Interim Results
Aberdeen New Dawn Invest Trust PLC
20 December 2006
ABERDEEN NEW DAWN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
ANNOUNCEMENT OF UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS
For the six months ended 31 October 2006
Background
I am reporting to you for the first time as Chairman of your Company on the
performance over the six months under review. During this period, the net asset
value of the Company fell 2.2% to 492.7p, underperforming the benchmark MSCI
Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index, which fell 1.6%. Over the period, the net asset
value total return was -1.1% and the benchmark total return was -1.6%, while the
share price total return was -4.1%. At 30 April 2006, the Company's shares were
trading at a premium of 2.5% to the net asset value, but by 31 October 2006 they
were trading at a discount of -0.6%. As is our normal practice, there will be no
interim dividend but we shall recommend a final dividend at our financial
year-end.
Overview
During the past six months several Asian stock markets reached record highs
(notwithstanding the regional index fall), driven by abundant liquidity and a
gathering belief that the US economy would avoid an abrupt slowdown. However, in
May there was a significant market correction led by concerns over potential
oil-led inflation and a rising political temperature in the Middle East. This
left emerging markets in general exposed to knee-jerk selling, and many markets
fell sharply. Since then the US Federal Reserve has sketched a more benign
picture of US economic activity and global imbalances seem to have subsided.
Liquidity into the region has resumed, led principally from the Middle East and
North America.
China has continued to grow rapidly. Renewed efforts to curb lending and
speculative investment have made little impact; as has a slowly appreciating
Renminbi. India is growing at 9.2% year on year which is nearly the same rate as
China and your Board is impressed by the sustainability of this underlying
growth which has benefited from transparency as well as the legal and
accountancy systems. India's weakness is its infrastructure, which will
eventually constrain growth. Rising wages and costs are a symptom of an economy
running close to full capacity and significant overheating in the property
market is another warning sign.
Singapore has been generating good growth thanks to a move into higher-end
services, with a burgeoning financial services sector attracting capital from
Europe - and investment interest now spilling into higher-end properties which
has served us well. Meanwhile, businesses as different as oil rigs, banks and
telecoms that have heeded the government's encouragement to go regional are
finally generating attractive returns.
Sadly, Taiwan and Korea have not been generating plaudits. Margin pressure has
dampened the performance of key exporters and economic growth has been sluggish.
Thailand, which saw a bloodless coup remove the prime minister, barely missed a
beat. The market sees the junta as more likely to speed up public spending and
deter the corruption that was Thaksin's undoing. There is obvious value in the
market, which is probably Asia's cheapest in conventional terms.
One strong market support in Southeast Asia is the commodities boom since core
exports still include soft commodities. But the main beneficiary is mineral-rich
Australia, where the economy appears increasingly bifurcated: the Western half,
where mining is based, is seeing tearaway growth but the more populous states on
the other side, being dependent on home equity-driven consumption, face the
consequences of rising interest rates.
Review
In the period under review, we took partial profits in Korean auto manufacturer
Hyundai Motors, Australian construction company Leighton Holdings,
telecommunications firm China Mobile, and Korean electronics manufacturer
Samsung Electronics, all on valuation grounds. We also sold out of our holding
in Indonesian shoe retailer and manufacturer Sepatu Bata. The proceeds were used
to top up various existing holdings, including Venture Corp, a Singapore-based
company that is one of the world's best electronics contract manufacturers, and
Jardine Strategic, one of Hong Kong's big trading houses, with interests in
retail, property, hotels and auto distribution. We also switched the Australian
listing of Rio Tinto to the UK listing, as the latter trades at a discount to
the former, an anomaly we hope to be corrected in time.
Three new holdings were purchased for the fund. We initiated positions in Hong
Kong-based developer Hang Lung Properties and its holding company Hang Lung
Group, which not only has a strong retail property portfolio and develops
residential projects in Hong Kong, but is poised to capitalise on the growth in
Chinese consumption through the development of large-scale shopping centres on
the mainland. We also initiated a position in Singapore Telecommunications, one
of the largest telecommunications services providers in the Asia Pacific region,
with significant operations in Singapore and Australia, and growing
contributions from its associates across the region, including India and
Indonesia.
Outlook
With the exception perhaps of Chinese IPOs, there are few signs of the excesses
in Asia one usually associates with a bull market. Companies are behaving
cautiously. Policy makers do not face any obvious quandaries. True, interest
rates have been rising - save in Indonesia - but the effects have been muted
almost everywhere. There is room for spending to boost demand if required, and
budgets have generally turned more expansive.
The main risks therefore appear external. In recent weeks investors have reacted
alternately with complacency and alarm at the regular feed of US economic data
(which is still inconclusive). The upshot may be more volatility in markets
globally. In Asia, the evidence from fund flows is that the more marginal
foreign investors may not have returned after May's wobble. But institutional
allocations to the region have been increasing for some years and a more
variegated market ownership structure is welcome.
Should stock markets stumble again as they did in the middle of the year, I have
every confidence in your Manager. The Board shares my view that the Manager is
right to emphasise price discipline at this juncture because conditions could
tempt one to overpay for growth that may already be discounted. Our experience
is that buying short-term performance can lead to nasty surprises later. As it
is, we have a carefully constructed portfolio of sound, well-managed companies
that have sustainable, cash-generating operations and sensible corporate
strategies. A casual glance will show that the names are substantially the same
as six months (or even a year or two) ago, which is reassuring.
Current valuations appear reasonable and are supported by the positive long-term
fundamentals in the region. Currently the Company's investments trade on a price
/earnings multiple of 17.3 times for calendar year 2006 and 16.2 times for 2007,
according to our Manager's estimates, with a weighted average debt/equity ratio
of just 9%.
Directorate
As anticipated in the Annual Report, Jimmy West retired from the Board at the
Annual General Meeting held in August. I would like to take this opportunity to
thank Jimmy for his contribution to the Trust over the last 13 years and I will
personally miss his advice.
I am delighted to report that we have appointed David Shearer to the Board with
effect from 1 January 2007 and he will also be Chairman of the Audit Committee.
Alan Henderson
Chairman
20 December 2006
INCOME STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)
Six months ended Six months ended
31 October 2006 31 October 2005
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
(Losses)/gains on held-at-fair-value - (2,703) (2,703) - 17,573 17,573
investments
Income 2,155 - 2,155 1,857 - 1,857
Investment management fee (252) (252) (504) (197) (197) (394)
Administrative expenses (272) (30) (302) (242) - (242)
Exchange (losses)/gains (36) 357 321 26 (475) (449)
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Net return before finance costs and taxation 1,595 (2,628) (1,033) 1,444 16,901 18,345
Interest payable and similar charges (95) (95) (190) (80) (80) (160)
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Net return on ordinary activities before 1,500 (2,723) (1,223) 1,364 16,821 18,185
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (437) 104 (333) (414) 83 (331)
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation 1,063 (2,619) (1,556) 950 16,904 17,854
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Return per Ordinary share (pence): 4.19 (10.32) (6.13) 3.99 70.99 74.98
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
The total column of this statement represents the profit and loss account of the
Company.
No Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses has been prepared as all gains
and losses have been reflected in the Income Statement.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
BALANCE SHEET
As at As at As at
31 October 2006 31 October 2005 30 April 2006
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Non-current assets
Investments at fair value through profit or loss 131,759 106,432 134,766
_________ _________ _________
Current assets
Debtors 464 227 423
Cash at bank and in hand 723 1,471 790
_________ _________ _________
1,187 1,698 1,213
_________ _________ _________
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year
Foreign currency loans (7,191) (7,535) (7,496)
Other creditors (596) (1,150) (486)
_________ _________ _________
(7,787) (8,685) (7,982)
_________ _________ _________
Net current liabilities (6,600) (6,987) (6,769)
_________ _________ _________
Total assets less current liabilities 125,159 99,445 127,997
Provision for liabilities and charges (77) (43) (90)
_________ _________ _________
Net assets 125,082 99,402 127,907
_________ _________ _________
Capital and reserves
Called-up share capital 6,347 6,172 6,347
Share premium account 17,955 14,834 17,955
Special reserve 14,138 14,138 14,138
Capital redemption reserve 10,207 10,207 10,207
Capital reserve - realised 11,978 6,606 7,067
Capital reserve - unrealised 59,919 43,364 67,449
Revenue reserve 4,538 4,081 4,744
_________ _________ _________
Equity Shareholders' funds 125,082 99,402 127,907
_________ _________ _________
Net asset value per Ordinary share (pence): 492.70 402.65 503.83
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (UNAUDITED)
Six months ended 31 October 2006
Share Capital Capital Capital
Share premium Special redemption reserve reserve Revenue
capital account reserve reserve realised unrealised reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 30 April 2006 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 7,067 67,449 4,744 127,907
Return on ordinary activities after - - - - 4,911 (7,530) 1,063 (1,556)
taxation
Dividend paid (Final 2006 - 5.0p) - - - - - - (1,269) (1,269)
_____ ______ ______ _______ ______ _______ ______ _______
Balance at 31 October 2006 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 11,978 59,919 4,538 125,082
_____ ______ ______ _______ ______ _______ ______ _______
Six months ended 31 October 2005
Share Capital Capital Capital
Share premium Special redemption reserve reserve Revenue
capital account reserve reserve realised unrealised reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 30 April 2005 5,852 9,777 14,138 10,207 7,025 26,041 4,301 77,341
Return on ordinary activities after - - - - (419) 17,323 950 17,854
taxation
Dividend paid (Final 2005 - 4.0p; - - - - - - (1,170) (1,170)
Special 2005 - 1.0p)
Issue of Ordinary shares 320 5,057 - - - - - 5,377
_____ ______ ______ _______ ______ _______ ______ _______
Balance at 31 October 2005 6,172 14,834 14,138 10,207 6,606 43,364 4,081 99,402
CASH FLOW STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)
Six months ended Six months ended
31 October 2006 31 October 2005
£'000 £'000
Net return on ordinary activities before finance costs and (1,033) 18,345
taxation
Adjustment for:
Losses/(gains) on investments at fair value through profit or 2,703 (17,573)
loss
Exchange (gains)/losses charged to capital (357) 475
(Increase)/decrease in accrued income (35) 326
Increase in other debtors - (4)
Increase in creditors 42 48
Overseas withholding tax suffered (94) (102)
Scrip dividends included in investment income (35) (15)
___________ ___________
Net cash inflow from operating activities 1,191 1,500
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (194) (161)
Corporation tax paid (182) -
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from financial investment 315 (4,953)
Equity dividends paid (1,269) (1,170)
___________ ___________
Net cash outflow before use of liquid resources and financing (139) (4,784)
Net cash inflow from financing 20 5,378
___________ ___________
(Decrease)/increase in cash (119) 594
___________ ___________
Reconciliation of net cash flow to movements in net debt
(Decrease)/increase in cash as above (119) 594
Exchange movements 357 (475)
___________ ___________
Movement in net debt in the period 238 119
Net debt at 1 May 2006 (6,706) (6,183)
___________ ___________
Net debt at 31 October 2006 (6,468) (6,064)
___________ ___________
Represented by:
Cash at bank 723 1,471
Debt falling due within one year (7,191) (7,535)
___________ ___________
(6,468) (6,064)
Notes to the Accounts
1. Accounting policies
(a) Basis of accounting
The accounts have been prepared under the historical cost convention,
as modified to include the revaluation of investments and in accordance with
applicable UK Accounting Standards and consistent with the Statement of
Recommended Practice for 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'
(December 2005). They have also been prepared on the assumption that the
approval as an investment trust will continue to be granted.
The financial statements and the net asset value per share figures have been
prepared in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('UK
GAAP').
The interim accounts have been prepared using the same accounting policies as
the preceding annual accounts.
(b) Dividends payable
Dividends are recognised in the period in which they relate.
2. Dividends
Ordinary dividends on equity shares deducted from reserves are analysed below
Six months ended Six months ended
31 October 2006 31 October 2005
£'000 £'000
2005 final dividend - 4.0p - 936
2005 special dividend - 1.0p - 234
2006 final dividend - 5.0p 1,269 -
1,269 1,170
In accordance with stated policy no interim dividend has been declared for the
period (2005 - nil).
Six months ended Six months ended
31 October 2006 31 October 2005
3. Return per share p p
Revenue return 4.19 3.99
Capital return (10.32) 70.99
Total return (6.13) 74.98
The figures above are based on the following attributable assets:
£'000 £'000
Revenue return 1,063 950
Capital return (2,619) 16,904
Total return (1,556) 17,854
Weighted average number of Ordinary shares 25,387,133 23,812,676
As at As at As at
4. Net asset value per share 31 October 2006 31 October 2005 30 April 2006
Attributable net assets (£'000) 125,082 99,402 127,907
Number of Ordinary shares in issue 25,387,133 24,687,133 25,387,133
Net asset value per Ordinary share (p) 492.70 402.65 503.83
5. Transaction costs
During the six months ended 31 October 2006 expenses were incurred in acquiring or disposing
of investments classified as fair value through profit or loss. These have been expensed
through capital and are included within (losses)/gains on investments in the Income Statement.
The total costs were as follows:
Six months ended Six months ended
31 October 2006 31 October 2005
£'000 £'000
Purchases 30 23
Sales 14 13
44 36
6. The financial information in this report comprises non-statutory accounts
within the meaning of Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial
information for the year ended 30 April 2006 has been extracted from published
accounts that have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and on which the
report of the auditors was unqualified under Section 235 of the Companies Act
1985. The interim accounts have been prepared using the same accounting policies
as the preceding annual accounts.
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC
Secretaries
20 December 2006
Independent Review Report to
Aberdeen New Dawn Investment Trust PLC
Introduction
We have been instructed by the Company to review the financial information for
the six months ended 31 October 2006 which comprises the Income Statement,
Balance Sheet, Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders' Funds, Cash Flow
Statement and the related notes that have been reviewed. We have read the other
information contained in the Interim Report and considered whether it contains
any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the financial
information.
This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with the terms of our
engagement to assist the Company in meeting the requirements of the Listing
Rules of the Financial Services Authority. Our review has been undertaken so
that we might state to the Company those matters we are required to state to it
in this report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law,
we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company for
our review work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have reached.
Directors' responsibilities
The Interim Report, including the financial information contained therein, is
the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the Directors. The Directors
are responsible for preparing the Interim Report in accordance with the Listing
Rules of the Financial Services Authority which require that the accounting
policies and presentation applied to the interim figures should be consistent
with those applied in preparing the preceding annual accounts except where any
changes, and the reasons for them, are disclosed.
Review Work Performed
We conducted our review in accordance with guidance contained in Bulletin 1999/4
issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the UK. A review consists
principally of making enquiries of management and applying analytical procedures
to the financial information and underlying financial data and, based thereon,
assessing whether the accounting policies and presentation have been
consistently applied unless otherwise disclosed. A review excludes audit
procedures such as tests of controls and verification of assets, liabilities and
transactions. It is substantially less in scope than an audit performed in
accordance with International Statements on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and
therefore provides a lower level of assurance than an audit. Accordingly, we do
not express an audit opinion on the financial information.
Review Conclusion
On the basis of our review we are not aware of any material modifications that
should be made to the financial information as presented for the six months
ended 31 October 2006.
KPMG Audit Plc
Chartered Accountants
20 December 2006 Edinburgh
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