Update on Operations

Roc Oil Company Limited 20 January 2005 Attention ASX Company Announcements Platform Lodgement of Open Briefing Roc Oil Company Limited Level 14 Market St Sydney NSW 2000 Date of lodgement: 20-Jan-2005 Title: Open Briefing. Roc Oil. Update on Operations Record of interview: corporatefile.com.au ROC Oil Company Limited announced two important deals immediately before and after Christmas. ROC entered into agreements for the sale of 100% of its wholly-owned subsidiary which owns the Saltfleetby Gas Field and it entered into an agreement whereby it will be entitled to acquire up to 26% direct equity in the Ardmore Oil Field and surrounding acreage in the UK North Sea. Firstly, can you outline the completion process for the Saltfleetby deal? CEO John Doran The closing process for Saltfleetby has progressed exceptionally well. We expect the deal to be closed within days. That's pretty quick for a Sydney-based company completing a transaction of this size with an international Joint Venture consisting of a very large German gas company and a Russian company that is one of the biggest gas companies in the world. corporatefile.com.au In the Saltfleetby announcement you estimated that ROC would book an after tax profit from the sale of around $72 million in 2005. Given the completion schedule you've outlined, do you expect any change to that profit number particularly in relation to IFRS? CEO John Doran The sale of Saltfleetby will be booked as part of ROC's 2005 results. Naturally, when we announced the transaction in December 2004, we had to express the anticipated profit in terms of the then prevailing 2004 accounting standards. We haven't yet had a chance to work through the detailed implications of the transition to international accounting standards in 2005. Therefore, it is too early to come up with a new anticipated profit figure in a 2005 context. However, what we can say, with a large degree of confidence, is that the previously quoted A$72 million estimated post tax profit on the sale is not expected to go down! corporatefile.com.au After completing the sale of Saltfleetby, what do you plan to do with ROC's expected cash balance of around $180 million? CEO John Doran It's hard to talk about ROC having a strong balance sheet, or a significant amount of net cash, because we live and operate in the world of multi-national oil companies which are so much bigger and financially stronger. However, compared to many of its peers, ROC does have a solid financial base. It also has a large number of exploration, appraisal, pre-development and development projects underway which will require funding. Since the sale of Saltfleetby - and prior to the option we might exercise over the Ardmore Field in the North Sea - we don't have any significant production revenue at this exact moment in time - which always tends to concentrate the corporate mind. Fortunately, ROC's Senior Management Team, as well as its Board and Advisors, have all been through enough industry cycles to know that the best thing you can do at a time like this is to deploy your financial resources very judiciously.This is why we would not be inclined to put any substantial portion of the money generated by the recent sale of ROC's UK gas field, or the Company's April 2004 Rights Issue, into, for example, a high cost new venture that was pure exploration. corporatefile.com.au Ardmore is undergoing a continuous drilling and workover programme which will unfold during 2005. When announcing that deal, you stated that the results of the programme will determine whether or not the deal is a good one for ROC. Can you give an update on what's happening with Ardmore? CEO John Doran In summary: so far, so good; but it is still early days. At the moment it is nice to have an option rather than an equity stake but, if all goes well, we will switch into an equity position in a few months time. Apart from some typical North Sea weather downtime, which is within the bounds assumed by our commercial evaluation, production at Ardmore is behaving well: around 8,000 BOPD. The oil price is also behaving well with Brent crude recently trading around US$45/BBL. The production is in line with expectations while the actual oil price is well above our assumed price scenario. Subject to the usual operational caveats, the Ardmore Joint Venture will bring a third well on to production in February if a workover planned for later this month is successful. Immediately after that workover, the Joint Venture will be looking to drill a fourth well, which, it is hoped, will bump the field's production to above 12,000 BOPD, within the next three or four months. That would be just over 3,000 BOPD net to ROC if we exercise our full 26% option entitlement and that would be effectively backdated to December 2004. corporatefile.com.au The joint venture partners involved in the Mauritanian drilling program have released a lot of information to ASX over the last few months. What is ROC's view on the drilling results and the progress you've made over the last few months? CEO John Doran ROC's view of what is happening in Mauritania hasn't changed in the last many months. The area is developing into an important new petroleum province offshore Northwest Africa - but it is still very early days. We still have a huge amount to learn about the detailed nature of the various oil and gas plays - and, in this regard, every new well helps. Development of the Chinguetti Field is progressing and first oil in still expected in early 2006. It's worth reminding ourselves that this is a deep water development in a remote part of Northwest Africa where, until very recently, there was no industry infrastructure. Consequently, the development of Chinguetti is a significant project for Woodside as operator. Clearly, the Tiof Field is large. However, with six wells drilled into the reservoir and, for a variety of valid operational reasons, none tested, I think we would all like to flow oil and recover some oil samples to help us determine the best way to develop this substantial resource. A testing programme is scheduled to happen soon. The Tevet discovery gave us a 1 in 4 success rate from the exploration wells drilled in late 2004. That is less than our previous strike rate, which was 100% for the Miocene Channel play. Of course, if you are batting at a 100% success rate there's only one way it can go - sooner or later, it will change for the worse and you will inevitably drill some dry exploration holes. In our case, it just so happened that those wells were the ones that were drilled most recently. Elsewhere in the petroleum world a 1 in 4 exploration success rate would be considered a good result. We should also remember that ROC has interests throughout offshore Mauritania, not just in the Woodside-operated area. Although the other offshore sub-basins are at an even earlier point on the exploration learning curve than the Woodside-operated area, there is no reason why, given time, they shouldn't also enjoy a similar measure of success. Perhaps, the biggest danger that faced the market in relation to Mauritania last year was an understandable over exuberance fuelled by expectations that were unrealistically high and running well ahead of industry statistics - but, then, I guess, that's just a normal situation in an area where the drilling results have been so good. corporatefile.com.au In Equatorial Guinea, ROC has a 15% free carry through the next well. Can you update your exploration activities there? CEO John Doran Because of other priorities, a 20% participant gave notice of its intention to walk away from this deep water permit towards the end of last year. Next month that equity will be distributed, on a pro rata basis, between the remaining participants: Pioneer, Atlas and ROC. As a result, ROC's equity will increase from 15% to 18.75%. ROC's original 15% will still be free-carried through the next well which is scheduled to be drilled during 2005 while the 3.75% additional equity will be funded by ROC which will also operate the well. corporatefile.com.au In late October 2004, ROC agreed to trigger the Production Sharing Agreement relating to the Cabinda South Block, onshore Angola. At that time you expected work to start on the ground during the first half of 2005. What's the latest with your work in Angola? CEO John Doran As stated in previous announcements, the acquisition of a 20% additional interest in the Cabinda South Block was always subject to Government approval. As of last month, the timeframe for receipt of that approval lapsed. On this basis, we now think it is unlikely that ROC will acquire that additional interest. Separately, ROC stills plans to farmout about 20% of its interest in the Block. We are also still on track to start a 3D seismic survey in May 2005. corporatefile.com.au Are you pursuing any other opportunities in West Africa which have reached an interesting stage? CEO John Doran We are continually looking at new opportunities within all four core regions: UK, Africa, Australia/New Zealand and China. We certainly like West Africa. We would love to find a suitable new project in that region that met all our investment criteria. Therefore, the short answer is: yes, we are actively looking at new opportunities offshore West Africa. However, quite frankly, I would have given you the same answer at any stage during the last several years. Very few of the opportunities that appear on a company's new venture radar screen ever come to fruition, it's always a case of looking at many and, perhaps, ending up with one or two. Just by way of example, last month ROC joined an offshore West Africa Acreage Application Group as a minority equity participant and designated Technical Manager/Operator. At the moment we do not know if the Application Group will be successful in acquiring any acreage. Even if the Group is offered a block all that will signal is the start of a negotiation process which is likely to be very lengthy. Until such negotiations are completed ROC does not have any commitment. However, in the context of your question this situation does illustrate the fact that ROC routinely reviews, and under the right circumstances would seek to acquire, new acreage offshore West Africa. corporatefile.com.au Your China acreage has given you some encouraging exploration results although the highly viscous nature of the oil means a development is problematic. What's your current view on the potential of this acreage and what are your current objectives? CEO John Doran We continue to like the potential of China's energy business. With regard to ROC's Block 22/12 in the Beibu Gulf, we've been on a bit of a rollercoaster for most of the last 12 months. Currently, we are at an inflection point on that switchback ride where we are cautiously optimistic that one of the small fields will be a serious candidate for development in conjunction with a cluster of developments in an adjacent area. If this development proceeds it may have a knock-on effect that will bring on a string of other small oil accumulations - both discovered and hoped for - which, collectively, could be significant to ROC. The key will be getting the first development across the line. There is no assurance that that will happen - but if it doesn't it won't be for lack of trying by all parties. We will have a much better idea during the next several months. As for the Block's exploration potential: it looks quite encouraging and although individual prospects are small to modest in size, collectively, they too could prove to be material to ROC. Therefore, for ROC in China, 2005 is expected to be a year of development studies and possibly one exploration well, subject to rig availability. corporatefile.com.au Can you update the current timetable for Cliff Head Oil Field including when you expect the Final Investment Decision? Are there any significant hurdles to overcome? CEO John Doran For some time now the Final Investment Decision ('FID') for Cliff Head has been scheduled for end-January 2005. Currently, the Joint Venture is considering whether or not FID should be delayed to late February so that the results of the next well, CH-5, can be incorporated into the development planning. If the Joint Venture decides to postpone the FID until after CH-5 we do not expect that there will be any extra consequential project delay compared to FID at end-January 2005 because the key processes will continue as if FID had been formalised at end-January. However, the most reliable date for first oil is now 1Q2006 because the previous stretch target of end-2005 is looking increasingly ambitious. In recent weeks we have received tenders for the various contracts. We are still going through the tender evaluation process. So far it looks like the capex numbers, including a A$20 million contingency, will be about 25% above the most recent prediction made several months ago which was almost A$200 million. This potential increase in capital cost is unwelcome but it is not surprising given the buoyant international and Australian market for resource industry contractors which, in Western Australia, is at a 20 year high. Fortunately, the oil price has also headed off in the same upward direction as the capex costs - which is not entirely coincidental. The net effect is that, although the capex figures are now threatening to be rather ugly compared to expectations in October 2004, the project remains within ROC's funding ability and the field's economic viability remains essentially intact - provided that there are no further significant capex increases, oil prices stay at, or above, US$30/BBL and recoverable proved and probable reserve estimates continue to hover in the 18 to 21 MMBO, or greater, range. In the context of the new capex figures, the next well to be drilled at Cliff Head, CH-5, will take on a greater significance with regard to mitigating risk than was originally envisaged when it was proposed last year. Subject to receipt of the rig on schedule at the beginning of February, CH-5 will drill into the East Ridge part of the field and is expected to be through the reservoir by mid-February 2005. corporatefile.com.au Thank you John. For further information on ROC please visit www.rocoil.com.au or call John Doran on (02) 8356 2000. To read other Open Briefings, or to receive future Open Briefings by email, please visit www.corporatefile.com.au Dr Kevin Hird General Manager Business Development Tel: +44 (0)207 586 7935 Fax: +44 (0)207 722 3919 Email: khird@rocoil.com.au Nick Lambert Bell Pottinger Corporate & Financial Tel: +44 (0)207 861 3232 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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