Interim results 2012 - part 3 MCEV

RNS Number : 5270J
Old Mutual PLC
08 August 2012
 




 Adjusted Group MCEV by line of business

 At 30 June 2012

 

 

 

 

£m

 

Notes

At

30 June

2012

At

30 June

2011

At

31 December

2011

 MCEV of the core covered business (Long Term Savings)

B3

5,875 

6,147 

5,713 

    Adjusted net worth1

 

2,368 

2,491 

2,204 

    Value of in-force business


3,507 

3,656 

3,509 

 MCEV of the non-core covered business (Bermuda)

B3

141 

300 

66 

    Adjusted net worth


232 

407 

187 

    Value of in-force business


(91)

(107)

(121)

 MCEV of the discontinued covered business (Nordic)²

B3

-  

1,501 

1,433 

    Adjusted net worth


-  

200 

285 

    Value of in-force business


-  

1,301 

1,148 

 

 

 

 

 

 Adjusted net worth of asset management and other businesses


1,847 

2,127 

1,955 

    Emerging Markets


460 

483 

499 

    Wealth Management


215 

193 

179 

    US Asset Management


1,172 

1,487 

1,270 

    Nordic2

 

-  

(36)

 

 

 

 

 

 Value of the banking business


3,517 

3,847 

3,286 

    Nedbank (market value)


3,481 

3,484 

2,935 

    Emerging Markets (adjusted net worth)


36 

16 

29 

    Nordic (adjusted net worth)²


-  

347 

322 

 

 

 

 

 

 Value of the general insurance business





    Mutual & Federal (adjusted net worth)


292 

322 

294 

 

 

 

 

 

 Net other business3

 

1,068 

379 

175 

 Adjustment for present value of Black Economic Empowerment

  scheme deferred consideration


273 

299 

270 

 Adjustment for value of own shares in ESOP schemes4

 

106 

113 

117 

 

 

 

 

 

 Market value of perpetual preferred securities

A2(d)

(481)

(464)

(465)

 Market value of perpetual preferred callable securities

A2(d)

(637)

(690)

(605)

 Market value of subordinated debt

A2(d)

(1,341)

(2,041)

(1,445)

 Adjusted Group MCEV5


10,660 

11,840 

10,794 

 

 

 

 

 

 Adjusted Group MCEV per share (pence)


218.1 

214.1 

194.1 

 Number of shares in issue at the end of the financial period less treasury

  shares - millions6

 

4,887 

5,529 

5,562 

Adjusted net worth is after the elimination of inter-company loans.

The sale of the Nordic business unit was completed during the current period.

Includes any other business that is not included within the main lines of business, largely Old Mutual parent company IFRS equity net of Group adjustments, consolidation adjustments in respect of intercompany transactions and debt, Bermuda asset management and the proceeds from the sale of the Nordic business unit.

Includes adjustment for value of excess own shares in employee share scheme trusts.

The results for the six months ended 30 June 2011 have been restated to reflect the consolidation of the Rest of Africa businesses into the results of the Emerging Markets business.

The Group cancelled 239 million treasury shares on 13 January 2012.

 As part of the disposal of the Nordic business unit a seven for eight share consolidation was proposed and approved. For adjusted Group MCEV per share, the weighted average number of shares is effective from 23 April 2012.


 Adjusted operating Group MCEV statement of earnings

 For the six months ended 30 June 2012

 

 

 

 

£m

 

Notes

6 months

ended 30 June

2012

6 months

ended 30 June

2011

Year ended        31 December 2011

 Long Term Savings





    Covered business

B2

264 

358 

714 

    Asset management and other business


72 

82 

123 

    Banking


-  

15 

 

 

342 

440 

852 

 Nedbank





    Banking


406 

359 

755 

 Mutual & Federal





    General insurance


34 

47 

89 

 US Asset Management





    Asset management


42 

39 

67 

 Other operating segments





    Finance costs1

 

(88)

(74)

(155)

    Corporate costs2

 

(18)

(21)

(43)

    Other shareholders' income/(expenses) 


13 

(18)

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax from core operations


731 

795 

1,547 

This includes interest payable from Old Mutual plc to non-core operations of £13 million for 6 months ended 30 June 2012 (June 2011: £13 million; December 2011: £27 million).

Central costs of £7 million are allocated to the covered business and provisioned in the VIF (June 2011: £7 million December 2011: £14 million). Hence net corporate costs under MCEV of £18 million (June 2011: £21 million; December 2011: £43 million) differ from the IFRS amount of £25 million (June 2011: £28 million; December 2011: £57 million).

 

Significant corporate activities and business changes

 

Disposal of Nordic business

As previously reported the Group had agreed at 31 December 2011 for the disposal of its life assurance operations, asset management and banking operations in Sweden, Denmark and Norway to Skandia Liv. Following final regulatory approval on 8 March 2012 and subsequent shareholder approval the sale was completed on 21 March 2012. The MCEV earnings of the Nordic business have been categorised as discontinued within the MCEV results and the comparative information has been restated where applicable to reflect this. Nordic has been treated as non-modelled for 2012 reporting purposes with earnings for the period to 21 March 2012 reported on an IFRS basis.

The transaction has resulted in an uplift of £202 million to the adjusted Group MCEV, based on the differences between the purchase price of £2,118 million, the removal of the MCEV balances for the Nordic business unit (VIF: £1,148 million, ANW: £286 million and other non-covered business: £330 million) and further IFRS adjustments of £152 million.

Special dividend and share consolidation

On 9 March 2012, the Group declared a special dividend of 18p per 10p ordinary share to all holders of these shares at 20 April 2012 and was paid on 7 June 2012. The Group also performed a seven-for-eight share consolidation on 23 April 2012.

For MCEV purposes, the weighted average number of shares is effective from 23 April 2012.

Inclusion of other African businesses

As reported in the Group's 2011 Annual Report and Accounts the Group's operations in Zimbabwe, Kenya, Malawi, Swaziland and Nigeria ("the other African businesses") were consolidated effective from 1 January 2011. The results of the other African businesses were included in the comparatives for the six months ended 30 June 2011 and for the year ended 31 December 2011. In June 2012 we have also included the Zimbabwean and Namibian companies as part of the covered business of Emerging Markets.

Reporting of Retail Europe within Wealth Management

On 24 January 2012 the Group announced that it will combine its Wealth Management Continental Europe business (France and Italy) with the Skandia Retail Europe business unit (Germany, Austria, Poland and Switzerland), for reporting purposes only. As a result the Retail Europe segment will now be reported within the Wealth Management segment for the six months ended 30 June 2012. Consequently the comparative information for the six months ended 30 June 2011 and the year ended 31 December 2011 has been reclassified where applicable to reflect this.


 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share

 For the six months ended 30 June 2012

 

 

 

 

 

£m

 Six months ended 30 June 2012

Notes

Core continuing operations

Non-core continuing operations

Discontinued operations

Total

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax


731 

23 

28 

782 

    Covered business

B2

264 

23 

18 

305 

    Other business


467 

-  

10 

477 

 Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings


(197)

-  

(3)

(200)

    Covered business

B2

(60)

-  

-  

(60)

    Other business


(137)

-  

(3)

(140)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax


534 

23 

25 

582 

 Non-controlling interests






    Ordinary shares


(134)

-  

-  

(134)

    Preferred securities


(30)

-  

-  

(30)

 Adjusted operating MCEV earnings after tax attributable to

   equity holders


370 

23 

25 

418 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share1

 

7.1 

0.4 

0.5 

8.0 

 Adjusted weighted average number of shares - millions





5,231 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

 Six months ended 30 June 2011

Notes

Core

continuing operations

Non-core continuing operations

Discontinued operations

Total

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax


795 

11 

88 

894 

    Covered business

B2

358 

11 

78 

447 

    Other business


437 

-  

10 

447 

 Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings


(195)

(2)

(17)

(214)

    Covered business

B2

(76)

(2)

(15)

(93)

    Other business


(119)

-  

(2)

(121)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax


600 

71 

680 

 Non-controlling interests






    Ordinary shares


(120)

-  

-  

(120)

    Preferred securities


(31)

-  

-  

(31)

 Adjusted operating MCEV earnings after tax attributable to

   equity holders


449 

71 

529 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share1

 

8.3 

0.2 

1.3 

9.8 

 Adjusted weighted average number of shares - millions





5,397 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

 Year ended 31 December 2011

Notes

Core

continuing operations

Non-core continuing operations

Discontinued operations

Total

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax


1,547 

48 

173 

1,768 

    Covered business

B2

714 

48 

156 

918 

    Other business


833 

-  

17 

850 

 Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings


(364)

(1)

(31)

(396)

    Covered business

B2

(162)

(1)

(28)

(191)

    Other business


(202)

-  

(3)

(205)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax


1,183 

47 

142 

1,372 

 Non-controlling interests






    Ordinary shares


(255)

-  

-  

(255)

    Preferred securities


(62)

-  

-  

(62)

 Adjusted operating MCEV earnings after tax attributable to

   equity holders


866 

47 

142 

1,055 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share1

 

15.9 

0.9 

2.6 

19.4 

 Adjusted weighted average number of shares - millions





5,435 

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share is calculated on the same basis as adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings, but is stated after tax and non-controlling interests. It excludes income attributable to Black Economic Empowerment trusts of listed subsidiaries. The calculation of the adjusted weighted average number of shares includes own shares held in policyholders' funds and Black Economic Empowerment trusts.


 Group market consistent embedded value statement of earnings

 For the six months ended 30 June 2012

 

 

 

 

£m

 

Notes

6 months

ended 30 June

2012

6 months

ended 30 June

2011

Year ended      31 December 2011

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax from core

   operations


731 

795 

1,547 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax from non-core

   operations

B2

23 

11 

48 

 Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax from continuing operations1

 

754 

806 

1,595 

 Adjusting items from continuing operations

C3

175 

161 

(437)

 Total Group MCEV earnings before tax from continuing operations


929 

967 

1,158 

 Income tax attributable to shareholders


(212)

(181)

(168)

 Total Group MCEV earnings after tax from continuing operations


717 

786 

990 

 Total Group MCEV earnings after tax from discontinued operations


600 

(6)

(15)

 MCEV earnings after tax from discontinued operations2

 

(6)

(15)

 Adjusted Group MCEV uplift from sale of Nordic


202 

-  

-  

 Other Group adjustments related to the Nordic disposal


392 

-  

-  

 

 

 

 

 

 Total Group MCEV earnings after tax for the financial period


1,317 

780 

975 

 

 

 

 

 

 Total Group MCEV earnings for the financial period attributable to:





 Equity holders of the parent


1,160 

637 

674 

 Non-controlling interests





 Ordinary shares


127 

112 

239 

 Preferred securities


30 

31 

62 

 Total Group MCEV earnings after tax for the financial period


1,317 

780 

975 

 Basic total Group MCEV earnings per ordinary share (pence)


23.4 

12.5 

13.1 

 Weighted average number of shares - millions


4,952 

5,098 

5,136 

For long-term business and general insurance businesses, adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings are based on long-term and short-term investment returns respectively, include investment returns on life fund investments in Group equity and debt instruments, and are stated net of income tax attributable to policyholder returns. For the US asset management business it includes compensation costs in respect of certain long-term incentive schemes defined as non-controlling interests in accordance with IFRS. For all businesses, adjusted operating MCEV earnings exclude goodwill impairment, the impact of acquisition accounting, option revaluations related to long-term incentive schemes, the impact of closure of unclaimed shares trusts, profit/(loss) on acquisition/disposal of subsidiaries, associated undertakings and strategic investments, dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities, and fair value (profits)/losses on certain Group debt instruments.

For Nordic, these are composed of earnings before tax of £28 million (June 2011: £88 million; December 2011: £173 million), adjusting items of £(20) million (June 2011: £(79) million; December 2011: £(161) million) and tax of £(2) million (June 2011: £(15) million; December 2011: £(27) million). Further detail relating to adjusting items can be found in section C3.



 

Reconciliation of movements in Group and Adjusted Group MCEV (after tax)








£m



6 months ended 30 June 2012

6 months ended 30 June 2011


Notes

Covered

business

MCEV

Non-covered

business

IFRS

Total Group

MCEV

Covered

business

MCEV

Non-covered

business

IFRS

Total Group

MCEV

Opening Group MCEV


7,212 

2,516 

9,728 

7,515 

2,386 

9,901 

Adjusted operating MCEV earnings

B4

245 

173 

418 

354 

175 

529 

Non-operating MCEV earnings


164 

578 

742 

(27)

135 

108 

Total Group MCEV earnings


409 

751 

1,160 

327 

310 

637 

Other movements in IFRS net equity

C4

(1,605)

(110)

(1,715)

106 

(128)

(22)

Closing Group MCEV


6,016 

3,157 

9,173 

7,948 

2,568 

10,516 

Adjustments to bring Group investments to

  market value

B1

-  

1,487 

1,487 

-  

1,324 

1,324 

Adjusted Group MCEV


6,016 

4,644 

10,660 

7,948 

3,892 

11,840 













£m






Year ended 31 December 2011





Notes

Covered

business

MCEV

Non-covered

business

IFRS

Total Group

MCEV




Opening Group MCEV


7,515 

2,386 

9,901 




Adjusted operating MCEV earnings

B4

727 

328 

1,055 




Non-operating MCEV earnings


(331)

(50)

(381)




Total Group MCEV earnings


396 

278 

674 




Other movements in IFRS net equity

C4

(699)

(148)

(847)




Closing Group MCEV


7,212 

2,516 

9,728 




Adjustments to bring Group investments to

  market value

B1

-  

1,066 

1,066 




Adjusted Group MCEV


7,212 

3,582 

10,794 





 

Notes to the MCEV basis supplementary information

For the six months ended 30 June 2012

 

A: MCEV policies

A1: Basis of preparation

The Market Consistent Embedded Value methodology (referred to herein and in the supplementary statements on pages 82 to 117 as 'MCEV') adopts the Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles (Copyright © Stichting CFO Forum Foundation 2008) issued in June 2008 and updated in October 2009 by the CFO Forum ('the Principles') as the basis for the methodology used in preparing the supplementary information.

The CFO Forum announced changes to the MCEV Principles in October 2009 to reflect inter alia the inclusion of a liquidity premium. These changes affirm that the risk free reference rate to be applied under MCEV should include both the swap yield curve appropriate to the currency of the cash flows and a liquidity premium where appropriate. The CFO Forum is undertaking further work to develop more detailed application guidance.

The Principles have been fully complied with for all businesses at 30 June 2012. The detailed methodology and assumptions made in presenting this supplementary information are set out in notes A2 and A3.

Throughout the supplementary information the following terminology is used to distinguish between the terms 'MCEV', 'Group MCEV' and 'adjusted Group MCEV':

§  MCEV is a measure of the consolidated value of shareholders' interests in the covered business and consists of the sum of the shareholders' adjusted net worth in respect of the covered business and the value of the in-force covered business.

§  Group MCEV is a measure of the consolidated value of shareholders' interests in covered and non-covered business. Non-covered business is valued at the IFRS net asset value detailed in the primary financial statements adjusted to eliminate inter-company loans.

§  The adjusted Group MCEV, a measure used by management to assess the shareholders' interest in the value of the Group, includes the impact of marking all debt to market value, the market value of the Group's listed banking subsidiary, marking the value of deferred consideration due in respect of Black Economic Empowerment arrangements in South Africa ('the BEE schemes') to market, as well as including the market value of excess own shares held in ESOP schemes.

 

A2: Methodology

(a) Required capital

Required capital is the market value of assets that is attributed to support the covered business, over and above that required to back statutory liabilities for covered business, whose distribution to shareholders is restricted. The following capital measures are considered in determining the required capital held for covered business so that it reflects the level of capital considered by the directors to be appropriate to manage the business:

§  Economic capital;

§  Regulatory capital (i.e. the level of solvency capital which the local regulators require);

§  Capital required by rating agencies in order to maintain the desired credit rating; and

§  Any other required capital definition to meet internal management objectives.

Economic capital for the covered business is based upon Old Mutual's own internal assessment of risks inherent in the underlying business. It measures capital requirements on a basis, consistent with a 99.93% confidence level over a one-year time horizon.

For Emerging Markets and Wealth Management capital determined with reference to internal management objectives is the most onerous and is the capital measure used, whilst for Nordic the regulatory capital requirement was the most onerous in 30 June 2011 and 31 December 2011 comparatives. For Bermuda the required capital is set with reference to internal management objectives, i.e. the adjusted net worth.

The required capital in respect of OMLAC(SA)'s covered business is partially covered by the market value of the Group's investments in banking and general insurance in South Africa. On consolidation these investments are shown separately.

The Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA) enacted its new Class E Prudential rules in December 2011. In July 2012, it was agreed with the BMA that the Bermuda business should now directly hold capital resources comparable to those required under Solvency II, as calculated by the Group's existing internal capital model, which were previously held centrally.



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 The table below shows the level of required capital expressed as a percentage of the minimum local regulatory capital requirements

 

£m

 

 

At 30 June 2012

At 30 June 2011

At 31 December 2011

 

Notes

Required

capital

(a)

Regulatory

capital

(b)

Ratio

(a/b)

Required

capital

(a)

Regulatory

capital

(b)

Ratio

(a/b)

Required

capital

(a)

Regulatory

capital

(b)

Ratio

(a/b)

 Emerging Markets1

B3

1,371 

1,019 

1.3 

1,525 

1,187 

1.3 

1,368 

1,012 

1.4 

 Wealth Management2

B3

310 

232 

1.3 

336 

252 

1.3 

314 

241 

1.3 

 Bermuda3

B3

232 

136 

1.7 

407 

-  

           n/a

187 

77 

2.4 

 Nordic

B3

          n/a

            n/a

          n/a

141 

140 

1.0 

127 

127 

1.0 

 Total


1,913 

1,387 

1.4 

2,409 

1,579 

1.5 

1,996 

1,457 

1.4 

The required capital and regulatory capital relating to the other African life businesses is included from 31 December 2011 results for Emerging Markets.

Local regulators within many of the Wealth Management Europe countries allow intangible assets to be included as admissible regulatory capital. In such cases the required capital reported for MCEV is net of these items, although each of the countries continues to be sufficiently capitalised on the local solvency basis. Skandia Leben in Germany is permitted under local regulations to include the unallocated policyholder profit sharing liability as admissible capital.

During December 2011, the BMA insurance (Prudential Standards) (Class E Solvency Requirements) Rules 2011 were formally signed into Bermudan law. The regulations allow for a transition period for the new capital requirement (75% for financial year 2012, 100% for financial year 2013). The required capital calculated on this statutory basis was approximately £136 million at 30 June 2012. As of 30 June 2012, we have determined the required capital as the adjusted net worth held in the business at that date as this exceeded the transitional capital requirement.  However, in July 2012 it was agreed with the BMA that  Bermuda business should now directly hold capital resources of £448 million, comparable to those required under Solvency II, as calculated by the Group's existing internal capital model, which were previously held centrally (this change is not reflected in the table above as it took place after 30 June 2012). The changes to required capital held locally that have taken place in July 2012 are not expected to have any material impact on the value of in-force business.

 (b) Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

The Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks ("CNHR") is calculated using a cost of capital approach, i.e. it is determined as the present value of capital charges for all future non-hedgeable risk capital requirements until the liabilities have run off. The capital charge in each year is the product of the projected expected non-hedgeable risk capital held after allowance for some diversification benefits and the cost of capital charge.

The table below shows the amounts of diversified economic capital held in respect of residual non-hedgeable risks.

Capital held in respect of non-hedgeable risks




£m



At

30 June

2012

At

30 June

2011

At

31 December

2011

Emerging Markets


897 

765 

808 

Wealth Management


833 

828 

831 

Bermuda


275 

331 

335 

Nordic


                    n/a

325 

290 

Total


2,005 

2,249 

2,264 

During 2011 the methodology used to calculate non-hedgeable risk capital was enhanced and standardised across all insurance business units in order to align with emerging Solvency II requirements.

A weighted average cost of capital rate of 2.0% has been applied to residual symmetric and asymmetric non-hedgeable capital at a business unit level over the life of the contracts. This translates into an equivalent cost of capital rate of approximately 2.4% being applied to the Group diversified capital required in respect of such non-hedgeable risks.

 

 (c) Taxation

United Kingdom:

The Emergency Budget that was held in June 2010 stated that the UK's mainstream corporation tax rate would be reduced from its current level of 28% down to 24% in annual 1% steps. Following that, there were further announcements for additional reductions, and accelerations of these reductions. The reduction to 25%, effective from April 2012, has been allowed for in the FY2011 results.The H1 2012 results allow for an additional 1% reduction to 24%, effective from April 2012 and the further 1% reduction to 23%, effective from April 2013. This additional 2% reduction amounts to £9 million in the H1 2012 results. The impact of the remaining reduction from 23% down to 22%, applicable from April 2014, is expected to be £4 million.



 

South Africa:

A new dividend withholding tax system (replacing the current Secondary Tax on Companies (STC) system) was introduced in South Africa effective from 1 April 2012. This was reflected in the results at 31 December 2011, i.e. no allowance was made in future for the impact of the new dividend withholding tax in the MCEV, except for an allowance for withholding tax on the remittance of dividends to Old Mutual plc, as the actual level of taxation would depend on the legal nature of each shareholder. The Emerging Markets MCEV increased by approximately R1,221 million (£105 million) while the value of new business for the year ended 31 December 2011 increased by approximately R104 million (£9 million).

Allowance has now been made for dividend withholding  tax on dividends earned in the policyholder funds as well as allowing for the increase in capital gains tax in policyholder funds. These were the main contributors to MCEV reducing by £21 million (R270 million). The average effective tax rate remains unchanged at 28%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 (d) Value of debt








 Senior and subordinated debt securities are marked to market (for IFRS reporting, debt is valued at either book value or fair value). The table below shows the comparison of debt on an IFRS and MCEV basis.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At 30 June 2012

At 30 June 2011

At 31 December 2011

 Debt securities

Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements

Book

value

MCEV

Book

value

MCEV

Book

value

MCEV

 £350 million perpetual preferred callable securities

E1

350 

282 

350 

299 

350 

263 

 €500 million perpetual preferred callable securities

E1

338 

355 

338 

391 

338 

342 

 US$750 million cumulative preference securities

E1

458 

481 

458 

464 

458 

465 

 R3.0 billion repayable 27 October 2015 (8.9%)

E1 (e)

234 

248 

276 

277 

239 

249 

 €2 million fixed rate note repayable December 2013


-  

-  

 US$16.5 million secured senior debt repayable August 2014 (5.23%)

E1 (b)

11 

11 

10 

10 

11 

11 

 €200 million (2010: €750 million) (4.5% to January 2012 and 6 month EURIBOR plus 0.96% thereafter)1

E1 (e)

-  

-  

671 

670 

166 

166 

 £500 million repayable 3 June 2021 (8.0%)2 

E1 (e)

513 

513 

500 

500 

471 

471 

 £500 million euro bond repayable October 2016 (7.125%)3

E1 (b)

504 

569 

503 

551 

504 

546 

 US$50 million floating rate note repayable September 2011 (3 month LIBOR plus 0.35%) - repaid

E1 (a)

-  

-  

31 

31 

-  

-  

 Value of debt


2,408 

2,459 

3,139 

3,195 

2,539 

2,515 

The principal and coupon on the bond were swapped at issue equally into Sterling and US dollars with coupons of six month GBP LIBOR plus 0.34% and six month USD LIBOR plus 0.31% respectively. During 2011 a €550 million partial repayment, together with settlements of associated currency swaps, was made. On 18 January 2012 the remaining €200 million was repaid on the first call date.

The principal and coupon on the bond were initially swapped into floating rate Swedish Kroner, at three month STIBOR plus 5.46%. Following the Nordic sale, £375 million of the coupon is now swapped into floating rate sterling at six month GBP LIBOR plus 4.15% and £125 million of principal and coupon is swapped into US dollars at six month USD LIBOR plus 5.49%.

This differs from the value in the Borrowed Funds note E1 (b) by the accrued interest at the end of the year, which is included within the book value of the debt in determining the MCEV market value uplift to maintain consistency and comparability with the market value.

Where either the principal or the coupon of the debt security has been swapped into an alternate currency, the mark to market value of these derivative instruments of £79 million (30 June 2011: £104 million; 31 December 2011: £86 million) has not been included in the value of debt above; however, it is included in the Net Other Business value of £1,068 million (30 June 2011: £379 million; 31 December 2011: £175 million) (Adjusted Group MCEV presented per business line). Further information relating to the debt securities can be found in Note E1 in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

A3: Assumptions

Non-economic assumptions

The management expenses attributable to life assurance business have been analysed between expenses relating to the acquisition of new business, maintenance of in-force business (including investment management expenses) and development projects.

§  All expected maintenance expense overruns affecting the covered business are allowed for in the calculations.

§  The MCEV makes provision for future development costs and one-off expenses (such as those incurred on the integration of businesses following an acquisition, restructuring costs and costs related to Solvency II implementation) that relate to covered business to the extent that such project costs are known with sufficient certainty, based on three year business plans.

§  Unallocated Group holding company expenses have been included to the extent that they are allocated to the covered business. The table below shows the proportion of future expenses attributable to the long-term business. The allocation of these expenses aligns to the proportion that the management expenses incurred by the covered businesses to the total management expenses incurred in the Group.



 

Group holding Company expenses attributable to long-term business




%



At

30 June

2012

At

30 June

2011

At

31 December

2011

Emerging Markets


18  

17  

17  

Wealth Management


9  

8  

8  

Nordic


-  

4  

3  

Total


27  

29  

28  

 

Economic assumptions

(a) Risk free reference rates and inflation

At 30 June 2012, no adjustments are made to swap yields to allow for liquidity premiums or credit risk premiums, apart from a liquidity premium adjustment to OMLAC(SA)'s Immediate Annuity business and Fixed Bond business. A liquidity premium adjustment is applied to OMLAC(SA)'s Fixed Bond business as OMLAC(SA) holds a portfolio of non-government bonds which have a market yield in excess of the risk free rate and the duration of the asset portfolio and the liability duration are a good match (meaning the asset portfolio is held to maturity). Cash flows on this product are also predictable and the company has adequate liquidity to withstand a substantial increase in lapses at all durations without having to sell bonds which further strengthens the case for applying a liquidity premium.

It is the directors' view that a proportion of non-government bond spreads at 30 June 2012 is attributable to a liquidity premium rather than only to credit and default allowances and that returns in excess of swap rates can be achieved, rather than entire spreads being lost to worsening default experience. For OMLAC(SA)'s Immediate Annuity business the currency, credit quality and duration of the actual bond portfolios were considered and adjusted risk free reference rates were derived at 30 June 2012 by adding 50bps of liquidity premium for this business (30 June 2011: 55bps; 31 December 2011: 50bps) to the swap rates used for setting investment return and discounting assumptions. For OMLAC(SA)'s Fixed Bond products 55 bps of liquidity premium was added to the swap rates (30 June 2011: 60bps; 31 December 2011: 50bps).These adjustments reflect the liquidity premium component in non-government bond spreads over swap rates that is expected to be earned on the portfolios. In deriving the liquidity premia at 30 June 2012, we have reviewed emerging Solvency II matching premium guidance and a comparison of the yields of similar durations on South African government bonds and bonds issues by state-owned enterprises. At those durations where swap yields are not available, e.g. due to lack of a sufficiently liquid or deep swap market, the swap curve is extended using appropriate interpolation or extrapolation techniques.

The risk free reference spot yields (excluding any applicable liquidity adjustments) and expense inflation rates at various terms for each of the significant regions are provided in the table below. The risk free reference spot yield curve has been derived from mid swap rates at the reporting date.



 

Risk free reference spot yields (excluding any applicable liquidity adjustments)









%


GBP

EUR

USD

ZAR

SEK

At 30 June 2012






1 year

1.0 

0.9 

0.5 

5.5 

-

5 years

1.4 

1.3 

1.0 

6.5 

-

10 years

2.2 

2.0 

1.8 

7.6 

-

20 years

3.0 

2.4 

2.5 

7.8 

-

At 30 June 2011






1 year

0.9 

2.0 

0.4 

6.2 

2.8 

5 years

2.4 

2.8 

2.1 

8.0 

3.3 

10 years

3.5 

3.4 

3.5 

8.6 

3.6 

20 years

4.0 

3.9 

4.3 

8.2 

3.8 

At 31 December 2011






1 year

1.4 

1.4 

0.7 

5.7 

2.1 

5 years

1.6 

1.7 

1.2 

7.1 

2.3 

10 years

2.4 

2.4 

2.1 

8.1 

2.5 

20 years

3.0 

2.7 

2.6 

8.1 

2.1 







Expense inflation











%


GBP

EUR

USD

ZAR

SEK

At 30 June 2012






1 year

3.0 

2.5 

3.0 

5.9 

-

5 years

3.2 

2.5 

3.0 

6.3 

-

10 years

3.5 

2.5 

3.0 

7.1 

-

20 years

4.1 

2.5 

3.0 

7.1 

-

At 30 June 2011






1 year

3.0 

2.5 

3.0 

5.7 

2.3 

5 years

3.9 

2.5 

3.0 

7.0 

2.9 

10 years

4.3 

2.5 

3.0 

7.5 

3.2 

20 years

4.8 

2.5 

3.0 

7.1 

3.1 

At 31 December 2011






1 year

3.0 

2.5 

3.0 

6.1 

1.3 

5 years

3.4 

2.5 

3.0 

7.0 

2.2 

10 years

3.8 

2.5 

3.0 

7.7 

2.5 

20 years

4.3 

2.5 

3.0 

7.5 

2.6 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 (b) Volatilities and correlations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 The at-the-money annualised asset volatility assumptions of the asset classes incorporated in the stochastic models are detailed below.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 ZAR volatilities1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

%

 Option term

1 year swap

5 year swap

10 year swap

20 year swap

Equity (total return index)2

 At 30 June 2012






 1 year

31.9 

26.0 

23.1 

22.9 

23.3 

 5 years

22.0 

21.3 

21.5 

22.3 

28.2 

 10 years

21.0 

22.2 

23.1 

23.0 

26.8 

 20 years

25.1 

24.9 

24.7 

23.6 

28.9 

 At 30 June 2011






 1 year

18.3 

16.8 

15.9 

15.5 

23.0 

 5 years

16.7 

16.0 

15.6 

15.2 

26.0 

 10 years

16.2 

15.8 

15.4 

14.7 

27.4 

 20 years

14.5 

14.1 

13.5 

12.5 

28.3 

 At 31 December 2011






 1 year

30.6 

25.0 

23.1 

23.3 

26.2 

 5 years

21.9 

21.5 

22.4 

23.0 

28.4 

 10 years

22.9 

23.8 

24.0 

23.5 

26.8 

 20 years

25.8 

25.7 

25.1 

23.7 

29.0 

Due to limited liquidity in the ZAR swaption market, the market consistent asset model has been calibrated by extrapolating swaption and equity implied volatility data beyond a term of one year and 5 years respectively for assumptions at 30 June 2012 and 31 December 2011 June 2011: (2 year and 3 years respectively).

December 2011 Equity implied volatilities were restated for comparability following ESG enhancements.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 USD volatilities






 

 

 

 

 

%

 Option term


1 year swap

5 year swap

10 year swap

20 year swap

 At 30 June 2012






 1 year


60.0 

48.9 

43.1 

37.1 

 5 years


42.3 

34.8 

31.7 

30.4 

 10 years


30.0 

27.9 

27.7 

26.8 

 20 years


26.0 

25.8 

25.0 

24.3 

 At 30 June 2011






 1 year


72.3 

43.3 

33.8 

26.4 

 5 years


25.0 

23.4 

21.4 

18.0 

 10 years


20.1 

20.3 

18.7 

15.5 

 20 years


17.2 

17.8 

16.1 

14.1 

 At 31 December 2011






 1 year


71.8 

49.1 

45.1 

41.8 

 5 years


42.1 

36.8 

34.6 

33.8 

 10 years


32.7 

31.2 

31.1 

29.9 

 20 years


29.8 

29.3 

27.9 

27.5 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 International equity volatilities (applicable to Bermuda)1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

%

 Option term

SPX

EWZ

TPX

HSCEI

TWY

KOSP12

NIFTY

SX5E

UKX

 At 30 June 2012










 1 year

22.9 

31.7 

25.9 

26.5 

21.4 

21.9 

20.4 

24.7 

22.0 

 5 years

26.0 

31.5 

27.0 

28.8 

23.3 

22.8 

26.0 

24.3 

24.6 

 10 years

26.0 

31.5 

27.0 

28.8 

23.3 

22.8 

26.0 

24.3 

24.6 

 At 30 June 2011










 1 year

20.8 

27.6 

25.8 

24.8 

20.3 

21.4 

21.1 

23.0 

20.6 

 5 years

23.4 

28.0 

26.7 

27.2 

23.2 

22.7 

25.1 

23.7 

23.2 

 10 years

23.4 

28.0 

26.7 

27.2 

23.2 

22.7 

25.1 

23.7 

23.2 

 At 31 December 2011










 1 year

25.0 

35.9 

26.7 

31.5 

26.1 

25.1 

25.6 

27.2 

23.9 

 5 years

27.8 

34.8 

28.0 

32.3 

25.0 

24.6 

25.2 

25.3 

25.0 

 10 years

27.8 

34.8 

28.0 

32.3 

25.0 

24.6 

25.2 

25.3 

25.0 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 International equity volatilities (applicable to Bermuda)1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

%

 Option term






EEM

USAgg

EUAgg

APAgg

 At 30 June 2012










 1 year






29.4 

5.5 

13.0 

12.3 

 5 years






30.5 

5.5 

13.0 

12.3 

 10 years






30.5 

5.5 

13.0 

12.3 

 At 30 June 2011










 1 year






26.4 

5.4 

12.9 

12.5 

 5 years






28.0 

5.4 

12.9 

12.5 

 10 years






28.0 

5.4 

12.9 

12.5 

 At 31 December 2011










 1 year






33.9 

5.5 

13.0 

12.3 

 5 years






33.0 

5.5 

13.0 

12.3 

 10 years






33.0 

5.5 

13.0 

12.3 

Long-term option implied volatility has been calibrated assuming a flat volatility term structure beyond 5 years due to limited data availability for some indices. The assumptions are shown as the annualised volatilities applicable over the entire option term specified, consistent with the disclosure of volatilities for other regions. These volatilities, as represented by their Bloomberg codes, refer to the price indices.



 

(c) Exchange rates

All MCEV figures are calculated in local currency and translated to GBP using the appropriate exchange rates as detailed in Note C2 of the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

(d) Expected asset returns in excess of the risk free reference rates

The expected asset returns in excess of the risk free reference rates have no bearing on the calculated MCEV other than the calculation of the expected existing business contribution in the analysis of MCEV earnings. Real-world economic assumptions are determined with reference to one-year forward risk free reference rates applicable to the currency of the liabilities at the start of the reporting period. All other economic assumptions, for example future bonus or crediting rates, are set at levels consistent with the real-world investment return assumptions.

Equity and property risk premiums incorporate both historical relationships and the directors' view of future projected returns in each region over the analysis period. Pre-tax real-world economic assumptions are determined as follows:

§  The equity risk premium is 3.5% for Africa and 3% for Europe.

§  The cash return equals the one year risk free reference rate for all regions.

§  The corporate bond return is based on actual corporate bond spreads on the reporting date less an allowance for defaults.

§  The property risk premium is 1.5% in Africa and 2% in Europe.

 (e) Tax





 The weighted average effective tax rates that apply to the cash flow projections at 30 June 2012 are set out below:

 

 

 

 

 

 Weighted average effective tax rates




%

 

 

At

30 June

2012

At

30 June

2011

At

31 December

2011

 OMLAC(SA)1

 

28 

33 

28 

 Wealth Management


12 

15 

13 

 Bermuda


                      -

-  

-  

 Nordic


                     n/a

The reduction in weighted average effective tax rate for OMLAC(SA) from 30 June 2011 to 30 June 2012 is as a result of the new dividend withholding tax effective from 1 April 2012 as detailed in Note A2 (c).


 

 

 

 

 

 B: Segment information





 B1: Components of Group MCEV and Adjusted Group MCEV





 

 

 

 

£m

 

Notes

At

30 June

2012

At

30 June

2011

At

31 December

2011

 Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent


5,757 

5,666 

5,193 

    Equity


7,965 

9,266 

8,488 

    Adjustment to IFRS net asset value

C5

(1,520)

(2,912)

(2,607)

    Adjustment to remove perpetual preferred callable securities


(688)

(688)

(688)

 Value of in-force business


3,416 

4,850 

4,535 

    Present value of future profits


4,042 

5,602 

5,248 

    Additional time value of financial options and guarantees


(100)

(163)

(136)

    Frictional costs


(245)

(268)

(243)

    Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks


(281)

(321)

(334)

 

 

 

 

 

 Group MCEV


9,173 

10,516 

9,728 

 Adjustments to bring Group investments to market value





 Adjustment to bring listed subsidiary (Nedbank) to market value


1,159 

969 

655 

 Adjustment for value of own shares in ESOP schemes1

 

106 

113 

117 

 Adjustment for present value of Black Economic Empowerment scheme deferred

  consideration1

 

273 

299 

270 

 Adjustment to bring external debt to market value


(51)

(57)

24 

 Adjusted Group MCEV


10,660 

11,840 

10,794 

 

 

 

 

 

 Group MCEV value per share (pence)


187.7 

190.2 

174.9 

 Adjusted Group MCEV per share (pence)


218.1 

214.1 

194.1 

 Number of shares in issue at the end of the financial period less

  treasury shares - millions


4,887 

5,529 

5,562 

 

 

 

 

 

 Return on Group MCEV (ROEV) per annum from core operations


8.0%

9.2%

8.8%

 Return on Group MCEV (ROEV) per annum from continuing non-core

  operations


0.5%

0.3%

0.5%

 Return on Group MCEV (ROEV) per annum from discontinued operations


0.5%

1.5%

1.4%

 Return on Group MCEV (ROEV2) per annum


9.0%

11.0%

10.7%

Includes adjustment for value of excess own shares in employee share scheme trusts. The movement in value between 31 December 2011 and 30 June 2012 is the net effect of the increase in the Old Mutual plc share price, the reduction in excess own shares following employee share grants in March 2011 and the reduction in overall shares held due to exercises of rights to take delivery of, or net settle, share grants during the financial period.

The ROEV is calculated as the adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax and non-controlling interests of £418 million (June 2011:£529 million; December 2011: £1,055 million) divided by the opening Group MCEV.



 

B: Segment information continued






B2: Adjusted operating MCEV earnings for the covered business







£m


Total covered business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging Markets

Wealth Management

Bermuda

Nordic


Six months ended 30 June 2012

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax

305 

264 

198 

66 

23 

18 

Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings

(60)

(60)

(54)

(6)

-  

-  

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax

245 

204 

144 

60 

23 

18 









£m


Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging Markets

Wealth Management

Bermuda

Nordic


Six months ended 30 June 2011

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax

447 

358 

241 

117 

11 

78 

Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings

(93)

(76)

(53)

(23)

(2)

(15)

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax

354 

282 

188 

94 

63 









£m


Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging Markets

Wealth Management

Bermuda

Nordic


Year ended 31 December 2011

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax

918 

714 

468 

246 

48 

156 

Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings

(191)

(162)

(119)

(43)

(1)

(28)

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax

727 

552 

349 

203 

47 

128 



 

 







 B3: Components of MCEV of the covered business







 

£m

 

Total covered business

Long Term

Savings

Emerging Markets

Wealth Management

Bermuda

Nordic

 

 At 30 June 2012

 Adjusted net worth

2,600 

2,368 

1,891 

477 

232 

-  

    Free surplus

687 

687 

520 

167 

-  

-  

    Required capital

1,913 

1,681 

1,371 

310 

232 

-  

 Value of in-force

3,416 

3,507 

1,440 

2,067 

(91)

-  

    Present value of future profits

4,042 

4,020 

1,799 

2,221 

22 

-  

    Additional time value of financial options and

   guarantees

(100)

(15)

-  

(15)

(85)

-  

    Frictional costs

(245)

(243)

(227)

(16)

(2)

-  

    Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(281)

(255)

(132)

(123)

(26)

-  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 MCEV

6,016 

5,875 

3,331 

2,544 

141 

-  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

 

Total covered business

Long Term

Savings

Emerging Markets

Wealth Management

Bermuda

Nordic

 

 At 30 June 2011

 Adjusted net worth

3,098 

2,491 

1,995 

496 

407 

200 

    Free surplus

689 

630 

470 

160 

-  

59 

    Required capital

2,409 

1,861 

1,525 

336 

407 

141 

 Value of in-force

4,850 

3,656 

1,440 

2,216 

(107)

1,301 

    Present value of future profits

5,602 

4,146 

1,778 

2,368 

79 

1,377 

    Additional time value of financial options and

   guarantees

(163)

(8)

-  

(8)

(155)

-  

    Frictional costs

(268)

(260)

(238)

(22)

(2)

(6)

    Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(321)

(222)

(100)

(122)

(29)

(70)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 MCEV

7,948 

6,147 

3,435 

2,712 

300 

1,501 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

 

Total covered business

Long Term

Savings

Emerging Markets1

Wealth Management

Bermuda

Nordic

 

 At 31 December 2011

 Adjusted net worth

2,676 

2,204 

1,768 

436 

187 

285 

    Free surplus

680 

522 

400 

122 

-  

158 

    Required capital

1,996 

1,682 

1,368 

314 

187 

127 

 Value of in-force

4,536 

3,509 

1,399 

2,110 

(121)

1,148 

    Present value of future profits

5,248 

4,001 

1,740 

2,261 

36 

1,211 

    Additional time value of financial options and

   guarantees

(136)

(14)

-  

(14)

(122)

-  

    Frictional costs

(243)

(236)

(218)

(18)

(2)

(5)

    Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(333)

(242)

(123)

(119)

(33)

(58)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 MCEV

7,212 

5,713 

3,167 

2,546 

66 

1,433 

The required capital in respect of Emerging Markets is partially covered by the market value of the Group's investments in banking and general insurance in South Africa. On consolidation these investments are shown separately.



 

B: Segment information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)












£m

Total covered business

6 months ended 30 June 2012


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

680 

1,996 

2,676 

4,536 

7,212 

New business value

(154)

74 

(80)

154 

74 

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

11 

36 

47 

79 

126 

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

18 

20 

24 

44 

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

379 

(113)

266 

(266)

-  

Experience variances

17 

25 

13 

38 

Assumption changes

(5)

-  

(5)

-  

(5)

Other operating variance

(44)

48 

(36)

(32)

Operating MCEV earnings

197 

80 

277 

(32)

245 

Economic variances

86 

91 

108 

199 

Other non-operating variance

(32)

-  

(32)

(3)

(35)

Total MCEV earnings

251 

85 

336 

73 

409 

Closing adjustments

(244)

(168)

(412)

(1,193)

(1,605)

   Capital and dividend flows

(70)

(1)

(71)

-  

(71)

   Foreign exchange variance

(15)

(40)

(55)

(45)

(100)

   MCEV of acquired/sold business

(159)

(127)

(286)

(1,148)

(1,434)







Closing MCEV

687 

1,913 

2,600 

3,416 

6,016 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)% per annum





7.3%







Return on MCEV for total covered business is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.



 

 
































£m

































6 months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

507 

2,844 

3,351 

4,164 

7,515 

507 

2,844 

3,351 

4,164 

7,515 

New business value

(231)

82 

(149)

257 

108 

(444)

187 

(257)

490 

233 

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

36 

43 

92 

135 

17 

65 

82 

179 

261 

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

18 

21 

44 

65 

34 

41 

87 

128 

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

496 

(119)

377 

(377)

-  

943 

(236)

707 

(707)

-  

Experience variances

19 

13 

32 

48 

80 

10 

30 

40 

111 

151 

Assumption changes

-  

(6)

(4)

23 

27 

28 

Other operating variance

(21)

24 

(33)

(30)

188 

(205)

(17)

(57)

(74)

Operating MCEV earnings

275 

54 

329 

25 

354 

744 

(121)

623 

104 

727 

Economic variances

38 

(8)

30 

(63)

(33)

(221)

(22)

(243)

(214)

(457)

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

-  

32 

33 

93 

126 

Total MCEV earnings

313 

46 

359 

(32)

327 

555 

(142)

413 

(17)

396 

Closing adjustments

(131)

(481)

(612)

718 

106 

(382)

(706)

(1,088)

389 

(699)

(56)

69 

13 

-  

13 

(243)

55 

(188)

-  

(188)

(11)

(101)

(112)

23 

(89)

(75)

(312)

(387)

(306)

(693)

(64)

(449)

(513)

695 

182 

(64)

(449)

(513)

695 

182 












Closing MCEV

689 

2,409 

3,098 

4,850 

7,948 

680 

1,996 

2,676 

4,536 

7,212 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





9.9%





9.7%



 

B: Segment Information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)continued

 

The Long Term Savings segment consists of Emerging Markets and Wealth Management.
















£m

Long Term Savings (LTS)

6 months ended 30 June 2012


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

522 

1,682 

2,204 

3,509 

5,713 

New business value

(154)

74 

(80)

154 

74 

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

11 

35 

46 

76 

122 

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

19 

27 

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

386 

(97)

289 

(289)

-  

Experience variances

(27)

17 

(10)

23 

13 

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other operating variance

(1)

(39)

(32)

Operating MCEV earnings

226 

34 

260 

(56)

204 

Economic variances

39 

44 

102 

146 

Other non-operating variance

(14)

-  

(14)

(3)

(17)

Total MCEV earnings

251 

39 

290 

43 

333 

Closing adjustments

(86)

(40)

(126)

(45)

(171)

   Capital and dividend flows

(70)

(1)

(71)

-  

(71)

   Foreign exchange variance

(16)

(39)

(55)

(45)

(100)

   MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  







Closing MCEV

687 

1,681 

2,368 

3,507 

5,875 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)% per annum





7.7%







Return on MCEV is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.




 

 












































































£m


6 months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

390 

1,838 

2,228 

3,685 

5,913 

390 

1,838 

2,228 

3,685 

5,913 

New business value

(202)

78 

(124)

204 

80 

(390)

179 

(211)

388 

177 

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

34 

39 

71 

110 

14 

60 

74 

137 

211 

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

20 

29 

10 

17 

40 

57 

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

397 

(91)

306 

(306)

-  

748 

(179)

569 

(569)

-  

Experience variances

17 

10 

27 

61 

88 

(5)

32 

27 

103 

130 

Assumption changes

-  

(3)

(2)

13 

27 

40 

Other operating variance

11 

(8)

(26)

(23)

33 

(28)

(68)

(63)

Operating MCEV earnings

232 

29 

261 

21 

282 

416 

78 

494 

58 

552 

Economic variances

39 

(2)

37 

(13)

24 

23 

(6)

17 

(24)

(7)

Other non-operating variance

-  

10 

(7)

-  

(7)

96 

89 

Total MCEV earnings

275 

27 

302 

14 

316 

432 

72 

504 

130 

634 

Closing adjustments

(35)

(4)

(39)

(43)

(82)

(300)

(228)

(528)

(306)

(834)

Capital and dividend flows

(25)

69 

44 

-  

44 

(232)

55 

(177)

-  

(177)

Foreign exchange variance

(10)

(73)

(83)

(43)

(126)

(68)

(283)

(351)

(306)

(657)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  












Closing MCEV

630 

1,861 

2,491 

3,656 

6,147 

522 

1,682 

2,204 

3,509 

5,713 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





10.0%





9.3%



 

B: Segment Information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)continued

 

 











£m

Emerging Markets 1

6 months ended 30 June 2012


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

400 

1,368 

1,768 

1,399 

3,167 

New business value

(84)

63 

(21)

73 

52 

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

34 

43 

56 

99 

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

15 

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

196 

(76)

120 

(120)

-  

Experience variances

(2)

13 

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other operating variance

-  

(40)

(35)

Operating MCEV earnings

126 

34 

160 

(16)

144 

Economic variances

24 

27 

94 

121 

Other non-operating variance

(14)

-  

(14)

(7)

(21)

Total MCEV earnings

136 

37 

173 

71 

244 

Closing adjustments

(16)

(34)

(50)

(30)

(80)

Capital and dividend flows

(1)

-  

(1)

-  

(1)

Foreign exchange variance

(15)

(34)

(49)

(30)

(79)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  







Closing MCEV

520 

1,371 

1,891 

1,440 

3,331 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)% per annum





10.2%







1 The MCEV for Emerging Markets is presented after the adjustment for market value of life fund investments in Group equity and debt instruments.

Return on MCEV is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in rand. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.

 

Overview

New Business: The new business value increased (compared to H1 2011) largely driven by an improvement in new business margins, with higher recurring premium sales, particularly in the Mass Foundation cluster. This is mostly offset by lower single premium sales in Retail Affluent and Corporate .

Operating earnings: Operating profits on the in-force book decreased (compared to H1 2011) largely due to lower experience variances in aggregate following assumption changes at 31 December 2011.

Non-operating earnings and closing adjustments: The most material impacts were a positive contribution from favourable market conditions and foreign exchange losses due to the depreciation of the rand against sterling .



 











£m


6 months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

306 

1,498 

1,804 

1,509 

3,313 

306 

1,498 

1,804 

1,509 

3,313 

New business value

(93)

66 

(27)

65 

38 

(189)

155 

(34)

133 

99 

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

31 

37 

54 

91 

11 

58 

69 

105 

174 

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

16 

10 

12 

18 

30 

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

193 

(75)

118 

(118)

-  

359 

(150)

209 

(209)

-  

Experience variances

35 

41 

33 

74 

28 

24 

52 

50 

102 

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other operating variance

(21)

(2)

(23)

(8)

(31)

(7)

(11)

(18)

(44)

(62)

Operating MCEV earnings

121 

32 

153 

35 

188 

205 

90 

295 

54 

349 

Economic variances

29 

33 

(25)

23 

32 

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

(7)

-  

(7)

100 

93 

Total MCEV earnings

154 

36 

190 

10 

200 

199 

98 

297 

177 

474 

Closing adjustments

10 

(9)

(79)

(78)

(105)

(228)

(333)

(287)

(620)

Capital and dividend flows

25 

69 

94 

-  

94 

(39)

51 

12 

-  

12 

Foreign exchange variance

(15)

(78)

(93)

(79)

(172)

(66)

(279)

(345)

(287)

(632)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  












Closing MCEV

470 

1,525 

1,995 

1,440 

3,435 

400 

1,368 

1,768 

1,399 

3,167 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





13.3%





11.9%

 

New Business

New business margins were positively impacted by operating assumption changes at 31 December 2011 (mainly those relating to persistency), a more favourable economic basis, the effect of moving to a dividend withholding tax regime, as well as a shift in mix of sales towards higher margin recurring premium products.

 

Expected existing business contribution

The unwind of returns on the in-force business over H1 2012 was slightly higher than H1 2011. The higher unwind was the combined effect of higher 1-year risk-free rates and a higher opening MCEV balance on which the unwind is based.

 

Experience variances

Experience variances were less positive (compared to H1 2011) following the operating assumption changes made in December 2011. Mortality and morbidity variances were consistent with 2011 as a result of continued good experience in Retail Affluent and Mass Foundation Cluster, as well as an improvement on the Corporate Group Assurance business. Experience variances were also impacted by higher than expected taxation and central costs, partially offset by the release of provisions held in respect of legacy products.

 

Other operating variances

The negative other operating variance consists of miscellaneous modelling and methodology changes, including an increase in the CNHR resulting from the recalculation of the non-hedgeable risk capital.

 

Economic variances

Favourable economic variances in 2012 were a result of positive market performance, including a 7% rise in the JSE SWIX price index, and a reduction in the level of the South African swap curve.

 

Other non-operating variances

Other non-operating variances consist mainly of modelling changes to incorporate the new South African dividend withholding tax regime and higher capital gains tax in the calculation of policyholder investment returns in MCEV models.

 

Capital and dividend flows

This includes the net impact of dividends, partially offset by the proceeds from the net sale of the plc loan note in Bahamas, and the transfer of the Zimbabwean and Namibian holding companies from the non-covered to the covered business.

 

Foreign exchange effects

The negative foreign exchange result was due to a 2% depreciation in the rand against sterling over H1 2012.



 

B: Segment Information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)continued

 






£m

Wealth Management

6 months ended 30 June 2012


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

122 

314 

436 

2,110 

2,546 

New business value

(70)

11 

(59)

81 

22 

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

20 

23 

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-  

-  

-  

12 

12 

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

190 

(21)

169 

(169)

-  

Experience variances

(25)

10 

(15)

15 

-  

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other operating variance

(1)

Operating MCEV earnings

100 

-  

100 

(40)

60 

Economic variances

15 

17 

25 

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

-  

Total MCEV earnings

115 

117 

(28)

89 

Closing adjustments

(70)

(6)

(76)

(15)

(91)

Capital and dividend flows

(69)

(1)

(70)

-  

(70)

Foreign exchange variance

(1)

(5)

(6)

(15)

(21)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  







Closing MCEV

167 

310 

477 

2,067 

2,544 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)% per annum





4.6%







Return on MCEV is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.

 

Overview

New business: The new business value decreased (compared to H1 2011), driven by lower volumes and lower new business margins. UK Legacy sales were impacted by the managed reduction in available product range, whereas offshore international market sales decreased largely due to concerns relating to the eurozone and uncertainty surrounding the Qualifying Recognised Overseas Pensions Scheme (QROPS) proposition given changes in qualifying criteria published by the HMRC.

Operating earnings: Operating profits on the in-force book decreased (compared to H1 2011) due to a reduced new business value and lower experience variances following the release of prudence margins at 31 December 2011.

Non-operating earnings and closing adjustments: The most material impacts were from capital returned to Group in the year, a positive contribution from favourable market conditions, and foreign exchange losses due to the depreciation of the euro against sterling.



               











£m


6 months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

84 

340 

424 

2,176 

2,600 

84 

340 

424 

2,176 

2,600 

New business value

(109)

12 

(97)

139 

42 

(201)

24 

(177)

255 

78 

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

(1)

17 

19 

32 

37 

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

-  

11 

13 

-  

22 

27 

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

204 

(16)

188 

(188)

-  

389 

(29)

360 

(360)

-  

Experience variances

(18)

(14)

28 

14 

(33)

(25)

53 

28 

Assumption changes

-  

(3)

(2)

-  

26 

34 

Other operating variance

32 

(6)

26 

(18)

40 

(17)

23 

(24)

(1)

Operating MCEV earnings

111 

(3)

108 

(14)

94 

211 

(12)

199 

203 

Economic variances

10 

(6)

12 

16 

22 

(14)

(47)

(39)

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

(4)

(4)

Total MCEV earnings

121 

(9)

112 

116 

233 

(26)

207 

(47)

160 

Closing adjustments

(45)

(40)

36 

(4)

(195)

-  

(195)

(19)

(214)

Capital and dividend flows

(50)

-  

(50)

-  

(50)

(193)

(189)

-  

(189)

Foreign exchange variance

10 

36 

46 

(2)

(4)

(6)

(19)

(25)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  












Closing MCEV

160 

336 

496 

2,216 

2,712 

122 

314 

436 

2,110 

2,546 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





7.0%





7.8%

 

New Business

New business margins were negatively affected by a reduction in sales volumes and the shift to a less profitable product mix in the offshore international market, partially offset a more favourable economic basis and favourable UK corporation tax changes.

 

Experience variances

Experience variances reduced (compared to H1 2011) following the release of prudence margins at 31 December 2011. A positive persistency variance emerged as assumptions made to anticipate the effects of the Retail Distribution Review (RDR) have yet to emerge on the legacy business in the UK. This was offset by maintenance expense losses due to expense over-runs in Wealth Management Europe.

 

Economic variances

Favourable economic variances in 2012 were a result of positive market performance and a reduction in the level of the UK and euro swap curves.

 

Other non-operating variances

Other non-operating variances include the benefit of reductions in headline UK corporation tax from 25% to 23% of £9m.

 

Capital and dividend flows and Foreign exchange effects

Transfers from covered business mainly relate to dividend payments to Group, namely a £27m dividend from International and a £36m dividend from Wealth Management Europe.

Foreign exchange effects

The foreign exchange variance is mainly due to unfavourable exchange rate movements on translation as a result of a 4% depreciation of the euro against sterling over H1 2011.



B: Segment Information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)continued

 






£m

Bermuda

6 months ended 30 June 2012


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

-  

187 

187 

(121)

66 

New business value

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-  

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-  

12 

12 

17 

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

(7)

(16)

(23)

23 

-  

Experience variances

17 

-  

17 

(10)

Assumption changes

(5)

-  

(5)

-  

(5)

Other operating variance

(52)

49 

(3)

-  

Operating MCEV earnings

(47)

46 

(1)

24 

23 

Economic variances

47 

-  

47 

53 

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Total MCEV earnings

-  

46 

46 

30 

76 

Closing adjustments

-  

(1)

(1)

-  

(1)

Capital and dividend flows

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Foreign exchange variance

-  

(1)

(1)

-  

(1)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  







Closing MCEV

-  

232 

232 

(91)

141 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)% per annum





76.5%







Return on MCEV is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in US dollars. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.

 

Bermuda

Overview

Operating earnings: Operating profits increased (compared to H1 2011) mainly due to positive persistency variances on Variable Annuity products mainly due to the release of reserves for guaranteed benefits and the impact of one-off modelling changes in 2011 that were not repeated.

Non-operating earnings and closing adjustments:  The most material impact was the reduction in Variable Annuity Guaranteed Minimum Accumulation Benefit (GMAB) reserves, largely due to positive capital market conditions in H1 2011.



 






















£m


6 months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

-  

403 

403 

(116)

287 

-  

403 

403 

(116)

287 

New business value

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

-  

-  

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

-  

12 

12 

20 

-  

24 

24 

14 

38 

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

34 

(28)

(6)

-  

66 

(57)

(9)

-  

Experience variances

-  

(9)

(8)

16 

(1)

15 

24 

Assumption changes

-  

(3)

(2)

14 

-  

14 

(22)

(8)

Other operating variance

(32)

32 

-  

(5)

(5)

155 

(177)

(22)

(15)

Operating MCEV earnings

17 

21 

(12)

251 

(209)

42 

47 

Economic variances

(4)

-  

(4)

18 

14 

(251)

-  

(251)

(10)

(261)

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Total MCEV earnings

-  

17 

17 

23 

-  

(209)

(209)

(5)

(214)

Closing adjustments

-  

(13)

(13)

(10)

-  

(7)

(7)

-  

(7)

Capital and dividend flows

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Foreign exchange variance

-  

(13)

(13)

(10)

-  

(7)

(7)

-  

(7)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  












Closing MCEV

-  

407 

407 

(107)

300 

-  

187 

187 

(121)

66 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





9.4%





17.0%

 

Experience variances

The positive experience variance in 2012 was mainly driven by higher than expected surrenders of Variable Annuity contracts with Universal Guarantee Option (UGO) benefits.  Both non-Hong-Kong UGO and Hong-Kong UGO contracts had better than anticipated experience following 5th anniversary top-up dates.  The improved persistency experience resulted in an ANW increase of £17 million (due to the release of reserves for guaranteed benefits), partially offset by a reduction in the VIF of £9 million (due to the lower expected fee income).

 

Operating assumption changes

The negative variance of £5 million is primarily due to updates to assumed global index exposure used in the valuation of Variable Annuity guarantees.

 

Other operating variances

The movement between free surplus and required capital is mainly due to the current policy of calculating required capital as the ANW held in the business.

 

Economic variances

Favourable economic variances were largely due to positive capital market conditions reducing the value of Variable Annuity GMAB reserves.



 

B: Segment Information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)continued

 






£m

Nordic

6 months ended 30 June 2012


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

158 

127 

285 

1,148 

1,433 

New business value

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Experience variances

18 

-  

18 

-  

18 

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other operating variance

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Operating MCEV earnings

18 

-  

18 

-  

18 

Economic variances

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other non-operating variance

(18)

-  

(18)

-  

(18)

Total MCEV earnings

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Closing adjustments

(158)

(127)

(285)

(1,148)

(1,433)

Capital and dividend flows

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Foreign exchange variance

-  

-  

MCEV of acquired/sold business

(159)

(127)

(286)

(1,148)

(1,434)







Closing MCEV

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Return on MCEV (RoEV)% per annum





2.6%







Return on MCEV for total covered business is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in Krona.

Following the sale of the Nordic business unit, the MCEV earnings of the business unit have been categorised as discontinued within the MCEV results and the comparative information has been reclassified where applicable to reflect this. Nordic has been treated as non-modelled for 2012 reporting purposes with earnings for the period to 21 March 2012 reported on an IFRS basis.



 

 












































































£m


6 months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

51 

135 

186 

1,318 

1,504 

51 

135 

186 

1,318 

1,504 

New business value

(29)

(25)

53 

28 

(54)

(46)

102 

56 

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

18 

21 

36 

42 

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

-  

-  

-  

16 

16 

-  

-  

-  

33 

33 

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

65 

-  

65 

(65)

-  

129 

-  

129 

(129)

-  

Experience variances

(4)

-  

(1)

(1)

(2)

(1)

(3)

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

(4)

(4)

Other operating variance

-  

-  

-  

(2)

(2)

-  

-  

-  

Operating MCEV earnings

39 

47 

16 

63 

77 

10 

87 

41 

128 

Economic variances

(6)

(3)

(68)

(71)

(16)

(9)

(180)

(189)

Other non-operating variance

(4)

-  

(4)

-  

(4)

39 

40 

(3)

37 

Total MCEV earnings

38 

40 

(52)

(12)

123 

(5)

118 

(142)

(24)

Closing adjustments

(30)

(26)

35 

(16)

(3)

(19)

(28)

(47)

Capital and dividend flows

(31)

-  

(31)

-  

(31)

(11)

-  

(11)

-  

(11)

Foreign exchange variance

35 

40 

(5)

(3)

(8)

(28)

(36)

MCEV of acquired/sold business

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  












Closing MCEV

59 

141 

200 

1,301 

1,501 

158 

127 

285 

1,148 

1,433 

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





8.4%





8.5%



 

B: Segment Information continued

B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

 











B4: Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

 





























































£m

US Life

Six months ended 30 June 2011

Year ended 31 December 2011


Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free

surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV

66  

468  

534  

(723)

(189)

66  

468  

534  

(723)

(189)

New business value

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Expected existing business

  contribution (reference rate)

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Expected existing business

  contribution (in excess of

  reference rate)

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Transfers from VIF and required

  capital to free surplus

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Experience variances

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Assumption changes

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other operating variance

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Operating MCEV earnings

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Economic variances

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Other non-operating variance

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Total MCEV earnings

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Closing adjustments

(66)

(468)

(534)

723  

189  

(66)

(468)

(534)

723  

189  

Capital and dividend flows

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Foreign exchange variance

(2)

(19)

(21)

28  

7  

(2)

(19)

(21)

28  

7  

MCEV of acquired/sold business

(64)

(449)

(513)

695  

182  

(64)

(449)

(513)

695  

182  












Closing MCEV

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Return on MCEV (RoEV)%

  per annum





-  





-  

 

For the year ended 31 December 2011, Old Mutual Reassurance (Ireland) Limited (OMRe), which provides reinsurance to the United States Life Companies, is included within the Old Mutual plc results. For all comparative periods, the results for US Life include allowance for OMRe.

The sale of the US Life insurance business to Harbinger Capital Partners was completed, following regulatory approval, on 7 April 2011. This transaction has resulted in an uplift of £451 million to the adjusted Group MCEV, based on the 31 December 2010 value for US Life.


C: Other key performance information

C1: Value of new business (after tax)

The tables below set out the regional analysis of the value of new business (VNB) after tax. New business profitability is measured by both the ratio of the VNB to the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) as well as to the annual premium equivalent (APE), and shown under PVNBP margin and APE margin below. APE is calculated as recurring premiums plus 10% of single premiums. Bermuda is excluded from the tables below as it is closed to new business.

 










Six months ended 30 June 2012

£m


Annualised recurring premiums

Single premiums

PVNBP

PVNBP capitalisation factors1

APE

VNB

PVNBP margin

APE margin

Long Term Savings

259 

2,836 

4,122 

5.0  

542 

74 

1.8%

14%

   Emerging Markets

177 

593 

1,498 

5.1  

235 

52 

3.5%

22%

   Wealth Management

82 

2,243 

2,624 

4.6  

307 

22 

0.8%

7%

Nordic

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Total covered business

259 

2,836 

4,122 

5.0  

542 

74 

1.8%

14%



















Six months ended 30 June 2011

£m


Annualised recurring premiums

Single premiums

PVNBP

PVNBP capitalisation factors1

APE

VNB

PVNBP margin

APE margin

Long Term Savings

292 

3,455 

4,909 

5.0  

637 

80 

1.6%

13%

   Emerging Markets

176 

797 

1,656 

4.9  

255 

38 

2.3%

15%

   Wealth Management

116 

2,658 

3,253 

5.1  

382 

42 

1.3%

11%

Nordic

83 

420 

736 

3.8  

126 

28 

3.9%

23%

Total covered business

375 

3,875 

5,645 

4.7  

763 

108 

1.9%

14%



















Year ended 31 December 2011

£m


Annualised recurring premiums

Single premiums

PVNBP

PVNBP capitalisation factors1

APE

VNB

PVNBP margin

APE margin

Long Term Savings

569 

6,211 

9,113 

5.1  

1,189 

177 

1.9%

15%

   Emerging Markets

363 

1,441 

3,295 

5.1  

506 

99 

3.0%

20%

   Wealth Management

206 

4,770 

5,818 

5.1  

683 

78 

1.3%

11%

Nordic

153 

753 

1,347 

3.9  

229 

56 

4.2%

25%

Total covered business

722 

6,964 

10,460 

4.8  

1,418 

233 

2.2%

16%










1 The PVNBP capitalisation factors are calculated as follows: (PVNBP - single premiums)/annualised recurring premiums.

 

The value of new individual unit trust linked retirement annuities and pension fund asset management business written by the Emerging Markets long-term business of £518 million (30 June 2011: £465 million; 31 December 2011: £884 million) is excluded as the profits on this business arise in the asset management business. The value of new business also excludes premium increases arising from indexation arrangements in respect of existing business, as these are already included in the value of in-force business.

The value of new institutional investment platform pensions business written in Wealth Management of £322 million (30 June 2011: £229 million; 31 December 2011: £704 million) is excluded as this is more appropriately classified as unit trust business.

New business single premiums of £16 million (31 December 2011: £31 million), annualised recurring premiums of £9 million (31 December 2011: £14 million), and APE of £11 million (31 December 2011: £17 million), in respect of the life business in Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, Swaziland, and Zimbabwe have been excluded from the above tables, as no value of new business and PVNBP calculations have been performed for these businesses.

New business recurring premiums of £8 million in relation to credit life sales in Emerging Markets have been excluded in APE figures and annualised recurring premium.



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 C: Other key performance information continued

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 C2: Drivers of new business value for covered business (PVNBP margin)1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

%

 12 months ended 30 June 2012

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Nordic

 Margin at the end of comparative period

1.6 

1.6 

2.3 

1.3 

-  

 Change in volume

(0.4)

(0.4)

-  

(0.6)

-  

 Change in country and product mix

0.2 

0.2 

0.2 

-  

-  

 Change in operating assumptions

0.2 

0.2 

0.6 

-  

-  

 Change in economic assumptions

0.1 

0.1 

0.2 

0.1 

-  

 Change in tax/regulation

0.1 

0.1 

0.2 

-  

-  

 Exchange rate movements

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Margin at the end of the period

1.8 

1.8 

3.5 

0.8 

-  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 1 The PVNBP margin changes are calculated in the business unit reporting currency.

 

 

 

 

 

%

 12 months ended 31 December 2011

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Nordic

 Margin at the end of comparative period

1.8 

1.6 

2.6 

1.1 

3.7 

 Change in volume

0.2 

0.1 

0.3 

-  

0.1 

 Change in country and product mix

(0.2)

(0.2)

(0.6)

(0.1)

0.4 

 Change in operating assumptions

0.2 

0.2 

0.4 

0.1 

(0.1)

 Change in economic assumptions

0.2 

0.2 

0.4 

0.1 

0.1 

 Change in tax/regulation

-  

-  

(0.1)

0.1 

-  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Margin at the end of the period

2.2 

1.9 

3.0 

1.3 

4.2 

 

 

C3: Adjustments applied in determining total Group MCEV earnings before tax


















£m



6 months ended 30 June 2012

6 months ended 30 June 2011



Covered

business

MCEV

Non-

covered

business

IFRS

Total

Group

MCEV

Covered

business

MCEV

Non-

covered

business

IFRS

Total

Group

MCEV

Income/(expense)







Goodwill impairment and amortisation of non-covered

   business acquired intangible assets and impact of

   acquisition accounting

-  

(5)

(5)

-  

(11)

(11)

Economic variances

214 

(5)

209 

(49)

(11)

(60)

Other non-operating variances

(54)

-  

(54)

-  

Acquired/divested business

-  

20 

20 

-  

180 

180 

Other Group adjustments related to Nordic disposal

-  

392 

392 

-  

-  

-  

Adjusted Group MCEV uplift from sale of Nordic

-  

202 

202 

-  

-  

-  

Dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable

   securities

-  

21 

21 

-  

22 

22 

Adjusting items relating to US Asset Management equity

  plans and non-controlling interests

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

-  

Fair value gains on Group debt instruments

-  

(36)

(36)

-  

(50)

(50)

Adjusting items

160 

589 

749 

(48)

130 

82 

Adjusting items from continuing operations

178 

(3)

175 

28 

133 

161 

Adjusting items from discontinued operations

(18)

592 

574 

(76)

(3)

(79)

Total MCEV adjusting items

160 

589 

749 

(48)

130 

82 





































£m






Year ended 31 December 2011




Covered

business

MCEV

Non-

covered

business

IFRS

Total

Group

MCEV




Income/(expense)







Goodwill impairment and amortisation of non-covered

   business acquired intangible assets and impact of

   acquisition accounting

-  

(283)

(283)




Economic variances

(554)

(28)

(582)




Other non-operating variances

22 

-  

22 




Acquired/divested business1

-  

182 

182 




Dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable

   securities

-  

44 

44 




Adjusting items relating to US Asset Management equity

   plans and non-controlling interests

-  

(3)

(3)




Fair value gains on Group debt instruments

-  

22 

22 




Adjusting items

(532)

(66)

(598)




Adjusting items from continuing operations

(378)

(59)

(437)




Adjusting items from discontinued operations

(154)

(7)

(161)




Total MCEV adjusting items

(532)

(66)

(598)












This relates to the non-covered businesses in Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, Swaziland, and Zimbabwe that were included for the first time during 2011.



 

 
















C: Other key performance information continued

 













C4: Other movements in IFRS net equity impacting Group MCEV


















£m



6 months ended 30 June 2012

6 months ended 30 June 2011



Covered

business

MCEV

Non-

covered

business

IFRS

Total

Group

MCEV

Covered

business

MCEV

Non-

covered

business

IFRS

Total

Group

MCEV

Fair value movements1

-  

(347)

(347)

-  

Net investment hedge

-  

123 

123 

-  

(25)

(25)

Currency translation/ exchange differences and

  other movements

(100)

(326)

(426)

(89)

(207)

(296)

Aggregate tax effects of items taken directly to or transferred

   from equity

-  

-  

Other movements2

(1,434)

1,434 

-  

182 

18 

200 

Net income recognised directly into equity

(1,534)

888 

(646)

93 

(207)

(114)

Capital and dividend flows for the year

(71)

(1,044)

(1,115)

(56)

(19)

(75)

Inclusion of other African life businesses

-  

-  

-  

69 

-  

69 

Net purchase of treasury shares

-  

(2)

(2)

-  

(18)

(18)

Shares issued in lieu of cash dividends

-  

-  

-  

-  

91 

91 

Other shares issued

-  

25 

25 

-  

Change in share based payment reserve

-  

23 

23 

-  

21 

21 

Other movements in net equity

(1,605)

(110)

(1,715)

106 

(128)

(22)













£m






Year ended 31 December 2011




Covered

business

MCEV

Non-

covered

business

IFRS

Total

Group

MCEV




Fair value gains

-  

24 

24 




Net investment hedge

-  

28 

28 




Currency translation/ exchange differences and

  other movements

(693)

(498)

(1,191)




Aggregate tax effects of items taken directly to or transferred

   from equity

-  

11 

11 




Other movements

182 

128 

310 




Net income recognised directly into equity

(511)

(307)

(818)




Capital and dividend flows for the year

(257)

(8)

(265)




Inclusion of other African life businesses

69 

-  

69 




Net purchase of treasury shares

-  

(17)

(17)




Shares issued in lieu of cash dividends

-  

124 

124 




Other shares issued

-  

10 

10 




Change in share based payment reserve

-  

50 

50 




Other movements in net equity

(699)

(148)

(847)












Fair value movements include realisation of foreign exchange reserve on disposal of £(350) million and a fair value movement of £3 million

The June 2012 amount relates to the transfer of Nordic covered MCEV balance on disposal. June 2011 reflects movements in respect of the disposal of US Life.



 

C5: Reconciliation of MCEV adjusted net worth to IFRS net asset value for the covered business










The table below provides a reconciliation of the MCEV adjusted net worth (ANW) to the IFRS net asset value (NAV) for the covered business.







£m

At 30 June 2012

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Bermuda

Nordic

IFRS net asset value1

4,062 

3,813 

1,355 

2,458 

249 

-  

Adjustment to include long-term business on a

  statutory solvency basis

(1,024)

(1,007)

187 

(1,194)

(17)

-  

Inclusion of Group equity and debt instruments

  held in life funds2

353 

353 

356 

(3)

-  

-  

Goodwill

(791)

(791)

(7)

(784)

-  

-  

Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary

  equity holders of the parent

2,600 

2,368 

1,891 

477 

232 

-  

1 IFRS net asset value is after elimination of inter-company loans.

2 A further £(58) million (June 2011: £(82) million; December 2011: £(69) million) relates to the non-covered business.














£m

At 30 June 2011

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Bermuda

Nordic

IFRS net asset value1

5,859 

3,995 

1,339 

2,656 

441 

1,423 

Adjustment to include long-term business on a

  statutory solvency basis

(2,201)

(1,155)

199 

(1,354)

(34)

(1,012)

Inclusion of Group equity and debt instruments

  held in life funds2

396 

396 

396 

-  

-  

-  

Goodwill

(1,025)

(814)

(8)

(806)

-  

(211)

Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary

  equity holders of the parent

3,029 

2,422 

1,926 

496 

407 

200 














£m

At 31 December 2011

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Bermuda

Nordic

IFRS net asset value1

5,214 

3,744 

1,230 

2,514 

201 

1,269 

Adjustment to include long-term business on a

  statutory solvency basis

(1,905)

(1,108)

182 

(1,290)

(14)

(783)

Inclusion of Group equity and debt instruments

  held in life funds2

365 

365 

365 

-  

-  

-  

Goodwill

(998)

(797)

(9)

(788)

-  

(201)

Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary

  equity holders of the parent

2,676 

2,204 

1,768 

436 

187 

285 

 

 

The adjustments to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis reflect the difference between the net worth of each business on the statutory basis (as required by the local regulator) and their portion of the Group's consolidated equity shareholder funds. In South Africa, these values exclude items that are eliminated or shown separately on consolidation (such as Nedbank and inter-company loans). For some European countries the value reflected in the adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis includes the value of the deferred acquisition cost asset, which is part of the equity.

The adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis includes the following:

§  The excess of the IFRS amount of the deferred acquisition cost (DAC) and value of business acquired (VOBA) assets over the statutory levels included in the VIF with the exception of the Bermuda business where DAC is an admissible asset under local statutory basis.

§  When projecting future profits on a statutory basis, the VIF includes the shareholders' value of unrealised capital gains. To the extent that assets in IFRS are valued at market and the market value is higher than the statutory book value, these profits have already been taken into account in the IFRS equity. For Bermuda business, VIF reflects the impact of amortizing DAC allowed under the ANW.


D1: Sensitivity tests

The tables below show the sensitivity of the MCEV, value of in-force business at 30 June 2012 and the value of new business for the six months ended 30 June 2012 to changes in key assumptions.

§ Economic assumptions 1% increase: Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

§ Economic assumptions 1% decrease:  Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

§ 10bps increase of liquidity spreads: Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately ( for Emerging Markets only).

 

For each sensitivity illustrated all other assumptions have been left unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised conditions. Sensitivity scenarios therefore include consistent changes in cash flows directly affected by the changed assumption(s), for example future bonus participation in changed economic scenarios.



 

Sensitivity tests: MCEV











£m


Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Bermuda


At 30 June 2012

Central assumptions

6,016  

5,875  

3,331  

2,544  

141  

Effect on MCEV of:






   Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%,

   with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

5,881  

5,688  

3,226  

2,462  

193  

   Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by

   1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing

   commensurately

6,135  

6,042  

3,419  

2,623  

93  

   Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity

   spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the

   liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing

   commensurately

6,025  

5,884  

3,340  

2,544  

141  













Sensitivity tests: Value of in-force business











£m

At 30 June 2012

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Bermuda

Central assumptions

3,416  

3,507  

1,440  

2,067  

(91)

Effect on value of in-force business of:






   Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%,

   with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

3,299  

3,397  

1,392  

2,005  

(98)

   Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by

   1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing

   commensurately

3,513  

3,597  

1,475  

2,122  

(84)

   Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity

   spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the

   liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing

   commensurately

3,425  

3,516  

1,449  

2,067  

(91)













Sensitivity tests: Value of new business











£m

At 30 June 2012

Total

covered

business

Long

Term

Savings

Emerging

Markets

Wealth

Management

Bermuda

Central assumptions

74  

74  

52  

22  

 -  

Effect on value of new business of:






   Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1%,

   with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

67  

67  

48  

19  

 -  

   Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by

   1%, with credited rates and discount rates changing

   commensurately

82  

82  

56  

26  

 -  

   Recognising the present value of an additional 10bps of liquidity

   spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the

   liabilities, with credited rates and discount rates changing

   commensurately

74  

74  

52  

22  

 -  







 

 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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