|
|
|
£m |
|
|
Notes |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
Long Term Savings |
|
|
|
|
Covered business |
|
498 |
488 |
554 |
Asset management |
|
64 |
(7) |
26 |
Banking |
|
8 |
8 |
16 |
|
|
570 |
489 |
596 |
Nedbank |
|
|
|
|
Banking |
|
266 |
211 |
470 |
Mutual and Federal |
|
|
|
|
General insurance |
|
33 |
20 |
70 |
US Asset Management |
|
|
|
|
Asset management |
|
40 |
30 |
83 |
Other operating segments |
|
|
|
|
Finance costs* |
|
(86) |
(68) |
(144) |
Other shareholders' expenses |
|
(5) |
(33) |
(69) |
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax from core operations |
|
818 |
649 |
1,006 |
Bermuda non-core operations |
|
|
|
|
Long-term business |
|
30 |
106 |
8 |
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax** |
|
848 |
755 |
1,014 |
Adjusting items |
C1 |
(391) |
509 |
913 |
Total Group MCEV earnings before tax for the financial period |
|
457 |
1,264 |
1,927 |
Income tax attributable to shareholders |
|
(39) |
(143) |
(145) |
Total Group MCEV earnings after tax for the financial period |
|
418 |
1,121 |
1,782 |
Total Group MCEV earnings for the financial period attributable to: |
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of the parent |
|
302 |
1,026 |
1,562 |
Non-controlling interests |
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares |
|
85 |
61 |
156 |
Preferred securities |
|
31 |
34 |
64 |
Total Group MCEV earnings after tax for the financial period |
|
418 |
1,121 |
1,782 |
Basic total Group MCEV earnings per ordinary share (pence) |
|
6.0 |
20.5 |
31.3 |
Weighted average number of shares - millions |
|
5,057 |
4,996 |
4,994 |
* This includes interest payable from Old Mutual plc to non-core operations of £18 million for the six months ended 30 June 2010 (six months ended 30 June 2009: £21million; year ended 31 December 2010: £40 million). Part of the interest earned by Bermuda from the loan note with Old Mutual plc has been reclassified for the 6 months ended 30 June 2009 from non-operating to operating earnings to be consistent with the treatment applied for the year ended 31 December 2009 and the 6 months ended 30 June 2010.
** For long-term business and general insurance businesses, adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings are based on short-term and long-term investment returns respectively, include investment returns on life fund investments in Group equity and debt instruments, and are stated net of income tax attributable to policyholder returns. For the US Asset Management business it includes compensation costs in respect of certain long-term incentive schemes defined as non-controlling interests in accordance with IFRS. For all businesses, adjusted operating MCEV earnings exclude goodwill impairment, the impact of acquisition accounting, put revaluations related to long-term incentive schemes, the impact of closure of unclaimed shares trusts, profit/(loss) on disposal of subsidiaries, associated undertakings and strategic investments, dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities, and fair value (profits)/losses on certain Group debt movements.
|
|
|
£m |
||
|
Notes |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax |
|
848 |
755 |
1,014 |
|
Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings |
B2 |
(155) |
(183) |
(209) |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax |
|
693 |
572 |
805 |
|
Non-controlling interests |
|
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares |
|
(95) |
(70) |
(179) |
|
Preferred securities |
|
(31) |
(34) |
(64) |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax attributable to ordinary equity holders |
|
567 |
468 |
562 |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings from core operations |
|
537 |
390 |
581 |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings from non-core operations |
|
30 |
78 |
(19) |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share from core operations |
|
10.0 |
7.5 |
11.1 |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share from non-core operations |
|
0.6 |
1.4 |
(0.4) |
|
Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share* (pence) |
|
10.6 |
8.9 |
10.7 |
|
Adjusted weighted average number of shares - millions |
|
5,343 |
5,232 |
5,229 |
|
* Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share is calculated on the same basis as adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings and is stated after tax and non-controlling interests. It excludes income attributable to Black Economic Empowerment trusts of listed subsidiaries. The calculation of the adjusted weighted average number of shares includes own shares held in policyholders' funds and Black Economic Empowerment trusts.
Components of Group MCEV |
|
|
|
£m |
|
Notes |
At 30 June 2010 |
At 30 June 2009 |
At 31 December 2009 |
Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent |
|
4,845 |
3,860 |
4,417 |
Equity |
|
9,047 |
7,731 |
8,464 |
Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis: |
|
|
|
|
Long Term Savings |
C3 |
(2,766) |
(2,167) |
(2,626) |
Bermuda |
C3 |
(13) |
(27) |
(6) |
Adjustment for market value of life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments held in life funds |
|
244 |
235 |
268 |
Adjustment to remove perpetual preferred callable securities and accrued dividends |
|
(688) |
(688) |
(688) |
Adjustment to exclude acquisition goodwill from the covered business: |
|
|
|
|
Long Term Savings |
C3 |
(979) |
(1,224) |
(995) |
Value of in-force business |
|
3,208 |
2,741 |
3,212 |
Present value of future profits |
|
4,269 |
3,481 |
4,255 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
|
(456) |
(127) |
(416) |
Frictional costs |
|
(235) |
(199) |
(221) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
|
(370) |
(414) |
(406) |
|
|
|
|
|
Group MCEV |
|
8,053 |
6,601 |
7,629 |
Group MCEV value per share (pence) |
|
148.0 |
125.1 |
144.5 |
Return on Group MCEV (RoEV) per annum from core operations |
|
14.2% |
13.1% |
11.1% |
Return on Group MCEV (RoEV) per annum from non-core operations |
|
0.5% |
1.7% |
(0.4)% |
Return on Group MCEV (RoEV) per annum |
|
14.7% |
14.8% |
10.7% |
Number of shares in issue at the end of the financial period less treasury shares - millions |
|
5,442 |
5,277 |
5,279 |
The adjustments to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis reflect the difference between the net worth of each business on the statutory basis (as required by the local regulator) and their portion of the Group's consolidated equity shareholder funds. In South Africa, these values exclude items that are eliminated or shown separately on consolidation (such as Nedbank and inter-company loans). For some European countries the value reflected in the adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis includes the value of the deferred acquisition cost asset, which is part of the equity.
The RoEV is calculated as the adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax and non-controlling interests of £567 million (6 months ended 30 June 2009: £468 million; year ended 31 December 2009: £562 million) divided by the opening Group MCEV. The operating assumption changes of £0 million (6 months ended 30 June 2009: £26 million) and other operating variances of £12 million (6 months ended 30 June 2009: £128 million) are not annualised.
Components of adjusted Group MCEV |
£m |
|||
|
Notes |
At 30June 2010 |
At 30 June 2009 |
At 31 December 2009 |
Group MCEV |
|
8,053 |
6,601 |
7,629 |
Pro forma adjustments to bring Group investments to market value |
|
|
|
|
Adjustment to bring listed subsidiaries to market value |
|
495 |
133 |
805 |
Nedbank |
|
495 |
78 |
623 |
Mutual & Federal |
|
- |
55 |
182 |
Adjustment for value of own shares in ESOP schemes* |
|
73 |
57 |
71 |
Adjustment for present value of Black Economic Empowerment scheme deferred consideration |
|
241 |
194 |
221 |
Adjustment to bring external debt to market value |
|
206 |
604 |
302 |
Adjusted Group MCEV |
B1 |
9,068 |
7,589 |
9,028 |
Adjusted Group MCEV per share (pence) |
|
166.6 |
143.8 |
171.0 |
Number of shares in issue at the end of the financial period less treasury shares - millions |
|
5,442 |
5,277 |
5,279 |
* Includes adjustment for value of excess own shares in employee share scheme trusts. The movement in value between 31 December 2009 and 30 June 2010 is the net effect of the decrease in the Old Mutual plc share price, the reduction in excess own shares following employee share grants in March 2010 and the reduction in overall shares held due to exercises of rights to take delivery of, or net settle, share grants during the financial period.
Reconciliation of movements in Group MCEV (after tax) |
£m |
|||||||
|
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
|||||
|
Notes |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
|
Opening Group MCEV |
|
6,027 |
1,602 |
7,629 |
4,183 |
1,079 |
5,262 |
|
Adjusted operating MCEV earnings |
|
452 |
115 |
567 |
487 |
(19) |
468 |
|
Non-operating MCEV earnings |
|
(164) |
(101) |
(265) |
569 |
(11) |
558 |
|
Total Group MCEV earnings |
|
288 |
14 |
302 |
1,056 |
(30) |
1,026 |
|
Other movements in IFRS net equity |
C2 |
(141) |
263 |
122 |
117 |
196 |
313 |
|
Closing Group MCEV |
|
6,174 |
1,879 |
8,053 |
5,356 |
1,245 |
6,601 |
|
|
|
£m |
||
|
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||
|
Notes |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Opening Group MCEV |
|
4,183 |
1,079 |
5,262 |
Adjusted operating MCEV earnings |
|
492 |
70 |
562 |
Non-operating MCEV earnings |
|
1,191 |
(191) |
1,000 |
Total Group MCEV earnings |
|
1,683 |
(121) |
1,562 |
Other movements in IFRS net equity |
C2 |
161 |
644 |
805 |
Closing Group MCEV |
|
6,027 |
1,602 |
7,629 |
The Market Consistent Embedded Value methodology (referred to herein and in the supplementary statements on pages 81 to 122 as 'MCEV') adopts the Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles (Copyright © Stichting CFO Forum Foundation 2008) issued in June 2008 and updated in October 2009 by the CFO Forum ('the Principles') as the basis for the methodology used in preparing the supplementary information.
The CFO Forum announced changes to the MCEV Principles in October 2009 to reflect inter alia the inclusion of a liquidity premium. These changes affirm that the risk free reference rate to be applied under MCEV should include both the swap yield curve appropriate to the currency of the cash flows and a liquidity premium where appropriate. The CFO Forum is undertaking further work to develop more detailed application guidance.
The Principles have been fully complied with for all businesses as at 30 June 2010. Any changes in the methodology and assumptions made in presenting this supplementary information compared to those disclosed in the annual report and accounts 2009 are set out in notes A2 and A3.
Throughout the supplementary information the following terminology is used to distinguish between the terms 'MCEV', 'Group MCEV' and 'adjusted Group MCEV':
· MCEV is a measure of the consolidated value of shareholders' interests in the covered business and consists of the sum of the shareholders' adjusted net worth in respect of the covered business and the value of the in-force covered business.
· Group MCEV is a measure of the consolidated value of shareholders' interests in covered and non-covered business. Non-covered business is valued at the IFRS net asset value detailed in the primary financial statements adjusted to eliminate inter-company loans.
· The adjusted Group MCEV, a measure used by management to assess the shareholders' interest in the value of the Group, includes the impact of marking all debt to market value, the market value of the Group's listed banking subsidiary, marking the value of deferred consideration due in respect of Black Economic Empowerment arrangements in South Africa ('the BEE schemes') to market, as well as including the market value of excess own shares held in ESOP schemes.
Required capital is the market value of assets that is attributed to support the covered business, over and above that required to back statutory liabilities for covered business, whose distribution to shareholders is restricted. The following capital measures are considered in determining the required capital held for covered business so that it reflects the level of capital considered by the directors to be appropriate to manage the business:
· Economic capital;
· Regulatory capital (ie the level of solvency capital which the local regulators require);
· Capital required by rating agencies in respect of the North American business in order to maintain the desired credit rating; and
· Any other required capital definition to meet internal management objectives.
Economic capital for the covered business is based upon Old Mutual's own internal assessment of risks inherent in the underlying business. It measures capital requirements on an economic statement of financial position, with MCEV as the available capital, consistent with a 99.93% confidence level over a one-year time horizon.
The table below shows the level of required capital expressed as a percentage of the minimum local regulatory capital requirements.
|
£m |
||||||||
|
At 30 June 2010 |
At 30 June 2009 |
At 31 December 2009 |
||||||
|
Required capital (a) |
Regulatory capital (b) |
Ratio (a/b) |
Required capital (a) |
Regulatory capital (b) |
Ratio (a/b) |
Required capital (a) |
Regulatory capital (b) |
Ratio (a/b) |
Emerging Markets |
1,318 |
1,011 |
1.3 |
1,110 |
852 |
1.3 |
1,225 |
930 |
1.3 |
Nordic |
109 |
95 |
1.1 |
120 |
71 |
1.7 |
104 |
92 |
1.1 |
Retail Europe* |
38 |
52 |
0.7 |
57 |
43 |
1.3 |
32 |
52 |
0.6 |
Wealth Management** |
215 |
142 |
1.5 |
213 |
131 |
1.6 |
213 |
143 |
1.5 |
US Life |
491 |
204 |
2.4 |
523 |
210 |
2.5 |
462 |
193 |
2.4 |
Bermuda*** |
341 |
- |
n/a |
279 |
- |
n/a |
363 |
- |
n/a |
Total |
2,512 |
1,504 |
1.7 |
2,302 |
1,307 |
1.8 |
2,399 |
1,410 |
1.7 |
* Local regulators within many of the Retail Europe countries allow intangible assets to be included as admissible regulatory capital. In such cases the required capital reported for MCEV is net of these items, although each of the countries continues to be sufficiently capitalised on the local solvency basis. Skandia Leben in Germany is permitted under local regulations to include the unallocated policyholder profit sharing liability as admissible capital.
** The regulatory capital requirement for Wealth Management has been restated at 30 June 2009 and 31 December 2009 to exclude the impact of a policyholder tax credit in Italy, which may be used to offset the capital requirement.
*** The Bermudan regulator allows intangible assets to be included as admissible regulatory capital.
The cost of residual non-hedgeable risks ('CNHR') is calculated using a cost of capital approach, ie it is determined as the present value of capital charges for all future non-hedgeable risk capital requirements until the liabilities have run off. The capital charge in each year is the product of the projected expected non-hedgeable risk capital held after allowance for some diversification benefits and the cost of capital charge.
The table below shows the amounts of diversified economic capital held in respect of residual non-hedgeable risks.
Capital held in respect of non-hedgeable risks |
£m |
||
|
At |
At |
At |
Emerging Markets |
643 |
503 |
606 |
Nordic |
315 |
295 |
333 |
Retail Europe |
128 |
150 |
143 |
Wealth Management* |
553 |
562 |
563 |
US Life |
703 |
549 |
661 |
Bermuda** |
285 |
510 |
619 |
Total |
2,627 |
2,569 |
2,925 |
* The capital held in respect of non-hedgeable risks for Weath Management at 31 December 2009 has been restated from £640 million to £563 million due to calculation refinements.
** The capital held in respect of non-hedgeable risks for Bermuda has reduced from 31 December 2009 to 30 June 2010 as a result of the change in the allowance for hedging basis risk, that is now made in the determination of reserves for guaranteed benefits, as well as other calculation refinements.
A weighted average cost of capital charge of 2.0% has been applied to residual non-hedgeable capital at a business unit level over the life of the contracts. This translates into an equivalent cost of capital charge of approximately 2.7% being applied to the Group diversified capital required in respect of such non-hedgeable risks.
There is currently uncertainty around both the basis and effective date for possible taxation of fee income earned from fund managers by Swedish insurance companies and the expenses that can be relieved against such income. At present we continue to treat fee income from our Swedish unit-linked business as being exempt from corporation tax within our MCEV.
The Emergency Budget of 22 June 2010 announced a reduction in the UK corporation tax rate by 1% per year for four years from April 2011, ultimately bringing the corporation tax rate down to 24%. The MCEV results at 30 June 2010 have been calculated using an ongoing UK corporation tax rate of 28% and each reduction in the tax rate will be included in future results as and when they are enacted. The estimated positive impact on the value of in-force business ('VIF') in respect of Wealth Management at 30 June 2010, assuming that all the annual reductions in the tax rate will be enacted, is £17 million.
The management expenses attributable to life assurance business have been allocated to expenses relating to the acquisition of new business, maintenance of in-force business (including investment management expenses) and development projects.
Unallocated Group holding Company expenses have been included to the extent that they relate to the covered business. The table below shows the future expenses attributable to long-term business. The allocation of these expenses aligns to the proportion that the management expenses incurred by the business bears to the total management expenses incurred in the Group.
Group holding Company expenses attributable to long-term business |
% |
||
|
At |
At |
At |
Emerging Markets |
16 |
14 |
16 |
Nordic |
4 |
4 |
4 |
Retail Europe |
2 |
3 |
3 |
Wealth Management |
8 |
8 |
8 |
US Life |
- |
4 |
2 |
Bermuda |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
30 |
33 |
33 |
Risk free reference rates and inflation
A wide range of liquidity market data and literature was reviewed at 30 June 2010, such as the Barrie+Hibbert calibration of US corporate bond spreads using a structural Merton-style model applied to actual corporate bonds held in the portfolio and a comparison of the yields of similar durations on South African government bonds and bonds issued by state-owned enterprises. It is the directors' view that a significant proportion of corporate bond spreads at 30 June 2010 is attributable to liquidity premium allowances rather than credit and default allowances and that returns in excess of swap rates can be achieved, rather than entire corporate bond spreads being lost to worsening default experience. For the US Life business and OMLAC(SA)'s Retail Affluent Immediate Annuity business the currency, credit quality and duration of the actual corporate bond portfolios were considered and adjusted risk free reference rates were derived at 30 June 2010 by adding 75bps of liquidity premium for the US Life business (30 June 2009: 175bps; 31 December 2009: 100bps) and adding 50bps of liquidity premium for OMLAC(SA)'s Retail Affluent Immediate Annuity business (30 June 2009: 50bps; 31 December 2009: 50bps) to the swap rates used for setting investment return and discounting assumptions. These adjustments reflect the liquidity premium component in corporate bond spreads over swap rates that is expected to be earned on the portfolios. Old Mutual believes that the differences between market yields on US Life's and OMLAC(SA)'s Retail Affluent bond portfolios and the adjusted risk free reference rates still provide substantial implied margins for default.
The risk free reference spot yields (excluding any applicable liquidity adjustments) and expense inflation rates at various terms for each of the significant regions are provided in the table below. The risk free reference spot yield curve has been derived from mid swap rates at the reporting date.
Risk free reference spot yields (excluding any applicable liquidity adjustments) |
|
|
% |
|||
At 30 June 2010 |
GBP |
EUR |
USD |
ZAR |
SEK |
|
1 year |
0.9 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
6.7 |
1.3 |
|
5 years |
3.8 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
8.0 |
2.3 |
|
10 years |
4.4 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
8.6 |
3.1 |
|
20 years |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
8.2 |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 30 June 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
7.7 |
1.0 |
|
5 years |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
9.0 |
2.9 |
|
10 years |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
9.2 |
3.9 |
|
20 years |
2.9 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
7.9 |
4.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
0.9 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
7.3 |
0.8 |
|
5 years |
4.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
8.9 |
2.9 |
|
10 years |
4.8 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
9.2 |
3.7 |
|
20 years |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
8.2 |
4.1 |
|
Expense inflation |
|
|
|
|
% |
At 30 June 2010 |
GBP |
EUR |
USD |
ZAR |
SEK |
1 year |
3.3 |
1.0-3.3 |
3.0 |
6.2 |
1.5 |
5 years |
3.5 |
1.0-3.3 |
3.0 |
6.3 |
2.3 |
10 years |
4.0 |
1.0-3.3 |
3.0 |
6.7 |
2.6 |
20 years |
4.5 |
1.0-3.3 |
3.0 |
6.4 |
2.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 30 June 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
0.1 |
2.3-3.0 |
3.0 |
5.9 |
1.3 |
5 years |
1.9 |
2.3-3.0 |
3.0 |
7.2 |
2.5 |
10 years |
2.9 |
2.3-3.0 |
3.0 |
7.4 |
3.0 |
20 years |
4.2 |
2.3-3.0 |
3.0 |
6.2 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
3.3 |
2.5-3.0 |
3.0 |
6.4 |
1.1 |
5 years |
3.8 |
2.5-3.0 |
3.0 |
7.5 |
2.6 |
10 years |
4.4 |
2.5-3.0 |
3.0 |
7.7 |
2.8 |
20 years |
4.8 |
2.5-3.0 |
3.0 |
6.7 |
3.0 |
Volatilities
The at-the-money annualised asset volatility assumptions of the asset classes incorporated in the stochastic models are detailed below.
ZAR volatilities* |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
Option term |
1 year swap |
5 year swap |
10 year swap |
20 year swap |
Equity |
Property |
At 30 June 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
15.6 |
13.9 |
12.9 |
12.4 |
28.4 |
16.9 |
5 years |
14.5 |
13.7 |
13.2 |
12.8 |
26.3 |
14.8 |
10 years |
13.6 |
13.2 |
12.8 |
12.3 |
26.6 |
14.3 |
20 years |
12.8 |
12.2 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
26.9 |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 30 June 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
18.6 |
17.3 |
16.6 |
16.8 |
27.4 |
17.3 |
5 years |
18.5 |
17.6 |
17.3 |
17.3 |
26.3 |
15.7 |
10 years |
18.0 |
17.3 |
16.7 |
16.1 |
26.5 |
14.1 |
20 years |
16.4 |
15.7 |
15.1 |
14.0 |
27.4 |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
18.3 |
16.2 |
15.1 |
14.8 |
27.4 |
17.1 |
5 years |
16.9 |
15.8 |
15.3 |
15.1 |
25.5 |
14.8 |
10 years |
15.7 |
15.2 |
14.7 |
14.1 |
26.2 |
14.1 |
20 years |
14.5 |
13.8 |
13.1 |
12.0 |
27.0 |
14.2 |
* Due to limited liquidity in the ZAR swaption and equity option market, the market consistent asset model has been calibrated by extrapolating swaption and equity option implied volatility data beyond terms of 2 years and 3 years respectively.
USD volatilities |
|
|
|
% |
Option term |
1 year swap |
5 year swap |
10 year swap |
20 year swap |
At 30 June 2010 |
|
|
|
|
1 year |
71.0 |
39.6 |
32.3 |
27.2 |
5 years |
29.1 |
26.5 |
24.1 |
22.0 |
10 years |
23.3 |
21.4 |
20.5 |
18.7 |
20 years |
19.4 |
17.9 |
17.2 |
16.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
At 30 June 2009 |
|
|
|
|
1 year |
61.3 |
41.9 |
37.8 |
33.0 |
5 years |
27.8 |
26.5 |
25.0 |
22.4 |
10 years |
20.8 |
19.6 |
19.3 |
16.9 |
20 years |
16.1 |
15.6 |
15.0 |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
1 year |
62.3 |
36.8 |
30.1 |
25.9 |
5 years |
26.9 |
24.7 |
22.6 |
20.6 |
10 years |
18.6 |
18.3 |
17.9 |
16.3 |
20 years |
15.6 |
14.6 |
14.3 |
12.8 |
International equity volatilities (applicable to Old Mutual Bermuda)* |
% |
||||||||
Option term |
SPX |
RTY |
TPX |
HSCEI |
TWY |
KOSP12 |
NIFTY |
SX5E |
UKX |
At 30 June 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
29.0 |
37.2 |
29.1 |
31.0 |
24.3 |
23.1 |
21.9 |
29.7 |
27.3 |
5 years |
28.0 |
39.0 |
29.3 |
31.8 |
27.3 |
23.7 |
23.5 |
27.9 |
26.9 |
10 years |
28.0 |
39.0 |
29.3 |
31.8 |
27.3 |
23.7 |
23.5 |
27.9 |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 30 June 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
25.9 |
33.0 |
29.4 |
39.3 |
30.6 |
27.0 |
31.6 |
29.5 |
27.0 |
5 years |
26.5 |
36.1 |
27.5 |
36.4 |
30.0 |
26.8 |
29.0 |
27.7 |
26.5 |
10 years |
23.1 |
30.6 |
25.8 |
35.2 |
29.3 |
27.9 |
29.4 |
26.8 |
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
22.1 |
28.6 |
28.3 |
33.5 |
22.9 |
23.3 |
26.5 |
24.7 |
23.1 |
5 years |
24.4 |
32.9 |
29.4 |
34.2 |
26.4 |
24.2 |
26.4 |
25.4 |
24.1 |
10 years |
25.0 |
32.6 |
29.0 |
37.4 |
27.5 |
30.0 |
31.2 |
27.4 |
25.9 |
International equity volatilities (applicable to Old Mutual Bermuda)* |
% |
||||
Option term |
EEM |
USAgg |
EUAgg |
APAgg |
|
At 30 June 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
35.2 |
5.5 |
13.0 |
12.6 |
|
5 years |
32.4 |
5.5 |
13.0 |
12.6 |
|
10 years |
32.4 |
5.5 |
13.0 |
12.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 30 June 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
35.5 |
4.5 |
11.5 |
10.8 |
|
5 years |
32.8 |
4.5 |
11.5 |
10.8 |
|
10 years |
35.9 |
4.5 |
11.5 |
10.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 year |
31.6 |
4.5 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
|
5 years |
30.8 |
4.5 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
|
10 years |
36.7 |
4.5 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
|
* In prior reporting periods, the volatilities disclosed for Bermuda were on a 1-year forward basis for most indices. The assumptions at 30 June 2010, as well as the comparatives for prior reporting periods, are now shown as the annualised volatilities applicable over the entire option term specified, consistent with the disclosure of volatilities for other regions. These volatilities, as represented by their Bloomberg codes, refer to price indices. Due to ongoing enhancements in the fund mapping process, the indices referenced may vary from period to period.
Tax
The weighted average effective tax rates that apply to the cash flow projections at 30 June 2010 are set out below:
· OMLAC(SA) - 34% (30 June 2009: 31%; 31 December 2009: 33%)
· Namibia - 0% (30 June 2009: 0%; 31 December 2009: 0%)
· Nordic - 0% (30 June 2009: 0%; 31 December 2009: 4%)
· Retail Europe - 27% (30 June 2009: 29%; 31 December 2009: 28%)
· Wealth Management - 13% (30 June 2009: 18%; 31 December 2009: 13%)
· US Life* - 0% (30 June 2009: 0%; 31 December 2009: 0%)*
· Bermuda* - 0% (30 June 2009: 0%; 31 December 2009: 0%)*
* The weighted average effective tax rates for US Life and Bermuda at 31 December 2009 have been restated to 0% from 5% and 10% respectively due to a calculation correction.
|
|
£m |
|
|
At 30 June 2010 |
At 30 June 2009 |
At |
MCEV of the covered business |
6,174 |
5,356 |
6,027 |
Adjusted net worth* |
2,966 |
2,615 |
2,815 |
Value of in-force business |
3,208 |
2,741 |
3,212 |
Adjusted net worth of the asset management businesses |
1,968 |
1,712 |
1,716 |
Emerging Markets |
250 |
290 |
216 |
Nordic** |
32 |
(130) |
(75) |
Retail Europe |
13 |
11 |
12 |
Wealth Management |
157 |
226 |
152 |
US Asset Management |
1,516 |
1,315 |
1,411 |
Value of the banking business |
2,998 |
2,208 |
2,948 |
Nordic (adjusted net worth) |
292 |
259 |
314 |
Nedbank (market value) |
2,706 |
1,949 |
2,634 |
Value of the general insurance business |
|
|
|
Mutual & Federal*** |
321 |
272 |
448 |
Net other business |
(88) |
(235) |
123 |
Adjustment for present value of Black Economic Empowerment scheme deferred consideration |
241 |
194 |
221 |
Adjustment for value of own shares in ESOP schemes**** |
73 |
57 |
71 |
Perpetual preferred securities (US$ denominated) |
(435) |
(292) |
(385) |
Perpetual preferred callable securities |
(487) |
(273) |
(477) |
GBP denominated |
(236) |
(125) |
(224) |
Euro denominated |
(251) |
(148) |
(253) |
Debt |
(1,697) |
(1,410) |
(1,664) |
Rand denominated |
(309) |
(213) |
(290) |
USD denominated |
(323) |
(248) |
(338) |
GBP denominated |
(790) |
(653) |
(759) |
SEK denominated |
(273) |
(190) |
(256) |
Euro denominated |
(2) |
(106) |
(21) |
|
|
|
|
Adjusted Group MCEV |
9,068 |
7,589 |
9,028 |
* Adjusted net worth is after the elimination of inter-company loans.
** Includes the adjusted net worth of Nordic holding companies that are classified as non-covered business, net of the holding companies investment in Group subsidiaries.
*** Reflected at IFRS net asset value at 30 June 2010 and at market value for 30 June 2009 and 30 December 2009 as a result of the acquisition of the remaining non-controlling interest in Mutual & Federal.
**** Includes adjustment for value of excess own shares in employee share scheme trusts. The movement in value between 31 December 2009 and 30 June 2010 is the net effect of the decrease in the Old Mutual plc share price, the reduction in excess own shares following employee share grants in March 2010 and the reduction in overall shares held due to exercises of rights to take delivery of, or net settle, share grants during the financial period.
|
|
£m |
|
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
Adjusted operating MCEV earnings before tax for the covered business |
528 |
594 |
562 |
Long Term Savings |
498 |
488 |
554 |
Emerging Markets |
182 |
151 |
272 |
Nordic |
79 |
42 |
78 |
Retail Europe |
31 |
(17) |
(58) |
Wealth Management |
77 |
15 |
(40) |
US Life |
129 |
297 |
302 |
Bermuda |
30 |
106 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings for the covered business |
(76) |
(107) |
(70) |
Long Term Savings |
(76) |
(79) |
(43) |
Emerging Markets |
(38) |
(41) |
(60) |
Nordic |
(16) |
- |
3 |
Retail Europe |
(7) |
2 |
14 |
Wealth Management |
(13) |
(2) |
36 |
US Life |
(2) |
(38) |
(36) |
Bermuda |
- |
(28) |
(27) |
|
|
|
|
Adjusted operating MCEV earnings after tax for the covered business |
452 |
487 |
492 |
Long Term Savings |
422 |
409 |
511 |
Emerging Markets |
144 |
110 |
212 |
Nordic |
63 |
42 |
81 |
Retail Europe |
24 |
(15) |
(44) |
Wealth Management |
64 |
13 |
(4) |
US Life |
127 |
259 |
266 |
Bermuda |
30 |
78 |
(19) |
|
|
|
|
Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings comprises |
|
|
|
Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings for the covered business |
(76) |
(107) |
(70) |
Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings for other business |
(79) |
(76) |
(139) |
Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings |
(155) |
(183) |
(209) |
|
|
£m |
|
|
At |
At |
At |
MCEV of the covered business |
6,174 |
5,356 |
6,027 |
Adjusted net worth |
2,966 |
2,615 |
2,815 |
Value of in-force business |
3,208 |
2,741 |
3,212 |
Long Term Savings |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
2,625 |
2,336 |
2,452 |
Free surplus |
454 |
313 |
416 |
Required capital |
2,171 |
2,023 |
2,036 |
Value of in-force business |
3,381 |
2,924 |
3,377 |
Present value of future profits |
4,192 |
3,573 |
4,156 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
(239) |
(112) |
(220) |
Frictional costs |
(232) |
(194) |
(217) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(340) |
(343) |
(342) |
Emerging Markets |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
1,415 |
1,170 |
1,305 |
Free surplus |
97 |
60 |
80 |
Required capital |
1,318 |
1,110 |
1,225 |
Value of in-force business |
1,231 |
1,054 |
1,158 |
Present value of future profits |
1,525 |
1,302 |
1,424 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
- |
- |
- |
Frictional costs |
(204) |
(156) |
(181) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(90) |
(92) |
(85) |
Nordic |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
143 |
180 |
195 |
Free surplus |
34 |
60 |
91 |
Required capital |
109 |
120 |
104 |
Value of in-force business |
1,154 |
917 |
1,114 |
Present value of future profits |
1,210 |
992 |
1,196 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
- |
- |
- |
Frictional costs |
(5) |
(9) |
(11) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(51) |
(66) |
(71) |
Retail Europe |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
84 |
95 |
78 |
Free surplus |
46 |
38 |
46 |
Required capital |
38 |
57 |
32 |
Value of in-force business |
451 |
441 |
453 |
Present value of future profits |
504 |
505 |
507 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
(10) |
(5) |
(6) |
Frictional costs |
(6) |
(12) |
(7) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(37) |
(47) |
(41) |
|
|
£m |
|
|
At |
At |
At |
Wealth management |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
389 |
341 |
376 |
Free surplus |
174 |
128 |
163 |
Required capital |
215 |
213 |
213 |
Value of in-force business |
1,526 |
1,358 |
1,468 |
Present value of future profits |
1,601 |
1,438 |
1,540 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
(1) |
(1) |
(1) |
Frictional costs |
(8) |
(14) |
(12) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(66) |
(65) |
(59) |
US Life |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
594 |
550 |
498 |
Free surplus |
103 |
27 |
36 |
Required capital |
491 |
523 |
462 |
Value of in-force business |
(981) |
(846) |
(816) |
Present value of future profits |
(648) |
(664) |
(511) |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
(228) |
(106) |
(213) |
Frictional costs |
(9) |
(3) |
(6) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(96) |
(73) |
(86) |
Bermuda |
|
|
|
Adjusted net worth |
341 |
279 |
363 |
Free surplus |
- |
- |
- |
Required capital |
341 |
279 |
363 |
Value of in-force business |
(173) |
(183) |
(165) |
Present value of future profits |
77 |
(92) |
99 |
Additional time value of financial options and guarantees |
(217) |
(15) |
(196) |
Frictional costs |
(3) |
(5) |
(4) |
Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks |
(30) |
(71) |
(64) |
|
|
|
|
Total covered business |
£m |
|||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
Opening MCEV |
416 |
2,399 |
2,815 |
3,212 |
6,027 |
|
New business value |
(263) |
124 |
(139) |
231 |
92 |
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
8 |
43 |
51 |
94 |
145 |
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
14 |
14 |
81 |
95 |
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
482 |
(151) |
331 |
(331) |
- |
|
Experience variances |
54 |
7 |
61 |
47 |
108 |
|
Assumption changes |
2 |
2 |
4 |
(4) |
- |
|
Other operating variance |
27 |
(39) |
(12) |
24 |
12 |
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
310 |
- |
310 |
142 |
452 |
|
Economic variances |
(105) |
8 |
(97) |
(67) |
(164) |
|
Other non-operating variance |
(1) |
- |
(1) |
1 |
- |
|
Total MCEV earnings |
204 |
8 |
212 |
76 |
288 |
|
Closing adjustments |
(166) |
105 |
(61) |
(80) |
(141) |
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(165) |
(6) |
(171) |
(1) |
(172) |
|
Foreign exchange variance |
(1) |
111 |
110 |
(79) |
31 |
|
MCEV of acquired/sold business |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Closing MCEV |
454 |
2,512 |
2,966 |
3,208 |
6,174 |
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
14.8% |
|
Return on MCEV for total covered business is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
|
£m |
||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
358 |
2,025 |
2,383 |
1,800 |
4,183 |
358 |
2,025 |
2,383 |
1,800 |
4,183 |
(254) |
80 |
(174) |
244 |
70 |
(473) |
170 |
(303) |
470 |
167 |
6 |
55 |
61 |
58 |
119 |
7 |
114 |
121 |
142 |
263 |
25 |
2 |
27 |
199 |
226 |
32 |
6 |
38 |
355 |
393 |
379 |
(90) |
289 |
(289) |
- |
813 |
(244) |
569 |
(569) |
- |
(11) |
5 |
(6) |
(76) |
(82) |
54 |
(111) |
(57) |
(120) |
(177) |
2 |
- |
2 |
24 |
26 |
(3) |
(22) |
(25) |
(258) |
(283) |
(217) |
240 |
23 |
105 |
128 |
(191) |
301 |
110 |
19 |
129 |
(70) |
292 |
222 |
265 |
487 |
239 |
214 |
453 |
39 |
492 |
(112) |
32 |
(80) |
632 |
552 |
(29) |
93 |
64 |
940 |
1,004 |
24 |
(6) |
18 |
(1) |
17 |
39 |
(20) |
19 |
168 |
187 |
(158) |
318 |
160 |
896 |
1,056 |
249 |
287 |
536 |
1,147 |
1,683 |
113 |
(41) |
72 |
45 |
117 |
(191) |
87 |
(104) |
265 |
161 |
110 |
- |
110 |
- |
110 |
(189) |
(1) |
(190) |
- |
(190) |
(21) |
(36) |
(57) |
70 |
13 |
(15) |
85 |
70 |
289 |
359 |
24 |
(5) |
19 |
(25) |
(6) |
13 |
3 |
16 |
(24) |
(8) |
313 |
2,302 |
2,615 |
2,741 |
5,356 |
416 |
2,399 |
2,815 |
3,212 |
6,027 |
|
|
|
|
19.6% |
|
|
|
|
11.8% |
|
£m |
||||||
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
|
Opening MCEV |
416 |
2,036 |
2,452 |
3,377 |
5,829 |
|
|
New business value |
(263) |
124 |
(139) |
231 |
92 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
8 |
42 |
50 |
89 |
139 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
(2) |
(2) |
65 |
63 |
|
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
476 |
(129) |
347 |
(347) |
- |
|
|
Experience variances |
62 |
7 |
69 |
66 |
135 |
|
|
Assumption changes |
- |
2 |
2 |
(4) |
(2) |
|
|
Other operating variance |
(43) |
5 |
(38) |
33 |
(5) |
|
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
240 |
49 |
289 |
133 |
422 |
|
|
Economic variances |
(35) |
8 |
(27) |
(62) |
(89) |
|
|
Other non-operating variance |
(1) |
- |
(1) |
1 |
- |
|
|
Total MCEV earnings |
204 |
57 |
261 |
72 |
333 |
|
|
Closing adjustments |
(166) |
78 |
(88) |
(68) |
(156) |
|
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(165) |
(6) |
(171) |
(1) |
(172) |
|
|
Foreign exchange variance |
(1) |
84 |
83 |
(67) |
16 |
|
|
MCEV of acquired/sold business |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Closing MCEV |
454 |
2,171 |
2,625 |
3,381 |
6,006 |
|
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
14.6% |
|
|
Return on MCEV is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
16 |
1,991 |
2,007 |
2,225 |
4,232 |
16 |
1,991 |
2,007 |
2,225 |
4,232 |
(254) |
80 |
(174) |
244 |
70 |
(473) |
170 |
(303) |
470 |
167 |
3 |
55 |
58 |
61 |
119 |
2 |
113 |
115 |
146 |
261 |
4 |
2 |
6 |
178 |
184 |
(1) |
6 |
5 |
316 |
321 |
385 |
(88) |
297 |
(297) |
- |
818 |
(240) |
578 |
(578) |
- |
14 |
5 |
19 |
(68) |
(49) |
126 |
(111) |
15 |
(99) |
(84) |
2 |
- |
2 |
24 |
26 |
33 |
(22) |
11 |
(212) |
(201) |
58 |
(35) |
23 |
36 |
59 |
154 |
(44) |
110 |
(63) |
47 |
212 |
19 |
231 |
178 |
409 |
659 |
(128) |
531 |
(20) |
511 |
(61) |
32 |
(29) |
505 |
476 |
(131) |
93 |
(38) |
773 |
735 |
24 |
(6) |
18 |
(1) |
17 |
39 |
(20) |
19 |
168 |
187 |
175 |
45 |
220 |
682 |
902 |
567 |
(55) |
512 |
921 |
1,433 |
122 |
(13) |
109 |
17 |
126 |
(167) |
100 |
(67) |
231 |
164 |
110 |
- |
110 |
- |
110 |
(189) |
(1) |
(190) |
- |
(190) |
(12) |
(8) |
(20) |
42 |
22 |
9 |
98 |
107 |
255 |
362 |
24 |
(5) |
19 |
(25) |
(6) |
13 |
3 |
16 |
(24) |
(8) |
313 |
2,023 |
2,336 |
2,924 |
5,260 |
416 |
2,036 |
2,452 |
3,377 |
5,829 |
|
|
|
|
17.3% |
|
|
|
|
12.1% |
|
£m |
|||||
Emerging Markets* |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
Opening MCEV |
80 |
1,225 |
1,305 |
1,158 |
2,463 |
|
New business value |
(74) |
59 |
(15) |
53 |
38 |
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
4 |
35 |
39 |
59 |
98 |
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
(2) |
(2) |
8 |
6 |
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
183 |
(83) |
100 |
(100) |
- |
|
Experience variances |
4 |
13 |
17 |
2 |
19 |
|
Assumption changes |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Other operating variance |
1 |
- |
1 |
(18) |
(17) |
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
118 |
22 |
140 |
4 |
144 |
|
Economic variances |
(45) |
22 |
(23) |
22 |
(1) |
|
Other non-operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Total MCEV earnings |
73 |
44 |
117 |
26 |
143 |
|
Closing adjustments |
(56) |
49 |
(7) |
47 |
40 |
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(61) |
- |
(61) |
- |
(61) |
|
Foreign exchange variance |
5 |
49 |
54 |
47 |
101 |
|
MCEV of acquired/sold business |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Closing MCEV |
97 |
1,318 |
1,415 |
1,231 |
2,646 |
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
11.9% |
|
* The MCEV for Emerging Markets is presented after the adjustment for market value of life fund investments in Group equity and debt instruments.
The positive experience variances are mainly attributable to favourable persistency experience, as well as smaller positive contributions from expense and mortality experience.
The negative other operating variance was caused by various methodology changes and error corrections.
The small impact from economic variances was a combination of large negative investment variances, mainly caused by a decline in equity markets over the first half of 2010, and a positive effect from economic assumptions changes, mainly caused by the change in the shape of the swap yield curve.
The capital and dividend flows mainly consist of the purchase of additional Nedbank shares.
Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in rand (including conversion of results for Mexico to rand). The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
(92) |
1,075 |
983 |
1,090 |
2,073 |
(92) |
1,075 |
983 |
1,090 |
2,073 |
(52) |
40 |
(12) |
35 |
23 |
(136) |
110 |
(26) |
91 |
65 |
(3) |
39 |
36 |
61 |
97 |
(7) |
85 |
78 |
129 |
207 |
- |
2 |
2 |
7 |
9 |
- |
5 |
5 |
16 |
21 |
151 |
(70) |
81 |
(81) |
- |
314 |
(146) |
168 |
(168) |
- |
(1) |
(15) |
(16) |
(22) |
(38) |
(9) |
(9) |
(18) |
(35) |
(53) |
2 |
- |
2 |
(1) |
1 |
40 |
(29) |
11 |
(90) |
(79) |
57 |
(35) |
22 |
(4) |
18 |
46 |
(27) |
19 |
32 |
51 |
154 |
(39) |
115 |
(5) |
110 |
248 |
(11) |
237 |
(25) |
212 |
14 |
1 |
15 |
(81) |
(66) |
54 |
1 |
55 |
(39) |
16 |
(1) |
- |
(1) |
- |
(1) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
167 |
(38) |
129 |
(86) |
43 |
302 |
(10) |
292 |
(64) |
228 |
(15) |
73 |
58 |
50 |
108 |
(130) |
160 |
30 |
132 |
162 |
(44) |
- |
(44) |
- |
(44) |
(146) |
(3) |
(149) |
- |
(149) |
5 |
78 |
83 |
75 |
158 |
3 |
160 |
163 |
156 |
319 |
24 |
(5) |
19 |
(25) |
(6) |
13 |
3 |
16 |
(24) |
(8) |
60 |
1,110 |
1,170 |
1,054 |
2,224 |
80 |
1,225 |
1,305 |
1,158 |
2,463 |
|
|
|
|
9.7% |
|
|
|
|
9.8% |
|
£m |
||||||
Nordic |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
|
Opening MCEV |
91 |
104 |
195 |
1,114 |
1,309 |
|
|
New business value |
(24) |
3 |
(21) |
46 |
25 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
1 |
- |
1 |
8 |
9 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
- |
- |
13 |
13 |
|
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
55 |
(4) |
51 |
(51) |
- |
|
|
Experience variances |
10 |
6 |
16 |
1 |
17 |
|
|
Assumption changes |
- |
- |
- |
(4) |
(4) |
|
|
Other operating variance |
(39) |
- |
(39) |
42 |
3 |
|
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
3 |
5 |
8 |
55 |
63 |
|
|
Economic variances |
5 |
- |
5 |
(2) |
3 |
|
|
Other non-operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Total MCEV earnings |
8 |
5 |
13 |
53 |
66 |
|
|
Closing adjustments |
(65) |
- |
(65) |
(13) |
(78) |
|
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(59) |
- |
(59) |
- |
(59) |
|
|
Foreign exchange variance |
(6) |
- |
(6) |
(13) |
(19) |
|
|
Closing MCEV |
34 |
109 |
143 |
1,154 |
1,297 |
|
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
9.5% |
|
|
The positive experience variances were largely caused by profit made on the sale of a private equity investment and higher than expected fee income. There were no one-off expense variances.
Operating assumption changes were made to recognise adjustments to pricing on the Waiver of Premium business.
The other operating variance was mainly due to modelling corrections related to the cost of non-hedgeable risk and modelling refinements to deferred tax assets.
The economic variances were mainly due to the positive effect of market movements on funds under management.
The capital and dividend flows mainly represent dividends, repayment of loans, internal re-classification and capital injections.
Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in Swedish krona. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
58 |
105 |
163 |
882 |
1,045 |
58 |
105 |
163 |
882 |
1,045 |
(28) |
3 |
(25) |
46 |
21 |
(57) |
6 |
(51) |
95 |
44 |
1 |
- |
1 |
9 |
10 |
4 |
- |
4 |
18 |
22 |
- |
- |
- |
7 |
7 |
- |
- |
- |
14 |
14 |
14 |
17 |
31 |
(31) |
- |
81 |
(17) |
64 |
(64) |
- |
13 |
(2) |
11 |
2 |
13 |
28 |
(7) |
21 |
10 |
31 |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
3 |
- |
3 |
(30) |
(27) |
- |
- |
- |
(10) |
(10) |
- |
- |
- |
(3) |
(3) |
- |
18 |
18 |
24 |
42 |
59 |
(18) |
41 |
40 |
81 |
(7) |
8 |
1 |
102 |
103 |
(5) |
17 |
12 |
192 |
204 |
21 |
- |
21 |
1 |
22 |
18 |
- |
18 |
1 |
19 |
14 |
26 |
40 |
127 |
167 |
72 |
(1) |
71 |
233 |
304 |
(12) |
(11) |
(23) |
(92) |
(115) |
(39) |
- |
(39) |
(1) |
(40) |
(6) |
- |
(6) |
- |
(6) |
(37) |
- |
(37) |
- |
(37) |
(6) |
(11) |
(17) |
(92) |
(109) |
(2) |
- |
(2) |
(1) |
(3) |
60 |
120 |
180 |
917 |
1,097 |
91 |
104 |
195 |
1,114 |
1,309 |
|
|
|
|
9.4% |
|
|
|
|
8.1% |
|
£m |
||||||
Retail Europe |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
|
Opening MCEV |
46 |
32 |
78 |
453 |
531 |
|
|
New business value |
(33) |
- |
(33) |
35 |
2 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
- |
- |
- |
5 |
5 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
51 |
1 |
52 |
(52) |
- |
|
|
Experience variances |
(6) |
1 |
(5) |
- |
(5) |
|
|
Assumption changes |
2 |
- |
2 |
(2) |
- |
|
|
Other operating variance |
(5) |
5 |
- |
20 |
20 |
|
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
9 |
7 |
16 |
8 |
24 |
|
|
Economic variances |
1 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
13 |
|
|
Other non-operating variance |
(1) |
- |
(1) |
1 |
- |
|
|
Total MCEV earnings |
9 |
8 |
17 |
20 |
37 |
|
|
Closing adjustments |
(9) |
(2) |
(11) |
(22) |
(33) |
|
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(7) |
- |
(7) |
- |
(7) |
|
|
Foreign exchange variance |
(2) |
(2) |
(4) |
(22) |
(26) |
|
|
Closing MCEV |
46 |
38 |
84 |
451 |
535 |
|
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
5.1% |
|
|
The 'expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)' is not significant. This is reasonable for business comprised mostly of unit-linked products where most of the profits emanate from premium charges, acquisition charges and fund based fees. Such fees and charges are largely captured in the 'expected existing business contribution (reference rate)'.
Experience variances were mainly due to higher than anticipated profit sharing on participating contracts in Germany, partly offset by positive mortality and morbidity experience and higher than expected fee income across all Retail Europe countries. There were no one-off expense variances.
There were no material operating assumption changes.
The other operating variance was mainly due to enhanced modelling of the Waiver of Premium business in Switzerland.
The economic variances were mainly due to the positive effect of market movements on funds under management as well as the beneficial impact of lower swap rates across the region.
There were no material other non-operating variances.
The capital and dividend flows mainly represent dividends, repayment of loans and capital injections.
Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in euro. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
15 |
64 |
79 |
517 |
596 |
15 |
64 |
79 |
517 |
596 |
(37) |
1 |
(36) |
33 |
(3) |
(74) |
1 |
(73) |
68 |
(5) |
1 |
- |
1 |
5 |
6 |
1 |
- |
1 |
10 |
11 |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
3 |
3 |
53 |
- |
53 |
(53) |
0 |
97 |
7 |
104 |
(104) |
- |
(8) |
1 |
(7) |
(2) |
(9) |
(20) |
1 |
(19) |
(4) |
(23) |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(26) |
(26) |
- |
- |
- |
(10) |
(10) |
18 |
(19) |
(1) |
(3) |
(4) |
9 |
2 |
11 |
(26) |
(15) |
22 |
(10) |
12 |
(56) |
(44) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
13 |
(1) |
4 |
3 |
26 |
29 |
1 |
(3) |
(2) |
- |
(2) |
20 |
(20) |
- |
3 |
3 |
11 |
- |
11 |
(15) |
(4) |
41 |
(26) |
15 |
(27) |
(12) |
12 |
(7) |
5 |
(61) |
(56) |
(10) |
(6) |
(16) |
(37) |
(53) |
17 |
- |
17 |
- |
17 |
(10) |
(3) |
(13) |
- |
(13) |
(5) |
(7) |
(12) |
(61) |
(73) |
- |
(3) |
(3) |
(37) |
(40) |
38 |
57 |
95 |
441 |
536 |
46 |
32 |
78 |
453 |
531 |
|
|
|
|
(3.6)% |
|
|
|
|
(7.9)% |
|
£m |
||||||
Wealth Management |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
|
Opening MCEV |
163 |
213 |
376 |
1,468 |
1,844 |
|
|
New business value |
(96) |
14 |
(82) |
113 |
31 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
3 |
3 |
6 |
11 |
17 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
- |
- |
6 |
6 |
|
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
146 |
(20) |
126 |
(126) |
- |
|
|
Experience variances |
(26) |
11 |
(15) |
20 |
5 |
|
|
Assumption changes |
(2) |
2 |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Other operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
5 |
5 |
|
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
25 |
10 |
35 |
29 |
64 |
|
|
Economic variances |
19 |
(3) |
16 |
42 |
58 |
|
|
Other non-operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Total MCEV earnings |
44 |
7 |
51 |
71 |
122 |
|
|
Closing adjustments |
(33) |
(5) |
(38) |
(13) |
(51) |
|
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(30) |
(6) |
(36) |
(1) |
(37) |
|
|
Foreign exchange variance |
(3) |
1 |
(2) |
(12) |
(14) |
|
|
Closing MCEV |
174 |
215 |
389 |
1,526 |
1,915 |
|
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
6.7% |
|
|
The 'expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)' is not significant. This is reasonable for business comprised mostly of unit-linked products where most of the profits emanate from premium charges, acquisition charges and fund based fees. Such fees and charges are largely captured in the 'expected existing business contribution (reference rate)'.
Experience variances were caused by positive persistency experience and higher than expected fee income across all divisions, partly offset by adverse expense experience.
There were no material operating assumption changes.
The other operating variance was mainly due to the impact of modelling and methodology changes.
The economic variances were caused by lower swap yields and favourable exchange rate movements.
The capital and dividend flows mainly represent dividends, repayments of loans and capital injections.
Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
120 |
197 |
317 |
1,461 |
1,778 |
120 |
197 |
317 |
1,461 |
1,778 |
(103) |
3 |
(100) |
122 |
22 |
(171) |
12 |
(159) |
208 |
49 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
17 |
27 |
7 |
7 |
14 |
34 |
48 |
- |
- |
- |
13 |
13 |
(1) |
- |
(1) |
26 |
25 |
142 |
(6) |
136 |
(136) |
- |
274 |
(30) |
244 |
(244) |
- |
2 |
(4) |
(2) |
(43) |
(45) |
(10) |
7 |
(3) |
(35) |
(38) |
- |
- |
- |
11 |
11 |
(10) |
7 |
(3) |
(96) |
(99) |
1 |
- |
1 |
(16) |
(15) |
90 |
2 |
92 |
(81) |
11 |
47 |
(2) |
45 |
(32) |
13 |
179 |
5 |
184 |
(188) |
(4) |
(28) |
22 |
(6) |
(61) |
(67) |
2 |
12 |
14 |
38 |
52 |
3 |
(3) |
- |
(2) |
(2) |
1 |
- |
1 |
164 |
165 |
22 |
17 |
39 |
(95) |
(56) |
182 |
17 |
199 |
14 |
213 |
(14) |
(1) |
(15) |
(8) |
(23) |
(139) |
(1) |
(140) |
(7) |
(147) |
(9) |
- |
(9) |
- |
(9) |
(142) |
5 |
(137) |
- |
(137) |
(5) |
(1) |
(6) |
(8) |
(14) |
3 |
(6) |
(3) |
(7) |
(10) |
128 |
213 |
341 |
1,358 |
1,699 |
163 |
213 |
376 |
1,468 |
1,844 |
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
|
|
|
|
(0.3)% |
|
£m |
||||||
US Life |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
|
Opening MCEV |
36 |
462 |
498 |
(816) |
(318) |
|
|
New business value |
(36) |
48 |
12 |
(16) |
(4) |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
- |
4 |
4 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
- |
- |
36 |
36 |
|
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
41 |
(23) |
18 |
(18) |
- |
|
|
Experience variances |
80 |
(24) |
56 |
43 |
99 |
|
|
Assumption changes |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Other operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
(16) |
(16) |
|
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
85 |
5 |
90 |
37 |
127 |
|
|
Economic variances |
(15) |
(12) |
(27) |
(135) |
(162) |
|
|
Other non-operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
Total MCEV earnings |
70 |
(7) |
63 |
(98) |
(35) |
|
|
Closing adjustments |
(3) |
36 |
33 |
(67) |
(34) |
|
|
Capital and dividend flows |
(8) |
- |
(8) |
- |
(8) |
|
|
Foreign exchange variance |
5 |
36 |
41 |
(67) |
(26) |
|
|
Closing MCEV |
103 |
491 |
594 |
(981) |
(387) |
|
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
79.7% |
|
|
The results for US Life include allowance for Old Mutual Reassurance (Ireland) Limited (OMRe), which provides reinsurance to the United States Life Companies.
The 'expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)' is calculated using the corporate bond spread that is expected to be earned over and above the adjusted risk free reference rate (inclusive of the liquidity premium adjustment). The expected existing business contribution for US Life is weighted towards the latter half of each reporting period because product crediting rates are set in advance of the reporting period and therefore there is less flexibility to improve earnings by varying crediting rates in the first half of the reporting period than in the second half.
The experience variances were largely caused by positive persistency experience. There were no material experience variance items that were one-off in nature.
There were no material operating assumption changes.
The other operating variance was mainly due to modelling changes and error corrections.
The economic variances were mainly due to the reduction in the assumed liquidity premium from 100bps to 75bps and an increase in interest rate volatilities, partially offset by gains in the underlying investment portfolio.
The capital and dividend flows reflect interest payments on the capital injection made in 2009.
Return on MCEV was calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by the absolute value of the opening MCEV in US dollars. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
(85) |
550 |
465 |
(1,725) |
(1,260) |
(85) |
550 |
465 |
(1,725) |
(1,260) |
(34) |
33 |
(1) |
8 |
7 |
(35) |
41 |
6 |
8 |
14 |
(1) |
11 |
10 |
(31) |
(21) |
(3) |
21 |
18 |
(45) |
(27) |
4 |
- |
4 |
150 |
154 |
- |
1 |
1 |
257 |
258 |
25 |
(29) |
(4) |
4 |
- |
52 |
(54) |
(2) |
2 |
- |
8 |
25 |
33 |
(3) |
30 |
137 |
(103) |
34 |
(35) |
(1) |
- |
- |
- |
13 |
13 |
- |
- |
- |
30 |
30 |
- |
- |
- |
76 |
76 |
- |
- |
- |
(8) |
(8) |
2 |
40 |
42 |
217 |
259 |
151 |
(94) |
57 |
209 |
266 |
(41) |
- |
(41) |
534 |
493 |
(181) |
59 |
(122) |
556 |
434 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(39) |
40 |
1 |
751 |
752 |
(30) |
(35) |
(65) |
765 |
700 |
151 |
(67) |
84 |
128 |
212 |
151 |
(53) |
98 |
144 |
242 |
152 |
- |
152 |
- |
152 |
146 |
- |
146 |
- |
146 |
(1) |
(67) |
(68) |
128 |
60 |
5 |
(53) |
(48) |
144 |
96 |
27 |
523 |
550 |
(846) |
(296) |
36 |
462 |
498 |
(816) |
(318) |
|
|
|
|
34.9% |
|
|
|
|
22.7% |
|
£m |
|||||
Bermuda |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|||||
|
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
|
Opening MCEV |
- |
363 |
363 |
(165) |
198 |
|
New business value |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Expected existing business contribution (reference rate) |
- |
1 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
|
Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) |
- |
16 |
16 |
16 |
32 |
|
Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus |
6 |
(22) |
(16) |
16 |
- |
|
Experience variances |
(8) |
- |
(8) |
(19) |
(27) |
|
Assumption changes |
2 |
- |
2 |
- |
2 |
|
Other operating variance |
70 |
(44) |
26 |
(9) |
17 |
|
Operating MCEV earnings |
70 |
(49) |
21 |
9 |
30 |
|
Economic variances |
(70) |
- |
(70) |
(5) |
(75) |
|
Other non-operating variance |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Total MCEV earnings |
- |
(49) |
(49) |
4 |
(45) |
|
Closing adjustments |
- |
27 |
27 |
(12) |
15 |
|
Capital and dividend flows |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Foreign exchange variance |
- |
27 |
27 |
(12) |
15 |
|
Closing MCEV |
- |
341 |
341 |
(173) |
168 |
|
Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum |
|
|
|
|
19.5% |
|
The experience variances include adverse persistency experience, with less surrenders than expected on Variable Annuity contracts with heavily in-the-money guarantees. There were no material experience variance items that were one-off in nature.
There were no material operating assumption changes.
The other operating variance was mainly due to modelling changes and error corrections.
The economic variances were largely due to the adverse equity market performances during the reporting period and the decrease in the US swap yield curve.
Return on MCEV was calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by the absolute value of the opening MCEV in US dollars. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.
£m |
|||||||||
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||||||||
Free surplus |
Required Capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
Free surplus |
Required capital |
Adjusted net worth |
Value of in-force |
MCEV |
342 |
34 |
376 |
(425) |
(49) |
342 |
34 |
376 |
(425) |
(49) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3 |
- |
3 |
(3) |
- |
5 |
1 |
6 |
(4) |
2 |
21 |
- |
21 |
21 |
42 |
33 |
- |
33 |
39 |
72 |
(6) |
(2) |
(8) |
8 |
- |
(5) |
(4) |
(9) |
9 |
- |
(25) |
- |
(25) |
(8) |
(33) |
(72) |
- |
(72) |
(21) |
(93) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(36) |
- |
(36) |
(46) |
(82) |
(275) |
275 |
- |
69 |
69 |
(345) |
345 |
- |
82 |
82 |
(282) |
273 |
(9) |
87 |
78 |
(420) |
342 |
(78) |
59 |
(19) |
(51) |
- |
(51) |
127 |
76 |
102 |
- |
102 |
167 |
269 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(333) |
273 |
(60) |
214 |
154 |
(318) |
342 |
24 |
226 |
250 |
(9) |
(28) |
(37) |
28 |
(9) |
(24) |
(13) |
(37) |
34 |
(3) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
(9) |
(28) |
(37) |
28 |
(9) |
(24) |
(13) |
(37) |
34 |
(3) |
- |
279 |
279 |
(183) |
96 |
- |
363 |
363 |
(165) |
198 |
|
|
|
|
182.1% |
|
|
|
|
(41.0)% |
|
£m |
|||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
||||
Analysis of adjusting items |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Income/(expense) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Goodwill impairment and amortisation of non-covered business acquired intangible assets and impact of acquisition accounting |
- |
(7) |
(7) |
- |
(6) |
(6) |
Economic variances |
(277) |
(20) |
(297) |
517 |
(12) |
505 |
Other non-operating variances |
2 |
- |
2 |
16 |
- |
16 |
Acquired/divested business |
- |
(22) |
(22) |
- |
(41) |
(41) |
Closure of unclaimed share trust |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities |
- |
21 |
21 |
- |
22 |
22 |
Adjusting items relating to US Asset Management equity plans and non-controlling interests |
- |
2 |
2 |
- |
1 |
1 |
Fair value gains on Group debt instruments |
- |
(90) |
(90) |
- |
12 |
12 |
Adjusting items |
(275) |
(116) |
(391) |
533 |
(24) |
509 |
|
£m |
||
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
||
Analysis of adjusting items |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Income/(expense) |
|
|
|
Goodwill impairment and amortisation of non-covered business acquired intangible assets and impact of acquisition accounting |
- |
65 |
65 |
Economic variances |
1,108 |
(10) |
1,098 |
Other non-operating variances |
18 |
- |
18 |
Acquired/divested business |
- |
(48) |
(48) |
Closure of unclaimed share trust |
- |
- |
- |
Dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities |
- |
45 |
45 |
Adjusting items relating to US Asset Management equity plans and non-controlling interests |
- |
(1) |
(1) |
Fair value gains on Group debt instruments |
- |
(264) |
(264) |
Adjusting items |
1,126 |
(213) |
913 |
|
£m |
|||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
||||
|
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
Fair value gains/(losses) |
- |
(5) |
(5) |
- |
(2) |
(2) |
Net investment hedge |
- |
(34) |
(34) |
- |
2 |
2 |
Currency translation differences/exchange differences on translating foreign operations |
31 |
200 |
231 |
13 |
22 |
35 |
Aggregate tax effects of items taken directly to or transferred from equity |
- |
6 |
6 |
- |
1 |
1 |
Correction to transfers* |
- |
- |
- |
- |
316 |
316 |
Other movements |
- |
(28) |
(28) |
- |
(26) |
(26) |
Net income recognised directly into equity |
31 |
139 |
170 |
13 |
313 |
326 |
Capital and dividend flows for the year |
(172) |
73 |
(99) |
104 |
(126) |
(22) |
Net sale of treasury shares |
- |
(20) |
(20) |
- |
- |
- |
Net issues of ordinary share capital by the Company |
- |
160 |
160 |
- |
- |
- |
Acquisition of non-controlling interest in Mutual & Federal |
- |
(93) |
(93) |
- |
- |
- |
Exercise of share options |
- |
3 |
3 |
- |
- |
- |
Change in share based payment reserve |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
9 |
9 |
Other movements in net equity |
(141) |
263 |
122 |
117 |
196 |
313 |
|
£m |
|
||
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|||
|
Covered business MCEV |
Non-covered business IFRS |
Total Group MCEV |
|
Fair value gains/(losses) |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
Net investment hedge |
- |
(41) |
(41) |
|
Currency translation differences/exchange differences on translating foreign operations |
359 |
197 |
556 |
|
Aggregate tax effects of items taken directly to or transferred from equity |
- |
13 |
13 |
|
Correction to transfers* |
- |
316 |
316 |
|
Other movements |
(8) |
(7) |
(15) |
|
Net income recognised directly into equity |
351 |
480 |
831 |
|
Capital and dividend flows for the year |
(190) |
145 |
(45) |
|
Net sales of treasury shares |
- |
- |
- |
|
Net issues of ordinary share capital by the Company |
- |
2 |
2 |
|
Acquisition of non-controlling interest in Mutual & Federal |
- |
- |
- |
|
Exercise of share options |
- |
3 |
3 |
|
Change in share based payment reserve |
- |
14 |
14 |
|
Other movements in net equity |
161 |
644 |
805 |
|
* Refinement arising from allocation of assets between covered and non-covered business at December 2008.
The table below provides a reconciliation of the MCEV adjusted net worth ('ANW') to the IFRS net asset value ('NAV') for the covered business.
£m |
||||||||
At 30 June 2010 |
Total |
Long Term Savings |
Emerging Markets |
Nordic |
Retail |
Wealth Management |
US Life |
Bermuda |
IFRS net asset value* |
6,394 |
6,040 |
932 |
1,147 |
586 |
2,162 |
1,213 |
354 |
Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis |
(2,779) |
(2,766) |
161 |
(818) |
(314) |
(1,176) |
(619) |
(13) |
Inclusion of Group equity and debt instruments held in life funds |
330 |
330 |
330 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Goodwill |
(979) |
(979) |
(8) |
(186) |
(188) |
(597) |
- |
- |
Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent |
2,966 |
2,625 |
1,415 |
143 |
84 |
389 |
594 |
341 |
£m |
||||||||
At 30 June 2009 |
Total |
Long Term Savings |
Emerging Markets |
Nordic |
Retail |
Wealth Management |
US Life |
Bermuda |
IFRS net asset value* |
5,728 |
5,422 |
721 |
1,166 |
818 |
2,295 |
422 |
306 |
Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis |
(2,194) |
(2,167) |
152 |
(817) |
(349) |
(1,281) |
128 |
(27) |
Inclusion of Group equity and debt instruments held in life funds |
305 |
305 |
305 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Goodwill |
(1,224) |
(1,224) |
(8) |
(169) |
(374) |
(673) |
- |
- |
Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent |
2,615 |
2,336 |
1,170 |
180 |
95 |
341 |
550 |
279 |
£m |
||||||||
At 31 December 2009 |
Total |
Long Term Savings |
Emerging Markets |
Nordic |
Retail |
Wealth Management |
US Life |
Bermuda |
IFRS net asset value* |
6,103 |
5,734 |
821 |
1,222 |
664 |
2,141 |
886 |
369 |
Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis |
(2,632) |
(2,626) |
153 |
(841) |
(382) |
(1,168) |
(388) |
(6) |
Inclusion of Group equity and debt instruments held in life funds |
339 |
339 |
339 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Goodwill |
(995) |
(995) |
(8) |
(186) |
(204) |
(597) |
- |
- |
Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent |
2,815 |
2,452 |
1,305 |
195 |
78 |
376 |
498 |
363 |
* IFRS net asset value is after elimination of inter-company loans.
The adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis includes the following:
· The excess of the IFRS amount of the deferred acquisition cost ('DAC') and value of business acquired ('VOBA') assets over the statutory levels included in the VIF.
· When projecting future profits on a statutory basis, the VIF includes the shareholders' value of unrealised capital gains. To the extent that assets in IFRS are valued at market and the market value is higher than the statutory book value, these profits have already been taken into account in the IFRS equity.
The tables below set out the regional analysis of the value of new business ('VNB') after tax. New business profitability is measured by both the ratio of the VNB to the present value of new business premiums ('PVNBP') as well as to the annual premium equivalent ('APE'), and shown under PVNBP margin and APE margin below. APE is calculated as recurring premiums plus 10% of single premiums.
|
|
|
£m |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
Annualised recurring premiums |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
344 |
346 |
699 |
Emerging Markets |
143 |
104 |
249 |
Nordic |
74 |
108 |
183 |
Retail Europe |
29 |
28 |
62 |
Wealth Management |
93 |
97 |
191 |
US Life |
5 |
9 |
14 |
Bermuda |
- |
- |
- |
|
344 |
346 |
699 |
Single premiums |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
4,696 |
2,875 |
6,806 |
Emerging Markets |
803 |
569 |
1,437 |
Nordic |
284 |
276 |
527 |
Retail Europe |
34 |
25 |
53 |
Wealth Management |
3,175 |
1,718 |
4,240 |
US Life |
400 |
287 |
549 |
Bermuda |
- |
15 |
15 |
|
4,696 |
2,890 |
6,821 |
PVNBP |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
6,400 |
4,672 |
10,202 |
Emerging Markets |
1,561 |
1,231 |
2,834 |
Nordic |
553 |
634 |
1,150 |
Retail Europe |
243 |
228 |
537 |
Wealth Management |
3,611 |
2,231 |
5,042 |
US Life |
432 |
348 |
639 |
Bermuda |
- |
15 |
15 |
|
6,400 |
4,687 |
10,217 |
PVNBP capitalisation factors* |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
5.0 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
Emerging Markets |
5.3 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
Nordic |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
Retail Europe |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
Wealth Management |
4.6 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
US Life |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
Bermuda |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
£m |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
APE |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
814 |
634 |
1,380 |
Emerging Markets |
223 |
165 |
393 |
Nordic |
102 |
134 |
235 |
Retail Europe |
32 |
30 |
67 |
Wealth Management |
412 |
267 |
617 |
US Life |
45 |
38 |
68 |
Bermuda |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
814 |
636 |
1,381 |
VNB |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
92 |
70 |
167 |
Emerging Markets |
38 |
23 |
65 |
Nordic |
25 |
21 |
44 |
Retail Europe |
2 |
(3) |
(5) |
Wealth Management |
31 |
22 |
49 |
US Life |
(4) |
7 |
14 |
Bermuda |
- |
- |
- |
|
92 |
70 |
167 |
PVNBP margin |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
1.4% |
1.5% |
1.6% |
Emerging Markets |
2.5% |
1.9% |
2.3% |
Nordic |
4.6% |
3.3% |
3.8% |
Retail Europe |
0.7% |
(1.5)% |
(1.0)% |
Wealth Management |
0.9% |
1.0% |
1.0% |
US Life |
(0.9)% |
2.1% |
2.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
1.5% |
1.6% |
APE margin |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings (LTS) |
11% |
11% |
12% |
Emerging Markets |
17% |
14% |
16% |
Nordic |
25% |
16% |
19% |
Retail Europe |
6% |
(11)% |
(8)% |
Wealth Management |
8% |
8% |
8% |
US Life |
(9)% |
19% |
20% |
|
|
|
|
|
11% |
11% |
12% |
* The PVNBP capitalisation factors are calculated as follows: (PVNBP - single premiums)/annualised recurring premiums
The value of new individual unit trust linked retirement annuities and pension fund asset management business written by the Emerging Markets long-term business is excluded as the profits on this business arise in the asset management business. The value of new business also excludes premium increases arising from indexation arrangements in respect of existing business, as these are already included in the value of in-force business.
The value of new institutional investment platform pensions business written in Wealth Management is excluded as this is more appropriately classified as unit trust business.
|
|
|
£m |
Gross premium excluded from value of new business |
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
Year ended |
Emerging Markets |
386 |
172 |
1,625 |
Wealth Management |
75 |
83 |
153 |
£m |
||||||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|||
Emerging Markets |
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
Total business |
143 |
803 |
|
104 |
569 |
|
249 |
1,437 |
Individual business |
120 |
486 |
|
92 |
289 |
|
220 |
716 |
Savings |
29 |
387 |
|
22 |
215 |
|
50 |
560 |
Protection |
31 |
- |
|
23 |
- |
|
56 |
- |
Annuity |
- |
98 |
|
- |
73 |
|
- |
155 |
Retail mass market |
60 |
1 |
|
47 |
1 |
|
114 |
1 |
Group business |
23 |
317 |
|
12 |
280 |
|
29 |
721 |
Savings |
9 |
257 |
|
5 |
236 |
|
13 |
564 |
Protection |
14 |
- |
|
7 |
- |
|
16 |
- |
Annuity |
- |
60 |
|
- |
44 |
|
- |
157 |
£m |
||||||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|||
Nordic |
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
Unit-linked and life assurance |
74 |
284 |
|
108 |
276 |
|
183 |
527 |
£m |
||||||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|||
Retail Europe |
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
Unit-linked and life assurance |
29 |
34 |
|
28 |
25 |
|
62 |
53 |
£m |
||||||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|||
Wealth Management |
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
Unit-linked and life assurance |
93 |
3,175 |
|
97 |
1,718 |
|
191 |
4,240 |
£m |
||||||||
|
6 months ended 30 June 2010 |
|
6 months ended 30 June 2009 |
|
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
|||
US Life |
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
|
Recurring |
Single |
Total business |
5 |
400 |
|
9 |
287 |
|
14 |
549 |
Fixed deferred annuity |
- |
79 |
|
- |
27 |
|
- |
30 |
Fixed indexed annuity |
- |
234 |
|
- |
184 |
|
- |
383 |
Variable annuity |
- |
- |
|
- |
1 |
|
- |
- |
Life |
5 |
1 |
|
9 |
16 |
|
14 |
13 |
Immediate annuity |
- |
86 |
|
- |
59 |
|
- |
123 |
PVNBP Margin |
|
% |
Total covered business |
6 months ended 30 June |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
Margin at the end of comparative period |
1.5 |
0.8 |
Change in volume |
(0.2) |
0.8 |
Change in product mix |
0.5 |
- |
Change in country mix |
- |
- |
Change in operating assumptions |
(0.1) |
0.1 |
Change in economic assumptions |
(0.3) |
- |
Change in tax/regulation |
- |
0.1 |
Exchange rate movements |
- |
(0.2) |
Margin at the end of the period |
1.4 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
Long Term Savings |
|
|
Margin at the end of comparative period |
1.5 |
1.5 |
Change in volume |
(0.2) |
(0.1) |
Change in product mix |
0.5 |
- |
Change in country mix |
- |
- |
Change in operating assumptions |
(0.1) |
0.1 |
Change in economic assumptions |
(0.3) |
- |
Change in tax/regulation |
- |
0.1 |
Exchange rate movements |
- |
- |
Margin at the end of the period |
1.4 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
Emerging Markets |
|
|
Margin at the end of comparative period |
1.9 |
2.2 |
Change in volume |
0.2 |
(0.1) |
Change in product mix |
0.4 |
(0.2) |
Change in country mix |
- |
- |
Change in operating assumptions |
0.1 |
0.4 |
Change in economic assumptions |
(0.1) |
- |
Margin at the end of the period |
2.5 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
Nordic |
|
|
Margin at the end of comparative period |
3.3 |
3.3 |
Change in volume |
(0.1) |
(0.1) |
Change in product mix |
1.4 |
- |
Change in country mix |
- |
- |
Change in operating assumptions |
0.1 |
0.4 |
Change in economic assumptions |
(0.1) |
0.2 |
Margin at the end of the period |
4.6 |
3.8 |
|
|
% |
Total covered business |
6 months ended 30 June |
Year ended 31 December 2009 |
Retail Europe |
|
|
Margin at the end of comparative period |
(1.5) |
1.8 |
Change in volume |
1.7 |
(2.1) |
Change in product mix |
0.1 |
(0.8) |
Change in country mix |
- |
(0.1) |
Change in operating assumptions |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Change in economic assumptions |
0.1 |
(0.3) |
Margin at the end of the period |
0.7 |
(1.0) |
|
|
|
Wealth Management |
|
|
Margin at the end of comparative period |
1.0 |
1.2 |
Change in volume |
- |
(0.2) |
Change in product mix |
- |
- |
Change in country mix |
- |
- |
Change in operating assumptions |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
Change in economic assumptions |
- |
- |
Change in tax/regulation |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Margin at the end of the period |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
US Life |
|
|
Margin at the end of comparative period |
2.1 |
(0.9) |
Change in volume |
(0.3) |
- |
Change in product mix |
1.1 |
1.5 |
Change in country mix |
- |
- |
Change in operating assumptions |
(0.2) |
- |
Change in economic assumptions |
(3.6) |
1.6 |
Margin at the end of the period |
(0.9) |
2.2 |
The tables below show the sensitivity of the MCEV and value of in-force business at 30 June 2010 and the value of new business for the 6 months ended 30 June 2010 to changes in key assumptions.
For each sensitivity illustrated all other assumptions have been left unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised conditions. Sensitivity scenarios therefore include consistent changes in cash flows directly affected by the changed assumption(s), for example future bonus participation in changed economic scenarios.
|
At 30 June 2010 |
£m |
|
Total covered business |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
Central assumptions |
6,174 |
3,208 |
92 |
Effect of: |
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
5,898 |
2,858 |
94 |
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
6,447 |
3,553 |
81 |
Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
6,215 |
3,249 |
94 |
|
At 30 June 2010 |
£m |
||
Emerging Markets |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
|
Central assumptions |
2,646 |
1,231 |
38 |
|
Effect of: |
|
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
2,593 |
1,176 |
35 |
|
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
2,693 |
1,279 |
41 |
|
Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
2,654 |
1,239 |
39 |
|
|
At 30 June 2010 |
£m |
||
Nordic |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
|
Central assumptions |
1,297 |
1,154 |
25 |
|
Effect of: |
|
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
1,273 |
1,131 |
24 |
|
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
1,324 |
1,181 |
26 |
|
|
At 30 June 2010 |
£m |
|
Retail Europe |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
Central assumptions |
535 |
451 |
2 |
Effect of: |
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
520 |
436 |
1 |
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
550 |
466 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Wealth management |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
Central assumptions |
1,915 |
1,526 |
31 |
Effect of: |
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
1,892 |
1,519 |
30 |
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
1,938 |
1,530 |
32 |
|
At 30 June 2010 |
£m |
||
US Life |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
|
Central assumptions |
(387) |
(981) |
(4) |
|
Effect of: |
|
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
(626) |
(1,220) |
4 |
|
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
(149) |
(743) |
(21) |
|
Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
(354) |
(948) |
(3) |
|
Recognising the present value of an additional 50% of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
(236) |
(830) |
2 |
|
|
At 30 June 2010 |
£m |
||
Bermuda |
MCEV |
Value of in-force business |
Value of new business |
|
Central assumptions |
168 |
(173) |
- |
|
Effect of: |
|
|
|
|
Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
246 |
(184) |
- |
|
Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately |
91 |
(160) |
- |
|
The Company's shares are listed on the London, Malawi, Namibian and Zimbabwe Stock Exchanges and on the JSE Limited (JSE). The primary listing is on the London Stock Exchange and the other listings are all secondary listings. The Company's secondary listing on the Stockholm Stock Exchange ended on 7 September 2007, but the Company's shares may still be traded on the Xternal list of the Nordic Exchange in Stockholm. The ISIN number of the Company's shares is GB0007389926.
Further information on the Company can be found on the following websites:
www.oldmutual.com
www.oldmutual.co.za