NWG plc Q3 Results 2024

NatWest Group plc
25 October 2024
 

Inside this report

 

Business performance summary

 

2

Q3 2024 performance summary

4

Performance key metrics and ratios

6

Chief Financial Officer's review

7

Retail Banking

8

Private Banking

9

Commercial & Institutional

10

Central items & other

11

Segment performance

 

 

Risk and capital management

16

Credit risk

16

Segment analysis - portfolio summary

17

Segment analysis - loans

17

Movement in ECL provision

18

ECL post model adjustments

19

Sector analysis - portfolio summary

24

Capital, liquidity and funding risk

30

Pension risk

 


Financial statements and notes

31

Condensed consolidated income statement

32

Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income

33

Condensed consolidated balance sheet

34

Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity

36

Presentation of condensed consolidated financial statements

36

Litigation and regulatory matters

36

Post balance sheet events


 

 

Additional information

37

Presentation of information

37

Statutory accounts

37

Contacts

37

Forward-looking statements

 

Appendix

38

Non-IFRS financial measures

43

Performance measures not defined under IFRS

 

 



 


Q3 2024 performance summary

Chief Executive, Paul Thwaite, commented:

"The strength of NatWest Group's performance is underpinned by the support we provide to our 19 million customers in every nation and region of the UK. By continuing to deliver against our strategy, we are growing and simplifying our bank whilst managing our capital more efficiently.

 

As the UK's biggest bank for business, and one that serves millions of households, NatWest Group plays a key role in driving economic growth across the UK. Throughout the third quarter of 2024, we have grown our lending, helping customers to buy or remortgage their homes or to start and grow their businesses. With customer activity increasing, defaults remaining low and optimism amongst businesses and consumers, we are well placed to succeed with our customers and for our shareholders in the months and years ahead."


 

Q3 2024 performance

-   Attributable profit of £1,172 million and a return on tangible equity (RoTE) of 18.3%.

-   Total income excluding notable items(1) of £3,772 million was £182 million, or 5.1%, higher than Q2 2024 primarily reflecting lending and deposit growth and margin expansion. Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.18% was 8 basis points higher.

-   Other operating expenses were £144 million lower than Q2 2024.

-   Net impairment charge of £245 million or 25 basis points of gross customer loans. Levels of default remain at low levels across the portfolio.

-   Net loans to customers excluding central items increased by £8.4 billion in the quarter, of which £2.3 billion was in relation to the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition, with strong growth across the three businesses, including a £1.4 billion increase in mortgage balances.

-   Customer deposits excluding central items increased by £2.2 billion with growth across all three businesses driven by savings.

-   The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 148%, representing £52.7 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement, decreased by 3 percentage points compared with Q2 2024.

-   TNAV per share showed good growth in the quarter as the profit drove a 12 pence increase to 316 pence. 

-   Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.9% was 30 basis points higher than Q2 2024. Capital generation pre distributions was 57 basis points in the quarter and 197 basis points for the year to date. RWAs of £181.7 billion increased by £0.9 billion.


 

Q3 year to date performance

-   Attributable profit of £3,271 million and a RoTE of 17.0%.

-   Total income excluding notable items(1) of £10,776 million was £121 million, or 1.1%, lower than prior year. NIM was 2.11% for the year to date.

-   Other operating expenses were £140 million higher than the same period of 2023, or £38 million (0.7%) higher excluding costs in relation to a retail share offering(2) of £24 million and additional bank levies of £78 million.

-   Net impairment charge of £293 million or 10 basis points of gross customer loans and levels of default remain stable for the year to date.

-   Net loans to customers excluding central items increased by £8.1 billion reflecting £6.2 billion of growth in Commercial & Institutional and £2.3 billion in respect of the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition. 

-   Customer deposits excluding central items increased by £8.3 billion, including £4.0 billion of growth in Retail Banking, £2.0 billion in Private Banking and £2.3 billion in Commercial & Institutional.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1)       Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of notable items.

(2)       Costs incurred preparing for a retail share offering proposed by the previous UK Government, now not expected to proceed.



 

Q3 2024 performance summary continued

Outlook(1)

We continue to assess the economic outlook and will monitor and react to market conditions and refine our internal forecasts as the economic position evolves. The following statements are based on our current expectations for interest rates and economic activity.

In 2024 we now expect:

-      to achieve a return on tangible equity above 15%.

-      income excluding notable items to be around £14.4 billion.

-      Group operating costs, excluding litigation and conduct costs, to be broadly stable compared with 2023 excluding around £0.1 billion increase in bank levies and £24 million of costs in relation to a retail share offering.

-      our loan impairment rate for 2024 to be below 15 basis points.

In 2026 we continue to expect:

-      to achieve a return on tangible equity for the Group of greater than 13%.

Capital - we continue to:

-      target a CET1 ratio in the range of 13-14%.

-      expect RWAs to be around £200 billion at the end of 2025, including the impact of Basel 3.1 on a pro-forma basis. We expect the impact of Basel 3.1 to be an uplift of around £8 billion on 1 January 2026.

-      expect to pay ordinary dividends of around 40% of attributable profit and maintain capacity to participate in directed buybacks from the UK Government, recognising that any exercise of this authority would be dependent upon HMT's intentions. We will also consider further on-market buybacks as appropriate. 

 

(1)       The guidance, targets, expectations, and trends discussed in this section represent NatWest Group plc management's current expectations and are subject to change, including as a result of the factors described in the NatWest Group plc Risk Factors section in the 2023 Annual Report and Accounts and Form 20-F and the Summary Risk Factors in the NatWest Group plc Interim Results announcement. These statements constitute forward-looking statements. Refer to Forward-looking statements in this announcement.

 


 

 




Business performance summary

 


Nine months ended

 

Quarter ended


30 September

30 September



30 September

30 June


30 September



2024

2023

Variance


2024

2024

Variance

2023

Variance

Summary consolidated income statement

£m

£m

%


£m

£m

%

£m

%

Net interest income

8,307

8,411

(1.2%)


2,899

2,757

5.2%

2,685

8.0%

Non-interest income

2,571

2,804

(8.3%)


845

902

(6.3%)

803

5.2%

Total income

10,878

11,215

(3.0%)


3,744

3,659

2.3%

3,488

7.3%

Litigation and conduct costs

(142)

(242)

(41.3%)


(41)

(77)

(46.8%)

(134)

(69.4%)

Other operating expenses

(5,740)

(5,600)

2.5%


(1,784)

(1,928)

(7.5%)

(1,793)

(0.5%)

Operating expenses

(5,882)

(5,842)

0.7%


(1,825)

(2,005)

(9.0%)

(1,927)

(5.3%)

Profit before impairment losses/releases

4,996

5,373

(7.0%)


1,919

1,654

16.0%

1,561

22.9%

Impairment (losses)/releases

(293)

(452)

(35.2%)


(245)

45

nm

(229)

7.0%

Operating profit before tax

4,703

4,921

(4.4%)


1,674

1,699

(1.5%)

1,332

25.7%

Tax charge

(1,232)

(1,439)

(14.4%)


(431)

(462)

(6.7%)

(378)

14.0%

Profit from continuing operations

3,471

3,482

(0.3%)


1,243

1,237

0.5%

954

30.3%

Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax

12

(138)

(108.7%)


1

15

(93.3%)

(30)

(103.3%)

Profit for the period

3,483

3,344

4.2%


1,244

1,252

(0.6%)

924

34.6%

 

 




 





Performance key metrics and ratios

 


 


Notable items within total income (1)

£102m

£318m

nm


(£28m)

£69m

nm

(£26m)

nm

Total income excluding notable items (1)

£10,776m

£10,897m

(1.1%)


£3,772m

£3,590m

5.1%

£3,514m

7.3%

Net interest margin (1)

2.11%

2.17%

(6bps)


2.18%

2.10%

8bps

2.05%

13bps

Average interest earning assets (1)

£526bn

£519bn

1.3%


£530bn

£528bn

0.4%

£521bn

1.7%

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

52.8%

49.9%

2.9%


47.6%

52.7%

(5.1%)

51.4%

(3.8%)

Loan impairment rate (1)

10bps

16bps

(6bps)


25bps

(5bps)

30bps

24bps

1bps

Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

£3,271m

£3,165m

3.3%


£1,172m

£1,181m

(0.8%)

£866m

35.3%

Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic 

38.3p

34.1p

4.2p


14.1p

13.7p

0.4p

9.8p

4.3p

Return on tangible equity (RoTE) (1)

17.0%

17.1%

(0.1%)


18.3%

18.5%

(0.2%)

14.7%

3.6%

Climate and sustainable funding and financing (2)

£23.4bn

£20.6bn

13.6%


£7.1bn

£9.7bn

(26.8%)

£4.6bn

54.3%

 

nm = not meaningful.

For the footnotes to this table refer to the following page.



 

Business performance summary continued


 




As at


30 September

30 June


31 December



2024

2024

Variance

2023

Variance

Balance sheet

 




£bn

£bn

%

£bn

%

Total assets

 




711.9

690.3

3.1%

692.7

2.8%

Loans to customers - amortised cost

 




386.7

379.3

2.0%

381.4

1.4%

Loans to customers excluding central items (1,3)

 




363.7

355.3

2.4%

355.6

2.3%

Loans to customers and banks - amortised cost and FVOCI 

 




397.0

388.9

2.1%

392.0

1.3%

Total impairment provisions (4)

 




3.6

3.3

9.1%

3.6

-

Expected credit loss (ECL) coverage ratio 

 




0.89%

0.86%

3bps

0.93%

(4bps)

Assets under management and administration (AUMA) (1)

 




46.5

45.1

3.1%

40.8

14.0%

Customer deposits

 




431.1

433.0

(0.4%)

431.4

(0.1%)

Customer deposits excluding central items (1,3)

 




427.4

425.2

0.5%

419.1

2.0%

Liquidity and funding

 




 





Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR)

 




148%

151%

(3.0%)

144%

4.0%

Liquidity portfolio

 




226

227

(0.4%)

223

1.3%

Net stable funding ratio (NSFR)

 




137%

139%

(2.0%)

133%

4.0%

Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) (1)

 




84%

83%

1%

84%

-

Total wholesale funding

 




89

83

7.2%

80

11.3%

Short-term wholesale funding

 




31

27

14.8%

28

10.7%

Capital and leverage

 




 





Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio (5)

 




13.9%

13.6%

30bps

13.4%

50bps

Total capital ratio (5)

 




19.7%

19.5%

20bps

18.4%

130bps

Pro forma CET1 ratio (excl. foreseeable items) (6)

 




14.4%

14.1%

30bps

14.2%

20bps

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs)

 




181.7

180.8

0.5%

183.0

(0.7%)

UK leverage ratio

 




5.0%

5.2%

(0.2%)

5.0%

-

Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share (1,7)

 




316p

304p

12p

292p

24p

Number of ordinary shares in issue (millions) (7)

 




8,293

8,307

(0.2%)

8,792

(5.7%)

(1)       Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2)       NatWest Group uses its climate and sustainable funding and financing inclusion (CSFFI) criteria to determine the assets, activities and companies that are eligible to be included within its climate and sustainable funding and financing target. This includes both provision of committed (on and off-balance sheet) funding and financing, including provision of services for underwriting issuances and private placements.

(3)       Central items includes Treasury repo activity and Ulster Bank Republic of Ireland.

(4)       Includes £0.1 billion relating to off-balance sheet exposures (30 June 2024 - £0.1 billion; 31 December 2023 - £0.1 billion).

(5)       Refer to the Capital, liquidity and funding risk section for details of the basis of preparation.

(6)       The pro forma CET1 ratio at 30 September 2024 excludes foreseeable items of £808 million for ordinary dividends (30 June 2024 excludes foreseeable items of £889 million: £839 million for ordinary dividends and £50 million foreseeable charges; 31 December 2023 excludes foreseeable items of £1,538 million: £1,013 million for ordinary dividends and £525 million foreseeable charges).

(7)       The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held.

 

 




 

Chief Financial Officer's review

We delivered an operating profit of £1,674 million in Q3 2024 with a RoTE of 18.3%. Total income excluding notable items of £3.8 billion was up by 5.1% on Q2 2024.

Net loans to customers excluding central items growth of £8.4 billion was broad-based across Retail Banking, Commercial & Institutional customers and includes £2.3 billion relating to the acquisition of the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio.

Customer deposits excluding central items increased by £2.2 billion in the quarter and our robust balance sheet means that we remain in a strong liquidity position, with an LCR of 148% representing £52.7 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement and an LDR (excl. repos and reverse repos) of 84%. Also, our CET1 ratio remains within our targeted range at 13.9%.

Strong Q3 2024 performance

-   Total income increased by 2.3% in Q3 2024 to £3,744 million compared with Q2 2024 and was 7.3% higher than Q3 2023. Total income excluding notable items was £182 million higher than Q2 2024, primarily reflecting lending and deposit growth, margin expansion and the benefit of an additional day in the quarter.

-   NIM of 2.18% was 8 basis points higher than Q2 2024 primarily driven by expansion across deposits, as well as in funding and other items.

-   Total operating expenses reduced by £180 million compared with Q2 2024 and were £102 million lower than Q3 2023. Other operating expenses were £144 million lower than Q2 2024 primarily reflecting lower severance and other staff costs, costs incurred in relation to a retail share offering in the prior quarter and lower costs in relation to our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. Other operating expenses for the year to date were £140 million higher than the same period of 2023, or £38 million (0.7%) higher excluding costs in relation to a retail share offering of £24 million and additional bank levies of £78 million. We remain committed to deliver on our full year cost guidance, excluding the impact of increased bank levies and costs in relation to a retail share offering.

-   A net impairment charge of £245 million was incurred in Q3 2024, with higher Stage 3 charges within Commercial & Institutional. The year to date charge was £293 million or 10 basis points of gross customer loans. Levels of default remain stable for the year to date and at low levels across the portfolio. Compared with Q2 2024, our ECL provision increased by £0.2 billion to £3.6 billion and our ECL coverage ratio has increased from 0.86% to 0.89%. We retain post model adjustments of £0.3 billion related to economic uncertainty, or 8.4% of total impairment provisions. Whilst we are comfortable with the strong credit performance of our book, we continue to assess this position regularly.

-   As a result, we are pleased to report an attributable profit for Q3 2024 of £1,172 million, with earnings per share of 14.1 pence and a RoTE of 18.3%. The RoTE for the year to date was 17.0%.


 

Robust balance sheet with strong capital and liquidity levels

-   Net loans to customers excluding central items increased by £8.4 billion, of which £2.3 billion was in relation to the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition. The remaining £6.1 billion increase in the quarter was primarily due to growth in Corporate & Institutions, an increase in term loan facilities in Commercial Mid-market and a £1.4 billion increase in Retail Banking mortgage balances. UK Government scheme repayments were £0.5 billion in the quarter.

-   Up to 30 September 2024 we have provided £85.4 billion against our target to provide £100 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. As part of this we aim to provide at least £10 billion in lending for EPC A- and B-rated residential properties between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025. During Q3 2024 we provided £7.1 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing, which included £1.0 billion in lending for EPC A- and B-rated residential properties.

-   Customer deposits excluding central items increased £2.2 billion in Q3 2024. Retail Banking deposits growth of £0.5 billion and Private Banking of £0.2 billion was as a result of increased savings balances, and Commercial & Institutional deposits increased £1.5 billion reflecting growth within Commercial Mid-market. Term balances remained stable for the third quarter at 17% of the book, up from 16% at the end of 2023.

-   The LCR of 148%, representing £52.7 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement, decreased by 3 percentage points compared with Q2 2024 primarily due to increased lending (including the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition) partially offset by increased customer deposits and capital issuance. Our primary liquidity at Q3 2024 was £162.3 billion and £101.4 billion, or 62%, of this was cash and balances at central banks. Total wholesale funding increased by £6.0 billion in the quarter to £88.9 billion.

-   TNAV per share increased by 12 pence in Q3 2024 to 316 pence primarily reflecting the profit for the period and a c.£0.45 billion movement in cashflow hedging reserves partially offset by the interim dividend payment.

Strong returns driving strong capital generation

-   The CET1 ratio of 13.9% was 30 basis points higher than Q2 2024 principally reflecting the attributable profit for the quarter, c.65 basis points, partially offset by the increase in RWAs, c.10 basis points, and the ordinary dividend accrual, c.25 basis points.

-   RWAs increased by £0.9 billion in the third quarter to £181.7 billion largely reflecting lending growth and £0.9 billion in relation to the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition partially offset by RWA management of £1.3 billion.



 


Business performance summary

Retail Banking


Quarter ended


30 September

30 June

30 September


2024

2024

2023


£m

£m

£m

Total income

1,459

1,365

1,442

Operating expenses

(659)

(697)

(780)

   of which: Other operating expenses

(656)

(690)

(721)

Impairment losses

(144)

(59)

(169)

Operating profit

656

609

493


 



Return on equity (1)

21.4%

20.3%

17.5%

Net interest margin (1)

2.43%

2.31%

2.37%

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

45.0%

50.5%

50.0%

Loan impairment rate (1)

28bps

12bps

33bps


 




As at


30 September

30 June

31 December


2024

2024

2023


£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

207.4

203.3

205.2

Customer deposits

192.0

191.5

188.0

RWAs

64.8

62.3

61.6

(1)     Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

In Q3 2024, Retail Banking continued to support customers with increased mortgage lending and unsecured lending growth. In addition, lending increased £2.3 billion as a result of the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition. We delivered a return on equity of 21.4% and an operating profit of £0.7 billion, with positive income momentum and increased net interest margin from deposit margin expansion.

 

Retail Banking provided £0.9 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in Q3 2024 from lending on properties with an EPC rating of A or B.


 

Q3 2024 performance

-    Total income was £94 million, or 6.9%, higher than Q2 2024 reflecting deposit margin expansion, lending growth and the impact of an additional day in the quarter. Q3 2024 total income was £17 million or 1.2% higher than Q3 2023 due to deposit margin expansion and lending growth, partly offset by asset margin compression and the impact of a deposit balance mix shift from current accounts to savings.

-    Net interest margin was 12 basis points higher than Q2 2024 largely reflecting deposit margin expansion and benefits from treasury activity.

-    Other operating expenses were £34 million, or 4.9%, lower than Q2 2024 reflecting savings from a 3.2% reduction in headcount in the quarter, as well as severance and property exit costs. Other operating expenses were £65 million, or 9.0%, lower than Q3 2023 reflecting savings from a 9.0% reduction in headcount and non-repeat of property disposal losses in Q3 2023.

-    An impairment charge of £144 million, compared with a £59 million charge in Q2 2024, largely reflecting lower good book releases.

-    Net loans to customers increased by £4.1 billion, or 2.0%, driven by £3.7 billion higher mortgage balances including £2.3 billion related to the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition and an underlying £1.4 billion increase in net mortgage lending. Personal advances increased by £0.2 billion and cards balances increased by £0.3 billion in Q3 2024.

-    Customer deposits increased by £0.5 billion, or 0.3%, in Q3 2024 reflecting growth in savings partly offset by a reduction in current account balances.

-    RWAs increased by £2.5 billion, or 4.0%, in the quarter primarily due to book movements and including the impact of the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition.



 

Business performance summary continued

Private Banking


Quarter ended


30 September

30 June

30 September


2024

2024

2023


£m

£m

£m

Total income

253

236

214

Operating expenses

(166)

(175)

(157)

   of which: Other operating expenses

(166)

(175)

(157)

Impairment releases/(losses)

3

5

2

Operating profit

90

66

59


 



Return on equity (1)

19.7%

14.4%

11.7%

Net interest margin (1)

2.50%

2.30%

2.15%

Cost:income ratio 

 



   (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

65.6%

74.2%

73.4%

Loan impairment rate (1)

(7)bps

(11)bps

(4)bps

AUMA net flows (£bn) (1,2)

0.9

1.0

0.2


 




As at


30 September

30 June

31 December


2024

2024

2023


£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

18.2

18.1

18.5

Customer deposits

39.7

39.5

37.7

RWAs

11.0

11.0

11.2

Assets under management (AUMs) (1)

35.7

34.7

31.7

Assets under administration (AUAs) (1)

10.8

10.4

9.1

Assets under management and

 



   administration (AUMA) (1)

46.5

45.1

40.8

(1)     Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

(2)     AUM net flows were previously reported.

 

In Q3 2024, Private Banking continued to support customers with an increase in AUMA balances reflecting net inflows of £0.9 billion. Private Banking delivered a return on equity of 19.7% and an operating profit of £90 million.

Private Banking provided £0.2 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in Q3 2024, principally in relation to mortgages on residential properties with an EPC rating of A or B and wholesale transactions.


 

Q3 2024 performance

-    Total income was £17 million, or 7.2% higher than Q2 2024 primarily driven by deposit margin expansion and higher AUMA balances driving an increase in investment fee income. Q3 2024 total income was £39 million, or 18.2%, higher than Q3 2023 primarily reflecting deposit margin expansion and higher AUMA balances driving an increase in investment fee income, partly offset with the impact of deposit mix changes as customers migrated from current account accounts to savings products offering higher returns, combined with a reduction in lending volumes.

-    Net interest margin was 20 basis points higher than Q2 2024 largely reflecting deposit margin expansion and benefits from treasury activity.

-    Other operating expenses were £9 million, or 5.1%, lower than Q2 2024 primarily due to lower severance costs. Q3 2024 other operating expenses were £9 million, or 5.7%, higher than Q3 2023 primarily reflecting increased investment spend.

-    An impairment release of £3 million, compared with a £5 million release in Q2 2024, largely reflecting a reduction in good book releases, with Stage 3 charges broadly flat and remaining at low levels.

-    Net loans to customers were broadly stable compared with Q2 2024 with gross new mortgage lending offset by redemptions.

-    Customer deposits increased by £0.2 billion, or 0.5%, in Q3 2024 reflecting growth in instant access savings, partially offset by lower current account balances.

-    AUMA increased by £1.4 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting AUMA net inflows of £0.9 billion and £0.5 billion of positive market movements.

 



 

Business performance summary continued

Commercial & Institutional


Quarter ended


30 September

30 June

30 September


2024

2024

2023


£m

£m

£m

Net interest income

1,392

1,297

1,271

Non-interest income

679

644

570

Total income

2,071

1,941

1,841


 



Operating expenses

(945)

(1,099)

(1,012)

   of which: Other operating expenses

(911)

(1,053)

(960)

Impairment releases/(losses)

(109)

96

(59)

Operating profit

1,017

938

770


 



Return on equity (1)

19.9%

17.8%

14.7%

Net interest margin (1)

2.24%

2.12%

2.07%

Cost:income ratio 

 



   (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

44.0%

54.3%

52.1%

Loan impairment rate (1)

31bps

(28)bps

18bps


 




As at


30 September

30 June

31 December


2024

2024

2023


£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

138.1

133.9

131.9

Customer deposits

195.7

194.2

193.4

Funded assets (1)

331.1

315.5

306.9

RWAs

104.0

104.9

107.4

(1)     Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

In Q3 2024, Commercial & Institutional continued to support customers with an increase in lending of 3.1% and delivered a strong performance in income and operating profit supporting a return on equity of 19.9%. We continued to see good client demand for lending and net interest margin expansion supporting overall improved profitability.

 

Commercial & Institutional provided £6.0 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in Q3 2024 to support customers investing in the transition to net zero.


 

Q3 2024 performance

-    Total income was £130 million, or 6.7%, higher than Q2 2024 principally reflecting deposit margin expansion, customer lending growth and the impact of an additional day in the quarter. Total income was £230 million, or 12.5%, higher than Q3 2023 primarily due to deposit margin expansion, strong customer activity in capital markets and customer lending growth.

-    Net interest margin was 12 basis points higher than Q2 2024 largely reflecting deposit margin expansion and benefits from treasury activity.

-    Other operating expenses were £142 million, or 13.5%, lower than Q2 2024 reflecting reduced severance costs and benefit of VAT recovery. Other operating expenses were £49 million, or 5.1%, lower than Q3 2023 primarily due to a VAT recovery benefit.

-    An impairment charge of £109 million compared with a £96 million release in Q2 2024, reflecting the non-repeat of good book releases in Q2 2024 and higher Stage 3 charges in Q3 2024.

-    Net loans to customers increased by £4.2 billion, or 3.1%, in Q3 2024 principally due to growth within Corporate & Institutions and an increase in term loan facilities within Commercial Mid-market, partly offset by UK Government scheme repayments of £0.5 billion.

-    Customer deposits increased by £1.5 billion, or 0.8%, in Q3 2024 largely reflecting growth in Commercial Mid-market.

-    RWAs decreased by £0.9 billion, or 0.9%, compared with Q2 2024 primarily due to continued RWA management activity of £1.2 billion and foreign exchange benefits, partially offset by lending book growth and a small increase in market risk and counterparty credit risk.



 

Business performance summary continued

Central items & other


Quarter ended


30 September

30 June

30 September


2024

2024

2023


£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

 



Total income

(39)

117

(9)

Operating expenses 

(55)

(34)

22

   of which: Other operating expenses

(51)

(10)

45

   of which: Ulster Bank RoI direct expenses

(14)

(30)

(43)

Impairment releases/(losses)

5

3

(3)

Operating (loss)/profit

(89)

86

10


 

As at

 


30 September

30 June

31 December


2024

2024

2023


£bn

£bn

£bn

Net loans to customers (amortised cost)

23.0

24.0

25.8

Customer deposits

3.7

7.8

12.3

RWAs

1.9

2.6

2.8


 

Q3 2024 performance

-    Total income was £156 million lower than Q2 2024 primarily reflecting foreign exchange recycling losses and lower gains on interest and foreign exchange risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships and lower income in relation to our Ulster Bank RoI business. Total income was £30 million lower than Q3 2023 primarily reflecting foreign exchange recycling losses and lower gains on interest and foreign exchange risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships partially offset with losses associated with property lease terminations in Q3 2023 not repeated in Q3 2024.

-    Customer deposits decreased by £4.1 billion, or 52.6%, compared with Q2 2024 primarily reflecting repo activity in Treasury.

-    Net loans to customers decreased £1.0 billion to £23.0 billion in Q3 2024 mainly due to reverse repo activity in Treasury.

 



 


Segment performance

 

Nine months ended 30 September 2024


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items

Total NatWest


Banking

Banking

Institutional

 & other

Group


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations


Income statement 


Net interest income

3,825

455

3,935

92

8,307

Own credit adjustments

-

-

(5)

-

(5)

Other non-interest income

324

242

1,941

69

2,576

Total income 

4,149

697

5,871

161

10,878

Direct expenses

(586)

(190)

(1,120)

(3,844)

(5,740)

Indirect expenses

(1,527)

(331)

(1,864)

3,722

-

Other operating expenses

(2,113)

(521)

(2,984)

(122)

(5,740)

Litigation and conduct costs

(16)

(1)

(111)

(14)

(142)

Operating expenses

(2,129)

(522)

(3,095)

(136)

(5,882)

Operating profit before impairment losses/releases 

2,020

175

2,776

25

4,996

Impairment (losses)/releases

(266)

14

(52)

11

(293)

Operating profit

1,754

189

2,724

36

4,703


 

 

 

 

 

Income excluding notable items (1)

4,149

697

5,876

54

10,776


 

 

 

 

 

Additional information

 

Return on tangible equity (1)

na

na

na

na

17.0%

Return on equity (1)

19.4%

13.6%

17.4%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

50.9%

74.7%

50.8%

nm

52.8%

Total assets (£bn)

231.1

27.3

398.7

54.8

711.9

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

231.1

27.3

331.1

53.7

643.2

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

207.4

18.2

138.1

23.0

386.7

Loan impairment rate (1)

17bps

(10)bps

5bps

nm

10bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.6)

-

(3.6)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(1.0)

-

(2.1)

Customer deposits (£bn)

192.0

39.7

195.7

3.7

431.1

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

64.8

11.0

104.0

1.9

181.7

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

65.3

11.0

105.3

2.4

184.0

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

12.2

2.2

12.8

32.5

59.7

Third party customer asset rate (1)

3.95%

4.99%

6.74%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(2.08%)

(3.15%)

(1.92%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

220.5

26.6

244.9

na

526.2

Net interest margin (1)

2.32%

2.29%

2.15%

na

2.11%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1)

Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 



 

Segment performance continued

 

Nine months ended 30 September 2023


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items

Total NatWest


Banking

Banking

Institutional

 & other

Group


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations






Income statement 


Net interest income

4,242

572

3,775

(178)

8,411

Own credit adjustments

-

-

3

-

3

Other non-interest income

320

209

1,811

461

2,801

Total income 

4,562

781

5,589

283

11,215

Direct expenses

(604)

(181)

(1,118)

(3,697)

(5,600)

Indirect expenses

(1,460)

(287)

(1,735)

3,482

-

Other operating expenses

(2,064)

(468)

(2,853)

(215)

(5,600)

Litigation and conduct costs

(83)

(11)

(146)

(2)

(242)

Operating expenses

(2,147)

(479)

(2,999)

(217)

(5,842)

Operating profit before impairment losses

2,415

302

2,590

66

5,373

Impairment losses

(362)

(9)

(79)

(2)

(452)

Operating profit

2,053

293

2,511

64

4,921



Income excluding notable items (1)

4,562

781

5,586

(32)

10,897



Additional information






Return on tangible equity (1)

na

na

na

na

17.1%

Return on equity (1)

25.1%

20.3%

16.1%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

45.2%

59.9%

51.0%

nm

49.9%

Total assets (£bn)

229.1

26.8

411.6

49.6

717.1

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

229.1

26.8

325.2

48.5

629.6

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

205.2

18.8

130.5

22.8

377.3

Loan impairment rate (1)

23bps

6bps

8bps

nm

16bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.5)

-

(3.5)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(0.8)

-

(1.9)

Customer deposits (£bn)

184.5

37.2

201.8

12.4

435.9

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

58.9

11.6

107.9

3.2

181.6

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

58.9

11.6

109.1

3.9

183.5

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

13.4

2.4

12.6

33.3

61.7

Third party customer asset rate (1)

3.13%

4.43%

5.98%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(1.24%)

(1.88%)

(1.23%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

221.8

27.3

244.2

na

519.2

Net interest margin (1)

2.56%

2.80%

2.07%

na

2.17%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1)

Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.



 

Segment performance continued

 

Quarter ended 30 September 2024


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items

Total NatWest


Banking

Banking

Institutional

 & other

Group


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement 


Net interest income

1,350

170

1,392

(13)

2,899

Own credit adjustments

-

-

2

-

2

Other non-interest income

109

83

677

(26)

843

Total income 

1,459

253

2,071

(39)

3,744

Direct expenses

(205)

(64)

(356)

(1,159)

(1,784)

Indirect expenses

(451)

(102)

(555)

1,108

-

Other operating expenses

(656)

(166)

(911)

(51)

(1,784)

Litigation and conduct costs

(3)

-

(34)

(4)

(41)

Operating expenses

(659)

(166)

(945)

(55)

(1,825)

Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses/releases 

800

87

1,126

(94)

1,919

Impairment (losses)/releases

(144)

3

(109)

5

(245)

Operating profit/(loss)

656

90

1,017

(89)

1,674


 

 

 

 

 

Income excluding notable items (1)

1,459

253

2,069

(9)

3,772


 

 

 

 

 

Additional information

 

Return on tangible equity (1)

na

na

na

na

18.3%

Return on equity (1)

21.4%

19.7%

19.9%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

45.0%

65.6%

44.0%

nm

47.6%

Total assets (£bn)

231.1

27.3

398.7

54.8

711.9

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

231.1

27.3

331.1

53.7

643.2

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

207.4

18.2

138.1

23.0

386.7

Loan impairment rate (1)

28bps

(7)bps

31bps

nm

25bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.6)

-

(3.6)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(1.0)

-

(2.1)

Customer deposits (£bn)

192.0

39.7

195.7

3.7

431.1

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

64.8

11.0

104.0

1.9

181.7

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

65.3

11.0

105.3

2.4

184.0

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

12.2

2.2

12.8

32.5

59.7

Third party customer asset rate (1)

4.09%

5.01%

6.67%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(2.10%)

(3.16%)

(1.91%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

221.4

27.0

246.8

na

529.8

Net interest margin (1)

2.43%

2.50%

2.24%

na

2.18%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1)

Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.



 

Segment performance continued

 

Quarter ended 30 June 2024


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items

Total NatWest


Banking

Banking

Institutional

 & other

Group


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations


Income statement 


Net interest income

1,259

151

1,297

50

2,757

Own credit adjustments

-

-

(2)

-

(2)

Other non-interest income

106

85

646

67

904

Total income 

1,365

236

1,941

117

3,659

Direct expenses

(192)

(65)

(380)

(1,291)

(1,928)

Indirect expenses

(498)

(110)

(673)

1,281

-

Other operating expenses

(690)

(175)

(1,053)

(10)

(1,928)

Litigation and conduct costs

(7)

-

(46)

(24)

(77)

Operating expenses

(697)

(175)

(1,099)

(34)

(2,005)

Operating profit before impairment losses/releases 

668

61

842

83

1,654

Impairment (losses)/releases

(59)

5

96

3

45

Operating profit

609

66

938

86

1,699



Income excluding notable items (1)

1,365

236

1,943

46

3,590



Additional information






Return on tangible equity (1)

na

na

na

na

18.5%

Return on equity (1)

20.3%

14.4%

17.8%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

50.5%

74.2%

54.3%

nm

52.7%

Total assets (£bn)

226.5

27.2

381.9

54.7

690.3

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

226.5

27.2

315.5

53.6

622.8

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

203.3

18.1

133.9

24.0

379.3

Loan impairment rate (1)

12bps

(11)bps

(28)bps

nm

(5)bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.7)

(0.1)

(1.5)

-

(3.3)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.0)

-

(0.9)

(0.1)

(2.0)

Customer deposits (£bn)

191.5

39.5

194.2

7.8

433.0

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

62.3

11.0

104.9

2.6

180.8

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

63.1

11.0

106.7

3.1

183.9

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

12.6

2.2

12.8

33.0

60.6

Third party customer asset rate (1)

3.97%

5.01%

6.73%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(2.10%)

(3.15%)

(1.93%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

219.6

26.5

246.0

na

527.6

Net interest margin (1)

2.31%

2.30%

2.12%

na

2.10%

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.

(1)

Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 



 

Segment performance continued

 

Quarter ended 30 September 2023


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items

Total NatWest


Banking

Banking

Institutional

 & other

Group


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations






Income statement 


Net interest income

1,334

144

1,271

(64)

2,685

Own credit adjustments

-

-

(6)

-

(6)

Other non-interest income

108

70

576

55

809

Total income 

1,442

214

1,841

(9)

3,488

Direct expenses

(206)

(63)

(377)

(1,147)

(1,793)

Indirect expenses

(515)

(94)

(583)

1,192

-

Other operating expenses

(721)

(157)

(960)

45

(1,793)

Litigation and conduct costs

(59)

-

(52)

(23)

(134)

Operating expenses

(780)

(157)

(1,012)

22

(1,927)

Operating profit before impairment losses/releases

662

57

829

13

1,561

Impairment (losses)/releases

(169)

2

(59)

(3)

(229)

Operating profit 

493

59

770

10

1,332



Income excluding notable items (1)

1,442

214

1,847

11

3,514



Additional information






Return on tangible equity (1)

na

na

na

na

14.7%

Return on equity (1)

17.5%

11.7%

14.7%

nm

na

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)

50.0%

73.4%

52.1%

nm

51.4%

Total assets (£bn)

229.1

26.8

411.6

49.6

717.1

Funded assets (£bn) (1)

229.1

26.8

325.2

48.5

629.6

Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn)

205.2

18.8

130.5

22.8

377.3

Loan impairment rate (1)

33bps

(4)bps

18bps

nm

24bps

Impairment provisions (£bn)

(1.9)

(0.1)

(1.5)

-

(3.5)

Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn)

(1.1)

-

(0.8)

-

(1.9)

Customer deposits (£bn)

184.5

37.2

201.8

12.4

435.9

Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn)

58.9

11.6

107.9

3.2

181.6

RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn)

58.9

11.6

109.1

3.9

183.5

Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands)

13.4

2.4

12.6

33.3

61.7

Third party customer asset rate (1)

3.34%

4.80%

6.72%

nm

nm

Third party customer funding rate (1)

(1.69%)

(2.80%)

(1.65%)

nm

nm

Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1)

223.7

26.6

243.4

na

520.8

Net interest margin (1)

2.37%

2.15%

2.07%

na

2.05%

nm - not meaningful, na - not applicable

(1)

Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 


Risk and capital management

Credit risk

Segment analysis - portfolio summary

The table below shows gross loans and ECL, by segment and stage, within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework.


30 September 2024


31 December 2023


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items

 


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items



Banking

Banking

Institutional

& other

Total


Banking

Banking

Institutional

& other

Total

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1,2)

 

 

Stage 1

181,930

17,236

127,115

26,874

353,155


182,297

17,565

119,047

29,677

348,586

Stage 2

23,599

849

13,319

-

37,767


21,208

906

15,771

6

37,891

Stage 3

3,359

304

2,457

-

6,120


3,133

258

2,162

10

5,563

Of which: individual

-

235

1,231

-

1,466

 

-

186

845

-

1,031

Of which: collective

3,359

69

1,226

-

4,654

 

3,133

72

1,317

10

4,532

Subtotal excluding disposal group loans

208,888

18,389

142,891

26,874

397,042


206,638

18,729

136,980

29,693

392,040

Disposal group loans

 

-

-


67

67

Total 

 

26,874

397,042


29,760

392,107

ECL provisions (3)

 

 

Stage 1

297

15

273

15

600


306

20

356

27

709

Stage 2 

478

10

326

1

815


502

20

447

7

976

Stage 3

1,089

37

1,012

-

2,138


1,097

34

819

10

1,960

Of which: individual

-

37

446

-

483

 

-

34

298

-

332

Of which: collective

1,089

-

566

-

1,655

 

1,097

-

521

10

1,628

Subtotal excluding ECL provisions on disposal group loans

1,864

62

1,611

16

3,553


1,905

74

1,622

44

3,645

ECL provisions on disposal group loans

 

-

-


36

36

Total 

 

16

3,553


80

3,681

ECL provisions coverage (4)

 

 

Stage 1 (%)

0.16

0.09

0.21

0.06

0.17


0.17

0.11

0.30

0.09

0.20

Stage 2 (%)

2.03

1.18

2.45

nm

2.16


2.37

2.21

2.83

nm

2.58

Stage 3 (%)

32.42

12.17

41.19

-

34.93


35.01

13.18

37.88

100.00

35.23

ECL provisions coverage excluding disposal group loans

0.89

0.34

1.13

0.06

0.89


0.92

0.40

1.18

0.15

0.93

ECL provisions coverage on disposal group loans

 

-

-


53.73

53.73

Total 

 

0.06

0.89


0.27

0.94

 

(1)     The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that were outside the scope of the ECL framework. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £104.7 billion (31 December 2023 - £103.1 billion) and debt securities of £61.3 billion (31 December 2023 - £50.1 billion).

(2)     Fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI). Includes loans to customers and banks.

(3)     Includes £4 million (31 December 2023 - £9 million) related to assets classified as FVOCI and £0.1 billion (31 December 2023 - £0.1 billion) related to off-balance sheet exposures.

(4)     ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans - amortised cost and FVOCI. It is calculated on loans and total ECL provisions, including ECL for other (non-loan) assets and unutilised exposure. Some segments with a high proportion of debt securities or unutilised exposure may result in a not meaningful (nm) coverage ratio.


Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Segment analysis - loans

-    Retail Banking - Loans to customers increased during the year as a result of continued growth in credit card lending and the £2.3 billion Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition. Excluding the acquisition, mortgage balances reduced as redemptions were only partially offset by new lending. New lending and portfolio credit quality was maintained with limited increases in arrears, in-line with expectations. Total ECL coverage decreased during the year reflective of Q2 2024 debt sale activity on unsecured portfolios (£0.2 billion of assets), reductions in economic uncertainty post model adjustments and stable underlying portfolio performance. The reduction in good book coverage so far this year was a result of unsecured PD modelling updates alongside an improved view on forward looking economics since 31 December 2023. Post model adjustments to capture increased affordability pressures on customers due to high inflation and interest rates decreased at Q2 2024, reflecting a revision of portfolio sub-segments deemed most at risk, supported by back-testing of default outcomes. Flow rates into Stage 3 reduced during H1 2024 and have remained consistent into Q3 2024.

-    Commercial & Institutional - Growth in the first three quarters of 2024 was principally driven by financial institutions and a number of corporate sectors including commercial real estate. Sector appetite continues to be reviewed regularly, with particular focus on sector clusters deemed to represent a heightened risk. Total ECL coverage reduced during the year reflecting increased Stage 1 exposure and positive portfolio performance. Good book coverage improved due to portfolio growth and performance along with a reduction in post model adjustments. Stage 3 ECL increased due to flows into default on individually assessed customers.


Movement in ECL provision

The table below shows the main ECL provision movements during the year.

 


ECL provision


£m

At 1 January 2024

3,645

Transfers to disposal groups and reclassifications

(18)

Changes in economic forecasts

(17)

Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 1 and Stage 2

(124)

Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 3

592

Judgemental changes: changes in post model adjustments for Stage 1,

 

   Stage 2 and Stage 3

(135)

Write-offs and other

(390)

At 30 September 2024

3,553

 

-    For the nine months to 30 September 2024, overall ECL decreased. This primarily reflected debt sale activity on Retail Banking unsecured assets (£0.2 billion), reductions in economic uncertainty post model adjustments, and stable underlying portfolio performance across NatWest Group. There was a slight reduction in total ECL coverage alongside increases in Stage 3 ECL.

-    In the Personal portfolio, Stage 3 default inflows in 2024 reduced relative to 2023, as the recent trends of risk parameter normalisation stabilise.

-    In the Non-personal portfolio, Stage 3 charges have started to normalise driven by individual exposures. The total number of defaults has increased in 2024 but is still lower than historical trends.

-    Judgemental ECL post model adjustments decreased from 31 December 2023. This reflected management's view that the level of economic uncertainty due to inflation being higher for longer, higher interest rates and liquidity concerns, has reduced and now represents 9% of total ECL (31 December 2023 - 13%). Refer to the ECL post model adjustments section.

 

 

 

 

 


Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

ECL post model adjustments

The table below shows ECL post model adjustments.


Retail Banking


Private

Commercial &

Central items

 


Mortgages

Other

 

Banking

Institutional

& other

Total

30 September 2024

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Deferred model calibrations

-

-

 

1

17

-

18

Economic uncertainty

80

43

 

7

169

-

299

Other adjustments

-

-

 

-

10

-

10

Total

80

43

 

8

196

-

327

Of which:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- Stage 1

38

21

 

4

82

-

145

- Stage 2

33

22

 

4

112

-

171

- Stage 3

9

-

 

-

2

-

11

 

31 December 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deferred model calibrations

-

-


1

23

-

24

Economic uncertainty

118

39


13

256

3

429

Other adjustments

1

-


-

8

23

32

Total

119

39


14

287

26

485

Of which:



 





- Stage 1

75

14

 

6

115

10

220

- Stage 2

31

25

 

8

167

9

240

- Stage 3

13

-

 

-

5

7

25

 

-    Retail Banking - The post model adjustment for economic uncertainty of £123 million (31 December 2023 - £157 million) remained largely in line with Q2 2024. The reduction relative to the 2023 year end reflected a revision to the cost of living post model adjustment at Q2 2024 and is currently held at £114 million (31 December 2023 - £144 million). This update was supported by back-testing of default outcomes for higher risk segments. The cost of living post model adjustment captures the risk on segments in the Retail Banking portfolio that are more susceptible to the effects of cost of living rises. It focuses on key affordability lenses, including customers with lower income in fuel poverty, over-indebted borrowers and customers vulnerable to a potential mortgage rate shock.

-    Commercial & Institutional - The post model adjustment for economic uncertainty decreased to £169 million (31 December 2023 - £256 million). The inflation, supply chain and liquidity post model adjustment of £138 million (31 December 2023 - £206 million) was maintained for lending prior to 1 January 2024, with a sector level downgrade being applied to the sectors that were considered most at risk. While inflationary pressures are subsiding, geopolitical events could impact supply chains and there are ongoing concerns across many sectors in relation to reducing cash reserves. The £68 million reduction reflected positive portfolio movements and exposure reduction. A £30 million (31 December 2023 - £50 million) post model adjustment to cover the residual risks from Covid-19 remains for the risks surrounding associated debt to customers that have utilised government support schemes. This adjustment is reducing as customers default or repay.

-    Central items & other - The £26 million reduction was mainly due to the £23 million post model adjustment in other adjustments being removed in the period, reflecting the withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland.


Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary

The table below shows financial assets and off-balance sheet exposures gross of ECL and related ECL provisions, impairment and past due by sector, asset quality and geographical region.


Personal

 

Non-personal


Total


 

Credit

 

 

 

Corporate and 

Financial

 

 


 


Mortgages (1)

cards

Other

Total

 

Other

institutions

Sovereign

Total


 

30 September 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

Loans by geography

209,161

6,680

9,741

225,582

 

110,557

59,647

1,256

171,460

 

397,042

  - UK

209,161

6,680

9,741

225,582

 

97,232

39,721

566

137,519

 

363,101

  - RoI

-

-

-

-

 

1,097

974

-

2,071

 

2,071

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

5,238

9,593

379

15,210

 

15,210

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

6,990

9,359

311

16,660

 

16,660

Loans by asset quality (2) 

209,161

6,680

9,741

225,582

 

110,557

59,647

1,256

171,460

 

397,042

  - AQ1-AQ4

111,141

122

814

112,077

 

43,664

55,087

978

99,729

 

211,806

  - AQ5-AQ8

94,378

6,299

7,832

108,509

 

64,168

4,490

125

68,783

 

177,292

  - AQ9

1,066

92

198

1,356

 

323

12

133

468

 

1,824

  - AQ10

2,576

167

897

3,640

 

2,402

58

20

2,480

 

6,120

Loans by stage 

209,161

6,680

9,741

225,582

 

110,557

59,647

1,256

171,460

 

397,042

  - Stage 1

185,922

4,714

7,276

197,912

 

95,220

58,920

1,103

155,243

 

353,155

  - Stage 2

20,663

1,799

1,568

24,030

 

12,935

669

133

13,737

 

37,767

  - Stage 3

2,576

167

897

3,640

 

2,402

58

20

2,480

 

6,120

  - Of which: individual

144

-

24

168

 

1,227

51

20

1,298

 

1,466

  - Of which: collective

2,432

167

873

3,472

 

1,175

7

-

1,182

 

4,654

Loans - past due analysis

209,161

6,680

9,741

225,582

 

110,557

59,647

1,256

171,460

 

397,042

  - Not past due

206,003

6,489

8,822

221,314

 

107,448

59,494

1,236

168,178

 

389,492

  - Past due 1-30 days

1,143

44

67

1,254

 

1,738

138

-

1,876

 

3,130

  - Past due 31-90 days

753

45

100

898

 

468

9

-

477

 

1,375

  - Past due 90-180 days

495

40

93

628

 

90

1

-

91

 

719

  - Past due >180 days

767

62

659

1,488

 

813

5

20

838

 

2,326

Loans - Stage 2

20,663

1,799

1,568

24,030

 

12,935

669

133

13,737

 

37,767

  - Not past due

19,503

1,745

1,467

22,715

 

12,020

642

133

12,795

 

35,510

  - Past due 1-30 days

762

26

38

826

 

540

26

-

566

 

1,392

  - Past due 31-90 days

398

28

63

489

 

375

1

-

376

 

865

Weighted average life 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   - ECL measurement (years)

8

4

6

5

 

6

2

1

6

 

6

Weighted average 12 months PDs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  - IFRS 9 (%)

0.52

3.03

5.09

0.77

 

1.27

0.18

5.46

0.92

 

0.84

  - Basel (%)

0.68

3.58

3.26

0.86

 

1.10

0.16

5.46

0.81

 

0.84

ECL provisions by geography

444

404

1,057

1,905

 

1,541

87

20

1,648

 

3,553

  - UK

444

404

1,057

1,905

 

1,371

34

13

1,418

 

3,323

  - RoI

-

-

-

-

 

3

1

-

4

 

4

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

114

8

-

122

 

122

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

53

44

7

104

 

104

 

For the notes to this table refer to page 22.

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary continued


Personal

 


Total


 

Credit

Other

 

 

Corporate and 

Financial

 

 


 


Mortgages (1)

cards

personal

Total

 

Other

institutions

Sovereign

Total


 

30 September 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

ECL provisions by stage 

444

404

1,057

1,905

 

1,541

87

20

1,648

 

3,553

  - Stage 1

60

92

150

302

 

249

36

13

298

 

600

  - Stage 2

68

198

214

480

 

324

9

2

335

 

815

  - Stage 3

316

114

693

1,123

 

968

42

5

1,015

 

2,138

  - Of which: individual

12

-

14

26

 

415

37

5

457

 

483

  - Of which: collective

304

114

679

1,097

 

553

5

-

558

 

1,655

ECL provisions coverage (%)

0.21

6.05

10.85

0.84

 

1.39

0.15

1.59

0.96

 

0.89

  - Stage 1 (%)

0.03

1.95

2.06

0.15

 

0.26

0.06

1.18

0.19

 

0.17

  - Stage 2 (%)

0.33

11.01

13.65

2.00

 

2.50

1.35

1.50

2.44

 

2.16

  - Stage 3 (%)

12.27

68.26

77.26

30.85

 

40.30

72.41

25.00

40.93

 

34.93

Loans by residual maturity

209,161

6,680

9,741

225,582

 

110,557

59,647

1,256

171,460

 

397,042

 - <1 year 

3,368

3,680

3,180

10,228

 

34,826

45,266

426

80,518

 

90,746

 - 1-5 year

11,732

3,000

5,544

20,276

 

47,007

11,542

499

59,048

 

79,324

 - >5<15 year

45,515

-

1,011

46,526

 

20,867

2,805

297

23,969

 

70,495

 - >15 year

148,546

-

6

148,552

 

7,857

34

34

7,925

 

156,477

Other financial assets by asset quality (2)

-

-

-

-

 

3,178

29,011

133,767

165,956

 

165,956

  - AQ1-AQ4

-

-

-

-

 

3,176

28,618

133,767

165,561

 

165,561

  - AQ5-AQ8

-

-

-

-

 

2

393

-

395

 

395

Off-balance sheet

13,625

19,434

8,118

41,177

 

74,529

21,246

237

96,012

 

137,189

  - Loan commitments

13,625

19,434

8,077

41,136

 

71,483

19,772

237

91,492

 

132,628

  - Financial guarantees

-

-

41

41

 

3,046

1,474

-

4,520

 

4,561

Off-balance sheet by asset quality (2)

13,625

19,434

8,118

41,177

 

74,529

21,246

237

96,012

 

137,189

  - AQ1-AQ4

12,805

510

6,736

20,051

 

47,313

19,601

150

67,064

 

87,115

  - AQ5-AQ8

806

18,585

1,335

20,726

 

26,783

1,601

23

28,407

 

49,133

  - AQ9 

-

9

20

29

 

18

-

64

82

 

111

  - AQ10

14

330

27

371

 

415

44

-

459

 

830

 

For the notes to this table refer to page 22.

 



 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary continued


Personal


Non-personal


Total



Credit




Corporate and 

Financial






Mortgages (1)

cards

Other

Total


Other

institutions

Sovereign

Total



31 December 2023 (3)

£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

Loans by geography

208,275

5,904

9,595

223,774


108,546

57,087

2,633

168,266


392,040

  - UK

208,275

5,893

9,592

223,760

 

95,736

39,906

2,016

137,658

 

361,418

  - RoI

-

11

3

14

 

897

279

-

1,176

 

1,190

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

5,471

7,865

399

13,735

 

13,735

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

6,442

9,037

218

15,697

 

15,697

Loans by asset quality (2) 

208,275

5,904

9,595

223,774


108,546

57,087

2,633

168,266


392,040

  - AQ1-AQ4

118,266

124

914

119,304

 

42,217

53,367

2,488

98,072

 

217,376

  - AQ5-AQ8

86,868

5,577

7,552

99,997

 

63,818

3,686

123

67,627

 

167,624

  - AQ9

860

63

150

1,073

 

386

18

-

404

 

1,477

  - AQ10

2,281

140

979

3,400

 

2,125

16

22

2,163

 

5,563

Loans by stage

208,275

5,904

9,595

223,774


108,546

57,087

2,633

168,266


392,040

  - Stage 1

188,140

3,742

6,983

198,865

 

91,006

56,105

2,610

149,721

 

348,586

  - Stage 2

17,854

2,022

1,633

21,509

 

15,415

966

1

16,382

 

37,891

  - Stage 3

2,281

140

979

3,400

 

2,125

16

22

2,163

 

5,563

  - Of which: individual

122

-

20

142

 

865

2

22

889

 

1,031

  - Of which: collective

2,159

140

959

3,258

 

1,260

14

-

1,274

 

4,532

Loans - past due analysis

208,275

5,904

9,595

223,774


108,546

57,087

2,633

168,266


392,040

  - Not past due

205,405

5,743

8,578

219,726

 

104,316

56,735

2,633

163,684

 

383,410

  - Past due 1-30 days

1,178

41

71

1,290

 

2,713

332

-

3,045

 

4,335

  - Past due 31-90 days

518

38

112

668

 

616

12

-

628

 

1,296

  - Past due 90-180 days

445

32

103

580

 

113

2

-

115

 

695

  - Past due >180 days

729

50

731

1,510

 

788

6

-

794

 

2,304

Loans - Stage 2

17,854

2,022

1,633

21,509


15,415

966

1

16,382


37,891

  - Not past due

16,803

1,971

1,529

20,303

 

14,358

932

1

15,291

 

35,594

  - Past due 1-30 days

765

27

40

832

 

616

24

-

640

 

1,472

  - Past due 31-90 days

286

24

64

374

 

441

10

-

451

 

825

Weighted average life


   - ECL measurement (years)

9

3

6

6

 

6

2

-

6

 

6

Weighted average 12 months PDs

 


  - IFRS 9 (%)

0.50

3.45

5.29

0.75

 

1.55

0.19

0.37

1.07

 

0.89

  - Basel (%)

0.67

3.37

3.15

0.84

 

1.16

0.17

0.37

0.81

 

0.83

ECL provisions by geography

420

376

1,168

1,964


1,599

66

16

1,681


3,645

  - UK

420

365

1,163

1,948

 

1,383

38

13

1,434

 

3,382

  - RoI

-

11

5

16

 

6

1

-

7

 

23

  - Other Europe

-

-

-

-

 

153

12

-

165

 

165

  - RoW

-

-

-

-

 

57

15

3

75

 

75

 

For the notes to this table refer to page 22.



 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary continued


Personal


Non-personal


Total



Credit

Other



Corporate and 

Financial






Mortgages (1)

cards

personal

Total


Other

institutions

Sovereign

Total



31 December 2023 (3)

£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

ECL provisions by stage 

420

376

1,168

1,964


1,599

66

16

1,681


3,645

  - Stage 1

88

76

152

316

 

336

44

13

393

 

709

  - Stage 2

61

207

238

506

 

454

15

1

470

 

976

  - Stage 3

271

93

778

1,142

 

809

7

2

818

 

1,960

  - Of which: individual

12

-

14

26

 

302

2

2

306

 

332

  - Of which: collective

259

93

764

1,116

 

507

5

-

512

 

1,628

ECL provisions coverage (%)

0.20

6.37

12.17

0.88


1.47

0.12

0.61

1.00


0.93

  - Stage 1 (%)

0.05

2.03

2.18

0.16

 

0.37

0.08

0.50

0.26

 

0.20

  - Stage 2 (%)

0.34

10.24

14.57

2.35

 

2.95

1.55

100.00

2.87

 

2.58

  - Stage 3 (%)

11.88

66.43

79.47

33.59

 

38.07

43.75

9.09

37.82

 

35.23

Loans by residual maturity

208,275

5,904

9,595

223,774


108,546

57,087

2,633

168,266


392,040

 - <1 year 

3,375

3,398

3,169

9,942

 

31,008

43,497

489

74,994

 

84,936

 - 1-5 year

9,508

2,506

5,431

17,445

 

49,789

11616

1,872

63,277

 

80,722

 - >5<15 year

46,453

-

993

47,446

 

19,868

1,939

199

22,006

 

69,452

 - >15 year

148,939

-

2

148,941

 

7,881

35

73

7,989

 

156,930

Other financial assets by asset quality (2)

-

-

-

-


2,690

26,816

123,683

153,189


153,189

  - AQ1-AQ4

-

-

-

-

 

2,690

26,084

123,683

152,457

 

152,457

  - AQ5-AQ8

-

-

-

-

 

-

732

-

732

 

732

Off-balance sheet

9,843

17,284

8,462

35,589


73,921

22,221

227

96,369


131,958

  - Loan commitments

9,843

17,284

8,417

35,544

 

70,942

20,765

227

91,934

 

127,478

  - Financial guarantees

-

-

45

45

 

2,979

1,456

-

4,435

 

4,480

Off-balance sheet by asset quality (2)

9,843

17,284

8,462

35,589


73,921

22,221

227

96,369


131,958

  - AQ1-AQ4

9,099

448

7,271

16,818

 

47,296

20,644

165

68,105

 

84,923

  - AQ5-AQ8

721

16,518

1,162

18,401

 

26,296

1,574

45

27,915

 

46,316

  - AQ9 

7

6

4

17

 

15

-

-

15

 

32

  - AQ10

16

312

25

353

 

314

3

17

334

 

687

 

(1)       Includes a portion of Private Banking lending secured against residential real estate, in line with ECL calculation methodology. Private Banking and RBS International mortgages are reported in UK, reflecting the country of lending origination and includes crown dependencies.

(2)       AQ bandings are based on Basel PDs and mapping is as follows:

Internal asset quality band

Probability of default range

Indicative S&P rating


Internal asset quality band

Probability of default range

Indicative S&P rating

AQ1

0% - 0.034%

AAA to AA


AQ6

1.076% - 2.153%

BB- to B+

AQ2

0.034% - 0.048%

AA to AA-


AQ7

2.153% - 6.089%

B+ to B

AQ3

0.048% - 0.095%

A+ to A


AQ8

6.089% - 17.222%

B- to CCC+

AQ4

0.095% - 0.381%

BBB+ to BBB-


AQ9

17.222% - 100%

CCC to C

AQ5

0.381% - 1.076%

BB+ to BB


AQ10

100%

D

 

£0.3 billion (31 December 2023 - £0.3 billion) of AQ10 Personal balances primarily relate to loan commitments, the drawdown of which is effectively prohibited.

(3)       Previously published sectors for the Non-personal portfolio have been re-presented to reflect internal sector reporting. Property is now included in corporate and other.



 

Risk and capital management continued

Credit risk continued

Sector analysis - portfolio summary

The table below shows ECL by stage, for the Personal portfolio and Non-personal portfolio including the three largest borrowing sector clusters included in corporate and other.


Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI

 

Off-balance sheet 

 

ECL provisions


 

 

Loan

Contingent

 

 


Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

 

commitments

liabilities

 

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Total

30 September 2024

£m

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Personal

197,912

24,030

3,640

225,582

 

41,136

41

 

302

480

1,123

1,905

Mortgages (1)

185,922

20,663

2,576

209,161

 

13,625

-

 

60

68

316

444

Credit cards

4,714

1,799

167

6,680

 

19,434

-

 

92

198

114

404

Other personal

7,276

1,568

897

9,741

 

8,077

41

 

150

214

693

1,057

Non-personal

155,243

13,737

2,480

171,460

 

91,492

4,520

 

298

335

1,015

1,648

Financial institutions (2)

58,920

669

58

59,647

 

19,772

1,474

 

36

9

42

87

Sovereigns

1,103

133

20

1,256

 

237

-

 

13

2

5

20

Corporate and other

95,220

12,935

2,402

110,557

 

71,483

3,046

 

249

324

968

1,541

Of which:

 

Commercial real estate

16,485

1,365

410

18,260

 

6,280

120

 

60

29

144

233

Consumer industries

13,114

3,399

468

16,981

 

10,533

576

 

42

91

198

331

Mobility and logistics

13,674

1,535

168

15,377

 

9,497

634

 

25

28

56

109

Total

353,155

37,767

6,120

397,042

 

132,628

4,561

 

600

815

2,138

3,553

 

31 December 2023 (3)













Personal

198,865

21,509

3,400

223,774


35,544

45


316

506

1,142

1,964

Mortgages (1)

188,140

17,854

2,281

208,275


9,843

-


88

61

271

420

Credit cards

3,742

2,022

140

5,904


17,284

-


76

207

93

376

Other personal

6,983

1,633

979

9,595


8,417

45


152

238

778

1,168

Non-personal

149,721

16,382

2,163

168,266


91,934

4,435


393

470

818

1,681

Financial institutions (2)

56,105

966

16

57,087


20,765

1,456


44

15

7

66

Sovereigns

2,610

1

22

2,633


227

-


13

1

2

16

Corporate and other

91,006

15,415

2,125

108,546


70,942

2,979


336

454

809

1,599

Of which:


Commercial real estate

14,998

2,040

374

17,412

 

7,155

106

 

86

58

112

256

Consumer industries

12,586

4,050

541

17,177

 

10,209

649

 

61

119

222

402

Mobility and logistics

13,186

2,074

143

15,403

 

8,728

496

 

33

39

48

120

Total

348,586

37,891

5,563

392,040


127,478

4,480


709

976

1,960

3,645

 

(1)     As at 30 September 2024, £139.9 billion, 66.9%, of the total residential mortgages portfolio had Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) data available (31 December 2023 - £140.8 billion, 67.6%), of which, 45.7% were rated as EPC A to C (31 December 2023 - 44.1%).

(2)     Includes transactions, such as securitisations, where the underlying risk may be in other sectors.

(3)     Previously published sectors for the Non-personal portfolio have been re-presented to reflect internal sector reporting. Property is now included in corporate and other.



 


Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk 

Introduction

NatWest Group takes a comprehensive approach to the management of capital, liquidity and funding, underpinned by frameworks, risk appetite and policies, to manage and mitigate capital, liquidity and funding risks. The framework ensures the tools and capability are in place to facilitate the management and mitigation of risk ensuring that NatWest Group operates within its regulatory requirements and risk appetite.

Key developments since 31 December 2023

 

CET1 ratio

13.9%

(as at 31 December 2023 - 13.4%)

 

MREL ratio

32.9%

(as at 31 December 2023 - 30.5%)

 

RWAs

£181.7bn

(as at 31 December 2023 - £183.0bn)

The CET1 ratio increased by 50 basis points to 13.9%. The increase in the CET1 ratio was due to a £0.9 billion increase in CET1 capital and a £1.3 billion decrease in RWAs.

 

The CET1 capital increase was mainly driven by an attributable profit to ordinary shareholders of £2.8 billion (net of ordinary interim dividend paid) and other movements on reserves and regulatory adjustments of £0.1 billion partially offset by a directed buyback of £1.2 billion and a foreseeable ordinary dividend accrual of £0.8 billion.

 

 

The Minimum Requirements of own funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) ratio increased by 240 basis points to 32.9%, driven by a £4.0 billion increase in MREL and £1.3 billion decrease in RWAs. MREL increased to £59.8 billion driven by a £2.2 billion increase in eligible capital and a £1.8 billion increase in senior unsecured debt. The increase in capital was driven by attributable profit and reserve movements, a £0.8 billion increase due to issuance of $1.0 billion Additional Tier 1 and a £0.6 billion increase driven by issuances and redemptions of subordinated debt instruments in the period. The increase in senior unsecured debt was driven by the issuance of USD debt instruments totalling $4.6 billion and EUR debt instruments totalling €1.8 billion, partially offset by redemption of a €0.8 billion debt instrument and a $2.0 billion debt instrument, and FX movements.

 

Total RWAs decreased by £1.3 billion to £181.7 billion reflecting:

 

-      a decrease in credit risk RWAs of £2.2 billion, primarily due to active RWA management and a reduction in risk weighted assets from foreign exchange movements due to sterling appreciation versus the euro and US dollar. These movements are partially offset by drawdowns and new facilities within Commercial & Institutional, lending growth and the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition within Retail Banking.

-      a decrease of £0.5 billion in counterparty credit risk driven by reduced over-the-counter exposures.

-      a decrease in market risk RWAs of £0.2 billion, predominantly driven by risk reduction activity.

-      an increase of £1.6 billion in operational risk RWAs following the annual recalculation as a result of higher income compared to 2020.

 

UK leverage ratio

5.0%

(as at 31 December 2023 - 5.0%)

 

Liquidity portfolio

£226.5bn

(as at 31 December 2023 - £222.8bn)

 

LCR

148%

(as at 31 December 2023 - 144%)

The leverage ratio remains at 5.0%, due to a £31.9 billion increase in leverage exposure offset by a £1.7 billion increase in Tier 1 capital. The key drivers in the leverage exposure were an increase in other financial assets, trading assets, and other off-balance sheet items.

 

The liquidity portfolio increased by £3.7 billion to £226.5 billion during the year. Primary liquidity increased by £14.2 billion to £162.3 billion, driven by an increase in customer deposits and issuance partially offset by increased lending (incl. Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition) and capital distributions (share buyback and dividends). Secondary liquidity decreased £10.5 billion due to a decrease in pre-positioned collateral at the Bank of England.

 

The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) increased by 4 percentage points to 148%, during the year, driven by increased customer deposits and issuance partially offset by increased lending (incl. Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition) and capital distributions (share buyback and dividends).


Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Maximum Distributable Amount (MDA) and Minimum Capital Requirements

NatWest Group is subject to minimum capital requirements relative to RWAs. The table below summarises the minimum capital requirements (the sum of Pillar 1 and Pillar 2A), and the additional capital buffers which are held in excess of the regulatory minimum requirements and are usable in stress.

Where the CET1 ratio falls below the sum of the minimum capital and the combined buffer requirement, there is a subsequent automatic restriction on the amount available to service discretionary payments (including AT1 coupons), known as the MDA. Note that different capital requirements apply to individual legal entities or sub-groups and that the table shown does not reflect any incremental PRA buffer requirements, which are not disclosable.

The current capital position provides significant headroom above both NatWest Group's minimum requirements and its MDA threshold requirements.

Type

CET1

Total Tier 1

Total capital

Pillar 1 requirements

4.5%

6.0%

8.0%

Pillar 2A requirements

1.8%

2.4%

3.2%

Minimum Capital Requirements

6.3%

8.4%

11.2%

Capital conservation buffer

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

Countercyclical capital buffer (1) 

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

MDA threshold (2)

10.5%

n/a

n/a

Overall capital requirement 

10.5%

12.6%

15.4%

Capital ratios at 30 September 2024

13.9%

16.5%

19.7%

Headroom (3,4) 

3.4%

3.9%

4.3%

(1)     The UK countercyclical buffer (CCyB) rate is currently being maintained at 2%. This may vary in either direction in the future subject to how risks develop. Foreign exposures may be subject to different CCyB rates depending on the rate set in those jurisdictions.

(2)     Pillar 2A requirements for NatWest Group are set as a variable amount with the exception of some fixed add-ons.

(3)     The headroom does not reflect excess distributable capital and may vary over time.

(4)     Headroom as at 31 December 2023 was CET1 2.9%, Total Tier 1 2.9% and Total Capital 3.0%.

 

 

 


 

Leverage ratios

The table below summarises the minimum ratios of capital to leverage exposure under the binding PRA UK leverage framework applicable for NatWest Group.

Type

CET1

Total Tier 1

Minimum ratio

2.44%

3.25%

Countercyclical leverage ratio buffer (1)

0.6%

0.6%

Total

3.04%

3.85%

(1)       The countercyclical leverage ratio buffer is set at 35% of NatWest Group's CCyB.

 

 




 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital and leverage ratios

The table below sets out the key capital and leverage ratios. NatWest Group is subject to the requirements set out in the UK CRR therefore the capital and leverage ratios are presented under these frameworks on a transitional basis.


30 September

30 June

31 December


2024

2024

2023

Capital adequacy ratios (1)

%

%

%

CET1

13.9

13.6

13.4

Tier 1

16.5

16.2

15.5

Total

19.7

19.5

18.4




Capital

£m

£m

£m

Tangible equity

26,220

25,241

25,653


 



Expected loss less impairment

(23)

(34)

-

Prudential valuation adjustment

(245)

(233)

(279)

Deferred tax assets

(746)

(822)

(979)

Own credit adjustments

18

19

(10)

Pension fund assets

(162)

(161)

(143)

Cash flow hedging reserve

1,365

1,812

1,899

Foreseeable ordinary dividends

(808)

(839)

(1,013)

Adjustment for trust assets (2)

(365)

(365)

(365)

Foreseeable charges

-

(50)

(525)

Adjustments under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements

42

39

202

Total regulatory adjustments

(924)

(634)

(1,213)


 



CET1 capital

25,296

24,607

24,440


 



Additional AT1 capital

4,670

4,670

3,875

Tier 1 capital

29,966

29,277

28,315


 



Tier 2 capital

5,824

5,924

5,317

Total regulatory capital

35,790

35,201

33,632


 



Risk-weighted assets

 


Credit risk

145,448

144,852

147,598

Counterparty credit risk

7,255

7,139

7,830

Market risk

7,190

6,956

7,363

Operational risk

21,821

21,821

20,198

Total RWAs

181,714

180,768

182,989

(1)       Based on current PRA rules, includes the transitional arrangements for the capital impact of IFRS 9 expected credit loss (ECL) accounting. The impact of the IFRS 9 transitional adjustments at 30 September 2024 was £42 million for CET1 capital, £42 million for Total Capital and £3 million RWAs (30 June 2024 - £39 million CET1 capital, £39 million Total Capital and £1 million RWAs and 31 December 2023 - £0.2 billion CET1 capital, £54 million Total Capital and £17 million RWAs). Excluding this adjustment, the CET1 ratio would be 13.9% (30 June 2024 - 13.6% and 31 December 2023 - 13.2%). Tier 1 Capital ratio would be 16.5% (30 June 2024 - 16.2% and 31 December 2023 - 15.4%) and the Total Capital ratio would be 19.7% (30 June 2024 - 19.5% and 31 December 2023 - 18.4%).

(2)       Prudent deduction in respect of agreement with the pension fund.



 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital and leverage ratios continued

 

30 September

30 June

31 December

 

2024

2024

2023

Leverage

£m

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks

105,629

115,833

104,262

Trading assets

54,445

45,974

45,551

Derivatives

68,720

67,514

78,904

Financial assets

455,770

437,909

439,449

Other assets

27,317

22,116

23,605

Assets of disposal groups

16

992

902

Total assets

711,897

690,338

692,673

Derivatives

 


   - netting and variation margin

(66,427)

(66,846)

(79,299)

   - potential future exposures

16,047

16,829

17,212

Securities financing transactions gross up

1,588

1,645

1,868

Other off balance sheet items

57,154

55,003

50,961

Regulatory deductions and other adjustments

(20,707)

(15,782)

(16,043)

Claims on central banks

(102,090)

(112,377)

(100,735)

Exclusion of bounce back loans

(2,746)

(3,084)

(3,794)

UK leverage exposure 

594,716

565,726

562,843

UK leverage ratio (%) (1)

5.0

5.2

5.0

(1)       The UK leverage exposure and transitional Tier 1 capital are calculated in accordance with current PRA rules. Excluding the IFRS 9 transitional adjustment, the UK leverage ratio would be 5.0% (30 June 2024 - 5.2%, 31 December 2023 - 5.0%).

 



 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital flow statement

The table below analyses the movement in CET1, AT1 and Tier 2 capital for the nine months ended 30 September 2024. It is presented on a transitional basis based on current PRA rules.


CET1

AT1

Tier 2

Total


£m

£m

£m

£m

At 31 December 2023

24,440

3,875

5,317

33,632

Attributable profit for the period

3,271

-

-

3,271

Ordinary interim dividend paid

(497)

-

-

(497)

Directed buyback 

(1,241)

-

-

(1,241)

Foreseeable ordinary dividends 

(808)

-

-

(808)

Foreign exchange reserve

(137)

-

-

(137)

FVOCI reserve

(8)

-

-

(8)

Own credit

28

-

-

28

Share based remuneration and shares vested under employee share schemes

135

-

-

135

Goodwill and intangibles deduction

26

-

-

26

Deferred tax assets

233

-

-

233

Prudential valuation adjustments

34

-

-

34

New issues of capital instruments

-

795

1,341

2,136

Redemption of capital instruments

-

-

(622)

(622)

Foreign exchange movements

-

-

(84)

(84)

Adjustment under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements

(160)

-

-

(160)

Expected loss less impairment

(23)

-

-

(23)

Other movements

3

-

(128)

(125)

At 30 September 2024

25,296

4,670

5,824

35,790

 

-      For CET1 movements refer to the key points on page 24.

-      AT1 movements reflects the £0.8 billion issued of the $1.0 billion 8.125% Reset Perpetual Subordinated Contingent Convertible Notes issued in May 2024.

-      Tier 2 instrument movements of £0.6 billion include £0.8 billion in relation to $1.0 billion 6.475% Fixed to Fixed Reset Subordinated Tier 2 Notes 2034 issued in March 2024 and a £0.6 billion 5.642% Fixed to Fixed Reset Subordinated Tier 2 Notes 2034 issued in September 2024, partially offset by the £0.1 billion redemption of 5.125% Subordinated Tier 2 Notes 2024 in May 2024, £0.6 billion in relation to the $750 million redemption of Fixed to Fixed Reset Subordinated Tier 2 Notes 2029 in September 2024 and foreign exchange movements.

-      Within Tier 2, there was also a decrease in the Tier 2 surplus provisions.



 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Risk-weighted assets

The table below analyses the movement in RWAs for the nine months ended 30 September 2024, by key drivers.


 

Counterparty

 

Operational

 


Credit risk

credit risk

Market risk

risk

Total 


£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

At 31 December 2023

147.6

7.8

7.4

20.2

183.0

Foreign exchange movement

(1.0)

-

-

-

(1.0)

Business movement

(1.4)

(0.4)

(0.2)

1.6

(0.4)

Risk parameter changes

(0.7)

(0.1)

-

-

(0.8)

Model updates

-

-

-

-

-

Acquisitions

0.9

-

-

-

0.9

At 30 September 2024

145.4

7.3

7.2

21.8

181.7

 

The table below analyses segmental RWAs.


 

 

 

 

Total 


Retail

Private

Commercial &

Central items 

NatWest


Banking

Banking

Institutional 

& other

Group

Total RWAs

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

£bn

At 31 December 2023

61.6

11.2

107.4

2.8

183.0

Foreign exchange movement

-

-

(1.0)

-

(1.0)

Business movement

2.0

(0.2)

(1.3)

(0.9)

(0.4)

Risk parameter changes 

0.1

-

(0.9)

-

(0.8)

Model updates

0.2

-

(0.2)

-

-

Acquisitions

0.9

-

-

-

0.9

At 30 September 2024

64.8

11.0

104.0

1.9

181.7


 

Credit risk

56.4

9.5

78.1

1.4

145.4

Counterparty credit risk

0.2

-

7.1

-

7.3

Market risk

0.1

-

7.1

-

7.2

Operational risk

8.1

1.5

11.7

0.5

21.8

Total RWAs

64.8

11.0

104.0

1.9

181.7

 

Total RWAs decreased by £1.3 billion to £181.7 billion during the period mainly reflecting:

-      A reduction in risk weighted assets from foreign exchange movements of £1.0 billion due to sterling appreciation versus the euro and US dollar.

-      A decrease in business movements of £0.4 billion primarily due to active RWA management of £5.6 billion, partially offset by the recalculation of operational risk as a result of higher income when compared to 2020 and an increase in drawdowns and new facilities within Commercial & Institutional. Further increases in Retail Banking reflecting lending growth.

-      Reduction in risk parameters of £0.8 billion primarily driven by customers moving into default and improved risk metrics within Commercial & Institutional.

-      An offsetting movement in model updates driven by IRB Temporary Model Adjustment within Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional.

-      An increase in acquisitions of £0.9 billion for the Metro Bank mortgage portfolio acquisition within Retail Banking.

 



 

Risk and capital management continued

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Liquidity portfolio

The table below shows the composition of the liquidity portfolio with primary liquidity aligned to high-quality liquid assets on a regulatory LCR basis. Secondary liquidity comprises assets which are eligible as collateral for local central bank liquidity facilities and do not form part of the LCR eligible high-quality liquid assets.


Liquidity value


30 September 2024

 

30 June 2024

 

31 December 2023


NatWest

NWH

UK DoL

 

NatWest

NWH

UK DoL

 

NatWest

NWH

UK DoL


Group (1)

Group (2)

Sub

 

Group (1)

Group (2)

Sub 

 

Group (1)

Group (2)

Sub 


£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Cash and balances at central banks 

 101,413

 69,097

 68,621

 

 111,763

 73,408

 72,895

 

 99,855

 68,495

 67,954

High quality government/MDB/PSE and GSE bonds (4)

 48,401

 36,187

 36,187

 

 35,616

 26,253

 26,253

 

 36,250

 26,510

 26,510

Extremely high quality covered bonds

 3,820

 3,820

 3,820

 

 3,892

 3,892

 3,892

 

 4,164

 4,164

 4,164

LCR level 1 assets

 153,634

 109,104

 108,628

 

 151,271

 103,553

 103,040

 

 140,269

 99,169

 98,628

LCR level 2 Eligible Assets (5)

 8,629

 7,444

 7,444

 

 9,124

 7,897

 7,897

 

 7,796

 7,320

 7,320

Primary liquidity (HQLA) (6)

 162,263

 116,548

 116,072

 

 160,395

 111,450

 110,937

 

 148,065

 106,489

 105,948

Secondary liquidity

 64,214

 64,186

 64,186

 

 66,589

 66,559

 66,559

 

 74,722

 74,683

 74,683

Total liquidity value

 226,477

 180,734

 180,258

 

 226,984

 178,009

 177,496

 

 222,787

 181,172

 180,631

(1)     NatWest Group includes the UK Domestic Liquidity Sub-Group (UK DoLSub), NatWest Markets Plc and other significant operating subsidiaries that hold liquidity portfolios. These include RBSI Ltd and NWM N.V. who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules.

(2)     NWH Group comprises UK DoLSub and NatWest Bank Europe GmbH who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules.

(3)     NatWest Markets Plc liquidity portfolio is reported in the NatWest Markets Plc 2023 Annual Report and Accounts.

(4)     Multilateral development bank abbreviated to MDB, public sector entities abbreviated to PSE and government sponsored entities abbreviated to GSE.

(5)     Includes Level 2A and Level 2B.

(6)     High-quality liquid assets abbreviated to HQLA.

 

Pension risk

In September 2024, the Trustee of the NatWest Group Pension Fund entered into a further buy-in transaction with a third party insurer for some of the liabilities of the Main section. Around a third of the Main section is now covered by insurance policies that give protection against demographic and investment risks, improving security of the member benefits. The transaction does not affect the 2024 statement of comprehensive income because the net pension asset is limited to zero due to the impact of the asset ceiling.




 


Condensed consolidated income statement

for the period ended 30 September 2024 (unaudited)

 

 Nine months ended 


 Quarter ended 

 

30 September

30 September


30 September

30 June

30 September

 

2024

2023


2024

2024

2023

 

 £m 

 £m 

 

 £m 

 £m 

 £m 

Interest receivable

18,734

15,071


6,444

6,235

5,589

Interest payable

(10,427)

(6,660)


(3,545)

(3,478)

(2,904)

Net interest income

8,307

8,411


2,899

2,757

2,685

Fees and commissions receivable

2,378

2,213


811

797

754

Fees and commissions payable

(529)

(484)


(181)

(171)

(169)

Trading income

607

609


257

221

191

Other operating income

115

466


(42)

55

27

Non-interest income

2,571

2,804


845

902

803

Total income

10,878

11,215


3,744

3,659

3,488

Staff costs

(3,112)

(2,924)


(965)

(1,085)

(919)

Premises and equipment

(863)

(845)


(284)

(286)

(275)

Other administrative expenses

(1,153)

(1,390)


(330)

(399)

(519)

Depreciation and amortisation

(754)

(683)


(246)

(235)

(214)

Operating expenses

(5,882)

(5,842)


(1,825)

(2,005)

(1,927)

Profit before impairment losses/releases

4,996

5,373


1,919

1,654

1,561

Impairment (losses)/releases

(293)

(452)


(245)

45

(229)

Operating profit before tax

4,703

           4,921 


1,674

           1,699 

           1,332 

Tax charge

(1,232)

          (1,439)


(431)

            (462)

            (378)

Profit from continuing operations

3,471

           3,482 


1,243

           1,237 

             954 

Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax

12

            (138)


1

               15 

              (30)

Profit for the period

3,483

           3,344 


1,244

           1,252 

             924 


 



 



Attributable to:

 



 



Ordinary shareholders

3,271

3,165


1,172

1,181

866

Paid-in equity holders

202

182


73

69

61

Non-controlling interests

10

(3)


(1)

2

(3)


3,483

3,344


1,244

1,252

924


 



 




 



 



Earnings per ordinary share - continuing operations

38.2p

35.6p


14.1p

13.5p

10.1p

Earnings per ordinary share - discontinued operations

0.1p

(1.5p)


0.0p

0.2p

(0.3p)

Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic 

38.3p

34.1p


14.1p

13.7p

9.8p

Earnings per ordinary share - fully diluted continuing operations

37.9p

35.4p


14.0p

13.4p

10.1p

Earnings per ordinary share - fully diluted discontinued operations

0.1p

(1.5p)


0.0p

0.2p

(0.3p)

Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - fully diluted

38.0p

33.9p


14.0p

13.6p

9.8p

 



 

Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income

for the period ended 30 September 2024 (unaudited)

 

Nine months ended

 

Quarter ended


30 September

30 September


30 September

30 June

30 September


2024

2023


2024

2024

2023


£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

Profit for the period

3,483

3,344


1,244

1,252

924

Items that will not be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss:

 


 


Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes

(92)

(105)


(32)

(24)

(41)

Changes in fair value of financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)

 


 


   due to changes in credit risk

(25)

(27)


1

(3)

(23)

FVOCI financial assets

16

36


49

(20)

6

Tax

39

20


(5)

13

13

 

(62)

(76)

 

13

(34)

(45)

Items that will be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss when specific conditions are met:





FVOCI financial assets

21

65


(20)

(4)

12

Cash flow hedges

732

(208)


611

187

526

Currency translation

(119)

(401)


(77)

(17)

68

Tax

(221)

(16)


(164)

(60)

(143)


413

(560)


350

106

463

Other comprehensive profit/(losses) after tax

351

(636)

 

363

72

418

Total comprehensive income for the period

3,834

2,708

 

1,607

1,324

1,342


 


 


Attributable to:

 


 


Ordinary shareholders

3,622

2,529


1,535

1,253

1,284

Paid-in equity holders

202

182


73

69

61

Non-controlling interests

10

(3)


(1)

2

(3)


3,834

2,708


1,607

1,324

1,342

 



 

Condensed consolidated balance sheet

as at 30 September 2024 (unaudited)

 

30 September

31 December

 

2024

2023

 

£m 

£m 

Assets

 


Cash and balances at central banks

105,629

               104,262 

Trading assets

54,445

                45,551 

Derivatives

68,720

                78,904 

Settlement balances

11,637

                  7,231 

Loans to banks - amortised cost

6,742

                  6,914 

Loans to customers - amortised cost

386,723

               381,433 

Other financial assets

62,305

                51,102 

Intangible assets

7,588

                  7,614 

Other assets

8,092

                  8,760 

Assets of disposal groups

16

                     902 

Total assets

711,897

               692,673 

 

 


Liabilities

 


Bank deposits

31,747

                22,190 

Customer deposits

431,070

               431,377 

Settlement balances

12,283

                  6,645 

Trading liabilities

59,079

                53,636 

Derivatives

61,650

                72,395 

Other financial liabilities

63,552

                55,089 

Subordinated liabilities

6,669

                  5,714 

Notes in circulation

3,304

                  3,237 

Other liabilities

4,004

                  5,202 

Total liabilities

673,358

               655,485 


 


Equity

 


Ordinary shareholders' interests

33,808

                33,267 

Other owners' interests

4,690

                  3,890 

Owners' equity

38,498

                37,157 

Non-controlling interests

41

                       31 

Total equity

38,539

                37,188 

 

 


Total liabilities and equity

711,897

               692,673 

 



 

Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity

for the period ended 30 September 2024 (unaudited)

 

Share 


Other


Other reserves

Total

Non

 


capital and

Paid-in

statutory

Retained


Cash flow

Foreign


owners'

controlling

Total 


share premium

equity

reserves (3)

earnings

Fair value

hedging

exchange

Merger

equity

 interests

equity


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January 2024

10,844

3,890

2,004

10,645

(49)

(1,899)

841

10,881

37,157

31

37,188

Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

 

   and other equity owners

 

- continuing operations

 

3,461

 

3,461

10

3,471

- discontinued operations

 

12

 

12

-

12


 

 

 

 

 

 

Other comprehensive income

 

Realised gains in period on FVOCI equity shares

 

54

(54)

 

-

 

-

Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes

 

(92)

 

(92)

 

(92)

Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities

 

   designated at FVTPL due to own credit risk

 

(25)

 

(25)

 

(25)

Unrealised gains

 

24

 

24

 

24

Amounts recognised in equity

 

(442)

 

(442)

 

(442)

Retranslation of net assets

 

(283)

 

(283)

 

(283)

Gains on hedges of net assets

 

122

 

122

 

122

Amount transferred from equity to earnings

 

13

1,174

42

 

1,229

 

1,229

Tax

 

25

9

(198)

(18)

 

(182)

 

(182)

Total comprehensive income/(loss)

-

-

3,435

(8)

534

(137)

-

3,824

10

3,834


 

Transactions with owners

 

Ordinary share dividends paid

 

(1,505)

 

(1,505)

-

(1,505)

Paid in equity dividends

 

(202)

 

(202)

 

(202)

Securities issued

 

800

 

800

 

800

Shares repurchased during the period (1,2)

(428)

 

428

(1,171)

 

(1,171)

 

(1,171)

Share based remuneration and shares vested

 

  under employee share schemes

 

142

(7)

 

135

 

135

Own shares acquired

 

(540)

 

(540)

 

(540)

At 30 September 2024

10,416

4,690

2,034

11,195

(57)

(1,365)

704

10,881

38,498

41

38,539

 



 

Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity for the period ended 30 September 2023 (unaudited) continued

 

Share 


Other


Other reserves

Total

Non



capital and

Paid-in

statutory

Retained


Cash flow

Foreign


owners'

controlling

Total 


share premium

equity

reserves (3)

earnings

Fair value

hedging

exchange

Merger

equity

 interests

equity


£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

At 1 January 2023

11,700

3,890

1,393

10,019

(102)

(2,771)

1,478

10,881

36,488

8

36,496

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders


   and other equity owners


- continuing operations


3,485


3,485

(3)

3,482

- discontinued operations


(138)


(138)

-

(138)








Other comprehensive income


Realised gains in period on FVOCI equity shares


2

(2)


-


-

Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes


(105)


(105)


(105)

Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities


   designated at FVTPL due to own credit risk


(27)


(27)


(27)

Unrealised gains


68


68


68

Amounts recognised in equity


(821)


(821)


(821)

Retranslation of net assets


(189)


(189)


(189)

Gains on hedges of net assets


111


111


111

Amount transferred from equity to earnings (4)


33

613

(323)


323


323

Tax


27

(17)

12

(18)


4


4

Total comprehensive income/(loss)

-

-

-

3,244

82

(196)

(419)

-

2,711

(3)

2,708



Transactions with owners


Ordinary share dividends paid


(1,456)


(1,456)

-

(1,456)

Paid in equity dividends


(182)


(182)


(182)

Shares repurchased during the period (1,2)

(751)


751

(1,852)


(1,852)


(1,852)

Share based remuneration and shares vested


   under employee share schemes


(10)


(10)


(10)

Own shares acquired


(279)


(279)


(279)

Acquisition of subsidiary


-

32

32

At 30 September 2023

10,949

3,890

1,865

9,763

(20)

(2,967)

1,059

10,881

35,420

37

35,457

 

(1)

As part of the On Market Share Buyback Programmes NatWest Group plc repurchased and cancelled 173.3 million (September 2023 - 364.3 million) shares. The total consideration of these shares excluding fees was £450.9 million (September 2023 - £951.0 million). Included in the retained earnings reserve movement is 2.3 million shares which were repurchased and cancelled in December 2023, settled in January 2024 for a total consideration of £4.9 million. The nominal value of the share cancellations has been transferred to the capital redemption reserve.

(2)

In June 2024, there was an agreement to buy 392.4 million (May 2023 - 469.2 million) ordinary shares of the Company from His Majesty's Treasury at 316.2 pence per share (May 2023 - 268.4 pence per share) for total consideration of £1.2 billion (May 2023 - £1.3 billion). NatWest Group cancelled 222.4 million (May 2023 - 336.2 million) of the purchased ordinary shares, amounting to £706.9 million (May 2023 - £906.9 million) excluding fees and held the remaining 170.0 million (May 2023 - 133.0 million) shares as Own Shares Held, amounting to £540.2 million (May 2023 - £358.8 million), excluding fees. The nominal value of the share cancellation has been transferred to the capital redemption reserve.

(3)

Other statutory reserves consist of Capital redemption reserves of £2,935 million (2023 - £2,402 million) and Own shares held reserves of (£901) million (2023 - (£537) million).

(4)

Includes £305 million FX recycled to profit or loss upon completion of a capital repayment by UBIDAC in 2023.

 




Notes

1. Presentation of condensed consolidated financial statements

The condensed consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with NatWest Group plc's 2023 Annual Report and Accounts. The accounting policies are the same as those applied in the consolidated financial statements.

The directors have prepared the condensed consolidated financial statements on a going concern basis after assessing the principal risks, forecasts, projections and other relevant evidence over the twelve months from the date they are approved.

Amendments to IFRS effective from 1 January 2024 had no material effect on the condensed consolidated financial statements.

2. Litigation and regulatory matters

NatWest Group plc's Interim Results 2024, issued on 26 July 2024, included disclosures about NatWest Group's litigation and regulatory matters in Note 14. Set out below are the material developments in those matters (which have been previously disclosed) since publication of the Interim Results 2024.

Litigation

1MDB litigation

A Malaysian court claim was served in Switzerland in November 2022 by 1MDB, a sovereign wealth fund, in which Coutts & Co Ltd was named, along with six others, as a defendant in respect of losses allegedly incurred by 1MDB. It is claimed that Coutts & Co Ltd is liable as a constructive trustee for having dishonestly assisted the directors of 1MDB in the breach of their fiduciary duties by failing (amongst other alleged claims) to undertake due diligence in relation to a customer of Coutts & Co Ltd, through which funds totalling c.US$1 billion were received and paid out between 2009 and 2011. 1MDB seeks the return of that amount plus interest. Coutts & Co Ltd filed an application in January 2023 challenging the validity of service and the Malaysian court's jurisdiction to hear the claim, and a hearing took place in February 2024. In March 2024, the court granted that application. 1MDB has appealed that decision and a prior decision by the court not to allow them to discontinue their claim. Both appeals are scheduled to be heard in December 2024.

Coutts & Co Ltd (a subsidiary of RBS Netherlands Holdings B.V., which in turn is a subsidiary of NWM Plc) is a company registered in Switzerland and is in wind-down following the announced sale of its business assets in 2015.


 

Regulatory matters

Review and investigation of treatment of tracker mortgage customers in Ulster Bank Ireland DAC

In December 2015, correspondence was received from the Central Bank of Ireland setting out an industry examination framework in respect of the sale of tracker mortgages from approximately 2001 until the end of 2015. The redress and compensation process has now largely concluded, although a small number of cases remain outstanding relating to uncontactable customers.

UBIDAC customers have lodged tracker mortgage complaints with the Financial Services and Pensions Ombudsman (FSPO). UBIDAC challenged three FSPO adjudications in the Irish High Court. In June 2023, the High Court found in favour of the FSPO in all matters and a provision was recognised. UBIDAC appealed that decision to the Court of Appeal and a hearing took place in February 2024. In September 2024, the Court of Appeal allowed UBIDAC's appeal and set aside certain findings of the FSPO. The Court of Appeal directed one aspect of the FSPO decisions to be remitted to the FSPO for consideration following an oral hearing.

3. Post balance sheet events

Other than as disclosed in this document, there have been no significant events between 30 September 2024 and the date of approval of this announcement which would require a change to, or additional disclosure, in the announcement.

 



Presentation of information

'Parent company' refers to NatWest Group plc and 'NatWest Group' and 'we' refers to NatWest Group plc and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term 'NWH Group' refers to NatWest Holdings Limited (NWH) and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term 'NWM Group' refers to NatWest Markets Plc (NWM Plc) and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term 'NWM N.V.' refers to NatWest Markets N.V. The term 'NWMSI' refers to NatWest Markets Securities, Inc. The term 'RBS plc' refers to The Royal Bank of Scotland plc. The term 'NWB Plc' refers to National Westminster Bank Plc. The term 'UBIDAC' refers to Ulster Bank Ireland DAC.

 

NatWest Group publishes its financial statements in pounds sterling ('£' or 'sterling'). The abbreviations '£m' and '£bn' represent millions and thousands of millions of pounds sterling, respectively, and references to 'pence' or 'p' represent pence where the amounts are denominated in pounds sterling ('GBP'). Reference to 'dollars' or '$' are to United States of America ('US') dollars. The abbreviations '$m' and '$bn' represent millions and thousands of millions of dollars, respectively. The abbreviation '€' represents the 'euro', and the abbreviations '€m' and '€bn' represent millions and thousands of millions of euros, respectively.

 

Statutory accounts

Financial information contained in this document does not constitute statutory accounts within the meaning of section 434 of the Companies Act 2006 ('the Act'). The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2023 have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The report of the auditor on those statutory accounts was unqualified, did not draw attention to any matters by way of emphasis and did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Act.

Contacts:

Analyst enquiries:                Claire Kane, Investor Relations        +44 (0) 20 7672 1758

Media enquiries:                  NatWest Group Press Office             +44 (0) 131 523 4205

Management presentation

Date:

Time:

Zoom ID:

25 October 2024

9am

921 0980 4618

 

Available on natwestgroup.com/results

-      Q3 2024 Interim Management Statement and background slides.

-      A financial supplement containing income statement, balance sheet and segment performance for five quarters ended 30 September 2024.

-      NatWest Group Pillar 3 at 30 September 2024.


Forward-looking statements

This document may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include, without limitation, the words 'expect', 'estimate', 'project', 'anticipate', 'commit', 'believe', 'should', 'intend', 'will', 'plan', 'could', 'probability', 'risk', 'Value-at-Risk (VaR)', 'target', 'goal', 'objective', 'may', 'endeavour', 'outlook', 'optimistic', 'prospects' and similar expressions or variations on these expressions. These statements concern or may affect future matters, such as NatWest Group's future economic results, business plans and strategies.  In particular, this document may include forward-looking statements relating to NatWest Group plc in respect of, but not limited to: its outlook, guidance and targets (including in relation to RoTE, income, operating costs, loan impairment rate, CET1 ratio, RWA levels, payment of dividends and participation in directed buybacks), its economic and political risks, its financial position, profitability and financial performance, the implementation of its strategy, increasing competition from incumbents, challengers and new entrants and disruptive technologies, its access to adequate sources of liquidity and funding, its regulatory capital position and related requirements, its exposure to third party risks, its impairment losses and credit exposures under certain specified scenarios, substantial regulation and oversight, ongoing legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations, and NatWest Group's exposure to operational risk, conduct risk, cyber, data and IT risk, financial crime risk, key person risk and credit rating risk. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that might cause actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to differences in current expectations include, but are not limited to, future growth initiatives (including acquisitions, joint ventures and strategic partnerships), the outcome of legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations, the level and extent of future impairments and write-downs, legislative, political, fiscal and regulatory developments, accounting standards, competitive conditions, technological developments, interest and exchange rate fluctuations, general economic and political conditions and uncertainties (such as the direct and indirect impacts of escalating armed conflicts) and the impact of climate-related risks and the transitioning to a net zero economy. These and other factors, risks and uncertainties that may impact any forward-looking statement or NatWest Group plc's actual results are discussed in NatWest Group plc's 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F, NatWest Group plc's Interim Results for H1 2024 on Form 6-K, NatWest Group plc's Interim Management Statement for Q1 and Q3 2024 on Form 6-K, and its other public filings. The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date of this document and NatWest Group plc does not assume or undertake any obligation or responsibility to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.

 



Non-IFRS financial measures

NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with UK-adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS) and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This document contains a number of non-IFRS measures, also known as alternative performance measures, defined under the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) guidance or non-GAAP financial measures in accordance with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations. These measures are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison.

The non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. The non-IFRS measures also include a calculation of metrics that are used throughout the banking industry.

These non-IFRS measures are not a substitute for IFRS measures and a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measure is presented where appropriate.

Measure

Description

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct)

Refer to table 2. Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) on page 40.

The cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) is calculated as other operating expenses (operating expenses less litigation and conduct costs) divided by total income. Litigation and conduct costs are excluded as they are one-off in nature, difficult to forecast for Outlook purposes and distort period-on-period comparisons.

Customer deposits excluding central items

Refer to Segmental performance on pages 11-15 for components of calculation.

Customer deposits excluding central items is calculated as total NatWest Group customer deposits excluding Central items & other customer deposits. Central items & other includes Treasury repo activity and Ulster Bank RoI.  The exclusion of Central items & other removes the volatility relating to Treasury repo activity and the reduction of deposits as part of our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland.

These items may distort period-on-period comparisons and their removal gives the user of the financial statements a better understanding of the movements in customer deposits.  

Funded assets

Refer to Condensed consolidated balance sheet on page 33 for components of calculation.

Funded assets is calculated as total assets less derivative assets. This measure allows review of balance sheet trends exclusive of the volatility associated with derivative fair values.

Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos)

Refer to table 5. Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) on page 41.

Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) is calculated as net customer loans held at amortised cost excluding reverse repos divided by total customer deposits excluding repos. This metric is used to assess liquidity.

The removal of repos and reverse repos reduces volatility and presents the ratio on a basis that is comparable to UK peers. The nearest ratio using IFRS measures is loan:deposit ratio. This is calculated as net loans to customers held at amortised cost divided by customer deposits.

NatWest Group return on tangible equity

Refer to table 6. NatWest Group return on tangible equity on page 42.

NatWest Group return on tangible equity comprises annualised profit or loss for the period attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by average tangible equity. Average tangible equity is average total equity excluding average non-controlling interests, average other owners' equity and average intangible assets. This measure shows the return NatWest Group generates on tangible equity deployed. It is used to determine relative performance of banks and used widely across the sector, although different banks may calculate the rate differently. The nearest ratio using IFRS measures is return on equity. This comprises profit attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by average total equity.



 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

Measure

Description

Net interest margin (NIM) and average interest earning assets

Refer to Segmental performance on pages 11-15 for components of calculation.

Net interest margin is net interest income, as a percentage of average interest earning assets (IEA). Average IEA are average IEA of the banking business of NatWest Group and primarily consists of cash and balances at central banks, loans to banks, loans to customers and other financial assets mostly comprising of debt securities. Average IEA shows the average asset base generating interest over the period.

Net loans to customers excluding central items

Refer to Segmental performance on pages 11-15 for components of calculation.

Net loans to customers excluding central items is calculated as total NatWest Group net loans to customers excluding Central items & other net loans to customers. Central items & other includes Treasury reverse repo activity and Ulster Bank RoI. The exclusion of Central items & other removes the volatility relating to Treasury reverse repo activity and the reduction of loans to customers as part of our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland.

This allows for better period-on-period comparisons and gives the user of the financial statements a better understanding of the movements in net loans to customers.

Operating expenses excluding litigation and conduct

Refer to table 4. Operating expenses excluding litigation and conduct on page 41.

The management analysis of operating expenses shows litigation and conduct costs separately. These amounts are included within staff costs and other administrative expenses in the statutory analysis. Other operating expenses excludes litigation and conduct costs, which are more volatile and may distort period-on-period comparisons.

Segmental return on equity

Refer to table 7. Segmental return on equity on page 42.

Segment return on equity comprises segmental operating profit or loss, adjusted for paid-in equity and tax, divided by average notional equity. Average RWAe is defined as average segmental RWAs incorporating the effect of capital deductions. This is multiplied by an allocated equity factor for each segment to calculate the average notional equity. This measure shows the return generated by operating segments on equity deployed.

Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share

Refer to table 3. Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share on page 40.

TNAV per ordinary share is calculated as tangible equity divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue. This is a measure used by external analysts in valuing the bank and allows for comparison with other per ordinary share metrics including the share price. The nearest ratio using IFRS measures is: net asset value (NAV) per ordinary share - this comprises ordinary shareholders' interests divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue.

Total income excluding notable items

Refer to table 1. Total income excluding notable items on page 40.

Total income excluding notable items is calculated as total income less notable items. The exclusion of notable items aims to remove the impact of one-offs and other items which may distort period-on-period comparisons.

 




 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

1. Total income excluding notable items


Nine months ended


Quarter ended


30 September

30 September


30 September

30 June

30 September

 

2024

2023


2024

2024

2023

 

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

 



 



Total income

10,878

11,215


3,744

3,659

3,488

Less notable items:

 



 



Commercial & Institutional

 



 



   Own credit adjustments (OCA)

(5)

3


2

(2)

(6)

Central items & other

 



 



   Liquidity Asset Bond sale losses

-

(33)


-

-

(9)

   Share of associate profits/(losses) for Business Growth Fund

22

(5)


11

4

10

   Property lease termination losses

-

(69)


-

-

(69)

   Interest and FX management derivatives not in hedge accounting relationships

131

100


5

67

48

   FX recycling (losses)/gains

(46)

322


(46)

-

-


102

318


(28)

69

(26)

Total income excluding notable items

10,776

10,897


3,772

3,590

3,514

 

2. Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct)

 

Nine months ended

 

Quarter ended

 

30 September

30 September

 

30 September

30 June

30 September

 

2024

2023

 

2024

2024

2023

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Continuing operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating expenses

5,882

5,842


1,825

2,005

1,927

Less litigation and conduct costs

(142)

(242)


(41)

(77)

(134)

Other operating expenses

5,740

5,600


1,784

1,928

1,793


 


 


Total income

10,878

11,215


3,744

3,659

3,488


 


 


Cost:income ratio

54.1%

52.1%


48.7%

54.8%

55.2%

Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct)

52.8%

49.9%


47.6%

52.7%

51.4%

 

3. Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share

 

As at

 

30 September

30 June

31 December

 

2024

2024

2023

Ordinary shareholders' interests (£m)

33,808

32,831

33,267

Less intangible assets (£m)

(7,588)

(7,590)

(7,614)

Tangible equity (£m)

26,220

25,241

25,653


 



Ordinary shares in issue (millions) (1)

8,293

8,307

8,792


 



NAV per ordinary share (pence)

408p

395p

378p

TNAV per ordinary share (pence)

316p

304p

292p



 

(1)       The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held.

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

4. Operating expenses excluding litigation and conduct

 

Nine months ended


Quarter ended

 

30 September

30 September


30 September

30 June

30 September

 

2024

2023


2024

2024

2023

 

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

Other operating expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

Staff expenses

3,060

2,878

 

947

1,064

904

Premises and equipment

863

845

 

284

286

275

Other administrative expenses

1,063

1,194

 

307

343

400

Depreciation and amortisation

754

683

 

246

235

214

Total other operating expenses

5,740

5,600

 

1,784

1,928

1,793


 


 

 



Litigation and conduct costs

 


 

 



Staff expenses

52

46

 

18

21

15

Other administrative expenses

90

196

 

23

56

119

Total litigation and conduct costs

142

242

 

41

77

134


 


 

 



Total operating expenses

5,882

5,842

 

1,825

2,005

1,927

Operating expenses excluding litigation and conduct

5,740

5,600

 

1,784

1,928

1,793

 

5. Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos)


As at


30 September

30 June

31 December

 

2024

2024

2023

 

£m

£m

£m

Loans to customers - amortised cost

386,723

379,331

381,433

Less reverse repos

(25,115)

(24,961)

(27,117)

Loans to customers - amortised cost (excl. reverse repos)

361,608

354,370

354,316


 



Customer deposits

431,070

432,975

431,377

Less repos

(2,482)

(6,846)

(10,844)

Customer deposits (excl. repos)

428,588

426,129

420,533




Loan:deposit ratio (%)

90%

88%

88%

Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) (%)

84%

83%

84%

 



Non-IFRS financial measures continued

6. NatWest Group return on tangible equity



Nine months ended and as at

 

Quarter ended and as at


30 September

30 September

 

30 September

30 June

30 September


2024

2023

 

2024

2024

2023

 

£m

£m

 

£m

£m

£m

Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders


3,271

3,165


1,172

1,181

866

Annualised profit attributable to ordinary shareholders 


4,361

4,220

 

4,688

4,724

3,464


 


 

 



Average total equity 


37,707

36,150

 

37,960

37,659

35,081

Adjustment for average other owners' equity and intangible assets 


(12,040)

(11,427)

 

(12,375)

(12,080)

(11,583)

Adjusted total tangible equity


25,667

24,723

 

25,585

25,579

23,498

Return on equity


11.6%

11.7%

 

12.3%

12.5%

9.9%

Return on tangible equity 


17.0%

17.1%

 

18.3%

18.5%

14.7%

 

7. Segmental return on equity

 

 

Nine months ended 30 September 2024

 

Nine months ended 30 September 2023

 

Retail

Private

Commercial &

 

Retail

Private

Commercial &

 

Banking

Banking

Institutional

 

Banking

Banking

Institutional

Operating profit (£m)


1,754

189

2,724


2,053

293

2,511

Paid-in equity cost allocation (£m)


(56)

(13)

(130)


(43)

(17)

(125)

Adjustment for tax (£m)


(475)

(49)

(649)


(563)

(77)

(597)

Adjusted attributable profit (£m)


1,223

127

1,946


1,447

199

1,790

Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m)


1,630

169

2,594


1,930

265

2,386

Average RWAe (£bn)


62.7

11.1

108.0


56.9

11.4

105.6

Equity factor 


13.4%

11.2%

13.8%


13.5%

11.5%

14.0%

Average notional equity (£bn)


8.4

1.2

14.9


7.7

1.3

14.8

Return on equity (%)


19.4%

13.6%

17.4%


25.1%

20.3%

16.1%

 

 

Quarter ended 30 September 2024

 

Quarter ended 30 June 2024


Quarter ended 30 September 2023

 

Retail

Private

Commercial &

 

Retail

Private

Commercial &


Retail

Private

Commercial &

 

Banking

Banking

Institutional

 

Banking

Banking

Institutional


Banking

Banking

Institutional

Operating profit (£m)

656

90

1,017


609

66

938


493

59

770

Paid-in equity cost allocation (£m)

(22)

(5)

(47)


(18)

(4)

(43)


(13)

(6)

(39)

Adjustment for tax (£m)

(178)

(24)

(243)


(165)

(17)

(224)


(134)

(15)

(183)

Adjusted attributable profit (£m)

456

61

728


426

45

671


346

38

548

Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m)

1,826

245

2,910


1,702

179

2,685


1,382

153

2,193

Average RWAe (£bn)

63.8

11.1

106.0


62.7

11.1

109.0


58.5

11.4

106.7

Equity factor 

13.4%

11.2%

13.8%


13.4%

11.2%

13.8%


13.5%

11.5%

14.0%

Average notional equity (£bn)

8.5

1.2

14.6


8.4

1.2

15.0


7.9

1.3

14.9

Return on equity (%)

21.4%

19.7%

19.9%


20.3%

14.4%

17.8%


17.5%

11.7%

14.7%

 


Performance measures not defined under IFRS

The table below summarises other performance measures used by NatWest Group, not defined under IFRS, and therefore a reconciliation to the nearest IFRS measure is not applicable.

Measure

Description

Assets under management and administration (AUMA)

AUMA comprises both assets under management (AUMs) and assets under administration (AUAs) serviced through the Private Banking segment. AUMs comprise assets where the investment management is undertaken by Private Banking on behalf of Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional customers.

AUAs comprise i) third party assets held on an execution-only basis in custody by Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional for their customers, for which the execution services are supported by Private Banking, and for which Private Banking receives a fee for providing investment management and execution services to Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional business segments ii) AUA of Cushon, acquired on 1 June 2023, which are supported by Private Banking and held and managed by third parties.

This measure is tracked and reported as the amount of funds that we manage or administer, and directly impacts the level of investment income that we receive.

AUMA net flows

AUMA net flows represents assets under management and assets under administration.

AUMA net flows is reported and tracked to monitor the business performance of new business inflows and management of existing client withdrawals across Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional.

Climate and sustainable funding and financing

The climate and sustainable funding and financing metric is used by NatWest Group to measure the level of support it provides customers, through lending products and underwriting activities, to help in their transition towards a net zero, climate resilient and sustainable economy. We have a target to provide £100 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing between the 1 of July 2021 and the end of 2025. As part of this, we aim to provide at least £10 billion in lending for residential properties with EPC ratings A and B between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025.

Loan impairment rate

Loan impairment rate is the annualised loan impairment charge divided by gross customer loans. This measure is used to assess the credit quality of the loan book.

Third party rates

Third party customer asset rate is calculated as annualised interest receivable on third-party loans to customers as a percentage of third-party loans to customers. This excludes assets of disposal groups, intragroup items, loans to banks and liquid asset portfolios. Third party customer funding rate reflects interest payable or receivable on third-party customer deposits, including interest bearing and non- interest bearing customer deposits. Intragroup items, bank deposits, debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities are excluded for customer funding rate calculation.

Wholesale funding

Wholesale funding comprises deposits by banks (excluding repos), debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities. Funding risk is the risk of not maintaining a diversified, stable and cost-effective funding base. The disclosure of wholesale funding highlights the extent of our diversification and how we mitigate funding risk.

 

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