Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust plc
Legal Entity Identifier: 549300RKB85NFVSTBM94
A copy of the Half-yearly report for the six months to 31 July 2023 has been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism and will shortly be available for inspection.
A copy of the Half-yearly report can be downloaded at www.martincurrieglobal.com.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Key data |
Six months ended 31 July 2023 |
Six months ended 31 July 2022 |
Net asset value per share ('NAV') total return1,2 |
8.9% |
-8.8% |
MSCI All Country World index (benchmark) total return1 |
5.5% |
-1.0% |
Share price total return1 |
10.5% |
-7.6% |
Ongoing charges (as a percentage of shareholders' funds)4 |
0.63% |
0.64% |
Revenue return per share5 |
1.56p |
1.39p |
Dividend per share |
1.80p |
1.80p |
Past performance is not a guide to future returns. All returns are total returns unless otherwise stated.
Source: Martin Currie Investment Management.
1Total return is the combined effect of the rise and fall in the share price, net asset value or benchmark together with any dividend paid. See the Half-yearly report for more details on Alternative Performance Measures.
2The net asset value per share total return is calculated using the cum income net asset value with dividends reinvested on the ex-dividend date. This is an Alternative Performance Measure, see the Half-yearly report for more details.
3The benchmark with effect from 1 February 2020 is the MSCI All Country World index. Prior to this, the benchmark was the FTSE World index to 31 January 2020. Prior to this, the benchmark was the FTSE All-Share to 31 May 2011.
4Ongoing charges (as a percentage of shareholders' funds) are calculated using average net assets over the period. The ongoing charges figure has been calculated in line with the Association of Investment Companies ('AIC') recommended methodology. This is an Alternative Performance Measure, see the Half-yearly report for more details.
5For details of calculation, refer to note 3 in the Half-yearly report.
INTERIM MANAGEMENT REPORT
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT
Dear shareholder,
Investment Performance
I am pleased to report that the six months under review were marked by a period of good investment performance, with our NAV per share increasing by 8.9%1 on a total return basis, compared with a total return of 5.5%1 for the benchmark index. Shareholders will be well aware of the explosion of interest in artificial intelligence ('AI') and two of our best performing investments - Nvidia and Adobe - were beneficiaries. This illustrates the merits of selecting high quality companies in areas of emerging growth and opportunity.
Income and dividends
Net revenue earnings per share for the six months amounted to 1.56 pence per share. As we have set out in recent reports to shareholders, capital growth is the primary focus of the investment manager and the investment strategy is not constrained by any income target but, recognising the importance of dividends for many shareholders, the Board intends to maintain the recent level of distributions where it is prudent to do so. Dividends have historically been paid quarterly and in recent years the Company has paid three interim dividends of 0.9 pence per share and a fourth interim dividend of 1.5 pence per share for each financial year. The Company paid a first interim dividend for the current financial year of 0.9 pence per share on 28 July 2023 and will pay a second interim dividend of 0.9 pence per share on 27 October 2023, maintaining the same level as the last financial year.
Share price
The Manager is very active in promoting the Company, including regular meetings with major shareholders, a wide variety of online activity designed to encourage investors to go to our website and regular press coverage of the portfolio manager's distinctive investment style, which focuses on investing in companies selected for their long-term growth prospects and sustainable credentials. The Board was particularly pleased to see some positive national and trade press coverage over the last few months. The Company is recognised as a long-term leader in ESG investing and continues to maintain the highest possible 'Five Globes' from Morningstar. It is also rated in the top 1% of over 7,000 funds in Morningstar's global large cap category for ESG2. The Board believes that a distinctive approach to investing is important in stimulating demand for shares in a crowded market and against a background of continuing focus on the environment, and in particular climate change, and on social and governance issues.
We also continue to operate our zero discount policy under which the Company buys back and issues shares with the objective of providing shareholders, in normal market conditions, with:
• assurance that the share price is aligned with the prevailing NAV per share; and
• liquidity so that investors can buy or sell as many shares as they wish at a price which is not materially different from the NAV.
The Board believes that this policy is instrumental in making the Company attractive to investors.
During the six months under review, the Company bought back 2,025,924 shares which were placed in treasury and issued 675,000 shares from treasury. Activity under the zero discount policy was in three distinct phases: shares were bought back in February and March; were issued in April and May and then were bought back in June and July. The activity reflects levels of market demand both for the Company's shares and more widely for investment trusts and other types of collective investment fund. We continued to be successful in achieving the aims of the zero discount policy, with the share price generally remaining close to NAV.
The Board
As previously announced, my predecessor as chairman, Gillian Watson, retired after the Annual General Meeting on 1 June this year. Gillian was first appointed as a director in 2013 and took over as chairman in February 2021. My fellow directors and I would like to thank Gillian for her commitment and diligence over the last ten years on the Board and wish her every success in her future endeavours. The Board has decided that, at least for the time being, we will continue to operate with four directors.
Annual General Meeting
Each resolution at this year's AGM was passed by a large majority and I would like to thank shareholders for their continuing support.
Keep in touch
The Company's website at www.martincurrieglobal.com is a comprehensive source of information and includes regular portfolio manager updates and outlook videos, monthly performance factsheets and independent research reports. I recommend that you subscribe for regular email updates that will keep you abreast of the news on your Company.
Please contact me if you have any questions regarding your Company by email at: ftcosec@franklintempleton.com
Outlook
Investors have faced a series of challenges in recent years. The Covid crisis which started in 2020 caused major disruption and the inflation which started to take hold then was exacerbated by increased geopolitical conflict: in particular the Russian war on Ukraine and tension between the United States and China. At the time of writing, the very high levels of inflation which appeared around the world in 2022 are showing some signs of abating. However, it is apparent that central bank interest rates which were hiked to bring this under control are likely to remain at these more normalised levels for the foreseeable future. Markets in general have arguably adjusted to this new world but, as my predecessor said in the last annual report, major events are likely to trigger further volatility. Against this background it is encouraging to see the recent strong performance of the fund and we remain of the view that a portfolio selected for its long-term, sustainable potential should serve shareholders well.
Christopher Metcalfe
Chairman
27 September 2023
Footnotes:
1 See Glossary in the Half-yearly Report.
2 Source: July 2023 Morningstar, Inc. © All rights reserved. The information herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, complete or timely.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
MANAGER'S REVIEW
As we look back at the first six months of the financial year, we cannot help but think that six months can be a long time in financial markets. Much has happened in this period, but many of the risks identified at the start of the year have not crystallised.
We had some localised regional bank failures in the US in March/April, which led to market concerns of systemic risk and fears of contagion into the broader global banking sector. We did not share these concerns, believing that the contagion risk would be limited and failures would be localised. This has so far has proven accurate, even though Credit Suisse went into a regulator-imposed takeover by UBS. The market has sighed in relief as these systemic concerns dissipated. It permitted us to highlight the fundamental reasons why we do not hold banks in the portfolio. Readers can gain access to a more detailed report on this on our website www.martincurrieglobal.com
We then had the fear that the US government would default on its debt for the first time in history, as the debt ceiling negotiations between Democrats and Republicans threatened to be unproductive in May/June. We believed that a resolution would be found, albeit late in the day, and when this happened it ultimately restored some calm and confidence to the market.
At the same time, we had a market that started the year with a quasi-certain prediction of a recession this year, which went against our central scenario of a sharp slowdown rather than a recession, both at the Global and the US levels. So far, waiting for a recession has been like waiting for Godot: it has not materialised, and might still not do so this year. We continue to believe that a recession could be averted in 2023, and note that we are now joined in this prediction by illustrious economists and central bankers, such as US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Furthermore, the first six months have been marked by ongoing rapid interest rate hikes by the major Western central banks globally, as inflation has remained elevated, as summarised in the table below:
|
January 2022
|
Rate hikes in 2022
|
Rate hikes in 2023
|
Current Rate1
|
US Federal Funds Rate |
0%-0.25% |
+4.25% |
+1.00% |
5.25%-5.50% |
European Central Bank |
0% |
+2.50% |
+1.75% |
4.25% |
Bank of England |
0.25% |
+3.25% |
+1.75%
|
5.25% |
Source: United States Federal Reserve/European Central Bank/Bank of England.
Despite the variety of headwinds outlined above, equity markets performed strongly in the first six months of the Company's financial year, being up by +5.5%2 over the period February to July 2023. The strong market performance was led by the Technology sector and the leaders and laggards are set out in the table below:
Sector |
Return 31 January 2023 - 31 July 2023
|
Technology |
21.7% |
Telecoms |
12.8% |
Consumer Discretionary |
7.9% |
Industrials |
6.0% |
Utilities |
(3.0%) |
Financials |
(3.2%) |
Energy |
(3.3%) |
Materials |
(4.1%) |
Real Estate |
(9.3%) |
Source: Martin Currie as at 31 July 2023. Data presented for Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust plc. Returns may increase or decrease as a result of changes to foreign exchange rates.
During the course of the six months we also had an initial confirmation that the Chinese economic recovery is coming through, before some loss of momentum in the course of the second quarter. This has led the market to doubt the strength and longevity of the Chinese recovery, which has added to the list of worries that the market has so far been able to look through.
On the corporate front, the first half was marked by a return to favour of quality growth stocks, notably in the technology sector. This was fuelled by the excitement that generative AI has brought to the market, with many names exposed to that theme performing very strongly. One particular characteristic of the market performance in the first six months was that the rise in the index was driven by only seven high growth large technology stocks, of which Nvidia, the largest holding in our portfolio, was the most prominent.
Corporate earnings momentum has continued to be mixed, but for the moment at least earnings downgrades have eased. We believe that there is still a risk of further deterioration, which continues to dictate our focus on earnings resilience.
In this environment, the Company performed strongly, with the NAV up by +8.9%3 in the first six months, outperforming the market by c.+3.5%2. Pleasingly, this strong outperformance came on the back of no changes to our consistent, long-term investment approach and little change in terms of stock and sector exposures. We kept our exposure to our high conviction holdings, with many of them coming through strongly during the period as described in detail below.
Stock Contributors
Nvidia outperformed in the period under review, as the earnings season uncovered a continued strong investment by "hyperscalers" such as Microsoft and Google. Additionally, TSMC commented at its second quarter results call that they expected a 50% CAGR4 in AI-related demand for the next five years, which has also provided a positive read across. Nvidia was one of our largest positions ahead of their key investor event and results announcement in March and April respectively, and so our NAV benefited from the strong share price reaction to both of these. Nvidia outperformed the global index by c.+124% over the period. This was driven by supportive earnings momentum during the period, with consensus earnings estimates more than doubling for this current financial year. The company and the market were taken by surprise by the degree of acceleration in its data centre business: ChatGPT inflected the demand curve, bringing 'the iPhone moment in the AI industry'. So far in 2023, we have seen hyperscalers commenting on continued robust investment in AI. Importantly, customer cohorts at Nvidia have also broadened: the company now defines three customer categories (cloud service providers, consumer internet companies and enterprises) compared with only hyperscalers and enterprises before. We see broadening of the data centre demand (one of the pillars of our original investment thesis) as supportive of our view that we are observing a truly secular shift. Specifically, we believe that we are at the start of a multi-year migration of the data centre infrastructure to accelerated computing. We think that Nvidia has the potential to claim a higher share of overall infrastructure spending. Beyond the underlying infrastructure layer, we also believe that nearly every application will incorporate AI features in some years from now. In this secular transition, Nvidia would be acting as an enabler which is an important aspect of its attraction to us.
Adobe's share price also benefited from a continued rollout of generative AI products as well as a positive read across from the pricing of these products from other parts of the industry.
Ferrari shares were strong in the period. The company launched two new plug-in hybrid models - the SF90 XX Stradale and the SF90 XX Spider. Both are already sold out and are priced at a significant premium to the group's average selling price. In early August Ferrari published interim results which were modestly higher than expected, together with an upbeat outlook statement. We continue to see this company as having ongoing strong pricing power, predictable revenue and profit stream, and an almost staples-like demand pattern coming from the high-net-worth consumption segment.
Healthcare was the main detractor to performance in the period, with the bottom three stocks all from that sector: Wuxi Biologics, Masimo, and CSL.
Wuxi Biologics experienced a share price decline amid broader Hong Kong market weakness and a negative reaction to preliminary commentary in June on results for the first half of 2023. Despite geopolitical concerns, the company reiterated its 30% revenue and 27% EPS5 growth guidance for the full year and 3-year period, emphasising AI and robotics for efficiency. While revenue growth in the first half of 2023 was lower than expected, the company attributed this to maintenance works, and both project progression and industry dynamics remain positive. We continue to see Wuxi as a best-in-class drug research, development and manufacturing outsourcing business, operating strongly within a normal biopharma funding cycle.
Masimo's share price initially rebounded in April but was impacted negatively again, as a result of activist investor Politan Capital gaining board seats at the AGM. On the operational side, the company faced challenges in its healthcare division due to order delays, weak hospital demand trends, and budget constraints, leading to a 13% revenue and 37% EPS5 reduction for 2023. We are engaging with management to assess a few aspects related to (i) potential for a return to normalised trends in 2024, and (ii) whether the earnings growth potential is further enhanced by a cost cutting exercise. Management understand the need to return to a level of performance akin to their historical track record, especially after a large acquisition in 2022, which appears reflected in various conservative assumptions embedded in the updated forward guidance.
Early in 2023 CSL was weak on news flow that we consider broadly supportive to our thesis. In February the company reported half-year results, that were 1% and 6% ahead of revenue and net profit expectations respectively. In March, we attended an investor event at CSL's German and Swiss facilities which reassured on substantial production capacity headroom and new yield uplift processes which should support gross margin expansion. In June the business pre-announced that results would fall at the upper end of guidance, despite worsening currency headwinds. However, the stock sold-off on the unexpected provision of 2024 net profit guidance of 10% below consensus expectations. We believe that the company's long-term prospects remain intact and there is no change to our expectation of a return to prior peaks, but this may take about 12 months longer than previously expected.
Portfolio activity
In the half-year under review we purchased Pernod Ricard and Estée Lauder in the consumer sector, Mettler Toledo in Healthcare, and Adyen in the Financials sector. We sold out of Dr. Martens and Kerry in Consumer, and AIA in the Financials sector. We replaced VISA with Mastercard.
Adyen is a leading global payment company whose growth is supported by multiple structural trends in payment such as frictionless payments, omni-channel commerce, and the platform economy. A combination of a high net revenue CAGR5, high medium-term EBITDA5 margin and a projected 100% + ROIC5 profile made it a strong candidate for the portfolio. We took the opportunity of a sharp pullback in the share price in April as a result of higher costs incurred for their international expansion as an attractive entry point.
Mettler Toledo is a leading provider of precision instruments and analytical tools across the laboratory, industrial and food segments with a legacy business in scales and balances. The company's sales are growing at 7% per year, ROIC5 is currently 40% and forecast to move to 60% over five years. The stock has been impacted by a period of underperformance based on risks of earnings downgrades, which gave us the opportunity in July to initiate a position. We have held the stock in the past, and believe that the earnings projections are near their low point.
We initiated a position in Pernod Ricard in February, following a period of underperformance of the share price. We believe that Pernod has a supportive mix of growth and returns profile in consumer staples, with expected growth over 5 years in sales, earnings, and free cash flow. Anticipated ROIC5 improvement and robust earnings results support potential consensus upgrades. Trading at a 17% discount to its 5-year average PE5, the stock has an attractive valuation and in our view is poised to capitalise on premiumisation trends with strong pricing power.
In June, we initiated a new position in Estée Lauder, following significant underperformance of the stock and a profit warning in May. We have a high conviction in the company's leadership within prestige beauty in the medium and long term, despite the market concerns in the short term. Whilst we acknowledge that near term trading is challenged we see inventory issues in China as transitory. With a strong brand portfolio and mid-teens market share, Estée Lauder's luxury segment growth aligns with high-margin channels, particularly in China, leading to the decision to sell AIA in favour of Estee Lauder.
Both VISA and Mastercard are leaders in the payment technology industry, both operate a capital light model with >60% EBITDA5 margin and deliver low to mid-teens revenue growth, underpinned by a secular shift to cashless payments. We have replaced VISA with Mastercard due to the higher ROIC5 support from Mastercard (>70%, vs VISA's >40%, with both expanding through time). In addition, Mastercard offers a slightly better growth outlook due to its higher exposure to international payments and credits.
During the period, we also exited Kerry to focus on stronger ingredient options like Croda, as our review indicated better alternatives in the sector. Despite believing that Kerry's thesis remains intact, its projected rate of growth is not sufficiently attractive for us. This decision aligns with our higher conviction in Croda.
We also sold our very small position in Dr. Martens due to concerns about the management handling of some operational issues related to distribution center transition in the US, which led us to reassess our conviction in the stock.
Key predictions for our 2023 mid-year outlook update
We recently published our mid-year outlook update, which can be viewed on www.martincurrieglobal.com. In this, we revisited and reiterated our predictions for 2023, which were detailed in the annual report, and which we summarise below.
An important focal point during the second part of the year will remain the inflation trend, with inflationary pressures likely to continue to ease, but with the risk of inflation remaining stickier and longer lasting. Inflation is likely to be driven by technological fragmentation, near-shoring trends which will increase production costs, and elevated wage inflation. The latter is likely to be the most important determinant of inflation in the medium term.
Inflation trends will continue to feed into monetary policy expectations - we predict that the peak in interest rates is getting very close now, which should in itself be supportive for the quality growth style that we invest in. However, we do not subscribe to the market view that monetary policies will reverse in the first half of 2024 because we envisage inflation rates preventing central banks cutting interest rates.
The economic cycle will continue to be an important focal point with an ongoing uncertain outlook, given the sizeable interest rate increases that we have seen in the past 18 months across key geographies. Our central scenario remains a sharp slowdown rather than recession for the world as a whole and the US in particular. For Europe, our central scenario remains stagflation. We maintain our probability of a global recession at 30-35%, despite a broad consensus view that a recession is a high likelihood in 2023. China's economic momentum remains key to the global economic cycle and we expect ongoing recovery in the services sector in China in the remainder of 2023. There is a rising risk of recession in the US in 2024, however, which could be an important focal point for investors.
The corporate earnings cycle is already in recession following downgrades and with the risk of further downgrades in the rest of 2023. Equity valuations are now less supportive but, within this, EU and Asian equities are relatively attractive. In this continuing uncertain environment, we believe that focusing on fundamental assessments and picking undervalued stocks that have strong fundamentals and operate in industries with favourable dynamics for value creation will serve our shareholders well over the longer term.
Quality growth style should continue to be supported
We believe that in uncertain macroeconomic conditions such as the ones we face, the quality growth style should be supported in the remainder of this year and beyond. Our focus is on profitable growth stocks, generating high returns on invested capital and with strong balance sheets, which should fare well in such elevated uncertainty. If inflation remains high, quality growth stocks typically have stronger pricing power, and therefore should be able to protect earnings from margin pressure better than other companies. Interest rates are apparently approaching their peak, which means less headwind for long duration stocks such as quality growth stocks. Considering the macroeconomic cycle we believe that quality growth stocks should be able to weather that economic storm better than other companies. Finally, in an environment of corporate earnings recession, where growth becomes more scarce, stocks exposed to structural growth opportunities have a superior profile that should make them stand out.
Mid-term opportunities - energy transition, geopolitical & technological fragmentation, and artificial intelligence are key themes to focus on
We continue to see opportunities in the eight mid-term thematic opportunities that we have discussed in previous reports and
which are listed below:
· Green & Alternative Energy
· Energy Efficient Infrastructure
· Electric Transportation - High Speed Railways & Electric Vehicles
· Healthcare Infrastructure
· Technological and Geopolitical Fragmentation
· Cloud Computing & Cyber Security
· Artificial Intelligence, Robotics & Automation
· Metaverse & Quantum Computing
All of these themes benefit from significant investment support, from the private and/or public sectors of the economy, with some investments being very long duration, making these themes attractive over the long-term time horizon that we focus on.
Three particular themes that we believe are important for investors to focus on currently are (i) energy transition as part of tackling the challenges of climate change, (ii) artificial intelligence, and (iii) technological and geopolitical fragmentation.
Energy transition captures the first 3 themes on our list above, namely green and alternative energy, energy efficient infrastructure, and electric transportation. We typically look at exposure to these themes through attractively priced quality growth companies across the whole ecosystem of a given theme. Companies such as ASML and Autodesk in Technology, Atlas Copco in Industrials, and Kingspan in Construction, give us exposure to the energy transition, as enablers and beneficiaries of the infrastructure spend.
Artificial intelligence is an important theme in terms of source of risk for investors, but also potential opportunities. The subject has received a boost in the first part of this year both from the excitement triggered by ChatGPT, an app that has reached 100m users at the fastest pace of any app historically, and from the outsized earnings reported by Nvidia in the first quarter. This led to the market realising that the demand by corporates for AI has been significantly under-appreciated. The focus on AI will remain significant going forward. We believe that the potential for AI remains under-appreciated by the market fundamentally, but are also cognisant that themes can generate excessive excitement. This can lead to valuations becoming disconnected from fundamentals and it is therefore critical, once again and as always, to ensure that we maintain our valuation discipline based on detailed fundamental assessments. Companies such as Nvidia and ASML in Technology, or Atlas Copco in Industrials, give us exposure to this theme, either directly or indirectly.
The technological and geopolitical fragmentation theme centres around the trend towards onshoring and nearshoring, as companies bring some of their production bases closer to their home markets to reduce supply disruption risks. These risks are driven by tension between China and several other countries, principally the US. Steps taken by the US to limit access to leading edge semiconductor technology, and particularly to AI chips, will likely lead to market fragmentation in high technology components. This will lead to many ramifications for investors, both in terms of opportunities and threats. It in part drove our decision 18 months ago to switch our exposure within the semiconductor industry from TSMC, which we see as potentially negatively impacted from the China-Taiwan geopolitical uncertainty, into ASML, which we see as benefiting from this in light of the drive by Western economies to bring some of the microchip production sites onto their home territories.
Our approach to investment does not take account of the constituents of a benchmark index but instead concentrates on a relatively short list of companies carefully selected for their long-term growth prospects and sustainable credentials, following detailed fundamental research. This permits us to focus on the very best ideas that come out of our research and make meaningful allocations of assets to our chosen investments. We will be detailing at greater length the benefits of a more concentrated approach for the benefit of our readers in our next annual report. In summary, we believe that it remains important, in the current uncertain environment, to continue to focus on companies with (i) earnings resilience, given the risk of ongoing earnings downgrades, (ii) pricing power, in order to protect margins in a difficult inflation environment, (iii) solid balance sheets, to give better protection in case of recession, and (iv) structural growth opportunities.
Zehrid Osmani
Portfolio Manager, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust plc
Head of Global Long-Term Unconstrained Equities, Martin Currie
27 September 2023
Footnotes:
1 As at 15 August 2023.
2 As measured by the MSCI AC World Index, GB£ terms, income reinvested. See Glossary in the Half-yearly Report.
3 All return statistics on a total return basis: see Glossary in the Half-yearly Report.
4 See Glossary in the Half-yearly Report.
5 See Glossary in the Half-yearly Report.
PORTFOLIO SUMMARY
By sector
|
31 July 2023 Company % |
31 July 2023 MSCI All Country World index % |
31 January 2023 Company % |
31 January 2023 MSCI All Country World index % |
Information Technology |
30.3 |
21.9 |
31.5 |
20.6 |
Healthcare |
22.6 |
11.6 |
26.5 |
12.5 |
Consumer Discretionary |
13.7 |
11.4 |
15.3 |
11.1 |
Industrials |
9.4 |
10.5 |
9.7 |
10.0 |
Consumer Staples |
8.7 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
7.3 |
Materials |
8.5 |
4.6 |
7.4 |
5.1 |
Financials |
6.8 |
15.6 |
3.7 |
15.3 |
Communication Services |
- |
7.5 |
- |
7.1 |
Energy |
- |
4.7 |
- |
5.4 |
Utilities |
- |
2.7 |
- |
3.0 |
Real Estate |
- |
2.3 |
- |
2.6 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
By asset class
|
31 July 2023 % |
31 January 2023 % |
Equities |
110.5 |
111.1 |
Cash |
0.8 |
0.9 |
Less borrowings |
(11.3) |
(12.0) |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
Portfolio distribution by region
|
31 July 2023 Company % |
31 July 2023 MSCI All Country World index % |
31 January 2023 Company % |
31 January 2023 MSCI All Country World index % |
North America |
52.1 |
64.8 |
47.1 |
63.1 |
Developed Europe |
43.3 |
16.0 |
41.9 |
16.6 |
Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan |
2.8 |
2.8 |
7.7 |
3.3 |
Global Emerging Markets |
1.8 |
10.8 |
3.3 |
11.3 |
Middle East |
- |
0.1 |
- |
0.2 |
Japan |
- |
5.5 |
- |
5.5 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
Largest 10 holdings |
|
|
|
|
|
31 July 2023 |
31 July 2023 |
31 January 2023 |
31 January 2023 |
|
Market value |
% of total |
Market value |
% of total |
|
£000 |
portfolio |
£000 |
portfolio |
Nvidia |
25,649 |
8.7 |
12,745 |
4.6 |
Microsoft |
16,724 |
5.7 |
14,228 |
5.1 |
Linde |
15,406 |
5.3 |
15,041 |
5.4 |
Moncler |
13,924 |
4.7 |
13,190 |
4.8 |
ASML Holding |
13,499 |
4.6 |
14,223 |
5.1 |
Ferrari |
12,465 |
4.3 |
11,164 |
4.0 |
ResMed |
12,050 |
4.1 |
14,270 |
5.1 |
Mastercard |
11,496 |
3.9 |
- |
- |
L'Oreal |
11,406 |
3.9 |
11,623 |
4.2 |
Atlas Copco |
10,833 |
3.7 |
10,325 |
3.7 |
GOVERNANCE
Risk and mitigation
The principal long-term risks facing the Company are unchanged since the date of the Annual Report for the year to 31 January 2023, as set out on pages 34 and 35 of that report.
The Company's business model is longstanding and resilient to most of the short-term operational uncertainties that it faces. The Board believes these are effectively mitigated by the internal controls established by the Board and by the AIFM1 and their combined oversight of the investment manager. The Company's principal risks and uncertainties are therefore largely driven by the inherent uncertainties of investing in global equity markets. The Board's process seeks to mitigate known risks and to identify new risks as they emerge. The Board's planned mitigation measures are described in the most recent annual report. However, it is recognised that the likelihood and timing of crystallisation of some risks cannot be predicted in advance and the Board relies on professional management, effective systems and communication to mitigate these risks as and when they arise.
The Board identified the following principal risks to the Company in the Annual Report:
• Sustained investment underperformance
• Material decline in market capitalisation of the Company
• Loss of s1158-9 tax status
Following the ongoing assessment of the principal and emerging risks facing the Company, and its current position, the Board is confident that the Company will be able to continue in operation and meet its liabilities as they fall due. The Board believes that the processes of internal control that the Company has adopted and oversight by the AIFM1 continue to be effective.
Footnote
1 See glossary the Half-yearly report.
In accordance with Chapter 4 of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules and to the best of their knowledge, each director of the Company confirms that the financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice (United Kingdom Accounting Standards and applicable law) and with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies and Venture Capital Trusts' issued by the AIC in July 2022.
The directors are satisfied that the financial statements give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit of the Company. Furthermore, each director certifies that the interim management report includes an indication of important events that have occurred during the first six months of the financial year and their impact on the financial statements together with a description of the principal risks and uncertainties that the Company faces. In addition, each director of the Company confirms that, with the exception of management and secretarial fees, directors' fees and directors' shareholdings, there have been no related party transactions during the first six months of the financial year.
Going concern status
The Company's business activities, together with the factors likely to affect its future development, performance and position, are set out in the Chairman's statement and Manager's review.
The financial position of the Company as at 31 July 2023 is shown on the unaudited condensed statement of financial position. The unaudited statement of cash flow of the Company is set out below.
In accordance with the 2019 AIC Code of Corporate Governance and the 2018 UK Corporate Governance Code, the directors have undertaken a rigorous review of the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.
The Company's assets consist of a diverse portfolio of listed equity shares which, in most circumstances, are realisable within a very short timescale. The directors are mindful of the principal and emerging risks disclosed above. They have reviewed forecasts for the current and following financial year, including liabilities arising from the loan facility, and believe that the Company has adequate financial resources to continue its operational existence for the foreseeable future and for at least one year from the date of signing these financial statements. Accordingly, the directors continue to adopt the going concern basis in preparing these financial statements.
FINANCIAL REVIEW
UNAUDITED CONDENSED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
|
|
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2023 |
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2022 |
||||
|
|
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
|
Note |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
Net gains/(losses) on investments |
|
- |
21,115 |
21,115 |
- |
(29,165) |
(29,165) |
Net currency gains |
|
- |
13 |
13 |
- |
7 |
7 |
Revenue |
|
1,772 |
- |
1,772 |
1,841 |
- |
1,841 |
Investment management fee |
|
(117) |
(466) |
(583) |
(134) |
(536) |
(670) |
Other expenses |
|
(237) |
- |
(237) |
(262) |
- |
(262) |
Net return/(loss) on ordinary activities before finance costs and taxation |
|
1,418 |
20,662 |
22,080 |
1,445 |
(29,694) |
(28,249) |
Finance costs |
|
(35) |
(141) |
(176) |
(36) |
(141) |
(177) |
Net return/(loss) on ordinary activities before taxation |
|
1,383 |
20,521 |
21,904 |
1,409 |
(29,835) |
(28,426) |
Taxation on ordinary activities |
|
(217) |
- |
(217) |
(227) |
- |
(227) |
Net return/(loss) attributable to shareholders |
|
1,166 |
20,521 |
21,687 |
1,182 |
(29,835) |
(28,653) |
Net return/(loss) per Ordinary share
|
3 |
1.56p |
27.38p |
28.94p |
1.39p |
(35.06p) |
(33.67p) |
The total columns of this statement are the profit and loss accounts of the Company.
The revenue and capital items are presented in accordance with the Association of Investment companies ('AIC') Statement of Recommended Practice 2022.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations.
No operations were acquired or discontinued in the six months.
The notes below form part of these financial statements.
There is no other comprehensive income and therefore the return attributable to shareholders is also the total comprehensive income for the period.
UNAUDITED CONDENSED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
|
|
(Unaudited) As at 31 July 2023 |
(Audited) As at 31 January 2023 |
||
|
Note |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
Non-current assets |
|
|
|
|
|
Investments at fair value through profit or loss |
|
|
293,171 |
|
277,606 |
Current assets |
|
|
|
|
|
Trade receivables |
|
399 |
|
1,771 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
1,970 |
|
1,256 |
|
|
|
|
2,369 |
|
3,027 |
Current liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
Trade payables |
|
(281) |
|
(865) |
|
Bank loan |
|
(30,000) |
|
(30,000) |
|
|
|
|
(30,281) |
|
(30,865) |
Total net assets |
|
|
265,259 |
|
249,768 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
Called up Ordinary share capital |
|
|
4,934 |
|
4,934 |
Share premium account |
|
|
11,823 |
|
11,424 |
Capital redemption reserve |
|
|
11,083 |
|
11,083 |
Capital reserve, of which: |
6 |
|
236,064 |
|
221,463 |
Realised capital reserve (distributable) |
|
163,673 |
|
154,191 |
|
Unrealised gains on investments (non-distributable) |
|
72,391 |
|
67,272 |
|
Revenue reserve |
|
|
1,355 |
|
864 |
Total shareholders' funds |
|
|
265,259 |
|
249,768 |
Net asset value per Ordinary share |
|
|
354.8p |
|
328.2p |
The notes below form part of these financial statements.
Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust plc is registered in Scotland, company number SC192761.
The financial statements were approved by the Board of directors on 27 September 2023 and signed on its behalf by
Christopher Metcalfe
Chairman
27 September 2023
UNAUDITED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY
|
Called up |
Share |
Capital |
Special |
|
|
|
|
Ordinary |
premium |
redemption |
distributable |
Capital |
Revenue |
|
(Unaudited) for the |
share capital |
account |
reserve |
reserve |
reserve |
reserve |
Total |
period to 31 July 2023 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
As at 31 January 2023 |
4,934 |
11,424 |
11,083 |
- |
221,463 |
864 |
249,768 |
Net return attributable to shareholders |
- |
- |
- |
- |
20,521 |
1,166 |
21,687 |
Ordinary shares issued during the period |
- |
399 |
- |
- |
1,940 |
- |
2,339 |
Ordinary shares bought back during the period |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(6,742) |
- |
(6,742) |
Dividends paid |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(1,118) |
(675) |
(1,793) |
As at 31 July 2023 |
4,934 |
11,823 |
11,083 |
- |
236,064 |
1,355 |
265,259 |
|
Called up |
Share |
Capital |
Special |
|
|
|
|
Ordinary |
premium |
redemption |
distributable |
Capital |
Revenue |
|
(Unaudited) for the |
share capital |
account |
reserve |
reserve |
reserve |
reserve |
Total |
period to 31 July 2022 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
As at 31 January 2022 |
4,934 |
11,424 |
11,083 |
76,297 |
211,583 |
513 |
315,834 |
Net (loss)/return attributable to shareholders |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(29,835) |
1,182 |
(28,653) |
Ordinary shares bought back during the period |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(10,587) |
- |
(10,587) |
Dividends paid |
- |
- |
- |
(2,037) |
- |
- |
(2,037) |
Transfers between reserves |
- |
|
|
(74,260) |
74,260 |
- |
- |
As at 31 July 2022 |
4,934 |
11,424 |
11,083 |
- |
245,421 |
1,695 |
274,557 |
|
Called up |
Share |
Capital |
Special |
|
|
|
|
Ordinary |
premium |
redemption |
distributable |
Capital |
Revenue |
|
(Audited) for the year |
share capital |
account |
reserve |
reserve |
reserve |
reserve |
Total |
ended 31 January 2023 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
As at 31 January 2022 |
4,934 |
11,424 |
11,083 |
76,297 |
211,583 |
513 |
315,834 |
Net (loss)/return attributable to shareholders |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(31,532) |
1,781 |
(29,751) |
Ordinary shares bought back during the year |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(32,848) |
- |
(32,848) |
Dividends paid |
- |
- |
- |
(2,037) |
- |
(1,430) |
(3,467) |
Transfers between reserves |
- |
- |
- |
(74,260) |
74,260 |
- |
- |
As at 31 January 2023 |
4,934 |
11,424 |
11,083 |
- |
211,463 |
864 |
249,768 |
The notes below form part of these financial statements.
UNAUDITED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
|
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2022 |
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2022 |
||
|
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
£000 |
Cash flows from operating activities |
|
|
|
|
Net return/(loss) on ordinary activities before taxation |
21,904 |
|
(28,426) |
|
Adjustments for: |
|
|
|
|
(Gains)/losses on investments |
(21,115) |
|
29,165 |
|
Finance costs |
176 |
|
177 |
|
Dividend income recognised |
(1,757) |
|
(1,841) |
|
Interest income recognised |
(15) |
|
- |
|
Increase in receivables |
(15) |
|
(32) |
|
Decrease in payables |
(59) |
|
(113) |
|
Overseas withholding tax suffered |
(217) |
|
(227) |
|
Net cash outflows from operations |
(1,098) |
|
(1,297) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends received |
1,694 |
|
1,802 |
|
Interest received |
15 |
|
- |
|
Overseas withholding tax recovered |
12 |
|
- |
|
Net cash flows from operating activities |
|
623 |
|
505 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows from investing activities |
|
|
|
|
Purchases of investments |
(49,045) |
|
(18,900) |
|
Sales of investments |
56,033 |
|
25,426 |
|
Net cash flows from investing activities |
|
6,988 |
|
6,526 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows from financing activities |
|
|
|
|
Repurchase of Ordinary share capital |
(7,267) |
|
(10,516) |
|
Shares issued for cash |
2,339 |
|
- |
|
Equity dividends paid |
(1,793) |
|
(2,037) |
|
Interest and fees paid on bank loan |
(176) |
|
(177) |
|
Net cash flows from financing activities |
|
(6,897) |
|
(12,730) |
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents |
|
714 |
|
(5,699) |
Cash and cash equivalents at the start of the period |
|
1,256 |
|
6,589 |
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period |
|
1,970 |
|
890 |
The notes below form part of these financial statements.
Analysis of debt
|
(Audited) As at 31 January 2023 £000 |
Cash flows £000 |
(Unaudited) As at 31 July 2023 £000 |
Cash at bank |
1,256 |
714 |
1,970 |
Bank loan |
(30,000) |
- |
(30,000) |
Net debt |
(28,744) |
714 |
(28,030) |
|
(Audited) As at 31 January 2022 £000 |
Cash flows £000 |
(Unaudited) As at 31 July 2022 £000 |
Cash at bank |
6,589 |
(5,699) |
890 |
Bank loan |
(30,000) |
- |
(30,000) |
Net debt |
(23,411) |
(5,699) |
(29,110) |
NOTES TO THE CONDENSED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Note 1: Financial statements
The financial information contained in this half-yearly report does not constitute statutory accounts as defined in s434 (3) of the Companies Act 2006. The financial information for the six months ended 31 July 2023 has not been audited or reviewed by the Company's independent auditors.
The information for the year ended 31 January 2023 has been extracted from the latest published audited financial statements which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The report of the auditors on those accounts contained no qualification or statement under s498 (2), (3) or (4) of the Companies Act 2006.
Note 2: Accounting policies
For the period ended 31 July 2023 (and the year ended 31 January 2023), the Company is applying Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland ('FRS 102'), which forms part of the revised Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('UK GAAP') issued by the Financial Reporting Council (FRC).
These condensed financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis in accordance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority, FRS 102 issued by the FRC in September 2015, FRS 104 Interim Financial Reporting issued by the FRC in March 2015 and the revised Statement of Recommended Practice "Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies and Venture Capital Trusts" ('SORP') issued by the AIC in July 2022.
The accounting policies applied for the condensed set of financial statements are set out in the Company's annual report for the year ended 31 January 2023.
Note 3: Net returns per Ordinary share
|
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2023 £000 |
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2022 £000 |
Revenue return |
1,166 |
1,182 |
Capital return |
20,521 |
(29,835) |
Total return |
21,687 |
(28,653) |
Weighted average number of shares in issue during the period |
74,938,623 |
85,107,006 |
Revenue return per share |
1.56p |
1.39p |
Capital return per share |
27.38p |
(35.06p) |
Total return per share |
28.94p |
(33.67p) |
Note 4: Dividends
|
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2023 £000 |
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2022 £000 |
Year ended 31 January 2023 - fourth interim dividend of 1.50p (2022: 1.50p) |
1,118 |
1,285 |
Year ended 31 January 2024 - first interim dividend of 0.90p (2023: 0.90p) |
675 |
752 |
|
1,793 |
2,037 |
The fourth interim dividend for the year ended 31 January 2023 has been allocated to the realised capital reserve and the first interim dividend for the year ended 31 January 2024 has been allocated to the revenue reserve. The fourth interim dividend for the year ended 31 January 2022 and the first interim dividend for the year ended 31 January 2023 were allocated to the special distributable reserve.
Note 5: Ordinary shares of 5p
|
For the six months to 31 July 2023 |
For the six months to 31 July 2022 |
||
|
Number of shares |
£000 |
Number of shares |
£000 |
Ordinary shares of 5p |
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares in issue at the beginning of the period |
76,105,554 |
3,804 |
86,616,404 |
4,330 |
Ordinary shares issued from Treasury during the period |
675,000 |
34 |
- |
- |
Ordinary shares bought back to Treasury during the period |
(2,025,924) |
(101) |
(3,364,066) |
(168) |
Ordinary shares in issue at end of the period |
74,754,630 |
3,737 |
83,252,338 |
4,162 |
|
For the six months to 31 July 2023 |
For the six months to 31 July 2022 |
||
|
Number of shares |
£000 |
Number of shares |
£000 |
Treasury shares (Ordinary shares of 5p) |
|
|
|
|
Treasury shares in issue at the beginning of the period |
22,570,353 |
1,130 |
12,059,503 |
604 |
Ordinary shares issued from Treasury during the period |
(675,000) |
(34) |
- |
- |
Ordinary shares bought back to Treasury during the period |
2,025,924 |
101 |
3,364,066 |
168 |
Treasury shares in issue at end of the period |
23,921,277 |
1,197 |
15,423,569 |
772 |
Total Ordinary shares in issue and in Treasury at the period end |
98,675,907 |
4,934 |
98,675,907 |
4,934 |
Note 6: Capital reserve
|
Realised capital reserve £000 |
Unrealised gains on investments £000 |
Total capital reserve £000 |
As at 31 January 2023 |
154,191 |
67,292 |
221,463 |
Net gains on realisation of investments at fair value |
15,966 |
- |
15,996 |
Movement in fair value of investments |
- |
5,119 |
5,119 |
Realised currency gains during the period |
13 |
- |
13 |
Proceeds from the issue of shares from Treasury |
1,940 |
- |
1,940 |
Cost of shares bought back into Treasury |
(6,742) |
- |
(6,742) |
Capital expenses |
(607) |
- |
(607) |
Dividends paid |
(1,118) |
- |
(1,118) |
As at 31 July 2023 |
163,673 |
72,391 |
236,064 |
|
Realised capital reserve £000 |
Unrealised gains on investments £000 |
Total capital reserve £000 |
As at 31 January 2022 |
110,511 |
101,072 |
211,583 |
Net gains on realisation of investments at fair value |
3,573 |
- |
3,573 |
Movement in fair value of investments |
- |
(33,800) |
(33,800) |
Realised currency losses during the year |
(43) |
- |
(43) |
Cost of shares bought back into Treasury |
(32,848) |
- |
(32,848) |
Capital expenses |
(1,262) |
- |
(1,262) |
Transfer of reserves |
74,260 |
- |
74,260 |
As at 31 January 2023 |
154,191 |
62,272 |
221,463 |
Under FRS 102, the Company is required to classify fair value measurements using a fair value hierarchy that reflects the significance of the inputs used in making the measurements. The fair value hierarchy has the following levels:
- Level 1: quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities;
- Level 2: other significant observable inputs (including quoted prices for similar investments, interest rates, prepayments, credit risk, etc); and
- Level 3: significant unobservable input (including the Company's own assumptions in determining the fair value of investments).
The financial assets measured at fair value through profit and loss are grouped into the fair value hierarchy as follows:
|
(Unaudited) Six months ended 31 July 2023 £000 |
(Audited) Year ended 31 January 2023 £000 |
Level 1 |
293,171 |
277,606 |
Net fair value |
293,171 |
277,606 |
Between 1 August and 22 September 2023, the Company bought back into Treasury 828,029 ordinary shares at an average price of 325.18p per share.