Earnings Statement KBC Group, 3Q 2009
Regulated information* - 13 November 2009 (07.00 a.m. CET)
Summary
KBC ended the three months to September 2009 with a net profit of 528
million euros. Excluding exceptional items, an underlying net profit
of 631 million euros was achieved, 54% higher than the previous
quarter and up 15% compared to the third quarter of 2008. Jan
Vanhevel, Group CEO: 'Although volume trends remain sluggish for the
time being, business margins continue to be resilient and charges for
problem loans are lower. The figures presented in this earnings
statement provide evidence of the underlying earnings power of the
group. The operating environment further gradually improved during
the third quarter and leading indicators are signalling that we are
past the bottom of the economic cycle.'
.
Financial highlights - 3Q 2009
Jan Vanhevel, Group CEO summarises the underlying business
performance for 3Q 2009 as follows:
* 'On an underlying basis, interest income grew by 3%
quarter-on-quarter and 17% year-on-year. While volume growth slowed
in core markets and international loan exposure has been reduced,
the net interest margin remained healthy. The average net interest
margin for the banking operations stood at 1.86%, compared to 1.78%
for the previous quarter.'
* 'Still a mixed picture for non-interest income. Trading results
were solid, even some 5% above the strong level of the previous
quarter. Fee and commission income was up 2% on the previous
quarter, benefiting further from the improved investment climate,
though it is still, as yet, too early for a further marked rebound
of asset-management-driven fee and commission income. Insurance
premiums increased compared to the year-earlier quarter, but total
insurance revenue suffered from lower investment yields.'
* 'Since late 2008, major efforts have been made to reduce costs.
Following a marked consecutive decrease in previous quarters, the
cost trend is bottoming out. Operating costs ended 4% lower
year-on-year.'
* 'Compared to the previous quarter, loan losses were lower by 210
million euros or -37%. Loan losses were considerably lower for the
international loan book in the merchant banking unit, and also in
Belgium. In Central & Eastern Europe, additional loan provisions
were set aside for corporate Russia and the unsecured consumer
finance business in Poland, two particular areas of higher risk. In
other parts of the CEE region, loan losses were roughly stable. In
Ireland, they were down somewhat to 40 million euros, bringing the
year-to-date loan loss ratio to 0.74%.'
Headlines of underlying performance per business unit:
* With total income slightly up and costs and impairment charges
slightly down compared to the previous quarter, a good pre-tax
performance was posted again in the Belgium Business Unit. After
tax, net profit remained stable at a fairly high level, bringing
the year-to-date return on allocated equity to 32%.
* Compared to the preceding quarter, the net result for Central and
Eastern Europe was impacted by additional loan impairment for
Russia (15 million euros higher, mainly related to corporate
credit) and Poland (13 million euros higher, mainly related to
consumer finance). The year-to-date credit cost ratio for the
entire region edged up to 1.83%. In the fourth quarter, additional
loan loss provisions for Polish consumer finance are anticipated;
however, total credit costs in Central and Eastern Europe and
Russia for the full year are expected to remain within the
2.00%-2.30% range (cf. earlier guidance). KBC is now planning to
refocus its consumer finance activities in Poland, moving away from
the stand-alone specialist model and towards an integrated
bancassurance distribution model.
* In merchant banking, there was a major recovery of net profit on
the back of falling corporate loan provision charges (even when
excluding the non-recurrence of general provisions set aside in 2Q
2009 for the US mortgage-backed securities portfolio). Results for
capital market activities also remained solid.
* Results for the European Private Banking Business Unit were down
slightly on the previous quarter, because some restructuring
charges were posted. On the revenue side, increased
securities-related income was offset by lower interbank income
earned on available excess liquidity.
The quarter was also characterised by a number of one-off items that
were not part of the normal course of business and were excluded from
the presented underlying results. The main items were:
* A value mark-up of KBC's CDO exposure was generated in the amount
of +0.2 billion euros, net, primarily resulting from the further
easing of market prices for corporate credit risk;
* A positive impact of +0.1 billion, after tax, was realised when
perpetual subordinated hybrid Tier-1 securities were repurchased
following a public tender offering; this repurchase also had a
positive effect (+0.19%) on the core Tier-1 ratio of the group;
* A fair value change of KBC's own debt issued of -0.2 billion euros,
net, was recognised due to the improvement of KBC's own credit
default swap spread;
* A net present value change of the CDO guarantee fee of -0.1 billion
euros, net, was posted, since the downwards shift of the interest
yield curve resulted in lower discount rates used for the net
present value calculation;
* A trading loss of -0.1 billion euros, net, was posted related to
'legacy' structured derivatives positions within KBC Financial
Products (Merchant Banking).
Financial highlights - 9M 2009
Explanations per heading of the income statement for 9M 2009 (see
summary table on page 5):
* The net result for the first nine months of 2009 amounted to -2.8
billion euros. This figure includes exceptional items (totalling
-4.3 billion euros, net), such as value losses on CDO investments,
the fee paid for the guarantee bought to cover the remaining
CDO-linked exposure and position losses of discontinued trading
activities. Adjusted for those items, (underlying) profit came to a
positive 1.5 billion euros.
* Net interest income came to 4.5 billion euros, up 21% year-on-year
(+12% on an underlying basis). While volume growth slowed down,
margins recovered significantly at the start of 2009. As at 30
September 2009, the customer loan book (excluding reverse repos)
stood, on an organic basis, 4% below the year-earlier level (up 2%
in Belgium, but down 1% in Central & Eastern Europe and 8% in
Merchant Banking). The net interest margin for banking came to
1.81%, up from 1.68% for the first nine months of 2008.
* Gross earned premiums in insurance stood at 3.7 billion euros, up
16% on the year-earlier figure. Net of technical charges and the
ceded reinsurance result, income came to 324 million euros. The
combined ratio for the non-life insurance activities came to a
favourable 94%.
* Dividend income from equity investments amounted to 108 million
euros, markedly lower than the 195 million euros reported for the
first nine months of 2008. The equity investment portfolio shrank
(to 1.9 billion euros, down from 2.7 billion euros at the start of
the year) while corporate dividend payouts were also generally
lower.
* Net gains from financial instruments at fair value came to -3.8
billion euros. Although sales and trading activities on money and
debt securities markets performed well, this income heading was
strongly impacted by net negative value adjustments on structured
credit exposure (including the cost of the acquired guarantee) and
the marking down of discontinued derivative positions. On an
underlying basis, this income heading came to +886 million euros.
* Gains from available-for-sale assets (mostly on investments in
shares) were 164 million euros. Due to the pursued policy of
reducing the share investment portfolio and the past poor equity
market performance, this was considerably below the year-earlier
figure of 341 million euros.
* Net fee and commission income amounted to 1.1 billion euros. This
is 20% lower than the year-earlier level, largely due to the lower
income from asset management activities consequent on the
investment climate that prevailed until the first half of 2009.
* Other net income ended at 384 million euros, down somewhat on the
year-earlier figure of 435 million euros.
* Excluding exceptional items, operating expenses were down 7%
year-on-year. Cost containment measures were implemented across all
business units. The underlying cost/income ratio for banking stood
at 55%, compared to 64% for 2008.
* Total impairment charges stood at 1.8 billion euros, 1.3 billion
euros of which related to loans and receivables. This corresponds
with a credit cost ratio of 0.96%. Excluding the charge for US
mortgage-backed securities classified as loans, the credit cost
ratio for the group came to 0.79% (0.12% for the Belgium Business
Unit, 1.83% for the Central & Eastern Europe and Russia Business
Unit and 0.76% for Merchant Banking Business Unit).
Available-for-sale investment securities, mainly shares, were
impaired to the tune of 335 million euros on the back of falling
share prices throughout 2008 and up to the end of the first quarter
of 2009. An impairment loss of 181 million euros was recognised on
the value of goodwill outstanding, related to, among other things,
acquisitions made in late 2007 and in early 2008 in Bulgaria and
Slovakia.
* As pre-tax results were negative, a deferred income tax credit of
266 million euros was recognised.
* The result attributable to minority interests amounted to a
negative 66 million euros (the negative amount has to do with the
repurchase of a number of hybrid capital securities in the third
quarter of 2009).
* At the end of September 2009, total equity came to 16.9 billion
euros, up 1.6 billion euros on the figure at the start of the year,
due to the fact that the negative year-to-date result (-2.8
billion) and the effect of the buying back hybrid capital
securities (-0.6 billion) was offset by the positive impact of the
issue of non-voting core capital securities to the State (Flemish
Region of Belgium, +3.5 billion euros) and the positive market
value adjustments on assets (+1.6 billion euros). The tier-1
capital ratio for the group stood at 10.2 % (8.8%, when excluding
non-state hybrid tier-1 instruments).
Strategy highlights and future developments
* Jan Vanhevel, Group CEO: 'The operating environment further
gradually improved during the third quarter and leading indicators
are signalling that we are past the bottom of the economic cycle."
On the other hand, fears remain that the recent economic recovery
may not gain momentum since it has been driven by rebuilding
inventory levels and temporary fiscal boosts without there being a
structural rise in demand, among other factors. Jan Vanhevel: 'Of
course, we are happy with the recent optimism and are now preparing
for a further recovery. However, we are not assuming that we are
back to a normal situation just yet.' Underwriting criteria remain
tight, especially in non-core markets and higher-risk areas.
Although a late-cyclical rise in non-performing loan levels may
appear, impairment charges are expected to remain manageable.
* Jan Vanhevel: 'KBC has been rethinking its position and partly
reshaping itself in the wake of the financial crisis, lowering its
risk tolerance while maintaining core earnings power and organic
growth potential.' The strategy review formed the basis of the
restructuring plan that was submitted to the European Commission in
relation to the capital support transactions with the State. Jan
Vanhevel: 'We believe that we have entered a final stage of our
discussions with the EU, and we remain confident about our business
case. The highlights of the plan were made public at an earlier
date. The business strategy will focus on organically growing
bancassurance in Belgium and Central and Eastern Europe, while
especially international corporate lending and capital market
activities are planned to be reduced. The redemption of the capital
securities issued to the State will be based largely on retained
earnings and on the release of capital tied up in non-core assets.
* The European Commission provisionally cleared KBC's restructuring
plan in June 2009 and is now anticipated to give final approval by
early December at the latest. As is usual for this type of
communication, KBC may ask the market regulator to temporarily
suspend trading in its securities on the day the plan is published
in order for the market to take note of the details. An investor
conference will also be scheduled shortly after publication and
will be open to capital market participants that have registered in
advance (details will be available on www.kbc.com). All PowerPoint
presentations will be made available to the public on www.kbc.com
at the start of the conference.
* This news item contains information that is subject to the
transparency regulations for listed companies.
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