions including mortality, morbidity, persistency and expenses reflect recent operating experience and are normally reviewed annually. Allowance is made for future improvements in annuitant mortality based on experience and externally published data. Favourable changes in operating experience are not anticipated until the improvement in experience has been observed.
All costs relating to the covered business, whether incurred in the covered business or elsewhere in the Group, are allocated to that business. The expense assumptions used for the cash flow projections therefore include the full cost of servicing this business.
Tax
The projections take into account all tax which is expected to be paid, based on best estimate assumptions, applying current legislation and practice together with known future changes.
Allowance for risk
Aggregate risks within the covered business are allowed for through the following principal mechanisms:
i. setting required capital levels with reference to both the Group's internal risk based capital models, and an assessment of the strength of regulatory reserves in the covered business;
ii. allowing explicitly for the time value of financial options and guarantees within the Group's products; and
iii. setting risk discount rates by deriving a Group level risk margin to be applied consistently to local risk free rates.
Required capital and free surplus
Regulatory capital for the Risk and Savings businesses is provided by assets backing the with-profits business or by the SNW. The SNW comprises all shareholders' capital within Society, including those funds retained within the long term fund and the excess assets in LGPL (collectively Society shareholder capital).
Society shareholder capital is either required to cover EU solvency margin or is free surplus as its distribution to shareholders is not restricted.
For UK with-profits business, the required capital is covered by the surplus within the with-profits part of the fund and no effect is attributed to shareholders except for the burn-through cost, which is described later. This treatment is consistent with the Principles and Practices of Financial Management for this part of the fund.
For UK non profit business, the required capital will be maintained at no less than the level of the EU minimum solvency requirement. This level, together with the margins for adverse deviation in the regulatory reserves, is, in aggregate, in excess of internal capital targets assessed in conjunction with the Individual Capital Assessment (ICA) and the with-profits support account.
The initial strains relating to new non profit business, together with the related EU solvency margin, are supported by releases from existing non profit business and the Society shareholder capital. As a consequence, the writing of new business defers the release of capital to free surplus. The cost of holding required capital is defined as the difference between the value of the required capital and the present value of future releases of that capital. For new business, the cost of capital is taken as the difference in the value of that capital assuming it was available for release immediately and the present value of the future releases of that capital. As the investment return, net of tax, on that capital is less than the risk discount rate, there is a resulting cost of capital which is reflected in the value of new business.
For Legal & General America, the Company Action Level (CAL) of capital has been treated as required capital for modelling purposes. The CAL is the regulatory capital level at which the company would have to take prescribed action, such as submission of plans to the State insurance regulator, but would be able to continue operating on the existing basis. The CAL is currently twice the level of capital at which the regulator is permitted to take control of the business.
For Legal & General Netherlands, required capital has been set at 100% of EU minimum solvency margin for all products without FOGs. For those products with FOGs, capital of between 100% and 212% of the EU minimum solvency margin has been used. The level of capital has been determined using risk based capital techniques.
European Embedded Value Page 95
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.22 Methodology (continued)
For Legal & General France, 100% of EU minimum solvency margin has been used for EV modelling purposes for all products both with and without FOGs. The level of capital has been determined using risk based capital techniques.
The contribution from new business for our International businesses reflects an appropriate allowance for the cost of holding the required capital.
Financial options and guarantees
Under the EEV Principles an allowance for time value of FOGs is required where a financial option exists which is exercisable at the discretion of the policyholder. These types of option principally arise within the with-profits part of the fund and their time value is recognised within the with-profits burn-through cost described below. Additional financial options for non profit business exist only for a small amount of deferred annuity business where guaranteed early retirement and cash commutation terms apply when the policyholders choose their actual retirement date.
Further financial guarantees exist for non profit business, in relation to index-linked annuities where capped or collared restrictions apply. Due to the nature of these restrictions and the manner in which they vary depending on the prevailing inflation conditions, they are also treated as FOGs and a time value cost recognised accordingly.
The time value of FOGs has been calculated stochastically using a large number of real world economic scenarios derived from assumptions consistent with the deterministic EEV assumptions and allowing for appropriate management actions where applicable. The management action primarily relates to the setting of bonus rates. Future regular and terminal bonuses on participating business within the projections are set in a manner consistent with expected future returns available on assets deemed to back the policies within the stochastic scenarios.
In recognising the residual value of any projected surplus assets within the with-profits part of the fund in the deterministic projection, it is assumed that terminal bonuses are increased to exhaust all of the assets in the part of the fund over the future lifetime of the in-force with-profits policies. However, under stochastic modelling, there may be some extreme economic scenarios when the total projected assets within the with-profits part of the fund are insufficient to pay all projected policyholder claims and associated costs. The average additional shareholder cost arising from this shortfall has been included in the time value cost of options and guarantees and is referred to as the with-profits burn-through cost.
Economic scenarios have been used to assess the time value of the financial guarantees for non profit business by using the inflation rate generated in each scenario. The inflation rate used to project index-linked annuities will be constrained in certain real world scenarios, for example, where negative inflation occurs but the annuity payments do not reduce below pre-existing levels. The time value cost of FOGs allows for the projected average cost of these constrained payments for the index-linked annuities. It also allows for the small additional cost of the guaranteed early retirement and cash commutation terms for the minority of deferred annuity business where such guarantees have been written.
In the US, FOGs relate to guaranteed minimum crediting rates and surrender values on a range of contracts. The guaranteed surrender value of the contract is based on the accumulated value of the contract including accrued interest. The crediting rates are discretionary but related to the accounting income for the amortising bond portfolio. The majority of the guaranteed minimum crediting rates are between 3% and 4%. The assets backing these contracts are invested in US Dollar denominated fixed interest securities.
In the Netherlands, there are two types of guarantees which have been separately provided for: interest rate guarantees and maturity guarantees. Certain contracts provide an interest rate guarantee where there is a minimum crediting rate based on the higher of 1-year Euribor and the policy guarantee rate. This guarantee applies on a monthly basis. Certain unit linked contracts provide a guaranteed minimum value at maturity where the maturity amount is the higher of the fund value and a guarantee amount. The fund values for both these contracts are invested in Euro denominated fixed interest securities.
In France, FOGs which have been separately provided for relate to guaranteed minimum crediting rates and surrender values on a range of contracts. The guaranteed surrender value of the contract is the accumulated value of the contract including accrued bonuses. The bonuses are based on the accounting income for the amortising bond portfolios plus income and releases from realised gains on any equity type investments. Policy liabilities equal guaranteed surrender values. Local statutory accounting rules require the establishment of a specific liability when the accounting income for a company is less than 125% of the guaranteed minimum credited returns, although this has never been required. In general, the guaranteed annual bonus rates are between 0% and 4.5%.
Risk free rate
The risk free rate is set to reflect both the pattern of the emerging profits under EEV and the relevant duration of the liabilities where backing assets reflect this assumption (e.g. equity returns). Following a review, the risk free rate for 31 December 2010 is set by reference to the gross redemption yield on the 15 year gilt index. For 31 December 2009 and 31 December 2008 a 20 year gilt index was referenced.
Risk discount rate
The risk discount rate (RDR) is a combination of the risk free rate and a risk margin, which reflects the residual risks inherent in the Group's covered businesses, after taking account of prudential margins in the statutory provisions, the required capital and the specific allowance for FOGs.
The risk margin has been determined based on an assessment of the Group's weighted average cost of capital (WACC). This assessment incorporates a beta for the Group, which measures the correlation of movements in the Group's share price to movements in a relevant index. Beta values therefore allow for the market's assessment of the risks inherent in the business relative to other companies in the chosen index.
The WACC is derived from the Group's cost of equity and debt, and the proportion of equity to debt in the Group's capital structure measured using market values. Each of these three parameters is forward looking, although informed by historic information. The cost of equity is calculated as the risk free rate plus the equity risk premium for the chosen index multiplied by the Company's beta. Forward-looking or adjusted betas make allowance for the observed tendency for betas to revert to 1 and therefore a weighted average of the historic beta and 1 tends to be a better estimate of the Company's beta for the future period. We have computed the WACC using an arithmetical average of forward-looking betas against the FTSE 100 index.
European Embedded Value Page 96
Notes to the Financial Statements
5.22 Methodology (continued)
The cost of debt used in the WACC calculations takes account of the actual locked-in rates for our senior and subordinated long term debt. All debt interest attracts tax relief at a rate of 27%.
Whilst the WACC approach is a relatively simple and transparent calculation to apply, subjectivity remains within a number of the assumptions. Management believes that the chosen margin, together with the levels of required capital, the inherent strength of the Group's regulatory reserves and the explicit deduction for the cost of options and guarantees, is appropriate to reflect the risks within the covered business.
For the 2010 results, the risk margin was decreased to 3.3% (2009: 3.5%).
Analysis of profit
Operating profit is identified at a level which reflects an assumed longer term level of investment return.
The contribution to operating profit in a period is attributed to four sources:
i. new business;
ii. the management of in-force business;
iii. development costs; and
iv. return on shareholder net worth.
Further profit contributions arise from actual investment return differing from the assumed long term investment return (investment return variances), and from the effect of economic assumption changes.
The contribution from new business represents the value recognised at the end of each period from new business written in that period, after allowing for the actual cost of acquiring the business and of establishing the required technical provisions and reserves and after making allowance for the cost of capital. New business contributions are calculated using closing assumptions.
The contribution from in-force business is calculated using opening assumptions and comprises:
i. expected return - the discount earned from the value of business in-force at the start of the year;
ii. experience variances - the variance in the actual experience over the reporting period from that assumed in the value of business in-force as at the start of the year; and
iii. operating assumption changes - the effects of changes in future assumptions, other than changes in economic assumptions from those used in valuing the business at the start of the year. These changes are made prospectively from the end of the year.
Development costs relate to investment in strategic systems and development capability.
The contribution from shareholder net worth comprises the increase in embedded value based on assumptions at the start of the year in respect of the expected investment return on the Society shareholder capital.
Further profit contributions arise from investment return variances and the effect of economic assumption changes.
Investment return variances represent the effect of actual investment performance and changes to investment policy on SNW and VIF business from that assumed at the beginning of the period.
Economic assumption changes comprise the effect of changes in economic variables on SNW and VIF business from that assumed at the beginning of the period, which are beyond the control of management, including associated changes to valuation bases to the extent that they are reflected in revised assumptions.