London, UK, 28 August 2015
Edison issues research update on Primary Health Properties
The interim results showed strong profit growth with good operational gearing as a result of ongoing cost and funding efficiencies. Cover of the progressive dividend lifted to 89%. Our revised forecasts now show full cover in H2 of the current year, with a prospective yield of 4.9%. Following a conclusive election result, there is continuity of policy towards the NHS, providing political and financial support for its five-year plan. In this context, the prospects for continuing asset growth look good. Property yields have contracted but funding conditions remain strong, maintaining a healthy spread and opportunity for ongoing accretive growth.
PHP's high payout, progressive dividend, and attractive yield are supported by secure cash flows from mainly government-backed revenues. Healthcare property values (and PHP NAV) are also benefiting from yield compression, but historical performance has shown much less volatility than the broad commercial sector.
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