Credit Rating by Moody's

Old Mutual PLC 6 November 2000 Old Mutual plc and OMLAC(SA) Limited awarded credit rating by Moody's Moody's has issued the following announcements to the London Stock Exchange this morning: Julian Roberts, Group Finance Director, commented: 'We are clearly delighted that following Moody's thorough analysis of the Old Mutual, the Group has been awarded with these very satisfactory credit ratings for our debt as an international group and also an insurance rating for our principal operation Old Mutual Life Assurance Company of South Africa.' ENQUIRIES: Old Mutual London Tel: + 44 20 7569 0100 James Poole, Director Investor Relations College Hill London Tel: + 44 20 7457 2020 Gareth David Old Mutual Cape Town Tel: + 27 21 509 2732 Bruce Allen, Manager, Group Media Communications College Hill Johannesburg Tel: + 27 11 447 3030 Kim Milnes Moody's press release - For publication on 6 November 2000 MOODY'S ASSIGNS AN A2 SENIOR UNSECURED ISSUER RATING TO OLD MUTUAL PLC First-time rating London, 6 November 2000 - Moody's Investors Service assigned today an A2 senior unsecured issuer rating to Old Mutual plc. The rating outlook is stable. The issuer rating covers senior financial obligations of Old Mutual plc. Specific debt securities are considered unrated as the issuer rating does not take account of differences between indentures. The rating is a first-time rating assigned to the company by Moody's. In a press release published simultaneously, Moody's also announced the assignment of a Aa3 domestic currency insurance financial strength rating to Old Mutual Life Assurance Company (South Africa) Ltd. ('OMLAC (SA) Ltd.'), the group's South African life assurance subsidiary. The Aa3 rating is applicable to the company's domestic Rand-denominated policyholder liabilities, and is assigned on a global scale. It is the first rating assigned by Moody's to a South African insurance company. Moody's said that its rating assignment, four notches above the Baa3 South African foreign currency ceiling, is based on two conclusions. The first one is that Old Mutual's joint UK and US operations should, on their own, be able to generate sufficient cash-flows to service the debt issued by Old Mutual plc with an adequate interest coverage ratio. In that respect, any potential non- convertibility of the Rand would not by itself lead to a default of Old Mutual plc. The second conclusion is that the currency risk on South Africa and the business risks on the group's US and UK operations are unrelated. To the extent that both South African and UK/US operations are able to service the debt on their own, Moody's believes that the A2 debt rating adequately reflects the likelihood of a default of Old Mutual plc. Ultimately, the rating takes account of: (i) the risk of a joint inability of Old Mutual's South African and US/UK operations to service the debt; (ii) the macro-economic and, more generally, the operating environment in the countries in which Old Mutual does business; (iii) the fact that most of the group's net asset value is in South Africa; (iv) the possibility of a further weakening of the Rand; and (v) the potential constraints the group faces in upstreaming to the UK the proceeds of asset disposals within South Africa. The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectation that an upgrade of South Africa's current foreign currency ceiling to Baa2 from its current level of Baa3 (positive outlook) may not - with everything else being equal - have a sufficient impact to justify an upgrade of Old Mutual plc. RATING METHODOLOGY Moody's rating methodology for Old Mutual plc involved: (1) an analysis of the group's overall strategy and financial fundamentals; (2) a detailed review of the group's operations in southern Africa, the UK and the US; and (3) a review of foreign currency issues, as the group's earnings originate from several countries with different currencies. The rating agency recognised the fairly unique structure of the group and tailored its approach to ensure that its analysis would reflect the risk borne effectively by Old Mutual plc's debtholders. As a result, both the A2 debt rating on Old Mutual plc and the Aa3 domestic currency insurance financial strength rating on OMLAC (SA) Ltd. are comparable to Moody's ratings assigned world-wide. Moody's noted that Old Mutual plc, as a UK-based company, was not directly constrained by the foreign currency ceiling of South Africa. This foreign currency ceiling is an opinion on the risk associated with exchange controls which could disrupt the timely repayment of debt securities. For Old Mutual, it is the risk that the group's South African subsidiaries will be unable to upstream cash-flows to their parent company in the UK. Judging by the experience of other countries, Moody's believes that this may typically be a two-year event. GROUP OVERVIEW Based in the United Kingdom, Old Mutual plc is the ultimate holding company of a diversified group operating mainly in the fields of life assurance, asset management, banking, non-life ('short-term') insurance and other financial services. The group operates with subsidiaries based principally in the UK, US and South Africa, . The company was created in 1999 following the demutualisation of The South African Mutual Life Assurance Society, the former mutual whose business was assumed by OMLAC (SA) Ltd. The company has a primary listing in London. Old Mutual's overall strategy is to develop a world-wide platform in the area of life assurance and asset management whilst strengthening its existing operations in Southern Africa. The overall risk profile of the group's operations is fairly low as life assurance and asset management operations should typically deliver good sustainable returns with limited volatility. Moody's also believes that the group's other operations in banking and non-life ('short-term') insurance are well managed and have an overall low risk profile in the South African context. The group's self-assigned hurdle rates are high, which should help create value out of acquisitions, but may also make it more difficult to find the right acquisition opportunities. Starting from an un-leveraged balance sheet in December 1999, Old Mutual plc raised debt in 2000 to finance acquisitions in the UK and in the US. Moody's notes that interest coverage is comfortable on the basis of sustainable earnings. In particular, each of Old Mutual's core operations is expected to deliver good cash-flows going forward. Moody's understands that it is not the company's strategy to raise debt at the level of Old Mutual plc to pay for acquisitions in Southern Africa. REVIEW OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS Looking at the group's individual operations, Moody's commented that OMLAC (SA) Ltd. is, in the rating agency's opinion, one of Old Mutual's strongest operations. OMLAC (SA) Ltd. benefits from a very strong and resilient franchise in South Africa; a diversified, low-risk product mix; a genuine multi-distribution capability; and the strong expertise of its management teams, for instance in the areas of product development, information technology and for the actuarial and asset management functions. The company has maintained its leading market position for a number of years, and enjoys one of the strongest brands in the South African market. A key credit factor has also been the excellent financial flexibility enjoyed by the company, as policies do not include guaranteed surrender values and a portion of policyholder bonuses are typically not guaranteed. Other main South African operations include Nedcor and Mutual & Federal, in which Old Mutual has majority ownership. Nedcor is the fourth largest South African banking group (Nedcor Bank, C bank financial strength; Ba1 bank deposits rating constrained by the country ceiling). It enjoys high efficiency levels, a solid information technology platform, and demanding return objectives set by management. Mutual & Federal has a market leading position in the field of non-life ('short- term') insurance, and benefits from a high solvency level. It has made an underwriting profit over the recent years, although the recent deterioration of market conditions made it more difficult to attain this high objective in 1999. In the UK, Old Mutual expanded in the last few years with various acquisitions which culminated with the take-over bid made for the Gerrard Group in March 2000. According to Moody's, Old Mutual does not have in the UK the franchise strength it enjoys in South Africa. Its niche operations, in the fields mainly of private asset management and derivative/equity brokerage, are subject to intense competition. Moody's notes, in particular, that a lot of work is required to build the Gerrard brand and grow the business further. However, the rating agency said that Old Mutual should receive recurring earnings from its UK operations with limited downside risk, which has been seen as a positive in the context of the debt rating. Finally, Old Mutual announced in June 2000 the acquisition of United Asset Management ('UAM'), a US asset management firm with around US$200 billion of assets under management. With a unique structure consisting of some 41 independent affiliated asset managers, UAM is one of the largest US asset managers. It suffered in the recent past from disappointing investment performance and negative net client cash flows due mainly to the focus of the company on the slower growing defined- benefit products in the U.S. and out of favour value oriented funds, a lack of brand identity, and inadequate management incentive plans. Going forward, UAM plans to focus its efforts around a selected, high profile, group of affiliated firms, and to re-incentivise management. Moody's notices that turning the business around may prove challenging, and that there is execution risk in the process. Nevertheless, the company's strong client base, the comparatively low price paid for UAM by Old Mutual and the strong cash-flow generation capability of the asset manager should make it possible the improve the operating performance of Old Mutual. Based in London, United Kingdom, Old Mutual plc had total consolidated assets of 58 billion British Pounds (600 billion Rand ) as of June 2000, excluding UAM. On a proforma basis and inclusive of UAM, total assets under management amounted to US$275 billion as of June 2000. London Mark Hewlett Managing Director Financial Institutions Group Moody's Investors Service Ltd. 44 20 7772 5454 London Damien Regent Assistant Vice President - Analyst Financial Institutions Group Moody's Investors Service Ltd. 44 20 7772 5454 Moody's press release - For publication on 6 November 2000 MOODY'S ASSIGNS A Aa3 DOMESTIC CURRENCY INSURANCE FINANCIAL STRENGTH RATING TO OLD MUTUAL LIFE ASSURANCE COMPANY (SOUTH AFRICA) LTD. First rating assigned to a South African insurance company London, 6 November 2000 - Moody's Investors Service assigned today a Aa3 domestic currency insurance financial strength rating to Old Mutual Life Assurance Company (South Africa) Ltd. ('OMLAC (SA) Ltd.'). The rating outlook is stable. The rating expresses Moody's opinion on the company's ability to repay punctually senior policyholder claims and obligations. It is applicable only to the company's domestic Rand- denominated policyholder liabilities. The Aa3 rating is assigned on a global rating scale, and as a result is comparable to Moody's ratings world-wide. This is the first time Moody's has rated a South African insurance company. Life insurance financial strength ratings have already been assigned by Moody's to companies in 10 countries globally. In a press release published simultaneously, the rating agency also announced the assignment of an A2 senior unsecured issuer rating to Old Mutual plc, OMLAC (SA) Ltd.'s ultimate parent company based in the United Kingdom. Commenting on its rating methodology, Moody's said that its analysis involved: (i) a review of the company's own strategy, franchise and financial fundamentals; (ii) a detailed analysis of Old Mutual's overall strategy and financial profile at the group level; and (iii) a review of the operating environment and country-specific risks. Based in Cape Town, South Africa, OMLAC (SA) Ltd. is Old Mutual's fully-owned South African life assurance subsidiary and the group's largest operation in the country by asset size. The company incorporated the business of The South African Mutual Life Assurance Society, the former mutual which demutualised in 1999. Moody's commented that, on its own, OMLAC (SA) Ltd. has considerable strengths in its domestic market. The company has a very strong and resilient franchise, as illustrated by its market share maintained over the years above 25%. It has a very-well known brand in Southern Africa which has been built over a number years. The expertise of its management teams, whether in product development, information technology and actuarial/financial functions, among others, is very strong by international standards. The company also benefits from the group's leading market position in the South African asset management industry. Going forward, however, the company will need to capture a client base of low to middle-income earners as and when this market grows, and confirm that it can maintain its leading position. The rating agency further said that the company has very solid financial fundamentals, among which are: a liability profile with few guarantees and options, meaning that the company is very resilient to potential shocks in capital markets; strong earnings and good expense management; and solid capitalisation. The company has most of its investments in equities, which can be volatile. However, investment risk is often borne by policyholders, although indirectly, as surrender values are not guaranteed and unvested bonuses can typically be clawed back. HIV risks are well-understood and managed, and are seen by the rating agency as unlikely to pose a serious threat to the company's financial fundamentals. The company's ability to re-price products, in particular, and its strong understanding of the prevalence of the disease considerably reduce the risk of any impact on financial strength. Commenting on its analysis of the Old Mutual group, Moody's said that the assignment of a Aa3 rating was adequate with respect to the overall risk profile of the Old Mutual group. In particular, the debt raised at group level remains moderate compared with the group's earnings capacity. The risk profile of the group's operations is fairly low, as Old Mutual is focused on low-volatility life insurance and fund management operations. Further, the group's acquisition strategy is seen as cautious, as illustrated by the demanding profitability targets Old Mutual assigns to itself when looking at acquisition opportunities. Moody's said that the assignment of the Aa3 rating also took into account the rating agency's local currency guidelines for domestic liabilities. Such guidelines, currently at the level of Aa3 for South Africa, indicate the highest rating level that might be assigned to the financially strongest companies in the country. The South African guideline assesses the general country-level risks that need to be incorporated into the ratings of companies for their liabilities in Rand. Moody's believes that, as for any other South African company, OMLAC (SA) Ltd. is exposed to some long-term risks, among which are the risk of low economic growth, potential social instability, the implications of high unemployment for the country as well as the long-term social implications of HIV. The rating agency said that the very strong franchise of OMLAC (SA) Ltd.; its very solid financial fundamentals; and its soft liability profile have been critical to attain the level of the guideline, and rate OMLAC (SA) Ltd. at the Aa3 level. Moody's said, in particular, that the ability for the company to adjust its liabilities to market conditions was a considerable strength compared with typical debt issuers. Based in Cape Town, South Africa, Old Mutual Life Assurance Company (South Africa) Ltd. had 1999 total assets of 227 billion Rand, equivalent to around 20 billion British Pounds at current exchange rates. It had 1999 net premium income of 30 billion Rand. London Mark Hewlett Managing Director Financial Institutions Group Moody's Investors Service Ltd. 44 20 7772 5454 London Damien Regent Assistant Vice President - Analyst Financial Institutions Group Moody's Investors Service Ltd. 44 20 7772 5454
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