Monthly Update

Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC 24 March 2005 The Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC As at 28th Feb 2005 Fund Objective To maximise long-term total returns subject to the avoidance of loss of absolute value and with a minimum objective to maintain the real purchasing power of Sterling capital, as measured by the annual average yield on the 2.5% Consolidated Loan Stock. Share Price GBP 114.50 Net Asset Value GBP 117.40 Premium (Discount) (2.5%) Market Capitalisation GBP 22.9mn Benchmark (21/2% Con Ann Avg Yield +4.8%) +0.4 Source: Bloomberg; NAV-Lindsell Train. Share Price quoted is closing mid price. See Benchmark definition. Performance History (based in 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 YTD 2005 GBP) Net Asset Value % n/a +3.2 -9.6 +3.1 +23.7 +2.1 Share Price % n/a +18.5 -19.8 -8.7 +20.6 +13.2 Source: S&P Micropal. Based in GBP. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends reinvested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The price of units and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investors may not get back what they invested. 2004 Performance Jan 04 Feb 04 Mar 04 Apr 04 May 04 Jun 04 Jul 04 Aug 04 Sep 04 Oct 04 Nov 04 Dec 04 Net Asset Value % +1.8 +3.3 +0.3 +2.3 -0.1 +2.1 -2.0 +4.8 +3.8 +1.4* +0.0* +3.7 Share Price % -2.3 +6.0 -0.6 +0.6 +2.3 +2.7 +0.5 +0.5 +8.6 +3.0 -1.9 +0.0 Source: S&P Micropal unless otherwise indicated. Based in GBP. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends reinvested. *Source: Lindsell Train Limited. 2005 Performance Jan 05 Feb 05 Mar 05 Apr 05 May 05 Jun 05 Jul 05 Aug 05 Sep 05 Oct 05 Nov 05 Dec 05 Net Asset Value % +1.4 +0.8 - - - - - - - - - - Share Price % +8.9 +3.6 - - - - - - - - - - Source: S&P Micropal unless otherwise indicated. Based in GBP. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends reinvested. *Source: Lindsell Train Limited. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The price of units and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investors may not get back what they invested. Industry Breakdown % of NAV Bonds 23.7 Preference Shares 14.3 Equity - Media 9.0 Equity - Banks & Investment Co. 3.8 Equity - Leisure & Ent. 9.5 Equity - Food & Beverage 23.1 Investment Fund 22.1 Cash & Equivalent (5.5) Total 100.0 Source: Lindsell Train Top 10 Holdings % of NAV Barr AG 10.4 US Gov Treasury 6.25% 10.3 HBOS 9.25% Non Cum 9.7 Lindsell Train Global Media (Dist) 9.5 Lindsell Train Japan (Dist) 8.2 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock 7.7 Cadbury Schweppes 7.3 UK Treasury 2.5% 5.7 Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries 5.7 Diageo 5.4 Source: Lindsell Train Fund Exposure Bonds Prefs Equity Funds Cash % of NAV UK % 13.4 14.3 40.1 4.4 (5.7) 66.5 USA % 10.3 - 1.5 - 3.5 15.3 Europe (ex UK) % - - - - - - Japan % - - 3.8 8.2 (3.3) 8.7 Global % - - - 9.5 - 9.5 Total 23.7 14.3 45.4 22.1 (5.5) 100.0 Source: Lindsell Train Fund Manager's Comments In previous monthly reviews, notably December 2001, June 2002 and April 2004, we outlined our expectation that developed world inflation should remain low as a key justification for investing a proportion of the Trust in long-term fixed interest: US and UK bonds and preference shares. Over the last 4 years the Trust's US bond has declined in yield by 1%, the UK bonds by 0.25% and the Halifax preference shares by 1%. Together with the income earned, the performance of these assets has comfortably beaten our benchmark in local currency terms. Now that long-term interest rates are close to their lowest points since the Trust began we think it important to review this expectation. Annual inflation in both the UK and USA has averaged 2.4% and 2.2% respectively over the 4 year period, surprisingly low, we guess, for many observers given the extent of policy stimulus (negative or zero real rates in 2002/3 and a massive expansion of government debt) and the recent significant rise in commodity prices, especially oil. More concerning is the long term effect of these simulative policies on demand. Today's debt funded spending from consumers and the government alike borrows from future demand when the competitive capacity of emerging economies in terms of infrastructure and technology, will be better harnessed to compete more effectively with the developed world. It is not obvious how developed countries will avoid the disinflationary impact when end demand moderates. We continue to believe that whatever monetary stimulus central banks provide, now or in the future, there is negligible chance that it would generate a wage price spiral unless trade barriers are erected to limit the flow of goods and services between the developed and the emerging world. The supply of labour in the emerging world is too large to allow wages to rise in the developed world. Take China as an example. Its labour force is bigger than the OECD's at 760m people in 2003. Conservatively, excess labour is estimated at 150m people. With 9m new jobs created per annum, it is hardly able to cope with the new workers entering the labour force let alone the migrants from rural areas looking for work. As a result the booming economic growth of the last 10 years may have quintupled exports to 35% of GDP but wages at the costal export factories have barely changed. It will take decades before Chinese surplus labour is absorbed. And then there is India; by 2035 it will have a working population greater than China. It is obviously unrealistic to directly compare the skill sets of Chinese workers with those in developed country like the US and the UK. It takes time for the influence of competitive forces to be harnessed and brought to bear over the 7,000 miles that separate these nations. However the UK and US manufacturing sector will bear testament to the indirect influence that cheap Chinese competition is having on manufacturing as do the trade figures which show over the last 5 years a two fold rise in Chinese exports to the UK and US versus a 50% rise in UK imports and a 125% rise in US imports to China. The advances in technology and communications will if anything hasten competition in the future and broaden China and India's threat to services, the dominant part of both the US and UK economies. With these longer-term considerations in mind it is not surprising that long- term bond yields continue to trade near historical lows even when the monetary authorities in both countries are raising interest rates and squeezing liquidity (Greenspan's conundrum). The UK bond market already exhibits a negative sloped yield curve (long term interest rates lower than short term ones). In the US bond market the spread between short rates and long rates at 2% is still positive but we would expect that difference to narrow in 2005 as short term rates rise. We believe that at some juncture higher interest rates may well cause demand in both economies to moderate. Coincidently inflationary expectations may start falling again, allowing long term interest rates to continue their decent towards 3%, our ultimate long term target for the yield on our holdings in government bonds. Fund Manager Launch Date Denomination Nick Train 22 Jan 2001 GBP Year End Dividend Benchmark 31st Mar Ex Date: June The annual average yield on the 21/2% Payment: August Consolidated Loan Stock. The Board Management Fees Registered Address Rhoddy Swire Standard Fee: 0.65% Lindsell Train Investment Trust Michael Mackenzie Performance Fee: 10% of annual increase 77A High Street Donald Adamson in the share price, plus dividend, Brentwood Michael Lindsell above the gross annual yield of the 2 ESSEX CM14 4RR 1/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. ISIN Bloomberg Listing GB0031977944 LTI LN London Stock Exchange Disclaimer This document is intended for use by persons who are authorised by the UK Financial Services Authority ('FSA') and those who are permitted to receive such information in the UK. The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or invitation to buy or sell any investments. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice. Lindsell Train and/or persons connected with it may have an interest in this investment. The value of any investment in securities or funds and the income generated from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Past performance cannot be used as a guide or guarantee of future performance. You may not get back the original amount you have invested. Changes in foreign exchange rates may cause the value of your investment to go up or down. Some funds with higher gearing may be subject to higher volatility and the investment value may change substantially. The net asset value (NAV) performance of an investment trust is not the same as its market share price performance. Issued by Lindsell Train Limited Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority 23 Mar 2005 LTL 000-024-5b Lindsell Train Limited 35 Thurloe Street, London SW7 2LQ Tel. +44 20 7225 6400 Fax. +44 20 7225 6499 info@lindselltrain.com www.lindselltrain.com Lindsell Train Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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