Final Results
To: Stock Exchange For immediate
release:
22 May 2008
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
Annual results for year to 31 March 2008
Chairman's statement
Welcome to the latest report covering the twelve months to 31 March 2008. After
five years of rising stock markets, this has been a much tougher year for
shareholders. In contrast to the strong gains of the last year, the total return
of the net asset value per share fell by 13.9%, compared with the 7.7% fall in
the FTSE All-Share Index. Income-orientated investments were out of favour over
this period.
Revenue
We continue to deliver a high and growing income for shareholders in excess of
that available from the UK equity market. The dividend growth from many UK
companies exceeded expectations during the year, reflecting healthy profit
levels. Furthermore, a number of companies have increased their dividend payout
ratios, due to either their strong cash flows or a reduction in share buybacks.
At 31 March 2008 the Company's shares offered a yield of 4.5%, compared to the
3.8% available from the FTSE All-Share Index.
The revenue return over the year to 31 March was 5.68p per share, compared to
5.13p in the previous year. Three interim dividends of 1.10p per share have
already been paid and the Directors have declared a fourth interim dividend of
2.15p per share making a total of 5.45p per share. This is an increase of 7.9%
on the total dividends paid for the year to 31 March 2007. The Company will
continue to pay dividends quarterly in September, December, March and June.
Borrowing
We maintained a low level of borrowing throughout the year, reflecting our
manager's prudent approach. Gearing remained well below the maximum permitted
level of 15% throughout the year and the fixed interest investments within the
portfolio meant that the effective gearing level was between 4%-6% for most of
the year.
Discount management
The efforts made by the managers and the Board to promote the Company to both
existing and potential new shareholders have been well received. Despite the
more difficult investment background the discount to asset value at which the
shares trade has continued to be relatively narrow, both in absolute
terms and in comparison to the Company's peers. There was no requirement for any
shares to be repurchased during the 12 months to 31 March 2008.
Performance fee
The Directors negotiated a performance fee with the managers in order to ensure
that the interests of the managers are aligned with those of shareholders.
Although the managers did earn a performance fee to 31 March 2007, no such fee
was earned to 31 March 2008. The operation of the performance fee has been
reviewed and some changes made for the future to incentivise outperformance.
These maintain the requirement of the managers to exceed the performance of the
benchmark FTSE All-Share Index . The previous hurdles have now been replaced
with a condition to surpass the performance of the peer group.
Outlook
Last year I stated that the Company was well placed to benefit from the expected
profit and dividend growth from UK companies, but not the weak capital returns
which ensued. This year the economic outlook is more testing and this will be
reflected in lower profit and dividend growth at the Company level. However this
has already been discounted in the current level of share prices, which are
relatively lowly rated. The current economic uncertainty should create a number
of selective buying opportunities.
Manager's review
With UK equities producing their weakest returns since the bear market in the
early part of this decade, this was a very different period to the preceding
twelve months. The year began well, with rising share prices reflecting
continuing economic growth. In June, the FTSE All-Share index reached an all-
time high. But then the first fears of the wider effects of the US sub-prime
mortgage debacle emerged, and share prices fell back. The collapse of Northern
Rock was a shock, but share prices recovered and were within 2% of their highs
even by the end of October. Since then, however, share prices in the UK and
abroad have been under pressure, as the effects of a lack of liquidity in the
banking sector on the wider economy become clearer. This has not been a good
year for the portfolio, which fell by 13.9%, well behind the FTSE All-share's
7.7% fall. Unlike the previous year, this was a challenging period for an income-
biased portfolio. Many of the sectors and stocks that have performed well over
the year were relatively low-yielding. Conversely, several of the more
domestically exposed sectors with higher yields have underperformed. The poor
performance of a number of smaller companies also affected performance.
We continue to focus upon companies with strong free cashflows to support
sustained dividend growth. A number of portfolio companies have sharply
increased their dividend payments during the year, including Informa in the
media sector, and BP, the international oil & gas group. Dividend flows into the
portfolio were slightly ahead of forecasts made earlier in the year, reflecting
the relatively conservative nature of these predictions. The trend of strong
dividend payments from UK companies has again benefited shareholders, but the
growth rate in the coming months will slow, although it will still exceed the
rate of inflation. The Bank of England remains concerned about inflationary
pressures, particularly from the higher prices of imported energy. The weakening
pound means that the benefit of lower prices of manufactured goods, particularly
from China, is also declining. The Bank of England thus has limited room to
reduce short-term interest rates in response to weaker economic activity and a
lack of access to credit.
The big change in the availability of credit since last summer has had an impact
on the volume of corporate activity. Large debt-financed private-equity deals
have almost entirely disappeared, as much of the debt associated with previous
transactions remains on the books of the banks. This is one reason why the
underperformance of larger companies has ended. Although very few quoted
companies have reported difficulties in accessing debt finance, renegotiation of
existing debt facilities will undoubtedly result in these costing more. As
usual, the portfolio benefited from the takeover of a number of its constituents
during the year. We sold our holdings in Hanson, PFI Infrastructure, EMAP and
Resolution after takeovers.
As the extent of exposure to complex financial instruments linked to the US
mortgage market has become clear, the banking sector has come under a lot of
pressure. The portfolio has had no exposure to the UK mortgage banks, but does
hold Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland.
The market has penalised companies with high levels of debt, often arising from
recent acquisitions. This trend affected two portfolio holdings, Johnston Press
and Premier Foods.
The mining sector is relatively low-yielding but we have striven to have as much
exposure as possible to this sector, which has benefited from high commodity
prices. We sold our holding in Anglo American, switching the proceeds into Rio
Tinto shortly before BHP Billiton announced its intention to merge with Rio.
Although this potential transaction remains a long way from completion, it has
helped Rio's share price. We also opened a position in AstraZeneca, the
international drugs company. The stock has been weak due to concerns about
patent challenges to some of its key products but these are discounted in the
share price. Another new holding is Babcock International, which should gain
long-term contracts from the decommissioning of nuclear power stations in the
UK. Dividend growth will be above average for a number of years.
The UK equity market has been de-rated in recent months as investors discount
weaker economic activity and its effect upon corporate profits. With so much of
the profits of UK companies now coming from overseas the health of the UK
economy itself is of less relevance. Unless global growth slows sharply profits
and dividends will continue to grow. Profits for retailers and house builders
will undoubtedly fall but this is a small part of the market. Share prices are
likely to remain volatile until there is greater clarity around financial
markets and their impact upon the real economy. In addition more companies
across a range of sectors, including banks, are currently raising more equity
capital and this is affecting share prices. Against this background our
diversified portfolio is still likely to deliver dividend growth during the
coming year.
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
INCOME STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2008
(Unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Losses on - (26,985) (26,985)
investments
Currency gains - 10 10
Income - franked 6,160 635 6,795
- unfranked 400 - 400
106 - 106
- deposit interest
16 - 16
- other income
Investment management fee (142) (264) (406)
Performance fee - - -
Other expenses (441) - (441)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 6,099 (26,604) (20,505)
taxation
Finance costs - debt (301) (558) (859)
- shareholders' funds (6,368) - (6,368)
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before (570) (27,162) (27,732)
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (3) - (3)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to ordinary (573) (27,162) (27,735)
redeemable shareholders
_______ _______ _______
Return per ordinary redeemable share 5.68p (26.64p) (20.96p)
The total column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the
Company.
The revenue and capital items are presented in accordance with the AIC SORP.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
A Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses is not required, as all gains
and losses of the Company have been reflected in the above statement.
The board announces a fourth interim dividend of 2.15p per share. The dividend
will be paid on 27 June 2008 to shareholders on the register on 30 May 2008.
This is in addition to the three 1.10p interim dividends already paid during the
year.
The financial information contained within this preliminary announcement does
not constitute the Company's statutory financial statements as defined in
section 240 of the Companies Act 1985 for the year ended 31 March 2008, but is
derived from those financial statements. Statutory financial statements for
2007 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and statutory financial
statements for 2008 will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following
the Company's annual general meeting. The auditors have not yet reported on the
statutory financial statements for 2008, however it is expected that their
report will be unqualified, will not draw attention to any matters by way of
emphasis and will not contain statements under s237(2) or (3) of the Companies
Act 1985.
The terms of the preliminary announcement were approved by the board on 21 May
2008.
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
INCOME STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2007
(Audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Gains on - 11,145 11,145
investments
Currency losses - (15) (15)
Income - franked 5,497 1,604 7,101
- unfranked 448 - 448
93 - 93
- deposit interest
- - -
- other income
Investment management fee (162) (300) (462)
Performance fee - (320) (320)
Other expenses (393) - (393)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and 5,483 12,114 17,597
taxation
Finance costs - debt (244) (452) (696)
- shareholders' funds (4,028) - (4,028)
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before 1,211 11,662 12,873
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (3) - (3)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to ordinary 1,208 11,662 12,870
redeemable shareholders
_______ _______ _______
Return per ordinary redeemable share 5.13p 11.44p 16.57p
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
BALANCE SHEET
As at 31 March 2008 As at 31 March 2007
(Unaudited) (Audited)
Non current assets
£000 £000 £000 £000
Investments at fair value
through profit and loss
Listed on Exchanges in the UK 137,823 166,595
Current assets
Loans and receivables 1,994 1,391
Cash at bank 451 1,616
_______ _______
2,445 3,007
Creditors
Amounts falling due within one (13,910) (15,509)
year
_______ _______
Net current liabilities (11,465) (12,502)
_______ _______
Shareholders' funds (prior to 126,358 154,093
shareholders' redemption
liability)
Creditors
Distributable capital and
reserves attributable to (123,356) (150,518)
shareholders on redemption
_______ _______
3,002 3,575
_______ _______
Distributable capital and
reserves
Revenue reserve 3,002 3,575
_______ ______
Net asset value per ordinary
share 123.92p 151.12p
(prior to shareholders'
redemption liability)
AIC net asset value per 121.53p 148.40p
ordinary share
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
Year ended 31 March Year ended 31
2008 (Unaudited) March 2007
(Audited)
£000 £000 £000 £000
Net cash inflow from operating 5,836 6,274
activities
Servicing of finance
Finance - debt (878) (700)
costs
- equity (6,368) (4,028)
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from servicing of (7,246) (4,728)
finance
Taxation
Overseas taxation paid (3) (3)
_______ _______
(3) (3)
Capital expenditure and financial
investment
Payments to acquire investments (44,647) (42,252)
Receipts from disposal of 45,335 35,184
investments
_______ _______
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from 688 (7,068)
investing activities
_______ _______
Net cash outflow before use of (5,525)
liquid resources and financing (725)
Financing
Repurchase of ordinary share (203)
capital -
Movement in short-term borrowings (450) 4,000
_______ _______
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from (450) 3,797
financing
_______ _______
Decrease in cash for the year (1,175) (1,728)
________ _______
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS
(Unaudited)
Called Special
For year ended 31 March up Capital distrib- Realised Unreal-
2008 ordinary redemption utable capital ised Revenue Total
share reserve capital reserve capital Reserve
capital reserve reserve
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
As at 31 March 2007 1,019 62 111,145 9,500 28,792 3,575 154,093
Realised gains on - - - 9,317 - - 9,317
investments during the
year
Realised currency gains - - - 10 - - 10
during the year
Unrealised depreciation - - - - (36,302) - (36,302)
on investments
Franked income - - - 635 - - 635
Capitalised expenses - - - (822) - - (822)
Return attributable to - - - - - (573) (573)
shareholders
______ _______ _______ _____ ______ _____ _____
Balance at 31 March 2008 1,019 62 111,145 18,640 (7,510) 3,002 126,358
______ _______ _______ _____ ______ _____ _____
SECURITIES TRUST OF SCOTLAND plc
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS
(Audited)
Called Special
For year ended 31 March up Capital distrib- Realised Unreal-
2007 ordinary redemption utable capital ised Revenue Total
share reserve capital reserve capital Reserve
capital reserve reserve
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
As at 31 March 1,021 60 111,348 6,154 20,476 2,367 141,426
2006
Ordinary shares (2) 2 (203) - - - (203)
bought back
during the year
Realised gains - - - 2,829 - - 2,829
on investments
during the year
Realised
currency losses - - - (15) - - (15)
during the year
Unrealised
appreciation on - - - - 8,316 - 8,316
investments
Franked income - - - 1,604 - - 1,604
Capitalised - - - (1,072) - - (1,072)
expenses
Return
attributable to - - - - - 1,208 1,208
shareholders
_____ _______ _______ _____ _______ _____ _____
Balance at 31 1,019 62 111,145 9,500 28,792 3,575 154,093
March 2007
_____ _______ _______ _____ _______ _____ _______
For further information, please contact:
Ross Watson 0131 229 5252
Martin Currie Investment
Management Ltd
rwatson@martincurrie.com
Tamsin Hooton 0131 229 5252
Martin Currie Investment
Management Ltd
thooton@martincurrie.com
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