Interim Results - Part 5 of 8

RNS Number : 2222J
Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC
03 August 2012
 



 

Risk and balance sheet management

 

Except as otherwise indicated by an asterisk (*), the information in the Risk and balance sheet management section on pages 129 to 236 is within the scope of the Deloitte LLP's review report.

 

General overview*

The following table defines the main types of risk managed by the Group and presents a summary of the key developments for each risk in the first half of 2012.

 

Risk type

Definition

H1 2012 summary

Capital risk

The risk that the Group has insufficient capital.

The Core tier 1 ratio was 11.1%, despite regulatory changes increasing risk-weightings on various asset categories, particularly commercial real estate. The Group reduced RWAs in Markets and successfully restructured a large derivative position in Non-Core. Refer to the Capital section.

Liquidity and funding risk

The risk that the Group is unable to meet its financial liabilities as they fall due.

The Group maintained its trajectory towards a more stable deposit-led balance sheet with the loan:deposit ratio improving from 108% at 31 December 2011 to 104% at 30 June 2012. Short-term wholesale funding declined significantly from £102 billion at 31 December 2011 to £62 billion, covered 2.5 times by the liquidity buffer which was maintained at £156 billion. Refer to the Liquidity and funding risk section.

Credit risk (including counterparty risk)

The risk that the Group will incur losses owing to the failure of a customer to meet its obligation to settle outstanding amounts.

The Group's credit performance improved; the H1 2012 impairment charge of £2.7 billion was 34% lower than the H1 2011 charge. This was despite continued economic stress within the eurozone, including Ireland, and depressed markets elsewhere. Progress continued in reducing key credit concentration risks, with exposure to commercial real estate 7% lower than at 31 December 2011. Refer to the Credit risk section.

Country risk

The risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events.

Sovereign risk continues to increase, resulting in further rating downgrades for a number of countries, including several eurozone members. Total eurozone exposures decreased by 8% to £218 billion in H1 2012 and within that exposures to the periphery, fell by 10% to £69 billion. The Group participated in the Greek sovereign bond restructuring in March 2012 and sold all resulting new Greek sovereign bonds as well as parts of its Spanish and Portuguese bond holdings. A number of further advanced countries were brought under limit control and exposure to a range of countries was further reduced. Refer to the Country risk section.

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management

 

General overview* (continued)

 

Risk type

Definition

H1 2012 summary

Market risk

The risk arising from changes in interest rates, foreign currency, credit spreads, equity prices and risk related factors such as market volatilities.

During H1 2012, the Group continued to manage down its market risk exposure in Non-Core through the disposal of assets and unwinding of trades. Refer to the Market risk section.

Insurance risk

The risk of financial loss through fluctuations in the timing, frequency and/or severity of insured events, relative to the expectations at the time of underwriting.

Direct Line Group introduced enhanced claims management systems and processes, improving its ability to handle and understand insured events. In addition, improvements in the Group's insurance risk policy, associated minimum standards and key risk indicators were implemented.

Operational risk

The risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed processes, people, systems or from external events.

The Group continued to focus on tight management of operational risks, particularly with regard to risk and control assessment (including change risk assessment), scenario analysis and statistical modelling for capital requirements. The level of operational risk remains high due to the continued scale of structural change occurring across the Group, the pace of regulatory change, the economic downturn and other external threats, such as e-crime.

 

During June 2012, the Group's technology incident led to significant payment system disruption. A detailed investigation is underway into the root cause of the problem.

Compliance

risk

The risk arising from non-compliance with national and international laws, rules and regulations.

The Group agreed its conduct risk appetite and made significant progress towards finalising and embedding the associated policy framework and governance. In addition, Group-wide implementation of its Anti Money Laundering Change Programme continued.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management

 

General overview* (continued)

 

Risk type

Definition

H1 2012 summary

Reputational risk

The risk of brand damage arising from financial and non-financial events arising from the failure to meet stakeholders' expectations of the Group's performance and behaviour.

The Group Sustainability Committee oversaw further development of the Group's policies for environmental, social and ethical risks focusing on the power generation and gambling sectors. As part of the Group's commitment to stakeholder engagement, the Group Sustainability Committee also met with key non-governmental organisations to discuss concerns over high profile issues including tax, oil and gas investment, corporate transparency and agricultural commodity trading.

 

The disruption experienced by customers due to the Group's recent technology incident has presented reputational risks. The Group has informed customers that they will not suffer financially as a result and is undertaking an independent review of the incident.

Business risk

The risk of lower-than-expected revenues and/or higher-than-expected operating costs.

Business risk is fully incorporated within the Group's stress testing process through an analysis of the potential movement in revenues and operating costs under stress scenarios.

Pension risk

The risk that the Group will have to make additional contributions to its defined benefit pension schemes.

The Group continued to focus on improving pension risk management systems and modelling. This included the development of a policy setting out the governance framework for managing the Group's risk as sponsor of its defined pension schemes.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management

 

Balance sheet management

 

Capital

The Group aims to maintain an appropriate level of capital to meet its business needs and regulatory requirements. Capital adequacy and risk management are closely aligned. The Group's risk-weighted assets and risk asset ratios, calculated in accordance with Financial Services Authority (FSA) definitions, are set out below.

 

 

30 June 

2012 

31 March 

2012 

31 December 

2011 

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) by risk*

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

 

 

 

 

Credit risk

334.8 

332.9 

344.3 

Counterparty risk

53.0 

56.8 

61.9 

Market risk

54.0 

61.0 

64.0 

Operational risk

45.8 

45.8 

37.9 

 

 

 

 

 

487.6 

496.5 

508.1 

Asset Protection Scheme relief

(52.9)

(62.2)

(69.1)

 

 

 

 

 

434.7 

434.3 

439.0 

 

Risk asset ratios*

 

 

 

 

Core Tier 1

11.1 

10.8 

10.6 

Tier 1

13.4 

13.2 

13.0 

Total

14.6 

14.0 

13.8 

 

Key points*

·

The Core Tier 1 ratio improved to 11.1% reflecting reductions in RWAs and capital deductions. Gross RWAs decreased by £20.5 billion in H1 2012, 4%, primarily in Markets and Non-Core.

 

 

·

Non-Core RWAs decreased by £10.6 billion as a result of sales, run-off, market risk movements and the impact of restructuring a large derivative exposure to a highly leveraged counterparty, which was partly offset by increases to regulatory risk-weightings.

 

 

·

In Markets, less market risk and a smaller balance sheet led to lower RWAs.

 

 

·

Market risk RWAs decreased by £10.0 billion in the first half of 2012 and £7.0 billion in Q2 2012 reflecting de-risking of the Non-Core portfolio and a reduction in trading VaR in both Markets and Non-Core.

 

 

·

The Asset Protection Scheme relief decreased by £16.2 billion in the first half of 2012, £9.3 billion in Q2 2012. This results from the £19.6 billion (Q2 2012 - £8.6 billion) drop in covered assets to £112.2 billion at 30 June 2012.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Capital (continued)

The Group's regulatory capital resources in accordance with FSA definitions were as follows:

 

 

30 June 

2012 

31 March 

2012 

31 December 

2011 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)

 

 

 

 Shareholders' equity per balance sheet

74,016 

73,416 

74,819 

 Preference shares - equity

(4,313)

(4,313)

(4,313)

 Other equity instruments

(431)

(431)

(431)

 

69,272 

68,672 

70,075 

 

 

 

 

Non-controlling interests

 

 

 

 Non-controlling interests per balance sheet

1,200 

1,215 

1,234 

 Non-controlling preference shares

(548)

(548)

(548)

 Other adjustments to non-controlling interests for regulatory purposes

(259)

(259)

(259)

 

393 

408 

427 

 

 

 

 

Regulatory adjustments and deductions

 

 

 

 Own credit

(402)

(845)

(2,634)

 Unrealised losses on AFS debt securities

520 

547 

1,065 

 Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares

(70)

(108)

(108)

 Cash flow hedging reserve

(1,399)

(921)

(879)

 Other adjustments for regulatory purposes

637 

630 

571 

 Goodwill and other intangible assets

(14,888)

(14,771)

(14,858)

 50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions (net of tax)

(2,329)

(2,791)

(2,536)

 50% of securitisation positions

(1,461)

(1,530)

(2,019)

 50% of APS first loss

(2,118)

(2,489)

(2,763)

 

(21,510)

(22,278)

(24,161)

 

 

 

 

Core Tier 1 capital

48,155 

46,802 

46,341 

 

 

 

 

Other Tier 1 capital

 

 

 

 Preference shares - equity

4,313 

4,313 

4,313 

 Preference shares - debt

1,082 

1,064 

1,094 

 Innovative/hybrid Tier 1 securities

4,466 

4,557 

4,667 

 

9,861 

9,934 

10,074 

 

 

 

 

Tier 1 deductions

 

 

 

 50% of material holdings

(313)

(300)

(340)

 Tax on excess of expected losses over impairment provisions

756 

906 

915 

 

443 

606 

575 

 

 

 

 

Total Tier 1 capital

58,459 

57,342 

56,990 

 

 

 

 

Qualifying Tier 2 capital

 

 

 

 Undated subordinated debt

1,958 

1,817 

1,838 

 Dated subordinated debt - net of amortisation

13,346 

13,561 

14,527 

 Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares

70 

108 

108 

 Collectively assessed impairment provisions

552 

571 

635 

 Non-controlling Tier 2 capital

11 

11 

11 

 

15,937 

16,068 

17,119 

 

 

 

 

Tier 2 deductions

 

 

 

 50% of securitisation positions

(1,461)

(1,530)

(2,019)

 50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions

(3,085)

(3,697)

(3,451)

 50% of material holdings

(313)

(300)

(340)

 50% of APS first loss

(2,118)

(2,489)

(2,763)

 

(6,977)

(8,016)

(8,573)

 

 

 

 

Total Tier 2 capital

8,960 

8,052 

8,546 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Capital (continued)

 

 

30 June 

2012 

31 March 

2012 

31 December 

2011 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

Supervisory deductions

 

 

 

 Unconsolidated Investments

 

 

 

   - Direct Line Group

(3,642)

(4,130)

(4,354)

   - Other investments

(141)

(248)

(239)

 Other deductions

(197)

(212)

(235)

 

 

 

 

 

(3,980)

(4,590)

(4,828)

 

 

 

 

Total regulatory capital

63,439 

60,804 

60,708 

 

Movement in Core Tier 1 capital

£m 

 

 

At 1 January 2012

46,341 

Attributable profit net of movements in fair value of own debt

242 

Share capital and reserve movements in respect of employee benefits

659 

Foreign currency reserves

(461)

Decrease in non-controlling interests

(34)

Decrease in capital deductions including APS first loss

1,410 

Decrease in goodwill and intangibles

(30)

Other movements

28 

 

 

At 30 June 2012

48,155 

 

Risk-weighted assets by division*

Risk-weighted assets by risk category and division are set out below.

 

 

Credit 

risk 

Counterparty 

risk 

Market 

risk 

Operational 

risk 

Gross 

RWAs 

30 June 2012

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK Retail

39.6 

7.8 

47.4 

UK Corporate

70.8 

8.6 

79.4 

Wealth

10.3 

0.1 

1.9 

12.3 

International Banking

41.2 

4.8 

46.0 

Ulster Bank

34.7 

0.9 

0.1 

1.7 

37.4 

US Retail & Commercial

52.5 

1.1 

4.9 

58.5 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail & Commercial

249.1 

2.0 

0.2 

29.7 

281.0 

Markets

15.7 

33.4 

43.1 

15.7 

107.9 

Other

10.5 

0.2 

0.2 

1.8 

12.7 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

275.3 

35.6 

43.5 

47.2 

401.6 

Non-Core

56.4 

17.4 

10.5 

(1.6)

82.7 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Group before RFS Holdings MI

331.7 

53.0 

54.0 

45.6 

484.3 

RFS Holdings MI

3.1 

0.2 

3.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Group

334.8 

53.0 

54.0 

45.8 

487.6 

APS relief

(46.2)

(6.7)

(52.9)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net RWAs

288.6 

46.3 

54.0 

45.8 

434.7 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Capital: Risk-weighted assets by division* (continued)

 

 

Credit 

risk 

Counterparty 

risk 

Market 

risk 

Operational 

risk 

Gross 

RWAs 

31 March 2012

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK Retail

40.4 

7.8 

48.2 

UK Corporate

68.3 

8.6 

76.9 

Wealth

10.9 

0.1 

1.9 

12.9 

International Banking

37.0 

4.8 

41.8 

Ulster Bank

35.9 

0.7 

0.1 

1.7 

38.4 

US Retail & Commercial

52.8 

0.9 

4.9 

58.6 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail & Commercial

245.3 

1.6 

0.2 

29.7 

276.8 

Markets

15.0 

36.5 

48.4 

15.7 

115.6 

Other

9.0 

0.2 

1.8 

11.0 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

269.3 

38.3 

48.6 

47.2 

403.4 

Non-Core

60.6 

18.5 

12.4 

(1.6)

89.9 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Group before RFS Holdings MI

329.9 

56.8 

61.0 

45.6 

493.3 

RFS Holdings MI

3.0 

0.2 

3.2 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Group

332.9 

56.8 

61.0 

45.8 

496.5 

APS relief

(53.9)

(8.3)

(62.2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net RWAs

279.0 

48.5 

61.0 

45.8 

434.3 


 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK Retail

41.1 

7.3 

48.4 

UK Corporate

71.2 

8.1 

79.3 

Wealth

10.9 

0.1 

1.9 

12.9 

International Banking

38.9 

4.3 

43.2 

Ulster Bank

33.6 

0.6 

0.3 

1.8 

36.3 

US Retail & Commercial

53.6 

1.0 

4.7 

59.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail & Commercial

249.3 

1.6 

0.4 

28.1 

279.4 

Markets

16.7 

39.9 

50.6 

13.1 

120.3 

Other

9.8 

0.2 

2.0 

12.0 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

275.8 

41.7 

51.0 

43.2 

411.7 

Non-Core

65.6 

20.2 

13.0 

(5.5)

93.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Group before RFS Holdings MI

341.4 

61.9 

64.0 

37.7 

505.0 

RFS Holdings MI

2.9 

0.2 

3.1 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Group

344.3 

61.9 

64.0 

37.9 

508.1 

APS relief

(59.6)

(9.5)

(69.1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net RWAs

284.7 

52.4 

64.0 

37.9 

439.0 

 

Regulatory developments*

The regulatory change agenda remains intense, although we are now seeing a change of emphasis. At a global level, the G20 financial sector reform action plan, first developed in 2008, has mostly been addressed, with focus at that forum now shifting to growth and other issues. The G20 is expected to endorse policy proposals on 'shadow banking' by the end of 2012 but its regulation agenda is increasingly geared towards the implementation of agreed standards. Although policy initiation at the G20 level is drawing to an end, there remains a substantial pipeline of policy development, particularly in the EU and US, and RBS does not anticipate any easing of this for some time.

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review opinion

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Regulatory capital developments (continued)

In the H1 2012, there were new regulatory proposals in Europe for data protection and crisis management as well as initial discussions on a banking union and the launch of the Liikanen Group to look at a structural reform of the industry. Negotiations, which are still incomplete, continued throughout the period on the adoption of the Basel III enhanced capital and liquidity standards in Europe. The European Banking Authority published several draft technical standards in anticipation of final agreement.

 

Basel III capital proposals were also issued in the US, as well as final rules for Basel 2.5. These were drawn up to be consistent with the Dodd-Frank Act and several other proposed and final rules were issued under the auspices of that legislation during the period. Significant activity took place in both Europe and the US to finalise rules requiring central clearing, where possible, and other reforms of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives, as the end of 2012 deadline set by the G20 approaches. Additionally, work continued on the finalisation of recovery and resolution planning frameworks for Europe and the UK.

 

In the UK, the Financial Services Bill to introduce the 'twin peaks' model of financial regulation was published as the FSA continued to alter its structure in anticipation of its formal split into the Prudential Regulation Authority and the Financial Conduct Authority in 2013. The government also published its White Paper on the implementation of the Vickers Report. The Group is evaluating the impact of these developments.

 

CRD IV impacts*

The Group, in conjunction with the FSA, continues to evaluate its models for the assessment of RWAs ascribed to credit risk across various classes. This together with the changes introduced by CRD IV relating primarily to counterparty risk, is expected to increase RWA requirements by the end of 2013 by £50 billion to £65 billion. These estimates are still subject to change; a degree of uncertainty remains around implementation details as the guidelines are not finalised and must still be enacted into EU law. There could be other future changes and associated impacts from these model reviews. See page 115 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts on background on Basel III and related proposals. The Group is also in the process of implementing changes to the RWA requirements for commercial real estate portfolios consistent with revised industry guidance from the FSA. This is projected to increase RWA requirements by circa £20 billion by the end of 2013, of which circa £10 billion will apply in 2012. Certain of the changes referred to above have been implemented, adding circa £15 billion to RWAs as of 30 June 2012.

 

The reported Core Tier 1 ratio following the implementation of the above changes is currently projected(1) to be 10.3% at 31 December 2013, while the fully loaded Basel III Core Tier 1 ratio at that date is estimated at 9.0% - 9.5%.

 

CRD IV legislation implementing Basel III proposals was due to be finalised in early July for implementation by 1 January 2013. However there are a number of areas still under consideration. On 1 August 2012, the FSA issued a statement indicating that it was unlikely that the legislation will be adopted earlier than autumn 2012 and enter into force on the envisaged implementation date of 1 January 2013. No alternative implementation date has yet been communicated by the EU institutions.

 

(1)

Projected using consensus earnings and company balance sheet forecasts.

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management

 

Liquidity and funding risk

Liquidity risk is the risk that the Group is unable to meet its obligations, including financing maturities as they fall due. Liquidity risk is heavily influenced by the maturity profile and mix of the Group's funding base, as well as the quality and liquidity value of its liquidity portfolio.

 

Overview

The Group continues to improve the structure and composition of its balance sheet through persistently difficult market conditions.

 

·

The second quarter saw the final maturity of the Group's government guaranteed debt and robust liquidity management through a series of major market-wide credit rating actions. Short-term wholesale funding continued its downward trend to £62 billion and the liquidity coverage of this funding remains strong at 2.5 times. Short-term wholesale funding at 30 June 2012 was 7% of the funded balance sheet and 34% of wholesale funding, compared with 10% and 45% at 31 December 2011.

 


·

Short-term wholesale funding excluding derivative collateral declined by £40.1 billion in H1 2012 (Q2 2012 - £17.4 billion), reflecting the continued downsizing of the Markets balance sheet.

 


·

The Group's customer deposits, excluding derivative collateral, increased by £1.4 billion in the quarter despite headwinds from a credit rating downgrade reflecting the strength of the Group's Retail & Commercial franchise. Deposits now account for 67% of the Group's primary funding sources.

 


·

The deleveraging process being driven by Non-Core and Markets continued, allowing the Group to further reduce wholesale funding requirements. During the second quarter of 2012 the Group did not access the public markets for senior term debt (secured or unsecured).

 


·

Progress against the goals of the Group's strategic plan has resulted in a balance sheet structure which is broadly matched. At 30 June 2012 the Group's loan:deposit ratio improved to 104% with a Core ratio of 92%.

 


·

The Core funding surplus increased from £27 billion at the end of 2011 to £34 billion at 30 June 2012, spread evenly across the first two quarters.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Funding sources

The table below shows the Group's primary funding sources including deposits in disposal groups and excluding repurchase agreements.

 

 

30 June 

2012 

31 March 

2012 

31 December 

2011 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

Deposits by banks

 

 

 

 derivative cash collateral

32,001 

29,390 

31,807 

 other deposits

35,619 

36,428 

37,307 

 

 

 

 

 

67,620 

65,818 

69,114 

 

 

 

 

Debt securities in issue

 

 

 

 conduit asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP)

4,246 

9,354 

11,164 

 other commercial paper (CP)

1,985 

3,253 

5,310 

 certificates of deposits (CDs)

10,397 

14,575 

16,367 

 medium-term notes (MTNs)

81,229 

90,674 

105,709 

 covered bonds

9,987 

10,107 

9,107 

 securitisations

12,011 

14,980 

14,964 

 

 

 

 

 

119,855 

142,943 

162,621 

Subordinated liabilities

25,596 

25,513 

26,319 

 

 

 

 

Notes issued

145,451 

168,456 

188,940 

 

 

 

 

Wholesale funding

213,071 

234,274 

258,054 

 

 

 

 

Customer deposits

 

 

 

 cash collateral

10,269 

8,829 

9,242 

 other deposits

425,031 

423,659 

427,511 

 

 

 

 

Total customer deposits

435,300 

432,488 

436,753 

 

 

 

 

Total funding

648,371 

666,762 

694,807 

 

 

 

 

Disposal group deposits included above

 

 

 

 banks

83 

 customers

22,531 

22,281 

22,610 

 

 

 

 

 

22,532 

22,364 

22,611 

 

 

The table below shows the Group's wholesale funding source metrics.

 

 

Short-term wholesale

funding (1)

 

Total wholesale

funding

 

Net inter-bank

funding (2)

 

Excluding 

 derivative 

collateral 

Including 

 derivative 

 collateral 

 

Excluding 

 derivative 

collateral 

Including 

 derivative 

 collateral 

 

Deposits 

Loans 

Net 

 interbank 

 funding 

 

£bn 

£bn 

 

£bn 

£bn 

 

£bn 

£bn 

£bn 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30 June 2012

62.3 

94.3 

 

181.1 

213.1 

 

35.6 

(22.3)

13.3 

31 March 2012

79.7 

109.1 

 

204.9 

234.3 

 

36.4 

(19.7)

16.7 

31 December 2011

102.4 

134.2 

 

226.2 

258.1 

 

37.3 

(24.3)

13.0 

30 September 2011

141.6 

174.1 

 

267.0 

299.4 

 

46.2 

(33.0)

13.2 

30 June 2011

148.1 

173.6 

 

286.2 

311.7 

 

46.1 

(33.6)

12.5 

 

Notes:

(1)

Short-term balances denote those with a residual maturity of less than one year and includes longer-term issuances.

(2)

Excludes derivative collateral.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk: Funding sources (continued)

 

Notes issued

The table below shows the Group's debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities by remaining maturity.

 

Debt securities in issue

 

 

 

 

Conduit 

ABCP 

Other 

CP and 

CDs 

MTNs 

Covered 

bonds 

Securit- 

isations 

Total 

Subordinated 

liabilities 

Total 

notes 

issued 

Total 

notes 

issued 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less than 1 year

4,246 

12,083 

16,845 

1,020 

69 

34,263 

1,631 

35,894 

25 

1-3 years

293 

24,452 

1,681 

1,263 

27,689 

5,401 

33,090 

23 

3-5 years

16,620 

3,619 

20,240 

2,667 

22,907 

15 

More than 5 years

23,312 

3,667 

10,679 

37,663 

15,897 

53,560 

37 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4,246 

12,382 

81,229 

9,987 

12,011 

119,855 

25,596 

145,451 

100 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 March 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less than 1 year

9,354 

17,532 

19,686 

22 

46,594 

454 

47,048 

28 

1-3 years

290 

30,795 

2,787 

1,231 

35,103 

4,693 

39,796 

24 

3-5 years

16,416 

3,666 

20,083 

4,998 

25,081 

15 

More than 5 years

23,777 

3,654 

13,727 

41,163 

15,368 

56,531 

33 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9,354 

17,828 

90,674 

10,107 

14,980 

142,943 

25,513 

168,456 

100 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less than 1 year

11,164 

21,396 

36,302 

27 

68,889 

624 

69,513 

37 

1-3 years

278 

26,595 

2,760 

479 

30,112 

3,338 

33,450 

18 

3-5 years

16,627 

3,673 

20,302 

7,232 

27,534 

14 

More than 5 years

26,185 

2,674 

14,458 

43,318 

15,125 

58,443 

31 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11,164 

21,677 

105,709 

9,107 

14,964 

162,621 

26,319 

188,940 

100 

 

Key point

·

Short-term debt securities in issue declined by £34.6 billion (Q2 2012 - £12.3 billion) primarily due to the final tranches of notes issued under the Credit Guarantee Scheme maturing (£21.3 billion in H1 2012 and £5.7 billion in Q2 2012) and the reduction of commercial paper in issue of £10.2 billion (Q2 2012 - £6.4 billion) in line with the Group's strategy.

 

Deposit and repo funding

The table below shows the composition of the Group's deposits excluding repos and repo funding including disposal groups.

 

30 June 2012

 

31 March 2012

 

31 December 2011

 

Deposits 

Repos 

 

Deposits 

Repos 

 

Deposits 

Repos 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial institutions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 - central and other banks

67,620 

39,125 

 

65,818 

41,415 

 

69,114 

39,691 

 - other financial institutions

65,563 

87,789 

 

61,552 

84,743 

 

66,009 

86,032 

Personal and corporate deposits

369,737 

1,161 

 

370,936 

2,560 

 

370,744 

2,780 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

502,920 

128,075 


498,306 

128,718 


505,867 

128,503 

 

Key points

·

The central and other bank balances include €10 billion in relation to funding accessed through the European Central Banks long-term refinancing operation facility.

 

 

·

Of the deposits above, about a third are insured through the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme, US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and similar schemes.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk: Funding sources (continued)

 

Customer loan to deposit ratio and funding gap

The table below shows the Group's divisional customer loan:deposit ratio (LDR) and customer funding gap.

 

Loans (1)

Deposits (2)

LDR (3)

Funding 

 surplus/ 

(gap) (3)

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

 





UK Retail

110,318 

106,571 

104 

(3,747)

UK Corporate

107,775 

127,446 

85 

19,671 

Wealth

16,888 

38,462 

44 

21,574 

International Banking (4)

43,190 

42,238 

102 

(952)

Ulster Bank

29,701 

20,593 

144 

(9,108)

US Retail & Commercial

51,634 

59,229 

87 

7,595 

Conduits (4)

6,295 

(6,295)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail & Commercial

365,801 

394,539 

93 

28,738 

Markets

30,191 

34,257 

88 

4,066 

Direct Line Group and other

1,320 

2,999 

44 

1,679 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

397,312 

431,795 

92 

34,483 

Non-Core

57,398 

3,505 

(53,893)

 

 

 

 

 

Group

454,710 

435,300 

(19,410)

 

31 March 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK Retail

109,852 

104,247 

105 

(5,605)

UK Corporate

107,583 

124,256 

87 

16,673 

Wealth

16,881 

38,278 

44 

21,397 

International Banking (4)

42,713 

45,041 

95 

2,328 

Ulster Bank

30,831 

20,981 

147 

(9,850)

US Retail & Commercial

50,298 

58,735 

86 

8,437 

Conduits (4)

9,544 

(9,544)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail & Commercial

367,702 

391,538 

94 

23,836 

Markets

28,628 

34,638 

83 

6,010 

Direct Line Group and other

1,468 

2,573 

57 

1,105 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

397,798 

428,749 

93 

30,951 

Non-Core

61,872 

3,739 

1,655 

(58,133)

 

 

 

 

 

Group

459,670 

432,488 

106 

(27,182)

 

For the notes to this table refer to the following page.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk: Funding sources (continued)

 

Customer loan to deposit ratio and funding gap(continued)

 

Loans (1)

Deposits (2)

LDR (3)

Funding 

 surplus/ 

(gap) (3)

31 December 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

UK Retail

107,983 

101,878 

106 

(6,105)

UK Corporate

108,668 

126,309 

86 

17,641 

Wealth

16,834 

38,164 

44 

21,330 

International Banking (4)

46,417 

45,051 

103 

(1,366)

Ulster Bank

31,303 

21,814 

143 

(9,489)

US Retail & Commercial

50,842 

59,984 

85 

9,142 

Conduits (4)

10,504 

(10,504)

 

 

 

 

 

Retail & Commercial

372,551 

393,200 

95 

20,649 

Markets

31,254 

36,776 

85 

5,522 

Direct Line Group and other

1,196 

2,496 

48 

1,300 

 

 

 

 

 

Core

405,001 

432,472 

94 

27,471 

Non-Core

68,516 

4,281 

1,600 

(64,235)

 

 

 

 

 

Group

473,517 

436,753 

108 

(36,764)

 

Notes:

(1)

Loans and advances to customers excluding reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing but including disposal groups.

(2)

Excluding repurchase agreements and stock lending but including disposal groups.

(3)

Based on loans and advances to customers net of provisions and customer deposits as shown.

(4)

All conduits relate to International Banking and have been extracted and shown separately.

 

Key point

·

The Group's customer loan:deposit ratio improved by 400 basis points in the first half 2012 (Q2 2012 - 200 basis points) despite a credit rating downgrade in June 2012, reflecting the growth of Core Retail & Commercial deposits and the ongoing contraction of Non-Core loans.

 

Long-term debt issuance

The table below shows debt securities issued by the Group in the period with an original maturity of one year or more. The Group also executes other long-term funding arrangements (predominantly term repurchase agreements) which are not reflected in the following tables.

 

 

Half year ended

 

30 June 

2012 

31 December 

2011 

30 June 

2011 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

Public

 

 

 

  - unsecured

5,085 

  - secured

1,784 

4,944 

4,863 

Private

 

 

 

  - unsecured

2,585 

4,166 

8,248 

  - secured

500 

 

 

 

 

Gross issuance

4,369 

9,610 

18,196 

Buy backs

(2,859)

(3,656)

(3,236)

 

 

 

 

Net issuance

1,510 

5,954 

14,960 

 

Key point

·

Issuance in 2012 has been modest, demonstrating reduced reliance on capital markets for funding.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Securitisations and asset transfers

 

Secured funding

The Group has access to secured funding markets through own-asset securitisation and covered bond funding programme. This complements existing wholesale funding programmes and access to the repo markets. The Group monitors and manages encumbrance levels related to these secured funding programmes including the potential encumbrance of Group assets that could be used in own-asset securitisations and/or covered bonds that could be used as contingent liquidity.

 

Own-asset securitisations

The Group has a programme of own-asset securitisations where assets are transferred to bankruptcy remote special purpose entities (SPEs) funded by the issue of debt securities. The majority of the risks and rewards of the portfolio are retained by the Group and these SPEs are consolidated with all of the transferred assets retained on the Group's balance sheet. In some own-asset securitisations, the Group may purchase all the issued securities which are available to be pledged as collateral for repurchase agreements with major central banks

 

Covered bond programme

Certain loans and advances to customers have been assigned to bankruptcy remote limited liability partnerships to provide security for issues of covered bonds by the Group. The Group retains all of the risks and rewards of these loans, the partnerships are consolidated, the loans retained on the Group's balance sheet and the related covered bonds included within debt securities in issue.

 

The following table shows:

(i)

the asset categories that have been pledged to secured funding structures, including assets backing publicly issued own-asset securitisations and covered bonds; and

 

 

(ii)

any currently unencumbered assets that could be substituted into those portfolios or used to collateralise debt securities which may be retained by the Group for contingent liquidity purposes.

 

 

 

 

Debt securities in issue

Asset type (1)

Assets (1)

£m 

 

Held by third 

parties (2)

£m 

Held by the 

Group (3)

£m 

Total 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30 June 2012

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgages

 

 

 

 

 

  - UK (RMBS)

21,492 

 

7,461 

16,797 

24,258 

  - UK (covered bonds)

17,303 

 

9,987 

9,987 

  - Irish

11,953 

 

3,278 

8,204 

11,482 

UK credit cards

3,827 

 

1,265 

282 

1,547 

UK personal loans

4,823 

 

4,406 

4,406 

Other

18,730 

 

20,398 

20,405 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

78,128 

 

21,998 

50,087 

72,085 

Cash deposits (4)

5,210 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

83,338 

 

 

 

 

 

For the notes relating to this table refer to the following page.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Securitisations and asset transfers (continued)

 

 



Debt securities in issue

31 March 2012

Assets (1)

£m 


Held by third 

parties (2)

£m 

Held by the 

Group (3)

£m 

Total 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgages

 

 

 

 

 

  - UK (RMBS)

48,674 

 

10,303 

45,320 

55,623 

  - UK (covered bonds)

17,773 

 

10,107 

10,107 

  - Irish

12,496 

 

3,419 

8,532 

11,951 

UK credit cards

3,869 

 

1,251 

282 

1,533 

UK personal loans

4,948 

 

4,543 

4,543 

Other

18,505 

 

18,462 

18,469 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

106,265 

 

25,087 

77,139 

102,226 

Cash deposits (4)

11,198 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

117,463 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgages

 

 

 

 

 

  - UK (RMBS)

49,549 

 

10,988 

47,324 

58,312 

  - UK (covered bonds)

15,441 

 

9,107 

9,107 

  - Irish

12,660 

 

3,472 

8,670 

12,142 

UK credit cards

4,037 

 

500 

110 

610 

UK personal loans

5,168 

 

4,706 

4,706 

Other

19,778 

 

20,577 

20,581 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

106,633 

 

24,071 

81,387 

105,458 

Cash deposits (4)

11,998 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

118,631 

 

 

 

 

 

Notes:

(1)

Assets that have been pledged to the SPEs which itself is a subset of the total portfolio of eligible assets within a collateral pool.

(2)

Debt securities that have been sold to third party investors and represents a source of external wholesale funding.

(3)

Debt securities issued pursuant to own-asset securitisations where the debt securities are retained by the Group as a source of contingent liquidity where those securities can be used in repurchase agreements with central banks.

(4)

Cash deposits comprise £4.4 billion (31 March 2012 - £10.4 billion; 31 December 2011 - £11.2 billion) from mortgage repayments and £0.8 billion (31 March 2012 and 31 December 2011 - £0.8 billion) from other loan repayments held in the SPEs, to repay debt securities issued by the own-asset securitisation vehicles.

 

Key point

·

The Group unwound a number of own-asset securitisations as part of its strategy on assets used for the Bank of England discount window facility. At 30 June 2012 the Group had £37.1 billion of pre-positioned whole loans in relation to this facility in addition to the balances above.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Securitisations and asset transfers (continued)

 

Securities repurchase agreements

The Group enters into securities repurchase agreements and securities lending transactions (repos) under which it transfers securities in accordance with normal market practice. Generally, the agreements require additional collateral to be provided if the value of the securities falls below a predetermined level. Under standard terms for repurchase transactions in the UK and US markets, the recipient of collateral has an unrestricted right to sell or repledge it, subject to returning equivalent securities on settlement of the transaction.

 

Securities sold under repurchase transactions are not derecognised if the Group retains substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership. The fair value (which is equivalent to the carrying value) of securities transferred under such repurchase transactions included within securities on the balance sheet is set out below. All of these securities could be sold or repledged by the holder.

 

Assets pledged against repos

30 June 

2012 
£m 

31 March 

2012 

£m 

31 December 

2011 

£m 

 

 

 

 

Debt securities

81,871 

80,010 

79,480 

Equity shares

5,069 

3,390 

6,534 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Conduits

The Group sponsors and administers a number of asset-backed commercial paper conduits. The liquidity commitments from the Group to each conduit exceeds the nominal amount of assets funded by a conduit as liquidity commitments are sized to cover the cost of the related assets. Refer to pages 125 to 127 of the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts for more information.

 

The total assets and other aspects relating to the Group's consolidated conduits are set out below.

 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 December 2011

 

Core 
£m 

Non-Core 
£m 

Total 
£m 

 

Core 
£m 

Non-Core 
£m 

Total 
£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total assets held by the conduits

6,672 

1,575 

8,247 

 

11,208 

1,893 

13,101 

Commercial paper issued (1)

5,361 

96 

5,457 

 

10,590 

859 

11,449 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liquidity and credit enhancements

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deal specific liquidity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - drawn

752 

1,493 

2,245 

 

321 

1,051 

1,372 

  - undrawn

9,104 

366 

9,470 

 

15,324 

1,144 

16,468 

PWCE (2)

417 

155 

572 

 

795 

193 

988 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10,273 

2,014 

12,287 

 

16,440 

2,388 

18,828 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maximum exposure to loss (3)

9,856 

1,859 

11,715 

 

15,646 

2,194 

17,840 

 

Notes:

(1)

Includes £1.3 billion of asset backed commercial paper issued to RBS plc (31 December 2011 - £0.3 billion).

(2)

Programme-wide credit enhancement (PWCE) is an additional programme-wide credit support which would absorb the first loss on transactions where liquidity support is provided by a third party.

(3)

Maximum exposure to loss quantifies the Group's exposure to its sponsored conduits. It is determined as the Group's liquidity commitment to its sponsored conduits and additional PWCE which would absorb the first loss on transactions where liquidity support is provided by third parties. Historically, PWCE has been greater than third party liquidity. Therefore the maximum exposure to loss is total deal specific liquidity.

(4)

Liquidity commitments from the Group to the conduit exceed the nominal amount of assets funded by the conduit given that liquidity commitments are sized to cover the accrued funding cost of the related assets.

 

Key points

·

During the half year, conduit assets decreased by £4.9 billion reflecting the accelerated run-off of the portfolio in line with Group strategy

 

 

·

The Group drawn liquidity increased by £0.9 billion to £2.2 billion as the rating downgrade resulted in a number of conduits being unable to issue commercial paper.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Liquidity portfolio

The table below shows the composition of the Group's liquidity portfolio (at estimated liquidity value). All assets within the liquidity portfolio are unencumbered.

 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 March 2012

 

31 December 2011

 

Quarterly 

average 

Period 

 end 

 

Quarterly 

average 

Period 

end 

 

Quarterly 

average 

Period 

 end 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and balances at central banks

87,114 

71,890 

 

91,287 

69,489 

 

89,377 

69,932 

Central and local government bonds (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 AAA rated governments and US agencies

20,163 

26,315 

 

19,085 

29,639 

 

30,421 

29,632 

 AA- to AA+ rated governments (2)

10,739 

14,449 

 

8,924 

14,903 

 

5,056 

14,102 

 governments rated below AA

609 

519 

 

797 

544 

 

1,011 

955 

 local government

2,546 

1,872 

 

3,980 

2,933 

 

4,517 

4,302 

 

34,057 

43,155 

 

32,786 

48,019 

 

41,005 

48,991 

Treasury bills

 

 

444 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

121,171 

115,045 

 

124,073 

117,508 

 

130,826 

118,923 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other assets (3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 AAA rated

22,505 

10,712 

 

26,435 

24,243 

 

25,083 

25,202 

 below AAA rated and other high quality assets

13,789 

30,244 

 

9,194 

10,972 

 

11,400 

11,205 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

36,294 

40,956 

 

35,629 

35,215 

 

36,483 

36,407 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total liquidity portfolio

157,465 

156,001 

 

159,702 

152,723 

 

167,309 

155,330 

 

Notes:

(1)

Includes FSA eligible government bonds of £29.7 billion (31 March 2012 - £30.5 billion; 31 December 2011 - £36.7 billion).

(2)

Includes US government guaranteed and US government sponsored agencies.

(3)

Other assets are a diversified pool of unencumbered assets that would be accepted as collateral by central banks as part of open market operations.

 

Key points

·

The liquidity portfolio was maintained at £156 billion representing 17% of the funded balance sheet and covers short-term wholesale funding 2.5 times.

 

 

·

AAA rated government and US agencies bonds held decreased by £3.3 billion in the first half of 2012, mainly in the second quarter, tracking the reducing short-term wholesale funding balances.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Net stable funding ratio*

The table below shows the composition of the Group's net stable funding ratio (NSFR), estimated by applying the Basel III guidance issued in December 2010. The Group's NSFR will also continue to be refined over time in line with regulatory developments and related interpretations. It may also be calculated on a basis that may differ from other financial institutions.

 

 

30 June 2012

 

31 March 2012

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

ASF (1)

 

 

ASF (1)

 

 

ASF (1)

 

Weighting 

 

£bn 

£bn 

 

£bn 

£bn 

 

£bn 

£bn 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity

75 

75 

 

75 

75 

 

76 

76 

 

100 

Wholesale funding  > 1 year

119 

119 

 

125 

125 

 

124 

124 

 

100 

Wholesale funding < 1 year

94 

 

109 

 

134 

 

Derivatives

481 

 

447 

 

524 

 

Repurchase agreements

128 

 

129 

 

129 

 

Deposits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - Retail and SME - more stable

235 

212 

 

230 

207 

 

227 

204 

 

90 

  - Retail and SME - less stable

29 

23 

 

30 

24 

 

31 

25 

 

80 

  - Other

171 

86 

 

173 

87 

 

179 

89 

 

50 

Other (2)

83 

 

85 

 

83 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

1,415 

515 

 

1,403 

518 

 

1,507 

518 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

79 

 

82 

 

79 

 

Inter-bank lending

39 

 

36 

 

44 

 

Debt securities > 1 year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - governments AAA to AA-

70 

 

70 

 

77 

 

  - other eligible bonds

60 

12 

 

64 

13 

 

73 

15 

 

20 

  - other bonds

20 

20 

 

20 

20 

 

14 

14 

 

100 

Debt securities < 1 year

38 

 

42 

 

45 

 

Derivatives

486 

 

453 

 

530 

 

Reverse repurchase agreements

98 

 

91 

 

101 

 

Customer loans and advances > 1 year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - residential mortgages

146 

95 

 

145 

94 

 

145 

94 

 

65 

  - other

151 

151 

 

167 

167 

 

173 

173 

 

100 

Customer loans and advances < 1 year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - retail loans

18 

15 

 

19 

16 

 

19 

16 

 

85 

  - other

140 

70 

 

129 

65 

 

137 

69 

 

50 

Other (3)

70 

70 

 

85 

85 

 

70 

70 

 

100 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total assets

1,415 

437 

 

1,403 

463 

 

1,507 

455 

 

 

Undrawn commitments

228 

11 

 

237 

12 

 

240 

12 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total assets and undrawn commitments

1,643 

448 

 

1,640 

475 

 

1,747 

467 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net stable funding ratio

 

115% 

 

 

109% 

 

 

111% 

 

 

 

Notes:

(1)

Available stable funding.

(2)

Deferred tax, insurance liabilities and other liabilities.

(3)

Prepayments, accrued income, deferred tax, settlement balances and other assets.

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Liquidity and funding risk (continued)

 

Net stable funding ratio* (continued)

 

Key points*

·

The NSFR improved by 400 basis points in H1 2012 (Q2 2012 - 600 basis points) to 115%. Long-term funding decreased by £3 billion all in Q2 2012 with £5 billion (Q2 2012 - £6 billion) in term wholesale funding. This was partly offset by a £3 billion net increase in customer deposits in ASF terms all in Q1 2012 and predominately in more stable deposits (Retail & Commercial increased by £8 billion).

 

 

·

The funding requirement in relation to lending decreased £19 billion in H1 2012 (Q2 2012 - £27 billion) reflects derisking, sales and repayments in Non-Core and capital management led loan portfolio reductions in International Banking.

 

 

Non-traded interest rate risk

Non-traded interest rate risk impacts earnings arising from the Group's banking activities. This excludes positions in financial instruments or commodities which are deemed to be held-for-trading or hedging items that are held-for-trading.

 

The Group provides a range of financial products to meet a variety of customer requirements. These products differ with regard to repricing frequency, tenor, indexation, prepayments, optionality and other features. When aggregated, they form portfolios of assets and liabilities with varying degrees of sensitivity to changes in market rates.

 

Mismatches in these sensitivities give rise to net interest income volatility as interest rates rise and fall. For example, a bank with a floating rate loan portfolio and largely fixed rate deposits will see its net interest income rise as interest rates rise and fall as rates decline.

 

The Group policy is to manage interest rate sensitivity in banking book portfolios within defined risk limits. Interest rate risk is transferred from the banking divisions to Group Treasury. Aggregate positions are then hedged externally using cash and derivative instruments, primarily interest rate swaps, to manage exposures within Group Asset and Liability Management Committee (GALCO) approved limits.

 

The Group assesses interest rate risk in the banking book (IRRBB) using a set of standards to define, measure and report the risk. These standards incorporate the expected divergence between contractual terms and the actual behaviour of fixed rate loan portfolios due to refinancing incentives and the risks associated with structural hedges of interest rate insensitive balances.

 

Key measures used to evaluate IRRBB are subject to approval by divisional Asset and Liability Management Committees (ALCOs) and GALCO. Limits on IRRBB are proposed by the Group Treasurer for approval by the Executive Risk Forum annually. Residual risk positions are reported on a regular basis to divisional ALCOs and monthly to the Group Balance Sheet Management Committee, GALCO, the Group Board and the Executive Risk Forum.

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Non-traded interest rate risk (continued)

The Group uses a variety of approaches to quantify its interest rate risk encompassing both earnings and value metrics. IRRBB is measured using a version of the same VaR methodology that is used for the Group's trading portfolios. Net interest income exposures are measured in terms of earnings sensitivity over time against movements in interest rates.

 

VaR metrics are based on interest rate repricing gap reports as at the reporting date. These incorporate customer products and associated funding and hedging transactions as well as non-financial assets and liabilities such as property, equipment, capital and reserves. Behavioural assumptions are applied as appropriate.

 

The VaR does not provide a dynamic measurement of interest rate risk since static underlying repricing gap positions are assumed. Changes in customer behaviour under varying interest rate scenarios are captured by way of earnings risk measures.

 

Interest rate risk

 

Value-at-risk

IRRBB VaR for the Group's retail and commercial banking activities at 99% confidence level and currency analysis of period end VaR were as follows:

 

 

Average 

Period end 

 

Maximum 

Minimum 

 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30 June 2012

56 

55 

 

65 

51 

31 December 2011

63 

51 

 

80 

44 

 

 

 

30 June 

2012 

£m 

31 December 

2011 

£m 

 

 

 

Euro

21 

26 

Sterling

43 

57 

US dollar

62 

61 

Other

 

Sensitivity of net interest income*

Earnings sensitivity to rate movements is derived from a central forecast over a twelve month period. Market implied forward rates and new business volume, mix and pricing consistent with business assumptions are used to generate a base case earnings forecast. The rates used to calculate this forecast are then shifted up and down by 100 basis points and the earnings recalculated. New business assumptions and the behavioural maturity profile of existing business may vary under the different rate scenarios.

 

 

 

 

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Interest rate risk (continued)

The following table shows the sensitivity of net interest income, over the next twelve months, to an immediate upward or downward change of 100 basis points to all interest rates. In addition, the table includes the impact of a gradual 400 basis point steepening and a gradual 300 basis point flattening of the yield curve at tenors greater than a year.

 

Euro 

Sterling 

US dollar 

Other 

Total 

30 June 2012

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

+ 100 basis points shift in yield curves

14 

214 

90 

26 

344 

- 100 basis points shift in yield curves

20 

(273)

(25)

(36)

(314)

Bear steepener

 

 

 

 

237 

Bull flattener

 

 

 

 

(161)

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

+ 100 basis points shift in yield curves

(19)

190 

59 

14 

244 

- 100 basis points shift in yield curves

25 

(188)

(4)

(16)

(183)

Bear steepener

 

 

 

 

443 

Bull flattener

 

 

 

 

(146)

 

Key points*

·

The Group remains slightly asset sensitive, largely as a consequence of the current low interest rate environment. An increase in rates would be positive for both deposit margins and the reinvestment of structural hedges. Conversely, falling rates would result in a further deposit margin compression and the reinvestment of structural hedges at lower levels than forecast.

 

 

·

Steepening and flattening scenarios which impact the long end of the yield curve serve to emphasise the impact of reinvesting structural hedges and the extent of any customer optionality.

 

Structural hedges

Banks generally have the benefit of a significant pool of stable, non and low interest bearing liabilities, principally comprising equity and money transmission accounts. These balances are usually invested in longer-term fixed rate assets, either directly or by the use of interest rate swaps, in order to minimise earnings volatility and to provide a consistent and predictable revenue stream.

 

The Group targets a weighted average life for these economic hedges. This is accomplished using a continuous rolling maturity programme to achieve the desired profile and is primarily managed by Group Treasury.

 

It is estimated that this programme, encompassing both equity and product structural hedges, contributed an additional £750 million to the Group's net interest income over the half year 2012 relative to base rate. The maturity profile of the hedge aims to reduce the potential sensitivity of income to rate movements and residual sensitivity is estimated at £50 to £75 million for a 100 basis point adverse movement in rates over a twelve month horizon.

 

Fixed rate returns on liability structural hedges are expected to decline over the next twelve months as projected market rates continue to trend below historic averages. However, the portfolio maturity profile continues to moderate this impact and the Group expects the net contribution from these hedges to remain broadly stable.

 

* not within the scope of Deloitte LLP's review report



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Balance sheet management: Structural foreign currency exposures

The Group does not maintain material non-trading open currency positions, other than the structural foreign currency translation exposures arising from its investments in foreign subsidiaries and associated undertakings and their related currency funding.

 

The table below shows the Group's structural foreign currency exposures.

 

30 June 2012

Net 

assets of 

overseas 

operations 

RFS 

MI 

Net 

investments 

in foreign 

operations 

Net 

investment 

hedges 

Structural 

foreign 

currency 

exposures 

pre-economic 

hedges 

Economic 

hedges (1)

Residual 

structural 

foreign 

currency 

exposures 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US dollar

17,518 

17,517 

(2,394)

15,123 

(4,014)

11,109 

Euro

8,975 

(1)

8,976 

(831)

8,145 

(2,159)

5,986 

Other non-sterling

4,751 

268 

4,483 

(3,631)

852 

852 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31,244 

268 

30,976 

(6,856)

24,120 

(6,173)

17,947 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US dollar

17,570 

17,569 

(2,049)

15,520 

(4,071)

11,449 

Euro

8,428 

(3)

8,431 

(621)

7,810 

(2,236)

5,574 

Other non-sterling

5,224 

272 

4,952 

(4,100)

852 

852 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31,222 

270 

30,952 

(6,770)

24,182 

(6,307)

17,875 

 

Note:

(1)

The economic hedges represents US and EU preference shares in issue that are treated as equity under IFRS and do not qualify as hedges for accounting purposes.

 

Key points

·

The Group's structural foreign currency exposure at 30 June 2012 was £24.1 billion and £17.9 billion before and after economic hedges respectively, broadly unchanged from the end of 2011 position.

 

 

·

Changes in foreign currency exchange rates will affect equity in proportion to structural foreign currency exposure. A 5% strengthening in foreign currencies against sterling would result in a gain of £1.2 billion (2011 - £1.2 billion) in equity, while a 5% weakening would result in a loss of £1.1 billion (2011 - £1.2 billion) in equity.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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