To: Company Announcements
Date: 27 May 2016
Company: AXA Property Trust Limited
Subject: Net Asset Value 31 March 2016 (Unaudited)
SUMMARY
CAPITAL REDEMPTIONS
QUARTERLY RESULTS
MANAGED WIND-DOWN STATUS
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Country Allocation at 31 March 2016 (by asset value)
Country % of portfolio
Germany 52%
Italy 48%
Sector Allocation at 31 March 2016 (by asset value)
Sector % of portfolio
Retail 39%
Industrial 34%
Leisure 27%
MARKET UPDATE
German Retail
During 2015 over 525,000 sq m of retail lettings were transacted, approximately 10% less than the previous year. Prime German retail rents remained stable during the first quarter of 2016 and according to CBRE were largely unchanged compared to the first quarter of 2015. Retail investment volumes amounted to €1.5bn in the first quarter of 2016, down 56% Year-on Year (YoY), reducing the share of retail investments relative to total real estate investment from 37% in Q1 2015 to 18% in Q1 2016. This fall appears to reflect a lack of non-German investors compared to previous years which itself may have been caused by the lower volume of prime retail assets brought to the market.. Overall, portfolios comprised the largest share of retail investment during the quarter, amounting to €860 million (57%). In addition, the major share of retail transactions were across generally secondary and tertiary locations, reflecting also the lack of availability of core investments for sale. Yield compression has continued across all types of locations and properties over the past 12 months. According to Colliers’ recent market indices, prime gross yields for retail-office mixed-use assets in the ‘Big 7’ centres are currently in the order of 3.00% in Munich rising to 4.20% in Cologne. Warehouse stores and retail parks are currently priced at yields of between 5.50% and 6.00%.
German Logistics
During the first quarter of 2016, Germany benefited from a 45% YoY increase in logistics and industrial take up, at 1.5m sq m. CBRE reports this as the highest take-up figure for a first quarter and was driven by transactions outside of the top 5 city markets. Of these major markets, Frankfurt recorded the highest level of activity with take-up amounting to approximately 170,500 sq m. Generally, prime rents remained stable, although those in Munich and Berlin each recorded increases of approximately 4%, amounting to €6.75/sq m and €4.80/sq m respectively as at Q1 2016.
Investment volumes into German logistics and industrial properties during the quarter amounted to €910m, almost twice the amount invested during Q1 2015. According to Colliers, this sector accounted for 11% of the overall commercial investment volume in Q1 2016, higher than the 7.2% achieved over the whole of 2015.This may reflect a desire by investors to maintain yield in a low-return environment and a consequent switch away from other commercial sectors. As with the leasing markets, a large majority (75%) of transactions occurred outside of the top 7 markets. Colliers report gross initial yields declined by 50 basis points over the quarter, to 5.9%. The lowest prime level was registered in Munich at 5.4%
Italian Industrial
The Italian industrial market is continuing to benefit from the country’s economic recovery and its central location along the European logistics corridor. The north of Italy, in particular Lombardy and Emilia Romagna continue to benefit from healthy industrial take-up. Q1 2016 prime rents grew by 4.2% YoY in the Milan region , whilst remaining stable in Rome. Current prime rents now stand at €52.00/sq m/year in Rome and at 50/sq m/year in Milan. Investment into the Italian logistics sector amounted to a quarterly volume of €30 million, down 65% YoY according to CBRE. Prime yields remaining unchanged at 6.5% in both Milan and Rome, however CBRE comment that this is a 80bps reduction from Q1 2015, reflecting sustained overall demand from international investors.
CONSOLIDATED PERFORMANCE SUMMARY
Year to date | Year to date | |||
31 December 2015 | 31 March 2016 | Quarterly Movement | ||
Pence per share | Pence per share | Pence per share /(%) | ||
Net Asset Value per share | 62.06 | 66.95 | 4.89 | 7.88% |
Share price (mid-market) | 54.50 | 53.88 | -0.62 | -1.14% |
Share price discount to Net Asset Value | 12.2% | 19.5% | 7.3 percentage points |
Total Return per Share | Unaudited | Unaudited |
12 months ended | 12 months ended | |
31 March 2015 | 31 March 2016 | |
Net Asset Value Total Return | -5.4% | 18.8% |
Share Price Total Return | ||
- AXA Property Trust | 12.7% | 32.0% |
- FTSE All Share Index | 6.6% | -3.9% |
- FTSE Real Estate Investment Trust Index | 28.3% | -5.3% |
Source: AXA Investment Managers UK Limited and Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited. |
Total net profit £0.27 million (0.46 pence per share) for the three months from 1 January to 31 March 2016 analysed as follows:
Unaudited | Unaudited | |
3 months ended | 3 months ended | |
31 December 2015 | 31 March 2016 | |
£million | £million | |
Net property income | 0.87 | 0.35 |
Net foreign exchange (losses) / gains | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Investment Manager's fees | (0.08) | (0.02) |
Other income and expenses | (1.70) | (0.14) |
Net finance costs | (0.28) | (0.13) |
Revenue (loss)/profit | (1.19) | 0.06 |
Unrealised (losses) / gains on revaluation of investment properties | 1.95 | 0.04 |
Net losses on disposal of investment properties | 1.06 | 0.02 |
Net (Losses) / gains on derivatives | 0.19 | 0.12 |
Share in (losses) / Profit of Joint Venture | 0.06 | 0.10 |
Finance costs | (0.00) | 0.00 |
Net foreign exchange losses | 0.17 | 0.00 |
Deferred tax | 0.05 | (0.08) |
Capital profit | 3.49 | 0.21 |
Total profit | 2.30 | 0.27 |
NET ASSET VALUE
The Company’s unaudited Consolidated Net Asset Value decreased by £8.59 million during the quarter mainly as a result of the £11.00 million of capital redemption and a favourable movements in the Euro/Sterling exchange rate (£2.09 million):
Unaudited | Unaudited | Unaudited | |
6 months ended | 3 months ended | 9 months ended | |
31 December 2015 | 31 December 2015 | 31 March 2016 | |
£million | £million | £million | |
Opening Net Asset Value | 49.37 | 47.14 | 49.37 |
Net (loss) / profit after tax | 1.31 | 0.27 | 1.58 |
Unrealised movement on derivatives | 0.53 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
Share Redemption | (5.20) | (11.00) | (16.19) |
Foreign exchange translation losses | 1.14 | 2.09 | 3.23 |
Closing Net Asset Value | 47.14 | 38.55 | 38.55 |
Net Asset Value per share as at 31 March 2016 was 66.95 pence (62.06 pence as at 31 December 2015).
The Net Asset Value attributable to the Ordinary Shares is calculated under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). It includes all current year income after the deduction of dividends and capital redemptions paid prior to 31 March 2016.
On a like-for-like basis the Euro valuation of the property portfolio decreased by 0.87% to €57.1 million for the quarter. In Sterling currency terms, the property valuation was £45.2 million in March 2016 (including the effects of valuation movements, capital expenditure and foreign exchange movements). The £/EUR foreign exchange rate applied to the Company’s Euro investments in its subsidiary companies at 31 March 2016 was 1.261 (31 December 2015: 1.357).
The Company’s net property yield on current market valuation (after acquisition and operating costs) as at 31 March 2016 was 9.0%.
SHARE PRICE AND DISCOUNT TO NET ASSET VALUE
As at close of business on 31 March 2016, the mid-market price of the Company’s shares on the London Stock Exchange was 53.88 pence, representing a discount of 19.5% to the Net Asset Value of 66.95 pence per share.
FUND GEARING
Unaudited | Unaudited | ||
31 December 2015 | 31 March 2016 | Movement | |
£million /% | £million /% | £million /% | |
Property portfolio * | 42.41 | 45.23 | 2.82 -6.2% |
Borrowings | 15.72 | 14.24 | -1.48 10.4% |
Total gross gearing | 37.1% | 31.5% | -5.6 percentage points |
Total net gearing ** | 28.2% | 27.2% | -1.0 percentage points |
* Value based on independent valuation, Agnadello valuation included | |||
** Net Gearing is calculated as overall debt, net of unallocated cash held by the Goup over the portfolio at fair value |
Fund gearing is included to provide an indication of the overall indebtedness of the Company and does not relate to any covenant terms in the Company’s loan facilities.
LOAN FACILITIES
Gross Loan to Value (LTV) Covenants | Unaudited | Unaudited | |
31 December 2015 | 31 March 2016 | Maximum | |
Main loan facility | 50.7% | 42.6% | 60.00% |
As at 31 March 2016, the loan-to-value ratio on the main loan facility was 42.6% based on the bank asset valuation. The loan has an LTV covenant of 60%.
Interest Cover Ratio at 31 March 2016 | Historic | Minimum | Projected | Minimum | |
Unaudited | Unaudited | ||||
Main loan facility covenant | 2.54x | 2.0x | 3.32x | 1.85x | |
Interest Cover Ratio (ICR) is calculated as net financing expense payable as a percentage of net rental income less movement in arrears.
CASH POSITION
The Company and its subsidiaries (Agnadello included) held total cash of £8.93 million at 31 March 2016. The Company returned £11.00 million to shareholders in January 2015. Cash is held within the Trust’s holding structure to cover potential liabilities arising from outstanding representations and warranties, as well as running costs.
MATERIAL EVENTS
Except for those noted above, the Board of the Company is not aware of any significant event or transaction which occurred between 31 March 2016 and the date of the publication of this Statement which would have a material impact on the financial position of the Company.
Company website:
http://www.axapropertytrust.com
All Enquiries:
Investment Manager
AXA Investment Managers UK Limited
Broker Services
7 Newgate Street
London EC1A 7NX
Tel: +44 (0)20 7003 2345
Email:broker.services@axa-im.com
Sponsor and Broker
Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited
150 Cheapside
London EC2V 6ET
Tel: +44 (0)20 7710 7600
Company Secretary
Northern Trust International Fund Administration Services (Guernsey) Limited
Trafalgar Court
Les Banques
St Peter Port
GY1 3QL
Tel: +44 (0)1481 745324