L&G HY 09 Results Part 4

RNS Number : 8049W
Legal & General Group Plc
04 August 2009
 



European Embedded Value

Page 51

Consolidated income statement

For the six months ended 30 June 2009











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08










Restated5,6








Notes


£m

£m

£m

From continuing operations1

 

 

 

 

 

Risk

4.01


460 

267 

439 

Savings

4.01


28 

87 

50 

Investment management

4.02


58 

72 

130 

International

4.03


87 

58 

100 

Group capital and financing2

4.04


24 

105 

151 

Operating profit

 

 

657 

589 

870 

Variation from longer term investment return3

4.07


(1,019)

(474)

(1,579)

Effect of economic assumption changes4

4.08


(630)

(12)

(609)

Property losses attributable to minority interests



(20)

(13)

(63)

(Loss)/profit from continuing operations before tax attributable to equity holders of

the Company



(1,012)

90 

(1,381)

Tax credit/(expense) on (loss)/profit from ordinary activities

4.10


292 

(17)

327 

Tax impact of corporate restructure



81 

(Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax

 

 

(720)

73 

(973)

Loss attributable to minority interests

3.15


20 

13 

63 

(Loss)/profit attributable to equity holders of the Company

 

 

(700)

86 

(910)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 










Restated










p

Earnings per share 

4.11

 

 

 

 












Based on operating profit from continuing operations after tax attributable to 




equity holders of the Company



8.28 

6.87 

10.66 

Based on (loss)/profit attributable to equity holders of the Company

(12.02)

1.42 

(15.25)












Diluted earnings per share

4.11
















Based on operating profit from continuing operations after tax attributable to 




equity holders of the Company

8.27 

6.84 

10.62 

Based on (loss)/profit attributable to equity holders of the Company

(12.02)

1.41 

(15.25)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. IFRS 8 segmentation was adopted for 2008 year end reporting to further improve shareholders' understanding of the Group's performance. The H1 08 comparatives have been reclassified to reflect these changes.












2. Group capital and financing includes operating profit on the shareholder assets held within the covered business, reported on an embedded value basis, and operating profit on the shareholder assets held outside the covered business reported on an IFRS basis.












3. The H1 09 variation from longer term investment return includes a £(511)m variance reflecting the EEV impact of asset allocation decisions made during the period. Of this amount, £(335)m is the EEV impact of swap transactions undertaken to improve the IFRS matching of annuity business which reduced the assumed future yield on the annuity assets for EEV purposes, £(96)m is due to an increased cost of capital arising from de-risking activity to reduce the equity ratio for assets backing solvency capital and £(80)m is the EEV impact of holding additional cash balances, largely to back the short term default provision. The remaining amount reflects the EEV impact of investment performance relative to assumptions, including £(228)m due to the impact of action taken to sell a number of credits and the impact on investment performance of the holdings in cash during a period when credit spreads have narrowed, £(117)m for Group capital and financing and £(103)m for with-profit business.












4. H1 09 economic assumption changes include £(221)m relating to the increase in the UK risk discount rate in the first half of 2009 from 8.3% to 8.8%, £(129)m reflecting the increase in the US risk discount rate from 6.8% to 8.0% and £(119)m as a result of the higher cost of capital on increased annuity reserves. In addition, further increases in the realistic and statutory long term default provisions for the assets backing annuity business had an EEV impact of £(179)m. 

FY 08 economic assumption changes includes £(361)m relating to the 0.8% increase in the UK risk discount rate from 7.5% to 8.3% during the period. It also includes £(272)m to reflect the in-force element of an additional reserve for non profit annuity credit default.












5. A contingent loan has been advanced within the Group to finance the non profit pensions and annuity business subject to an internal reinsurance arrangement. From FY 08 the loan asset has been treated as part of the value of in-force business in order to directly offset the liability. Previously the loan asset had been included in free surplus, and the expected return on the loan included in contribution from shareholder net worth. H1 08 comparatives have been restated accordingly.












6. From FY 08 the managed pension funds business within Investment management has been reported on an IFRS basis, as management believe IFRS to be the most appropriate reporting basis for the investment management business. Investment management operating profit excludes £12m (H1 08: £19m; FY 08: £35m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis within Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis. H1 08 comparatives have been restated accordingly. This change has reduced H1 08 operating profit before tax by £37m, shareholders' equity by £323m and increased profit after tax by £17m.

 






















European Embedded Value

Page 52

Consolidated statement of comprehensive income

For the six months ended 30 June 2009











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08










Restated


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

(Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax

(720)

73 

(973)

Other comprehensive income, after tax




Exchange differences on translation of overseas operations

(93)

19 

196 

Actuarial (losses)/gains on defined benefit pension schemes

(52)

12 

12 

Actuarial losses/(gains) on defined benefit pension schemes transferred to unallocated divisible surplus

36 

(8)

(8)

Total comprehensive (expense)/income

(829)

96 

(773)












Total comprehensive (expense)/income attributable to:




Minority interests

(20)

(13)

(63)

Equity holders of the Company

(809)

109 

(710)












Consolidated balance sheet

As at 30 June 2009




















At 30.06.09

At 30.06.08

At 31.12.08










Restated








Notes


£m

£m

£m

Assets

 

 

 

 

Investments

252,431 

267,674 

249,185 

Long term in-force business asset

2,466 

3,008 

3,160 

Other assets

7,671 

6,567 

7,315 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

262,568 

277,249 

259,660 























Equity and liabilities




Shareholders' equity

4.13/4.14


5,556 

7,458 

6,521 

Minority interests

3.15 

 

149 

175 

144 

Total equity



5,705 

7,633 

6,665 

Subordinated borrowings

3.14 


1,552 

1,444 

1,657 

Unallocated divisible surplus



902 

1,411 

913 

Participating contract liabilities



15,302 

17,230 

16,205 

Non-participating contract liabilities



227,752 

241,284 

222,539 

Senior borrowings

3.14 


1,933 

1,742 

2,314 

Other liabilities and provisions



9,422 

6,505 

9,367 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

262,568 

277,249 

259,660 












European Embedded Value

Page 53

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.01 (Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax


















Risk and

Investment

Inter-

Group

Total







Savings

manage-

national

capital and









ment


financing


For the six months ended 30 June 2009

Notes

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Business reported on an EEV basis:







Contribution from new business after cost of capital

185 


11 


196 

Contribution from in-force business:






  - expected return1

244 


60 


304 

  - experience variances 

4.05


114 



117 

  - operating assumption changes

4.06


(37)



(32)

Development costs


(18)



(18)

Contribution from shareholder net worth2

 

 

61 

69 

Operating profit on covered business


488 

87 

61 

636 












Business reported on an IFRS basis:







General insurance

3.05





Core retail investments



(1)




(1)

Investment management3

4.02



58 



58 

Group capital and financing

4.04





(37)

(37)

Other4

 

(5)

 

 

 

(5)

Total operating profit


488 

58 

87 

24 

657 

Variation from longer term investment return

4.07


(885)

(1)

(16)

(117)

(1,019)

Effect of economic assumption changes

4.08


(515)

(112)

(3)

(630)

Property losses attributable to minority interests

 

(20)

(20)

(Loss)/profit from continuing operations before tax 



(912)

57 

(41)

(116)

(1,012)

Tax credit/(expense) on (loss)/profit from ordinary activities

 

254 

(16)

15 

39 

292 

(Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax

 

 

(658)

41 

(26)

(77)

(720)












Operating profit attributable to:







Risk 



460 





Savings

 

 

28 

 

 

 

 












1. The expected return on in-force is based on the unwind of the discount rate on the opening, adjusted base value of in-force (VIF). The opening base VIF of the Risk and Savings business was £4,268m in 2009. This is adjusted for the effects of opening model changes of £41m to give an adjusted opening base VIF of £4,309m. This is then multiplied by the opening risk discount rate of 8.3% for half a year and the result grossed up at the notional attributed tax rate of 28% to give a return of £244m.  












2. The H1 09 Group capital and financing contribution from shareholder net worth (SNW) of £61m comprises of the average return of 3% on the average balance of invested assets of £2.2bn (£65m) and an adjustment for opening tax and other modelling changes of £1m, less pre-tax corporate expenses charged to shareholders' funds of £(5)m.












3. H1 09 Investment management operating profit excludes £12m (H1 08: £19m; FY 08: £35m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis and as a consequence are included in the Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis. 












4. On an EEV basis Nationwide Life, Suffolk Life, operations in Ireland and business unit costs allocated to the Risk and Savings business are included in the covered business operating profit. These are included within Other Risk and Other Savings within IFRS operating profit.























European Embedded Value

Page 54

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.01 (Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax (continued)


















Risk and

Investment

Inter-

Group

Total







Savings

manage-

national

capital and









ment


financing








Restated

Restated


Restated

Restated

For the six months ended 30 June 2008

Notes

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Business reported on an EEV basis:







Contribution from new business after cost of capital


178 


16 


194 

Contribution from in-force business:








  - expected return



180 


47 


227 

  - experience variances 

4.05



(13)


(13)

  - operating assumption changes

4.06


18 



18 

Development costs


(22)



(22)

Contribution from shareholder net worth

 

 

 

152 

160 

Operating profit on covered business


354 

58 

152 

564 












Business reported on an IFRS basis:







General insurance

3.05


(4)




(4)

Core retail investments






Investment management1

4.02



72 



72 

Group capital and financing

4.04





(47)

(47)

Other2

 

 

 

 

 

Total operating profit


354 

72 

58 

105 

589 

Variation from longer term investment return

4.07


13 

(4)

(48)

(435)

(474)

Effect of economic assumption changes

4.08


(16)

(12)

Property losses attributable to minority interests

 

(13)

(13)

Profit/(loss) from continuing operations before tax 


367 

68 

(6)

(339)

90 

Tax (expense)/credit on profit/(loss) from ordinary activities


(99)

(19)

98 

(17)

Profit/(loss) from ordinary activities after tax

 

268 

49 

(3)

(241)

73 












Operating profit attributable to:







Risk 


267 





Savings

 

87 

 

 

 

 












1. H1 09 Investment management operating profit excludes £12m (H1 08: £19m; FY 08: £35m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis and as a consequence are included in the Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis.












2. On an EEV basis Nationwide Life, Suffolk Life, operations in Ireland and business unit costs allocated to the Risk and Savings business are included in the covered business operating profit. These are included within Other Risk and Other Savings within IFRS operating profit.























European Embedded Value

Page 55

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.01 (Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax (continued)


















Risk and

Investment

Inter-

Group

Total







Savings

manage-

national

capital and









ment


financing


For the year ended 31 December 2008

Notes

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Business reported on an EEV basis:







Contribution from new business after cost of capital


265 


32 


297 

Contribution from in-force business:







  - expected return


370 


100 


470 

  - experience variances 

4.05


12 


(34)


(22)

  - operating assumption changes

4.06


(100)


(15)


(115)

Development costs


(51)



(51)

Contribution from shareholder net worth

 

 

 

17 

256 

273 

Operating profit on covered business


496 

100 

256 

852 












Business reported on an IFRS basis:







General insurance

3.05


(2)




(2)

Core retail investments






Investment management1

4.02



130 



130 

Group capital and financing

4.04





(105)

(105)

Other2

 

(5)

 

 

 

(5)

Total operating profit


489 

130 

100 

151 

870 

Variation from longer term investment return

4.07


(175)

(110)

(1,301)

(1,579)

Effect of economic assumption changes

4.08


(505)

(110)

(609)

Property losses attributable to minority interests

 

(63)

(63)

(Loss)/profit from continuing operations before tax 


(191)

137 

(120)

(1,207)

(1,381)

Tax credit/(expense) on (loss)/profit from ordinary activities

54 

(42)

37 

278 

327 

Tax impact of corporate restructure3

53 

28 

81 

(Loss)/profit from ordinary activities after tax

(84)

95 

(83)

(901)

(973)












Operating profit attributable to:






Risk 

439 





Savings

50 

 

 

 

 












1. H1 09 Investment management operating profit excludes £12m (H1 08: £19m; FY 08: £35m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis and as a consequence are included in the Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis. 












2. On an EEV basis Nationwide Life, Suffolk Life, operations in Ireland and business unit costs allocated to the Risk and Savings business are included in the covered business operating profit. These are included within Other Risk and Other Savings within IFRS operating profit.












3. In 2008 £0.9bn was transferred from Shareholder Retained Capital to shareholder capital held outside Society's long term fund. This transfer did not give rise to any incremental tax and therefore resulted in an £81m benefit to embedded value.


































European Embedded Value

Page 56

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.02 Investment management operating profit











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08










Restated


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

Managed pension funds1

55 

63 

117 

Private equity

(1)

(1)

Property

Other income2

17 

Legal & General Investment Management

62 

75 

137 

Institutional unit trusts3

(4)

(3)

(7)

Total Investment management operating profit

58 

72 

130 












1. The managed pension funds business within Investment management has been reported on an IFRS basis as management believe IFRS to be the most appropriate reporting basis for the investment management business. H1 08 comparatives have been restated accordingly.  












2. Other income excludes £12m (H1 08: £19m; FY 08: £35m) of profits arising from the provision of investment management services at market referenced rates to the covered business. These are reported on a look through basis within the Risk, Savings and Group capital and financing covered business on an EEV basis.












3. Investment management operating profit excludes core retail investments, of £(1)m (H1 08: £2m; FY 08: £nil), which has been disclosed as part of Savings. The H1 08 comparatives have been reclassified accordingly. 























4.03 International operating profit











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

USA

58 

26 

70 

Netherlands

17 

France

20 

15 

22 

Total International operating profit

87 

58 

100 























4.04 Group capital and financing operating profit1











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08










Restated


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

Business reported on an EEV basis

61 

152 

256 












Business reported on an IFRS basis:




Investment return 

30 

29

47 

Interest expense2

(65)

(66)

(138)

Unallocated corporate expenses

(3)

(6)

(9)

Defined benefit pension scheme3

(4)

(5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(37)

(47)

(105)

Total Group capital and financing operating profit

24 

105 

151 












1. Group capital and financing represents operating profit on the shareholder assets held within the covered business, reported on an embedded value basis, and operating profit on the shareholder assets held outside the covered business reported on an IFRS basis.












2. Interest expense excludes non recourse financing (see Note 3.14).












3. The defined benefit pension scheme income/(expense) includes the actuarial gains and losses arising on annuity assets held by the schemes that have been purchased from Legal & General Assurance Society Limited relating to the non-covered business. Under IFRS, these annuity assets cannot be classified as plan assets in accordance with IAS 19 and so the associated actuarial gains and losses cannot be taken to the statement of comprehensive income. 


































European Embedded Value

Page 57

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.05 Analysis of experience variances 































Risk and

Inter-

Total









Savings

national


For the six months ended 30 June 2009

£m

£m

£m

Persistency

(4)

(3)

Mortality/morbidity

Expenses

(5)

(1)

(6)

Other

118 

(1)

117 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

114 

117 












Full experience investigations are not undertaken at the half-year. A conservative estimate is made of both positive and negative variances.












Risk and Savings other experience variances principally include £57m relating to one off modelling improvements and £39m reflecting a reassessment of future reserve releases as data is loaded onto the BPA system and other reserve releases.




















Risk and

Inter-

Total









Savings

national










Restated


Restated

For the six months ended 30 June 2008

£m

£m

£m

Persistency

Mortality/morbidity

11 

(1)

10 

Expenses

(3)

(1)

(4)

Other

(11)

(12)

(23)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(13)

(13)































Risk and

Inter-

Total









Savings

national


For the year ended 31 December 2008

£m

£m

£m

Persistency

(12)

(5)

(17)

Mortality/morbidity

27 

(12)

15 

Expenses

(9)

(8)

Other

(18)

(12)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12 

(34)

(22)


































European Embedded Value

Page 58

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.06 Analysis of operating assumption changes 




















Risk and

Inter-

Total









Savings

national


For the six months ended 30 June 2009

£m

£m

£m

Persistency

(1)

(1)

Mortality/morbidity

Expenses

(31)

(4)

(35)

Other

(5)

(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(37)

(32)












Full experience investigations are not undertaken at the half-year. A conservative approach is taken when revising any future operating assumptions.












Risk and Savings expense assumption changes primarily reflect assumed higher future investment expenses.































Risk and

Inter-

Total









Savings

national


For the six months ended 30 June 2008

£m

£m

£m

Persistency

(14)

(14)

Mortality/morbidity

Expenses

43 

43 

Other

(11)

(11)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18 

18 












Risk and Savings expense assumption changes primarily reflect unit cost efficiencies in the individual protection business.




















Risk and

Inter-

Total









Savings

national


For the year ended 31 December 2008

£m

£m

£m

Persistency

(114)

(2)

(116)

Mortality/morbidity

(49)

(41)

Expenses

35 

(9)

26 

Other

28 

(12)

16 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(100)

(15)

(115)












Risk and Savings persistency operating assumption changes of £(114)m relate primarily to the strengthening of lapse assumptions for unit linked bond policies.  












Risk and Savings mortality assumption changes relate primarily to annuitant mortality where the assumption has been updated to reflect the latest three year average experience where lighter 2008 experience replaced heavier 2005 experience in the calculation.


































4.07 Variation from longer term investment return











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08










Restated


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

Business reported on an EEV basis:

Risk and Savings1

(875)

24 

(146)

International

(16)

(48)

(110)

Group capital and financing

(141)

(466)

(1,176)









(1,032)

(490)

(1,432)

Business reported on an IFRS basis:

General insurance

(10)

(11)

(29)

Investment management

(1)

(4)

Group capital and financing

24 

31 

(125)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1,019)

(474)

(1,579)












1. Risk and Savings H1 09 variation from longer term investment return includes a £(511)m variance reflecting the EEV impact of asset allocation decisions made during the period. Of this amount, £(335)m is the EEV impact of swap transactions undertaken to improve the IFRS matching of annuity business which reduced the assumed future yield on the annuity assets for EEV purposes, £(96)m is due to an increased cost of capital arising from de-risking activity to reduce the equity ratio for assets backing solvency capital and £(80)m is the EEV impact of holding additional cash balances, largely to back the short term default provision.

The remaining amount reflects the EEV impact of investment performance relative to assumptions, including £(228)m due to the impact of action taken to sell a number of credits and the impact on investment performance of the holdings in cash during a period when credit spreads have narrowed and £(103)m for with-profits business.


































European Embedded Value

Page 59

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.08 Effect of economic assumption changes











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08










Restated


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

Business reported on an EEV basis:




Risk and Savings1

(515)

(505)

International

(112)

(16)

(110)

Group capital and financing

(3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(630)

(12)

(609)












1. H1 09 economic assumption changes include £(221)m relating to the increase in the UK risk discount rate in the first half of 2009 from 8.3% to 8.8%, £(129)m reflecting the increase in the US risk discount rate from 6.8% to 8.0% and £(119)m as a result of the higher cost of capital on increased annuity reserves. In addition, further increases in the realistic and statutory long term default provisions for the assets backing annuity business had an EEV impact of £(179)m. 

FY 08 economic assumption changes includes £(361)m relating to the 0.8% increase in the UK risk discount rate from 7.5% to 8.3% during the period. It also includes £(272)m to reflect the in-force element of an additional reserve for non profit annuity credit default.























4.09 Time value of options and guarantees











Full year









30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

Risk and Savings1

27 

46 

International

12 

11 

13 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

39 

12 

59 












1. Includes £23m (H1 08: £1m; FY 08: £21m) relating to the cost of guarantees on UK with-profits business, and £4m (H1 08: £nil; FY 08: £25m) relating to UK non profit business, due to the allowance for negative inflation within the annuity business.


































4.10 Tax 

















Profit/(loss)

Tax

Profit/(loss)

Tax

Profit/(loss)

Tax






before

(expense)/

before

(expense)/

before

(expense)/






tax

credit

tax

credit

tax

credit










Full year

Full year






30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.08

30.06.08

31.12.08

31.12.08








Restated

Restated



 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

From continuing operations







Risk

460 

(129)

267 

(74)

439 

(125)

Savings

28 

(8)

87 

(21)

50 

(11)

Investment management

58 

(16)

72 

(20)

130 

(40)

International

87 

(29)

58 

(18)

100 

(35)

Group capital and financing

24 

105 

(39)

151 

(23)

Operating profit

657 

(175)

589 

(172)

870 

(234)

Variation from longer term investment return

(1,019)

282 

(474)

150 

(1,579)

385 

Effect of economic assumption changes

(630)

185 

(12)

(609)

176 

Property losses attributable to minority interests

(20)

(13)

(63)

(Loss)/profit from continuing operations before tax / Tax

(1,012)

292 

90 

(17)

(1,381)

327 


































European Embedded Value

Page 60

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.11 Earnings per share

(a) Earnings per share




Profit/(loss)

Tax

Profit/(loss)

Per share

Profit/(loss)

Tax

Profit/(loss)

Per share




before tax

(expense)/

after tax


before tax

(expense)/

after tax






credit




credit






30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.08

30.06.08

30.06.08

30.06.08








Restated

Restated

Restated

Restated

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

p

£m

£m

£m

p

Operating profit from continuing operations

657 

(175)

482 

8.28 

589 

(172)

417 

6.87 

Variation from longer term investment return

(1,019)

282 

(737)

(12.66)

(474)

150 

(324)

(5.33)

Effect of economic assumption changes

(630)

185 

(445)

(7.64)

(12)

(7)

(0.12)

Earnings per share based on (loss)/profit 

  attributable to equity holders 

(992)

292 

(700)

(12.02)

103 

(17)

86 

1.42 






























Profit/(loss)

Tax

Profit/(loss)

Per share








before tax

(expense)/

after tax










credit










Full year

Full year

Full year

Full year








31.12.08

31.12.08

31.12.08

31.12.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

p

Operating profit from continuing operations

870 

(234)

636 

10.66 

Variation from longer term investment return

(1,579)

385 

(1,194)

(20.01)

Effect of economic assumption changes

(609)

176 

(433)

(7.26)

Tax impact of corporate restructure

81 

81 

1.36 

Earnings per share based on loss

 

 

 

 

  attributable to equity holders 

(1,318)

408 

(910)

(15.25)












(b) Diluted earnings per share

(i) Based on operating profit from continuing operations after tax






Profit

Number

Per share

Profit

Number

Per share






after tax

of shares1


after tax

of shares1







30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.08

30.06.08

30.06.08









Restated


Restated

 

 

 

 

 

£m

m

p

£m

m

p

Operating profit from continuing operations after tax

482 

5,822 

8.28 

417 

6,073 

6.87 

Net shares under options allocable for no further consideration

(0.01)

22 

(0.03)

Diluted earnings per share

482 

5,830 

8.27 

417 

6,095 

6.84 




















Profit

Number

Per share









after tax

of shares1










Full year

Full year

Full year









31.12.08

31.12.08

31.12.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

m

p

Operating profit from continuing operations after tax

636 

5,968 

10.66 

Net shares under options allocable for no further consideration

22 

(0.04)

Diluted earnings per share

636 

5,990 

10.62 












(ii) Based on (loss)/profit attributable to equity holders of the Company






Loss

Number

Per share

Profit

Number

Per share






after tax

of shares1


after tax

of shares1







30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.09

30.06.08

30.06.08

30.06.08









Restated


Restated

 

 

 

 

 

£m

m

p

£m

m

p

(Loss)/profit attributable to equity holders of the Company

(700)

5,822 

(12.02)

86 

6,073 

1.42 

Net shares under options allocable for no further consideration2

-

22 

(0.01)

Diluted earnings per share

(700)

5,830 

(12.02)

86 

6,095 

1.41 




















Loss

Number

Per share









after tax

of shares1










Full year

Full year

Full year









31.12.08

31.12.08

31.12.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

m

p

Loss attributable to equity holders of the Company

(910)

5,968 

(15.25)

Net shares under options allocable for no further consideration2

22 

-

Diluted earnings per share

(910)

5,990 

(15.25)












The number of shares in issue at 30 June 2009 was 5,861,679,365 (30.06.08: 5,979,009,914; 31.12.08: 5,861,627,994).

1. Weighted average number of shares. 

2. For H1 09 and FY 08 net shares under options allocable for no further consideration are anti-dilutive and have therefore been excluded from the diluted earnings per share calculation.


































European Embedded Value

Page 61

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.12 Group embedded value reconciliation
















Covered business







UK

UK

UK

Total

Inter-

Non-

Total





free

required

value of

UK

national

covered






surplus

capital

in-force



business


For the six months ended 30 June 2009

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January








Value of in-force business (VIF)

4,268 

4,268 

1,059 

5,327 

Shareholder net worth (SNW)

509 

1,369 

1,878 

404 

(1,088)

1,194 





509 

1,369 

4,268 

6,146 

1,463 

(1,088)

6,521 

Exchange rate movements

(177)

84 

(93)





509 

1,369 

4,268 

6,146 

1,286 

(1,004)

6,428 

Operating profit for the period:








- New business contribution1

(119)

95 

157 

133 

 



- Expected return on VIF

175 

175 

 



- Expected transfer from Non profit VIF to SNW2

304 

(61)

(243)

 



- With-profits transfer 

21 

(21)




- Experience variances

(54)

(4)

133 

75 

 



- Operating assumption changes

49 

(75)

(22)

 



- Development costs

(13)

(13)

 



- Expected return on SNW

20 

25 

45 

 



Operating profit

208 

59 

126 

393 

58 

31 

482 

Non-operating (loss)/profit:








- Investment variances

(588)

(4)

(144)

(736)




- Economic assumption changes

123 

24 

(521)

(374)




Non-operating (loss)/profit for the period

(465)

20 

(665)

(1,110)

(84)

(8)

(1,202)

(Loss)/profit for the period3

(257)

79 

(539)

(717)

(26)

23 

(720)

Intra-group dividends

(2)

Dividends to equity holders of the Company

(120)

(120)

Net movements in employee share schemes

Loss attributable to minority interests

20 

20 

Transfer to non-covered business4

(8)

(8)

Other reserve movements including pension deficit 

(36)

(6)

(42)

(16)

(58)

Embedded value

208 

1,448 

3,723 

5,379 

1,258 

(1,081)

5,556 












Represented by:








  Non profit





3,386 





  With-profits



337 





Value of in-force business

3,723 

3,723 

935 

4,658 

Shareholder net worth

208 

1,448 

1,656 

323 

(1,081)

898 












1. The free surplus reduction of £119m to finance new business includes £31m IFRS new business strain (Note 3.01 (c)) and £95m additional required capital. Other items have a net positive impact of £7m.












2. The increase in free surplus of £304m from the expected return on the in-force non profit business includes £238m of IFRS operational cash generation (Note 3.01 (c)) and a £61m reduction in required capital. Other items have a net positive impact of £5m. 












3. Included in the loss for the period is a non profit inter-fund transfer from free surplus to VIF of £127m.












4. The transfer to non-covered business represents the IFRS profits arising in the period from the provision of investment management services by Legal & General Investment Management to the UK covered business, which have been included in the operating profit of the covered business on the look through basis.


































European Embedded Value

Page 62

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.12 Group embedded value reconciliation (continued)
















Covered business







UK

UK

UK

Total

Inter-

Non-

Total





free

required

value of

UK

national

covered






surplus

capital

in-force



business






Restated

Restated

Restated

Restated




For the six months ended 30 June 2008

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January








Value of in-force business (VIF)

3,460 

3,460 

782 

4,242 

Shareholder net worth (SNW)

2,639 

1,198 

3,837 

324 

(275)

3,886 





2,639 

1,198 

3,460 

7,297 

1,106 

(275)

8,128 

Exchange rate movements

34 

(15)

19 

Opening adjustment

27 

(27)





2,666 

1,198 

3,433 

7,297 

1,140 

(290)

8,147 

Operating profit for the period:








- New business contribution

(304)

98 

334 

128 




- Expected return on VIF

130 

130 




- Expected transfer from Non profit VIF to SNW

264 

(47)

(217)




- With-profits transfer

43 

(43)




- Experience variances

(10)

(11)

38 

17 




- Operating assumption changes

(13)

19 

10 




- Development costs

(16)

(16)




- Expected return on SNW

69 

16 

85 




Operating profit 

33 

60 

261 

354 

40 

23 

417 

Non-operating (loss)/profit:








- Investment variances

(375)

(5)

79 

(301)




- Economic assumption changes

37 

(34)




Non-operating (loss)/profit for the period

(338)

(5)

45 

(298)

(43)

(3)

(344)

(Loss)/profit for the period1

(305)

55 

306 

56 

(3)

20 

73 

Capital movements2

(252)

(252)

(63)

(315)

Embedded value of business acquired3

71 

85 

143 

299 

299 

Intra-group dividends

(3)

Dividends to equity holders of the Company

(248)

(248)

Issue of share capital

Share buyback

(508)

(508)

Net movements in employee share schemes

(9)

(9)

Loss attributable to minority interests

13 

13 

Transfer to non-covered business4

(14)

(14)

14 

Other reserve movements including pension deficit

(2)

(2)

(1)

Embedded value

2,164 

1,338 

3,882 

7,384 

1,134 

(1,060)

7,458 












Represented by:








  Non profit



3,201 





  With-profits



681 





Value of in-force business

3,882 

3,882 

838 

4,720 

Shareholder net worth

2,164 

1,338 

3,502 

296 

(1,060)

2,738 












1. Included in the profit for the period is a non profit inter-fund transfer from free surplus to VIF of £44m.












2. Capital movements comprise the £252m cost of acquiring Nationwide Life by the UK SNW and the £63m cost of acquiring Suffolk Life by the non-covered business element of Group capital and financing.  












3. The embedded value of business acquired on the date of acquisition comprises £235m from the acquisition of Nationwide Life on 31 January 2008 and £64m from the acquisition of Suffolk Life on 6 May 2008.












4. The transfer to non-covered business represents the IFRS profits arising in the period from the provision of investment management services by Legal & General Investment Management to the UK covered business, which have been included in the operating profit of the covered business on the look through basis.


































European Embedded Value

Page 63

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.12 Group embedded value reconciliation (continued)
















Covered business







UK

UK

UK

Total

Inter-

Non-

Total





free

required

value of

UK

national

covered






surplus

capital

in-force



business


For the year ended 31 December 2008

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January








Value of in-force business (VIF)

3,460 

3,460 

782 

4,242 

Shareholder net worth (SNW)

2,639 

1,198 

3,837 

324 

(275)

3,886 





2,639 

1,198 

3,460 

7,297 

1,106 

(275)

8,128 

Exchange rate movements

386 

(190)

196 

Opening adjustment

27 

(27)





2,666 

1,198 

3,433 

7,297 

1,492 

(465)

8,324 

Operating profit for the period:








- New business contribution1

(661)

232 

620 

191 




- Expected return on VIF

267 

267 




- Expected transfer from Non profit VIF to SNW

565 

(115)

(450)




- With-profits transfer

77 

(77)




- Experience variances

39 

(38)




- Operating assumption changes

(31)

(38)

(68)




- Development costs

(37)

(37)




- Expected return on SNW

140 

51 

191 




Operating profit 

92 

172 

284 

548 

65 

23 

636 

Non-operating (loss)/profit:

 

 

 

 




- Investment variances

(1,092)

(83)

189 

(986)




- Economic assumption changes

(531)

(3)

175 

(359)




- Tax impact of corporate restructure

28 

53 

81 




Non-operating (loss)/profit for the period

(1,595)

(86)

417 

(1,264)

(148)

(197)

(1,609)

(Loss)/profit for the period2

(1,503)

86 

701 

(716)

(83)

(174)

(973)

Capital movements3

(260)

(260)

60 

(115)

(315)

Embedded value of business acquired

71 

85 

143 

299 

299 

Intra-group dividends

(405)

(405)

(6)

411 

Dividends to equity holders of the Company

(367)

(367)

Issue of share capital

10 

10 

Share buyback

(523)

(523)

Net movements in employee share schemes

(4)

(4)

Loss attributable to minority interests

63 

63 

Transfer to non-covered business4

(25)

(25)

25 

Other reserve movements including pension deficit

(35)

(9)

(44)

51 

Embedded value

509 

1,369 

4,268 

6,146 

1,463 

(1,088)

6,521 












Represented by:








  Non profit



3,845 





  With-profits

 

 

423 

 

 

 

 

Value of in-force business

4,268 

4,268 

1,059 

5,327 

Shareholder net worth

509 

1,369 

1,878 

404 

(1,088)

1,194 












1. The free surplus reduction of £661m to finance new business includes £101m of the short term default allowance, as well as £334m IFRS new business strain (Note 3.01 (c)) and £232m additional required capital. Other items have a net positive impact of £6m.












2. Included in the loss for the period is a non profit inter-fund transfer from free surplus to VIF of £710m.












3. Capital movements within the UK comprise the £252m cost of acquiring Nationwide Life and £8m (€10m) of capital injected from Society into France. The acquisition of Suffolk Life (£63m) was funded from the non-covered business element of Group capital and financing. The International capital movements comprise £52m ($96m) of capital injected into the USA and the £8m (€10m) of capital injected into France.












4. The transfer to non-covered business represents the IFRS profits arising in the period from the provision of investment management services by Legal & General Investment Management to the UK covered business, which have been included in the operating profit of the covered business on the look through basis.


































European Embedded Value

Page 64

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.13 Analysis of shareholders' equity







Risk and

Investment

Inter-

Group

Total







Savings

manage-

national

capital and









ment


financing


As at 30 June 2009

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Analysed as:






IFRS basis shareholders' equity1

164 

369 

1,163 

1,599 

3,295 

Additional retained profit/(loss) on an EEV basis

3,723 

105 

(1,567)

2,261 

Shareholders' equity on an EEV basis

3,887 

369 

1,268 

32 

5,556 

Comprising:






Business reported on an IFRS basis

164 

369 

10 

(1,624)

(1,081)












Business reported on an EEV basis:






Shareholder net worth






 - Free surplus2



84 

208 

292 

 - Required capital to cover solvency margin



239 

1,448 

1,687 

Value of in-force 






 - Value of in-force business

4,128 


1,028 


5,156 

 - Cost of capital3

(405)

 

(93)

 

(498)


















Risk and

Investment

Inter-

Group

Total







Savings

manage-

national

capital and









ment


financing









Restated



Restated

As at 30 June 2008

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Analysed as:










IFRS basis shareholders' equity1

187 

397 

908 

3,183 

4,675 

Additional retained profit/(loss) on an EEV basis

3,882 

228 

(1,327)

2,783 

Shareholders' equity on an EEV basis

 

 

 

4,069 

397 

1,136 

1,856 

7,458 

Comprising:






Business reported on an IFRS basis

187 

397 

(1,646)

(1,060)












Business reported on an EEV basis:






Shareholder net worth






 - Free surplus2



95 

2,164 

2,259 

 - Required capital to cover solvency margin



201 

1,338 

1,539 

Value of in-force 










 - Value of in-force business

4,002 


903 


4,905 

 - Cost of capital3

(120)

 

(65)

 

(185)


















Risk and

Investment

Inter-

Group

Total







Savings

manage-

national

capital and









ment


financing


As at 31 December 2008

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Analysed as:






IFRS basis shareholders' equity1

174 

322 

1,272 

1,820 

3,588 

Additional retained profit/(loss) on an EEV basis

4,268 

203 

(1,538)

2,933 

Shareholders' equity on an EEV basis

4,442 

322 

1,475 

282 

6,521 

Comprising:






Business reported on an IFRS basis

174 

322 

12 

(1,596)

(1,088)












Business reported on an EEV basis:






Shareholder net worth






 - Free surplus2



144 

509 

653 

 - Required capital to cover solvency margin



260 

1,369 

1,629 

Value of in-force 






 - Value of in-force business

4,576 


1,156 


5,732 

 - Cost of capital3

(308)

 

(97)

 

(405)












1. Shareholders' equity supporting the non profit Risk and Savings businesses is held within Legal & General Assurance Society Limited and Legal & General Pensions Limited and is managed on a groupwide basis within the Group capital and financing segment.












2. Free surplus is the value of any capital and surplus allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business at the valuation date.












3. For H1 09 the cost of capital reflects a risk margin of 4.5% (H1 08: 3.0%; FY 08: 4.5%) in the risk discount rate and an equity backing ratio for the assets backing the solvency capital of 41% (H1 08: 77%; FY 08: 55%).












Further analysis of shareholders' equity is included in Note 4.14.


































European Embedded Value

Page 65

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.14 Segmental analysis of shareholders' equity

















Covered

Other

Total

Covered

Other

Total






business

business


business

business







EEV basis

IFRS basis


EEV basis

IFRS basis







At 30.06.09

At 30.06.09

At 30.06.09

At 30.06.08

At 30.06.08

At 30.06.08









Restated

Restated

Restated

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Risk







 - Risk reported on an EEV basis

2,688 

2,688 

2,327 

2,327 

 - General insurance

95 

95 

98 

98 

 - Other

(1)

(1)

Total Risk

2,688 

94 

2,782 

2,327 

101 

2,428 












Savings







 - Savings reported on an EEV basis

1,035 

1,035 

1,555 

1,555 

 - Core retail investments

57 

57 

72 

72 

 - Other

13 

13 

14 

14 

Total Savings

1,035 

70 

1,105 

1,555 

86 

1,641 












Investment management

369 

369 

397 

397 












International







 - USA

777 

777 

647 

647 

 - Netherlands

278 

278 

291 

291 

 - France

203 

203 

196 

196 

 - Emerging markets

10 

10 

Total International

1,258 

10 

1,268 

1,134 

1,136 












Group capital and financing

1,656 

(1,624)

32 

3,502 

(1,646)

1,856 

 

 

 

 

 

6,637 

(1,081)

5,556 

8,518 

(1,060)

7,458 




















Covered

Other

Total









business

business










EEV basis

IFRS basis










At 31.12.08

At 31.12.08

At 31.12.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

Risk




 - Risk reported on an EEV basis

3,138 

3,138 

 - General insurance

99 

99 

 - Other

Total Risk

3,138 

101 

3,239 












Savings




 - Savings reported on an EEV basis

1,130 

1,130 

 - Core retail investments

59 

59 

 - Other

14 

14 

Total Savings

1,130 

73 

1,203 












Investment management

322 

322 












International




 - USA

937 

937 

 - Netherlands

305 

305 

 - France

221 

221 

 - Emerging markets

12 

12 

Total International

1,463 

12 

1,475 












Group capital and financing

1,878 

(1,596)

282 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7,609 

(1,088)

6,521 


































European Embedded Value

Page 66

Notes to the Financial Statements

4.15 Reconciliation of shareholder net worth

















UK covered

Total

UK covered

Total

UK covered

Total






 business


 business


 business







At 30.06.09

At 30.06.09

At 30.06.08

At 30.06.08

At 31.12.08

At 31.12.08








Restated

Restated



 

 

 

 

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

SNW of long term operations (IFRS basis)

3,223 

4,376 

4,829 

5,735 

3,415 

4,676 

Other liabilities (IFRS basis)

(1,081)

(1,060)

(1,088)

Shareholders' equity on the IFRS basis

3,223 

3,295 

4,829 

4,675 

3,415 

3,588 

Purchased interests in long term business

(161)

(183)

(183)

(198)

(171)

(202)

Deferred acquisition costs/deferred income liabilities

(246)

(1,089)

(221)

(871)

(233)

(1,160)

Contingent loan1

(692)

(692)

(670)

(670)

(786)

(786)

Deferred tax2

(391)

(112)

(467)

(257)

(354)

(51)

Other3

(77)

(321)

214 

59 

(195)

Shareholder net worth on the EEV basis

1,656 

898 

3,502 

2,738 

1,878 

1,194 












1. On an EEV basis the contingent loan advanced within the Group to finance non profit pensions and annuity business subject to an internal reinsurance arrangement is modelled within the VIF. On an IFRS basis the contingent loan asset is included within the Group capital and financing net assets.












2. Deferred tax represents all tax which is expected to be paid under current legislation.












3. Other in the UK covered business relates primarily to the different treatment of sterling reserves, other long term reserves and the annuities and non profit pensions results under EEV compared with IFRS. Total business also includes the different treatment of the US Triple X securitisations on an EEV and IFRS basis.














































European Embedded Value                                                                                                           Page 67

Notes to the Financial Statements


4.16    Assumptions 



UK assumptions


The assumed future pre-tax returns on fixed interest and RPI linked securities are set by reference to redemption yields available in the market at the end of the reporting period. 


For annuities, separate returns are calculated for new and existing business.  This reflects a change in investment policy applicable to the 2007 and later business, which has the aim of increasing the expected return whilst not increasing the level of asset risk compared with the historic policy. This has been achieved through improved investment efficiency and increased diversification through use of additional asset classes. The calculated return takes account of derivatives and other credit instruments in the investment portfolio.  From the second half of 2007, the revised strategy was also applied to the assets backing the in-force annuity business. 


Where interest rate swaps are used to reduce risk, it is assumed that these swaps will be sold before expiry and the proceeds reinvested in corporate bonds with a redemption yield 0.70% p.a. (0.70% p.a. at 30.06.08 and 0.70% at 31.12.08) greater than the swap rate at that time.  


The returns on fixed and index-linked securities are calculated net of an allowance for long term default risk which takes account of the outstanding term of the securities. These allowances for default risk are set separately for the asset portfolios supporting fixed and index-linked securities, and average 0.19% p.a. and 0.15% p.a. respectively across the portfolios as a whole (0.12% and 0.09% at 30.06.08 and; 0.11% p.a. and 0.12% p.a. at 31.12.2008).   At the 2008 year-end Legal & General Pensions Limited reserved an additional £313m before discounting to allow for our best estimate of the credit defaults over the following four years.   At H1 09 this reserve was increased to £352m.


Economic assumptions


30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08

31.12.07


% p.a.

% p.a.

% p.a.

% p.a.






Equity risk premium

3.5

3.0

3.5

3.0

Property risk premium

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0






Investment return





- Gilts:





    - Fixed interest

4.3

4.9

3.8

4.5

    - RPI linked

4.2

5.1

3.7

4.5

- Non gilts:





    - Fixed interest

4.4 - 7.6

5.4 - 7.1

4.2 - 8.2

4.9 - 6.1

    - RPI linked

4.9 - 6.1

5.8 - 6.8

4.7 - 5.9

4.9 - 5.3

- Equities

7.8

7.9

7.3

7.5

- Property

6.3

6.9

5.8

6.5






Risk margin

4.5

3.0

4.5

3.0

Risk discount rate (net of tax)

8.8

7.9

8.3

7.5






Inflation





- Expenses/earnings

4.2

5.2

3.6

4.4

- Indexation

3.2

4.2

2.6

3.4



UK covered business

 

i. Assets are valued at market value.

 

ii. Future bonus rates have been set at levels which would fully utilise the assets supporting the policyholders' portion of the with-profits business. The proportion of profits derived from with-profits business allocated to shareholders has been assumed to be 10% throughout.

 

iii. The value of in-force business reflects the cost, including administration expenses, of providing for benefit enhancement or compensation in relation to certain products.

 

iv. Other actuarial assumptions have been set at levels commensurate with recent operating experience, including those for mortality, morbidity, persistency and maintenance expenses (excluding the development costs referred to below). These are normally reviewed annually.


European Embedded Value                                                                                                           Page 68

Notes to the Financial Statements


4.16    Assumptions (continued)


An allowance is made for future improvements in annuitant mortality based on experience and externally published data.  Male annuitant mortality is assumed to improve in accordance with CMI Working Paper 30, projection MC, with a minimum annual improvement of 1.5% for future experience, and 2.0% for statutory reserving. Female annuitant mortality is assumed to improve in accordance with 75% of projection MC, with a minimum annual improvement of 1.0% for future experience and 1.5% for statutory reserving. In each case, the annual improvement is assumed to reduce linearly after age 89 to zero at age 120.

 

On this basis, the best estimate of the expectation of life for a new 65 year old Male CPA annuitant is 25.2 years (30.06.08: 25.1 years and 31.12.08: 25.2 years). The expectation of life on the regulatory reserving basis is 26.4 years (30.06.08: 26.2 years; 31.12.08: 26.4 years).

 

v. Development costs relate to investment in strategic systems and development capability.


International

 

vi. Key assumptions:



30.06.09

30.06.08

31.12.08

31.12.07


% p.a.

% p.a.

% p.a.

% p.a.

USA





Reinvestment rate

5.3

5.6

5.4

5.4

Risk margin

4.5

3.0

4.5

3.0

Risk discount rate (net of tax)

8.0

7.1

6.8

7.1






Europe





Government bond return

3.8

4.8

3.5

4.4

Risk margin

4.5

3.0

4.5

3.0

Risk discount rate (net of tax)

8.3

7.8

8.0

7.4

 

vii. Other actuarial assumptions have been set at levels commensurate with recent operating experience, including those for mortality, morbidity, persistency and maintenance expenses.


Tax

 

viii. The profits on the covered business, except for the profits on the Society shareholder capital held outside the long term fund, are calculated on an after tax basis and are grossed up by the notional attributed tax rate for presentation in the income statement.  The tax rate used for grossing up is the corporate tax rate in the territory concerned, which for the UK was 28% (H1 08: 28%; FY 08: 28%).  The profits on the Society shareholder capital held outside the long term fund are calculated before tax and therefore tax is calculated on an actual basis. 


Stochastic calculations

 

ix. The time value of options and guarantees is calculated using economic and non-economic assumptions consistent with those used for the deterministic embedded value calculations.

 

This section describes the models used to generate future investment simulations, and gives some sample statistics for the simulations used. A single model has been used for UK and international business, with different economic assumptions for each territory.

 

Government nominal interest rates are generated using a LIBOR Money Market Model projecting full yield curves at annual intervals. The model provides a good fit to the initial yield curve.

 

The total annual returns on equities and property are calculated as the return on 1 year bonds plus an excess return. The excess return is assumed to have a lognormal distribution. Corporate bonds are modelled separately by credit rating using stochastic credit spreads over the risk-free rates, transition matrices and default recovery rates. The real yield curve model assumes that the real short rate follows a mean-reverting process subject to two normally distributed random shocks.

 

Asset classes

The significant asset classes are for:

   - UK with-profits business - equities, property and fixed rate bonds of various durations;

   - UK annuity business - fixed rate and index-linked bonds of various durations; and

   - International business - fixed rate bonds of various durations




European Embedded Value                                                                                                           Page 69

Notes to the Financial Statements


4.16    Assumptions (continued)

 

Summary statistics:

The following table sets out means and standard deviations (StDev) of future returns as at 30 June 2009 for the most significant asset classes. Correlations between asset classes have been set based on an internal assessment of historical data.



10-year return

20-year return


Mean1

StDev2

Mean1

StDev2

UK Business (Sterling)





Government bonds

3.9%

4.3%

5.2%

4.8%

Corporate bonds

6.3%

4.5%

7.0%

5.2%

Property (excess returns)

1.9%

14.6%

2.1%

15.0%

Equities (excess returns)

3.5%

20.2%

3.6%

19.9%






European Business (Euro)





Long Government bonds3

4.2%

5.2%

5.1%

5.3%

Short Government bonds4

4.2%

4.6%

5.2%

9.2%






US Business (US Dollar)





Long Government bonds3

4.1%

6.3%

5.0%

5.9%






1. For asset classes other than for equities and property, mean returns are calculated as the mean return in excess of 1 year government bonds plus the mean return on 1 year government bonds. Mean excess returns for the equities and property are calculated as the mean return in excess of 1 year government bonds. Each mean return is derived by calculating the accumulated value of a unit asset invested to time n years for each simulation, averaging the resultant values across all simulations, then calculating the equivalent annual return required to give this average accumulation (by taking the nth root of the average accumulation and deducting 1).

2. Standard deviations are calculated by accumulating a unit investment for n years in each simulation, taking the natural logarithm of the result, calculating the variance of this statistic, dividing by n and taking the square root. Equities and property values use excess returns. The results are comparable to implied volatilities quoted in investment markets.

3. Long term bonds are defined to be 10-year par-coupon bonds.

4. Short term bonds are defined to be 1 year duration bonds.

Risk discount rate:

The risk discount rate is scenario dependent within the stochastic projection. It is calculated by applying the deterministic risk margin to the risk free rate in each stochastic projection.



This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
IR SSIFWDSUSELA
UK 100

Latest directors dealings