KBC: update on structured credit and 4Q 08, str...
Regulated information* - 22 January 2009 (8.00 a.m. CET)
KBC strengthens capital base
Following the adverse share price trend in recent days, KBC wants to
inform the market about a number of decisions it has taken. KBC has
written down in full the value of the (mezzanine) CDO notes in which
it has invested (retaining only the super senior tranches), while
also measures were taken to further concentrate its activities on its
home markets, contain costs and reduce market risk. Moreover, the
group is further strengthening its capital base by a 2 billion euro
non-dilutive core capital issue to be subscribed by the Flemish
Regional Government (subject to approval of the qualification as core
capital by the sector regulator). An additional, standby core
capital facility of 1.5 billion euros is also being provided.
According to André Bergen, Group CEO: "We took a conservative stance
when marking down to zero all CDO investments which do not have the
highest, so-called super senior status. We have also taken decisive
measures to reduce costs and to further reduce the risk profile of
our activity portfolio. We are pleased to see that the performance in
our core markets in Belgium and Central and Eastern Europe held up
relatively well. Excluding the impact of the exceptional financial
crisis, underlying profit for the year came to around 2.2 billion
euros, a positive result achieved in a very difficult operating
environment. The financial position of the group remains solid after
we obtained the commitment this morning to an additional non-dilutive
capital-strengthening transaction."
4Q earnings highlights
* Net reported loss for the fourth quarter, bringing the
full-year results to around -2.5 billion euros
* The above earnings prognosis based on provisional,
unaudited figures; subject to change
* -2.6 billion, net, investment markdowns recorded
(conservative valuation approach), as detailed in the following
paragraph
* Strong market position in Belgium underpinning business
profitability despite weakening environment. Steady deposit inflow
supporting excellent liquidity position (while interbank market
funding on longer tenures also became accessible)
* Volume trends in CEE resilient while also credit loss remained
below market expectations
* Merchant banking results negatively impacted by trading loss in
the derivative products business while non-domestic loan losses
increased
* Earnings of European Private Banking impacted by adverse
investment climate
Financial impact of additional value write-downs on investments in 4Q
2008
* The structured credit portfolio was marked down to the
tune of 1.9 billion euros (1.7 billion euros after tax), bringing
the total markdown for 2008 to 4.0 billion euros (3.1 billion euros
after tax). The amount for the fourth quarter includes the impact
of downgrades of CDO notes (-0.6 billion euros), the impact of
credit spread widening (-0.3 billion euros) and an increase in the
provision for counterparty risk of monoline insurers (-0.4 billion
euros). Another -0.5 billion euros was added for the full
write-down of all remaining non-super senior exposure, partly
offset by the reversal of existing deal reserves (+0.2 billion
euros). A sudden rise in asset correlations caused an extraordinary
loss of -0.3 billion euros.
* Impairment in the amount of 0.7 billion euros was recorded
on the equity investment portfolio, mainly held in the insurance
business, as European share prices sank by around 20% during the
quarter. This amount includes the impact of a more conservative
methodology for impairment tests, as decided on in consultation
with our external auditors. Impairment for the entire 2008
financial year came to 1.1 billion euros.
* Write-offs on exposures to Icelandic banks had a net
negative impact of 0.2 billion euros on earnings.
Following the full write-down of the (mezzanine) CDO notes, credit
rating downgrades of remaining CDO tranches will have no further
impact on their valuation. Moreover, a hypothetical 25% further
widening of the credit spread will have an estimated net impact of
-0.2 billion euros on the value of the remaining super senior
exposure.
Other relevant earnings items
* In Q4 2008, the trend for loan losses was upwards,
although loss charges remain well below levels expected by the
market. Excluding losses on credit exposure to troubled US and
Icelandic banks, a loan loss ratio of around 35 basis points is
expected for the entire financial year. In CEE, the 2008 loan loss
ratio is expected to end somewhere between 50 and 60 basis points.
* Given the sudden rise in volatility and correlation
levels, a trading loss in the amount of 0.2 billion euros was
recognised for the derivative products business. Measures have been
taken to downsize this business line and to reduce future earnings
volatility, consequently.
* Restructuring charges in the amount of 0.1 billion euros
were recorded for all business units combined.
* As in the past, KBC did not recognise the fair value gain
on its own debt issued (currently roughly estimated at around 0.8
billion euros before tax).
Core capital strengthening
This morning, KBC has reached agreement with the Flemish Regional
Government for a non-dilutive, core capital injection of 2.0 billion
euros (subject to approval of the qualification as core capital by
the Belgian financial sector regulator CBFA). The capital support
will enable KBC to maintain its tier-1 ratio for the banking
activities at approximately 10.5% (of which 8% core tier-1). The
terms and conditions will be similar to those of the core capital
issue subscribed by the Belgian State in December 2008. In addition,
an agreement was reached for a stand-by (non-dilutive) core capital
facility to the tune of 1.5 billion euros. If needed, KBC can draw on
this facility to maintain capital at adequate levels in the future.
Final figures will be published on 12 February 2009
As the above prognosis is based on provisional, unaudited figures
from an early stage in the process of consolidating the results, the
results given in this press release are subject to change. KBC will
publish its definitive quarterly results on 12 February 2009, when
detailed reports will be provided containing information on the
results and the structured credit portfolio.
* This news item contains information that is subject to the
transparency regulations for listed companies.
This announcement was originally distributed by Hugin. The issuer is
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