Part 4 of 5
Page 81
Capital & assets
In this section |
Page |
Capital and liquidity |
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C1 Capital performance |
82 |
C2 Regulatory capital |
86 |
C3 IFRS sensitivity analysis |
88 |
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Analysis of assets |
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D1 Total assets |
91 |
D2 Total assets -Valuation bases/fair |
92 |
D3 Analysis of asset quality |
95 |
D4 Pension fund assets |
105 |
D5 Available funds |
106 |
D6 Guarantees |
106 |
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Page 82
Capital and liquidity
C1 - Capital performance
(a) Capital generation and utilisation
|
6 months |
Restated1 6 months |
Restated1 Full year |
Group operating capital generated after investment in new business |
910 |
1,016 |
1,953 |
Interest, corporate and other costs |
(235) |
(271) |
(621) |
External dividends and appropriations |
(309) |
(297) |
(537) |
Net operating capital generation after financing |
366 |
448 |
795 |
1 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
(b) Capital required to write new business, internal rate of return and payback period
The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year. This capital generation supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.
The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.
The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.
The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below.
|
|
|
6 months 2014 |
|
|
Restated1 6 months 2013 |
|
|
Restated1 Full year 2013 |
|
Internal rate of return2 % |
New business impact on free surplus3 £m |
Payback period years2 |
Internal rate of return2 % |
New free surplus3 £m |
Payback period years2 |
Internal rate of return2 % |
New free surplus3 £m |
Payback period years2 |
United Kingdom4 |
13% |
35 |
7 |
23% |
(17) |
5 |
19% |
(17) |
6 |
Ireland |
5% |
17 |
11 |
4% |
16 |
19 |
5% |
30 |
13 |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
12% |
52 |
8 |
20% |
(1) |
7 |
17% |
13 |
7 |
France |
12% |
77 |
8 |
12% |
73 |
8 |
11% |
148 |
9 |
Poland |
23% |
15 |
4 |
19% |
14 |
5 |
22% |
25 |
4 |
Italy |
13% |
34 |
6 |
12% |
27 |
6 |
14% |
46 |
6 |
Spain |
13% |
17 |
5 |
18% |
19 |
4 |
17% |
33 |
4 |
Other Europe |
45% |
10 |
2 |
32% |
13 |
3 |
32% |
20 |
3 |
Europe |
15% |
153 |
6 |
15% |
146 |
6 |
15% |
272 |
7 |
Asia |
20% |
32 |
8 |
14% |
35 |
11 |
16% |
68 |
10 |
Total |
14.6% |
237 |
7 |
16.2% |
180 |
7 |
15.6% |
353 |
7 |
1 The comparative periods have been restated. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
2 Gross of non-controlling interests.
3 Net of non-controlling interests.
4 IRR has fallen since HY13 reflecting a shift in business mix due to reduced volumes of individual annuities and a higher IRR in the prior period due to stronger annuity margins in the UK.
Page 83
C1 - Capital performance continued
(c) Analysis of return on equity- IFRS basis
|
|
Operating return1 |
|
|
6 months 2014 |
Before tax £m |
After tax £m |
Opening Shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests £m |
Return on equity % |
United Kingdom & Ireland Life |
478 |
392 |
5,832 |
13.4% |
United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health2 |
244 |
193 |
4,146 |
9.3% |
Europe |
498 |
344 |
5,598 |
12.3% |
Canada |
83 |
61 |
925 |
13.2% |
Asia |
35 |
30 |
709 |
8.4% |
Fund management |
48 |
40 |
237 |
33.8% |
Corporate and Other Business3 |
(182) |
(141) |
(1,305) |
n/a |
Return on total capital employed |
1,204 |
919 |
16,142 |
11.4% |
Subordinated debt |
(142) |
(111) |
(4,370) |
5.1% |
External debt |
(10) |
(9) |
(755) |
2.3% |
Return on total equity |
1,052 |
799 |
11,017 |
14.5% |
Less: Non-controlling interests |
|
(84) |
(1,471) |
11.4% |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
|
(12) |
(1,382) |
1.7% |
Preference capital |
|
(9) |
(200) |
9.0% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds |
|
694 |
7,964 |
17.4% |
1 The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances.
2 The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £19 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £19 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.
3 The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £182 million comprises corporate costs of £64 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £99 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £35 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £16 million.
|
|
Operating return1 |
|
|
Full Year 2013 |
Before tax £m |
After tax £m |
Opening shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests £m |
Return on equity % |
United Kingdom & Ireland Life |
952 |
904 |
5,646 |
16.0% |
United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health2 |
410 |
319 |
4,008 |
8.0% |
Europe |
963 |
636 |
5,860 |
10.9% |
Canada |
246 |
180 |
1,039 |
17.4% |
Asia |
97 |
84 |
825 |
10.1% |
Fund management |
93 |
72 |
225 |
32.1% |
Corporate and Other Business3 |
(384) |
(428) |
(1,471) |
n/a |
Return on total capital employed (excluding United States) |
2,377 |
1,767 |
16,132 |
11.0% |
United States |
290 |
207 |
367 |
56.5% |
Return on total capital employed (including United States) |
2,667 |
1,974 |
16,499 |
12.0% |
Subordinated debt |
(305) |
(234) |
(4,337) |
5.4% |
External debt |
(23) |
(18) |
(802) |
2.2% |
Return on total equity |
2,339 |
1,722 |
11,360 |
15.2% |
Less: Non-controlling interests |
|
(174) |
(1,574) |
11.1% |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
|
(70) |
(1,382) |
5.1% |
Preference capital |
|
(17) |
(200) |
8.5% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds |
|
1,461 |
8,204 |
17.8% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds (excluding United States operating return) |
|
1,254 |
8,204 |
15.3% |
1 The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances.
2 The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £79 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £79 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.
3 The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £384 million comprises corporate costs of £150 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £231 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £60 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £57 million.
Page 84
C1 - Capital performance continued
(d) Group capital structure
The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by products and services segments and how that capital is funded.
|
|
|
30 June 2014 Capital employed |
|
|
31 December 2013 Capital employed |
|
IFRS basis £m |
Internally generated AVIF £m |
MCEV5 basis £m |
IFRS basis £m |
Restated Internally generated AVIF4 £m |
MCEV4,5 basis £m |
Life business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
5,197 |
2,552 |
7,749 |
5,237 |
2,742 |
7,979 |
Ireland |
579 |
93 |
672 |
595 |
81 |
676 |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
5,776 |
2,645 |
8,421 |
5,832 |
2,823 |
8,655 |
France |
2,176 |
1,698 |
3,874 |
2,366 |
1,677 |
4,043 |
Poland |
347 |
989 |
1,336 |
380 |
1,075 |
1,455 |
Italy |
1,024 |
430 |
1,454 |
1,108 |
471 |
1,579 |
Spain |
725 |
266 |
991 |
769 |
232 |
1,001 |
Other Europe |
96 |
85 |
181 |
93 |
84 |
177 |
Europe |
4,368 |
3,468 |
7,836 |
4,716 |
3,539 |
8,255 |
Asia |
710 |
276 |
986 |
676 |
270 |
946 |
|
10,854 |
6,389 |
17,243 |
11,224 |
6,632 |
17,856 |
General insurance & health |
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
3,645 |
(182) |
3,463 |
3,725 |
(184) |
3,541 |
Ireland |
458 |
- |
458 |
421 |
- |
421 |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
4,103 |
(182) |
3,921 |
4,146 |
(184) |
3,962 |
France |
553 |
- |
553 |
570 |
- |
570 |
Italy |
275 |
- |
275 |
269 |
- |
269 |
Other Europe |
38 |
- |
38 |
43 |
- |
43 |
Europe |
866 |
- |
866 |
882 |
- |
882 |
Canada |
1,005 |
- |
1,005 |
925 |
- |
925 |
Asia |
30 |
- |
30 |
33 |
(2) |
31 |
|
6,004 |
(182) |
5,822 |
5,986 |
(186) |
5,800 |
Fund Management |
232 |
(24) |
208 |
237 |
(37) |
200 |
Corporate & Other Business1 |
(704) |
61 |
(643) |
(1,305) |
2 |
(1,303) |
Total capital employed |
16,386 |
6,244 |
22,630 |
16,142 |
6,411 |
22,553 |
Financed by |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity shareholders' funds |
8,557 |
5,534 |
14,091 |
7,964 |
5,679 |
13,643 |
Non-controlling interests |
1,414 |
710 |
2,124 |
1,471 |
732 |
2,203 |
Direct capital instruments & fixed rate tier 1 notes |
1,382 |
- |
1,382 |
1,382 |
- |
1,382 |
Preference shares |
200 |
- |
200 |
200 |
- |
200 |
Subordinated debt |
4,072 |
- |
4,072 |
4,370 |
- |
4,370 |
External debt |
761 |
- |
761 |
755 |
- |
755 |
Total capital employed |
16,386 |
6,244 |
22,630 |
16,142 |
6,411 |
22,553 |
Less: Goodwill & other intangibles (net of tax & non-controlling interests)2 |
(2,036) |
|
(1,925) |
(2,204) |
|
(2,088) |
Total tangible capital employed |
14,350 |
|
20,705 |
13,938 |
|
20,465 |
Total debt3 |
6,665 |
|
6,665 |
6,957 |
|
6,957 |
Tangible debt leverage |
46% |
|
32% |
50% |
|
34% |
1 'Corporate' and 'other Business' includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, include the formal loan arrangement between Aviva Group Holdings Limited and Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). Internal capital management in place allocated a majority of the total capital of AIL to the UK general insurance operations with the remaining capital deemed to be supporting residual (non-operational) Pillar II ICA risks.
2 Goodwill and intangibles comprise £1,364 million (FY13: £1,480 million) of goodwill in subsidiaries, £964 million (FY13: £1,068 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries and £99 million (FY13: £60 million) of goodwill and intangibles in joint ventures, net of deferred tax liabilities of £184 million (FY13: £189 million) and the non-controlling interest share of intangibles of £207 million (FY13: £215 million). Under MCEV the goodwill has been further impaired by £111 million (FY13: £116 million) which has been reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the MCEV balance sheet.
3 Total debt comprises direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes, Aviva Plc preference share capital and core structural borrowings. In addition preference share capital of GA plc of £250 million within non-controlling interests has been included.
4 Following a change in MCEV methodology highlighted in section F1, the UK Retail Fund Management business in Aviva Investors, the UK Health business and Singapore Guaranteed Renewable Health business are now treated as life covered business. Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology.
5 In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations as at 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2013 at the expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds less cost to sell at those dates.
Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt
and borrowings. At HY14 we had £16.4 billion (FY13: £16.1 billion) of total capital employed in our businesses measured on an IFRS basis and £22.6 billion (FY13: £22.6 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis. Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to IFRS tangible capital employed, was 46% (FY13: 50%).
At HY14 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interests, of £250 million), and direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes was £7,486 million (FY13: £7,573 million), with a weighted average cost, post tax, of 3.2% (FY13: 3.8%). The Group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 6.1% (FY13: 6.6%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at HY14 was 7.6% (FY13: 8.3%) based on a risk free rate of 2.7% (FY13: 3.0%), an equity risk premium of 4.0% (FY13: 4.0%) and a market beta of 1.23 (FY13: 1.30).
Page 85
C1 - Capital performance continued
(e) Equity sensitivity analysis
The sensitivity of the group's total equity on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 30 June 2014 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:
31 December 2013 £bn |
IFRS basis |
30 June 2014 £bn |
Equities down 10% £bn |
Interest rates up 1% £bn |
0.5% increased credit spread £bn |
11.2 |
Long-term savings |
10.9 |
- |
(0.3) |
(0.1) |
4.9 |
General insurance and other |
5.5 |
(0.1) |
(0.5) |
0.4 |
(5.1) |
Borrowings |
(4.8) |
- |
- |
- |
11.0 |
Total equity |
11.6 |
(0.1) |
(0.8) |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
Equities down 10% |
|
|
Restated1 31 December 2013 £bn |
MCEV basis |
30 June 2014 £bn |
Direct £bn |
Indirect £bn |
Interest rates up 1% £bn |
0.5% increased credit spread £bn |
17.9 |
Long-term savings |
17.2 |
- |
(0.4) |
(0.3) |
(0.9) |
4.7 |
General insurance and other |
5.4 |
(0.1) |
- |
(0.5) |
0.4 |
(5.1) |
Borrowings |
(4.8) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
17.5 |
Total equity |
17.8 |
(0.1) |
(0.4) |
(0.8) |
(0.5) |
1 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the change in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.6 billion (before any associated tax impact).
The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.
Page 86
C2 - Regulatory capital
Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our businesses in Canada a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.
Based on individual guidance from the PRA we recognise surpluses of the non-profit funds of our UK Life and pensions businesses which are available for transfer to shareholders. These have decreased to £nil as at 30 June 2014 (FY13: £0.1 billion).
(a) Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)
|
UK Life funds £bn |
Other business £bn |
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources |
5.3 |
8.3 |
13.6 |
14.4 |
Less: capital resources requirement |
(5.3) |
(5.0) |
(10.3) |
(10.8) |
Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency |
- |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds) |
|
|
1.7 times |
1.7 times |
The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has decreased by £0.3 billion since FY13 to £3.3 billion. The key drivers of the reduction are the establishment of the group's internal reinsurance arrangement which has reduced IGD capital by £0.2 billion and the redemption of hybrid debt which has also reduced IGD capital by £0.2 billion.
The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:
|
£bn |
IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2013 |
3.6 |
Operating profits net of other income and expenses |
0.6 |
Dividends and appropriations |
(0.3) |
Hybrid debt redemption |
(0.2) |
Internal reinsurance |
(0.2) |
Disposals |
0.1 |
Increase in capital resources requirement |
(0.2) |
Other regulatory adjustments |
(0.1) |
Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2014 |
3.3 |
Page 87
C2 - Regulatory capital continued
(b) Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds
The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: New With-Profit Sub Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profit Sub Fund (OWPSF) and With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS statement of financial position at 30 June 2014 and 31 December 2013.
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June 2014 |
31 December 2013 |
|
Estimated realistic assets £bn |
Estimated realistic liabilities1 £bn |
Estimated realistic inherited estate2 £bn |
Capital support arrangement3 £bn |
Estimated risk capital margin £bn |
Estimated excess available capital £bn |
Estimated excess available capital £bn |
NWPSF |
14.8 |
(14.8) |
- |
2.2 |
(0.2) |
2.0 |
0.9 |
OWPSF |
2.8 |
(2.5) |
0.3 |
- |
- |
0.3 |
0.3 |
WPSF4 |
16.6 |
(15.0) |
1.6 |
- |
(0.3) |
1.3 |
1.2 |
Aggregate |
34.2 |
(32.3) |
1.9 |
2.2 |
(0.5) |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1 These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses of £(0.1) billion (FY13: £0.1 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses are £32.4 billion (FY13: £33.4 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.3 billion, £0.2 billion and £2.6 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively (FY13: £1.4 billion, £0.2 billion and £2.5 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).
2 Estimated realistic inherited estate at FY13 was £nil, £0.4 billion and £1.5billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.
3 The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £2.2 billion at 30 June 2014 (FY13: £1.1 billion). The increase arises mainly from the transfer of non-profit business from RIEESA to NWPSF which enabled the economic value of this business to be recognised in the RIEESA.
4 The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and realistic liabilities of £1.5 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.
(c) Investment mix
The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:
|
30 June 2014 % |
31 December 2013 % |
Equity |
28% |
29% |
Property |
12% |
12% |
Fixed interest |
54% |
49% |
Other |
6% |
10% |
The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 71% in NWPSF and OWPSF, and 74% in WPSF.
Page 88
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis
The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.
For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F of this report.
(a) Life insurance and investment contracts
The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.
(b) General insurance and health business
General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.
These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years.
In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.
(c) Sensitivity test results
Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.
Sensitivity factor |
Description of sensitivity factor applied |
Interest rate and investment return |
The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities. |
Credit Spreads |
The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations. |
Equity/property market values |
The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%. |
Expenses |
The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%. |
Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only) |
The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%. |
Annuitant mortality (life insurance only) |
The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%. |
Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only) |
The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%. |
(d) Long-term businesses
30 June 2014 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance participating |
(50) |
20 |
(35) |
(135) |
100 |
(25) |
(5) |
(40) |
Insurance non-participating |
(65) |
20 |
(325) |
20 |
(20) |
(80) |
(60) |
(435) |
Investment participating |
(10) |
5 |
(5) |
- |
- |
(5) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(20) |
20 |
(5) |
10 |
(10) |
(15) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(35) |
50 |
(25) |
15 |
(15) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(180) |
115 |
(395) |
(90) |
55 |
(125) |
(65) |
(475) |
30 June 2014 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance participating |
(50) |
20 |
(35) |
(135) |
100 |
(25) |
(5) |
(40) |
Insurance non-participating |
(65) |
20 |
(330) |
20 |
(20) |
(80) |
(60) |
(435) |
Investment participating |
(10) |
5 |
(5) |
- |
- |
(5) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(20) |
20 |
(5) |
10 |
(10) |
(15) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(75) |
95 |
(35) |
25 |
(25) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(220) |
160 |
(410) |
(80) |
45 |
(125) |
(65) |
(475) |
Page 89
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(e) Long-term businesses continued
31 December 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance participating |
(45) |
- |
(60) |
(10) |
(20) |
(30) |
(5) |
(40) |
Insurance non-participating |
(145) |
140 |
(415) |
(5) |
10 |
(80) |
(60) |
(450) |
Investment participating |
(10) |
5 |
(5) |
5 |
(5) |
(10) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(20) |
20 |
(5) |
5 |
(5) |
(15) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(35) |
55 |
(25) |
40 |
(45) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(255) |
220 |
(510) |
35 |
(65) |
(135) |
(65) |
(490) |
31 December 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance participating |
(45) |
- |
(60) |
(10) |
(20) |
(30) |
(5) |
(40) |
Insurance non-participating |
(145) |
140 |
(415) |
(5) |
10 |
(80) |
(60) |
(450) |
Investment participating |
(10) |
5 |
(5) |
5 |
(5) |
(10) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(20) |
20 |
(5) |
5 |
(5) |
(15) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(75) |
100 |
(35) |
45 |
(45) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(295) |
265 |
(520) |
40 |
(65) |
(135) |
(65) |
(490) |
Changes in sensitivities between HY14 and FY13 reflect movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and the relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. Mortality and expense sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.
(f) General insurance and health businesses
30 June 2014 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance |
(275) |
265 |
(135) |
45 |
(45) |
(65) |
(145) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(325) |
325 |
(135) |
45 |
(45) |
(65) |
(135) |
30 June 2014 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance |
(275) |
265 |
(135) |
45 |
(45) |
(20) |
(145) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(325) |
325 |
(135) |
45 |
(45) |
(20) |
(135) |
31 December 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance |
(245) |
235 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(110) |
(300) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(295) |
295 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(110) |
(285) |
31 December 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance |
(245) |
235 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(25) |
(300) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(295) |
295 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(25) |
(285) |
For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses,
in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.
Page 90
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(g) Fund management and other operations businesses
30 June 2014 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total |
- |
- |
- |
5 |
5 |
30 June 2014 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total |
- |
- |
- |
5 |
5 |
31 December 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total |
- |
- |
20 |
(5) |
15 |
31 December 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total |
- |
- |
20 |
(5) |
15 |
(h) Limitations of sensitivity analysis
The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.
The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally,
the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.
As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.
A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change
in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.
Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.
Page 91
Analysis of assets
D1 - Total assets
As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mis-match risk that is outside of Group's risk appetite.
30 June 2014 |
Policyholder assets £m |
Participating fund assets £m |
Shareholder assets £m |
Total assets analysed £m |
Less assets of operations classified as held for sale £m |
Balance sheet total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
2,329 |
2,329 |
- |
2,329 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
142 |
1,033 |
413 |
1,588 |
- |
1,588 |
Property and equipment |
- |
129 |
158 |
287 |
(1) |
286 |
Investment property |
3,755 |
4,685 |
207 |
8,647 |
- |
8,647 |
Loans |
465 |
4,381 |
18,121 |
22,967 |
- |
22,967 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
12,861 |
81,609 |
34,018 |
128,488 |
- |
128,488 |
Equity securities |
25,992 |
9,522 |
964 |
36,478 |
- |
36,478 |
Other investments |
26,957 |
4,359 |
1,348 |
32,664 |
(23) |
32,641 |
Reinsurance assets |
2,273 |
1,359 |
3,945 |
7,577 |
(26) |
7,551 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
119 |
119 |
(7) |
112 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
117 |
117 |
- |
117 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
784 |
2,320 |
4,442 |
7,546 |
(20) |
7,526 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
21 |
391 |
3,271 |
3,683 |
(6) |
3,677 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
143 |
1,222 |
1,358 |
2,723 |
(2) |
2,721 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
3,823 |
12,178 |
7,647 |
23,648 |
(64) |
23,584 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
149 |
149 |
Total |
77,216 |
123,188 |
78,457 |
278,861 |
- |
278,861 |
Total % |
27.7% |
44.2% |
28.1% |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
FY13 Restated |
76,639 |
125,990 |
78,998 |
281,627 |
- |
281,627 |
FY13 Total % Restated |
27.2% |
44.7% |
28.1% |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
As at 30 June 2014, 28.1% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 44.2% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 27.7% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets (excluding assets held for sale), investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £229.2 billion (FY13: £227.4 billion restated).
Page 92
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy
Total assets - 30 June 2014 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
2,329 |
- |
2,329 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
1,588 |
1,588 |
Property and equipment |
246 |
41 |
- |
287 |
Investment property |
8,647 |
- |
- |
8,647 |
Loans |
18,598 |
4,369 |
- |
22,967 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
128,488 |
- |
- |
128,488 |
Equity securities |
36,478 |
- |
- |
36,478 |
Other investments |
32,664 |
- |
- |
32,664 |
Reinsurance assets |
2,279 |
5,298 |
- |
7,577 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
119 |
119 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
117 |
117 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
7,546 |
- |
7,546 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
3,683 |
- |
3,683 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
2,723 |
- |
2,723 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
23,648 |
- |
- |
23,648 |
Total |
251,048 |
25,989 |
1,824 |
278,861 |
Total % |
90.0% |
9.3% |
0.7% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
87 |
55 |
7 |
149 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
250,961 |
25,934 |
1,817 |
278,712 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
90.0% |
9.3% |
0.7% |
100.0% |
FY13 Total Restated |
253,970 |
25,823 |
1,834 |
281,627 |
FY13 Total % Restated |
90.2% |
9.2% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Total assets - Policyholder assets 30 June 2014 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
142 |
142 |
Property and equipment |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Investment property |
3,755 |
- |
- |
3,755 |
Loans |
- |
465 |
- |
465 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
12,861 |
- |
- |
12,861 |
Equity securities |
25,992 |
- |
- |
25,992 |
Other investments |
26,957 |
- |
- |
26,957 |
Reinsurance assets |
2,267 |
6 |
- |
2,273 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
784 |
- |
784 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
21 |
- |
21 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
143 |
- |
143 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
3,823 |
- |
- |
3,823 |
Total |
75,655 |
1,419 |
142 |
77,216 |
Total % |
98.0% |
1.8% |
0.2% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
75,655 |
1,419 |
142 |
77,216 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
98.0% |
1.8% |
0.2% |
100.0% |
FY13 Total Restated |
75,588 |
832 |
219 |
76,639 |
FY13 Total % Restated |
98.6% |
1.1% |
0.3% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Page 93
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued
Total assets - Participating fund assets 30 June 2014 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
1,033 |
1,033 |
Property and equipment |
127 |
2 |
- |
129 |
Investment property |
4,685 |
- |
- |
4,685 |
Loans |
723 |
3,658 |
- |
4,381 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
81,609 |
- |
- |
81,609 |
Equity securities |
9,522 |
- |
- |
9,522 |
Other investments |
4,359 |
- |
- |
4,359 |
Reinsurance assets |
3 |
1,356 |
- |
1,359 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
2,320 |
- |
2,320 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
391 |
- |
391 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
1,222 |
- |
1,222 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
12,178 |
- |
- |
12,178 |
Total |
113,206 |
8,949 |
1,033 |
123,188 |
Total % |
91.9% |
7.3% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
113,206 |
8,949 |
1,033 |
123,188 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
91.9% |
7.3% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
FY13 Total Restated |
116,176 |
8,914 |
900 |
125,990 |
FY13 Total % Restated |
92.2% |
7.1% |
0.7% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Total assets - Shareholders assets 30 June 2014 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
2,329 |
- |
2,329 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
413 |
413 |
Property and equipment |
119 |
39 |
- |
158 |
Investment property |
207 |
- |
- |
207 |
Loans |
17,875 |
246 |
- |
18,121 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
34,018 |
- |
- |
34,018 |
Equity securities |
964 |
- |
- |
964 |
Other investments |
1,348 |
- |
- |
1,348 |
Reinsurance assets |
9 |
3,936 |
- |
3,945 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
119 |
119 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
117 |
117 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
4,442 |
- |
4,442 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
3,271 |
- |
3,271 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
1,358 |
- |
1,358 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
7,647 |
- |
- |
7,647 |
Total |
62,187 |
15,621 |
649 |
78,457 |
Total % |
79.3% |
19.9% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
87 |
55 |
7 |
149 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
62,100 |
15,566 |
642 |
78,308 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
79.3% |
19.9% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
FY13 Total Restated |
62,206 |
16,077 |
715 |
78,998 |
FY13 Total % Restated |
78.7% |
20.4% |
0.9% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Page 94
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued
Financial instruments (including derivatives and loans) - fair value hierarchy
The table below categorises the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' in accordance with fair value methodology disclosed in Note B17 in the condensed consolidated financial statements (IFRS section).
The amounts in individual line items may differ from those in the IFRS section as financial assets of operations classified as held for sale have been analysed by underlying assets in the following table.
Investment property and financial assets - Total 30 June 2014 |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Sub-total fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Less: Assets of operations classified as held for sale £m |
Balance sheet total £m |
Investment property |
- |
- |
8,647 |
8,647 |
- |
- |
8,647 |
Loans |
- |
3,258 |
15,340 |
18,598 |
4,369 |
- |
22,967 |
Debt securities |
75,121 |
45,078 |
8,289 |
128,488 |
- |
- |
128,488 |
Equity securities |
35,919 |
110 |
449 |
36,478 |
- |
- |
36,478 |
Other investments (including derivatives) |
24,390 |
5,243 |
3,031 |
32,664 |
- |
(23) |
32,641 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
23 |
23 |
Total |
135,430 |
53,689 |
35,756 |
224,875 |
4,369 |
- |
229,244 |
Total % |
59.1% |
23.4% |
15.6% |
98.1% |
1.9% |
- |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
23 |
- |
- |
23 |
- |
- |
23 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
135,407 |
53,689 |
35,756 |
224,852 |
4,369 |
- |
229,221 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
59.1% |
23.4% |
15.6% |
98.1% |
1.9% |
- |
100.0% |
FY13 Total Restated |
138,061 |
49,271 |
37,298 |
224,630 |
5,402 |
- |
230,032 |
FY13 Total % Restated |
60.1% |
21.4% |
16.2% |
97.7% |
2.3% |
- |
100.0% |
At 30 June 2014, the proportion of total financial investments and loans classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy was 59.1% (FY13: 60.1%). The proportion of Level 2 financial investments has increased to 23.4% (FY13: 21.4%), while those classified as Level 3 were 15.6% (FY13: 16.2%). These movements reflect an increase in debt securities held within Level 2, including the reclassification of certain debt securities from Level 1 to Level 2.
Page 95
D3 - Analysis of asset quality
The analysis of assets that follows provides information about the assets held by the Group. The amounts in individual line items below may differ from those presented in the IFRS section of this document, as they include assets which are held for sale.
D3.1 - Investment property
|
30 June 2014 |
31 December 2013 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Investment property - Shareholder assets |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Lease to third parties under operating leases |
- |
- |
207 |
207 |
- |
- |
239 |
239 |
Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
- |
- |
207 |
207 |
- |
- |
239 |
239 |
Total % |
- |
- |
100.0% |
100.0% |
- |
- |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
- |
- |
207 |
207 |
- |
- |
239 |
239 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
- |
- |
100.0% |
100.0% |
- |
- |
100.0% |
100.0% |
97.6% (FY13: 97.5%) of total investment properties by value are held in unit-linked or participating funds. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in French commercial property.
Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group, all with recent relevant experience. Values are calculated using a discounted cash flow approach and are based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry or break option taking into consideration lease incentives, assuming no further growth in the estimated rental value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar properties where available.
100% (FY13: 100%) of shareholder exposure to investment properties are leased to third parties under operating leases.
Page 96
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans
The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:
n Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;
n Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;
n Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and
n Other loans, which include loans to brokers and intermediaries.
Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.
For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are classified as level 3 as the assumptions used to derive the credit risk, liquidity premium and property risk are not deemed to be market observable.
Loans - Total 30 June 2014 |
United Kingdom & Ireland £m |
Europe £m |
Canada £m |
Asia £m |
Total £m |
Policy loans |
21 |
791 |
- |
28 |
840 |
Loans and advances to banks |
3,793 |
- |
- |
- |
3,793 |
Mortgage loans |
18,127 |
1 |
- |
- |
18,128 |
Other loans |
62 |
10 |
134 |
- |
206 |
Total |
22,003 |
802 |
134 |
28 |
22,967 |
Total % |
95.8% |
3.5% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
22,003 |
802 |
134 |
28 |
22,967 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
95.8% |
3.5% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
FY13 Total |
22,899 |
875 |
76 |
29 |
23,879 |
FY13 Total % |
95.9% |
3.7% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
Loans - Shareholder assets 30 June 2014 |
United Kingdom & Ireland £m |
Europe £m |
Canada £m |
Asia £m |
Total £m |
Policy loans |
5 |
9 |
- |
2 |
16 |
Loans and advances to banks |
549 |
- |
- |
- |
549 |
Mortgage loans |
17,405 |
- |
- |
- |
17,405 |
Other loans |
8 |
9 |
134 |
- |
151 |
Total |
17,967 |
18 |
134 |
2 |
18,121 |
Total % |
99.2% |
0.1% |
0.7% |
- |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
17,967 |
18 |
134 |
2 |
18,121 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
99.2% |
0.1% |
0.7% |
- |
100.0% |
FY13 Total |
17,763 |
31 |
76 |
3 |
17,873 |
FY13 Total % |
99.4% |
0.2% |
0.4% |
- |
100.0% |
The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 30 June 2014 stood at £23.0 billion (FY13: £23.9 billion), a decrease of £0.9 billion.
The total shareholder exposure to loans increased to £18.1 billion (FY13: £17.9 billion), and represented 79% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 21% split between participating funds £4.4 billion (FY13: £5.5 billion) and policyholder assets £0.5 billion (FY13: £0.5 billion).
Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 79% (FY13: 75%) is invested in mortgage loans.
Page 97
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans continued
Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets
30 June 2014 |
Total £m |
Non-securitised mortgage loans |
|
- Residential (Equity release) |
3,423 |
- Commercial |
7,594 |
- Healthcare |
4,185 |
|
15,202 |
Securitised mortgage loans |
2,203 |
Total |
17,405 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
17,405 |
FY13 Total |
17,125 |
The Group's mortgage loan portfolio is mainly focused in the UK, across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 96% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.
United Kingdom & Ireland
(Non-securitised mortgage loans)
Residential
The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £3.4 billion (FY13: £3.1 billion). The movement from the prior year is due to £0.2 billion of new loans and accrued interest, £0.2 billion of fair value gains and £0.1 billion of redemptions. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the structure of equity release mortgages, whereby interest amounts due are not paid in cash but instead rolled into the amount outstanding, they predominantly have a current Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%. The average LTV across the portfolio is 28.9% (FY13: 29.3%).
Healthcare
Primary Healthcare & PFI businesses loans included within shareholder assets are £4.2 billion (FY13: £4.1 billion) and are secured against primary health care (including General Practitioner surgeries), education and emergency services related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.
On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 88% (FY13: 89%), although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk.
Commercial
Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.
Shareholder assets
30 June 2014 |
>120% £m |
115-120% £m |
110-115% £m |
105-110% £m |
100-105% £m |
95-100% £m |
90-95% £m |
80-90% £m |
70-80% £m |
<70% £m |
Total £m |
Not in arrears |
74 |
9 |
52 |
70 |
455 |
642 |
593 |
844 |
1,423 |
1,924 |
6,086 |
0 - 3 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
49 |
36 |
- |
- |
30 |
1 |
116 |
3 - 6 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
670 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
670 |
6 - 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
11 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
11 |
> 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
711 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
711 |
Total |
74 |
9 |
52 |
70 |
504 |
2,070 |
593 |
844 |
1,453 |
1,925 |
7,594 |
Of the total £7.6 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans in the shareholder fund, £7.5 billion are held by our UK Life business, of which £7.1 billion back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £0.1 billion of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods.
Page 98
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans continued
For the commercial mortgages held by the UK Life and UK General Insurance businesses, loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, remained at 1.20x (FY13: 1.20x). Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, was broadly flat at 1.39x (FY13: 1.40x). Mortgage LTVs decreased by 2% during the period to 81% (CRAV basis) largely due to property values increasing c0.8% in the period together with new business (£330 million with an average LTV of c58%), being offset by the decrease in swap spot rates (on average 17 bps).
All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment. Of the £1,508 million (FY13: £1,583 million) value of loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is £78 million.
While these commercial mortgages are held at fair value on the asset side of the statement of financial position, we also carry an allowance within liabilities against the risk of default on our riskier mortgages of £1.2 billion (FY13: £1.3 billion). Since FY13, £0.2 billion of the allowance within liabilities has been utilised to take action on certain riskier mortgages, offset by a £0.1 billion increase in the cost of replacing lost cash flows on any future defaults, caused by lower interest rates and lower spreads on new commercial mortgages.
Of the £7.1 billion mortgages backing annuity liabilities, £0.6 billion have been treated as property on a look-though basis in arriving at an appropriate valuation discount rate. For the remaining commercial mortgages, and the £4.2 billion of Healthcare and PFI mortgages, held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited, the valuation allowance (including supplementary allowances) of £1.2 billion equates to 109 bps at 30 June 2014 (FY13: 124 bps). The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages is £1.9 billion (FY13: £2.0 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio. In addition, we hold £70 million (FY13: £148 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.
The UK portfolio remains well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.
If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefitting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above.
Securitised mortgage loans
Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets of £2.2 billion (FY13: £2.2 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £213 million (FY13: £180 million) are held by group companies. The remainder is held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.
Page 99
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments
|
30 June 2014 |
Restated1 31 December 2013 |
||||||
Financial Investments - Total |
Cost/ amortised cost £m |
Unrealised gains £m |
Impairment and unrealised losses £m |
Fair value £m |
Cost/ amortised cost £m |
Unrealised gains £m |
Impairment and unrealised losses £m |
Fair value £m |
Debt securities |
118,696 |
10,613 |
(821) |
128,488 |
120,316 |
8,164 |
(1,675) |
126,805 |
Equity securities |
30,945 |
6,864 |
(1,331) |
36,478 |
31,164 |
7,775 |
(1,559) |
37,380 |
Other investments |
29,841 |
3,342 |
(519) |
32,664 |
29,573 |
3,653 |
(709) |
32,517 |
Total |
179,482 |
20,819 |
(2,671) |
197,630 |
181,053 |
19,592 |
(3,943) |
196,702 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
23 |
- |
- |
23 |
2,705 |
92 |
(122) |
2,675 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
179,459 |
20,819 |
(2,671) |
197,607 |
178,348 |
19,500 |
(3,821) |
194,027 |
1 The statement of financial position has been restated following the adoption of amendments to 'IAS 32: Financial Instruments: Presentation'. Refer to note B2 for further information.
Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders.
The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.
The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.
D3.3.1 - Debt securities
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||
Debt securities - Shareholder assets 30 June 2014 |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
UK Government |
4,469 |
626 |
44 |
5,139 |
Non-UK Government |
3,324 |
6,657 |
200 |
10,181 |
Europe |
3,294 |
3,794 |
200 |
7,288 |
North America |
24 |
2,519 |
- |
2,543 |
Asia Pacific & Other |
6 |
344 |
- |
350 |
Corporate bonds - Public utilities |
201 |
3,459 |
54 |
3,714 |
Corporate convertible bonds |
- |
- |
53 |
53 |
Other corporate bonds |
1,432 |
11,286 |
258 |
12,976 |
Other |
585 |
1,231 |
139 |
1,955 |
Total |
10,011 |
23,259 |
748 |
34,018 |
Total % |
29.4% |
68.4% |
2.2% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
10,011 |
23,259 |
748 |
34,018 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
29.4% |
68.4% |
2.2% |
100.0% |
FY13 |
12,753 |
19,996 |
611 |
33,360 |
FY13 % |
38.2% |
59.9% |
1.9% |
100.0% |
2.2% (FY13: 1.9%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as Fair Value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.
29.4% (FY13: 38.2%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as Fair Value Level 1. This has decreased due to the reclassification of certain debt securities to Level 2 as a result of the enhanced understanding of pricing vendor methodologies for the fair value classification.
Page 100
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued
|
External ratings |
|
|
||||
Debt securities - Shareholder assets 30 June 2014 |
AAA £m |
AA £m |
A £m |
BBB £m |
Less than BBB £m |
Non-rated £m |
Total £m |
Government |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Government |
- |
5,006 |
47 |
- |
- |
69 |
5,122 |
UK local authorities |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
17 |
17 |
Non-UK Government |
4,377 |
3,488 |
684 |
1,627 |
3 |
2 |
10,181 |
|
4,377 |
8,494 |
731 |
1,627 |
3 |
88 |
15,320 |
Corporate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Public utilities |
2 |
33 |
2,360 |
1,063 |
- |
256 |
3,714 |
Convertibles and bonds with warrants |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
53 |
53 |
Other corporate bonds |
1,056 |
1,417 |
5,047 |
3,156 |
74 |
2,226 |
12,976 |
|
1,058 |
1,450 |
7,407 |
4,219 |
74 |
2,535 |
16,743 |
Certificates of deposits |
- |
15 |
3 |
6 |
215 |
- |
239 |
Structured |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS1 non-agency ALT A |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
RMBS1 non-agency prime |
67 |
23 |
5 |
- |
- |
- |
95 |
RMBS1 agency |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
67 |
23 |
5 |
- |
- |
- |
95 |
CMBS2 |
110 |
53 |
21 |
- |
- |
1 |
185 |
ABS3 |
21 |
300 |
107 |
8 |
68 |
10 |
514 |
CDO (including CLO)4 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
ABCP5 |
10 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
4 |
14 |
|
141 |
353 |
128 |
8 |
68 |
15 |
713 |
Wrapped credit |
- |
5 |
253 |
63 |
36 |
46 |
403 |
Other |
30 |
21 |
140 |
217 |
62 |
35 |
505 |
Total |
5,673 |
10,361 |
8,667 |
6,140 |
458 |
2,719 |
34,018 |
Total % |
16.7% |
30.5% |
25.5% |
18.0% |
1.3% |
8.0% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
5,673 |
10,361 |
8,667 |
6,140 |
458 |
2,719 |
34,018 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
16.7% |
30.5% |
25.5% |
18.0% |
1.3% |
8.0% |
100.0% |
FY13 |
5,551 |
9,633 |
8,842 |
6,074 |
472 |
2,788 |
33,360 |
FY13 % |
16.6% |
28.9% |
26.5% |
18.2% |
1.4% |
8.4% |
100.0% |
1 RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security.
2 CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security.
3 ABS - Asset Backed Security.
4 CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation.
5 ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper.
The overall quality of the book remains strong. 45% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY13: 44%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 49% (FY13: 51%) of total shareholder debt securities.
The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK.
At 30 June 2014, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained stable at 90.7%
(FY13: 90.2%). The remaining 9.3% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:
n 1.3% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;
n 8.0% are not rated by the major rating agencies.
Of the securities not rated by an external agency most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.5 billion of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.
The Group has extremely limited exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.
Asset backed securities (ABS) are held primarily by our UK Life business (£501 million). 84.8% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade. ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent approximately 0.2% of shareholder exposure to debt securities.
Page 101
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3.2 - Equity securities
|
30 June 2014 |
31 December 2013 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Equity securities - Shareholder assets |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Public utilities |
4 |
- |
- |
4 |
4 |
- |
- |
4 |
Banks, trusts and insurance companies |
183 |
1 |
299 |
483 |
162 |
1 |
294 |
457 |
Industrial miscellaneous and all other |
235 |
- |
10 |
245 |
242 |
- |
14 |
256 |
Non-redeemable preferred shares |
232 |
- |
- |
232 |
283 |
- |
- |
283 |
Total |
654 |
1 |
309 |
964 |
691 |
1 |
308 |
1,000 |
Total % |
67.8% |
0.1% |
32.1% |
100.0% |
69.1% |
0.1% |
30.8% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
2 |
3 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
654 |
1 |
309 |
964 |
690 |
1 |
306 |
997 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
67.8% |
0.1% |
32.1% |
100.0% |
69.2% |
0.1% |
30.7% |
100.0% |
67.8% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (FY13: 69.1%).
Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in Italian banks of £262 million (£134 million, net of non-controlling interest share in the Group companies that own the investments).
D3.3.3 - Other investments
|
30 June 2014 |
Restated 31 December 2013 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Other investments - Shareholders assets |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Unit trusts and other investment vehicles |
234 |
23 |
128 |
385 |
225 |
13 |
133 |
371 |
Derivative financial instruments |
5 |
618 |
51 |
674 |
22 |
762 |
23 |
807 |
Deposits with credit institutions |
128 |
11 |
- |
139 |
149 |
11 |
- |
160 |
Minority holdings in property management undertakings |
1 |
29 |
112 |
142 |
- |
14 |
103 |
117 |
Other |
6 |
- |
2 |
8 |
10 |
- |
3 |
13 |
Total |
374 |
681 |
293 |
1,348 |
406 |
800 |
262 |
1,468 |
Total % |
27.8% |
50.5% |
21.7% |
100.0% |
27.7% |
54.5% |
17.8% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
23 |
- |
- |
23 |
37 |
- |
22 |
59 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
351 |
681 |
293 |
1,325 |
369 |
800 |
240 |
1,409 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
26.5% |
51.4% |
22.1% |
100.0% |
26.2% |
56.8% |
17.0% |
100.0% |
In total 78.3% (FY13: 82.2%) of shareholder other investments, are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy.
The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity
and property securities.
D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses
There was no impairment expense for the six months to 30 June 2014 for AFS debt securities (HY13: £7 million).
Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 30 June 2014 were £2 million (HY13: £1,175 million), £nil (HY13: £3 million) and £nil (HY13: £12 million) respectively. The decrease in unrealised losses on debt securities follows the disposal of the Group's US operations which included an unrealised loss on debt securities of £1,169 million at 30 June 2013.
Page 102
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries
Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark to market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.1 billion (FY13: £4.9 billion). Gross of non-controlling interests, 95% of our shareholder asset exposure to Italy arises from the investment exposure of our Italian business.
Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
|||
|
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
- |
0.7 |
0.4 |
Portugal |
0.2 |
0.2 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Italy |
3.8 |
4.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
Spain |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain |
5.5 |
6.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
|||
|
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
30 June 2014 £bn |
31 December 2013 £bn |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
- |
0.7 |
0.4 |
Portugal |
0.2 |
0.2 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Italy |
6.9 |
8.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
7.3 |
9.1 |
Spain |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain |
9.0 |
10.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
10.5 |
12.0 |
Page 103
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.6 - Non UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)
|
Policyholder |
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
||||
Non UK Government Debt Securities |
30 June 2014 £m |
31 December 2013 £m |
30 June 2014 £m |
31 December 2013 £m |
30 June 2014 £m |
31 December 2013 £m |
30 June 2014 £m |
31 December 2013 £m |
Austria |
19 |
9 |
665 |
636 |
132 |
133 |
816 |
778 |
Belgium |
24 |
29 |
1,407 |
1,475 |
156 |
154 |
1,587 |
1,658 |
France |
106 |
108 |
11,094 |
9,714 |
1,969 |
1,909 |
13,169 |
11,731 |
Germany |
145 |
146 |
1,827 |
1,922 |
685 |
763 |
2,657 |
2,831 |
Greece |
- |
- |
14 |
1 |
- |
- |
14 |
1 |
Ireland |
20 |
21 |
588 |
364 |
138 |
28 |
746 |
413 |
Italy |
250 |
255 |
6,884 |
8,458 |
425 |
628 |
7,559 |
9,341 |
Netherlands |
44 |
43 |
1,255 |
1,222 |
388 |
399 |
1,687 |
1,664 |
Poland |
615 |
649 |
799 |
885 |
398 |
490 |
1,812 |
2,024 |
Portugal |
- |
- |
194 |
187 |
- |
- |
194 |
187 |
Spain |
110 |
101 |
1,304 |
1,355 |
978 |
930 |
2,392 |
2,386 |
European Supranational debt |
73 |
89 |
2,673 |
2,612 |
1,615 |
1,583 |
4,361 |
4,284 |
Other European countries |
104 |
91 |
708 |
587 |
404 |
359 |
1,216 |
1,037 |
Europe |
1,510 |
1,541 |
29,412 |
29,418 |
7,288 |
7,376 |
38,210 |
38,335 |
Canada |
17 |
7 |
168 |
171 |
2,232 |
2,198 |
2,417 |
2,376 |
United States |
96 |
112 |
128 |
32 |
311 |
280 |
535 |
424 |
North America |
113 |
119 |
296 |
203 |
2,543 |
2,478 |
2,952 |
2,800 |
Singapore |
9 |
8 |
527 |
450 |
298 |
288 |
834 |
746 |
Sri Lanka |
2 |
1 |
19 |
7 |
- |
- |
21 |
8 |
Other |
417 |
329 |
1,626 |
1,616 |
52 |
60 |
2,095 |
2,005 |
Asia Pacific and other |
428 |
338 |
2,172 |
2,073 |
350 |
348 |
2,950 |
2,759 |
Total |
2,051 |
1,998 |
31,880 |
31,694 |
10,181 |
10,202 |
44,112 |
43,894 |
Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
13 |
- |
1,649 |
- |
201 |
- |
1,863 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
2,051 |
1,985 |
31,880 |
30,045 |
10,181 |
10,001 |
44,112 |
42,031 |
At 30 June 2014, the Group's total non-UK government debt securities stood at £44.1 billion (FY13: £43.9 billion). The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.
Our direct shareholder asset exposure to non-UK government debt securities amounts to £10.2 billion (FY13: £10.2 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder non-UK government debt exposure, are to Canadian (22%), French (19%), Spanish (10%), German (7%), and Italian (4%) government debt securities.
The participating funds exposure to non-UK government debt amounts to £31.9 billion (FY13: £31.7 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total non-UK government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the government debt securities of France (35%), Italy (22%), Germany (6%), Belgium (4%), Spain (4%) and Netherlands (4%).
Page 104
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities
Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Shareholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
||||
30 June 2014 |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Austria |
- |
- |
- |
0.1 |
- |
0.1 |
France |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
3.2 |
0.8 |
4.0 |
Germany |
- |
- |
- |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
Ireland |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Italy |
- |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
- |
0.3 |
Netherlands |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
1.7 |
Spain |
0.5 |
- |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
United Kingdom |
0.8 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
United States |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
Other |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
Total |
2.6 |
0.9 |
3.5 |
10.0 |
2.9 |
12.9 |
Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
2.6 |
0.9 |
3.5 |
10.0 |
2.9 |
12.9 |
FY13 Total |
2.8 |
1.1 |
3.9 |
10.5 |
3.2 |
13.7 |
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £3.5 billion. The majority of our holding (74%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (31%), US (17%) and Spanish (14%) banks.
Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £12.9 billion. The majority of the exposure (78%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (31%), Dutch (13%) and UK (12%) banks.
Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Shareholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
||||
30 June 2014 |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Austria |
- |
- |
- |
0.1 |
- |
0.1 |
France |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
3.5 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
Germany |
- |
- |
- |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
Ireland |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Italy |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
- |
0.5 |
Netherlands |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
Spain |
0.8 |
- |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
United Kingdom |
0.8 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
United States |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
Other |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
2.6 |
Total |
3.0 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
11.1 |
3.1 |
14.2 |
Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
3.0 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
11.1 |
3.1 |
14.2 |
FY13 Total |
3.3 |
1.2 |
4.5 |
12.1 |
3.5 |
15.6 |
Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £4.0 billion. The majority of our holding (75%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (28%), Spanish (20%) and US (18%) banks.
Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £14.2 billion. The majority of the exposure (78%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (31%), Dutch (13%) and UK (12%) banks.
Page 105
D4 - Pension fund assets
In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the ''Scheme assets'' that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position. Refer to Note B15 for details on the schemes' surpluses and deficits.
Scheme assets are stated at their fair values. Total scheme assets are comprised in the UK, Ireland and Canada as follows:
|
30 June 2014 |
31 December 2013 |
||||||
|
UK |
Ireland |
Canada |
Total |
UK |
Ireland |
Canada |
Total |
Bonds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed interest1 |
5,066 |
158 |
116 |
5,340 |
4,022 |
149 |
106 |
4,277 |
Index-linked |
4,103 |
115 |
- |
4,218 |
4,502 |
112 |
- |
4,614 |
Equities1 |
282 |
95 |
- |
377 |
291 |
63 |
81 |
435 |
Property1 |
312 |
7 |
- |
319 |
305 |
7 |
- |
312 |
Pooled investment vehicles1 |
1,567 |
17 |
105 |
1,689 |
1,632 |
42 |
23 |
1,697 |
Derivatives |
529 |
59 |
- |
588 |
225 |
55 |
- |
280 |
Cash and other2 |
624 |
(1) |
22 |
645 |
757 |
3 |
23 |
783 |
Total fair value of assets |
12,483 |
450 |
243 |
13,176 |
11,734 |
431 |
233 |
12,398 |
Total scheme assets are analysed by those that have a quoted market price in an active market and those that do not as follows:
|
30 June 2014 |
31 December 2013 |
||||
|
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Bonds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed interest1 |
2,499 |
2,841 |
5,340 |
818 |
3,459 |
4,277 |
Index-linked |
3,799 |
419 |
4,218 |
3,864 |
750 |
4,614 |
Equities1 |
344 |
33 |
377 |
378 |
57 |
435 |
Property1 |
- |
319 |
319 |
- |
312 |
312 |
Pooled investment vehicles1 |
3 |
1,686 |
1,689 |
31 |
1,666 |
1,697 |
Derivatives |
57 |
531 |
588 |
88 |
192 |
280 |
Cash and other2 |
406 |
239 |
645 |
540 |
243 |
783 |
Total fair value of assets |
7,108 |
6,068 |
13,176 |
5,719 |
6,679 |
12,398 |
1 For 2013, a total of £1,697 million, which was previously disclosed as £277 million of fixed interest bonds, £645 million of equities, and £775 million of property has been reclassified to pooled investment vehicles.
2 Cash and other assets comprise cash at bank, insurance policies, receivables and payables.
Risk management and asset allocation strategy
The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a portfolio, consisting in the UK primarily (approximately 73%) of debt securities. The investment strategy will continue to evolve over time and is expected to match to the liability profile increasingly closely.
Main UK Scheme
The Company works closely with the trustee, who is required to consult it on the investment strategy.
Interest rate and inflation risks are managed using a combination of liability-matching assets and swaps. Exposure to equity risk has been reducing over time and credit risk is managed within risk appetite. Currency risk is relatively small and is largely hedged. The other principal risk is longevity risk. On 5 March 2014, the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme entered into a longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities transferring longevity risk to three external reinsurers.
Other schemes
The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.
Page 106
D5 - Available funds
To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit ratings of Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. As at 30 June 2014 £1.4 billion of committed facilities were in place with an additional £100 million signed on 16 July 2014. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:
30 June 2014 |
|
£m |
Expiring within one year |
|
275 |
Expiring beyond one year |
|
1,125 |
Total |
|
1,400 |
D6 - Guarantees
As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.
For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.
In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).
Page 107
VNB & sales analysis
In this section |
Page |
E1 Trend analysis of VNB (continuing |
108 |
E2 Trend analysis of VNB (continuing |
108 |
E3 Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing |
109 |
E4 Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing |
109 |
E5 Trend analysis of PVNBP by product |
110 |
E6 Trend analysis of PVNBP by product E7 Geographical analysis of regular and single |
110 |
E8 Trend analysis of investment sales |
111 |
E9 Trend analysis of investment sales E10 Geographical analysis of regular and single |
111
111 |
E11 Trend analysis of general insurance & health |
112 |
E12 Trend analysis of general insurance & health |
112 |
Page 108
E1 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth3 on 2Q13 |
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests |
Restated2 1Q13 YTD £m |
Restated2 2Q13 YTD £m |
Restated2 3Q13 YTD £m |
Restated2 4Q13 YTD £m |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
United Kingdom |
114 |
224 |
326 |
469 |
89 |
177 |
(21)% |
(21)% |
Ireland |
- |
2 |
4 |
8 |
3 |
6 |
211% |
222% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
114 |
226 |
330 |
477 |
92 |
183 |
(19)% |
(19)% |
France |
41 |
90 |
118 |
172 |
54 |
110 |
23% |
27% |
Poland4 |
10 |
21 |
34 |
51 |
21 |
34 |
58% |
64% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
10 |
18 |
25 |
43 |
15 |
26 |
44% |
49% |
Spain - excluding Aseval |
3 |
11 |
17 |
31 |
8 |
18 |
61% |
67% |
Turkey |
10 |
20 |
28 |
37 |
6 |
14 |
(30)% |
(10)% |
Other Europe |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
(100)% |
(100)% |
Europe |
75 |
161 |
223 |
335 |
104 |
202 |
25% |
33% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
19 |
41 |
71 |
103 |
32 |
66 |
62% |
76% |
Aviva Investors5 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
- |
- |
Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, |
208 |
428 |
624 |
915 |
228 |
453 |
6% |
9% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
1 |
(2) |
(5) |
(11) |
(4) |
(9) |
- |
- |
Total value of new business |
209 |
426 |
619 |
904 |
224 |
444 |
4% |
7% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
4 Poland includes Lithuania.
5 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E2 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth3 on 2Q13 |
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests |
Restated2 1Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated2 2Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated2 3Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated2 4Q13 Discrete £m |
1Q14 Discrete £m |
2Q14 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Constant % |
United Kingdom |
114 |
110 |
102 |
143 |
89 |
88 |
(20)% |
(20)% |
Ireland |
- |
2 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
95% |
102% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
114 |
112 |
104 |
147 |
92 |
91 |
(18)% |
(18)% |
France |
41 |
49 |
28 |
54 |
54 |
56 |
16% |
20% |
Poland4 |
10 |
11 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
13 |
17% |
21% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
10 |
8 |
7 |
18 |
15 |
11 |
33% |
37% |
Spain - excluding Aseval |
3 |
8 |
6 |
14 |
8 |
10 |
33% |
38% |
Turkey |
10 |
10 |
8 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
(21)% |
1% |
Other Europe |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Europe |
75 |
86 |
62 |
112 |
104 |
98 |
15% |
21% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
19 |
22 |
30 |
32 |
32 |
34 |
48% |
60% |
Aviva Investors5 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
- |
- |
Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, |
208 |
220 |
196 |
291 |
228 |
225 |
2% |
5% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
1 |
(3) |
(3) |
(6) |
(4) |
(5) |
- |
- |
Total value of new business |
209 |
217 |
193 |
285 |
224 |
220 |
1% |
4% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
4 Poland includes Lithuania.
5 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 109
E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth4 on 2Q13 |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
Restated3 1Q13 YTD £m |
Restated3 2Q13 YTD £m |
Restated3 3Q13 YTD £m |
Restated3 4Q13 YTD £m |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
United Kingdom |
2,779 |
5,560 |
8,556 |
11,924 |
2,931 |
6,052 |
9% |
9% |
Ireland |
117 |
225 |
338 |
469 |
105 |
196 |
(13)% |
(10)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,896 |
5,785 |
8,894 |
12,393 |
3,036 |
6,248 |
8% |
8% |
France |
1,243 |
2,363 |
3,367 |
4,498 |
1,310 |
2,427 |
3% |
6% |
Poland5 |
123 |
227 |
358 |
486 |
234 |
332 |
46% |
51% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
563 |
1,198 |
1,591 |
1,975 |
698 |
1,440 |
20% |
24% |
Spain - excluding Aseval |
301 |
547 |
719 |
1,130 |
283 |
562 |
3% |
6% |
Turkey |
135 |
253 |
341 |
524 |
110 |
231 |
(9)% |
17% |
Other Europe |
20 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
- |
- |
(100)% |
(100)% |
Europe |
2,385 |
4,608 |
6,396 |
8,633 |
2,635 |
4,992 |
8% |
13% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
472 |
845 |
1,290 |
1,724 |
471 |
964 |
14% |
23% |
Aviva Investors6 |
4 |
7 |
28 |
58 |
5 |
257 |
- |
- |
Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
5,757 |
11,245 |
16,608 |
22,808 |
6,147 |
12,461 |
11% |
14% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
141 |
217 |
269 |
369 |
73 |
169 |
(22)% |
(19)% |
Total |
5,898 |
11,462 |
16,877 |
23,177 |
6,220 |
12,630 |
10% |
13% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
4 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
5 Poland includes Lithuania.
6 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth4 on 2Q13 |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
Restated3 1Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated3 2Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated3 3Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated3 4Q13 Discrete £m |
1Q14 Discrete £m |
2Q14 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
United Kingdom |
2,779 |
2,781 |
2,996 |
3,368 |
2,931 |
3,121 |
12% |
12% |
Ireland |
117 |
108 |
113 |
131 |
105 |
91 |
(17)% |
(14)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,896 |
2,889 |
3,109 |
3,499 |
3,036 |
3,212 |
11% |
11% |
France |
1,243 |
1,120 |
1,004 |
1,131 |
1,310 |
1,117 |
- |
3% |
Poland5 |
123 |
104 |
131 |
128 |
234 |
98 |
(6)% |
(3)% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
563 |
635 |
393 |
384 |
698 |
742 |
17% |
21% |
Spain - excluding Aseval |
301 |
246 |
172 |
411 |
283 |
279 |
13% |
17% |
Turkey |
135 |
118 |
88 |
183 |
110 |
121 |
2% |
30% |
Other Europe |
20 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Europe |
2,385 |
2,223 |
1,788 |
2,237 |
2,635 |
2,357 |
6% |
11% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
472 |
373 |
445 |
434 |
471 |
493 |
32% |
43% |
Aviva Investors6 |
4 |
3 |
21 |
30 |
5 |
252 |
- |
- |
Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
5,757 |
5,488 |
5,363 |
6,200 |
6,147 |
6,314 |
15% |
18% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
141 |
76 |
52 |
100 |
73 |
96 |
26% |
31% |
Total |
5,898 |
5,564 |
5,415 |
6,300 |
6,220 |
6,410 |
15% |
18% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
4 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
5 Poland includes Lithuania.
6 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 110
E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth4 on 2Q13 |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
Restated3 1Q13 YTD £m |
Restated3 2Q13 YTD £m |
Restated3 3Q13 YTD £m |
Restated3 4Q13 YTD £m |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
Pensions |
1,322 |
2,479 |
3,818 |
5,476 |
1,328 |
2,794 |
13% |
13% |
Annuities |
630 |
1,217 |
1,664 |
2,327 |
500 |
935 |
(23)% |
(23)% |
Bonds |
33 |
59 |
97 |
183 |
45 |
87 |
47% |
47% |
Protection |
253 |
504 |
781 |
992 |
297 |
568 |
13% |
13% |
Equity release |
98 |
182 |
297 |
401 |
117 |
257 |
41% |
41% |
Other5 |
443 |
1,119 |
1,899 |
2,545 |
644 |
1,411 |
26% |
26% |
United Kingdom |
2,779 |
5,560 |
8,556 |
11,924 |
2,931 |
6,052 |
9% |
9% |
Ireland |
117 |
225 |
338 |
469 |
105 |
196 |
(13)% |
(10)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,896 |
5,785 |
8,894 |
12,393 |
3,036 |
6,248 |
8% |
8% |
Savings |
1,173 |
2,229 |
3,197 |
4,278 |
1,232 |
2,278 |
2% |
6% |
Protection |
70 |
134 |
170 |
220 |
78 |
149 |
11% |
15% |
France |
1,243 |
2,363 |
3,367 |
4,498 |
1,310 |
2,427 |
3% |
6% |
Pensions |
224 |
385 |
549 |
881 |
308 |
476 |
24% |
45% |
Savings |
769 |
1,560 |
2,069 |
2,702 |
893 |
1,826 |
17% |
21% |
Annuities |
6 |
11 |
14 |
23 |
2 |
2 |
(78)% |
(77)% |
Protection6 |
143 |
289 |
397 |
529 |
122 |
261 |
(10)% |
(4)% |
Poland7 , Italy7 , Spain7 and Other |
1,142 |
2,245 |
3,029 |
4,135 |
1,325 |
2,565 |
14% |
21% |
Europe |
2,385 |
4,608 |
6,396 |
8,633 |
2,635 |
4,992 |
8% |
13% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
472 |
845 |
1,290 |
1,724 |
471 |
964 |
14% |
23% |
Aviva Investors8 |
4 |
7 |
28 |
58 |
5 |
257 |
- |
- |
Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
5,757 |
11,245 |
16,608 |
22,808 |
6,147 |
12,461 |
11% |
14% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
141 |
217 |
269 |
369 |
73 |
169 |
(22)% |
(19)% |
Total |
5,898 |
11,462 |
16,877 |
23,177 |
6,220 |
12,630 |
10% |
13% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
4 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
5 Other business includes UK Health business and UK Retail Fund Management business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
6 Subsequent to FY13 a whole of life unit-linked protection product in Poland was reclassified from savings to protection business. As a result, protection PVNBP has increased £25 million in 1Q13, £52 million in 2Q13, £77 million in 3Q13 and £114 million in 4Q13. There is no change in total PVNBP.
7 Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes Aseval.
8 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth4 on 2Q13 |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
Restated3 1Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated3 2Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated3 3Q13 Discrete £m |
Restated3 4Q13 Discrete £m |
1Q14 Discrete £m |
2Q14 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
Pensions |
1,322 |
1,157 |
1,339 |
1,658 |
1,328 |
1,466 |
27% |
27% |
Annuities |
630 |
587 |
447 |
663 |
500 |
435 |
(26)% |
(26)% |
Bonds |
33 |
26 |
38 |
86 |
45 |
42 |
65% |
65% |
Protection |
253 |
251 |
277 |
211 |
297 |
271 |
8% |
8% |
Equity release |
98 |
84 |
115 |
104 |
117 |
140 |
66% |
66% |
Other5 |
443 |
676 |
780 |
646 |
644 |
767 |
13% |
13% |
United Kingdom |
2,779 |
2,781 |
2,996 |
3,368 |
2,931 |
3,121 |
12% |
12% |
Ireland |
117 |
108 |
113 |
131 |
105 |
91 |
(17)% |
(14)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,896 |
2,889 |
3,109 |
3,499 |
3,036 |
3,212 |
11% |
11% |
Savings |
1,173 |
1,056 |
968 |
1,081 |
1,232 |
1,046 |
(1)% |
2% |
Protection |
70 |
64 |
36 |
50 |
78 |
71 |
12% |
15% |
France |
1,243 |
1,120 |
1,004 |
1,131 |
1,310 |
1,117 |
- |
3% |
Pensions |
224 |
161 |
164 |
332 |
308 |
168 |
5% |
23% |
Savings |
769 |
791 |
509 |
633 |
893 |
933 |
18% |
22% |
Annuities |
6 |
5 |
3 |
9 |
2 |
- |
(80)% |
(79)% |
Protection6 |
143 |
146 |
108 |
132 |
122 |
139 |
(5)% |
- |
Poland7 , Italy7 , Spain7 and Other |
1,142 |
1,103 |
784 |
1,106 |
1,325 |
1,240 |
13% |
19% |
Europe |
2,385 |
2,223 |
1,788 |
2,237 |
2,635 |
2,357 |
6% |
11% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
472 |
373 |
445 |
434 |
471 |
493 |
32% |
43% |
Aviva Investors8 |
4 |
3 |
21 |
30 |
5 |
252 |
- |
- |
Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
5,757 |
5,488 |
5,363 |
6,200 |
6,147 |
6,314 |
15% |
18% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
141 |
76 |
52 |
100 |
73 |
96 |
26% |
31% |
Total |
5,898 |
5,564 |
5,415 |
6,300 |
6,220 |
6,410 |
15% |
18% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
4 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
5 Other business includes UK Health business and UK Retail Fund Management business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
6 Subsequent to FY13 a whole of life unit-linked protection product in Poland was reclassified from savings to protection business. As a result, protection PVNBP has increased £25 million in 1Q13, £27 million in 2Q13, £25 million in 3Q13 and £37 million in 4Q13. There is no change in total PVNBP.
7 Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes Aseval.
8 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 111
E7 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums (continuing operations1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regular premiums |
|
|
Single premiums |
|
6 months 2014 £m |
Constant currency growth2 |
WACF |
Present value £m |
Restated3 6 months 2013 £m |
WACF |
Present value £m |
6 months 2014 £m |
Restated3 6 months 2013 £m |
Constant currency growth2 |
United Kingdom |
499 |
27% |
5.0 |
2,513 |
395 |
5.0 |
1,969 |
3,539 |
3,591 |
(1)% |
Ireland |
13 |
4% |
5.2 |
67 |
13 |
4.2 |
55 |
129 |
170 |
(22)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
512 |
26% |
5.0 |
2,580 |
408 |
5.0 |
2,024 |
3,668 |
3,761 |
(2)% |
France |
47 |
- |
8.1 |
383 |
49 |
8.1 |
397 |
2,044 |
1,966 |
8% |
Poland4 |
29 |
33% |
9.5 |
275 |
23 |
7.5 |
173 |
57 |
54 |
10% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
27 |
(10)% |
5.3 |
143 |
31 |
5.7 |
176 |
1,297 |
1,022 |
31% |
Spain - excluding Aseval |
22 |
(4)% |
5.6 |
123 |
24 |
6.0 |
144 |
439 |
403 |
13% |
Turkey |
54 |
30% |
3.7 |
201 |
53 |
4.2 |
220 |
30 |
33 |
14% |
Other Europe |
- |
(100)% |
- |
- |
5 |
1.0 |
5 |
- |
15 |
(100)% |
Europe |
179 |
7% |
6.3 |
1,125 |
185 |
6.0 |
1,115 |
3,867 |
3,493 |
15% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia |
133 |
(2)% |
6.0 |
796 |
147 |
5.3 |
778 |
168 |
67 |
175% |
Aviva Investors5 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
257 |
7 |
- |
Total - excluding Eurovita, |
824 |
16% |
5.5 |
4,501 |
740 |
5.3 |
3,917 |
7,960 |
7,328 |
11% |
Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia |
3 |
(74)% |
5.7 |
17 |
11 |
4.6 |
51 |
152 |
166 |
(5)% |
Total |
827 |
15% |
5.5 |
4,518 |
751 |
5.3 |
3,968 |
8,112 |
7,494 |
10% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
4 Poland includes Lithuania.
5 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E8 - Trend analysis of investment sales - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth3 on 2Q13 |
Investment sales1 |
1Q13 YTD £m |
2Q13 YTD £m |
3Q13 YTD £m |
4Q13 YTD £m |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
United Kingdom & Ireland2 |
305 |
841 |
1,494 |
2,040 |
486 |
1,043 |
24% |
24% |
Aviva Investors4 |
787 |
1,563 |
2,100 |
2,683 |
730 |
1,616 |
3% |
8% |
Asia |
42 |
94 |
124 |
152 |
36 |
75 |
(21)% |
(13)% |
Total investment sales |
1,134 |
2,498 |
3,718 |
4,875 |
1,252 |
2,734 |
9% |
13% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
2 UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
4 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. £250 million of Aviva Investors 2Q14 investment sales are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
E9 - Trend analysis of investment sales - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth3 on 2Q13 |
Investment sales1 |
1Q13 Discrete £m |
2Q13 Discrete £m |
3Q13 Discrete £m |
4Q13 Discrete £m |
1Q14 Discrete £m |
2Q14 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
United Kingdom & Ireland2 |
305 |
536 |
653 |
546 |
486 |
557 |
4% |
4% |
Aviva Investors4 |
787 |
776 |
537 |
583 |
730 |
886 |
14% |
19% |
Asia |
42 |
52 |
30 |
28 |
36 |
39 |
(25)% |
(18)% |
Total investment sales |
1,134 |
1,364 |
1,220 |
1,157 |
1,252 |
1,482 |
9% |
12% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
2. UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
4 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. £250 million of Aviva Investors 2Q14 investment sales are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for futher details.
E10 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales
|
|
|
Regular |
|
|
Single |
PVNBP |
Investment sales1 |
6 months 2014 £m |
6 months 2013 £m |
Constant currency growth3 |
6 months 2014 £m |
6 months 2013 £m |
Constant currency growth3 |
Constant currency growth3 |
United Kingdom & Ireland2 |
12 |
10 |
28% |
1,031 |
831 |
24% |
24% |
Aviva Investors4 |
3 |
2 |
22% |
1,613 |
1,561 |
8% |
8% |
Asia |
- |
- |
- |
75 |
94 |
(13)% |
(13)% |
Total investment sales |
15 |
12 |
27% |
2,719 |
2,486 |
13% |
13% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
2 UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
4 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. £250 million of Aviva Investors 2Q14 investment sales are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP follwing the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.
Page 112
E11 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth3 on 2Q13 |
|
1Q13 YTD £m |
2Q13 YTD £m |
3Q13 YTD £m |
4Q13 YTD £m |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
General insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
923 |
1,963 |
2,904 |
3,823 |
845 |
1,836 |
(6)% |
(6)% |
Ireland |
71 |
146 |
215 |
278 |
65 |
136 |
(7)% |
(4)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
994 |
2,109 |
3,119 |
4,101 |
910 |
1,972 |
(7)% |
(6)% |
Europe |
435 |
764 |
1,033 |
1,360 |
440 |
747 |
(2)% |
2% |
Canada |
470 |
1,126 |
1,718 |
2,250 |
426 |
1,026 |
(9)% |
6% |
Asia |
3 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
3 |
7 |
(9)% |
- |
Other |
20 |
20 |
21 |
33 |
4 |
5 |
(77)% |
(77)% |
|
1,922 |
4,026 |
5,902 |
7,758 |
1,783 |
3,757 |
(7)% |
(2)% |
Health insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom1 |
138 |
289 |
383 |
536 |
144 |
302 |
5% |
5% |
Ireland |
36 |
52 |
71 |
99 |
33 |
47 |
(10)% |
(7)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
174 |
341 |
454 |
635 |
177 |
349 |
2% |
3% |
Europe |
89 |
135 |
179 |
241 |
94 |
138 |
2% |
6% |
Asia2 |
35 |
47 |
69 |
86 |
29 |
45 |
(3)% |
11% |
|
298 |
523 |
702 |
962 |
300 |
532 |
2% |
4% |
Total |
2,220 |
4,549 |
6,604 |
8,720 |
2,083 |
4,289 |
(6)% |
(1)% |
1 These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). 1Q13 NWP of £138 million, 2Q13 YTD NWP of £289 million, 3Q13 YTD NWP of £383 million, 4Q13 YTD NWP of £536 million, 1Q14 NWP of £144 million and 2Q14 YTD NWP of £302 million are respectively equivalent to £138 million, £278 million, £405 million, £505 million, £158 million and £368 million on a PVNBP basis.
2 Singapore long - term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). For Singapore long - term health business, 3Q13 YTD NWP of £5 million, 4Q13 YTD NWP of £11 million, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million and 2Q14 YTD NWP of £9 million are respectively equivalent to £47 million, £97 million, £37 million and £87 million on a PVNBP basis.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
E12 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth3 on 2Q13 |
|
1Q13 Discrete £m |
2Q13 Discrete £m |
3Q13 Discrete £m |
4Q13 Discrete £m |
1Q14 Discrete £m |
2Q14 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Constant currency % |
General insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
923 |
1,040 |
941 |
919 |
845 |
991 |
(5)% |
(5)% |
Ireland |
71 |
75 |
69 |
63 |
65 |
71 |
(5)% |
(1)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
994 |
1,115 |
1,010 |
982 |
910 |
1,062 |
(5)% |
(5)% |
Europe |
435 |
329 |
269 |
327 |
440 |
307 |
(7)% |
(3)% |
Canada |
470 |
656 |
592 |
532 |
426 |
600 |
(9)% |
7% |
Asia |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
(13)% |
(5)% |
Other |
20 |
- |
1 |
12 |
4 |
1 |
- |
- |
|
1,922 |
2,104 |
1,876 |
1,856 |
1,783 |
1,974 |
(6)% |
(1)% |
Health insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom1 |
138 |
151 |
94 |
153 |
144 |
158 |
5% |
5% |
Ireland |
36 |
16 |
19 |
28 |
33 |
14 |
(19)% |
(16)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
174 |
167 |
113 |
181 |
177 |
172 |
3% |
3% |
Europe |
89 |
46 |
44 |
62 |
94 |
44 |
(5)% |
(2)% |
Asia2 |
35 |
12 |
22 |
17 |
29 |
16 |
41% |
61% |
|
298 |
225 |
179 |
260 |
300 |
232 |
3% |
5% |
Total |
2,220 |
2,329 |
2,055 |
2,116 |
2,083 |
2,206 |
(5)% |
- |
1 These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). 1Q13 NWP of £138 million, 2Q13 NWP of £151 million, 3Q13 NWP of £94 million, 4Q13 NWP of £153 million, 1Q14 NWP of £144 million and 2Q14 NWP of £158 million are respectively equivalent to £138 million, £140 million, £127 million, £100 million, £158 million and £210 million on a PVNBP basis.
2 Singapore long - term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). For Singapore long - term health business, 3Q13 NWP of £5 million, 4Q13 NWP of £6 million, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million and 2Q14 NWP of £4 million are respectively equivalent to £47 million, £50 million, £37 million and £50 million on a PVNBP basis.
3 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
End of part 4 of 5