Risk and balance sheet management
Except as otherwise indicated by an asterisk (*), the information in the Risk and balance sheet management section on pages 129 to 236 is within the scope of the Deloitte LLP's review report.
General overview*
The following table defines the main types of risk managed by the Group and presents a summary of the key developments for each risk in the first half of 2012.
Risk type |
Definition |
H1 2012 summary |
Capital risk |
The risk that the Group has insufficient capital. |
The Core tier 1 ratio was 11.1%, despite regulatory changes increasing risk-weightings on various asset categories, particularly commercial real estate. The Group reduced RWAs in Markets and successfully restructured a large derivative position in Non-Core. Refer to the Capital section. |
Liquidity and funding risk |
The risk that the Group is unable to meet its financial liabilities as they fall due. |
The Group maintained its trajectory towards a more stable deposit-led balance sheet with the loan:deposit ratio improving from 108% at 31 December 2011 to 104% at 30 June 2012. Short-term wholesale funding declined significantly from £102 billion at 31 December 2011 to £62 billion, covered 2.5 times by the liquidity buffer which was maintained at £156 billion. Refer to the Liquidity and funding risk section. |
Credit risk (including counterparty risk) |
The risk that the Group will incur losses owing to the failure of a customer to meet its obligation to settle outstanding amounts. |
The Group's credit performance improved; the H1 2012 impairment charge of £2.7 billion was 34% lower than the H1 2011 charge. This was despite continued economic stress within the eurozone, including Ireland, and depressed markets elsewhere. Progress continued in reducing key credit concentration risks, with exposure to commercial real estate 7% lower than at 31 December 2011. Refer to the Credit risk section. |
Country risk |
The risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events. |
Sovereign risk continues to increase, resulting in further rating downgrades for a number of countries, including several eurozone members. Total eurozone exposures decreased by 8% to £218 billion in H1 2012 and within that exposures to the periphery, fell by 10% to £69 billion. The Group participated in the Greek sovereign bond restructuring in March 2012 and sold all resulting new Greek sovereign bonds as well as parts of its Spanish and Portuguese bond holdings. A number of further advanced countries were brought under limit control and exposure to a range of countries was further reduced. Refer to the Country risk section. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management
General overview* (continued)
Risk type |
Definition |
H1 2012 summary |
Market risk |
The risk arising from changes in interest rates, foreign currency, credit spreads, equity prices and risk related factors such as market volatilities. |
During H1 2012, the Group continued to manage down its market risk exposure in Non-Core through the disposal of assets and unwinding of trades. Refer to the Market risk section. |
Insurance risk |
The risk of financial loss through fluctuations in the timing, frequency and/or severity of insured events, relative to the expectations at the time of underwriting. |
Direct Line Group introduced enhanced claims management systems and processes, improving its ability to handle and understand insured events. In addition, improvements in the Group's insurance risk policy, associated minimum standards and key risk indicators were implemented. |
Operational risk |
The risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed processes, people, systems or from external events. |
The Group continued to focus on tight management of operational risks, particularly with regard to risk and control assessment (including change risk assessment), scenario analysis and statistical modelling for capital requirements. The level of operational risk remains high due to the continued scale of structural change occurring across the Group, the pace of regulatory change, the economic downturn and other external threats, such as e-crime.
During June 2012, the Group's technology incident led to significant payment system disruption. A detailed investigation is underway into the root cause of the problem. |
Compliance risk |
The risk arising from non-compliance with national and international laws, rules and regulations. |
The Group agreed its conduct risk appetite and made significant progress towards finalising and embedding the associated policy framework and governance. In addition, Group-wide implementation of its Anti Money Laundering Change Programme continued. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management
General overview* (continued)
Risk type |
Definition |
H1 2012 summary |
Reputational risk |
The risk of brand damage arising from financial and non-financial events arising from the failure to meet stakeholders' expectations of the Group's performance and behaviour. |
The Group Sustainability Committee oversaw further development of the Group's policies for environmental, social and ethical risks focusing on the power generation and gambling sectors. As part of the Group's commitment to stakeholder engagement, the Group Sustainability Committee also met with key non-governmental organisations to discuss concerns over high profile issues including tax, oil and gas investment, corporate transparency and agricultural commodity trading.
The disruption experienced by customers due to the Group's recent technology incident has presented reputational risks. The Group has informed customers that they will not suffer financially as a result and is undertaking an independent review of the incident. |
Business risk |
The risk of lower-than-expected revenues and/or higher-than-expected operating costs. |
Business risk is fully incorporated within the Group's stress testing process through an analysis of the potential movement in revenues and operating costs under stress scenarios. |
Pension risk |
The risk that the Group will have to make additional contributions to its defined benefit pension schemes. |
The Group continued to focus on improving pension risk management systems and modelling. This included the development of a policy setting out the governance framework for managing the Group's risk as sponsor of its defined pension schemes. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management
Balance sheet management
Capital
The Group aims to maintain an appropriate level of capital to meet its business needs and regulatory requirements. Capital adequacy and risk management are closely aligned. The Group's risk-weighted assets and risk asset ratios, calculated in accordance with Financial Services Authority (FSA) definitions, are set out below.
|
30 June 2012 |
31 March 2012 |
31 December 2011 |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) by risk* |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
|
|
|
|
Credit risk |
334.8 |
332.9 |
344.3 |
Counterparty risk |
53.0 |
56.8 |
61.9 |
Market risk |
54.0 |
61.0 |
64.0 |
Operational risk |
45.8 |
45.8 |
37.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
487.6 |
496.5 |
508.1 |
Asset Protection Scheme relief |
(52.9) |
(62.2) |
(69.1) |
|
|
|
|
|
434.7 |
434.3 |
439.0 |
Risk asset ratios* |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Core Tier 1 |
11.1 |
10.8 |
10.6 |
Tier 1 |
13.4 |
13.2 |
13.0 |
Total |
14.6 |
14.0 |
13.8 |
Key points*
· |
The Core Tier 1 ratio improved to 11.1% reflecting reductions in RWAs and capital deductions. Gross RWAs decreased by £20.5 billion in H1 2012, 4%, primarily in Markets and Non-Core. |
|
|
· |
Non-Core RWAs decreased by £10.6 billion as a result of sales, run-off, market risk movements and the impact of restructuring a large derivative exposure to a highly leveraged counterparty, which was partly offset by increases to regulatory risk-weightings. |
|
|
· |
In Markets, less market risk and a smaller balance sheet led to lower RWAs. |
|
|
· |
Market risk RWAs decreased by £10.0 billion in the first half of 2012 and £7.0 billion in Q2 2012 reflecting de-risking of the Non-Core portfolio and a reduction in trading VaR in both Markets and Non-Core. |
|
|
· |
The Asset Protection Scheme relief decreased by £16.2 billion in the first half of 2012, £9.3 billion in Q2 2012. This results from the £19.6 billion (Q2 2012 - £8.6 billion) drop in covered assets to £112.2 billion at 30 June 2012. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Capital (continued)
The Group's regulatory capital resources in accordance with FSA definitions were as follows:
|
30 June 2012 |
31 March 2012 |
31 December 2011 |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests) |
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity per balance sheet |
74,016 |
73,416 |
74,819 |
Preference shares - equity |
(4,313) |
(4,313) |
(4,313) |
Other equity instruments |
(431) |
(431) |
(431) |
|
69,272 |
68,672 |
70,075 |
|
|
|
|
Non-controlling interests |
|
|
|
Non-controlling interests per balance sheet |
1,200 |
1,215 |
1,234 |
Non-controlling preference shares |
(548) |
(548) |
(548) |
Other adjustments to non-controlling interests for regulatory purposes |
(259) |
(259) |
(259) |
|
393 |
408 |
427 |
|
|
|
|
Regulatory adjustments and deductions |
|
|
|
Own credit |
(402) |
(845) |
(2,634) |
Unrealised losses on AFS debt securities |
520 |
547 |
1,065 |
Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares |
(70) |
(108) |
(108) |
Cash flow hedging reserve |
(1,399) |
(921) |
(879) |
Other adjustments for regulatory purposes |
637 |
630 |
571 |
Goodwill and other intangible assets |
(14,888) |
(14,771) |
(14,858) |
50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions (net of tax) |
(2,329) |
(2,791) |
(2,536) |
50% of securitisation positions |
(1,461) |
(1,530) |
(2,019) |
50% of APS first loss |
(2,118) |
(2,489) |
(2,763) |
|
(21,510) |
(22,278) |
(24,161) |
|
|
|
|
Core Tier 1 capital |
48,155 |
46,802 |
46,341 |
|
|
|
|
Other Tier 1 capital |
|
|
|
Preference shares - equity |
4,313 |
4,313 |
4,313 |
Preference shares - debt |
1,082 |
1,064 |
1,094 |
Innovative/hybrid Tier 1 securities |
4,466 |
4,557 |
4,667 |
|
9,861 |
9,934 |
10,074 |
|
|
|
|
Tier 1 deductions |
|
|
|
50% of material holdings |
(313) |
(300) |
(340) |
Tax on excess of expected losses over impairment provisions |
756 |
906 |
915 |
|
443 |
606 |
575 |
|
|
|
|
Total Tier 1 capital |
58,459 |
57,342 |
56,990 |
|
|
|
|
Qualifying Tier 2 capital |
|
|
|
Undated subordinated debt |
1,958 |
1,817 |
1,838 |
Dated subordinated debt - net of amortisation |
13,346 |
13,561 |
14,527 |
Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares |
70 |
108 |
108 |
Collectively assessed impairment provisions |
552 |
571 |
635 |
Non-controlling Tier 2 capital |
11 |
11 |
11 |
|
15,937 |
16,068 |
17,119 |
|
|
|
|
Tier 2 deductions |
|
|
|
50% of securitisation positions |
(1,461) |
(1,530) |
(2,019) |
50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions |
(3,085) |
(3,697) |
(3,451) |
50% of material holdings |
(313) |
(300) |
(340) |
50% of APS first loss |
(2,118) |
(2,489) |
(2,763) |
|
(6,977) |
(8,016) |
(8,573) |
|
|
|
|
Total Tier 2 capital |
8,960 |
8,052 |
8,546 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Capital (continued)
|
30 June 2012 |
31 March 2012 |
31 December 2011 |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
Supervisory deductions |
|
|
|
Unconsolidated Investments |
|
|
|
- Direct Line Group |
(3,642) |
(4,130) |
(4,354) |
- Other investments |
(141) |
(248) |
(239) |
Other deductions |
(197) |
(212) |
(235) |
|
|
|
|
|
(3,980) |
(4,590) |
(4,828) |
|
|
|
|
Total regulatory capital |
63,439 |
60,804 |
60,708 |
Movement in Core Tier 1 capital |
£m |
|
|
At 1 January 2012 |
46,341 |
Attributable profit net of movements in fair value of own debt |
242 |
Share capital and reserve movements in respect of employee benefits |
659 |
Foreign currency reserves |
(461) |
Decrease in non-controlling interests |
(34) |
Decrease in capital deductions including APS first loss |
1,410 |
Decrease in goodwill and intangibles |
(30) |
Other movements |
28 |
|
|
At 30 June 2012 |
48,155 |
Risk-weighted assets by division*
Risk-weighted assets by risk category and division are set out below.
|
Credit risk |
Counterparty risk |
Market risk |
Operational risk |
Gross RWAs |
30 June 2012 |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Retail |
39.6 |
- |
- |
7.8 |
47.4 |
UK Corporate |
70.8 |
- |
- |
8.6 |
79.4 |
Wealth |
10.3 |
- |
0.1 |
1.9 |
12.3 |
International Banking |
41.2 |
- |
- |
4.8 |
46.0 |
Ulster Bank |
34.7 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
1.7 |
37.4 |
US Retail & Commercial |
52.5 |
1.1 |
- |
4.9 |
58.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retail & Commercial |
249.1 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
29.7 |
281.0 |
Markets |
15.7 |
33.4 |
43.1 |
15.7 |
107.9 |
Other |
10.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
12.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core |
275.3 |
35.6 |
43.5 |
47.2 |
401.6 |
Non-Core |
56.4 |
17.4 |
10.5 |
(1.6) |
82.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group before RFS Holdings MI |
331.7 |
53.0 |
54.0 |
45.6 |
484.3 |
RFS Holdings MI |
3.1 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group |
334.8 |
53.0 |
54.0 |
45.8 |
487.6 |
APS relief |
(46.2) |
(6.7) |
- |
- |
(52.9) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net RWAs |
288.6 |
46.3 |
54.0 |
45.8 |
434.7 |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Capital: Risk-weighted assets by division* (continued)
|
Credit risk |
Counterparty risk |
Market risk |
Operational risk |
Gross RWAs |
31 March 2012 |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Retail |
40.4 |
- |
- |
7.8 |
48.2 |
UK Corporate |
68.3 |
- |
- |
8.6 |
76.9 |
Wealth |
10.9 |
- |
0.1 |
1.9 |
12.9 |
International Banking |
37.0 |
- |
- |
4.8 |
41.8 |
Ulster Bank |
35.9 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
1.7 |
38.4 |
US Retail & Commercial |
52.8 |
0.9 |
- |
4.9 |
58.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retail & Commercial |
245.3 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
29.7 |
276.8 |
Markets |
15.0 |
36.5 |
48.4 |
15.7 |
115.6 |
Other |
9.0 |
0.2 |
- |
1.8 |
11.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core |
269.3 |
38.3 |
48.6 |
47.2 |
403.4 |
Non-Core |
60.6 |
18.5 |
12.4 |
(1.6) |
89.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group before RFS Holdings MI |
329.9 |
56.8 |
61.0 |
45.6 |
493.3 |
RFS Holdings MI |
3.0 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group |
332.9 |
56.8 |
61.0 |
45.8 |
496.5 |
APS relief |
(53.9) |
(8.3) |
- |
- |
(62.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net RWAs |
279.0 |
48.5 |
61.0 |
45.8 |
434.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Retail |
41.1 |
- |
- |
7.3 |
48.4 |
UK Corporate |
71.2 |
- |
- |
8.1 |
79.3 |
Wealth |
10.9 |
- |
0.1 |
1.9 |
12.9 |
International Banking |
38.9 |
- |
- |
4.3 |
43.2 |
Ulster Bank |
33.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
36.3 |
US Retail & Commercial |
53.6 |
1.0 |
- |
4.7 |
59.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retail & Commercial |
249.3 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
28.1 |
279.4 |
Markets |
16.7 |
39.9 |
50.6 |
13.1 |
120.3 |
Other |
9.8 |
0.2 |
- |
2.0 |
12.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core |
275.8 |
41.7 |
51.0 |
43.2 |
411.7 |
Non-Core |
65.6 |
20.2 |
13.0 |
(5.5) |
93.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group before RFS Holdings MI |
341.4 |
61.9 |
64.0 |
37.7 |
505.0 |
RFS Holdings MI |
2.9 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group |
344.3 |
61.9 |
64.0 |
37.9 |
508.1 |
APS relief |
(59.6) |
(9.5) |
- |
- |
(69.1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net RWAs |
284.7 |
52.4 |
64.0 |
37.9 |
439.0 |
Regulatory developments*
The regulatory change agenda remains intense, although we are now seeing a change of emphasis. At a global level, the G20 financial sector reform action plan, first developed in 2008, has mostly been addressed, with focus at that forum now shifting to growth and other issues. The G20 is expected to endorse policy proposals on 'shadow banking' by the end of 2012 but its regulation agenda is increasingly geared towards the implementation of agreed standards. Although policy initiation at the G20 level is drawing to an end, there remains a substantial pipeline of policy development, particularly in the EU and US, and RBS does not anticipate any easing of this for some time.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review opinion
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Regulatory capital developments (continued)
In the H1 2012, there were new regulatory proposals in Europe for data protection and crisis management as well as initial discussions on a banking union and the launch of the Liikanen Group to look at a structural reform of the industry. Negotiations, which are still incomplete, continued throughout the period on the adoption of the Basel III enhanced capital and liquidity standards in Europe. The European Banking Authority published several draft technical standards in anticipation of final agreement.
Basel III capital proposals were also issued in the US, as well as final rules for Basel 2.5. These were drawn up to be consistent with the Dodd-Frank Act and several other proposed and final rules were issued under the auspices of that legislation during the period. Significant activity took place in both Europe and the US to finalise rules requiring central clearing, where possible, and other reforms of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives, as the end of 2012 deadline set by the G20 approaches. Additionally, work continued on the finalisation of recovery and resolution planning frameworks for Europe and the UK.
In the UK, the Financial Services Bill to introduce the 'twin peaks' model of financial regulation was published as the FSA continued to alter its structure in anticipation of its formal split into the Prudential Regulation Authority and the Financial Conduct Authority in 2013. The government also published its White Paper on the implementation of the Vickers Report. The Group is evaluating the impact of these developments.
CRD IV impacts*
The Group, in conjunction with the FSA, continues to evaluate its models for the assessment of RWAs ascribed to credit risk across various classes. This together with the changes introduced by CRD IV relating primarily to counterparty risk, is expected to increase RWA requirements by the end of 2013 by £50 billion to £65 billion. These estimates are still subject to change; a degree of uncertainty remains around implementation details as the guidelines are not finalised and must still be enacted into EU law. There could be other future changes and associated impacts from these model reviews. See page 115 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts on background on Basel III and related proposals. The Group is also in the process of implementing changes to the RWA requirements for commercial real estate portfolios consistent with revised industry guidance from the FSA. This is projected to increase RWA requirements by circa £20 billion by the end of 2013, of which circa £10 billion will apply in 2012. Certain of the changes referred to above have been implemented, adding circa £15 billion to RWAs as of 30 June 2012.
The reported Core Tier 1 ratio following the implementation of the above changes is currently projected(1) to be 10.3% at 31 December 2013, while the fully loaded Basel III Core Tier 1 ratio at that date is estimated at 9.0% - 9.5%.
CRD IV legislation implementing Basel III proposals was due to be finalised in early July for implementation by 1 January 2013. However there are a number of areas still under consideration. On 1 August 2012, the FSA issued a statement indicating that it was unlikely that the legislation will be adopted earlier than autumn 2012 and enter into force on the envisaged implementation date of 1 January 2013. No alternative implementation date has yet been communicated by the EU institutions.
(1) |
Projected using consensus earnings and company balance sheet forecasts. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management
Liquidity and funding risk
Liquidity risk is the risk that the Group is unable to meet its obligations, including financing maturities as they fall due. Liquidity risk is heavily influenced by the maturity profile and mix of the Group's funding base, as well as the quality and liquidity value of its liquidity portfolio.
Overview
The Group continues to improve the structure and composition of its balance sheet through persistently difficult market conditions.
· |
The second quarter saw the final maturity of the Group's government guaranteed debt and robust liquidity management through a series of major market-wide credit rating actions. Short-term wholesale funding continued its downward trend to £62 billion and the liquidity coverage of this funding remains strong at 2.5 times. Short-term wholesale funding at 30 June 2012 was 7% of the funded balance sheet and 34% of wholesale funding, compared with 10% and 45% at 31 December 2011. |
|
|
· |
Short-term wholesale funding excluding derivative collateral declined by £40.1 billion in H1 2012 (Q2 2012 - £17.4 billion), reflecting the continued downsizing of the Markets balance sheet. |
|
|
· |
The Group's customer deposits, excluding derivative collateral, increased by £1.4 billion in the quarter despite headwinds from a credit rating downgrade reflecting the strength of the Group's Retail & Commercial franchise. Deposits now account for 67% of the Group's primary funding sources. |
|
|
· |
The deleveraging process being driven by Non-Core and Markets continued, allowing the Group to further reduce wholesale funding requirements. During the second quarter of 2012 the Group did not access the public markets for senior term debt (secured or unsecured). |
|
|
· |
Progress against the goals of the Group's strategic plan has resulted in a balance sheet structure which is broadly matched. At 30 June 2012 the Group's loan:deposit ratio improved to 104% with a Core ratio of 92%. |
|
|
· |
The Core funding surplus increased from £27 billion at the end of 2011 to £34 billion at 30 June 2012, spread evenly across the first two quarters. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Funding sources
The table below shows the Group's primary funding sources including deposits in disposal groups and excluding repurchase agreements.
|
30 June 2012 |
31 March 2012 |
31 December 2011 |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
Deposits by banks |
|
|
|
derivative cash collateral |
32,001 |
29,390 |
31,807 |
other deposits |
35,619 |
36,428 |
37,307 |
|
|
|
|
|
67,620 |
65,818 |
69,114 |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities in issue |
|
|
|
conduit asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) |
4,246 |
9,354 |
11,164 |
other commercial paper (CP) |
1,985 |
3,253 |
5,310 |
certificates of deposits (CDs) |
10,397 |
14,575 |
16,367 |
medium-term notes (MTNs) |
81,229 |
90,674 |
105,709 |
covered bonds |
9,987 |
10,107 |
9,107 |
securitisations |
12,011 |
14,980 |
14,964 |
|
|
|
|
|
119,855 |
142,943 |
162,621 |
Subordinated liabilities |
25,596 |
25,513 |
26,319 |
|
|
|
|
Notes issued |
145,451 |
168,456 |
188,940 |
|
|
|
|
Wholesale funding |
213,071 |
234,274 |
258,054 |
|
|
|
|
Customer deposits |
|
|
|
cash collateral |
10,269 |
8,829 |
9,242 |
other deposits |
425,031 |
423,659 |
427,511 |
|
|
|
|
Total customer deposits |
435,300 |
432,488 |
436,753 |
|
|
|
|
Total funding |
648,371 |
666,762 |
694,807 |
|
|
|
|
Disposal group deposits included above |
|
|
|
banks |
1 |
83 |
1 |
customers |
22,531 |
22,281 |
22,610 |
|
|
|
|
|
22,532 |
22,364 |
22,611 |
The table below shows the Group's wholesale funding source metrics.
|
Short-term wholesale funding (1) |
|
Total wholesale funding |
|
Net inter-bank funding (2) |
||||
|
Excluding derivative collateral |
Including derivative collateral |
|
Excluding derivative collateral |
Including derivative collateral |
|
Deposits |
Loans |
Net interbank funding |
|
£bn |
£bn |
|
£bn |
£bn |
|
£bn |
£bn |
£bn |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June 2012 |
62.3 |
94.3 |
|
181.1 |
213.1 |
|
35.6 |
(22.3) |
13.3 |
31 March 2012 |
79.7 |
109.1 |
|
204.9 |
234.3 |
|
36.4 |
(19.7) |
16.7 |
31 December 2011 |
102.4 |
134.2 |
|
226.2 |
258.1 |
|
37.3 |
(24.3) |
13.0 |
30 September 2011 |
141.6 |
174.1 |
|
267.0 |
299.4 |
|
46.2 |
(33.0) |
13.2 |
30 June 2011 |
148.1 |
173.6 |
|
286.2 |
311.7 |
|
46.1 |
(33.6) |
12.5 |
Notes:
(1) |
Short-term balances denote those with a residual maturity of less than one year and includes longer-term issuances. |
(2) |
Excludes derivative collateral. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk: Funding sources (continued)
Notes issued
The table below shows the Group's debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities by remaining maturity.
|
Debt securities in issue |
|
|
|
|||||
|
Conduit ABCP |
Other CP and CDs |
MTNs |
Covered bonds |
Securit- isations |
Total |
Subordinated liabilities |
Total notes issued |
Total notes issued |
30 June 2012 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less than 1 year |
4,246 |
12,083 |
16,845 |
1,020 |
69 |
34,263 |
1,631 |
35,894 |
25 |
1-3 years |
- |
293 |
24,452 |
1,681 |
1,263 |
27,689 |
5,401 |
33,090 |
23 |
3-5 years |
- |
1 |
16,620 |
3,619 |
- |
20,240 |
2,667 |
22,907 |
15 |
More than 5 years |
- |
5 |
23,312 |
3,667 |
10,679 |
37,663 |
15,897 |
53,560 |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,246 |
12,382 |
81,229 |
9,987 |
12,011 |
119,855 |
25,596 |
145,451 |
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 March 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less than 1 year |
9,354 |
17,532 |
19,686 |
- |
22 |
46,594 |
454 |
47,048 |
28 |
1-3 years |
- |
290 |
30,795 |
2,787 |
1,231 |
35,103 |
4,693 |
39,796 |
24 |
3-5 years |
- |
1 |
16,416 |
3,666 |
- |
20,083 |
4,998 |
25,081 |
15 |
More than 5 years |
- |
5 |
23,777 |
3,654 |
13,727 |
41,163 |
15,368 |
56,531 |
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9,354 |
17,828 |
90,674 |
10,107 |
14,980 |
142,943 |
25,513 |
168,456 |
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less than 1 year |
11,164 |
21,396 |
36,302 |
- |
27 |
68,889 |
624 |
69,513 |
37 |
1-3 years |
- |
278 |
26,595 |
2,760 |
479 |
30,112 |
3,338 |
33,450 |
18 |
3-5 years |
- |
2 |
16,627 |
3,673 |
- |
20,302 |
7,232 |
27,534 |
14 |
More than 5 years |
- |
1 |
26,185 |
2,674 |
14,458 |
43,318 |
15,125 |
58,443 |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,164 |
21,677 |
105,709 |
9,107 |
14,964 |
162,621 |
26,319 |
188,940 |
100 |
Key point
· |
Short-term debt securities in issue declined by £34.6 billion (Q2 2012 - £12.3 billion) primarily due to the final tranches of notes issued under the Credit Guarantee Scheme maturing (£21.3 billion in H1 2012 and £5.7 billion in Q2 2012) and the reduction of commercial paper in issue of £10.2 billion (Q2 2012 - £6.4 billion) in line with the Group's strategy. |
Deposit and repo funding
The table below shows the composition of the Group's deposits excluding repos and repo funding including disposal groups.
|
30 June 2012 |
|
31 March 2012 |
|
31 December 2011 |
|||
|
Deposits |
Repos |
|
Deposits |
Repos |
|
Deposits |
Repos |
|
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial institutions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- central and other banks |
67,620 |
39,125 |
|
65,818 |
41,415 |
|
69,114 |
39,691 |
- other financial institutions |
65,563 |
87,789 |
|
61,552 |
84,743 |
|
66,009 |
86,032 |
Personal and corporate deposits |
369,737 |
1,161 |
|
370,936 |
2,560 |
|
370,744 |
2,780 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
502,920 |
128,075 |
|
498,306 |
128,718 |
|
505,867 |
128,503 |
Key points
· |
The central and other bank balances include €10 billion in relation to funding accessed through the European Central Banks long-term refinancing operation facility. |
|
|
· |
Of the deposits above, about a third are insured through the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme, US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and similar schemes. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk: Funding sources (continued)
Customer loan to deposit ratio and funding gap
The table below shows the Group's divisional customer loan:deposit ratio (LDR) and customer funding gap.
|
Loans (1) |
Deposits (2) |
LDR (3) |
Funding surplus/ (gap) (3) |
30 June 2012 |
£m |
£m |
% |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
UK Retail |
110,318 |
106,571 |
104 |
(3,747) |
UK Corporate |
107,775 |
127,446 |
85 |
19,671 |
Wealth |
16,888 |
38,462 |
44 |
21,574 |
International Banking (4) |
43,190 |
42,238 |
102 |
(952) |
Ulster Bank |
29,701 |
20,593 |
144 |
(9,108) |
US Retail & Commercial |
51,634 |
59,229 |
87 |
7,595 |
Conduits (4) |
6,295 |
- |
- |
(6,295) |
|
|
|
|
|
Retail & Commercial |
365,801 |
394,539 |
93 |
28,738 |
Markets |
30,191 |
34,257 |
88 |
4,066 |
Direct Line Group and other |
1,320 |
2,999 |
44 |
1,679 |
|
|
|
|
|
Core |
397,312 |
431,795 |
92 |
34,483 |
Non-Core |
57,398 |
3,505 |
1,638 |
(53,893) |
|
|
|
|
|
Group |
454,710 |
435,300 |
104 |
(19,410) |
31 March 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Retail |
109,852 |
104,247 |
105 |
(5,605) |
UK Corporate |
107,583 |
124,256 |
87 |
16,673 |
Wealth |
16,881 |
38,278 |
44 |
21,397 |
International Banking (4) |
42,713 |
45,041 |
95 |
2,328 |
Ulster Bank |
30,831 |
20,981 |
147 |
(9,850) |
US Retail & Commercial |
50,298 |
58,735 |
86 |
8,437 |
Conduits (4) |
9,544 |
- |
- |
(9,544) |
|
|
|
|
|
Retail & Commercial |
367,702 |
391,538 |
94 |
23,836 |
Markets |
28,628 |
34,638 |
83 |
6,010 |
Direct Line Group and other |
1,468 |
2,573 |
57 |
1,105 |
|
|
|
|
|
Core |
397,798 |
428,749 |
93 |
30,951 |
Non-Core |
61,872 |
3,739 |
1,655 |
(58,133) |
|
|
|
|
|
Group |
459,670 |
432,488 |
106 |
(27,182) |
For the notes to this table refer to the following page.
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk: Funding sources (continued)
Customer loan to deposit ratio and funding gap(continued)
|
Loans (1) |
Deposits (2) |
LDR (3) |
Funding surplus/ (gap) (3) |
31 December 2011 |
£m |
£m |
% |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
UK Retail |
107,983 |
101,878 |
106 |
(6,105) |
UK Corporate |
108,668 |
126,309 |
86 |
17,641 |
Wealth |
16,834 |
38,164 |
44 |
21,330 |
International Banking (4) |
46,417 |
45,051 |
103 |
(1,366) |
Ulster Bank |
31,303 |
21,814 |
143 |
(9,489) |
US Retail & Commercial |
50,842 |
59,984 |
85 |
9,142 |
Conduits (4) |
10,504 |
- |
- |
(10,504) |
|
|
|
|
|
Retail & Commercial |
372,551 |
393,200 |
95 |
20,649 |
Markets |
31,254 |
36,776 |
85 |
5,522 |
Direct Line Group and other |
1,196 |
2,496 |
48 |
1,300 |
|
|
|
|
|
Core |
405,001 |
432,472 |
94 |
27,471 |
Non-Core |
68,516 |
4,281 |
1,600 |
(64,235) |
|
|
|
|
|
Group |
473,517 |
436,753 |
108 |
(36,764) |
Notes:
(1) |
Loans and advances to customers excluding reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing but including disposal groups. |
(2) |
Excluding repurchase agreements and stock lending but including disposal groups. |
(3) |
Based on loans and advances to customers net of provisions and customer deposits as shown. |
(4) |
All conduits relate to International Banking and have been extracted and shown separately. |
Key point
· |
The Group's customer loan:deposit ratio improved by 400 basis points in the first half 2012 (Q2 2012 - 200 basis points) despite a credit rating downgrade in June 2012, reflecting the growth of Core Retail & Commercial deposits and the ongoing contraction of Non-Core loans. |
Long-term debt issuance
The table below shows debt securities issued by the Group in the period with an original maturity of one year or more. The Group also executes other long-term funding arrangements (predominantly term repurchase agreements) which are not reflected in the following tables.
|
Half year ended |
||
|
30 June 2012 |
31 December 2011 |
30 June 2011 |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
Public |
|
|
|
- unsecured |
- |
- |
5,085 |
- secured |
1,784 |
4,944 |
4,863 |
Private |
|
|
|
- unsecured |
2,585 |
4,166 |
8,248 |
- secured |
- |
500 |
- |
|
|
|
|
Gross issuance |
4,369 |
9,610 |
18,196 |
Buy backs |
(2,859) |
(3,656) |
(3,236) |
|
|
|
|
Net issuance |
1,510 |
5,954 |
14,960 |
Key point
· |
Issuance in 2012 has been modest, demonstrating reduced reliance on capital markets for funding. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Securitisations and asset transfers
Secured funding
The Group has access to secured funding markets through own-asset securitisation and covered bond funding programme. This complements existing wholesale funding programmes and access to the repo markets. The Group monitors and manages encumbrance levels related to these secured funding programmes including the potential encumbrance of Group assets that could be used in own-asset securitisations and/or covered bonds that could be used as contingent liquidity.
Own-asset securitisations
The Group has a programme of own-asset securitisations where assets are transferred to bankruptcy remote special purpose entities (SPEs) funded by the issue of debt securities. The majority of the risks and rewards of the portfolio are retained by the Group and these SPEs are consolidated with all of the transferred assets retained on the Group's balance sheet. In some own-asset securitisations, the Group may purchase all the issued securities which are available to be pledged as collateral for repurchase agreements with major central banks
Covered bond programme
Certain loans and advances to customers have been assigned to bankruptcy remote limited liability partnerships to provide security for issues of covered bonds by the Group. The Group retains all of the risks and rewards of these loans, the partnerships are consolidated, the loans retained on the Group's balance sheet and the related covered bonds included within debt securities in issue.
The following table shows:
(i) |
the asset categories that have been pledged to secured funding structures, including assets backing publicly issued own-asset securitisations and covered bonds; and |
|
|
(ii) |
any currently unencumbered assets that could be substituted into those portfolios or used to collateralise debt securities which may be retained by the Group for contingent liquidity purposes. |
|
|
|
Debt securities in issue |
||
Asset type (1) |
Assets (1) £m |
|
Held by third parties (2) £m |
Held by the Group (3) £m |
Total £m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgages |
|
|
|
|
|
- UK (RMBS) |
21,492 |
|
7,461 |
16,797 |
24,258 |
- UK (covered bonds) |
17,303 |
|
9,987 |
- |
9,987 |
- Irish |
11,953 |
|
3,278 |
8,204 |
11,482 |
UK credit cards |
3,827 |
|
1,265 |
282 |
1,547 |
UK personal loans |
4,823 |
|
- |
4,406 |
4,406 |
Other |
18,730 |
|
7 |
20,398 |
20,405 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78,128 |
|
21,998 |
50,087 |
72,085 |
Cash deposits (4) |
5,210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
83,338 |
|
|
|
|
For the notes relating to this table refer to the following page.
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Securitisations and asset transfers (continued)
|
|
|
Debt securities in issue |
||
31 March 2012 |
Assets (1) £m |
|
Held by third parties (2) £m |
Held by the Group (3) £m |
Total £m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgages |
|
|
|
|
|
- UK (RMBS) |
48,674 |
|
10,303 |
45,320 |
55,623 |
- UK (covered bonds) |
17,773 |
|
10,107 |
- |
10,107 |
- Irish |
12,496 |
|
3,419 |
8,532 |
11,951 |
UK credit cards |
3,869 |
|
1,251 |
282 |
1,533 |
UK personal loans |
4,948 |
|
- |
4,543 |
4,543 |
Other |
18,505 |
|
7 |
18,462 |
18,469 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
106,265 |
|
25,087 |
77,139 |
102,226 |
Cash deposits (4) |
11,198 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
117,463 |
|
|
|
|
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgages |
|
|
|
|
|
- UK (RMBS) |
49,549 |
|
10,988 |
47,324 |
58,312 |
- UK (covered bonds) |
15,441 |
|
9,107 |
- |
9,107 |
- Irish |
12,660 |
|
3,472 |
8,670 |
12,142 |
UK credit cards |
4,037 |
|
500 |
110 |
610 |
UK personal loans |
5,168 |
|
- |
4,706 |
4,706 |
Other |
19,778 |
|
4 |
20,577 |
20,581 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
106,633 |
|
24,071 |
81,387 |
105,458 |
Cash deposits (4) |
11,998 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
118,631 |
|
|
|
|
Notes:
(1) |
Assets that have been pledged to the SPEs which itself is a subset of the total portfolio of eligible assets within a collateral pool. |
(2) |
Debt securities that have been sold to third party investors and represents a source of external wholesale funding. |
(3) |
Debt securities issued pursuant to own-asset securitisations where the debt securities are retained by the Group as a source of contingent liquidity where those securities can be used in repurchase agreements with central banks. |
(4) |
Cash deposits comprise £4.4 billion (31 March 2012 - £10.4 billion; 31 December 2011 - £11.2 billion) from mortgage repayments and £0.8 billion (31 March 2012 and 31 December 2011 - £0.8 billion) from other loan repayments held in the SPEs, to repay debt securities issued by the own-asset securitisation vehicles. |
Key point
· |
The Group unwound a number of own-asset securitisations as part of its strategy on assets used for the Bank of England discount window facility. At 30 June 2012 the Group had £37.1 billion of pre-positioned whole loans in relation to this facility in addition to the balances above. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Securitisations and asset transfers (continued)
Securities repurchase agreements
The Group enters into securities repurchase agreements and securities lending transactions (repos) under which it transfers securities in accordance with normal market practice. Generally, the agreements require additional collateral to be provided if the value of the securities falls below a predetermined level. Under standard terms for repurchase transactions in the UK and US markets, the recipient of collateral has an unrestricted right to sell or repledge it, subject to returning equivalent securities on settlement of the transaction.
Securities sold under repurchase transactions are not derecognised if the Group retains substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership. The fair value (which is equivalent to the carrying value) of securities transferred under such repurchase transactions included within securities on the balance sheet is set out below. All of these securities could be sold or repledged by the holder.
Assets pledged against repos |
30 June 2012 |
31 March 2012 £m |
31 December 2011 £m |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
81,871 |
80,010 |
79,480 |
Equity shares |
5,069 |
3,390 |
6,534 |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Conduits
The Group sponsors and administers a number of asset-backed commercial paper conduits. The liquidity commitments from the Group to each conduit exceeds the nominal amount of assets funded by a conduit as liquidity commitments are sized to cover the cost of the related assets. Refer to pages 125 to 127 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts for more information.
The total assets and other aspects relating to the Group's consolidated conduits are set out below.
|
30 June 2012 |
|
31 December 2011 |
||||
|
Core |
Non-Core |
Total |
|
Core |
Non-Core |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets held by the conduits |
6,672 |
1,575 |
8,247 |
|
11,208 |
1,893 |
13,101 |
Commercial paper issued (1) |
5,361 |
96 |
5,457 |
|
10,590 |
859 |
11,449 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liquidity and credit enhancements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deal specific liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- drawn |
752 |
1,493 |
2,245 |
|
321 |
1,051 |
1,372 |
- undrawn |
9,104 |
366 |
9,470 |
|
15,324 |
1,144 |
16,468 |
PWCE (2) |
417 |
155 |
572 |
|
795 |
193 |
988 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10,273 |
2,014 |
12,287 |
|
16,440 |
2,388 |
18,828 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Maximum exposure to loss (3) |
9,856 |
1,859 |
11,715 |
|
15,646 |
2,194 |
17,840 |
Notes:
(1) |
Includes £1.3 billion of asset backed commercial paper issued to RBS plc (31 December 2011 - £0.3 billion). |
(2) |
Programme-wide credit enhancement (PWCE) is an additional programme-wide credit support which would absorb the first loss on transactions where liquidity support is provided by a third party. |
(3) |
Maximum exposure to loss quantifies the Group's exposure to its sponsored conduits. It is determined as the Group's liquidity commitment to its sponsored conduits and additional PWCE which would absorb the first loss on transactions where liquidity support is provided by third parties. Historically, PWCE has been greater than third party liquidity. Therefore the maximum exposure to loss is total deal specific liquidity. |
(4) |
Liquidity commitments from the Group to the conduit exceed the nominal amount of assets funded by the conduit given that liquidity commitments are sized to cover the accrued funding cost of the related assets. |
Key points
· |
During the half year, conduit assets decreased by £4.9 billion reflecting the accelerated run-off of the portfolio in line with Group strategy |
|
|
· |
The Group drawn liquidity increased by £0.9 billion to £2.2 billion as the rating downgrade resulted in a number of conduits being unable to issue commercial paper. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Liquidity portfolio
The table below shows the composition of the Group's liquidity portfolio (at estimated liquidity value). All assets within the liquidity portfolio are unencumbered.
|
30 June 2012 |
|
31 March 2012 |
|
31 December 2011 |
|||
|
Quarterly average |
Period end |
|
Quarterly average |
Period end |
|
Quarterly average |
Period end |
|
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and balances at central banks |
87,114 |
71,890 |
|
91,287 |
69,489 |
|
89,377 |
69,932 |
Central and local government bonds (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAA rated governments and US agencies |
20,163 |
26,315 |
|
19,085 |
29,639 |
|
30,421 |
29,632 |
AA- to AA+ rated governments (2) |
10,739 |
14,449 |
|
8,924 |
14,903 |
|
5,056 |
14,102 |
governments rated below AA |
609 |
519 |
|
797 |
544 |
|
1,011 |
955 |
local government |
2,546 |
1,872 |
|
3,980 |
2,933 |
|
4,517 |
4,302 |
|
34,057 |
43,155 |
|
32,786 |
48,019 |
|
41,005 |
48,991 |
Treasury bills |
- |
- |
|
- |
- |
|
444 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
121,171 |
115,045 |
|
124,073 |
117,508 |
|
130,826 |
118,923 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other assets (3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAA rated |
22,505 |
10,712 |
|
26,435 |
24,243 |
|
25,083 |
25,202 |
below AAA rated and other high quality assets |
13,789 |
30,244 |
|
9,194 |
10,972 |
|
11,400 |
11,205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36,294 |
40,956 |
|
35,629 |
35,215 |
|
36,483 |
36,407 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liquidity portfolio |
157,465 |
156,001 |
|
159,702 |
152,723 |
|
167,309 |
155,330 |
Notes:
(1) |
Includes FSA eligible government bonds of £29.7 billion (31 March 2012 - £30.5 billion; 31 December 2011 - £36.7 billion). |
(2) |
Includes US government guaranteed and US government sponsored agencies. |
(3) |
Other assets are a diversified pool of unencumbered assets that would be accepted as collateral by central banks as part of open market operations. |
Key points
· |
The liquidity portfolio was maintained at £156 billion representing 17% of the funded balance sheet and covers short-term wholesale funding 2.5 times. |
|
|
· |
AAA rated government and US agencies bonds held decreased by £3.3 billion in the first half of 2012, mainly in the second quarter, tracking the reducing short-term wholesale funding balances. |
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Net stable funding ratio*
The table below shows the composition of the Group's net stable funding ratio (NSFR), estimated by applying the Basel III guidance issued in December 2010. The Group's NSFR will also continue to be refined over time in line with regulatory developments and related interpretations. It may also be calculated on a basis that may differ from other financial institutions.
|
30 June 2012 |
|
31 March 2012 |
|
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|||
|
|
ASF (1) |
|
|
ASF (1) |
|
|
ASF (1) |
|
Weighting |
|
£bn |
£bn |
|
£bn |
£bn |
|
£bn |
£bn |
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
75 |
75 |
|
75 |
75 |
|
76 |
76 |
|
100 |
Wholesale funding > 1 year |
119 |
119 |
|
125 |
125 |
|
124 |
124 |
|
100 |
Wholesale funding < 1 year |
94 |
- |
|
109 |
- |
|
134 |
- |
|
- |
Derivatives |
481 |
- |
|
447 |
- |
|
524 |
- |
|
- |
Repurchase agreements |
128 |
- |
|
129 |
- |
|
129 |
- |
|
- |
Deposits |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Retail and SME - more stable |
235 |
212 |
|
230 |
207 |
|
227 |
204 |
|
90 |
- Retail and SME - less stable |
29 |
23 |
|
30 |
24 |
|
31 |
25 |
|
80 |
- Other |
171 |
86 |
|
173 |
87 |
|
179 |
89 |
|
50 |
Other (2) |
83 |
- |
|
85 |
- |
|
83 |
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and equity |
1,415 |
515 |
|
1,403 |
518 |
|
1,507 |
518 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash |
79 |
- |
|
82 |
- |
|
79 |
- |
|
- |
Inter-bank lending |
39 |
- |
|
36 |
- |
|
44 |
- |
|
- |
Debt securities > 1 year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- governments AAA to AA- |
70 |
4 |
|
70 |
3 |
|
77 |
4 |
|
5 |
- other eligible bonds |
60 |
12 |
|
64 |
13 |
|
73 |
15 |
|
20 |
- other bonds |
20 |
20 |
|
20 |
20 |
|
14 |
14 |
|
100 |
Debt securities < 1 year |
38 |
- |
|
42 |
- |
|
45 |
- |
|
- |
Derivatives |
486 |
- |
|
453 |
- |
|
530 |
- |
|
- |
Reverse repurchase agreements |
98 |
- |
|
91 |
- |
|
101 |
- |
|
- |
Customer loans and advances > 1 year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- residential mortgages |
146 |
95 |
|
145 |
94 |
|
145 |
94 |
|
65 |
- other |
151 |
151 |
|
167 |
167 |
|
173 |
173 |
|
100 |
Customer loans and advances < 1 year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- retail loans |
18 |
15 |
|
19 |
16 |
|
19 |
16 |
|
85 |
- other |
140 |
70 |
|
129 |
65 |
|
137 |
69 |
|
50 |
Other (3) |
70 |
70 |
|
85 |
85 |
|
70 |
70 |
|
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
1,415 |
437 |
|
1,403 |
463 |
|
1,507 |
455 |
|
|
Undrawn commitments |
228 |
11 |
|
237 |
12 |
|
240 |
12 |
|
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets and undrawn commitments |
1,643 |
448 |
|
1,640 |
475 |
|
1,747 |
467 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net stable funding ratio |
|
115% |
|
|
109% |
|
|
111% |
|
|
Notes:
(1) |
Available stable funding. |
(2) |
Deferred tax, insurance liabilities and other liabilities. |
(3) |
Prepayments, accrued income, deferred tax, settlement balances and other assets. |
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)
Net stable funding ratio* (continued)
Key points*
· |
The NSFR improved by 400 basis points in H1 2012 (Q2 2012 - 600 basis points) to 115%. Long-term funding decreased by £3 billion all in Q2 2012 with £5 billion (Q2 2012 - £6 billion) in term wholesale funding. This was partly offset by a £3 billion net increase in customer deposits in ASF terms all in Q1 2012 and predominately in more stable deposits (Retail & Commercial increased by £8 billion). |
|
|
· |
The funding requirement in relation to lending decreased £19 billion in H1 2012 (Q2 2012 - £27 billion) reflects derisking, sales and repayments in Non-Core and capital management led loan portfolio reductions in International Banking. |
Non-traded interest rate risk
Non-traded interest rate risk impacts earnings arising from the Group's banking activities. This excludes positions in financial instruments or commodities which are deemed to be held-for-trading or hedging items that are held-for-trading.
The Group provides a range of financial products to meet a variety of customer requirements. These products differ with regard to repricing frequency, tenor, indexation, prepayments, optionality and other features. When aggregated, they form portfolios of assets and liabilities with varying degrees of sensitivity to changes in market rates.
Mismatches in these sensitivities give rise to net interest income volatility as interest rates rise and fall. For example, a bank with a floating rate loan portfolio and largely fixed rate deposits will see its net interest income rise as interest rates rise and fall as rates decline.
The Group policy is to manage interest rate sensitivity in banking book portfolios within defined risk limits. Interest rate risk is transferred from the banking divisions to Group Treasury. Aggregate positions are then hedged externally using cash and derivative instruments, primarily interest rate swaps, to manage exposures within Group Asset and Liability Management Committee (GALCO) approved limits.
The Group assesses interest rate risk in the banking book (IRRBB) using a set of standards to define, measure and report the risk. These standards incorporate the expected divergence between contractual terms and the actual behaviour of fixed rate loan portfolios due to refinancing incentives and the risks associated with structural hedges of interest rate insensitive balances.
Key measures used to evaluate IRRBB are subject to approval by divisional Asset and Liability Management Committees (ALCOs) and GALCO. Limits on IRRBB are proposed by the Group Treasurer for approval by the Executive Risk Forum annually. Residual risk positions are reported on a regular basis to divisional ALCOs and monthly to the Group Balance Sheet Management Committee, GALCO, the Group Board and the Executive Risk Forum.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Non-traded interest rate risk (continued)
The Group uses a variety of approaches to quantify its interest rate risk encompassing both earnings and value metrics. IRRBB is measured using a version of the same VaR methodology that is used for the Group's trading portfolios. Net interest income exposures are measured in terms of earnings sensitivity over time against movements in interest rates.
VaR metrics are based on interest rate repricing gap reports as at the reporting date. These incorporate customer products and associated funding and hedging transactions as well as non-financial assets and liabilities such as property, equipment, capital and reserves. Behavioural assumptions are applied as appropriate.
The VaR does not provide a dynamic measurement of interest rate risk since static underlying repricing gap positions are assumed. Changes in customer behaviour under varying interest rate scenarios are captured by way of earnings risk measures.
Interest rate risk
Value-at-risk
IRRBB VaR for the Group's retail and commercial banking activities at 99% confidence level and currency analysis of period end VaR were as follows:
|
Average |
Period end |
|
Maximum |
Minimum |
|
£m |
£m |
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June 2012 |
56 |
55 |
|
65 |
51 |
31 December 2011 |
63 |
51 |
|
80 |
44 |
|
30 June 2012 £m |
31 December 2011 £m |
|
|
|
Euro |
21 |
26 |
Sterling |
43 |
57 |
US dollar |
62 |
61 |
Other |
4 |
5 |
Sensitivity of net interest income*
Earnings sensitivity to rate movements is derived from a central forecast over a twelve month period. Market implied forward rates and new business volume, mix and pricing consistent with business assumptions are used to generate a base case earnings forecast. The rates used to calculate this forecast are then shifted up and down by 100 basis points and the earnings recalculated. New business assumptions and the behavioural maturity profile of existing business may vary under the different rate scenarios.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Interest rate risk (continued)
The following table shows the sensitivity of net interest income, over the next twelve months, to an immediate upward or downward change of 100 basis points to all interest rates. In addition, the table includes the impact of a gradual 400 basis point steepening and a gradual 300 basis point flattening of the yield curve at tenors greater than a year.
|
Euro |
Sterling |
US dollar |
Other |
Total |
30 June 2012 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ 100 basis points shift in yield curves |
14 |
214 |
90 |
26 |
344 |
- 100 basis points shift in yield curves |
20 |
(273) |
(25) |
(36) |
(314) |
Bear steepener |
|
|
|
|
237 |
Bull flattener |
|
|
|
|
(161) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ 100 basis points shift in yield curves |
(19) |
190 |
59 |
14 |
244 |
- 100 basis points shift in yield curves |
25 |
(188) |
(4) |
(16) |
(183) |
Bear steepener |
|
|
|
|
443 |
Bull flattener |
|
|
|
|
(146) |
Key points*
· |
The Group remains slightly asset sensitive, largely as a consequence of the current low interest rate environment. An increase in rates would be positive for both deposit margins and the reinvestment of structural hedges. Conversely, falling rates would result in a further deposit margin compression and the reinvestment of structural hedges at lower levels than forecast. |
|
|
· |
Steepening and flattening scenarios which impact the long end of the yield curve serve to emphasise the impact of reinvesting structural hedges and the extent of any customer optionality. |
Structural hedges
Banks generally have the benefit of a significant pool of stable, non and low interest bearing liabilities, principally comprising equity and money transmission accounts. These balances are usually invested in longer-term fixed rate assets, either directly or by the use of interest rate swaps, in order to minimise earnings volatility and to provide a consistent and predictable revenue stream.
The Group targets a weighted average life for these economic hedges. This is accomplished using a continuous rolling maturity programme to achieve the desired profile and is primarily managed by Group Treasury.
It is estimated that this programme, encompassing both equity and product structural hedges, contributed an additional £750 million to the Group's net interest income over the half year 2012 relative to base rate. The maturity profile of the hedge aims to reduce the potential sensitivity of income to rate movements and residual sensitivity is estimated at £50 to £75 million for a 100 basis point adverse movement in rates over a twelve month horizon.
Fixed rate returns on liability structural hedges are expected to decline over the next twelve months as projected market rates continue to trend below historic averages. However, the portfolio maturity profile continues to moderate this impact and the Group expects the net contribution from these hedges to remain broadly stable.
* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)
Balance sheet management: Structural foreign currency exposures
The Group does not maintain material non-trading open currency positions, other than the structural foreign currency translation exposures arising from its investments in foreign subsidiaries and associated undertakings and their related currency funding.
The table below shows the Group's structural foreign currency exposures.
30 June 2012 |
Net assets of overseas operations |
RFS MI |
Net investments in foreign operations |
Net investment hedges |
Structural foreign currency exposures pre-economic hedges |
Economic hedges (1) |
Residual structural foreign currency exposures |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
US dollar |
17,518 |
1 |
17,517 |
(2,394) |
15,123 |
(4,014) |
11,109 |
Euro |
8,975 |
(1) |
8,976 |
(831) |
8,145 |
(2,159) |
5,986 |
Other non-sterling |
4,751 |
268 |
4,483 |
(3,631) |
852 |
- |
852 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31,244 |
268 |
30,976 |
(6,856) |
24,120 |
(6,173) |
17,947 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
US dollar |
17,570 |
1 |
17,569 |
(2,049) |
15,520 |
(4,071) |
11,449 |
Euro |
8,428 |
(3) |
8,431 |
(621) |
7,810 |
(2,236) |
5,574 |
Other non-sterling |
5,224 |
272 |
4,952 |
(4,100) |
852 |
- |
852 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31,222 |
270 |
30,952 |
(6,770) |
24,182 |
(6,307) |
17,875 |
Note:
(1) |
The economic hedges represents US and EU preference shares in issue that are treated as equity under IFRS and do not qualify as hedges for accounting purposes. |
Key points
· |
The Group's structural foreign currency exposure at 30 June 2012 was £24.1 billion and £17.9 billion before and after economic hedges respectively, broadly unchanged from the end of 2011 position. |
|
|
· |
Changes in foreign currency exchange rates will affect equity in proportion to structural foreign currency exposure. A 5% strengthening in foreign currencies against sterling would result in a gain of £1.2 billion (2011 - £1.2 billion) in equity, while a 5% weakening would result in a loss of £1.1 billion (2011 - £1.2 billion) in equity. |