EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
|
Half year
2008
£m
|
Half year
2007*
£m
|
Full year
2007*
£m
|
Asian operations
|
579
|
520
|
1,103
|
US operations
|
360
|
351
|
635
|
UK operations:
|
|
|
|
UK insurance operations
|
504
|
462
|
859
|
M&G
|
146
|
140
|
254
|
|
650
|
602
|
1,113
|
Other income and expenditure
|
(144)
|
(155)
|
(301)
|
Restructuring costs
|
(15)
|
0
|
(20)
|
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns
|
1,430
|
1,318
|
2,530
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
|
(1,949)
|
241
|
174
|
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings
|
171
|
113
|
223
|
Shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(98)
|
39
|
(5)
|
Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees
|
(189)
|
275
|
748
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations before tax (including actual investment returns)
|
(635)
|
1,986
|
3,670
|
Tax attributable to shareholders’ (loss) profit
|
162
|
(521)
|
(927)
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations for the period after tax before minority interests
|
(473)
|
1,465
|
2,743
|
Discontinued operations (net of tax)
|
-
|
241
|
241
|
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(473)
|
1,706
|
2,984
|
|
|
|
|
Attributable to:
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of the Company
|
(475)
|
1,705
|
2,963
|
Minority interests
|
2
|
1
|
21
|
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(473)
|
1,706
|
2,984
|
Earnings per share (in pence)
|
Half year
2008
|
Half year
2007*
|
Full year
2007*
|
Continuing operations
|
|
|
|
From operating profit, based on longer-term investment returns, after related tax and minority interests
|
41.6p
|
39.1p
|
74.5p
|
Adjustment from post-tax longer-term investment returns to post-tax actual investment returns (after minority interests)
|
(58.3)p
|
7.0p
|
6.1p
|
Adjustment for effect of mark to market value movements on core borrowings
|
6.9p
|
4.6p
|
9.1p
|
Adjustment for post-tax effect of shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(2.8)p
|
1.1p
|
(0.2)p
|
Adjustment for post-tax effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees (after minority interests)
|
(6.7)p
|
8.2p
|
21.8p
|
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations after tax and minority interests
|
(19.3)p
|
60.0p
|
111.3p
|
|
|
|
|
Discontinued operations
|
|
|
|
Based on profit from discontinued operations after tax and minority interests
|
-
|
9.9p
|
9.9p
|
|
|
|
|
Based on (loss) profit for the period after tax and minority interests
|
(19.3)p
|
69.9p
|
121.2p
|
|
|
|
|
Average number of shares (millions)
|
2,465
|
2,437
|
2,445
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends per share (in pence)
|
Half year
2008
|
Half year
2007
|
Full year
2007
|
Dividends relating to reporting period:
|
|
|
|
Interim dividend (2008 and 2007)
|
5.99p
|
5.70p
|
5.70p
|
Final dividends (2007)
|
-
|
-
|
12.30p
|
Total
|
5.99p
|
5.70p
|
18.00p
|
Dividends declared and paid in reporting period:
|
|
|
|
Current year interim dividend
|
-
|
-
|
5.70p
|
Final dividend for prior year
|
12.30p
|
11.72p
|
11.72p
|
Total
|
12.30p
|
11.72p
|
17.42p
|
*See note 10.
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
OPERATING PROFIT FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS BASED ON LONGER-TERM INVESTMENT RETURNS*
Results Analysis by Business Area
|
Half year
2008
£m
|
Half year
2007
CER**
£m
|
Half year
2007RER**
£m
|
Full year
2007RER**
£m
|
Asian operations
|
|
|
|
|
New business
|
336
|
291
|
282
|
653
|
Business in force
|
217
|
219
|
211
|
393
|
Long-term business
|
553
|
510
|
493
|
1,046
|
Asset management
|
29
|
34
|
33
|
72
|
Development expenses
|
(3)
|
(6)
|
(6)
|
(15)
|
Total
|
579
|
538
|
520
|
1,103
|
US operations
|
|
|
|
|
New business
|
137
|
144
|
144
|
285
|
Business in force
|
217
|
200
|
200
|
342
|
Long-term business
|
354
|
344
|
344
|
627
|
Broker-dealer and asset management
|
6
|
9
|
9
|
13
|
Curian
|
0
|
(2)
|
(2)
|
(5)
|
Total
|
360
|
351
|
351
|
635
|
UK operations
|
|
|
|
|
New business
|
129
|
108
|
108
|
277
|
Business in force
|
375
|
354
|
354
|
582
|
Long-term business
|
504
|
462
|
462
|
859
|
M&G
|
146
|
140
|
140
|
254
|
Total
|
650
|
602
|
602
|
1,113
|
Other income and expenditure
|
|
|
|
|
Investment return and other income
|
38
|
13
|
13
|
45
|
Interest payable on core structural borrowings
|
(82)
|
(88)
|
(88)
|
(168)
|
Corporate expenditure:
|
|
|
|
|
Group Head Office
|
(79)
|
(58)
|
(58)
|
(129)
|
Asia Regional Head Office
|
(17)
|
(17)
|
(17)
|
(38)
|
Charge for share-based payments for Prudential schemes
|
(4)
|
(5)
|
(5)
|
(11)
|
Total
|
(144)
|
(155)
|
(155)
|
(301)
|
Restructuring costs
|
(15)
|
0
|
0
|
(20)
|
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns
|
1,430
|
1,336
|
1,318
|
2,530
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysed as profits (losses) from:
|
|
|
|
|
New business
|
602
|
543
|
534
|
1,215
|
Business in force
|
809
|
773
|
765
|
1,317
|
Long-term business
|
1,411
|
1,316
|
1,299
|
2,532
|
Asset management
|
181
|
181
|
180
|
334
|
Other results
|
(162)
|
(161)
|
(161)
|
(336)
|
Total
|
1,430
|
1,336
|
1,318
|
2,530
|
*EEV basis operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns excludes short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the mark to market value movements on core borrowings, the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, the effect of changes in economic assumptions and changes in the time value of cost of options and guarantees arising from changes in economic factors. The amounts for these items are included in EEV profit attributable to shareholders. The directors believe that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance. Profit before tax and basic earnings per share include these items together with actual investment returns. This basis of presentation has been adopted consistently throughout these statements.
**The comparative results analysis by Business Area using previously Reported Exchange Rates (RER), after adjusting for the change in accounting policy for pension schemes, are as shown above. Also, to enable consistency with the basis of presentation of the Operating and Financial Review for profit items, additional half year 2007 comparative results on a Constant Exchange Rates (CER) basis, calculated by applying average exchange rates for the six months to 30 June 2008 are provided above.
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
MOVEMENT IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY (excluding minority interests)
|
Half year 2008 £m
|
Half year
2007*
£m
|
Full year
2007*
£m
|
(Loss) profit for the period attributable to equity shareholders
|
(475)
|
1,705
|
2,963
|
Items taken directly to equity:
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements
|
35
|
(65)
|
64
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities classified as available-for-sale of discontinued banking operations
|
-
|
(2)
|
(2)
|
Movement on cash flow hedges
|
-
|
(3)
|
(3)
|
Related tax
|
14
|
(11)
|
3
|
Dividends
|
(304)
|
(288)
|
(426)
|
New share capital subscribed
|
137
|
117
|
182
|
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments
|
14
|
9
|
18
|
Treasury shares:
|
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans
|
6
|
11
|
7
|
Movement on Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS
|
(8)
|
1
|
4
|
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital (note 2)
|
(42)
|
(15)
|
(13)
|
Net (decrease) increase in shareholders' equity
|
(623)
|
1,459
|
2,797
|
Shareholders' equity at beginning of period (excluding minority interests)
- As previously reported
|
14,779
|
11,883
|
11,883
|
- Effect of accounting policy change for pension schemes (note 10)
|
(179)
|
(80)
|
(80)
|
- After change in accounting policy
|
14,600
|
11,803
|
11,803
|
Shareholders' equity at end of period (excluding minority interests)
|
13,977
|
13,262
|
14,600
|
|
|
|
|
Comprising:
|
|
|
|
Asian operations:
|
|
|
|
Net assets
|
3,831
|
3,012
|
3,837
|
Acquired goodwill
|
172
|
172
|
172
|
|
4,003
|
3,184
|
4,009
|
|
|
|
|
US operations
|
3,709
|
3,544
|
3,686
|
|
|
|
|
UK operations:
|
|
|
|
Long-term business
|
5,956
|
6,308
|
6,497
|
M&G:
|
|
|
|
Net assets
|
193
|
287
|
271
|
Acquired goodwill
|
1,153
|
1,153
|
1,153
|
|
7,302
|
7,748
|
7,921
|
Other operations:
|
|
|
|
Holding company net borrowings at market value (note 9)
|
(702)
|
(811)
|
(873)
|
Other net liabilities
|
(335)
|
(403)
|
(143)
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity at end of period (excluding minority interests)
|
13,977
|
13,262
|
14,600
|
*See note 10.
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
|
30 Jun
2008
£m
|
30 Jun
2007**
£m
|
31 Dec
2007**
£m
|
Total assets less liabilities, excluding insurance funds
|
186,254
|
189,129
|
195,628
|
Less insurance funds*:
|
|
|
|
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
(180,702)
|
(183,342)
|
(189,566)
|
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business
|
8,425
|
7,475
|
8,538
|
|
(172,277)
|
(175,867)
|
(181,028)
|
|
|
|
|
Total net assets
|
13,977
|
13,262
|
14,600
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital
|
124
|
123
|
123
|
Share premium
|
1,838
|
1,823
|
1,828
|
IFRS basis shareholders’ reserves
|
3,590
|
3,841
|
4,111
|
Total IFRS basis shareholders’ equity
|
5,552
|
5,787
|
6,062
|
Additional EEV basis retained profit
|
8,425
|
7,475
|
8,538
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity (excluding minority interests)
|
13,977
|
13,262
|
14,600
|
*Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.
**See note 10.
NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE (in pence)
|
|
|
|
Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £13,977m (£13,262m, £14,600m)
|
561p
|
539p
|
591p
|
Number of issued shares at end of reporting period (millions)
|
2,491
|
2,460
|
2,470
|
EUROPEAN EMBEDDED VALUE (EEV) BASIS RESULTS
(1) Basis of preparation of results
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the CFO Forum of European Insurance Companies in May 2004. Where appropriate the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).
The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the IFRS basis results of the Group's other operations.
The definition of long-term business operations is consistent with previous practice and comprises those contracts falling under the definition of long-term insurance business for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management.
With two principal exceptions, covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations. The principal exceptions are for the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) and for the presentational treatment of the financial position of two of the Group's defined benefit pension schemes. A very small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.
SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.
As regards the Group's defined benefit pension schemes, the liabilities attaching to the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS) and Scottish Amicable Pension Scheme are excluded from the EEV value of UK operations and included in the total for Other operations. The amounts are partially attributable to the PAC with-profits fund and shareholder-backed long-term business and partially to other parts of the Group. In addition to the amounts recognised as attributable to shareholders under IFRS, 10 per cent of the amounts attributable to the PAC with-profits fund are recognised for EEV reporting purposes.
The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles.
The EEV basis results for the 2008 and 2007 half years are unaudited. Except for the change in accounting policy to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14 for pension schemes, as explained in note 10, the 2007 full year results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2007. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.
(2) Methodology
Embedded value
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:
- present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less a deduction for the cost of locked-in (encumbered) capital;
- locked-in (encumbered) capital; and
- shareholders' net worth in excess of encumbered capital
The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value. In determining the embedded value or the profit before tax no smoothing of market account balance values, unrealised gains or investment returns is applied. Separately the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items.
Jackson debt securities
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the period (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the period and shareholders' funds as they arise.
The results for any covered business conceptually reflects the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on the IFRS basis.
However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest the basis for calculating the Jackson EEV result acknowledges that for debt securities backing liabilities the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that are broadly speaking held with the intent and ability to be retained for the longer term.
Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.
(3) Economic assumptions
(a) Deterministic assumptions
In most countries, the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to period end rates of return on cash or fixed interest securities. Except in respect of the projected returns on holdings of Asian debt and equity securities for those countries where long-term fixed interest markets are less established, the 'active' basis of assumption setting has been applied in preparing the results of all the Group's US and UK long-term business operations. For the Group's Asian operations, the active basis is appropriate for business written in Japan, Korea and US dollar denominated business written in Hong Kong.
For countries where long-term fixed interest markets are less established, investment return assumptions and risk discount rates are based on an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Except for the countries listed above, this basis is appropriate for the Group's Asian operations. Similarly, the projected returns on holdings of Asian securities in these territories by other Group businesses are set on the same basis.
Expected returns on equity and property asset classes in respect of each territory are derived by adding a risk premium, also based on the long-term view of Prudential's economists, to the risk-free rate. In Asia, equity risk premiums range from 3.0 per cent to 6.0 per cent (half year 2007: 3.0 per cent to 5.8 per cent, full year 2007: 3.0 per cent to 6.0 per cent). In the US and the UK, the equity risk premium is 4.0 per cent above risk-free rates for all periods for which results are prepared in this report.
Assumed investment returns reflect the expected future returns on the assets held and allocated to the covered business at the valuation date.
The tables below summarise the principal financial assumptions:
Asian operations
|
|
|
|
Hong Kong
|
|
|
|
|
Malaysia
|
|
Singapore
|
Taiwan
|
|
|
|
|
|
China
|
(notes iii, iv, v)
|
India
|
Indonesia
|
Japan
|
Korea
|
(notes iv, v)
|
Philippines
|
(notes iv,v)
|
(notes ii, v)
|
Thailand
|
Vietnam
|
30 Jun 2008
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
||
Risk discount rate:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
New business
|
11.75
|
5.5
|
15.75
|
16.75
|
5.3
|
10.1
|
9.2
|
15.75
|
6.3
|
9.2
|
13.0
|
16.75
|
||
In force
|
11.75
|
5.6
|
15.75
|
16.75
|
5.3
|
10.1
|
9.2
|
15.75
|
6.7
|
9.6
|
13.0
|
16.75
|
||
Expected long-term rate of inflation
|
4.0
|
2.25
|
5.0
|
6.0
|
0.7
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
5.0
|
1.75
|
2.25
|
3.0
|
6.0
|
||
Government bond yield
|
8.25
|
3.9
|
9.25
|
10.25
|
2.15
|
6.1
|
6.5
|
9.25
|
4.25
|
5.5
|
6.75
|
10.25
|
|
|
|
|
Hong Kong
|
|
|
|
|
Malaysia
|
|
Singapore
|
Taiwan
|
|
|
|
|
|
China
|
(notes iii, iv, v)
|
India
|
Indonesia
|
Japan
|
Korea
|
(notes iv, v)
|
Philippines
|
(notes iv,v)
|
(notes ii, v)
|
Thailand
|
Vietnam
|
30 Jun 2007
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
||
Risk discount rate:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
New business
|
12.0
|
6.5
|
16.5
|
17.5
|
5.3
|
10.1
|
9.7
|
16.5
|
7.1
|
8.6
|
13.75
|
16.5
|
||
In force
|
12.0
|
6.7
|
16.5
|
17.5
|
5.3
|
10.1
|
9.3
|
16.5
|
6.3
|
9.3
|
13.75
|
16.5
|
||
Expected long-term rate of inflation
|
4.0
|
2.25
|
5.5
|
6.5
|
0.0
|
2.75
|
3.0
|
5.5
|
1.75
|
2.25
|
3.75
|
5.5
|
||
Government bond yield
|
9.0
|
5.1
|
10.5
|
11.5
|
2.2
|
5.6
|
7.0
|
10.5
|
4.5
|
5.5
|
7.75
|
10.5
|
|
|
|
|
Hong Kong
|
|
|
|
|
Malaysia
|
|
Singapore
|
Taiwan
|
|
|
|
|
|
China
|
(notes iii, iv, v)
|
India
|
Indonesia
|
Japan
|
Korea
|
(notes iv, v)
|
Philippines
|
(notes iv, v)
|
(notes ii, v)
|
Thailand
|
Vietnam
|
31 Dec 2007
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
||
Risk discount rate:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
New business
|
11.75
|
5.7
|
15.75
|
16.75
|
5.1
|
9.7
|
9.3
|
15.75
|
6.4
|
9.1
|
13.0
|
16.75
|
||
In force
|
11.75
|
6.0
|
15.75
|
16.75
|
5.1
|
9.7
|
9.1
|
15.75
|
6.8
|
9.8
|
13.0
|
16.75
|
||
Expected long-term rate of inflation
|
4.0
|
2.25
|
5.0
|
6.0
|
0.0
|
2.75
|
2.75
|
5.0
|
1.75
|
2.25
|
3.0
|
6.0
|
||
Government bond yield
|
8.25
|
4.1
|
9.25
|
10.25
|
2.0
|
5.8
|
6.5
|
9.25
|
4.25
|
5.5
|
6.75
|
10.25
|
|
Asia total
|
Asia total
|
Asia total
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec
2007
|
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Weighted risk discount rate (note (i)):
|
|
|
|
New business
|
9.8
|
10.1
|
9.5
|
In force
|
8.8
|
8.7
|
8.7
|
Notes
(i) The weighted risk discount rates for Asian operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country’s risk discount rates by reference to the EEV basis operating result for new business and the closing value of in-force business.
(ii) For traditional business in Taiwan, the economic scenarios used to calculate the half year 2008, half year 2007 and full year 2007 EEV basis results reflect the assumption of a phased progression of the bond yields from the current rates applying to the assets held to the long-term expected rates.
The projections assume that in the average scenario, the current bond yields of around 2.7 per cent trend towards 5.5 per cent at 31 December 2013 (half year and full year 2007: around 2.5 per cent trend towards 5.5 per cent at 31 December 2013).
The projections for the Fund Earned Rate reflect the same approach as applied for half year and full year 2007 results with allowance made for the mix of assets in the fund, future investment strategy and further market depreciation of bonds held as a result of assumed future yield increases. The projections for the Fund Earned Rate alter for changes to these factors and the effects of movements in interest rates from period to period. After taking into account current bond yields, the assumption of the phased progression in bond yields and the factors described above, the average assumed Fund Earned Rate falls from 3.3 per cent for 2008 to 0.5 per cent in 2009 and remains below 3.3 per cent until 2012 (due to the depreciation of bond values as yields rise) and fluctuates around a target of 6.5 per cent after 2013.
Consistent with EEV methodology, a constant discount rate has been applied to the projected cash flows.
(iii) The assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business which comprises the largest proportion of the in-force Hong Kong business.
(iv) The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings in the Asian operations were:
|
30 Jun 2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec 2007
|
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
Hong Kong
|
7.9
|
9.1
|
8.1
|
Malaysia
|
12.5
|
12.8
|
12.5
|
Singapore
|
9.3
|
9.3
|
9.3
|
To obtain the mean, an average over all simulations of the accumulated return at the end of the projection period is calculated. The annual average return is then calculated by taking the root of the average accumulated return minus 1.
(v) For half year 2008 and full year 2007, cash rates were used in setting the risk discount rates for Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and for Hong Kong dollar denominated business. For half year 2007, cash rates were used in setting the risk discount rates for these operations and for all Hong Kong business (ie. including US dollar denominated business).
US operations (Jackson)
|
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec
2007
|
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Risk discount rate*:
|
|
|
|
|
New business
|
|
6.9
|
7.9
|
7.0
|
In force
|
|
5.9
|
7.3
|
6.0
|
Expected long-term spread between earned rate and rate credited to policyholders for single premium deferred annuity business
|
|
1.75
|
1.75
|
1.75
|
US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of period
|
|
4.0
|
5.1
|
4.1
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
|
|
8.0
|
9.1
|
8.1
|
Expected long-term rate of inflation
|
|
2.6
|
2.4
|
2.4
|
*The risk discount rates at 30 June 2008 for new business and business in-force for US operations reflect weighted rates based on underlying rates of 8.1% for variable annuity business and 4.8% for other business.
UK insurance operations
|
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec
2007
|
|
%
|
%
|
%
|
|
Risk discount rate (notes (i) and (iv)):
|
|
|
|
|
New business
|
|
8.7
|
8.7
|
7.3
|
In force
|
|
8.6
|
8.6
|
7.85
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return:
|
|
|
|
|
UK equities
|
|
9.2
|
9.3
|
8.55
|
Overseas equities
|
|
8.0 to 10.2
|
9.1 to 10.6
|
8.1 to 10.2
|
Property
|
|
7.4
|
7.8
|
6.8
|
Gilts
|
|
5.2
|
5.3
|
4.55
|
Corporate bonds – with-profits funds (notes (ii), (iv) and (v))
|
|
6.9
|
6.0
|
6.0
|
– other business (excluding annuities)
|
|
6.9
|
6.0
|
6.25
|
Expected long-term rate of inflation
|
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
3.2
|
Post-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for the PAC with-profits fund:
|
|
|
|
|
Pension business (where no tax applies)
|
|
8.3
|
8.3
|
7.85
|
Life business
|
|
7.4
|
7.4
|
6.9
|
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for annuity business (note (iii)):
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed annuities
|
|
6.0 to 6.2
|
5.6 to 5.7
|
5.4 to 5.6
|
Linked annuities
|
|
5.6 to 5.9
|
5.2 to 5.4
|
5.0 to 5.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes
(b) Stochastic assumptions
The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations described above. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations, such as the volatilities of asset returns, reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with allowance for correlation between the various asset classes.
Details are given below of the key characteristics and calibrations of each model.
Asian operations
The same asset return models as used in the UK, appropriately calibrated, have been used for the Asian operations as described for UK insurance operations below. The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds. Equity holdings are much lower than in the UK whilst property holdings do not represent a significant investment asset.
The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily only of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations.
The mean stochastic returns are consistent with the mean deterministic returns for each country. The expected volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 25 per cent across all reporting periods and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 1.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent (half year 2007: 1.4 per cent to 2.5 per cent, full year 2007: 1.3 per cent to 2.5 per cent).
US operations (Jackson)
Corporate bond returns are based on Treasury securities plus a spread that has been calibrated to current market conditions and varies by credit quality; and
Variable annuity equity and bond returns have been stochastically generated using a regime-switching log-normal model with parameters determined by reference to historical data. The volatility of equity fund returns ranges from 18.6 per cent to 28.1 per cent (half year 2007: 19.2 per cent to 28.6 per cent, full year 2007: 18.6 per cent to 28.1 per cent) depending on risk class, and the standard deviation of bond returns ranges from 1.4 per cent to 1.6 per cent (half year 2007: 1.4 per cent to 2.0 per cent, full year 2007: 1.4 per cent to 1.7 per cent).
UK insurance operations
Interest rates are projected using a two-factor model calibrated to actual market data;
The risk premium on equity assets is assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;
The corporate bond return is calculated as the return on a zero-coupon bond plus a spread. The spread process is a mean reverting stochastic process; and
Property returns are modelled in a similar fashion to corporate bonds, namely as the return on a riskless bond, plus a risk premium, plus a process representative of the change in residual values and the change in value of the call option on rents.
Mean returns have been derived as the annualised arithmetic average return across all simulations and durations.
For each projection year, standard deviations have been calculated by taking the square root of the annualised variance of the returns over all the simulations. These have been averaged over all durations in the projection. For equity and property, the standard deviations relate to the total return on these assets. The standard deviations applied to all periods are as follows:
|
|
%
|
|
Equities:
|
|
|
|
UK
|
|
18.0
|
|
Overseas
|
|
16.0
|
|
Property
|
|
15.0
|
|
(4) Level of encumbered capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based encumbered capital on its internal targets for economic capital subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements. Economic capital is assessed using internal models but, when applying the EEV principles, Prudential does not take credit for the significant diversification benefits that exist within the Group. For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the encumbered capital requirements.
Asian operations: the economic capital requirement is substantially higher than local statutory requirements in total. Economic capital requirements vary by territory, but in aggregate, the encumbered capital is broadly equivalent to the amount required under the Insurance Groups Directive (IGD).
US operations: the level of encumbered capital has been set to an amount at least equal to 235 per cent of the risk-based capital required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL), which is sufficient to meet the economic capital requirement.
UK insurance operations: the economic capital requirements for annuity business are fully met by Pillar I requirements being four per cent of mathematical reserves, which are also sufficient to meet Pillar II requirements.
(5) Margins on new business premiums
Half year 2008
|
|
New Business Premiums
|
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents
|
Present Value of New Business Premiums
|
Pre-Tax New Business
|
New Business
Margin |
||
|
Single
|
Regular
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
Contribution
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
%
|
%
|
|
Asian operations
|
|
1,037
|
623
|
727
|
3,864
|
336
|
46
|
8.7
|
US operations
|
|
3,453
|
11
|
356
|
3,537
|
137
|
38
|
3.9
|
UK insurance operations
|
|
3,125
|
117
|
430
|
3,585
|
129
|
30
|
3.6
|
Total
|
|
7,615
|
751
|
1,513
|
10,986
|
602
|
40
|
5.5
|
|
|
New Business Premiums
|
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents
|
Present Value of New Business Premiums
|
Pre-Tax New Business
|
New Business |
||
|
|
Single
|
Regular
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
Contribution
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
Half year 2007 (CER)
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
%
|
%
|
Asian operations
|
|
828
|
556
|
639
|
3,397
|
291
|
46
|
8.6
|
US operations
|
|
3,418
|
9
|
351
|
3,483
|
144
|
41
|
4.1
|
UK insurance operations
|
|
2,441
|
119
|
363
|
2,905
|
108
|
30
|
3.7
|
Total
|
|
6,687
|
684
|
1,353
|
9,785
|
543
|
40
|
5.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Half year 2007 (RER)
|
|
New Business Premiums
|
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents
|
Present Value of New Business Premiums
|
Pre-Tax New Business
|
New Business
Margin |
||
|
Single
|
Regular
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
Contribution
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
%
|
%
|
|
Asian operations
|
|
784
|
541
|
619
|
3,286
|
282
|
46
|
8.6
|
US operations
|
|
3,425
|
9
|
352
|
3,490
|
144
|
41
|
4.1
|
UK insurance operations
|
|
2,441
|
119
|
363
|
2,905
|
108
|
30
|
3.7
|
Total
|
|
6,650
|
669
|
1,334
|
9,681
|
534
|
40
|
5.5
|
Full year 2007 (RER)
|
|
New Business Premiums
|
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents
|
Present Value of New Business Premiums
|
Pre-Tax New Business
|
New Business |
||
|
Single
|
Regular
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
Contribution
|
(APE)
|
(PVNBP)
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
%
|
%
|
|
Asian operations
|
|
1,820
|
1,124
|
1,306
|
7,007
|
653
|
50
|
9.3
|
US operations
|
|
6,515
|
19
|
671
|
6,666
|
285
|
42
|
4.3
|
UK insurance operations
|
|
6,632
|
234
|
897
|
7,629
|
277
|
31
|
3.6
|
Total
|
|
14,967
|
1,377
|
2,874
|
21,302
|
1,215
|
42
|
5.7
|
New business margins are shown on two bases, namely the margins by reference to Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents (APE) and the Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP). APEs are calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one-tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
The table of new business premiums and margins above excludes SAIF Department of Work and Pensions rebate premiums.
In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period the policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
New business contributions represent profits determined by applying the economic and non-economic assumptions as at the end of the reporting period.
(6) Short-term fluctuations in investments returns
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
Full year
|
|
2008
|
2007
|
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Insurance operations
|
|
|
|
Asia (note (i))
|
(536)
|
54
|
226
|
US (note (ii))
|
(297)
|
68
|
(9)
|
UK (note (iii))
|
(959)
|
98
|
(42)
|
Other (note (iv))
|
(157)
|
21
|
(1)
|
Total
|
(1,949)
|
241
|
174
|
Notes
(i) The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for Asian operations of £(536)m for half year 2008 principally arose in Vietnam of £(151)m, Singapore of £(103)m, Taiwan of £(84)m and Hong Kong of £(59)m. For Vietnam, the negative short-term fluctuation reflects the substantial falls in equity and bond markets. The short-term fluctuation in Taiwan principally reflects the equity market fall and a £29m value reduction for an investment in a CDO fund. For Singapore and Hong Kong, the short-term fluctuations reflect the effect of equity market falls on unit-linked and with-profit business. For unit-linked business, the short-term fluctuation in investment returns reflects the reduction in the value of the asset base and the consequent effect on the projection of future management fees. For with-profits business, the short-term fluctuation reflects the difference between the shareholders' 10 per cent interest in the value movements on the assets and the unwind of discount on the opening shareholders' interest in the surplus.
(ii) The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations primarily reflect the impact of impairment losses on debt securities and the effects on the value of variable annuity business of adverse movements in US equity markets. The fluctuations for US operations comprise the following items:
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Realised impairment losses:
|
|
|
|
Actual
|
(108)
|
(19)
|
(78)
|
Less: Risk margin charge included in operating profit
|
23
|
24
|
48
|
|
(85)
|
5
|
(30)
|
Loss due to changed expectation of profits from fees on in-force variable annuity business in future periods based on current period equity returns, net of related hedging activity*
|
(138)
|
30
|
(16)
|
Actual less longer-term return on equity-type securities
|
(43)
|
45
|
51
|
Other
|
(31)
|
(12)
|
(14)
|
|
(297)
|
68
|
(9)
|
*This adjustment arises due to the market returns being lower or higher than the assumed longer-term rate of return. This gives rise to lower or higher than expected period end values of variable annuity assets under management with a resulting effect on the projected value of future account values and hence future profitability from altered fees. For half year 2008 market returns were (9.1) per cent compared to the assumed longer-term rate of return of 3.8 per cent.
(iii) The charge for short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations comprise £855m relating to the PAC with-profits fund and £104m relating to shareholder-backed business. For with-profits business, the short-term fluctuation reflects the difference between the shareholders' 10 per cent interest in the value movements on the assets and the unwind of discount on the opening shareholders' interest in the surplus. For half year 2008 the actual investment return was (6.8) per cent compared to a gross long-term assumed rate for the first six months of 4.1 per cent.
(iv) The short-term fluctuations for Other are explained in note D(i) in the IFRS basis Financial Statements contained in this announcement.
(7) Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees
The (losses) profits on changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees resulting from changes in economic factors for in-force business included within the (loss) profit from continuing operations before tax (including actual investment returns) arise as follows:
|
Half year 2008
|
|
Half year 2007
|
|
Full year 2007
|
||||||
|
|
Change in
|
|
|
|
Change in
|
|
|
|
Change in
|
|
|
|
time value
|
|
|
|
time value
|
|
|
|
time value
|
|
|
Change in economic
|
of cost of options and
|
|
|
Change in economic
|
of cost of options and
|
|
|
Change in economic
|
of cost of options and
|
|
|
assumptions
|
guarantees
|
Total
|
|
assumptions
|
guarantees
|
Total
|
|
assumptions
|
guarantees
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Asian operations (note (i))
|
(120)
|
(14)
|
(134)
|
|
18
|
(1)
|
17
|
|
201
|
9
|
210
|
US operations (note (ii))
|
23
|
2
|
25
|
|
(46)
|
8
|
(38)
|
|
81
|
8
|
89
|
UK insurance operations (note (iii))
|
(78)
|
(2)
|
(80)
|
|
281
|
15
|
296
|
|
466
|
(17)
|
449
|
Total
|
(175)
|
(14)
|
(189)
|
|
253
|
22
|
275
|
|
748
|
0
|
748
|
(8) Taiwan - effect of altered economic assumptions and sensitivity of results to future market conditions
For the half year 2008 results, as explained in note 3(a)(ii), the expected long-term bond yield has been maintained at 5.5 per cent to be achieved by 31 December 2013.
The sensitivity of the embedded value at 30 June 2008 of the Taiwan operation to altered economic assumptions and future market conditions to:
If it had been assumed in preparing the half year 2008 results that interest rates remained at the current level of around 2.7% until 31 December 2009 and the progression period in bond yields was delayed by a year so as to end on 31 December 2014, there would have been a reduction in the Taiwan embedded value of £(61)m.
(9) Holding company net borrowings at market value
Holding company net borrowings at market value comprise:
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007 RER
|
31 Dec
2007 RER
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Holding company borrowings:
|
|
|
|
IFRS basis
|
(2,401)
|
(2,289)
|
(2,367)
|
Mark to market value adjustment
|
201
|
(68)
|
38
|
EEV basis
|
(2,200)
|
(2,357)
|
(2,329)
|
Holding company* cash and short-term investments
|
1,498
|
1,546
|
1,456
|
Holding company net borrowings
|
(702)
|
(811)
|
(873)
|
*Including central finance subsidiaries.
(10) Adoption of altered policy for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14
To provide consistency, the EEV basis results reflect the altered IFRS policy for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14. The impact of the change is as follows:
|
Half year 2008
|
|
Half year 2007
|
|
Full year 2007
|
|||||||||||||||
|
Previous basis
|
|
Effect of change
|
|
Revised basis
|
As
published |
Effect of change
|
After change
|
|
As published
|
Effect of change
|
After change
|
||||||||
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|||||||
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns
|
1,448
|
|
(18)
|
|
1,430
|
|
1,326
|
(8)
|
1,318
|
|
2,542
|
(12)
|
2,530
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
|
(1,949)
|
|
|
|
(1,949)
|
|
241
|
|
241
|
|
174
|
|
174
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings
|
171
|
|
|
|
171
|
|
113
|
|
113
|
|
223
|
|
223
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(209)
|
|
111
|
|
(98)
|
|
125
|
(86)
|
39
|
|
116
|
(121)
|
(5)
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Effect of changes in economic assumptions and time value of cost of options and guarantees
|
(189)
|
|
|
|
(189)
|
|
275
|
|
275
|
|
748
|
|
748
|
|||||||
(Loss) profit before tax
|
(728)
|
|
93
|
|
(635)
|
|
2,080
|
(94)
|
1,986
|
|
3,803
|
(133)
|
3,670
|
|||||||
Tax
|
188
|
|
(26)
|
|
162
|
|
(545)
|
24
|
(521)
|
|
(961)
|
34
|
(927)
|
|||||||
(Loss) profit after tax
|
(540)
|
|
67
|
|
(473)
|
|
1,535
|
(70)
|
1,465
|
|
2,842
|
(99)
|
2,743
|
|||||||
Discontinued operations
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
241
|
-
|
241
|
|
241
|
-
|
241
|
|||||||
Less minority interests
|
(2)
|
|
-
|
|
(2)
|
|
(1)
|
-
|
(1)
|
|
(21)
|
-
|
(21)
|
|||||||
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(542)
|
|
67
|
|
(475)
|
|
1,775
|
(70)
|
1,705
|
|
3,062
|
(99)
|
2,963
|
|||||||
Other movements in reserves
|
(148)
|
|
-
|
|
(148)
|
|
(246)
|
-
|
(246)
|
|
(166)
|
-
|
(166)
|
|||||||
Shareholders’ equity at the beginning of the period
|
14,779
|
|
(179)
|
|
14,600
|
|
11,883
|
(80)
|
11,803
|
|
11,883
|
(80)
|
11,803
|
|||||||
Shareholders’ equity at the end of the period
|
14,089
|
|
(112)
|
|
13,977
|
|
13,412
|
(150)
|
13,262
|
|
14,779
|
(179)
|
14,600
|
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The changes reflect the aggregate of those under IFRS, as shown in note O to the Group IFRS financial statements, and the shareholders 10 per cent interest in the PAC with-profits element of the effect of the change in accounting policy reflected under EEV reporting.
TOTAL INSURANCE AND INVESTMENT PRODUCTS NEW BUSINESS
INSURANCE PRODUCTS AND INVESTMENT PRODUCTS (note (i))
|
Insurance products
|
Investment products
|
Total
|
||||||
Half year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
Half year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
Half year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
|
Asian operations
|
1,660
|
1,325
|
2,944
|
22,843
|
17,471
|
38,954
|
24,503
|
18,796
|
41,898
|
US operations
|
3,464
|
3,434
|
6,534
|
27
|
19
|
60
|
3,491
|
3,453
|
6,594
|
UK operations
|
3,242
|
2,560
|
6,866
|
7,491
|
7,519
|
14,745
|
10,733
|
10,079
|
21,611
|
Group Total
|
8,366
|
7,319
|
16,344
|
30,361
|
25,009
|
53,759
|
38,727
|
32,328
|
70,103
|
INSURANCE PRODUCTS - NEW BUSINESS PREMIUMS AND CONTRIBUTIONS (note (i))
|
Single
|
Regular
|
Annual Premium and Contribution Equivalents (APE)
|
Present Value of New Business Premiums (PVNBP)
|
|
Half year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
Half year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
Half Year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
Half Year
2008
£m |
Half year 2007
£m
|
Full year 2007
£m
|
Asian operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
China (note (iv))
|
35
|
19
|
72
|
15
|
20
|
40
|
18
|
22
|
47
|
111
|
112
|
268
|
Hong Kong
|
346
|
199
|
501
|
78
|
54
|
117
|
113
|
74
|
167
|
834
|
493
|
1,196
|
India (Group's 26% interest)
|
40
|
16
|
26
|
122
|
81
|
177
|
126
|
83
|
180
|
450
|
340
|
728
|
Indonesia
|
68
|
35
|
118
|
81
|
43
|
109
|
88
|
46
|
121
|
336
|
178
|
494
|
Japan
|
68
|
52
|
122
|
21
|
11
|
22
|
28
|
16
|
34
|
163
|
97
|
214
|
Korea
|
50
|
72
|
179
|
118
|
113
|
241
|
123
|
120
|
259
|
594
|
608
|
1,267
|
Malaysia
|
14
|
9
|
41
|
38
|
32
|
78
|
39
|
33
|
82
|
225
|
186
|
472
|
Singapore
|
276
|
306
|
593
|
37
|
30
|
67
|
65
|
61
|
126
|
547
|
484
|
1,047
|
Taiwan
|
130
|
63
|
132
|
84
|
136
|
218
|
97
|
142
|
231
|
507
|
711
|
1,121
|
Other
|
10
|
13
|
36
|
29
|
21
|
55
|
30
|
22
|
59
|
97
|
77
|
200
|
Total Asian operations
|
1,037
|
784
|
1,820
|
623
|
541
|
1,124
|
727
|
619
|
1,306
|
3,864
|
3,286
|
7,007
|
US operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed annuities
|
635
|
291
|
573
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
63
|
29
|
57
|
635
|
291
|
573
|
Fixed index annuities
|
196
|
220
|
446
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
20
|
22
|
45
|
196
|
220
|
446
|
Variable annuities
|
1,797
|
2,243
|
4,554
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
180
|
224
|
455
|
1,797
|
2,243
|
4,554
|
Life
|
4
|
3
|
7
|
11
|
9
|
19
|
11
|
10
|
20
|
88
|
68
|
158
|
Guaranteed Investment Contracts
|
505
|
133
|
408
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
50
|
13
|
41
|
505
|
133
|
408
|
GIC-Medium Term Notes
|
316
|
535
|
527
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
32
|
54
|
53
|
316
|
535
|
527
|
Total US operations
|
3,453
|
3,425
|
6,515
|
11
|
9
|
19
|
356
|
352
|
671
|
3,537
|
3,490
|
6,666
|
UK operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Product summary
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Internal vesting annuities
|
721
|
687
|
1,399
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
72
|
69
|
140
|
721
|
687
|
1,399
|
Direct and partnership annuities
|
373
|
431
|
842
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
37
|
43
|
84
|
373
|
431
|
842
|
Intermediated annuities
|
315
|
282
|
589
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
32
|
28
|
59
|
315
|
282
|
589
|
Total individual annuities
|
1,409
|
1,400
|
2,830
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
141
|
140
|
283
|
1,409
|
1,400
|
2,830
|
Equity release
|
117
|
67
|
156
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
12
|
7
|
16
|
117
|
67
|
156
|
Individual pensions
|
32
|
18
|
38
|
1
|
-
|
1
|
4
|
2
|
5
|
35
|
20
|
42
|
Corporate pensions
|
94
|
107
|
283
|
38
|
42
|
84
|
47
|
53
|
112
|
280
|
296
|
737
|
Unit-linked bonds
|
67
|
138
|
243
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
7
|
14
|
24
|
67
|
138
|
243
|
With-profit bonds
|
418
|
114
|
297
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
42
|
11
|
30
|
418
|
114
|
297
|
Protection
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3
|
2
|
5
|
3
|
2
|
5
|
16
|
14
|
26
|
Offshore products
|
321
|
205
|
434
|
2
|
2
|
4
|
34
|
22
|
47
|
331
|
215
|
455
|
Total retail retirement
|
2,458
|
2,049
|
4,281
|
44
|
46
|
94
|
290
|
251
|
522
|
2,673
|
2,264
|
4,786
|
Corporate pensions
|
173
|
110
|
198
|
62
|
60
|
115
|
79
|
71
|
135
|
376
|
314
|
604
|
Other products
|
77
|
100
|
190
|
11
|
13
|
25
|
19
|
23
|
44
|
119
|
145
|
276
|
DWP rebates
|
103
|
129
|
143
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
10
|
13
|
14
|
103
|
129
|
143
|
Total mature life and pensions
|
353
|
339
|
531
|
73
|
73
|
140
|
108
|
107
|
193
|
598
|
588
|
1,023
|
Total retail
|
2,811
|
2,388
|
4,812
|
117
|
119
|
234
|
398
|
358
|
715
|
3,271
|
2,852
|
5,809
|
Wholesale annuities (note (iii))
|
307
|
38
|
1,799
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
31
|
4
|
180
|
307
|
38
|
1,799
|
Credit life
|
7
|
15
|
21
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
7
|
15
|
21
|
Total UK operations
|
3,125
|
2,441
|
6,632
|
117
|
119
|
234
|
430
|
363
|
897
|
3,585
|
2,905
|
7,629
|
Channel Summary
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct and partnership
|
1,147
|
1,151
|
2,385
|
105
|
106
|
209
|
220
|
221
|
448
|
1,555
|
1,567
|
3,288
|
Intermediated
|
1,562
|
1,108
|
2,284
|
12
|
13
|
25
|
169
|
124
|
253
|
1,614
|
1,156
|
2,378
|
Wholesale (note (iii))
|
313
|
53
|
1,820
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
31
|
5
|
182
|
313
|
53
|
1,820
|
Sub-total
|
3,022
|
2,312
|
6,489
|
117
|
119
|
234
|
420
|
350
|
883
|
3,482
|
2,776
|
7,486
|
DWP rebates
|
103
|
129
|
143
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
10
|
13
|
14
|
103
|
129
|
143
|
Total UK operations
|
3,125
|
2,441
|
6,632
|
117
|
119
|
234
|
430
|
363
|
897
|
3,585
|
2,905
|
7,629
|
Group Total
|
7,615
|
6,650
|
14,967
|
751
|
669
|
1,377
|
1,513
|
1,334
|
2,874
|
10,986
|
9,681
|
21,302
|
INVESTMENT PRODUCTS - FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT (note (ii))
|
1 Jan 2008
|
Market
gross inflows
|
Redemptions
|
Market and other movements
|
30 Jun 2008
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Asian operations
|
17,393
|
22,843
|
(21,201)
|
(3,349)
|
15,686
|
US operations
|
55
|
27
|
(15)
|
(5)
|
62
|
UK operations
|
51,221
|
7,491
|
(5,054)
|
(1,959)
|
51,699
|
Group Total
|
68,669
|
30,361
|
(26,270)
|
(5,313)
|
67,447
|
Notes
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS (IFRS) BASIS RESULTS
SUMMARY CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
|
|
Half year
2008
£m
|
Half year
2007**
£m
|
Full year 2007**
£m
|
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance
|
8,926
|
7,903
|
18,188
|
|
Investment return (note C)
|
(9,752)
|
8,258
|
12,225
|
|
Other income
|
453
|
1,094
|
2,457
|
|
Total revenue, net of reinsurance (note C)
|
(373)
|
17,255
|
32,870
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits and claims and movement in unallocated surplus of with-profits funds, net of reinsurance
|
1,479
|
(14,177)
|
(26,785)
|
|
Acquisition costs and other operating expenditure
|
(1,763)
|
(2,350)
|
(4,859)
|
|
Finance costs: interest on core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
|
(82)
|
(88)
|
(168)
|
|
Total charges, net of reinsurance (note C)
|
(366)
|
(16,615)
|
(31,812)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax (being tax attributable to shareholders’ and policyholders’ returns)* (note C)
|
(739)
|
640
|
1,058
|
|
Tax attributable to policyholders' returns
|
637
|
15
|
5
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax attributable to shareholders (note D)
|
(102)
|
655
|
1,063
|
|
Tax credit (expense) (note E)
|
625
|
(219)
|
(349)
|
|
Less: tax attributable to policyholders' returns
|
(637)
|
(15)
|
(5)
|
|
Tax attributable to shareholders' (loss) profit (note E)
|
(12)
|
(234)
|
(354)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations after tax (note C)
|
(114)
|
421
|
709
|
|
Discontinued operations (net of tax) (note N)
|
-
|
241
|
241
|
|
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(114)
|
662
|
950
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
Equity holders of the Company
|
(116)
|
661
|
947
|
|
Minority interests
|
2
|
1
|
3
|
|
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(114)
|
662
|
950
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share (in pence)
|
Half year
2008
|
Half year
2007**
|
Full year 2007**
|
|
Basic (based on 2,465m, 2,437m and 2,445m shares respectively):
|
|
|
|
|
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company (note F)
|
(4.7)p
|
17.2p
|
28.8p
|
|
Based on profit from discontinued operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company
|
-
|
9.9p
|
9.9p
|
|
|
|
(4.7)p
|
27.1p
|
38.7p
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted (based on 2,466m, 2,440m and 2,448m shares respectively):
|
|
|
|
|
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company
|
(4.7)p
|
17.2p
|
28.8p
|
|
Based on profit from discontinued operations attributable to the equity holders of the Company
|
-
|
9.9p
|
9.8p
|
|
|
|
(4.7)p
|
27.1p
|
38.6p
|
|
|
|
|
|
*This measure is the formal (loss) profit before tax measure under IFRS but is not the result attributable to shareholders.
**To reflect the principles of IFRIC 14, the Company has altered its accounting policy for pension schemes with consequential changes to the comparative results for 2007. Note O explains the effect of the change.
Dividends per share (in pence)
|
Half year
2008
|
Half year
2007
|
Full year 2007
|
Dividends relating to reporting period:
|
|
|
|
Interim dividend (2008 and 2007) (note G)
|
5.99p
|
5.70p
|
5.70p
|
Final dividend (2007)
|
-
|
-
|
12.30p
|
Total
|
5.99p
|
5.70p
|
18.00p
|
Dividends declared and paid in reporting period:
|
|
|
|
Current year interim dividend
|
-
|
-
|
5.70p
|
Final dividend for prior year
|
12.30p
|
11.72p
|
11.72p
|
Total
|
12.30p
|
11.72p
|
17.42p
|
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY
|
Period ended 30 June 2008
|
|||||||
|
Share capital
|
Share premium
|
Retained earnings
|
Translation reserve
|
Available-for-sale securities reserve
|
Shareholders' equity
|
Minority interests
|
Total equity
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Reserves
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss for the period
|
|
|
(116)
|
|
|
(116)
|
2
|
(114)
|
Items recognised directly in equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements
|
|
|
|
32
|
|
32
|
|
32
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities of US insurance operations classified as available-for-sale
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealised holding losses arising during the period
|
|
|
|
|
(774)
|
(774)
|
|
(774)
|
Less net losses included in the income statement on disposal and impairment
|
|
|
|
|
97
|
97
|
|
97
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
(677)
|
(677)
|
|
(677)
|
Related change in amortisation of deferred income and acquisition costs
|
|
|
|
|
244
|
244
|
|
244
|
Related tax
|
|
|
|
14
|
148
|
162
|
|
162
|
Total items of income and expense recognised directly in equity
|
|
|
|
46
|
(285)
|
(239)
|
|
(239)
|
Total income and expense for the period
|
|
|
(116)
|
46
|
(285)
|
(355)
|
2
|
(353)
|
Dividends
|
|
|
(304)
|
|
|
(304)
|
|
(304)
|
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
14
|
|
14
|
Change in minority interests arising principally from purchase and sale of property partnerships of the PAC with-profits fund and other consolidated investment funds
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(6)
|
(6)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital and share premium
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New share capital subscribed
|
1
|
136
|
|
|
|
137
|
|
137
|
Transfer to retained earnings in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends
|
|
(126)
|
126
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury shares
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
6
|
|
6
|
Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS
|
|
|
(8)
|
|
|
(8)
|
|
(8)
|
Net increase (decrease) in equity
|
1
|
10
|
(282)
|
46
|
(285)
|
(510)
|
(4)
|
(514)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At beginning of period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As previously published
|
123
|
1,828
|
4,440
|
(112)
|
(78)
|
6,201
|
102
|
6,303
|
Effect of accounting policy change for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14 (note O)
|
|
|
(139)
|
|
|
(139)
|
|
(139)
|
After change of accounting policy
|
123
|
1,828
|
4,301
|
(112)
|
(78)
|
6,062
|
102
|
6,164
|
At end of period
|
124
|
1,838
|
4,019
|
(66)
|
(363)
|
5,552
|
98
|
5,650
|
|
Period ended 30 June 2007
|
||||||||
|
Share capital
|
Share premium
|
Retained earnings
|
Translation reserve
|
Available-for-sale securities reserve
|
Hedging reserve
|
Shareholders' equity
|
Minority interests
|
Total equity
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Reserves
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit for the period
|
|
|
661
|
|
|
|
661
|
1
|
662
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Items recognised directly in equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements
|
|
|
|
(21)
|
|
|
(21)
|
|
(21)
|
Movement on cash flow hedges
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3)
|
(3)
|
|
(3)
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities classified as available-for-sale of discontinued banking operations
|
|
|
|
|
(2)
|
|
(2)
|
|
(2)
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities of US insurance operations classified as available-for-sale
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealised holding losses arising during the period
|
|
|
|
|
(287)
|
|
(287)
|
|
(287)
|
Less net gains included in the income statement on disposal and impairment
|
|
|
|
|
(3)
|
|
(3)
|
|
(3)
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
(290)
|
|
(290)
|
|
(290)
|
Related change in amortisation of deferred income and acquisition costs
|
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
120
|
|
120
|
Related tax
|
|
|
|
(12)
|
59
|
1
|
48
|
|
48
|
Total items of income and expense recognised directly in equity
|
|
|
|
(33)
|
(113)
|
(2)
|
(148)
|
|
(148)
|
Total income and expense for the period
|
|
|
661
|
(33)
|
(113)
|
(2)
|
513
|
1
|
514
|
Dividends
|
|
|
(288)
|
|
|
|
(288)
|
|
(288)
|
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
|
9
|
|
9
|
Change in minority interests arising principally from purchase and sale of venture investment companies and property partnerships of the PAC with-profits fund and other consolidated investment funds
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(38)
|
(38)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital and share premium
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New share capital subscribed
|
1
|
116
|
|
|
|
|
117
|
|
117
|
Transfer to retained earnings in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends
|
|
(115)
|
115
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury shares
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
|
11
|
|
11
|
Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
Net increase (decrease) in equity
|
1
|
1
|
509
|
(33)
|
(113)
|
(2)
|
363
|
(37)
|
326
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At beginning of period:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As previously published
|
122
|
1,822
|
3,640
|
(125)
|
27
|
2
|
5,488
|
132
|
5,620
|
Effect of accounting policy change for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14 (note O)
|
|
|
(64)
|
|
|
|
(64)
|
|
(64)
|
After change of accounting policy
|
122
|
1,822
|
3,576
|
(125)
|
27
|
2
|
5,424
|
132
|
5,556
|
At end of period
|
123
|
1,823
|
4,085
|
(158)
|
(86)
|
0
|
5,787
|
95
|
5,882
|
Year ended 31 December 2007
|
|||||||||
|
Share capital
|
Share premium
|
Retained earnings
|
Translation reserve
|
Available-for-sale securities reserve
|
Hedging reserve
|
Shareholders' equity
|
Minority interests
|
Total equity
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Reserves
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Profit for the year
|
|
|
947
|
|
|
|
947
|
3
|
950
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Items recognised directly in equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange movements
|
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
11
|
|
11
|
Movement on cash flow hedges
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3)
|
(3)
|
|
(3)
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities classified as available-for-sale of discontinued banking operations
|
|
|
|
|
(2)
|
|
(2)
|
|
(2)
|
Unrealised valuation movements on securities of US insurance operations classified as available-for-sale
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealised holding losses arising during the year
|
|
|
|
|
(231)
|
|
(231)
|
|
(231)
|
Less net gains included in the income statement on disposal and impairment
|
|
|
|
|
(13)
|
|
(13)
|
|
(13)
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
(244)
|
|
(244)
|
|
(244)
|
Related change in amortisation of deferred income and acquisition costs
|
|
|
|
|
88
|
|
88
|
|
88
|
Related tax
|
|
|
|
2
|
53
|
1
|
56
|
|
56
|
Total items of income and expense recognised directly in equity
|
|
|
|
13
|
(105)
|
(2)
|
(94)
|
|
(94)
|
Total income and expense for the year
|
|
|
947
|
13
|
(105)
|
(2)
|
853
|
3
|
856
|
Dividends
|
|
|
(426)
|
|
|
|
(426)
|
(5)
|
(431)
|
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments
|
|
|
18
|
|
|
|
18
|
|
18
|
Change in minority interests arising principally from purchase and sale of venture investment companies and property partnerships of the PAC with-profits fund and other consolidated investment funds
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(28)
|
(28)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share capital and share premium
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New share capital subscribed
|
1
|
181
|
|
|
|
|
182
|
|
182
|
Transfer to retained earnings in respect of shares issued in lieu of cash dividends
|
|
(175)
|
175
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury shares
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
7
|
|
7
|
Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
4
|
Net increase (decrease) in equity
|
1
|
6
|
725
|
13
|
(105)
|
(2)
|
638
|
(30)
|
608
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At beginning of year:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As previously published
|
122
|
1,822
|
3,640
|
(125)
|
27
|
2
|
5,488
|
132
|
5,620
|
Effect of accounting policy change for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14 (note O)
|
|
|
(64)
|
|
|
|
(64)
|
|
(64)
|
After change of accounting policy
|
122
|
1,822
|
3,576
|
(125)
|
27
|
2
|
5,424
|
132
|
5,556
|
At end of year
|
123
|
1,828
|
4,301
|
(112)
|
(78)
|
0
|
6,062
|
102
|
6,164
|
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS (IFRS) BASIS RESULTS
SUMMARY CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
|
30 Jun 2008
£m
|
30 Jun 2007*
£m
|
31 Dec 2007*
£m
|
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intangible assets attributable to shareholders:
|
|
|
|
Goodwill
|
1,341
|
1,341
|
1,341
|
Deferred acquisition costs and other intangible assets
|
3,290
|
2,693
|
2,836
|
Total
|
4,631
|
4,034
|
4,177
|
|
|
|
|
Intangible assets attributable to the PAC with-profits fund:
|
|
|
|
In respect of acquired subsidiaries for venture fund and other investment purposes
|
174
|
1,145
|
192
|
Deferred acquisition costs
|
18
|
40
|
19
|
Total
|
192
|
1,185
|
211
|
Total
|
4,823
|
5,219
|
4,388
|
|
|
|
|
Other non-investment and non-cash assets:
|
|
|
|
Property, plant and equipment
|
1,038
|
1,107
|
1,012
|
Reinsurers' share of insurance contract liabilities
|
971
|
1,092
|
783
|
Deferred tax assets
|
1,250
|
699
|
951
|
Current tax recoverable
|
244
|
332
|
285
|
Accrued investment income
|
2,209
|
1,980
|
2,023
|
Other debtors
|
1,108
|
2,013
|
941
|
Total
|
6,820
|
7,223
|
5,995
|
|
|
|
|
Investments of long-term business and other operations:
|
|
|
|
Investment properties
|
13,529
|
14,149
|
13,688
|
Investments accounted for using the equity method
|
16
|
14
|
12
|
Financial investments:
|
|
|
|
Loans
|
8,719
|
5,441
|
7,924
|
Equity securities and portfolio holdings in unit trusts
|
75,876
|
83,819
|
86,157
|
Debt securities
|
83,806
|
80,211
|
83,984
|
Other investments
|
4,528
|
6,737
|
4,396
|
Deposits
|
8,194
|
7,519
|
7,889
|
Total
|
194,668
|
197,890
|
204,050
|
|
|
|
|
Held for sale assets
|
-
|
286
|
30
|
Cash and cash equivalents
|
4,844
|
4,500
|
4,951
|
Total assets (note H)
|
211,155
|
215,118
|
219,414
|
|
|
|
|
Equity and liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity (note J)
|
5,552
|
5,787
|
6,062
|
Minority interests
|
98
|
95
|
102
|
Total equity
|
5,650
|
5,882
|
6,164
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds:
|
|
|
|
Contract liabilities (including amounts in respect of contracts classified as investment
contracts under IFRS 4) |
169,113
|
170,038
|
176,390
|
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
12,560
|
14,396
|
13,959
|
Total
|
181,673
|
184,434
|
190,349
|
|
|
|
|
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations:
|
|
|
|
Subordinated debt
|
1,603
|
1,492
|
1,570
|
Other
|
923
|
921
|
922
|
Total (note K)
|
2,526
|
2,413
|
2,492
|
Other borrowings:
|
|
|
|
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed operations (note L)
|
2,908
|
2,605
|
3,081
|
Borrowings attributable to with-profits funds (note L)
|
937
|
2,122
|
987
|
|
|
|
|
Other non-insurance liabilities:
|
|
|
|
Obligations under funding, securities lending and sale and repurchase agreements
|
5,053
|
4,381
|
4,081
|
Net asset value attributable to unit holders of consolidated unit trusts and similar funds
|
3,755
|
3,406
|
3,556
|
Current tax liabilities
|
952
|
1,033
|
1,237
|
Deferred tax liabilities
|
2,843
|
3,573
|
3,402
|
Accruals and deferred income
|
773
|
477
|
599
|
Other creditors
|
1,956
|
2,029
|
1,020
|
Provisions
|
488
|
503
|
575
|
Other liabilities
|
1,641
|
2,260
|
1,871
|
Total
|
17,461
|
17,662
|
16,341
|
Total liabilities
|
205,505
|
209,236
|
213,250
|
Total equity and liabilities (note H)
|
211,155
|
215,118
|
219,414
|
*To reflect the principles of IFRIC 14, the Company has altered its accounting policy for pension schemes with consequential changes to the comparative results for 2007. Note O explains the effect of the change.
SUMMARY CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT
|
Half year 2008
£m
|
Half year 2007*
£m
|
Full year 2007*
£m
|
Cash flows from operating activities
|
|
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax from continuing operations (being tax attributable to shareholders’ and policyholders’ returns) (note (i))
|
(739)
|
640
|
1,058
|
Profit before tax from discontinued operations (note N)
|
-
|
222
|
222
|
Total (loss) profit before tax
|
(739)
|
862
|
1,280
|
Changes in operating assets and liabilities (note (ii))
|
1,236
|
366
|
551
|
Other items (note (ii))
|
(325)
|
(764)
|
(693)
|
Net cash flows from operating activities
|
172
|
464
|
1,138.
|
Cash flows from investing activities
|
|
|
|
Net cash flows from purchases and disposals of property, plant and equipment
|
(55)
|
(137)
|
(170)
|
Acquisition of subsidiaries, net of cash balances (note (iii))
|
-
|
(77)
|
(77)
|
Disposal of Egg, net of cash balances (note (iv))
|
-
|
(538)
|
(538)
|
Disposal of other subsidiaries, net of cash balances (note (iii))
|
-
|
157
|
157
|
Deconsolidation of investment subsidiaries (note (v))
|
-
|
-
|
(91)
|
Net cash flows from investing activities
|
(55)
|
(595)
|
(719)
|
Cash flows from financing activities
|
|
|
|
Structural borrowings of the Group:
|
|
|
|
Shareholder-financed operations (note (vi)):
|
|
|
|
Redemption
|
-
|
(150)
|
(150)
|
Interest paid
|
(91)
|
(104)
|
(171)
|
With-profits operations (note (vii)):
|
|
|
|
Interest paid
|
(9)
|
-
|
(9)
|
Equity capital (note (viii)):
|
|
|
|
Issues of ordinary share capital
|
10
|
1
|
6
|
Dividends paid
|
(177)
|
(171)
|
(255)
|
Net cash flows from financing activities
|
(267)
|
(424)
|
(579)
|
|
|
|
|
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents
|
(150)
|
(555)
|
(160)
|
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
|
4,951
|
5,071
|
5,071
|
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents
|
43
|
(16)
|
40
|
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period (note (ix))
|
4,844
|
4,500
|
4,951
|
*To reflect the principles of IFRIC 14, the Company has altered its accounting policy for pension schemes with consequential changes to the comparative results for 2007. Note O explains the effect of the change.
Notes
|
Half year 2008
£m
|
Half year 2007*
£m
|
Full year 2007*
£m
|
Deferred acquisition costs (excluding changes taken directly to equity)
|
(464)
|
(277)
|
(353)
|
Other non-investment and non-cash assets
|
(742)
|
(644)
|
(122)
|
Investments
|
9,166
|
(7,189)
|
(11,730)
|
Policyholder liabilities (including unallocated surplus)
|
(9,194)
|
7,040
|
11,845
|
Other liabilities (including operational borrowings)
|
2,470
|
1,436
|
911
|
Changes in operating assets and liabilities
|
1,236
|
366
|
551
|
(iii) Acquisitions and disposals of subsidiaries shown above for 2007 include venture fund and other investment subsidiaries of the PAC with-profits fund.
(ix) Of the cash and cash equivalents amounts reported above, £361m (half year 2007: £377m, full year 2007: £339m) represents cash and cash equivalents of the holding company and central finance subsidiaries
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS (IFRS) BASIS RESULTS
NOTES ON THE STATUTORY IFRS BASIS RESULTS
These condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the six months ended 30 June 2008 have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting'. The Group's policy for preparing this interim financial information is to use the accounting policies adopted by the Group in its last consolidated financial statements, as updated by any changes in accounting policies it intends to make in its next consolidated financial statements as a result of new or changed IFRS that are already endorsed by the EU or that are applicable or available for early adoption for the next annual financial statements and other policy improvements.
The IFRS basis results for the 2008 and 2007 half years are unaudited. Except for the change of accounting policy explained in notes B and O, the 2007 full year IFRS basis results have been derived from the 2007 statutory accounts. The auditors have reported on the 2007 statutory accounts which have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The auditors' report was (i) unqualified, (ii) did not include reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report and (iii) did not contain a statement under section 237 (2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
The accounting policies applied by the Group in these condensed consolidated interim financial statements are the same as those previously applied in the Group's consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2007, except for the change in the accounting policy for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14 'The limit on a Defined Benefit Asset Minimum Funding Requirements and their Interaction' (see note O).
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
Insurance operations
|
(799)
|
16,616
|
31,555
|
Asset management
|
531
|
682
|
1,397
|
Unallocated corporate
|
31
|
98
|
186
|
Intra-group revenue eliminated on consolidation
|
(136)
|
(141)
|
(268)
|
Total revenue, net of reinsurance, per income statement
|
(373)
|
17,255
|
32,870
|
|
|
|
|
Analysed as:
|
|
|
|
Investment return**
|
(9,752)
|
8,258
|
12,225
|
Other items
|
9,379
|
8,997
|
20,645
|
|
(373)
|
17,255
|
32,870
|
|
|
|
|
Charges (before income tax attributable to policyholders and unallocated surplus of long-term insurance funds)
|
|
|
|
Insurance operations, including post-tax transfers to unallocated surplus of
with-profits funds |
247
|
(16,076)
|
(30,533)
|
Asset management
|
(416)
|
(479)
|
(1,053)
|
Unallocated corporate
|
(333)
|
(201)
|
(494)
|
Intra-group charges eliminated on consolidation
|
136
|
141
|
268
|
Total charges per income statement
|
(366)
|
(16,615)
|
(31,812)
|
|
|
|
|
Segment results - revenue less charges (continuing operations)
|
|
|
|
Insurance operations
|
(552)
|
540
|
1,022
|
Asset management
|
115
|
203
|
344
|
Unallocated corporate
|
(302)
|
(103)
|
(308)
|
(Loss) profit before tax* (being tax attributable to shareholders’ and policyholders’ returns)
|
(739)
|
640
|
1,058
|
Tax attributable to policyholders' returns
|
637
|
15
|
5
|
(Loss) profit before tax attributable to shareholders (note D)
|
(102)
|
655
|
1,063
|
Tax attributable to shareholders' (loss) profit
|
(12)
|
(234)
|
(354)
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations after tax
|
(114)
|
421
|
709
|
|
|
|
|
Segment results - discontinued operations (net of tax)
|
|
|
|
Banking (note N)
|
-
|
241
|
241
|
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(114)
|
662
|
950
|
*This measure is the formal (loss) profit before tax measure under IFRS but is not the result attributable to shareholders.
**Investment return principally comprises
- Interest and dividends;
- Realised and unrealised gains and losses on securities and derivatives classified as fair value through profit and loss under IAS 39; and
- Realised gains and losses, including impairment losses, on securities classified as available-for-sale under IAS 39.
This information is provided as supplementary information under the Group's accounting policies.
|
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
Results analysis by business area
|
|
CER*
|
RER*
|
RER*
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Asian operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance operations
|
102
|
80
|
76
|
189
|
|
Asset management
|
29
|
34
|
33
|
72
|
|
Development expenses
|
(3)
|
(6)
|
(6)
|
(15)
|
|
Total
|
128
|
108
|
103
|
246
|
|
US operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jackson
|
232
|
218
|
218
|
444
|
|
Broker-dealer and asset management
|
6
|
9
|
9
|
13
|
|
Curian
|
0
|
(2)
|
(2)
|
(5)
|
|
Total
|
238
|
225
|
225
|
452
|
|
UK operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK insurance operations
|
286
|
251
|
251
|
528
|
|
M&G
|
146
|
140
|
140
|
254
|
|
Total
|
432
|
391
|
391
|
782
|
|
Other income and expenditure
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment return and other income
|
72
|
42
|
42
|
86
|
|
Interest payable on core structural borrowings
|
(82)
|
(88)
|
(88)
|
(168)
|
|
Corporate expenditure:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group Head Office
|
(79)
|
(58)
|
(58)
|
(129)
|
|
Asia Regional Head Office
|
(17)
|
(17)
|
(17)
|
(38)
|
|
Charge for share-based payments for Prudential schemes (note (iii))
|
(4)
|
(5)
|
(5)
|
(11)
|
|
Total
|
(110)
|
(126)
|
(126)
|
(260)
|
|
Restructuring costs
|
(14)
|
0
|
0
|
(19)
|
|
Operating profit from continuing operations based on longer-term investment returns
|
674
|
598
|
593
|
1,201
|
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business (note (i))
|
(684)
|
22
|
24
|
(137)
|
|
Shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes (note (ii))
|
(92)
|
38
|
38
|
(1)
|
|
(Loss) profit from continuing operations before tax attributable to shareholders
|
(102)
|
658
|
655
|
1,063
|
*The supplementary analysis of profit for half year 2007 at constant exchange rates (CER) has been calculated by applying the average exchange rates for the six months ended 30 June 2008, in order to eliminate the impact from exchange translation when comparing periods. Supplementary analysis of profit disclosure at reported exchange rates (RER) has been calculated by applying the average exchange rates for the relevant period.
Notes
|
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
RER
|
RER
|
Insurance operations:
|
|
|
|
|
Asia
|
(264)
|
(10)
|
(71)
|
|
US
|
(181)
|
60
|
(18)
|
|
UK
|
(82)
|
(47)
|
(47)
|
|
Other operations
|
(157)
|
21
|
(1)
|
|
Total
|
(684)
|
24
|
(137)
|
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns included in the supplementary analysis of profit for US insurance operations comprise the following items:
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Credit related losses on debt securities
|
|
|
|
|
Actual credit related losses in the period:
|
|
|
|
|
Bond write downs (see note I)
|
(103)
|
(7)
|
(35)
|
|
Losses on sales of impaired and deteriorating bonds
|
(6)
|
(13)
|
(51)
|
|
Recoveries/reversals
|
1
|
1
|
8
|
|
|
|
(108)
|
(19)
|
(78)
|
Less: Risk margin charge included in operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
|
23
|
24
|
48
|
|
Short-term fluctuation
|
(85)
|
5
|
(30)
|
|
Related change to amortisation of deferred acquisition costs
|
12
|
(1)
|
6
|
|
Total short-term fluctuation related to debt securities
|
(73)
|
4
|
(24)
|
|
Derivative value movements (note)
|
(64)
|
36
|
(19)
|
|
Actual less longer-term return on equity-type securities
|
(32)
|
36
|
42
|
|
Other items
|
(12)
|
(16)
|
(17)
|
|
Total
|
(181)
|
60
|
(18)
|
Note: The half year 2008 charge of £(64)m for derivative value movements includes £(42)m for a changed basis of valuation of guarantees for the Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) and reinsurance of the Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit (GMIB) on variable annuity contracts. The change relates to the use of currently observed implied rather than longer-term average historical volatilities. The £(22)m of other derivative value change for half year 2008 and £36m and £(19)m for half year and full year 2007 comparative results is for derivatives not related to equity products.
|
£m
|
Sale of investment in India mutual fund in May 2008 giving rise to a transfer to operating profit of £47m for the crystallised gain, and value reduction in the period, prior to sale, of £24m
|
(71)
|
Unrealised value movements on swaps held centrally to manage Group assets and liabilities
|
(49)
|
Unrealised value movements, net of hedge effects on Prudential Capital’s bond portfolio
|
(26)
|
Unrealised value movements on a centrally held investment
|
(11)
|
|
(157)
|
|
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
|
|
RER
|
RER
|
Actual less expected return on scheme assets
|
(53)
|
6
|
4
|
|
Experience losses on scheme liabilities
|
(4)
|
(4)
|
(4)
|
|
(Losses) gains on changes of assumptions for scheme liabilities
|
(87)
|
58
|
(7)
|
|
|
|
(144)
|
60
|
(7)
|
Less: amount attributable to the PAC with-profits fund
|
52
|
(22)
|
6
|
|
Total attributable to shareholders
|
(92)
|
38
|
(1)
|
E Tax credit (expense)
The total tax credit of £625m for half year 2008 (half year 2007: £219m charge; full year 2007: £349m charge) comprises £670m credit (half year 2007: £5m charge; full year 2007: £28m charge) UK tax and £45m charge (half year 2007: £214m; full year 2007: £321m) overseas tax. This tax credit comprises tax attributable to policyholders and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds, unit-linked policies and shareholders. The tax charge attributable to shareholders of £12m (half year 2007: £234m; full year 2007: £354m) comprises £4m (half year 2007: £76m; full year 2007; £148m) UK tax and £8m (half year 2007: £158m; full year 2007: £206m) overseas tax.
The tax credit related to discontinued operations in both half year and full year 2007, which was all attributable to shareholders, amounted to £19m.
Basic earnings per share (in pence)
|
Half year 2008
|
Half year 2007
|
Full year 2007
|
From operating profit based on longer-term investment returns after related tax and minority interests
|
19.4p
|
16.0p
|
33.3p
|
Adjustment from post-tax longer-term investment returns to post-tax actual investment returns (after related minority interests)
|
(21.4)p
|
0.1p
|
(4.5)p
|
Adjustment for post-tax shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(2.7)p
|
1.1p
|
0.0p
|
Based on (loss) profit from continuing operations after tax and minority interests
|
(4.7)p
|
17.2p
|
28.8p
|
G Dividend
An interim dividend of 5.99p per share will be paid on 23 September 2008 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 15 August 2008. The dividend will absorb an estimated £149m of shareholders' funds. A scrip dividend alternative will be offered to shareholders.
The Group balance sheet at 30 June 2008 comprises assets and liabilities for the following categories of business with different levels of shareholders' exposure to asset value movements.
|
|
Shareholder backed
|
|
|
|
|
|
Participating funds
|
Unit-linked and variable annuity unit assets and liabilities
|
Other long-term business assets and liabilities
|
Non-insurance
|
Intra-group eliminations
|
Total
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Note (ii)
|
Note (iii)
|
Note (i)
|
Note (i)
|
|
|
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intangible assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deferred acquisition costs
|
18
|
0
|
3,212
|
5
|
0
|
3,235
|
Goodwill and other intangible assets
|
174
|
0
|
184
|
1,230
|
0
|
1,588
|
Total
|
192
|
0
|
3,396
|
1,235
|
0
|
4,823
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other non-investment and non-cash assets
|
3,027
|
492
|
5,010
|
3,793
|
(5,502)
|
6,820
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment of long-term business and other operations:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment properties
|
11,800
|
897
|
832
|
0
|
0
|
13,529
|
Investment accounted for using the equity method
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
16
|
0
|
16
|
Financial investments:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans
|
1,714
|
117
|
4,400
|
2,488
|
0
|
8,719
|
Equity securities and portfolio holdings in unit trusts
|
43,380
|
31,463
|
1,009
|
24
|
0
|
75,876
|
Debt securities
|
40,261
|
5,740
|
36,781
|
1,024
|
0
|
83,806
|
Other investments
|
2,969
|
149
|
1,018
|
392
|
0
|
4,528
|
Deposits
|
4,577
|
1,037
|
2,445
|
135
|
0
|
8,194
|
Total
|
104,701
|
39,403
|
46,485
|
4,079
|
0
|
194,668
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents
|
829
|
1,063
|
752
|
2,200
|
0
|
4,844
|
Total assets
|
108,749
|
40,958
|
55,643
|
11,307
|
(5,502)
|
211,155
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity and liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders’ equity (note J)
|
0
|
0
|
5,152
|
400
|
0
|
5,552
|
Minority interests
|
40
|
0
|
4
|
54
|
0
|
98
|
Total equity
|
40
|
0
|
5,156
|
454
|
0
|
5,650
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contract liabilities
|
90,058
|
39,665
|
39,390
|
0
|
0
|
169,113
|
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
12,560
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
12,560
|
Total insurance liabilities
|
102,618
|
39,665
|
39,390
|
0
|
0
|
181,673
|
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subordinated debt
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1,603
|
0
|
1,603
|
Other
|
0
|
0
|
125
|
798
|
0
|
923
|
Total (note K)
|
0
|
0
|
125
|
2,401
|
0
|
2,526
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed operations (note L)
|
0
|
0
|
583
|
2,325
|
0
|
2,908
|
Borrowings attributable to with-profits funds (note L)
|
937
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
937
|
Other non-insurance liabilities
|
5,154
|
1,293
|
10,389
|
6,127
|
(5,502)
|
17,461
|
Total
|
6,091
|
1,293
|
10,972
|
8,452
|
(5,502)
|
21,306
|
Total liabilities
|
108,709
|
40,958
|
50,487
|
10,853
|
(5,502)
|
205,505
|
Total equity and liabilities
|
108,749
|
40,958
|
55,643
|
11,307
|
(5,502)
|
211,155
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes
(i) Non-linked long-term business and non-insurance busines
The sensitivity of the Group's results to investment value movements principally arises in respect of the portfolios of non-linked insurance and non-insurance business.
(a) Non-linked long-term business
The non-linked shareholder business of the Group principally comprises:
UK insurance operations
Prudential Retirement Income Limited (PRIL)
The assets covering PRIL's liabilities are principally debt securities and other investments that are held to match the expected duration and payment characteristics of the policyholder liabilities. These liabilities are valued for IFRS reporting purposes by applying discount rates that reflect the market rates of return attaching to the covering assets.
Except to the extent of any minor asset/liability duration mismatch and exposure to credit risk, the sensitivity of the Group's results to market risk for movements in the carrying value of PRIL's liabilities and covering assets is broadly neutral on a net basis.
The main market risk sensitivity for PRIL arises from interest rate risk on the debt securities which substantially represent IFRS equity. This equity comprises the net assets held within the long-term fund of the company that cover regulatory basis liabilities that are not recognised for IFRS reporting purposes, for example contingency reserves, and shareholder capital held outside the long-term fund.
The principal items affecting the IFRS results for PRIL are mortality experience and assumptions, and credit risk.
PAC non-profit sub-fund
The PAC non-profit sub-fund, excluding its unit-linked business, principally comprises annuity business previously written by Scottish Amicable Life, credit life and other non-participating business.
The financial assets covering the liabilities for those types of business are subject to market risk. However, for the annuity business the same considerations as described above for PRIL apply. Other liabilities of the PAC non-profit sub-fund are broadly insensitive to market risk.
Jackson (other than variable annuity business segregated in the separate accounts)
The IFRS basis results of Jackson are highly sensitive to market risk on the assets covering liabilities for fixed annuity, term, institutional and other assets and liabilities of variable annuity business not segregated in the separate accounts.
Invested assets covering liabilities for these types of business and related capital comprise principally debt securities classified as available-for-sale. Value movements for these securities are reflected as movements in shareholders' equity. Other invested assets and derivatives are carried at fair value with the value movements reflected in the income statement.
By contrast, the IFRS insurance liabilities for these types of business of Jackson, by the application of grandfathered GAAP under IFRS 4, are measured on US GAAP bases which, with the exception of certain items covered by the equity hedging programme, are generally insensitive to temporary changes in market conditions or the short-term returns on the attaching asset portfolios.
These differences in carrying value of debt securities, other invested assets, derivatives and insurance liabilities give rise to potentially significant volatility in the IFRS income statement and shareholders' equity.
Asian insurance operations
For the non-participating business of the Asian insurance operations, the sensitivity of the IFRS basis results to market risk is primarily reflected through the volatility of asset returns coupled with the fact that the accounting carrying value of liabilities to policyholders are only partially sensitive to changed market conditions.
In addition to these features the overriding factor that affects IFRS basis results for Asian non-participating business is the return on the assets covering the Taiwan whole of life policies. This factor directly affects the actual return in any given reporting period. In addition though, the measurement of the liabilities to policyholders and the carrying value of deferred acquisition costs for this business is dependant upon an assessment of longer-term interest rates.
(b) Other non-insurance
Other non-insurance's balance sheet comprises mainly M&G. In addition, other non-insurance also covers asset management in Asia and US and unallocated corporate activities.
M&G's balance sheet includes loans comprising bridging loan finance assets and structured finance arrangements managed by Prudential Capital.
(ii) Participating business
For participating business, which in the table above reflects the with-profit funds of the Prudential Assurance Company, and Singapore and Malaysia operations, the Group's principal sensitivity to investment value movements arises through the impact on the shareholders' share of with-profits bonus declarations, which are 'smoothed' to adjust for changes in returns from period to period, and fees earned by the Group's asset management operations on the assets of the participating business funds.
(iii) Unit-linked and variable annuity busines
For unit-linked and variable annuity business, the principal sensitivity to investment value movements is for the effect on investment management fees and derivative elements of guaranteed features of US products, after taking account of the economic hedging programme in place. The table above shows the unit assets and liabilities relating to the unit-linked and variable annuity business. Assets and liabilities such as deferred acquisition costs and insurance liabilities (other than unit liabilities) are included in the column for other long-term business.
(iv) Consolidated investment funds
In addition, the balance sheet of the Group includes investment funds which are managed on behalf of third parties and which are consolidated under IFRS in recognition of the control arrangements for those funds. As a result, the balance sheet includes assets and liabilities and a corresponding net asset value attributable to external unit-holders in respect of those funds, which are non-recourse to the Group. The Group is not exposed to investment risks on these assets representing the liability to the external parties.
Jackson's debt securities are classified as 'available-for-sale' under IAS 39 and carried in the balance sheet at fair value. Unless impaired, fair value movements are recorded as a movement in shareholder reserves direct to equity. Impairments are recorded in the income statement as shown in note D and note (ii) below.
The consideration of evidence of impairment requires management judgement. Among the factors considered is whether the decline in fair value results from the change in quality of the security itself, or from a downward movement in the market as a whole and the likelihood of recovering the carrying value based on the current and short-term prospects of the issuer. Unrealised losses that are considered to be primarily the result of market conditions, such as interest rate movements, unusual market volatility, or industry-related events, and where Jackson also believes there is a reasonable expectation for recovery, and furthermore, it has the intent and ability to hold the investment until maturity or the market recovers, are usually determined to be temporary.
Jackson's impairment review involves several criteria, including economic conditions, credit loss experience, other issuer-specific developments and future cash flows.
An impairment is recorded with the debt security written down to its fair value if, based on detailed cash flow analysis, Jackson assess that there will be a principal shortfall over the life of the security. The impairment loss reflects the difference between the market and book values.
The majority of the impairment losses arising in the first half of 2008 arose on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). The impairment testing for RMBS was determined using a cash flow modelling approach designed to estimate future principal losses on underlying collateral mortgage loans supporting the investments in the structures. Principal loss estimates were based on the current delinquency/foreclosure statistics for the underlying pools. In aggregate, the more severe the current delinquency/foreclosure statistics for an underlying pool, the higher the principal losses projected. Projected underlying losses for each collateral pool are then run through a model of the bond structure to calculate the expected future cash flows of the bond. This cash flow simulation will indicate the extent of estimated future principal losses on securitisation tranches held by Jackson. In the first half of 2008 and more particularly in the latter part of this period, the collateral performance of these RMBS has deteriorated coupled with the deterioration of the market price of these securities.
(ii) Impairment losses recognised in the income statement
Jackson's portfolio of debt securities is managed proactively with credit analysts closely and regularly monitoring and reporting on the credit quality of its holdings. Jackson continues to review its investments on a case-by-case basis to determine whether any decline in fair value represents an impairment.
In the first half of 2008, Jackson recorded £103m (half year 2007: £7m, full year 2007: £35m) of impairment losses which comprise losses in respect of:
|
Half year 2008
|
|
£m
|
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)
|
82
|
Public fixed income
|
18
|
Consolidated Piedmont investment vehicle
|
3
|
|
103
|
|
|
Of the £103m, £75m relates to Alt-A holdings. There were no sub-prime holdings which have been impaired.
(iii) Sub-prime and Alt-A exposures
At 30 June 2008, Jackson held £217m in sub-prime exposure and £553m in Alt-A exposure. The sub-prime exposure, which is primarily fixed rate with first lien collateral, is all investment grade and 96 per cent AAA rated. The Alt-A exposure is 84 per cent AAA rated. With an average FICO score of 610-620 Jackson's sub-prime collateral could be categorised as 'near prime' with a score close to a prime score of 660.
(iv) Movements in the unrealised gains and losses of Jackson's available-for-sale securities for the first half of 2008:
|
30 June 2008
|
|
Change reflected directly in shareholders’ equity
|
31 December 2007
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
Assets fair valued at below book value
|
|
|
|
|
Book value
|
13,478
|
|
|
10,730
|
Unrealised loss
|
(989)
|
|
(550)
|
(439)
|
Fair value (as included in balance sheet)
|
12,489
|
|
|
10,291
|
Assets fair valued at or above book value
|
|
|
|
|
Book value
|
5,578
|
|
|
8,041
|
Unrealised gain
|
176
|
|
(127)
|
303
|
Fair value (as included in balance sheet)
|
5,754
|
|
|
8,344
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
Book value
|
19,056
|
|
|
18,771
|
Net unrealised loss
|
(813)
|
|
(677)
|
(136)
|
Fair value (as included in balance sheet)
|
18,243
|
|
|
18,635
|
The net reduction in the value of debt securities classified as available-for-sale of £677m, as shown in the table above, is included within the statement of changes in equity. This reduction reflects the effect of continued adverse market movements in the first half of 2008. These temporary market value movements do not reflect defaults or impairments.
(v) Debt securities in an unrealised loss position
(a) All securities in an unrealised loss position
The following table shows the fair value of the securities in a gross unrealised loss position for various percentages of book value and by maturity of security:
|
30 June 2008
|
30 June 2008
|
31 December 2007
|
31 December 2007 |
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Percentage of book value
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Between 90% and 100%
|
9,856
|
(393)
|
9,370
|
(274)
|
Between 80% and 90%
|
1,964
|
(326)
|
784
|
(122)
|
Below 80%
|
669
|
(270)
|
137
|
(43)
|
|
12,489
|
(989)
|
10,291
|
(439)
|
|
30 June
|
31 December
|
|
2008
|
2007
|
|
Unrealised
|
Unrealised
|
|
loss
|
loss
|
By maturity of security
|
£m
|
£m
|
Less than 1 year
|
-
|
(1)
|
1 to 5 years
|
(77)
|
(54)
|
5 to 10 years
|
(338)
|
(164)
|
More than 10 years
|
(136)
|
(60)
|
Mortgage-backed securities and other debt securities
|
(438)
|
(160)
|
Total
|
(989)
|
(439)
|
As shown in the table above, £270m of the £989m of gross unrealised losses at 30 June 2008 related to securities whose fair value were below 80% of the book value. The age analysis for this £270m, indicating the length of time for which their fair value was below 80% of the book value, is as follows:
|
30 June 2008
|
30 June 2008
|
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
Less than 3 months
|
248
|
(82)
|
3 months to 6 months
|
387
|
(168)
|
More than 6 months
|
34
|
(20)
|
|
669
|
(270)
|
The following table shows the age analysis of all the unrealised losses in the portfolio by reference to the length of time the securities have been in an unrealised loss position:
|
30 June 2008
|
31 December 2007
|
||||||
|
|
Non-
|
|
|
|
Non-
|
|
|
|
Not
|
investment
|
Investment
|
|
Not
|
investment
|
Investment
|
|
Aged analysis of unrealised
|
rated
|
grade
|
grade
|
Total
|
Rated
|
grade
|
grade
|
Total
|
losses for the periods indicated
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Less than 6 months
|
(25)
|
(16)
|
(266)
|
(307)
|
(7)
|
(8)
|
(52)
|
(67)
|
6 months to 1 year
|
(16)
|
(18)
|
(102)
|
(136)
|
(10)
|
(21)
|
(105)
|
(136)
|
1 year to 2 years
|
(14)
|
(33)
|
(192)
|
(239)
|
(5)
|
(2)
|
(16)
|
(23)
|
2 years to 3 years
|
(32)
|
(9)
|
(203)
|
(244)
|
(24)
|
(10)
|
(140)
|
(174)
|
More than 3 years
|
(9)
|
(7)
|
(47)
|
(63)
|
(7)
|
(3)
|
(29)
|
(39)
|
|
(96)
|
(83)
|
(810)
|
(989)
|
(53)
|
(44)
|
(342)
|
(439)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(b) Subprime and Alt-A securities
Included within the table above are amounts relating to subprime and Alt-A securities of:
|
30 June 2008
|
30 June 2008
|
31 December 2007
|
31 December 2007
|
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value
|
Unrealised loss
|
Fair value of securities as a percentage of book value
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Between 90% and 100%
|
175
|
(10)
|
572
|
(24)
|
Between 80% and 90%
|
386
|
(66)
|
132
|
(22)
|
Below 80%
|
165
|
(75)
|
28
|
(10)
|
|
726
|
(151)
|
732
|
(56)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Of the sub-prime and Alt-A securities whose fair value is below 80 per cent of book value at 30 June 2008, £18m of the £75m unrealised losses relates to securities that have been in that position for 3 months or under, £49m for 3 to 6 months and £8m for 6 to 9 months.
J Shareholders' equity
|
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec
2007
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Share capital
|
124
|
123
|
123
|
|
Share premium
|
1,838
|
1,823
|
1,828
|
|
Reserves
|
3,590
|
3,841
|
4,111
|
|
Total
|
5,552
|
5,787
|
6,062
|
|
|
|
|
|
K Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec
2007
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations:
|
|
|
|
Holding company
|
2,401
|
2,289
|
2,367
|
Jackson
|
125
|
124
|
125
|
Total (per consolidated balance sheet)
|
2,526
|
2,413
|
2,492
|
Less: Holding company* cash and short-term investments (recorded within the consolidated balance sheet)
|
(1,498)
|
(1,546)
|
(1,456)
|
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
|
1,028
|
867
|
1,036
|
*Including central finance subsidiaries
L Other borrowings
|
30 Jun
2008
|
30 Jun
2007
|
31 Dec
2007
|
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
Operational borrowings attributable to shareholder-financed operations
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings in respect of short-term fixed income securities programmes
|
2,321
|
2,045
|
2,477
|
|
Non-recourse borrowings of US operations
|
580
|
544
|
591
|
|
Other borrowings
|
7
|
16
|
13
|
|
Total
|
2,908
|
2,605
|
3,081
|
|
Borrowings attributable to with-profits funds
|
|
|
|
|
Non-recourse borrowings of venture fund investment subsidiaries
|
-
|
1,063
|
-
|
|
Non-recourse borrowings of consolidated investment funds
|
740
|
854
|
789
|
|
Subordinated debt of the Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund
|
100
|
100
|
100
|
|
Other borrowings (predominantly obligations under finance leases)
|
97
|
105
|
98
|
|
Total
|
937
|
2,122
|
987
|
|
|
|
|
|
M Contingencies and related obligations
The main changes to the Company's contingencies and related obligations that have arisen in the six month period ended 30 June 2008 are set out below.
(i) UK Financial Services Authority's Consultation Paper CP08/11
In June 2008 the FSA published a consultative document which proposes that from 1 November 2008 all future payments for compensation and redress, regardless of when the mis-selling occurred, should be met from shareholders' funds, but exempting payments which form part of a 'guarantee' scheme. It is not clear currently how this proposal will apply to the guarantees covered by the provision of £462m held in the inherited estate of the Prudential Assurance Company at 30 June 2008.
(ii) Inherited estate of Prudential Assurance Company
Prudential announced in March 2006 that it had begun a process to determine whether it could achieve greater clarity as to the status of the inherited estate through a reattribution. In June 2008 Prudential announced that it did not believe that it is in the interests of current or future policyholders or shareholders to continue the reattribution process.
N Discontinued operations
Discontinued operations for half year and full year 2007 relate entirely to UK banking operations following the sale on 1 May 2007 of Egg.
The profit from discontinued operations of £241m comprises an operating loss based on longer-term investment returns for the period of ownership of £68m, a tax credit on the loss of £19m and a profit on sale (both before and after tax) of £290m.
O Adoption of altered policy for pension schemes to reflect the principles of IFRIC 14
(i) The reason for the change
As mentioned in note B, the Group has adopted an accounting policy change for pension schemes in half year 2008. The change effectively applies the principles of IFRIC 14, which gives guidance on assessing the limit in IAS 19 on the amount of surplus in a defined benefit pension scheme that can be recognised as an asset thereby providing reliable and more relevant information. The recognition of an asset is restricted to those that are demonstrably recoverable, either by refund or reduction in future contributions. It also addresses when a minimum funding requirement might give rise to a liability. The assessment of recoverability and any additional liability is made by reference to the terms of the Trust Deed of pension schemes and, unless substantively enacted or contractually agreed, with no account taken of potential changes to current funding arrangements.
This accounting policy change has had an effect on the Group's interest in the financial position of the Group's main UK defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The change relates solely to the accounting measurement of the Group's interest in the financial position of PSPS. Adoption of this accounting policy change does not affect the Group's interest in the Group's other defined benefit pension schemes.
Under the terms of the Trust Deed, the Group has no unconditional right of refund to any surplus in PSPS. Also, the Group has no ability under the guidance in IFRIC 14 to anticipate a reduction in the level of future contributions for ongoing services from those currently being paid. In addition, the Group currently has a five-year deficit funding arrangement in place as agreed with the Trustees of the PSPS following the last triennial valuation of PSPS as at 5 April 2005.
The asset and liabilities of PSPS are unaffected by the impact of the change in accounting policy. PSPS is managed on an economic basis for the longer-term benefit of its current and deferred pensioners and active members. The surplus in PSPS is available to absorb future adverse asset value movements and, if required, strengthening in mortality assumptions. The fluctuating nature of the surplus is demonstrated by the reduction in the underlying gross surplus from £528m at 31 December 2007 to £315m at 30 June 2008.
(ii) The summary effect of the change
In respect of the position at 30 June 2008, the Group has not recognised the underlying PSPS pension surplus of £315m (£265m net of deferred tax), reflecting the difference between the market value of the scheme assets and the discounted value of the liabilities, which would have otherwise been recognised as an asset on its balance sheet under the previous policy. In addition, the Group has recognised a liability for deficit funding to 5 April 2010 of £80m (£67m net of deferred tax) in respect of PSPS. Of these, the amounts attributable to shareholders are £97m (£69m net of deferred tax) for the surplus not recognised as an asset and £25m (£18m net of deferred tax) for the additional liability for deficit funding. In total the impact on shareholders' equity at 30 June 2008 is a reduction of £87m as shown in note (iii) below.
The half year and full year 2007 comparative figures in these condensed consolidated financial statements have been adjusted accordingly for this change in accounting policy.
(iii) The effect of the change on the income statement, earnings per share and balance sheet
|
Adjustments incorporated in the results for
|
Adjustments made to the previously published results for
|
||
|
Half year
2008
|
Half year |
Full year
2007
|
|
Summary Consolidated Income Statement
|
Increase (decrease) in profit
£m
|
|||
Investment return
|
(20)
|
8
|
4
|
|
Benefits and claims and movement in unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
(137)
|
138
|
205
|
|
Other operating expenditure
|
245
|
(232)
|
(336)
|
|
Profit (loss) before tax (being tax attributable to shareholders’ and the policyholders’ returns)
|
88
|
(86)
|
(127)
|
|
Tax attributable to policyholders’ returns
|
(16)
|
13
|
24
|
|
Profit (loss) before tax attributable to shareholders
|
72
|
(73)
|
(103)
|
|
Tax attributable to shareholders’ (loss) profit
|
(20)
|
19
|
28
|
|
Profit (loss) from continuing operations after tax / Profit (loss) for the period
|
52
|
(54)
|
(75)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share
|
Increase (decrease) in earnings per share
(in pence)
|
|||
Basic and diluted based on profit (loss) from continuing operations attributable to equity holders of the Company
|
2.1p
|
(2.2)p
|
(3.1)p
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Summary Consolidated Balance Sheet
|
Increase (decrease) in shareholders’ equity
£m
|
|||
Deferred tax assets
|
13
|
24
|
26
|
|
Other debtors
|
(185)
|
(255)
|
(356)
|
|
Policyholder liabilities – contract liabilities (including amounts in respect of contracts classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4)
|
(130)
|
(143)
|
(172)
|
|
Unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
|
245
|
332
|
392
|
|
Deferred tax liabilities
|
50
|
51
|
73
|
|
Provisions
|
(80)
|
(127)
|
(102)
|
|
Shareholders’ equity
|
(87)
|
(118)
|
(139)
|
|
|
|
|
|
(iv) Effect on the Group's supplementary analysis of profit and movements in shareholders' equity
|
Half year 2008
|
|
Half year 2007
|
|
Full year 2007
|
||||||
|
Previous basis
|
Effect of change
|
Revised basis
|
|
As previously published
|
Effect of change
|
After change
|
|
As previously published
|
Effect of change
|
After change
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
£m
|
£m
|
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
|
692
|
(18)
|
674
|
|
601
|
(8)
|
593
|
|
1,213
|
(12)
|
1,201
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on shareholder-backed business
|
(684)
|
|
(684)
|
|
24
|
|
24
|
|
(137)
|
|
(137)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' share of actuarial gains and
losses on defined benefit pension schemes
|
(182)
|
90
|
(92)
|
|
103
|
(65)
|
38
|
|
90
|
(91)
|
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Loss) profit before tax
|
(174)
|
72
|
(102)
|
|
728
|
(73)
|
655
|
|
1,166
|
(103)
|
1,063
|
Tax
|
8
|
(20)
|
(12)
|
|
(253)
|
19
|
(234)
|
|
(382)
|
28
|
(354)
|
(Loss) profit after tax
|
(166)
|
52
|
(114)
|
|
475
|
(54)
|
421
|
|
784
|
(75)
|
709
|
Profit from discontinued operations
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
241
|
|
241
|
|
241
|
|
241
|
Less Minority interests
|
(2)
|
|
(2)
|
|
(1)
|
|
(1)
|
|
(3)
|
|
(3)
|
(Loss) profit for the period
|
(168)
|
52
|
(116)
|
|
715
|
(54)
|
661
|
|
1,022
|
(75)
|
947
|
Other movements in reserves
|
(394)
|
|
(394)
|
|
(298)
|
|
(298)
|
|
(309)
|
|
(309)
|
Shareholders’ equity at the beginning of the period
|
6,201
|
(139)
|
6,062
|
|
5,488
|
(64)
|
5,424
|
|
5,488
|
(64)
|
5,424
|
Shareholders’ equity at the end of the period
|
5,639
|
(87)
|
5,552
|
|
5,905
|
(118)
|
5,787
|
|
6,201
|
(139)
|
6,062
|
P Related party disclosures
The nature of the related party transactions of the Group has not changed from those described in the Group's consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2007.
There were no transactions with related parties during the six months ended 30 June 2008 which have had a material effect on the financial position or results of the Group.
Statement of Directors' Responsibilities
The directors are responsible for preparing the Half-Yearly Financial Report in accordance with applicable law and regulations.
Accordingly, the directors confirm that to the best of their knowledge:
- the condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34, 'Interim Financial Reporting', as adopted by the European Union;
- the Half-Yearly Financial Report includes a fair review of information required by:
(a) DTR 4.2.7R of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules, being an indication of important events that have occurred during the six months ended 30 June 2008, and their impact on the condensed consolidated financial statements, and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year; and
(b) DTR 4.2.8R of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules, being related party transactions that have taken place during the six months ended 30 June 2008 and that have materially affected the financial position or the performance of the Group during the period and any changes in the related party transactions described in the Group's consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2007.
The directors of Prudential plc are listed in the Group's Annual Report for the year ended 31 December 2007. Subsequent to the Annual Report, Philip Broadley retired as a director on 15 May 2008.
On behalf of the Board of directors
Tidjane Thiam
Chief Financial Officer
30 July 2008
Independent Review Report by KPMG Audit Plc to Prudential plc
Introduction
We have been engaged by the Company to review the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) basis financial information in the Half-Yearly Financial Report for the six months ended 30 June 2008 set out on pages 15 to 33.
We have read the other information contained in the Half-Yearly Financial Report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the financial information.
This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with the terms of our engagement to assist the Company in meeting the requirements of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules (the DTR) of the United Kingdom's Financial Services Authority (the UK FSA). Our review has been undertaken so that we might state to the Company those matters we are required to state to it in this report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company for our review work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have reached.
Directors' responsibilities
The Half-Yearly Financial Report, including the IFRS basis financial information contained therein, is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors are responsible for preparing the Half-Yearly Financial Report in accordance with the DTR of the UK FSA.
As disclosed in note A, the IFRS basis financial information included in this Half-Yearly Financial Report has been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting', as adopted by the European Union (EU).
Our responsibility
Our responsibility is to express to the Company a conclusion on the IFRS basis financial information in the Half-Yearly Financial Report based on our review.
Scope of review
We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the UK. A review of interim financial information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.
Conclusion
Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the IFRS basis financial information in the Half-Yearly Financial Report for the six months ended 30 June 2008 is not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with IAS 34 as adopted by the EU and the DTR of the UK FSA.
KPMG Audit Plc
Chartered Accountants
London
30 July 2008
Independent Review Report by KPMG Audit Plc to Prudential plc
Introduction
We have been engaged by the Company to review the European Embedded Value (EEV) basis supplementary information for the six months ended 30 June 2008 set out on pages 2 to 14 (the supplementary information).
We have read the other information contained in the Half-Yearly Financial Report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the supplementary information.
This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with the terms of our engagement to provide a review conclusion to the Company on the supplementary information. Our review has been undertaken so that we might state to the Company those matters we have been engaged to state in this report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company for our review work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have reached.
Directors' responsibilities
The Half-Yearly Financial Report, including the supplementary information contained therein, is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors have accepted responsibility for preparing the supplementary information contained in the Half-Yearly Financial Report in accordance with the EEV Principles issued in May 2004 by the European CFO Forum and for determining the methodology and assumptions used in the application of those principles.
The supplementary information has been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles using the methodology and assumptions set out in notes 2 and 3 to the supplementary information. The supplementary information should be read in conjunction with the Group's IFRS basis financial information which is set out on pages 15 to 33.
Our responsibility
Our responsibility is to express to the Company a conclusion on the supplementary information in the Half-Yearly Financial Report based on our review.
Scope of review
We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the UK. A review of supplementary information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.
Conclusion
Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the supplementary information for the six months ended 30 June 2008 is not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the EEV Principles, using the methodology and assumptions set out in notes 2 and 3 to the supplementary information.
KPMG Audit Plc
Chartered Accountants
London
30 July 2008