SEB's China Financial Index: Upward trend in Ch...
Top management at North European Subsidiaries in China have become
much more positive about market prospects than in our last survey in
March. Respondents see a clear turn-around in sales on the Chinese
market and are planning to recruit more staff. An absolute majority
also foresee growing profits in China in the coming six months.
SEB's China Financial Index, addressed to around 50 subsidiaries of
the largest Nordic and German companies, shows that local management
in China are becoming increasingly confident that the Chinese economy
has bottomed out and expect growth to accelerate in the short term.
The index for September reached 62, up from 53 in March.
"China's massive stimulus package is having an obvious impact on
business prospects for Swedish and other north European companies in
Sweden. Regardless if one believes in Chinese official statistics or
not, companies are obviously seeing a considerably stronger business
climate and increased profits", says Fredrik Hähnel, Client Executive
at SEB Shanghai and author of the report. "Exports from China to the
US- and European markets are down for most of the companies, but the
domestic market has proven more resilient", says Hähnel.
China is also gaining importance relative to other markets.
"China's economy grew by 7.9 percent in the third quarter and few
economists believe that China will not reach its goal of 8 percent
growth for the full year, while other major markets are expected to
have negative growth for the full year", says Hähnel.
The survey also shows that no company is planning to scale down
either by divesting or decreasing staff in China. On the contrary,
half of the companies are already planning further recruitments.
There is a slight decrease in investment plans since the last survey
however.
"Investment decisions are taken at headquarters where sentiment is
less positive than locally in China. Many companies are still in a
'wait and see' mode, and there is probably a lag before improved
market sentiments in China also lead to an upturn in investments.
Should the positive movements in China remain we are likely to see
increased investments during 2009", Hähnel concludes.
This is the second publication of SEB's China Financial Index, a
unique semi-annual survey with the purpose to reflect changes of
sentiment in among large Nordic and German companies in China, and to
facilitate of economic and financial trends in the market. The survey
comprises a total of 11 questions covering areas such as business
climate, profit expectations, investment plans and views of
currencies and interest rates. The full report is available at:
www.sebgroup.com\press.
_____________________________________________
For further information, please contact:
Fredrik Hähnel, Client Responsible, SEB in China, +86 138 1680 99 77
Press contact: Elisabeth Lennhede, +46 70 763 99 16,
Elisabeth.lennhede@seb.se
This announcement was originally distributed by Hugin. The issuer is
solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
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