Interim Results for six months to 31 July 2006
To: Stock Exchange For immediate
release:
27 September 2006
Martin Currie Portfolio Investment Trust plc
Interim results for the six months to 31 July 2006
· Our UK listed investments outperformed the FTSE All
Share index. But our international stocks performed
poorly, reflecting weak overseas stockmarkets and
currencies, in particular the yen and the dollar.
As a result, the net asset value per share rose by
1.1% compared to a rise in the benchmark of 2.6%.
· An unchanged interim dividend of 0.5p per share
payable on 27 October 2006 to shareholders on the
register on 6 October 2006.
Chairman's statement
Performance
Over the last six months, returns from the fund have been modest - the net asset
value ("NAV") rose by 1.1%. This represented a degree of underperformance by the
fund relative to its benchmark, the FTSE All Share index, which returned 2.6%.
Consequently, no provision has been made against NAV for the payment of a
performance fee to the manager. That said, the Board hopes that, aligning the
manager's interest with that of shareholders, we shall again pay a performance
fee for the full year. The fund's investment manager, Tom Walker, considers the
underlying reasons for this performance in his review. He then outlines the
reasons why he is taking a positive view of the prospects for equity markets.
Discount
The Board's policy remains to maintain the discount, where possible, in single
figures utilising, as necessary, the company's buyback powers. Over the six-
month period to 31 July 2006 we bought back 1,560,551 shares or 1.0% of the
share capital as at 31 January 2006, at discounts ranging from 7.1% to 10.9%.
This added 0.1% to NAV per share. On 31 July, the discount stood at 9.4%.
Earnings and dividends
The lacklustre progress made by equity markets over the period might initially
be taken to imply that there has been a slowdown in corporate earnings growth.
However, earnings growth has actually been robust; in addition, there has been
an increased focus on improving returns to shareholders on the part of many
companies.
This is reflected in the portfolio. Revenue return per share has increased by
11.2% when compared with the first half of the last financial year, from 1.34p
to 1.49p. The board has declared an interim dividend of 0.50p per share,
unchanged on the level for the same period last year. This dividend will be paid
on 27 October 2006 to shareholders on the register on 6 October.
Outlook
The company's investment portfolio consists predominantly of UK-listed equities,
with less than 20% being invested directly in overseas securities as at 31 July.
However, due to the importance of global operations to many of the UK's largest
companies, the British stockmarket and the Portfolio Trust both have a high
degree of exposure to overseas economies.
In the past few weeks, there has been little movement in the UK market, but it
remains within 96% of the levels reached earlier in the year. Over the
intervening months, the prospects for world economic growth have not changed
markedly, as Tom Walker discusses in more detail in his review. This supports a
broadly positive outlook for profits and dividends which, given the multiple on
which UK equities are currently trading, means that UK share prices remain
relatively attractive.
Recent events both in the Middle East and at airports in the UK have highlighted
the many risks to sentiment. Sadly, such events appear to have become a fact of
life and therefore exert little long-lasting impact upon world financial
markets. Hence, with relatively benign economic and corporate conditions
prevailing globally, there is scope for equities to make progress over the next
few months.
Peter Berry
Manager's report
Performance
Our UK listed investments outperformed the FTSE All Share index. But our
international stocks performed poorly, reflecting weak overseas stockmarkets and
currencies, in particular the yen and the dollar. In this six-month period, our
overseas investments account for almost all the underperformance.
Review
United Kingdom
The UK market outperformed most other equity markets and the gilt market in this
period. At a time when investors lost some of their appetite for risk, the low-
risk characteristics of the UK market stood it in good stead. For example the UK
has very few technology companies, which has been the weakest sector of global
equity markets over the last six months. Equally, defensive sectors such as
pharmaceuticals, utilities and foods are well represented. The market's
increased risk aversion was also reflected in the outperformance of large caps
relative to smaller companies. Both large and medium-sized companies produced
positive returns over the period. But after outperforming for much of 2003, 2004
and 2005, smaller companies finally fell out of favour - the FTSE Small Cap
index produced a negative return over the period.
International
Our exposure to overseas markets is a relatively modest 20% of assets, but,
while the total return of the FTSE All Share index was 4.5%, the FTSE World ex-
UK index actually fell 3.3% in the six-month period. Shifting exchange rates
have been one of the key determinants of performance. The weakness of the yen
and the dollar affected bottom-line returns adversely. Japan has been one of
the worst performing markets as the Bank of Japan tightened money supply when it
ended its policy of quantitative easing. The US was also weak. Concerns over
economic growth, inflation and interest rates continued to mount and volatility
rose sharply.
Private equity
Having performed extremely strongly in recent years, our private equity
investments underperformed marginally during the last 6 months. Clearly, the
private equity cycle is moving closer to maturity but we have benefited as both
Candover and 3i have repaid excess capital back to their shareholders. In
addition, we continue to enjoy the uplift on realisations from F&C Private
Equity Trust A-shares, which represent 6% of assets.
Stock selection
Stock selection is where I aim to add value over the longer term. Among stock
selection successes, Lafarge North America (building materials) and Schering
(pharmaceuticals) were taken over at healthy premia. Elsewhere, the strong
earnings growth being generated by Vedanta and Infosys, whose principal
operations are in India, was rewarded by good share price performance. Tesco
finally converted its strong operating performance into share price
appreciation, while Man Group, the hedge fund manager, was rewarded for its
continued successes. At a time when many were worrying about US consumers, our
two US retailers, CVS and Kohl's, were among our top-performing holdings. At the
other end of the scale, our three investments in Japan, most notably Tokyu
Corporation (which I have now sold), did poorly. Despite the continued rise in
the oil price, our energy investments also underperformed, as did technology
stocks Samsung Electronics, EMC and Microsoft, the last of which I have sold.
Outlook
Markets have been especially weak since mid-May and have been highly volatile.
This probably reflects the considerable uncertainty surrounding the future
direction of interest rates, notably in the USA, but also worldwide. The US
economy's unsustainably high rate of growth is bound to slow - and possibly
China's too. Investors are nervous that inflation will force central banks to
raise interest rates too far, causing a collapse in growth or even a recession.
So the volatility has arisen as investors fret, first about recession and then
about inflation - nearly every 'top-down` economic statistic points to one or
the other! The `Goldilocks economy' (neither too hot nor too cold) seems a
distant memory.
The European economy is doing better than it has done for years and we should be
encouraged that the European Central Bank is nudging interest rates higher. The
UK has also grown more rapidly than was anticipated just six months ago. The
Bank of England is now forecasting 2.8% GDP growth this year and 3.1% in 2007.
I still believe that Japan's economic recovery is intact, frustratingly slow
though it is. Recent strong capital investment data and bank lending figures,
which hit a new ten-year high, confirm this trend. With interest rates at only
0.25% in Japan, higher rates are almost inevitable but they will confirm a
return to greater economic resilience. China's economy certainly experiences
'hotspots` that require dousing from time to time. But I believe strongly that
its economic growth rate will lead the world for many years to come. Finally and
most importantly, I believe the USA, still easily the largest economy in the
world, will continue to grow. At some stage, the economic cycle will lead to a
recession but I do not see this in the next two years. So I do not feel slow
growth is a major threat at present. Nor do I believe that current modest
inflation will rise to the extent of forcing penal interest rates.
I prefer to focus on companies rather than markets but I believe these 'top-
down` concerns are a significant influence on the market at present and may
continue to be so for a few months yet. As a result, in a strong earnings
season, companies reporting positive earnings have enjoyed only modest share
price reaction, if any at all. Companies that have disappointed with earnings
have been harshly punished. So I think that in many cases equity valuations
appear quite attractive.
The portfolio is positioned to benefit from continued economic growth. The
thrust of our stock selection process is to identify companies whose earnings
prospects are under-appreciated. For example, I believe the current scepticism
around global growth has resulted in analysts' earnings expectations being far
too modest for many resource companies. We are overweight in the resource
sector. We also remain committed to private equity. Our holdings there represent
15% of assets.
With political unrest adding to the economic uncertainties, it is easy to see
why investors are on edge at the moment. I share this nervousness but believe
that a combination of growth and reasonable valuation should allow equity
markets to appreciate over the next year.
Tom Walker
For more information, please contact:
Tom Walker twalker@martincurrie.com 0131 229 5252
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
INCOME STATEMENT
for the six months to 31 July 2006
Unaudited
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Gains / (losses) on - realised - 3,883 3,883
investments
- unrealised - (5,121) (5,121)
Currency gains - 6 6
Income - franked 2,289 3,045 5,334
- unfranked 403 - 403
Investment management fee (179) (358) (537)
Performance fee - (131) (131)
Other expenses (257) - (257)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 2,256 1,324 3,580
taxation
Finance costs - shareholders' funds (2,544) (1,171) (3,715)
Finance costs - repurchase of shares - 161 161
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before (288) 314 26
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (26) - (26)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to shareholders (314) 314 -
_______ _______ _______
Returns per ordinary share (as defined by the Articles) are detailed in note 1.
The total column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
company.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period.
The directors have declared an interim dividend of 0.50p per share, which will
be paid on 27 October 2006 to shareholders on the register on 6 October 2006.
The interim results will be circulated to shareholders in the form of an interim
report, copies of which will be available at the company's registered office,
Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh EH1 2ES.
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
INCOME STATEMENT
for the period to 31 July 2005
Unaudited
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Gains on investments - realised - 1,905 1,905
- unrealised - 12,632 12,632
Currency losses - (31) (31)
Income - franked 2,170 2,238 4,408
- unfranked 386 - 386
Investment management fee (108) (218) (326)
Performance fee - (431) (431)
Other expenses (269) - (269)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 2,179 16,095 18,274
taxation
Finance costs - shareholders' funds (3,842) (14,650) (18,492)
Finance costs - repurchase of shares - 244 244
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before (1,663) 1,689 26
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (26) - (26)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to shareholders (1,689) 1,689 -
_______ _______ _______
Returns per ordinary share (as defined by the Articles) are detailed in note 1.
The total column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
company.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period.
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
BALANCE SHEET
As at 31 July 2006 As at 31 July 2005 As at 31 January
(unaudited) (unaudited) 2006
(audited)
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
Fixed assets
Investments at 175,973 163,202 179,20
market value 7
Current assets
Debtors 434 539 242
Cash at bank 2,847 1,942 2,145
_______ _______ _______
3,281 2,481 2,387
Creditors
Amounts falling
due within one (309) (835) (1,943)
year
_______ _______ _______
Net current 2,972 1,646 444
assets
_______ _______ ______
_
Net asset value 178,945 164,848 179,65
attributable to 1
shareholders
_______ _______ ______
_
Net asset value 119.7p 103.1p 118.9p
per ordinary
share
AIC net asset 118.2p 102.4p 116.9p
value per
ordinary share
MARTIN CURRIE PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TRUST plc
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
Six months to Six months to
31 July 2006 31 July 2005
(unaudited) (unaudited)
£000 £000 £000 £000
Operating activities
Net dividends and interest
received from investments 5,477 4,661
Interest received from 56 124
deposits
Investment management fee (2,104) (499)
Cash paid to and on behalf
of directors (63) (60)
Bank charges (19) (12)
Net taxation paid (29) (3)
Other cash payments (358) (229)
_______ _______
Net cash inflow from 2,960 3,982
operating activities
Servicing of finance
Finance costs - (2,544) (3,812)
shareholders' funds
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from (2,544) (3,812)
servicing of finance
Capital expenditure and
financial investment
Payments to acquire (15,877) (42,748)
investments
Receipts from disposal of 17,872 43,491
investments
Foreign exchange differences 6 (31)
_______ _______
Net cash inflow from capital 2,001 712
expenditure and financial
investment
_______ _______
Net cash inflow before 2,417 882
financing
Financing
Repurchase of ordinary share (1,715) (1,576)
capital
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from (1,715) (1,576)
financing
_______ _______
Increase/(decrease) in cash 702 (694)
for the period
_______ _______
Notes
1. Returns and net asset value
The return and net asset value per ordinary share are calculated with reference
to the following figures:
Six months Six months
Revenue return to to
31 July 31 July
2006 2005
Return attributable to (£314,000) (£1,689,00
ordinary shareholders 0)
Add back finance costs: £2,544,000 £3,842,000
shareholders' funds
__________ __________
_ _
£2,230,000 £2,153,000
Average number of shares in 149,720,12 160,860,97
issue during period 6 8
Revenue return per ordinary 1.49p 1.34p
share
Capital return
Capital return attributable £314,000 £1,689,000
to ordinary shareholders
Adjustment for movement in £1,171,000 £14,650,00
redemption entitlement 0
__________ __________
_ _
£1,485,000 £16,339,00
0
Average number of shares in 149,720,12 160,860,97
issue during period 6 8
Capital return per ordinary 0.99p 10.15p
share
Net asset value per share As at 31 As at 31 As at 31
July 2006 July 2005 January 2006
Net assets attributable to £178,945,0 £164,848,0 £179,651,000
shareholders 00 00
Number of shares in issue at 149,529,85 159,856,27 151,090,401
period end 8 6
Net asset value per share 119.7p 103.1p 118.9p
2. Reconciliation of accounting and AIC net asset values
As at 31 As at 31 As at 31
July 2006 July 2005 January 2006
Accounting net asset value 119.7p 103.1p 118.9p
per share
Adjustment per share from bid - 0.6p -
to mid price valuation of
investments
Exclusion of undistributed (1.5p) (1.3p) (2.0p)
current period revenue
___________ ___________ ___________
AIC net asset value per share 118.2p 102.4p 116.9p