Earnings Statement KBC Group, 1Q 2008
Regulated information* - 15 May 2008 (7 a.m. CEST)
KBC closed the first quarter of 2008 with a net profit (IFRS) of 554
million euros, down 44% vis-Ã -vis the first quarter of 2007 which
benefited from exceptional income from the disposal of shares of
Intesa San Paolo. Underlying net profit for the first quarter of 2008
- i.e. net profit excluding exceptional items - came to 573 million
euros. This was 15% below the level of previous quarter and 22% below
that of the first quarter of 2007, mainly on the back of weak capital
market conditions. The corresponding underlying return on equity was
14%.
According to André Bergen, Group CEO, 'It was not the ideal start to
the year. As investment yields fell across asset classes and
volatility remained high, merchant banking and asset management
performances suffered. However, we were happy to see that the
performances of the second half of the quarter showed clear signs of
improvement. These have so far persisted into the first half of the
second quarter. As a result, the second quarter up to now has shown a
strong performance. We were also glad to see that the trends for
lending, deposit-gathering and life insurance sales remained solid.
Especially Central and Eastern Europe continued to do very well, with
organic loan growth at 26% year-on-year and underlying net banking
profit up 27%. This testifies to that region's role as a
growth-driver for the group. As insurance earnings in the region were
impacted by non-recurring items, the Business Unit's growth in total
net profit was more limited."
Financial highlights - 1Q 2008
André Bergen, Group CEO, summarises the financial highlights for 1Q
2008, as follows:
"Trends for lending, deposit-gathering and life insurance sales in
our core markets remain highly encouraging. The size of the mortgage
book in Belgium was 10% above the year-earlier level, while home
loans in Central & Eastern Europe grew organically by 50% over the
same period. In Belgium, bank deposits were especially attractive as
an alternative to investment funds, while the decline of deposit
product spreads came to an end, though this does not make up for the
changed deposit structure. On an organic basis, the underlying net
interest income grew by 10% in Belgium and 21% in Central & Eastern
Europe compared with the first quarter of 2007. In Merchant Banking,
loan growth was slowed down somewhat temporarily, not on account of
strains in funding, but in order to ensure an adequate risk-return
level in light of a global economic slowdown. The Group's sales of
life insurance were 54% more than the year-earlier figure."
"On the other hand, the roughly 17% decline in broad equity indices
during the quarter under review has weighed on trading and asset
management operations. New retail customer money flowed mostly into
secure products, such as time deposits and interest-guaranteed life
insurance, while income from institutional sales and trading, local
corporate finance and private banking was also impacted by the
depressed market sentiment."
"The markdown of our structured credit investments portfolio
remained limited. An after-tax earnings impact of -93 million euros
was posted, while the impact on shareholder's equity was -61 million
euros. In the quarter under review, no further accrual of provisions
was deemed necessary to cover the exposure to monoline insurers."
"Overall, customer loan quality remained solid. The loan loss ratio
came to just 6 basis points: 3 basis points for the Belgian retail
business, 38 basis points in the Central & Eastern Europe and Russia
region and nil in Merchant Banking. We know that everyone is
factoring in much higher losses as the cycle is turning, but even
today, we see only a marginal decrease in asset quality."
"Our solvency remains robust. At the end of March, the Tier-1 ratio
for the banking activities came to 8.6% according to the Basel II
capital adequacy regulations. According to the Basel I rules, the
ratio came to 8.0%, while the solvency ratio for the insurance
activities amounted to 191%."
"We have prudent minimum solvency target levels of 8% for Tier-1
banking capital and 200% for insurance capital. Over the last few
years, we invested progressively in both organic and external growth.
Together with the share buyback programme, this almost fully used up
the amount of capital in excess of these target levels. Today, we
still see uncertainty as to when the adversity on the financial
markets will come to a complete end and as to whether or not
regulatory capital adequacy requirements will be tightened.
Therefore, we believe it is better to err on the side of caution. The
ongoing share buyback plan will be temporarily suspended in order to
safeguard our organic and external growth potential."
Main earnings trends - 1Q 2008
The underlying net interest income for the Group amounted to 1 202
million euros, 13% higher than that of the year-earlier quarter,
mainly thanks to the solid organic growth in both loans and deposits.
Gross earned premium, insurance, stood at 1 236 million euros, up 42%
compared to the first quarter of 2007. Net of technical charges, the
income was 47 million euros higher (+47%). The combined ratio,
non-life, amounted to 90%.
On an underlying basis, net gains from financial instruments at fair
value amounted to a negative 28 million. This included a
markdown-to-market of 141 million euros on asset-backed securities
and collateralised debt obligations (93 million euros, after tax).
The trading income was negatively impacted by the adverse capital
markets climate.
A higher-than-average amount of gains from available-for-sales assets
was realised (198 million euros, mostly on shares in the Belgium
Business Unit). Part of this amount offsets the increased impairment
charges on the same portfolio (see below). Net of impairments,
realised gains in the Belgium Business Unit were some 65 million
higher than the 2007 quarterly average.
Underlying net fee and commission income amounted to 464 million.
This is 9% below the year-earlier level, mainly due to lower customer
investment activities as a result of the high volatility in equity
markets during the quarter.
Operating expenses came to 1 278 million euros. Compared to the
year-earlier quarter, the 6% cost growth is largely explained by new
acquisitions and currency appreciations. Excluding these factors,
cost growth was less than 1%.
Impairment charges stood at 98 million euros, of which a low 27
million euros was related to loan impairment. Due to the fall in
equity markets, an impairment charge in the amount of 71 million
euros was taken on (mainly shares in) the investment portfolio.
Taxes amounted to 144 million euros. The tax rate was in line with
the average for the 2007 financial year.
In order to arrive at the figure for underlying profit, factors that
do not occur during the normal course of business are eliminated. For
the quarter under review, these amounted to -19 million euros and
related to mark-to-market adjustments on derivatives used for Asset
and Liability Management purposes.
As at the end of March 2008, the parent shareholders' equity came to
15.6 billion euros (45.7 euros per share). Shareholder's equity was
down on the start of the year (- 1.8 billion), as profit for the
quarter (+0.6 billion) was more than offset by dividends paid out
(-1.3 billion euros), a decrease in the revaluation reserve for
available-for-sale assets (-0.8 billion euros) and the repurchase of
treasury shares (-0.2 billion euros).
Future developments
André Bergen: "The operating environment in the first quarter of the
year was too uncertain to provide much detailed earnings visibility
for the short term. Although it is early days, we recently saw
various signs of improvement and I am happy to confirm that our
second quarter has got off to a much better start. Given our business
model and strategy, I remain confident on the earnings growth
capacity of our franchise in the mid-term."
Given the importance of Central & Eastern Europe and Russia in the
strategy of the Group, KBC is glad to host its annual Investor Day on
5-6 June in Moscow to explain its growth ambitions in the region in
further detail to the investment community (more information via
investor.relations@kbc.com).
* This news item contains information that is subject to the
transparency regulations for listed companies.