4 October 2019
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement at 30 September 2019
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 30 September 2019 was 92.51 pence.
In September the Net Asset Value (NAV) was up 4.0% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE Mid Cap TR Index was up 5.4%, delivering an under performance against the notional benchmark of 1.4%. In local currency terms, the NAV was up 3.4% for the month.
Portfolio update
Positive contribution to the portfolio's performance was driven by Berger Paints (up 17.8%), Jyothy Labs (up 18.7%) and PI Industries (up 14.5%). The negative contribution mainly stemmed from Indian Bank (down 37.3%), Jammu & Kashmir Bank (down 19.5%) and Yes Bank (down 30.9%).
Market and economic update
Indian Equity markets rose in September with the BSE Sensex and BSE Midcap Total Return indices up 3.6% and 4.8% respectively (in Indian Rupees) on the back of the Government announcing a cut in headline corporation tax from 30% to 22% (and 15% for manufacturing companies). Both foreign institutional investors and domestic institutions were net buyers for the month at US$955m and US$1.7bn respectively. The Indian Rupee also reacted positively, appreciating by 1.5% against the US Dollar and 0.6% against Pound Sterling.
The new corporation tax rates come into effect as of this year and have been received well with estimates in the Street predicting an across the board boost to bottom line earnings of around 9%. The cut for the manufacturing sector from 25% to 15% makes India's rate globally competitive at a time when investment into China is under threat. On the fiscal side the cost to the Government's reserves is estimated to be 0.8% of GDP and, putting any revival in growth to one side, it's unclear how this will be funded. We anticipate a renewed push in privatisation to help. Reports suggest that Oil, Gas and Shipping companies will be considered (alongside Air India!).
The market has been increasingly concerned about the Government's commitment to sustainable growth through structural reform. This has been viewed as a big bang response and confirms the Government's belief in the private sector as the core source of wealth creation (something that had come into question more recently). The next challenge is to resolve asset quality issues and confidence in the financial sector specifically.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 30 September 2019 |
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Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Financials |
7 |
22.8% |
Materials |
7 |
21.9% |
Consumer Discretionary |
5 |
12.2% |
Consumer Staples |
4 |
10.9% |
Industrials |
5 |
10.3% |
Health Care |
3 |
7.2% |
Information Technology |
2 |
6.1% |
Real Estate |
1 |
0.1% |
Communication Services |
0 |
0.0% |
Energy |
0 |
0.0% |
Utilities |
0 |
0.0% |
Total Equity Investment |
34 |
91.5% |
Net Cash |
|
8.5% |
Total Portfolio |
34 |
100.0% |
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Top 20 holdings as at 30 September 2019 |
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Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
7.3% |
City Union Bank |
Financials |
5.5% |
Tech Mahindra |
Information Technology |
5.3% |
Berger Paints India |
Materials |
4.7% |
PI Industries |
Materials |
4.6% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Industrials |
4.5% |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
4.3% |
Emami |
Consumer Staples |
3.7% |
Divi's Laboratories |
Health Care |
3.3% |
Welspun India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.1% |
IDFC Bank |
Financials |
3.1% |
Finolex Cables |
Industrials |
3.1% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.0% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
2.9% |
Radico Khaitan |
Consumer Staples |
2.9% |
Aurobindo Pharma |
Health Care |
2.7% |
JK Lakshmi Cement |
Materials |
2.7% |
The Ramco Cements |
Materials |
2.7% |
Exide Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.6% |
Balkrishna Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.6% |
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Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as 30 September 2019 |
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Market capitalisation size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap < US$2bn) |
20 |
37.6% |
Mid Cap (US$2bn < M/Cap < US$7bn) |
12 |
45.7% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > US$7bn) |
2 |
8.2% |
Total Equity Investment |
34 |
91.5% |
Net Cash |
|
8.5% |
Total Portfolio |
34 |
100.0% |