PRUDENTIAL PLC 2008 PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
SUMMARY CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
|
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
Asian operations |
1,335 |
1,099 |
US operations |
593 |
635 |
UK operations: |
|
|
UK insurance operations |
1,081 |
859 |
M&G |
286 |
254 |
|
1,367 |
1,113 |
Other income and expenditure |
(302) |
(297) |
Restructuring costs |
(32) |
(20) |
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns |
2,961 |
2,530 |
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns |
(5,127) |
174 |
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings |
656 |
223 |
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes |
(15) |
(5) |
Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees |
(581) |
748 |
(Loss) profit from continuing operations before tax (including actual investment returns) |
(2,106) |
3,670 |
Tax attributable to shareholders' (loss) profit |
771 |
(927) |
(Loss) profit from continuing operations for the financial year after tax before minority interests |
(1,335) |
2,743 |
Discontinued operations (net of tax) |
- |
241 |
(Loss) profit for the year |
(1,335) |
2,984 |
|
|
|
Attributable to: |
|
|
Equity holders of the Company |
(1,338) |
2,963 |
Minority interests |
3 |
21 |
(Loss) profit for the year |
(1,335) |
2,984 |
Earnings per share (in pence) |
2008 |
2007 |
Continuing operations |
|
|
From operating profit, based on longer-term investment returns, after related tax and minority interests |
88.6p |
74.5p |
Adjustment from post-tax longer-term investment returns to post-tax actual investment returns (after minority interests) |
(150.3)p |
6.1p |
Adjustment for effect of mark to market value movements on core borrowings |
26.6p |
9.1p |
Adjustment for post-tax effect of shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes |
(0.5)p |
(0.2)p |
Adjustment for post-tax effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees (after minority interests) |
(18.5)p |
21.8p |
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations after tax and minority interests |
(54.1)p |
111.3p |
|
|
|
Discontinued operations |
|
|
Based on profit from discontinued operations after tax and minority interests |
- |
9.9p |
|
|
|
Based on (loss) profit for the year after tax and minority interests |
(54.1)p |
121.2p |
|
|
|
Average number of shares (millions) |
2,472 |
2,445 |
Dividends per share (in pence) |
2008 |
2007 |
Dividends relating to reporting period: |
|
|
Interim dividend (2008 and 2007) |
5.99p |
5.70p |
Final dividend (2008 and 2007) |
12.91p |
12.30p |
Total |
18.90p |
18.00p |
Dividends declared and paid in reporting period: |
|
|
Current year interim dividend |
5.99p |
5.70p |
Final dividend for prior year |
12.30p |
11.72p |
Total |
18.29p |
17.42p |
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
OPERATING PROFIT FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS BASED ON LONGER-TERM INVESTMENT RETURNS*
Results Analysis by Business Area |
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
Asian operations |
|
|
New business |
741 |
643 |
Business in force |
568 |
399 |
Long-term business |
1,309 |
1,042 |
Asset management |
52 |
72 |
Development expenses |
(26) |
(15) |
Total |
1,335 |
1,099 |
US operations |
|
|
New business |
293 |
285 |
Business in force |
293 |
342 |
Long-term business |
586 |
627 |
Broker-dealer and asset management |
10 |
13 |
Curian |
(3) |
(5) |
Total |
593 |
635 |
UK operations |
|
|
New business |
273 |
277 |
Business in force |
764 |
578 |
Long-term business |
1,037 |
855 |
General insurance commission |
44 |
4 |
Total UK insurance operations |
1,081 |
859 |
M&G |
286 |
254 |
Total |
1,367 |
1,113 |
Other income and expenditure |
|
|
Investment return and other income |
47 |
49 |
Interest payable on core structural borrowings |
(172) |
(168) |
Corporate expenditure: |
|
|
Group Head Office |
(130) |
(129) |
Asia Regional Head Office |
(41) |
(38) |
Charge for share-based payments for Prudential schemes |
(6) |
(11) |
Total |
(302) |
(297) |
Restructuring costs** |
(32) |
(20) |
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns |
2,961 |
2,530 |
|
|
|
Analysed as profits (losses) from: |
|
|
New business |
1,307 |
1,205 |
Business in force |
1,625 |
1,319 |
Long-term business |
2,932 |
2,524 |
Asset management |
345 |
334 |
Other results |
(316) |
(328) |
Total |
2,961 |
2,530 |
* EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns excludes short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the mark to market value movements on core borrowings, the shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, and the effect of changes in economic assumptions and changes in the time value of cost of options and guarantees arising from changes in economic factors. The amounts for these items are included in total EEV profit attributable to shareholders. The directors believe that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance. Profit before tax and basic earnings per share include these items together with actual investment returns. This basis of presentation has been adopted consistently throughout this preliminary announcement.
**Restructuring costs comprise the charge of £28 million recognised on an IFRS basis and an additional £4 million recognised on the EEV basis for the shareholders' share of costs incurred by the PAC with-profits fund.
The results for continuing operations shown above exclude those in respect of discontinued banking operations, which were sold on 1 May 2007. In addition, there have been some minor adjustments to 2007 comparatives, as detailed in notes 4, 5 and 10.
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
MOVEMENT IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY (excluding minority interests)
|
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
|
(Loss) profit for the year attributable to equity shareholders |
(1,338) |
2,963 |
|
Items taken directly to equity: |
|
|
|
Exchange movements (note 14) |
2,010 |
64 |
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities classified as available-for-sale of discontinued banking operations |
- |
(2) |
|
Movement on cash flow hedges |
- |
(3) |
|
Related tax |
119 |
3 |
|
Dividends |
(453) |
(426) |
|
New share capital subscribed |
170 |
182 |
|
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments |
18 |
18 |
|
Treasury shares: |
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans |
3 |
7 |
|
Movement on Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS |
(25) |
4 |
|
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital |
(148) |
(13) |
|
Net increase in shareholders' equity |
356 |
2,797 |
|
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year (excluding minority interests): |
|
|
|
As previously reported |
14,779 |
11,883 |
|
Effect of adoption of principles of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes (note 10) |
(179) |
(80) |
|
After adoption of IFRIC 14 |
14,600 |
11,803 |
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity at end of year (excluding minority interests) |
14,956 |
14,600 |
|
|
|
|
|
Comprising: |
|
|
|
Asian operations: |
|
|
|
Net assets |
5,431 |
3,837 |
|
Acquired goodwill |
172 |
172 |
|
|
5,603 |
4,009 |
|
|
|
|
|
US operations |
4,453 |
3,686 |
|
|
|
|
|
UK operations: |
|
|
|
Insurance business |
4,919 |
6,497 |
|
M&G: |
|
|
|
Net assets |
147 |
271 |
|
Acquired goodwill |
1,153 |
1,153 |
|
|
6,219 |
7,921 |
|
Other operations: |
|
|
|
Holding company net borrowings at market value (note 9) |
(818) |
(873) |
|
Other net liabilities |
(501) |
(143) |
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity at end of year (excluding minority interests) |
14,956 |
14,600 |
|
|
|
|
|
Representing: |
|
|
|
Long-term business operations (note 12) |
14,522 |
13,828 |
|
Other operations |
434 |
772 |
|
|
14,956 |
14,600 |
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
|
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
Total assets less liabilities, excluding insurance funds |
186,209 |
195,596 |
Less insurance funds*: |
|
|
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds |
(181,151) |
(189,534) |
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business |
9,898 |
8,538 |
|
(171,253) |
(180,996) |
|
|
|
Total net assets |
14,956 |
14,600 |
|
|
|
Share capital |
125 |
123 |
Share premium |
1,840 |
1,828 |
IFRS basis shareholders' reserves |
3,093 |
4,111 |
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity |
5,058 |
6,062 |
Additional EEV basis retained profit |
9,898 |
8,538 |
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity (excluding minority interests) |
14,956 |
14,600 |
* Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.
NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE (in pence)
|
2008 |
2007 |
Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £14,956m (2007: £14,600m) |
599p |
591p |
Number of issued shares at year end (millions) |
2,497 |
2,470 |
RETURN ON EMBEDDED VALUE** |
15.0% |
15.4% |
** Return on embedded value is based on EEV operating profit from continuing operations after tax and minority interests as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity.
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
NOTES ON THE EEV BASIS RESULTS
1. Basis of preparation of results
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the CFO Forum of European Insurance Companies in May 2004 and expanded by the Additional Guidance on EEV Disclosures published in October 2005. Where appropriate the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).
The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the IFRS basis results of the Group's other operations.
The definition of long-term business operations is consistent with previous practice and comprises those contracts falling under the definition of long-term insurance business for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management.
With two principal exceptions, covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations. The principal exceptions are for the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) and for the presentational treatment of the financial position of two of the Group's defined benefit pension schemes. A very small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.
SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.
As regards the Group's defined benefit pension schemes, the liabilities attaching to the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS) and Scottish Amicable Pension Scheme are excluded from the EEV value of UK operations and included in the total for Other operations. The amounts are partially attributable to the PAC with-profits fund and shareholder-backed long-term business and partially to other parts of the Group. In addition to the amounts recognised as attributable to shareholders under IFRS, a 10 per cent share of the amount attributable to the PAC with-profits fund is recognised for EEV reporting purposes.
The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles.
The EEV basis results for 2008 and 2007 have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2008. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.
2. Methodology
Embedded value
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:
- present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less a deduction for the cost of locked-in (encumbered) capital;
- locked-in (encumbered) capital; and
- shareholders' net worth in excess of encumbered capital (free surplus).
The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value. In determining the embedded value or the profit before tax no smoothing of market account balance values, unrealised gains or investment returns is applied. Separately the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items, as explained in note 4.
Valuation of new business
The contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying non-economic assumptions as at the end of the year.
In determining the new business contribution for UK immediate annuity and lifetime mortgage business, which is interest rate sensitive, it is appropriate to use point of sale economic assumptions, consistent with how the business is priced. For other business within the Group end of period economic assumptions are used.
Level of encumbered capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based encumbered capital on its internal targets for economic capital subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements. Economic capital is assessed using internal models but, when applying the EEV Principles, Prudential does not take credit for the significant diversification benefits that exist within the Group. For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the encumbered capital requirements. For shareholder-backed business the following capital requirements apply:
Asian operations: the economic capital requirement is substantially higher than local statutory requirements in total. Economic capital requirements vary by territory, but in aggregate, the encumbered capital is broadly equivalent to the amount required under the Insurance Groups Directive (IGD).
US operations: the level of encumbered capital has been set to an amount at least equal to 235 per cent of the risk-based capital required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL), which is sufficient to meet the economic capital requirement.
UK insurance operations: the economic capital requirements for annuity business are fully met by Pillar I requirements being four per cent of mathematical reserves, which are also sufficient to meet Pillar II requirements. For unit-linked and other shareholder-backed business the encumbered capital held reflects the statutory minimum Pillar I requirement, as required by the UK regulatory authorities.
Valuation movements on investments
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the period (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the period and shareholders' funds as they arise.
The results for any covered business conceptually reflects the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on the IFRS basis.
However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the Jackson EEV result acknowledges that for debt securities backing liabilities the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that are broadly speaking held with the intent and ability to be retained for the longer term.
Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.
3. Economic assumptions
(a) Deterministic assumptions
In most countries, the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to period end rates of return on cash or fixed interest securities. For the Group's Asian operations, the active basis is appropriate for business written in Japan, Korea and US dollar denominated business written in Hong Kong. Except in respect of the projected returns of holdings of Asian debt and equity securities for those countries where long-term fixed interest markets are less established, the 'active' basis of assumption setting has been applied in preparing the results of all the Group's US and UK long-term business operations.
For countries where long-term fixed interest markets are less established, investment return assumptions and risk discount rates are based on an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Except for the countries listed above, this basis is appropriate for the Group's Asian operations. Similarly, the projected returns on holdings of Asian securities in these territories by other Group business are set on the same basis.
Expected returns on equity and property asset classes in respect of each territory are derived by adding a risk premium, also based on the long-term view of Prudential's economists, to the risk-free rate. In Asia, equity risk premiums range from 3.0 per cent to 7.0 per cent (2007: 3.0 per cent to 6.0 per cent). In the US and the UK, the equity risk premium is 4.0 per cent above risk-free rates for both 2008 and 2007.
Assumed investment returns reflect the expected future returns on the assets held and allocated to the covered business at the valuation date.
The tables below summarise the principal financial assumptions:
Asian operations
|
|
|
China |
Hong Kong |
India |
Indonesia |
Japan |
Korea |
Malaysia |
Philippines |
Singapore |
Taiwan |
Thailand |
Vietnam |
|
|
|
|
(notes iii, iv, v) |
|
|
|
|
(notes iv, v) |
|
(notes iv,v) |
(notes ii, v) |
|
|
|
|
|
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
|
|
|
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Risk discount rate: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
New business |
11.75 |
3.8 |
14.25 |
15.25 |
4.8 |
8.2 |
9.1 |
15.75 |
6.15 |
9.1 |
13.0 |
16.75 |
||
In force |
11.75 |
3.9 |
14.25 |
15.25 |
4.8 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
15.75 |
6.85 |
9.7 |
13.0 |
16.75 |
||
Expected long-term rate of inflation |
4.0 |
2.25 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
0.7 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
5.0 |
1.75 |
2.25 |
3.0 |
6.0 |
||
Government bond yield |
8.25 |
2.3 |
9.25 |
10.25 |
1.6 |
4.3 |
6.5 |
9.25 |
4.25 |
5.5 |
6.75 |
10.25 |
||
|
|
|
China |
Hong Kong |
India |
Indonesia |
Japan |
Korea |
Malaysia |
Philippines |
Singapore |
Taiwan |
Thailand |
Vietnam |
|
|
|
|
(notes iii, iv, v) |
|
|
|
|
(notes iv, v) |
|
(notes iv, v) |
(notes ii, v) |
|
|
|
|
|
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
31 Dec |
|
|
|
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Risk discount rate: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
New business |
11.75 |
5.7 |
15.75 |
16.75 |
5.1 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
15.75 |
6.4 |
9.1 |
13.0 |
16.75 |
||
In force |
11.75 |
6.0 |
15.75 |
16.75 |
5.1 |
9.7 |
9.1 |
15.75 |
6.8 |
9.8 |
13.0 |
16.75 |
||
Expected long-term rate of inflation |
4.0 |
2.25 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
0.0 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
5.0 |
1.75 |
2.25 |
3.0 |
6.0 |
||
Government bond yield |
8.25 |
4.1 |
9.25 |
10.25 |
2.0 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
9.25 |
4.25 |
5.5 |
6.75 |
10.25 |
|
Asia total |
Asia total |
31 Dec 2008 |
31 Dec 2007 |
|
% |
% |
|
Weighted risk discount rate (note (i)): |
|
|
New business |
8.8 |
9.5 |
In force |
7.8 |
8.7 |
Notes
(i) The weighted risk discount rates for Asian operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the EEV basis operating result for new business and the closing value of in-force business.
(ii) For traditional business in Taiwan, the economic scenarios used to calculate the 2008 and 2007 EEV basis results reflect the assumption of a phased progression of the bond yields from the current rates applying to the assets held to the long-term expected rates.
For 2008 the projections assume that in the average scenario, the current bond yields at 31 December 2008 of 1.4 per cent trend towards 5.5 per cent at 31 December 2018. This compares to the 2007 results for which the projections assume that in the average scenario, the current bond yields at 31 December 2007 of around 2.5 per cent trend towards 5.5 per cent at 31 December 2013.
The expected long term rate is a function of expectation of inflation and real rates of interest, on which the Company has taken external expert advice. It is considered that the outlook for long-term interest rates in Asia will be strongly influenced by the trend in the projection of comparable US long-term real interest rates. Consequently assessment of the expected rates for Taiwan has taken into account the structural factors of government borrowing, savings rates, short-term interest rates, government intervention and non-market influences that could affect Taiwanese real interest rates over the projection period. Together with a central inflation projection for Taiwan, the Company considers that the long term rate of 5.5 per cent is appropriate in the longer-term.
In projecting forward the Fund Earned Rate, allowance is made for the mix of assets in the fund, future investment strategy, and further market value depreciation of bonds held as a result of assumed future yield increases. These factors, together with the assumption of the phased progression in bond yields, give rise to an average assumed Fund Earned Rate that changes from 6.6 per cent for 2008 to 6.7 per cent for 2019. The assumed Fund Earned Rate falls to 3.35 per cent in 2009 and subsequently to 1.2 per cent in 2010, then increases to 5.15 per cent by 2018. Thereafter, the assumed Fund Earned Rate fluctuates around a target of 6.7 per cent. This projection compares with that applied for the 2007 results of a grading from an assumed rate of 0.5 per cent for 2007 to 6.4 per cent for 2014.
Consistent with the EEV methodology applied, a constant discount rate has been applied to the projected cash flows.
On 20 February 2009, the Company announced that it had agreed to transfer the agency business of the Taiwan Life business to China Life. Further details are given in note 11.
(iii) The assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business which comprises the largest proportion of the in-force Hong Kong business.
(iv) The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings in the Asian operations were:
|
31 Dec |
31 Dec
2007 |
|
%
|
%
|
Hong Kong
|
6.2
|
8.1
|
Malaysia
|
12.5
|
12.5
|
Singapore
|
10.2
|
9.3
|
To obtain the mean, an average over all simulations of the accumulated return at the end of the projection period is calculated. The annual average return is then calculated by taking the root of the average accumulated return minus 1.
(v) For 2008 and 2007, cash rates rather than government bond yields were used in setting risk discount rates for Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and for Hong Kong dollar denominated business.
US operations (Jackson)
|
|
31 Dec 2008
|
31 Dec 2007
|
|
%
|
%
|
|
Risk discount rate (note (i)):
|
|
|
|
New business
|
|
4.6
|
7.0
|
In force
|
|
3.9
|
6.0
|
Expected long-term spread between earned rate and rate credited to policyholders for single premium deferred annuity business
|
|
1.75
|
1.75
|
US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of period
|
|
2.3
|
4.1
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
|
|
6.3
|
8.1
|
Expected long-term rate of inflation
|
|
1.5
|
2.4
|
Notes
(ii) Credit risk treatment
The projected cash flows incorporate the expected long-term spread between the earned rate and the rate credited to policyholders. The projected earned rates reflect book value yields which are adjusted over time to reflect projected reinvestment rates. The expected spread incorporates a Risk Margin Reserve (RMR) allowance of 25 basis points for longer-term defaults as described in note 4.
In the event that longer-term default levels are higher then, unlike for UK annuity business where policyholder benefits are not changeable, Jackson has some discretion to adjust crediting rates, subject to contract guarantee levels and general market competition considerations.
The results for Jackson reflect the application of the low discount rates shown above. In the event that US 10-year treasury rates increase, the altered embedded value results would reflect a lower contribution from fixed annuity business and a partially offsetting increase for variable annuity business as the projected earned rate, as well as the discount rate, would increase for this type of business.
The book value yields, net of RMR allowance, are in excess of the risk discount rate. To correct for the anomalous effect that would otherwise occur no credit has been taken for the cost of capital benefit that this feature would give rise to for fixed annuity business.
UK insurance operations |
|
31 Dec 2008 |
31 Dec 2007 |
|
% |
% |
|
Shareholder-backed annuity business: |
|
|
|
Risk discount rate (notes (i) and (iv)) |
|
|
|
New business |
|
9.6 |
7.8 |
In force |
|
12.0 |
7.8 |
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for shareholder-backed annuity business (note (iii)): |
|
|
|
Fixed annuities |
|
6.4 to 6.7 |
5.4 to 5.6 |
Inflation-linked annuities |
|
5.7 to 5.8 |
5.0 to 5.2 |
|
|
|
|
Other business: |
|
|
|
Risk discount rate (notes (ii) and (iv)) |
|
|
|
New business |
|
6.7 |
7.0 |
In force |
|
6.75 |
7.9 |
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return: |
|
|
|
UK equities |
|
7.7 |
8.55 |
Overseas equities |
|
6.3 to 10.25 |
8.1 to 10.2 |
Property |
|
6.0 |
6.8 |
Gilts |
|
3.7 |
4.55 |
Corporate bonds - with-profits funds (notes (iv) and (v)) |
|
5.2 |
6.0 |
- other business |
|
5.2 |
6.25 |
Expected long-term rate of inflation |
|
3.0 |
3.2 |
Post-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for the PAC with-profits fund: |
|
|
|
Pension business (where no tax applies) |
|
6.6 |
7.85 |
Life business |
|
5.8 |
6.9 |
|
|
|
|
Notes
(i) The new business risk discount rate for shareholder-backed annuity business for 2008 reflects the assets allocated to back new business with an allowance for credit risk based on point of sale market conditions, consistent with how the business was priced. The allowance for credit risk for new business at point of sale is determined using the same methodology for in-force business described in note (iv) below.
(ii) The risk discount rate for new business and business in force for UK insurance operations other than shareholder-backed annuities reflect weighted rates based on the type of business.
(iii) The pre-tax rates of return for shareholder-backed annuity business are based on the gross redemption yield on the backing assets net of a best estimate allowance for future defaults.
(iv) Credit spread treatment
For with-profits business, the embedded value reflects the discounted value of future shareholder transfers. These transfers are directly affected by the level of projected rates of return on investments, including debt securities. Given the current exceptional fixed interest market conditions, and the Company's expectation that the widening of credit spreads observed in 2008 will not be maintained, the Company considers that it is most appropriate to assume an unchanged level of credit spreads, an unchanged level of longer-term default allowance and an unchanged risk discount rate methodology relative to those used at 31 December 2007.
For UK annuity business, different dynamics apply both in terms of the nature of the business and the EEV methodology applied. For this type of business the assets are generally held to maturity to match long duration liabilities. It is therefore appropriate under EEV methodology to include a liquidity premium in the economic basis used. The appropriate EEV risk discount rate is set in order to equate the EEV with a 'market consistent embedded value' including liquidity premium. The liquidity premium is derived from the yield on the assets held after deducting an appropriate allowance for credit risk. For Prudential Retirement Income Limited (PRIL), which has approximately 90 per cent of UK shareholder-backed annuity business, the allowance for credit risk at 31 December 2008 is made up of:
a 16 bps for fixed annuities and 13 bps for inflation-linked annuities in respect of long-term expected defaults; this is derived by applying Moody's data from 1970 onwards uplifted by between 100 per cent (B) and 200 per cent (AAA) according to credit rating, to the asset portfolios.
b 11 bps for fixed annuities and 9 bps for inflation-linked annuities in respect of long-term credit risk premium for the potential volatility in default levels; this is derived by applying the 95th worst percentile from Moody's data from 1970 onwards, to the asset portfolios.
c 56 bps for fixed annuities and 48 bps for inflation-linked annuities in respect of additional short-term credit risk, reflecting the extreme market conditions at 31 December 2008; this is derived as 25 per cent of the increase in credit spreads over swaps that has occurred since 31 December 2006 based on a set of externally published indices weighted to reflect the asset mix.
On a weighted basis for fixed annuities and inflation-linked annuities the allowance is 15 bps for long-term expected defaults, 11 bps for long-term credit risk premium, and 54 bps for short-term credit risk.
Pillar I reserves are calculated using a similar allowance for credit risk. For EEV reporting the allowance for short-term credit risk is assumed to be released gradually over the five year period following the valuation date.
The Pillar I allowance of 80 bps per annum is financially equivalent to 185 bps for the years 2009 to 2011 and 45 bps thereafter for the life of the book.
The overall allowance for credit risk is prudent by comparison with historic rates of default and would be sufficient to withstand a wide range of extreme credit events over the expected lifetime of the annuity business.
The risk discount rate for new business profits reflects the assets allocated to back new business and an allowance for credit risk based on point of sale market conditions, consistent with how the business was priced. The allowance for credit risk at the point of sale is determined using the same methodology for in-force business. In both cases, the allowance for credit risk included in setting the discount rate reflects the three constituent elements of long-term expected defaults, long-term credit risk premiums, and additional short-term credit risk.
(v) The assumed long-term rate for corporate bonds for 2007 for with-profits business was determined after taking account of the purchase of credit default swaps.
(b) Stochastic assumptions
The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations described above. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations, such as the volatilities of asset returns, reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with allowance for correlation between the various asset classes.
Details are given below of the key characteristics and calibrations of each model.
Asian operations
The same asset return models as used in the UK, appropriately calibrated, have been used for the Asian operations as described for UK insurance operations below. The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds. Equity holdings are much lower than in the UK whilst property holdings do not represent a significant investment asset.
The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily only of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations.
The mean stochastic returns are consistent with the mean deterministic returns for each country. The expected volatility of equity returns for 2008 ranges from 18 per cent to 30 per cent (2007: 18 per cent to 25 per cent), and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 1.4 per cent to 2.4 per cent (2007: 1.3 per cent to 2.5 per cent).
US operations (Jackson)
Interest rates are projected using a log-normal generator calibrated to actual market data;
Corporate bond returns are based on Treasury securities plus a spread that has been calibrated to current market conditions and varies by credit quality; and
Variable annuity equity and bond returns have been stochastically generated using a log-normal model with parameters determined by reference to historical data. The volatility of equity fund returns for both 2008 and 2007 ranges from 18.6 per cent to 28.1 per cent, depending on risk class, and the standard deviation of bond returns ranges from 1.5 per cent to 1.6 per cent (2007: 1.4 per cent to 1.7 per cent).
UK insurance operations
Interest rates are projected using a two-factor model calibrated to actual market data;
The risk premium on equity assets is assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;
The corporate bond return is calculated as the return on a zero-coupon bond plus a spread. The spread process is a mean reverting stochastic process; and
Property returns are modelled in a similar fashion to corporate bonds, namely as the return on a riskless bond, plus a risk premium, plus a process representative of the change in residual values and the change in value of the call option on rents.
Mean returns have been derived as the annualised arithmetic average return across all simulations and durations.
For each projection year, standard deviations have been calculated by taking the square root of the annualised variance of the returns over all the simulations. These have been averaged over all durations in the projection. For equity and property, the standard deviations relate to the total return on these assets. The standard deviations applied to both 2008 and 2007 are as follows:
|
|
% |
Equities: |
|
|
UK |
|
18.0 |
Overseas |
|
16.0 |
Property |
|
15.0 |
4. Accounting presentation
Analysis of profit before tax
To the extent applicable, presentation of the EEV profit for the year is consistent with the basis that the Group applies for analysis of IFRS basis profits before shareholder taxes between operating and non-operating results. Operating results reflect the underlying results of the Group's continuing operations including longer-term investment returns. Operating results include the impact of routine changes of estimates and non-economic assumptions. Non operating results comprise short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, the mark to market value movements on core borrowings and the effect of changes in economic assumptions and changes in the time value of cost of options and guarantees.
Operating profit
Investment returns, including investment gains, in respect of long-term insurance business are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating results of UK operations, where equity holdings are a significant proportion of investment portfolios, values of assets at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market volatility.
For the purposes of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of shareholder-backed operations, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit reflects the expected longer-term rate of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.
For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may from time to time take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the risk adjusted yield on the assets used to determine the valuation interest rate for calculating the carrying value of policyholder liabilities. Operating profit includes the effect of rebalancing the portfolio calibrated to investment conditions at 31 December 2006 i.e. prior to the exceptional spread widening in 2007 and 2008. Non-operating profit incorporates the effect of rebalancing calibrated by reference to changes to credit spreads since 31 December 2006.
Previously, for the purpose of presentation of the Group's operating results, the return on capital held centrally to back the economic capital requirements for the Taiwan life business has been allocated to the operating result for Asian operations with a consequent reduction in Group shareholders' other income for EEV basis reporting. In the 2008 results this approach has no longer been applied. The presentation of the 2007 comparative results has been adjusted accordingly, as explained in note 6(iv).
Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees
Movements in the value of in-force business caused by changes in economic assumptions and the time value of cost of options and guarantees resulting from changes in economic factors are recorded in non-operating results.
5. Margins on new business premiums
2008 |
|
New Business Premiums |
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents (APE) |
Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP) |
Pre-Tax New Business Contribution (notes (ii) and (iii)) |
New Business Margin (note (i)) |
||
|
Single |
Regular |
(APE) |
(PVNBP) |
||||
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
% |
% |
|
Asian operations (note (iv)) |
|
1,457 |
1,216 |
1,362 |
7,308 |
741 |
54 |
10.1 |
US operations |
|
6,917 |
24 |
716 |
7,140 |
293 |
41 |
4.1 |
UK insurance operations (note (vi)) |
|
6,929 |
254 |
947 |
8,081 |
273 |
29 |
3.4 |
Total |
|
15,303 |
1,494 |
3,025 |
22,529 |
1,307 |
43 |
5.8 |
2007 |
|
New Business Premiums |
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents (APE) |
Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP) |
Pre-Tax New Business Contribution (notes (ii) and (iii)) |
New Business Margin (note (i)) |
||
|
Single |
Regular |
(APE) |
(PVNBP) |
||||
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
% |
% |
|
Asian operations (notes (iv) and (v)) |
|
1,793 |
1,108 |
1,287 |
6,906 |
643 |
50 |
9.3 |
US operations |
|
6,515 |
19 |
671 |
6,666 |
285 |
42 |
4.3 |
UK insurance operations (note (vi)) |
|
6,632 |
247 |
910 |
7,736 |
277 |
30 |
3.6 |
Total |
|
14,940 |
1,374 |
2,868 |
21,308 |
1,205 |
42 |
5.7 |
Notes
(i) New business margins are shown on two bases, namely the margins by reference to Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents (APE) and the Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP). APEs are calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one-tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
(ii) In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the year the policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
(iii) In general, as described in note 3, the use of point of sale or end of period economic assumptions is not significant in determining the new business contribution for different types of business and across financial reporting periods. However, to obtain proper measurement of the new business contribution for business which is interest rate sensitive, it is appropriate to use point of sale economic assumptions, consistent with how the business was priced. In practice, the only area within the Group where this has a material effect, particularly in light of the dislocation of markets in 2008, is for UK shareholder-backed annuity and lifetime mortgage business. The 2008 results for shareholder-backed annuity and lifetime mortgage business have been prepared on the basis of point of sale rather than end of period economic assumptions which previously applied for EEV reporting. New business profits would have been £111 million lower if end of year economic assumptions had been applied. The reduction is reflected in non-operating profit. The £111 million primarily reflects the level of credit spread widening since the point of sale. For 2007, the effect of the use of point of sale market conditions would not have been material.
New business contributions for all business represent profits determined by applying non-economic assumptions as at the end of the year.
(iv) The results for Asian operations include those of the Taiwanese life operations for which the Company agreed to transfer its agency business to China Life on 20 February 2009. Details are included in note 11.
(v) The tables for Asian operations above reflect the inclusion of CITIC-Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd, the Group's life operation in China as a 50 per cent held joint venture for 2008 and 2007 reflecting the economic interest throughout both years. Previously, for presentational purposes, the 2007 results reflected the inclusion of CITIC-Prudential as a subsidiary undertaking up to 29 September 2007 and 50 per cent thereafter following the change of management arrangement after this date, with appropriate minority interest accounting to reflect the 50 per cent economic interest. The presentation of the operating profit for 2007 has been adjusted to allocate £10 million of profit from the result for new business to business in-force to prevent distortion of the published new business margin.
(vi) To align with the treatment in the 2008 results, the tables for UK insurance operations above for 2007 reflect the inclusion of the Group's UK health insurance joint venture operation, PruHealth, with an APE of £13 million and PVNBP of £107 million.
6. Operating profit from business in-force
2008 |
|
Unwind of discount and other expected returns (note (i)) |
Effect of change in operating assumptions (note (ii)) |
Experience variances and other items (note (iii)) |
Total |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
Asian operations |
|
434 |
135 |
(1) |
568 |
US operations |
|
233 |
(17) |
77 |
293 |
UK insurance operations |
|
569 |
- |
195 |
764 |
Total |
|
1,236 |
118 |
271 |
1,625 |
2007 |
|
Unwind of discount and other expected returns (note (i)) |
Effect of change in operating assumptions |
Experience variances and other items (notes (iii), (iv) and (v)) |
Total |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
Asian operations |
|
340 |
54 |
5 |
399 |
US operations |
|
240 |
(24) |
126 |
342 |
UK insurance operations |
|
592 |
67 |
(81) |
578 |
Total |
|
1,172 |
97 |
50 |
1,319 |
Notes
(i) The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns in 2008 over 2007 mainly arises in Asian operations, reflecting the growth in opening value from 1 January 2007 to 1 January 2008 on which the value of in-force business unwinds.
(ii) The effect of changes in operating assumptions for Asian operations in 2008 of a credit of £135 million reflects favourable effects arising from changes in mortality and morbidity assumptions of £58 million, the effect of changes in lapse rates of £36 million, the effect of changes in expense assumptions of £26 million and the impact of incorporating the benefit arising on the change of corporate tax rate in Indonesia of £15 million.
(iii) Experience variances and other items for UK insurance operations in 2008 are in aggregate a credit of £195 million. Consistent with the methodology applied in previous years, this amount includes a credit of £118 million resulting from part of the effect of rebalancing the asset portfolio backing annuity business on the valuation interest rate for determining Pillar I liabilities. The rebalancing reflects changes to the portfolio to more closely align the credit quality with management benchmark. The £118 million effect of rebalancing included in operating profit reflects longer-term levels of credit spread evident as at 31 December 2006 i.e. prior to the exceptional credit spread widening in 2007 and 2008. The additional increase in the Pillar I valuation interest rate due to rebalancing at the credit spreads at which assets were traded in 2008 is reflected within non-operating profit together with, via the increase in discount rate, the additional allowance for credit risk for the portfolio as a whole as described in note 8. The £195 million credit also includes a cost of capital charge of £(34) million for the effect of holding the short-term credit risk reserve for statutory reporting, as described in note 3, and releasing it over an assumed five year period. Also included in operating profit for business in-force is a credit of £56 million in respect of the release of certain annuity business reserves, a credit of £24 million in respect of the release of prior period provisions relating to Credit Life business, and a net credit of £31 million for other items.
Experience variances and other items for US operations of £77 million for 2008 include a credit of £54 million in respect of spread experience variance.
(iv) The 2007 comparative result for Asian operations has been increased by £10 million for the adjustment in respect of China (as explained in note 5) and reduced by £(4) million for the discontinuance of the allocation of notional return on centrally held economic capital in respect of Taiwan from shareholders' other income to the result for Asian operations, as explained in note 4. Other income is increased by an equivalent amount. Total profits are unaffected by these adjustments.
(v) The 2007 comparative result for UK insurance operations has been reduced by £4 million in respect of the separate disclosure of UK general insurance commission. Total operating profit from UK insurance operations is unaffected by this adjustment.
7. Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
|
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
Insurance operations: |
|
|
Asia (note (i)) |
(1,063) |
226 |
US (note (ii)) |
(1,344) |
(9) |
UK (note (iii)) |
(2,407) |
(42) |
|
|
|
Other operations (note (iv)) |
(313) |
(1) |
Total |
(5,127) |
174 |
Notes
(i) Asian operations
|
|
2008 |
|
|
£m |
Singapore |
(310) |
|
Hong Kong |
(284) |
|
Taiwan |
(163) |
|
Other operations |
(306) |
|
|
|
(1,063) |
For Singapore and Hong Kong, the short-term fluctuations primarily reflect the effect of substantial equity market falls on unit-linked and with-profits business. The short-term fluctuations for Taiwan principally reflect the equity market fall and a £(40) million value reduction for an investment in a CDO fund.
(ii) US operations (Jackson)
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations primarily reflect the impact of impairment losses on debt securities and the effects on the value of variable annuity business of adverse movements in US equity markets. The fluctuations for US operations comprise the following items:
|
2008 |
2007 |
|
£m |
£m |
|
|
|
Realised impairment losses: |
|
|
Actual losses on fixed income securities |
(466) |
(78) |
Less: Risk margin charge included in operating profit |
54 |
48 |
|
(412) |
(30) |
Loss due to changed expectation of profits from fees on in-force variable annuity business in future periods based on current period equity returns, net of related hedging activity* |
(733) |
(16) |
Actual less longer-term return on equity-type securities |
(148) |
51 |
Other |
(51) |
(14) |
|
(1,344) |
(9) |
* This adjustment arises due to the market returns being lower than the assumed longer-term rate of return. This gives rise to lower than expected year end values of variable annuity assets under management with a resulting effect on the projected value of future account values and hence future profitability from altered fees. For 2008, the US equity market returns were approximately negative 38.5 per cent compared to the assumed longer-term rate of return of 5.8 per cent.
(iii) UK insurance operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations for 2008 arise on the following types of business:
|
2008 |
|
£m |
With-profits (note (a)) |
(2,083) |
Shareholder-backed annuity (note (b)) |
(213) |
Unit-linked and other (note (c)) |
(111) |
|
(2,407) |
Notes
(a) For with-profits business the charge represents the negative actual investment return on the PAC with-profits fund of (19.7) per cent against an assumed rate of 6.6 per cent.
(b) Short-term fluctuations on shareholder-backed annuity business represents the unrealised loss on surplus assets and default experience.
(c) The charge of £(111) million relates primarily to unit-linked business and predominantly represents the capitalised loss of future fees from the fall in market values experienced during the year.
(iv) Other operations
Details on the charge of £(313) million for short-term fluctuations for other operations is shown in note F to the IFRS basis results.
8. Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees
The (losses) profits on changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees resulting from changes in economic factors for in-force business included within the (loss) profit from continuing operations before tax (including actual investment returns) arise as follows:
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
||||
Change in economic assumptions |
Change in time value of cost of options and guarantees |
Total |
Change in economic assumptions |
Change in time value of cost of options and guarantees |
Total |
||
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
||
Asian operations (note (i)) |
(34) |
8 |
(26) |
|
201 |
9 |
210 |
US operations (note (ii)) |
267 |
11 |
278 |
|
81 |
8 |
89 |
UK insurance operations (notes (iii) and (iv)) |
(783) |
(50) |
(833) |
|
466 |
(17) |
449 |
Total |
(550) |
(31) |
(581) |
|
748 |
0 |
748 |
Notes
(i) The effect of changes in economic assumptions in Asia for 2008 of a charge of £(34) million includes a negative effect in Taiwan of £(185) million reflecting a charge of £(239) million for the impact of extending the phased bond yield progression period in Taiwan out by five years from 31 December 2013 to 31 December 2018, as described in note 3, offset by the impact in other territories, mainly reflecting the reduction in risk discount rates.
(ii) The credit for the effect of changes in economic assumptions for 2008 for US operations of £267 million primarily arises as a result of the impact of a change in the risk discount rate of £454 million, partially offset by the impact of a decrease in the variable annuity separate account return of £(230) million, both movements reflecting the 180 bps reduction in the 10-year Treasury rate as shown in note 3.
(iii) The effect of changes in economic assumptions of a charge of £(783) million for UK insurance operations comprises the effect of:
|
Shareholder-backed annuity business |
With-profits and other business |
2008 |
|
(note (a)) |
(note (b)) |
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
Increase (decrease) in portfolio yields |
83 |
(1,082) |
(999) |
(Increase) decrease in risk discount rates |
(394) |
668 |
274 |
Other changes |
(6) |
(52) |
(58) |
|
(317) |
(466) |
(783) |
Notes
(a) For shareholder-backed annuity business (i.e. held in PRIL and the PAC non-profit sub-fund) the impact of the change in risk discount rate of £(394) million includes £(400) million in respect of strengthening credit risk assumptions (excluding the strengthening required in respect of the £2.8 billion rebalancing of the asset portfolios). The impact of the change in portfolio yields of £83 million includes a profit of £231 million in respect of the rebalancing, calculated by reference to changes in credit spreads since 31 December 2006.
(b) For with-profits and other business the decrease in fund earned rates and risk discount rates primarily reflects the reduction in gilt rates of (0.85) per cent.
(iv) The effect of changes in time value of cost of options and guarantees of a charge of £(50) million primarily relates to with-profits business reflecting the effect of the reduction in fund earned rates, as described in note (iii)(b) above.
9. Holding company net borrowings at market value
Holding company net borrowings at market value comprise:
|
31 Dec 2008 |
31 Dec 2007 |
|
£m |
£m |
Holding company borrowings: |
|
|
IFRS basis |
2,785 |
2,367 |
Mark to market value adjustment |
(802) |
(38) |
EEV basis (note) |
1,983 |
2,329 |
Holding company* cash and short-term investments |
(1,165) |
(1,456) |
Holding company net borrowings |
818 |
873 |
*Including central finance subsidiaries.
Note
EEV basis holding company borrowings comprising:
|
2008
£m
|
2007
£m
|
Perpetual subordinated capital securities (Innovative Tier 1)
|
513
|
679
|
Subordinated debt (Lower Tier 2)
|
737
|
817
|
Senior debt
|
733
|
833
|
|
1,983
|
2,329
|
10. Adoption of the principles of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes
To provide consistency with the basis applied for IFRS reporting, the EEV basis results reflect adoption of the principles of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes. The impact of the adoption is as follows:
|
2008
|
|
2007
|
||||
|
Previous basis
|
Effect of adoption
|
Revised basis
|
|
As
published
|
Effect of adoption
|
After change
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns
|
2,992
|
(31)
|
2,961
|
|
2,542
|
(12)
|
2,530
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
|
(5,127)
|
|
(5,127)
|
|
174
|
|
174
|
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings
|
656
|
|
656
|
|
223
|
|
223
|
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
17
|
(32)
|
(15)
|
|
116
|
(121)
|
(5)
|
Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees
|
(581)
|
|
(581)
|
|
748
|
|
748
|
(Loss) profit before tax
|
(2,043)
|
(63)
|
(2,106)
|
|
3,803
|
(133)
|
3,670
|
Tax
|
754
|
17
|
771
|
|
(961)
|
34
|
(927)
|
(Loss) profit after tax
|
(1,289)
|
(46)
|
(1,335)
|
|
2,842
|
(99)
|
2,743
|
Discontinued operations
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
241
|
-
|
241
|
Less minority interests
|
(3)
|
-
|
(3)
|
|
(21)
|
-
|
(21)
|
(Loss) profit for the year
|
(1,292)
|
(46)
|
(1,338)
|
|
3,062
|
(99)
|
2,963
|
Other movements in reserves
|
1,694
|
-
|
1,694
|
|
(166)
|
-
|
(166)
|
Shareholders’ equity at beginning of year
|
14,779
|
(179)
|
14,600
|
|
11,883
|
(80)
|
11,803
|
Shareholders’ equity at end of year
|
15,181
|
(225)
|
14,956
|
|
14,779
|
(179)
|
14,600
|
The changes reflect the aggregate of those under IFRS, as shown in note Q to the Group IFRS results, and the shareholders' 10 per cent interest in the PAC with-profits element of the effect of the change in accounting policy reflected under EEV reporting.
11. Intended sale of legacy agency book and agency force in Taiwan to China Life Insurance of Taiwan
On 20 February 2009, the Company announced that it had entered into an agreement to sell the assets and liabilities of its agency distribution business and its agency force in Taiwan to China Life Insurance Company Ltd of Taiwan for the nominal sum of NT$1. In addition, Prudential will invest £45 million to purchase a 9.95 per cent stake in China Life through a share placement. The business being transferred represents 94 per cent of Prudential's in-force liabilities in Taiwan and includes Prudential's legacy interest rate guaranteed products. The transfer is subject to regulatory approval.
After taking account of EEV shareholders' funds at 31 December 2008 of the business and restructuring and other costs the Group's EEV shareholders' equity is expected to increase by approximately £90 million.
The movement in shareholders' EEV equity of the total Taiwan life business for 2008 comprised:
|
£m |
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns from: |
|
New business |
120 |
Business in force |
(16) |
Total |
104 |
|
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns |
(163) |
Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees |
(185) |
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes |
(3) |
Loss before tax |
(247) |
Total tax |
12 |
Minority interests |
2 |
Loss for the financial year |
(233) |
Investment by parent company (note (i)) |
93 |
Exchange and other reserve movements |
(53) |
Net movement |
(193) |
Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2008 |
(12) |
Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2008 |
(205) |
Note
(i) Comprising £66 million for solvency capital and £27 million for business developments.
12. Movement in Embedded value
The following analysis shows the movements in embedded value arising from the Group's underlying business activity and the effects of the current extraordinary market conditions.
|
Free Surplus (note (ii)) |
Required Capital (note (iii)) |
Net Worth |
Value of in-force |
Total |
Group |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
Underlying movement |
|
|
|
|
|
New business |
(825) |
472 |
(353) |
1,290 |
937 |
Business in force - expected transfer |
1,413 |
(416) |
997 |
(997) |
- |
- unwind of discount, effects of changes in operating assumptions, operating experience variances and other operating items (note (vii)) |
(11) |
299 |
288 |
928 |
1,216 |
|
577 |
355 |
932 |
1,221 |
2,153 |
Investment movements and economic effects: |
|
|
|
|
|
UKIO additional credit provisions (note (iv)) |
(770) |
41 |
(729) |
705 |
(24) |
Jackson impairment losses in excess of longer term expected returns net of defaults |
(268) |
0 |
(268) |
0 |
(268) |
Other investment movements and effect of changes in economic assumptions (note (v)) |
(647) |
165 |
(482) |
(3,145) |
(3,627) |
|
(1,685) |
206 |
(1,479) |
(2,440) |
(3,919) |
Net cash flows to parent company (note (viii)) |
(166) |
0 |
(166) |
(132) |
(298) |
Other items (note (ix)) |
253 |
686 |
939 |
1,819 |
2,758 |
Net movement |
(1,021) |
1,247 |
226 |
468 |
694 |
Balance at 1 January 2008 |
1,468 |
2,870 |
4,338 |
9,490 |
13,828 |
Balance at 31 December 2008 |
447 |
4,117 |
4,564 |
9,958 |
14,522 |
Notes
(i) All figures are shown net of tax.
(ii) Free surplus is the market value of the net worth in excess of the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the regulatory basis net worth from the local regulatory basis so as to include backing assets movements at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV principles.
(iii) Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets for economic capital subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements, as described in note 2.
(iv) The increase in UKIO credit provisions reflects the allowances explained in note 3.
(v) Other investment movements and effect of changes in economic assumptions represent:
|
Free Surplus (note ii) |
Required Capital (note iii) |
Net Worth |
Value of in-force |
Total |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
Other investment movements (note (vi)) |
(681) |
(27) |
(708) |
(2,496) |
(3,204) |
Effect of changes in economic assumptions (note (vii)) |
34 |
192 |
226 |
(649) |
(423) |
|
(647) |
165 |
(482) |
(3,145) |
(3,627) |
(vi) Other investment movements primarily reflect temporary market movements on the portfolio of investments held by the Group's shareholder-backed operations together with the shareholders' 10 per cent interest in the value movements on the assets in the with-profits funds.
(vii) The underlying movement in free surplus includes £85 million for the effect of rebalancing the asset portfolio for UK annuity business, as described in note 6. The effect of changes in economic assumptions on free surplus includes a credit of £166 million in respect of rebalancing as described in note 8.
(viii) Net cash flows to or from parent company reflect the flows for long-term business operations as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rate.
(ix) Other items represent:
|
Free Surplus (note ii) |
Required Capital (note iii) |
Net Worth |
Value of in-force |
Total |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
Exchange movements (note 14) |
76 |
823 |
899 |
1,535 |
2,434 |
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital |
(148) |
|
(148) |
|
(148) |
Other (note x) |
325 |
(137) |
188 |
284 |
472 |
|
253 |
686 |
939 |
1,819 |
2,758 |
(x) The effect of other items on total embedded value of £472 million primarily relate to the impact on free surplus of an intra-group capital adjustment in respect of UK insurance operations of £320 million, an adjustment for funds loaned to the parent company of £133 million from Singapore and an adjustment of £50 million to reflect the cash flows to parent company at year end rates of exchange consistent with the closing embedded value. Also included is a net overall charge of £(40) million for the reallocation of certain statutory reserves for UK insurance and US operations, an adjustment to required capital and the reallocation of surplus note borrowings for US operations. The effect of these adjustments is a decrease in free surplus of £(187) million, a reduction in required capital of £(137) million and an increase in the value of in-force business of £284 million.
13. Expected transfer of value of in-force business to free surplus
The discounted value of in-force and required capital at 31 December 2008 can be reconciled to the analysis of free surplus crystallisation as follows:
|
2008 £m |
Required capital (note 12) |
4,117 |
Value of in-force (VIF) (note 12) |
9,958 |
Add: Cost of time value of guarantees |
474 |
Other items |
(181) |
|
14,368 |
Other items includes the deduction of the value of the shareholders' interest in the Estate, the value of which is derived by increasing final bonus rates so as to exhaust the Estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. This is an assumption to give an appropriate valuation. To be conservative this item is excluded from the value of the Estate from the expected free surplus generation profile below. Offset against this value are amounts treated as capital for regulatory purposes (and hence treated as capital for net worth purposes) but which are deducted in full against the VIF (i.e. the full undiscounted value).
Cash flows are projected on a certainty equivalent basis and are discounted at the appropriate risk discount rate. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value methodology reporting and so is subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.
The table below shows how the VIF generated by the in-force business at 31 December 2008 and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over future years.
|
|
2008
|
||||
|
|
Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus
|
||||
|
Total
£m |
1-5 years
£m |
6-10 years
£m |
11-15 years
£m |
16-20 years
£m |
20+ years
£m |
Asian operations
|
5,373
|
1,746
|
1,150
|
859
|
564
|
1,054
|
US operations
|
4,374
|
2,415
|
1,167
|
460
|
180
|
152
|
UK insurance operations
|
4,621
|
2,297
|
975
|
600
|
389
|
360
|
Total
|
14,368
|
6,458
|
3,292
|
1,919
|
1,133
|
1,566
|
|
|
45%
|
23%
|
13%
|
8%
|
11%
|
14. Exchange movements
To be consistent with the basis applied for IFRS reporting, EEV basis results for the year are translated at average exchange rates. Shareholders' funds are translated at year end rates with exchange movements recognised in EEV basis shareholders' equity as follows:
|
2008
£m
|
2007
£m
|
Long-term business operations:
|
|
|
Asian operations
|
1,170
|
80
|
US operations
|
1,264
|
(53)
|
|
2,434
|
27
|
Other operations (primarily reflecting US$ denominated holding company borrowings and hedge positions)
|
(424)
|
37
|
Total
|
2,010
|
64
|
TOTAL INSURANCE AND INVESTMENT PRODUCTS NEW BUSINESS
INSURANCE PRODUCTS AND INVESTMENT PRODUCTS
|
Insurance products |
Investment products |
Total |
|||
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
|
Asian operations |
2,673 |
2,901 |
46,957 |
38,954 |
49,630 |
41,855 |
US operations |
6,941 |
6,534 |
36 |
60 |
6,977 |
6,594 |
UK operations |
7,183 |
6,879 |
16,154 |
14,745 |
23,337 |
21,624 |
Group Total |
16,797 |
16,314 |
63,147 |
53,759 |
79,944 |
70,073 |
INSURANCE PRODUCTS - NEW BUSINESS PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS (note (i))
|
Single |
Regular |
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents (APE) |
Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP) |
||||
|
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
2008 £m |
2007 £m |
Asian operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
China (note (iv)) |
63 |
45 |
32 |
24 |
38 |
29 |
230 |
167 |
Hong Kong |
507 |
501 |
154 |
117 |
205 |
167 |
1,612 |
1,196 |
India (Group's 26% interest) |
60 |
26 |
202 |
177 |
208 |
180 |
747 |
728 |
Indonesia |
94 |
118 |
167 |
109 |
176 |
121 |
649 |
494 |
Japan |
115 |
122 |
30 |
22 |
42 |
34 |
217 |
214 |
Korea |
78 |
179 |
211 |
241 |
219 |
259 |
1,097 |
1,267 |
Malaysia |
28 |
41 |
99 |
78 |
102 |
82 |
570 |
472 |
Singapore |
341 |
593 |
78 |
67 |
112 |
126 |
961 |
1,047 |
Taiwan |
153 |
132 |
189 |
218 |
204 |
231 |
1,037 |
1,121 |
Other |
18 |
36 |
54 |
55 |
56 |
58 |
188 |
200 |
Total Asian operations |
1,457 |
1,793 |
1,216 |
1,108 |
1,362 |
1,287 |
7,308 |
6,906 |
US operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed annuities |
1,724 |
573 |
- |
- |
172 |
57 |
1,724 |
573 |
Fixed index annuities |
501 |
446 |
- |
- |
50 |
45 |
501 |
446 |
Variable annuities |
3,491 |
4,554 |
- |
- |
349 |
455 |
3,491 |
4,554 |
Life |
7 |
7 |
24 |
19 |
25 |
20 |
230 |
158 |
Guaranteed Investment Contracts |
857 |
408 |
- |
- |
86 |
41 |
857 |
408 |
GIC-Medium Term Notes |
337 |
527 |
- |
- |
34 |
53 |
337 |
527 |
Total US operations |
6,917 |
6,515 |
24 |
19 |
716 |
671 |
7,140 |
6,666 |
UK operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Product summary |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Internal vesting annuities |
1,600 |
1,399 |
- |
- |
160 |
140 |
1,600 |
1,399 |
Direct and partnership annuities |
703 |
842 |
- |
- |
70 |
84 |
703 |
842 |
Intermediated annuities |
497 |
555 |
- |
- |
50 |
56 |
497 |
555 |
Total individual annuities |
2,800 |
2,796 |
- |
- |
280 |
280 |
2,800 |
2,796 |
Income drawdown |
75 |
34 |
- |
- |
8 |
3 |
75 |
34 |
Equity release |
242 |
156 |
- |
- |
24 |
16 |
242 |
156 |
Individual pensions |
115 |
38 |
3 |
1 |
14 |
5 |
124 |
42 |
Corporate pensions |
221 |
283 |
88 |
84 |
110 |
112 |
645 |
737 |
Unit-linked bonds |
109 |
243 |
- |
- |
11 |
24 |
109 |
243 |
With-profit bonds |
869 |
297 |
- |
- |
87 |
30 |
869 |
297 |
Protection |
- |
- |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
38 |
26 |
Offshore products |
551 |
434 |
4 |
4 |
59 |
47 |
573 |
455 |
PruHealth (note (v)) |
- |
- |
16 |
13 |
16 |
13 |
146 |
107 |
Total retail retirement |
4,982 |
4,281 |
117 |
107 |
615 |
535 |
5,621 |
4,893 |
Corporate pensions |
227 |
198 |
116 |
115 |
139 |
135 |
653 |
604 |
Other products |
132 |
190 |
21 |
25 |
34 |
44 |
219 |
276 |
DWP rebates |
153 |
143 |
- |
- |
15 |
14 |
153 |
143 |
Total mature life and pensions |
512 |
531 |
137 |
140 |
188 |
193 |
1,025 |
1,023 |
Total retail |
5,494 |
4,812 |
254 |
247 |
803 |
728 |
6,646 |
5,916 |
Wholesale annuities (note (iii)) |
1,417 |
1,799 |
- |
- |
142 |
180 |
1,417 |
1,799 |
Credit life |
18 |
21 |
- |
- |
2 |
2 |
18 |
21 |
Total UK operations |
6,929 |
6,632 |
254 |
247 |
947 |
910 |
8,081 |
7,736 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Channel Summary |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct and partnership |
2,352 |
2,385 |
215 |
212 |
450 |
451 |
3,268 |
3,313 |
Intermediated |
2,990 |
2,284 |
39 |
35 |
338 |
263 |
3,226 |
2,460 |
Wholesale (note (iii)) |
1,434 |
1,820 |
- |
- |
144 |
182 |
1,434 |
1,820 |
Sub-total |
6,776 |
6,489 |
254 |
247 |
932 |
896 |
7,928 |
7,593 |
DWP rebates |
153 |
143 |
- |
- |
15 |
14 |
153 |
143 |
Total UK operations |
6,929 |
6,632 |
254 |
247 |
947 |
910 |
8,081 |
7,736 |
Group Total |
15,303 |
14,940 |
1,494 |
1,374 |
3,025 |
2,868 |
22,529 |
21,308 |
INVESTMENT PRODUCTS - FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT (note (ii))
|
1 Jan 2008 |
Market gross inflows |
Redemptions |
Market and other movements |
31 Dec 2008 |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
Asian operations |
17,393 |
46,957 |
(46,102) |
(3,016) |
15,232 |
US operations |
55 |
36 |
(32) |
(9) |
50 |
UK operations |
51,221 |
16,154 |
(12,747) |
(7,631) |
46,997 |
Group Total |
68,669 |
63,147 |
(58,881) |
(10,656) |
62,279 |
Notes
(i) The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement.
Annual premium and contribution equivalents are calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as investment products for IFRS reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Department of Work and Pensions rebate business is classified as single recurrent business. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.
The format of the tables shown above is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, i.e. falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under FSA regulations.
The details shown above for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK insurance operations and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US operations.
(ii) Investment products referred to in the table for funds under management above are unit trust, mutual funds and similar types of retail asset management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as 'investment contracts' under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.
(iii) The tables above include for 2007 the transfer of 62,000 with-profits annuity policies from Equitable Life on 31 December 2007 with assets of approximately £1.7 billion. The transfer represented an APE of £174 million.
(iv) Subsequent to 29 September 2007 following expiry of the previous management agreement CITIC-Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd (CITIC-Prudential), the Group's life operation in China, has been accounted for as a 50 per cent joint venture. Prior to this date CITIC-Prudential was consolidated as a subsidiary undertaking. All premiums for CITIC-Prudential are shown at 50 per cent on a like for like basis, reflecting the constant economic interest before and after the management changes in line with the original agreement with CITIC.
(v) The tables above for full year 2008 and 2007 reflect the inclusion of the Group's UK health insurance joint venture operation,
PruHealth.
PRUDENTIAL PLC 2008 PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS (IFRS) BASIS RESULTS
CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
|
|
2008 £m |
2007* £m |
|
|
|
|
Gross premiums earned |
18,993 |
18,359 |
|
Outward reinsurance premiums |
(204) |
(171) |
|
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance |
18,789 |
18,188 |
|
Investment return |
(30,202) |
12,225 |
|
Other income |
1,146 |
2,457 |
|
Total revenue, net of reinsurance (note C) |
(10,267) |
32,870 |
|
Benefits and claims |
4,620 |
(26,224) |
|
Outward reinsurers' share of benefits and claims |
389 |
(20) |
|
Movement in unallocated surplus of with-profits funds |
5,815 |
(541) |
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits and claims and movement in unallocated surplus of with-profits funds, net of reinsurance |
10,824 |
(26,785) |
|
Acquisition costs and other operating expenditure |
(2,459) |
(4,859) |
|
Finance costs: interest on core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations |
(172) |
(168) |
|
Total charges, net of reinsurance (note C) |
8,193 |
(31,812) |
|
|
|
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax (being tax attributable to shareholders' and policyholders' returns)** (note C) |
(2,074) |
1,058 |
|
Tax credit attributable to policyholders' returns |
1,624 |
5 |
|
(Loss) profit before tax attributable to shareholders (note D) |
(450) |
1,063 |
|
Tax credit (charge) (note G) |
1,683 |
(349) |
|
Less: tax credit attributable to policyholders' returns |
(1,624) |
(5) |
|
Tax credit (charge) attributable to shareholders' (loss) profit (note G) |
59 |
(354) |
|
|
|
|
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations after tax (note C) |
(391) |
709 |
|
Discontinued operations (net of tax) (note H) |
- |
241 |
|
(Loss) profit for the year |
(391) |
950 |
|
|
|
|
|
Attributable to: |
|
|
|
Equity holders of the Company |
(396) |
947 |
|
Minority interests |
5 |
3 |
|
(Loss) profit for the year |
(391) |
950 |
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share (in pence) |
2008 |
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
Basic (based on 2,472m and 2,445m shares respectively): |
|
|
|
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company (note I) |
(16.0)p |
28.8p |
|
Based on profit from discontinued operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company |
- |
9.9p |
|
|
|
(16.0)p |
38.7p |
|
|
|
|
Diluted (based on 2,473m and 2,448m shares respectively): |
|
|
|
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company |
(16.0)p |
28.8p |
|
Based on profit from discontinued operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company |
- |
9.8p |
|
|
|
(16.0)p |
38.6p |
|
|
|
|
Dividends per share (in pence) |
2008 |
2007 |
|
Dividends relating to reporting period: |
|
|
|
Interim dividend (2008 and 2007) |
5.99p |
5.70p |
|
Final dividend (2008 and 2007) (note J) |
12.91p |
12.30p |
|
Total |
18.90p |
18.00p |
|
Dividends declared and paid in reporting period: |
|
|
|
Current year interim dividend |
5.99p |
5.70p |
|
Final dividend for prior year |
12.30p |
11.72p |
|
Total |
18.29p |
17.42p |
* The Company has adopted the principles of IFRIC 14 in accounting for pension schemes. The adoption gives rise to consequential changes to the comparative results for 2007 (see note B and note Q).
** This measure is the formal (loss) profit before tax measure under IFRS but it is not the result attributable to shareholders.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY
|
2008 |
||||||||
|
Share capital |
Share premium |
Retained earnings |
Translation reserve |
Available-for-sale securities reserve |
Shareholders' equity |
Minority interests |
Total equity |
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss for the year |
|
|
(396) |
|
|
(396) |
5 |
(391) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Items recognised directly in equity: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements |
|
|
|
631 |
|
631 |
|
631 |
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities of US insurance operations classified as available-for-sale: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealised holding losses arising during the year |
|
|
|
|
(3,197) |
(3,197) |
|
(3,197) |
|
Less net losses included in the income statement on disposal and impairment |
|
|
|
|
487 |
487 |
|
487 |
|
Total (note N) |
|
|
|
|
(2,710) |
(2,710) |
|
(2,710) |
|
Related change in amortisation of deferred income and acquisition costs (note E(ii)(b)) |
|
|
|
|
1,070 |
1,070 |
|
1,070 |
|
Related tax |
|
|
|
119 |
569 |
688 |
|
688 |
|
Total items of income and expense recognised directly in equity |
|
|
|
750 |
(1,071) |
(321) |
|
(321) |
|
Total income and expense for the year |
|
|
(396) |
750 |
(1,071) |
(717) |
5 |
(712) |
|
Dividends |
|
|
(453) |
|
|
(453) |
(2) |
(455) |
|
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments |
|
|
18 |
|
|
18 |
|
18 |
|
Change in minority interests arising principally from purchase and sale of property partnerships of the PAC with-profits fund and other consolidated investment funds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(50) |
(50) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital and share premium |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New share capital subscribed |
2 |
168 |
|
|
|
170 |
|
170 |
|
Transfer to retained earnings in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends |
|
(156) |
156 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury shares |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans |
|
|
3 |
|
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS |
|
|
(25) |
|
|
(25) |
|
(25) |
|
Net increase (decrease) in equity |
2 |
12 |
(697) |
750 |
(1,071) |
(1,004) |
(47) |
(1,051) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At beginning of year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As previously reported |
123 |
1,828 |
4,440 |
(112) |
(78) |
6,201 |
102 |
6,303 |
|
Effect of adoption of principles of IFRIC 14 for accounting for pension schemes (note Q) |
|
|
(139) |
|
|
(139) |
|
(139) |
|
After adoption of IFRIC 14 |
123 |
1,828 |
4,301 |
(112) |
(78) |
6,062 |
102 |
6,164 |
|
At end of year |
125 |
1,840 |
3,604 |
638 |
(1,149) |
5,058 |
55 |
5,113 |
|
2007 |
|||||||||
|
Share capital |
Share premium |
Retained earnings |
Translation reserve |
Available-for-sale securities reserve |
Hedging reserve |
Shareholders' equity |
Minority interests |
Total equity |
|
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
|
Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit for the year |
|
|
947 |
|
|
|
947 |
3 |
950 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Items recognised directly in equity: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
11 |
|
11 |
|
Movement on cash flow hedges |
|
|
|
|
|
(3) |
(3) |
|
(3) |
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities classified as available-for-sale of discontinued banking operations |
|
|
|
|
(2) |
|
(2) |
|
(2) |
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities of US insurance operations classified as available-for-sale: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealised holding losses arising during the year |
|
|
|
|
(231) |
|
(231) |
|
(231) |
|
Less net gains included in the income statement on disposal and impairment |
|
|
|
|
(13) |
|
(13) |
|
(13) |
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
(244) |
|
(244) |
|
(244) |
|
Related change in amortisation of deferred income and acquisition costs (note E(ii)(b)) |
|
|
|
|
88 |
|
88 |
|
88 |
|
Related tax |
|
|
|
2 |
53 |
1 |
56 |
|
56 |
|
Total items of income and expense recognised directly in equity |
|
|
|
13 |
(105) |
(2) |
(94) |
|
(94) |
|
Total income and expense for the year |
|
|
947 |
13 |
(105) |
(2) |
853 |
3 |
856 |
|
Dividends |
|
|
(426) |
|
|
|
(426) |
(5) |
(431) |
|
Reserve movements in respect of share- based payments |
|
|
18 |
|
|
|
18 |
|
18 |
|
Change in minority interests arising principally from purchase and sale of venture investment companies and property partnerships of the PAC with- profits fund and other consolidated investment funds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(28) |
(28) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital and share premium |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New share capital subscribed |
1 |
181 |
|
|
|
|
182 |
|
182 |
|
Transfer to retained earnings in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends |
|
(175) |
175 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury shares |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share- based payment plans |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
7 |
|
Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
4 |
|
Net increase (decrease) in equity |
1 |
6 |
725 |
13 |
(105) |
(2) |
638 |
(30) |
608 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At beginning of year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As previously reported |
122 |
1,822 |
3,640 |
(125) |
27 |
2 |
5,488 |
132 |
5,620 |
|
Effect of adoption of principles of IFRIC 14 for accounting for pension schemes (note Q) |
|
|
(64) |
|
|
|
(64) |
|
(64) |
|
After adoption of IFRIC 14 |
122 |
1,822 |
3,576 |
(125) |
27 |
2 |
5,424 |
132 |
5,556 |
|
At end of year |
123 |
1,828 |
4,301 |
(112) |
(78) |
0 |
6,062 |
102 |
6,164 |
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS (IFRS) BASIS RESULTS
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
|
|
2008 £m |
2007* £m |
||
Assets |
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intangible assets attributable to shareholders: |
|
|
|||
Goodwill |
1,341 |
1,341 |
|||
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets (note S) |
5,349 |
2,836 |
|||
|
6,690 |
4,177 |
|||
|
|
|
|||
Intangible assets attributable to with-profits funds: |
|
|
|||
In respect of acquired subsidiaries for venture fund and other investment purposes |
174 |
192 |
|||
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets |
126 |
19 |
|||
|
300 |
211 |
|||
Total |
6,990 |
4,388 |
|||
|
|
|
|||
Other non-investment and non-cash assets: |
|
|
|||
Property, plant and equipment |
635 |
1,012 |
|||
Reinsurers' share of insurance contract liabilities |
1,240 |
783 |
|||
Deferred tax assets |
2,886 |
951 |
|||
Current tax recoverable |
657 |
285 |
|||
Accrued investment income |
2,513 |
2,023 |
|||
Other debtors |
1,232 |
909 |
|||
Total |
9,163 |
5,963 |
|||
|
|
|
|||
Investments of long-term business and other operations: |
|
|
|||
Investment properties |
11,992 |
13,688 |
|||
Investments accounted for using the equity method |
10 |
12 |
|||
Financial investments: |
|
|
|||
Loans (note L) |
10,491 |
7,924 |
|||
Equity securities and portfolio holdings in unit trusts |
62,122 |
86,157 |
|||
Debt securities (note M) |
95,224 |
83,984 |
|||
Other investments |
6,301 |
4,396 |
|||
Deposits |
7,294 |
7,889 |
|||
Total |
193,434 |
204,050 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Held for sale assets |
- |
30 |
|||
Cash and cash equivalents |
5,955 |
4,951 |
|||
Total assets (note K) |
215,542 |
219,382 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008 £m |
2007* £m |
||
Equity and liabilities |
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
|
|
|||
Shareholders' equity |
5,058 |
6,062 |
|||
Minority interests |
55 |
102 |
|||
Total equity |
5,113 |
6,164 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
||
Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds: |
|
|
||
Insurance contract liabilities |
136,030 |
132,776 |
||
Investment contract liabilities with discretionary participation features |
23,446 |
29,550 |
||
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features |
14,501 |
14,032 |
||
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds |
8,414 |
13,959 |
||
Total |
182,391 |
190,317 |
||
|
|
|
|
|
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations (note O): |
|
|
||
Subordinated debt |
1,987 |
1,570 |
||
Other |
971 |
922 |
||
Total |
2,958 |
2,492 |
Other borrowings: |
|
|
|
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed operations (note P) |
1,977 |
3,081 |
|
Borrowings attributable to with-profits funds (note P) |
1,308 |
987 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other non-insurance liabilities: |
|
|
|
Obligations under funding, securities lending and sale and repurchase agreements |
5,572 |
4,081 |
|
Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated unit trusts and similar funds |
3,843 |
3,556 |
|
Current tax liabilities |
842 |
1,237 |
|
Deferred tax liabilities |
3,229 |
3,402 |
|
Accruals and deferred income |
630 |
599 |
|
Other creditors |
1,496 |
1,020 |
|
Provisions |
461 |
575 |
|
Derivative liabilities |
4,832 |
1,080 |
|
Other liabilities |
890 |
791 |
|
Total |
21,795 |
16,341 |
|
Total liabilities |
210,429 |
213,218 |
|
Total equity and liabilities (note K) |
215,542 |
219,382 |
* The Company has adopted the principles of IFRIC 14 in accounting for pension schemes giving rise to consequential changes to the comparative results for 2007 (see notes B and Q).
CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT
|
2008 £m |
2007* £m |
||
Cash flows from operating activities |
|
|
||
(Loss) profit before tax from continuing operations (being tax attributable to shareholders' and policyholders' returns) (note (i) and C) |
(2,074) |
1,058 |
||
Profit before tax from discontinued operations (note H) |
- |
222 |
||
Total (Loss) profit before tax |
(2,074) |
1,280 |
||
Changes in operating assets and liabilities: |
|
|
||
Investments |
33,255 |
(11,730) |
||
Other non-investment and non-cash assets |
(1,659) |
(466) |
||
Policyholder liabilities (including unallocated surplus) |
(26,987) |
11,845 |
||
Other liabilities (including operational borrowings) |
(631) |
902 |
||
Interest income and expense and dividend income included in profit before tax |
(4,989) |
(8,201) |
||
Other non-cash items |
(74) |
(141) |
||
Operating cash items: |
|
|
||
Interest receipts |
2,937 |
5,541 |
||
Dividend receipts |
2,019 |
2,732 |
||
Tax paid |
(653) |
(624) |
||
Net cash flows from operating activities |
1,144 |
1,138 |
||
Cash flows from investing activities |
|
|
||
Purchases of property, plant and equipment |
(240) |
(231) |
||
Proceeds from disposal of property, plant and equipment |
11 |
61 |
||
Acquisition of subsidiaries, net of cash balances (note (ii)) |
- |
(77) |
||
Disposal of Egg, net of cash balances (note (iii)) |
- |
(538) |
||
Disposal of other subsidiaries, net of cash balances (note (ii)) |
- |
157 |
||
Deconsolidation of investment subsidiaries (note (iv)) |
- |
(91) |
||
Net cash flows from investing activities |
(229) |
(719) |
||
Cash flows from financing activities |
|
|
||
Structural borrowings of the Group: |
|
|
||
Shareholder-financed operations (notes (v) and O): |
|
|
||
Redemption |
- |
(150) |
||
Interest paid |
(167) |
(171) |
||
With-profits operations (notes (vi) and P): |
|
|
||
Interest paid |
(9) |
(9) |
||
Equity capital (note (vii)): |
|
|
||
Issues of ordinary share capital |
12 |
6 |
||
Dividends paid |
(297) |
(255) |
||
Net cash flows from financing activities |
(461) |
(579) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents |
454 |
(160) |
||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year |
4,951 |
5,071 |
||
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents |
550 |
40 |
||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year (note (viii)) |
5,955 |
4,951 |
* The Company has adopted the principles of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes, giving rise to consequential changes to the 2007 comparative results. Note Q explains the effect of the change.
Notes
(i) This measure is the formal (loss) profit before tax measure under IFRS but it is not the result attributable to shareholders.(ii) Acquisitions and disposals of subsidiaries for 2007 shown above include venture investments and other investment subsidiaries of the PAC with-profits fund.
(iii) The amount of £(538) million in respect of the disposal of Egg in 2007, net of cash balances shown above, represents the net sale proceeds of £527 million less cash and cash equivalents of £1,065 million held by Egg and transferred on disposal.
(iv) In November 2007, the Company sold its venture fund management subsidiary, PPM Capital. As a result of the arrangements attaching to the sale, it is no longer appropriate to consolidate the holdings managed by that company.
(v) Structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations comprise core debt of the holding company and Jackson surplus notes. Core debt excludes borrowings to support short-term fixed income securities programmes and non-recourse borrowings of investment subsidiaries of shareholder-financed operations. Cash flows in respect of these borrowings are included within cash flows from operating activities.
(vi) Structural borrowings of with-profits operations relate solely to the £100 million 8.5 per cent undated subordinated guaranteed bonds which contribute to the solvency base of the Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF), a ring-fenced sub-fund of the PAC with-profits fund. Cash flows in respect of other borrowings of with-profits funds, which principally relate to consolidated investment funds, are included within cash flows from operating activities.
(vii) Cash movements in respect of equity capital exclude scrip dividends.
(viii) Of the cash and cash equivalents amounts reported above, £165 million (2007: £394 million) are held centrally.
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS (IFRS) BASIS RESULTS
NOTES ON THE STATUTORY IFRS BASIS RESULTS
A Basis of preparation and audit status
The statutory basis results included in this announcement have been extracted from the audited financial statements of the Group for the year ended 31 December 2008. These statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as adopted by the European Union (EU) as required by EU law (IAS Regulation EC1606/2002).
The auditors have reported on the 2008 statutory accounts. The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 31 December 2008 or 2007 but is derived from those accounts. Statutory accounts for 2007 have been delivered to the registrar of companies, and those for 2008 will be delivered in due course. The auditors have reported on those accounts; their report was (i) unqualified, (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report and (iii) did not contain a statement under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
B Significant accounting policies
The accounting policies applied by the Group in determining the IFRS basis results in this announcement are the same as those previously applied in the Group's consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2007, except for the effect of the adoption of the principles of IFRIC 14 'The limit on Defined Benefit Asset Minimum Funding Requirements and their Interaction' (see note Q).
In addition, the Group adopted the 'Reclassification of Financial Assets: Amendments to IAS 39 Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement and IFRS 7 Financial Instruments: Disclosures'. This amendment was issued in October 2008 and permits the reclassification of non-derivative financial assets into the 'loans and receivables' category under which assets are carried at amortised cost, if specific conditions are met. The Group has not made any such reclassification of financial assets as permitted by the amendments.
C Segment disclosure
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
£m |
|
£m |
|
Revenue |
|
|
|
Insurance operations |
(10,798) |
|
31,555 |
Asset management |
664 |
|
1,397 |
Unallocated corporate |
157 |
|
186 |
Intra-group revenue eliminated on consolidation |
(290) |
|
(268) |
Total revenue, net of reinsurance, per income statement (note (i)) |
(10,267) |
|
32,870 |
Analysed as: |
|
|
|
Investment return (note (iii)) |
(30,202) |
|
12,225 |
Other items |
19,935 |
|
20,645 |
|
(10,267) |
|
32,870 |
Charges (before income tax attributable to policyholders and unallocated surplus of long-term insurance funds) |
|
||
Insurance operations, including post-tax transfers to unallocated surplus of with-profits funds |
8,980 |
|
(30,533) |
Asset management |
(524) |
|
(1,053) |
Unallocated corporate |
(553) |
|
(494) |
Intra-group charges eliminated on consolidation |
290 |
|
268 |
Total charges, net of reinsurance, per income statement (note (i)) |
8,193 |
|
(31,812) |
Segment results - revenue less charges (continuing operations) |
|
|
|
Insurance operations |
(1,818) |
|
1,022 |
Asset management |
140 |
|
344 |
Unallocated corporate |
(396) |
|
(308) |
(Loss) profit before tax (note (ii)) (being tax attributable to shareholders' and policyholders' returns) |
(2,074) |
|
1,058 |
Tax attributable to policyholders' returns |
1,624 |
|
5 |
(Loss) profit before tax attributable to shareholders |
(450) |
|
1,063 |
Tax credit (charge) attributable to shareholders' (loss) profit |
59 |
|
(354) |
(Loss) profit from continuing operations after tax |
(391) |
|
709 |
Segment results - discontinued operations (net of tax) |
|
|
|
Banking (note H) |
- |
|
241 |
(Loss) profit for the year |
(391) |
|
950 |
(i) Total revenue for 2008 is negative £10,267 million whilst charges are a credit of £8,193 million. These abnormal features arise from the basis of preparation whereby revenue includes investment return, which is negative in 2008, and charges reflect the allocation, where appropriate, of investment return to policyholder benefits.
(ii) This measure is the formal (loss) profit before tax measure under IFRS but is not the results attributable to shareholders.
(iii) Investment return principally comprises:
- Interest and dividends;
- Realised and unrealised gains and losses on securities and derivatives classified as fair value through profit and loss under IAS
39; and
- Realised gains and losses, including impairment losses, on securities classified as available-for-sale under IAS 39.
D Supplementary analysis of (loss) profit from continuing operations before tax attributable to shareholders
|
|
2008 |
2007 |
Results analysis by business area |
£m |
£m |
|
Asian operations |
|
|
|
Insurance operations (note E(i)) |
321 |
189 |
|
Asset management |
52 |
72 |
|
Development expenses |
(26) |
(15) |
|
Total |
347 |
246 |
|
US operations |
|
|
|
Jackson (note E(ii)) |
406 |
444 |
|
Broker-dealer and asset management |
10 |
13 |
|
Curian |
(3) |
(5) |
|
Total |
413 |
452 |
|
UK operations |
|
|
|
UK insurance operations: |
|
|
|
Long-term business (note E(iii)) |
545 |
524 |
|
General insurance commission (note (i)) |
44 |
4 |
|
Total |
589 |
528 |
|
M&G |
286 |
254 |
|
Total |
875 |
782 |
|
Other income and expenditure |
|
|
|
Investment return and other income |
89 |
86 |
|
Interest payable on core structural borrowings |
(172) |
(168) |
|
Corporate expenditure: |
|
|
|
Group Head Office |
(130) |
(129) |
|
Asia Regional Head Office |
(41) |
(38) |
|
Charge for share-based payments for Prudential schemes (note (ii)) |
(6) |
(11) |
|
Total |
(260) |
(260) |
|
Restructuring costs |
(28) |
(19) |
|
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns (note (iii)) |
1,347 |
1,201 |
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business (note F) |
(1,783) |
(137) |
|
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes |
(14) |
(1) |
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations before tax attributable to shareholders (note (iv)) |
(450) |
1,063 |
Notes
(i) UK operations transferred its general insurance business to Churchill in 2002, with general insurance commission representing the net commission receivable for Prudential-branded general insurance products as part of this arrangement.
(ii) The charge for share-based payments for Prudential schemes is for the SAYE and Group performance-related schemes.
(iii) Basis of determining longer-term investment returns
The Group continues to use operating profit based on longer-term investment returns as a supplemental measure of its results. For the purposes of measuring operating profit, investment returns on shareholder-financed business are based on the expected longer-term rates of return. This reflects the particular features of long-term insurance business where assets and liabilities are held for the long-term and for which the accounting basis for insurance liabilities under current IFRS is not generally conducive to demonstrating trends in underlying performance for life businesses exclusive of changes in market conditions. In determining profit on this basis, the following key elements are applied to the results of the Group's shareholder-financed operations.
(a) Debt and equity securities
Longer-term investment returns comprise income and longer-term capital returns. For debt securities the longer-term capital returns comprise two elements. These are a risk margin reserve based charge for expected defaults, which is determined by reference to the credit quality of the portfolio, and amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses to operating results based on longer-term investment returns to the date when sold bonds would have otherwise matured.
(b) Derivative value movements
Value movements for Jackson's equity-based derivatives and variable annuity product embedded derivatives are included in operating profits based on longer-term investment returns. The inclusion of these movements is so as to broadly match with the results on the Jackson variable annuity book that pertain to equity market movements.
Other derivative value movements are excluded from operating results based on longer-term investment returns. These derivatives are primarily held by Jackson as part of a broadly-based hedging programme for features of Jackson's bond portfolio (for which value movements are booked directly to shareholders' equity rather than income statement) and product liabilities (for which US GAAP accounting does not reflect the economic features being hedged).
These key elements are of most importance in determining the operating results based on longer-term investment returns of Jackson.
There are two exceptions to the basis described above for determining operating results based on longer-term investment returns. These are for:
- Unit-linked and US variable annuity business.
For such business the policyholder liabilities are directly reflective of the asset value movements. Accordingly all asset value movements are recorded in the operating results based on longer-term investment returns.
- Assets covering non-participating business liabilities that are interest rate sensitive.
For UK annuity business policyholder liabilities are determined by reference to current interest rates. The value movements of the assets covering liabilities are closely correlated with the related change in liabilities. Accordingly asset value movements are recorded within the operating results based on longer-term investment returns. Policyholder liabilities include a margin for asset defaults which, if they occur, are recorded as a component of short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
(c) Liabilities to policyholders and embedded derivatives for product guarantees
Under IFRS, the degree to which the carrying values of liabilities to policyholders are sensitive to current market conditions varies between territories depending upon the nature of the 'grandfathered' measurement basis. In general, in those instances where the liabilities are particularly sensitive to routine changes in market conditions, the accounting basis is such that the impact of market movements on the assets and liabilities are broadly equivalent in the income statement, and operating profit based on longer-term investments returns is not distorted. In these circumstances there is no need for the movement in the liability to be bifurcated between the element that relates to longer-term market conditions and short-term effects.
However, some types of business movements in liabilities do require bifurcation to ensure that at the net level (i.e. after allocated investment return and change for policyholder benefits) the operating result reflects longer-term market returns.
Examples where such bifurcation is necessary are:
(i) Asia
Vietnamese participating business
For the participating business in Vietnam the liabilities include policyholders' interest in investment appreciation and other surplus. Bonuses paid in a reporting period and accrued policyholder interest in investment appreciation and other surpluses primarily reflect the level of realised investment gains above contract specific hurdle levels. For this business operating profit based on longer-term investment returns includes the aggregate of longer-term returns on the relevant investments, a credit or charge equal to movements on the liability for the policyholders' interest in realised investment gains (net of any recovery of prior deficits on the participating pool), less amortisation over five years of current and prior movements on such credits or charges.
The overall purpose of these adjustments is to ensure that investment returns included in operating results equal longer-term returns but that in any one reporting period movements on liabilities to policyholders caused by investment returns are substantially matched in the presentation of the supplementary analysis of profit before tax attributable to policyholders.
Non-participating business
Bifurcation for the effect of determining the movement in the carrying value of liabilities to be included in operating results based on longer-term investment returns, and the residual element for the effect of using year end rates in the balance sheet.
Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit (GMDB) product features
For unhedged GMDB liabilities accounted for under IFRS using 'grandfathered' US GAAP, such as in the Japanese business, the change in carrying value is determined under SOP 03-01, which partially reflects changes in market conditions. Under the Company's supplementary basis of reporting the operating profit reflects the change in liability based on longer-term market conditions with the difference between the charge to the operating result and the movement reflected in the total result included in short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
(ii) US operations - Embedded derivatives for variable annuity guarantee features
Under IFRS, the Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) and Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit (GMIB) reinsurance are required to be fair valued as embedded derivatives. The movements in carrying values are affected by changes in the level of observed implied equity volatility and changes to the discount rate applied from period to period. For these embedded derivatives, as described in note E(ii)(a), the discount rate applied reflects AA corporate bond curve rates. For the purposes of determining operating profit based on longer-term investment returns the charge for these features is determined using historical longer-term equity volatility levels and long-term average AA corporate bond rate curves. Further details are shown in note F.
(iii) UK shareholder-backed annuity business
With one exception, the operating result based on longer-term investment returns reflects the impact of all value movements on policyholder liabilities for annuity business in PRIL and the PAC non-profit sub-fund.
The exception is for the impact on credit risk provisioning of actual downgrades during the year. As this feature arises due to short-term market conditions the effect on the altered valuation rate of interest is included in the category of short-term fluctuations in investment returns as shown in note F.
The effects of other changes to credit risk provisioning including the introduction of the short-term allowance for credit risk described in note E(iii) are included in the operating result, as in the net effect of changes to the valuation rate of interest applied to portfolio rebalancing to align more closely with management benchmark.
(d) Fund management and other non-insurance businesses
For these businesses, where the business model is more conventional than that for life assurance, it is inappropriate to include returns in the operating result on the basis described above. Instead it is appropriate to generally include realised gains and losses (including impairments) in the operating result with unrealised gains and losses being included in short-term fluctuations. In some instances it may also be appropriate to amortise realised gains and losses on derivatives and other financial instruments to operating results over a time period that reflects the underlying substance of the arrangements.
(iv) The results for continuing operations shown above exclude those in respect of discontinued banking operations which were sold on 1 May 2007. Note H shows the composition of the contribution from discontinued operations.
E Key assumptions, estimates and bases used to measure insurance assets and liabilities
(i) Asian operations
(a) Changes in key assumptions
Effect of 2008 changes
For 2008, the result for Asian operations was reduced by the effect of a number of individually small assumption changes of, in aggregate, £21 million. There were no changes of assumptions that had a material impact on the 2007 results.
Taiwan interest rate assumption
For the Taiwanese life operation the profits attaching to legacy interest rate guaranteed products are particularly affected by the rates of return earned, and estimated to be earned on the assets held to cover liabilities and on future investment income and contract cash flows. Under IFRS, the insurance contract liabilities of the Taiwan business are determined on the US GAAP basis previously applied under UK GAAP. Under this basis, the policy liabilities are calculated on sets of assumptions, which are locked in at the point of policy inceptions, and a deferred acquisition cost is held in the balance sheet.
The adequacy of the insurance contract liabilities is tested by reference to best estimates of expected investment returns on policy cash flows and reinvestment income. The assumed earned rates are used to discount the future cash flows. For 2008 the projection assumes that the current bond yields at 31 December 2008 of 1.4 per cent trend towards 5.5 per cent at 31 December 2018. This compares to the 2007 results for which the projections assumed the then current bond yields of around 2.5 per cent would trend towards 5.5 per cent at 31 December 2013. Under the liability adequacy testing applied for IFRS the change of progression period has no effect on the carrying value of the deferred acquisition costs or liability to policyholders.
The liability adequacy test is more sensitive to changes in the expected long-term rate, further delays in the assumed progression period, or a combination thereof. However, as explained in note R, on 20 February 2009 the Company announced the intended transfer of the legacy agency book and agency force in Taiwan to China Life Insurance of Taiwan.
(b) Deferral and amortisation of acquisition costs
Under IFRS, the basis of accounting for insurance assets and liabilities reflects 'grandfathered' GAAP under the Modified Statutory Basis. In general, this requires the deferral and amortisation of acquisition costs in line with the emergence of margins. In 2008, the basis of deferral and amortisation has been adjusted for a number of territories to better reflect the MSB requirement as follows:
For the India life operation, reflecting the initial development stage of the business, acquisition costs had previously not been deferred. In 2008, £19 million deferral of acquisition costs, net of amortisation in the year, has been established.
For the Korea life business, the deferral of acquisition costs had previously followed the local regulatory basis as being an appropriate proxy for the MSB basis. The regulatory basis is subject to constraints in respect of assumptions for expense loadings, the amortisation period, and the DAC balance not being higher than the cash surrender value. This basis is no longer appropriate and on adjusting the basis £9 million of DAC has been established that reflects a revised estimate of the 1 January 2008 balance and a change of £26 million for current year acquisition costs (net of amortisation) for applying the more appropriate basis.
For Singapore, refinements have been made with a £21 million benefit (of which £7 million relates to the 1 January 2008 position) where the local risk based capital approach does not provide an appropriate basis of implicit allowance for acquisition costs for certain products.
In Hong Kong, adjustments have been made with a net overall effect of £10 million.
(ii) US operations
(a) Measurement basis for embedded derivatives of variable annuity business
There were no changes of assumptions that had a material effect on the Jackson results. However, there has been a significant change of estimation technique for two aspects of the basis of measuring 'embedded derivatives' for Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) features of Jackson's variable annuity products and the reinsurance of the Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit (GMIB). The two aspects are for the application of:
(i) Implied current equity volatility levels rather than historic long-term average levels, which had been applied previously, and
(ii) The reference basis for determining the rate of discount future cash flows in the projection of the effect of the guarantees. The change is to apply AA corporate bond rates based off appropriate Merrill Lynch indices, rather than LIBOR based swap rates that, in 2008, had become both anomalously low and distorted by comparison to US Treasury bond curve rates. In broad terms, corporate AA rates were approximately 400 basis points higher than the LIBOR based swap rates at the end of 2008. Similarly, at the beginning of 2008 corporate AA rates were approximately 100 basis points higher than the LIBOR based swap rate.
The effect of the change in respect of equity volatility is to increase the total loss for 2008 for Jackson by £126 million. The effect of the change for the reference basis for discounting is to reduce the total loss by £173 million.
(b) Deferred acquisition costs
Under IFRS 4, the Group applies US GAAP to the insurance assets and liabilities of Jackson. Under the US GAAP standard FAS 97, acquisition costs for Jackson's fixed and variable annuity business are deferred and then amortised in line with the expected emergence of margins. The amortisation profile is dependant on assumptions of which, for variable annuity business, the key assumption is the expected level of equity market returns. For 2008 and recent previous years a rate of 8.4 per cent has been applied using, as is industry practice, a mean reversion methodology.
The mean reversion methodology is applied with the objective of adjusting the amortisation of deferred acquisition costs that would otherwise be highly volatile for the fact that the expected level of future gross profits fluctuates for altered variable annuity asset values arising from changes in equity market levels at the end of each reporting period.
The mean reversion methodology achieves this objective by dynamic adjustment to the level of expectations of short-term future investment returns. Under the methodology the projected returns for the next five years are, for the purposes of determining the amortisation profile, set so that normally combined with the actual returns for the current and preceding two years the average rate of return is 8.4 per cent. The mean reversion methodology does, however, include a cap of 15 per cent per annum on the project return for each of the next five years. For 2008 this capping effect applied to restrict the projected returns below the rate of approximately 20 per cent per annum level that would have otherwise applied. Projected returns after the next five years are set at 8.4 per cent.
In 2008, US equity market indices fell by some 38.5 per cent. If there had been no mean reversion methodology in place there would have been an increased amortisation charge of approximately £250 million.
However, as noted above, the mean reversion methodology allows for a substantial, but not complete, recovery of the lost fund value. As a result, DAC amortisation, reflected in the 2008 results after incorporating the mean reversion, has instead increased by some £140 million, of which £40 million arises due to the capping feature.
Consequent upon the negative unrealised valuation movement in 2008 of £(2,710) million (2007: £(244) million) there is a credit of £1,070 million (2007: £88 million) for altered 'shadow' DAC amortisation booked within the statement of changes in equity. These adjustments reflect the changes in the pattern of reported gross profits that would have happened if the assets had been sold crystallising the loss, and the proceeds reinvested at correspondingly higher curve yields.
In the event of further unrealised losses, this dynamic would be constrained under two circumstances. Firstly, the DAC asset would not be written up any further beyond the original deferred amount plus a provision for interest accrual on the asset. Secondly, and more generally, the write up of DAC would be constrained if not supported by expectations of future profitability.
(iii) UK insurance operations - annuity business
(a) Allowance for credit risk
For IFRS reporting, the results for UK shareholder-backed annuity business are particularly sensitive to the allowances made for credit risk. The allowance is reflected in the deduction from the valuation rate of interest for discounting projected future annuity payments to policyholders that would have otherwise applied. The valuation rate that is applied includes a liquidity premium that reflects the residual element of current bond spreads over swap rates after providing for the credit risk allowance.
The weighted components of the bond spread over swap rates for shareholder-backed fixed and linked annuity business for PRIL based on the asset mix at that date on the IFRS basis at 31 December 2008 are as follows:
2008 |
Pillar I regulatory basis (bps) |
Adjustment from regulatory to IFRS basis (bps) |
IFRS (bps) |
Bond spread over swap rates (note (i)) |
323 |
- |
323 |
Credit risk allowance |
|
|
|
Long-term expected defaults (note (ii)) |
15 |
- |
15 |
Long-term credit risk premium (note (iii)) |
11 |
- |
11 |
Short-term allowance for credit risk (note (iv)) |
54 |
(25) |
29 |
Total credit risk allowance |
80 |
(25) |
55 |
Liquidity premium |
243 |
25 |
268 |
By comparison, for 2007, the weighted components of the bond spread over swap rates for shareholder-backed fixed and linked annuity business for PRIL on the IFRS basis at 31 December 2007 based on the asset mix of the portfolio at that date were as follows:
2007 |
Pillar I regulatory basis (bps) |
Adjustment from regulatory to IFRS basis (bps) |
IFRS (bps) |
Bond spread over swap rates (note (i)) |
76 |
- |
76 |
Credit risk allowance |
|
|
|
Long-term expected defaults (note (ii)) |
13 |
- |
13 |
Long-term credit risk premium (note (iii)) |
10 |
(3) |
7 |
Short-term allowance for credit risk (note (iv)) |
10 |
(10) |
- |
Total credit risk allowance |
33 |
(13) |
20 |
Liquidity premium |
43 |
13 |
56 |
Notes
(i) Bond spread over swap rates reflect market observed data to credit spreads.
(ii) Long-term expected defaults; this is derived by applying Moody's data from 1970 to 2004 uplifted by between 100 per cent (B) and 200
per cent (AAA) according to credit rating on the annuity asset portfolio. The credit rating assigned to each asset held is based on
external credit rating and for this purpose the credit rating assigned to each asset held is the lowest credit rating published by Moody's,
Standard and Poors and Fitch.
(iii) Long-term credit risk premium; this provides compensation against the risk of potential volatility in the level of defaults and is derived by
applying the 95th percentile from Moody's data from 1970 to 2004 to the annuity asset portfolio.
(iv) During the second half of 2007, corporate bond spreads widened significantly and the methodology was reviewed to ensure that it still
made appropriate allowance for credit risk. As a result of this review a short-term allowance for credit risk was established to allow for
the concern that credit ratings applied by rating agencies to individual bonds might be over optimistic.
The short-term allowance for credit risk assumed in the Pillar I solvency valuation has been determined as 25 per cent of the increase in corporate bond spreads (as estimated from the movements in published corporate bond indices) since 31 December 2006.
The approach for IFRS, however, aims to establish liabilities that are closer to 'best estimate'. The very prudent Pillar I regulatory basis reflects the overriding objective of ensuring sufficient provisions and capital to ensure payments to policyholders can be made. In previous years long-term IFRS default assumptions where set mid-way between the EEV and Pillar I assumptions. At 31 December 2008, in light of the increase uncertainty surrounding future credit default experience, the IFRS long-term assumptions have been strengthened to bring them into line with the long-term Pillar I default assumptions. In addition a short-term allowance for credit risk has been established but at a lower level than allowed for in the Pillar I regulatory basis.
In total, for 2008, the effect of changes to the allowance for credit risk and the effect of portfolio rebalancing gives rise to a charge of £23 million. This amount comprises a charge of £413 million for additional credit risk allowance in line with the assumptions shown above for the portfolio as a whole. Partially offsetting this is a credit of £390 million for the effect of £2.8 billion of portfolio rebalancing to more closely align with management benchmark. The credit reflects the additional yield expected after allowing for additional credit risk arising from the rebalancing.
(b) Mortality assumptions and margins in the liabilities
Recent mortality experience has been in line with expectations and no change is therefore required to the overall strength of mortality assumptions at 31 December 2008. However, current mortality assumptions have been rebalanced across different categories of business so that they are more closely aligned to the actual experience of each product category. The overall effect of rebalancing the assumptions between different product groups is financially neutral.
The 2007 results for shareholder-backed annuity business were determined after making changes to mortality assumptions with a resulting charge of £276 million and releasing excess margins in the aggregate liabilities that had previously been set aside as an indirect extra allowance for longevity related risks of £310 million.
F Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business
|
|
2008 |
2007 |
|
|
£m |
£m |
Insurance operations: |
|
|
|
Asian (note (ii)) |
(200) |
(71) |
|
US (note (iii)) |
(1,058) |
(18) |
|
UK (note (iv)) |
(212) |
(47) |
|
Other operations (note (v)) |
(313) |
(1) |
|
Total (note (i)) |
(1,783) |
(137) |
Notes
(i) General
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for 2008 primarily reflect temporary market value movements on the portfolio of investments held by the Group's shareholder-backed operations. Default losses were incurred during 2008 in respect of Lehman Brothers and Washington Mutual, with total losses (including losses on disposal) for these in respect of the Group's shareholder-backed business operations being £110 million and £91 million respectively of which the majority was incurred in Jackson. Excluding Lehman Brothers and Washington Mutual there was only one other default in 2008 which resulted in a loss of £5 million. There were no default losses in 2007.
(ii) Asian insurance operations
The fluctuations for Asian operations in 2008 primarily relate to £(81) million for Vietnam, reflecting a significant fall in the Vietnamese bond and equity markets, and £(65) million for Taiwan, which reflects the decrease in Taiwanese equity markets and a £(40) million reduction in the value of an investment in a CDO fund. For 2007, the £(71) million of short-term fluctuations primarily reflect value movements in Taiwan on the value of debt securities arising from increases in interest rates and a £30 million reduction in the value of an investment in a CDO fund, partially offset by the effects of strong equity market movements in Vietnam.
(iii) US insurance operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US insurance operations for the year comprise the following items:
|
2008 |
2007 |
|
|
|
£m |
£m |
Short-term fluctuations relating to debt securities: |
|
|
|
Charges in the year |
|
|
|
Defaults |
(78) |
0 |
|
Losses on sales of impaired and deteriorating bonds |
(130) |
(51) |
|
Bond write downs |
(419) |
(35) |
|
Recoveries / reversals |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
(624) |
(78) |
Less: Risk margin charge included in operating profit based on longer-term investment returns |
54 |
48 |
|
|
(570) |
(30) |
|
Interest related realised (losses) gains: |
|
|
|
Arising in the year |
(25) |
31 |
|
Less: Amortisation of gains and losses arising in current and prior years to operating profit based on longer-term investment returns |
(28) |
(37) |
|
|
(53) |
(6) |
|
Related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs |
88 |
9 |
|
Total short-term fluctuation related to debt securities |
(535) |
(27) |
|
Derivatives (other than equity related): market value movement (net of related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs) * |
(369) |
(19) |
|
Equity type investments : actual less longer-term return (net of related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs) |
(69) |
42 |
|
Other items (net of related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs) ** |
(85) |
(14) |
|
Total |
(1,058) |
(18) |
* The £369 million value movement is for freestanding derivatives held to manage the fixed annuity and other general account business. Under IAS 39, unless hedge accounting is applied value movements on derivatives are recognised in the income statement. Except in respect of variable annuity business, the value movements on derivatives held by Jackson are separately identified within short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
Derivative value movements in respect of variable annuity business are included within the operating profit based on longer-term investment returns to broadly match with the commercial effects to which the variable annuity derivative programme relates.
For the derivatives programme attaching to the fixed annuity and other general account business the Group has continued in its approach of not seeking to apply hedge accounting under IAS 39. This decision reflects the inherent constraints of IAS 39 for hedge accounting investments and life assurance assets and liabilities under 'grandfathered' US GAAP under IFRS 4.
** The £85 million charge for 2008 for other items shown above comprises £70 million for the difference between the charge for embedded derivatives included in the operating result and the charge to the total result and £15 million of other items. For embedded derivatives the operating result reflects the application of 10-year average AA corporate bond rate curves and a static historical equity volatility assumption. The total result reflects the application of year-end AA corporate bond rate curves and current equity volatility levels. Additional details are explained in note E(ii)(a).
In addition, for US insurance operations, included within the statement of changes in equity, is a net reduction (translated at the 2008 year-end exchange rate of 1.44) in the value of debt securities classified as available-for-sale of £2,710 million (2007: £244 million). This reduction reflects the effect of widened credit spreads and global credit concerns partially offset by the effect of reductions in US interest rates and a steepening yield curve. These temporary market value movements do not reflect defaults or impairments. Additional details on the movement in the value of the Jackson portfolio are included in note N.
(iv) UK insurance operations
The short-term fluctuations charge for UK insurance operations for 2008 of £212 million reflects £170 million for asset value movements, principally for shareholder-backed annuity business, and £42 million for the effect of credit downgrades on the calculation of liabilities for shareholder-backed annuity business in PRIL and the PAC non-profit sub-fund, as discussed in note E(iii)(a). The short-term fluctuations charge for 2007 arose mostly in PRIL. The fluctuations principally reflected the impact of widened credit spreads on the corporate bond securities backing the shareholders' equity of the business.
(v) Other
The charge of £313 million for short-term fluctuations for other operations arises from:
|
|
2008 £m |
Sale of investment in India mutual fund in May 2008 giving rise to a transfer to operating profit of £47m for the crystallised gain, and value reduction in the period, prior to sale, of £24m
|
(71) |
|
Unrealised value movements on swaps held centrally to manage Group assets and liabilities |
(38) |
|
Unrealised value movements on Prudential Capital's bond portfolio |
(190) |
|
Unrealised value movements on a centrally held investment |
(14) |
|
|
(313) |
G Tax credit
The total tax credit of £1,683 million for 2008 (2007: charge of £349 million) comprises a credit of £1,758 million (2007: charge of £28 million) for UK tax and a charge of £75 million (2007: £321 million) for overseas tax. This tax credit comprises tax attributable to policyholders and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds, unit-linked policies and shareholders. The tax credit attributable to shareholders of £59 million for 2008 (2007: charge of £354 million) comprises a credit of £95 million (2007: charge of £148 million) for UK tax and a charge of £36 million (2007: £206 million) for overseas tax.
A tax credit related to discontinued banking operations, which was all attributable to shareholders, amounted to £19 million in 2007.
In April 2008 the standard corporation tax rate for the UK changed from 30 per cent to 28 per cent. Deferred tax at the end of 2007 for UK operations had been provided at the new rate of 28 per cent on the basis that materially all of the temporary differences are expected to reverse once the new rate took effect. The effect on the deferred tax assets and liabilities at 31 December 2007 was £20 million.
H Discontinued operations
Discontinued operations for 2007 related entirely to UK banking operations following the sale on 1 May 2007 of Egg Banking plc to Citi.
The profit from discontinued operations of £241 million comprises an operating loss based on longer-term investment returns for the period of ownership of £68 million, a tax credit on the loss of £19 million and a profit on sale (both before and after tax) of £290 million.
I Supplementary analysis of earnings per share from continuing operations
Earnings per share (in pence) |
2008 |
2007 |
From operating profit based on longer-term investment returns after related tax and minority interests
|
42.5p |
33.3p |
Adjustment from post-tax longer-term investment returns to post-tax actual investment returns (after related minority interests)
|
(58.1)p |
(4.5)p |
Adjustment for post-tax shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(0.4)p |
0.0p |
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations after tax and minority interests |
(16.0)p |
28.8p |
J Dividend
A final dividend for 2008 of 12.91p per share was proposed by the directors on 18 March 2009. Subject to shareholder approval, the dividend will be paid on 22 May 2009 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 14 April 2009. This dividend will absorb an estimated £322 million of shareholders' funds. A scrip dividend alternative will be offered to shareholders.
K Balance sheet analysis
(i) Group balance sheet - analysis by business unit
For an appreciation of the shareholder exposure to investment value movements it is necessary to distinguish the effects of fund structure and type of business for the Group's operations.
|
Insurance operations |
Total insurance operations |
Asset management operations |
Unallocated to a segment (central operations) |
Intra-group eliminations |
31 Dec 2008 Group total |
31 Dec 2007 Group total |
||
|
UK |
US |
Asia |
|
|
|
|||
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intangible assets attributable to shareholders): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Goodwill |
- |
- |
111 |
111 |
1,230 |
|
|
1,341 |
1,341 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets |
134 |
3,962 |
1,247 |
5,343 |
6 |
|
|
5,349 |
2,836 |
Total |
134 |
3,962 |
1,358 |
5,454 |
1,236 |
- |
- |
6,690 |
4,177 |
Intangible assets attributable to with- profits funds: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In respect of acquired subsidiaries for venture fund and other investment purposes |
174 |
- |
- |
174 |
- |
|
|
174 |
192 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets |
13 |
- |
113 |
126 |
- |
- |
|
126 |
19 |
Total |
187 |
- |
113 |
300 |
- |
- |
- |
300 |
211 |
Total |
321 |
3,962 |
1,471 |
5,754 |
1,236 |
- |
- |
6,990 |
4,388 |
Deferred tax assets |
513 |
1,969 |
101 |
2,583 |
160 |
143 |
|
2,886 |
951 |
Other non-investment and non-cash assets |
4,962 |
1,819 |
1,416 |
8,197 |
135 |
3,553 |
(5,608) |
6,277 |
5,012 |
Investment of long-term business and other operations: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment properties |
11,959 |
13 |
20 |
11,992 |
- |
- |
|
11,992 |
13,688 |
Investments accounted for using the equity method |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
10 |
|
10 |
12 |
Loans and receivables |
1,902 |
5,121 |
1,705 |
8,728 |
1,763 |
- |
|
10,491 |
7,924 |
Equity securities and portfolio holdings in unit trusts |
38,880 |
15,142 |
8,077 |
62,099 |
23 |
- |
|
62,122 |
86,157 |
Debt securities (see note M for analysis of credit quality) |
58,871 |
24,249 |
11,113 |
94,233 |
991 |
- |
|
95,224 |
83,984 |
Other investments |
4,160 |
1,256 |
144 |
5,560 |
462 |
279 |
|
6,301 |
4,396 |
Deposits |
6,090 |
390 |
750 |
7,230 |
64 |
- |
|
7,294 |
7,889 |
Total Investments |
121,862 |
46,171 |
21,809 |
189,842 |
3,303 |
289 |
- |
193,434 |
204,050 |
Held-for-sale assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
- |
30 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
2,571 |
246 |
1,501 |
4,318 |
1,472 |
165 |
|
5,955 |
4,951 |
Total assets |
130,229 |
54,167 |
26,298 |
210,694 |
6,306 |
4,150 |
(5,608) |
215,542 |
219,382 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity and liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity |
1,655 |
1,698 |
2,167 |
5,520 |
1,642 |
(2,104) |
|
5,058 |
6,062 |
Minority interests |
47 |
- |
7 |
54 |
1 |
|
|
55 |
102 |
Total equity |
1,702 |
1,698 |
2,174 |
5,574 |
1,643 |
(2,104) |
- |
5,113 |
6,164 |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities |
72,756 |
42,476 |
20,798 |
136,030 |
- |
- |
|
136,030 |
132,776 |
Investment contract liabilities with discretionary participation features |
23,367 |
- |
79 |
23,446 |
- |
- |
|
23,446 |
29,550 |
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features |
11,584 |
2,885 |
32 |
14,501 |
- |
- |
|
14,501 |
14,032 |
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds (reflecting application of 'realistic' basis provisions for UK regulated with-profits funds) |
8,254 |
- |
160 |
8,414 |
- |
- |
|
8,414 |
13,959 |
Total policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds |
115,961 |
45,361 |
21,069 |
182,391 |
- |
- |
- |
182,391 |
190,317 |
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subordinated debt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,987 |
|
1,987 |
1,570 |
Other |
- |
173 |
- |
173 |
- |
798 |
|
971 |
922 |
Total |
- |
173 |
|
173 |
- |
2,785 |
- |
2,958 |
2,492 |
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed operations |
54 |
511 |
130 |
695 |
4 |
1,278 |
|
1,977 |
3,081 |
Borrowings attributable to with-profits funds |
1,308 |
- |
- |
1,308 |
- |
- |
|
1,308 |
987 |
Deferred tax liabilities |
1,421 |
1,337 |
441 |
3,199 |
11 |
19 |
|
3,229 |
3,402 |
Other non-insurance liabilities |
9,783 |
5,087 |
2,484 |
17,354 |
4,648 |
2,172 |
(5,608) |
18,566 |
12,939 |
Total liabilities |
128,527 |
52,469 |
24,124 |
205,120 |
4,663 |
6,254 |
(5,608) |
210,429 |
213,218 |
Total equity and liabilities |
130,229 |
54,167 |
26,298 |
210,694 |
6,306 |
4,150 |
(5,608) |
215,542 |
219,382 |
(ii) Group balance sheet - analysis by type of business
|
|
Shareholder-backed |
|
|
|
|||
|
Participating funds |
Unit-linked and variable annuity |
Non-linked business |
Asset management operations |
Unallocated to a segment (central operations) |
Intra-group eliminations |
31 Dec 2008 Group total |
31 Dec 2007 Group total |
|
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
£m |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intangible assets attributable to shareholders: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Goodwill |
- |
- |
111 |
1,230 |
- |
- |
1,341 |
1,341 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets |
- |
- |
5,343 |
6 |
- |
- |
5,349 |
2,836 |
Total |
- |
- |
5,454 |
1,236 |
- |
- |
6,690 |
4,177 |
Intangible assets attributable to with- profits funds: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In respect of acquired subsidiaries for venture fund and other investment purposes |
174 |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
174 |
192 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets |
126 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
126 |
19 |
Total |
300 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
300 |
211 |
Total |
300 |
- |
5,454 |
1,236 |
- |
- |
6,990 |
4,388 |
Deferred tax assets |
279 |
- |
2,304 |
160 |
143 |
- |
2,886 |
951 |
Other non-investment and non-cash assets |
3,095 |
579 |
4,523 |
135 |
3,553 |
(5,608) |
6,277 |
5,012 |
Investment of long- term business and other operations: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment properties |
9,911 |
710 |
1,371 |
- |
- |
- |
11,992 |
13,688 |
Investments accounted for using the equity method |
- |
- |
- |
- |
10 |
- |
10 |
12 |
Loans and receivables |
2,154 |
113 |
6,461 |
1,763 |
- |
- |
10,491 |
7,924 |
Equity securities and portfolio holdings in unit trusts |
31,821 |
29,211 |
1,067 |
23 |
- |
- |
62,122 |
86,157 |
Debt securities (see section M for analysis of credit quality) |
42,965 |
6,298 |
44,970 |
991 |
- |
- |
95,224 |
83,984 |
Other investments |
3,768 |
204 |
1,588 |
462 |
279 |
- |
6,301 |
4,396 |
Deposits |
4,828 |
903 |
1,499 |
64 |
- |
- |
7,294 |
7,889 |
Total Investments |
95,447 |
37,439 |
56,956 |
3,303 |
289 |
- |
193,434 |
204,050 |
Held-for-sale assets |
- |
- |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
30 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
1,733 |
1,148 |
1,437 |
1,472 |
165 |
- |
5,955 |
4,951 |
Total assets |
100,854 |
39,166 |
70,674 |
6,306 |
4,150 |
(5,608) |
215,542 |
219,382 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity and liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity |
- |
- |
5,520 |
1,642 |
(2,104) |
- |
5,058 |
6,062 |
Minority interests |
47 |
- |
7 |
1 |
|
|
55 |
102 |
Total equity |
47 |
- |
5,527 |
1,643 |
(2,104) |
- |
5,113 |
6,164 |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with- profits funds: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities |
58,310 |
27,799 |
49,921 |
- |
- |
- |
136,030 |
132,776 |
Investment contract liabilities with discretionary participation features |
23,446 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
23,446 |
29,550 |
Investment contract liabilities without discretionary participation features |
32 |
10,277 |
4,192 |
- |
- |
- |
14,501 |
14,032 |
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds (reflecting application of 'realistic' basis provisions for UK regulated with- profits funds) |
8,414 |
- |
|
- |
- |
- |
8,414 |
13,959 |
Total policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds |
90,202 |
38,076 |
54,113 |
- |
- |
- |
182,391 |
190,317 |
Core structural borrowings of shareholder- financed operations: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subordinated debt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,987 |
- |
1,987 |
1,695 |
Other |
- |
- |
173 |
- |
798 |
- |
971 |
797 |
Total |
- |
- |
173 |
- |
2,785 |
- |
2,958 |
2,492 |
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder- financed operations |
- |
- |
695 |
4 |
1,278 |
- |
1,977 |
3,081 |
Borrowings attributable to with- profits funds |
1,308 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,308 |
987 |
Deferred tax liabilities |
1,225 |
- |
1,974 |
11 |
19 |
- |
3,229 |
3,402 |
Other non-insurance liabilities |
8,072 |
1,090 |
8,192 |
4,648 |
2,172 |
(5,608) |
18,566 |
12,939 |
Total liabilities |
100,807 |
39,166 |
65,147 |
4,663 |
6,254 |
(5,608) |
210,429 |
213,218 |
Total equity and liabilities |
100,854 |
39,166 |
70,674 |
6,306 |
4,150 |
(5,608) |
215,542 |
219,382 |
L Loans portfolio
Loans are accounted for at amortised cost unless impaired. The amounts included in the balance sheet are analysed as follows:
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
Insurance operations
|
|
|
UK (note(i))
|
1,902
|
1,245
|
US (note (ii))
|
5,121
|
3,258
|
Asia (note (iii))
|
1,705
|
1,087
|
Asset management operations
|
|
|
M&G (note (iv))
|
1,763
|
2,334
|
Total
|
10,491
|
7,924
|
(ii) US insurance operations
The loans of the Group's US insurance operations of £5,121 million at 31 December 2008 (2007: £3,258 million) comprise mortgage loans of £4,534 million and policy loans of £587 million (2007: £2,841 million and £417 million respectively). All of the mortgage loans are commercial mortgage loans which are collateralised by properties. The property types are mainly industrial, multi-family residential, suburban office, retail and hotel.
The US insurance operations' mortgage loan portfolio does not include any single-family residential mortgage loans and is therefore not exposed to the risk of defaults associated with residential sub-prime mortgage loans.
The policy loans are fully secured by individual life insurance policies or annuity policies. These loans are accounted for at amortised cost, less any impairment.
(iii) Asian insurance operations
The loans of the Group's Asian insurance operations of £1,705 million at 31 December 2008 (2007: £1,087 million) comprise mortgage loans of £238 million, policy loans of £675 million and other loans of £792 million (2007: £132 million, £430 million and £525 million respectively). The mortgage and policy loans are secured by properties and life insurance policies respectively.
The majority of the other loans are commercial loans held by the Malaysian operation and which are all investment graded by two local rating agencies.
(iv) M&G
The M&G loans of £1,763 million relate to bridging loan finance managed by Prudential Capital. The bridging loan finance assets generally have no external credit ratings available, with internal ratings prepared by the Group's asset management operations as part of the risk management process rating £1,100 million BBB+ to BBB- and £663 million BB+ to BB-.
M Debt securities portfolio
Debt securities are accounted for at fair value. The amounts included in the balance sheet are analysed as follows, with further information relating to the credit quality of the Group's debt securities at 31 December 2008 provided in the notes below.
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
Insurance operations
|
|
|
UK (note(i))
|
58,871
|
57,180
|
US (note (ii))
|
24,249
|
19,002
|
Asia (note (iii))
|
11,113
|
6,920
|
Asset management operations (note (iv))
|
991
|
882
|
Total
|
95,224
|
83,984
|
Notes
In the tables below, Standard and Poor's (S&P) ratings have been used where available. For securities where S&P ratings are not available, those produced by Moody's and then Fitch have been used as an alternative.
(i) UK insurance operations
|
|
PAC-with profits sub-fund
|
|
Other funds and subsidiaries
|
|
UK insurance operations
|
||||
|
Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund
|
Excluding Prudential Annuities Limited
|
Prudential Annuities Limited
|
Total
|
|
Unit-linked assets and liabilities
|
Annuity and other long-term business
|
|
2008
Total
|
2007
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
S&P – AAA
|
1,139
|
5,765
|
3,176
|
8,941
|
|
2,866
|
6,035
|
|
18,981
|
21,556
|
S&P – AA+ to AA-
|
318
|
1,817
|
1,389
|
3,206
|
|
423
|
2,065
|
|
6,012
|
6,173
|
S&P – A+ to A-
|
1,058
|
5,804
|
3,295
|
9,099
|
|
815
|
4,957
|
|
15,929
|
12,557
|
S&P – BBB+ to BBB-
|
789
|
3,875
|
919
|
4,794
|
|
210
|
1,620
|
|
7,413
|
5,409
|
S&P – Other
|
152
|
794
|
16
|
810
|
|
71
|
-
|
|
1,033
|
942
|
|
3,456
|
18,055
|
8,795
|
26,850
|
|
4,385
|
14,677
|
|
49,368
|
46,637
|
Moody’s – Aaa
|
111
|
344
|
89
|
433
|
|
9
|
128
|
|
681
|
1,021
|
Moody’s – Aa1 to Aa3
|
66
|
353
|
255
|
608
|
|
-
|
159
|
|
833
|
587
|
Moody’s – A1 to A3
|
43
|
222
|
232
|
454
|
|
-
|
181
|
|
678
|
944
|
Moody’s – Baa1 to Baa3
|
35
|
146
|
138
|
284
|
|
-
|
135
|
|
454
|
490
|
Moody’s – Other
|
4
|
136
|
12
|
148
|
|
-
|
10
|
|
162
|
410
|
|
259
|
1,201
|
726
|
1,927
|
|
9
|
613
|
|
2,808
|
3,452
|
Fitch
|
34
|
181
|
188
|
369
|
|
-
|
157
|
|
560
|
682
|
Other
|
469
|
2,221
|
2,179
|
4,400
|
|
15
|
1,251
|
|
6,135
|
6,409
|
Total debt securities
|
4,218
|
21,658
|
11,888
|
33,546
|
|
4,409
|
16,698
|
|
58,871
|
57,180
|
Where no external ratings are available, internal ratings produced by the Group's asset management operation, which are prepared on the Company's assessment of a comparable basis to external ratings, are used where possible. Of the £6,135 million total debt securities held at 31 December 2008 (2007: £6,409 million) which are not externally rated, £2,325 million were internally rated AAA to A-, £3,149 million were internally rated BBB to B- and £661 million were unrated (2007: £2,972 million, £2,844 million and £593 million respectively). The majority of unrated debt security investments were held in SAIF and the PAC with-profits fund and relate to convertible debt and other investments which are not covered by ratings analysts nor have an internal rating attributed to them.
The change in ratings for annuity and other long-term business incorporates the effect of the portfolio rebalancing discussed in note E(iii)(a).
(ii) US insurance operations
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
S&P – AAA
|
5,321
|
3,896
|
S&P – AA+ to AA-
|
853
|
1,187
|
S&P – A+ to A-
|
5,244
|
3,657
|
S&P – BBB+ to BBB-
|
7,077
|
5,415
|
S&P – Other
|
1,321
|
1,113
|
|
19,816
|
15,268
|
Moody’s – Aaa
|
458
|
549
|
Moody’s – Aa1 to Aa3
|
100
|
118
|
Moody’s – A1 to A3
|
111
|
47
|
Moody’s – Baa1 to Baa3
|
100
|
79
|
Moody’s – Other
|
95
|
78
|
|
864
|
871
|
Fitch
|
464
|
380
|
Other*
|
3,105
|
2,483
|
Total debt securities
|
24,249
|
19,002
|
* The amounts within Other which are not rated by S&P, Moody or Fitch have the following National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) classifications:
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
NAIC 1
|
1,334
|
1,079
|
NAIC 2
|
1,650
|
1,311
|
NAIC 3-6
|
121
|
93
|
|
3,105
|
2,483
|
(iii) Asian insurance operations
|
With-profits business
|
Unit-linked assets and liabilities
|
Other business
|
2008
Total
|
2007 Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
S&P – AAA
|
2,085
|
341
|
206
|
2,632
|
2,284
|
S&P – AA+ to AA-
|
997
|
303
|
2,446
|
3,746
|
1,994
|
S&P – A+ to A-
|
640
|
96
|
72
|
808
|
675
|
S&P – BBB+ to BBB-
|
198
|
184
|
520
|
902
|
193
|
S&P – Other
|
77
|
63
|
113
|
253
|
149
|
|
3,997
|
987
|
3,357
|
8,341
|
5,295
|
Moody’s – Aaa
|
382
|
54
|
58
|
494
|
201
|
Moody’s – Aa1 to Aa3
|
77
|
20
|
11
|
108
|
45
|
Moody’s – A1 to A3
|
80
|
287
|
31
|
398
|
28
|
Moody’s – Baa1 to Baa3
|
50
|
6
|
4
|
60
|
19
|
Moody’s – Other
|
8
|
39
|
3
|
50
|
58
|
|
597
|
406
|
107
|
1,110
|
351
|
Fitch
|
7
|
30
|
4
|
41
|
0
|
Other
|
600
|
466
|
555
|
1,621
|
1,274
|
Total debt securities
|
5,201
|
1,889
|
4,023
|
11,113
|
6,920
|
The increase in holdings of debt securities for Asian insurance operations was principally due to exchange rate movements, a rise in the number of unit trusts and similar funds requiring consolidation and portfolio changes from equities to bonds.
Of the £555 million (2007: £598 million) of debt securities for other business which are not rated in the table above, £231 million (2007: £317 million) are in respected of government bonds, £221 million (2007: £83 million) corporate bonds rated as investment grade by local external ratings agencies and nil (2007: £71 million) structured deposits issued by banks which are themselves rated but where the specific deposits have not been.
(iv) Asset management operations
Total debt securities for asset management operations of £991 million (2007: £882 million), include £959 million (2007: £841 million) related to M&G's Prudential Capital operations which were all AAA to A- where S&P rated or Aaa by Moody's.
(v) Group exposure to holdings in asset-backed securities and monoline insurers
(a) Asset-backed securities
The Group's exposure to holdings in asset-backed securities, which comprise residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), CDO funds and other asset-backed securities (ABS), at 31 December 2008 is as follows:
|
2008 £m |
Shareholder-backed operations: |
|
UK insurance operations (note (i)) |
1,075 |
US insurance operations (note (ii)) |
7,464 |
Asian insurance operations (note (iii)) |
15 |
Other operations (note (iv)) |
407 |
|
8,961 |
With-profits operations: |
|
UK insurance operations (note (i)) |
4,977 |
Asian insurance operations (note (iii)) |
328 |
|
5,305 |
|
|
Total |
14,266 |
(i) UK insurance operations
The UK insurance operations' exposure to asset-backed securities at 31 December 2008 comprises:
|
2008 £m |
Shareholder-backed business (70% AAA, 19% AA) |
1,075 |
With-profits operations (74% AAA, 10% AA) |
4,977 |
Total |
6,052 |
The UK insurance operations' exposure to asset-backed securities is mainly made up of exposure to AAA rated securities as shown in the table above.
All of the £1,075 million exposure of the shareholder-backed business relates to the UK market and primarily relates to investments held by PRIL. £2,721 million of the £4,977 million (2007: £5,565 million) exposure of the with-profits operations relates to exposure to the UK market while the remaining £2,256 million relates to exposure to the US market.
(ii) US insurance operations
US insurance operations' exposure to asset-backed securities at 31 December 2008 comprises:
|
2008 £m |
RMBS Sub-prime (91% AAA, 3% AA) |
291 |
Alt-A (60% AAA, 15% AA) |
646 |
Prime (87% AAA, 5% AA) |
3,572 |
CMBS (85% AAA, 9% AA) |
1,869 |
CDO funds (34% AAA, 14% AA)*, including £6m exposure to sub-prime |
320 |
ABS (31% AAA, 16% AA), including £51m exposure to sub-prime |
766 |
Total |
7,464 |
* Including the Group's economic interest in Piedmont and other consolidated CDO funds.
(iii) Asian insurance operations
The Asian insurance operations' exposure to asset-backed securities is primarily held by the with-profits operations.
The £328 million asset-backed securities exposure of the Asian with-profit operations comprises:
|
2008 £m |
RMBS - all without sub-prime exposure |
46 |
CMBS |
88 |
CDO funds and ABS |
194 |
Total |
328 |
The £328 million includes £259 million held by investment funds consolidated under IFRS in recognition of the control arrangements for those funds and included an amount not owned by the Group with a corresponding liability of £32 million on the balance sheet for net asset value attributable to external unit-holders in respect of these funds, which are non-recourse to the Group. Of the £328 million, 70% are investment graded by Standard & Poor's.
(iv) Other operations
Other operations' exposure to asset-backed securities at 31 December 2008 is held by Prudential Capital and comprises:
|
2008 £m |
RMBS Prime (75% AAA, 10% AA) |
106 |
CMBS (68% AAA, 20% AA) |
230 |
CDO funds - all without sub-prime exposure (AAA) |
38 |
ABS (92% AAA) |
33 |
Total |
407 |
(b) Direct holdings in monoline insurers
The Group has no significant exposure to direct holdings in monoline insurers at 31 December 2008.
N Debt securities of US insurance operations: Valuation basis, accounting presentation of gains and losses and
securities in an unrealised loss position
(i) Valuation basis
Under IAS 39, unless categorised as 'held to maturity' debt securities are required to be fair valued. Where available, quoted market prices are used. However, where securities are in inactive markets, IAS 39 requires that valuation techniques be applied.
Jackson has previously utilised prices provided by a pricing service or has used various broker quotes to value debt securities. For most securities in the portfolio this practice has continued where the valuation basis reflects either quoted prices or fair values using valuation techniques of these providers that correspond to the requirements of IAS 39.
However, the current market dislocations have caused a reassessment of the valuation process for certain securities in inactive markets. In particular, beginning at the end of the third quarter of 2008, the external prices obtained for certain asset-backed securities were deemed to be inappropriate in the current market conditions.
For the valuations at 31 December 2008, Jackson has therefore utilised internal valuation models, provided by PPM America, to derive fair values of all non agency Residential Mortgage-backed Securities and Asset-backed Securities and certain Commercial Mortgage-backed securities. The use of internal valuation models has resulted in a fair value of these securities that was higher than those provided from pricing services and brokers of £760 million on a total amortised cost of £3.5 billion.
(ii) Accounting presentation of gains and losses
With the exception of debt securities of US insurance operations classified as 'available-for-sale' under IAS 39, unrealised value movements on the Group's investments are booked within the income statement. For with-profits operations, such value movements are reflected in changes to asset share liabilities to policyholders or the liability for unallocated surplus. For shareholder-backed operations, the unrealised value movements form part of the total return for the year booked in the profit before tax attributable to shareholders. Separately, as noted elsewhere and in note D in this announcement, and as applied previously, the Group provides a supplementary analysis of this profit distinguishing operating profit based on longer-term investment return and short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
However, for debt securities classified as 'available-for-sale', unless impaired, fair value movements are recorded as a movement in shareholder reserves direct to equity. Impairments are recorded in the income statement as shown in note F of this announcement. This classification is applied for most of the debt securities of the Group's US insurance operations.
(iii) 2008 movements in unrealised gains and losses
In general, the debt securities of the Group's US insurance operations are purchased with the intention and the ability to hold them for the longer-term. In 2008 there was a movement in the balance sheet value for these debt securities classified as available-for-sale from a net unrealised loss of £136 million to a net unrealised loss of £2,897 million. During 2008, US interest rates continued to fall and the yield curve further steepened. Offsetting the positive effect on bond values for these changes were adverse market price effects resulting from increasing credit spreads and global credit concerns. As a result of these factors, the gross unrealised gain in the balance sheet decreased from £303 million at 31 December 2007 to £281 million at 31 December 2008, while the gross unrealised loss increased from £439 million at 31 December 2007 to £3,178 million at 31 December 2008.
These features are included in the table shown below of the movements in the values of available-for-sale securities.
|
31 Dec 2008
|
Changes in
unrealised appreciation* |
Foreign
Exchange
translation
|
31 Dec 2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Assets fair valued at below book value
|
|
|
|
|
Book value
|
20,600
|
|
|
10,730
|
Unrealised loss
|
(3,178)
|
(2,572)
|
(167)
|
(439)
|
Fair value (as included in balance sheet)
|
17,422
|
|
|
10,291
|
Assets fair valued at or above book value
|
|
|
|
|
Book value
|
6,296
|
|
|
8,041
|
Unrealised gain
|
281
|
(138)
|
116
|
303
|
Fair value (as included in balance sheet)
|
6,577
|
|
|
8,344
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
Book value
|
26,896
|
|
|
18,771
|
Net unrealised (loss) gains
|
(2,897)
|
(2,710)
|
(51)
|
(136)
|
Fair value (as included in balance sheet)**
|
23,999
|
|
|
18,635
|
Reflected as part of movement in shareholders’ equity
|
|
|
|
|
Movement in unrealised appreciation
|
(2,710)
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements
|
(51)
|
|
|
|
|
(2,761)
|
|
|
|
*Translated at the closing rate of $1.44 : £1
** Debt securities for US operations included in the balance sheet of £24,249 million, and as referred to in note M, comprise £23,999 million for securities classified as available-for-sale, as shown above, and £250 million for securities of consolidated investment funds classified as fair value through profit and loss.
Included within the movement in unrealised valuation losses for the debt securities of Jackson of £2,572 million was an amount of £134 million relating to the sub-prime and Alt-A securities for which the carrying values at 31 December 2008 are shown in the note below.
(iv) Securities in unrealised loss position
The following tables show some key attributes of those securities that are in an unrealised loss position at 31 December 2008.
(a) Fair value of securities as a percentage of book value
The unrealised losses in the Jackson balance sheet on unimpaired securities are £3,178 million (2007: £439 million) relating to assets with fair market value and book value of £17,422 million (2007: £10,291 million) and £20,600 million (2007: £10,730 million) respectively. The following table shows the fair value of the securities in a gross unrealised loss position for various percentages of book value:
|
2008 |
2007 |
||
|
Fair value £m |
Unrealised loss £m |
Fair value £m |
Unrealised loss £m |
Between 90% and 100% |
8,757 |
(431) |
9,370 |
(274) |
Between 80% and 90% |
4,581 |
(809) |
784 |
(122) |
Below 80% |
4,084 |
(1,938) |
137 |
(43) |
|
17,422 |
(3,178) |
10,291 |
(439) |
Included within the table above, showing the fair value of securities in an unrealised loss position at 31 December 2008 as a percentage of book value, are amounts relating to sub-prime and Alt-A securities of:
|
2008 |
2007 |
|
Fair value £m |
Unrealised loss £m |
Fair value £m |
Unrealised loss £m |
Between 90% and 100% |
479 |
(27) |
572 |
(24) |
Between 80% and 90% |
120 |
(19) |
132 |
(22) |
Below 80% |
192 |
(166) |
28 |
(10) |
|
791 |
(212) |
732 |
(56) |
(b) Aged analysis of unrealised losses for the periods indicated
The following table shows the age analysis of all the unrealised losses in the portfolio by reference to the length of time the securities have been in an unrealised loss position:
|
2008
|
2007
|
||||
|
Non investment grade
|
Investment grade
|
Total
|
Non investment grade
|
Investment grade
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Less than 6 months
|
(108)
|
(362)
|
(470)
|
(9)
|
(58)
|
(67)
|
6 months to 1 year
|
(125)
|
(1,164)
|
(1,289)
|
(21)
|
(115)
|
(136)
|
1 year to 2 years
|
(154)
|
(622)
|
(776)
|
(2)
|
(21)
|
(23)
|
2 years to 3 years
|
(15)
|
(91)
|
(106)
|
(34)
|
(140)
|
(174)
|
More than 3 years
|
(61)
|
(476)
|
(537)
|
(2)
|
(37)
|
(39)
|
|
(463)
|
(2,715)
|
(3,178)
|
(68)
|
(371)
|
(439)
|
At 31 December 2008, the gross unrealised losses in the balance sheet for the sub-prime and Alt-A securities in an unrealised loss position were £212 million (2007: £56 million), as shown above in note (a). Of these losses £91 million (2007: £37 million) relate to securities that have been in an unrealised loss position for less than one year and £121 million (2007: £19 million) to securities that have been in an unrealised loss position for more than one year.
(c) Unrealised losses by maturity of security
|
|
|
2008
£m
|
2007
£m
|
Less than 1 year
|
|
|
(21)
|
(1)
|
1 year to 5 years
|
|
|
(537)
|
(54)
|
5 years to 10 years
|
|
|
(1,236)
|
(164)
|
More than 10 years
|
|
|
(395)
|
(60)
|
Mortgage-backed and other debt securities
|
|
|
(989)
|
(160)
|
Total
|
|
|
(3,178)
|
(439)
|
O Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations:
|
|
|
Perpetual subordinated capital securities (Innovative Tier 1*)
|
1,059
|
763
|
Subordinated notes (Lower Tier 2*)
|
928
|
807
|
Senior debt ***:
|
|
|
2009
|
249
|
248
|
2023
|
300
|
300
|
2029
|
249
|
249
|
Holding company total
|
2,785
|
2,367
|
Jackson surplus notes (Lower Tier 2*)
|
173
|
125
|
Total (per consolidated balance sheet)
|
2,958
|
2,492
|
Less: Holding company** cash and short-term investments (recorded within the consolidated
balance sheet)
|
(1,165)
|
(1,456)
|
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
|
1,793
|
1,036
|
* These debt classifications are consistent with the treatment of capital for regulatory purposes, as defined in the
FSA handbook.
P Other borrowings
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed operations
|
|
|
Borrowings in respect of short-term fixed income securities programmes
|
1,278
|
2,477
|
Non-recourse borrowings of US operations
|
511
|
591
|
Other borrowings
|
188
|
13
|
Total
|
1,977
|
3,081
|
Borrowings attributable to with-profits operations
|
|
|
Non-recourse borrowings of consolidated investment funds
|
1,161
|
789
|
£100m 8.5%undated subordinated guaranteed bonds of the Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund
|
100
|
100
|
Other borrowings (predominantly obligations under finance leases)
|
47
|
98
|
Total
|
1,308
|
987
|
Q Adoption of the principles of IFRIC 14 for accounting for pension schemes
As mentioned in note B, the Group has adopted IFRIC 14 for pension schemes in 2008. IFRIC 14 gives guidance on assessing the limit in IAS 19 on the amount of surplus in a defined benefit pension scheme that can be recognised as an asset thereby providing reliable and more relevant information. The recognition of an asset is restricted to those that are demonstrably recoverable, either by refund or reduction in future contributions. It also addresses when a minimum funding requirement might give rise to a liability. The assessment of recoverability and any additional liability is made by reference to the terms of the Trust Deed of pension schemes and, unless substantively enacted or contractually agreed, with no account taken of potential changes to current funding arrangements.
This adoption of the principles of IFRIC 14 has had an effect on the Group's interest in the financial position of the Group's main UK defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The change relates solely to the accounting measurement of the Group's interest in the financial position of PSPS. Adoption of the principles of IFRIC 14 does not affect the Group's interest in the Group's other defined benefit pension schemes.
Under the terms of the Trust Deed, the Group has no unconditional right of refund to any surplus in PSPS. Also, the Group has no ability under the guidance in IFRIC 14 to anticipate a reduction in the level of future contributions for ongoing services from those currently being paid. In addition, the Group currently has a committed five-year deficit funding arrangement in place as agreed with the Trustees of PSPS following the last triennial valuation of PSPS as at 5 April 2005.
The asset and liabilities of PSPS are unaffected by the impact of the change in accounting policy. PSPS is managed on an economic basis for the longer-term benefit of its current and deferred pensioners and active members. The surplus in PSPS is available to absorb future adverse asset value movements and, if required, strengthening in mortality assumptions. The fluctuating nature of the surplus is demonstrated by the increase in the underlying gross surplus from £528 million at 31 December 2007 to £728 million at 31 December 2008.
The summary effect of the adoption of IFRIC 14
In respect of the position at 31 December 2008, the Group has not recognised the underlying PSPS pension surplus of £728 million (£615 million net of deferred tax), reflecting the difference between the market value of the scheme assets and the discounted value of the liabilities, which would have otherwise been recognised as an asset on its balance sheet under the previous policy. In addition, the Group has recognised a liability for deficit funding to 5 April 2010 of £65 million (£55 million net of deferred tax) in respect of PSPS. The amounts attributable to shareholders are £223 million (£160 million net of deferred tax) for the surplus not recognised as an asset and £20 million (£15 million net of deferred tax) for the additional liability for deficit funding. In total the impact on shareholders' equity at 31 December 2008 is a reduction of £175 million as shown below.
The 2007 comparative figures in these statutory basis results have been adjusted accordingly for the adoption of IFRIC 14.
The effect of the change on the consolidated income statement, earnings per share and consolidated balance sheet are as follows:
|
Adjustments
incorporated
in the results
|
Adjustments made to the previously published results
|
|
Consolidated Income Statement
|
2008 £m
|
2007 £m
|
|
|
Increase (decrease) in profit
|
||
Investment return
|
47
|
4
|
|
Benefit and claims and movement in unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
66
|
205
|
|
Other operating expenditure
|
(173)
|
(336)
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax (being tax attributable to shareholders’ and the policyholders’ returns)
|
(60)
|
(127)
|
|
Tax attributable to policyholders’ returns
|
11
|
24
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax attributable to shareholders
|
(49)
|
(103)
|
|
Tax attributable to shareholders’ (loss) profit
|
13
|
28
|
|
Loss from continuing operations after tax / loss for the year
|
(36)
|
(75)
|
|
Earnings per share
|
Decrease in earning per share
(in pence)
|
|
|
Basic and diluted based on (loss) profit from continuing operations attributable to equity holders of the company
|
(1.5)p
|
(3.1)p
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consolidated balance sheet
|
Increase (decrease) in shareholders’ equity
|
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Deferred tax assets
|
10
|
26
|
|
Other debtors
|
(625)
|
(388)
|
|
Policyholders liability – contract liabilities (including amounts in respect of contracts classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4)
|
(103)
|
(140)
|
|
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
495
|
392
|
|
Deferred tax liabilities
|
113
|
73
|
|
Provisions
|
(65)
|
(102)
|
|
Shareholders’ equity
|
(175)
|
(139)
|
|
Effect on the Group's supplementary analysis of (loss) profit and movements in shareholders' equity:
|
2008
|
2007
|
||||
|
Previous |
Effect of adoption of IFRIC 14
|
Revised basis
|
As
previously published |
Effect of adoption of IFRIC 14
|
After
change |
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
|
1,371
|
(24)
|
1,347
|
1,213
|
(12)
|
1,201
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business
|
(1,783)
|
–
|
(1,783)
|
(137)
|
–
|
(137)
|
Shareholders’ share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
11
|
(25)
|
(14)
|
90
|
(91)
|
(1)
|
(Loss) profit before tax
|
(401)
|
(49)
|
(450)
|
1,166
|
(103)
|
1,063
|
Tax
|
46
|
13
|
59
|
(382)
|
28
|
(354)
|
(Loss) profit after tax
|
(355)
|
(36)
|
(391)
|
784
|
(75)
|
709
|
Profits from discontinued operations
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
241
|
–
|
241
|
Less minority interests
|
(5)
|
–
|
(5)
|
(3)
|
–
|
(3)
|
(Loss) profit for the year
|
(360)
|
(36)
|
(396)
|
1,022
|
(75)
|
947
|
Other movements in reserves
|
(608)
|
–
|
(608)
|
(309)
|
–
|
(309)
|
Shareholders’ equity at the beginning of the year
|
6,201
|
(139)
|
6,062
|
5,488
|
(64)
|
5,424
|
Shareholders’ equity at the end of the year
|
5,233
|
(175)
|
5,058
|
6,201
|
(139)
|
6,062
|
R Intended sale of legacy agency book and agency force in Taiwan to China Life Insurance of Taiwan
On 20 February 2009, the Company announced that it had entered into an agreement to sell the assets and liabilities of its agency distribution business and its agency force in Taiwan to China Life Insurance Company Ltd of Taiwan for the nominal sum of NT$1 subject to regulatory approval. In addition, the Company will invest £45 million to purchase a 9.95 per cent stake in China Life through a share placement. The business to be transferred represents 94 per cent of Prudential's' in-force liabilities in Taiwan and includes Prudential's legacy interest rate guaranteed products with IFRS basis gross assets at 31 December 2008 of £4.5 billion.
After taking account of IFRS shareholders' funds of the business at 31 December 2008 and restructuring and other costs the Group's IFRS shareholders' funds are expected to decrease by approximately £595 million. In addition, on completion, there will be a net increase in the Company's Insurance Group's Directive surplus of approximately £800 million.
The movement in shareholders' IFRS equity for the total Taiwan life business for 2008 comprised:
|
£m
|
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
|
60
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
|
(65)
|
Shareholders’ share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(3)
|
Loss before tax
|
(8)
|
Total tax
|
(8)
|
Loss for the financial year
|
(16)
|
Minority interests
|
0
|
Investments by Parent Company (note (ii))
|
93
|
Exchange and other reserve movements
|
111
|
Net movement
|
188
|
Equity brought forward at 1 January 2008
|
289
|
Equity carried forward at 31 December 2008 (note(i))
|
477
|
(i) The carrying value of the IFRS equity reflects the application of 'grandfathered' US GAAP under IFRS 4. This does not, and is
not designed to include the cost of holding economic capital, to support the legacy interest rate guaranteed products as
recognised for reporting under the Company's supplementary reporting basis under European Embedded Value principles.
(ii) Comprising £66 million for solvency capital and £27 million for business development.
S Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets attributable to shareholders.
Significant costs are incurred in connection with acquiring new insurance business. Except for acquisition costs of with-profits contracts of the UK regulated with-profits funds, which are accounted for under the realistic FSA regime, these costs, which vary with, and are primarily related to, the production of new business, are capitalised and amortised against margins in future revenues on the related insurance policies. The recoverability of the asset is measured and the asset is deemed impaired if the projected future margins are less than the carrying value of the asset. To the extent that the future margins differ from those anticipated, then an adjustment to the carrying value of the deferred acquisition cost asset will be necessary.
The deferral and amortisation of acquisition costs is of most relevance to the Group's results for shareholder-financed long-term business of Jackson and Asian operations. The majority of the UK shareholder-backed business are for individual and group annuity business where the incidence of acquisition costs is negligible.
In the case of Jackson for term business, acquisition costs are deferred and amortised in line with expected premiums. For annuity business, acquisition costs are deferred and amortised in line with expected gross profits on the relevant contracts. For interest-sensitive business, the key assumption is the long-term spread between the earned rate and the rate credited to policyholders, which is based on the annual spread analysis. In addition, expected gross profits depend on mortality assumptions, assumed unit costs and terminations other than deaths (including the related charges), all of which are based on a combination of actual experience of Jackson, industry experience and future expectations. A detailed analysis of actual experience is measured by internally developed mortality studies.
Variable annuity contracts written by Jackson may provide for guaranteed minimum death, income, or withdrawal benefit features. In general terms, liabilities for these benefits are accounted for under US GAAP by using estimates of future benefits
and fees under best estimate assumptions. For variable annuity business the key assumption is the expected long-term level of equity market returns, which for 2008 and 2007 was 8.4 per cent per annum (net of fund management fees) determined using a mean reversion methodology. Under the mean reversion methodology, projected returns over the next five years are flexed (subject to capping) so that, combined with the actual rates of return for the current and the previous two years the 8.4 per cent rate is maintained. The projected rates of return are capped at no more than 15 per cent for each of the next five years. Further details are explained in note E(ii)(b).
These returns affect the level of future expected profits through their effects on the fee income with consequential impact on the amortisation of deferred acquisition costs as described below and the required level of provision for guaranteed minimum death benefit claims.
For traditional life insurance contracts, provisions for future policy benefits are determined under SFAS 60 using the net level premium method and assumptions as of the issue date as to mortality, interest, policy lapses and expenses plus provisions for adverse deviation.
Except to the extent of mortality experience, which primarily affects profits through variations in claim payments and the guaranteed minimum death benefit reserves, the profits of Jackson are relatively insensitive to changes in insurance risk.
The deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets attributable to shareholders comprise:
|
2008 £m
|
2007 £m
|
|
|
|
Deferred acquisition costs relating to insurance and investment management contracts
|
5,205
|
2,757
|
Present value of acquired in-force business and distribution rights
|
144
|
79
|
|
5,349
|
2,836
|
Arising in:
|
|
|
UK insurance operations
|
134
|
157
|
US insurance operations
|
3,962
|
1,928
|
Asia insurance operations
|
1,247
|
745
|
Asset management operations
|
6
|
6
|
|
5,349
|
2,836
|
The movement in the year comprises:
|
2008 £m
|
2007 £m
|
|
|
|
Balance at 1 January
|
2,836
|
2,497
|
Additions
|
959
|
717
|
Amortisation to income statement
|
(551)
|
(424)
|
Exchange differences
|
1,035
|
(42)
|
Change in shadow DAC (note E(ii)(b))
|
1,070
|
88
|
Balance at 31 December
|
5,349
|
2,836
|
T Group Investments and other supplementary information
As for 2007 year-end reporting, the Company has published documents alongside the Company's preliminary announcement for the year ended 31 December 2008, entitled 'Group Investments - IFRS disclosures from the 2008 Annual Report' and 'supplementary information'. These documents include detailed analysis and explanation of the information contained the Group's financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2008 on the Group's investments and some additional unaudited information. The documents have been posted to the Company's website address at www.prudential.co.uk