Unilever PLC
20 October 2003
UNILEVER TRADING UPDATE
Unilever reports continuing strong margin improvement and reconfirms low
double-digit growth in earnings per share (beia) for the year but with growth of
its leading brands now expected to be below 3%.
EARNINGS GROWTH
Full year
Strong operating margin expansion through restructuring and procurement savings
programmes continues to be the key driver of earnings growth for the year.
At the start of the year the company showed it had created headroom in its
operating plans to enable delivery of its targets and to respond to what was
seen as a more challenging business environment.
The after tax profit impact of lower than planned sales is offset by additional
procurement savings (€100 million after tax) as previously set out at the half
year and benefits in tax management flowing from the Path to Growth programme
enabling a beia tax rate at the bottom end of the 30-32% rate given as guidance
for the medium term. Each percentage point improvement to the beia tax rate is
worth €70 million after tax profit.
Total brand investment is expected to be ahead of 2002, with Advertising and
Promotions (A&P) at a similar level but with an increase in trade and consumer
price related promotions which are netted off sales in reporting turnover. Brand
investment continues to support key innovations and market place activities in
line with the original operating plan. Of the planned major market place
initiatives in 2003 only two (both in Spreads and Cooking Products) have been
delayed - one awaiting regulatory clearance and the other as the roll-out
phasing is adapted to optimise product formulations.
The phasing of EPS delivery through the year is affected by the timing of A&P
spend in 2002 when Q4 was 300 bps ahead of the prior year. This year, the A&P
spend rate in Q4 is expected to be below the Q4 2002 comparator but above that
of Q4 2001.
EPS delivery takes account of 6% dilution from FRS17 pension costs and stock
option expensing.
Third Quarter
EPS beia in the third quarter is expected to be ahead by around 12% with
operating margin beia ahead by around 100 bps from restructuring and procurement
savings programmes.
LEADING BRANDS GROWTH
Leading brands grew by 3.2% with 5.1% in Home and Personal Care and 1.8% in
Foods. Underlying volume growth in the leading brands is estimated at 1.9%.
Underlying sales growth for the total business is 2.3%. Leading brands are now
92% of the total business.
Third Quarter highlights for leading brands growth (see also table below)
•Continued good progress both in Personal Care (excl. Prestige) with
growth of 9.6%, and in Developing and Emerging (D&E) markets with growth at
8.8%, together representing over 45% of leading brands.
•Impact of exceptional summer weather broadly neutral - solid performance
in Europe in Ice Cream and an excellent contribution from RTD tea but lower
consumption in categories consumed 'hot' such as savoury, frozen meals and
leaf tea.
•Strong performance in US Ice Cream. Further progress in Laundry driven by
D&E markets.
In respect of the factors which affected the first half year, the third
quarter has seen:
•No further sharp retailer de-stocking in US HPC
•Continued pick-up in sales growth in Foodsolutions
•Further weakness experienced in Prestige. Performance in Household Care
and Frozen Foods improved but remain below expectations. These three
categories together represent approaching 10% of total leading brands but
dilute growth in the quarter by 90 bps.
•Slim.Fast innovations performing in line with plan and trade issues
resolved, but impact of current diet alternatives above expectation,
diluting growth in the quarter by 90 bps. Confidence in the longer term
growth opportunity based on size and growth of the market, Slim.Fast's
proven scientific approach to healthy weight management and strong
endorsement from the medical profession.
Looking at the development through the year, across nearly 90% of the leading
brand portfolio there has been a pick-up in momentum with growth moving from an
average of 4.3% in H1 back into the target range at 5.1% in Q3. The remaining
leading brands: in Prestige, Frozen Foods, Household Care and in Slim.Fast
declined faster, from 5.7% in H1 to a decline of 10.4% in Q3 notwithstanding the
improvements in Frozen Foods and Household Care.
Commenting on the growth of the leading brands in 2003 the Co-Chairmen of
Unilever, Antony Burgmans and Niall FitzGerald said:
'We have significantly improved the quality of the brand portfolio and see good
progress in the vast majority of our business. Path to Growth is delivering its
expected benefits across a broad front, but revenue growth will be held back in
2003 by some one-off factors in the first half and a limited number of
under-performing businesses. As a result we now expect leading brand growth to
be below 3% for the full year. With over a year to go until we reach the end of
Path to Growth, the under-performing parts of the business will be progressively
improved.'
-o0o-
Unilever's third quarter results will be published on Wednesday 29 October 2003.
Financial numbers are quoted in Euros at constant rates of exchange, that is
average 2002 rates.
EPS is quoted on a before exceptional item and goodwill amortisation basis (EPS
(beia)).
SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT: This presentation contains forward-looking statements
(within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act 1995)
based on our best current information and what we believe to be reasonable
assumptions about anticipated developments. Words such as 'expects',
'anticipates', 'intends' and other similar expressions are intended to identify
such forward looking-statements. Because of the risks and uncertainties that
always exist in any operating environment or business we cannot give any
assurance that the expectations reflected in these statements will prove
correct. Actual results and developments may differ materially depending upon,
among other factors, currency values, competitive pricing, consumption levels,
costs, environmental risks, physical risks, risks related to the integration of
acquisitions, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments and political and
social conditions in the economies and environments where Unilever operates.
Further details of these potential risks and uncertainties are given in the
Unilever Annual Report and Accounts and Form 20-F. You are cautioned not to
place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.
Leading Brand Growth by Category
Leading brands growth % 2000 2001 2002 H1 Q3
2003 2003
Personal Care (excl. 7.5 9.0 10.8 8.6 9.6
Prestige)
Prestige 2.8 (7.2) 1.3 (8.0) (25.8)
Total Personal Care 7.0 7.6 10.1 7.6 6.9
Laundry 3.2 5.3 1.9 1.3 2.3
Household Care 2.0 7.1 2.6 (3.6) 1.2
Total HPC 5.3 6.5 6.7 4.8 5.1
Savoury & Dressing 6.0 4.2 5.1 3.4 2.0
Tea Based Beverages 4.5 3.3 3.3 4.9 11.5
Spreads & Cooking (1.5) 5.5 4.3 (0.4) (0.7)
Health & Wellness 17.0 25.4 9.1 (14.5) (23.5)
Ice Cream 1.2 2.9 4.0 4.0 5.5
Frozen 3.0 0.3 0.9 (0.2) 0.3
Total Foods 1.9 4.1 4.4 1.7 1.8
TOTAL UNILEVER 3.8 5.3 5.4 3.1 3.2
-o0o-
October 20 2003
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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