1st Quarter Results

Old Mutual PLC 24 May 2007 Old Mutual plc 24 May 2007 Results for the quarter ended 31 March 2007 Good operating performance and positioning for further sustainable growth • Excellent investment performance driving continued strong net inflows of £4.5 billion • Funds under management increased 5% to £249 billion and are on track to reach £300 billion by the end of 2008 • APE sales up 9% with contributions from investment in retail and offshore distribution channels in life businesses, strong bancassurance results, as well as the continued success of Skandia's open architecture platform • On a local currency basis, all geographic segments achieved increases in adjusted operating profits: Africa up 33%; US up 11%; Europe up 38% • Group adjusted operating profit increased 5% and adjusted earnings reached 4.2p per share Jim Sutcliffe, Chief Executive, commented: 'The overall start to 2007 has been positive, with good increases in life sales in South Africa, continued growth in our US asset management business and strong performance by Nedbank. The Skandia results continue to exceed our acquisition plans and will be accretive this year as forecast. We are on track to achieve our target of £300 billion of funds under management by the end of 2008 with a satisfying 5% growth during the first quarter. While we still expect exchange rates and synergy and infrastructural costs to hold back earnings growth this year, the operating delivery from the Group is good and we are well positioned to grow strongly in 2008.' Financial highlights • Adjusted operating profit* (IFRS basis) up 5% to £398 million (Q1 2006: £380 million) • Profit for the quarter attributable to equity holders of the parent (IFRS basis) £248 million (Q1 2006: £170 million) • Adjusted operating earnings per share* (IFRS basis) unchanged at 4.2p (Q1 2006: 4.2p) • Basic earnings per share (IFRS basis) 4.9p (Q1 2006: 3.8p) • Net cash flow in relation to funds under management of £4.5 billion (Q1 2006: £4.2 billion) representing 1.9% of opening funds under management • Funds under management of £249 billion at 31 March 2007 (31 December 2006: £237** billion), an increase of 5.1% • Total life assurance sales, on an Annual Premium Equivalent (APE) basis, of £421 million, an increase of 8.8% (Q1 2006: £387 million) • PVNBP of £3,325 million, an increase of 9.3% (Q1 2006: £3,041 million) • Adjusted embedded value per share (EEV basis) 159.0p at 31 March 2007 (31 December 2006: 157.2p) Enquiries Investor Relations Malcolm Bell UK +44 (0)20 7002 7166 Deward Serfontein SA +27 (0)21 509 8709 Media James Crampton UK +44 (0)20 7002 7133 Nad Pillay SA +27 (0)21 504 8026 College Hill (UK) +44 (0)20 7457 2020 Tony Friend UK Gareth David UK Notes Wherever the terms asterisked in the Financial highlights are used, whether in the Financial highlights, the Chief Executive's Statement, the Group Finance Director's Review or the Business Review, the following definitions apply: * For long-term and general insurance business, adjusted operating profit is based on a long-term investment return, includes investment returns on life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments and is stated net of income tax attributable to policyholder returns. For all businesses, adjusted operating profit excludes goodwill impairment, the impact of acquisition accounting, initial costs of Black Economic Empowerment schemes, the impact of closure of unclaimed shares trusts, profit / (loss) on disposal of subsidiaries, associated undertakings and strategic investments and dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities. Adjusted operating earnings per ordinary share is calculated on the same basis as adjusted operating profit. It is stated after tax attributable to adjusted operating profit and minority interests. It excludes income attributable to Black Economic Empowerment trusts of listed subsidiaries. The calculation of the adjusted weighted average number of shares includes own shares held in policyholders' funds and Black Economic Empowerment trusts. ** 2006 restated due to sale of Spanish business Forward-looking statements This announcement contains forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Old Mutual plc's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances that are beyond Old Mutual plc's control, including, among other things, UK domestic and global economic and business conditions, market-related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, deflation, the timing and impact of other uncertainties or of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries, as well as the impact of tax and other legislation and other regulations in territories where Old Mutual plc or its affiliates operate. As a result, Old Mutual plc's actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations set forth in Old Mutual plc's forward-looking statements. Old Mutual plc undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements that it may make. Notes to Editors: A conference call for analysts and investors will take place at 9.00 a.m. (UK time) and 10.00 a.m. (Swedish and South African time) today. Analysts and investors who wish to participate in the call should dial the following toll free numbers: UK 0800 953 1444 Sweden 0200 895 350 South Africa 0800 994 090 Copies of these results together with high-resolution images (at http:// oldmutual.com/vpage.jsp?page_id=2220) and biographical details of the executive directors of Old Mutual plc, are available in electronic format to download from the Company's website. A Financial Disclosure Supplement relating to the Company's Q1 results can be found on the website. This contains a summary of key financial data for the first quarters of 2007 and 2006. For further information on Old Mutual plc, please visit our website at www.oldmutual.com. Chief Executive's Statement A positive start to the year Old Mutual's open architecture model and good investment performance from our investment managers have continued to win strong net inflows in the first quarter, with net client cash flow of £4.5 billion. Overall funds under management by the Group increased 5.1% to £249 billion from the 2006 year-end position of £237 billion, benefiting from positive equity markets in the main countries in which we operate. Earnings on an IFRS basis were flat in Sterling terms, at 4.2p, but the strength of Sterling against the Rand and the US dollar for the first quarter of 2007 compared to the first quarter of 2006 disguises some underlying good performances by our businesses in local currency terms. Europe Skandia's open architecture offerings have continued to propel strong new business growth in the UK and offshore UK, with total Europe net inflows of £1.5 billion for the first quarter. Pension sales have continued to benefit from post-A Day demand, increasing by 24% compared to the first quarter of 2006. Unit trust sales were down by 3%. Offshore sales have also recovered markedly from the weakness experienced at the beginning of 2006. IFRS profit for the UK & Offshore increased by 16% for the period. Profits at Skandia Nordic were unusually high, benefiting from higher levels of funds under management, which increased by SEK 4 billion and some exceptional profits in smaller lines of business. However, sales were depressed by the removal of the tax privileges of a key product, Kapitalpension, and by our early adoption of a level commission structure. Margins on new business fell with lower volumes affecting experience ratios and the costs of the new Skandia Liv arrangements which have now been put in place. Good progress is being made in putting this division on to a sounder footing for the future, and investing in a solid IT base. We are looking forward to welcoming our new CEO for the Nordic business, Bertil Hult, who is expected to join us in September 2007. Within Skandia's European and Latin American businesses, Poland again performed well but Italian sales disappointed. Funds under management grew by 20% and the value of new business grew by 15%. Margins remained above target at 19%. Our plans for significant spending on achieving the previously announced synergies at Skandia during 2007 remain in place, with the bulk of the expenditure coming through during the rest of the year. We remain on track to meet our stated targets. South Africa Our South African life business achieved good sales growth during the quarter benefiting from the investment we have made in our distribution network over the past few years. Retail life sales grew strongly up 27% partially offsetting lower Institutional sales. Bancassurance sales achieved through the Nedbank channel have also continued to grow strongly. Lumpy Institutional life sales were down for the quarter and funds under management were adversely affected by the loss of two large investment mandates. Investment performance by our South African asset management business, which went through an adverse patch in 2006, has recovered strongly. We have now completed the transformation of our asset management business to a boutique model and we remain confident that it will benefit our clients. Profits benefited from the strong JSE and some one-off items, and are up 34% in Rand terms. Nedbank has continued its return to health, with a 24% increase in headline earnings in Rand terms. Nedbank exceeded its 2007 target of 20% RoE for the first time in the first quarter. Its cost to income ratio for the quarter was below its target of 55% for the year, although this will be affected during the rest of 2007 by Nedbank's continuing high levels of investment in its retail programme. Nedbank's market share statistics improved during the quarter, but loan impairments deteriorated as a result of the tighter credit environment. The combined ratio at our general insurance business, Mutual & Federal, was affected by some adverse weather-related and motor claims that led to its result being slightly higher in local currency terms for the period, even though the premium cycle does now appear to have turned, with a recent hardening of rates. Contribution from its long-term investment return was lower than in the equivalent period of 2006 as a result of the significant amount of capital returned to its shareholders under the special dividend paid last year. USA Our asset management business attracted $6.2 billion of net cash inflow from clients during the first quarter, which, together with powerful market and investment performance, raised its total funds under management by $16 billion to $290 billion. IFRS adjusted operating profit was up by 27% in local currency terms for the period. Sales by Old Mutual Capital Partners rose by 17%, with mutual funds up by 40%, underlining the potential of our retail strategy initiatives. We completed the acquisition of Ashfield, our new large cap manager, during February. Old Mutual Asset Managers (UK), which is now reported as part of the US asset management division, had an excellent three months, with unit trust sales up by 50%. Sales at our US life business were strong, at $1.1 billion gross (Annual Premium Equivalent of $132 million), an increase of 25% (APE basis) on the equivalent period in 2006 when there was a slow start to the year. Margins were a healthy 18%, helped by strong sales by the Bermudan business and strong demand for equity indexed annuities. IFRS adjusted operating profit was lower than the equivalent period in 2006, but in line with the 2006 full year run rate, as a result of some adverse annuitant mortality experience and increases in the prevailing interest rate environment. The business remains on track to return cash to the Group by the end of 2007. Our previously-announced review of the historic book of the US life business continues and we aim to complete this by August 2007. Two of the key items under review are hedging and longevity modelling; the latter produced an experience loss of $9 million in the quarter, while the former broke even. Asia Pacific Our businesses in the Asia Pacific region have continued to make good progress, with strong growth in life sales in India and China. Outlook The overall start to 2007 has been positive, with good increases in life sales in South Africa, continued growth in our US asset management business and strong performance by Nedbank. The Skandia results continue to exceed our acquisition plans and will be accretive this year as forecast. We are on track to achieve our target of £300 billion of funds under management by the end of 2008 with a satisfying 5% growth during the first quarter. While we still expect exchange rates and synergy and infrastructural costs to have an effect this year, the operating delivery from the Group is good and we are well positioned to grow strongly in 2008. Jim Sutcliffe Chief Executive Group Finance Director's Review GROUP RESULTS Group Highlights (£m) Q1 2007 Q1 2006 Change Adjusted operating profit (IFRS basis) (pre-tax) 398 380 5% Profit before tax (IFRS) 478 401 19% Adjusted operating earnings per share (IFRS 4.2p 4.2p - basis) Basic earnings per share (IFRS basis) 4.9p 3.8p 29% Value of new business 58 59* (2%) PVNBP 3,325 3,041* 9% Life assurance sales (APE) 421 387* 9% Unit trust / mutual funds sales 1,935 2,165* (11%) Net fund inflows (£bn) 4.5 4.2 7% Group Highlights Q1 2007 FY 2006 Change Embedded Value (£bn) 8.7 8.6 1% Adjusted Embedded Value per share (EEV basis) 159.0p 157.2p 1% Funds under management (£bn) 249 237** 5% Return on equity (annualised basis) (%) *** 13.7% 12.0% *Pro forma three months ** 2006 restated due to sale of Spanish business *** Return on equity is calculated using adjusted operating profit after tax and minority on an IFRS basis with allowance for accrued coupon payments on the Group's hybrid capital. The average shareholders' equity used in the calculation excludes hybrid capital Strong sales and net fund inflows continued in the first quarter of 2007 driving funds under management (FUM) to £249 billion, well on the way to our target of £300 billion by the end of 2008. Adjusted operating profit rose 5% in the period with higher FUM and operational leverage driving strong cash generation and a corresponding increase in return on shareholders equity. Skandia continues to exceed expectations delivering £1.5 billion net fund inflows and £66 million in adjusted operating profits during the quarter and our US business powered ahead to $291 billion FUM. Elsewhere Nedbank and OMSA delivered very strong growth in profits offsetting the 31% decline in the Rand compared to the first quarter of 2006. The first quarter of 2007 although good for unit trust sales was not as strong as the equivalent period last year due to the market correction in February and a period of poor investment performance at OMSA in 2006. Adjusted Embedded Value per share up by 1.1% Adjusted Group Embedded Value (EV) increased to £8.7 billion at 31 March 2007 (31 December 2006: £8.6 billion). The adjusted Group EV per share has increased to 159.0p at 31 March 2007 from 155.9p (restated from 157.2p after a fair value adjustment to the prior period balance sheet). This was driven by excellent investment performance, solid operating profits and the market value increase of our subsidiaries offset by adverse movement in foreign exchange rates. Skandia synergies on track The Skandia acquisition provides significant opportunities for growth throughout Europe. In addition the integration and synergy benefits of £70 million per annum (announced in June 2006) are on track to be delivered by the end of 2008. 2007 is the key year for investment in synergy initiatives with £10 million incurred in the first quarter and it is expected that £46 million will be incurred in 2007 as a whole. Value of new business flat The value of new business in the first quarter of 2007 was £58 million driven by growth in the US and Europe offset by lower value of institutional business in South Africa coupled with the impact of foreign exchange movements. Capital position The Group's gearing level remains comfortably within our target range, with senior debt gearing at 31 March of 1.9% (6.0% at 31 December 2006) and total gearing, including hybrid capital, of 21.5% (21.8% at 31 December 2006). In January 2007, the Group issued €750 million of Lower Tier 2 Preferred Callable Securities, the proceeds of which were used in part to finance the maturity of a €400 million senior Eurobond that matured in April 2007. Old Mutual discloses strong Economic Capital position Old Mutual plc today announces for the first time results from its Economic Capital (EC) Programme. These results show that, as at 31 December 2006, the Group had available financial resources (AFR) significantly in excess of the amount of economic capital the Group believes would be required to support its target rating. Old Mutual plc's Economic Capital requirement as at 31 December 2006 stood at £4.1 billion. The corresponding AFR of the Group was £7.1 billion, giving an economic surplus of 73%. A comfortable surplus also exists within each of our South African, US and European regions, meaning that the Group is not reliant for its economic solvency on the need to transfer capital between geographies. Jonathan Nicholls Group Finance Director 24 May 2007 COMPARATIVE INFORMATION Following the acquisition of Skandia by Old Mutual plc, and the resultant listing of Old Mutual plc shares on the Stockholm Stock Exchange, Old Mutual plc has adopted quarterly reporting from the period ended 30 September 2006. The reporting format for the first quarter 2007 reporting period is as follows: • All group comparative quarterly reporting information on earnings include Skandia from the date of acquisition of 1 February 2006. • Within the financial statements the Europe division comparative information is from the date of acquisition of 1 February 2006 • Where Europe information is shown within the business review this has been adjusted on a pro forma basis to reflect ownership from 1 January 2006. For the full first quarter announcement, please visit Old Mutual's website www.oldmutual.com This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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