Final Results part 3

RNS Number : 5794C
Prudential PLC
09 March 2011
 



Y       Defined benefit pension schemes

 

The Group liability in respect of defined benefit pension schemes is as follows:



2010 

2009 



£m

£m

Economic position:




Deficit, gross of deferred tax, based on scheme assets held, including investments in Prudential insurance policies:




Attributable to the PAC with-profits fund (i.e. absorbed by the liability for unallocated surplus)

(106)

(122)


Attributable to shareholder-backed operations (i.e. shareholders' equity)

(114)

(128)

Economic deficit

(220)

(250)

Exclude: investments in Prudential insurance liabilities (offset on consolidation in the Group financial statements against insurance liabilities)

(227)

(187)

Deficit under IAS 19 included in Provisions in the statement of financial position

(447)

(437)

 

The Group business operations operate a number of pension schemes. The largest defined benefit scheme is the principal UK scheme, namely the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The Group also operates two smaller defined benefit schemes for UK employees in respect of Scottish Amicable and M&G. For all three schemes the projected unit method was used for the most recent full actuarial valuations. There is also a small defined benefit scheme in Taiwan but as part of the sale of the Taiwan agency business completed in June 2009, the Group settled the majority of the obligations under the scheme as a significant number of employees transferred out. 

 

The underlying position on an economic basis reflects the assets (including investments in Prudential policies that are offset against liabilities to policyholders on the Group consolidation) and the liabilities of the schemes. At 31 December 2010, the investments in Prudential policies comprise £118 million (2009: £101 million) for PSPS and £227 million (2009: £187 million) for the M&G scheme.

 

Separately, the economic financial position also includes the effect of the application of IFRIC 14, 'IAS 19 - The Limit on a Defined Benefit Asset, Minimum Funding Requirements and their Interaction'. For PSPS, where there are constraints in the trust deed to prevent the company access, the surplus is not recognised and a liability for additional funding is established.

 

Under IFRIC 14, at 31 December 2010, the Group has not recognised the underlying PSPS surplus of £485 million, gross of deferred tax (2009: £513 million) and has recognised a liability for deficit funding to 30 June 2012 for PSPS of £47 million gross of deferred tax (2009: £75 million).

 

Defined benefit schemes in the UK are generally required to be subject to full actuarial valuation every three years in order to assess the appropriate level of funding for schemes in relation to their commitments. These valuations include assessments of the likely rate of return on the assets held within the separate trustee administered funds. PSPS was last actuarially valued as at 5 April 2008. This valuation demonstrated the scheme to be 106 per cent funded by reference to the Scheme Solvency Target that forms the basis of the scheme's statutory funding objective. No formal deficit plan was required. However, in recognition of the fall in value of the Scheme's investments between 5 April 2008 and the completion of the actuarial valuation, an additional funding akin to deficit funding was agreed by the Trustees. This is subject to a reassessment when the next valuation is completed. The total contributions being currently made by the Group into the scheme, representing the annual accrual cost and deficit funding, are £50 million per annum. Deficit funding for PSPS is apportioned in the ratio of 70/30 between the PAC life fund and shareholder-backed operations following detailed consideration in 2005 of the sourcing of previous contributions.

 

The valuation of the Scottish Amicable Pension Scheme as at 31 March 2008 demonstrated the scheme to be 91 per cent funded. Based on this valuation, deficit funding amounts designed to eliminate the actuarial deficit over a seven year period were made from July 2009 of £7.3 million per annum. Since the valuation date, there has been deterioration in the funding level.  During 2010, the Group agreed to pay additional funding of £5.8 million per annum from October 2010 until the conclusion of the next formal valuation, or until the funding level reaches 90 per cent, whichever is the earlier. The IAS 19 deficit of the Scottish Amicable Pension Scheme at 31 December 2010 of £146 million (2009: £139 million) has been allocated approximately 50 per cent to the PAC with-profits fund and 50 per cent to the shareholders' fund.

 

The valuation of the M&G pension scheme as at 31 December 2008 was finalised in January 2010 and demonstrated the scheme to be 76 per cent funded. Based on this valuation, deficit funding amounts designed to eliminate the actuarial deficit over a five year period have been made from January 2010 of £14.1 million per annum for the first two years and £9.3 million per annum for the subsequent three years. The IAS 19 deficit of the M&G pension scheme on an economic basis at 31 December 2010 was £27 million (2009: £36 million) and is wholly attributable to shareholders.

 

The next triennial valuations for the PSPS, Scottish Amicable and M&G pension schemes are scheduled to take place as at 5 April 2011, 31 March 2011 and 31 December 2011, respectively.



(i)     Assumptions

The actuarial assumptions used in determining benefit obligations and the net periodic benefit costs for the years ended 31 December were as follows:

 



2010 

2009 



%

 

%





Discount rate*

5.45 

5.8 

Rate of increase in salaries

5.55 

5.7 

Rate of inflation

3.55 

3.7 

Rate of increase of pensions in payment for inflation:




Guaranteed (maximum 5%)

3.55 

3.7 


Guaranteed (maximum 2.5%)**

2.5 

2.5 


Discretionary**

2.5 

2.5 

Expected returns on plan assets

5.9 

4.5 

 

*    The discount rate has been determined by reference to an "AA" corporate bond index adjusted, where applicable, to allow for the difference in duration between the index and the pension liabilities.

**  The rates of 2.5 per cent are those for PSPS. Assumed rates of increase of pensions in payments for inflation for all other schemes are 3.55 per cent in 2010 (2009: 3.7 per cent).

 

The calculations are based on current actuarially calculated mortality estimates with a specific allowance made for future improvements in mortality. The 2010 specific allowance is in line with a custom calibration of the 2009 mortality model from the Continuous Mortality Investigation Bureau of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries ("CMI").

 

The tables used for PSPS immediate annuities in payment at 31 December 2010 were:

 

Male: 108.6 per cent PNMA 00 with improvements in line with a custom calibration of the CMI's 2009 mortality model, with a long-term mortality improvement rate of 1.75 per cent per annum; and

Female: 103.4 per cent PNFA 00 with improvements in line with a custom calibration of the CMI's 2009 mortality model, with a long-term mortality improvement rate of 1.00 per cent per annum.

 

In July 2010, the UK Government announced plans to use the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in place of the Retail Price Index (RPI) in its determination of the statutory minimum pension increases for private sector occupational pension schemes. In December 2010, the Government published the statutory revaluation order for 2011 which confirms the change to use CPI. In addition, the Government has also published in December 2010 a consultation paper which sets out the Government's views on the impact of the switch from RPI to CPI will have on the private sector occupational pension schemes. The consultation period closed on 2 March 2011. 

 

For the Group's UK defined benefit schemes, the pensions in deferment and/or pensions in payment for certain tranches of these schemes are subject to statutory increases in accordance with the schemes' rules and may therefore be affected by the Government's decision to change the indexation from RPI to CPI. Other tranches, where RPI is specified in the scheme rules, are unaffected.

 

The above has no impact on the results for the year ended 31 December 2010. The impact of this change, if and when made, will be recognised in a future period. Using the underlying information as at 31 December 2010 the estimated effect of such a change would give rise to an accounting benefit of approximately £30 million to the Group's operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and profit attributable to shareholders before tax and £20 million to shareholders' equity.

 

(ii)    Estimated pension scheme deficit - economic basis

 

Movements on the pension scheme deficit (determined on the 'economic basis') are as follows, with the effect of the application of IFRIC 14 being shown separately:



 




 

 


  



2010 




(Charge) credit to income statement  


  



Surplus (deficit) in scheme at 1 January 2010

Operating results (based on longer-term investment returns)

 (note a)

Actuarial and other gains and losses (note b)

Contributions paid

Surplus (deficit) in scheme at 31 Dec 2010 (note c)



£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

All schemes


 

 


 

Underlying position (without the effect of IFRIC 14)


 

 


 

Surplus (deficit)

338 

(7)

(109)

90 

312 

Less: amount attributable to PAC with-profits fund

(285)

(11)

71 

(39)

(264)

Shareholders' share:


 

  


  


Gross of tax surplus (deficit)

53 

(18)

(38)

51 

48 


Related tax

(15)

11 

(14)

(13)

Net of shareholders' tax

38 

(13)

(27)

37 

35 

Effect of IFRIC 14


 

  


  

Surplus (deficit)

(588)

(38)

94 

 - 

(532)

Less: amount attributable to PAC with-profits fund

407 

29 

(66)

 - 

370 

Shareholders' share:  


 

  


  


Gross of tax surplus (deficit)

(181)

(9)

28 

 - 

(162)


Related tax

51 

(9)

 - 

44 


Net of shareholders' tax

(130)

(7)

19 

 - 

(118)

With the effect of IFRIC 14


 

  


  

Surplus (deficit)

(250)

(45)

(15)

90 

(220)

Less: amount attributable to PAC with-profits fund

122 

18 

(39)

106 

Shareholders' share:


 

  


  


Gross of tax surplus (deficit)

(128)

(27)

(10)

51 

(114)


Related tax

36 

(14)

31 


Net of shareholders' tax

(92)

(20)

(8)

37 

(83)

 

Notes

(a)     The components of the (charge) credit to operating results (gross of allocation of the share attributable to the PAC with-profits fund) are as follows:

 



2010 

2009 



£m 

£m 

Service cost

(38)

(34)

Finance (expense) income:




Interest on pension scheme liabilities

(294)

(277)


Expected return on assets

325 

240 

Total charge without the effect IFRIC 14

(7)

(71)

Effect of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes

(38)

23 

Total charge after the effect of IFRIC 14  

(45)

(48)

 

The net charge to operating profit (gross of the share attributable to the PAC with-profits fund) of £45 million (2009: £48 million) is made up of a charge of £27 million (2009: £29 million) relating to PSPS and a charge of £18 million (2009: £19 million) for other schemes. This net charge represents:

 


2010 

2009 


£m 

£m 

Underlying IAS 19 charge for other pension schemes

(18)

(19)

Cash costs for PSPS

(23)

(25)

Unwind of discount on opening provision for deficit funding for PSPS

(4)

(4)


(45)

(48)



 

Consistent with the derecognition of the Company's interest in the underlying IAS 19 surplus of PSPS, the charge to operating profit on longer-term investment returns for PSPS reflects the cash cost of contributions for ongoing service of active members. In addition, the charge to the operating results also includes a charge for the unwind of discount on the opening provision for deficit funding for PSPS.

 

(b)     The components of the credit (charge) for actuarial and other gains and losses (gross of allocation of the share attributable to the PAC with-profits fund (but for 2009 excluding the charge relating to the Taiwan agency business sold in that year)) are as follows:

 


2010 

2009 


£m 

£m 

Actual less expected return on assets

306 

108 

Losses on changes of assumptions for plan liabilities

(411)

(521)

Experience (losses) gains on liabilities

(4)

76 

Total charge without the effect of IFRIC 14

(109)

(337)

Effect of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes

94 

182 

Actuarial and other gains and losses after the effect of IFRIC 14

(15)

(155)

 

The net charge for actuarial and other gains and losses is recorded within the income statement but, within the segmental analysis of profit, the shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses (i.e. net of allocation of the share to the PAC with-profits funds) is excluded from operating profit based on longer-term investment returns.

 

The 2010 actuarial losses of £109 million primarily reflects the effect of decrease in risk discount rates and the change in the economic assumptions underlying PSPS commutation factors partially offset by the effect of decreases in inflation rates and the excess of market returns over long-term assumption.

 

Consistent with the derecognition of the Company's interest in the underlying IAS 19 surplus of PSPS, the actuarial gains and losses do not include those of PSPS. In addition, as a result of applying of IFRIC 14, the Group has recognised a provision for deficit funding in respect of PSPS. The change in 2010 in relation to this provision recognised above as other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes was £nil (2009: £48 million).

 

(c)     On the 'economic basis', after including the underlying assets represented by the investments in Prudential insurance policies as scheme assets, the underlying statements of financial position of the schemes at 31 December were:

 



2010 

2009 



£m

£m

Equities

825 

1,096 

Bonds

4,203 

3,686 

Properties

228 

287 

Cash-like investments

748 

443 

Total value of assets

6,004 

5,512 

Present value of benefit obligations

(5,692)

(5,174)



312 

338 

Effect of the application of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes:




Derecognition of PSPS surplus

(485)

(513)


Adjust for deficit funding for PSPS

(47)

(75)

Pre-tax deficit

(220)

(250)



 

(iii)   Sensitivity of the pension scheme liabilities of the PSPS, Scottish Amicable and M&G pension schemes to key variables

 

The table below shows the sensitivity of the underlying PSPS, Scottish Amicable and M&G pension scheme liabilities at 31 December 2010 of £4,866 million, £572 million and £254 million respectively (2009: £4,436 million, £515 million and £223 million) to changes in discount rates and inflation rates. In addition, the table below shows the sensitivity of the underlying PSPS, Scottish Amicable and M&G pension scheme liabilities at 31 December 2010 to changes to mortality rate assumptions.

 

2010 

Assumption

Change in assumption

Impact on scheme liabilities on IAS 19 basis


Discount rate

Decrease by 0.2% from 5.45% to 5.25%

Increase in scheme liabilities by:





PSPS

3.6%




Scottish Amicable

5.2%




M&G

5.1%

Discount rate

Increase by 0.2% from 5.45% to 5.65%

Decrease in scheme liabilities by:





PSPS

3.5%




Scottish Amicable

4.9%




M&G

4.8%

Rate of inflation

Decrease by 0.2% from 3.55% to 3.35%

Decrease in scheme liabilities by:



with consequent reduction in salary


PSPS

1.0%


increases


Scottish Amicable

5.0%




M&G

4.5%

Mortality rate

Increase life expectancy by 1 year

Increase in scheme liabilities by:





PSPS

2.1%




Scottish Amicable

2.5%




M&G

2.9%

 

2009 

Assumption

Change in assumption

Impact on scheme liabilities on IAS 19 basis


Discount rate

Decrease by 0.2% from 5.8% to 5.6%

Increase in scheme liabilities by:





PSPS

3.50%




Scottish Amicable

5.20%




M&G

4.90%

Discount rate

Increase by 0.2% from 5.8% to 6.0%

Decrease in scheme liabilities by:





PSPS

3.20%




Scottish Amicable

4.80%




M&G

4.90%

Rate of inflation

Decrease by 0.2% from 3.7% to 3.5%

Decrease in scheme liabilities by:



with consequent reduction in salary


PSPS

0.90%


increases


Scottish Amicable

4.90%




M&G

4.50%

 

The sensitivity of the underlying pension scheme liabilities to changes in discount, inflation and mortality rates as shown above does not directly equate to an impact on the profit or loss attributable to shareholders or shareholders' equity due to the effect of the application of IFRIC 14 on PSPS and the allocation of a share of the interest in financial position of the PSPS and Scottish Amicable schemes to the PAC with-profits fund as described above.

 

The sensitivity to the changes in the key variables as shown in the table above has no significant impact on the pension costs included in the Group's operating results. This is due to the pension costs charged in each of the periods presented being derived largely from market conditions at the beginning of the period. After applying IFRIC 14 and to the extent attributable to shareholders, any residual impact from the changes to these variables is reflected as actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes within the supplementary analysis of profits. The relevance of this to each of the three UK schemes is described further below.

 

For PSPS, the underlying surplus of the scheme of £485 million (2009: £513 million) has not been recognised under IFRIC 14. Any change in the underlying scheme liabilities to the extent that it is not sufficient to alter PSPS into a liability in excess of the deficit funding provision will not have an impact on the Group's results and financial position. Based on the underlying financial position of PSPS as at 31 December 2010, none of the changes to the underlying scheme liabilities for the changes in the variables shown in the table above have had an impact on the Group's 2010 results and financial position.

 

In the event that a change in the PSPS scheme liabilities results in a deficit position for the scheme which is recognisable, the deficit recognised affects the Group's results and financial position only to the extent of the amounts attributable to shareholder operations. The amounts attributable to the PAC with-profits fund are absorbed by the liability for unallocated surplus and have no direct effect on the profit or loss attributable to shareholders or shareholders' equity.

 

The deficit of the Scottish Amicable pension scheme has been allocated 50 per cent to the PAC with-profits fund and 50 per cent to the shareholders. Accordingly, half of the changes to the scheme liabilities for the changes in the variables shown in the table above would have had an impact on the Group's shareholder results and financial position. The M&G pension scheme is wholly attributable to shareholders.


Z     Policyholder liabilities

 

Analysis of movement in policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

 

Group insurance operations

 



Insurance operations



UK

US

Asia

Total



£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January 2009

115,961 

45,361 

21,069 

182,391 

Premiums

6,867 

9,177 

3,807 

19,851 

Surrenders

(3,971)

(3,255)

(1,201)

(8,427)

Maturities/Deaths

(7,239)

(733)

(342)

(8,314)

Net flows

(4,343)

5,189 

2,264 

3,110 

Shareholders transfers post tax

(202)

(20)

(222)

Change in reserving basis in Malaysia

(63)

(63)

Assumption changes (shareholder-backed business)

(46)

(4)

(50)

Investment-related items and other movements

14,118 

2,986 

4,242 

21,346 

Foreign exchange translation differences

707 

(5,225)

(2,069)

(6,587)

Disposal of Taiwan agency business

(3,508)

(3,508)

At 31 December 2009 / 1 January 2010

126,195 

48,311 

21,911 

196,417 

Comprising:






- Policyholder liabilities

116,229 

48,311 

21,858 

186,398 


- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

9,966 

53 

10,019 

Premiums

7,890 

11,735 

4,308 

23,933 

Surrenders

(3,779)

(3,598)

(2,241)

(9,618)

Maturities/Deaths

(7,303)

(769)

(498)

(8,570)

Net flows

(3,192)

7,368 

1,569 

5,745 

Shareholders transfers post tax

(223)

(24)

(247)

Assumption changes (shareholder-backed business)

(46)

19 

(27)

Investment-related items and other movements

13,218 

3,464 

2,216 

18,898 

Foreign exchange translation differences

(208)

1,380 

2,081 

3,253 

Dilution of holding in PruHealth

(27)

(27)

Acquisition of UOB Life Assurance Limited

968 

968 

As at 31 December 2010

135,717 

60,523 

28,740 

224,980 

Comprising:






- Policyholder liabilities

125,530 

60,523 

28,674 

214,727 


- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

10,187 

66 

10,253 

Average policyholder liability balances*






2010

120,880 

54,417 

25,750 

201,047 


2009

111,969 

46,837 

19,630 

178,436 

* Adjusted for acquisition and disposals in the period and excluding unallocated surplus of with-profits funds.

 

The items above represent the amount attributable to changes in policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds as a result of each of the components listed.

 

Premiums, surrenders and maturities / deaths represent the amounts impacting policyholder liabilities and may not represent the total cash paid / received (for example, premiums are net of any deductions to cover acquisition costs and claims represents the policyholder liabilities released).



 

UK insurance operations


  





A reconciliation of the total policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds of UK insurance operations is as follows:


  






  


Other shareholder-backed funds and subsidiaries



  

SAIF and PAC with-profits sub-fund

Unit-linked  liabilities

Annuity and other long-term business

Total


  

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January 2009

82,108 

16,318 

17,535 

115,961 

Premiums

3,271 

1,860 

1,736 

6,867 

Surrenders

(2,394)

(1,535)

(42)

(3,971)

Maturities/Deaths

(5,147)

(670)

(1,422)

(7,239)

Net flows (note (a))

(4,270)

(345)

272 

(4,343)

Shareholders transfers post tax

(202)

(202)

Switches

(270)

270 

Assumption changes (shareholder-backed business) (note (c))

(46)

(46)

Investment-related items and other movements (note (b))

9,365 

2,849 

1,904 

14,118 

Foreign exchange translation differences

764 

(57)

-

707 

At 31 December 2009 / 1 January 2010

87,495 

19,035 

19,665 

126,195 

Comprising:






- Policyholder liabilities

77,529 

19,035 

19,665 

116,229 


- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

9,966 

9,966 

Premiums

3,311 

2,301 

2,278 

7,890 

Surrenders

(2,453)

(1,272)

(54)

(3,779)

Maturities/Deaths

(5,079)

(726)

(1,498)

(7,303)

Net flows (note (a))

(4,221)

303 

726 

(3,192)

Shareholders transfers post tax

(223)

(223)

Switches

(236)

236 

Assumption changes (shareholder-backed business) (note (c))

(46)

(46)

Investment-related items and other movements (note (b))

9,165 

2,097 

1,956 

13,218 

Dilution of holding in PruHealth

(27)

(27)

Foreign exchange translation differences

(207)

(1)

(208)

At 31 December 2010

91,773 

21,671 

22,273 

135,717 

Comprising:






- Policyholder liabilities

81,586 

21,671 

22,273 

125,530 


- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

10,187 

10,187 

Average policyholder liability balances*






2010

79,558 

20,353 

20,969 

120,880 


2009

75,692 

17,677 

18,600 

111,969 

*Excluding the unallocated surplus of the with-profits funds and as adjusted for corporate transactions in the period.


 

Notes

(a)     Net flows of negative £3,192 million have improved from negative £4,343 million in 2009, principally as a result of increased premiums due to the bulk annuity transaction in 2010 and improved unit-linked flows.

(b)     Investment-related items and other movements of £13,218 million across fund types reflected the continued strong performance of UK equity markets in 2010, as well as the continued increase in value of debt securities.

(c)     Assumption changes principally represent the net impact of changes to the mortality assumptions and expense assumptions.



 

US insurance operations


  





  

Variable 

 annuity 

 separate 

 account 

 liabilities

Fixed annuity, 

 GIC and other 

 business

Total


  

£m 

£m 

£m 

At 1 January 2009

14,538 

30,823 

45,361 

Premiums  

4,667 

4,510 

9,177 

Surrenders

(882)

(2,373)

(3,255)

Maturities/Deaths

(199)

(534)

(733)

Net flows (note (b))

3,586 

1,603 

5,189 

Transfers from general to separate account

984 

(984)

-

Investment-related items and other movements (note (c))

3,368 

(382)

2,986 

Foreign exchange translation differences (note (a))

(1,837)

(3,388)

(5,225)

At 31 December 2009 / 1 January 2010

20,639 

27,672 

48,311 

Premiums  

7,420 

4,315 

11,735 

Surrenders

(1,403)

(2,195)

(3,598)

Maturities/Deaths

(259)

(510)

(769)

Net flows (note (b))

5,758 

1,610 

7,368 

Transfers from general to separate account

1,411 

(1,411)

Investment-related items and other movements (note (c))

2,875 

589 

3,464 

Foreign exchange translation differences (note (a))

520 

860 

1,380 

At 31 December 2010

31,203 

29,320 

60,523 

Average policyholder liability balances





2010

25,921 

28,496 

54,417 


2009

17,589 

29,248 

46,837 

 

Notes

(a)     Movements in the year have been translated at an average rate of 1.55 (2009: 1.57). The closing balance has been translated at closing rate of 1.57 (2009: 1.61). Differences upon retranslation are included in foreign exchange translation differences of £1,380 million (2009: £5,525 million).

(b)     Net flows for the year were £7,368 million compared with £5,189 million in 2009, driven largely by increased new business volumes for the variable annuity business.

(c)     Positive investment-related items and other movements in variable annuity separate account liabilities of £2,875 million in 2010 and £3,368 million in 2009 represent increases in the US equity market during the respective periods. Fixed annuity, GIC and other business investment and other movements primarily reflects the movement in the valuation of the product guarantees and interest credited to policyholder accounts. In 2010, interest credited exceeded the small reduction in the guarantee valuation to give an overall increase in liabilities. In 2009, there was a more significant fall in the valuation of guarantees.



 

Asian insurance operations


  

With-profits 

 business 

Unit-linked 

 liabilities 

Other 

Total 


  

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

At 1 January 2009

8,094 

7,220 

5,755 

21,069 

Premiums  






New business (note (b))

46 

643 

517 

1,206 


In-force

777 

1,223 

601 

2,601 


  

823 

1,866 

1,118 

3,807 

Surrenders

(361)

(666)

(174)

(1,201)

Maturities/Deaths

(253)

(19)

(70)

(342)

Net flows

209 

1,181 

874 

2,264 

Shareholders transfers post tax

(20)

-

-

(20)

Change in reserving basis in Malaysia (note (d))

-

(9)

(54)

(63)

Change in other reserving basis  

-

-

(4)

(4)

Investment-related items and other movements (note (e))

1,431 

2,661 

150 

4,242 

Foreign exchange translation differences (note (a))

(853)

(612)

(604)

(2,069)

Disposal of Taiwan agency business (note (f))

-

(724)

(2,784)

(3,508)

At 31 December 2009 / At 1 January 2010

8,861 

9,717 

3,333 

21,911 

Comprising:






- Policyholder liabilities

8,808 

9,717 

3,333 

21,858 


- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

53 

-

-

53 

Premiums  






New business (note (b))

141 

1,072 

452 

1,665 


In-force

897 

1,130 

616 

2,643 


  

1,038 

2,202 

1,068 

4,308 

Surrenders(note (c))

(441)

(1,572)

(228)

(2,241)

Maturities/Deaths

(326)

(40)

(132)

(498)

Net flows (note (b))

271 

590 

708 

1,569 

Shareholders transfers post tax

(24)

(24)

Change in other reserving basis  

19 

19 

Investment-related items and other movements (note (e))

693 

1,405 

118 

2,216 

Foreign exchange translation differences (note (a))

719 

1,009 

353 

2,081 

Acquisition of UOB Life Assurance Limited (note (g))

504 

461 

968 

At 31 December 2010

11,024 

12,724 

4,992 

28,740 

Comprising:






- Policyholder liabilities

10,958 

12,724 

4,992 

28,674 


- Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

66 

-

-

66 

Average policyholder liability balances*






2010

10,135 

11,222 

4,393 

25,750 


2009

8,371 

8,107 

3,152 

19,630 

*Adjusted for transactions in the period and excluding the unallocated surplus of with-profits funds.


 

Notes

(a)     Movements in the year have been translated at the average exchange rate for the year ended 31 December 2010. The closing balance has been translated at the closing spot rates as at 31 December 2010. Differences upon retranslation are included in foreign exchange translation differences of positive £2,081 million in 2010 (2009: negative £2,069 million).

(b)     The increase in policyholder liabilities due to new business premium for the unit-linked business was predominantly driven by an increase in sales during the year of individual linked products.

(c)     Following the recovery of the stock markets in Asia in late 2009 and 2010, policyholders in Asia took the opportunity to capitalise on the increased value of their unit-linked policies through withdrawals, principally in Indonesia, Malaysia, and India. 

The depressed state of the investment markets in late 2008 and 2009 resulted in both the number of, and average value of, withdrawals of investment related products decreasing.

(d)     The change in reserving basis in Malaysia of £63 million reflects the change made following the adoption of a risk based capital (RBC) approach to the local regulatory reporting in that country.

(e)     The positive investment related items and other movements in 2010 for with-profits (£693 million) and unit-linked business (£1,405 million) are mainly driven from Asian equity market gains in the period.

(f)     The disposal of Taiwan agency business reflects the liabilities transferred at the date of disposal.

(g)     The acquisition of UOB Life Assurance Limited reflects the liabilities acquired at the date of acquisition.



 

Duration of policyholder liabilities


2010 


2009 


UK insurance operations

(note (i))

US insurance operations

(note (ii))

Asian insurance operations

(note (iii))

Total


UK insurance operations

US insurance operations

Asian insurance operations

Total


 

 

 








£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

£m

Insurance contract liabilities

84,152 

58,641 

28,498 

171,291 


77,655 

46,346 

21,712 

145,713 

Investment contract liabilities with discretionary participation features

25,613 

119 

25,732 


24,780 

-

100 

24,880 

Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features

15,765 

1,882 

57 

17,704 


13,794 

1,965 

46 

15,805 


125,530 

60,523 

28,674 

214,727 


116,229 

48,311 

21,858 

186,398 

 

The tables above show the carrying value of the policyholder liabilities. Separately, the Group uses cash flow projections of expected benefit payments as part of the determination of the value of in-force business when preparing EEV basis results. The tables in the accompanying notes below show the maturity profile of the cash flows used for that purpose for insurance contracts, as defined by IFRS, i.e. those containing significant insurance risk, and investment contracts, which do not.

The cash flow projections of expected benefit payments used in the maturity profile tables are from value of in-force business and exclude the value of future new business, including vesting of internal pension contracts. The maturity tables have been prepared on a discounted basis.

 

Notes

(i)

     UK insurance operations


















With-profits business


Annuity business

(insurance contracts)


Other


Total



Insurance

 contracts

Investment

 contracts

Total


PAL

PRIL

Total


Insurance

 contracts

Investments

 contracts

Total



2010 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

Policyholders liabilities

43,691 

25,613 

69,304 


12,282 

16,442 

28,724 


11,737 

15,765 

27,502 


125,530 


%

%

%


%

%

%


%

%

%


%

Expected maturity:














0 to 5 years

46 

31 

40 


32 

29 

30 


35 

29 

32 


36 

5 to 10 years

25 

25 

25 


25 

23 

24 


26 

21 

23 


24 

10 to 15 years

13 

19 

16 


18 

17 

18 


18 

20 

19 


17 

15 to 20 years

14 

10 


12 

13 

12 


10 

11 

11 


11 

20 to 25 years




over 25 years


10 


11 


 


















With-profits business


Annuity business

(Insurance contracts)


Other


Total



Insurance contracts

Investment contracts

Total


PAL

PRIL

Total


Insurance contracts

Investments contracts

Total




2009 

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m


£m


Policyholders liabilities

40,780 

24,780 

65,560 


11,969 

14,292 

26,261 


10,614 

13,794 

24,408 


116,229 



%

%

%


%

%

%


%

%

%


%


Expected maturity:















0 to 5 years

50 

29 

41 


32 

31 

32 


34 

35 

35 


38 


5 to 10 years

26 

25 

26 


25 

23 

24 


25 

22 

23 


25 


10 to 15 years

13 

19 

15 


18 

17 

17 


18 

19 

18 


16 


15 to 20 years

14 


11 

12 

12 


11 

11 

11 


10 


20 to 25 years





over 25 years




 

Notes

(a)     The cash flow projections of expected benefit payments used in the maturity profile table above are from value of in-force business and exclude the value of future new business, including vesting of internal pension contracts.

(b)     Benefit payments do not reflect the pattern of bonuses and shareholder transfers in respect of the with-profits business.

(c)     Investment contracts under Other comprise certain unit-linked and similar contracts accounted for under IAS 39 and IAS 18.

(d)     For business with no maturity term included within the contracts, for example with-profits investment bonds such as Prudence Bonds, an assumption is made as to likely duration based on prior experience.



 

(ii)

US insurance operations












2010 



2009 




Fixed annuity  and other business (including GICs and similar contracts)

Variable

 annuity

Total


Fixed annuity and other business (including GICs and similar contracts)

Variable

 annuity

Total



£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m


Policyholder liabilities

29,320 

31,203 

60,523 


27,672 

20,639 

48,311 





Expected maturity:









0 to 5 years

50 

50 

50 


52 

50 

51 


5 to 10 years

27 

29 

28 


27 

28 

28 


10 to 15 years

11 

12 

12 


10 

12 

11 


15 to 20 years



20 to 25 years



Over 25 years


 

(iii) Asian insurance operations





2010 

2009 


£m 

£m 

Policyholder liabilities

28,674 

21,858 

Expected maturity:

%

%

0 to 5 years

24 

24 

5 to 10 years

20 

21 

10 to 15 years

15 

15 

15 to 20 years

12 

12 

20 to 25 years

10 

Over 25 years

19 

19 


AA  Sensitivity analysis

 

Sensitivity of IFRS basis profit or loss and equity to market and other risks

 

Overview of risks by business unit

The financial and insurance assets and liabilities attaching to the Group's life assurance business are, to varying degrees, subject to market and insurance risk and other changes of experience assumptions that may have a material effect on IFRS basis profit or loss and equity.

 

Market risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument or, in the case of liabilities of insurance contracts, their carrying value will fluctuate because of changes in market prices. Market risk comprises three types of risk, namely:

 

•        Currency risk: due to changes in foreign exchange rates;

•        interest rate risk: due to changes in market interest rates; and

•        other price risk: due to fluctuations in market prices (other than those arising from interest rate risk or currency risk).

 

Policyholder liabilities relating to the Group's life assurance businesses are also sensitive to the effects of other changes in experience, or expected future experience, such as for mortality, other insurance risk and lapse risk.

In addition, the profitability of the Group's life assurance businesses and asset management business, is indirectly affected by the performance of the assets covering policyholder liabilities and related capital.

 

Three key points are to be noted, namely:

 

•        The Group's with-profit and unit-linked funds absorb most market risk attaching to the funds' investments. Except for second order effects, for example on asset management fees and shareholders' share of cost of bonuses for with-profits business, shareholder results are not directly affected by market value movements on the assets of these funds;

•        the Group's shareholder results are most sensitive to market risks for assets of the shareholder-backed business; and

•        the main exposures of the Group's IFRS basis results to market risk for life assurance operations on investments of the shareholder-backed business are for debt securities.

 

The most significant items for which the IFRS basis shareholders' profit or loss and equity for the Group's life assurance business is sensitive to these variables are shown in the following tables. The distinction between direct and indirect exposure is not intended to indicate the relative size of the sensitivity.



 


Market and credit risk


Type of business

Investments/derivatives

  Liabilities/unallocated

  surplus

Other exposure

Insurance and lapse risk

UK insurance operations



With-profits business (including Prudential Annuities Limited)

 

Net neutral direct exposure (Indirect exposure only)

 

 

 

 

Investment performance subject to smoothing through declared bonuses

Persistency risk to future shareholder transfers

SAIF sub-fund

 

Net neutral direct exposure (Indirect exposure only)

 

Asset management fees earned by M&G


Unit-linked business

Net neutral direct exposure (Indirect exposure only)

 

 

 

Investment performance through asset management fees

Persistency risk


Asset/liability mismatch risk



Shareholder-backed

 annuity business

 

 

 

Credit risk



Mortality experience and assumptions for longevity

Interest rate risk for assets in excess of liabilities i.e. representing shareholder capital

US insurance operations



All business

Currency risk



Persistency risk

Variable annuity

 business

 

Net effect of market risk arising from incidence of guarantee features and variability of asset management fees offset by derivative hedging programme



Fixed indexed annuity business

 

 

 

Derivative hedge programme to the extent not fully hedged against liability and fund performance

 Incidence of equity

 participation features

 

 

 



Fixed indexed annuities, Fixed annuities and GIC business

 

Credit risk

Interest rate risk

 

 

 



Spread difference between earned rate and rate credited to policyholders

 

Lapse risk but the effects of extreme events are mitigated by the use of swaption contracts


These risks are reflected in volatile profit or loss and shareholders' equity for derivative value movements and impairment losses, and, in addition, for shareholders' equity for value movements on fixed income securities classified as 'available for sale' under IAS 39




Asian insurance operations





Mortality and morbidity risk

All business

Currency risk



Persistency risk

With-profits business

Net neutral direct exposure (Indirect exposure only)

Investment performance subject to smoothing through declared bonuses


Unit-linked business

Net neutral direct exposure (Indirect exposure only)

Investment performance through asset management fees


Non-participating business

Interest rate and price risk

  Long-term interest rates



 

IFRS shareholder results - Exposures for market and other risk

Key Group exposures

The IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns for UK insurance operations has high potential sensitivity for changes to longevity assumptions affecting the carrying value of liabilities to policyholders for shareholder-backed annuity business. In addition, at the total IFRS profit level the result is sensitive to temporary value movements on assets backing IFRS equity.

 

For Jackson at the level of operating profit based on longer-term investment returns, the results are sensitive to market conditions to the extent of income earned on spread-based products not mitigated by the interest derivative programmes and second order equity-based exposure in respect of variable annuity asset management fees. Further information is given below under the US operations section of market and credit risk.

 

Jackson's derivative programme is used to substantially mitigate equity market risk attaching to its equity-based products and interest rate risk associated with its spread-based products. Movements in interest rates and credit spreads materially affect the carrying value of derivatives which are used to manage the liabilities to policyholders and backing investment assets of fixed annuity and other general account business. Combined with the use of US GAAP measurement (as grandfathered under IFRS 4) for the asset and liabilities for the insurance contract liabilities, which is largely insensitive to current period market movements, the Jackson total profit (i.e. including short-term fluctuations in investment returns) is very sensitive to market movements. In addition to these effects the Jackson IFRS equity is sensitive to the impact of interest rate and credit spread movements on the value of fixed income securities. Movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are included as movement in equity (i.e. outside the income statement).

 

For Asian operations, the operating profit based on longer-term investment returns is mainly affected by the impact of market levels on unit-linked business persistency, and other insurance risk.

 

At the total IFRS profit level the Asian result is affected by short-term value movements on the asset portfolio for non-linked shareholder-backed business.

 

M&G profits are affected primarily by movements in the growth in funds under management and by the effect any impairment on the loan book and fair value movements on debt securities held by Prudential Capital.

 

Market and credit risk

UK insurance operations

With-profits business

 

•       With-profits business

Shareholder results of UK with-profits business are sensitive to market risk only through the indirect effect of investment performance on declared policyholder bonuses.

The investment assets of the PAC with-profits fund are subject to market risk. However, changes in their carrying value, net of related changes to asset-share liabilities of with-profit contracts, affect the level of unallocated surplus of the fund. As unallocated surplus is accounted for as a liability under IFRS, movements in its value do not affect shareholders' profit or equity.

The shareholder results of the UK with-profits fund correspond to the shareholders' share of the cost of bonuses declared on the with-profits business. This currently corresponds to one-ninth of the cost of bonuses declared.

Investment performance is a key driver of bonuses, and hence the shareholders' share of cost of bonuses. Due to the 'smoothed' basis of bonus declaration the sensitivity to investment performance in a single year is low. However, over multiple periods it is important.

 

•        Prudential Annuities Limited (PAL)

PAL's business is not with-profits, it writes annuity business. However, as PAL is owned by the PAC with-profits sub-fund, changes in the carrying value of PAL's assets and liabilities are reflected in the liability for unallocated surplus which as described above, do not affect shareholder results.

 

•        Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF)

SAIF is a ring-fenced fund in which, apart from asset management fees, shareholders have no interest. Accordingly, the Group's IFRS profit and equity are insensitive to the direct effects of market risk attaching to SAIF's assets and liabilities.

 

Shareholder-backed business

The factors that may significantly affect the IFRS results of UK shareholder-backed business are the mortality experience and assumptions and credit risk attaching to the annuity business of Prudential Retirement Income Limited and the PAC
non-profit sub-fund.

 

•        Prudential Retirement Income Limited (PRIL)

The assets covering PRIL's liabilities are principally debt securities and other investments that are held to match the expected duration and payment characteristics of the policyholder liabilities. These liabilities are valued for IFRS reporting purposes by applying discount rates that reflect the market rates of return attaching to the covering assets.

Except to the extent of any asset/liability duration mismatch which is reviewed regularly, and exposure to credit risk, the sensitivity of the Group's results to market risk for movements in the carrying value of PRIL's liabilities and covering assets is broadly neutral on a net basis.

The main market risk sensitivity for PRIL arises from interest rate risk on the debt securities which substantially represent IFRS equity. This equity comprises the net assets held within the long-term fund of the company that cover regulatory basis liabilities that are not recognised for IFRS reporting purposes, for example contingency reserves, and shareholder capital held outside the long-term fund.

The principal items affecting the IFRS results for PRIL are mortality experience and assumptions and credit risk.

 

•        PAC non-profit sub-fund

The PAC non-profit sub-fund principally comprises annuity business previously written by Scottish Amicable Life, credit life, unit-linked and other non-participating business.

The financial assets covering the liabilities for those types of business are subject to market risk. However, for the annuity business the same considerations as described above for PRIL apply, whilst the liabilities of the unit-linked business change in line with the matching linked assets. Other liabilities of the PAC non-profit sub-fund are broadly insensitive to market risk.

 

•        Other shareholder-backed unit-linked business

Due to the matching of policyholder liabilities to attaching asset value movements the UK unit-linked business is not directly affected by market or credit risk. The principal factor affecting the IFRS results is investment performance through asset management fees.

 

US insurance operations

Jackson

The IFRS basis results of Jackson are highly sensitive to market risk on the assets covering liabilities other than variable annuity business segregated in the separate accounts.

 

Invested assets covering liabilities (other than the separate accounts) and related capital comprise principally debt securities classified as available-for-sale. Value movements for these securities are reflected as movements in shareholders' equity through the statement of comprehensive income. Other invested assets and derivatives are carried at fair value with the value movements reflected in the income statement.

 

By contrast, the IFRS insurance liabilities for business written by Jackson, by the application of grandfathered GAAP under IFRS 4, are measured on US GAAP bases which with the exception of certain items covered by the equity hedging programme, are generally insensitive to temporary changes in market conditions or the short-term returns on the attaching asset portfolios.

 

These differences in carrying value of debt securities, other invested assets, derivatives and insurance liabilities give rise to potentially significant volatility in the IFRS income statement and shareholders' equity. As with other shareholder-backed business the profit or loss for Jackson is presented by distinguishing the result for the year between an operating result based on longer-term investment returns and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In this way the most significant direct effect of market changes that have taken place to the Jackson result are separately identified. 

 

Excluding these short-term effects, the factors that most significantly affect the Jackson IFRS operating result based on long-term investment returns are:

 

•        Variable annuity business -effect of market risk arising from the variability of asset management fees

•        Fixed annuity business - the spread differential between the earned rate and the rate credited to policyholders; and

•        Fixed index annuity business - the spread differential between the earned rate and the rate credited to policyholders.

 

In addition, the total profit for Jackson is affected by the level of impairment losses on the debt securities portfolio, net effect of market risk arising from the incidence and valuation of guarantee features, guaranteed benefit payments and equity index participation features, offset by variability of benefit related fees and equity derivative hedging performance, short-term value movements on derivatives held to manage the fixed annuity and other general account business, and other temporary value movements on portfolio investments classified as fair value through profit and loss.

 

The Group has amended its presentation of operating profit for its US insurance operations to remove the net equity hedge accounting effect and include it in short-term fluctuations as explained further in note C. Following this change the operating profit based on longer-term investment returns of the US insurance operations of £833 million for 2010 (2009: £618 million) excludes £367 million (2009: £159 million) negative net equity hedge accounting effects, net of related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs. The presentation of results for 2009 has been amended accordingly.

 

Following this change the US insurance operating profit of £833 million for 2010 excludes the market related impacts comprised of £367 million of net equity hedging losses, net of related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs (2009: losses of £159 million), representing the movement in fair value of free standing equity derivatives and the movement in the accounting value of Jackson's liabilities for variable and fixed index annuity guarantees, for which a significant proportion are not fair valued, together with the associated fees and claims included in reserves. These net amounts are highly variable and not representative of underlying performance based on longer-term investment returns and have therefore been included in short-term fluctuations. The presentation of results for 2009 has been amended accordingly.

 

Asian insurance operations

For Asian with-profits business the same features apply as described above for UK with-profits business. Similarly, as for other parts of the Group, for unit-linked business the main factor affecting IFRS basis results is investment performance through asset management fees.

 

The sensitivity of the IFRS basis results of the Group's Asian operations to market risk is primarily restricted to the non-participating business.

 

This sensitivity is primarily reflected through the volatility of asset returns coupled with the fact that the accounting carrying value of liabilities to policyholders are only partially sensitive to changed market conditions. As for UK shareholder-backed operations and Jackson, the IFRS profit is distinguished in the Group's segmental analysis so as to distinguish operating profits based on longer-term investment return and short-term fluctuations in investment returns.

 

Insurance and lapse risk

The features described above cover the main sensitivities of IFRS profit and loss and equity for market, insurance and credit risk. Lapse and longevity risk may also be a key determination of IFRS basis results with variable impacts.

 

In the UK, adverse persistency experience can affect the level of profitability from with-profits and unit-linked business. For with-profits business in any given year, the amount represented by the shareholders' share of cost of bonus may only be marginally affected. However, altered persistency trends may affect future expected shareholder transfers.

 

By contrast, Group IFRS operating profit is particularly sensitive to longevity outlook that results in changes of assumption for the UK shareholder-backed annuity business.

 

Jackson is sensitive to lapse risk. However, Jackson uses swaption derivatives to ameliorate the effect of a sharp rise in interest rates, which would be the most likely cause of a sudden change in policyholder behaviour.

 

In Asia adverse persistency experience can impact the IFRS profitability of certain business written in the region. This risk is managed at a business unit level through monthly monitoring of experience and the implementation of management actions as necessary. These actions could include product enhancements, increased management focus on premium collection as well as other customer retention efforts. The potential financial impact of lapses is often mitigated through the specific features of the products, e.g. surrender charges.

 

Impact of diversification on risk exposure

The Group enjoys significant diversification benefits. This arises because not all risk scenarios will happen at the same time and across all geographic regions. The Group tests the sensitivities of results to different correlation factors such as:

 

Correlation across geographic regions

•        Financial risk factors

•        Non-financial risk factors.

 

Correlation across risk factors

•        Longevity risk

•        Expenses

•        Persistency

•        Other risks.

 

The effect of Group diversification is to significantly reduce the aggregate standalone volatility risk to IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns. The effect is almost wholly explained by the correlations across risk types, in particular longevity risk.

 

(i)     UK insurance operations   

 

The risks to which the IFRS basis results of the UK insurance operations are sensitive are asset/liability matching, mortality experience and payment assumptions for shareholder-backed annuity business. Further details are described below.

 

With-profits business

SAIF

Shareholders have no interest in the profits of SAIF but are entitled to the asset management fees paid on the assets of the fund.

 

With-profits sub-fund business

For with-profits business (including non-participating business of PAL which is owned by the WPSF) adjustments to liabilities and any related tax effects are recognised in the income statement. However, except for any impact on the annual declaration of bonuses, shareholders' profit for with-profits business is unaffected. This is because IFRS basis profits for with-profits business, which are determined on the same basis as on preceding UK GAAP, solely reflect one-ninth of the cost of bonuses declared for the year.

 

The main factors that influence the determination of bonus rates are the return on the investments of the fund, the effect of inflation, taxation, the expenses of the fund chargeable to policyholders and the degree to which investment returns are smoothed. Mortality and other insurance risk are relatively minor factors.

     

Unallocated surplus represents the excess of assets over policyholder liabilities of the fund. As unallocated surplus of the WPSF is recorded as a liability, movements in its value do not affect shareholders' profits or equity.

     

The level of unallocated surplus is particularly sensitive to the level of investment returns on the portion of the life fund assets that represents the surplus.

 

Shareholder-backed annuity business

Profits from shareholder-backed annuity business are most sensitive to:

 

•     The extent to which the duration of the assets held closely matches the expected duration of the liabilities under the contracts. Assuming close matching, the impact of short-term asset value movements as a result of interest rate movements will broadly offset changes in the value of liabilities caused by movements in valuation rates of interest;

•     Actual versus expected default rates on assets held;

•     The difference between long-term rates of return on corporate bonds and risk-free rates;

•     The variance between actual and expected mortality experience;

•     The extent to which expected future mortality experience gives rise to changes in the measurement of liabilities; and

•     Changes in renewal expense levels.

 

A decrease in assumed mortality rates of one per cent would decrease gross profits by approximately £53 million (2009: £44 million). A decrease in credit default assumptions of five basis points would increase gross profits by £119 million (2009: £91 million). A decrease in renewal expenses (excluding asset management expenses) of five per cent would increase gross profits by £23 million (2009: £17 million). The effect on profits would be approximately symmetrical for changes in assumptions that are directionally opposite to those explained above.

 

Unit-linked and other business

Unit-linked and other business represents a comparatively small proportion of the in-force business of the UK insurance operations.

 

Profits from unit-linked and similar contracts primarily arise from the excess of charges to policyholders, for management of assets under the Company's stewardship, over expenses incurred. The former is most sensitive to the net accretion of funds under management as a function of new business and lapse and timing of death. The accounting impact of the latter is dependent upon the amortisation of acquisition costs in line with the emergence of margins (for insurance contracts) and amortisation in line with service provision (for the investment management component of investment contracts). By virtue of the design features of most of the contracts which provide low levels of mortality cover, the profits are relatively insensitive to changes in mortality experience.

 

Shareholder exposure to interest rate risk and other market risk

By virtue of the fund structure, product features and basis of accounting, the policyholder liabilities of the UK insurance operations are, except for pension annuity business, not generally exposed to interest rate risk. For pension annuity business, liabilities are exposed to fair value interest rate risk. However, the net exposure to the PAC WPSF (for PAL) and shareholders (for liabilities of PRIL and the non-profit sub-fund) is very substantially ameliorated by virtue of the close matching of assets with appropriate duration. The level of matching from period to period can vary depending on management actions and economic factors so it is possible for a degree of mis-matching profits or losses to arise.

 

The close matching by the Group of assets of appropriate duration to annuity liabilities is based on maintaining economic and regulatory capital. The measurement of liabilities under capital reporting requirements and IFRS is not the same with contingency reserves and some other margins for prudence within the assumptions required under the FSA regulatory solvency basis not included for IFRS reporting purposes. As a result IFRS equity is higher than regulatory capital and therefore more sensitive to interest rate risk.

 

The estimated sensitivity of the UK non-linked shareholder-backed business (principally pension annuities business) to a movement in interest rates is as follows.












2010 £m


2009 £m


A decrease

A decrease of 1%

An increase of 1%

An increase


A decrease

A decrease

An increase

An increase

 of 2%

of 2%

of 2%

of 1%

of 1%

of 2%

Carrying value of debt securities and derivatives

6,547 

2,938 

(2,434)

(4,481)


5,372 

2,422 

(2,020)

(3,731)

Policyholder liabilities

(5,977)

(2,723)

2,109 

3,929 


(5,125)

(2,304)

1,905 

3,498 

Related deferred tax effects

(154)

(58)

88 

149 


(69)

(33)

32 

65 

Net sensitivity of profit after tax and shareholders' equity

416 

157 

(237)

(403)


178 

85 

(83)

(168)

 

In addition the shareholder-backed portfolio of UK non-linked insurance operations covering liabilities and shareholders' equity includes equity securities and investment property. Excluding any second order effects on the measurement of the liabilities for future cash flows to the policyholder, a fall in their value would have given rise to the following effects on pre-tax profit, profit after tax, and shareholders' equity.

 


2010 £m


2009 £m


A decrease

     of 20%

A decrease 

        of 10%


A decrease 

        of 20%

A decrease 

        of 10%

Pre-tax profit

(302)

(151)


(292)

(146)

Related deferred tax effects

82 

41 


82 

41 

Net sensitivity of profit after tax and shareholders' equity

(220)

(110)


(210)

(105)

 

A 10 or 20 per cent increase in their value would have an approximately equal and opposite effect on profit and shareholders' equity to the sensitivities shown above. The market risk sensitivities shown above reflect the impact of temporary market movements and, therefore, the primary effect of such movements would, in the Group's segmental analysis of profits, be included within the short-term fluctuations in investment returns.

 

In the equity risk sensitivity analysis given above, the Group has considered the impact of an instantaneous 20 per cent fall in equity markets. If equity markets were to fall by more than 20 per cent, the Group believes that this would not be an instantaneous fall but rather this would be expected to occur over a period of time during which the Group would be able to put in place mitigating management actions.

 

(ii)    US insurance operations

 

Currency fluctuations

Consistent with the Group's accounting policies, the profits of the Group's US operations are translated at average exchange rates and shareholders' equity at the closing rate for the reporting period. For 2010, the rates were US$1.55 (2009: US$1.57) and US$1.57 (2009: US$1.61) to £1 sterling, respectively. A 10 per cent increase or decrease in these rates would reduce or increase profit (loss) before tax attributable to shareholders, profit (loss) for the year and shareholders' equity attributable to US insurance operations respectively as follows:

 


A 10% increase in exchange rates

A 10% decrease in exchange rates


2010 

2009 

2010 

2009 


£m

£m

£m

£m

Profit (loss) before tax attributable to shareholders (note (i))

(41)

(44)

50 

54 

Profit (loss) for the year

(31)

(54)

37 

65 

Shareholders' equity attributable to US insurance operations

(347)

(274)

424 

335 

 

Note

(i)      Sensitivity on profit (loss) before tax i.e. aggregate of the operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and short-term fluctuations.

 

Other sensitivities

The principal determinants of variations in operating profit based on longer-term returns are:

 

•        Growth in the size of assets under management covering the liabilities for the contracts in force;

•        Variations in fees and other income, offset by variations in market value adjustment payments and, where necessary, strengthening of liabilities;

•        Spread returns for the difference between investment returns and rates credited to policyholders; and

•        Amortisation of deferred acquisition costs.

 

For term business, acquisition costs are deferred and amortised in line with expected premiums. For annuity business, acquisition costs are deferred and amortised in line with expected gross profits on the relevant contracts. For interest-sensitive business, the key assumption is the expected long-term spread between the earned rate and the rate credited to policyholders, which is based on an annual spread analysis. In addition, expected gross profits depend on mortality assumptions, assumed unit costs and terminations other than deaths (including the related charges) all of which are based on a combination of actual experience of Jackson, industry experience and future expectations.

 

A detailed analysis of actual experience is measured by internally developed mortality and persistency studies. For variable annuity business, the key assumption is the expected long-term level of equity market returns, which for 2010 and 2009 was 8.4 per cent per annum implemented using a mean reversion methodology. These returns affect the level of future expected profits through their effects on the fee income and the required level of provision for guaranteed minimum death benefit claims. The mean reversion methodology dampens the impact of equity market movements during a particular year, but does not fully eliminate the effects of movements in the equity markets.

 

In addition, the mean reversion methodology includes both a cap and a floor that determine the maximum impact that the methodology may have. The projected rates of return are capped at no more than 15 per cent for each of the next five years.

 

Except to the extent of mortality experience, which primarily affects profits through variations in claim payments and GMDB reserves, the profits of Jackson are relatively insensitive to changes in insurance risk.

 

Exposure to equity risk

Variable annuity contracts related

Jackson issues variable contracts through its separate accounts for which investment income and investment gains and losses accrue to, and investment risk is borne by, the contract holder (traditional variable annuities). It also issues variable annuity and life contracts through separate accounts where it contractually guarantees to the contract holder (variable contracts with guarantees) either a) return of no less than deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals, b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return, or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable in the event of death (GMDB), annuitisation (GMIB), at specified dates during the accumulation period (GMWB) or at the end of a specified period (GMAB).

 

At 31 December 2010 and 2009, Jackson had variable annuity contracts with guarantees, for which the net amount at risk ("NAR") is generally the amount of guaranteed benefit in excess of current account value, as follows:

 

31 December 2010



Minimum

return

Account

value

Net amount

at risk

Weighted

average

attained age

Period

until

expected

annuitisation




£m

£m










Return of net deposits plus a minimum return







GMDB

0-6%

25,540 

2,106 

64.0 years



GMWB - Premium only

0%

2,742 

149 




GMWB - For life

0-5%**

1,996 

415*




GMAB - Premium only

0%

48 



Highest specified anniversary account value minus withdrawals post-anniversary







GMDB


3,742 

466 

63.3 years



GMWB - Highest anniversary only


2,010 

343 




GMWB - For life


852 

196*



Combination net deposits plus minimum return, highest specified anniversary account value minus withdrawals post-anniversary







GMDB

0-6%

1,768 

311 

65.7 years



GMIB

0-6%

1,933 

418 


5.1 years


GMWB -For life

0-8%**

15,025 

672*



 

31 December 2009



Minimum

  return

Account 

value

Net amount

 at risk

Weighted  average attained age

Period until  expected annuitisation




£m

£m










Return of net deposits plus a minimum return







GMDB

0-6%

16,915 

2,834 

63.8 years



GMWB - Premium only

0%

2,505 

277 




GMWB - For life

0-5%**

1,240 

471*




GMAB - Premium only

0%

27 



Highest specified anniversary account value minus withdrawals post-anniversary







GMDB


2,933 

691 

62.8 years



GMWB - Highest anniversary only


1,694 

496 




GMWB - For life


811 

258*



Combination net deposits plus minimum return, highest specified anniversary account value minus withdrawals post-anniversary







GMDB

0-6%

1,307 

384 

65.1 years



GMIB

0-6%

1,815 

488 


5.9 years


GMWB -For life

0-7%**

6,934 

568*



* The NAR for GMWB "For life" has been estimated as the present value of future expected benefit payments remaining after the amount of the "not for life " guaranteed benefit is zero.

**Ranges shown based on simple interest. The upper limits of five per cent, seven per cent and eight per cent simple interest are approximately equal to 4.1 per cent, 5.5 per cent and six per cent respectively, on a compound interest basis over a typical 10-year bonus period.

 

Account balances of contracts with guarantees were invested in variable separate accounts as follows:







2010 

2009 



£m 

£m 

Mutual fund type:




Equity

23,841 

15,477 


Bond

3,417 

2,340 


Balanced

3,345 

2,186 


Money market

451 

522 


Total

31,054 

20,525 

 

Jackson is exposed to equity risk through the options embedded in the fixed indexed liabilities and GMDB and GMWB guarantees included in certain VA benefits as illustrated above. This risk is managed using a comprehensive equity hedging programme to minimise the risk of a significant economic impact as a result of increases or decreases in equity market levels while taking advantage of naturally offsetting exposures in Jackson's operations. Jackson purchases external futures and options that hedge the risks inherent in these products, while also considering the impact of rising and falling separate account fees.

 

As a result of this hedging programme, if the equity markets were to increase further in the future, Jackson's free-standing derivatives would decrease in value. However, over time, this movement would be broadly offset by increased separate account fees and reserve decreases, net of the related changes to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs. Due to the nature of the free-standing and embedded derivatives, this hedge, while highly effective on an economic basis, may not completely mute the immediate impact of equity market movements as the free-standing derivatives reset immediately while the hedged liabilities reset more slowly and fees are recognised prospectively. The opposite impacts would be observed if the equity markets were to decrease.

 

At 31 December 2010 based on the hedges in place at that time, it is estimated that an immediate decrease in the equity markets of 10 per cent would result in an accounting benefit, net of related DAC amortisation, before tax of up to £100 million (2009: £60 million), excluding the impact on future separate account fees. After related deferred tax there would have been an estimated increase in shareholders' equity at 31 December 2010 of up to £60 million (2009: £40 million). An immediate decrease in the equity markets of 20 per cent is estimated to result in an accounting benefit, net of related DAC amortisation, before tax of up to £170 million (2009: £110 million), excluding the impact on future separate account fees. After related deferred tax there would have been an estimated increase in shareholders' equity at 31 December 2010 of up to £110 million (2009: £80 million). An immediate increase in the equity markets of 10 and 20 per cent is estimated to result in an approximately equal and opposite estimated effect on profit and shareholders' equity as that disclosed above for a decrease.

 

The actual impact on financial results would vary contingent upon the volume of new product sales and lapses, changes to the derivative portfolio, correlation of market returns and various other factors including volatility, interest rates and elapsed time.

 

Other exposure to equity risk

 

In addition to the above, Jackson is also exposed to equity risk from its holding of equity securities, partnerships in investment pools and other financial derivatives.

 

A range of reasonably possible movements in the value of equity securities, partnerships in investment pools and other financial derivatives have been applied to Jackson's holdings at 31 December 2010 and 31 December 2009. The table below shows the sensitivity to a 10 and 20 per cent fall in value and the impact that this would have on pre-tax profit, net of related changes in amortisation of DAC, profit after tax and shareholders' equity.

 


2010 £m

2009 £m


A decrease of 20%

A decrease of 10%

A decrease of 20%

A decrease of 10%

Pre-tax profit, net of related changes in amortisation of DAC

(143)

(72)

(117)

(58)

Related deferred tax effects

50 

25 

41 

20 

Net sensitivity of profit after tax and shareholders' equity

(93)

(47)

(76)

(38)

 

A 10 or 20 per cent increase in their value is estimated to have an approximately equal and opposite effect on profit and shareholders' equity to the sensitivities shown above.

 

In the equity risk sensitivity analysis given above, the Group has considered the impact of an instantaneous 20 per cent fall in equity markets. If equity markets were to fall by more than 20 per cent, the Group believes that this would not be an instantaneous fall but rather this would be expected to occur over a period of time during which the Group would be able to put in place mitigating management actions.

 

Exposure to interest rate risk

Notwithstanding the market risk exposure previously described, except in the circumstances of interest rate scenarios where the guarantee rates included in contract terms are higher than crediting rates that can be supported from assets held to cover liabilities, the accounting measurement of fixed annuity liabilities of Jackson products is not generally sensitive to interest rate risk. This position derives from the nature of the products and the US GAAP (as 'grandfathered' under IFRS 4) basis of measurement. The GMWB features  attaching to variable annuity business (other than "for-life") represents embedded derivatives which are fair valued and so will be sensitive to changes in interest rate.

 

Debt securities and related derivatives are marked to fair value. Value movements on derivatives, again net of related changes to amortisation of DAC and deferred tax, are recorded within profit and loss. Fair value movements on debt securities, net of related changes to amortisation of DAC and deferred tax, are recorded within other comprehensive income. The estimated sensitivity of these items and policyholder liabilities to a one per cent and two per cent decrease and increase in interest rates at 31 December 2010 and 2009 is as follows:



 



2010 £m

2009 £m



A 2% decrease

A 1% decrease

A 1% increase

A 2% increase

A 2% decrease

A 1% decrease

A 1% increase

A 2% increase

Profit and loss









Direct effect










Derivatives value change

842 

363 

(277)

(529)

(319)

(148)

159 

370 


Policyholder liabilities

(547)

(243)

219 

416 

(418)

(185)

170 

334 

Related effect on amortisation of DAC

47 

23 

(34)

(63)

364 

162 

(156)

(328)











Pre-tax profit effect










Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

579 

245 

(181)

(345)

(144)

(62)

56 

109 


Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

(237)

(102)

89 

169 

(229)

(109)

117 

267 



342 

143 

(92)

(176)

(373)

(171)

173 

376 

Related effect on charge for deferred tax

(120)

(50)

32 

62 

131 

60 

(60)

(131)

Net profit effect

222 

93 

(60)

(114)

(242)

(111)

113 

245 











Other comprehensive income









Direct effect on carrying value of debt securities

2,663 

1,454 

(1,454)

(2,663)

2,183 

1,179 

(1,179)

(2,183)

Related effect on amortisation of DAC

(1,174)

(641)

641 

1,174 

(764)

(413)

413 

764 

Related effect on movement in deferred tax

(521)

(285)

285 

521 

(497)

(268)

268 

497 

Net effect

968 

528 

(528)

(968)

922 

498 

(498)

(922)

Total net effect on IFRS equity

1,190 

621 

(588)

(1,082)

680 

387 

(385)

(677)

 

(iii)   Asian insurance operations

 

Sensitivity of IFRS basis profit and equity to market and other risks

Currency translation

Consistent with the Group's accounting policies, the profits of the Asian insurance operations are translated at average exchange rates and shareholders' equity at the closing rate for the reporting period.

 

A 10 per cent increase or decrease in these rates would have reduced or increased profit before tax attributable to shareholders, profit for the year and shareholders' equity, excluding goodwill, attributable to Asian operations respectively as follows:

 


A 10% increase in exchange rates

A 10% decrease in exchange rates


2010 

2009 

2010 

2009 


£m

£m

£m

£m

Profit before tax attributable to shareholders (note(i))

(65)

(40)

80 

49 

Profit for the year

(58)

(35)

71 

43 

Shareholders' equity, excluding goodwill, attributable to Asian operations

(193)

(129)

236 

158 

 

Note

(i)      Sensitivity on profit before tax i.e. aggregate of the operating profit based on longer-term investment returns, short-term fluctuations in investment returns, and actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes but excluding the loss on sale and results for Taiwan agency business.

 

Other risks

With-profits business

Similar principles to those explained for UK with-profits business apply to profit emergence for the Asian with-profits business.

Correspondingly, the profit emergence reflects bonus declaration and is relatively insensitive to period by period fluctuations in insurance risk or interest rate movements.

 



Unit-linked business

As for the UK insurance operations, the profits and shareholders' equity related to the Asian operations is primarily driven by charges related to invested funds. For the Asian operations, substantially all of the contracts are classified as insurance contracts under IFRS 4, i.e. containing significant insurance risk. The sensitivity of profits and equity to changes in insurance risk is minor and, to interest rate risk, not material.

 

Other business

Interest rate risk

Asian operations offer a range of insurance and investment products, predominately with-profits and non-participating term, whole life endowment and unit-linked. Excluding with-profit and unit-linked business, the results of the Asian business are sensitive to the vagaries of routine movements in interest rates.

 

For the purposes of analysing sensitivity to variations in interest rates, it has been determined for the majority of territories that a movement of 1 per cent in the 10 year government bond rate can be considered reasonably possible. At 31 December 2010, 10 year government bond rates vary from territory to territory and range from 1.1 per cent to 12.25 per cent (2009: 1.3 per cent to 11.45 per cent). Exception to this arises in Japan and Taiwan where reasonably possible interest rate movements have been determined as 0.5 per cent (2009: Japan and Taiwan 0.5 per cent). These reasonably possible changes would have the following impact:

 


2010 £m

2009 £m



A decrease of 1% (note (i))


A decrease of 1% (note (i))

Pre-tax profit


110 


91 

Related deferred tax (where applicable)


(41)


(22)

Net effect on profit and equity


69 


69 

 

Note

(i)      One per cent sensitivity has been used in all territories (except Japan and Taiwan (0.5 per cent)) (2009: Japan and Taiwan 0.5 per cent)

The pre-tax impacts, if they arose, would mostly be recorded within the category short-term fluctuations in investments returns in the Group's segmental analysis of profit before tax.

 

At 31 December 2010, an increase in the rates of one per cent (Japan and Taiwan (0.5 per cent) (2009: one per cent except Japan and Taiwan 0.5 per cent) is estimated to have the effect of decreasing pre-tax profit by £112 million (2009: £109 million). After adjusting these results for deferred tax the reasonable possible effect on shareholders' equity is a decrease of £82 million (2009: £83 million).

 

Equity price risk

The non-linked shareholder business has limited exposure to equity and property investment (£515 million at 31 December 2010). Generally changes in equity and property investment values are not automatically matched by investments in policyholder liabilities. However for the Vietnam business, to the extent that equity investment appreciation is realised through sales of securities then policyholders' liabilities are adjusted to the extent that policyholders participate.

 

The estimated sensitivity to a 10 and 20 per cent change in equity and property prices for shareholder-backed Asian other business, which would be reflected in the short-term fluctuation component of the Group's segmental analysis of profit before tax, at 31 December 2010 and 2009 would be as follows:

 


2010 £m

2009 £m


A decrease of 20%

A decrease of 10%

A decrease of 20%

A decrease of 10%

Pre-tax profit

(103)

(52)

(58)

(29)

Related deferred tax (where applicable)

10 

Net effect on profit and equity

(93)

(47)

(50)

(25)

 

A 10 or 20 per cent increase in their value is estimated to have an approximately equal and opposite effect on profit and shareholders' equity to the sensitivities shown above.

 

In the equity risk sensitivity analysis given above the Group has considered the impact of an instantaneous 20 per cent fall in equity markets. If equity markets were to fall by more than 20 per cent, the Group believes that this would not be an instantaneous fall but rather this would be expected to occur over a period of time during which the Group would be able to put in place mitigating management actions.

 

Insurance risk

Many of the territories in Asia are exposed to mortality/morbidity risk and provision is made within IFRS policyholder liabilities on a prudent regulatory basis to cover the potential exposure. If these prudent assumptions were strengthened by five per cent (estimated at one in ten year shock) then it is estimated that post tax IFRS profit would be impacted by approximately £21 million (2009: £9 million) (with a corresponding change to IFRS shareholders' equity). Mortality/morbidity has a symmetrical effect on portfolio and so a weakening of mortality/morbidity assumptions would have an approximately equal and opposite similar impact.



(iv)    Asset management operations

 

Currency translation

Consistent with the Group's accounting policies, the profits of the Asia and PPM America asset management operations are translated at average exchange rates and shareholders' equity at the closing rate for the reporting period. The rates for the most significant operations are given in note VII.

 

A 10 per cent increase in the relevant exchange rates would have reduced reported profit before tax attributable to shareholders and shareholders' equity, excluding goodwill attributable to Asia and PPM America asset management operations, by £9 million (2009: £5 million) and £28 million (2009: £23 million) respectively.

 

Other sensitivities to other financial risks for asset management operations

The principal sensitivities to other financial risk of asset management operations are credit risk on the bridging loan portfolio of the Prudential Capital operation and the indirect effect of changes to market values of funds under management. Due to the nature of the asset management operations there is limited direct sensitivity to movements in interest rates. Total debt securities held at 31 December 2010 by asset management operations were £1,574 million (2009: £1,164 million), the majority of which are held by the Prudential Capital operation. Debt securities held by M&G and Prudential Capital are in general variable rate bonds and so market value is limited in sensitivity to interest rate movements and consequently any change in interest rates would not have a material impact on profit or shareholder's equity. Asset management operations do not hold significant investments in property or equities.


 

AB   Share capital, share premium and own shares

 



2010 



Number of ordinary shares

Share capital

Share premium




£m

£m

Issued shares of 5p each fully paid:





At 1 January 2010

2,532,227,471 

127 

1,843 


Shares issued under share option schemes

2,455,227 

 - 

13 


Shares issued in lieu of cash dividends

10,911,808 

 - 

62 


Reserve movements in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends

 - 

 - 

(62)

At 31 December 2010

2,545,594,506 

127 

1,856 

 



2009 







Number of ordinary shares

Share capital

Share premium




£m

£m

Issued shares of 5p each fully paid:





At 1 January 2009

2,496,947,688 

125 

1,840 


Shares issued under share option schemes

605,721 

-


Shares issued in lieu of cash dividends

34,674,062 

136 


Reserve movements in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends

-

-

(136)

At 31 December 2009

2,532,227,471 

127 

1,843 

 

Amounts recorded in share capital represent the nominal value of the shares issued. The difference between the proceeds received on issue of shares, net of issue costs, and the nominal value of shares issued is credited to the share premium account.

Shares issued in lieu of cash dividends are considered to take the legal form of bonus issue shares and have been accounted for as such.

 

At 31 December 2010, there were options outstanding under Save As You Earn schemes to subscribe for 12,802,482 (2009: 12,230,833) shares at prices ranging from 288 pence to 572 pence (2009: 266 pence to 572 pence) and exercisable by the year 2016 (2009: 2016).

 

The cost of own shares of £75 million as at 31 December 2010 (2009: £75 million) is deducted from retained earnings. The Company has established trusts to facilitate the delivery of shares under employee incentive plans and savings-related share option schemes. At 31 December 2010, 4.5 million (2009: 5.3 million) Prudential plc shares with a market value of £30 million (2009: £34 million) were held in such trusts. Of this total, 4.4 million (2009: 4.8 million) shares were held in trusts under employee incentive plans. In 2010, the Company purchased 5.7 million (2009: 3.4 million) shares in respect of employee incentive plans at a cost of £32 million (2009: £17 million). The maximum number of shares held in the year was 5.3 million which was at the beginning of the year.

 

Of the total shares held in trust 0.1 million (2009: 0.5 million) were held by a qualifying employee share ownership trust. These shares are expected to be fully distributed in the future on maturity of savings-related share option schemes.



 

The shares purchased each month are as follows:

2010 



Share Price



Number of shares


Low


High


Cost




£


£


£

January

9,338 


6.38 


6.38 


59,530 

February

11,638 


5.68 


5.68 


66,046 

March

3,908,274 


5.16 


6.09 


20,884,460 

April

11,129 


5.63 


5.63 


62,601 

May

14,638 


5.59 


5.59 


81,753 

June

190,991 


5.26 


5.66 


1,075,712 

July

13,457 


5.14 


5.14 


69,102 

August

10,016 


5.86 


5.86 


58,644 

September

13,727 


5.25 


5.84 


78,539 

October

11,634 


6.37 


6.37 


74,108 

November

385,321 


5.74 


6.49 


2,244,770 

December

1,153,611 


6.04 


6.65 


7,445,358 

2010 Total

5,733,774 






32,200,623 

 

The shares purchased each month are as follows:

2009 



Share Price



Number of shares


Low


High


Cost




£


£


£

January

19,852 


3.83 


3.94 


76,575 

February

19,926 


3.52 


3.52 


70,140 

March

1,112,209 


2.02 


3.50 


3,837,968 

April

22,164 


3.38 


3.38 


74,859 

May

32,416 


4.45 


6.59 


173,242 

June

26,594 


4.44 


7.31 


145,230 

July

342,062 


3.86 


4.03 


1,374,929 

August

14,059 


4.85 


4.85 


68,144 

September

12,435 


5.50 


5.50 


68,393 

October

10,332 


6.34 


6.34 


65,453 

November

10,576 


6.04 


6.04 


63,879 

December

1,739,591 


6.06 


6.35 


10,941,847 

2009 Total

3,362,216 






16,960,659 

 

The Group has consolidated a number of authorised investment funds where it is deemed to control these funds under IFRS. Some of these funds hold shares in Prudential plc. The total number of shares held by these funds at 31 December 2010 was 9.8 million (2009: 10.6 million) and the cost of acquiring these shares of £47 million (2009: £50 million) is included in the cost of own shares. The market value of these shares as at 31 December 2010 was £65 million (2009: £67 million).

 

During 2010 and 2009 respectively, these funds made 833,618 net disposals and 1,414,263 net acquisitions of Prudential shares for a net decrease of £3 million and a net increase of £3 million to book cost.

               

All share transactions were made on an exchange other than the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong.

 

The Company did not buy back any of its own shares during 2010 or 2009.

 

AC   Post balance sheet events

 

In January 2011, the Company issued US$550 million 7.75 per cent Tier 1 subordinated debt, primarily to retail investors. The proceeds, net of costs, were US$539 million and are intended to finance the repayments of the €500 million Tier 2 subordinated notes in December 2011. 

Additional Unaudited Financial Information

 

1     Analysis of long-term insurance business pre-tax IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns by driver

 

This schedule classifies the Group's pre-tax operating earnings from long-term insurance operations into the underlying drivers of those profits, using the following categories:

 

(i)     Spread income represents the difference between net investment income (or premium income in the case of the UK annuities new business) and amounts credited to policyholder accounts. It excludes the longer-term investment return on assets in excess of those covering shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities, which has been separately disclosed as expected return on shareholder assets.

(ii)    Fee income represents profits driven by net investment performance, being asset management fees that vary with the size of the underlying policyholder funds net of investment management expenses.

(iii)   With-profits business represents the shareholders' transfer from the with-profits fund in the period.

(iv)    Insurance margin primarily represents profits derived from the insurance risks of mortality, morbidity and persistency.

(v)     Margin on revenues primarily represents amounts deducted from premiums to cover acquisition costs and administration expenses.

(vi)    Acquisition costs and administration expenses represent expenses incurred in the period attributable to shareholders. It excludes items such as restructuring costs and Solvency II costs which are not included in the segment profit for insurance as well as items that are more appropriately included in other source of earnings lines (e.g. investment expenses are netted off investment income as part of spread income or fee income as appropriate).

(vii)  DAC adjustments comprises DAC amortisation for the period, excluding amounts related to short-term fluctuations, net of costs deferred in respect of new business.

 

Analysis of pre-tax IFRS operating profit by source



2010 



Asia 

US 

UK 


Total 


Unallocated 



£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Spread income

70 

692 

251 

 - 

1,013 

Fee income

122 

506 

60 

 - 

688 

With-profits

32 

310 

 - 

342 

Insurance margin

392 

188 

12 

 - 

592 

Margin on revenues

1,018 

223 

 - 

1,241 

Expenses





  


Acquisition costs

(656)

(851)

(167)

 - 

(1,674)


Administration expenses

(467)

(344)

(113)

 - 

(924)


DAC adjustments

517 

(1)

 - 

518 

Expected return on shareholder assets

19 

125 

98 

 - 

242 

Long-term business operating profit

532 

833 

673 

 - 

2,038 

Asset management operating profit

72 

22 

284 

 - 

378 

GI commission

 - 

 - 

46 

 - 

46 

Other income and expenditure*

 - 

 - 

 - 

(521)

(521)

Total operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

604 

855 

1,003 

(521)

1,941 







  



2009 (i)



Asia 

US 

UK 

Unallocated 

Total 



£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Spread income

31 

524 

198 

 - 

753 

Fee income

80 

324 

54 

 - 

458 

With-profits

29 

281 

 - 

310 

Insurance margin

253 

154 

41 

 - 

448 

Margin on revenues

766 

275 

 - 

1,041 

Expenses





  


Acquisition costs

(605)

(690)

(192)

 - 

(1,487)


Administration expenses

(382)

(259)

(173)

 - 

(814)


DAC adjustments

150 

467 

(3)

 - 

614 

Expected return on shareholder assets

25 

98 

125 

 - 

248 

Non-recurrent release of reserves for Malaysia life operations

63 

 - 

63 

Long-term business operating profit

410 

618 

606 

 - 

1,634 

Asset management operating profit

55 

238 

 - 

297 

GI commission

 - 

 - 

51 

 - 

51 

Other income and expenditure*

 - 

 - 

 - 

(418)

(418)

Total operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

465 

622 

895 

(418)

1,564 

*Including restructuring and Solvency II implementation costs.





  



 



2008 (i)



Asia 

US 

UK 

Unallocated 

Total 



£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

Spread income

38 

461 

35 

 - 

534 

Fee income

54 

292 

57 

 - 

403 

With-profits

30 

 - 

395 

 - 

425 

Insurance margin

198 

161 

(12)

 - 

347 

Margin on revenues

672 

314 

 - 

986 

Expenses





  


Acquisition costs

(619)

(451)

(172)

 - 

(1,242)


Administration expenses

(331)

(217)

(212)

 - 

(760)


DAC adjustments

173 

 - 

32 

 - 

205 

Expected return on shareholder assets

16 

89 

108 

213 

Long-term business operating profit

231 

335 

545 

 - 

1,111 

Asset management operating profit

52 

286 

 - 

345 

GI commission

 - 

 - 

44 

 - 

44 

Other income and expenditure*

 - 

 - 

(288)

(288)

Total operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

283 

342 

875 

(288)

1,212 

*Including restructuring and Solvency II implementation costs.





  

 

(i)      During 2010 the Group amended its presentation of operating profit for its US insurance operations to remove the net equity hedge accounting effect associated with Jackson's variable annuity and fixed index annuity products, which are now classified in the Group's supplementary analysis of profit before tax attributable to shareholders as part of short term fluctuations in investment returns. 2009 and 2008 operating profit have been amended accordingly and so net equity hedge effects of £159 million negative and £71 million positive have been removed from the previously stated operating profits of £1,405 million and £1,283 million to give a restated value of £1,564 million and £1,212 million, respectively.

 



Margin analysis of long-term insurance business

 

The following analysis expresses certain of the Group's sources of operating profit as a margin of policyholder liabilities or other suitable driver. Details of the Group's average policyholder liability balances are given in note Z.

 







Total










2010 




2009 




2008 





Average  




Average  




Average  




Profit  

Liability 

Margin 


Profit  

Liability 

Margin 


Profit  

Liability 

Margin 

Long-term business

£m 

£m 

bps 


£m 

£m 

bps 


£m 

£m 

bps 














Spread income

1,013 

53,858 

188 


753 

51,000 

148 


534 

44,281 

121 

Fee income

688 

57,496 

120 


458 

43,373 

106 


403 

38,850 

104 

With-profits

342 

89,693 

38 


310 

84,063 

37 


425 

89,075 

48 

Insurance margin

592 




448 




347 



Margin on revenues

1,241 




1,041 




986 



Expenses













Acquisition costs*

(1,674)

3,492 

(48%)


(1,487)

2,896 

(51%)


(1,242)

2,879 

(43%)


Administration expenses

(924)

111,354 

(83)


(814)

94,373 

(86)


(760)

83,131 

(91)


DAC adjustments

518 




614 




205 



Expected return on shareholder assets

242 




248 




213 



Non-recurrent release of reserve for Malaysia Life




63 






Operating profit

2,038 




1,634 




1,111 






















Asia










2010 




2009 




2008 





Average 




Average  




Average 




Profit 

Liability 

Margin 


Profit  

Liability 

Margin 


Profit 

Liability 

Margin 

Long-term business

£m 

£m 

bps 


£m 

£m 

bps 


£m 

£m 

bps 














Spread income

70 

4,393 

159 


31 

3,152 

98 


38 

2,421 

157 

Fee income

122 

11,222 

109 


80 

8,107 

99 


54 

6,419 

84 

With-profits

32 

10,135 

32 


29 

8,371 

35 


30 

7,168 

42 

Insurance margin

392 




253 




198 



Margin on revenues

1,018 




766 




672 



Expenses













Acquisition costs*

(656)

1,508 

(44%)


(605)

1,261 

(48%)


(619)

1,216 

(51%)


Administration expenses

(467)

15,615 

(299)


(382)

11,259 

(339)


(331)

8,840 

(374)


DAC adjustments




150 




173 



Expected return on shareholder assets

19 




25 




16 



Non-recurrent release of reserve for Malaysia Life




63 






Operating profit

532 




410 




231 



* The ratio for acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage of APE including with-profits sales and Japan (2010: £7 million; 2009: £52 million). Acquisition costs include only those relating to shareholders.

 

Analysis of Asian operating profit drivers

 

•        Spread income has increased from £31 million in 2009 to £70 million in 2010. This increase arises primarily as a result of improved investment return in Vietnam (where the return in 2009 was particularly low compared to both 2008 and 2010) and additional dividend income received in Japan.

 

•        Fee income has increased both in absolute terms by £42 million and as an improvement in margin, which has increased 10bps to 109bps. This primarily relates in a change in mix towards those countries with a higher asset management fee margin (e.g. Indonesia) from countries where fees charged are lower.

 

•        Insurance margin has increased by £139 million from £253 million in 2009 to £392 million in 2010. This reflects the continued growth in the in-force book, which has a relatively high proportion of risk-based products. 2010 includes £19 million relating to reserving changes in India and China.

 

•        Margin on revenues has increased by £252 million reflecting the growth in the size of the portfolio and changes in country mix.

 

•        Acquisition costs - the costs as a percentage of APE new business sales has fallen over the period 2008-2010 reflecting management's continued focus on capital management activities, such as the closure of Japan to new business in the first quarter of 2010 and changes to business and country mix. The analysis above uses shareholder acquisition costs as a proportion of total APE, excluding with profits sales from the denominator the margin would become 2010: 53 per cent, 2009: 56 per cent and 2008: 58 per cent.

 

•        Administration expense margin has reduced from 339 bps in 2009 in part reflecting operational leverage benefit and a shift in mix towards countries with highly efficient business models (e.g. Indonesia).

 







US










2010 




2009 




2008 





Average




Average




Average




Profit

Liability

Margin


Profit

Liability

Margin


Profit

Liability

Margin

Long-term business

£m

£m

bps


£m

£m

bps


£m

£m

bps














Spread income

692 

28,496 

243 


524 

29,248 

179 


461 

25,322 

182 

Fee income

506 

25,921 

195 


324 

17,589 

184 


292 

14,783 

198 

With-profits









Insurance margin

188 




154 




161 



Margin on revenues









Expenses













Acquisition costs

(851)

1,164 

(73%)


(690)

912 

(76%)


(451)

716 

(63%)


Administration expenses

(344)

54,417 

(63)


(259)

46,837 

(55)


(217)

40,105 

(54)


DAC adjustments

517 




467 






Expected return on shareholder assets

125 




98 




89 



Operating profit

833 




618 




335 
















 

Analysis of US operating profit drivers:

 

•        Spread income benefited from the effect of transactions to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration in 2010. Excluding this effect (£108 million), spread margin in 2010 would have been 205 bps. The increase over the 2009 margin of 179 bps is due in part to decreased crediting rates on fixed annuities.

 

•        Fee income margins are based on the average of the opening and closing separate account balances. In normal years this is expected to be a reasonable proxy for the average balances throughout the year. In 2009 separate account flows were weighted towards the end of the year artificially lowering the 2009 margin. Using an average based on end of month balances, margins show little movement between years, (2010: 200bps; 2009: 203bps; 2008: 200bps) indicating that absolute revenue amounts are growing in line with separate accounts values. Separate account values increased between 2008 and 2010 both as a result of strong sales and improving equity markets.

 

•        Insurance margin represents operating profits from insurance risks, including variable annuity guarantees and other sundry net income. Positive net flows into variable annuity business with life contingent and other guarantees have helped improved the margin from £154 million in 2009 to £188 million in 2010.

 

•        Acquisition costs have increased in 2010 in absolute terms compared to 2009 following an increase in sales volumes. However acquisition costs as a percentage of APE has fallen from 76 per cent in 2009 to 73 per cent in 2010 as more advisors are electing to take asset based commission, which is paid over the life of the policy based on fund value. This asset based-commission is treated as an administration expense in this analysis as opposed to a cost of acquisition, resulting in a lower acquisition cost ratio but a higher administration expenses margin.

 

         2008 acquisition costs as a percentage of APE sales was 63 per cent, lower than 2009 and 2010. This is primarily because sales of GICs in 2008 (APE £120 million), on which no acquisition costs are incurred, reduces the margin for that year. Excluding GIC APE sales the acquisition cost ratio for 2008 becomes 76 per cent, in line with 2009.

 

•        Administration expenses margin has increased to 63 bps in 2010 partly as a result of higher asset based commission, which lowers acquisition costs but increases the expenses classified as administration expenses in the table above.



 







UK









2010 




2009 




2008 





Average 




Average  




Average  




Profit  

Liability 

Margin 


Profit  

Liability 

Margin 


Profit  

Liability 

Margin 

Long-term business

£m 

£m 

bps 


£m 

£m 

bps 


£m 

£m 

bps 














Spread income

251 

20,969 

120 


198 

18,600 

106 


35 

16,538 

21 

Fee income

60 

20,353 

29 


54 

17,677 

31 


57 

17,648 

32 

With-profits

310 

79,558 

39 


281 

75,692 

37 


395 

81,907 

48 

Insurance margin

12 




41 




(12)



Margin on revenues

223 




275 




314 



Expenses













Acquisition costs*

(167)

820 

(20%)


(192)

723 

(27%)


(172)

947 

(18%)


Administration expenses

(113)

41,322 

(27)


(173)

36,277 

(48)


(212)

34,186 

(62)


DAC adjustments

(1)




(3)




32 



Expected return on shareholder assets

98 




125 




108 



Operating profit

673 




606 




545 



* The ratio for acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage of APE including with-profits sales. Acquisition costs include only those relating to shareholders.

 

Analysis of UK operating profit drivers:

 

•       Spread income has increased by £53 million to £251 million in 2010 reflecting in a higher margin of 120 bps, up from 106 bps last year. The improved margin primarily reflects the beneficial impacts of the bulk annuity deal written in 2010, improved margins on retail annuity new business and improved spread on equity release business following its closure to new business. Spread income was lower in 2008 due to lower margins on new business and the establishment of credit default and deflation reserves in that year in light of the credit crisis offset by the impact of actions to rebalance the credit portfolio.

 

•       Fee income has increased by 11 per cent to £60 million broadly in line with the value of unit-linked liabilities following the improvement in equity markets.

 

•       Margin on revenues represents premiums charges for expenses and other sundry net income received by the UK. Lower amounts were recorded in 2010 (£223 million) compared to 2009 (£275 million) reflecting, in part, lower premiums from shareholder-backed retail business in 2010 as compared to 2009.

 

•       Insurance margin has fallen by £29 million to £12 million in 2010 reflecting that 2009 included a one-off benefit of £34 million in respect of a longevity swap on certain aspects of the UK's annuity back-book liabilities, which was not repeated in 2010.

 

•       Acquisition costs as a percentage of new business sales has fallen from 27 per cent in 2009 to 20 per cent in 2010. This reflects in part the impact of the bulk annuity deal which contributed £88 million APE in the period with a relatively low level of acquisition costs, together with the closure of equity release to new business as well as on-going cost saving initiatives.

 

The ratio above expresses the percentage of shareholder acquisition costs as a percentage of total APE sales. It is therefore impacted by the level of with-profit sales in the year. Acquisition costs as a percentage of shareholder-backed new business sales were 36 per cent in 2010 (49 per cent in 2009), with the most significant impact being the effect of the bulk annuity deal.

 

•       Administration expenseshave fallen by £60 million to £113 million and the ratio from 48 bps in 2009 to 27 bps in 2010. This is primarily the result of cost savings initiatives initiated by the UKIO in line with the business's stated objectives.


2          Asian operations - analysis of operating profit by territory

 

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns for Asian operations are analysed as follows:

  



  

2010 

2009 

  

£m

£m

China(note (ii))

(12)

Hong Kong

51 

48 

India(note (iii))

60 

12 

Indonesia

157 

102 

Japan

(6)

(18)

Korea

12 

Malaysia  



- Underlying results

97 

65 

- Exceptional credit(note (i))


63 

Philippines

Singapore

129 

112 

Taiwan bancassurance business (note (iv))

(4)

(7)

Thailand

(1)

Vietnam

43 

30 

Other

(2)

Total insurance operations (note (v))

536 

416 

Development expenses

(4)

(6)

Total long-term business operating profit  

532 

410 

Asset management

72 

55 

Total Asian operations  

604 

465 

 

(i)      For the Malaysia life business, under the basis applied previously, 2008 IFRS basis liabilities were determined on the local regulatory basis using prescribed interest rates such that a high degree of prudence resulted. As of 1 January 2009, the local regulatory basis has been replaced by the Malaysian authority's risk-based capital (RBC) framework. In the light of this development; the Company has re-measured the liabilities by reference to the method applied under the new RBC framework, which is more realistic than the previous approach, but with an overlay constraint to the method such that negative reserves derived at an individual policyholder level are not included. This change has resulted in a one-off release from liabilities at 1 January 2009 of £63 million.

(ii)     China's operating loss of £12 million is after a net charge of £17 million for local reserving changes and associated impacts that have been reflected in the Group's IFRS accounts. Excluding this effect, China's underlying result is a £5 million profit.

(iii)    The operating profit of £60 million from India, a joint venture, includes £36 million arising from changes that improve the reserving estimation technique. Excluding this effect, India's underlying result is a profit of £24 million.

(iv)    Sale of Taiwan agency business

   In order to facilitate comparisons of operating profit based on longer-term investment returns that reflect the Group's retained operations, the results attributable to the Taiwan agency business for which the sale process was completed in June 2009 are excluded from analysis of operating profit.

(v)     Analysis of operating profit between new and in-force business

The result for insurance operations comprises amounts in respect of new business and business in-force as follows:

 


2010 

2009 


£m

£m

New business strain (excluding Japan)

(56)

(72)

Japan

(1)

(6)

New business strain (including Japan)

(57)

(78)

Business in force

593 

494 

Total

536 

416 

 

The IFRS new business strain corresponds to approximately four per cent of new business APE premiums for 2010 (2009: approximately six per cent of new business APE).

 

The strain reflects the aggregate of the pre-tax regulatory basis strain to net worth after IFRS adjustments for deferral of acquisition costs and deferred income where appropriate.


3       Analysis of asset management operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 


2010 


M&G(i)

Asia(i)

PruCap

US

Total


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Operating income before performance-related fees

615 

185 

88 

229 

1,117 

Performance-related fees

17 

 - 

23 

Operating income*

632 

191 

88 

229 

1,140 

Operating expense

(386)

(119)

(50)

(207)

(762)

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

246 

72 

38 

22 

378 

Average funds under management (FUM)**

186.5 bn

47.2 bn





  

  




Margin based on operating income**

34 bps

40 bps




Cost / income ratio***

63%

64%





  

  





2009 


M&G(i)

Asia(i)

PruCap

US

Total


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Operating income before performance-related fees

470 

157 

89 

183 

899 

Performance-related fees

12 

 - 

15 

Operating income*

482 

160 

89 

183 

 914 

Operating expense

(305)

(105)

(28)

(179)

(617)

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

177 

55 

61 

297 

Average funds under management (FUM)**

157.5 bn

39.6 bn





  

  




Margin based on operating income**

31 bps

40 bps




Cost / income ratio***

65%

67%





  

  





2008 


M&G(i)

Asia(i)

PruCap

US

Total


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Operating income before performance-related fees

480 

144 

123 

139 

886 

Performance-related fees

43 

 - 

46 

Operating income*

523 

147 

123 

139 

932 

Operating expense

(295)

(95)

(65)

(132)

(587)

Operating profit based on longer-term investment return

228 

52 

58 

345 

Average funds under management (FUM)**

154.0 bn

36.9 bn





  

  




Margin based on operating income**

34 bps

40 bps




Cost / income ratio***

61%

66%




 

(i)    M&G and Asia asset management businesses can be further analysed as follows:




  








  







M&G








Asia




Operating income*


Operating income*


Retail

Margin

 of FUM**

Institu-

tional+

Margin

 of FUM**

Total

Margin

 of FUM**



Retail

Margin

 of FUM**

Institu-

tional+

Margin

 of FUM**

Total

Margin

 of FUM**


£m 

bps 

£m 

bps 

£m 

bps 



£m 

bps 

£m 

bps 

£m 

bps 

2010 

345 

93 

287 

19 

632 

34 


2010 

120 

62 

71 

26 

191 

40 

2009 

255 

102 

227 

17 

482 

31 


2009 

98 

60 

62 

27 

160 

40 

2008 

243 

122 

280 

21 

523 

34 


2008 

91 

59 

56 

26 

147 

40 

 

*    Operating income is net of commissions and includes performance related fees.

**  Margin represents operating income as a proportion of the related funds under management (FUM). Opening and closing internal and external funds managed by the respective entity have been used to derive the average. Any funds held by the Group's insurance operations which are managed by third parties outside of the Prudential Group are excluded from these amounts.

***          Cost / income ratio is calculated as cost as a percentage of income excluding performance-related fees.

+      Institutional includes internal funds.


4          Shareholders' funds summary by business unit and net asset value per share

 

(i)

Shareholders' fund summary


 





 

2010 


2009 


 

£m 


£m 

Asian operations




Insurance operations





Net assets of operation 

1,913 


1,382 


Acquired goodwill

236 


80 


Total

2,149 


1,462 

Asset management





Net assets of operation

197 


161 


Acquired goodwill

61 


61 


Total

258 


222 


Total

2,407 


1,684 


 




US operations





Jackson (net of surplus note borrowings) 

3,815 


3,011 


Broker-dealer and asset management operations:





Net assets of operation

106 


95 


Acquired goodwill

16 


16 


Total

122 


111 


Total

3,937 


3,122 


 




UK operations




Insurance operations:





Long-term business operations

2,115 


1,902 


Other

33 


37 


Total

2,148 


1,939 

M&G





Net assets of operation

254 


173 


Acquired goodwill

1,153 


1,153 


Total

1,407 


1,326 


Total

3,555 


3,265 


 




Other operations





Holding company net borrowings 

(2,035)


(1,754)


Shareholders' share of provision for future deficit funding of the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (net of tax) 

(10)


(16)


Other net assets (liabilities)

177 


(30)

Total

(1,868)


(1,800)

Total of all operations

8,031 


6,271 

 






 

(ii)

Net asset value per share  


  

 

 


  

2010 

2009 


  

£m 

£m 


  

 

 

Closing equity shareholders' funds

8,031 

6,271 

Net asset value per share attributable to equity shareholders(note (i))

315 p

248 p


  

 

 

Note

 

 

(i)

Based on the closing issued share capital as at 31 December 2010 of 2,546 million shares (2009: 2,532 million shares).


5       Memorandum fair value of Jackson's GMDB and GMWB liabilities

The IFRS accounting for minimum death and withdrawal benefits guarantees of the Group's US insurance operations has a mixed measurement approach. 

'Not for life' Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefits (GMWB) are accounted for as 'embedded derivatives'. Where the economic characteristics and risks of embedded derivatives are not closely related to the economic characteristics and risks of the host insurance contract, and where the contract is not measured at fair value with the changes in fair value recognised in the income statement, the embedded derivative is bifurcated and carried at fair value as a derivative in accordance with IAS 39. In Jackson, the embedded derivative liabilities for GMWB liabilities are fair valued using the economic assumptions shown below, in line with IAS 39 (FAS 157 - Fair Value Measurements.)

Where a significant insurance element is present, such as for Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit (GMDB) and 'for life' GMWB, the guarantees are accounted for as part of the accounting applied to the host insurance contracts. Under IFRS4, the insurance contract accounting applied prior to IFRS adoption has continued to be applied. Accordingly for US variable annuity business the US GAAP standards applicable to insurance contract accounting are applied. Consistent with that approach, the GMDB and 'for life' GMWB guarantees are valued under FASB ASC Topic 944 (sub-topics 944-20, 944-40 and 944-80) Financial Services - Insurance - Separate Accounts, formerly known as "SOP03-1" (Statement of Position 03-1: "Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises Contracts and for Separate Accounts").

The two reserving methodologies typically produce quite different patterns of results. It is the variation in assumptions, and the way the two reserving methods react to emerging experience, that produces potentially significant differences in reserve patterns through time.

Both methods determine a hypothetical fee or charge (referred to in the rest of this note as "fee assessment") that is anticipated to fund future projected benefit payments arising using the assumptions applicable for that method. After determination at issue, the FAS 157 fee assessment is fixed for the life of the policy, so that variations in experience from that assumed at issue, as well as cash flow timing issues, will create a liability or asset as the value of future benefits becomes more or less, respectively, than the value of the fee assessments.

The SOP 03-1 fee assessment, on the other hand, is recomputed at each valuation date to take into account emerging experience and cash flow timing differences. After redetermination based on valuation date parameters, the new fee assessment is applied retrospectively from issue date to recompute the current reserve provision. This retrospective aspect of the calculation is not present in the FAS 157 methodology.

The chart below compares the assumption bases for the two methods in general terms as well as showing representative comparative values as of December 31, 2010. The comparative values for the projected earned rate and AA corporate bond rate are the 10-year rate in both cases, and the comparative value for volatility is the 5-year rate.

 


Assumption


SOP 03-1


IAS 39 (FAS 157)












Fund earned rate


8.4 % before fees


Quoted rate swap curve








(10-year rate:-  3.4% before fees)


Discount rate


8.4%


AA corporate rate curve








(10-year rate:-  4.8%)


Equity volatility


15%


Implied curve








(5 year volatility:-  24% )

 

To provide an approximate translation of values from the SOP 03-1 basis to the IAS 39 basis, the table below shows estimates of the impact of changing each primary economic assumption from the SOP 03-1 values to the IAS 39 values.  

Two other items are shown in addition: a reconciling item to account for the difference in how each method adjusts for emerging economic experience (labelled as the "method" component below), and a further adjustment to recognise the impact of additional fees collected over and above those considered for reserving purposes (i.e. the difference between fees actually collected and the hypothetical fee assessment referenced earlier). 



Guaranteed Benefit Liability Supplemental Disclosure as of 31 December 2010

 



Note


GMDB


GMWB


GMWB








"for life"


"not for life"

Total

As recorded in I the 31 December 2010 financial statements:



£m


£m


£m

£m


--SOP 03-1


220 


29 



249 


--IAS 39 fair value






201 

201 


Total per 31 December 2010 financial statements








450 


Change in assumed fund earned rate


375 


25 


n/a

400 


Change in discount rate


200 


50 


n/a

250 


Change in equity volatility assumption


225 


0


n/a

225 


Change in method


(150)


(25)


n/a

(175)










700 












Hypothetical IAS 39 basis fair value


870 



280 


1,150 


Adjustment to full fees


(200)



(600)


(800)


Hypothetical fair value with full fee recognition


670 



(320)


350 

 

Notes                                                                                     

1      Note GMWB benefits have reported components on both an SOP 03-1 and IAS 39 basis.

 

2       Change in fund earned rate: 8.4 per cent to 3.4 per cent, producing significantly higher values of future benefit payments due to lower future assumed fund growth and therefore greater potential for future guaranteed benefit payouts. For GMWBs, future fee income is less dramatically affected, given that for most benefit forms fee income is based on a more stable benefit base rather than a current account value.

3       Change in discount rate: 8.4 per cent to 4.8 per cent, producing significantly higher values, both for future benefit payments and future fees, with a net increase in liability. The absolute impact of this item will be influenced not only by the rate difference, but also by current market conditions, as the proportional impact of a particular rate change will be diluted if applied to a lower absolute value of future cash flows.

4       Change in equity volatility assumption: 15 per cent to 24 per cent, producing higher values, primarily for future benefit payments.  The impact is muted for GMWBs due primarily to the length of time until benefit payments occur, and also by the SOP 03-1 methodology itself.

5       Generally, it is expected that the SOP 03-1 methodology will "lag" market events in terms of reflecting their impact in the reserve calculation. This is because of the retrospective aspect of the calculation described above. This line item is also the balancing item in the reconciliation so contains any cross-effects from other variables.

6       Representation of an approximate hypothetical IAS 39 (FAS 157)value were all guaranteed benefits to be reported on this basis.

7       Value of actual fees collected, on an IAS 39 assumption basis, over and above those already considered in the reserve calculation. The reserve calculation restricts the level of future guarantee fees to a level that is sufficient to meet the expected benefit payments at issue using at issue assumptions to avoid profit recognition at inception.

8       Resulting modified hypothetical IAS 39 (FAS 157) value including adjustment for the value of fees in excess of those considered in the reserve calculation.

 

In all cases, values shown above, were they to be reflected in actual financial statements, would be significantly offset by an adjustment to deferred acquisition costs, which is impacted by changes in gross profit elements of the variable annuity product.  Thus, for example, it might be expected that the GMDB impacts shown would be offset by some 70 to 75 per cent of the change illustrated, and the GMWB impacts shown would be offset by some 50-55% of the change illustrated. The table below illustrates the approximate impact on shareholders' equity.  



 

Estimated impact on Shareholders' Equity



Accounts carrying value

 to hypothetical

 IAS 39 basis

 fair value


Accounts carrying

 value to hypothetical

 fair value with

full fee recognition

Estimated increase/(decrease) in liability

700 


(100)

Related adjustments to:





      DAC

(475)


(50)


      Deferred tax

(75)


50 

Estimated Decrease/(increase) in Shareholders' Equity

150 


(100)

All numbers rounded to the nearest £25 million.


6     Funds under management

 

(i)     Summary

 


  

2010 

2009 


  

£bn

£bn

Business area  



Asian operations

30.9 

23.7 

US operations

63.6 

49.6 

UK operations

145.2 

135.6 

Internal funds under management

239.7 

208.9 

External funds (note (i))

100.4 

80.9 

Total funds under management

340.1 

289.8 

 

Note

(i)      External funds shown above for 2010 of £100.4 billion (2009: £80.9 billion) comprise £111.4 billion (2009: £89.8 billion) in respect of investment products, as published in the New Business schedules (see schedule VIII) less £11.0 billion (2009: £8.9 billion) that are classified within internal funds.

 

(ii)    Internal funds under management - analysis by business area

 

  

Asian operations

US operations

UK operations

Total

  

2010 

2009 

2010 

2009 

2010 

2009 

2010 

2009 

  

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

Investment properties(note (i))

0.1 

0.1 

11.5 

11.0 

11.6 

11.1 

Equity securities

14.5 

11.4 

31.5 

21.0 

40.7 

37.0 

86.7 

69.4 

Debt securities

14.1 

10.0 

26.4 

22.8 

75.9 

69.1 

116.4 

101.9 

Loans and receivables

1.3 

1.2 

4.2 

4.3 

3.8 

3.3 

9.3 

8.8 

Other investments

1.0 

1.1 

1.4 

1.4 

13.3 

15.2 

15.7 

17.7 

Total

30.9 

23.7 

63.6 

49.6 

145.2 

135.6 

239.7 

208.9 

 

Note

(i)      As included in the investments section of the consolidated statement of financial position at 31 December 2010 except for £0.4 billion (2009: £0.2 billion) investment properties which are held-for-sale or occupied by the Group and, accordingly under IFRS, are included in other statement of financial position captions.


 

7     Foreign currency translation

 

(i)     Rates of exchange

The profit and loss accounts of foreign subsidiaries are translated at average exchange rates for the year. Assets and liabilities of foreign subsidiaries are translated at closing exchange rates. Foreign currency borrowings that have been used to provide a hedge against Group equity investments in overseas subsidiaries are also translated at closing exchange rates. The impact of these translations is recorded as a component of the movement in shareholders' equity.

The following translation rates have been applied:

 


Closing

Average

Closing

Average

Local currency: £

2010 

2010 

2009 

2009 

Hong Kong

12.17 

12.01 

12.52 

12.14 

Indonesia

14,106.51 

14,033.41 

15,171.52 

16,173.28 

Malaysia

4.83 

4.97 

5.53 

5.51 

Singapore

2.01 

2.11 

2.27 

2.27 

India

70.01 

70.66 

75.15 

75.70 

Vietnam

30,526.26 

29,587.63 

29,832.74 

27,892.39 

USA

1.57 

1.55 

1.61 

1.57 



 

(ii)   Effect of rate movements on results

 

 


  

As published 2010

 (note (i))

Memorandum 2009

(note (i)

 and (ii))

IFRS basis results

£m

£m

Asian operations:

 

 


Long-term operations

536 

451 


Development expenses

(4)

(6)


Total Asian insurance operations after development costs

532 

445 


Asset management

72 

58 

Total Asia operations  

604 

503 

US operations

 

 


Jackson(note (iii))

833 

626 


Broker-dealer, asset management and Curian operations

22 

Total US operations

855 

630 

UK operations

 

 


Long-term business

673 

606 


General insurance commission

46 

51 


Total UK insurance operations

719 

657 


M&G

284 

238 

Total UK operations

1,003 

895 

Total segment profit

2,462 

2,028 

Other income and expenditure

(450)

(396)

Solvency II implementation costs

(45)

(23)

Restructuring costs

(26)

Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns

1,941 

1,609 

Shareholders' funds

8,031 

6,473 



 

 






  

  




  

  




As published 

 2010 

(note (i))

Memorandum 

 2009 

(note (i) and (ii))

EEV basis results

£m 

£m 

Asian operations:

 

 


New business:

 

 



Excluding Japan

902 

783 



Japan

(1)

(13)



Total 

901 

770 



Business in force

549 

420 



Long-term operations

1,450 

1,190 



Asset management

72 

58 



Development expenses

(4)

(6)

Total Asia operations

1,518 

1,242 



US operations

 

 



New business

761 

673 



Business in force

697 

576 



Jackson

1,458 

1,249 



Broker-dealer, asset management and Curian operations

22 

Total US operations

1,480 

1,253 



UK operations

 

 



New business

365 

230 

Business in force

571 

640 



Long-term business

936 

870 



General insurance commission

46 

51 



Total insurance

982 

921 



M&G

284 

238 

Total UK operations

1,266 

1,159 




 

 

Other income and expenditure

(494)

(434)

Solvency II implementation costs

(46)

Restructuring costs

(28)

(27)

Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns

3,696 

3,193 

Shareholders' funds

18,207 

15,904 

 

Notes

(i)      The 'as published' operating profit for 2010 and 'memorandum' operating profit for 2009 have been calculated by applying average 2010 exchange rates (CER).

The 'as published' shareholders' funds for 2010 and memorandum' shareholders' funds for 2009 have been calculated by applying closing period end 2010 exchange rates.

(ii)     The 2009 operating profit of Asian long-term operations excludes the results of the Taiwan agency business for which the sale process was completed in June 2009.

(iii)    The Company has amended the presentation of IFRS operating profit for its US insurance operations to remove the net equity hedge accounting credit/charge (incorporating related amortisation of deferred acquisition costs) and include it in short-term fluctuations. The 2009 'memorandum' operating profit amounts have been amended accordingly.


8       New Business Schedules

 

BASIS OF PREPARATION

 

The new business schedules are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement.

 

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. Products categorised as "insurance" refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, i.e. falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under FSA regulations.

 

The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 "Insurance Contracts" as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.

 

New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Department of Work and Pensions rebate business is classified as single recurrent business. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. 

 

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

 

Notes to Schedules 8(a) - 8(f)

 

(1a)      Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations has been calculated using average exchange rates. The applicable rate for Jackson is 1.55.

(1b)      Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations for 2009 has been calculated using constant exchange rates. The applicable rate for Jackson is 1.55.

(2)        New business values are all presented pre-tax.

(3)        Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus ten per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to roundings. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.

(4)        Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.

(5)        New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation. 

(6)        Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.

(7)        Sales are converted using the year to date average exchange rate applicable at the time. The sterling results for individual quarters represent the difference between the year to date reported sterling results at successive quarters and will include foreign exchange movements from earlier periods.

(8)        New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation. 

(9)        Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.



 

Schedule 8(a) - Reported Exchange Rates

Prudential plc - NEW BUSINESS -2010

INSURANCE OPERATIONS

 

  

Single



Regular


Annual Equivalents(3)

PVNBP

  









  




  

2010 

2009 

+/- (%)

2010 

2009 

+/- (%)

2010 

2009 

+/- (%)

2010 

2009 

+/-

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

 (%)

  

£m

£m


£m

£m


£m

£m

  

£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations









  




Asia - ex Japan(1a)

 1,104 

 785 

41%

 1,391 

 1,131 

23%

 1,501 

 1,209 

24%

 7,493 

 5,982 

25%

US(1a)

 11,417 

 8,885 

29%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 1,164 

 912 

28%

 11,572 

 9,048 

28%

UK

 5,656 

 4,768 

19%

 254 

 246 

3%

 820 

 723 

13%

 6,842 

 5,902 

16%

Group Total - ex Japan

 18,177 

 14,438 

26%

 1,667 

 1,401 

19%

 3,485 

 2,844 

23%

 25,907 

 20,932 

24%

Japan

 13 

 57 

(77%)

 6 

 46 

(87%)

 7 

 52 

(87%)

 39 

 263 

(85%)

Group Total

 18,190 

 14,495 

26%

 1,673 

 1,447 

16%

 3,492 

 2,896 

21%

 25,946 

 21,195 

22%

  









  




Asian Insurance Operations(1a)









  




Hong Kong

 107 

 94 

14%

 276 

 232 

19%

 287 

 241 

19%

 1,693 

 1,414 

20%

Indonesia

 141 

 41 

244%

 269 

 186 

45%

 283 

 190 

49%

 1,011 

 671 

51%

Malaysia

 58 

 63 

(8%)

 198 

 140 

41%

 204 

 146 

40%

 1,153 

 814 

42%

Philippines

 64 

 14 

357%

 17 

 10 

70%

 23 

 11 

109%

 108 

 39 

177%

Singapore

 318 

 297 

7%

 143 

 98 

46%

 175 

 128 

37%

 1,357 

 1,033 

31%

Thailand

 15 

 14 

7%

 25 

 14 

79%

 26 

 16 

63%

 100 

 54 

85%

Vietnam

 1 

 1 

0%

 41 

 35 

17%

 41 

 35 

17%

 148 

 128 

16%

SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 704 

 524 

34%

 969 

 715 

36%

 1,039 

 767 

35%

 5,570 

 4,153 

34%

China(8)

 103 

 72 

43%

 48 

 38 

26%

 58 

 45 

29%

 336 

 253 

33%

India(5)

 85 

 47 

81%

 180 

 163 

10%

 188 

 168 

12%

 582 

 581 

0%

Korea

 66 

 38 

74%

 89 

 118 

(25%)

 96 

 122 

(21%)

 486 

 568 

(14%)

Taiwan

 146 

 104 

40%

 105 

 97 

8%

 120 

 107 

12%

 519 

 427 

22%

Total Asia Operations - ex Japan

 1,104 

 785 

41%

 1,391 

 1,131 

23%

 1,501 

 1,209 

24%

 7,493 

 5,982 

25%

  









  




US Insurance Operations(1a)









  




Fixed Annuities

 836 

 1,053 

(21%)

-

-

0%

 84 

 105 

(20%)

 836 

 1,053 

(21%)

Fixed Index Annuities

 1,089 

 1,433 

(24%)

-

-

0%

 109 

 143 

(24%)

 1,089 

 1,433 

(24%)

Life

 11 

 10 

10%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 23 

 25 

(8%)

 166 

 173 

(4%)

Variable Annuities

 9,481 

 6,389 

48%

-

-

0%

 948 

 639 

48%

 9,481 

 6,389 

48%

Total US Insurance Operations

 11,417 

 8,885 

29%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 1,164 

 912 

28%

 11,572 

 9,048 

28%

  









  




UK & Europe Insurance Operations









  




Direct and Partnership Annuities

 593 

 590 

1%

-

-

0%

 59 

 59 

0%

 593 

 590 

1%

Intermediated Annuities

 221 

 242 

(9%)

-

-

0%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 221 

 242 

(9%)

Internal Vesting Annuities

 1,235 

 1,357 

(9%)

-

-

0%

 124 

 136 

(9%)

 1,235 

 1,357 

(9%)

Total Individual Annuities

 2,049 

 2,189 

(6%)

-

-

0%

 205 

 219 

(6%)

 2,049 

 2,189 

(6%)

Corporate Pensions

 228 

 192 

19%

 198 

 191 

4%

 221 

 210 

5%

 1,099 

 1,007 

9%

On-shore Bonds

 1,660 

 1,444 

15%

-

-

0%

 166 

 145 

15%

 1,660 

 1,444 

15%

Other Products

 774 

 881 

(12%)

 56 

 55 

2%

 133 

 143 

(7%)

 1,089 

 1,200 

(9%)

Wholesale

 945 

 62 

1,424%

-

-

0%

 95 

 6 

1,483%

 945 

 62 

1,424%

Total UK & Europe Insurance Ops

 5,656 

 4,768 

19%

 254 

 246 

3%

 820 

 723 

13%

 6,842 

 5,902 

16%

Group Total - ex Japan

 18,177 

 14,438 

26%

 1,667 

 1,401 

19%

 3,485 

 2,844 

23%

 25,907 

 20,932 

24%

 

The Prudential's European operation is based in Ireland and sells products into Jersey, Guernsey, Isle of Man, Gibraltar, Cyprus, Malta, Belgium, Spain and UK.



 

Schedule 8(b) - Current Exchange Rates

Prudential plc - NEW BUSINESS -2010

INSURANCE OPERATIONS

 

  

Single



Regular


Annual Equivalents(3)

PVNBP

  









  




  

2010 

2009 

+/- (%)

2010 

2009 

+/- (%)

2010 

2009 

+/- (%)

2010 

2009 

+/-

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

 (%)

  

£m

£m


£m

£m


£m

£m

  

£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations









  




Asia - ex Japan(1b)

 1,104 

 840 

31%

 1,391 

 1,216 

14%

 1,501 

 1,300 

15%

 7,493 

 6,407 

17%

US(1b)

 11,417 

 9,000 

27%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 1,164 

 924 

26%

 11,572 

 9,165 

26%

UK

 5,656 

 4,768 

19%

 254 

 246 

3%

 820 

 723 

13%

 6,842 

 5,902 

16%

Group Total - ex Japan

 18,177 

 14,608 

24%

 1,667 

 1,486 

12%

 3,485 

 2,947 

18%

 25,907 

 21,474 

21%

Japan

 13 

 61 

(79%)

 6 

 50 

(88%)

 7 

 56 

(88%)

 39 

 284 

(86%)

Group Total

 18,190 

 14,669 

24%

 1,673 

 1,536 

9%

 3,492 

 3,003 

16%

 25,946 

 21,758 

19%

  









  




Asian Insurance Operations(1b)









  




Hong Kong

 107 

 95 

13%

 276 

 234 

18%

 287 

 244 

18%

 1,693 

 1,429 

18%

Indonesia

 141 

 47 

200%

 269 

 214 

26%

 283 

 219 

29%

 1,011 

 773 

31%

Malaysia

 58 

 70 

(17%)

 198 

 156 

27%

 204 

 163 

25%

 1,153 

 901 

28%

Philippines

 64 

 14 

357%

 17 

 11 

55%

 23 

 12 

92%

 108 

 42 

157%

Singapore

 318 

 320 

(1%)

 143 

 106 

35%

 175 

 138 

27%

 1,357 

 1,115 

22%

Thailand

 15 

 16 

(6%)

 25 

 15 

67%

 26 

 17 

53%

 100 

 59 

69%

Vietnam

 1 

 1 

0%

 41 

 33 

24%

 41 

 33 

24%

 148 

 121 

22%

SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 704 

 563 

25%

 969 

 769 

26%

 1,039 

 826 

26%

 5,570 

 4,440 

25%

China(8)

 103 

 74 

39%

 48 

 39 

23%

 58 

 46 

26%

 336 

 259 

30%

India(5)

 85 

 51 

67%

 180 

 174 

3%

 188 

 179 

5%

 582 

 622 

(6%)

Korea

 66 

 42 

57%

 89 

 131 

(32%)

 96 

 135 

(29%)

 486 

 633 

(23%)

Taiwan

 146 

 110 

33%

 105 

 103 

2%

 120 

 114 

5%

 519 

 453 

15%

Total Asia Operations - ex Japan

 1,104 

 840 

31%

 1,391 

 1,216 

14%

 1,501 

 1,300 

15%

 7,493 

 6,407 

17%

  









  




US Insurance Operations(1b)









  




Fixed Annuities

 836 

 1,067 

(22%)

-

-

0%

 84 

 107 

(21%)

 836 

 1,067 

(22%)

Fixed Index Annuities

 1,089 

 1,452 

(25%)

-

-

0%

 109 

 145 

(25%)

 1,089 

 1,452 

(25%)

Life

 11 

 10 

10%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 23 

 25 

(8%)

 166 

 175 

(5%)

Variable Annuities

 9,481 

 6,471 

47%

-

-

0%

 948 

 647 

47%

 9,481 

 6,471 

47%

Total US Insurance Operations

 11,417 

 9,000 

27%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 1,164 

 924 

26%

 11,572 

 9,165 

26%

  









  




UK & Europe Insurance Operations









  




Direct and Partnership Annuities

 593 

 590 

1%

-

-

0%

 59 

 59 

0%

 593 

 590 

1%

Intermediated Annuities

 221 

 242 

(9%)

-

-

0%

 22 

 24 

(8%)

 221 

 242 

(9%)

Internal Vesting Annuities

 1,235 

 1,357 

(9%)

-

-

0%

 124 

 136 

(9%)

 1,235 

 1,357 

(9%)

Total Individual Annuities

 2,049 

 2,189 

(6%)

-

-

0%

 205 

 219 

(6%)

 2,049 

 2,189 

(6%)

Corporate Pensions

 228 

 192 

19%

 198 

 191 

4%

 221 

 210 

5%

 1,099 

 1,007 

9%

On-shore Bonds

 1,660 

 1,444 

15%

-

-

0%

 166 

 145 

15%

 1,660 

 1,444 

15%

Other Products

 774 

 881 

(12%)

 56 

 55 

2%

 133 

 143 

(7%)

 1,089 

 1,200 

(9%)

Wholesale

 945 

 62 

1,424%

-

-

0%

 95 

 6 

1,483%

 945 

 62 

1,424%

Total UK & Europe Insurance Ops

 5,656 

 4,768 

19%

 254 

 246 

3%

 820 

 723 

13%

 6,842 

 5,902 

16%

Group Total - ex Japan

 18,177 

 14,608 

24%

 1,667 

 1,486 

12%

 3,485 

 2,947 

18%

 25,907 

 21,474 

21%



 

Schedule 8(c) - Reported Exchange Rates

PRUDENTIAL PLC - NEW BUSINESS - 2010

TOTAL INSURANCE NEW BUSINESS APE - BY QUARTER

 

  

2009 

2010 

  









  

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Group Insurance Operations









Asia - ex Japan(1a)(7)

 276 

 248 

 282 

 403 

 359 

 354 

 353 

 435 

US(1a)(7)

 184 

 208 

 249 

 272 

 255 

 305 

 290 

 314 

UK  

 180 

 197 

 158 

 189 

 193 

 189 

 166 

 272 

Group Total - ex Japan  

 640 

 652 

 689 

 864 

 807 

 848 

 809 

 1,021 

Japan(1a)(7)

 17 

 12 

 11 

 12 

 7 

 - 

 - 

 - 

Group Total

 656 

 664 

 700 

 876 

 814 

 848 

 809 

 1,021 

  









Asian Insurance Operations(1a)(7)









Hong Kong

 46 

 49 

 55 

 91 

 68 

 62 

65 

92 

Indonesia

 38 

 46 

 43 

 64 

 61 

 68 

59 

95 

Malaysia

 24 

 29 

 32 

 62 

 36 

 41 

52 

75 

Philippines

 2 

 2 

 3 

 4 

 5 

 5 

Singapore

 22 

 30 

 29 

 48 

 33 

 42 

43 

57 

Thailand

 4 

 3 

 4 

 4 

 5 

 8 

Vietnam

 5 

 9 

 9 

 11 

 8 

 10 

10 

13 

SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 141 

 168 

 175 

 284 

 216 

 236 

242 

345 

China(8)

 11 

 11 

 13 

 11 

 14 

 13 

15 

16 

India(5)

 56 

 20 

 40 

 52 

 73 

 46 

48 

21 

Korea

 37 

 29 

 30 

 26 

 22 

 24 

23 

27 

Taiwan

 31 

 20 

 26 

 30 

 34 

 35 

25 

26 

Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

 276 

 248 

 282 

 403 

 359 

 354 

353 

435 

  









US Insurance Operations(1a)(7)









Fixed Annuities

 48 

 22 

 14 

 21 

 18 

 24 

 24 

 18 

Fixed Index Annuities

 25 

 33 

 48 

 38 

 30 

 30 

 24 

 25 

Life

 6 

 6 

 6 

 6 

 6 

 5 

 6 

 6 

Variable Annuities

 105 

 147 

 180 

 207 

 201 

 246 

 236 

 265 

Total US Insurance Operations

 184 

 208 

 249 

 272 

 255 

 305 

290 

314 

  









UK & Europe Insurance Operations









Direct and Partnership Annuities

 13 

 14 

 15 

 17 

 20 

 16 

14 

Intermediated Annuities

 6 

 8 

 6 

 5 

 6 

 6 

Internal Vesting annuities

 39 

 34 

 30 

 33 

 33 

 31 

29 

31 

Total Individual Annuities

 58 

 56 

 50 

 55 

 59 

 53 

48 

45 

Corporate Pensions

 52 

 62 

 41 

 55 

 60 

 62 

48 

51 

On-shore Bonds

 34 

 42 

 34 

 35 

 33 

 36 

41 

56 

Other Products

 35 

 35 

 33 

 41 

 40 

 38 

27 

28 

Wholesale

 1 

 1 

 1 

 3 

 1 

 - 

92 

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 180 

 197 

 158 

 189 

 193 

 189 

166 

272 

Group Total - ex Japan

 640 

 652 

 689 

 864 

 807 

 848 

809 

 1,021 



 

Schedule 8(d) - Current Exchange Rates

PRUDENTIAL PLC - NEW BUSINESS - 2010

TOTAL INSURANCE NEW BUSINESS APE - BY QUARTER

 

  

2009 

2010 

  









  

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Group Insurance Operations









Asia - ex Japan(1b)(7)

 285 

 267 

 314 

 434 

 359 

 354 

 353 

 435 

US(1b)(7)

 171 

 207 

 261 

 285 

 255 

 305 

 290 

 314 

UK  

 180 

 197 

 158 

 189 

 193 

 189 

 166 

 272 

Group Total - ex Japan  

 636 

 671 

 733 

 908 

 807 

 848 

 809 

 1,021 

Japan(1b)(7)

 17 

 14 

 13 

 13 

 7 

 - 

 - 

 - 

Group Total

 653 

 685 

 746 

 921 

 814 

 848 

 809 

 1,021 

  









Asian Insurance Operations(1b)(7)









Hong Kong

 43 

 49 

58 

94 

 68 

 62 

65 

92 

Indonesia

 45 

 53 

50 

71 

 61 

 68 

59 

95 

Malaysia

 25 

 32 

36 

70 

 36 

 41 

52 

75 

Philippines

 2 

 2 

 5 

 5 

Singapore

 22 

 32 

32 

52 

 33 

 42 

43 

57 

Thailand

 4 

 4 

 5 

 8 

Vietnam

 5 

 8 

11 

 8 

 10 

10 

13 

SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 146 

 180 

193 

307 

 216 

 236 

242 

345 

China(8)

 10 

 11 

13 

12 

 14 

 13 

15 

16 

India(5)

 56 

 23 

45 

55 

 73 

 46 

48 

21 

Korea

 42 

 32 

34 

27 

 22 

 24 

23 

27 

Taiwan

 31 

 21 

29 

33 

 34 

 35 

25 

26 

Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

 285 

 267 

314 

434 

 359 

 354 

353 

435 

  









US Insurance Operations(1b)(7)









Fixed Annuities

 45 

 23 

16 

23 

 18 

 24 

 24 

 18 

Fixed Index Annuities

 23 

 33 

50 

39 

 30 

 30 

 24 

 25 

Life

 6 

 6 

 6 

 5 

 6 

 6 

Variable Annuities

 97 

 145 

189 

216 

 201 

 246 

 236 

 265 

Total US Insurance Operations

 171 

 207 

261 

285 

 255 

 305 

290 

 314 

  









UK & Europe Insurance Operations









Direct and Partnership Annuities

 13 

 14 

15 

17 

 20 

 16 

14 

Intermediated Annuities

 6 

 8 

 6 

 6 

Internal Vesting annuities

 39 

 34 

30 

33 

 33 

 31 

29 

31 

Total Individual Annuities

 58 

 56 

50 

55 

 59 

 53 

48 

45 

Corporate Pensions

 52 

 62 

41 

55 

 60 

 62 

48 

51 

On-shore Bonds

 34 

 42 

34 

35 

 33 

 36 

41 

56 

Other Products

 35 

 35 

33 

41 

 40 

 38 

27 

28 

Wholesale

 1 

 1 

 1 

 - 

92 

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 180 

 197 

158 

189 

 193 

 189 

166 

272 

Group Total - ex Japan

 636 

 671 

733 

 908 

 807 

 848 

809 

 1,021 



 

Schedule 8 (e) - Reported Exchange Rates

PRUDENTIAL PLC - NEW BUSINESS - 2010

INVESTMENT OPERATIONS - BY QUARTER

 

  

2009 

2010 

  

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Group Investment Operations









Opening FUM

62,279 

61,703 

72,336 

85,016 

89,780 

96,746 

96,015 

104,451 

Net Flows

2,725 

7,344 

2,898 

2,450 

1,203 

3,173 

1,802 

2,712 

 - Gross Inflows

19,154 

25,567 

26,394 

24,942 

24,173 

27,182 

25,727 

29,887 

 - Redemptions

(16,429)

(18,223)

(23,496)

(22,492)

(22,970)

(24,009)

(23,925)

(27,175)

Other Movements

(3,301)

3,289 

9,782 

2,314 

5,763 

(3,904)

6,634 

4,211 

Total Group Investment Operations

61,703 

72,336 

85,016 

89,780 

96,746 

96,015 

104,451 

111,374 

  









M&G









  









Retail

Opening FUM

19,142 

19,671 

23,324 

28,504 

31,059 

34,069 

33,724 

38,232 

Net Flows

2,207 

1,863 

1,656 

1,790 

1,454 

1,922 

1,742 

2,298 

 - Gross Inflows

3,325 

3,126 

3,315 

3,802 

4,190 

4,450 

3,986 

5,285 

 - Redemptions

(1,118)

(1,263)

(1,659)

(2,012)

(2,736)

(2,528)

(2,244)

(2,987)

Other Movements

(1,678)

1,790 

3,524 

765 

1,556 

(2,267)

2,766 

1,976 

Closing FUM

19,671 

23,324 

28,504 

31,059 

34,069 

33,724 

38,232 

42,506 

  









Institutional(4)

Opening FUM

27,855 

26,865 

32,597 

37,731 

39,247 

42,155 

41,946 

44,694 

Net Flows

336 

4,219 

856 

551 

435 

863 

(206)

597 

 - Gross Inflows

1,083 

5,097 

2,495 

2,632 

2,151 

2,581 

1,630 

2,099 

 - Redemptions

(747)

(878)

(1,639)

(2,081)

(1,716)

(1,718)

(1,836)

(1,502)

Other Movements

(1,326)

1,513 

4,278 

965 

2,473 

(1,072)

2,954 

1,529 

Closing FUM

26,865 

32,597 

37,731 

39,247 

42,155 

41,946 

44,694 

46,820 

  









Total M&G Investment Operations

46,536 

55,921 

66,235 

70,306 

76,224 

75,670 

82,926 

89,326 

  









Asia

  









Equity/Bond/Other(9)

Opening FUM

10,570 

10,038 

10,636 

12,492 

13,122 

14,923 

14,497 

15,825 

Net Flows

(370)

174 

322 

57 

166 

1,031 

446 

103 

 - Gross Inflows

911 

1,083 

1,725 

1,512 

1,713 

3,414 

3,248 

3,423 

 - Redemptions

(1,281)

(909)

(1,403)

(1,455)

(1,547)

(2,383)

(2,802)

(3,320)

Other Movements

(162)

424 

1,534 

573 

1,635 

(1,457)

882 

430 

Closing FUM

10,038 

10,636 

12,492 

13,122 

14,923 

14,497 

15,825 

16,358 

  









Third Party Institutional Mandates









Opening FUM

789 

799 

859 

1,008 

1,450 

1,549 

1,604 

1,680 

Net Flows

(2)

372 

125 

(39)

 - Gross Inflows

24 

10 

378 

12 

137 

14 

12 

 - Redemptions

(23)

(8)

(7)

(6)

(7)

(12)

(53)

(12)

Other Movements

58 

151 

70 

94 

(70)

115 

127 

Closing FUM

799 

859 

1,008 

1,450 

1,549 

1,604 

1,680 

1,807 

  









  









MMF









Opening FUM

3,873 

4,286 

4,882 

5,281 

4,902 

4,050 

4,244 

4,020 

Net Flows

554 

1,095 

115 

(321)

(857)

(768)

(141)

(286)

 - Gross Inflows

13,808 

16,248 

18,854 

16,618 

16,107 

16,600 

16,849 

19,068 

 - Redemptions

(13,254)

(15,153)

(18,739)

(16,939)

(16,964)

(17,368)

(16,990)

(19,354)

Other Movements

(141)

(499)

284 

(58)

962 

(83)

149 

Closing FUM

4,286 

4,882 

5,281 

4,902 

4,050 

4,244 

4,020 

3,883 

  









Total Asian Investment Operations

15,123 

16,377 

18,781 

19,474 

20,522 

20,345 

21,525 

22,048 

  









US









  









Retail

Opening FUM

50 

44 

38 

-

-

-

-

Net Flows

(3)

(9)

(49)

-

-

-

-

 - Gross Inflows

-

-

-

-

 - Redemptions

(6)

(12)

(49)

-

-

-

-

Other Movements

(3)

11 

(1)

-

-

-

-

Closing FUM

44 

38 

-

-

-

-

  









Curian Capital - FUM

1,613 

1,646 

2,041 

2,260 

2,708 

2,781 

3,038 

3,457 



 

Schedule 8 (f) - Reported Exchange Rates

PRUDENTIAL PLC - NEW BUSINESS - 2010

TOTAL INSURANCE NEW BUSINESS PROFIT AND MARGIN (% APE AND % PVNBP)

 

  

2009 

2010 

  

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD

  

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Annual Equivalent(3)









Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

276 

524 

806 

1,209 

359 

713 

1,066 

1,501 

Total US Insurance Operations

184 

392 

640 

912 

255 

560 

850 

1,164 

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

180 

376 

534 

723 

193 

382 

548 

820 

Group Total - ex Japan

640 

1,292 

1,980 

2,844 

807 

1,655 

2,464 

3,485 

Japan

17 

29 

40 

52 

Group Total

657 

1,321 

2,020 

2,896 

814 

1,662 

2,471 

3,492 

  









New business profit(2)









Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

136 

286 

465 

725 

183 

396 

621 

902 

Total US Insurance Operations

140 

292 

482 

664 

175 

361 

532 

761 

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

60 

122 

169 

230 

69 

135 

192 

365 

Group Total - ex Japan

336 

700 

1,116 

1,619 

427 

892 

1,345 

2,028 

Japan

(4)

(9)

(12)

(12)

(1)

(1)

(1)

(1)

Group Total

332 

691 

1,104 

1,607 

426 

891 

1,344 

2,027 

  









New business margin (% of APE)









Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

49%

55%

58%

60%

51%

56%

58%

60%

Total US Insurance Operations

76%

74%

75%

73%

69%

64%

63%

65%

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

33%

32%

32%

32%

36%

35%

35%

45%

Group Total - ex Japan

53%

54%

56%

57%

53%

54%

55%

58%

Japan

(24%)

(31%)

(30%)

(23%)

(14%)

(14%)

(14%)

(14%)

Group Total

51%

52%

55%

56%

52%

54%

54%

58%

  









PVNBP(3)









Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

1,297 

2,551 

3,987 

5,982 

1,581 

3,316 

5,071 

7,493 

Total US Insurance Operations

1,840 

3,889 

6,360 

9,048 

2,538 

5,569 

8,457 

11,572 

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,490 

3,062 

4,372 

5,902 

1,557 

3,081 

4,463 

6,842 

Group Total - ex Japan

4,627 

9,502 

14,719 

20,932 

5,676 

11,966 

17,991 

25,907 

Japan

82 

155 

212 

263 

32 

34 

36 

39 

Group Total

4,709 

9,657 

14,931 

21,195 

5,708 

12,000 

18,027 

25,946 

  









New business profit(2)









Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

136 

286 

465 

725 

183 

396 

621 

902 

Total US Insurance Operations

140 

292 

482 

664 

175 

361 

532 

761 

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

60 

122 

169 

230 

69 

135 

192 

365 

Group Total - ex Japan

336 

700 

1,116 

1,619 

427 

892 

1,345 

2,028 

Japan

(4)

(9)

(12)

(12)

(1)

(1)

(1)

(1)

Group Total

332 

691 

1,104 

1,607 

426 

891 

1,344 

2,027 

  









New business margin (% of PVNBP)









Total Asian Insurance Operations - ex Japan

10.5%

11.2%

11.7%

12.1%

11.6%

11.9%

12.2%

12.0%

Total US Insurance Operations

7.6%

7.5%

7.6%

7.3%

6.9%

6.5%

6.3%

6.6%

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

4.0%

4.0%

3.9%

3.9%

4.4%

4.4%

4.3%

5.3%

Group Total - ex Japan

7.3%

7.4%

7.6%

7.7%

7.5%

7.5%

7.5%

7.8%

Japan

(4.9%)

(5.8%)

(5.7%)

(4.6%)

(3.1%)

(2.9%)

(2.8%)

(2.6%)

Group Total

7.1%

7.2%

7.4%

7.6%

7.5%

7.4%

7.5%

7.8%

 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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