Interim Results
Templeton Emerging Markets IT PLC
11 December 2002
PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT
TEMPLETON EMERGING MARKETS INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
("TEMIT") ("the Company")
Interim Results for the six months to 31 October 2002
The Company today announced its interim results for the period to 31 October 2002.
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT
To Shareholders:
At 31 October 2002, your Company had net assets of £522.4 million, compared with
£666.2 million at 30 April 2002. Undiluted net asset value per share at the
half-year stage was 114.76 pence, a decrease of 21.5% for the six months under
review. The share price at 31 October 2002 was 92.25 pence, compared with 125.0
pence at the beginning of the period, a decrease of 26.2%. Over the same period,
the MSCI Emerging Markets Free Index, on a total return basis, declined 18.9%,
and the S&P/IFCI Composite Index decreased by 18.1%. The Manager's Report and
Portfolio Review (pages 10 to 12) give a detailed analysis of the Company's
performance over the period.
At period-end, 95.9% of the Company's net assets were invested in equities, with
the remaining 4.1% being held in liquid assets. The general policy of the Board
is to be fully invested.
Global economic uncertainty contributed to increased investor risk aversion
during the reporting period. Thus, many equity markets worldwide experienced
considerable volatility and performed poorly. Emerging markets' positive
performance in the first four months of 2002 were substantially reversed during
the six-month period as financial markets reflected concerns over the
sustainability of an economic recovery combined with increased uncertainty
stemming from political volatility in certain countries. However, the economic
fundamentals continued to benefit from low global interest rates and access to
international capital markets. Additionally, commodity prices remained
relatively strong, particularly oil, despite weaker-than-expected economic data
from neighbouring developed economies.
Last year, the Directors renewed the authority from Shareholders to buy back
shares early in the six-month period, resulting in 388,215 shares being bought
back at a cost of £442,565. The mathematical effect of such action has been
modestly positive on net asset value.
Since the period reported on, the Board has appointed Sir Brian Williamson CBE
as a UK based independent Director.
The Honourable Nicholas F Brady
11 December 2002
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
For the six months to 31 October 2002
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
(unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited)
Income
(Losses)/gains on investments - (147,368) (147,368)
Investment income 9,555 - 9,555
Interest income 435 - 435
-- -- --
9,990 (147,368) (137,378)
-- -- --
Expenses
Administrative expenses (4,335) - (4,335)
-- -- --
Profit before taxation 5,655 (147,368) (141,713)
Taxation (1,687) - (1,687)
-- -- --
Profit after taxation 3,968 (147,368) (143,400)
-- -- --
Dividend in respect of equity - - -
shares
-- -- --
Total return for the period 3,968 (147,368) (143,400)
-- -- --
Return per Ordinary Share 0.87p (32.38p) (31.51p)
Note: The capital element of
returns is not distributable.
The revenue column of this
statement is the profit and loss
account of the Company.
All revenue and capital items in
the above statement derive from
continuing operations.
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (continued)
For the six months to 31 October 2001 Year to 30 April 2002
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
(unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited) (audited) (audited) (audited)
- (77,469) (77,469) - 45,497 45,497
7,440 - 7,440 16,498 - 16,498
3,215 - 3,215 4,331 - 4,331
-- -- -- -- -- --
10,655 (77,469) (66,814) 20,829 45,497 66,326
-- -- -- -- -- --
(4,407) - (4,407) (8,872) - (8,872)
-- -- -- -- -- --
6,248 (77,469) (71,221) 11,957 45,497 57,454
(1,946) - (1,946) (3,676) - (3,676)
-- -- -- -- -- --
4,302 (77,469) (73,167) 8,281 45,497 53,778
-- -- -- -- -- --
- - - (5,695) - (5,695)
-- -- -- -- -- --
4,302 (77,469) (73,167) 2,586 45,497 48,083
-- -- -- -- -- --
0.94p (16.98p) (16.04p) 1.82p 9.97p 11.79p
Dividend Policy
In accordance with the Company's stated policy, no interim dividend is declared
for the period.
(A dividend of 1.25 pence per Ordinary Share was paid for the year ended 30
April 2002.)
BALANCE SHEET
As at 31 As at 31 As at 30
October 2002 October 2001 April 2002
Restated
£000 £000 £000
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
Fixed assets
Investments 501,164 551,922 669,877
-- -- --
Current assets
Debtors 1,214 17,654 9,109
Cash 22,549 2,195 -
-- -- --
23,763 19,849 9,109
Creditors: amounts falling due (2,458) (25,884) (12,449)
within one year
-- -- --
Net current assets/(liabilities) 21,305 (6,035) (3,340)
Total assets less current 522,469 545,887 666,537
liabilities
Provision for liabilities and (97) (21) (320)
charges
-- -- --
Net assets 522,372 545,866 666,217
-- -- --
Capital and reserves
Called-up share capital 113,796 114,081 113,893
Share premium account 275,307 275,308 275,307
Capital redemption reserve 3,940 3,655 3,843
Capital reserve - realised 189,074 205,128 199,848
Capital reserve - unrealised (79,579) (69,888) 57,460
Revenue reserve 19,834 17,582 15,866
-- -- --
Shareholders' funds (all equity) 522,372 545,866 666,217
-- -- --
Net asset value per ordinary share
(in pence)
- Basic 114.76 119.62 146.24
- Diluted n/a n/a 144.00
Restated Figures for the six months to 31 October 2001
To conform with general market practice fixed income investments were
reclassified from current asset investments and included within fixed asset
investments at year end 30 April 2002. The net assets and shareholders' funds
were unaffected. The impact of the reclassification on the Balance Sheet as at
31 October 2001 was as follows:
£000
-Increase in fixed asset investments 200,774
-Decrease in current asset investments 200,774
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
For the six For the six For the
months to months to year to
31 October 2002 31 October 2001 30 April 2002
Restated
£000 £000 £000
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
Reconciliation of operating
profit to net cash inflow from
operating activities
Net return on ordinary activities
before taxation 5,655 6,248 11,957
(Increase)/decrease in debtors (48) 17 15
Decrease/(increase) in accrued 2,331 (3,309) 1,119
income
(Decrease) in creditors (292) (262) (29)
-- -- --
Net cash inflow from operating 7,646 2,694 13,062
activities
-- -- --
Cash flow statement
Net cash inflow from operating 7,646 2,694 13,062
activities
Taxation (2,227) (692) (2,778)
Financial investments 24,364 (10,312) (20,984)
-- -- --
29,783 (8,310) (10,700)
Equity dividends paid (5,695) (5,704) (5,704)
-- -- --
24,088 (14,014) (16,404)
Financing (445) 2 (897)
-- -- --
Increase/(decrease) in cash 23,643 (14,012) (17,301)
-- -- --
Reconciliation of net cash flow
to movement in net funds
Increase/(decrease) in cash in 23,643 (14,012) (17,301)
the period
Opening net funds (1,094) 16,207 16,207
-- -- --
Closing net funds 22,549 2,195 (1,094)
-- -- --
The unaudited interim financial information, which does not comprise full
statutory accounts in terms of the Companies Act 1985, has been prepared on the
basis of the accounting policies in the statutory accounts for the year ended 30
April 2002. The statutory accounts, which have been filed with the Registrar of
Companies, received an unqualified audit report and did not contain a statement
under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
Restated figures for the six months to 31 October 2001
To conform with general market practice fixed income investments were
reclassified from current asset investments and included within fixed asset
investments at year end 30 April 2002. The net assets and shareholders' funds
were unaffected. The impact of the reclassification on the Cash Flow Statement
for the six months to 31 October 2001 was as follows:
£000
-Decrease in net cash inflow from operating activities 63
-Decrease in Financial investments 155,174
-Decrease in Opening net funds 45,429
-Decrease in Foreign exchange translation and other 108
differences
-Decrease in Closing net funds 200,774
GEOGRAPHIC ASSET DISTRIBUTION
Country As at 31 October 2002 As at 30 April 2002
China 12.04% 8.37%
South Africa 11.15% 10.20%
Korea (South) 9.72% 10.39%
Thailand 7.89% 6.18%
Taiwan 6.61% 7.00%
Mexico 6.18% 7.88%
Turkey 5.53% 5.22%
India 5.43% 4.36%
Hungary 4.94% 4.02%
Brazil 4.36% 4.70%
Hong Kong 3.34% 7.89%
Russia 3.26% 3.80%
Poland 2.52% 1.75%
Austria 1.69% 0.61%
Philippines 1.60% 1.33%
Argentina 1.47% 2.47%
Czech Republic 1.28% 0.55%
Portugal 1.09% 0.90%
Singapore 1.07% 1.02%
Croatia 0.93% 0.72%
Greece 0.89% 1.55%
Indonesia 0.88% 4.31%
Israel 0.84% 0.00%
Estonia 0.55% 0.58%
Egypt 0.51% 0.56%
Malaysia 0.17% 1.07%
United Kingdom 0.00% 3.12%
Liquid Assets 4.06% -0.55%
TOP TWENTY HOLDINGS
As at 31 October 2002
Market
Value
Company Country Industry
£000
SAB Miller Plc South Africa Brewers 19,989
China Petroleum & Chemical China Integrated Oil & Gas 19,698
Corp.
Nedcor Ltd South Africa Banks 16,083
Siam Commercial Bank Public Co. Thailand Banks 13,896
Ltd
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA Poland Oil & Gas Refining & 13,143
Marketing
Akbank Turkey Banks 12,677
Tupras-Turkiye Petrol Turkey Oil & Gas Refining & 11,894
Rafineleri AS Marketing
MOL Magyar Olaj-Es Gazipari Rt. Hungary Integrated Oil & Gas 11,688
KT Corp. South Korea Integrated 11,015
Telecommunication Services
Gedeon Richter Ltd Hungary Pharmaceuticals 10,923
Cemex SA Mexico Construction Materials 10,763
Korea Electric Power Corp. South Korea Electric Utilities 10,224
Dairy Farm International Hong Kong Food Retail 9,125
Holdings Ltd
Kimberly Clark de Mexico SA Mexico Household Products 8,558
China Merchants Holdings China Industrial Conglomerates 8,552
International Co. Ltd
San Miguel Corp., B Philippines Brewers 8,357
Siam Cement Public Co. Ltd Thailand Construction Materials 8,273
Cosco Pacific Ltd Hong Kong Marine Ports & Services 8,223
OMV AG Austria Integrated Oil & Gas 8,216
ITC Ltd India Tobacco 8,023
--
Top 20 Holdings - 43.90% of Net 229,320
Assets
--
INVESTMENT REVIEW
This is the semi-annual report for the Templeton Emerging Markets Investment
Trust Plc covering the six-month period ending 31 October 2002.
Overview
Just a year after the terrorist attacks in the US, the world was once again
visibly shaken by terrorist bomb blasts. These events once again heightened the
awareness of terrorism and is resulting in greater cooperation across nations in
the battle against it. Inevitably emerging markets have experienced great
volatility over the past six months. Political uncertainty as a result of
elections in Brazil and Turkey also led investors to adopt a more cautious
approach.
Asia
During the past six months most Asian countries, and for that matter other
emerging markets, saw their stock market and economic performances disconnect.
While weak global sentiment took its toll on Asian markets, macroeconomic data
continued to support the recovery of many economies. Strengthening fundamentals
as well as a stable political arena have accelerated Thailand's economic
recovery. Lower interest rates, firmer currencies, rising exports, a
construction boom and strong domestic consumer markets have all played their
part. The economy expanded 5.1% year on year and 1.5% during the second quarter,
the strongest expansion since the second quarter of 2000.
South Korea continued to record strong growth rates and attract foreign capital
inflows. Second quarter GDP grew 6.3% on a comparable basis. Thus Foreign Direct
Investment into the country was up 17.9% in the first eight months of the year
with the US being the largest investor accounting for about 60% of the total.
Discussions between South Korea and Chile were completed in October as both
countries consented to a free-trade agreement which would eliminate tariffs on
the trade of major agricultural and industrial products. After the parliamentary
elections in August, attention has now shifted to the upcoming presidential
elections in December 2002.
China continued to be the fastest growing economy globally as its third quarter
GDP rose 8.1% on an annual basis mainly due to strengthening export growth, high
government expenditure and strong consumer demand. China's attraction to
multinational companies also stimulated Foreign Direct Investment into the
mainland to increase substantially. These inflows increased 22.6% year on year
to US$39.6 billion in the first nine months of the year. The United Nations
expects China to overtake the US as the largest recipient of Foreign Direct
Investment in the world. In addition, President Jiang Zemin's visit to the US
led to the establishment of business agreements worth US$4.7 billion. On the
political front, the 16th Communist Party Congress was held in November 2002.
Going forward, President Jiang Zemin emphasized the need for continued political
reforms, government accountability, efforts on combating corruption and the
continued reform of state-owned enterprises. Economic policy for the next five
years was also discussed. As widely expected, Vice-President Hu Jintao succeeded
President Jiang Zemin as the head of Communist Party.
Latin America
Months of political uncertainty in Brazil finally came to an end with the
victory of opposition party candidate, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva over government
candidate Jose Serra in the second round elections on 27 October. Expectations
of such a result had already led the stock market to recover during October.
Lula's new government is expected to take office in January 2003. We expect the
market to continue its recovery as investor sentiment improves and market relief
allows the currency to strengthen over the next few months.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded its consultation on Mexico's
economy during October. The IMF supported the country's prudent fiscal and
monetary policies but cautioned against the possible impact of slowing growth in
the US. We believe that Mexico's efforts to improve corporate governance and
protection of minority rights should lead to great foreign investment into
Mexico. The decline in the US stock markets may prove beneficial for Mexico as
its proximity provides a means of diversification for US investors.
In Argentina, concerns continued to focus on the country's shattered financial
system. The IMF once again delayed its third payment by deferring the US$2.7
billion due in September 2002 for twelve months.
Southern/Eastern Europe
EU convergence continued to push most economies towards implementing reforms and
attaining fiscal and economic goals. Improving corporate governance in countries
such as Russia as well as its continued economic recovery continues to provide
attractive investment opportunities. In Turkey, numerous resignations from the
ruling government led coalition leaders to call for early elections in November
2002. Results showed the Justice & Development Party (AKP) with 34% of the votes
and the Republic People's Party (CHP) with 19%. Since none of the other parties
obtained the minimum 10% to gain seats in parliament, Turkey will be ruled by a
two-party parliament. On the EU accession front, while the EU Commission has yet
to issue Turkey with a specific date for accession, its government continues to
work towards the accomplishing EU goals. A major step was that parliament's vote
in favor of abolishing the death penalty.
South Africa
The World Summit on Sustainable Development was held in Johannesburg, South
Africa during August. Increased exposure of the country to the press as a
consequence of the Summit could result in greater tourism, which would lead to
increased fund inflows. Second quarter GDP grew 3.1%, compared to 2.2% in the
first quarter. The government forecasts 2002 GDP growth to be 2.3%. Latest data
showed inflation persisted in South Africa, increasing the likelihood of another
interest rate hike. The South Africa Reserve Bank has already increased rates by
four percentage points this year in an attempt to reduce inflation. September
CPIX (inflation excluding mortgage bond rates) increased to 11.8% from 10.8% in
August.
Portfolio Changes & Investment Strategies
As a result of political uncertainty in Brazil and Turkey, stock prices
corrected due to weak investor confidence rather than poor fundamentals. Within
such an environment, we took the opportunity to increase our holdings in both
countries. We expect market performances to improve in the future as concerns
subside. In fact, both markets already began recovering during October with the
MSCI Brazil and Turkey indices returning 23.5% and 14.6%, respectively, in US
dollar terms.
In Asia, the Company locked in profits on Korea's Samsung SDI after its
substantial price appreciation early this year. We also realised our holdings in
Hong Kong's Cheung Kong reflecting the city's weak property market prospects. In
addition we undertook selective sales of stocks we deemed fully valued in
Malaysia, Russia and Mexico. The Company's investments in Indonesia were
adversely impacted by the bomb blast in Bali, but valuations of selective stocks
remained attractive. We have maintained some investments there and will monitor
the situation closely.
The Company's exposure to India increased mainly due to its purchase of ITC
Limited. The company has a market share of about 70% of the country's cigarette
industry and a leaf trading division that exports leaf tobacco and a very strong
sales distribution network. Additionally, ITC operates a chain of hotels, many
of them leased and owned through subsidiaries and affiliates. The company is
also diversifying into the area of information technology. We favour this
company due to its near monopoly position and strong brand names.
EU aspirations continued to push many European countries towards implementing
key reforms and recording positive macroeconomic performances. As a result we
have been searching the region for value stocks. During the period, we made
selective purchases in Hungary, Austria, the Czech Republic, Croatia and Poland.
A sharp correction in the technology sector provided us with an attractive entry
point into Israel as the company purchased Checkpoint Software, a company that
was trading at attractive valuations and was, in our opinion, oversold.
As of end-October, the top three sectors were Banks, Oil & Gas interests and
Brewers. Within the top 10 holdings, Nedcor (South Africa), PKN (Poland), MOL
(Hungary) and Turkish companies, Akbank and Tupras replaced Telekomunikasi
(Indonesia), Cemex (Mexico), Goldfields (South Africa) and Korean companies,
Samsung SDI and KEPCO.
Outlook
With concerns over Latin American markets subsiding, we expect investor
attitudes towards emerging markets in general to improve in the future. While
economic performances in many emerging markets have continued positively over
the year, weak investor sentiment has led market performance to dissociate from
economic performances. We believe that this may not be the case in the future
and over the longer-term, expect investors to appreciate the benefits of
investing in emerging markets. Thus, we will continue to position the Company to
benefit from the expected recovery ahead.
Thank you for your continued interest and support.
Dr. Mark Mobius, Ph.D.
Fund Manager
11 December 2002
Copies of the Interim Report will shortly be sent to shareholders.
For information please contact David Bliss/Will Rogers at UBS Warburg Ltd (0207
567 8000). No representation or warranty is made by UBS Warburg Ltd as to the
accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this announcement and
no liability will be accepted for any loss arising from its use. These figures
have been prepared by Franklin Templeton Investments and are their sole
responsibility.
End of Announcement.
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