BLACKROCK WORLD MINING TRUST plc | ||||||||||||||
All information is at 31 January 2016 and unaudited. | ||||||||||||||
Performance at month end with net income reinvested | ||||||||||||||
One | Three | One | Three | Five | ||||||||||
Month | Months | Year | Years | Years | ||||||||||
Net asset value | -6.0% | -17.6% | -37.5% | -66.4% | -73.2% | |||||||||
Share price | -5.5% | -24.1% | -38.6% | -67.0% | -72.4% | |||||||||
Euromoney Global Mining Index | -5.0% | -17.1% | -40.0% | -60.9% | -69.5% | |||||||||
(Total return) | ||||||||||||||
Sources: BlackRock, Euromoney Global Mining Index, Datastream | ||||||||||||||
At month end | ||||||||||||||
Net asset value including income*: | 200.00p | |||||||||||||
Net asset value capital only: | 187.97p | |||||||||||||
*Includes net revenue of 12.03p | ||||||||||||||
Share price: | 171.00p | |||||||||||||
Discount to NAV**: | 14.5% | |||||||||||||
Total assets: | £396.9m | |||||||||||||
Net yield***: | 12.3% | |||||||||||||
Net gearing: | 10.5% | |||||||||||||
Ordinary shares in issue: | 177,287,242 | |||||||||||||
Ordinary shares held in treasury: | 15,724,600 | |||||||||||||
Ongoing charges****: | 1.4% | |||||||||||||
** Discount to NAV including income. *** Based on an interim dividend of 7.00p per share in respect of the year ended 31 December 2015 and a final dividend of 14.00p per share in respect of the year ended 31 December 2014. **** Calculated as a percentage of average net assets and using expenses, excluding finance costs for the year ended 31 December 2014. |
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Sector | % Total | Country Analysis | % Total | |||||||||||
Assets | Assets | |||||||||||||
Diversified | 37.5 | |||||||||||||
Gold | 20.3 | Global | 44.2 | |||||||||||
Base Metals | 16.4 | Latin America | 17.1 | |||||||||||
Silver & Diamonds | 13.9 | Other Africa | 10.6 | |||||||||||
Industrial Minerals | 5.9 | Australasia | 9.2 | |||||||||||
Other | 4.3 | Canada | 7.7 | |||||||||||
Zinc | 0.2 | Emerging Europe | 5.6 | |||||||||||
Copper | 0.2 | South Africa | 3.6 | |||||||||||
Net current assets | 1.3 | Indonesia | 0.7 | |||||||||||
Net current assets | 1.3 | |||||||||||||
----- | ----- | |||||||||||||
100.0 | 100.0 | |||||||||||||
===== | ===== | |||||||||||||
Ten Largest Investments | ||||||||||||||
Company |
% Total Assets |
|||||||||||||
BHP Billiton | 10.8 | |||||||||||||
Rio Tinto | 9.7 | |||||||||||||
Lundin Mining | 5.2 | |||||||||||||
First Quantum Minerals | 5.2 | |||||||||||||
Norilsk Nickel | 5.1 | |||||||||||||
Fresnillo | 5.0 | |||||||||||||
Cerro Verde | 4.0 | |||||||||||||
Glencore | 4.0 | |||||||||||||
Rangold Resources | 3.2 | |||||||||||||
Banro Barbados | 2.9 | |||||||||||||
Commenting on the markets, Evy Hambro and Olivia Markham, representing the Investment Manager noted: |
Performance |
It was a volatile start to the year for the mining sector, with the Euromoney Global Mining Index down over -18% at one point in the month. Global equity markets suffered their worst start to a year since 2009, with the MSCI World TR Index declining -6.0% on heightened concerns over global economic growth. China’s manufacturing PMI came in below expectations at 49.4, signalling a sixth consecutive month of contraction, whilst soft US GDP data raised questions over the US Federal Reserve’s decision to increase interest rates. Chinese equity markets were particularly lacklustre, with trading on China’s main stock exchanges halted twice during the month, as the country’s ‘circuit-breaker’ mechanism was triggered by -7% falls. China removed its ‘circuit-breaker’ mechanism later in the month in a bid to restore some market stability. |
Against this backdrop, mined commodity price performance was mixed. Zinc and aluminium prices edged up +2.2% and +1.2% respectively, whilst copper and aluminium prices declined -2.9% and -2.2% respectively. Meanwhile, the gold price performed strongly, rising +5.2% on the back of safe-haven buying amidst the turmoil in equity markets. |
Concerns mounted around debt in the mining and energy sectors during the month as credit rating agency Moody’s placed 55 mining companies and 120 oil and gas companies on review for downgrades. This environment led to underperformance from some of the more levered mining companies. |
Gold equities significantly outperformed the broader mining space on the back of the gold price strength. South African miners also performed strongly as they benefited from weakness in the Rand caused by continued US dollar strength and heightened concerns around the South African economy. During the month, the Company added to its gold exposure and also wrote puts in Barrick Gold at an attractive level with the stock finishing +34% during the month. |
Within the Company’s unquoted investments, Banro, where the Company has exposure via a gold-linked preference share, announced that they had signed a financing agreement with a Chinese mining investment fund, Resource FinanceWorks, for US$98.75m. The deal is subject to regulatory approval, with the company targeting close in January 2016. The funds are intended to be used to meet the remaining coupon payments on the bond that matures in 2017, to expand crushing capacity at Twangiza and for general corporate purposes. |
Strategy and Outlook |
The performance of mining equities has been torrid in recent years. However, it is important to remember that the sector is cyclical and will not stay out of favour forever. In the near term, sentiment towards China is likely to remain the primary driver of the sector’s performance. Looking ahead, we believe that the Chinese administration has the levers to pull to effectively manage China’s economic transition to more normalised growth rates. However, the administration has work to do to reassure investors and the country’s situation is uncertain, which contributes to our expectation for commodity prices to remain subdued in the near term. |
Today, many mined commodities’ prices sit well below marginal costs, which should mean that downside for prices is limited. However, importantly the sector as a whole has been able to meaningfully cut costs, whilst weakening commodity currencies and lower oil prices have provided additional cost benefits which have compressed commodity cost curves. Fundamentally, whilst supply can be sticky for a number of reasons, a cash negative operation cannot persist indefinitely. We have just begun to see the first of the long-awaited supply cuts announced but mined commodity prices will need to remain at current levels for a few months or move lower before we see real momentum in cuts. In light of this, we believe dividends in the sector will remain under pressure and we expect to see companies further reduce capital spending and operating costs this year in order to bolster their balance sheets. |
All data points are in US dollar terms unless stated otherwise. |
11 February 2016 |
ENDS |
Latest information is available by typing www.brwmplc.co.uk on the internet, "BLRKINDEX" on Reuters, "BLRK" on Bloomberg or "8800" on Topic 3 (ICV terminal). Neither the contents of the Manager’s website nor the contents of any website accessible from hyperlinks on the Manager’s website (or any other website) is incorporated into, or forms part of, this announcement. |