Interim Results - Part 1

RNS Number : 2711A
Prudential PLC
31 July 2008
 




Embargo: 07.00 Thursday 31 July 2008

    

PRUDENTIAL PLC 2008 HALF-YEARLY FINANCIAL RESULTS


Strong performance from Prudential Group in challenging conditions


  • Group new business APE sales up 12% to £1.5 billion

  • Group EEV new business profit up 11% to £602 million

  • EEV operating profit up 7% at £1.4 billion 

  • IFRS operating profit up 13% to £674 million 

  • Asset management net inflows of £4.1 billion (1H2007: £5.0 billion)

  • EEV shareholders' funds £14.0 billion (December 2007: £14.6 billion*)

  • On track for holding company to be operating cash positive in 2008

  • Estimated IGD surplus £1.4 billion (December 2007: £1.6 billion)

  • Interim dividend up 5% to 5.99 pence


All figures compared to 2007 constant exchange rates,*adjusted for change in accounting policy for pension schemes


Commenting, Mark Tucker, Group Chief Executive said:


'Prudential continued to perform strongly in the first half of 2008 with double-digit growth in new business sales and profits, maintaining the momentum of the last three yearsOur retirement-led strategy continues to drive the Group's growth, with a clear focus on profitable revenue streams across the diverse geographic spread of our businesses.


'Our Asian story remains compelling. New business APE increased by 14 per cent in the first half of the year building on the exceptional 48 per cent growth achieved in the first half of 2007. It is important to note that the 2007 comparative period benefited from the highly successful launch of our 'What's your number?' campaign in Taiwan and the introduction of a new variable annuity product. Excluding Taiwan, new business in Asia grew by 29 per cent and new business profit increased by 26 per cent. We remain confident of doubling Asia's 2005 new business profit by the end of 2008 - a year ahead of our previously stated target.


'The US life insurance sector has been adversely affected by current economic uncertainties, which have resulted in more conservative customer behaviour and short-term pricing pressures in the market. Despite this, the strength of Jackson's position across the annuity product range in particular is demonstrated by the resilient flow of new business, up 1 per cent to £356 million, and overall Jackson has reported record first half new business volumes.


'As a result of our targeted approach to the market, our UK operations achieved an 11 per cent increase in retail new business APE. Overall new business including wholesale operations increased by 18 per cent and new business profit was £129 million, up 19 per cent. These figures demonstrate that the disciplined delivery of our UK strategy is producing the anticipated positive financial results, with strong growth across both our retail and wholesale operations.



'The Group's asset management operations continue to demonstrate the value of their track record for sustained and excellent long-term fund performance, achieving net inflows of £4.1 billion and maintained operating profit at £181 million in what have been very testing market conditions.


'The Board has agreed an interim dividend of 5.99 pence per share be paid, an increase of per cent. The Board remains committed to a progressive dividend policy, with the level of dividend determined after taking into account the Group's financial requirements, including opportunities to invest in areas of the business offering attractive returns.


'The macro economic climate will doubtless continue to be difficult for some while. We expect Asian economic growth to remain strong but beneath the peak levels of recent years. The fundamentals underpinning our Asian growth are highly positive.  


'Jackson will continue to show resilient performance in the short-term and we remain confident will out-perform over the cycle. In the UK, we are delivering on our strategy and in asset management we are very well placed to capitalise on the strength of our positions.


'We expect to continue to outperform our competitors. We have a clear agenda, our retirement-led strategy and our business model, with its geographic mix and diversification, are robust, while our balance sheet and capital position have been very resilient.  


'The prospects for the Group remain positive.'


Group Chief Executive's Review


In the first half of 2008, the Group continued the momentum achieved over the past three years and once again delivered strong performance.


Our retirement-led strategy continues to drive the Group's growth, with a clear focus on profitable revenue streams across the diverse geographic spread of our businesses. This growth has been achieved against a background of deteriorating macro economic conditions and significant capital market volatility.


The retirement market offers significant long-term and sustainable growth, in particular in Asia, where economic growth and an increased emphasis on retirement savings continue to fuel demand, and in the US, which is experiencing the biggest demographic wave of people in history moving into retirement. The Prudential Group has a very powerful franchise in the sector, based on our financial strength, our investment and risk management skills, our brands and our product and distribution expertise.


The specific opportunity differs from market to market but our operating structure, product and distribution expertise give us the flexibility to capture growth and create value across the pre and post retirement market. Our approach is one that ensures that solutions matched to local customer needs can be offered in each market, but with significant product, operational and financial synergies still provided by the wider Group.


Group Performance


Group operating profit before tax, on the European Embedded Value (EEV) basis, was up 7 per cent to £1,430 million and on the statutory IFRS basis operating profit before tax increased by 13 per cent to £674 million.


New business across the Group's insurance operations increased by 12 per cent to £1,513 million on an APE basis. Profit on new business increased by 11 per cent to £602 million with almost 80 per cent being generated overseas.


The Group's asset management operations continue to demonstrate the value of their track record for excellent long-term investment performance, achieving net inflows of £4.1 billion and an operating profit of £181 million in line with the first half of 2007 in what have been very testing market conditions.


The cash flow position of the Group has continued to improve. Operating cash flow at Group level at the half year was positive at £86 million, supported by a higher than average uptake of the scrip dividend, and is in line with our projection of being operating cash flow positive at the Group level for the full year 2008.


The balance sheet and capital position remain robust, though the significant falls in markets have offset the gains we have made at the operating level. Shareholders' funds on an EEV basis were £14.0 billion (2007 year end £14.6 billion). 


As a result of the focus we have given to our credit management processes and capabilities we have not experienced any defaults and there have only been a limited number of downgrades. In addition, through proactive management and more defensive positioning of the portfolio we have reduced interest rate risk.


We have taken a rigorous approach in relation to the accounting treatment of 'Other Than Temporarily Impaired' (OTTI) bonds and asset backed securities in the US and a charge of £108 million for net credit losses has been taken in the period.


The Group's regulatory capital position is assessed under the European Insurance Group's Directive (IGD).  As at 30 June 2008 the IGD surplus was estimated to be £1.4 billion (2007 year end: £1.6 billion) with cover of 1.7 times of required capital.


The Board has agreed that an interim dividend of 5.99 pence per share be paid, an increase of per cent. The Board remains committed to a progressive dividend policy, with the level of dividend determined after taking into account the Group's financial requirements, including opportunities to invest the business at attractive returns. As previously stated, the Board believes that in the medium term a dividend cover of around two-times is appropriate.

  

Insurance operations


Asia

The underlying fundamentals in Asia of economic growth, increasing mass affluence and the significant shift in demographics will continue to be powerful drivers of growth in the retirement savings and health markets.


The Group's unique balance of operations across the Asian region, including top-three positions in seven out of twelve markets, and the strength of our product and distribution capabilities put us in an ideal position to continue to access these high return growth opportunities.


Across the region the Group has over 420,000 tied agents and has distribution relationships with over 80 financial institutions. We continue to build our distribution capability in the region through enlarging and broadening our agency, direct and partnership channels.


We were very pleased to announce earlier this week that we have renewed and extended our main agreement with Standard Chartered through to 2016. This long-standing and successful agreement covers Hong KongSingapore and Malaysia and has been extended to include Japan and Thailand. In addition, we have separate agreements covering TaiwanChina and Korea. As part of the renewed agreement, we will now become a provider of health products through Standard Chartered in all these countries.


New business APE increased by 14 per cent in the first half of the year building on the exceptional 48 per cent growth achieved in the first half of 2007 and new business profit increased by 15 per cent to £336million.


The 2007 comparative period benefited from the significant success of the launch of our 'What's your number?' retirement campaign in Taiwan supported by the introduction of a new variable annuity product. As a consequence we saw a decline in sales in Taiwan of 36 per cent to £97 million APE, however we continued to gain profitable market share.


Excluding Taiwan, aggregate new business in Asia grew by 29 per cent and new business profit increased by 26 per cent.


Within the region, we achieved very strong new business growth in a number of markets: Indonesia 96 per cent; over 50 per cent in China, on a comparable basis taking into account the change in consolidation basis effected for the fourth quarter of 2007, and in Hong Kong; India 45 per cent and 39 per cent in Vietnam.


We remain confident of doubling Asia's 2005 new business profit by the end of 2008 - a year ahead of our previously stated target of 2009.


IFRS operating profit before tax from the Asian life businesses increased by 28 per cent to £102 million and net cash remittances to the Group were £11 million.


 United States


The US life insurance sector has been adversely affected by current economic uncertainties, which have resulted in more conservative customer behaviour and short-term pricing pressures in the market. Despite this, the strength of Jackson's position across the annuity product range in particular is demonstrated by the resilient flow of new business and overall Jackson has reported record first half new business volumes.


Poorly performing equity markets, economic uncertainty and an upward sloping yield curve have led to an increase in demand for fixed annuity products and reduced demand for variable annuities. We have rapidly responded to capture the revenue stream resulting from this more conservative trend, while recognising that variable annuities remain the cornerstone of longer-term retirement income provision. The current market conditions have given rise to some competitive pricing behaviour, specifically in the variable annuity market. We consider this unsustainable, and our position remains that we will only write profitable business.


Total new business was £356 million, up 1 per cent on an APE basis; with retail new business of £274 million down 4 per cent. Variable annuity volumes, which accounted for two-thirds of retail new business, stabilised in the second quarter but were down 20 per cent for the half year. Fixed annuities new business increased by 121 per cent. The change in product mix resulted in new business profit down 5 per cent to £137 million.


Net flows across the annuity product range continued to be very strong with net flows in the second quarter being the highest for five years.


We are continuing to monitor the market for bolt-on acquisition targets that meet our target returns, in particular life back books that would suit our scaleable platforms. In current conditions there are an increased number of sellers and, with the prices of assets now at more realistic levels, we see more potential here than we have for a number of years.


UK

Conditions in the UK retail savings market in general have also been difficult in the first half of the year. However, as a result of our targeted approach to the market, our UK operations were able to achieve an 11 per cent increase in retail new business APE. Overall new business including wholesale operations increased by 18 per cent and new business profit was £129 million, up 19 per cent. The Internal Rate of Return on new business was 15 per cent.


These figures demonstrate that the disciplined delivery of our UK strategy is producing the anticipated positive financial results, with strongly based growth across both our retail and wholesale operations. Our focus in the UK is to capitalise on our strengths in the retirement income market. We have re-shaped our approach to retirement savings to improve returns by exiting unprofitable segments of the market and to take full advantage of our with-profits capabilities and we have in place the actions to reduce the cost base.


Individual annuity volumes, supported by strong vestings from internally maturing pension policies, held up well over the period. The attractiveness of cautiously managed with-profits products has supported sales across the annuity and pensions product range and with-profits bond sales tripled. With-profits accounted for 46 per cent of overall retail sales in the period.


We are also continuing to see steady growth in the strategically important Lifetime Mortgage market with new advances up 75 per cent against the first half of last year. We estimate that we are now the market leader in this segment.


In the wholesale annuity market, activity levels have increased and we have seen a narrowing of pricing differentials. We completed a bulk annuity reinsurance contract with Goldman Sachs for the reinsurance of £30 million in APE terms, of Rothesay Life's non-profit annuity liabilities. This is an interesting development for us in terms of bringing alternative risk management solutions to the defined benefit bulk market.


We have continued to make good progress against our cost reduction goals in the UK. By the end of 2007 we had already achieved £115 million of the targeted annual total cost savings of £195 million. Work is proceeding in line with plan and we are on track to deliver the targeted reduction in our cost base by 2010. In April, we began to migrate many of the back office processes for our mature books of business to Capita, as part of our already announced outsourcing contract, and this will deliver the bulk of the remaining savings.


In June, we announced that we would not proceed with a reattribution of the Inherited Estate held in the with-profits sub-fund of The Prudential Assurance Company Limited. After extensive assessment, it was concluded that maintaining the current operating model was in the best long-term interests of both current and future policyholders and shareholders.

Asset Management


Our asset management businesses performed strongly in the first half, despite extremely difficult market conditions, with net inflows of £4.1 billion.


M&G had a strong first half year with operating profit of £146 million (2007: £140 million) and net inflows for the period in both its retail and institutional business totalling £2.4 billion. As a result, M&G's external funds under management increased to £51.7 billion (2007 year end: £51.2 billion)


This result has been built on sustained and excellent fund performance. In the retail business, 45 per cent of M&G branded funds by number and 78 per cent by fund value were in the top quartile over 3 years and over 20 per cent by number and over 50 per cent by fund value were in the top decile over the same period, including a number of our flagship funds: Global Basics, Recovery, American and Optimal Income. In the institutional business, 69 per cent of mandates with a three year performance track record either met or exceeded their benchmark over three years.


Operating profit for our Asian asset management business was £29 million (2007: £33 million). Net inflows were £1.6 billion as we continued to extend our fund range with major fund launches in TaiwanKoreaJapan and a third fund in China.


External funds under management in Asia at the end of the period were £15.7 billion compared with £17.4 billion at end 2007, reflecting the significant equity market falls across the region.


In Vietnam we again broke new ground with the launch of the country's first institutional property fund. In Japan, where we have the second largest foreign asset manager, we established a new distribution relationship with Nomura and our recently established Middle East operations have already to date secured 14 distribution agreements.


Outlook


The macro economic climate will doubtless continue to be difficult for some while.


We expect Asian economic growth to remain strong but beneath the peak levels of recent years. The fundamentals underpinning our Asian growth are highly positive.


Jackson will continue to show resilient performance in the short-term and we remain confident will out-perform over the cycle.


In the UK, we are delivering on our strategy and in asset management we are very well placed to capitalise on the strength of our positions.


We expect to continue to outperform our competitors. We have a clear agenda, our retirement-led strategy and our business model, with its geographic mix and diversification, are robust, while our balance sheet and capital position have been very resilient.


The prospects for the Group remain positive.


ENDS


Enquiries:


Media


Investors/Analysts


Jon Bunn

020 7548 3559

James Matthews

020 7548 3561

William Baldwin-Charles

020 7548 3719

Jessica Stalley

020 7548 3511



Notes to Editor: 


1. The half-yearly financial report contained in this news release, together with additional financial schedules will be available on the Group's website at www.prudential.co.uk


2. The results in this announcement are prepared on two bases, namely International Financial Reporting Standards ('IFRS') and the European Embedded Value ('EEV') basis. The IFRS basis results form the basis of the Group's financial statements.


The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the principles issued by the CFO Forum of European Insurance Companies in May 2004. Where appropriate the EEV basis results include the effects of IFRS. 


References to 'operating profit' in this announcement are to operating profit based on longer-term investment returns. Consistent with previous reporting practice the Group analyses its EEV basis results, and provides supplementary analysis of IFRS profit before tax attributable to shareholders, so as to distinguish operating profit based on longer-term investment returns from other constituent elements of total profit. On both the EEV and IFRS bases operating profit based on longer-term investment returns excludes goodwill impairment charges, short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes. Under the EEV basis, where additional profit and loss effects arise, operating profits based on longer-term investment returns also excludes the mark to market value movement in core borrowings, the effect of changes in economic assumptions, and changes in the time value of the cost of options and guarantees arising from changes in economic factors.


Period on period percentage increases are stated on a constant exchange rate basis.


3. Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales comprise regular premium sales plus one-tenth of single premium insurance sales. 'PVNBP' refers to the Present Value of New Business Premiums. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling new single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.


4.The internal rate of return (IRR) is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written in shareholder-backed life funds is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital in excess of the premiums received required to pay acquisition costs and set up the statutory capital requirement. The time value of options and guarantees are included in the calculation.


5.There will be a conference call today for wire services at 7.30am (BST) hosted by Mark Tucker, Group Chief Executive and Tidjane Thiam, Group Chief Financial Officer. Dial in telephone number: +44 (0)20 8609 0793. Passcode: 155439#.


6. A presentation to analysts will take place at 9.30am (BST) at Governor's House, Laurence Pountney Hill, LondonEC4R 0HH. An audio cast of the presentation and the presentation slides will be available on the Group's website, www.prudential.co.uk


7. High resolution photographs are available to the media free of charge at www.newscast.co.uk +44 (0) 208 886 5895).


8. An interview with Mark Tucker, Group Chief Executive, (in video/audio/text) will be available on www.cantos.com and www.prudential.co.uk from 7.00am on 31 July 2008.


9. Financial Calendar:


Ex-dividend date 

13 August 2008

Record Date

15 August 2008

Payment of interim dividend

23 September 2008

2008 Third Quarter Interim Management Statement

21 October 2008

2008 Full Year New Business Results

28 January 2009


10. Total number of Prudential plc shares in issue as at 30 June 2008 was 2,490,813,264.


About Prudential

Prudential plc is a company incorporated and with its principal place of business in England, and its affiliated companies constitute one of the world's leading financial services groups. It provides insurance and financial services directly and through its subsidiaries and affiliates throughout the world. It has been in existence for over 160 years and has £256 billion in assets under management as at 30 June 2008. Prudential plc is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc, a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America.


Forward-Looking Statements

This statement may contain certain 'forward-looking statements' with respect to certain of Prudential's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance, results, strategy and objectives. Statements containing the words 'believes', 'intends', 'expects', 'plans', 'seeks' and 'anticipates', and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond Prudential's control including among other things, UK domestic and global economic and business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, and the performance of financial markets generally; the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, and deflation; experience in particular with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries; and the impact of changes in capital, solvency or accounting standards, and tax and other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which Prudential and its affiliates operate. This may for example result in changes to assumptions used for determining results of operations or re-estimations of reserves for future policy benefits. As a result, Prudential's actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals, and expectations set forth in Prudential's forward-looking statements. Prudential undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this statement or any other forward-looking statements it may make.





PRUDENTIAL PLC UNAUDITED HALF YEAR 2008 RESULTS

                    

RESULTS SUMMARY


European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results**

Half year 2008

£m

Half year 2007*  

£m

Full year

 2007* 

£m

Asian operations

  579

  520

  1,103

US operations

  360

  351

  635

UK operations:




UK insurance operations

  504

  462

  859

M&G

  146

  140

  254

 

  650

  602

  1,113

Other income and expenditure 

(144)

(155)

(301)

Restructuring costs

(15)

  0

(20)

Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns**

  1,430

  1,318

  2,530

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

(1,949)

  241

  174

Mark to market value movements on core borrowings

  171

  113

  223

Shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes

(98)

  39

(5)

Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees

(189)

  275

  748

(Loss) profit from continuing operations before tax (including actual investment returns)

(635)

  1,986

  3,670  


Operating earnings per share from continuing operations after related tax and minority interests**

41.6p

39.1p

74.5p

Basic (loss) earnings per share 

(19.3)p

69.9p

121.2p

Shareholders' equity, excluding minority interests

£14.0bn

£13.3bn

£14.6bn


International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Basis Results                

                            

Statutory IFRS basis results

Half year

2008

Half year  

2007*  

Full year  

2007*  

(Loss) profit after tax attributable to equity holders of the Company

£(116)m

£661m

£947m

Basic (loss) earnings per share 

(4.7)p

27.1p

38.7p

Shareholders' equity, excluding minority interests

£5.6bn

£5.8bn

£6.1bn

            

Supplementary IFRS basis information 

Half year

2008

Half year  

2007*  

Full year  

2007*  

Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns**

£674m

£593m

£1,201m

Operating earnings per share from continuing operations after related tax and minority interests**

19.4p

16.0p

33.3p 

                            


Half year

2008

Half year  

2007  

Full year  

2007  

Dividends per share declared and paid in reporting period

12.30p

11.72p

17.42p

Dividends per share relating to reporting period

5.99p

5.70p

18.00p

Funds under management

£256bn

£256bn

£267bn

    

*The Company has altered its accounting policy for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14, giving rise to consequential changes to the comparative results for 2007 (see note 10 and note O).                        


**Basis of preparation


Results bases                        

The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the European Embedded Value Principles issued by the CFO Forum of European Insurance Companies in May 2004.                                


Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns                            

Consistent with previous reporting practice, the Group analyses its EEV basis results and provides supplementary analysis of IFRS profit before tax attributable to shareholders, so as to distinguish operating profit based on longer-term investment returns from other elements of total profit. On both the EEV and IFRS bases, operating earnings per share are calculated using operating profits from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns, after related tax and minority interests. These profits exclude short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes. Under the EEV basis, where additional profit and loss effects arise, operating profit based on longer-term investment returns also excludes the mark to market value movements on core borrowings and the effect of changes in economic assumptions and changes in the time value of cost of options and guarantees arising from changes in economic factors. After adjusting for related tax and minority interests, the amounts for these items are included in the calculation of basic earnings per share.


The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported exchange rates, except where otherwise stated.



OPERATING AND FINANCIAL REVIEW


KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS


Results highlights 

 

 

CER(4)

 

RER(4)

 

 

Half year

Half year

 

Half year

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m 

%

£m

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales 

1,513

1,353

12%

1,334

13%

Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) 

10,986

9,785

12%

9,681

13%

Net investment flows

4,091

5,162

(21%)

5,047

(19%)

External funds under management

67,447

63,610

6%

63,222

7%

New business profit (NBP) 

602

543

11%

534

13%

NBP Margin (% APE) 

40%

40%


40%


NBP Margin (% PVNBP) 

5.5%

5.5%

 

5.5%

 

EEV basis operating profit from long-term business (1) (2)

1,408

1,310

7%

1,293

9%

Total EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations (2) (5)

1,430

1,336

7%

1,318

8%

Total IFRS operating profit from continuing operations (3) (5) 

674

598

13%

593

14%

EEV basis shareholders' funds 

13,977

13,394

4%

13,262

5%

IFRS shareholders' funds 

5,552

5,864

(5%)

5,787

(4%)

Holding company operating cash flow

86

34

153%

34

153%

Holding company operating cash flow 






plus proceeds for 2007 from the sale of Egg

86

561

(85%)

561

(85%)


 (1)Long-term business profits after deducting Asia development expenses and before restructuring costs.

(2) Based on longer-term investment returns from continuing operations. Operating profit is stated excluding the effect of short-term fluctuations in investment returns against the long-term assumptions, the effect of changes in economic assumptions and changes in the shareholder's share of time value of cost of options and guarantees arising from changes in economic factors, actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit schemes and the mark to market value movements on borrowings.  

 (3) Based on longer-term investment returns from continuing operations. Operating profit is stated excluding the effect of short-term fluctuations in investment returns against the long-term assumptions, and the shareholder's share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit schemes.

(4) Constant exchange rate (CER) and Reported exchange rate (RER).

(5) The comparative results for 2007 have been adjusted for the effects of an accounting policy change for pension costs to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14 as described in notes (B) and(O) of the IFRS financial statements.

In the Operating and Financial Review (OFR), year-on-year comparisons of financial performance are on a constant exchange rate (CER) basis, unless otherwise stated.


These results show the robust performance of the Group in the first half of 2008 in a challenging economic and financial environment. The KPIs above show good growth in sales and profits and an improvement in operating cashflow. The year end 2007 surplus capital position of Prudential, measured under the Insurance Groups Directive basis, submitted to the FSA in April 2008 was £1.6 billion. The surplus at 30 June 2008 is estimated to be £1.4 billion.


Basis of preparation of results


The European Union (EU) requires that all listed European groups prepare their financial statements in accordance with EU adopted IFRS. Since 1 January 2005, Prudential has been reporting its primary results on an IFRS basis.


As a signatory to the European Chief Financial Officers' (CFO) Forum's EEV Principles, Prudential also reports supplementary results on an EEV basis for the Group's long-term business. These results are combined with the IFRS basis results of the non long-term businesses to provide a supplementary operating profit under EEV. Reference to operating profit relates to profit based on long-term investment returns. Under both EEV and IFRS, operating profits from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns exclude short-term fluctuations in investment returns and shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes. Under EEV, where additional profit and loss effects arise, operating profits based on longer-term investment returns also exclude the mark to market value movement on core borrowings and the effect of changes in economic assumptions and changes in the time value of the cost of options and guarantees arising from changes in economic factors. 


In broad terms, IFRS profits for long-term business contracts reflect the aggregate of statutory transfers from with-profits funds and profits on a traditional accounting basis for other long-term business. Although the statutory transfers from with-profits funds are closely aligned with cash flow generation, the pattern of IFRS profits over time from shareholder-backed long-term businesses will generally differ from the cash flow pattern. Over the life of a contract, however, aggregate IFRS profits will be the same as aggregate cash flow.

 

 

Sales and Funds under Management


Prudential delivered overall sales growth during the first half of 2008 with total new insurance sales up 12 per cent from the first six months of 2007 to £1.5 billion on the annual premium equivalent (APE) basis. At reported exchange rates (RER), APE sales were up 13 per cent on the same period in 2007. This is equivalent to insurance sales of £11 billion on a present value of new business premium basis ('PVNBP'), an increase of 12 per cent on 2007 at CER.


Total gross investment sales were £30.4 billion, up 18 per cent on the first half of 2007 at CER. Net investment sales of £4.1 billion were down 21 per cent from net investment sales in 2007 at CER.  


Total external funds under management decreased by two per cent at RER from £69 billion at 31 December 2007, to £67 billion at 30 June 2008, reflecting net investment in flows of £4.1 billion, this was more than offset by net market and other movements. 


At 30 June 2008, total funds under management were £ 256 billion, a decrease of four per cent from 2007 year end at RER.



EEV basis operating profit 


 

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

Half year

Half year

 

Half year

 

EEV basis operating profit from continuing

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

operations

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Insurance business:

 

 

 

 

 

   Asia 

553

510

8%

493

12%

  US 

354

344

3%

344

3%

   UK 

504

462

9%

462

9%

  Development expenses 

(3)

(6)

50%

(6)

50%

Long-term business profit

1,408

1,310

7%

1,293

9%

Asset management business:

 

 

 

 

 

  M&G 

146

140

4%

140

4%

   Asia asset management 

29

34

(15%)

33

(12%)

  Curian 

0

(2)

100%

(2)

100%

   US broker-dealer and asset management 

6

9

(33%)

9

(33%)

 

181

181

0%

180

1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other income and expenditure 

(144)

(155)

7%

(155)

7%

Total EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations

1,445

1,336

8%

1,318

10%

Restructuring costs

(15)

0

0%

0

0%

Total EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations

 

 

 

 

 

after restructuring costs

1,430

1,336

7%

1,318

8%


Total EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns was £ 1,430 million up seven per cent from the first half of 2007 at CER and up eight per cent at RER. 

In the first six months of 2008 the Group generated long-term business profits of £1,408 million comprised of new business profits £602 million (HY 2007: £543 million), in-force profits of £809 million (HY 2007: £773 million) and Asia development expenses of £(3) million (HY 2007: £6 million). New business profit from insurance business of £602 million was 11 per cent higher than the first half of 2007, reflecting the growth in sales over the period with good growth from Asia and the UK and a resilient performance from the US. At RER, new business profit was up 13 per cent. The average Group new business profit margin was 40 per cent (HY 2007: 40 per cent) on an APE basis and 5.5 per cent (HY 2007: 5.5 per cent) on a PVNBP basis. In-force profits increased five per cent at CER, on the first half of 2007 to £809 million. In aggregate, net assumption changes were £59 million positive, and experience variances and other items were £42 million positive.

Operating profit from the asset management business was in line with the first half of 2007 at £181 million (HY 2007: £181 million), a very satisfactory performance following a strong performance from M&G in difficult trading conditions.

The charge for other income and expenditure of £144 million, an improvement of £11 million over the first half of 2007, included £47 million profits crystallised on the sale of a seed capital investment on an Indian mutual fund, and £28 million expenditure relating to the assessment of the reattribution of the inherited estate. 



New business capital usage 

 

 

Half year

Half year

Half year

Half year

Half year

 

2008

2008

2008

2008

2008

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

Free surplus

Required capital

 Total net worth

Value of in-force

Total long-term

New business capital usage

 

 

 

business

business

   Asia

(111)

13

(98)

347

249

  US

(157)

140

(17)

106

89

   UK

(93)

61

(32)

124

92

 

(361)

214

(147)

577

430



The Group wrote £1,513 million of sales on an APE basis. To support these sales, the Group invested £361 million of capital. This amount covers both new business acquisition expenses, including commission of £147 million and the required capital of £214 million. The total investment of capital for new business amounts to approximately £24 million per £100 million of APE sales. These sales provided a post-tax new business contribution to embedded value of £430 million.


In Asia, capital was invested to support sales at an average rate of £15 million per £100million of APE sales.

In the US, capital was invested to support sales at an average rate of £44 million per £100million of APE sales.

In the UK, capital was invested to support sales at an average rate of £22million per £100million of APE sales.

 

EEV basis profit after tax and minority interests  


 

 

RER

 

Half year

Half year

 

2008

2007

 

£m

£m

Total EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations

 

 

after restructuring costs

1,430

1,318

Short term fluctuations in investment returns:

(1,949)

241

Asia

(536)

54

US

(297)

68

UK

(959)

98

Other

(157)

21

Actuarial gains and losses on defined

 

 

benefit pension schemes:

(98)

39

Effect of change in economic 

 

 

assumptions:

(175)

253

Asia

(120)

18

US

23

(46)

UK

(78)

281

Effect of change in time value of cost

 

 

of options and guarantees:

(14)

22

Asia

(14)

(1)

US

2

8

UK

(2)

15

Movement in mark to market value

 

 

 of core borrowings:

171

113

 

 

 

US

8

5

Other

163

108

 

 

 

Profit/(Loss) from continuing operations before tax

(635)

1,986

Tax 

162

(521)

Profit/ (Loss) from continuing operations 

(473)

1,465

after tax before minority interests 

 

 

Discontinued operations (net of tax) 

0

241

Minority interests

(2)

(1)

Profit/(Loss) for the period 

(475)

1,705


The following year-on-year comparisons are presented on a RER basis.

 

In the calculation of EEV operating profit longer-term investment return assumptions are used rather than actual investment returns achieved. Short-term fluctuations in investment returns are the difference between the actual investment return and the unwind of discount on the value of in-force and expected returns on net worth.

In Asia, long-term business short-term fluctuations in investment returns were negative £(536) million, which principally arose in Vietnam £(151) million, Singapore £(103) million, Taiwan £(84) million and Hong Kong £(59) million. The Vietnam reduction primarily reflects a significant fall in the Vietnamese bond and equity markets, the latter falling by 58 per cent in the first half of 2008. The Singapore and Hong Kong reduction reflects the effect of market falls of 21 per cent and 15 per cent respectively on unit-linked and with-profit business. The Taiwan reduction principally reflects a 12 per cent equity market fall and a £29 million value reduction for an investment in a CDO fund.  

The US business short-term fluctuations in investment returns of negative £(297)million is primarily as a result of: a negative £(85) million in respect of the difference between actual investment returns and longer-term returns included in operating profit in respect of fixed income securities (mainly as a result of impaired residential mortgage backed-securities;) and a negative £(138)million in relation to changed expectations of fees to be earned on variable annuity business due to the actual variable investment account ('separate account') return being lower than the long-term return reported within operating profit, offset by the impact of the associated hedging position and a negative £(74) million in respect of the difference between actual investment returns and longer-term returns included within operating profit for equity type investments and other items.

The UK business component of short-term fluctuations in investment returns of negative £(959) million primarily reflects the £(855) million effect of the difference between the actual investment return for the with-profits life fund of negative (6.8) per cent and the long-term assumed return of 4.1 per cent.

The actuarial loss of £(98) million for the first half of 2008 (HY 2007: gain of £39 million) included in total profit reflects the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on the Group's defined benefit pension schemes. On the EEV basis, this loss includes a 10 per cent share of the actuarial gains and losses on the share attributable to the PAC with-profits sub-fund for the Scottish Amicable Pension Schemes. The half year 2008 shareholder actuarial losses reflect the shortfall of market returns over long term assumptions and the effect of increases in inflation rates which more than offset the effect of an increase in risk discount rate.


In Asia economic assumption changes were negative £(120) million, mainly due to a change in Taiwan of negative £(87) million arising from higher economic capital requirements. This was as a result of holding bonds with a longer duration.


In the US, economic assumption changes of positive £23 million primarily reflect the impact of increased credit spreads that allow for reinvestment of the cashflows at a higher rate.

In the UK, economic assumption changes of negative £ (78) million primarily reflect the net effect of changes to the assumed fund earned rate and the risk discount rate. For with-profits business, the assumed rate for corporate bonds has not reflected the effect of the credit spread widening that has occurred in the first half of 2008. For shareholder-backed annuity business, assets are generally held to match long duration liabilities to match long duration liabilities. Accordingly, after allowance for credit risk a liquidity premium is included in the risk discount rate used. The allowance for credit risk at 30 June 2008 comprises 16 basis points for long-term expected defaults, eight basis points in respect of long-term credit risk premium, and 19 basis points for credit contingency that reflects 25 per cent of the increase in credit spreads over swaps that has occurred since 31 December 2006.

The mark to market movement on core borrowings was a positive £171 million ( HY 2007: positive £113 million) reflecting the continued reduction in the fair value of core borrowings due to increases in UK interest rates and further widening of credit spreads.


The effective tax rate at an operating tax level was 28 per cent (HY 2007: 28 per cent), generally reflecting expected tax rates. The effective tax rate at a total EEV level was 26 per cent (the first half of 2007: 26 per cent) on a loss of £ 635 million. 

The profit from discontinued operations in 2007 was £241 million. This was the profit on disposal of Egg net of the post-tax loss from 1 January 2007 to the date of sale.

 

IFRS basis operating profit 

 

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

Half year

Half year

 

Half year

 

IFRS basis operating profit from longer term

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

investment returns

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Insurance business:

 

 

 

 

 

   Asia 

102

80

28%

76

34%

  US 

232

218

6%

218

6%

   UK

286

251

14%

251

14%

  Development expenses 

(3)

(6)

50%

(6)

50%

Long-term business profit

617

543

14%

539

14%

Asset management business:

 

 

 

 

 

  M&G 

146

140

4%

140

4%

   Asia asset management 

29

34

(15%)

33

(12%)

  Curian 

0

(2)

100%

(2)

100%

   US broker-dealer and asset management 

6

9

(33%)

9

(33%)

 

181

181

0%

180

1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other income and expenditure 

(110)

(126)

13%

(126)

13%

Total IFRS basis operating profit based from longer term

688

598

15%

593

16%

investment returns

 

 

 

 

 

Restructuring costs

(14)

0

0%

0

0%

Total IFRS basis operating profit based from longer term

674

598

13%

593

14%

investment returns after restructuring costs

 

 

 

 

 



 

Group operating profit before tax from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns on the IFRS basis after restructuring costs was £674 million an increase of 13 per cent on the first six months of 2007 at CER.


The increase in Asia's operating profit of 28 per cent for long-term business before development expenses primarily reflects improved profitability in Indonesia and Singapore which have increased by 41 per cent and 24 per cent respectively as a result of a significant increase in renewal premiums partially offset by lower investment returns. New business strain remained at approximately 10 per cent of APE in the first half of 2008.

In the US, IFRS operating profit of £232 million was up six per cent on the first half of 2007 at CER. This is mainly due to increasing fee income and higher derivative income on the variable annuity business reflecting the increase in the market value of the net short derivative positions due to falling equity prices. The decision to acquire additional hedging protection in the derivative markets in 2007 at favourable prices demonstrated its value in the IFRS operating profit in the context of falling equity markets experienced in the first half of 2008. The US operations' results are based on US GAAP, adjusted where necessary to comply with IFRS, with the Group's basis of presenting operating profit is based on longer-term investment returns. Longer-term returns for the US operations' fixed income securities incorporate a risk margin reserve (RMR) charge for longer-term defaults and amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses.

In the UK, IFRS operating profit for the long-term business increased by 14 per cent to £286 million in the first half of 2008. This reflected increased annuity profits while profits attributable to the with-profits business were in line with prior year.

M&G's operating profit for the first half of 2008 was £146 million, an increase of four per cent over the first half of 2007. The negative impact from equity and property market declines, primarily on retail and PruPIM revenues, was offset by incremental income from net investment flows in 2007 as well as encouraging growth in the Infracapital business within Fixed Income.

The Asian asset management operations reported operating profits of £29 million, a decline of (15) per cent , due to the volatility in equity and bond markets which affected assets under management and net flows, coupled with a shift in asset mix to bond and money market funds, which attract a lower fee rate.

The operating profit from the US broker-dealer and asset management businesses was £6 million. 

The charge for other income and expenditure of £110 million, an improvement of £16 million over the first half of 2007, included £47 million profit crystallised on the sale of a seed capital investment in an Indian mutual fund offset by £28 million expenditure relating to the assessment of the reattribution of the inherited estate.



IFRS basis profit after tax 


 

 

RER

 

Half year

Half year

 

2008

2007

 

£m

£m

Operating profit from continuing operations 

 

 

based on longer-term investment returns

 

 

after restructuring costs

674

593

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

(684)

24

Shareholders' share of actuarial

(92)

38

gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes



Profit/(Loss) before tax from continuing operations 

 

 

 attributable to shareholders 

(102)

655

Tax 

(12)

(234)

Profit /(Loss) from continuing operations 

 

 

for the financial year after tax 

(114)

421

Discontinued operations (net of tax) 

0

241

Minority interests

(2)

(1)

Profit/(Loss) for the year attributable to equity holders of the company

(116)

661


The following year-on-year comparisons are presented on a RER basis.

 

Total IFRS basis loss before tax and minority interests was £(102) million in the first half of 2008, compared with a profit of £655 million for the first half of 2007. The decrease reflects adverse short-term fluctuations in investment returns of £(684) million and a negative movement against the prior year in actuarial gains and losses attributable to shareholder-backed operations in respect of the Group's defined benefit pension schemes. 

 

In the calculation of IFRS operating profit longer-term investment return assumptions are used rather than actual investment returns achieved. The actual movements in asset values beyond the longer-term assumptions appear in the profit and loss account as short-term fluctuations in investment returns, with the exception of Jackson where unrealised gains or losses on debt securities feature directly as movements to shareholder reserves.


Short-term fluctuations in investment returns are the difference between the actual investment return for shareholder-backed business and the longer-term investment return assumed in operating profit.


The £(684) million charge for short-term fluctuations in investment returns comprises £(264) million, £(181) million and £(82) million from the Asian operations, US operations and UK operations respectively. In addition, there was a charge of £157 million for other short-term fluctuations in investment returns; £24 million unrealised losses on an Indian mutual fund investment: the subsequent sale of the investment resulting in a transfer of £47 million to operating profits. £49 million of the £157 million charge relates to value movements on swaps held centrally to manage Group's assets and liabilities. £26 million of the charge reflects value movements, net of hedge effects on Prudential Capital's bond portfolio. The residual £11 million charge relates to a value movement on a centrally held investment.


The fluctuations for the Asian operations primarily reflect £(149) million for Vietnam reflecting a significant fall in the Vietnamese bond and equity markets, the latter falling by 58 per cent in the first half of the year and £69 million for Taiwan which reflects the decrease of 12 per cent in the Taiwanese equity market, and a £29 million reduction in the value of an investment in a CDO fund.


In the US the charge for short-term fluctuations in investment returns was £(181) million. During the first half of 2008 the US life insurance operations recorded net credit losses of £(108) million. This charge is reflected in two parts of the accounting presentation of the results. Included within the IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns is a risk margin reserve (RMR) charge, representing long-term expected credit defaults, of £23 million. After deducting the RMR charge and related charges in amortisation of deferred acquisition costs, the difference between the credit related losses and the RMR charge in the year was a charge of £(73) million which is recorded within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. The other £(108) million of charge for short-term fluctuations for the US primarily relates to equity type investment, derivatives used to hedge the fixed annuity and other general account business.

 

The fluctuations for the UK operations primarily reflect reduced asset values in PRIL, the shareholder-backed annuity business, from widened credit spreads on corporate bond securities. 
 

The loss after tax and minority interests was £(116) million compared with a profit of £661 million in the first half of 2007. The effective rate of tax on operating profits, based on longer-term investment returns, was 29 per cent (the first half of 2007: 34 per cent). The effective rate of tax at the total IFRS profit level for continuing operations was 12 per cent (the first half of 2007: 36 per cent). The effective tax rates in the first half of 2008 were broadly in line with those expected except for some Asian operations where there is a restriction on the ability to recognise deferred tax assets on regulatory basis losses.


 

Earnings per share


Earnings per Share (EPS)

 

 

 

 

 

Half Year

Half Year (*)

 

 

2008

2007

 

 

£p

£p

EPS based on operating profit from continuing operations after tax and minority interest

EEV

41.6

39.1

IFRS

19.4

16.0

Basic EPS based on total profit/(loss) after

EEV

(19.3)

69.9

minority interest

IFRS

(4.7)

27.1

(*) restated for IFRIC 14

 

 

 


Dividend per share


The Board has agreed an interim dividend of 5.99 pence per share to be paid on 23 September 2008 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 15 August 2008. The interim dividend for 2007 was 5.70 pence per share. 

The Board remains focused on delivering a growing dividend, which will continue to be determined after taking into account the Group's financial flexibility and opportunities to invest in areas of the business offering attractive returns. The Board believes that in the medium term a dividend cover of around two-times is appropriate.


Shareholders' funds


On the EEV basis, which recognises the shareholders' interest in long-term businesses, shareholders' funds at 30 June 2008 were £14 billion, a decrease of £0.6 billion from the 31 December 2007 level. This reduced level of shareholders' funds results from: total EEV basis operating profit of £1,430 million; a £(1.9) billion unfavourable movement in short-term fluctuations in investment returns; a £189 million negative movement due to changes in economic assumptions and in time value of cost of options and guarantees; a positive movement on the mark to market of core debt of £171 million; a negative movement in the actuarial gains on the defined benefit pension schemes of £98 million and dividend payments of £ (177) million net of scrip dividend take-up, made to shareholders.

The £(1.9) billion of unfavourable short-term fluctuations were made up of £(959) million in the UK life business due primarily to a negative return of 6.8 per cent in the with-profits fund over the period (the FTSE 100 fell 13 per cent in the first six months of the year) against an expected return of 4.1 per cent; £(297) million in the US primarily due to variable annuity equity and fixed interest performance below the long-term assumption and £(536) million in Asia primarily due to investment returns below long-term assumptions including Vietnam, Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan.

The shareholders' funds at the end of first half of 2008 of £14 billion comprise of £3.7 billion for the Asian long-term business operations, £3.6 billion for the US long-term business operations, £6.0 billion for the UK long-term business operations and £0.7 billion for other operations.

At the year end the embedded value for the Asian long-term business was £3.7 billion. The established markets of Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia contribute £2,806 million to the embedded value generated across the region with Korea at £312 million and Indonesia at £211 million making further substantial contributions. Prudential's other markets, excluding Taiwan, in aggregate contribute £505 million in embedded value. Taiwan has a negative embedded value of £128 million, this positive movement against prior year (the first half of 2007: negative £157 million) is a reflection of an increase in new business and a change in economic assumptions. 
 
 

 The current mix of new business in Taiwan is weighted heavily towards unit-linked and protection products, representing 65 per cent and 15 per cent of new business APE in the first half of 2008, respectively. As a result, interest rates have little effect on new business profitability and a one per cent reduction in assumed interest rates would reduce new business margins in Taiwan by less than one percentage point. However, the in-force book in Taiwan, predominantly made up of whole of life policies, has an embedded value that is sensitive to interest rate changes. A one per cent decrease in interest rates, along with consequential changes to assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets and risk discount rates, would result in a £96 million decrease in Taiwan's embedded value. A similar one per cent positive shift in interest rates would increase embedded value by £58 million. On the assumption that bond yields remained flat during the first half of 2008 and then trended towards 5.5 per cent in December 2014, this would have reduced the first half of 2008 Taiwan embedded value by £61 million. Sensitivity of the embedded value to interest rate changes varies considerably across the region. In aggregate, a one per cent decrease in interest rates, along with all consequential changes noted above, would result in a negligible percentage change to Asia's embedded value.

Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' funds at 30 June 2008 were £5.6 billion. This compares with a £6.1 billion at 31 December 2007 at RER after adjusting for the £(139) million reduction on a change in accounting policy for pension costs. This decrease primarily reflects: operating profit of £674 million, offset by an unfavourable movement in short-term fluctuations in investment return of £(684) million; unrealised value change on Jackson debt securities of £(433) million and dividend payments to shareholders net of scrip take up of £(177) million.


Shareholders' borrowings and financial flexibility 


Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations at 30 June 2008 totalled £2,526 million, compared with £2,492 million at the end of 2007. This increase reflected exchange movements of £30 million and other adjustments of £4 million.

After adjusting for holding company cash and short-term investments of £1,498 million, net core structural borrowings at 30 June 2008 were £1,028 million compared with £1,036 million at 31 December 2007. This reflects the net cash inflow of £86 million, exchange movements of £74 million and other adjustments of £4 million.

Core structural borrowings at 30 June 2008 included £2,115 million at fixed rates of interest with maturity dates ranging from 2009 to perpetuity. Of the core borrowings, £890 million were denominated in US dollars, to hedge partially the currency exposure arising from the Group's investment in Jackson.

Prudential has in place an unlimited global commercial paper programme. At 30 June 2008, commercial paper of £280 million, US$3,361 million and €436 million was in issue under this programme. Prudential also has in place a £5,000 million medium-term note (MTN) programme. At 30 June 2008, subordinated debt outstanding under this programme was £435 million and €520 million, and senior debt outstanding was US$12 million. In addition, the holding company has access to £1,600 million committed revolving credit facilities, provided in equal tranches of £100 million by 16 major international banks, renewable in December 2009, and an annually renewable £500 million committed securities lending liquidity facility. Apart from a small test drawdown, these facilities have not been drawn on during the first half of the year. There are no amounts outstanding under the committed credit facilities at 30 June 2008. The commercial paper programme, the MTN programme, the committed revolving credit facilities and the committed securities lending liquidity facility are available for general corporate purposes and to support the liquidity needs of the holding company.

The Group's core debt is managed to be within a target level consistent with its current debt ratings. At 30 June 2008, the gearing ratio (core debt, net of cash and short-term investments, as a proportion of EEV shareholders' funds plus core debt) was 6.9 per cent compared with 6.6 per cent at 31 December 2007.

Prudential plc enjoys strong debt ratings from Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch. Prudential long-term senior debt is rated A+ (stable outlook), A2 (stable outlook) and AA- (stable outlook) from Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch respectively, while short-term ratings are A-1, P-1 and F1+.

Based on EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations and interest payable on core structural borrowings, interest cover was 18.4 times in the first half of 2008 compared with 16.1 times in the first half of 2007.


Regulatory capital requirements


Prudential's Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital position at the end of 2007 was a surplus of £1.6 billion. The surplus at half year 2008 is estimated to be £1.4 billion.


The half year 2008 IGD surplus capital position is very resilient to extreme stresses from financial risks (interest rates, equity markets and credit). Prudential estimates that a 150bps reduction in interest rates has an adverse impact of £550 million on the IGD surplus capital, a 40 per cent fall on the current equity markets has an adverse impact of £260 million on the IGD surplus capital and credit defaults at 5 times the expected level has an adverse impact of £220 million.


Economic Capital

Prudential defines its economic capital requirements as the amount of capital that the Group needs to hold in order to remain solvent over a 25-year horizon, given a target probability of insolvency appropriate for AA-debt. At 30 June 2008, Prudential has an economic capital surplus of c.£1.0 billion before taking credit for diversification and £2.8 billion after. Economic capital is central in Prudential's decision-making process on allocating capital within the Group.



Unallocated surplus of with-profits 


During the first half of 2008, the unallocated surplus, which represents the excess of assets over policyholder liabilities for the Group's with-profits funds on a statutory basis, decreased from £ 14.0. billion at 1 January to £12.6 billion at 30 June 2008. This reflects a decrease in the cumulative retained earnings arising on with-profits business that have yet to be allocated to policyholders or shareholders. 

 

Holding company cash flow 



 

 

Half year

Half year

 

2008

2007

 

£m

£m

Cash remitted by business units:

 

 

   UK life fund transfer 

279

261

   Asia 

148

86

  M&G 

86

75

Total cash remitted to Group 

513

422

Net interest paid 

(80)

(76)

Dividends paid 

(303)

(286)

Scrip dividends and share options 

134

119

Cash remittances after interest and

264

179

dividends 

 

 

Tax received 

87

24

Corporate activities 

(86)

(30)

Cash flow before investment in businesses 

265

173

Capital invested in business units:

 

 

   Asia 

(137)

(70)

UK

(42)

(69)

Total capital invested in business units 

(179)

(139)

Increase in operating cash 

86

34

Egg sale net proceeds

0

527

Total holding company cash flow

86

561



The Group holding company received £ 513 million in cash remittances from business units in the first half of 2008 up from £422 million in 2007. This includes the shareholders' statutory life fund transfer of £279 million from the UK business.

After dividends and net interest paid, there was a net cash inflow of £ 264 million (HY 2007: £179 million). There was a high take-up of scrip dividends in the first half of 2008 and 2007.

Tax received of £87 million was £63 million higher than prior year, with the 2007 figure being exceptionally low as a result of foreign exchange gains reducing the level of taxable losses. During the first half of 2008, the Group holding company paid £86 million in respect of corporate activities, including costs in respect of the process to consider a reattribution of the inherited estate. 

In aggregate there is an improvement in operating cash inflow to £ 86 million from £34 million in the first half of 2007.

Depending on the mix of business written and the opportunities available, Prudential continues to expect that the UK shareholder-backed business will become cash positive in 2010.

We have previously indicated that the operating cash flow of the Group holding company is expected to be positive in 2008 and we are on target to meet this commitment. 

  Risk Factors and Contingencies

The Group published details of its risk factors and contingencies in its 2007 annual report. There have been no changes in the risk factors during the period. Note (M) of the IFRS interim report gives an update on the position for contingencies.

BUSINESS UNIT REVIEW


Insurance Operations


Asia

Asia

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

APE sales 

727

639

14%

619

17%

NBP 

336

291

15%

282

19%

NBP margin (% APE) 

46%

46%

 

46%

 

NBP margin (% PVNBP)

8.7%

8.6%

 

8.6%

 

Total EEV basis operating profit* 

553

510

8%

493

12%

Total IFRS operating profit* 

102

80

28%

76

34%


* Excluding fund management operations, development and Asia regional head office expenses


Introduction

The current economic environment in Asia reflects some uncertainty. Rising commodity prices are putting downward pressure on growth, fuelling inflation and sparking some social unrest and the ramifications of the credit crisis have the potential to slow international investment in Asia. The MSCI Ex Japan Index is down approximately 23 per cent against the same time last year and back at the same level as June 2006. Bonds are at historically high valuations. 

However, Prudential firmly believes that while the volatility of the financial markets can have an impact on customers' sentiment, the fundamental economic and social changes underway in Asia will continue to drive strong demand for savings and protection products for the foreseeable future. This is supported by experience during other times of economic stress such as the 1997/98 'Asian Crisis' and the SARs related downturn.

Therefore Prudential's strategy in Asia remains securely in place with the emphasis on building high quality, multi-channel distribution that delivers customer-centric and profitable products, with an increasing emphasis on retirement solutions. The specific priorities for each market vary reflecting the considerable diversity of each country within the region and also the position of our operations within those countries.  Asia remains on-track to deliver the doubling of 2005 new business profits in 2008.  

During the first half of 2008, good progress has been made in a number of areas:

Average agent numbers in the first six months of 2008 have increased by 29 per cent compared to the first half of 2007 and are up 21 per cent over the full year 2007. At 30 June 2008 there were 423,000 agents including 286,000 in IndiaAverage agent productivity over the same period measured in terms of APE per agent, excluding Taiwan which had an exceptional second quarter last year, has remained in line with the first half of 2007 as although the activity rate has increased by five per cent, the number of cases per active agent has declined by a similar amount reflecting the more challenging economic environment. Average case size is in line with last year. 

  New business booked through Prudential's successful bank distribution network increased by 56 per cent over the period compared to last year and generated 20 per cent of total APE up from 14 per cent. Prudential and Standard Chartered Bank recently announced the renewal and extension of their original bank distribution agreement covering Hong KongSingapore and Malaysia and the inclusion of Japan and Thailand within this master agreement for the first time too.

Sales of health and protection products, including riders attached to life policies, during the first six months of 2008 were £152 million, 56 per cent up from the same period last year. They accounted for 21 per cent of the sales mix up from 15 per cent last year. This reflects the increased focus on these strategically significant and profitable products. Average new business profit margins were 83 per cent on standalone health and protection sales. New products and marketing campaigns are planned for the second half of the year.


As the financial challenges people will face related to retirement increase in Asia over the coming years, Prudential is developing a new holistic approach to provide retirement solutions that encompasses asset accumulation, protection and income generation. During the first half of this year, Prudential commenced consumer and distributor testing of new propositions with a view to rolling out a new retirement strategy in 2009. In the meantime the business continues to raise awareness of retirement savings with refreshed 'What's Your Number?' campaigns in Hong Kong and Taiwan.


Although the business's primary focus is the considerable headroom for the acquisition of new customers, as at 30 June 2008. Prudential already has over 11.5 million customers in Asia, up from 8.5 million a year ago, who are a very valuable asset in terms of cross sell and up sell opportunities. In India, health products are being successfully tele-marketed, similarly in IndonesiaMalaysia and Singapore upgraded medical products are being successfully up-sold. In Korea good momentum is being seen with a campaign to revisit existing customers.

Prudential already has a uniquely advantaged platform in Asia and the plans in action will continue to strengthen our position and enable us to capture an increasing share of the material value that is set to emerge from the region over the coming years.  


Financial performance

Average APE sales grew 14 per cent on first half of 2007 to £727 million. On a comparable basis taking into account the change in consolidation basis for China Life effected for the fourth quarter last year, the growth rate is 17 per cent. Excluding Taiwan, due to the exceptional sales performance in 2007, Asia grew by 29 per cent during the first half of 2008. The proportion of linked business remains high at 70 per cent. 

These strong performances came from a wide range of drivers that continue to demonstrate the success of Prudential's regional model. 

In Indonesia very successful management of the agency model has seen average agent numbers up 62 per cent compared to the same period last year and average agent productivity rates up nine per cent. Takaful products continue to be popular and generated 24 per cent of APE in the first half. Average new business margin was 51 per cent down from 54 per cent in 2007 as a result of increasing credit life business from our bank distribution channel.  

  Hong Kong had a very strong first half in 2008 with sales growing by 53 per cent supported by marketing activity for retirement planning and the successful launch of the new PRUlink Wealth Builder and PRUlink Wealth, the operation's first two back-end loaded index linked products. Average new business margin remain high at 66 per cent up from 62 per cent in the first half of 2007 due to an increased proportion of linked products.  

In India there was a slower first quarter this year where growth was 41 per cent, but during the second quarter growth rates in India accelerated to 56 per cent bringing the half year to 45 per cent. Average agent numbers are up 25 per cent with average agent productivity improving by 10 per cent, despite the expansion into more rural areas. Average new business margin was 16 per cent down from 20 per cent in the first half of 2007 due to a change in expense assumptions reported at year-end 2007.  

In Japan the 56 per cent growth in the first half has been driven largely by Term Life products in the first quarter. The tax advantages of these products were reduced in April this year. New business APE reduced in the second quarter 2008 by 23 per cent compared to the second quarter last year and this slow down in new business volume is expected to continue for the rest of this year. The business is now focusing on Variable Annuity products and a new hospital cash product being launched in the third quarter. 

Korea's new business growth of eight per cent for the first half 2008 is good given the competitive nature of the market and a particularly volatile stock market. Based on market share estimates for May, PCA Life Korea rose one place to 12th. Average new business margin remained level compared to the first half of 2007 at 33 per cent. 

On a comparable basis to 2007, APE sales in China were up by 58 per cent driven by a 35 per cent increase in average agent numbers and an 86 per cent increase in average agent productivity. In the second quarter CITIC Prudential Life Insurance was notified that it had been awarded a preparatory license for Fujian ProvinceChina. Located in the wealthier coastal southeastern region, Fujian province has a population of over 35 million.  Average new business margin was 51 per cent up from 44 per cent in 2007 as linked products became a larger proportion of the new business mix.  

In Malaysia the Takaful business continues to grow strongly, up 82 per cent on last year and representing 27 per cent of the total APE, up from 17 per cent last year. Total new business was up 11 per cent and the momentum is encouraging with the second quarter up 23 per cent against the same quarter last year.

In Singapore sales have been affected by changes in the Central Provident Fund investment limits effective from 1 April 2008 and first half sales recorded a three per cent decrease. The comparatives in Singapore are likely to be challenging for the rest of the year.

As previously mentioned, Taiwan had an exceptional year last year with the very successful launch of the 'What's Your Number?' campaign in the second quarter. However, the business remains in a very strong position with average agent numbers up 11 per cent and encouraging results from its new bank distribution agreement with Standard Chartered Bank. Estimates of its market share indicate that in the year to May 2008, PCA Life Taiwan increased to 3.7 per cent, up from 3.2 per cent at the same time last year. Average new business margin was 51 per cent up from 42 per cent in the first half of 2007.

VietnamThailand and Philippines have continued the strong growth seen in 2007 with collective first half APE sales of £30 million, up 25 per cent on last year. Unit linked products were launched in Vietnam in January and they represented six per cent of the country's sales in the first half.

Asia's overall average NBP margin remains constant over the first half of 2007 at 46 per cent with some net positives in product mix and margins (+1.0) per cent at the country level being offset by changes in country mix (-1.0) per cent.  


Total EEV operating profit was £553 million. In-force EEV operating profits of £217 million are a reduction of one per cent on 2007. There were a number of one-off items in 2007, for example the corporation tax changes in Singapore and China which, after grossing up notional tax, gave rise to a pre-tax benefit of £25 million. Excluding these one-offs in-force profits are increasing steadily with the realisation of value inherent in the business. Operating assumption changes are positive £15 million. Operating variances remain small in the context of the Asian business reflecting the robustness of our operating assumptions. Experience variances are net negative £19 million principally reflecting negative expense experience of £30 million for operations which are at a relatively early stage of development. There is also negative persistency experience of £11 million mainly arising in Korea due to greater than expected premium holidays and negative £14 million for other items. These are partially offset by positive £23 million mortality and morbidity experience variances spread across all operations and positive £13 million in respect of the investment return on capital held centrally in respect of Taiwan.

IFRS operating profits before development expenses for the first half of 2008 were £102 million, up 28 per cent on the same period in 2007 incorporating a complex mix of drivers including higher new business strain in Hong Kong on the new back-end loaded product and higher profits from Indonesia where new business is profitable on the IFRS basis in its first year. India continues to invest in its branch expansion programme giving rise to expense over-runs. Overall new business strain for Asia represented approximately 10 per cent of APE in line with 2007.  

IRR for Asia was in excess of 20 per cent for the first half of 2008. In Asia, Prudential targets IRR on new business to be at least 10 percentage points above the country risk discount rate, where these vary from five to 17 per cent. 


Asia repatriated £148 million to Group net of tax in the first half and received injections of £137 million principally to fund growth in India and fund solvency in Japan and Korea

Asia has no credit defaults in the first half of 2008. However, the short-term fluctuations include a charge of £37 million for fair value reductions in investments in a Taiwan CDO fund of £29 million and Leverage Super Senior notes in Japan (down £8 million). 

Prudential continues to deliver strong, broad based and profitable growth in Asia from its well established platform. The demographics and environment in Asia remain as compelling as ever and the business is expected to carry on growing at a fast pace.

 

United States


United States

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

APE sales 

356

351

1%

352

1%

NBP 

137

144

(5%)

144

(5%)

NBP margin (% APE) 

38%

41%

 

41%

 

NBP margin (% PVNBP)

3.9%

4.1%

 

4.1%

 

Total EEV basis operating profit* 

354

344

3%

344

3%

Total IFRS operating profit* 

232

218

6%

218

6%

*Based on longer-term investment returns excludes broker dealer, fund management and Curian

 



Introduction


The United States is the largest retirement savings market in the world and continues to grow rapidly. At the end of 2007, total retirement assets in the US exceeded US$17.6 trillion, up from US$16.5 trillion at the end of 2006 (Source: Investment Company Institute). As 78 million baby boomers (Source: US Census Bureau) move into retirement, these assets will shift from asset accumulation to income distributionCurrently, US$1.6 trillion of assets are generating retirement income. This amount is estimated to grow to US$7.3 trillion by 2017 (Source: Financial Research Corporation).

 

Despite these favourable demographics, US life insurers face challenges from both within and outside the industry. The industry remains highly fragmented, with the top 15 annuity companies sharing only 74 per cent of the total market share in 2007 (Source: LIMRA). Competition is intensifying through aggressive price competition, especially in the variable annuity market. 


The S&P index decreased 13 per cent during the first six months of 2008 and 15 per cent from June 2007 (total for 2007: increase of 3.5 per cent). During the same periods, the US equity markets also experienced significant volatility.  


Financial performance


Jackson delivered APE sales of £356 million in the first half of 2008, representing a one per cent increase from the same period in 2007 and the highest level of total sales in Jackson's history. APE retail sales in the first half of 2008 were £274 million, down four per cent over the same period in 2007 and represent the second highest level of sales during the first half in the company's history. This decline was primarily driven by lower variable annuity sales. On a PVNBP basis, new business sales were £3.5 billion.


These achievements demonstrate the diversification of Jackson's product portfolio and the resilience of Jackson's business model despite volatile equity markets and a deteriorating macroeconomic environment experienced in the first six months of 2008. 


Variable annuity APE sales of £180 million in the first half of 2008 were 20 per cent down on the same period in 2007. The significant volatility in US equity markets during the second half of 2007 continued into 2008 and price competition in the variable annuity market has remained intense. Jackson remains disciplined on the pricing of variable annuities. In the first quarter of 2008 Jackson ranked fourth in variable annuity net flows and had the lowest outflows as a percentage of variable annuity inflows in the industry.

In the first half of 2008, Jackson maintained its track record for product innovation by enhancing its variable annuity offering, with the addition of two new guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits (GMWB) and two new portfolio investment options. Jackson also introduced new fixed annuity products designed specifically for the bank channel and a new fixed index annuity that offers a selection of two market indices and two contract lengths. 


Jackson seeks to employ capital profitably in the retirement space. The internal rate of return on new business was 18 per cent in the first half of 2008, in line with the same period last year.


Fixed annuity APE sales of £64 million were 121 per cent up on the same period of 2007 reflecting a higher customer propensity towards fixed-rate products in a period of declining equity markets. Jackson ranked ninth in the traditional deferred fixed annuity market in the first quarter of 2008 with a market share of 3.1 per cent, up from the tenth position at the end of December 2007.


Fixed index annuity sales continue to be affected by difficult market conditions. Jackson's APE sales of £20 million in the first half of 2008 were nine per cent down on the same period of 2007. Jackson ranked tenth in the fixed index annuity market in the first quarter of 2008 with a market share of 3.4 per cent.


Institutional APE sales of £83 million in the first half of 2008 were up 26 per cent on the same period of 2007. Jackson continues to participate in this market on an opportunistic basis when margins are attractive.


EEV basis new business profits of £137 million were five per cent below the prior year, reflecting a shift in the mix of business toward fixed annuities as well as increased sales of institutional business with shorter durations. Specifically, new business profits of variable annuities decreased by 15 per cent, from £103 million at 30 June 2007 to £88 million at June 2008 as a result of lower sales, while new business profits of fixed annuities increased nearly 4 times from £4 million to £15 million.


Total EEV basis operating profit for the long-term business in the first half of 2008 was £354 million compared to £344 million in the prior year at CER. In-force EEV profits of £217 million were nine per cent above prior year profit of £200 million at CER. Experience variances were £33 million lower than the corresponding period in 2007 mainly due to lower spread income. Operating assumption changes were £44 million, including a credit of £29 million for changes to mortality assumptions, a credit of £27 million relating to a change of projected product fees for variable annuity business and a net charge of £12 million for other items.


IFRS operating profit for the long-term business was £232 million, up six per cent on the prior year of £218 million at CER, primarily reflecting higher fee income from the variable annuity business and favourable hedging results from the impact of market movements during the period. The decision to acquire additional hedging protection in the derivative markets in 2007 at favourable prices demonstrated its value in the IFRS operating profit in the context of falling equity markets experienced in the first half of 2008.


Jackson's IFRS operating profit continues to diversify across the various lines of business. Specifically, operating profit from the variable annuity and other fee-based business increased from 32 per cent at 30 June 2007 to 42 per cent at 30 June 2008, while profit from the spread-based business fell from 44 per cent to 43 per cent for the first half of 2008.


Jackson's overall credit exposure is well within Group risk parameters and Jackson continues to manage it proactively.


Total credit losses impacting Jackson's IFRS income statement were £108 million (2007: £19 million). This includes £103m of writedowns on securities. Within the £103m is £82m of losses from Jackson's residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) book. Impairments are determined by first undertaking detailed cash flow projections to identify those securities where an economic loss of principal is anticipated - in this case £38 million of losses. However, the accounting loss also includes a deduction of £43 million to reflect reduced market value. Out of the total charge of £108 million in the income statement, £23 million is booked as the RMR default charge to the operating result, to reflect the longer-term expectation for impairment, with the excess shown in short-term fluctuations in investment returns.


For securities classified as available-for-sale under IAS39, at 30 June 2008 there was an increase in the net unrealised loss position to £(813) million from £(136) million at 31 December 2007. This increase reflects declines in the market value of residential mortgage backed securities and broader distressed pricing due to illiquidity in the market as well as increasing credit spreads.


Jackson remains confident of the quality of its overall portfolio of £18 billion of debt securities. 82 per cent of its gross unrealised loss is on investment grade securities. Of the £270 million of gross unrealised losses on securities with a fair value of less than 80 per cent of book value, only £31 million is on securities rated as non-investment grade. In addition, there have been no credit defaults in the investment portfolio and downgrades were minimal. Jackson maintains its ability and intent to hold its debt securities for the longer term.  


  

United Kingdom


United Kingdom

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

APE sales 

430

363

18%

363

18%

NBP 

129

108

19%

108

19%

NBP margin (% APE) 

30%

30%

 

30%

 

NBP margin (% PVNBP)

3.6%

3.7%

 

3.7%

 

Total EEV basis operating profit* 

504

462

9%

462

9%

Total IFRS operating profit* 

286

251

14%

251

14%

*Based on longer-term investment returns.

 

 

 

 

 


Introduction

During the first half of 2008, Prudential UK continued to focus on the increasing need for retirement solutions through competing selectively in areas of the market where it can generate attractive returns. With an ageing population and the concentration of UK wealth in the mass affluent and high net worth sectors, the retirement and near-retirement segment is set to be the fastest growing market. Low savings rates and high levels of consumer debt, combined with a shift in responsibility for providing income during retirement from Government and employers towards individuals, have resulted in individuals being inadequately provided for during increasingly long periods of retirement. 

Prudential UK has a unique combination of competitive advantages including its significant longevity experience, multi-asset investment capabilities and its brand and financial strength which put it in a strong position to pursue its value driven strategy in its two principal businesses: Retail and Wholesale.

Prudential UK's Retail business is focusing on savings and income for those customers nearing or in retirement and aims to continue to drive profitable growth in its core annuities operation, grow its presence in the equity release market and maximise the opportunities in retirement savings on the back of its strong multi-asset performance record. 

The significant 25-year pipeline of internal vestings annuity business from maturing individual and corporate pension policies, where Prudential UK offers a competitive proposition for its internal vestings customers, is enhanced by strategic partnerships with third parties where Prudential UK is the recommended annuity provider for customers vesting their pension at retirement. Prudential UK, with approximately 1.5 million annuities in payment, is the largest provider in the UK market. 

Investing in property has been an increasingly important component for many people saving for their retirement. With an estimated £725 billion owned by pensioners in property in the UK, pensioners can consider options such as equity release to help deliver an adequate income in retirement. This is likely to become increasingly important as people live longer and the cost of living continues to rise. 

Prudential UK's total retail with-profits business has performed very strongly across a range of products. This demonstrates clearly that with-profits, when invested in an actively managed, well-run and financially strong fund, can produce good returns for the cautious investor. Prudential's with-profits products offer a medium to long-term, medium risk investment with exposure to a diverse range of assets, skilled management of those assets and smoothed returns, all of which are particularly important to many customers against the backdrop of market volatility. 

Prudential UK continues to be a market leader in the corporate pensions market where it is a provider to over 20 per cent of FTSE 350 companies and the largest provider of pension schemes to the UK public sector. Prudential now administers corporate pensions to over 640,000 members.

Our joint venture with Discovery to provide Health and Protection insurance based on rewarding healthy lifestyles with lower premiums continues to grow rapidly. At the end of June, PruHealth covered approximately 175,000 lives.

Prudential UK's strategy in Wholesale is to participate selectively in bulk annuity and back-book buyouts. Prudential UK will maintain a strict focus on value, only participating in transactions that generate an acceptable rate of return.  

Financial performance

In an environment of volatile capital and equity markets, a decline in the housing market and general economic uncertainty, Prudential UK has delivered a strong set of figures. Total UK APE sales in the first half of the year grew by 18 per cent to £430 million and new business profit increased 19 per cent to £129 million. Sales in the second quarter were 33 per cent higher than the same period last year. The average new business margin for the half-year was maintained at 30 per cent. 

Retail sales of £398 million were 11 per cent higher than 2007. Individual annuities continued to deliver substantial sales volume. Sales growth was driven by strong performances in with-profits bonds and offshore products, supplemented by good sales of corporate pensions and encouraging growth in its equity release range. Prudential UK also completed a bulk annuity reinsurance contract with Goldman Sachs for the reinsurance of £30 million APE of Rothesay Life's non profit annuity business. Prudential and Goldman Sachs will consider opportunities for future cooperation to provide joint solutions in selected situations in the defined benefit scheme risk management market.

Individual annuity sales at the half-year of £141 million were in line with those achieved in the first half of 2007 with the second quarter sales up four per cent up on the same period last year. This good performance in the second quarter was underpinned by a continued focus on the strong internal vestings pipeline which contributed more than 50 per cent of total individual annuity sales.  

Prudential UK is now the market leader in the lifetime mortgage market with over a 25 per cent share in the second quarter of 2008, based on new business advances. Sales in the second quarter were 40 per cent higher than in the first quarter of 2008. Total half-year sales of £12 million were 71 per cent higher than the first half of 2007. Prudential UK is now seeing strong contributions from the intermediary and direct markets as well as steadily increasing draw-downs from existing customers

Prudential UK's total retail with-profits business has performed very strongly across a range of products, with total sales of £183 million up 32 per cent on the first half of 2007. Sales of with-profits bonds of £48 million were up 182 per cent on the first half of 2007, reflecting the strength of Prudential's with-profits fund performance and an increasing demand for this type of product.

Offshore sales of £34 million were up 48 per cent on the first half of 2007, driven by strong sales in the UK which have been reinforced with the launch of our new open architecture Portfolio Account in March 2008.

Half-year corporate pensions sales of £126 million were two per cent higher than those achieved in the same period last year. Existing accounts in the public sector performed strongly and we also secured Nationwide's deposit based AVC (Additional Voluntary Contribution) business, affirming our status as a leading provider in this market. However, sales within Prudential UK's shareholder-backed business, where pricing is extremely competitive and where it maintained its strict pricing discipline rather than matching competitor pricing, fell by 11 per cent.

Total new business profits of £129 million were 19 per cent higher than the same period in 2007. Retail new business profits grew by 10 per cent to £124 million. The Wholesale new business profit of £5 million reflects the bulk annuity contract completed with Goldman Sachs which met our target return criteria and was inclusive of the costs of the Wholesale operation. This performance demonstrates the continuing benefits of selectively participating in product lines that deliver sustained sales growth while at the same time maintaining a pricing discipline that ensures attractive returns. An average new business margin of 30 per cent was achieved in the first half of 2008, consistent with the same period last year.

EEV basis operating profit based on longer-term investment returns of £504 million, before restructuring costs of £5 million, was up nine per cent on the first half of 2007. The in-force operating profit of £375 million was up six per cent on the first half of 2007, although 2007 benefited from the £67 million positive operating assumption change reflecting the change in the long-term tax rate assumption from 30 per cent to 28 per cent. 

Prudential UK continues to manage actively the retention of its in-force book. During 2008, experience at an aggregate level has been in line with our long-term assumptions. 

IFRS operating profit increased 14 per cent to £286 million before restructuring costs of £4 million. This included £198 million of profits attributable to the with-profits business, reflecting strong long-term investment performance and its impact on terminal bonuses.

Prudential UK writes with-profits annuity, with-profits bond and with-profits corporate pension business in its life fund with other products backed by shareholder capital. There were no defaults in PRIL (Prudential Retirement Income Limited) in the first half of 2008 and PRIL has no direct exposure to the US sub-prime market.

The weighted average post-tax IRR on the shareholder capital allocated to new business growth in the UK was 15 per cent.

The agreement announced in 2007 with Capita to outsource a large proportion of Prudential UK's in-force and new business policy administration commenced in April 2008. This agreement will deliver £60 million per annum of savings to Prudential UK and is an important element in achieving its total cost savings target of £195 million by the end of 2010. This contract also provides a significant reduction in long-term expense risk by providing certainty on per-policy costs as the number of policies in the mature life and pensions book decreases over the coming years. Unit costs per policy are expected to reduce by over 30 per cent by 2011.


Financial Strength of the UK Long Term Fund


The PAC's long-term fund remains very strong. On a realistic valuation basis, with liabilities recorded on a market consistent basis, the free assets are valued at approximately £7.7 billion at 30 June 2008, before a deduction for the risk capital margin. The financial strength of PAC is rated AA+ (stable outlook) by Standard & Poor's, Aa1 (negative outlook) by Moody's and AA+ (stable outlook) by Fitch Ratings.


In the first half of the year, Prudential's with-profits life fund has been impacted by the difficult conditions in financial markets, with negative returns from its holdings in equities, property and bonds. The fund returned -6.8% gross in the first half of the year.


In the light of the significantly wider level of credit spreads in major markets, the decision was taken earlier in the year to progressively close the hedge on the fund's credit exposure that had been taken out in 2007 at a profit.  


In anticipation of much higher volatility in financial markets, the decision was also taken to reduce Prudential's equity exposure, for tactical purposes in that part of the fund attributed to the estate, which was beneficial.


Although market conditions remain extremely testing, they provide some value opportunities for investors with a long term investment horizon.  

 

Business Unit Review


Asset Management


Global 


The Group's asset management businesses provide value to the insurance businesses within the Group by delivering sustained superior performance. They are also important profit generators in their own right, having low capital requirements and generating significant cash flow for the Group. 

The asset management businesses are well placed to capitalise on their leading market positions and strong track records in investment performance to deliver net flows and profit growth as well as strategically diversifying the Group's investment propositions in retail financial services markets that are increasingly favouring greater product transparency, greater cross-border opportunities and more open-architecture investment platforms. Wholesale profit streams are also growing.

The Group's asset management businesses operate different models and under different brands tailored to their markets and strengths. However they continue to work together by managing money for each other with clear regional specialism, distribute each others' products and share knowledge and expertise, such as credit research.

Each business and its performance in the first half of 2008 is summarised below.


 


M&G


M&G is comprised of the M&G asset management business and Prudential Capital.


M&G Asset Management


M&G

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Net investment flows

2,437

3,367

(28%)

3,367

(28%)

Revenue

235

225

4%

225

4%

Other income

12

14

(14%)

14

(14%)

Staff costs

(101)

(110)

8%

(110)

8%

Other costs

(42)

(33)

(27%)

(33)

(27%)

Underlying profit before Performance-related fees

104

96

8%

96

8%

Performance-related fees

9

12

(25%)

12

(25%)

Operating profit from M&G asset management operations

113

108

4%

108

4%

Operating profit from Prudential Capital

33

32

3%

32

3%

Total IFRS operating profit

146

140

4%

140

4%



Introduction

M&G is Prudential's UK and European asset management business. It manages £ 159 billion of assets, of which £108 billion relate to Prudential's long-term funds, £30 billion to wholesale and £21 billion to retail clients. M&G aims to maximise profitable growth by operating in areas of the retail and wholesale markets where it has a leading position and competitive advantage.

M&G's core strategy is to focus on the delivery of superior investment performance in all classes in which it invests and thereby offer attractive products in a variety of macro-economic environments. As one of the largest active managers in the UK, M&G has expertise in all major asset classes and also has a leading position in a number of specialist areas such as leveraged loans, structured credit, infrastructure and macro investment.

 

M&G has a strong and well established presence in its home UK market. However, a growing proportion of its business is sourced from Europe, South Africa and Asia (distributed by Prudential Corporation Asia). 

 M&G's diversity by client type, asset class and geography is central to the sustainability of its earnings in the current challenging environment. Stability is derived from the internal client and M&G's long-established direct retail business, while growth opportunities are provided by geographic expansion, diversification into specialist investment areas and leadership in developing newer distribution opportunities such as third party on-line platforms.

M&G's retail business aims to obtain maximum value from a single manufacturing function through a multi-channel, multi-geography distribution approach. Its wholesale business centres on leveraging the skills developed primarily for internal funds to create higher-margin products for external clients.


Financial performance

The markets in which M&G operates have endured a difficult period since the on-set of problems in the credit market in the second half of 2007. Declines in underlying value across asset classes have impacted funds under management, and hence revenue.

Against this challenging backdrop, M&G has delivered a strong first half performance, with an overall underlying profit result of £104 million, compared to £96 million in 2007.

In addition, M&G earned £9 million in performance related fees (2007; £12 million)

This profit performance was driven, in part, by the full year effect of new business won in 2007 as well as positive net sales of £2.4 billion received in the first half of 2008 (2007: £3.4 billion). This is a strong net positive result in market conditions that are dramatically different to those experienced in the first half of 2007. 

Net retail fund inflows were £881 million (2007: £1.7 billion), a good result in a period where both the UK and European asset management industries saw much more significant fall in net flows. M&G's wholesale net fund inflows also proved very resilient in the first half of 2008, with inflows of £1.6 billion (2007: £1.6 billion).  

M&G believes that this success in winning and keeping business is primarily the result of strong investment performance. Over the three years to end June 2008, 71 per cent of M&G's retail funds produced top or second quartile performance, representing 92 per cent of funds under management. M&G's excellent performance is further underlined by a number of awards won in the first half of the year, including being named 'Best Global Group' by Investment Week and 'Best Larger Equity Fund House' by Morningstar. In addition the M&G Recovery and Global Basics funds have received Lipper awards in SwitzerlandAustriaFranceGermanyItaly and Spain.


Prudential Capital

Prudential Capital manages Prudential's balance sheet for profit through leveraging Prudential's market position. The business has three strategic objectives: to operate a first class wholesale and capital markets interface; to realise profitable proprietary opportunities within a tightly controlled risk framework; and to provide professional treasury services to Prudential. Prudential Capital generates revenue by structuring transactions, providing bridging finance, and operating a securities lending and cash management business for Prudential and its clients.

Driven by strong securities lending performance, operating profits at the half year of £33 million was 3 per cent up against the same period in 2007. Dividends of £14 million were remitted to the holding company.

Asia Asset Management


Asia

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Net investment flows

1,642

1,777

(8%)

1,662

(1%)

Total IFRS operating profit

29

34

(15%)

33

(12%)

 

 

 

 

 

 



Introduction


Prudential's asset management business in Asia supports the insurance operations, and has established itself as an increasingly material retail business in its own right. Today it has retail operations in 10 markets and has more top five market share position than many other regional players in Asia.


Despite the downturn in the equity markets in the first half of 2008 product innovation has continued with the launch of a number of new funds. PruPIM Vietnam Fund is one of the country's first institutional property funds. In Taiwan, the PCA Green Solution Fund was which seeks to deliver long-term capital growth by investing in climate change related global firms and is the country's third largest IPO. In China, our joint venture with CITIC introduced its third fund, the Blue Chip Fund. PCA Asset Korea launched PCA Emerging Asia Equity Fund in the first quarter of 2008. In the second quarter, several structured funds were launched in response to the demand for lower-risk products.  


We have also continued to expand the breadth and depth of our distribution network in Asia. PCA Asset Japan established our third relationship with a mega brokerage, this time with Nomura. In UAE, our business based in Dubai now has 15 distribution agreements.


Taiwan obtained three institutional mandates with FUM of £116 million in the first half of the year. This includes a domestic equity investment mandate from Taiwan's New Labor Pension Fund over a three year period. 


Against a volatile market environment, we are taking the opportunity to enhance our investment processes and manufacturing capabilities. This is firstly achieved through strengthening the investment team by hiring talented and experienced portfolio managers and product specialists. Other efforts include enhancing our research coverage, developing new technology applications to facilitate product manufacturing and strengthening of active management of our portfolio risk. We are also building our capabilities to include opportunistically Latin American and other Europe, Middle East and Africa regions.


Financial performance


The Asian Fund Management business delivered £1.6 billion of net inflows in the first half of 2008. These were eight per cent lower compared to the same period in 2007 as India and Japan in particular have seen lower net equity flows in this period due to volatility of the equity markets. Of the £1.6 billion net flows, 57 per cent were in longer-term equity and fixed income products, and the remaining 43 per cent in shorter-term money market funds, compared to 23 per cent for the first half last year. Taiwan recorded the strongest inflows for the first half of this year.

  Total third party funds under management were £15.7 billion, a decrease of nine per cent compared to the second half of 2007, but up five per cent on the first half 2007. Hong KongIndia and Taiwan were the main contributors to the year-on-year growth, with funds under management increasing by 27 per cent, 24 per cent and 17 per cent respectively. 


Prudential has successfully built a material and profitable fund management business in Asia. Despite the dominance of domestic asset management houses in most Asian countries, our fund management business has established leadership positions in Asia. As of the end of May 2008, our businesses in India and Singapore have secured the second and third positions in the respective mutual fund markets. In Japan, our business is ranked second amongst foreign asset management companies in the market in terms of net fund flows gathered year-to-date. We remain confident that the business is in an ideal position to capitalize on the growth opportunities in Asia.


PPM America

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Total IFRS operating profit

1

4

(75%)

4

(75%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Asset Management


PPM America manages assets for Prudential's US, UK and Asian affiliates and provides investment services to other affiliated and unaffiliated institutional clients including collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), private equity funds, institutional accounts and mutual funds.  


IFRS operating profit in the first half of 2008 was £ 1 million, down from £ 4 million in the same period in 2007 at CER due to losses on consolidated investment vehicles that more than offset continued growth of the fixed income portfolio managed on behalf of the US insurance operations.


 


Curian

 

Curian

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Gross investment flows

339

316

7%

317

7%

Revenue

13

9

44%

9

44%

Costs

(13)

(11)

18%

(11)

18%

Total IFRS operating profit/(loss)

0

(2)

(100%)

(2)

(100%)


Curian Capital, a specialised asset management company that provides innovative fee-based separately managed accounts, continues to build its position in the US retail asset management market with total assets under management at the end of June 2008 of £ 1.7 billion, consistent with year end 2007 at CER, as new deposits offset the impact of market declines during the first half of 2008.


Curian gross investment flows were £339 million in the first half of 2008, up 7 per cent on the same period of 2007.



US Broker Dealer

 

Broker dealer

 

CER

 

RER

 

 

2008

2007

Change

2007

Change

 

£m

£m

%

£m

%

Revenue

161

146

10%

146

10%

Costs

(156)

(141)

11%

(141)

11%

Total IFRS operating profit

5

5

0%

5

0%


National Planning Holdings , the Group's US independent broker-dealer network, is comprises of four broker-dealer firms, INVEST Financial Corporation, Investment Centers of America, National Planning Corporation, and SII Investments. 


IFRS operating profit of £5 million was in line with half year 2007

  

OTHER CORPORATE INFORMATION 



Inherited estate of Prudential Assurance 


The assets of the main with-profits fund within the long-term insurance fund of PAC comprise the amounts that it expects to pay out to meet its obligations to existing policyholders and an additional amount used as working capital will be used to meet obligations to existing policyholders and any excess acts as working capital. The amount payable over time to policyholders from the with-profits fund is equal to the policyholders' accumulated asset shares plus any additional payments that may be required by way of smoothing or to meet guarantees. The balance of the assets of the with-profits fund is called the 'inherited estate' and has accumulated over many years from various sources.

The inherited estate represents the major part of the working capital of PAC's long-term insurance fund. This enables PAC to support with-profits business by providing the benefits associated with smoothing and guarantees, by providing investment flexibility for the fund's assets, by meeting the regulatory capital requirements that demonstrate solvency and by absorbing the costs of significant events or fundamental changes in its long-term business without affecting the bonus and investment policies. The size of the inherited estate fluctuates from year to year depending on the investment return and the extent to which it has been required to meet smoothing costs, guarantees and other events.

Prudential announced in March 2006 that it had begun a process to determine whether it could achieve greater clarity as to the status of the inherited estate through a reattribution. In June 2008 Prudential announced that it did not believe that it is in the interests of current or future policyholders or shareholders to continue the reattribution process. The WPSF has been consistently the top performing life fund in the UK for the past one, three, five and 10 years. Our overriding priority is to maintain the long-term financial security of the WPSF and to continue delivering strong performance for the benefit of our policyholders. The Policyholders share in any potential future distributions is on a 90:10 basis. 



 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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