Operational Update & Share Buyback

Reabold Resources PLC
28 April 2023
 

28 April 2023

Reabold Resources plc

("Reabold" or the "Company")

Corporate & Operational Update

Commencement of Share Buyback Programme

Reabold Resources plc, the oil & gas investing company with a diversified portfolio of exploration, appraisal and development projects, announces a corporate and operational update covering the West Newton PEDL 183 licence and four of the North Sea offshore licences, and the commencement of a share buyback programme of up to £750,000.

Key points

·    PEDL 183 licence update:

·    JV partnership agreed specific well path for West Newton B-2 well

·    Potentially highly significant discovery in Crawberry Hill, part of the PEDL 183 licence and previously drilled by Rathlin Energy Limited ("Rathlin") in 2013

·    Rathlin to potentially bring in an industry partner to support licence activity, with West Newton B-2 drilling targeted for H2 2023, subject to final regulatory approvals and rig availability

·    Reabold could provide additional funding solution for Rathlin upon receipt of the second tranche of net proceeds from the sale of Victory

 

·    CPR published on four of the Reabold North Sea licences; follows the announcement and publication of a CPR in February 2023 on licence P2478, which includes the Dunrobin West prospect and confirmed significant resource potential

 

·    Initiation of share buyback programme of up to £750,000 to commence on 28 April 2023

West Newton PEDL 183 licence UPDATE

WN B-2 well

The joint venture partnership at PEDL 183 has continued to analyse the geophysical, petrophysical and test data from the West Newton A and B wells in preparation for drilling. The data analysis has already confirmed the likelihood of intersecting good reservoir quality that, when taken in conjunction with the optimised drilling and completion methods, is expected to deliver good well productivity from a horizontal well from the B site ("WN B-2") and, as such, the JV partnership has committed to the specific, optimised well path for WN B-2. It is envisaged that WN B-2 will be followed by a multi-well development programme based on a 50 Mscf/d gas facility.

 

Potentially highly significant existing discovery in Crawberry Hill, part of the PEDL 183 licence, in the Zechstein play region

Alongside the development plans for the West Newton A and B wells, Reabold has continued to appraise other opportunities within the PEDL 183 licence. Reabold has undertaken a technical review of its Zechstein play prospectivity in the UK, including the licences acquired through the Simwell transaction and PEDL 183, combining the significant quantity of seismic data, historical wells, core analysis and other proprietary data and analysis assembled by the Company.

Through this analysis, Reabold has identified on PEDL 183 a significant potential discovery, Crawberry Hill, which was drilled by Rathlin in 2013. The Company's priority now is to develop plans with the aim of making this a drill-ready appraisal opportunity. This could add materially to the already significant resource within PEDL 183 offered from the West Newton trend. The Crawberry Hill-1 well, drilled in 2013, intersected 141m of Kirkham Abbey Formation with good indications of gas shows and porosity. The well was originally drilled to test a deeper target and does not have a full suite of logs over the Kirkham Abbey interval.

ERC Equipoise Ltd (ERCE) has undertaken a petrophysical analysis of the conventional reservoir of the Kirkham Abbey formation in the Crawberry Hill and Risby-1 wells and interprets average porosities greater than 15% in the top 20m of the Kirkham Abbey formation in Crawberry Hill-1. ERCE also interprets probable gas saturations in the top 6m of the Kirkham Abbey formation in the Crawberry Hill-1 well.

The Risby-1 well was drilled in the water leg but good porosity was calculated from the well logs and the potentially very good permeability indicated from well cuttings, which is supported by a drill-stem test in the Kirkham Abbey Formation. Detailed seismic mapping is underway to define the extent of the Crawberry Hill accumulation, which could add materially to the already significant resource within PEDL 183 offered from the West Newton trend.

In conclusion, Reabold believes the apparent discovery at Crawberry Hill to be an exciting appraisal opportunity potentially significantly enhancing the already strategic asset that is PEDL 183.

Given the significant technical analysis that has been completed to date, culminating in the JV partnership agreeing the well path for WN B-2 and the emergence of the Crawberry Hill opportunity, and in line with prudent risk management, Rathlin has decided to reduce its significant working interest position in PEDL 183 with the aim of potentially bringing in an industry partner to participate in drilling on PEDL 183. 

Rathlin holds a 66.67% licence interest in and is operator of PEDL 183. Reabold has a ca. 56% economic interest in PEDL 183 via its 16.665% direct licence interest and through its ca. 59% equity ownership of Rathlin. Reabold is sufficiently funded for its 16.665% direct share of the costs for this well with its existing cash resources.

Should Rathlin's efforts to reduce their working interest position not fully meet their objective, Reabold could provide additional funding for Rathlin upon receipt of the second tranche payment from Shell relating to the sale of the Victory asset,  which would allow WN B-2 to be drilled at the earliest opportunity, subject to Environment Agency permit approvals and rig availability.   The exact timing and amount of the second tranche payment from Shell is currently uncertain, however the second tranche payment will be ca. £9.5 million, assuming the development and production consent for the Victory gas field is secured from the North Sea Transition Authority by 1 December 2023. If consent has not been received by this date, then Reabold expects to receive £5.2 million within 3 business days of this date, with the balancing payment to come at a later consent date. The net proceeds to be received by Reabold would be sufficient to meet Rathlin's share of the drilling costs of WN B-2, leaving Reabold financial flexibility for its capital allocation strategy of balancing portfolio investment with shareholder returns.

CPR on Reabold's Northern North Sea Assets

A Competent Person's Report ("CPR") prepared by RPS Group ("RPS") on four of Reabold's UK North Sea licences is available on its website at the following link: www.reabold.com/investor-relations/reports-and-presentations/. The CPR covers licences P2464, P2504 and P2605, in which Reabold has a 100% working interest, and licence P2478, in which Reabold has a 36% working interest. A P2478 (the Dunrobin complex) specific CPR was announced on 16 February 2023 and is also contained within today's published CPR. Reabold acquired these strategic off-shore North Sea licences from Corallian Energy for £250,000, as announced on 4 May 2022.

The CPR has been prepared in accordance with the June 2018 Petroleum Resources Management System ("SPE PRMS") as the standard for reporting. The key points from the CPR and a summary of the gross and net technically recoverable prospective resources are set out below.

·    CPR highlights the potential across all of Reabold's key central and northern North Sea assets, namely: the Inner Moray Firth, East Shetland Basin and the North West of Shetland

·    The opportunities comprise a number of play types of both gas and oil with proven potential from analogue fields

·    Confirmed material contingent resources at Oulton of 11 mmbbls (2C) with an associated NPV (10) at 30 September 2022 of £59 million1

·    Mean Estimate aggregate2 of unrisked net prospective oil resources is 148.5 mmbbls and Mean Estimate aggregate2 of unrisked net prospective gas resources is 211.6 bcf or ca. 36.5 mmboe3

·    The Company believes that the CPR supports the ongoing farmout and marketing process for Reabold's North Sea assets

_________________________

[1] Based on RPS assumptions.

2 The unrisked aggregation was performed by the Company and assumes that all prospects at all levels are successful.

3 The CPR reports oil and gas Prospective Resources. The oil equivalent value of the gas resources has been estimated by the Company using a factor of 5.8bcf per mmboe.

 

The table below summarises RPS's independent assessment of the Prospective Resources, from which are derived the net technically recoverable Prospective Resources attributable to Reabold's working interest, as derived from the CPR which has an effective date of 30 September 2022.

 

 

Prospective Resources

Gross Attributable to Licencea

Net Attributable to Reabolda

Risk Factor

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

High Estimate

Mean Estimate

Low Estimate

Best Estimate

High Estimate

Mean Estimate

(1U)

(2U)

(3U)

 

(1U)

(2U)

(3U)

 

Technically recoverable resources - Oil (mmbbl)

Dunrobin West Jurassic

7

42

168

71

2

15

60

25

34%

Dunrobin West Triassic

7

34

98

45

2

12

35

16

12%

Dunrobin C&E Jurassic

1

8

67

22

0.4

3

24

8

31%

Dunrobin C&E Triassic

1

9

56

22

0.4

3

20

8

14%

Golspie Jurassic

4

12

27

14

1

4

10

5

27%

Golspie Triassic

7

20

43

23

3

7

15

8

12%

Total P2478 Oil (mmbbl) b

 

 

 

197

 

 

 

70

 

Quoys

17

36

67

39

17

36

67

39

20

Baliasta

0.6

1.4

2.4

1.5

0.6

1.4

2.4

1.5

44

Total P2464 Oil (mmbbl)b




40.5




40.5


Oulton West Jurassic

13

32

70

38

13

32

70

38

30%

Total P2504 Oil (mmbbl) b

 

 

 

38

 

 

 

38

 

Total Oil (mmbbl) b

 

 

 

275.5

 

 

 

148.5

 

Technically recoverable resources - Associated & Non-associated Gas (bcf)

Dunrobin West Jurassic

2

7

22

10

0.9

3

8

4

34%

Dunrobin West Triassic

1

4

11

5

0.3

1

4

2

12%

Dunrobin C&E Jurassic

0.1

1

7

2

0.04

0.3

3

1

31%

Dunrobin C&E Triassic

0.1

1

6

2

0.04

0.4

2

1

14%

Golspie Jurassic

0.4

1

3

2

0.1

0.5

1.1

0.6

27%

Golspie Triassic

0.8

2

5

3

0.3

0.8

1.7

1.0

12%

Total P2478 Gas (bcf) b

 

 

 

24

 

 

 

9.6


Quoys

2

5

9

5

2

5

9

5

20

Baliasta

5

10

17

10

5

10

17

10

44

Unst Combined

5

19

74

33

5

19

74

33

42

Unst South Cluster

4

6

8

6

4

6

8

6

31

Total P2464 Gas (bcf) b

 

 

 

54

 

 

 

54


Oulton West Jurassic

4

10

24

13

4

10

24

13

30

Oulton West Frigg

8

12

18

13

8

12

18

13

47

Total P2504 Gas (bcf) b

 

 

 

26

 

 

 

26


Scourie

37

87

178

99

37

87

178

99

17

Channel 1 - Laxford

2

5

9

5

2

5

9

5

9

Channel 2 - Laxford

3

6

12

7

3

6

12

7

9

Channel 3 - Laxford

3

7

14

8

3

7

14

8

9

Channel 4 - Laxford

1

2

4

3

1

2

4

3

9

Total P2605 Gas (bcf) b




122




122


Total Gas (bcf) b




226




211.6


 

Notes:      

a "Gross Attributable" are 100% of the resources attributable to the licence whilst "Net Attributable" are those attributable to Reabold's effective interest in the licence before economic limit test.

b Pmean totals are by arithmetic summation (in-house).

COMMENCEMENT OF SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAMME

Reabold is pleased to announce the launch of a share buyback programme (the "Programme"), in accordance with the authority granted by shareholders at the Company's General Meeting on 28 February 2023.

As announced on 31 October 2022, Reabold stated that it intends to return £4 million of excess cash to Reabold shareholders upon receipt of the final £9.5 million net to Reabold from Shell, relating to the sale of the Victory asset.

However, the Company has decided to accelerate the timing of a portion of this return by commencing an initial share buyback programme for a maximum amount of £750,000. Reabold's Board evaluates many investment opportunities consistent with its investing policy and believes that the current market value of the Company's ordinary shares makes the buyback an attractive investment. Furthermore, the quantum of the buyback programme has been set by the Board after having considered the current capital position and future capital needs of the Company, such that it retains financial flexibility whilst maintaining an efficient balance sheet.

The Board will keep the Programme under review to ensure that it continues as an efficient and effective means of generating value for Reabold shareholders. While the Company has launched the Programme, there is no certainty on the volume of shares that may be acquired, nor any certainty on the pace and quantum of acquisitions.

Reabold will evaluate the mechanism of the intended return of the remaining £3.25 million upon receipt of the £9.5 million payment from Shell, with consideration to, inter alia, prevailing market conditions at that time.

The Company has entered into a buyback agreement with Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited ("Stifel"), which will conduct the Programme and repurchase Reabold's ordinary shares of 0.1 pence each ("Ordinary Shares") on Reabold's behalf for a maximum amount of £750,000 worth of Ordinary Shares. During any closed periods of the Company, the buyback agreement will grant Stifel the authority to enact purchases of Ordinary Shares and make trading decisions concerning the timing of the purchases under the Programme independently of the Company. The purpose of the Programme is to reduce the issued ordinary share capital of Reabold.

The Programme will be conducted within certain pre-set parameters in accordance with the Company's general authority granted to the Company at its General Meeting on 28 February 2023. In line with the authority, the Programme will not exceed acquisitions of more than 2,294,346,977 Ordinary Shares (representing approximately 25 per cent. of the Company's issued ordinary share capital).  Share purchases will be carried out on the London Stock Exchange.  The average daily volume figure acquired under the Programme will be no more than 25% of the average daily volume traded in the 20 trading days preceding the date of purchase, and no more than 6 million Ordinary Shares in any one day.

Any Ordinary Shares acquired under the Programme shall be at a maximum price (excluding expenses) of the higher of: (i) 10% above the average of the middle market quotations for an Ordinary Share as derived from the AIM Section of the Daily Official List of the London Stock Exchange for the five business days before the date on which the contract for the purchase is made; and (ii) an amount equal to the higher of the price of the last independent trade and current independent bid as derived from the London Stock Exchange trading system.

The Ordinary Shares repurchased will be held in Treasury, to meet the obligations from employee share option programmes or other allocations of shares to employees of the Company, or to re-issue such Ordinary Shares held in Treasury outside of a pre-emptive offer.

It is intended that the Programme will be conducted within the parameters prescribed by the Market Abuse Regulation 596/2014 (as in force in the UK by virtue of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 and as amended by the Market Abuse (Amendment) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019) (the "Regulation"), the Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/1052 (as in force in the UK by virtue of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 and as amended by the FCA's Technical Standards (Market Abuse Regulation) (EU Exit) Instrument 2019) (the "Delegated Regulation"). 

The Programme is expected to continue until the Company's next Annual General Meeting, which is expected to be held in June 2023.

Any market repurchase of Ordinary Shares will be announced no later than 7:30 a.m. on the business day following the calendar day on which the repurchase occurred. 

Stephen Williams, Co-CEO of Reabold, commented:

"The ongoing technical work related to West Newton has given the JV a high level of confidence in the planned location for the upcoming B-2 horizontal well, with drilling targeted in H2 2023. That, combined with the exciting and highly material potential we have identified at Crawberry Hill, and the confirmation of the prospectivity of the North Sea assets as confirmed by the CPR, is reflected in today's announcement that we are beginning the process of returning excess cash to shareholders by undertaking an initial up to £750,000 share buyback. We believe that this represents the most effective way that Reabold can access additional resource on a per share basis for its investors, whilst we await the drilling of West Newton B-2."

This announcement contains inside information for the purposes of the UK version of the market abuse regulation (EU No. 596/2014) as it forms part of United Kingdom domestic law by virtue of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018, as amended.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For further information, contact:

 

Reabold Resources plc

Sachin Oza

Stephen Williams

 

 

 

c/o Camarco

+44 (0) 20 3757 4980

 

 

Strand Hanson Limited - Nominated & Financial Adviser

James Spinney

James Dance

Rob Patrick

 

Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited - Joint Broker

Callum Stewart

Simon Mensley

Ashton Clanfield

 

finnCap Ltd - Joint Broker

Christopher Raggett

Barney Hayward

 

+44 (0) 20 7409 3494

 

 

 

 

+44 (0) 20 7710 7600

 

 

 

 

+44 (0) 20 7220 0500

Camarco

Billy Clegg

Rebecca Waterworth

 

+44 (0) 20 3757 4980

 

 

Notes to Editors

 

Reabold Resources plc has a diversified portfolio of exploration, appraisal and development oil & gas projects. Reabold's strategy is to invest in low-risk, near-term projects which it considers to have significant valuation uplift potential, with a clear monetisation plan, where receipt of such proceeds will be returned to shareholders and re-invested into further growth projects. This strategy is illustrated by the recent sale of the undeveloped Victory gas field to Shell, the proceeds of which are being returned to shareholders and re-invested.

Qualified Person's Statement

Pursuant to the requirements of the AIM Rules - Note for Mining and Oil and Gas Companies, the technical information contained in this announcement has been reviewed by Donal O'Driscoll as a Qualified Person. Mr O'Driscoll has 38 years oil & gas experience, primarily in the UKCS. Mr O'Driscoll holds a Batchelors degree in Geology from Trinity College, Dublin, an MSc Petroleum Geology from Imperial College, London and is a Fellow of the Geological Society and a Member of the GESGB (formerly known as PESGB).

 

Glossary of Technical Terms

bcf

Billion standard cubic feet of gas.

 

Best Estimate or 2U

Denotes the mid estimate qualifying as Prospective Resources. Reflects a volume estimate that there is a 50% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.

 

Risk factor or Pg

The estimated probability that exploration activities will confirm the existence of a significant accumulation of potentially recoverable petroleum

High Estimate or 3U

Denotes the high estimate qualifying as Prospective Resources. Reflects a volume estimate that there is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.

 

Low Estimate or 1U

Denotes the low estimate qualifying as Prospective Resources. Reflects a volume estimate that there is a 90% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.

 

Mean or Pmean

Reflects a mid-case volume estimate of resource derived using probabilistic methodology. This is the mean of the probability distribution for the resource estimates and may be skewed by resource numbers with relatively low probabilities.

 

mmbbl

Million barrels of oil.

 

mmboe

Million barrels of oil equivalent.  Volume derived by dividing the estimate of the volume of natural gas in billion cubic feet by 5.8 in order to convert it to an equivalent in million barrels of oil and, where relevant, adding this to an estimate of the volume of oil in millions of barrels.

 

Prospective Resources

Quantities of petroleum that are estimated to exist originally in naturally occurring reservoirs, as of a given date.  Crude oil in-place, natural gas in-place, and natural bitumen in-place are defined in the same manner.

 

SPE PRMS

The Society of Petroleum Engineers' ("SPE") Petroleum Resources Management System ("PRMS"): a system developed for consistent and reliable definition, classification, and estimation of hydrocarbon resources prepared by the Oil and Gas Reserves Committee of SPE and approved by the SPE Board in June 2018 following input from six sponsoring societies: the World Petroleum Council, the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers, the Society of Exploration Geophysicists, the European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers, and the Society of Petrophysicists and Well Log Analysts. Quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. The total quantity of petroleum that is estimated to exist originally in naturally occurring reservoirs, as of a given date.  Crude oil in-place, natural gas in-place, and natural bitumen in-place are defined in the same manner.

 

 

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