Final Results
Martin Currie Portfolio Inv Tst PLC
12 March 2002
Martin Currie Portfolio Investment Trust plc
Annual results - year to 31 January 2002
Chairman's statement
Following the strong performance that we reported in the company's first two
annual reports, the last 12 months have proved disappointing. Including the
events of 11 September, it has been a turbulent period for stockmarkets
worldwide. Since inception in March 1999, the company's net asset value per
share ('NAV') has fallen by 11.4%, modestly outperforming the FTSE All-Share
index's loss of 12.2%. However, in the 12 months to 31 January 2002, the trust's
NAV fell by 22.3%, whereas the index lost 17.6%. The share price over the 12
months fell by 20.3%. The discount has thus narrowed from 12.7% to 10.4%.
This underperformance was a result of our portfolio not being sufficiently
defensive.
We were positioned, albeit modestly, for economic recovery. However, the
downturn in the US economy was deeper and lasted longer than we anticipated.
This had a strong impact on European markets and corporate earnings.
Additionally, our performance was held back by having holdings in overseas
markets, which underperformed the UK market, and by the effect of the trust's
gearing in falling markets.
Your board has declared a final dividend of 1.00p. This makes a total of 1.50p
for the year and is up by 2.0% from last year. At 1.47p, earnings per share were
little changed. We expect some revenue recovery from the portfolio and thus feel
able to draw marginally on revenue reserves this year.
Calum MacLeod, our deputy Chairman, will stand down at this year's AGM. He has
been on the board since inception and, before that, was a director of Scottish
Eastern Investment Trust. We will miss his wise counsel.
The manager's review summarises developments in the investment world over the
last 12 months and suggests reasons for cautious optimism for the immediate
future. Tentative signs of global economic recovery, most notably in the US,
have begun to raise investors' confidence. We expect modest returns overall from
equities this year, and so have positioned the company to benefit.
Manager's Report
The events of 2001 will be remembered more than most in the history of financial
markets. Above all, the terrorist attacks on the US, the biggest bankruptcy in
history and an economic slowdown that prompted eleven successive cuts in US
interest rates had repercussions around the world and continue to do so.
Although the FTSE All-Share index fell by 17.6% over the period, the UK was one
of the best performing markets. By comparison, continental European markets
fell by 24.5% and the Japanese market by 31.9% (FTSE World indices).
Despite the extent of their falls in 2000, technology stocks fell even further
last year. In the year to 31 January 2002, the technology sector in the FTSE
All-Share index fell 70.1% (it fell 37.4% in the previous year). At the other
end of the range, the tobacco sector rose 35.2% (up 69% in the previous year).
So for two years, the same two sectors, prime examples of aggressive cyclical
and defensive stable industries, have performed very differently. What's more,
the divergence was over 100 percentage points in both years.
There are a number of reasons for the company's underperformance over the year.
The principal reason is that we expected economic recovery in 2001, positioned
the portfolio accordingly and suffered from the extreme diversity in sectoral
performance, illustrated by the technology and tobacco sectors.
In the UK it has been a tough time for manufacturing. Recently, the service
sector has suffered too. Despite this, the UK economy has been relatively
resilient to the global slowdown. Low interest rates, low unemployment and
strong property prices have buoyed consumer confidence. Generous increases in
public spending have been announced. So the UK has not seen the economic
contraction experienced by the US.
That said, unemployment has started to rise, government finances are
deteriorating and consumer borrowing is at record levels. The Bank of England's
dilemma is that these are early warning signs of inflationary pressure, but the
near term concern remains economic slowdown. So, despite a recent rise in
inflation, they may prefer to wait and see before raising interest rates. We
expect inflation to fall through the spring and summer and we believe our
expectations for modest recovery in the economy in 2002 are consistent with
non-inflationary growth.
Many of the above comments about the UK economy also apply to the US. Consumer
confidence fell sharply, but remains stronger than the industrial recession
would suggest. US economic growth at the end of the 1990's was greater than the
UK's, and so had further to fall. We believe that the US economy will recover
although quite modestly in 2002. Since the US economy remains the major
influence on Europe and Asia's economic growth, this is the key forecast for the
year ahead.
As political indecision continues, Japan has again been the worst performing
market. Dire as Japan's economic situation is, it still seems likely that,
since Mr. Koizumi has failed to administer the necessary reforms, it will get
worse before it gets better. We have reduced our total exposure to Japan and
have hedged the currency risk by borrowing in yen at very low rates of interest.
Because of the high level of uncertainty, we are maintaining a balance in the
portfolio. We favour those companies that should benefit from of a cyclical
recovery. We believe well-financed market leaders in the technology sector will
benefit from even a mild recovery. That is because of the extent to which their
customers will have to rebuild inventories. Through specific growth oriented
stocks, we are overweight financials. We also like industrials but remain
underweight in consumer staples and retailers. During the last year, we reduced
our exposure to the telecom sector.
We believe that now would be the wrong time to reverse our strategy of cautious
positioning for market growth. The pessimism that currently prevails reflects
the uncertain environment at present. However, the world economy is likely to
recover in 2002, and when it does we expect that pessimism to dissipate and
equity markets to move higher. Our bias towards growth and cyclical stocks, that
counted so harshly against us last year, should be rewarded in that recovery.
For further information please contact:
Tom Walker/Mike Woodward
Martin Currie Investment Management Ltd 0131 229 5252
twalker@martincurrie.com/mwoodward@martincurrie.com
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
Statement of total return (incorporating the revenue account)
for the year ended 31 January 2002
2002 (unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Net losses on investments - realised - (35,031) (35,031)
- unrealised - (43,357) (43,357)
Net currency gains - 612 612
Income - franked 5,333 185 5,518
- unfranked 1,681 - 1,681
Investment management fee (769) (1,538) (2,307)
Performance bonus - - -
Other expenses (599) - (599)
Net return before finance costs and taxation 5,646 (79,129) (73,483)
Interest payable and similar charges (841) (1,682) (2,523)
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 4,805 (80,811) (76,006)
Taxation on ordinary activities (213) 86 (127)
Return on ordinary activities after taxation for the financial 4,592 (80,725) (76,133)
year
Dividends in respect of equity shares: 1.50p per share (4,689) - (4,689)
Transfer from reserves (97) (80,725) (80,822)
Return per ordinary share 1.47p (25.83p) (24.36p)
Subject to approval at the forthcoming Annual General Meeting, the directors
have declared a final dividend on the ordinary shares of the company for the
year ending 31 January 2002 of 1.00p per share to be paid on 31 May 2002 to
shareholders on the register on 2 April 2002. The annual results will be
circulated to shareholders in the form of an annual report, copies of which will
be available at the company's registered office, Saltire Court, 20 Castle
Terrace, Edinburgh EH1 2ES.
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
Statement of total return (incorporating the revenue account)
for the year ended 31 January 2001
2001 (audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Net gains on investments - realised - 9,557 9,557
- unrealised - 10,850 10,850
Net currency losses - (184) (184)
Income - franked 5,917 - 5,917
- unfranked 1,964 - 1,964
Investment management fee (741) (1,482) (2,223)
Performance bonus - (906) (906)
Other expenses (860) (46) (906)
Net return before finance costs and taxation 6,280 17,789 24,069
Interest payable and similar charges (778) (1,556) (2,334)
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 5,502 16,233 21,735
Taxation on ordinary activities (275) 168 (107)
Return on ordinary activities after taxation for the financial 5,227 16,401 21,628
year
Dividends in respect of equity shares: 1.47p per share (4,570) - (4,570)
Transfer to reserves 657 16,401 17,058
Return per ordinary share 1.67p 5.24p 6.91p
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
BALANCE SHEET
As at 31 January 2002 As at 31 January
(unaudited) 2001 (audited)
Investments at market value £000 £000 £000 £000
Listed on The Stock Exchange in the UK 246,235 302,791
Listed on stock exchanges abroad 58,986 92,103
_______ _______
305,221 394,894
Current assets:
Debtors 4,845 4,966
Cash in bank and on deposit 21,622 18,687
_______ _______
26,467 23,653
Creditors:
Amounts falling due within one year (15,166) (31,227)
_______ _______
Net current assets/(liabilities) 11,301 (7,574)
_______ _______
Total assets less current liabilities 316,522 387,320
Creditors:
Amounts falling due after one year (35,575) (25,551)
_______ _______
Total assets 280,947 361,769
_______ _______
Capital and reserves
Called-up ordinary capital 15,629 15,629
Share premium 159,208 159,208
Capital redemption reserve 388 388
Special distributable reserve 142,979 142,979
Capital reserve (38,625) 42,100
Revenue reserve 1,368 1,465
_______ _______
280,947 361,769
_______ _______
Net asset value per ordinary share 89.88p 115.74p
_______ _______
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
Year ended 31 Year ended 31
January 2002 January 2001
(unaudited) (audited)
£000 £000 £000 £000
Operating activities
Net dividends and interest received from investments 6,756 6,934
Underwriting commission received - 24
Interest received from deposits 735 1,146
Investment management fee (2,558) (3,466)
Cash paid to and on behalf of directors (162) (138)
Bank charges (53) (46)
Other cash payments (499) (662)
_______ _______
Net cash inflow from operating activities 4,219 3,792
Servicing of finance
Interest paid (2,196) (2,266)
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (2,196) (2,266)
Taxation
Net taxation recovered 22 -
Taxation received 22 -
Capital expenditure and financial investment
Payments to acquire investments (119,964) (175,627)
Receipts from disposal of investments 128,088 172,943
Exchange differences (161) (43)
_______ ________
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from capital expenditure and
financial investment 7,963 (2,727)
Equity dividends paid (4,595) (4,460)
Net cash inflow/(outflow) before financing 5,413 (5,661)
Financing
Repurchase of ordinary share capital - (5,638)
Movement in short-term borrowings (12,478) 12,943
Movement in long-term borrowings 10,000 5,000
______ ______
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financing (2,478) 12,305
_______ _______
Increase in cash for the year 2,935 6,644
_______ _______
This information is provided by RNS
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