Final Results For Year to 31 January 2007
To: Stock Exchange For immediate
release:
5 March 2007
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
Annual results for the year to 31 January 2007
Chairman's statement
Over the year to 31 January 2007, the company's NAV per share rose by 9.1%; a
solid return, but marginally behind the 9.7% return recorded by the Company's
benchmark index, the FTSE All-Share.
As the Company's primary objective is to provide a core holding for UK-based
investors, we retain the FTSE All-Share index, which tracks the fortunes of the
UK market, as our benchmark. Thanks in part to the appreciation of sterling,
the UK stockmarket, our benchmark outperformed most of its international peers
over the year. This year our investments outside the UK detracted from relative
performance. Tom Walker, our manager, reviews performance more fully below.
Earnings and dividends
Corporate earnings growth has been robust, which is reflected in the Company's
portfolio. Compared with last year, revenue return per share has increased by
12%, rising from 2.5p to 2.8p.
The Board is recommending that a final dividend of 1.9p be paid, which, together
with the interim dividend payment of 0.5p, brings total dividend payments for
the period to 2.4p, an increase of 9.1% over last year. Subject to approval by
the Company's shareholders at its annual general meeting, the final dividend
will be paid on 8 June 2007 to shareholders on the register as at 18 May 2007.
Investment strategy
The Board continues to monitor the Company's investment strategy to ensure that
it remains appropriate and meets the needs of its shareholders. Our three-tiered
strategy enables shareholders to benefit from a combination of a core holding of
UK equities, a portfolio of the best international stocks and a distinctive
exposure to private equity.
This was the second year in which the new performance fee arrangements
introduced in 2005 were in operation. In the 12 months to 31 January 2006, the
fund outperformed by almost 7% against its benchmark and the investment manager
earned a performance fee. This financial year, the fund underperformed its
benchmark, so only the base fee of 0.5% of net assets was applied. The element
of underperformance will have to be recovered before another performance fee can
be paid.
Discount
The Board's policy remains unchanged; the discount will be maintained in single-
figure digits where possible, utilising the company's buyback powers when
necessary. Over the year to 31 January 2007 the Company bought back 7,562,515
shares or 5% of the share capital as at 31 January 2006, at discounts ranging
from 6.9% to 10.9%. This added 0.50p to NAV per share. As at 31 January, the
discount stood at 8.0%.
The Company has stated that should its average discount exceed 7.5% over the 12-
week period prior to each financial year-end, shareholders will have the right
to redeem their shares. This year, the average discount during this 12-week
period was 7.3%.
The Board is pleased to have achieved improved stability in the discount. We
believe this means that the Company's value is now more accurately reflected in
its share price, and that management and shareholders can concentrate on what
matters most - investment performance
Investment outlook
Given the modest multiple currently commanded by UK equities, they remain
attractive. However some of the best investment opportunities for the year ahead
seem likely to be found in international markets. We always encourage the
investment manager to use the strength of Martin Currie's global investment
expertise to pick the best international stocks, in whatever market they might
be listed. The board has therefore decided to allow the manager, over time, to
increase international investments beyond the current ceiling of 25%. The
majority of the portfolio will remain in UK-quoted investments. As noted above,
our benchmark is the FTSE All Share index.
I trust this will help to produce good results for shareholders in the coming
year.
Manager's review
Performance
It was another good year for global equity markets, which continued to generate
strong, positive returns. Martin Currie Portfolio Investment Trust participated
in these gains, yet lagged its benchmark index by 0.6% over the period. There
were three main factors. First, international markets underperformed the UK to
a significant degree, in large part due to the strength of sterling. While our
international investments outperformed overseas equity indices, they lagged the
Trust's benchmark, the FTSE All-Share index. Secondly, our preference for large
capitalisation stocks counted against us. The FTSE 100 index, representing the
UK's largest companies, returned a respectable 11.3%. However, the FTSE 250
index, which represents the UK's next 250 largest companies, rose by 24%.
Finally, our preference for resource stocks such as BP and BHP was unhelpful;
they underperformed the market over the period.
Review
United Kingdom
UK economic growth continued to come in ahead of expectations, and rising
interest rates supported sterling in the foreign exchange markets. The result
was that, with the exception of continental Europe, the UK stockmarket delivered
a stronger return than any other developed market region.
In retrospect, it appears that we were overly cautious on the UK economy. The
recovery of the housing market and the resilience of consumer spending surprised
us. Because of our caution, we sold our holding in housebuilder Persimmon too
early and missed out on the strong recovery in Marks and Spencer. Instead, we
were more attracted to companies generating their earnings internationally -many
of these are among the largest stocks in the UK market. However, these 'mega-
caps' underperformed the broader market over the year, partly because one of the
chief drivers of the UK market has been the frenetic pace of merger and
acquisition activity. The largest companies in the UK market are, by virtue of
their size, often excluded from this activity, being considered too large to be
bought out. Seven FTSE 100 companies were taken over during 2006, representing
just 6% of that index by market capitalisation. So that has been a headwind for
larger companies' share prices. But while the UK's largest company, BP, was
certainly handicapped by its size, it has also been a victim of the mistakes
made by its own management. The media hysteria surrounding their missteps helped
to drive its share price down by over 20%. We believe that the market is now
discounting too much bad news for BP and that the downward spiral will end - we
are holding onto our position.
Intercontinental Hotels, which we bought last summer, has been a more successful
holding. Vodafone, which we added to during the year, was another highlight in
the UK portfolio - it has recovered from its low, rising from £1.08 to £1.48.
Other large cap stocks which have done well for us included Tesco, Reckitt
Benckiser and Scottish & Southern. Looking beyond the FTSE 100 index, strong
performers included hedge fund manager Man Group, pub operator Marston's
(formerly Wolverhampton and Dudley) and Weir Group, the Glasgow-based global
engineer.
International
Changes in exchange rates have been particularly influential in determining
returns from internetional markets during the last twelve months. Continental
Europe was the best region - as the euro depreciated by "only" 3% against
sterling. The yen and the dollar fell by 14% and 10% respectively. Sterling's
strength is hard to justify on any sort of purchasing parity basis - I would not
count on a flood of tourists seeking value-for-money purchases hitting Britain
this summer - quite the opposite! In currency terms alone, we believe overseas
assets and earnings are currently increasingly attractive and we intend
increasing our exposure there in 2007. Although we could achieve this in the UK,
by increasing our weighting in non-UK listed investments, a wider choice of
investment opportunities becomes available.
When buying shares in non UK companies, we seek to capture investment themes
that are not available in the UK market. The Japanese economic recovery is one
such theme. While this story has further to run, it did not serve us well in
2006. Although our Japanese holdings performed extremely strongly for us in
2005, it is fair to say that our confidence in the 'recovery' there has taken a
knock.
However, our international investments are more often driven by compelling ideas
on a company-by-company basis, rather than by broad themes. For example, Anglo
Irish Bank is a high growth company which offers considerably greater appeal
than some of the pure UK domestic banks, and National Bank of Greece is a
similarly high-growth story. Monsanto, which is the leader in genetically
modified crops, has served us very well and we sold it during the year. In terms
of mobile telephone companies, few have greater potential than China Mobile, a
stock we bought during the last year. In contrast to our experience in the UK,
we held two internetional companies that were taken over - Lafarge North America
(building materials) and Schering (pharmaceuticals). Both attracted healthy
premia.
Private equity
Our private equity investments, which represent about 13% of our net assets,
performed strongly, particularly in the second half of the year. As deal sizes
mushroom and the media latches onto the flight of UK executives from the quoted
to the unquoted world, private equity is receiving greater attention than ever
before. It feels like a bubble may have developed. So, while we may be too
early, we have been happy to reduce our private equity exposure as the year
progressed. The F&C Private Equity Trust alone represents about 10% of our total
assets. Part of this investment is in A-shares, where the underlying assets are
being sold and capital returned to shareholders. We received over £7 million in
capital repayments this year. Our remaining A-shares are currently valued at
£7.3 million, but we expect a good uplift as these mature investments are
realised over the coming year or so.
Outlook
The investment outlook is, perhaps more than ever, dependent on interest rates.
Although commentators inevitably focus on central bank activity in setting short-
term interest rates, it is actually low long-term rates that have underpinned
strong investment returns (from property, stockmarkets and from private equity)
in recent years. Forecasting movements in short term rates is hard, but we
expect long term interest rates to remain low.
This should be supportive of equity markets and we believe that equities should
generate real positive returns for investors in 2007. As stated above, while we
remain committed to the UK as the core of our portfolio, it does seem that there
are even greater opportunities outside the UK, so the international weighting is
likely to rise over the coming year.
- ends -
For further information, please contact:
Tom Walker 0131 229 5252
Martin Currie Investment Management Ltd
twalker@martincurrie.com
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
Income statement for the
year ended 31 January 2007
Unaudited
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Gains on - realised - 5,310 5,310
investments
- unrealised - 2,170 2,170
Currency gains - 54 54
Income - franked 4,367 7,944 12,311
- unfranked 696 - 696
Investment management fee (343) (686) (1,029)
Performance fee - (131) (131)
Other expenses (440) - (440)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 4,280 14,661 18,941
taxation
Finance costs: debt (50) (94) (144)
Finance costs: shareholders' funds (4,187) (15,325) (19,512)
Finance costs: repurchase of ordinary - 758 758
shares
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before 43 - 43
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (43) - (43)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to shareholders * - - -
_______ _______ _______
* As the company's share capital is classified as a liability for accounting
purposes, the net return to shareholders is accounted for in the finance costs
caption being £895,000 as a revenue return (2006: £653,000 loss) and
£15,325,000 of a capital return (2006: £39,793,000).
The total column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from
continuing operations. A Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses is not
required, as all gains and losses of the company have been reflected in the
above statement.
On 5 March 2007, the Board recommended a final dividend of 1.90p per share.
Subject to shareholders approval, the dividend will be paid on 8 June 2007 to
shareholders on the register on 18 May 2007. The total amount of the
distribution, calculated with reference to the number of shares in issue at 2
March 2007 is £2,727,029.83. This results in a total dividend payable in
respect for the year of 2.40p per share. This compares to the total dividend
declared with respect to the financial year ended 31 January 2006 of 2.20p per
share.
The financial information contained within this preliminary announcement does
not constitute the company's statutory financial statements as defined in
section 240 of the Companies Act 1985 for the years ended 31 January 2007 or
2006, but is derived from those financial statements. Statutory financial
statements for 2006 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and those
for 2007 will be delivered following the company's annual general meeting.
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
Income statement for the
year ended 31 January 2006
Audited
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Gains on - realised - 7,028 7,028
investments
- unrealised - 29,498 29,498
Currency - (69) (69)
(losses)
Income - franked 4,113 4,526 8,639
- unfranked 768 - 768
Investment management fee (279) (558) (837)
Performance fee - (1,551) (1,551)
Other expenses (575) - (575)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 4,027 38,874 42,901
taxation
Finance costs: debt - - -
Finance costs: shareholders' funds (4,635) (39,140) (43,775)
Finance costs: repurchase of - 919 919
ordinary shares
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities (608) 653 45
before taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (45) - (45)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to shareholders (653) 653 -
_______ _______ _______
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
BALANCE SHEET
As at 31 January As at 31 January
2007 2006
(Unaudited) (Audited)
Fixed assets
£000 £000 £000 £000
Investments at market
value
Listed on The Stock
Exchange in the UK 150,083 142,373
Listed on stock exchanges 45,249 36,834
abroad
_______ _______
195,332 179,207
Current assets
Debtors 284 242
Cash at bank 2,047 2,145
_______ _______
2,331 2,387
Creditors
Amounts falling due within (11,265) (1,943)
one year
_______ _______
Net current (8,934) 444
(liabilities)/assets
_______ _______
Net assets attributable to
shareholders 186,398 179,651
_______ _______
Net asset value per 129.9p 118.9p
ordinary share
AIC net asset value per 127.5p 116.9p
share
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
Year ended Year ended
31 January 2007 31 January 2006
(Unaudited) (Audited)
£000 £000 £000 £000
Net cash inflow from operating 9,685 8,298
activities
Servicing of finance
Finance costs: debt (102) -
Finance costs: shareholders' (3,292) (4,635)
funds
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from (3,394) (4,635)
servicing of finance
Capital expenditure and
financial investment
Payments to acquire (50,048) (57,578)
investments
Receipts from disposal of 42,392 64,085
investments
_______ _______
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from (7,656) 6,507
capital expenditure and
financial investment
_______ _______
Net cash (outflow)/inflow (1,365) 10,170
before financing
Financing
Repurchase of ordinary share (8,715) (10,592)
capital
Movement in short-term 9,953 -
borrowings
_______ _______
Decrease in cash for the year (127) (422)
_______ _______
Notes
1. Returns and net asset value (as defined by the Articles)
The return and net asset value per ordinary share are calculated with reference
to the following figures:
Year ended Year ended
Revenue return 31 January 2007 31 January 2006
per share
Revenue return
attributable to - £(653,000)
ordinary
shareholders
Finance costs:
shareholders' £4,187,000 £4,635,000
funds
£4,187,000 £3,982,000
Average number
of shares in 148,864,439 158,911,813
issue during
period
Revenue return
per ordinary 2.81p 2.51p
share
Capital return
per share
Capital return
attributable to - £653,000
ordinary
shareholders
Finance costs: £15,325,000 £39,140,000
shareholders'
funds
Finance costs:
repurchase of £(758,000) £(919,000)
shares
£14,567,000 £38,874,000
Average number
of shares in 148,864,439 158,911,813
issue during
period
Capital return
per ordinary 9.79p 24.46p
share
Total return 12.60p 26.97p
per share
Net asset value As at 31 As at 31
per share January 2007 January 2006
Net assets £186,398,000 £179,651,000
attributable to
shareholders
Number of 143,527,886 151,090,401
shares in issue
at period end
Net asset value 129.9p 118.9p
per share
2. Reconciliation of accounting and AIC net asset values
As at 31 As at 31
January 2007 January 2006
Accounting net 129.9p 118.9p
asset value per
share
Exclusion of (2.4p) (2.0p)
non distributed
current period
revenue
AIC net asset 127.5p 116.9p
value per share