Monthly Update

Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC 18 January 2005 The Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC As at 31st December 2004 Fund Objective To maximise long-term total returns subject to the avoidance of loss of absolute value and with a minimum objective to maintain the real purchasing power of Sterling capital, as measured by the annual average yield on the 2.5% Consolidated Loan Stock. Share Price GBP 101.50 Net Asset Value GBP 115.41 Premium (Discount) (12.1%) Market Capitalisation GBP 20.3mn Benchmark (21/2% Con Ann Avg Yield +4.7%) +0.4 Source: Bloomberg; NAV-Lindsell Train. Share Price quoted is closing mid price. See Benchmark definition. Performance History (based in GBP) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 Net Asset Value % +22.9 +3.5 -9.6 +3.2 n/a Share Price % +20.1 -8.4 -19.8 +18.5 n/a Source: S&P Micropal. Based in GBP. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends reinvested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The price of units and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investors may not get back what they invested. 2003 Performance Jan 03 Feb 03 Mar 03 Apr 03 May 03 Jun 03 Jul 03 Aug 03 Sep 03 Oct 03 Nov 03 Dec 03 Net Asset Value % -3.8 +1.9 -2.0 +2.0 +4.0 +0.9 +2.7 +1.0 -2.7 -0.5 -0.7 +1.0 Share Price % +0.5 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 -2.5 -1.1 +2.2 -4.3 +2.3 -11.0 +6.2 2004 Performance Jan 04 Feb 04 Mar 04 Apr 04 May 04 Jun 04 Jul 04 Aug 04 Sep 04 Oct 04 Nov 04 Dec 04 Net Asset Value % +1.8 +3.3 +0.3 +2.3 -0.1 +2.5 -2.0 +4.8 +3.8 +0.7* +1.0* +2.7* Share Price % -2.3 +6.0 -0.6 +0.6 +2.3 +3.2 +0.5 +0.5 +8.6 +3.0 -1.9 -0.8 Source: S&P Micropal unless otherwise indicated. Based in GBP. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends reinvested. *Source: Lindsell Train Limited. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The price of units and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investors may not get back what they invested. Industry Breakdown % of NAV Bonds 24.4 Preference Shares 14.4 Equity - Media 8.3 Equity - Banks & Investment Co. 3.5 Equity - Leisure & Ent. 10.4 Equity - Food & Beverage 33.4 Investment Fund 22.4 Cash & Equivalent (16.8) Total 100.0 Source: Lindsell Train Top 10 Holdings % of NAV Glenmorangie A&B 14.2 US Gov Treasury 6.25% 10.4 Lindsell Train Global Media (Dist) 9.9 HBOS 9.25% Non Cum 9.8 Barr AG 9.4 Lindsell Train Japan (Dist) 8.4 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock 8.0 Cadbury Schweppes 6.2 Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries 6.1 UK Treasury 2.5% 6.0 Source: Lindsell Train Fund Exposure Bonds Prefs Equity Funds Cash % of NAV UK % 14.0 14.4 49.4 4.1 (16.7) 65.2 USA % 10.4 - 1.8 - 3.3 15.5 Europe (ex UK) % - - - - - - Japan % - - 4.4 8.4 (3.4) 9.4 Global % - - - 9.9 - 9.9 Total 24.4 14.4 55.6 22.4 (16.8) 100.0 Source: Lindsell Train Fund Manager's Comments The NAV advanced a further 2.7% in December ending the year at its highest point, 22.9% above that of a year earlier.+ Even though equity markets picked up somewhat in the last quarter we managed to keep pace with their performance even though we had just 59% invested directly. In other words our bond, preference shares and Fund holdings all contributed. Nonetheless, it was the performance of our holding in Wolverhampton and Dudley Breweries ('Wolves') this month, rising 20% (22% including the final dividend) that contributed most to the performance. The rise in price followed good results and the announcement that it had acquired Burtonwood Brewery for £119m plus £36m in assumed debt. This acquisition valued Burtonwood's pub properties at £350,000 per pub as compared to an implied value of approximately £750,000 per pub for Wolves's own properties. On this basis the deal looks highly accretive. We have always thought that most investors' categorisation as Wolves as a 'value' stock contradicted its extraordinary record of increasing dividends annually for 29 years by at least 10% per annum. Now following on from this month's price gains Wolves trades at a yield of 3.2% only a 6.0% yield premium to the market at 3.0% suggesting that investors have for the moment revised their 'value' label. There were two other notable portfolio events this month. One was a hint of weakness of Sterling, the other the offer by HBOS for the remainder of the Halifax 6.125% preference shares they do not already own. While we offer no short-term prediction about the future direction of the exchange rate we continue to view Sterling as an expensive currency held up in the main by its high nominal interest rates. These have been necessary to restrain demand for borrowed money secured on rising house prices. While house prices rise the borrowing seems prudent, but should house prices fall and with it the value of collateral, not only might the borrowing stop but also prior judgements on the prudence of leverage may have to be revised, causing consumer confidence to fall and a curtailment of spending. If this indeed occurred the interest rate support for sterling could evaporate rather quickly, and with it the value of the currency. The recent stagnation of house prices and the lower levels of housing turnover all point to a change in the environment. To the extent that 35% of the Trust is in un-hedged non-sterling assets, predominantly the US dollar, any future weakness would be accretive to the Trust's NAV. HBOS's offer to acquire the minorities of one of its preference shares helps to validate our long-standing interest in them. Like us, HBOS clearly thinks paying an interest rate on preference capital at current rates of approximately 6% is too generous. However, we think HBOS's current offer, equivalent to a net redemption yield of 5.5%, undervalues the shares. In rationalising the offer price, HBOS compares it to the yield on gilt with an equivalent maturity, yet in doing so, the company compares a gross and net income steam. We agree that the value of the HBOS preference shares should be benchmarked off government debt and should yield more than such a gilt, to account for the increased risk of investing in a corporate rather than government-backed issue. In this case though, we believe HBOS is effectively comparing a gross gilt redemption yield of 4.5% to a grossed up preference dividend yield of 6.9%. We think this 2.4% gap is too high a yield premium, for an issue from an A+ rated bank of HBOS's stature. What the offer does do is highlight the value in the other irredeemable preference shares we hold in HBOS, the 9.25% whose current equivalent grossed up yield is even higher at 7.4%. It is fortunate that of the two holdings, we have a bigger, 10% weighting, in that issue. + Including the dividend of £1.45 per share paid in July. Fund Manager Launch Date Denomination Nick Train 22 Jan 2001 GBP Year End Dividend Benchmark 31st Mar Ex Date: June The annual average yield on the 21/2% Payment: August Consolidated Loan Stock. The Board Management Fees Registered Address Rhoddy Swire Standard Fee: 0.65% Lindsell Train Investment Trust Michael Mackenzie Performance Fee: 10% of annual increase 77A High Street Donald Adamson in the share price, plus dividend, Brentwood Michael Lindsell above the gross annual yield of the 2 ESSEX CM14 4RR 1/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. ISIN Bloomberg Listing GB0031977944 LTI LN London Stock Exchange Disclaimer This document is intended for use by persons who are authorised by the UK Financial Services Authority ('FSA') and those who are permitted to receive such information in the UK. The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or invitation to buy or sell any investments. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice. Lindsell Train and/or persons connected with it may have an interest in this investment. The value of any investment in securities or funds and the income generated from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Past performance cannot be used as a guide or guarantee of future performance. You may not get back the original amount you have invested. Changes in foreign exchange rates may cause the value of your investment to go up or down. Some funds with higher gearing may be subject to higher volatility and the investment value may change substantially. The net asset value (NAV) performance of an investment trust is not the same as its market share price performance. Issued by Lindsell Train Limited Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority 19 Jan 2005 LTL 000-023-0b Lindsell Train Limited 35 Thurloe Street, London SW7 2LQ Tel. +44 20 7225 6400 Fax. +44 20 7225 6499 info@lindselltrain.com www.lindselltrain.com Lindsell Train Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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