Monthly Update August 04

Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC 09 September 2004 The Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC As at 31 August 2004 Fund Objective To maximise long-term total returns subject to the avoidance of loss of absolute value and with a minimum objective to maintain the real purchasing power of Sterling capital, as measured by the annual average yield on the 2.5% Consolidated Loan Stock. Share Price GBP 92.50 Net Asset Value GBP 105.82 Premium (Discount) (12.6%) Market Capitalisation GBP 18.5mn Benchmark (21/2% Con Ann Avg Yield +5.0%) +0.4 Source: Bloomberg; NAV-Lindsell Train. Share Price quoted is closing mid price. See Benchmark definition. Performance History (based in GBP) 2004 YTD 2003 2002 2001 2000 Net Asset Value % +13.0 +3.0 -9.6 +3.2 n/a Share Price % +9.7 -8.6 -19.8 +18.5 n/a Source: Bloomberg. Based in GBP. Share Price quoted is closing mid price. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends added back. ** Please note performance data on reports prior to June 2004 did not include dividends. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The price of units and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investors may not get back what they invested. 2003 Performance Jan 03 Feb 03 Mar 03 Apr 03 May 03 Jun 03 Jul 03 Aug 03 Sep 03 Oct 03 Nov 03 Dec 03 Net Asset Value % -3.8 +1.9 -0.6 +1.1 +3.4 +0.5 +2.0 +1.7 -2.7 -0.5 -0.7 +0.9 Share Price % +0.0 +0.5 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 -2.8 -1.1 +2.2 -4.3 +2.2 -10.9 +6.1 2004 Performance Jan 04 Feb 04 Mar 04 Apr 04 May 04 Jun 04 Jul 04 Aug 04 Sep 04 Oct 04 Nov 04 Dec 04 Net Asset Value % +1.8 +3.2 +1.7 +0.8 +0.0 +2.3 -2.2 +4.7 Share Price % -2.3 +5.9 -0.6 +0.6 +2.2 +2.7 +0.5 +0.5 Source: Bloomberg. Based in GBP. Performance years listed Jan - Dec. Launch date 22 Jan 2001. With dividends added back. ** Please note performance data on reports prior to June 2004 did not include dividends. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The price of units and the income from them may go down as well as up. Investors may not get back what they invested. Industry Breakdown % of NAV Bonds 26.5 Preference Shares 14.0 Equity - Media 7.9 Equity - Banks & Investment Co. 3.6 Equity - Leisure & Ent. 9.5 Equity - Food & Beverage 28.8 Investment Fund 24.8 Cash & Equivalent (15.1) Total 100.0 Source: Lindsell Train Top 10 Holdings % of NAV US Gov Treasury 6.25% 11.9 Glenmorangie A&B 11.2 Lindsell Train Global Media (Dist) 10.8 Lindsell Train Japan (Dist) 10.3 HBOS 9.25% Non Cum 9.5 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock 8.4 Barr AG 8.2 UK Treasury 2.5% 6.2 Cadbury Schweppes 6.2 Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries 5.1 Source: Lindsell Train Fund Exposure Bonds Prefs Equity Funds Cash % of NAV UK % 14.6 14.0 43.5 3.7 (15.7) 60.1 USA % 11.9 - 1.9 10.8 3.6 28.2 Europe (ex UK) % - - - - - - Japan % - - 4.4 10.3 (3.0) 11.7 Total 26.5 14.0 49.8 24.8 (15.1) 100.0 Source: Lindsell Train Fund Manager's Comments The Trust's NAV advanced 4.8% over the month, mostly due to the contribution from the rising price of Glenmorangie shares. The A and B shares were up 36% and 42% respectively. The Trust's combined holding in the company amounted to 12% of net assets at the end of August; split 8% in the A's and 4% in the B's. The Macdonald and Muir families have owned a controlling shareholding in Glenmorangie for 111 years, but announced an intention to sell their interests in August, following which the shares began their sharp ascent. We have always recognised the potential hidden value in the business but never had any expectation that the majority ownership would change. Our initial investment was predicated on the expectation for a steady increase in sales of the company's single malt brands, underpinned by extensive new investment in maturing stock and an attendant increase in marketing expenditure to raise the sales potential. This harmed short-term profitability. Between 1998 and 2003 sales rose by one third yet operating profits fell by 7%. Unlike other investments we own, the average dividend yield on purchase, 2.9% for the A shares and 0.9% for the B's, offered a lower margin of safety versus our theoretical cost of funds than we otherwise seek. However, the management's confidence in the underlying strategy was evident from successive dividend increases though this period of profit decline that, at 35%, even exceeded the rise in sales. Both the 15% increase in dividends, since we bought the shares, and the more recent signs that profits are now improving helped underpin a satisfactory 60% rise in the shares from purchase even prior to the recent announcement. Now that the business is for sale there is the potential for a further premium as global spirits companies compete, we hope, to own this fine collection of brands. In addition to judging the extent of this premium, we need to rationalise the eventual division of value between the A shares, with a higher current dividend yield and the B shares that have 5 times the votes of the A's. The sale process has only just begun and will likely last the remainder of the year. Our initial response was to buy all the B shares we could, unfortunately only 250 so far. We await further developments. This news presents us with a quality problem. We stand to reap a substantial profit for the Trust but lose one of our best investments. We have no immediate candidates to replace it with other than adding to our existing positions on weakness. For instance, we bought more Diageo earlier this month following a fall of 15% from its recent high, down to a historic dividend yield of 4%. Should we lose our shareholding in Glenmorangie, as seems likely, it is conceivable that we would simply repay our short-term debt that has become 25% more expensive this year following successive rises in UK short-term interest rates. The implications of the rise in the price of Glenmorangie stretch beyond the direct short term rise in the net asset value of the Trust alone. The Finsbury Growth and Income Trust, itself a 4% holding in the Trust, bought earlier this year following a change in the investment mandate (see the March monthly review), has a 14% holding in the A and B shares. Indeed the Lindsell Train UK equity strategy has £15m of its £115m total assets under management invested in Glenmorangie shares alone, adding yet another performance fillip to what was anyway proving to be a banner year for the strategy. Another, but lesser contributor to performance this month has been the recent weakness in Sterling versus the US Dollar. There are many sound and well- reasoned arguments why the US Dollar should lose its value but we think few that stand up to scrutiny when comparing its value versus Sterling. Any traveller will testify how equivalent goods and services cost the same whether priced in US Dollars or Pounds, even though the Pound is valued at 1.8 times one US Dollar. However travellers do not move exchange rates, businessman and investors do. Lately Sterling property returns and short-term interest rates have acted to draw investment funds into the UK. Should that allure recede either absolutely (because property price stagnate) or relatively (because interest rates rise faster elsewhere) Sterling could then fall to a level that more adequately reflects its true purchasing parity. Could it be that we are near such a juncture today? Fund Manager Launch Date Denomination Nick Train 22 Jan 2001 GBP Year End Dividend Benchmark 31st Mar Ex Date: June The annual average yield on the 21/2% Payment: August Consolidated Loan Stock. The Board Management Fees Registered Address Rhoddy Swire Standard Fee: 0.65% Lindsell Train Investment Trust Michael Mackenzie Performance Fee: 10% of annual increase 77A High Street Donald Adamson in the share price, plus dividend, Brentwood Michael Lindsell above the gross annual yield of the 2 ESSEX CM14 4RR 1/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. ISIN Bloomberg Listing GB0031977944 LTI LN London Stock Exchange Disclaimer This document is intended for use by persons who are authorised by the UK Financial Services Authority ('FSA') and those who are permitted to receive such information in the UK. The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or invitation to buy or sell any investments. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice. Lindsell Train and/or persons connected with it may have an interest in this investment. The value of any investment in securities or funds and the income generated from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Past performance cannot be used as a guide or guarantee of future performance. You may not get back the original amount you have invested. Changes in foreign exchange rates may cause the value of your investment to go up or down. Some funds with higher gearing may be subject to higher volatility and the investment value may change substantially. The net asset value (NAV) performance of an investment trust is not the same as its market share price performance. Issued by Lindsell Train Limited Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority 9 Sep 2004 LTL 000-018-8b Lindsell Train Limited 35 Thurloe Street, London SW7 2LQ Tel. +44 20 7225 6400 Fax. +44 20 7225 6499 info@lindselltrain.com http://www.lindselltrain.com/ Lindsell Train Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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