Full Year Results for year ended 31 March 2024

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited

19 June 2024

 

LEI: 213800ZPHCBDDSQH5447

19 June 2024

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited

("NESF" or the "Company")

Full Year Results for year ended 31 March 2024

NextEnergy Solar Fund, a leading specialist investor in solar energy and energy storage, is pleased to announce it has today published its full year results and annual report as at year ended 31 March 2024.

Key Highlights:

Financial:

·     NAV per ordinary share of 104.7p (31 March 2023: 114.3p).

·     Ordinary shareholders' NAV of £618.6m (31 March 2023: £674.4m).

·     Income generated of c.£80m (31 March 2023: c.£79m)

·     Financial debt gearing (excluding preference shares) of 29.3% (31 March 2023: 28.4%).

·     Total gearing (including preference shares) of 46.4% (31 March 2023: 44.6%).

·     Weighted average cost of capital of 6.4% (31 March 2023: 5.7%).

·     Weighted average cost of debt of 4.5% including preference shares (31 March 2023: 3.9%).

·     Weighted average discount rate across the portfolio of 8.1% ¹ (31 March 2023: 7.3%).

Dividend:

·    11% increase in total dividends paid of 8.35p per ordinary share for the twelve months ended 31 March 2024 (31 March 2023: 7.52p).

·     Dividend cover for the twelve months ended 31 March 2024 was 1.3x (31 March 2023: 1.4x).

·     Increased target dividend to 8.43p per ordinary share for the year ending 31 March 2025.

·     Attractive high dividend yield of c.11%, as at closing share price on 17 June 2024.

·     Forecasted target dividend cover of 1.1x - 1.3x for the year ending 31 March 2025.

·     Total ordinary dividends paid since IPO of £345m or 67.8p per share.

Portfolio:

·   Reached 1GW installed capacity milestone with 1,015MW ^1,2,3 of total installed capacity (31 March 2023: 889MW ^2,3).

·     Increased portfolio size to 103 operating assets (31 March 2023: 99).

·     Maiden 50MW standalone energy storage asset ("Camilla") achieved commercial operation.

·     Energised two international solar co-investments totalling 260MW ² alongside NextPower III ESG ("Santarém and Agenor").

·     Energised Whitecross, a 35.22MW solar asset in the UK.

·     Remaining weighted asset life of 26.6 years (31 March 2023: 26.3 years).

ESG & Sustainability:

·   Maintained Article 9 Fund classification under the EU Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation and EU Taxonomy Regulation.

·   Generated 852GWh of clean electricity during the period, contributing to the avoidance of 279.3KtCO₂ emissions (31 March 2023: 899GWh, 363KtCO₂ emissions).

·    Released third standalone sustainability report, available here, focused on three principal sustainability topics: climate, nature and social-related issues.

·     Powered an equivalent 301,000 homes for one year (31 March 2023: 242,000).

·   Adopted the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures ("TNFD") to go above and beyond the Company's sustainability reporting requirements, alongside commitment to disclose under the new TNFD framework.

·   Adopted the International Sustainability Standards Board ("ISSB") standards S1 and S2, which covers and expands on the Taskforce for Climate-related Financial Disclosures guidance, through a dedicated ISSB aligned Sustainability and ESG Report.

Capital Structure:

·   Refinanced all revolving credit facilities at attractive margins demonstrating the appetite of the Company's banking partners to provide debt to the Company at attractive terms.

·     The Company's financial debt (excluding preference shares) is currently £338m which represents a gearing of 29.3% of Gross Asset Value ("GAV") (31 December 2023: 28.8%).  The Company also includes non-amortising preference shares as part of the debt structure and therefore values the total gearing of the Company at 46.4% of GAV (31 December 2023: 45.7%).

·     Of the Company's total debt⁴, 68% remains at a fixed rate of interest (including the preference shares) and 32% is a floating rate at attractive margins (SONIA + 1.20% to 1.50%).

Capital Recycling Programme:

·    Completed the first phase of the Capital Recycling Programme with the sale of Hatherden, a 60MW ready-to-build solar project, for £15.2m, representing a 100% premium to its holding value (2.0x Multiple on Invested Capital) and an attractive 57% IRR.

·     Post period end, the Company completed the second phase of the Capital Recycling Programme with the sale of Whitecross a 35.22MW operating solar asset for £27m (the "Transaction") to a third-party, Downing LLP.

·    The Transaction represents a 1.3x Multiple on Invested Capital, an attractive 14% unlevered IRR, and a 14% premium to the holding value as at 31 March 2024.

·    The Transaction is Net Asset Value ("NAV") accretive to shareholders and will generate an estimated uplift of 0.57p which will be reflected in the Company's NAV per share as at 30 June 2024.

·    The Investment Manager ("NEC") secured potential for further consideration of £1m payable in the event the project benefits from planned changes to network charging before 31 December 2028, bringing the total transaction value to £28m.

·    The total transaction value including this further consideration represents a 1.3x Multiple on Invested Capital, an attractive 15% unlevered IRR, and a 18% premium to the holding value as at 31 March 2024.  It would also generate an estimated uplift of 0.70p if reflected in the Company's NAV per share as at 30 June 2024.

·     Proceeds from both phases of the Capital Recycling Programme were used to repay the Company's short-term debt facilities.

·    Subsequent phases are progressing positively through exclusive negotiations with selected third-party bidders. The Company will provide further updates in due course.

Share Buyback Programme:

·     Post period end, the Board announced it approved an initial Share Buyback Programme of up to £20 million.

Annual Report:

The Company's Annual Report for the year ended 31 March 2024 is now available on the Reports & Publications section of the Company's website here.

(https://www.nextenergysolarfund.com/reports-and-publications/)

A copy of the Annual Report has also been submitted to the FCA's National Storage Mechanism.

Full Year Results Presentation:

A presentation will be held this morning at 9:00am (BST) at the London Stock Exchange, 10 Paternoster Square, London, EC4M 7LS.  To register to attend in person please contact [e-mail].  The Company will also livestream the presentation via webcast for investors followed by a Q&A session. 

The presentation will be hosted by:

·     Helen Mahy (Chairwoman, NextEnergy Solar Fund)

·     Ross Grier (Chief Operating Officer and Head of UK Investment, Investment Adviser)

·     Stephen Rosser (Investment Director & UK Legal Counsel, Investment Adviser)

Presentation details and registration link:

·     Time: 9:00am (BST)

·     Date: Wednesday 19 June 2024

·     Registration and Webcast link: NextEnergy Solar Fund Full Year Results Presentation

A recording of the presentation will be made available on the Company's website shortly after the event.

Helen Mahy, Chairwoman of NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited, commented:

"I am pleased to present the tenth Full Year Results for NESF and my first Annual Report as Chairwoman.  The continued macroeconomic backdrop has presented challenges to the sector, but I am encouraged that the Company has continued to show resilience having achieved multiple key milestones throughout this financial year.

The Company has made solid progress with its Capital Recycling Programme, which started with the sale of Hatherden a 60MW ready-to-build solar project, in November 2023. Since year end, NESF has successfully delivered the second phase of its Capital Recycling Programme and realised attractive value for shareholders from the sale of Whitecross, a 35.22MW operating solar asset.  At the same time, the Company has maintained strict discipline across its capital structure and continues to look at active ways to narrow the discount in the share price compared to the Company's Net Asset Value, including implementing a £20 million Share Buyback Programme.

NESF recently celebrated its ten-year anniversary since listing on the London Stock Exchange back in April 2014, a significant milestone that underpins and demonstrates the value of the Company's long-term growth and vision."

Michael Bonte-Friedheim, CEO & Founder of NextEnergy Group, said:

"Over the year, NESF accomplished several impressive milestones. These included the energisation of four new assets totalling 345MW, reaching over 1GW of net operating capacity, paying a fully covered full-year dividend of 8.35p per ordinary share, and achieving excellent returns for shareholders from our phased Capital Recycling Programme which has delivered significant value. With the recent announcement of an increase in dividend target to 8.43p, NESF is currently offering a dividend yield of approximately 11%, which stands as one of the highest in the sector and FTSE 350.

NESF has been a key contributor to the UK's progress towards its Net Zero targets to date and is well positioned to continue to be in the future.  The majority of NESF's operating assets are located across the UK and have been essential in increasing domestic renewable energy generation and helping strengthen the UK's energy security and independence." 

12-Month NAV Bridge Breakdown:

	NAV p/share	NAV
At 31 March 2023	114.3p	£674.4m
Time value	8.0p	£47.1m
Project actuals	(1.5p)	(£8.8m)
Power price forecasts	(7.8p)	(£45.5m)
Changes in short-term inflation	4.5p	£26.9m
Revaluation of new assets	1.7p	£10.8m
Revaluation of NextPower III ESG	0.9p	£5.1m
Cash dividends paid	(9.6p)	(£57.0m)
Sale of Hatherden	1.3p	£7.5m
Discount rate changes	(4.6p)	(£27.4m)
Capital movements (no net NAV impact):
-       New assets at cost	4.5p	£26.7m
-       Repayment of RCF using cash on hand	0.1p	£0.6m
-       Cash used to fund investments and repayment of RCF	(4.6p)	(£27.3m)
Other movements in residual value	(2.5p)	(£14.5m)
At 31 March 2024	104.7p	£618.6m

The movement in the NAV over the period was driven primarily by the following factors:

·    Increase due to time value, reflecting the change in the valuation as a result of changing the valuation date, prior

      to adjusting for any outflows of the Company.  The increase in value is attributable to the unwinding of the

      discount applied to cash flows for the period when calculating the DCF.

·    A decrease in short-term (2024-2029) UK power price forecasts provided by Consultants, mainly as a result of

      lower commodity prices (particularly gas, which is down c.30-40%), influenced by above-average gas storage

      levels, milder weather across winter 2023/24 and sustained reductions in demand.

·    The valuation incorporates revisions to short-term inflation forecasts from external third parties.

·    The revaluation of new assets accounts for assets as they become operational and moved from holding them at

      cost to fair value. This includes the standalone energy storage asset, the two international solar co-investments

      and Whitecross.

·    The revaluation of NextPower III ESG.

·    The dividends declared and operating costs incurred during the year, this includes both ordinary and preference

      share dividend payments.

·    Other movements in residual value include changes in FX rates, fund operating expenses, and other non-

      material movements.

Inflation Linkage and Updates

The Company continues to take a consistent approach to its inflation assumptions, using external third-party, independent inflation data from HM Treasury Forecasts and long-term implied rates from the Bank of England for its UK assets.  For international assets, IMF forecasts are used.  Long-term assumptions are aligned with market consensus including transition to CPI from 2030.

Inflation Rate (UK RPI) Assumptions

Calendar Year	31 March 2024	31 March 2023
2024/25	3.10%	3.40%
2025/26	2.90%	3.30%
2026/27	2.90%	3.20%
2027/28	3.50%	3.70%
2028/29	3.60%	3.00%
2029/30	3.00%	3.00%
2030/31 onwards	2.25%	2.25%

Discount Rate Assumptions

		31 March 2024	31 March 2023
Solar	UK unlevered	7.50%	6.75%
	UK levered	8.20 - 8.50%	7.45-7.75%
	Italy unlevered5	9.00%	8.25%
	Subsidy-free (uncontracted)6	8.50%	7.75%
	Life extensions7	8.50%	7.75%
Energy Storage	Uncontracted	10.00%	n/a
	Contracted	7.00%	n/a

Power Curve Assumptions

31 March 2024:

For the UK portfolio, the Company uses multiple sources for UK power price forecasts. Where power has been sold at a fixed price under a Power Purchase Agreement ("PPA") (a hedge), these known prices are used. For periods where no PPA hedge is in place, short-term market forward prices are used. After two years, the Company integrates a rolling blended average of three leading independent energy market consultants' long-term central case projections.

For the Italian portfolio, PPAs are used in the forecast where these have been secured. In the absence of hedges, a leading independent energy market consultant's long-term projections are used to derive the power curve adopted in the valuation.

Power Purchase Agreement Strategy

NextEnergy Solar Fund continues to lock in PPAs over a rolling 36-month period. This proactive risk mitigation helps secure and underpin both dividend commitments and dividend cover, whilst reducing volatility and increasing the visibility of cash flows. 

Forecasted Total Revenue Breakdown ^8,9,10,11:

Renewable Energy Guarantees of Origin ("REGOs")

The Company sells REGOs bundled with power sales through existing PPAs as well as unbundled via bilateral arrangements.  Where REGOs have been sold at a fixed price, these known prices are used in the calculation of NAV. 100% of REGOs generated for the 2023-24 compliance year have been sold at an average price of £2.6/MWh. 92% of expected REGOs for the 2024-25 compliance year have been sold at £3.80/MWh. Unbundled, unsold REGO volumes of up to c.645GWh/annum are reflected in the NAV in line with third-party advisor forecasts (£5/MWh until March 2028 and then £1.5/MWh for the remaining life of the asset). 

Available Capital

Out of the total £205m immediate RCFs available to the Company, c.£40m remains undrawn and available for deployment as at 31 March 2024.   The Company has c.£8.9m immediate cash balance available at Company level as at 31 March 2024 (this is separate from the cash currently held at Holdco/SPV level).

Future Pipeline

The Company owns the project rights for, or has exclusivity over, a pipeline of c.£500m domestic and international solar (>400MW), domestic energy storage assets (>250MW), and a right of first offer over qualifying projects developed or sourced by the Investment Manager and Investment Adviser. 

Footnote:

1.   Includes new operating energy storage asset Camilla.

2.   NextEnergy Solar Fund owns 13.6% of Santarém (210MW in Portugal) and 24.5% of Agenor (50MW in Spain).

3.   On a look-through MW equivalent basis, this includes NextEnergy Solar Fund's investment in NextPower III, a private international infrastructure solar fund where it owns 6.21%.  Ownership in the international co-investments as above, and 70% ownership of the Company's maiden standalone energy storage asset Camilla through its joint venture partnership.

4.    Excluding NextPower III look through debt totalling £12.6m as of 31 March 2024.

5.    Unlevered discount rate for Italian operating assets implying 1.50% country risk premium to 7.50%.

6.    Unlevered discount rate for subsidy-free uncontracted operating assets implying 1.0% risk premium to 7.50%.

7.    1.0% risk premium to 7.50% for cash flows after 30 years where leases have been extended.

8.    Fixed revenues include subsidy income.

9.    Figures are stated to the nearest 0.1% which may lead to rounding differences

10.  NextEnergy Solar Fund minimises its merchant exposure through its active rolling PPA programme. The programme locks in PPA's in the liquid market to ensure maximum contracted revenues are achieved

11.  Fixed prices (£/MWh) covers 85% (861MW) of the total portfolio as at 6 June 2024.

For further information: NextEnergy Capital Michael Bonte-Friedheim	020 3746 0700 [e-mail]
Ross Grier
Stephen Rosser
Peter Hamid (Investor Relations)
RBC Capital Markets	020 7653 4000
Matthew Coakes
Elizabeth Evans Kathryn Deegan
Cavendish	020 7397 1909
James King
William Talkington
H/Advisors Maitland	020 7379 5151
Neil Bennett
Finlay Donaldson
Ocorian Administration (Guernsey) Limited	01481 742642
Kevin Smith

Notes to Editors¹:

About NextEnergy Solar Fund

NextEnergy Solar Fund is a specialist solar energy and energy storage investment company that is listed on the premium segment of the London Stock Exchange and is a FTSE 250 constituent.

NextEnergy Solar Fund's investment objective is to provide ordinary shareholders with attractive risk-adjusted returns, principally in the form of regular dividends, by investing in a diversified portfolio of utility-scale solar energy and energy storage infrastructure assets.  The majority of NESF's long-term cash flows are inflation-linked via UK government subsidies.

As at 31 March 2024, the Company had an audited gross asset value of £1,155m.  More information is available at www.nextenergysolarfund.com

Article 9 Fund

NextEnergy Solar Fund is classified under Article 9 of the EU Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation and EU Taxonomy Regulation.  NextEnergy Solar Fund's sustainability-related disclosures in the financial services sector are in accordance with Regulation (EU) 2019/2088 and can be accessed on the ESG section of both the NextEnergy Solar Fund and NextEnergy Capital websites.

About NextEnergy Group

NextEnergy Solar Fund is managed by NextEnergy Capital, part of the NextEnergy Group.  NextEnergy Group was founded in 2007 to become a leading market participant in the international solar sector.  Since its inception, it has been active in the development, construction, and ownership of solar assets across multiple jurisdictions.  NextEnergy Group operates via its three business units: NextEnergy Capital (Investment Management), WiseEnergy (Operating Asset Management), and Starlight (Asset Development).

·    NextEnergy Capital: has over 17 years of specialist solar expertise having invested in over 400 individual solar plants across the world.  NextEnergy Capital currently manages four institutional funds with a total capacity in excess of 3GW and has assets under management of $4.3bn.  More information is available at www.nextenergycapital.com   

·    WiseEnergy®:  is a leading specialist operating asset manager in the solar sector.  Since its founding, WiseEnergy has provided solar asset management, monitoring and technical due diligence services to over 1,500 utility-scale solar power plants with an installed capacity in excess of 2.5GW.  More information is available at www.wise-energy.com

·   Starlight: has developed over 100 utility-scale projects internationally and continues to progress a large pipeline of c.10GW of both green and brownfield project developments across global geographies.  More information is available at www.starlight-energy.com

Notes:

^1: All financial data is audited at 31 March 2024, being the latest date in respect of which NextEnergy Solar Fund has published financial information

 

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