Q3 Pre-Close Presentation

Unilever PLC 24 September 2001 Release: Immediate UNILEVER TELECONFERENCE PRESENTATION The following is the presentation text for the Unilever pre-close teleconference, given by Howard Green, head of investor relations, at 1400 hrs GMT today (September 24, 2001). The purpose of this teleconference is to update the market on the progress of our business and is a precursor to our 'close' period, ahead of the quarterly results announcement on November 2 2001. The timetable for future updates has been reconfirmed in the advance notice of this event. Unilever's business is one that is resilient to changes in the environment in which we operate because we meet the everyday needs of people, everywhere. We do recognise that the tragic events of September 11 pose particular challenges in prestige fragrances and US foodservice, parts of our business that were already starting to feel the impact of a poorer economic environment. Although these two businesses represent less than 4% of our total turnover, the events do introduce a degree of short term forecasting variability into our outlook for sales. Notwithstanding, we have an operating plan in place that delivers our earnings target for the year. Our operating plan for the rest of the year is, as you would expect, very clearly focused on our strategic priorities. Within our more cautious view of the immediate future we are making choices as to where our A&P investment is committed. It's behind the key drivers of long term growth and those innovations that are expected to contribute the most to the building of brand equity. Allied to this we continue to benefit from falling media rates and our own ongoing media productivity initiatives. Progress towards Path to Growth goals So now let me turn to how we see our business progressing towards our Path to Growth goals in Q3. Firstly let's look at the sales line. Before acquisitions and disposals we expect sales growth to be approaching 4%. Within this we expect a strong contribution from price as we recover devaluation driven cost increases in a few of our Developing and Emerging markets. The price element is likely to be slightly in excess of 200 bps. Including acquisition and disposals we expect sales to grow by around 13%. Within this the contribution from the Bestfoods acquisition is partly offset by the disposals of European Bakery, Elizabeth Arden, the Foods brands sold to Campbell's and a further 28 transactions. The combined loss of sales from all these disposals represents some Euro 600 million in the quarter. Within our overall sales growth I would like to highlight the following: * firstly, Foods is expected to grow more strongly than in the second quarter, driven by continued growth of Spreads in Europe, the continuing recovery in Central and Eastern Europe, and an improvement in Ice Cream and RTD in Europe. Ice Cream is also performing well in the US and Latin America. * secondly, in HPC we expect a softer quarter in terms of growth for two very specific reasons: one, we expect to see a significant decline in Prestige fragrances where an already weakening market will turn more negative for the reasons given earlier. and two, we see a slowdown in volume growth in some countries in Asia Pacific and Latin America where our determined action to raise prices to recover cost increases as the result of devaluations has meant we have given up some short term volume to ensure price increases are accepted by the trade. This approach is in line with our proven management of these situations, and ensures that we restore margins as soon as possible in order that we can continue to innovate, and invest behind our brands for the benefit of the longer term. * thirdly, as mentioned with the Q2 results announcement, the sales of the ex-Bestfoods brands in Q3 will need to be seen against the tough comparator last year. We do expect an improved performance compared to Q2 as the one off factors in that quarter are mitigated. Given some comment following our second quarter results announcement, I would like to re-emphasise two points. Firstly, market share data continues to show that the Bestfoods brands are healthy. Secondly, that our experience of the last 11 months fully confirms our assessment of the quality of the Bestfoods management. This includes; a strong focus on action and delivery; the proven ability to build and nurture global Foods brands through a passion for food, their strength in practical product development through their network of chefs and the excellence of the foods service business model. These together with Unilever's deep research and technology capability, geographic strength and marketing skills convinces us that we have a winning combination. Our confidence in the strength of our combined management is further reinforced by the excellent progress we continue to make with integration. We expect growth of the leading brands for Q3 to be around 4.5%. This measure is for the recalibrated brand portfolio, as communicated with the half year results. Operating margin before exceptional items and goodwill amortisation is expected to be ahead by around 100 bps. This improvement is driven by procurement and restructuring savings, the Bestfoods synergy and the enrichment due to the change in portfolio. Operating margins have been impacted in countries where we have suffered cost increases as the result of devaluations and have not yet fully recovered these through price increases and by the expected Prestige and Foodservice sales shortfall mentioned earlier. The impact of these on the operating margin is some 70 bps. The improvement in operating margins is after the inclusion of around Euro80 million of investment in associated costs compared with Euro29 million in the previous year. Review of the Regions Before I get to the other items in the profit and loss account let me take you on a very short tour of our regions starting first with Europe. In Europe we expect sales to be ahead by a little over 8% with just over 3 percentage points coming from net acquisitions and disposals. Operating margin is expected to rise by about 200 bps above last year. In North America sales are expected to be more than 13% ahead of last year with 12 percentage points coming from acquisitions and disposals. Operating margin is expected to move ahead by around 80 bps. In Africa and the Middle East, we expect to see sales moving ahead by some 15% with around 9 percentage points coming from net acquisitions and disposals. Operating margin is expected to be some 100 bps below the prior year quarter primarily reflecting business conditions in Turkey. In Asia Pacific sales are expected to move ahead by around 5%. Operating margin is expected to be about 200 bps below the previous year, reflecting launch activities and the margin drag from depreciating currencies. Finally in Latin America sales are expected to grow by around 36%, with 34 percentage points coming from net acquisitions and disposals. We are seeing some disruption to Food sales in Brazil as we go through a complex sales force integration in Brazil. Operating margin is expected to be ahead by over 300 bps despite the lag in recovering the devaluation driven cost increases. P&L Account Finally let me turn to the other elements of the P&L account. Goodwill amortisation is estimated to be Euro365 million in the quarter. Net interest is estimated at Euro435 million. Exceptional items for the quarter for Path to Growth and the Bestfoods integration are forecast to be around Euro350 million before tax and around Euro230 million after tax. We expect the underlying tax rate in the quarter to be around 35% and I would like to remind you that Bestfoods goodwill is not tax deductible. The number of shares for calculating year to date EPS is 984 million NV equivalent share units or 6.56 billion if you take the PLC equivalent share units. Growth in earnings per share before exceptional items and goodwill amortisation is expected to be flat in the quarter. The full year earnings per share growth target is planned to be achieved as we move through Q4 by: * lower interest and the better comparative against the prior year quarter; * the easier comparison in operating margin due to the phasing of associated costs; * the full effect of previous pricing increases; * the build up of Bestfoods synergy, and the contribution from the Path to Growth restructuring and procurement programmes; * lower media rates enhanced by media productivity behind our focused activity programme. So in summary, we continue to plan for low double digit earnings per share growth in 2001. Our business depends on people's continuing need to eat, clean and groom themselves, however, at this early stage no one can predict the full consequences of the terrible events of 11th September with certainty. With that I complete my presentation and I will now be happy to take your questions. -o0o- September 24 2001 SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT: This presentation may contain forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act 1995). Any forward-looking statements are based on current expectations with respect to important risk factors. It is important to note that the actual results could materially differ from the results anticipated in any forward-looking statements which may be contained in this presentation. Factors which might cause forward-looking statements to differ materially from actual results include, among other things, the overall economic, political, social and business conditions, the demand for our goods and services, competition in the market, fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currencies, the impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions and disposals and any changes in the tax laws and other legislation and regulation, in the jurisdictions in which we operate. We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in or incorporated in this presentation to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or in other factors which may affect any forward-looking statements.

Companies

Unilever (ULVR)
Investor Meets Company
UK 100