Final Results - Part 6 of 8

RNS Number : 9637X
Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC
23 February 2012
 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk of financial loss due to the failure of a customer to meet its obligation to settle outstanding amounts. The quantum and nature of credit risk assumed across the Group's different businesses vary considerably, while the overall credit risk outcome usually exhibits a high degree of correlation with the macroeconomic environment.

 

Loans and advances to customers by sector

In the table below loans and advances exclude disposal groups and repurchase agreements. Totals for disposal groups are also presented.

 

 


31 December 2011


30 September 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core (1)

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core (1)

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core (1)

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Central and local government

8,359 

1,383 

9,742 


8,097 

1,507 

9,604 


6,781 

1,671 

8,452 

Finance

46,452 

3,229 

49,681 


48,094 

4,884 

52,978 


46,910 

7,651 

54,561 

Residential mortgages

138,509 

5,102 

143,611 


143,941 

5,319 

149,260 


140,359 

6,142 

146,501 

Personal lending

31,067 

1,556 

32,623 


32,152 

2,810 

34,962 


33,581 

3,891 

37,472 

Property

38,704 

38,064 

76,768 


44,072 

40,628 

84,700 


42,455 

47,651 

90,106 

Construction

6,781 

2,672 

9,453 


7,992 

3,062 

11,054 


8,680 

3,352 

12,032 

Manufacturing

23,201 

4,931 

28,132 


24,816 

5,233 

30,049 


25,797 

6,520 

32,317 

Service industries and

  business activities












  - retail, wholesale and repairs

21,314 

2,339 

23,653 


22,207 

2,427 

24,634 


21,974 

3,191 

25,165 

  - transport and storage

16,454 

5,477 

21,931 


16,236 

6,009 

22,245 


15,946 

8,195 

24,141 

  - health, education and

    Recreation

13,273 

1,419 

14,692 


16,224 

1,515 

17,739 


17,456 

1,865 

19,321 

  - hotels and restaurants

7,143 

1,161 

8,304 


7,841 

1,358 

9,199 


8,189 

1,492 

9,681 

  - utilities

6,543 

1,849 

8,392 


8,212 

1,725 

9,937 


7,098 

2,110 

9,208 

  - other

24,228 

3,772 

28,000 


24,744 

4,479 

29,223 


24,464 

5,530 

29,994 

Agriculture, forestry and fishing

3,471 

129 

3,600 


3,767 

135 

3,902 


3,758 

135 

3,893 

Finance leases and

  instalment credit

8,440 

6,059 

14,499 


8,404 

7,467 

15,871 


8,321 

8,529 

16,850 

Interest accruals

675 

116 

791 


661 

152 

813 


831 

278 

1,109 













Gross loans

394,614 

79,258 

473,872 


417,460 

88,710 

506,170 


412,600 

108,203 

520,803 













Gross loans including disposal

  groups

414,063 

80,005 

494,068 


417,510 

90,389 

507,899 


412,851 

113,001 

525,852 













Loan impairment provisions

(8,292)

(11,468)

(19,760)


(8,748)

(11,849)

(20,597)


(7,740)

(10,315)

(18,055)













Loan impairment provisions

  including disposal groups

(9,065)

(11,486)

(20,551)


(8,748)

(11,867)

(20,615)


(7,740)

(10,351)

(18,091)













Net loans

386,322 

67,790 

454,112 


408,712 

76,861 

485,573


404,860 

97,888 

502,748 













Net loans including disposal

  groups

404,998 

68,519 

473,517 


408,762 

78,522 

487,284 


405,111 

102,650 

507,761 

 

 

Note:

(1)

Non-Core includes amounts relating to RFS MI of £0.4 billion at 31 December 2011 (30 September 2011 - £0.6 billion; 31 December 2010 - £0.6 billion)

 

Key points

·

Gross loans and advances including disposal groups decreased by £31.8 billion during 2011 and £13.8 billion in Q4 2011, predominantly in Non-Core.

·

Non-Core disposal strategy led to gross loans decreasing by £33 billion (Q4 2011 - £10.4 billion). Property accounted for 40% of this decrease.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Risk elements in lending

The table below analyses the Group's risk elements in lending (REIL) without taking account of any security held which could reduce the eventual loss should it occur, nor of any provisions. REIL is split into UK and overseas, based on the location of the lending office.

 


31 December 2011


30 September 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Impaired loans (1)












  - UK

8,291 

7,284 

15,575 


9,222 

7,471 

16,693 


8,575 

7,835 

16,410 

  - Overseas

7,015 

16,157 

23,172 


6,695 

16,274 

22,969 


4,936 

14,355 

19,291 














15,306 

23,441 

38,747 


15,917 

23,745 

39,662 


13,511 

22,190 

35,701 













Accruing loans past due

  90 days or more (2)












  - UK

1,192 

508 

1,700 


1,648 

580 

2,228 


1,434 

939 

2,373 

  - Overseas

364 

34 

398 


580 

256 

836 


262 

262 

524 














1,556 

542 

2,098 


2,228 

836 

3,064 


1,696 

1,201 

2,897 













Total REIL

16,862 

23,983 

40,845 


18,145 

24,581 

42,726 


15,207 

23,391 

38,598 













REIL including disposal groups



42,394 




42,752 




38,651 













REIL as a % of gross

  loans and advances (3)

4.4% 

30.1% 

8.6% 


4.3% 

27.4% 

8.4% 


3.7% 

20.8% 

7.3% 

Provisions as a % of REIL

50% 

48% 

49% 


49% 

48% 

49% 


52% 

44% 

47% 

 

Notes:

(1)

All loans against which an impairment provision is held.

(2)

Loans where an impairment event has taken place but no impairment provision recognised. This category is used for fully collateralised non-revolving credit facilities.

(3)

Includes disposal groups and excludes reverse repos.

 

 

Key points

·

REIL, including disposal groups, increased by £3.7 billion in the year.



·

Ulster Bank Group's non-performing loans increased significantly by £3.5 billion (Core - £1.9 billion; Non-Core - £1.6 billion). This principally related to residential mortgages (£0.6 billion, 39% increase) and commercial real estate (£2.4 billion, 25% increase), reflecting the continued deteriorating conditions in property sectors in Ireland. The Non-Core REIL increase related to Ulster Bank was partially offset by run-off in other Non-Core donating divisions in the year.



·

UK Corporate REIL increased by £1.0 billion, principally due to extended work-out periods associated with corporate loan restructuring arrangements. 



·

REIL declined marginally (£0.4 billion) during Q4 2011 principally reflecting Non-Core GBM write-offs.



·

Disposal groups REIL at 31 December 2011 of £1.5 billion comprised impaired loans of £1.3 billion; and accruing loans of £0.2 billion in relation to the UK branch based businesses, of which £1 billion was in UK Corporate and £0.5 billion in UK Retail.

 

For sector, geography and divisional analysis of loans, REIL and impairments, refer to Appendix 3.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairments by division

The following tables analyse loans and advances to banks and customers (excluding reverse repos) and related REIL, provisions, impairments, write-offs and coverage ratios by division.


Gross 

loans 

banks 

Gross 

loans 

customers 

REIL 

Provisions 

REIL as a % 

of gross 

customer 

loans 

Provisions 

as a % 

of REIL 

YTD 

Impairment 

charge 

YTD 

Amounts 

written-off 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

UK Retail

628 

103,377 

4,087 

2,344 

4.0 

57 

788 

823 

UK Corporate

672 

96,647 

3,972 

1,608 

4.1 

40 

782 

653 

Wealth

2,422 

16,913 

211 

81 

1.2 

38 

25 

11 

Global Transaction Services

3,464 

15,767 

218 

234 

1.4 

107 

166 

79 

Ulster Bank

2,079 

34,052 

5,523 

2,749 

16.2 

50 

1,384 

124 

US Retail & Commercial

208 

51,436 

1,006 

451 

2.0 

45 

247 

371 










Retail & Commercial

9,473 

318,192 

15,017 

7,467 

4.7 

50 

3,392 

2,061 

Global Banking & Markets

30,072 

75,493 

1,845 

947 

2.4 

51 

11 

76 

RBS Insurance and other

3,829 

929 










Core

43,374 

394,614 

16,862 

8,414 

4.3 

50 

3,403 

2,137 

Non-Core

619 

79,258 

23,983 

11,469 

30.3 

48 

3,838 

2,390 










Group

43,993 

473,872 

40,845 

19,883 

8.6 

49 

7,241 

4,527 










Total including disposal groups

44,080 

494,068 

42,394 

20,674 

8.6 

49 

7,241 

4,527 










30 September 2011









UK Retail

434 

110,086 

4,651 

2,661 

4.2 

57 

597 

658 

UK Corporate

70 

109,977 

4,904 

1,961 

4.5 

40 

549 

498 

Wealth

2,326 

17,037 

198 

71 

1.2 

36 

13 

Global Transaction Services

3,707 

19,545 

240 

201 

1.2 

84 

119 

66 

Ulster Bank

2,791 

35,546 

5,556 

2,567 

15.6 

46 

1,057 

63 

US Retail & Commercial

186 

49,477 

955 

469 

1.9 

49 

193 

267 










Retail & Commercial

9,514 

341,668 

16,504 

7,930 

4.8 

48 

2,528 

1,560 

Global Banking & Markets

35,900 

73,921 

1,641 

943 

2.2 

57 

(49)

51 

RBS Insurance and other

6,604 

1,871 










Core

52,018 

417,460 

18,145 

8,873 

4.3 

49 

2,479 

1,611 

Non-Core

709 

88,710 

24,581 

11,850 

27.7 

48 

3,108 

1,409 










Group

52,727 

506,170 

42,726 

20,723 

8.4 

49 

5,587 

3,020 










Total including disposal groups

52,822 

507,899 

42,752 

20,741 

8.4 

49 

5,587 

3,020 










31 December 2010









UK Retail

408 

108,405 

4,620 

2,741 

4.3 

59 

1,160 

1,135 

UK Corporate

72 

111,672 

3,967 

1,732 

3.6 

44 

761 

349 

Wealth

2,220 

16,130 

223 

66 

1.4 

30 

18 

Global Transaction Services

3,047 

14,437 

146 

147 

1.0 

101 

49 

Ulster Bank

2,928 

36,858 

3,619 

1,633 

9.8 

45 

1,161 

48 

US Retail & Commercial

145 

48,516 

913 

505 

1.9 

55 

483 

547 










Retail & Commercial

8,820 

336,018 

13,488 

6,824 

4.0 

51 

3,591 

2,137 

Global Banking & Markets

46,073 

75,981 

1,719 

1,042 

2.3 

61 

146 

87 

RBS Insurance and other

2,140 

601 










Core

57,033 

412,600  

15,207 

7,866 

3.7 

52 

3,737 

2,224 

Non-Core

1,003 

108,203  

23,391 

10,316 

21.6 

44 

5,407 

3,818 










Group

58,036 

520,803 

38,598 

18,182 

7.4 

47 

9,144 

6,042 










Total including disposal groups

58,687 

525,852 

38,651 

18,218 

7.3 

47 

9,144 

6,042 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Risk elements in lending

The tables below details the movement in REIL for the year ended 31 December 2011.

 


Impaired loans


Other loans (1)


REIL


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













At 1 January 2011

13,511 

22,190 

35,701 


1,696 

1,201 

2,897 


15,207 

23,391 

38,598 

Transfers to disposal groups

(1,287)

(1,287)


(238)

(238)


(1,525)

(1,525)

Intra-group transfers

300 

(300)


149 

(149)


449 

(449)

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

(158)

(496)

(654)


(14)

(14)


(172)

(496)

(668)

Additions

8,379 

8,698 

17,077 


2,585 

1,059 

3,644 


10,964 

9,757 

20,721 

Transfers

645 

381 

1,026 


(362)

(352)

(714)


283 

29 

312 

Disposals and restructurings

(407)

(1,470)

(1,877)


(9)

(97)

(106)


(416)

(1,567)

(1,983)

Repayments

(3,540)

(3,172)

(6,712)


(2,251)

(1,120)

(3,371)


(5,791)

(4,292)

(10,083)

Amounts written-off

(2,137)

(2,390)

(4,527)



(2,137)

(2,390)

(4,527)













At 31 December 2011

15,306 

23,441 

38,747 


1,556 

542 

2,098 


16,862 

23,983 

40,845 

 


Impaired loans


Other loans (1)


REIL


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













At 1 January 2011

13,511 

22,190 

35,701 


1,696 

1,201 

2,897 


15,207 

23,391 

38,598 

Intra-group transfers

300 

(300)


81 

(81)


381 

(381)

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

(167)

(167)


(5)

(3)

(8)


(5)

(170)

(175)

Additions

6,261 

6,910 

13,171 


2,143 

827 

2,970 


8,404 

7,737 

16,141 

Transfers

400 

312 

712 


(217)

(235)

(452)


183 

77 

260 

Disposals and restructurings

(373)

(1,206)

(1,579)


(9)

(97)

(106)


(382)

(1,303)

(1,685)

Repayments

(2,571)

(2,585)

(5,156)


(1,461)

(776)

(2,237)


(4,032)

(3,361)

(7,393)

Amounts written-off

(1,611)

(1,409)

(3,020)



(1,611)

(1,409)

(3,020)













At 30 September 2011

15,917 

23,745 

39,662 


2,228 

836 

3,064 


18,145 

24,581 

42,726 

Transfers to disposal groups

(1,287)

(1,287)


(238)

(238)


(1,525)

(1,525)

Intra-group transfers


68 

(68)


68

(68)

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

(158)

 (329)

(487)


(9)

(6)


(167)

(326)

(493)

Additions

2,118 

1,788 

3,906 


442 

232 

674 


2,560 

2,020 

4,580 

Transfers

245 

69 

314 


(145)

(117)

(262)


100 

(48)

52 

Disposals and restructurings

(34)

(264)

(298)






(34)

(264)

(298)

Repayments

(969)

(587)

(1,556)


(790)

(344)

(1,134)


(1,759)

(931)

(2,690)

Amounts written-off

(526)

(981)

(1,507)



(526)

(981)

(1,507)













At 31 December 2011

15,306 

23,441 

38,747 


1,556 

542 

2,098 


16,862 

23,983 

40,845 

 

Note:

(1)

Accruing loans past due 90 days or more.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Impairment provisions

 

Movement in loan impairment provisions

The following tables show the movement in impairment provisions for loans and advances to banks and customers.


Year ended


31 December 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 











At beginning of period

7,866 

10,316 

18,182 


6,921 

8,252 

2,110 

17,283 

Transfers to disposal groups

(773)

(773)


(72)

(72)

Intra-group transfers

177 

(177)


(568)

568 

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

(76)

(207)

(283)


(16)

59 

43 

Disposals


(20)

(2,152)

(2,172)

Amounts written-off

(2,137)

(2,390)

(4,527)


(2,224)

(3,818)

(6,042)

Recoveries of amounts

  previously written-off

167 

360 

527 


213 

198

411 

Charge to income statement










  - continued

3,403 

3,838 

7,241 


3,737 

5,407

9,144 

  - discontinued

(8)

(8)


42 

42 

Unwind of discount

(213)

(271)

(484)


(197)

(258)

(455)











At end of period

8,414 

11,469 

19,883 


7,866 

10,316 

18,182 

 


Quarter ended


31 December 2011


30 September 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

RFS 

MI 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

RFS 

MI 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 















At beginning of period

8,873 

11,850 

20,723 


8,752 

12,007 

20,759 


7,791 

9,879 

17,670 

Transfers to disposal

  groups

(773)

(773)



(5)

 

(5)

Intra-group transfers



(217)

217 

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

(75)

(162)

(237)


(90)

(285)

(375)


147 

(235)

(88)

Disposals

(3)

(3)



(3)

(3)

(6)

Amounts written-off

(526)

(981)

(1,507)


(593)

(497)

(1,090)


(745)

(771)

(1,516)

Recoveries of amounts

  previously written-off

48 

99 

147 


39 

55 

94 


29 

67 

96 

Charge to income

   statement














  - continued

924 

730 

1,654 


817 

635 

1,452 


912 

1,243 

2,155 

  - discontinued



Unwind of discount

(57)

(67)

(124)


(52)

(65)

(117)


(51)

(76)

(127)















At end of period

8,414 

11,469 

19,883 


8,873 

11,850 

20,723 


7,866 

10,316 

18,182 

 

Key points

·

Impairment provisions excluding £0.8 billion relating to disposal groups increased by £1.7 billion during 2011.



·

Ulster Bank Group's provisions increased by £3.1 billion during the year (Core - £1.1 billion; Non-Core - £2.0 billion), with REIL coverage increasing to 53% (Core - 50%; Non-Core - 54%) from 44% at the end of 2010, predominantly reflecting the deterioration in value of the commercial real estate development portfolio.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Impairment provisions (continued)

 

Movement in loan impairment provisions (continued)

The following table analyses impairment provisions in respect of loans and advances to banks and customers.

 


31 December 2011


30 September 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Latent loss

1,339 

647 

1,986 


1,516 

751 

2,267 


1,653 

997 

2,650 

Collectively assessed

4,279 

861 

5,140 


4,675 

1,114 

5,789 


4,139 

1,157 

5,296 

Individually assessed

2,674 

9,960 

12,634 


2,557 

9,984 

12,541 


1,948 

8,161 

10,109 













Customer loans

8,292 

11,468 

19,760 


8,748 

11,849 

20,597 


7,740 

10,315 

18,055 

Bank loans

122 

123 


125 

126 


126 

127 













Total provisions

8,414 

11,469 

19,883 


8,873 

11,850 

20,723 


7,866 

10,316 

18,182 













% of loans (1)

2.2% 

14.4% 

4.2% 


2.1% 

13.2% 

4.1% 


1.9% 

9.1% 

3.4% 

 

Note:

(1)

Customer provisions as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including assets of disposal groups and excluding reverse repos.

 

Impairment charge

The following table analyses the impairment charge for loans and securities.

 


Year ended


31 December 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non-Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 










Latent loss

(252)

(293)

(545)


(5)

(116)

(121)

Collectively assessed

2,075 

516 

2,591 


2,258 

812 

3,070 

Individually assessed

1,580 

3,615 

5,195 


1,489 

4,719 

6,208 










Customer loans

3,403 

3,838 

7,241 


3,742 

5,415 

9,157 

Bank loans


(5)

(8)

(13)

Securities - sovereign debt impairment and

  related interest rate hedge adjustments

1,268 

1,268 


Securities - other

117 

81 

200 


44 

68 

112 










Charge to income statement

4,788 

3,919 

8,709 


3,781 

5,475 

9,256 










Charge relating to customer loans as a %

  of gross customer loans (1)

0.8% 

4.8% 

1.5% 


0.9% 

4.9% 

1.7% 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Impairment charge (continued)

 


Quarter ended


31 December 2011


30 September 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 














Latent loss

(87)

(103)

(190)


(33)

(27)

(60)


(68)

(48)

(116)

Collectively assessed

478 

113 

591 


548 

141 

689 


559 

170 

729 

Individually assessed

533 

720 

1,253 


302 

521 

823 


426 

1,129 

1,555 














Customer loans

924 

730 

1,654 


817 

635 

1,452 


917 

1,251 

2,168 

Bank loans


- 


(5)

(8)

(13)

Securities - sovereign debt

  impairment and related

  interest rate hedge

  adjustments

224 

224 


202 

202 


Securities - other

17 

21 

40 


37 

47 

84 


19  

(33)

(14)














Charge to income

  statement

1,165 

751 

1,918 


1,056 

682 

1,738 


931 

1,210 

2,141 














Charge relating to

  customer loans as a % of

  gross customer loans (1)

0.9% 

3.7% 

1.3% 


0.8% 

2.8% 

1.1% 


0.9% 

4.4% 

1.6% 

 

Note:

(1)

Customer loan impairment charge as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including assets of disposal groups and excluding reverse purchase agreements.

 

Key points

·

The impairment charge, excluding securities, decreased by £1.9 billion or 21% compared with 2010, driven largely by a £1.6 billion reduction in Non-Core, despite continuing challenges in Ulster Bank and corporate real estate portfolios.



·

The Group's customer loan impairment charge as a percentage of loans and advances was 1.5% compared with 1.7% for 2010.



·

The securities impairment in 2011 primarily reflects an impairment charge of £1.3 billion in respect of the Group's holdings of Greek sovereign bonds and related interest rate hedges.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Restructuring and forbearance

 

Wholesale loan restructuring

The total amount of wholesale restructurings that achieved legal completion in 2011 was £8.6 billion. In addition, a further £14.7 billion was in the process of being completed at 31 December 2011. Restructured loans, related internal asset quality bands, sector breakdown and types of restructuring are set out below.

 

31 December 2011

AQ1-AQ9 (1)

£m 


AQ10 (2)

£m 

AQ10 (2)

Provision 

coverage 

 

 

 

 

 

Wholesale restructurings by sector

 

 

 

 

Property

1,980 

 

2,600 

18 

Transport

686 

 

694 

11 

Non-bank financial institutions

228 

 

420 

65 

Retail and leisure

503 

 

148 

24 

Other

1,078 

 

251 

28 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

4,475 

 

4,113 

22 

 

Notes:

(1)

Probability of default less than 100%.

(2)

Probability of default is 100%.

 

The incidence of the main types of restructuring is analysed below.

 

31 December 2011

Loans 

 by value 



Wholesale restructurings by type of arrangement


Variation in margin

12 

Payment holidays and loan rescheduling

87 

Forgiveness of all or part of the outstanding debt

31 

Other

 

Note:

(1)

The total above exceeds 100% as an individual case can involve more than one type of arrangement.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Restructuring and forbearance (continued)

 

Retail forbearance

Retail mortgage accounts in forbearance arrangements at 31 December 2011 totalled £6.6 billion. The mortgage arrears information for retail accounts in forbearance and related provision arrangements are shown in the table below.

 


No missed

payments


1-3 months

in arrears


>3 months

in arrears


Total




Balance 

Provision 


Balance 

Provision 


Balance 

Provision 


Balance 

Provision 


Accounts 

forborne 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Arrears status and

  provisions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK Retail (1,2)

3,677 

16 

 

351 

13 

 

407 

59 

 

4,435 

88 

 

4.7 

Ulster Bank (1,2)

893 

78 

 

516 

45 

 

421 

124 

 

1,830 

247 

 

9.1 

Citizens

 

91 

10 

 

89 

10 

 

180 

20 

 

0.8 

Wealth

121 

 

 

 

123 

 

1.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

4,691 

94 

 

958 

68 

 

919 

193 

 

6,568 

355 

 

4.4 

 

Notes:

(1)

Includes all forbearance arrangements regardless of whether or not the customer is experiencing financial difficulty.

(2)

Comprises the current stock position of forbearance deals agreed since January 2008 for UK Retail and since July 2008 for Ulster Bank.

(3)

Refer to page 173 for details of the proportion of UK Retail and Citizens mortgage loans that have missed three or more payments, compared to the forbearance population above.

 

 


UK Retail (1)

Ulster Bank 

Citizens 

Wealth 

Total (2)

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 







Forbearance arrangements






Interest only conversions

1,269 

795 

2,067 

Term extensions - capital repayment and interest only

1,805 

58 

97 

1,960 

Payment concessions/holidays

198 

876 

180 

1,254 

Capitalisation of arrears

864 

101 

965 

Other

517 

23 

540 







Total

4,653 

1,830 

180 

123 

6,786 

 

Notes:

(1)

For unsecured portfolios in UK Retail, 1.1% of the total unsecured population was subject to forbearance at 31 December 2011.

(2)

As an individual case can include more than one type of arrangement, the analysis in the table on forbearance arrangements exceeds the total forbearance.

 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities

The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and measurement classification. The categorisation of debt securities has been revised to include asset-backed securities (ABS) by class of issuer. The main changes are to US central and local government which includes US federal agencies, and financial institutions which now includes US government sponsored agencies and securitisation entities. 2010 data are presented on the revised basis.

 


Central and local government

Banks 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Total 

Of which 

ABS 

UK 

US 

Other 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










31 December 2011









Held-for-trading

9,004 

19,636 

36,928 

3,400 

23,160 

2,948 

95,076 

20,816 

Designated as at fair value

127 

53 

457 

647 

558 

Available-for-sale

13,436 

20,848 

25,552 

13,175 

31,752 

2,535 

107,298 

40,735 

Loans and receivables

10 

312 

5,259 

477 

6,059 

5,200 










Long positions

22,451 

40,484 

62,608 

16,940 

60,628 

5,969 

209,080 

67,309 










Of which US agencies

4,896 

25,924 

30,820 

28,558 










Short positions (HFT)

(3,098)

(10,661)

(19,136)

(2,556)

(2,854)

(754)

(39,059)

(352)










Available-for-sale









Gross unrealised gains

1,428 

1,311 

1,180 

52 

913 

94 

4,978 

1,001 

Gross unrealised losses

(171)

(838)

(2,386)

(13)

(3,408)

(3,158)










30 September 2011


















Held-for-trading

8,434 

20,120 

47,621 

4,216 

27,511 

4,666 

112,568 

24,123 

Designated as at fair value

140 

10 

162 

Available-for-sale

13,328 

20,032 

28,976 

17,268 

28,463 

2,334 

110,401 

41,091 

Loans and receivables

10 

274 

5,764 

478 

6,526 

5,447 










Long positions

21,773 

40,152 

76,737 

21,762 

61,745 

7,488 

229,657 

70,662 










Of which US agencies

5,311 

27,931 

33,242 

30,272 










Short positions (HFT)

(2,896)

(12,763)

(21,484)

(2,043)

(4,437)

(1,680)

(45,303)

(895)










Available-for-sale









Gross unrealised gains

1,090 

1,240 

1,331 

310 

1,117 

81 

5,169 

1,242 

Gross unrealised losses

(124)

(1,039)

(2,371)

(24)

(3,558)

(3,114)

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities (continued)

 


Central and local government

Banks 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Total 

Of which 

ABS 

UK 

US 

Other 

31 December 2010

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










Held-for-trading

5,097 

15,648 

42,828 

5,486 

23,711 

6,099 

98,869 

21,988 

Designated as at fair value

117 

262 

10 

402 

119 

Available-for-sale

8,377 

22,244 

32,865 

16,982 

29,148 

1,514 

111,130 

42,515 

Loans and receivables

11 

6,686 

381 

7,079 

6,203 










Long positions

13,486 

38,009 

75,955 

22,473 

59,553 

8,004 

217,480 

70,825 










Of which US agencies

6,811 

21,686 

28,497 

25,375 










Short positions (HFT)

(4,200)

(10,943)

(18,913)

(1,844)

(3,356)

(1,761)

(41,017)

(1,335)










Available-for-sale









Gross unrealised gains

349 

525 

700 

143 

827 

51 

2,595 

1,057 

Gross unrealised losses

(10)

(2)

(618)

(786)

(2,626)

(55)

(4,097)

(3,396)

 

 

Key points

·

Held-for-trading debt securities decreased by £3.8 billion during the year due to a reduction in trading volumes. A managed reduction in sovereign exposures in the eurozone and other countries, in response to the current economic environment, was offset by an increase in UK and US government bonds.



·

The Group's available-for-sale portfolio decreased by £3.8 billion. An increase in UK government bonds of £5.1 billion, principally in Group Treasury partially offset reductions in holdings of securities issued by other central and local governments and banks.

 

The table below analyses available-for-sale debt securities and related reserves, gross of tax.

 


31 December 2011


31 December 2010


US 

UK 

Other (1)

Total 


US 

UK 

Other (1)

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 











Central and local

  Government

20,848 

13,436 

25,552 

59,836 


22,244 

8,377 

32,865 

63,486 

Banks

376 

1,391 

11,408 

13,175 


704 

4,297 

11,981 

16,982 

Other financial institutions

17,453 

3,100 

11,199 

31,752 


15,973 

1,662 

11,513 

29,148 

Corporate

131 

1,105 

1,299 

2,535 


65 

438 

1,011 

1,514 











Total

38,808 

19,032 

49,458 

107,298 


38,986 

14,774 

57,370 

111,130 











Of which ABS

20,256 

3,659 

16,820 

40,735 


20,872 

4,002 

17,641 

42,515 











AFS reserves (gross)

486 

845 

(1,815)

(484)


(304)

158 

(2,559)

(2,705)

 

Note:

(1)

Includes eurozone countries that are detailed on pages 186 to 203.





 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities (continued)

 

The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and external ratings. Ratings are based on the lowest of S&P, Moody's and Fitch.

 


Central and local  government

Banks 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Total 

% of 

total 

Of which 

ABS 

UK 

US 

Other 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 











AAA

22,451 

45 

32,522 

5,155 

15,908 

452 

76,533 

37 

17,156 

AA to AA+

-   

40,435 

2,000 

2,497 

30,403 

639 

75,974 

36 

33,615 

A to AA-

24,966 

6,387 

4,979 

1,746 

38,079 

18 

6,331 

BBB- to A-

2,194 

2,287 

2,916 

1,446 

8,843 

4,480 

Non-investment grade

924 

575 

5,042 

1,275 

7,816 

4,492 

Unrated

39 

1,380 

411 

1,835 

1,235 












22,451 

40,484 

62,608 

16,940 

60,628 

5,969 

209,080 

100 

67,309 











30 September 2011




















AAA

21,773 

27 

43,712 

9,363 

14,120 

553 

89,548 

39 

18,771 

AA to AA+

40,094 

4,247 

4,279 

31,785 

661 

81,066 

35 

35,954 

A to AA-

25,043 

5,087 

4,783 

1,894 

36,816 

16 

5,670 

BBB- to A-

2,460 

2,032 

3,873 

2,104 

10,469 

4,431 

Non-investment grade

1,242 

709 

5,242 

1,778 

8,971 

4,619 

Unrated

22 

33 

292 

1,942 

498 

2,787 

1,217 












21,773 

40,152 

76,737 

21,762 

61,745 

7,488 

229,657 

100 

70,662 











31 December 2010




















AAA

13,486 

38,009 

44,123 

10,704 

39,388 

878 

146,588 

67 

51,235 

AA to AA+

18,025 

3,511 

6,023 

616 

28,175 

13 

6,335 

A to AA-

9,138 

4,926 

2,656 

1,155 

17,875 

3,244 

BBB- to A-

2,845 

1,324 

3,412 

2,005 

9,586 

3,385 

Non-investment grade

1,770 

1,528 

5,522 

2,425 

11,245 

4,923 

Unrated

54 

480 

2,552 

925 

4,011 

1,703 












13,486 

38,009 

75,955 

22,473 

59,553 

8,004 

217,480 

100 

70,825 

 

Key points

·

The decrease in AAA rated debt securities relates to the downgrading of US government and agencies to AA+ by S&P during the year.



·

The proportion of debt securities rated A to AA- increased to 18%, principally reflecting the Japanese government downgrade in 2011.



·

Non-investment grade and unrated debt securities now account for 5% of the debt securities portfolio, down from 7% at the start of the year.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Asset-backed securities

 


RMBS (1)









Government 

sponsored 

or similar (2)

Prime 

Non- 

conforming 

Sub-prime 

MBS 

covered 

bond 

 

CMBS (3)

CDOs (4)

CLOs (5)

ABS 

covered 

bonds 

ABS 

other 

Total 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 













AAA

4,169 

3,599 

1,488 

105 

2,595 

647 

135 

2,171 

625 

1,622 

17,156 

AA to AA+

29,252 

669 

106 

60 

379 

710 

35 

1,533 

321 

550 

33,615 

A to AA-

131 

506 

110 

104 

2,567 

1,230 

161 

697 

100 

725 

6,331 

BBB- to A-

39 

288 

93 

1,979 

333 

86 

341 

1,321 

4,480 

Non-investment grade

21 

784 

658 

396 

415 

1,370 

176 

672 

4,492 

Unrated

148 

29 

146 

56 

170 

423 

263 

1,235 














33,573 

5,745 

2,679 

904 

7,520 

3,391 

1,957 

5,341 

1,046 

5,153 

67,309 













Of which in Non-Core

837 

477 

308 

830 

1,656 

4,227 

1,861 

10,196 













30 September 2011
























AAA

4,391 

4,152 

1,509 

144 

3,462 

893 

194 

2,198 

651 

1,177 

18,771 

AA to AA+

31,037 

117 

111 

97 

1,162 

839 

125 

1,496 

407 

563 

35,954 

A to AA-

137 

603 

124 

175 

1,680 

1,326 

166 

569 

367 

523 

5,670 

BBB- to A-

147 

295 

59 

1,553 

383 

92 

601 

1,301 

4,431 

Non-investment grade

768 

676 

486 

327 

1,516 

170 

676 

4,619 

Unrated

146 

47 

213 

67 

134 

331 

279 

1,217 














35,565 

5,933 

2,762 

1,174 

7,857 

3,835 

2,227 

5,365 

1,425 

4,519 

70,662 













Of which in Non-Core

269 

463 

276 

1,158 

1,953 

4,698 

1,976 

10,793 

 

For the notes to this table refer to page 161.

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Asset-backed securities (continued)

 


RMBS (1)









Government 

sponsored 

or similar (2)

Prime 

Non- 

conforming 

Sub-prime 

MBS 

covered 

bond 

 

CMBS (3)

CDOs (4)

CLOs (5)

ABS 

covered 

bonds 

ABS 

other 

Total 

31 December 2010

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 













AAA

28,835 

4,355 

1,754 

317 

7,107 

2,789 

444 

2,490 

989 

2,155 

51,235 

AA to AA+

1,529 

147 

144 

116 

357 

392 

567 

1,786 

681 

616 

6,335 

A to AA-

67 

60 

212 

408 

973 

296 

343 

190 

695 

3,244 

BBB- to A-

82 

316 

39 

500 

203 

527 

1,718 

3,385 

Non-investment grade

900 

809 

458 

296 

1,863 

332 

265 

4,923 

Unrated

196 

52 

76 

85 

596 

698 

1,703 














30,364 

5,747 

3,135 

1,218 

7,872 

4,950 

3,458 

6,074 

1,860 

6,141 

70,825 













Of which in Non-Core

81 

336 

379 

1,278 

3,159 

5,094 

2,386 

12,713 

Notes:

(1)

Residential mortgage-backed securities.

(2)

Includes US agency and Dutch government guaranteed securities.

(3)

Commercial mortgage-backed securities.

(4)

Collateralised debt obligations.

(5)

Collateralised loan obligations.

 

For analyses of ABS by geography and measurement classification, refer to Appendix 3.

 

Key points

·

Carrying value of total ABS decreased by £3.5 billion during 2011. US government sponsored RMBS of £3.6 billion, reflecting a move towards G10 government generally, partially off-set by decrease in European exposure. There were reductions across all other portfolios.



·

The decrease in AAA rated debt securities mainly relates to the downgrading of US government and agencies to AA+ by S&P during the year.



·

CDOs and CLOs decreased by £2.2 billion principally reflecting asset reductions in Non-Core.


 

·

The decrease in CMBS of £1.6 billion, primarily reflecting restructuring of monoline exposures.


 

·

The average mark on total ABS was 83%, broadly the same as 2010 and 2009.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives

The Group's derivative assets by internal grading scale and residual maturity are analysed below. Master netting arrangements in respect of mark-to-market (mtm) positions and collateral shown below do not result in a net presentation in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS.

 



31 December 2011

30 September 

2011 

Total 

31 December 

2010 

Total 

Asset

quality

Probability

of default range

0-3 

months 

3-6 

months 

6-12 

months 

1-5 

years 

Over 5 

years 

Total 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 











AQ1

0% - 0.034%

24,580 

10,957 

17,178 

126,107 

302,800 

481,622 

517,097 

408,489 

AQ2

0.034% - 0.048%

326 

236 

431 

2,046 

5,138 

8,177 

7,265 

2,659 

AQ3

0.048% - 0.095%

975 

390 

459 

2,811 

6,184 

10,819 

14,523 

3,317 

AQ4

0.095% - 0.381%

1,465 

782 

713 

4,093 

7,368 

14,421 

10,405 

3,391 

AQ5

0.381% - 1.076%

890 

93 

219 

1,787 

3,527 

6,516 

13,709 

4,860 

AQ6

1.076% - 2.153%

121 

30 

81 

803 

1,186 

2,221 

2,471 

1,070 

AQ7

2.153% - 6.089%

101 

29 

56 

1,674 

533 

2,393 

3,368 

857 

AQ8

6.089% - 17.222%

16 

21 

11 

143 

1,061 

1,252 

1,174 

403 

AQ9

17.222% - 100%

254 

876 

1,150 

1,140 

450 

AQ10

100%

13 

20 

35 

658 

321 

1,047 

1,192 

1,581 













28,492 

12,566 

19,190 

140,376 

328,994 

529,618 

572,344 

427,077 

Counterparty mtm netting






(441,626)

(473,256)

(330,397)

Cash collateral held against derivative exposures




(37,222)

(38,202)

(31,096)











Net exposure






50,770 

60,886 

65,584 

 

At 31 December 2011, the Group also held collateral in the form of securities of £5.3 billion (30 September 2011 - £5.5 billion; 31 December 2010 - £2.9 billion) against derivative positions.

 

The table below analyses the fair value of the Group's derivatives by type of contract.

 


31 December 2011


30 September 2011


31 December 2010


Notional 

Assets 

Liabilities 


Notional 

Assets 

Liabilities 


Notional 

Assets 

Liabilities 

Contract type

£bn 

£m 

£m 


£bn 

£m 

£m 


£bn 

£m 

£m 













Interest rate

38,722 

422,156 

406,709 


42,732 

424,130 

407,814 


39,760 

311,731 

299,209 

Exchange rate

4,479 

74,492 

80,980 


5,329 

107,024 

112,184 


4,854 

83,253 

89,375 

Credit

  derivatives

1,054 

26,836 

26,743 


1,343 

33,884 

31,574 


1,357 

26,872 

25,344 

Equity and

  commodity

123 

6,134 

9,551 


120 

7,306 

10,218 


179 

5,221 

10,039 















529,618 

523,983 



572,344 

561,790 



427,077 

423,967 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)

 

Key points 

 

31 December 2011 compared with 31 December 2010

·

Net exposure declined by 23%, despite an increase in derivative carrying values, primarily due to the increased use of netting arrangements.



·

Interest rate contracts increased due to continued reductions in interest rate yields and the depreciation of sterling against the US dollar. This was partially offset by the appreciation of sterling against the euro.



·

Exchange rate contracts decreased due to a reduction in trade volumes and the appreciation of sterling against the euro. This was partially offset by the depreciation of sterling against the US dollar.



·

Credit derivatives remained flat as the increase from the widening of credit spreads and the depreciation of sterling against the US dollar was offset by a reduction in trade volume.

 

31 December 2011 compared with 30 September 2011

·

Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements, decreased by 17% due to lower derivative fair values, primarily driven by market movements.



·

Interest rate contract fair values remained flat reflecting the combined effect of exchange rate movements and movements in indices.



·

Exchange rate contracts decreased due to a reduction in trade volumes and exchange rate volatilities. The appreciation of sterling against the euro was partially offset by the depreciation of sterling against the US dollar.



·

Credit derivative fair values decreased due to a tightening of credit spreads, partially offset by the depreciation of sterling against the US dollar.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)

The Group's exposures to monolines and credit derivative product companies (CDPCs) by credit rating are summarised below: ratings are based on the lower of S&P and Moody's. All of these exposures are held within Non-Core.

 

Exposures to monoline insurers

 


Notional: 

 protected 

 assets 

Fair value: 

reference 

 protected 

assets 

Gross 

 exposure 

Credit 

valuation 

adjustment 

(CVA)

Hedges 

Net 

 exposure 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 








31 December 2011







A to AA-

4,939 

4,243 

696 

252 

444 

Non-investment grade

3,623 

2,431 

1,192 

946 

71 

175 









8,562 

6,674 

1,888 

1,198 

71 

619 








Of which:







CMBS

946 

674 

272 

247 



CDOs

500 

57 

443 

351 



CLOs

4,616 

4,166 

450 

177 



Other ABS

1,998 

1,455 

543 

334 



Other

502 

322 

180 

89 











8,562 

6,674 

1,888 

1,198 










30 September 2011







A to AA-

5,411 

4,735 

676 

259 

417 

Non-investment grade

7,098 

3,684 

3,414 

2,568 

70 

776 









12,509 

8,419 

4,090 

2,827 

70 

1,193 








Of which:







CMBS

3,954 

1,879 

2,075 

1,599 



CDOs

988 

156 

832 

619 



CLOs

4,806 

4,348 

458 

183 



Other ABS

2,275 

1,758 

517 

309 



Other

486 

278 

208 

117 











12,509 

8,419 

4,090 

2,827 










31 December 2010







A to AA-

6,336 

5,503 

833 

272 

561 

Non-investment grade

8,555 

5,365 

3,190 

2,171 

71 

948 









14,891 

10,868 

4,023 

2,443 

71 

1,509 








Of which:







CMBS

4,149 

2,424 

1,725 

1,253 



CDOs

1,133 

256 

877 

593 



CLOs

6,724 

6,121 

603 

210 



Other ABS

2,393 

1,779 

614 

294 



Other

492 

288 

204 

93 











14,891 

10,868 

4,023 

2,443 



 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives: Exposures to monoline insurers (continued)

 

Key points

 

31 December 2011 compared with 31 December 2010

·

The exposure to monolines declined, primarily due to the restructuring of some exposures, partially offset by lower prices of underlying reference instruments.

 


·

The CVA decreased in line with the reduction in exposure partially offset by the impact of wider credit spreads.

 

31 December 2011 compared with 30 September 2011

·

The exposure to monolines declined, primarily due to the restructuring of some exposures. The CVA decreased in line with the reduction in exposure.

 

Exposure to CDPCs


Notional: 

protected 

 assets 

Fair value: 

reference 

protected 

assets 

Gross 

exposure 

Credit 

valuation 

adjustment 

Net 

exposure 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 







31 December 2011






AAA

213 

212 

A to AA-

646 

632 

14 

11 

Non-investment grade

19,671 

18,151 

1,520 

788 

732 

Unrated

3,974 

3,613 

361 

243 

118 








24,504 

22,608 

1,896 

1,034 

862 







30 September 2011






AAA

211 

209 

A to AA-

640 

614 

26 

15 

11 

Non-investment grade

19,294 

17,507 

1,787 

902 

885 

Unrated

3,985 

3,552 

433 

316 

117 








24,130 

21,882 

2,248 

1,233 

1,015 







31 December 2010






AAA

213 

212 

A to AA-

644 

629 

15 

11 

Non-investment grade

20,066 

19,050 

1,016 

401 

615 

Unrated

4,165 

3,953 

212 

85 

127 








25,088 

23,844 

1,244 

490 

754 

 

Key points

 

31 December 2011 compared with 31 December 2010

·

The exposure to CDPCs increased, primarily driven by wider credit spreads of the underlying reference loans and bonds.

·

The CVA increased in line with the increase in exposure.

 

31 December 2011 compared with 30 September 2011

·

The exposure to CDPCs decreased over the period, primarily driven by tighter credit spreads of the underlying reference loans and bonds, together with a decrease in the relative value of senior tranches, compared with the underlying reference portfolios.

·

The CVA decreased in line with the decrease in exposure.

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate

 

The commercial real estate lending portfolio totalled £74.8 billion at 31 December 2011, a 14% year-on-year decrease (31 December 2010 - £87.4 billion). The commercial real estate sector comprises exposure to entities involved in the development of or investment in commercial and residential properties (including homebuilders). The analysis below excludes rate risk management and contingent obligations.

 


31 December 2011


31 December 2010


Investment 

Development 

Total 


Investment 

Development 

Total 

By division

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 









Core








UK Corporate

25,101 

5,023 

30,124 


24,879 

5,819 

30,698 

Ulster Bank

3,882 

881 

4,763 


4,284 

1,090 

5,374 

US Retail &

  Commercial

4,235 

70 

4,305 


4,322 

93 

4,415 

Global Banking &

  Markets

1,013 

360 

1,373 


1,131 

644 

1,775 










34,231 

6,334 

40,565 


34,616 

7,646 

42,262 









Non-Core








UK Corporate

3,957 

2,020 

5,977 


7,591 

3,263 

10,854 

Ulster Bank

3,860 

8,490 

12,350 


3,854 

8,760 

12,614 

US Retail &

  Commercial

901 

28 

929 


1,325 

70 

1,395 

Global Banking &

  Markets

14,689 

336 

15,025 


19,906 

379 

20,285 










23,407 

10,874 

34,281 


32,676 

12,472 

45,148 









Total

57,638 

17,208 

74,846 


67,292 

20,118 

87,410 

 

 


Investment


Development



Commercial 

Residential 


Commercial 

Residential 

Total 

By geography

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 








31 December 2011







UK (excluding NI) (1)

28,653 

6,359 


1,198 

6,511 

42,721 

Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)

5,146 

1,132 


2,591 

6,317 

15,186 

Western Europe

7,649 

1,048 


52 

8,758 

US

5,552 

1,279 


59 

46 

6,936 

RoW

785 

35 


141 

284 

1,245 









47,785 

9,853 


3,998 

13,210 

74,846 








31 December 2010







UK (excluding NI) (1)

32,334 

7,255 


1,520 

8,288 

49,397 

Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)

5,056 

1,148 


2,785 

6,578 

15,567 

Western Europe

10,568 

643 


25 

42 

11,278 

US

7,345 

1,296 


69 

175 

8,885 

RoW

1,622 

25 


138 

498 

2,283 









56,925 

10,367 


4,537 

15,581 

87,410 

 

Note:

(1)

ROI: Republic of Ireland; NI: Northern Ireland.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate (continued)

 


Investment


Development



Core 

Non-Core 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 

By geography

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 








31 December 2011







UK (excluding NI)

25,904 

9,108 


5,118 

2,591 

42,721 

Ireland (ROI & NI)

3,157 

3,121 


793 

8,115 

15,186 

Western Europe

422 

8,275 


20 

41 

8,758 

US

4,521 

2,310 


71 

34 

6,936 

RoW

227 

593 


332 

93 

1,245 









34,231 

23,407 


6,334 

10,874 

74,846 








31 December 2010







UK (excluding NI)

26,168 

13,421 


5,997 

3,811 

49,397 

Ireland (ROI & NI)

3,159 

3,044 


963 

8,401 

15,567 

Western Europe

409 

10,802 


25 

42 

11,278 

US

4,636 

4,005 


173 

71 

8,885 

RoW

244 

1,404 


488 

147 

2,283 









34,616 

32,676 


7,646 

12,472 

87,410 

 

 

By sub-sector

UK 

(excl NI)

£m 

Ireland 

(ROI & NI)

£m 

Western 

Europe 

£m 

US 

£m 

RoW 

£m 

Total 

£m 








31 December 2011







Residential

12,871 

7,449 

1,096 

1,325 

319 

23,060 

Office

7,155 

1,354 

2,248 

404 

352 

11,513 

Retail

8,709 

1,641 

1,893 

285 

275 

12,803 

Industrial

4,317 

507 

520 

24 

105 

5,473 

Mixed/other

9,669 

4,235 

3,001 

4,898 

194 

21,997 









42,721 

15,186 

8,758 

6,936 

1,245 

74,846 








31 December 2010









Residential

15,543 

7,726 

685 

1,471 

523 

25,948 

Office

8,539 

1,178 

2,878 

663 

891 

14,149 

Retail

10,607 

1,668 

1,888 

1,025 

479 

15,667 

Industrial

4,912 

515 

711 

80 

106 

6,324 

Mixed/other

9,796 

4,480 

5,116 

5,646 

284 

25,322 









49,397 

15,567 

11,278 

8,885 

2,283 

87,410 

 

Note:

(1)

Excludes commercial real estate lending in Wealth as these loans are generally supported by personal guarantees in addition to collateral. This portfolio, which totalled £1.3 billion at 31 December 2011 continues to perform in line with expectations and requires minimal provision.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate (continued)

 

Key points

·

In line with the Group's strategy, exposure to commercial real estate was reduced during 2011, affecting mainly the UK and Western Europe given that these regions account for the majority of the portfolio. Overall this portfolio decreased circa 25% in the two years to 31 December 2011.



·

Most of the decrease is in Non-Core due to run-off and asset sales. The Non-Core portfolio totalled £34.3 billion (46% of the portfolio) at 31 December 2011 (31 December 2010 - £45.1 billion, or 52% of the portfolio) and includes exposures in Ulster Bank as discussed on page 180.



·

With the exception of exposure in Spain and in Ireland, the Group has minimal commercial real estate exposure to other eurozone periphery countries. Exposure in Spain is predominantly in the Non-Core portfolio and totals £2.3 billion, of which 36% is in AQ1-AQ9. The remainder of the Spanish portfolio has already been subject to material write-off and provision levels have been assessed based on re-appraised values. There are significant differences in values based on geographic location and asset type.



·

The UK portfolio is focused on London and the South East (44%), with the remainder well spread across the UK regions.



·

Short-term lending to property developers without sufficient pre-let revenue at origination to support investment financing after practical completion is classified as speculative. Speculative lending at origination represents approximately 1% of the portfolio. The Group's appetite for originating speculative commercial real estate lending is very limited and any such business requires senior management approval.



·

The commercial real estate market is expected to remain challenging in key markets and new business will be accommodated from run-off of existing Core exposure. As liquidity in the market remains tight, the Group is focusing on re-financings and supporting its existing client base.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate (continued)

 

Maturity profile of portfolio

UK Corporate 

Ulster Bank 

US Retail & 

 Commercial 

Global Banking & Markets 

Total 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 







31 December 2011






Core






< 1 year (1)

8,268 

3,030 

1,056 

142 

12,496 

1-2 years 

5,187 

391 

638 

278 

6,494 

2-3 years

3,587 

117 

765 

363 

4,832 

> 3 years

10,871 

1,225 

1,846 

590 

14,532 

Not classified (2)

2,211 

2,211 







Total

30,124 

4,763 

4,305 

1,373 

40,565 







Non-Core






< 1 year (1)

3,224 

11,089 

293 

7,093 

21,699 

1-2 years

508 

692 

163 

3,064 

4,427 

2-3 years

312 

177 

152 

1,738 

2,379 

> 3 years

1,636 

392 

321 

3,126 

5,475 

Not classified (2)

297 

301 







Total

5,977 

12,350 

929 

15,025 

34,281 

 













31 December 2010






Core






< 1 year (1)

7,563 

2,719 

1,303 

890 

12,475 

1-2 years

5,154 

829 

766 

247 

6,996 

2-3 years

4,698 

541 

751 

221 

6,211 

> 3 years

10,361 

1,285 

1,595 

417 

13,658 

Not classified (2)

2,922 

2,922 







Total

30,698 

5,374 

4,415 

1,775 

42,262 







Non-Core






< 1 year (1)

4,829 

10,809 

501 

3,887 

20,026 

1-2 years

1,727 

983 

109 

6,178 

8,997 

2-3 years

831 

128 

218 

3,967 

5,144 

> 3 years

2,904 

694 

567 

6,253 

10,418 

Not classified (2)

563 

563 







Total

10,854 

12,614 

1,395 

20,285 

45,148 

 

Notes:

(1)

Includes on demand and past due assets.

(2)

Predominantly comprises multi-option facilities for which there is no single maturity date.

 

Key point

·

The majority of Ulster Bank's commercial real estate portfolio is categorised as < 1 year including on demand assets, owing to the high level of non-performing assets in the portfolio. Ulster Bank places most restructured facilities on demand rather than extending the maturity date.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate (continued)

 

Breakdown of portfolio by AQ band

 

31 December 2011

AQ1-AQ2 

£m 

AQ3-AQ4 

£m 

AQ5-AQ6 

£m 

AQ7-AQ8 

£m 

AQ9 

£m 

AQ10 

£m 

Total 

£m 









Core

1,094 

6,714 

19,054 

6,254 

3,111 

4,338 

40,565 

Non-Core

680 

1,287 

5,951 

3,893 

2,385 

20,085 

34,281 









Total

1,774 

8,001 

25,005 

10,147 

5,496 

24,423 

74,846 









31 December 2010
















Core

1,055 

7,087 

20,588 

7,829 

2,171 

3,532 

42,262 

Non-Core

1,003 

2,694 

11,249 

7,608 

4,105 

18,489 

45,148 









Total

2,058 

9,781 

31,837 

15,437 

6,276 

22,021 

87,410 

 

Key points

·

Approximately 13% of the commercial real estate exposure is within the AQ1-AQ4 bands. This includes unsecured lending to property companies and real estate investment trusts. The high proportion of the exposure in the AQ10 band is driven by Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) and GBM (Non-Core). 



·

Of the total portfolio of £74.8 billion at 31 December 2011, £34.7 billion (2010 - £45.1 billion) is managed within the Group's standard credit processes and £5.9 billion (2010 - £9.2 billion) is receiving varying degrees of heightened credit management under the Group Watchlist process (this includes all Watchlist Amber cases and Watchlist Red cases managed outside the Global Restructuring Group (GRG)). A further £34.3 billion (2010 - £33.1 billion) is managed within the GRG and includes both Watchlist and non-performing exposures. The increase in the portfolio managed by the GRG is driven by Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core).

 

 

 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate (continued)

 

Breakdown of portfolio by AQ band (continued)

The table below analyses commercial real estate lending by loan-to-value (LTV). Due to market conditions in Ireland and to a lesser extent in the UK, there is a shortage of market based data. In the absence of external valuations, the Group deploys a range of alternative approaches including internal expert judgement and indexation.

 


Ulster Bank


Rest of the Group


Group

LTVs at 31 December 2011

AQ1-AQ9 

£m 

AQ10 

 £m 


AQ1-AQ9 

£m 

AQ10 

£m 


AQ1-AQ9 

£m 

AQ10 

 £m 










<= 50%

81 

28 


7,091 

332 


7,172 

360 

> 50% and <= 70%

642 

121 


14,105 

984 


14,747 

1,105 

> 70% and <= 90%

788 

293 


10,042 

1,191 


10,830 

1,484 

> 90% and <= 100%

541 

483 


2,616 

1,679 


3,157 

2,162 

> 100% and <= 110%

261 

322 


1,524 

1,928 


1,785 

2,250 

> 110% and <= 130%

893 

1,143 


698 

1,039 


1,591 

2,182 

> 130%

1,468 

10,004 


672 

2,994 


2,140 

12,998 










Total with LTVs

4,674 

12,394 


36,748 

10,147 


41,422 

22,541 

Other (1)

38 


8,994 

1,844 


9,001 

1,882 










Total

4,681 

12,432 


45,742 

11,991 


50,423 

24,423 










Total portfolio average LTV (2)

140% 

259% 


69% 

129% 


77% 

201% 

 

Notes:

(1)

Other performing loans of £9.0 billion include unsecured lending to commercial real estate clients, such as major UK homebuilders. The credit quality of these exposures is consistent with that of the performing portfolio overall. Other non-performing loans of £1.9 billion are subject to the Group's standard provisioning policies.

(2)

Weighted average by exposure.

 

Key points

·

Nearly 85% of the commercial real estate portfolio with LTV > 100% is within Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) and GBM (Non-Core). A majority of these portfolios are managed within the GRG and are subject to monthly reviews. Significant levels of provisions have been taken against these portfolios; provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending for the Ulster Bank commercial real estate portfolio were 53% at 31 December 2011 (31 December 2010 - 44%). The reported LTV levels are based on gross loan values. The weighted average LTV for AQ10 excluding Ulster Bank is 129%.



·

The average interest coverage (ICR) ratios for UK Corporate (Core and Non-Core) and GBM (Non-Core) investment properties are 2.37x and 1.25x respectively. The US Retail & Commercial portfolio is managed on the basis of debt service coverage, which includes scheduled principal amortisation. The average debt service interest coverage for this portfolio on this basis was 1.24x at 31 December 2011. There are a number of different approaches used within the Group and across the industry to calculate ICR ratios for different portfolio types, and organisations may not therefore be comparable.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate (continued)

 

Retail assets

The Group's retail lending portfolio includes mortgages, credit cards, unsecured loans, auto finance and overdrafts. The majority of personal lending exposures are in the UK, Ireland and the US. The analysis below includes both Core and Non-Core balances.


31 December 

 2011 

31 December 

 2010 

Personal credit loans and receivables

£m 

£m 




UK Retail



  - mortgages

96,388 

92,592 

  - cards, loans and overdrafts

16,004 

18,072 

Ulster Bank



  - mortgages

20,020 

21,162 

  - other personal

1,533 

1,017 

Citizens



  - mortgages

23,829 

24,575 

  - auto and cards

5,731 

6,062 

  - other (1)

2,111 

3,455 

Other (2)

17,545 

18,123 





183,161 

185,058 

 

Notes:

(1)

Mainly student loans and loans secured by recreational vehicles or marine vessels.

(2)

Personal exposures in other divisions.

 

Residential mortgages

The tables below detail the distribution of residential mortgages by indexed LTV. LTV averages are calculated by transaction volume and transaction value. Refer to the section on Ulster Bank Group on page 179 for analysis of Ulster Bank residential mortgages.

 


UK Retail


Citizens

LTV distribution calculated on a volume basis

2011 

2010 


2011 

2010 







<= 70%

62.1 

61.6 


43.5 

43.4 

> 70% and <= 90%

27.1 

26.2 


26.9 

27.6 

> 90% and <= 110%

9.4 

10.4 


16.7 

17.2 

> 110% and <= 130%

1.4 

1.7 


6.9 

6.0 

> 130%

0.1 


6.0 

5.8 







Total portfolio average LTV at 31 December

57.8 

58.2 


73.8 

75.3 







Average LTV on new originations during the year

58.4 

64.2 


63.8 

64.8 

 

LTV distribution calculated on a value basis

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 







<= 70%

47,811 

44,522 


9,669 

10,375 

> 70% and <= 90%

34,410 

32,299 


7,011 

7,196 

> 90% and <= 110%

11,800 

12,660 


3,947 

4,080 

> 110% and <= 130% 

1,713 

1,924 


1,580 

1,488 

> 130%

74 

73 


1,263 

1,252 







Total portfolio average LTV at 31 December

67.2% 

68.1% 


75.9% 

75.4% 







Average LTV on new originations during the year

63.0% 

68.0% 


65.8% 

65.3% 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Residential mortgages (continued)

The table below details residential mortgages which are three months or more in arrears (by volume).

 


31 December 

 2011 

31 December 

 2010 

Residential mortgages which are three months or more in arrears (by volume)




UK Retail (1)

1.6 

1.7 

Citizens

2.0 

1.4 

 

Note:

(1)

The 'One Account' current account mortgage is excluded (£5.4 billion - 5.6% of assets) at 31 December 2011, 0.9% of these accounts were 90 days continually in excess of the limit (31 December 2010 - 0.8%). Consistent with the way the Council of Mortgage Lenders publishes member arrears information, the 3+ months arrears rate now excludes accounts in repossession and cases with shortfalls post property sale.

 

UK Retail

Key points

·

The UK Retail mortgage portfolio totalled £96.4 billion (98.6% in Core) at 31 December 2011, an increase of 4.1% from 2010, due to continued strong sales growth and lower redemption rates from before the financial crisis.



·

Of the total portfolio, 98.6% is designated as Core business, primarily comprising mortgages branded the Royal Bank of Scotland, NatWest, the One Account and First Active. Non-Core comprises Direct Line Mortgages.



·

The assets are prime mortgages and include 7.2% (£6.9 billion) of exposure to residential buy-to-let. There is a small legacy self-certification book (0.3% of total assets). Self-certified mortgages were withdrawn from sale in 2004.



·

Gross new mortgage lending in 2011 remained strong at £14.7 billion. The average LTV for new business during 2011 declined in comparison to 2010 and the maximum LTV available to new customers remained at 90%. Based on the Halifax House Price index at September 2011, the book average indexed LTV improved marginally when compared to December 2010, with the proportion of balances with an LTV over 100% also lower. Refer to the table on page 172, which details LTV information on a volume and value basis.



·

The arrears rate (more than three payments in arrears, excluding repossessions and shortfalls post property sale) has remained broadly stable since late 2009 at 1.6%.



·

The number of properties repossessed in 2011 was 1,671, up from 1,392 in 2010.



·

The mortgage impairment charge was £187 million for 2011, an increase of 2% from 2010. A significant part of the mortgage impairment charge related to reduced expectations of cash recovery on already defaulted debt. It also included an additional provision charge for mortgage customers who received forbearance. 



·

Default and arrears rates remain sensitive to economic developments and are currently supported by the low interest rate environment and strong book growth, with recent business yet to fully mature.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Residential mortgages (continued)

 

Citizens

Key points

·

Citizens' residential mortgage portfolio totalled £23.8 billion at 31 December 2011, a reduction of 3% from 2010 (£24.6 billion).



·

The mortgage portfolio comprises £6.4 billion of residential mortgages (99% in first lien position: Core - £5.8 billion; Non-Core - £0.6 billion) and £17.4 billion of home equity loans and lines (41% in first lien position: Core - £14.9 billion; Non-Core - £2.5 billion). Home equity Core consists of 47% in first lien position.



·

Citizens continues to focus on the 'footprint' states of New England, Mid Atlantic and Mid West, targeting low risk products and maintaining conservative risk policies. At 31 December 2011, the portfolio consisted of £19.5 billion (82% of the total portfolio) within footprint.



·

Loan acceptance criteria were tightened during 2009 to address deteriorating economic and market conditions.



·

Non-Core comprises 13% of the residential mortgage portfolio. Its largest component (74%) is the serviced by others (SBO) home equity portfolio. The SBO portfolio consists of purchased pools of home equity loans and lines, which resulted in an annualised charge-off rate of 8.7% in 2011. It is characterised by out-of-footprint geographies, high second lien concentration (95%) and high average LTV (113% at 31 December 2011). The SBO book has been closed to new purchases since the third quarter of 2007 and is in run-off, with exposure down from £2.8 billion at 31 December 2010, to £2.3 billion at 31 December 2011. The arrears rate of the SBO portfolio decreased from 3.0% at 31 December 2010, to 2.3% at 31 December 2011, as the legacy of poorer assets receded, and account servicing and collections became more effective following a servicer conversion in 2009.

 

Personal lending

The Group's personal lending portfolio includes credit cards, unsecured loans, auto finance and overdrafts. The majority of personal lending exposures exist in the UK and the US. Impairments as a proportion of average loans and receivables are shown in the following table.

 


31 December 2011


31 December 2010


Average 

loans and 

receivables 

Impairment 

charge as a % 

of average 

loans and 

receivables 


Average 

loans and 

receivables 

Impairment 

charge as a % 

of average 

loans and 

receivables 

Personal lending

£m 


£m 







UK Retail cards (1)

5,675 

3.0 


6,025 

5.0 

UK Retail loans (1)

7,755 

2.8 


9,863 

4.8 







Citizens cards (2)

936 

5.1 


1,005 

9.9 

Citizens auto loans (2)

4,856 

0.2 


5,256 

0.6 

 

Notes:

(1)

The ratio for UK Retail assets refers to the impairment charges for the year. This is the Core UK loans book and excludes the Non-Core direct loans book that was sold in late 2011.

(2)

The ratio for Citizens refers to the impairment charges in the year, net of recoveries realised in the year.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Personal lending (continued)

 

UK Retail

Key points

·

The UK personal lending portfolio, of which 99.4% is in Core businesses, comprises credit cards, unsecured loans and overdrafts, and totalled £16.0 billion at 31 December 2011 (31 December 2010 - £18.1 billion).



·

The decrease in portfolio size of 11.4% was driven by continued subdued loan recruitment activity and a continuing general market trend of customers repaying unsecured debt.



·

The Non-Core portfolio consists of the direct finance loan portfolios (Direct Line, Lombard, Mint and Churchill) and totalled £0.1 billion at 31 December 2011 (2010 - £0.4 billion). In the last quarter of 2011, a portfolio of £170 million of balances was disposed of.



·

Risk appetite continues to be actively managed across all products with investment in collection and recovery processes continuing, addressing both continued support for the Group's customers and the management of impairments.



·

Support continues for customers experiencing financial difficulties through 'breathing space initiatives'. Refer to the disclosures on forbearance on page 156 for more information.



·

The impairment charge on unsecured lending was £579 million for the year, down 42% on 2010, reflecting the effect of risk appetite tightening. The sale of the direct finance loan book gave rise to a one-off benefit of approximately £30 million.



·

Impairments remain sensitive to the external environment, including unemployment levels and interest rates.



·

Industry benchmarks for cards arrears remain stable, with the Group continuing to perform favourably.

 

Citizens

Key points

·

Citizens' average credit card portfolio totalled £936 million during 2011, with Core assets comprising 90.2% of the portfolio. Citizens' cards business has traditionally adopted conservative risk strategies compared with the US market and given the economic climate, has introduced tighter lending criteria and lower credit limits. These actions have led to improving new business quality and a business performing better than industry benchmarks (provided by VISA). The latest available metrics show the 60+ days delinquency as a percentage of total outstandings at 2.15% at November 2011 (compared to an industry figure of 2.45%) and net contractual charge-offs as a percentage of total outstandings at 2.89% at November 2011 (compared to an industry figure of 3.69%).



·

Citizens' average auto loan portfolio totalled £4.9 billion during 2011, of which 98% is considered Core. £101 million (2%) is Non-Core and anticipated to run off by 2013. Citizens' vehicle financing business lends to US consumers through a network of 4,200 auto dealers in 25 US states. Citizens' credit policy is considered conservative, targeting prime customers and has historically experienced credit losses below those of industry peers. 



·

The net write-off rate on the total auto portfolio fell to 0.18% at 31 December 2011, from 0.34% in 2010. The 30+ days past due delinquency rate fell to 1.04% at 31 December 2011, from 1.57% in 2010.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core)

 

Overview

At 31 December 2011, Ulster Bank Group accounted for 10% of the Group's total gross customer loans (31 December 2010 - 10%) and 9% of the Group's Core gross customer loans (31 December 2010 - 9%). Ulster Bank's financial performance continues to be overshadowed by the challenging economic climate in Ireland, with impairments remaining elevated as high unemployment, coupled with higher taxation and limited liquidity in the economy, continues to depress the property market and domestic spending.   

 

The impairment charge of £3,717 million for the year (31 December 2010 - £3,843 million) was driven by a combination of new defaulting customers and deteriorating security values. Provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending increased from 44% at 31 December 2010 to 53% at 31 December 2011, predominantly as a result of the deterioration in the value of the Non-Core commercial real estate development portfolio.

 

Core

The impairment charge for the year of £1,384 million (31 December 2010 - £1,161 million) reflects the difficult economic climate in Ireland, with elevated default levels across both mortgage and other corporate portfolios. The mortgage sector accounted for £570 million (41%) of the total 2011 impairment charge.

 

Non-Core

The impairment charge for the year was £2,333 million (31 December 2010 - £2,682 million), with the commercial real estate sector accounting for £2,160 million (93%) of the total 2011 charge.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Loans, risk elements in lending (REIL) and impairments by sector

 


Gross 

 loans 

REIL 

Provisions 

REIL 

as a % of 

gross 

 loans 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 REIL 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 gross loans 

 

 

Impairment 

charge 

 

Amounts 

 written-off 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










Core









Mortgages

20,020 

2,184 

945 

10.9 

43 

4.7 

570 

11 

Personal unsecured

1,533 

201 

184 

13.1 

92 

12.0 

56 

25 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

3,882 

1,014 

413 

26.1 

41 

10.6 

225 

-   

  - development

881 

290 

145 

32.9 

50 

16.5 

99 

16 

Other corporate

7,736 

1,834 

1,062 

23.7 

58 

13.7 

434 

72 











34,052 

5,523 

2,749 

16.2 

50 

8.1 

1,384 

124 










Non-Core









Commercial real estate









  - investment

3,860 

2,916 

1,364 

75.5 

47 

35.3 

609 

  - development

8,490 

7,536 

4,295 

88.8 

57 

50.6 

1,551 

32 

Other corporate

1,630 

1,159 

642 

71.1 

55 

39.4 

173 

16 











13,980 

11,611 

6,301 

83.1 

54 

45.1 

2,333 

49 










Ulster Bank Group









Mortgages

20,020 

2,184 

945 

10.9 

43 

4.7 

570 

11 

Personal unsecured

1,533 

201 

184 

13.1 

92 

12.0 

56 

25 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

7,742 

3,930 

1,777 

50.8 

45 

23.0 

834 

  - development

9,371 

7,826 

4,440 

83.5 

57 

47.4 

1,650 

48 

Other corporate

9,366 

2,993 

1,704 

32.0 

57 

18.2 

607 

88 











48,032 

17,134 

9,050 

35.7 

53 

18.8 

3,717 

173 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Loans, REIL and impairments by sector (continued)

 


Gross 

 loans 

REIL 

Provisions 

REIL 

as a % of 

gross 

 loans 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 REIL 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 gross loans 

 

Impairment 

charge 

 

Amounts 

 written-off 

31 December 2010

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










Core









Mortgages

21,162 

1,566 

439 

7.4 

28 

2.1 

294 

Personal unsecured

1,282 

185 

158 

14.4 

85 

12.3 

48 

30 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

4,284 

598 

332 

14.0 

56 

7.7 

259 

  - development

1,090 

65 

37 

6.0 

57 

3.4 

116 

Other corporate

9,039 

1,205 

667 

13.3 

55 

7.4 

444 

11 











36,857 

3,619 

 1,633 

9.8 

45 

4.4 

1,161 

48 










Non-Core









Mortgages

42 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

3,854 

2,391 

1,000 

62.0 

42 

25.9 

630 

  - development

8,760 

6,341 

2,783 

72.4 

44 

31.8 

1,759 

Other corporate

1,970 

 1,310 

561 

66.5 

43 

28.5 

251 











14,584 

 10,042 

 4,344 

68.9 

43 

29.8 

2,682 










Ulster Bank Group









Mortgages

21,162 

1,566 

439 

7.4 

28 

2.1 

336 

Personal unsecured

1,282 

185 

158 

14.4 

85 

12.3 

48 

30 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

8,138 

2,989 

1,332 

36.7 

45 

16.4 

889 

  - development

9,850 

6,406 

2,820 

65.0 

44 

28.6 

1,875 

Other corporate

11,009 

2,515 

1,228 

22.8 

49 

11.2 

695 

11 











51,441 

13,661 

5,977 

26.6 

44 

11.6 

3,843 

48 

 

Key points

·

REIL increased by £3.5 billion during the year, which reflects continuing difficult conditions in both the commercial and residential sectors in Ireland. Growth moderated in the last two quarters of 2011 as default trends for corporate portfolios declined.



·

At 31 December 2011, 68% of REIL was in Non-Core (2010 - 74%). The majority of the Non-Core commercial real estate development portfolio (89%) is REIL with a 57% provision coverage.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Residential mortgages

The tables below show how the continued decrease in property values has affected the distribution of residential mortgages by indexed LTV. LTV is based upon gross loan amounts and whilst including defaulted loans, does not take account of provisions made.

 

 

LTV distribution calculated on a volume basis

2011 

2010 




<= 70%

45.0 

50.3 

> 70% and <= 90%

11.4 

13.0 

> 90% and <= 110%

12.0 

14.5 

> 110% and <= 130%

10.9 

13.5 

> 130%

20.7 

8.7 




Total portfolio average LTV at 31 December

81.0 

71.2 




Average LTV on new originations during the year

67.0 

75.9 

 

LTV distribution calculated on a value basis

 

£m 

 

£m 




<= 70%

4,526 

5,928 

> 70% and <= 90%

2,501 

3,291 

> 90% and <= 110%

3,086 

4,256 

> 110% and <= 130%

3,072 

4,391 

> 130%

6,517 

2,958 




Total portfolio average LTV at 31 December

106.1 

91.7 




Average LTV on new originations during the year

73.9 

78.9 

 

Key points

·

The residential mortgage portfolio across Ulster Bank Group totalled £20 billion at 31 December 2011, with 89% in the Republic of Ireland and 11% in Northern Ireland. At constant exchange rates the portfolio decreased by 4% from 2010, as a result of natural amortisation and limited growth due to low market demand.



·

The mortgage REIL continued to increase as a result of the continued challenging economic environment. At 31 December 2011, REIL as a percentage of gross mortgages was 10.9% (by value) compared with 7.4% in 2010. The impairment charge for 2011 was £570 million compared with £336 million for 2010. Repossession levels were higher than in 2010, with a total of 161 properties repossessed during 2011 (compared with 76 during 2010). 76% of repossessions during 2011 were through voluntary surrender or abandonment of the property.



·

Ulster Bank Group is assisting customers in this difficult environment. Mortgage forbearance policies which are deployed through the 'Flex' initiative are aimed at assisting customers in financial difficulty. At 31 December 2011, 9.1% (by value) of the mortgage book (£1.8 billion) was on a forbearance arrangement compared with 5.8% (£1.2 billion) at 31 December 2010. The majority of these forbearance arrangements are in the performing book (77%) and not 90 days past due, refer to page 156 for further details.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Commercial real estate

The commercial real estate lending portfolio for Ulster Bank Group totalled £17.1 billion at 31 December, of which £12.3 billion or 72% is Non-Core. The geographic split of the total Ulster Bank Group commercial real estate portfolio remained similar to 2010, with 26% in Northern Ireland, 63% in the Republic of Ireland and 11% in the UK.

 


Development


Investment




Commercial  

Residential 


Commercial 

Residential 


Total 

Exposure by geography

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 









31 December 2011








Ireland (ROI & NI)

2,591 

6,317 


5,097 

1,132 


15,137 

UK (excluding NI)

95 

336 


1,371 

111 


1,913 

RoW

32 


27 


63 










2,686 

6,685 


6,495 

1,247 


17,113 









31 December 2010








Ireland (ROI & NI)

2,785 

6,578 


5,032 

1,098 


15,493 

UK (excluding NI)

110 

359 


1,869 

115 


2,453 

RoW

18 


23 


42 










2,895 

6,955 


6,924 

1,214 


17,988 

 

 

Key points

·

Commercial real estate remains the primary driver of the increase in the defaulted loan book for Ulster Bank Group. The outlook remains challenging, with limited liquidity in the marketplace to support sales or refinancing. The decrease in asset valuations has placed pressure on the portfolio.



·

Within its early problem management framework, Ulster Bank may agree various remedial measures with customers whose loans are performing but who are experiencing temporary financial difficulties. During 2011, commercial real estate loans amounting to £0.8 billion (exposures greater than £10 million) benefited from such measures.



·

During 2011, impaired commercial real estate loans amounting to £1 billion (exposures greater than £10 million) were restructured and remain in the non-performing book.

 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk

Country risk is the risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events such as sovereign events (default or restructuring); economic events (contagion of sovereign default to other parts of the economy, cyclical economic shock); political events (transfer or convertibility restrictions and expropriation or nationalisation); and natural disaster or conflict. Such events have the potential to affect elements of the Group's credit portfolio that are directly or indirectly linked to the country in question and can also give rise to market, liquidity, operational and franchise risk related losses.

 

For a discussion of the Group's approach to country risk management and the external risk environment, refer to the 2011 Annual Report and Accounts: Business review: Risk and balance sheet management: Country risk.

 

The following tables show the Group's exposure by country of incorporation of the counterparty at 31 December 2011. Countries shown are those where the Group's balance sheet exposure to counterparties incorporated in the country exceeded £1 billion and the country had an external rating of A+ or below from S&P, Moody's or Fitch at 31 December 2011, as well as selected eurozone countries. The numbers are stated before taking into account the impact of mitigating actions, such as collateral, insurance or guarantees, that may have been taken to reduce or eliminate exposure to country risk events. Exposures relating to ocean-going vessels are not included due to their multinational nature.

 

For definitions of headings in the following tables, refer to page 204.

 

'Other eurozone' comprises Austria, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.

 

References to Non-Core in the following pages relate to Non-Core lending disclosures in the summary tables on pages 182-183.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Summary

 


31 December 2011


Lending
















Central 

and local 

 government 

Central 

 banks 

Other 

 banks 

 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Personal 

Total 

lending 


Of which 

Non-Core 


Debt 

securities 


Derivatives 

(gross of 

collateral)

 and repos 


 

Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Contingent 

liabilities and 

commitments 


Total 


CDS 

notional 

less fair 

value 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 























Eurozone





















Ireland

45 

1,467 

136 

336 

18,994 

18,858 

39,836 


10,156 


886 


2,824 


43,546 


2,928 



53 

Spain

206 

154 

5,775 

362 

6,509 


3,735 


6,155 


2,393 


15,057 


2,630 



(1,013)

Italy

73 

233 

299 

2,444 

23 

3,072 


1,155 


1,258 


2,314 


6,644 


3,150 



(452)

Greece

31 

427 

14 

485 


94 


409 


355 


1,249 


52 



Portugal

10 

495 

510 


341 


113 


519 


1,142 


268 



55 

Germany

18,068 

653 

305 

6,608 

155 

25,789 


5,402 


15,767 


16,037 


57,593 


7,527 



(2,401)

Netherlands

2,567 

7,654 

623 

1,575 

4,827 

20 

17,266 


2,498 


9,893 


10,285 


37,444 


10,216 



(1,295)

France

481 

1,273 

437 

3,761 

79 

6,034 


2,317 


7,794 


9,058 


22,886 


10,217 



(2,846)

Luxembourg

101 

1,779 

2,228 

4,110 


1,497 


130 


3,689 


7,929 


2,007 



(404)

Belgium

213 

287 

354 

588 

20 

1,470 


480 


652 


3,010 


5,132 


1,359 



(99)

Other eurozone

121 

28 

115 

1,375 

26 

1,665 


324 


710 


1,971 


4,346 


1,365 


5,711 


(25)























Total eurozone

3,443 

27,282 

3,550 

5,385 

47,522 

19,564 

106,746 


27,999 


43,767 


52,455 


202,968 


41,719 


244,687 


(8,426)























Other countries





















India

275 

610 

35 

2,949 

127 

3,996 


350 


1,530 


218 


5,744 


1,280 


7,024 


(105)

China

74 

178 

1,237 

17 

654 

30 

2,190 


50 


597 


413 


3,200 


1,559 



(62)

South Korea

812 

576 

1,397 



845 


404 


2,646 


627 



(22)

Turkey

215 

193 

253 

66 

1,072 

16 

1,815 


423 


361 


94 


2,270 


437 



10 

Russia

36 

970 

659 

62 

1,735 


76 


186 


66 


1,987 


356 



(343)

Brazil

936 

227 

1,167 


70 


790 


24 


1,981 


319 



(377)

Romania

66 

145 

30 

413 

392 

1,054 


1,054 


220 



1,280 


160 



Mexico

233 

683 

924 


39 


83 


131 


1,138 


353 



10 

Poland

35 

208 

624 

885 


45 


116 


56 


1,057 


701 


1,758 


(99)



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Summary (continued)

 


31 December 2010


Lending
















Central 

and local 

 government 

Central 

 banks 

Other 

 banks 

 

Other 

financial 

institutions 

Corporate 

Personal 

Total 

lending 


Of which 

Non-Core 


Debt 

securities 


Derivatives 

(gross of 

collateral)

 and repos 


 

Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Contingent 

liabilities and 

commitments 


Total 


CDS 

notional 

less fair 

value 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 























Eurozone






















Ireland

61 

2,119 

87 

813 

19,886 

20,228 

43,194 


10,758 


1,323 


2,940 


47,457 


4,316 


51,773 


(32)

Spain

19 

166 

92 

6,991 

407 

7,680 


4,538 


7,107 


2,047 


16,834 


3,061 


19,895 


(964)

Italy

45 

78 

668 

418 

2,483 

27 

3,719 


1,901 


3,836 


2,032 


9,587 


3,853 


13,440 


(838)

Greece

14 

36 

18 

31 

191 

16 

306 


130 


974 


227 


1,507 


164 


1,671 


182 

Portugal

86 

63 

611 

766 


316 


242 


394 


1,402 


734 


2,136 


41 

Germany

10,894 

1,060 

422 

7,519 

162 

20,057 


6,471 


14,747 


15,266 


50,070 


8,917 


58,987 


(1,551)

Netherlands

914 

6,484 

554 

1,801 

6,170 

81 

16,004 


3,205 


12,523 


9,058 


37,585 


18,141 


55,726 


(1,530)

France

511 

1,095 

470 

4,376 

102 

6,557 


2,787 


14,041 


8,607 


29,205 


11,640 


40,845 


(1,925)

Luxembourg

25 

26 

734 

2,503 

3,291 


1,517 


378 


2,545 


6,214 


2,383 


8,597 


(532)

Belgium

102 

14 

441 

32 

893 

327 

1,809 


501 


803 


2,238 


4,850 


1,492 


6,342 


57 

Other eurozone

124 

142 

119 

1,505 

24 

1,915 


332 


535 


1,370 


3,820 


2,037 


5,857 


(82)























Total eurozone

1,876 

19,659 

4,320 

4,932 

53,128 

21,383 

105,298 


32,456 


56,509 


46,724 


208,531 


56,738 


265,269 


(7,174)























Other countries





















India

1,307 

307 

2,665 

273 

4,552 


653 


1,686 


178 


6,416 


1,281 


7,697 


(195)

China

17 

298 

1,223 

16 

753 

64 

2,371 


236 


573 


252 


3,196 


1,589 


4,785 


(117)

South Korea

276 

1,033 

558 

1,874 


53 


1,353 


493 


3,720 


1,143 


4,863 


(159)

Turkey

282 

68 

448 

37 

1,386 

12 

2,233 


692 


550 


111 


2,894 


686 


3,580 


(91)

Russia

110 

244 

1,181 

58 

1,600 


125 


124 


51 


1,775 


596 


2,371 


(134)

Brazil

825 

315 

1,145 


120 


687 


15 


1,847 


190 


2,037 


(369)

Romania

36 

178 

21 

21 

426 

446 

1,128 


1,123 


310 



1,446 


319 


1,765 


23 

Mexico

149 

999 

1,157 


303 


144 


122 


1,423 


840 


2,263 


84 

Poland

168 

655 

843 


108 


271 


69 


1,183 


1,020 


2,203 


(94)

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk (continued)

 

Key points

Reported exposures are affected by currency movements. Over the year, sterling fell 0.3% against the US dollar and rose 3.1% against the euro. In the fourth quarter, sterling fell 0.9% against the US dollar and rose 2.9% against the euro.

 

·

Exposure to most countries shown in the table declined over 2011 as the Group maintained a cautious stance and many bank clients reduced debt levels. Decreases were seen in balance sheet and off-balance sheet exposures in many countries. Increases in derivatives and repos were in line with the Group's strategy, driven partly by customer demand for hedging solutions and partly by market movements; risks are generally mitigated by active collateralisation.



·

India - strong economic growth in 2011 resulted in increased exposure across most product types until the fourth quarter, when a decline took place, driven by a Global Transaction Services (GTS) exercise in the region to manage down risk-weighted assets, natural run-offs/maturities and a sharp rupee depreciation. Year-on-year increases in lending to corporate clients (£0.3 billion) and the central bank (£0.3 billion) were offset by reductions in lending to banks (£0.7 billion) and other financial institutions (£0.3 billion).



·

China - lending to Chinese banks increased in the first three quarters of the year, supporting trade finance activities and on-shore regulatory needs, but by the end of 2011 exposure had decreased close to December 2010 levels. The Group reduced lending in the interbank money markets over the final quarter. This reduction in lending was offset by significant growth in repo trading with Chinese financial institutions helping to support the Group's funding requirements, with highly liquid US Treasuries being the main underlying security. A reduction in off-balance sheet exposures, including guarantees and undrawn commitments, was in part due to the run-off of performance bonds in respect of shipping deliveries and also due to reduced appetite for trade finance assets.



·

South Korea - exposure decreased by £1.6 billion during 2011. This was largely due to a reduction in debt securities as the Group managed its wrong-way risk exposure. The Group maintained a cautious stance given the current global economic downturn.



·

Turkey - exposures were managed down in most categories, with the non-strategic (mid-market) portfolio significantly reduced in 2011. Nonetheless, Turkey continues to be one of the Group's key emerging markets. The strategy remains client-centric, with the product offering tailored to selected client segments across large Turkish international corporate clients and financial institutions as well as Turkish subsidiaries of global clients.

 

 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk (continued)

 

Key points (continued)

·

Mexico - asset sales and a number of early repayments in the corporate portfolio led to exposure falling £0.8 billion in the year. This decline also reflects the Group's cautious approach to new business during the fourth quarter following its decision to close its onshore operation in Mexico.



·

Eurozone periphery (Ireland, Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal) - exposure decreased across most of the periphery, with derivatives (gross of collateral) and repos being the only component that still saw some increases year on year (partly an effect of market movements on existing positions). Most of the Group's country risk exposure to the eurozone periphery countries arises from the activities of GBM and Ulster Bank (with respect to Ireland). The Group has some large holdings of Spanish bank and financial institution MBS bonds and smaller quantities of Italian bonds and Greek sovereign debt. GTS provides trade finance facilities to clients across Europe including the eurozone periphery.




The Group primarily transacts CDS contracts with investment-grade global financial institutions that are active participants in the CDS market. These transactions are subject to regular margining. For European peripheral sovereigns, credit protection has been purchased from a number of major European banks, predominantly outside the country of the reference entity. In a few cases where protection was bought from banks in the country of the reference entity, giving rise to wrong-way risk, this risk is mitigated through specific collateralisation. Due to their bespoke nature, exposures relating to CDPCs and related hedges have not been included, as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular country or a reference entity. Exposures to CDPCs are disclosed on page 164.

 

The Group used CDS contracts throughout 2011 to manage both eurozone country and counterparty exposures. As shown in the individual country tables, this resulted in increases in both gross notional bought and sold eurozone CDS contracts, mainly on Italy, France and the Netherlands. The magnitude of the fair value of bought and sold CDS contracts increased over 2011 in line with the widening of eurozone CDS spreads.

 

For more specific commentary on the Group's exposure to each of the eurozone periphery countries, refer to pages 188 to 196. For commentary on the Group's exposure to other eurozone countries, see page 203.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


 

Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government

3,443 


18,406 

81 


19,597 

15,049 

22,954 


1,925 


28,322 


37,080 

36,759 


6,488 

(6,376)

Central banks

27,282 


20 


26 


5,770 


33,078 



Other banks

3,550 


8,423 

(752)


1,272 

1,502 

8,193 


29,685 


41,428 


19,736 

19,232 


2,303 

(2,225)

Other financial

  institutions

5,385 


10,494 

(1,129)


1,138 

471 

11,161 


10,956 


27,502 


17,949 

16,608 


693 

(620)

Corporate

47,522 

14,152 

7,267 


964 

23 


528 

59 

1,433 


4,118 


53,073 


76,966 

70,119 


2,241 

(1,917)

Personal

19,564 

2,280 

1,069 





19,565 

























106,746 

16,432 

8,336 


38,307 

(1,777)


22,541 

17,081 

43,767 


52,455 


202,968 


151,731 

142,718 


11,725 

(11,138)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

1,876 


23,201 

(893)


25,041 

14,256 

33,986 


1,537 


37,399 


28,825 

29,075 


2,899 

(2,843)

Central banks

19,659 




6,382 


26,048 



Other banks

4,320 


9,192 

(916)


1,719 

1,187 

9,724 


25,639 


39,683 


16,616 

16,256 


1,042 

(1,032)

Other financial

  institutions

4,932 


10,583 

(737)


908 

83 

11,408 


9,025 


25,365 


12,921 

12,170 


173 

(182)

Corporate

53,128 

12,404 

5,393 


813 

45 


831 

260 

1,384 


4,141 


58,653 


70,354 

63,790 


(267)

461 

Personal

21,383 

1,642 

537 





21,383 

























105,298 

14,046 

5,930 


43,789 

(2,501)


28,506 

15,786 

56,509 


46,724 


208,531 


128,716 

121,291 


3,847 

(3,596)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 
















Banks

67,624 

5,585 


1,085 

131 


198 

23 



68,907 

5,739 

Other financial Institutions

79,824 

5,605 


759 

89 


2,094 

278 


147 

14 


82,824 

5,986 
















Total

147,448 

11,190 


1,844 

220 


2,292 

301 


147 

14 


151,731 

11,725 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Ireland
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government

45 


102 

(46)


20 

19 

103 


92 


240 


2,145 

2,223 


466 

(481)

Central banks

1,467 





1,467 



Other banks

136 


177 

(39)


195 

14 

358 


1,459 


1,953 


110 

107 


21 

(21)

Other financial

  institutions

336 


61 


116 

35 

142 


855 


1,333 


523 

630 


64 

(74)

Corporate

18,994 

10,269 

5,689 


148 


135 

283 


417 


19,694 


425 

322 


(11)

10

Personal

18,858 

2,258 

1,048 





18,859 

























39,836 

12,527 

6,737 


488 

(82)


466 

68 

886 


2,824 


43,546 


3,203 

3,282 


540 

(566)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

61 


104 

(45)


93 

88 

109 


20 


190 


1,872 

2,014 


360 

(387)

Central banks

2,119 




126 


2,252 



Other banks

87 


435 

(51)


96 

45 

486 


1,523 


2,096 


317 

312 


103 

(95)

Other financial

  institutions

813 


291 

(1)


205 

496 


837 


2,146 


566 

597 


45 

(84)

Corporate

19,886 

8,291 

4,072 


91 

(2)


140 

225 


434 


20,545 


483 

344 


(20)

17 

Personal

20,228 

1,638 

534 





20,228 

























43,194 

9,929 

4,606 


921 

(99)


541 

139 

1,323 


2,940 


47,457 


3,238 

3,267 


488 

(549)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 
















Banks

1,586 

300 





1,588 

300 

Other financial Institutions

1,325 

232 


161 


129 



1,615 

240 
















Total

2,911 

532 


163 


129 



3,203 

540 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Ireland (continued)

 

Key points

The Group's exposure to Ireland is driven by Ulster Bank Group (87% of the Group's Irish exposure at 31 December 2011). The portfolio is predominantly personal lending of £18.9 billion (largely mortgages) and corporate lending of £19.0 billion (largely loans to the property sector). In addition, the Group has lending and derivatives exposure to the Central Bank of Ireland, financial institutions and large international clients with funding units based in Ireland.



Group exposure declined in all categories, with notable reductions in lending of £3.4 billion and in off-balance sheet items of £1.4 billion over the year, as a result of currency movements and de-risking in the portfolio.

 

Central and local government and central bank

Exposure to the central bank fluctuates, driven by regulatory requirements and by deposits of excess liquidity as part of the Group's assets and liabilities management. Exposures fell by £0.7 billion over the year, with most of the decline occurring in the fourth quarter.

 

Financial institutions

GBM and Ulster Bank account for the majority of the Group's exposure to financial institutions. Exposure to the financial sector fell by £1.1 billion during the year, caused by a £0.4 billion reduction in lending, a £0.5 billion reduction in debt securities and smaller reductions in derivatives and repos and in off-balance sheet exposure. The largest category is derivatives and repos where exposure is affected predominantly by market movements and transactions are typically collateralised.

 

Corporate

Corporate lending exposure fell approximately £0.9 billion over the year, driven by a combination of exchange rate movements and write-offs. At the end of 2011, lending exposure was highest in the property sector (£11.6 billion), which is also the sector that experienced the largest year-on-year reduction (£0.4 billion). REIL and impairment provisions rose by £2.0 billion and £1.6 billion respectively over the year.

 

Personal

The Ulster Bank retail portfolio mainly consists of mortgages (approximately 95% of Ulster Bank personal lending at 31 December 2011), with the remainder comprising credit card and other personal lending. Overall personal lending exposure fell approximately £1.4 billion over the year as a result of exchange rate fluctuations, amortisation, a small amount of write-offs and a lack of demand in the market.

 

Non-Core (included above)

Refer to table on pages 182 and 183 for details.

Ireland Non-Core lending exposure was £10.2 billion at 31 December 2011, down by £0.6 billion or 6% since December 2010. The remaining lending portfolio largely consists of exposures to real estate (79%), retail (7%) and leisure (4%).

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Spain
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government


33 

(15)


360 

751 

(358)


35 


(314)


5,151 

5,155 


538 

(522)

Central banks







Other banks

206 


4,892 

(867)


162 

214 

4,840 


1,622 


6,668 


1,965 

1,937 


154 

(152)

Other financial

  institutions

154 


1,580 

(639)


65 

1,637 


282 


2,073 


2,417 

2,204 


157 

(128)

Corporate

5,775 

1,190 

442 



27 

36 


454 


6,265 


4,831 

3,959 


448 

(399)

Personal

362 





362 

























6,509 

1,190 

442 


6,514  

(1,521)


614  

973 

6,155 


2,393 


15,057 


14,364 

13,225 


1,297 

(1,201)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

19 


88 

(7)


1,172 

1,248 

12 


53 


84 


3,820 

3,923 


436 

(435)

Central banks







Other banks

166 


5,264 

(834)


147 

118 

5,293 


1,482 


6,941 


2,087 

2,159 


133 

(135)

Other financial

  institutions

92 


1,724 

(474)


34 

1,751 


22 


1,865 


1,648 

1,388 


72 

(45)

Corporate

6,991 

1,871 

572 


38 


50 

51 


490 


7,532 


5,192 

4,224 


231 

(168)

Personal

407 





407 

























7,680 

1,872 

572 


7,085 

(1,277)


1,403 

1,381 

7,107 


2,047 


16,834 


12,747 

11,694 


872 

(783)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 
















Banks

6,595 

499 


68 


32 



6.695 

508 

Other financial Institutions

7,238 

736 


162 


269 

50 



7,669 

789 
















Total

13,833 

1,235 


230 


301 

54 



14,364 

1,297 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Spain (continued)

 

Key points

The Group maintains strong relationships with Spanish government entities, banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients. The exposure to Spain is driven by corporate lending and a large MBS covered bond portfolio.



Exposure fell in most categories in 2011, particularly in corporate lending, as a result of steps to de-risk the portfolio.

 

Central and local government and central bank

The Group's exposure to the government was negative at 31 December 2011, reflecting net short held-for-trading debt securities.

 

Financial institutions

A sizeable covered bond portfolio of £6.5 billion is the Group's largest exposure to the Spanish financial sector. The portfolio continued to perform satisfactorily in 2011. Stress analysis conducted to date on these available-for-sale debt securities indicated that this exposure is unlikely to suffer material credit losses. However, the Group continues to monitor the situation closely.



A further £1.9 billion of the Group's exposure to financial institutions consists of derivatives exposure to Spanish international banks and a few of the large regional banks, the majority of which is collateralised. This increased £0.4 billion in 2011, due partly to market movements.



Lending to banks consists mainly of short-term uncommitted credit lines with the top two international Spanish banks.

 

Corporate

Exposure to corporate clients declined during 2011, with reductions in lending of £1.2 billion and in off-balance sheet items of £0.4 billion, driven by reductions in exposure to property, transport and technology, media and telecommunications sectors. The majority of REIL relates to commercial real estate lending and decreased over the year, reflecting disposals and restructurings.

 

Non-Core (included above)

Refer to table on pages 182 and 183 for details.

At 31 December 2011, Non-Core had lending exposure of £3.7 billion to Spain, a reduction of £0.8 billion or 18% since December 2010. The real estate (66%), construction (11%), electricity (7%) and land transport (3%) sectors account for the majority of this lending exposure.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Italy
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government


704 

(220)


4,336 

4,725 

315 


90 


405 


12,125 

12,218 


1,750 

(1,708)

Central banks

73 





73 



Other banks

233 


119 

(14)


67 

88 

98 


1,064 


1,395 


6,078 

5,938 


1,215 

(1,187)

Other financial

  institutions

299 


685 

(15)


40 

13 

712 


686 


1,697 


872 

762 


60 

(51)

Corporate

2,444 

361 

113 


75 


58 

133 


474 


3,051 


4,742 

4,299 


350 

(281)

Personal

23 





23 

























3,072 

361 

113 


1,583 

(249)


4,501 

4,826 

1,258 


2,314 


6,644 


23,817 

23,217 


3,375 

(3,227)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

45 


906 

(99)


5,113 

3,175 

2,844 


71 


2,960 


8,998 

8,519 


641 

(552)

Central banks

78 





78 



Other banks

668 


198 

(11)


67 

16 

249 


782 


1,699 


4,417 

4,458 


421 

(414)

Other financial

  institutions

418 


646 

(5)


49 

695 


759 


1,872 


723 

697 


21 

(13)

Corporate

2,483 

314 

141 


20 


36 

48 


420 


2,951 


4,506 

3,966 


150 

(88)

Personal

27 





27 

























3,719 

314 

141 


1,770 

(115)


5,265 

3,199 

3,836 


2,032 


9,587 


18,644 

 17,640 


1,233 

(1,067)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 
















Banks

12,904 

1,676 


487 

94 


61 

10 



13,452 

1,780 

Other financial Institutions

10,138 

1,550 



219 

43 



10,365 

1,595 
















Total

23,042 

3,226 


495 

96 


280 

53 



23,817 

3,375 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Italy (continued)

 

Key points

The Group maintains strong relationships with Italian government entities, banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients. Since the start of 2011, the Group has taken steps to reduce its risks through strategic exits where appropriate, or to mitigate these risks through increased collateral requirements, in line with its evolving appetite for Italian risk. As a result, the Group reduced lending exposure to Italian counterparties by £0.6 billion over 2011 to £3.1 billion.

 

Central and local government and central bank

The Group is an active market-maker in Italian government bonds, resulting in large gross long and short positions in held-for-trading securities. Given this role, the Group left itself in a relatively modest long position at 31 December 2011 to avoid being temporarily over exposed as a result of its expected participation in the purchase of new government bonds being issued in January 2012.



Over 2011, the total government debt securities position declined by £2.5 billion to £0.3 billion, reflecting a rebalancing of the trading portfolio.

 

Financial institutions

The majority of the Group's exposure to Italian financial institutions relates to the top five banks. The Group's product offering consists largely of collateralised trading products and, to a lesser extent, short-term uncommitted lending lines for liquidity purposes. During the fourth quarter of the year, gross mtm derivatives exposure increased due to market movements but the risk was mitigated since most facilities are fully collateralised.

 

Corporate

Lending exposure fell slightly during 2011, with reductions in lending to the property industry offset by increased lending to manufacturing companies, particularly in the fourth quarter.

 

Non-Core (included above)

Refer to table on pages 182 and 183 for details.

Non-Core lending exposure was £1.2 billion at 31 December 2011, a £0.7 billion (39%) reduction since December 2010. The remaining lending exposure comprises mainly commercial real estate finance (22%), leisure (20%), unleveraged funds (16%), electricity (15%) and industrials (10%).

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Greece
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government


312 


102 

409 



416 


3,158 

3,165 


2,228 

(2,230)

Central banks







Other banks




290 


290 


22 

22 


(3)

Other financial

  institutions

31 





33 


34 

34 


(8)

Corporate

427 

256 

256 




63 


490 


434 

428 


144 

(142)

Personal

14 





14 

























485 

256 

256 


312 


102 

409 


355 


1,249 


3,648 

3,649 


2,383 

(2,383)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

14 


895 

(694)


118 

39 

974 



995 


2,960 

3,061 


854 

(871)

Central banks

36 





36 



Other banks

18 




167 


185 


21 

19 


(3)

Other financial

  institutions

31 





34 


35 

35 


11 

(11)

Corporate

191 

48 

48 




50 


241 


511 

616 


44 

(49)

Personal

16 





16 

























306 

48 

48 


895 

(694)


118 

39 

974 


227 


1,507 


3,527 

3,731 


912 

(934)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

2,001 

1,345 





2,002 

1,346 

Other financial Institutions

1,507 

945 


63 

45 


76 

47 



1,646 

1,037 
















Total

3,508 

2,290 


64 

46 


76 

47 



3,648 

2,383 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Greece (continued)

 

Key points

The Group has reduced its effective exposure to Greece and continues to actively manage its exposure to the country, in line with the de-risking strategy that has been in place since early 2010. Much of the remaining exposure is collateralised or guaranteed.

 

Central and local government and central bank

As a result of the continued deterioration in Greece's fiscal position, coupled with the potential for the restructuring of Greek sovereign debt, the Group recognised an impairment charge in respect of available-for-sale Greek government bonds.

 

Financial institutions

Activity with Greek financial companies is under close scrutiny; exposure is minimal.



Due to market movements, the gross derivatives exposure to banks increased by £0.1 billion during the year. The portfolio is largely collateralised.

 

Corporate

At the start of 2011, the Group reclassified the domicile of exposures to a number of defaulted clients, resulting in an increase in reported exposure to Greek corporate clients as well as increases in REIL and impairment provisions.



The Group's focus is now on short-term trade facilities to the domestic subsidiaries of international clients, increasingly supported by parental guarantees.

 

Non-Core (included above)

Refer to table on pages 182 and 183 for details.

The Non-Core division's lending exposure to Greece was £0.1 billion at 31 December 2011, a reduction of 28% since December 2010. The remaining lending portfolio primarily consists of the following sectors: financial intermediaries (33%), construction (20%), other services (16%) and electricity (14%).

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Portugal
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government


56 

(58)


36 

152 

(60)


19 


(41)


3,304 

3,413 


997 

(985)

Other banks

10 


91 

(36)


12 

101 


389 


500 


1,197 

1,155 


264 

(260)

Other financial

  institutions



12 


30 


42 



(1)

Corporate

495 

27 

27 


42 


18 

60 


81 


636 


366 

321 


68 

(48)

Personal





























510 

27 

27 


194 

(94)


73 

154 

113 


519 


1,142 


4,875 

4,894 


1,330 

(1,294)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

86 


92 

(26)


68 

122 

38 


29 


153 


2,844 

2,923 


471 

(460)

Other banks

63 


106 

(24)


46 

150 


307 


520 


1,085 

1,107 


231 

(243)

Other financial

  institutions


47 


54 



61 



(1)

Corporate

611 

27 

21 




51 


662 


581 

507 


48 

(29)

Personal





























766 

27 

21 


245 

(49)


121 

124 

242 


394 


1,402 


4,519 

4,543 


749 

(732)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

2,922 

786 


46 

12 




2,968 

798 

Other financial Institutions

1,874 

517 



33 

15 



1,907 

532 
















Total

4,796 

1,303 


46 

12 


33 

15 



4,875 

1,330 

 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Portugal (continued)

 

Key points

In early 2011, RBS closed its local operations in Portugal, leaving the Group with modest overall exposure of £1.4 billion by year-end. The portfolio, now managed out of Spain, is focused on corporate lending and derivatives trading with the largest local banks. Medium-term activity has ceased with the exception of that carried out under a Credit Support Annex.

 

Central and local government and central bank

During 2011, the Group's exposure to the Portuguese government was reduced to a very small derivatives position, the result of decreases in contingent and lending exposures to public sector entities by way of facility maturities. The Group's exposure to the government was negative at 31 December 2011, reflecting net short held-for-trading debt securities.

 

Financial institutions

A major proportion of the remaining exposures is focused on the top four systemically important financial groups. Exposures generally consist of collateralised trading products.

 

Corporate

The largest non-financial corporate exposure is to the energy and transport sectors. The Group's exposure is concentrated on a few large, highly creditworthy clients.

 

Non-Core (included above)

Refer to table on pages 182 and 183 for details.

The Non-Core division's lending exposure to Portugal was £0.3 billion at 31 December 2011, an increase of 8% in the portfolio since December 2010, due to an infrastructure project drawing committed facilities. The portfolio comprises lending exposure to the land transport and logistics (52%), electricity (30%) and commercial real estate (14%) sectors. There is no exposure to central or local government.


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Germany
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government


12,035 

523 


4,136 

2,084 

14,087 


423 


14,510 


2,631 

2,640 


76 

(67)

Central banks

18,068 




5,704 


23,772 



Other banks

653 


1,376 


294 

761 

909 


6,003 


7,565 


4,765 

4,694 


307 

(310)

Other financial

  institutions

305 


563 

(33)


187 

95 

655 


3,321 


4,281 


3,653 

3,403 


(2)

Corporate

6,608 

191 

80 


109 


14 

116 


586 


7,310 


20,433 

18,311 


148 

(126)

Personal

155 

19 

19 





155 

























25,789 

210 

99 


14,083 

504 


4,631 

2,947 

15,767 


16,037 


57,593 


31,482 

29,048 


538 

(505)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government


10,648 


5,964 

4,124 

12,488 


160 


12,648 


2,056 

2,173 


25 

(19)

Central banks

10,894 




6,233 


17,127 



Other banks

1,060 


1,291 


567 

481 

1,377 


6,289 


8,726 


3,848 

3,933 


73 

(88)

Other financial

  institutions

422 


494 

(47)


195 

17 

672 


1,951 


3,045 


2,712 

2,633 


(18)

18 

Corporate

7,519 

163 

44 


219 


44 

53 

210 


633 


8,362 


20,731 

19,076 


(382)

372 

Personal

162 





162 

























20,057 

163 

44 


12,652 

(39)


6,770 

4,675 

14,747 


15,266 


50,070 


29,347 

27,815 


(302)

283 

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

14,644 

171 


163 




14,815 

175 

Other financial Institutions

16,315 

357 


18 


334 



16,667 

363 
















Total

30,959 

528 


181 


342 



31,482 

538 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Netherlands
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government

2,567 


1,447 

74 


849 

591 

1,705 


41 


4,313 


1,206 

1,189 


31 

(31)

Central banks

7,654 





7,667 



Other banks

623 


802 

217 


365 

278 

889 


7,574 


9,086 


965 

995 


41 

(42)

Other financial

  institutions

1,575 


6,804 

(386)


290 

108 

6,986 


1,914 


10,475 


5,772 

5,541 


142 

(131)

Corporate

4,827 

621 

209 


199 


113 

307 


749 


5,883 


15,416 

14,238 


257 

(166)

Personal

20 





20 

























17,266 

624 

211 


9,252 

(89)


1,623 

982 

9,893 


10,285 


37,444 


23,359 

21,963 


471 

(370)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

914 


3,469 

16 


1,426 

607 

4,288 


46 


5,248 


1,195 

999 


(2)

(4)

Central banks

6,484 





6,484 



Other banks

554 


984 


223 

275 

932 


5,021 


6,507 


784 

789 


12 

(10)

Other financial

  institutions

1,801 


6,612 

(185)


344 

12 

6,944 


3,116 


11,861 


4,210 

3,985 


48 

(46)

Corporate

6,170 

388 

149 


264 


152 

57 

359 


875 


7,404 


12,330 

11,113 


(72)

177 

Personal

81 





81 

























16,004 

391 

152 


11,329 

(164)


2,145 

951 

12,523 


9,058 


37,585 


18,519 

16,886 


(14)

117

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

7,605 

107 


88 




7,699 

108 

Other financial Institutions

14,529 

231 


308 

37 


676 

81 


147 

14 


15,660 

363 
















Total

22,134 

338 


396 

38 


682 

81 


147 

14 


23,359 

471 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: France
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government

481 


2,648 

(14)


8,705 

5,669 

5,684 


357 


6,522 


3,467 

2,901 


228 

(195)

Central banks


20 


20 


12 


35 



Other banks

1,273 


889 

(17)


157 

75 

971 


7,271 


9,515 


4,232 

3,995 


282 

(236)

Other financial

  institutions

437 


642 

(40)


325 

126 

841 


675 


1,953 


2,590 

2,053 


136 

(117)

Corporate

3,761 

128 

74 


240 


72 

34 

278 


743 


4,782 


23,224 

21,589 


609 

(578)

Personal

79 





79 

























6,034 

128 

74 


4,439 

(62)


9,259 

5,904 

7,794 


9,058 


22,886 


33,513 

30,538 


1,255 

(1,126)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

511 


5,912 

40 


10,266 

3,968 

12,210 


362 


13,083 


2,225 

2,287 


87 

(92)

Central banks




15 


18 



Other banks

1,095 


774 


410 

204 

980 


7,183 


9,258 


3,631 

3,071 


63 

(43)

Other financial

  institutions

470 


666 

(22)


42 

23 

685 


375 


1,530 


1,722 

1,609 


(2)

Corporate

4,376 

230 

46 


71 


185 

90 

166 


672 


5,214 


19,771 

18,466 


(181)

159 

Personal

102 





102 

























6,557 

230 

46 


7,423 

19 


10,903 

4,285 

14,041 


8,607 


29,205 


27,349 

25,433 


(31)

22 

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

13,353 

453 


162 

13 


79 



13,594 

474 

Other financial Institutions

19,641 

758 


24 


254 

22 



19,919 

781 
















Total

32,994 

1,211 


186 

14 


333 

30 



33,513 

1,255 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Luxembourg
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Other banks

101 


10 


17 


546 


664 



Other financial

  institutions

1,779 


54 

(7)


82 

80 

56 


2,963 


4,798 


2,080 

1,976 


118 

(108)

Corporate

2,228 

897 

301 



58 

57 


180 


2,465 


2,478 

2,138 


146 

(116)

Personal





























4,110 

897 

301 


69 

(7)


147 

86 

130 


3,689 


7,929 


4,558 

4,114 


264 

(224)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government



24

24 



24 



Central banks

25 





25 



Other banks

26 


30 

(1)


45 

75 


499 


600 



Other financial

  institutions

734 


99 

(3)


32 

19 

112 


1,800 


2,646 


1,296 

1,220 


(5)

Corporate

2,503 

807 

206 



183 

21 

167 


246 


2,916 


2,367 

1,918 


(16)

13 

Personal





























3,291 

807 

206 


134 

(3)


284 

40 

378 


2,545 


6,214 


3,663 

3,138 


(21)

14 

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

1,535 

93 


16 




1,551 

93 

Other financial Institutions

2,927 

164 


10 


70 



3,007 

171 
















Total

4,462 

257 


26 


70 



4,558 

264 

 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Belgium
















CDS by reference entity


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  

Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government

213 


742 

(116)


608 

722 

628 


89 


930 


1,612 

1,505 


120 

(110)

Central banks





11 



Other banks

287 




2,450 


2,741 


312 

302 


14 

(13)

Other financial

  institutions

354 



(3)


191 


542 



Corporate

588 

31 

21 



20 

23 


277 


888 


563 

570 


12 

(12)

Personal

20 





20 

























1,470 

31 

21 


749 

(116)


629 

726 

652 


3,010 


5,132 


2,487 

2,377 


146 

(135)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

102 


763 

(54)


529 

602 

690 


92 


884 


880 

986 


53 

(57)

Central banks

14 





21 



Other banks

441 


39 


66 

103 


1,822 


2,366 


278 

266 


(1)

Other financial

  institutions

32 




126 


158 



Corporate

893 

27 

27 



11 

10 


191 


1,094 


628 

594 


(6)

Personal

327 





327 

























1,809 

27 

27 


803 

(53)


606 

606 

803 


2,238 


4,850 


1,786 

1,846 


49 

(52)

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

1,602 

97 



12 



1,616 

98 

Other financial Institutions

866 

48 





871 

48 
















Total

2,468  

145 



16 



2,487 

146 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Rest of eurozone (1)

 


Lending 

REIL 

Provisions 


AFS and 

 LAR debt 

 securities 

AFS 

 reserves 


HFT

debt securities

Total debt 

 securities 


Derivatives 

 (gross of 

 collateral) and repos 


Balance 

sheet 

exposures 


CDS by reference entity

Notional


Fair value

Long 

Short 

Bought 

Sold  


Bought 

Sold 

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

  

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 


£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 






















Central and local

  government

121 


327 

(47)


445 

331 

441 


779 


1,341 


2,281 

2,350 


54 

(47)

Central banks




44 


44 



Other banks

28 


63 

(1)


13 

70 


1,017 


1,051 


90 

87 


(1)

Other financial

  institutions

115 


100 

(9)


25 

123 


37 


275 



Corporate

1,375 

181 

55 


134 

(4)


13 

140 


94 


1,609 


4,054 

3,944 


70 

(59)

Personal

26 





26 

























1,665 

181 

55 


624 

(61)


496 

410 

710 


1,971 


4,346 


6,425 

6,381 


126 

(107)






















31 December 2010





















Central and local

  government

124 


324 

(25)


268 

283 

309 


697 


1,130 


1,975 

2,190 


(26)

34

Central banks







Other banks

142 


71 

(1)


52 

44 

79 


564 


785 


148 

142 


Other financial

  institutions

119 



(1)


29 


147 



Corporate

1,505 

238 

67 


133 

(1)


30 

15 

148 


79 


1,732 


3,254 

2,966 


(63)

51

Personal

24 





24 

























1,915 

238 

67 


532 

(27)


350 

347 

535 


1,370 


3,820 


5,377 

5,298 


(88)

85

 

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 


AQ1


AQ2-AQ3


AQ4-AQ9


AQ10


Total


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 


Notional 

Fair value 

31 December 2011 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

Banks

2,877 

58 


50 




2,927 

59 

Other financial Institutions

3,464 

67 



30 



3,498 

67 
















Total

6,341 

125 


54 


30 



6,425 

126 

 




Note:

 (1)

Comprises Austria, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk: Eurozone non-periphery

 

Key points

Due to credit risk and capital considerations, the Group increased exposure to central banks (particularly in Germany and the Netherlands) by depositing with them higher levels of surplus liquidity on a short-term basis, given the limited alternative investment opportunities.



During 2011, in anticipation of widening credit spreads and for reasons of general risk management, the Group reduced its holdings in French and Dutch AFS sovereign bonds. The Group concurrently increased its holdings of German AFS sovereign debt in line with internal liquidity and risk management strategies.

 

Financial institutions

France - approximately half of the lending to banks is to the top three banks.



Luxembourg - lending to non-bank financial institutions increased by £1.0 billion during 2011, reflecting collateral relating to derivatives and repos.

 

Corporate

Netherlands - corporate lending fell £1.3 billion over 2011, driven by the manufacturing, natural resources and services sectors. The relatively large contingent liabilities and commitments declined £7.9 billion.

 

Non-Core (included above)

Refer to table on pages 182 and 183 for details.

Non-Core lending exposure has been generally reduced in line with the Group's strategic plan. Lending exposure in France was £2.3 billion at 31 December 2011, having declined £0.5 billion during 2011. The lending portfolio mainly comprises property (45%) and sovereign and quasi-sovereign (20%) exposures.



Non-Core lending exposure in Germany was £5.4 billion at 31 December 2011, down £1.1 billion since December 2010. The lending portfolio is mostly in the property (44%) and transport (35%) sectors.



Non-Core lending exposure in the Netherlands was £2.5 billion at 31 December 2011, down £0.7 billion year on year. The portfolio mainly comprises exposures to the property (66%) and technology, media and telecommunications (19%) sectors.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Country risk

Notes to tables on page 182 to 202.

 

Lending comprises gross loans and advances to: central and local governments; central banks, including cash balances; other banks and financial institutions, incorporating overdraft and other short-term facilities; corporations, in large part loans and leases; and individuals, comprising mortgages, personal loans and credit card balances. Lending includes impaired loans and loans where an impairment event has taken place but no impairment provision is recognised.

 

Debt securitiescomprise securities classified as available-for-sale (AFS), loans and receivables (LAR), held-for-trading (HFT) and designated as at fair value through profit or loss (DFV). All debt securities other than LAR securities are carried at fair value. LAR debt securities are carried at amortised cost less impairment. HFT debt securities are presented as gross long positions (including DFV securities) and short positions per country. Impairment losses and exchange differences relating to AFS debt securities, together with interest are recognised in the income statement; other changes in the fair value of AFS securities are reported within AFS reserves, which are presented gross of tax.

 

Derivativescomprise the mark-to-market (mtm) value of such contracts after the effect of enforceable netting agreements, but gross of collateral. Reverse repurchase agreements (repos) comprise the mtm value of counterparty exposure arising from repo transactions net of collateral.

 

Balance sheet exposurescomprise lending exposures, debt securities and derivatives and repo exposures.

 

Contingent liabilities and commitments comprise contingent liabilities, including guarantees, and committed undrawn facilities.

 

Asset Quality (AQ) - for the probability of default range relating to each internal asset quality band, refer to page 163.

 

Credit default swap (CDS) under CDS contract, the credit risk on the reference entity is transferred from the buyer to the seller. The fair value, or mtm, represents the balance sheet carrying value. The mtm value of CDSs is included within derivatives against the counterparty of the trade, as opposed to the reference entity. The notional is the par amount of the credit protection bought or sold and is included against the reference entity of the CDS contract.

 

The column CDS notional less fair value represents the notional less fair value amounts arising from sold positions netted against those arising from bought positions, and represents the net change in exposure for a given reference entity should the CDS contract be triggered by a credit event, assuming there is zero recovery rate. However, in most cases, the Group expects the recovery rate to be greater than zero and the change in exposure to be less than this amount.

 


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