Analyst Pre-Close Briefing

Provident Financial PLC 11 December 2003 ANALYST PRE-CLOSE BRIEFING - 11 DECEMBER 2003 Provident Financial, a leading international provider of consumer credit, car finance and motor insurance with 3.4 million customers in the UK, Republic of Ireland and Central Europe, is today providing a trading update ahead of the commencement of the close period preceding the group's preliminary results announcement on 26 February 2004. The group is performing well and has traded in line with our expectations for the 11 months to end November 2003. UK Consumer credit In UK home credit this year we have focused on achieving the best profit outcome by balancing the mix of customer and credit issued volumes, bad debt and overhead costs. This approach is proving successful and whilst we expect that we will see a marginal decline in both customer numbers and credit issued for the full year, the ratio of bad debt to credit issued, that had risen to 9.7% at the half year, has stabilised and is expected to remain at a similar level for the full year. Costs remain under tight control and we continue to expect modest profit growth from UK home credit in 2003. Yes Car Credit is performing well and continues to grow strongly. By the year end, six new branches will have been opened, taking the branch network to 26. Each new branch is making a good contribution to sales growth and improving the cost effectiveness of our national advertising. During the second half of this year we took the decision to increase the percentage of our car sales for which we provide finance from 90% to 100%. We now offer a full package of in-house finance and related credit protection and warranty insurances on all the cars we sell and so have increased the amount of profit we earn from each car sold. Overall, we remain pleased with the performance of this new acquisition. The market test of credit cards at Vanquis Bank is progressing well. By the year end we expect to have about 35,000 cards in issue. We will continue to monitor the performance of the portfolio throughout the first half of 2004 before deciding whether or not to develop further this new product opportunity. The test is expected to cost approximately £7m in 2003. Motor insurance The motor insurance division continues, as expected, to operate in a highly competitive market. Premiums in the market are flat whilst claims costs are rising at about 6% p.a. and so, as anticipated, the contraction of margins in the motor insurance market that began in the summer of 2002 is continuing. We have maintained our pricing approach; only offering prices that yield an adequate return on equity and so we are reducing our policyholder numbers and written premium. As the scale of the business has contracted we have reduced our cost base. The outlook for 2003 remains for lower profit than in 2002, but the business continues to earn a good return on equity. International Our international division is reporting substantial growth in customer numbers, credit issued and profit. Our largest and most established markets of Poland and the Czech Republic are developing well and increasing their profits strongly. The developing businesses in Hungary and Slovakia are growing their customer numbers very rapidly and both are continuing to expand their branch infrastructures to achieve national coverage in 2004. The pilot operation in Mexico has started well and currently has 1,600 customers. Our intention remains to operate on pilot scale in Mexico throughout 2004 before making a decision on expansion in 2005. Overall, the division is making excellent progress and achieving substantial profit growth. Regulation On 8 December, the UK government published a White Paper on Consumer Credit and proposals on revised Regulations on Early Settlement, Consumer Credit Advertising, Form and Content of Credit Agreements, APRs on Credit Cards, and On-line Agreements. We welcome the proposals and in particular the call for greater transparency in the disclosure to the borrower of the costs of credit, a tighter licensing regime and more effective redress for customers who are faced with unfair contract terms. Group The trading conditions in the group's markets are as we expected. All our business units are performing well and the group is trading in line with expectations. We remain confident of reporting a good result for 2003. Enquiries Today Thereafter Media David Stevenson 07774 818219 01274 731111 Investor Relations Helen Waggott 01274 731111 01274 731111 Brunswick Group Kevin Byram/Sophie Fitton 020 7404 5959 020 7404 5959 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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