3 Month Review

Premier Utilities Trust PLC 06 September 2004 Premier Utilities Trust 3 Month Review (unaudited) to August 2004 30/08/2004 1 month 3 months 6 months Since launch* PUT Net Assets (£m) 40.94 40.42 39.56 36.06 36.80 PUT Ords Price 82.50 83.00 83.00 83.00 100.00 PUT Ords NAV 114.01 111.79 108.31 107.42 97.32 PUT ZDP Price 103.75 104.00 104.75 104.88 100.00 PUT ZDP NAV 105.80 105.20 104.02 102.27 100.00 FTSE 100 Index 4459.30 4413.10 4430.70 4492.20 4287.60 FTSE World Index GBP 268.21 265.30 266.41 270.44 257.82 FTSE Utilities Index 3876.23 3700.54 3607.98 3490.66 3156.97 FTSE Global Utilities GBP 2205.13 2136.19 2072.42 2078.30 1957.82 PUT Unit** Price 93.41 93.78 94.17 94.23 100.00 PUT Unit** NAV 109.79 PUT Ords Shares -27.6% discount PUT ZDP Shares -1.9% discount PUT Units** -14.9% discount Hurdle Rate Terminal Cover PUT Ords 2.0% - PUT ZDP -4.2% 1.31x 8.2% yield *launch: 03.11.03 **Unit calculated as weighted average of Ords + ZDP shares in issue NB: Fund performance data restricted until after first anniversary (Trust launch: Nov 2003) It has been a busy few months for UK utility regulation which has done much to buoy the performance of UK utility stocks over this time. During June, the electricity regulator OFGEM produced their draft regulation proposal for the period 2005-2010. Foremost have been the price controls which propose an average reduction for the distribution charge of 2% together with improvements in service quality. Although the regulated return the companies can earn has yet to be detailed, investment expenditure is expected to increase 30% from existing levels in recognition of the need to replace network assets and improve network performance. August saw the UK water review conducted by the water regulator OFWAT, which in the event proved much as expected. The price rise being asked for by the sector was drastically reduced from 6.3% per annum to 3.3% per annum, the compensatory factor being capital expenditures that were reduced from £21bn to £15.7bn. The regulator believes that this is achievable from better efficiencies and reduced environmental spend. The end result is that the allowed return is 5.1% post tax real, generally in line with or slightly better than consensus estimates. The regulator has also introduced a financeability element into its determination, which may increase the allowed return from 5.1% in the early years of the review to 5.5% by 2009/10. The UK water sector now trades, after recent strong performance, at an average discount of 2% to its regulated asset base to March 2005, although the exact size of the individual asset bases will not be known until later this year. Accordingly, we believe the water sector to be essentially fully valued, with one or two exceptions. We have reduced the portfolio's limited exposure still further through our disposal of Pennon after a very good performance. We have however retained AWG, that remains amongst the Company's larger investments. In July we purchased some stock in International Power on the belief that the company was nearing the end of debt refinancing arrangements that should be a spur to the shares. At the end of July, International Power reported the conclusion of these talks together with the significant announcement of the intent to acquire the international energy assets formerly belonging to the US utility Mission Edison. Part of the acquisition will involve raising cash from the equity markets via a rights issue which began trading at the end of August with the bulk of the acquisition being funded by debt, dramatically increasing International Power's balance sheet gearing. However, the acquisition does diversify the geographical basis of the business and we believe this is a potentially interesting deal for equity holders of International Power. Nonetheless we are setting considerable store in the management of International Power, as many of the details of the transaction are as yet unknown. The fact remains that International Power has successfully refinanced its important US assets and these remain, albeit diluted by the recent transaction, as an important store of future value for its shareholders. In Germany our investment in RWE has registered a near 50% profit since purchase in November last year as a result of an improvement in German electricity prices. We have always considered its sister Company E.ON to be a superior long term investment for PUT and as such during August we sold our investment in RWE and reinvested part of the proceeds in increasing our holding in E.ON. This action was justified from an encouraging results announcement that followed which proved ahead of expectations with an encouraging outlook as management stated the intent to improve total returns for all shareholders. During August month we sold several of the portfolio's more defensive utility holdings in order to substantially increase investment in the European Telecoms sector. The extent of the de-rating of telecoms company shares over the last three years has been dramatic. Valuations in this sector are very low and share prices are overcompensating for the supposedly gloomy outlook of increasing competition. The fact remains that BT and others in the sector are producing prodigious free cash flow - shares of France Telecom for example trade on a free cash flow yield of over 17%, far higher than shares in the European utility universe - and this affords telecoms companies significant flexibility to either invest modestly in new growth opportunities or else return cash to shareholders through share buy backs or increased dividends. Our investment in the Australian airport operator Macquarie Airports has performed well as traffic figures from its airports, principally Sydney Airport, has exceeded expectation. Macquarie Airports' strategy is to take stakes in investment grade airports around the world and then return all excess cash flow from these airports to its shareholders. In addition, Macquarie Airport investments are revalued every six months with performance of both capital and income over the last six months exceeding expectations. Despite this, Macquarie Airport shares yield prospectively 7% for next year whilst net asset value growth should remain robust as long as airport traffic is sustained. Amongst our best performing holdings over recent months has been our two Brazilian investments Cemig and Copel. Whilst the latter investment had registered a book loss, we had made a book profit of over 50% on Cemig and whilst recent news flow from Brazil has been encouraging in terms of the utility sector we are conscious of the historical volatility of the sector there. After a considerable advance, realising a very substantial profit in a short period of time seemed a sensible option. Notwithstanding this, Brazilian exposure has been maintained with an earlier acquisition of Spanish utility Endesa toward the end of July. This stock derives around 30% of its earnings from Brazil not fully factored into the price, leaving the valuation looking attractive versus peers. Although we do not follow an index for our investment allocation, we remain notionally underweight in the US utility sector on the belief that it is overvalued at least holistically. With valuations looking full, we have sold our holdings of Dominion Resources, DTE Energy, Xcel Energy and Duquesne Light Holdings during June and July. However, we do think that selective stocks, for example our newly acquired investments in Teco Energy and FirstEnergy still appear to offer some value. The one investment that we have permitted ourselves some largesse on - on account of some modestly good asset performance so far this year - is the US generator Calpine, one of the great victims of the Enron fallout and the subsequent evaporation of margins in gas fired generation in the US. We are satisfied that Calpine has sufficient balance sheet liquidity at least until a large bond maturity in 2008 and this improvement in liquidity should afford the company sufficient time for generation margins to improve. If margins do recover then Calpine's improvement in earnings will be significant. 2nd September 2004 Premier Fund Managers Source: Premier Fund Managers Limited as at 03/09/04. MAF 3287/09/04 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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