Prudential plc - HY17 Results - EEV

RNS Number : 5885N
Prudential PLC
10 August 2017
 

European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results

 

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 

Results analysis by business area

 




2017 £m


2016 £m




Half year


Half year

Full year



Note



notes (iii)(iv)

note (iii)

Asia operations






New business

3

1,092


821

2,030

Business in force

4

549


388

1,044

Long-term business


1,641


1,209

3,074

Eastspring Investments


73


53

125

Total


1,714


1,262

3,199

US operations






New business

3

436


311

790

Business in force

4

452


383

1,181

Long-term business


888


694

1,971

Broker-dealer and asset management


(4)


(8)

(3)

Total


884


686

1,968

UK operations






New business

3

161


125

268

Business in force

4

304


259

375

Long-term business


465


384

643

General insurance commission


14


15

23

Total UK insurance operations


479


399

666

M&G


201


181

341

Prudential Capital


5


11

22

Total


685


591

1,029

Other income and expenditurenote (i)


(386)


(302)

(679)

Solvency II and restructuring costsnote (ii)


(27)


(17)

(57)

Interest received from tax settlement


-


37

37

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns


2,870


2,257

5,497







Analysed as profit (loss) from:






New business

3

1,689


1,257

3,088

Business in force

4

1,305


1,030

2,600

Long-term business


2,994


2,287

5,688

Asset management and general insurance commission


289


252

508

Other results


(413)


(282)

(699)



2,870


2,257

5,497

 

Notes

(i)     EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the post-tax IFRS basis result less the unwind of expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note 12(a)(vii)).

(ii)    Solvency II and restructuring costs comprise the net-of-tax charge recognised on an IFRS basis and the additional amount recognised on an EEV basis for the shareholders' share incurred by the PAC with-profits fund.

(iii)   The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the period.

(iv)   The Group completed the sale of its life business in Korea in May 2017. In order to show the results of the retained operations on a comparable basis, operating profit based on longer-term investment returns excludes the results attributable to the sold Korea life business for all periods shown, as described in note 15. For half year 2016 this has resulted in a reclassification of £6 million of operating profit attributable to the Korea life business to non-operating profit. This approach has been adopted consistently throughout this supplementary information.

 

 

POST-TAX SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT














2017 £m


2016 £m


Note

Half year


Half year*

Full year

Asia operations


1,714


1,262

3,199

US operations


884


686

1,968

UK operations


685


591

1,029

Other income and expenditure


(386)


(302)

(679)

Solvency II and restructuring costs


(27)


(17)

(57)

Interest received from tax settlement


-


37

37

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns


2,870


2,257

5,497

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

5

739


479

(507)

Effect of changes in economic assumptions

6

(50)


(1,318)

(60)

Mark to market value movements on core borrowings


(262)


(13)

(4)

Loss attaching to the sold Korea life business

15

-


(11)

(410)

Total non-operating profit (loss)


427


(863)

(981)

Profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company


3,297


1,394

4,516

 

Basic earnings per share








2017


2016



Half year


Half year*

Full year

Based on post-tax operating profit including longer-term investment returns (in pence)


111.9p


88.2p

214.7p

Based on post-tax profit attributable to equity holders of the Company (in pence)


128.5p


54.5p

176.4p

Average number of shares (millions)


2,565


2,558

2,560

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative operating result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

 

MOVEMENT IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

















2017 £m


2016 £m




Note

Half year


Half year

Full year

Profit for the period attributable to equity shareholders


3,297


1,394

4,516

Items taken directly to equity:







Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges


(1,045)


2,663

4,211


Dividends


(786)


(935)

(1,267)


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and








required capital


31


138

(11)


Other reserve movements


55


(165)

(367)

Net increase in shareholders' equity

8

1,552


3,095

7,082

Shareholders' equity at beginning of period


38,968


31,886

31,886

Shareholders' equity at end of period

8

40,520


34,981

38,968

 
















30 Jun 2017 £m


30 Jun 2016 £m


31 Dec 2016 £m

Comprising: 

Long-term

business operations

Asset

manage-ment

and other operations  

Total      


Long-term

business

operations

Asset

manage-

ment

and other operations  

Total     


Long-term

business

operations

Asset

manage-

ment

and other operations  

Total     



note 8











Asia operations

19,851

382

20,233


16,578

352

16,930


18,717

383

19,100

US operations

11,370

202

11,572


10,150

201

10,351


11,805

204

12,009

UK insurance operations

10,865

14

10,879


10,075

37

10,112


10,307

25

10,332

M&G

-

1,868

1,868


-

1,838

1,838


-

1,820

1,820

Prudential Capital

-

61

61


-

31

31


-

22

22

Other operations

-

(4,093)

(4,093)


-

(4,281)

(4,281)


-

(4,315)

(4,315)

Shareholders' equity at end of period

42,086

(1,566)

40,520


36,803

(1,822)

34,981


40,829

(1,861)

38,968














Representing:












Net assets excluding acquired goodwill













and holding company net borrowings

41,841

1,305

43,146


36,545

270

36,815


40,584

961

41,545

Acquired goodwill

245

1,230

1,475


258

1,230

1,488


245

1,230

1,475

Holding company net borrowings













at market valuenote 7

-

(4,101)

(4,101)


-

(3,322)

(3,322)


-

(4,052)

(4,052)


42,086

(1,566)

40,520


36,803

(1,822)

34,981


40,829

(1,861)

38,968

 

 

 

SUMMARY STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION

















2017 £m


2016 £m




Note

30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds


419,810


381,242

407,928

Less insurance funds:*







Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus








of with-profits funds


(404,361)


(366,637)

(393,262)


Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business

8

25,071


20,376

24,302





(379,290)


(346,261)

(368,960)

Total net assets

8

40,520


34,981

38,968









Share capital


129


128

129

Share premium


1,937


1,921

1,927

IFRS basis shareholders' reserves


13,383


12,556

12,610

Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity

8

15,449


14,605

14,666

Additional EEV basis retained profit

8

25,071


20,376

24,302

Total EEV basis shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)

8

40,520


34,981

38,968

 

*     Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.

 

 

Net asset value per share









2017


2016




30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £40,520 million







(half year 2016: £34,981 million, full year 2016: £38,968 million) (in pence)


1,567p


1,356p

1,510p

Number of issued shares at period end (millions)


2,586 


2,579 

2,581 








Annualised return on embedded value*


15%


14%

17%

 

*       Annualised return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity. Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.

 

 

NOTES ON THE EEV BASIS RESULTS

 

1  Basis of preparation

 

The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles dated April 2016, issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of EU-endorsed IFRS.

 

The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. The EEV basis results of half year 2017 and half year 2016 are unaudited. The full year 2016 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2016. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.

 

A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 12.



2  Results analysis by business area

 

The half year 2016 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2016 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2017 average exchange rates.

 

Annual premium equivalents (APE)note 14



Half year 2017 £m


Half year 2016* £m


% change


Note



AER

CER


AER

CER

Asia operations


 1,943


1,605

1,814


21%

7%

US operations


 960


782

889


23%

8%

UK operations**


 721


593

593


22%

22%

Group Total

3

 3,624


2,980

3,296


22%

10%

 

Post-tax operating profit



















Half year 2017 £m


Half year 2016* £m


% change


Note



AER

CER


AER

CER

Asia operations









New business

3

1,092


821

928


33%

18%

Business in force

4

549


388

433


41%

27%

Long-term business


1,641


1,209

1,361


36%

21%

Eastspring Investments


73


53

60


38%

22%

Total


1,714


1,262

1,421


36%

21%

US operations









New business

3

436


311

354


40%

23%

Business in force

4

452


383

435


18%

4%

Long-term business


888


694

789


28%

13%

Broker-dealer and asset management


(4)


(8)

(9)


50%

56%

Total


884


686

780


29%

13%

UK operations









New business

3

161


125

125


29%

29%

Business in force

4

304


259

259


17%

17%

Long-term business


465


384

384


21%

21%

General insurance commission


14


15

15


(7)%

(7)%

Total UK insurance operations


479


399

399


20%

20%

M&G


201


181

181


11%

11%

Prudential Capital


5


11

11


(55)%

(55)%

Total


685


591

591


16%

16%

Other income and expenditure


(386)


(302)

(309)


(28)%

(25)%

Solvency II and restructuring costs


(27)


(17)

(17)


(59)%

(59)%

Interest received from tax settlement


-


37

37


n/a

n/a

Operating profit based on

   longer-term investment returns


2,870


2,257

2,503


27%

15%











Analysed as profit (loss) from:









New business

3

1,689


1,257

1,407


34%

20%

Business in force

4

1,305


1,030

1,127


27%

16%

Total long-term business


2,994


2,287

2,534


31%

18%

Asset management and general insurance commission


289


252

258


15%

12%

Other results


(413)


(282)

(289)


(46)%

(43)%

Operating profit based on

   longer-term investment returns


2,870


2,257

2,503


27%

15%

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative operating result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

**     No UK bulk annuity transactions were recorded in half year 2017 or half year 2016.











Post-tax profit





















Half year 2017 £m


Half year 2016* £m


% change



Note



AER

CER


AER

CER

Operating profit based on longer-term

   investment returns


2,870


2,257

2,503


27%

15%

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

 5

739


479

504


54%

47%

Effect of changes in economic assumptions

 6

(50)


(1,318)

(1,475)


96%

97%

Mark to market value movements on

   core borrowings


(262)


(13)

(14)


(1,915)%

(1,771)%

Loss attaching to the sold Korea life business

15

-


(11)

(12)


n/a

n/a

Total non-operating profit (loss)


427


(863)

(997)


149%

143%

Profit for the period attributable to

   shareholders


3,297


1,394

1,506


137%

119%

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative operating result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

Basic earnings per share (in pence)





















Half year 2017


Half year 2016*


% change






AER

CER


AER

CER

Based on post-tax operating profit

   including longer-term investment returns


111.9p


88.2p

97.8p


27%

14%

Based on post-tax profit


128.5p


54.5p

58.9p


136%

118%

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative operating result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).



3  Analysis of new business contribution

 

(i)    Group summary

 









Half year 2017


Annual premium

and contribution

equivalents (APE)

Present value

of new business

premiums (PVNBP)

New business

contribution


New business margin







APE

PVNBP


£m

£m

£m


%

%


note 14

note 14

note




Asia operationsnote (ii)

 1,943

 10,095

 1,092


56

10.8

US operations

 960

 9,602

 436


45

4.5

UK operations

 721

 6,616

 161


22

2.4

Total

 3,624

 26,313

 1,689


47

6.4









Half year 2016*


Annual premium

and contribution

equivalents (APE)

Present value

of new business

premiums (PVNBP)

New business

contribution


New business margin







APE

PVNBP


£m

£m

£m


%

%


note 14

note 14





Asia operationsnote (ii)

 1,605

 8,679

 821


51

9.5

US operations

 782

 7,816

 311


40

4.0

UK operations

 593

 5,267

 125


21

2.4

Total

 2,980

 21,762

 1,257


42

5.8









Full year 2016


Annual premium

and contribution

equivalents (APE)

Present value

of new business

premiums (PVNBP)

New business

contribution


New business margin







APE

PVNBP


£m

£m

£m


%

%


note 14

note 14





Asia operationsnote (ii)

 3,599

 19,271

 2,030


56

10.5

US operations

 1,561

 15,608

 790


51

5.1

UK operations

 1,160

 10,513

 268


23

2.5

Total

 6,320

 45,392

 3,088


49

6.8

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

Note

The increase in new business contribution of £432 million from £1,257 million for half year 2016 to £1,689 million for half year 2017 comprises an increase on a CER basis of £282 million and an increase of £150 million for foreign exchange effects. The increase of £282 million on a CER basis comprises a contribution of £140 million for higher sales volumes in half year 2017 and a £142 million benefit from movements in long-term interest rates, generated by the active basis of setting economic assumptions (analysed as Asia £74 million, US £62 million and UK £6 million).

 

(ii)  Asia operations - new business contribution by business unit









2017 £m


2016 £m

  

Half year


AER

Half year*

CER

Half year*


AER

Full year

China

67


22

24


63

Hong Kong

706


539

612


1,363

Indonesia

88


87

100


175

Taiwan

27


9

11


31

Other

204


164

181


398

Total Asia operations

1,092


821

928


2,030

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).



4 Operating profit from business in force

 

(i)   Group summary

 







Half year 2017 £m


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

operations

Total


note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)

note

Unwind of discount and other expected returns

499

312

232

1,043

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

6

-

-

6

Experience variances and other items

44

140

72

256

Total

549

452

304

1,305







Half year 2016* £m


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

operations

Total 


note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)


Unwind of discount and other expected returns

373

209

205

787

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

2

-

-

2

Experience variances and other items

13

174

54

241

Total

388

383

259

1,030







Full year 2016 £m


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

operations

Total

 


note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)


Unwind of discount and other expected returns

866

583

445

1,894

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

54

170

25

249

Experience variances and other items

124

428

(95)

457

Total

1,044

1,181

375

2,600

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

Note

The movement in operating profit from business in force of £275 million from £1,030 million for half year 2016 to £1,305 million for half year 2017 comprises:

 




£m

Movement in unwind of discount and other expected returns:



Effects of changes in:




Growth in opening value

105



Interest rates and other economic assumptions

76



Foreign exchange

75




256

Movement in effect of changes in operating assumptions, experience variances and other items (including foreign exchange of £22 million)

19

Net movement in operating profit from business in force

275

 

(ii)  Asia operations









2017 £m


2016 £m



Half year


Half year*

Full year

Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)

499


373

866

Effect of changes in operating assumptions:






Mortality and morbidity

-


-

33


Persistency and withdrawals

3


3

(47)


Expense

3


-

15


Other

-


(1)

53



6


2

54

Experience variances and other items:






Mortality and morbiditynote (b) 

36


27

71


Persistency and withdrawalsnote (c) 

11


(17)

52


Expense

(13)


(8)

(23)


Other

10


11

24



44


13

124

Total Asia operations

549


388

1,044

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

Notes

(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £126 million from £373 million for half year 2016 to £499 million for half year 2017 comprises a positive £45 million effect for the growth in the opening in-force value and a positive £46 million foreign exchange effect, together with a £35 million benefit from the increase in long-term interest rates across most business units since 30 June 2016 and the effect of changes in other economic assumptions (see note 13(i)).

(b)   The positive mortality and morbidity experience variance in half year 2017 of £36 million (half year 2016: £27 million; full year 2016: £71 million) reflects better than expected experience in a number of business units.

(c)   The positive £11 million for persistency and withdrawals experience in half year 2017 comprises positive and negative contributions from various operations, with positive persistency experience on participating and health and protection products more than offsetting negative experience on unit-linked products.

 

(iii) US operations

 



2017 £m


2016 £m



Half year


Half year

Full year

Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)

312


209

583

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

-


-

170







Experience variances and other items:






Spread experience variancenote (b)

42


60

119


Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and lossesnote (c)

47


39

88


Othernote (d)

51


75

221



140


174

428

Total US operations

452


383

1,181

 

Notes                                                                                                                                         

(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £103 million from £209 million for half year 2016 to £312 million for half year 2017 comprises a positive £43 million effect for the underlying growth in the in-force book and a positive £29 million foreign exchange effect, together with a £31 million benefit from the 80 basis points increase in the US 10-year treasury yield since 30 June 2016.

(b)   The spread assumption for Jackson is determined on a longer-term basis, net of provision for defaults (see note 13(ii)). The spread experience variance in half year 2017 of £42 million (half year 2016: £60 million; full year 2016: £119 million) includes the positive effect of transactions previously undertaken to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration. The reduction compared to the prior period reflects the effects of declining yields in the portfolio caused by the prolonged low interest rate environment.

(c)   The amortisation of interest-related gains and losses reflects the fact that when bonds that are neither impaired nor deteriorating are sold and reinvested there will be a consequent change in the investment yield. The realised gain or loss is amortised into the result over the period when the bonds would have otherwise matured to better reflect the long-term returns included in operating profits.

(d)   Other experience variances of £51 million in half year 2017 (half year 2016: £75 million; full year 2016: £221 million) include the effects of positive persistency experience and other variances.

 

(iv)   UK insurance operations

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year

Full year

Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)

232


205

445

Reduction in corporate tax ratenote (b)

-


-

25

Other itemsnote (c)

72


54

(95)

Total UK insurance operations

304


259

375

 

Notes

(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and expected returns of £27 million from £205 million for half year 2016 to £232 million for half year 2017 comprises a positive £17 million effect for the underlying growth in the in-force book and a £10 million effect driven by the 20 basis points increase in the UK 15-year gilt yield since 30 June 2016.

(b)   The full year 2016 credit of £25 million for the reduction in UK corporate tax rate reflected the beneficial effect of applying lower corporation tax rates (see note 13) to future life profits from in-force business in the UK.

(c)   Other items comprise the following:



2017 £m


2016 £m



Half year


Half year

Full year


Longevity reinsurance

(6)


(10)

(90)


Impact of specific management actions to improve solvency position

65


41

110


Provision for cost of undertaking past non-advised annuity sales review and potential redressnote (d)

-


-

(145)


Other itemsnote (e)

13


23

30



72


54

(95)

 

(d)   In response to the findings of the FCA's Thematic Review of Annuities Sales Practices, the UK business will review all internally vesting annuities sold without advice after 1 July 2008. Reflecting this, the UK full year 2016 result included a provision of £145 million (post-tax) for the estimated cost of the review and any appropriate customer redress, but excluded any potential for insurance recoveries. Other than to cover the small amount of costs incurred in the period, no change has been made to this provision as at 30 June 2017.

(e)   The half year 2017 credit of £13 million (half year 2016: £23 million; full year 2016: £30 million) comprises experience variances for mortality, expense and other items.



5 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

 

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns included in profit for the period arise as follows:

 

(i)   Group summary

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year*

Full year

Asia operationsnote (ii)

544


373

(100)

US operationsnote (iii)

(126)


(237)

(1,102)

UK insurance operationsnote (iv)

215


506

869

Other operationsnote (v)

106


(163)

(174)

Total

739


479

(507)

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

(ii)   Asia operations

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for Asia operations comprise:

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year*

Full year

Hong Kong

371


237

(105)

Singapore

85


26

52

Other

88


110

(47)

Total Asia operationsnote

544


373

(100)

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

Note

For half year 2017, the credit of £544 million principally arises from unrealised gains on bonds driven by decreases in long-term interest rates across the business units (as shown in note 13(i)) and higher than assumed returns on equities backing with-profits business in Hong Kong.

 

(iii)  US operations

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise:

 



2017 £m


2016 £m



Half year


Half year

Full year

Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)

-


(64)

(85)

Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force

   variable annuity business in future periods based on current period separate account

   return, net of related hedging activity and other itemsnote (b)

(126)


(173)

(1,017)

Total US operations

(126)


(237)

(1,102)

 

Notes

(a)   The net result relating to fixed income securities reflects a number of offsetting items as follows:

-      the impact on portfolio yields of changes in the asset portfolio in the period;

-      the excess of actual realised gains and losses over the amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses recorded in the profit and loss account; and

-      credit experience (versus the longer-term assumption).

(b)   This item reflects the net impact of:

-      changes in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the difference between the actual growth in separate account asset values of 7.9 per cent and that assumed of 2.9 per cent for the period ended 30 June 2017; and

-      related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity-related hedges and interest rate options, and other items.

 

(iv) UK insurance operations

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations comprise:

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year

Full year

Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)

204


335

431

With-profits and othernote (b)

11


171

438

Total UK operations

215


506

869

 

Notes

(a)   Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business includes:

-      gains on surplus assets compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions in corporate bond and gilt yields; and

-      the difference between actual and expected default experience.

(b)   The positive £11 million fluctuation in half year 2017 for with-profits and other business represents the impact of achieving a 4.3 per cent pre-tax return on the with-profits fund (including unallocated surplus) compared to the assumed rate of return of 2.6 per cent for the period ended 30 June 2017 (half year 2016: achieved return of 5.3 per cent compared to assumed rate of 2.3 per cent; full year 2016: achieved return of 13.6 per cent compared to assumed rate of 5.0 per cent), partially offset by the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund entered into to protect future shareholder with-profit transfers from movements in the UK equity market.

 

(v) Other operations

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for other operations of positive £106 million (half year 2016: negative £(163) million; full year 2016: negative £(174) million) include unrealised value movements on financial instruments held outside of the main life operations.



6  Effect of changes in economic assumptions

 

The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business included in the profit for the period arise as follows:

 

(i)    Group summary

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year*

Full year

Asia operationsnote (ii)

55


(559)

70

US operationsnote (iii)

(159)


(542)

45

UK insurance operationsnote (iv)

54


(217)

(175)

Total

(50)


(1,318)

(60)

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

(ii)   Asia operations

The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia operations comprises:

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year*

Full year

Hong Kong

(72)


(483)

85

Indonesia

67


89

46

Malaysia

(20)


9

(20)

Singapore

59


(20)

(60)

Taiwan

(16)


(78)

12

Other

37


(76)

7

Total Asia operationsnote

55


(559)

70

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

Note

The positive effect for half year 2017 of £55 million largely arises from the movements in long-term interest rates (see note 13(i)), with losses arising from lower interest rates and hence lower fund earned rates in Hong Kong, Malaysia and Taiwan, more than offset by profits arising from the beneficial impact of valuing future profits at lower discount rates in Indonesia and Singapore, together with £117 million for the net effect of various changes to the basis of setting economic assumptions (see note 12(a)(viii) and note 13(i)).

 

(iii)  US operations

The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations comprises:

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year

Full year

Variable annuity business

(194)


(709)

86

Fixed annuity and other general account business

35


167

(41)

Total US operationsnote

(159)


(542)

45

 

Note

For half year 2017, the charge of £(159) million mainly reflects the decrease in the assumed separate account return and reinvestment rates for variable annuity business, following the 20 basis points decrease in the US 10-year treasury yield in the period, resulting in lower projected fee income and an increase in projected benefit costs. For fixed annuity and other general account business, the impact reflects the effect on the present value of future projected spread income of applying a lower discount rate on the opening value of the in-force book.

 

(iv)  UK insurance operations

The effect of changes in economic assumptions for UK insurance operations comprises:

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year

Full year

Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)

-


(24)

(113)

With-profits and other businessnote (b)

54


(193)

(62)

Total UK insurance operations

54


(217)

(175)

 

Notes

(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business, the overall net nil result for half year 2017 reflects the increase in the risk-free yield curve (as shown in note 13(iii)) being offset by a decrease in spreads.

(b)   The credit of £54 million for half year 2017 mainly results from higher expected future fund earned rates following the increases in the risk-free yield curve and expected investment return on overseas equities (as shown in note 13(iii)).



7 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations

 




2017 £m



2016 £m




30 Jun



30 Jun


31 Dec



IFRS

basis

EEV

basis at

market

value


IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value


IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value

Holding company (including central finance

subsidiaries) cash and short-term investments

(2,657)

-

(2,657)


(2,546)

-

(2,546)


(2,626)

-

(2,626)

Central funds













Subordinated debt

5,598

443

6,041


4,956

192

5,148


5,772

182

5,954


Senior debt

549

168

717


549

171

720


549

175

724



6,147

611

6,758


5,505

363

5,868


6,321

357

6,678

Holding company net borrowings

3,490

611

4,101


2,959

363

3,322


3,695

357

4,052

Prudential Capital bank loan

275

-

275


275

-

275


275

-

275

Jackson Surplus Notes

192

62

254


186

63

249


202

65

267

Net core structural borrowings of

   shareholder-financed operations

3,957

673

4,630


3,420

426

3,846


4,172

422

4,594

 

 

8  Reconciliation of movement in shareholders' equity

 



Half year 2017 £m


Long-term business operations


Asset management and UK general insurance commission


Other operations


Group

Total


Asia operations


US

operations


UK

insurance operations


Total

long-term business

operations


























note (i)










note (i)



Operating profit (based on longer-term

   investment returns)














Long-term business:















New businessnote 3

1,092


436


161


1,689


-


-


1,689


Business in forcenote 4

549


452


304


1,305


-


-


1,305


1,641


888


465


2,994


-


-


2,994

Asset management and general

   insurance commission

-


-


-


-


289


-


289

Other results

-


-


(6)


(6)


-


(407)


(413)

Operating profit based on longer-term

   investment returns

1,641


888


459


2,988


289


(407)


2,870

Non-operating items

599


(290)


269


578


68


(219)


427

Profit for the period

2,240


598


728


3,566


357


(626)


3,297

Other items taken directly to equity














Exchange movements on foreign operations

   and net investment hedges

(611)


(579)


-


(1,190)


(11)


156


(1,045)

Intra-group dividends and investment in

   operationsnote (ii)

(381)


(481)


(190)


(1,052)


(272)


1,324


-

External dividends

-


-


-




-


(786)


(786)

Mark to market value movements on Jackson

   assets backing surplus and required capital

-


31


-


31


-


-


31

Other movementsnote (iii)

(114)


(4)


20


(98)


(1)


154


55

Net increase in shareholders' equity

1,134


(435)


558


1,257


73


222


1,552

Shareholders' equity at beginning of period

18,472


11,805


10,307


40,584


2,454


(4,070)


38,968

Shareholders' equity at end of period

19,606


11,370


10,865


41,841


2,527


(3,848)


40,520















Representing:














Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity:















Net assets (liabilities)

4,935


5,011


6,213


16,159


1,297


(3,482)


13,974


Goodwill

-


-


-


-


1,230


245


1,475

Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity

4,935


5,011


6,213


16,159


2,527


(3,237)


15,449

Additional retained profit (loss) on an

   EEV basisnote (iv)

14,671


6,359


4,652


25,682


-


(611)


25,071

EEV basis shareholders' equity

19,606


11,370


10,865


41,841


2,527


(3,848)


40,520















Balance at beginning of period:














Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity:















Net assets (liabilities)

4,747


5,204


5,974


15,925


1,224


(3,958)


13,191


Goodwill

-


-


-


-


1,230


245


1,475

Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity

4,747


5,204


5,974


15,925


2,454


(3,713)


14,666

Additional retained profit (loss) on an

   EEV basisnote (iv)

13,725


6,601


4,333


24,659


-


(357)


24,302

EEV basis shareholders' equity

18,472


11,805


10,307


40,584


2,454


(4,070)


38,968

 

Notes

(i)     Other operations of £(3,848) million represents the shareholders' equity of £(4,093) million for other operations as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity and includes goodwill of £245 million (half year 2016: £258 million; full year 2016: £245 million) related to Asia long-term operations.

(ii)    Intra-group dividends represent dividends that have been declared in the period and investment in operations reflect increases in share capital. The amounts included in note 10 for these items are as per the holding company cash flow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, foreign exchange and other non-cash items.

(iii)   Other movements include reserve movements in respect of the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, share capital subscribed, share-based payments and treasury shares and intra-group transfers between operations which have no overall effect on the Group's embedded value.

(iv)   The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for Other operations primarily represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a charge of £(611) million (half year 2016: £(363) million; full year 2016: £(357) million), as shown in note 7.

 

 

9 Analysis of movement in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business

 



Half year 2017 £m








Total







Value of

long-term



Free

Required

Total net


in-force

business



surplus

capital

 worth


business

operations



note  10




note


Group







Shareholders' equity at beginning of period

5,351

10,296

15,647


24,937

40,584

New business contribution

(571)

354

(217)


1,906

1,689

Existing business - transfer to net worth

1,719

(363)

1,356


(1,356)

-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4

66

108

174


869

1,043

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

348

(145)

203


59

262

Solvency II and restructuring costs

(6)

-

(6)


-

(6)

Post-tax operating profit

1,556

(46)

1,510


1,478

2,988

Sale of Korea life businessnote 15

76

(76)

-


-

-

Other non-operating items

(38)

20

(18)


596

578

Profit after tax from long-term business

1,594

(102)

1,492


2,074

3,566

Exchange movements on foreign operations and

   net investment hedges

(144)

(139)

(283)


(907)

(1,190)

Intra-group dividends and investment in operations

(1,052)

-

(1,052)


-

(1,052)

Other movements

(67)

-

(67)


-

(67)

Shareholders' equity at end of period

5,682

10,055

15,737


26,104

41,841









Asia operations







New business contribution

(283)

77

(206)


1,298

1,092

Existing business - transfer to net worth

673

(58)

615


(615)

-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4

19

29

48


451

499

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

71

(51)

20


30

50

Post-tax operating profit

480

(3)

477


1,164

1,641

Sale of Korea life businessnote 15

76

(76)

-


-

-

Other non-operating items

192

40

232


367

599

Profit after tax from long-term business

748

(39)

709


1,531

2,240









US operations







New business contribution

(246)

220

(26)


462

436

Existing business - transfer to net worth

715

(132)

583


(583)

-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4

29

28

57


255

312

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

57

(4)

53


87

140

Post-tax operating profit

555

112

667


221

888

Non-operating items

(470)

(109)

(579)


289

(290)

Profit after tax from long-term business

85

3

88


510

598









UK insurance operations







New business contribution

(42)

57

15


146

161

Existing business - transfer to net worth

331

(173)

158


(158)

-

Expected return on existing businessnote 4

18

51

69


163

232

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

220

(90)

130


(58)

72

Solvency II and restructuring costs

(6)

-

(6)


-

(6)

Post-tax operating profit

521

(155)

366


93

459

Non-operating items

240

89

329


(60)

269

Profit after tax from long-term business

761

(66)

695


33

728

 

Note

The net value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital as shown below:

 



30 Jun 2017 £m


31 Dec 2016 £m



Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term business operations

Value of in-force business before

   deduction of cost of capital and time

   value of guarantees

16,359

8,525

3,422

28,306


15,371

8,584

3,468

27,423

Cost of capital

(503)

(275)

(613)

(1,391)


(477)

(319)

(692)

(1,488)

Cost of time value of guarantees

(51)

(760)

-

(811)


(87)

(911)

-

(998)

Net value of in-force business

15,805

7,490

2,809

26,104


14,807

7,354

2,776

24,937

Total net worth

3,801

3,880

8,056

15,737


3,665

4,451

7,531

15,647

Total embedded valuenote 8

19,606

11,370

10,865

41,841


18,472

11,805

10,307

40,584

 

 

10 Analysis of movement in free surplus

 

For EEV covered business, free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles. Free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity, net of goodwill. Free surplus for other operations is taken to be EEV basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity for central operations net of goodwill, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under Solvency II.

 

Free surplus for insurance and asset management operations and Group total free surplus, including other operations, are shown in the tables below.

 

(i)   Underlying free surplus generated - insurance and asset management operations

The half year 2016 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2016 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2017 average exchange rates. 

 


Half year 2017 £m


Half year 2016* £m


% change




AER

CER


AER

CER

Asia operations








Underlying free surplus generated from

   in-force life business

763


600

679


27%

12%

Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)

(283)


(228)

(257)


(24)%

(10)%

Long-term business

480


372

422


29%

14%

Eastspring Investmentsnote (iii)(b)

73


53

60


38%

22%

Total

553


425

482


30%

15%

US operations








Underlying free surplus generated from

   in-force life business

801


701

797


14%

1%

Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)

(246)


(209)

(238)


(18)%

(3)%

Long-term business

555


492

559


13%

(1)%

Broker-dealer and asset managementnote (iii)(b)

(4)


(8)

(9)


50%

56%

Total

551


484

550


14%

0%

UK insurance operations








Underlying free surplus generated from

   in-force life business

563


555

555


1%

1%

Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)

(42)


(56)

(56)


25%

25%

Long-term business

521


499

499


4%

4%

General insurance commissionnote (iii)(b)

14


15

15


(7)%

(7)%

Total

535


514

514


4%

4%

M&Gnote (iii)(b)

201


181

181


11%

11%

Prudential Capitalnote (iii)(b)

5


11

11


(55)%

(55)%

Underlying free surplus generated from

   insurance and asset management operations

1,845


1,615

1,738


14%

6%









Representing:








Long-term business:








Expected in-force cash flows (including

   expected return on net assets)

1,785


1,470

1,620


21%

10%

Effects of changes in operating assumptions,

   operating experience variances and other

   operating items

342


386

411


(11)%

(17)%

Underlying free surplus generated from

   in-force life business

2,127


1,856

2,031


15%

5%

Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)

(571)


(493)

(551)


(16)%

(4)%

Total long-term business

1,556


1,363

1,480


14%

5%

Asset management and general insurance

   commissionnote (iii)(b)

289


252

258


15%

12%


1,845


1,615

1,738


14%

6%

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative operating result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

(ii)   Underlying free surplus generated - total Group

 


Half year 2017 £m


Half year 2016* £m


% change




AER

CER


AER

CER

Underlying free surplus generated from

   insurance and asset management operationsnote (iii)(b)

1,845


1,615

1,738


14%

6%

Other income and expenditure net of restructuring

   and Solvency II costsnote (iii) (b)

(407)


(308)

(315)


(32)%

(29)%

Interest received from tax settlement

-


37

37


n/a

n/a

Group underlying free surplus generated,

   including other operations

1,438


1,344

1,460


7%

(2)%

 

*       The half year 2016 comparative operating result has been adjusted to exclude the result attributable to the sold Korea life business (see note 15).

 

 

(iii)  Movement in free surplus


Half year 2017 £m

Long-term business and asset management

operations

 Long-term business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total insurance and asset management operations


Central

and other

operations

Group

total


note 9

note (b)



note (b)


Underlying free surplus generated

1,556

289

1,845


(407)

1,438

Sale of Korea life businessnote 9

76

-

76


-

76

Other non-operating itemsnote (c)

(38)

68

30


41

71


1,594

357

1,951


(366)

1,585

Net cash flows to parent companynote (d)

(1,056)

(174)

(1,230)


1,230

-

External dividends

-

-

-


(786)

(786)

Exchange rate movements, timing differences and

   other itemsnote (e)

(207)

(110)

(317)


231

(86)

Net movement in free surplus

331

73

404


309

713

Balance at beginning of period

5,351

1,224

6,575


1,639

8,214

Balance at end of period

5,682

1,297

6,979


1,948

8,927








Representing:








Asia operations



2,347


-

2,347


US operations



1,950


-

1,950


UK operations



2,682


-

2,682


Other operationsnote (b)



-


1,948

1,948




6,979


1,948

8,927








Balance at beginning of period:








Asia operations



2,142


-

2,142


US operations



2,418


-

2,418


UK operations



2,015


-

2,015


Other operationsnote (b)



-


1,639

1,639




6,575


1,639

8,214

 



Half year 2016 £m

Long-term business and asset management

operations

 Long-term business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total insurance and asset management operations


Central

and other

operations

Group

total




note (b)



note (b)


Underlying free surplus generated

1,363

252

1,615


(271)

1,344

Results of the sold Korea life business

11

-

11


-

11

Other non-operating itemsnote (c)

(829)

(61)

(890)


(129)

(1,019)



545

191

736


(400)

336

Net cash flows to parent companynote (d)

(830)

(288)

(1,118)


1,118

-

External dividends

-

-

-


(935)

(935)

Exchange rate movements, timing differences and

   other itemsnote (e)

650

202

852


205

1,057

Net movement in free surplus

365

105

470


(12)

458

Balance at beginning of period

4,169

1,124

5,293


879

6,172

Balance at end of period

4,534

1,229

5,763


867

6,630

 



Full year 2016 £m

Long-term business and asset management

operations

 Long-term business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total insurance and asset management operations


Central

and other

operations

Group

total



note (b)



note (b)


Underlying free surplus generated

3,080

508

3,588


(666)

2,922

Loss attaching to the sold Korea life business

(86)

-

(86)


-

(86)

Other non-operating itemsnote (c)

(932)

(38)

(970)


(169)

(1,139)


2,062

470

2,532


(835)

1,697

Net cash flows to parent companynote (d)

(1,236)

(482)

(1,718)


1,718

-

External dividends

-

-

-


(1,267)

(1,267)

Exchange rate movements, timing differences and

   other itemsnote (e)

356

112

468


1,144

1,612

Net movement in free surplus

1,182

100

1,282


760

2,042

Balance at beginning of period

4,169

1,124

5,293


879

6,172

Balance at end of period

5,351

1,224

6,575


1,639

8,214

 

Notes

(a)   Free surplus invested in new business represents amounts set aside for required capital and acquisition costs.

(b)   Free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity, net of goodwill. Free surplus for other operations is taken to be EEV basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity net of goodwill, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under Solvency II.

(c)   Non-operating items are principally short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations.

(d)   Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.

(e)   Exchange rate movements, timing differences and other items represent:

 




Half year 2017 £m



Long-term

business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total

insurance and asset management operations


Central

and other

operations

Group

total


Exchange rate movements

(144)

(11)

(155)


(17)

(172)


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets

   backing surplus and required capitalnote 8

31

-

31


-

31


Other itemsnote (f)

(94)

(99)

(193)


248

55




(207)

(110)

(317)


231

(86)













Half year 2016 £m



Long-term

business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total

insurance and asset management operations


Central

and other

operations

Group

total


Exchange rate movements

329

55

384


50

434


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets

   backing surplus and required capital

138

-

138


-

138


Other itemsnote (f)

183

147

330


155

485




650

202

852


205

1,057













Full year 2016 £m



Long-term

business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total

insurance and asset management operations


Central

and other

operations

Group

total


Exchange rate movements

633

83

716


48

764


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets

   backing surplus and required capital

(11)

-

(11)


-

(11)


Other itemsnote (f)

(266)

29

(237)


1,096

859




356

112

468


1,144

1,612

 

(f)    Other items include the effect of intra-group loans and other intra-group transfers between operations, non-cash items, together with movements in subordinated debt for Other operations.

 

 

11 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions

 

Sensitivity analysis - economic assumptions

 

The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 30 June 2017 and 31 December 2016 and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for half year 2017 and full year 2016 to:

 

-    1 per cent increase in the discount rates;

-    1 per cent increase in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

-    0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

-    1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;

-    10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);

-    The statutory minimum capital level by contrast to EEV basis required capital (for embedded value only); and

-    5 basis points increase in UK long-term expected defaults.

 

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.

 

New business contribution





















Half year 2017 £m


Full year 2016 £m


Asia operations

US operations

UK insurance operations

Total long-term business operations


Asia operations

US operations

UK insurance operations

Total

long-term

business

operations

New business contributionnote 3

1,092

436

161

1,689


2,030

790

268

3,088

Discount rates - 1% increase

(208)

(21)

(18)

(247)


(375)

(43)

(32)

(450)

Interest rates - 1% increase

3

49

20

72


51

64

27

142

Interest rates - 0.5% decrease

(4)

(24)

(10)

(38)


(30)

(49)

(15)

(94)

Equity/property yields - 1% rise

61

52

20

133


129

91

28

248

Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase

-

-

(1)

(1)


-

-

(2)

(2)

 

Embedded value of long-term business operations

















30 Jun 2017 £m


31 Dec 2016 £m


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

 Total

long-term

business

operations

Shareholders' equitynote 8

19,606

11,370

10,865

41,841


18,472

11,805

10,307

40,584

Discount rates - 1% increase

 (2,268)

 (350)

 (815)

 (3,433)


 (2,078)

 (379)

 (809)

 (3,266)

Interest rates - 1% increase

 (548)

 (128)

 (643)

 (1,319)


 (701)

 (241)

 (638)

 (1,580)

Interest rates - 0.5% decrease

184

 (54)

356

486


248

25

369

642

Equity/property yields - 1% rise

841

682

359

1,882


771

653

314

1,738

Equity/property market values - 10% fall

 (416)

 (127)

 (447)

 (990)


 (361)

 (11)

 (399)

 (771)

Statutory minimum capital

128

197

-

325


150

223

-

373

Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase

-

-

 (136)

 (136)


-

-

 (138)

 (138)

 

The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumptions shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year. These are for the effect of economic assumption changes and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following year would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for changes in interest rates, the effect shown above for Jackson would also be recorded within the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital, which are taken directly to shareholders' equity.

 

 

12 Methodology and accounting presentation

 

(a)   Methodology

 

Overview

The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:

-    the present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:

-      the cost of locked-in required capital; and

-      the time value of cost of options and guarantees;

-    locked-in required capital; and

-    the shareholders' net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).

 

The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.

 

Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results as explained in note 12(b)(iii), no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items, as explained in note 12(b)(i).

 

(i)    Covered business

The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business, including the Group's investments in joint venture and associate insurance operations, for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The post-tax EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's asset management and other operations. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note 12(a)(vii).

 

The definition of long-term business operations comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.

 

Covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations, with two exceptions:

-       the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court Approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.

-       the presentational treatment of the Group's principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in 'Other' operations.

 

A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.

 

(ii)   Valuation of in-force and new business

The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency, mortality and morbidity, as described in note 13. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.

 

New business

In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of

distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

 

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as

investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.

 

The post-tax contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating assumptions as at the end of the period.

 

For UK immediate annuity business, the new business contribution is determined by applying economic assumptions reflecting point-of-sale market conditions. This is consistent with how the business is priced as crediting rates are linked to yields on specific assets and the yield is locked in when the assets are purchased at the point of sale of the policy. For other business within the Group, end-of-period economic assumptions are used.

 

New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, post-tax new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums and one-tenth of single premiums. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.

 

Valuation movements on investments

With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the period (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the period and shareholders' equity as they arise.

 

The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on an IFRS basis.

 

However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the EEV result for Jackson acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that, broadly speaking, are held for the longer term.

 

Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation (depreciation) on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.

 

(iii)  Cost of capital

A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of locked-in required capital supporting the Group's long-term business. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital, allowing for post-tax investment earnings on the capital.

 

The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year to year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.

 

Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.

 

(iv)  Financial options and guarantees

 

Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business

 

Asia operations

Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts principally written in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.

 

There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole-of-life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.

 

US operations (Jackson)

The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity (FA) and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.

 

Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for all periods, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For all periods shown, 87 per cent of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less, and the average guarantee rate is 2.6 per cent.

 

Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.

 

Jackson issues VA contracts for which it contractually guarantees to the contract holder either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable upon depletion of funds (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)) or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholders' value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMWB and GMDB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.

 

Jackson also issues fixed index annuities (FIA) that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns are of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.

 

UK insurance operations

For covered business the only significant financial options and guarantees in the UK insurance operations arise in the with-profits fund.

 

With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The PAC with-profits fund also held a provision on the Solvency II basis of £62 million at 30 June 2017 (30 June 2016: £54 million; 31 December 2016: £62 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.

 

The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in the UK is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision on the Solvency II basis of £572 million was held in SAIF at 30 June 2017 (30 June 2016: £575 million; 31 December 2016: £571 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 12(a)(i), the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders' funds.

 

Time value

The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts:

-       The first part arises from a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value).

-       The second part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value).

 

Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.

 

The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in notes 13(iv), (v) and (vi).

 

In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to, investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.

 

In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.

 

(v)   Level of required capital

In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets, subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements.

 

For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. Following the implementation of Solvency II, which became effective on 1 January 2016, a portion of future shareholder transfers expected from the with-profits fund is recognised within net worth, together with the associated capital requirements.

 

For shareholder-backed business, the following capital requirements apply:

-    Asia operations: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target;

-    US operations: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and

-    UK insurance operations: the capital requirements are set at the Solvency II Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) for shareholder-backed business as a whole.

 

(vi)  With-profits business and the treatment of the estate

The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group's Asia operations.

 

(vii) Internal asset management

The in-force and new business results from long-term business include the projected value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the current period profits from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders' other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected internal asset management profit margin for the period. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the assets for covered business.

 

(viii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates

 

Overview

Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin.

 

For Asia and US operations, the risk-free rates are based on 10-year local government bond yields.

 

For UK insurance operations, following the implementation of Solvency II on 1 January 2016, the EEV risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates; ie a yield curve, rather than a flat 15-year gilt yield, is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period.

 

The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. Prudential has selected a granular approach to better reflect differences in market risk inherent in each product group. The risk discount rate so derived does not reflect an overall Group market beta but instead reflects the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model.

 

Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.

 

The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.

 

Market risk allowance

The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below), such an approach has been used for the Group's businesses.

 

The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return, it is possible to derive a product-specific beta.

 

Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.

 

Additional credit risk allowance

The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:

-    expected long-term defaults;

-    credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and

-    short-term downgrades and defaults.

 

These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.

 

The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below:

 

Asia operations

For Asia operations, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly, no additional allowance for credit risk is required.

 

The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.

 

US operations (Jackson)

For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.

 

The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults as shown in note 13(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:

-    How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and

-    Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment return rates credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.

 

The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.

 

The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.

 

UK operations

(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business

For Prudential's UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.

 

In the annuity MCEV calculations, as the assets are generally held to maturity to match liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on the Solvency II allowance for credit risk. The Solvency II allowance is set by European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) using a prudent assumption that all future downgrades will be replaced annually, and allowing for the credit spread floor.

 

For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for a best estimate credit risk allowance. The remaining elements of prudence within the Solvency II allowance are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, shown in note 13(iii).

 

(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business

For UK non-profit annuity business attributable to the PAC with-profits fund, the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk for this business is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows to the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows of the fund.

 

(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities

The UK with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over risk free, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.

     

Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks

The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. Finance theory cannot be used to determine the appropriate component of beta for non-diversifiable non-market risks since there is no observable risk premium associated with it that is akin to the equity risk premium. Recognising this, a pragmatic approach has been applied.

 

A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's businesses. For the Group's Asia operations in China, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points. The level of these allowances are reviewed and updated based on an assessment of a range of pre-defined emerging market risk indicators, as well as the Group's exposure and experience in the business units. At half year 2017, the China allowance for non-market risk was reduced reflecting the growth in the size of the business, increasing management exposure and experience in the country and an improvement in our risk assessment of the market. For the Group's US business and UK business, no additional allowance is necessary.

 

(ix)  Foreign currency translation

Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the period. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at period-end exchange rates. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS financial statements.

 

(x)   Taxation

In determining the post-tax profit for the period for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.

 

(xi)  Inter-company arrangements

The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension policies in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to the PAC non-profit sub-fund.

 

(b)   Accounting presentation

 

(i)    Analysis of post-tax profit

To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV post-tax profit for the period is consistent in the classification between operating and non-operating results with the basis that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results reflect underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 12(b)(ii) below) and incorporate the following:

-    new business contribution, as defined in note 12(a)(ii);

-    unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 12(b)(iii) below;

-    the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to operating assumptions, as described in note 12(b)(iv) below; and

-    operating experience variances, as described in note 12(b)(v) below.

 

Non-operating results comprise the recurrent items of:

-    short-term fluctuations in investment returns;

-    the mark to market value movements on core borrowings; and

-    the effect of changes in economic assumptions.

 

In addition, for half year 2017, non-operating free surplus generated includes the effect of the disposal of the Korea life business. For all periods, non-operating profit includes a reclassification from operating profit of the results attributable to the sold Korea life business. For full year 2016, non-operating result also includes the effect of adjustment to the carrying value of the Korea life business following its reclassification as held for sale (see note 15 for details).

 

Total profit attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Group believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.

 

(ii)   Investment returns included in operating profit

For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of UK operations, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 12(b)(iii) below.

 

For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end-of-period risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force business adjusted to reflect end-of-period projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.

     

For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the operating result for the period.

 

(iii)  Unwind of discount and other expected returns

The Group's methodology in determining the unwind of discount and other expected returns is by reference to:

-   the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of current period economic and operating assumption changes); and

-   required capital and surplus assets.

 

In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit for UK insurance operations is described below.

 

UK operations

The unwind is determined by reference to an implied single risk discount rate. Following the implementation of Solvency II, the EEV risk-free rate is based on a yield curve (as set out in note 12a(viii) above), which is used to derive a single implied discount rate which, if this rate had been used, would reproduce the same embedded value as that calculated by reference to the yield curve. The difference between the operating profit determined using the single implied discount rate and that derived using the yield curve is included within non-operating profit.

 

For with-profits business, the opening value of in-force is adjusted for the effect of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (ie smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 30 June 2017 the shareholders' interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only were £31 million lower (30 June 2016: £21 million lower; 31 December 2016: £77 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.

 

(iv)  Effect of changes in operating assumptions

Operating profit includes the effect of changes to non-economic assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the period. For presentational purposes the effect of changes is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force as operating assumption changes, with the experience variances subsequently being determined by reference to the end-of-period assumptions (see note 12(b)(v) below).

 

(v)   Operating experience variances

Operating profit includes the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors, which are calculated with reference to the end-of-period assumptions.

 

(vi)  Effect of changes in economic assumptions

Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results. For UK insurance operations, the embedded value incorporates Solvency II transitional measures, which are recalculated using management's estimate of the impact of operating and market conditions at the valuation date. The effect of changes in economic assumptions is after allowing for this recalculation.

 

 

13 Assumptions

 

Principal economic assumptions

The EEV basis results for the Group's operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to period-end risk-free rates of return (defined below for each of the Group's insurance operations). Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group's long-term view, to the risk-free rate. In order to reflect Prudential's most recent assessment of the growth prospects of the region compared to other developed markets and the historically strong relationship between long-term economic growth and long-term equity returns, in a number of Asia business units, equity risk premiums have been increased at half year 2017 by between 25 basis points and 75 basis points from those applied at half year and full year 2016. The related risk discount rates have also been increased by equivalent amounts. In addition, for a few Asia business units, expected long-term inflation assumptions at half year 2017 have been revised to better reflect central bank inflation targets and to align with the currency of the underlying exposures.

 

The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profit with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the period.

 

(i)    Asia operationsnotes (b)(c)

The risk-free rates of return for Asia operations are defined as 10-year government bond yields at the end of the period.

 


Risk discount rate %


New business


In-force business


2017


2016


2017


2016


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

China

9.3


9.4

9.6


9.3


9.4

9.6

Hong Kongnotes (b)(d)

3.6


3.0

3.9


3.7


2.9

3.9

Indonesia

11.2


11.5

12.0


11.2


11.5

12.0

Malaysianote (d)

6.8


6.3

6.8


6.9


6.4

6.9

Philippines

12.2


10.5

11.6


12.2


10.5

11.6

Singaporenote (d)

3.8


3.6

4.2


4.7


4.5

5.0

Taiwan

3.8


3.8

4.0


4.1


3.3

4.0

Thailand

10.0


8.7

9.4


10.0


8.7

9.4

Vietnam

13.2


13.7

13.0


13.2


13.7

13.0

Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)

5.1


4.7

5.3


5.8


5.7

6.1












10-year government bond yield %


Expected long-term Inflation %


2017


2016


2017


2016


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

China

3.6


2.9

3.1


3.0


2.5

2.5

Hong Kongnotes (b)(d)

2.3


1.5

2.5


2.5


2.3

2.3

Indonesia

6.9


7.6

8.1


4.5


5.0

5.0

Malaysianote (d)

3.9


3.8

4.3


2.5


2.5

2.5

Philippines

4.7


3.7

4.8


4.0


4.0

4.0

Singaporenote (d)

2.1


1.9

2.5


2.0


2.0

2.0

Taiwan

1.1


0.8

1.2


1.5


1.0

1.0

Thailand

2.5


2.0

2.7


3.0


3.0

3.0

Vietnam

5.7


6.9

6.3


5.5


5.5

5.5

 

Notes

(a)   The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the post-tax EEV basis new business contribution and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia business units reflect:

-   the movements in 10-year government bond yields;

-   changes in product mix; and

-   the effect of changes in the economic basis (see note 6(ii)).

(b)   For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other business units, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.

(c)   Equity risk premiums in Asia range from 4.0 per cent to 9.4 per cent (half year 2016: from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent; full year 2016: from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent).

(d)   The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings of the Asia operations are:

 



2017 %


2016 %



30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec


Hong Kong

6.3


5.5

6.5


Malaysia

10.4


9.8

10.2


Singapore

8.6


7.9

8.5

 

 

(ii)   US operations

The risk-free rates of return for US operations are defined as 10-year treasury bond yield at the end of the period.

 




2017 %


2016 %




30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Assumed new business spread margins:*






Fixed annuity business:**







January to June issues 

1.50


1.25

1.25



July to December issues

n/a


n/a

1.25


Fixed index annuity business:







January to June issues 

1.75


1.50

1.50



July to December issues

n/a


n/a

1.50


Institutional business

0.50


0.50

0.50

Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote 12(a)(viii)

0.20


0.21

0.21

Risk discount rate:






Variable annuity:







Risk discount rate

6.7


6.0

6.9



Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 12(a)(viii)

0.2


0.2

0.2


Non-variable annuity:







Risk discount rate

3.9


3.1

4.1



Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 12(a)(viii)

1.0


1.0

1.0


Weighted average total:







New business

6.5


5.7

6.8



In-force business

6.3


5.4

6.5

US 10-year treasury bond yield

2.3


1.5

2.5

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities

6.3


5.5

6.5

Expected long-term rate of inflation

2.9


2.7

3.0

Equity risk premium

4.0


4.0

4.0

S&P equity return volatilitynote (v)

18.0


18.0

18.0

 

*     including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up

      linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.

**    including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account.

 

(iii)  UK insurance operations

Following the implementation of Solvency II on 1 January 2016, the risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, which is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period. These yield curves are used to derive pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return and risk discount rates. For the purpose of determining the unwind of discount in the analysis of operating profit, these yield curves are used to derive a single implied risk discount rate, as explained in note 12(a)(viii).

 

This single implied risk discount rate is shown, along with the 15-year nominal rate of return based on the yield curve.

 


2017 %


2016 %


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Shareholder-backed annuity business:





Risk discount rate:note (a)






New business

4.1


4.5

3.9


In-force business

4.3


4.2

4.5

Pre-tax expected 15-year nominal rates of investment return:notes (a)(b)






New business

2.7


3.4

3.0


In-force business

2.7


2.9

2.8

With-profits and other business:





Risk discount rate:*






New business

4.9


4.6

4.7


In-force business

4.9


4.6

4.9

Pre-tax expected 15-year nominal rates of investment return:note (b)






Overseas equities

6.1 to 9.9


5.5 to 8.8

6.2 to 9.4


Property

4.5


4.3

4.5


15-year gilt yield

1.7


1.5

1.7


Corporate bonds

3.5


3.2

3.5

Expected 15-year rate of inflation

3.5


3.1

3.6

Equity risk premium

4.0


4.0

4.0

 

*       The risk discount rates for with-profits and other business shown above represents a weighted average total of the rates applied to determine the present

        value of future cash flows, including a portion of future with-profits business shareholders' transfers recognised in net worth.

 

Notes

(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and risk discount rates for new and in-force businesses reflect the effect of changes in asset yields (based on average yields for new business).

(b)   The table below shows the pattern of the UK risk-free Solvency II spot yield curve at the end of all periods shown:

 




1 year

5 year

10 year

15 year

20 year


30 Jun 2017


0.4%

0.8%

1.2%

1.4%

1.5%


31 Dec 2016


0.4%

0.7%

1.1%

1.3%

1.3%


30 Jun 2016


0.4%

0.5%

0.9%

1.1%

1.1%

         

Stochastic assumptions

Details are given below of the key characteristics of the models used to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees as referred to in note 12(a)(iv).

 

(iv)  Asia operations

-    The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations.

-    The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds.

-    The asset return models are similar to the models as described for UK insurance operations below.

-    The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent for all periods shown.

 

(v)   US operations (Jackson)

-    Interest rates and equity returns are projected using a log-normal generator reflecting historical market data.

-    Corporate bond returns are based on treasury yields plus a spread that reflects current market conditions.

-    The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 27 per cent for all periods shown, and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.4 per cent to 2.7 per cent (half year and full year 2016: from 2.3 per cent to 2.6 per cent).

 

(vi)  UK insurance operations

-    Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields.

-    Equity returns are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution.

-    The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free return plus a mean-reverting spread.

-    Property returns are also modelled on a risk-free return plus a risk premium with a stochastic process reflecting total property returns.

-    The standard deviation of equities and property ranges from 15 per cent to 20 per cent for all periods shown.

 

Operating assumptions

 

Best estimate assumptions

Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.

 

Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.

 

Demographic assumptions

Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience, but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations.

 

Expense assumptions

Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group's long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis investigations and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the savings have been delivered. For businesses which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan), expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived.

 

For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia regional head office, that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.

 

Corporate expenditure, which is included in other income and expenditure, comprises:

-    expenditure for Group head office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with Solvency II implementation and restructuring costs, which are charged to the EEV basis results as incurred; and

-    expenditure of the Asia regional head office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.

 

Tax rates

The assumed long-term effective tax rates for operations reflect the incidence of taxable profits and losses in the projected cash flows as explained in note 12(a)(x).

 

The local standard corporate tax rates applicable for the most significant operations for 2016 and half year 2017 are as follows:

 

Standard corporate tax rates


%

Asia operations:



Hong Kong

 

16.5 per cent on 5 per cent of premium income

Indonesia


25.0

        Malaysia 


24.0

Singapore


17.0

US operations


35.0

UK operations


2016: 20.0; from 1 April 2017: 19.0; from 1 April 2020: 17.0

 

 

 

14 Total insurance and investment products new businessnote (i)

 

Group insurance operations - new business premiums and contributions

 


Single premiums


Regular premiums


Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)


 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)












note 12(a)(ii)


note 12(a)(ii)


2017 £m


2016 £m


2017 £m


2016 £m


2017 £m


2016 £m


2017 £m


2016 £m


Half

year


Half

year

Full

year


Half

year


Half

year

Full

year


Half

year


Half

year

Full

year


Half

year


Half

year

Full

year

Asia*

1,131


1,003

2,397


1,830


1,505

3,359


1,943


1,605

3,599


10,095


8,679

19,271

US

9,602


7,816

15,608


-


-

-


960


782

1,561


9,602


7,816

15,608

UK**

6,251


4,936

9,836


96


99

177


721


593

1,160


6,616


5,267

10,513

Group Total

16,984


13,755

27,841


1,926


1,604

3,536


3,624


2,980

6,320


26,313


21,762

45,392





















Asia insurance operations




















Cambodia

-


-

 -  


8


6

14


8


6

14


37


30

66

Hong Kong

368


506

1,140


877


817

1,798


914


868

1,912


5,190


5,045

10,930

Indonesia

126


84

236


131


117

255


144


125

279


558


486

1,048

Malaysia

33


52

110


125


104

233


128


109

244


623


630

1,352

Philippines

28


36

91


33


26

61


36


30

70


134


118

278

Singapore

323


174

523


163


125

299


195


142

351


1,451


1,063

2,627

Thailand

53


36

80


37


39

81


42


43

89


199


197

404

Vietnam

3


3

6


62


44

115


62


44

116


298


182

519

SE Asia operations

    including Hong Kong

934


891

2,186


1,436


1,278

2,856


1,529


1,367

3,075


8,490


7,751

17,224

Chinanote (ii)

141


74

124


173


102

187


187


109

199


827


452

880

Taiwan

25


14

36


102


55

146


105


56

150


314


205

499

Indianote (iii)

31


24

51


119


70

170


122


73

175


464


271

668

Total Asia insurance

    operations

1,131


1,003

2,397


1,830


1,505

3,359


1,943


1,605

3,599


10,095


8,679

19,271





















US insurance operations




















Variable annuities

6,041


4,995

10,653


-


-

 -  


604


500

1,065


6,041


4,995

10,653

Elite Access

    (variable annuity)

1,101


990

2,056


-


-

 -  


110


99

206


1,101


990

2,056

Fixed annuities

245


285

555


-


-

 -  


24


28

55


245


285

555

Fixed index annuities

158


277

508


-


-

 -  


16


28

51


158


277

508

Wholesale

2,057


1,269

1,836


-


-

 -  


206


127

184


2,057


1,269

1,836

Total US insurance

    operations

9,602


7,816

15,608


-


-

-


960


782

1,561


9,602


7,816

15,608





















UK and Europe insurance

    operations




















Individual annuities

120


327

546


-


-

 -  


12


33

55


120


327

546

Bonds

1,742


1,956

3,834


-


-

 -  


174


196

384


1,742


1,957

3,835

Corporate pensions

77


60

110


67


68

121


75


74

132


286


258

479

Individual pensions

2,609


1,137

2,532


18


21

35


279


134

289


2,690


1,212

2,681

Income drawdown

1,061


808

1,649


-


-

 -  


106


81

165


1,061


808

1,649

Other products

642


648

1,165


11


10

21


75


75

135


717


705

1,323

Total UK and Europe

    insurance operations

6,251


4,936

9,836


96


99

177


721


593

1,160


6,616


5,267

10,513





















Group Total

16,984


13,755

27,841


1,926


1,604

3,536


3,624


2,980

6,320


26,313


21,762

45,392

 

*       New business premiums and contributions exclude the results attributable to the sold Korea life business for all periods presented. The half year 2016 comparatives have been adjusted from those previously published accordingly.

**     No UK bulk annuity transactions were recorded in half year 2017 or half year 2016.

 

Investment products - funds under managementnotes (iv)(v)(vi)







Half year 2017 £m


1 Jan 2017

Market

gross

inflows

Redemptions

Market exchange translation and other movements

30 Jun 2017

Eastspring Investments

38,042

11,536

(9,263)

4,281

44,596

136,763

22,677

(15,498)

5,176

149,118

174,805

34,213

(24,761)

9,457

193,714








Half year 2016 £m

1 Jan 2016

Market

gross

inflows

Redemptions

Market exchange translation

and other movements

30 Jun 2016

Eastspring Investments

30,281

6,163

(6,575)

2,859

32,728

126,405

9,731

(16,697)

10,217

129,656

156,686

15,894

(23,272)

13,076

162,384

 

Notes

(i)    The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement. A reconciliation of APE and gross earned premiums on an IFRS basis is provided in Note D within the EEV unaudited financial information.

 

        The format of the tables shown above is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in Part II of schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under PRA regulations.

 

        The details shown above for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK insurance operations and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US operations.

 

(ii)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.

(iii)   New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.

(iv)   Investment products referred to in the tables for fund under management above are unit trust, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as 'investment contracts' under IFRS 4, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

(v)    Investment flows for half year 2017 exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds gross inflows of £96,704 million (half year 2016: gross inflows of £62,302 million) and net inflows of £499 million (half year 2016: net inflows of £656 million).

(vi)   New business and market gross inflows and redemptions have been translated at an average exchange rate for the period applicable.  Funds under management at points in time are translated at the exchange rate applicable to those dates.

 

 

15 Sale of Korea life business

 

On 18 May 2017, the Group announced it had completed the sale of its life insurance subsidiary in Korea, PCA Life Insurance, to Mirae Asset Life Insurance for KRW 170 billion (£117 million at 17 May 2017 closing exchange rate) following regulatory approval. The proceeds, net of £9 million of related expenses, were £108 million. Upon disposal, £76 million of required capital was released and a corresponding increase in free surplus was recognised. There were no other impacts on the half year 2017 results.

 

In order to facilitate comparisons of the Group's retained businesses, the EEV basis operating profit excludes the contribution from the Korea life business, and reclassifies it separately within non-operating results. This approach is consistent with the presentation of operating profit for full year 2016 reported in the Group 2016 Annual Report. The half year 2016 comparative results have been similarly adjusted. For full year 2016, the non-operating loss attributable to the Korea life business also includes the adjustment to the carrying value of the business following its reclassification as held for sale.

 

 

Additional EEV financial information*

 

A   New Business

 

BASIS OF PREPARATION

 

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under Prudential Regulation Authority regulations.

 

The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.

 

New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.

 

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

 

Post-tax New Business Profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology set out in our EEV basis results supplement.

 

In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

 

Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.

 

*     The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG LLP independent review opinion.

 

Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(v)

 

(1)   Prudential plc reports its results using both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

 



Average rate**


Closing rate


Local currency : £

Half year

2017

Half year

2016

% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP


30 Jun

2017

30 Jun

2016

% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP


China

8.66

9.37

8%


8.81

8.88

1%


Hong Kong

9.80

11.13

14%


10.14

10.37

2%


Indonesia

16,793.63

19,222.95

14%


17,311.76

17,662.47

2%


Malaysia

5.53

5.87

6%


5.58

5.39

(3)%


Singapore

1.77

1.98

12%


1.79

1.80

1%


Thailand

43.72

50.81

16%


44.13

46.98

6%


US

1.26

1.43

13%


1.30

1.34

3%


Vietnam

28,612.70

31,996.45

12%


29,526.43

29,815.99

1%












Average rate


Closing rate


Local currency : £

Half year**

2017

Full year

2016

% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP


30 Jun

2017

31 Dec

2016

% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP


China

8.66

8.99

4%


8.81

8.59

(2)%


Hong Kong

9.80

10.52

7%


10.14

9.58

(6)%


Indonesia

16,793.63

18,026.11

7%


17,311.76

16,647.30

(4)%


Malaysia

5.53

5.61

1%


5.58

5.54

(1)%


Singapore

1.77

1.87

6%


1.79

1.79

0%


Thailand

43.72

47.80

9%


44.13

44.25

0%


US

1.26

1.35

7%


1.30

1.24

(5)%


Vietnam

28,612.70

30,292.79

6%


29,526.43

28,136.99

(5)%

 

**     Average rate is for the 6 month period to 30 June.

 

(1a)   Insurance new business for overseas operations are converted using the year-to-date average exchange rate applicable at the time (AER). The sterling results for the second half of 2016 represent the difference between the year-to-date reported sterling results at the year end and the results for the first half of 2016. The second half results therefore include the true up between the first half and full year average exchange rates applied to the first half results.

(1b)   Insurance new business for overseas operations for half year 2016 has been calculated using constant exchange rates (CER).

(2)      Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to rounding. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.

(3)    Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients.

(4)    New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.

(5)    Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.

(6)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.

(7)    Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.

(8)    Investment flows for the period exclude year-to-date Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflow of £96,704 million (half year 2016: gross inflow of £62,302 million; full year 2016: gross inflow of £146,711 million) and net inflow of £499 million (half year 2016: net inflow of £656 million; full year 2016: net inflow of £403 million).

(9)    Total Group Investment Operations funds under management exclude MMF funds under management of £8,327 million at 30 June 2017 (30 June 2016: £7,421 million; 31 December 2016: £7,714 million).

(10)   New business premiums and contributions exclude the results attributable to the sold Korea life business for all periods presented. Half year 2016 comparatives have been adjusted from those previously published accordingly (APE: £50 million, PVNBP: £276 million, new business contribution: £3 million on actual exchange rate).

 

 

Schedule A(i) New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)

 


Single premiums

Regular premiums

Annual Equivalents(2)

PVNBP(2)


2017

2016


2017

2016


2017

2016


2017

2016



Half

year

Half

year

+/-

Half

year

Half

year

+/-

Half

year

Half

year

+/-

Half

year

Half

year

+/-


£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

Group Insurance Operations













Asia(1a)(10)

1,131

1,003

13%

1,830

1,505

22%

1,943

1,605

21%

10,095

8,679

16%

US(1a)

9,602

7,816

23%

-

-

-

960

782

23%

9,602

7,816

23%

UK

6,251

4,936

27%

96

99

(3)%

721

593

22%

6,616

5,267

26%

Group Total(10)

16,984

13,755

23%

1,926

1,604

20%

3,624

2,980

22%

26,313

21,762

21%














Asia Insurance

Operations(1a)













Cambodia

-

-

-

8

6

33%

8

6

33%

37

30

23%

Hong Kong

368

506

(27)%

877

817

7%

914

868

5%

5,190

5,045

3%

Indonesia

126

84

50%

131

117

12%

144

125

15%

558

486

15%

Malaysia

33

52

(37)%

125

104

20%

128

109

17%

623

630

(1)%

Philippines

28

36

(22)%

33

26

27%

36

30

20%

134

118

14%

Singapore

323

174

86%

163

125

30%

195

142

37%

1,451

1,063

37%

Thailand

53

36

47%

37

39

(5)%

42

43

(2)%

199

197

1%

Vietnam

3

3

-

62

44

41%

62

44

41%

298

182

64%

SE Asia Operations

inc. Hong Kong

934

891

5%

1,436

1,278

12%

1,529

1,367

12%

8,490

7,751

10%

China(6)

141

74

91%

173

102

70%

187

109

72%

827

452

83%

Taiwan

25

14

79%

102

55

85%

105

56

88%

314

205

53%

India(4)

31

24

29%

119

70

70%

122

73

67%

464

271

71%

Total Asia Insurance

Operations (10)

1,131

1,003

13%

1,830

1,505

22%

1,943

1,605

21%

10,095

8,679

16%














US Insurance

Operations(1a)













Variable annuities

6,041

4,995

21%

-

-

-

604

500

21%

6,041

4,995

21%

Elite Access (variable

annuity)

1,101

990

11%

-

-

-

110

99

11%

1,101

990

11%

Fixed annuities

245

285

(14)%

-

-

-

24

28

(14)%

245

285

(14)%

Fixed index annuities

158

277

(43)%

-

-

-

16

28

(43)%

158

277

(43)%

Wholesale

2,057

1,269

62%

-

-

-

206

127

62%

2,057

1,269

62%

Total US Insurance

Operations

9,602

7,816

23%

-

-

-

960

782

23%

9,602

7,816

23%














UK & Europe

Insurance Operations













Individual annuities

120

327

(63)%

-

-

-

12

33

(64)%

120

327

(63)%

Bonds

1,742

1,956

(11)%

-

-

-

174

196

(11)%

1,742

1,957

(11)%

Corporate pensions

77

60

28%

67

68

(1)%

75

74

1%

286

258

11%

Individual pensions

2,609

1,137

129%

18

21

(14)%

279

134

108%

2,690

1,212

122%

Income drawdown

1,061

808

31%

-

-

-

106

81

31%

1,061

808

31%

Other products

642

648

(1)%

11

10

10%

75

75

-

717

705

2%

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

6,251

4,936

27%

96

99

(3)%

721

593

22%

6,616

5,267

26%

Group Total (10)

16,984

13,755

23%

1,926

1,604

20%

3,624

2,980

22%

26,313

21,762

21%

 

 

Schedule A(ii) New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:      In schedule A(ii) constant exchange rates (CER) have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for half year 2016.

 


Single premiums

Regular premiums

Annual Equivalents(2)

PVNBP(2)


2017

2016


2017

2016


2017

2016


2017

2016



Half

year

Half

year

+/-

Half

year

Half

year

+/-

Half

year

Half

year

+/-

Half

year

Half

year

+/-


£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

£m

£m

%

Group Insurance

Operations













Asia(1a)(1b)(10)

1,131

1,130

0%

1,830

1,701

8%

1,943

1,814

7%

10,095

9,794

3%

US(1a)(1b)

9,602

8,890

8%

-

-

-

960

889

8%

9,602

8,890

8%

UK

6,251

4,936

27%

96

99

(3)%

721

593

22%

6,616

5,267

26%

Group Total(10)

16,984

14,956

14%

1,926

1,800

7%

3,624

3,296

10%

26,313

23,951

10%














Asia Insurance

Operations(1a)(1b)













Cambodia

-

-

-

8

6

33%

8

6

33%

37

34

9%

Hong Kong

368

576

(36)%

877

929

(6)%

914

987

(7)%

5,190

5,732

(9)%

Indonesia

126

96

31%

131

133

(2)%

144

143

1%

558

557

0%

Malaysia

33

54

(39)%

125

111

13%

128

116

10%

623

669

(7)%

Philippines

28

39

(28)%

33

28

18%

36

32

13%

134

126

6%

Singapore

323

194

66%

163

140

16%

195

159

23%

1,451

1,189

22%

Thailand

53

42

26%

37

47

(21)%

42

51

(18)%

199

229

(13)%

Vietnam

3

3

-

62

50

24%

62

50

24%

298

204

46%

SE Asia Operations

inc. Hong Kong

934

1,004

(7)%

1,436

1,444

(1)%

1,529

1,544

(1)%

8,490

8,740

(3)%

China(6)

141

81

74%

173

110

57%

187

118

58%

827

489

69%

Taiwan

25

17

47%

102

66

55%

105

68

54%

314

249

26%

India(4)

31

28

11%

119

81

47%

122

84

45%

464

316

47%

Total Asia Insurance

Operations(10)

1,131

1,130

0%

1,830

1,701

8%

1,943

1,814

7%

10,095

9,794

3%














US Insurance

Operations(1a)(1b)













Variable annuities

6,041

5,682

6%

-

-

-

604

568

6%

6,041

5,682

6%

Elite Access (variable

annuity)

1,101

1,125

(2)%

-

-

-

110

113

(3)%

1,101

1,125

(2)%

Fixed annuities

245

324

(24)%

-

-

-

24

32

(25)%

245

324

(24)%

Fixed index annuities

158

315

(50)%

-

-

-

16

32

(50)%

158

315

(50)%

Wholesale

2,057

1,444

42%

-

-

-

206

144

43%

2,057

1,444

42%

Total US Insurance

Operations

9,602

8,890

8%

-

-

-

960

889

8%

9,602

8,890

8%














UK & Europe

Insurance Operations













Individual annuities

120

327

(63)%

-

-

-

12

33

(64)%

120

327

(63)%

Bonds

1,742

1,956

(11)%

-

-

-

174

196

(11)%

1,742

1,957

(11)%

Corporate pensions

77

60

28%

67

68

(1)%

75

74

1%

286

258

11%

Individual pensions

2,609

1,137

129%

18

21

(14)%

279

134

108%

2,690

1,212

122%

Income drawdown

1,061

808

31%

-

-

-

106

81

31%

1,061

808

31%

Other products

642

648

(1)%

11

10

10%

75

75

-

717

705

2%

Total UK & Europe

Insurance Operations

6,251

4,936

27%

96

99

(3)%

721

593

22%

6,616

5,267

26%

Group Total (10)

16,984

14,956

14%

1,926

1,800

7%

3,624

3,296

10%

26,313

23,951

10%

 

 

Schedule A(iii) Total Insurance New Business APE (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note: In schedule A(iii) amounts for the first half (H1) and second half (H2) of 2016 are presented on both actual exchange rate (AER) and constant exchange rate (CER). The half year 2017 amounts are presented on actual exchange rate.

 

 


2016

2017


Actual exchange rates

Constant exchange rates

Actual exchange rates


H1

H2

H1

H2

H1


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Group Insurance Operations






Asia(1a)(10)

1,605

1,994

1,814

2,033

1,943

US(1a)

782

779

889

789

960

UK

593

567

593

567

721

Group Total(10)

2,980

3,340

3,296

3,389

3,624







Asia Insurance Operations(1a)






Cambodia

6

8

6

8

8

Hong Kong

868

1,044

987

1,066

914

Indonesia

125

154

143

157

144

Malaysia

109

135

116

131

128

Philippines

30

40

32

39

36

Singapore

142

209

159

212

195

Thailand

43

46

51

46

42

Vietnam

44

72

50

74

62

SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

1,367

1,708

1,544

1,733

1,529

China(6)

109

90

118

89

187

Taiwan

56

94

68

102

105

India(4)

73

102

84

109

122

Total Asia Insurance Operations(10)

1,605

1,994

1,814

2,033

1,943







US Insurance Operations(1a)






Variable annuities

500

565

568

576

604

Elite Access (variable annuity)

99

107

113

109

110

Fixed annuities

28

27

32

27

24

Fixed index annuities

28

23

32

23

16

Wholesale

127

57

144

54

206

Total US Insurance Operations

782

779

889

789

960







UK & Europe Insurance Operations






Individual annuities

33

22

33

22

12

Bonds

196

188

196

188

174

Corporate pensions

74

58

74

58

75

Individual pensions

134

155

134

155

279

Income drawdown

81

84

81

84

106

Other products

75

60

75

60

75

Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

593

567

593

567

721

Group Total(10)

2,980

3,340

3,296

3,389

3,624

 

 

Schedule A(iv) Investment Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)

 



2016



2017




H1

H2



H1




£m

£m



£m


Group Investment Operations








Opening FUM


156,686

162,384



174,805


Net Flows:(8)


(7,378)

1,123



9,452


    - Gross Inflows


15,894

24,239



34,213


    - Redemptions


(23,272)

(23,116)



(24,761)


Other Movements


13,076

11,298



9,457


Total Group Investment Operations(9)


162,384

174,805



193,714










M&G








Retail








Opening FUM


60,801

59,217



64,209


Net Flows:


(6,122)

(131)



5,515


    - Gross Inflows


6,160

9,625



15,871


    - Redemptions


(12,282)

(9,756)



(10,356)


Other Movements


4,538

5,123



2,776


Closing FUM


59,217

64,209



72,500










Comprising amounts for:








   UK


34,308

35,208



35,201


   Europe (excluding UK)


23,020

26,905



35,192


   South Africa


1,889

2,096



2,107




59,217

64,209



72,500










Institutional(3)








Opening FUM


65,604

70,439



72,554


Net Flows:


(844)

(993)



1,664


    - Gross Inflows


3,571

3,485



6,806


    - Redemptions


(4,415)

(4,478)



(5,142)


Other Movements


5,679

3,108



2,400


Closing FUM


70,439

72,554



76,618










Total M&G Investment Operations


129,656

136,763



149,118










PPM South Africa FUM included in Total M&G


5,354

6,047



5,427










Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)








Third Party Retail(7)








Opening FUM


25,541

27,155



30,793


Net Flows:


(787)

1,237



2,186


    - Gross Inflows


5,650

9,875



10,781


    - Redemptions


(6,437)

(8,638)



(8,595)


Other Movements


2,401

2,401



3,114


Closing FUM(5)


27,155

30,793



36,093










Third Party Institutional Mandates








Opening FUM


4,740

5,573



7,249


Net Flows:


375

1,010



87


    - Gross Inflows


513

1,254



755


    - Redemptions


(138)

(244)



(668)


Other Movements


458

666



1,167


Closing FUM(5)


5,573

7,249



8,503










Total Eastspring Investment Operations


32,728

38,042



44,596


 

 

Schedule A(v) Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:      In schedule A(v) amounts for half year (HY) and full year (FY) 2016 are presented on both actual exchange rate (AER) and constant exchange rate (CER) basis. The half year 2017 amounts are presented on actual exchange rates.

 


2016

2017


Actual exchange rates

Constant exchange rates

Actual exchange rates


HY

FY

HY

FY

HY


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

New Business Profit(1a)(b)






Total Asia Insurance Operations(10)

821

2,030

928

2,169

1,092

Total US Insurance Operations

311

790

354

850

436

Total UK Insurance Operations

125

268

125

268

161

Group Total(10)

1,257

3,088

1,407

3,287

1,689







Annual Equivalent(1a)(b)(2)






Total Asia Insurance Operations(10)

1,605

3,599

1,814

3,847

1,943

Total US Insurance Operations

782

1,561

889

1,678

960

Total UK Insurance Operations

593

1,160

593

1,160

721

Group Total(10)

2,980

6,320

3,296

6,685

3,624







New Business Margin (NBP as % of APE)






Total Asia Insurance Operations(10)

51%

56%

51%

56%

56%

Total US Insurance Operations

40%

51%

40%

51%

45%

Total UK Insurance Operations

21%

23%

21%

23%

22%

Group Total(10)

42%

49%

43%

49%

47%







PVNBP(1a)(b)(2)






Total Asia Insurance Operations(10)

8,679

19,271

9,794

20,567

10,095

Total US Insurance Operations

7,816

15,608

8,890

16,783

9,602

Total UK Insurance Operations

5,267

10,513

5,267

10,513

6,616

Group Total(10)

21,762

45,392

23,951

47,863

26,313







New Business Margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)






Total Asia Insurance Operations(10)

9.5%

10.5%

9.5%

10.5%

10.8%

Total US Insurance Operations

4.0%

5.1%

4.0%

5.1%

4.5%

Total UK Insurance Operations

2.4%

2.5%

2.4%

2.5%

2.4%

Group Total(10)

5.8%

6.8%

5.9%

6.9%

6.4%

 

 

B Foreign currency source of key metrics

 

The tables below show the Group's key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:

 

Free surplus and IFRS half year 2017 results




 

Underlying free surplus generated for total insurance and asset management operations

Pre-tax

operating profit

Shareholders'

funds


%

%

%



notes (2)(3)(4)

notes (2)(3)(4)

US dollar linkednote(1)

11%

22%

21%

Other Asia currencies

19%

18%

15%

Total Asia

30%

40%

36%

UK sterlingnotes (3)(4)

40%

14%

52%

US dollarnote (4)

30%

46%

12%

Total

100%

100%

100%

 

EEV half year 2017 results





 Post-tax new

business profits

Post-tax

operating profit

Shareholders'

funds


%

%

%



notes (2)(3)(4)

notes (2)(3)(4)

US dollar linkednote (1)

52%

44%

37%

Other Asia currencies

12%

16%

13%

Total Asia

64%

60%

50%

UK sterlingnotes (3)(4)

10%

9%

30%

US dollarnote (4)

26%

31%

20%

Total

100%

100%

100%

 

Notes

(1)  US dollar linked comprise the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.

(2)           Includes long-term, asset management business and other businesses.

(3)           For operating profit and shareholders' funds, UK sterling includes amounts in respect of UK insurance operations, M&G and central operations. Operating profit for central operations includes amounts for corporate expenditure for Group Head Office as well as Asia Regional Head Office which is incurred in HK dollars.

(4)           For shareholders' funds, the US dollar grouping includes US dollar denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.

 

 

C Reconciliation between IFRS and EEV shareholders' funds

 

The table below shows the reconciliation of EEV shareholders' funds and IFRS shareholders' funds at the end of the period:

 


2017 £m


2016 £m


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

EEV shareholders' funds

40,520


34,981

38,968

Less: Value of in-force business of long-term businessnote (a)

(26,104)


(21,785)

(24,937)

Deferred acquisition costs assigned zero value for EEV purposes

9,076


8,068

9,170

Othernote (b)

(8,043)


(6,659)

(8,535)

IFRS shareholders' funds

15,449


14,605

14,666

 

Notes

(a)  The EEV shareholders' funds comprises the present value of the shareholders' interest in the value of in-force business, net worth of long-term business operations and IFRS shareholders' funds of asset management and other operations. The value of in-force business reflects the present value of future shareholder cash flows from long-term in-force business which are not captured as shareholders' interest on an IFRS basis. Net worth represents the net assets for EEV reporting purposes that reflect the regulatory basis position, sometimes with adjustments to achieve consistency with the IFRS treatment of certain items.

 

(b)  Other adjustments represent asset and liability valuation differences between IFRS and the local regulatory reporting basis used to value net worth for long-term insurance operations. For the UK, this would be the difference between IFRS and Solvency II.

 

It also includes the mark to market of the Group's core borrowings which are fair valued under EEV but not IFRS. The most significant valuation differences relate to changes in the valuation of insurance liabilities. For example, in Jackson where IFRS liabilities are higher than the local regulatory basis as they are principally based on policyholder account balances (with a deferred acquisition costs recognised as an asset) whereas the local regulatory basis used for EEV is based on future cash flows due to the policyholder on a prudent basis with consideration of an expense allowance as applicable, but with no separate deferred acquisition cost asset.

 

 

D Reconciliation of APE new business sales to earned premiums

 

The Group reports annual premium equivalent (APE) new business sales as a measure of the new policies sold in the period. This differs from the IFRS measure of premiums earned as shown below:

 







2017 £m


2016 £m


Half year


Half year

Full year

Annual premium equivalents (APE) as published

3,624


2,980

6,320

Adjustment to include 100% of single premiums on new business sold in the periodnote (a)

15,286


12,379

25,057

Contribution from the sold Korea life business

-


88

192

Premiums from in-force business and other adjustmentsnote (b)

3,195


2,891

7,412

Gross premiums earned

22,105


18,338

38,981

Outward reinsurance premiums

(947)


(944)

(2,020)

Earned premiums, net of reinsurance as shown in the IFRS financial statements

21,158


17,394

36,961

 

Notes

(a)   APE new business sales only include one tenth of single premiums, recorded on policies sold in the period. Gross premiums earned include 100 per cent of such premiums.

(b)   Other adjustments principally include amounts in respect of the following:

Gross premiums earned include premiums from existing in-force business as well as new business. The most significant amount is recorded in Asia, where a significant portion of regular premium business is written. Asia in-force premiums form the vast majority of the other adjustment amount;

APE includes new policies written in the period which are classified as investment contracts without discretionary participation features under IFRS 4, arising mainly in Jackson for guaranteed investment contracts and in the UK for certain unit-linked savings and similar contracts. These are excluded from gross premiums earned and recorded as deposits;

APE new business sales are annualised while gross premiums earned are recorded only when revenues are due; and

For the purpose of reporting APE new business sales, we include the Group's share of amounts sold by the Group's insurance joint ventures and associates. Under IFRS, joint ventures and associates are equity accounted and so no amounts are included within gross premiums earned.

 


This information is provided by RNS
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