Final Results
To: Stock Exchange For immediate
release:
18 March 2008
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
Annual results for the year to 31 January 2008
Chairman's statement
Your company has delivered solid returns for shareholders over a number of
years, in a variety of market conditions. As our manager Tom Walker explains in
his review, after a period of predominantly rising markets, the most recent 12
months have been much more testing for investment managers.
Despite this, the company's net asset total return per share rose by 7.6% in the
year to 31 January 2008, significantly ahead of the 3.6% fall in the FTSE All-
Share, the company's benchmark index. In the same period the share price rose by
8.0%. The manager has earned the maximum performance fee for delivering
substantial outperformance of the benchmark and maintaining a positive share
price return in a falling market.
While the company's benchmark is the FTSE All-Share Index, reflecting a
substantial portion of the assets and the domicile of our shareholders, we
encourage the manager to choose the best stocks wherever in the world they are
quoted and to commit a part of the portfolio to quoted private equity.
In January 2007 your board increased the limit on international investments
outside the UK beyond the former ceiling of 25% to a maximum of 50% of the
portfolio. I am pleased to say that the manager has used this flexibility, and
31.4% of the portfolio was invested internationally at 31 January 2008.
The performance in the most recent 12-month period is a strong vindication of
the company's diversified strategy, and a demonstration of the manager's stock
picking skills:
· The UK equity portion of the portfolio rose by 0.7% in a period in which
the FTSE All-Share Index fell by 3.6%;
· The international portion of the portfolio rose by 8.0%, an excellent
result in difficult market conditions;
· The private equity portion added significant value for shareholders, rising
by 33.4%.
Looking ahead, it is likely to remain a difficult period for markets. I believe
our strategy is more relevant now than ever, and is well placed to deliver
strong returns for shareholders in the years ahead.
Earnings and dividends
Although corporate earnings and dividend growth have been robust, our reduced
exposure to the higher yielding UK equity market tempered our income growth.
Compared with last year, revenue return per share has increased by 0.7%, rising
from 2.81p to 2.83p. Notwithstanding this, the board recommends an increase in
the dividend of 0.20p, which is in line with last year's increase.
The board's recommendation is therefore a final dividend of 2.10p, which,
together with the interim dividend of 0.50p, brings total dividends for the year
to 2.60p, an increase of 8.3% over last year. Subject to approval by the
company's shareholders at its annual general meeting, the final dividend will be
paid on 20 June 2008 to shareholders on the register as at 23 May 2008.
VAT Recovery
Many shareholders will be aware of a recent European Court ruling on a test
case, which allows investment trusts to reclaim at least some of the VAT paid on
management fees. Your board is currently in the process of quantifying the
potential repayment that should be due which we believe is unlikely to be
material. However, the amount the company will receive, the period to which it
will refer, and the timescale for receipt are all uncertain, and hence the
company has made no provision in these financial statements for any such
receipt.
Discount
The board is pleased to have maintained stability in the discount. We believe
this means that the company's value is more accurately reflected in its share
price, and that management and shareholders can concentrate on what matters most
- investment performance.
Manager's review
Performance
The fund outperformed significantly, posting a share price total return of 8.0%
for the year, while the FTSE All-Share index fell by 3.6%. We have a three-
tiered strategy investing in UK equities, international equities and private
equity.
Private equity, though only a small part of the portfolio, was the star
performer, contributing 4.1% of the 8.0% performance. The rest of our
outperformance came from both our UK and international equity holdings, where
our stock selection was good.
Review
It was a disappointing year for equity markets worldwide. Few generated decent
returns; many fell. The decline in the US housing market and sub-prime mortgages
developed into a global credit crisis with several unpleasant symptoms: a run on
Northern Rock, loan losses for banks, a record trading loss at Société Générale,
an undermining of credit ratings and even a threat to the operation of fixed
income markets. These problems built slowly, but as 2008 dawned, they coalesced
suddenly with economic worries, producing severe market weakness. The FTSE All
Share was not immune to this weakness: after struggling to make meaningful
progress for most of the preceding year, it fell dramatically in January 2008.
United Kingdom
There are indications of a slowdown in the UK housing market: mortgage approvals
were 37% lower in December 2007 than a year earlier, falling to a level not seen
since 1995. This was partly due to a reluctance to lend on the part of the
banks, but also highlighted low confidence levels among house buyers. Retail
sales over the Christmas period were disappointing, as reports from a number of
companies, including Marks and Spencer, confirmed. Furthermore, the UK's current
account deficit slipped ever further into the red, justifying a corrective
weakening of sterling in global currency markets.
Recognising that the UK economy was slowing, the Bank of England started to cut
interest rates. Even after the cuts, rates remain high relative to other
countries (5.25% after the cut on 7 February) reflecting the Bank's reluctance
to cut more dramatically in the face of persistent inflationary pressures. Food
prices and fuel bills have been rising, and wage growth of around 4% is
indicative of the inflationary pressures in the labour market. We expect,
however, that slower economic growth in 2008 will ease these inflationary
pressures, allowing the Bank to reduce interest rates steadily as the year
progresses.
Our sector preferences have reflected the current environment for some time.
Being underweight in banks and consumer services stocks such as retailers has
served us well. Resource stocks like BG Group, BHP Billiton and Vedanta have
been among our best performers in our UK portfolio. Given the strength in the
sector, it was our exclusion of Rio Tinto from the portfolio which detracted
most from relative performance.
International
In aggregate, overseas markets were flat over the year. Japan was the weakest of
the major markets by some margin. The strongest returns came from some emerging
markets, and from the Canadian and Australian markets, reflecting their bias to
resource stocks.
The US economy has slowed and there is evidence that Europe is following suit.
There are still areas of the world that are enjoying robust economic growth.
China and Australia have recently raised interest rates in order to curb growth.
As long as the US does not experience a deep and extended recession - which we
think unlikely - 2008 should be another year of global growth. We are optimistic
that many companies will continue to thrive, helped by lower interest rates.
Our overseas portfolio performed well. Asian stocks - such as mobile telecoms
operator China Mobile, Indonesian conglomerate PT Astra International and
property company New World Development - made the strongest contributions. Our
weakest holding was the US department store chain J C Penney. This share
recovered nearly 40% from its low in 2008 and we have since sold it.
Private equity
The star of our private equity portfolio was the investment in 'A' shares of the
F&C Private Equity Trust (F&CPET). Its sale of Dakota Minnesota and Eastern
Railroad Corporation for a substantial gain resulted in a significant
distribution to Martin Currie Portfolio Investment Trust of £11.3 million. Our
holdings in two share classes of F&CPET remain our largest investments,
accounting for 9.9% of the portfolio.
Outlook
We believe the fears of a global recession are overdone. Clearly, the current
debt crisis continues to escalate in the UK and all around the world. The
collapse of Bear Stearns highlights increasing problems in the global financial
sector which could overwhelm the wider economy. The Federal Reserve has,
however, made it clear that it will do everything possible to prevent that bleak
scenario from unfolding. Expectations for economic growth have already
diminished. After a few more months of uncertainty, we believe the Fed, acting
in conjunction with other central banks worldwide, will reverse this decline. A
few more months of uncertainty seem likely.
We expect volatility and fairly modest returns from market indices in the year
ahead. We have reduced borrowing and, latterly, increased cash reserves; we end
the year with net cash representing 9% of our assets. The environment of
increased volatility that we anticipate will, in time, create opportunities to
put that cash to good use.
For further information, please contact:
Tom Walker 0131 229 5252
Martin Currie Investment Management Ltd
twalker@martincurrie.com
INCOME STATEMENT
YEAR ENDED 31 JANUARY 2008
Unaudited
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Net gains on - 187 187
investments
Net currency - 96 96
gains
Income - franked 4,092 12,269 16,361
- unfranked 1,033 - 1,033
Investment (345) (690) (1,035)
management fee
Performance fee - (1,862) (1,862)
Other expenses (474) - (474)
______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 4,306 10,000 14,306
taxation
Finance costs: debt (186) (358) (544)
Finance costs: shareholders' funds (4,028) (10,403) (14,431)
Finance costs: repurchase of ordinary - 761 761
shares
______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before 92 - 92
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (92) - (92)
______ _______ _______
Return attributable to shareholders * - - -
______ _______ _______
* As the company's share capital is classified as a liability for accounting
purposes, the net return to shareholders is accounted for in the finance costs
caption being £587,000 as a revenue return (2007: £895,000) and £10,403,000 of
a capital return (2007: £15,325,000).
The total column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from
continuing operations. A Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses is not
required, as all gains and losses of the company have been reflected in the
above statement.
On 18 March 2008, the Board recommended a final dividend of 2.10p per share.
Subject to shareholders approval, the dividend will be paid on 20 June 2008 to
shareholders on the register on 23 May 2008. The total amount of the
distribution, calculated with reference to the number of shares in issue at 2
March 2008 is £3,585,627. This results in a total dividend payable in respect
for the year of 2.60p per share. This compares to the total dividend declared
with respect to the financial year ended 31 January 2007 of 2.40p per share.
The financial information contained within this preliminary announcement does
not constitute the company's statutory financial statements as defined in
section 240 of the Companies Act 1985 for the years ended 31 January 2008 or
2007, but is derived from those financial statements. Statutory financial
statements for 2007 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and those
for 2008 will be delivered following the company's annual general meeting.
INCOME STATEMENT FOR THE
YEAR ENDED 31 JANUARY 2007
Audited
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Net gains on - 7,480 7,480
investments
Net currency - 54 54
gains
Income - franked 4,367 7,944 12,311
- unfranked 696 - 696
Investment (343) (686) (1,029)
management fee
Performance fee - (131) (131)
Other expenses (440) - (440)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 4,280 14,661 18,941
taxation
Finance costs: debt (50) (94) (144)
Finance costs: shareholders' funds (4,187) (15,325) (19,512)
Finance costs: repurchase of - 758 758
ordinary shares
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities 43 - 43
before taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (43) - (43)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to shareholders - - -
_______ _______ _______
BALANCE SHEET
As at 31 January at 31 As January
2008 2007
(Unaudited) (Audited)
£000 £000 £000 £000
Non-current assets
Investments at fair value
through
profit or loss
Listed on The Stock Exchange 119,189 150,083
in the UK
Listed on stock exchanges 54,444 45,249
abroad
_______ _______
173,633 195,332
Current assets
Loans and receivables 300 284
Cash at bank 26,020 2,065
_______ _______
26,320 2,349
Creditors
Amounts falling due within (12,311) (11,283)
one year
_______ _______
Net current 14,009 (8,934)
assets/(liabilities)
_______ _______
Net asset value attributable
to shareholders 187,642 186,398
_______ _______
Net asset value per ordinary 137.2p 129.9p
share
AIC net asset value per 134.8p 127.5p
ordinary share
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
Year ended Year ended
31 January 2008 31 January 2007
(Unaudited) (Audited)
£000 £000 £000 £000
Net cash inflow from operating activities 16,379 9,685
Servicing of finance
Finance costs: debt (475) (102)
Finance costs: shareholders' funds (3,441) (3,292)
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (3,916) (3,394)
Capital expenditure and financial investment
Payments to acquire investments (41,582) (50,048)
Sales of investments 62,479 42,392
_______ _______
Net cash inflow/(outflow)from capital 20,897 (7,656)
expenditure and financial investment
_______ _______
Net cash inflow/(outflow) before financing 33,360 (1,365)
Financing
Repurchase of ordinary share capital (8,985) (8,715)
Short-term bank borrowings (492) 9,953
_______ _______
Increase/(decrease) in cash 23,883 (127)
_______ _______
Notes
1. Returns and net asset value (as defined by the Articles)
The return and net asset value per ordinary share are calculated with reference
to the following figures:
Year ended Year ended
Revenue return 31 January 2008 31 January 2007
Revenue return attributable - -
to ordinary shareholders
Add back finance costs: £4,028,000 £4,187,000
shareholders' funds £4,028,000 £4,187,000
Average number of shares in 142,254,259 148,864,439
issue during year
Return per ordinary share 2.83p 2.81p
Capital return
Capital return attributable - -
to ordinary shareholders
Add back finance costs: £10,403,000 £15,325,000
shareholders' funds
Deduct finance costs: £(761,000) £(758,000)
repurchase of shares £9,642,000 £14,567,000
Average number of shares in 142,254,259 148,864,439
issue during year
Capital return per ordinary 6.78p 9.79p
share
Total return per ordinary 9.61p 12.60p
share
Net asset value per share As at 31 January As at 31
2008 January 2007
Net assets attributable to £187,642,000 £186,398,000
shareholders
Number of shares in issue at 136,716,072 143,527,886
the year end
Net asset value per share 137.2p 129.9p
2. Reconciliation of accounting and AIC net asset values
As at 31 January As at 31
2008 January 2007
Accounting net 137.2p 129.9p
asset value per
share
Exclusion of (2.4)p (2.4)p
undistributed
current period
revenue
AIC net asset 134.8p 127.5p
value per share