3rd Quarter Results

Old Mutual PLC 28 November 2006 Old Mutual plc Results for the nine months ended 30 September 2006 Highlights Adjusted operating profit* (IFRS** basis): £1,058 million, R12,676 million Profit for the period attributable to equity holders: £506 million, R6,062 million Adjusted operating earnings per share* (IFRS basis): 11.5p, 137.8c Basic earnings per share: 10.4p, 124.6c Adjusted embedded value per share (EV basis): 140.7p, R20.44 at 30 September 2006 (30 June 2006: 143.2p, R18.95) Total life assurance sales, on an Annual Premium Equivalent (APE) basis: £1,152 million, an increase of 7% (30 September 2005: £1,075 million) Total unit trust sales: £5,215 million, an increase of 60% (30 September 2005: £3,258 million) Net client cash flow: £14.7 billion Funds under management: £222 billion (30 June 2006: £218 billion), an increase of 1.8%, R3,218 billion (30 June 2006: R2,891 billion) Commenting on the results, Jim Sutcliffe, Chief Executive, said: 'We made steady progress in the third quarter, driven by strong sales and net cash flows from an increasingly international spread of businesses. Skandia is on track to deliver its targets for 2008. We are confident that we will continue to increase our client base and assets under management, the foundations for our future growth.' Wherever the items asterisked in the Highlights are used, whether in the Highlights, the Chief Executive's Statement or the Group Finance Director's Review, the following definitions apply: * For long-term assurance and general insurance business, adjusted operating profit is based on a long-term investment return, includes investment returns on life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments and is stated net of income tax attributable to policyholder returns. For all businesses, adjusted operating profit excludes goodwill impairment, the impact of acquisition accounting, initial costs of Black Economic Empowerment schemes, profit / (loss) on disposal of subsidiaries, associated undertakings and strategic investments and dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities. Adjusted operating earnings per ordinary share are calculated on the same basis as adjusted operating profit, but are stated after tax and minority interests and exclude income attributable to Black Economic Empowerment Trusts. The calculation of the adjusted weighted average number of shares includes own shares held in policyholders' funds and Black Economic Empowerment Trusts. ** The financial information has been prepared on the basis of the recognition and measurement requirements of International Financial Reporting Standards as set out in the basis of preparation note on page 36 of this document . Enquiries: Old Mutual plc UK Media: Katie Bell (UK) Tel: +44 (0) 20 7002 7163 Nad Pillay (SA) Tel: +27 (0) 21 504 8026 Investors: Malcolm Bell (UK) Tel: +44 (0) 20 7002 7166 Deward Serfontein (SA) Tel: +27 (0) 21 509 8709 College Hill (UK): Tony Friend Tel: +44 (0) 20 7457 2020 Gareth David Notes to Editors: Jim Sutcliffe, Chief Executive, will host a conference call for analysts and investors at 9.00 a.m. (UK time), 10.00 a.m. (CET) and 11.00 a.m. (SA time) today. The call will include a brief overview of the results and an opportunity to ask questions. Analysts and investors who wish to participate in the conference call should dial the following toll-free numbers: UK participants: 0800 953 1444 Swedish participants: 0200 895 350 SA participants: 0800 994 090 International dial-in (not toll-free): + 44 (0) 1452 542 300 The full 2006 third-quarter results release, together with the Financial Disclosure Supplement, can be found on the Company's website at www.oldmutual.com. Forward-looking statements This announcement contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition and results of operations of Old Mutual plc and its group companies, which by their nature involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, global, national and regional economic conditions, levels of securities markets, interest rates, credit or other risks of lending and investment activities, and competitive and regulatory factors. 28 November 2006 Chief Executive's Statement Old Mutual's sales (life up 7%, unit trusts up 60%) and net client cash flows (£14.7 billion) have been strong in the first 9 months of 2006 and our Skandia acquisition continues to run ahead of our expectations. Funds under management grew strongly and reached £222 billion, which reflects growth of 5% for the year to date for our continuing businesses. Embedded value per share (140.7p, R20.44 at 30 September 2006) and the value of new business (£167 million for the nine months) are consistent with the results shown at the half-year stage. The positive impact on IFRS earnings of the underlying growth has been offset by some historical adjustments and currency movements as well as reserve strengthening in the US and margin reductions in our core South African life business. Adjusted IFRS earnings per share (EPS) of 11.5p, 137.8c for the nine months ended 30 September 2006 compared with 8.5p, 96c for the first half of 2006. South Africa Old Mutual South Africa (OMSA) has continued to put a great deal of effort into building its retail distribution systems, and was successful in regaining the top spot in the market, although group products and particularly healthcare sales continued to disappoint. Under the new management of Paul Hanratty, we are steadily shifting our business away from the traditional capital-intensive life assurance model to a lower-charge, lower-capital model based on unit trust products, and we are planning to migrate our healthcare business on to a single platform so that it can build economies of scale to compete in the market. Retail life sales grew by 17% and continued to produce margins within our target range. Despite lower sales of the high-margin group products and distribution costs continuing to exceed our goals, the value of new business for the three quarters increased to R425 million, compared to R252 million for the first two quarters combined. Unit trust sales have grown by 26% year-on-year at R11,453 million for the nine months as this product line benefits from its greater transparency and tax advantages. Third-quarter net cash flow was lower as investment performance was not as strong, and we lost some large multi-manager mandates. We are introducing a multi-boutique style structure, along the lines of our US operation, to ensure that we are well placed to benefit from industry trends and that our investment performance returns to its long-term strength. Client funds under management have risen by 13% to R440 billion since the start of the year, benefitting from an expanding South African economy. Overall earnings were affected by a number of historical adjustments totalling R276 million, together with the cumulative effect of lower margins, lower mortality profits in Group Schemes, the IFRS2 costs of share-based incentives and lower asset management earnings offsetting the strong performance of the JSE. Nedbank continued on its recovery path. Pleasing growth was shown across all our operating divisions and we have maintained our expense discipline, with Return On Equity (ROE) of 18.6% for the three quarters to 30 September 2006, as shown in its recent results announcement. Nedbank is continuing to invest in its retail banking franchise and has stabilised its market share position in key sectors of the South African banking market. Our confidence in and support of this important subsidiary has now been rewarded with ROE well in excess of the cost of capital, and Nedbank is on track to meet its 2007 commitment of 20% ROE. Our South African general insurer, Mutual & Federal, has experienced a return to more normal levels of weather-related claims after the unusually benign conditions of 2005, but has maintained its underwriting disciplines against the softer market background, raising gross premiums by 7% and achieving an underwriting ratio of 4.4%. United States In the US, our asset management affiliates have continued to attract new client mandates, and we have benefitted from the recovery in the local equity market during the third-quarter. As previously reported, funds under management (FUM) rose to $237 billion at 30 September 2006, compared to $231 billion at 30 June 2006, which represents a 7% growth in continuing businesses after the sale of FPA. We were successful in acquiring Ashfield, a San Francisco-based growth manager with an excellent performance record. Mutual fund sales totalled $944 million, showing the benefits of our investment in distribution and expansion of our product offering in the retail space. Earnings remain at the same level as in previous quarters, with revenue from the higher asset base being offset by the removal of eSecLending earnings following its sale and lower performance fees being accrued. The timing of performance fee receipts is difficult to predict, however our investment performance remains excellent, with a new high of 91% of assets outperforming their benchmarks over a three-year period. Earnings at our US Life business rose to $169 million and are on target to exceed the 2005 full-year earnings comfortably, and our sales will not be far short of our $4 billion target, with net client cash flow on track. Margins continued to be higher than our long-term expectations, as interest rates remained higher than in recent years. However, these conditions have also led us to expect higher surrenders of Multi-Year Guaranteed Annuities (MYGA) than originally assumed. We have strengthened our assumptions and this has reduced earnings by some $20 million pre-tax in the quarter. Mortality experience on Single Premium Immediate Annuities (SPIA) was poorer than expected. Europe In the UK, life sales have increased 27% and mutual fund sales by 67% as Selestia and Skandia Multifund have benefitted from the industry shift to open architecture platforms, and the positive impact of A-Day has continued. Skandia Investment Management Ltd (SIML) products, particularly the 'Best Ideas' funds, were particularly well received. As a result, FUM grew further to £33 billion, up from £31 billion at 30 June 2006. Margins were a little lower as a result of changes in product mix, but have been similar to the first half at a product level. Earnings have continued to grow as a result of the growth in assets, although we did not benefit from the favourable tax movements in the third quarter as we had in the second quarter, and our planned spending on the back office outsourcing projects has started to increase. We were very pleased that Skandia UK was voted 'Company of the Year' at the recent IFA awards ceremony. In the Nordic region, net client cash flow continued to be positive, with lower sales being offset by lower surrenders. Single premium sales were down 29% compared to the equivalent period in 2005 as the cycle of Kapitalpension sales came to an end and the market awaited the arrival of the new ITP (collective agreement for corporate pension savings for white-collar workers) agreement. We adjusted our Long-term Investment Return (LTIR) methodology in the third quarter to reflect more accurately the amount and constitution of the Nordic shareholder assets. First half results were SEK135 million lower under the revised methodology and this has been recognised in the third quarter. We have some considerable work to do in Nordic to improve systems over the next 18 months, and to put the company on sound footing for the future. Our 'ELAM' (European and Latin American) business continued to make excellent progress, with net cash flow of €1.4 billion driven by sales of both life and unit trust business well ahead of last year, at steady margins. The third-quarter saw particularly strong growth in Poland, as in the first half, and in Colombia, where Skandia has a long-standing and successful business. Asia Pacific Our businesses in India and China continued their rapid rates of growth and are well set to contribute in the future. We acquired Intech in Australia to complement our existing fund platform business, and expect a good contribution from this business in the coming years. Outlook With strong sales and net client cash flow for the nine months to date, Old Mutual continues to make progress. We aim to create value for our shareholders by improving the businesses that form the Group and we have a full agenda under way, most notably the synergy and IT programmes in Skandia, but also changing the shape of our South African life business. Our business has proved resilient in the face of changing economic environments and, although the market and exchange rate factors that have affected our third-quarter IFRS results are likely to continue into the fourth quarter, we expect to be able to continue to grow our client base and assets under management as the foundation of our future success. Jim Sutcliffe Chief Executive 28 November 2006 Group Finance Director's Review Highlights (£m) Q3 2006 Q3 2005 % change YTD YTD Life assurance sales (APE) 1,152 1,075 7% Unit trust sales 5,215 3,258 60% Net client cash flows (bn) 14.7 Funds under management (bn) 222 214 4% Highlights (£m) H1 2006 Q3 2006 YTD IFRS adjusted operating profit, pre tax 771 1,058 GROUP RESULTS Old Mutual continued to make sound progress during the third quarter of 2006, building on the strong growth experienced in the first half of the year. Strong net cash flow from clients, underlying growth in funds under management, and positive life and mutual fund sales growth overall across our major businesses contributed to a solid underlying performance for the nine months to 30 September 2006. Underlying performance strong but affected by one-off items The Group's adjusted operating profit on an IFRS basis increased to £1,058 million for the first nine months of 2006. We continued to benefit from a more internationally diversified earnings base, with growth in earnings from Europe, steady progress in the US and continued positive momentum at Nedbank. Year to date earnings were affected by the depreciation in the Rand and the US dollar, reducing operating earnings per share by 0.5p. In addition, earnings were affected by a number of adjustments at our South African life assurance and asset management company (OMSA) and at our US Life business. In total, these adjustments reduced earnings per share by 0.4p. Adjusted operating earnings per share for the nine months to 30 September 2006 was 11.5p, compared to 8.5p at 30 June 2006. Embedded value per share The Group's embedded value per share was 140.7p at 30 September 2006. This is a decrease of 1.7% from 143.2p at 30 June 2006, caused primarily by foreign exchange impacts. The value of new business increased by 50% from £111 million at the half year to £167 million for the nine months, and up 1% on the equivalent period of last year (30 September 2005: £166 million) (including Skandia on a pro forma basis). Unit trust sales up 60% The strong momentum in unit trust sales continued, increasing by 60% to £5,215 million (30 September 2005: £3,258 million) (including Skandia on a pro-forma basis). We experienced growth across all our geographic segments, with increases of 278% in the USA, 26% in South Africa, and 39% in Europe, where our businesses continued to benefit from the industry switch to open architecture platforms. Life sales up 7% Life sales for the combined Group on an APE basis increased by 7% overall to £1,152 million compared to the prior year (30 September 2005: £1,075 million) (including Skandia on a pro-forma basis). Despite the industry switch in preference away from traditional life products, modest growth was achieved across a number of our products and countries, particularly within savings, pensions and fixed annuity products. Strong net client cash flows and growth in funds under management Funds under management increased by 21% to £222 billion from the year-end position (31 December 2005: £183 billion) (excluding Skandia). Overall strong net cash inflows, particularly within our US and Europe businesses, and a general improvement in equity market conditions across all our diversified geographies contributed to this result. The benefit was partially diluted by currency impacts, caused by the weakening of the US dollar and Rand. Capital Position Our capital position remains strong, with FGD surplus of £1 billion. Jonathan Nicholls Group Finance Director 28 November 2006 COMPARATIVE INFORMATION Following the acquisition of Skandia by Old Mutual plc, and the resultant listing of Old Mutual plc shares on the Stockholm Stock Exchange, Old Mutual plc has adopted quarterly reporting from the period ended 30 September 2006. The Stockholm Stock Exchange has exempted Old Mutual plc from disclosing comparative information for this quarter. Therefore, the reporting format for the first quarterly reporting period is as follows: • All sales and trading information (such as life sales, unit trust / mutual fund sales, and funds under management) is compared against prior year to date performance with Skandia included on a pro-forma basis • Profit is compared against current half year results with Skandia included from the date of acquisition • From first quarter 2007, we will provide comparative quarterly reporting information on earnings including Skandia from date of acquisition This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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