Interim Results

Templeton Emerging Markets IT PLC 17 December 2001 PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT TEMPLETON EMERGING MARKETS INVESTMENT TRUST PLC ('TEMIT') ('the Company') Interim Results for the six months to 31 October 2001 The Company today announced its interim results for the period to 31 October 2001. CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT To Shareholders: Emerging markets have been affected in the last six months by concerns over the U.S. economy and slowing global growth as discussed in the Investment Review on page 8. In addition, the dramatic events in the United States on 11 September 2001 had a global impact and increased the uncertainty surrounding the world markets. At 31 October 2001 your Company had net assets of £545.9 million, compared with £619.0 million at 30 April 2001 and £629.1 million at 31 October 2000. Undiluted net asset value per share at the half-year stage was 119.6p, down 11.8% since the last financial year end. Over the same period the MSCI Emerging Markets Free Index, on a total return basis, fell by 18.8% and the S& P/IFCI Composite Index also declined by 17.9%. As a result of our assessment that there had been a shift in valuations for a number of emerging market stocks, we decided to make major changes in the portfolio composition. This necessitated substantial sales of existing positions during August and September in preparation for purchases of newly identified investment opportunities. Thus as at 31 October 2001 the Company had higher cash levels and was 64.3% invested in equities compared to 90.1% at 30 April 2001. As shown on page 6 the largest country weightings at 31 October 2001 were China, South Africa and Mexico. The Far East and Pacific regions had the largest exposure at 29.4% (23.8% at 30 April 2001), followed by Latin America at 11.7% (29.3% at 30 April 2001), with sub-Saharan Africa, Emerging Europe and the Middle East accounting for the remainder of the assets. At 31 October 2001, the discount to net asset value was 22.0% and the share price was 93.2p, down 17.9% from six months ago. Since 31 October 2001 the discount has narrowed to 14.63% as at 17 December 2001. Despite increased concerns over the U.S. economy and slowing growth globally, we believe that the key reasons favouring emerging markets investment are still intact. We are continuing our search for value to build positions in equities which we deem to be trading at appealing prices. The Honourable Nicholas F Brady 17 December 2001 STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN For the six months to 31 October 2001 Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 (unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited) INCOME (Losses)/gains on investments - (77,469) (77,469) Investment income 7,440 - 7,440 Interest income 3,215 - 3,215 10,655 (77,469) (66,814) EXPENSES Administrative expenses (4,407) - (4,407) RETURN BEFORE TAXATION 6,248 (77,469) (71,221) Taxation (1,946) - (1,946) RETURN AFTER TAXATION 4,302 (77, 469) (73,167) Dividend in respect of equity shares - - - TOTAL RETURN FOR THE PERIOD 4,302 (77,469) (73,167) Return per ordinary share 0.94p (16.98p) (16.04p) Note: The capital element of returns is not distributable. The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (CONTINUED) For the six months to 31 October 2000 Year to 30 April 2001 Restated Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 (unaudited) (unaudited) (unaudited) (audited) (audited) (audited) - (106,297) (106,297) - (113,570) (113,570) 6,785 - 6,785 15,307 - 15,307 3,183 - 3,183 3,647 - 3,647 9,968 (106,297) (96,329) 18,954 (113,570) (94,616) (5,321) - (5,321) (10,007) - (10,007) 4,647 (106,297) (101,650) 8,947 (113,570) (104,623) (1,273) - (1,273) (2,692) - (2,692) 3,374 (106,297) (102,923) 6,255 (113,570) (107,315) - - - (5,628) - (5,628) 3,374 (106,297) (102,923) 627 (113,570) (112,943) 0.72p (22.84p) (22.12p) 1.36p (24.64p) (23.28p) Dividend Policy In accordance with the Company's stated policy, no interim dividend is declared for the period. (A dividend of 1.25 pence per Ordinary Share was paid for the year ended 30 April 2001.) Restated Figures for the Year to 30 April 2001 Following clarification of the treatment of bond interest the results for the year to 30 April 2001 have been restated to reflect an item of capital that had been treated as income. The effect of the restatement is as follows: Statement of Total Return Reduction in interest income £1,992,000 Reduction in taxation charge £598,000 Reduction in losses on investments £1,992,000 Balance Sheet Reduction in creditors £598,000 Increase in capital reserve - realised £1,992,000 Decrease in revenue reserves £1,394,000 BALANCE SHEET As at As at As at 31 October 31 October 30 April 2001 2000 2001 £'000 £'000 Restated (unaudited) (unaudited) £'000 (audited) FIXED ASSETS Investments 351,148 561,845 557,774 CURRENT ASSETS Debtors 17,654 23,859 10,550 Current asset investments 200,774 20,039 45,429 Cash 2,195 32,103 16,207 220,623 76,001 72,186 CREDITORS: amounts falling due within (25,884) (8,361) (10,473) one year NET CURRENT ASSETS 194,739 67,640 61,713 TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES 545,887 629,485 619,487 PROVISION FOR LIABILITIES AND CHARGES (21) (358) (456) NET ASSETS 545,866 629,127 619,031 CAPITAL AND RESERVES Called-up share capital 114,081 114,081 114,081 Share premium account 275,308 275,306 275,306 Capital redemption reserve 3,655 3,655 3,655 Capital reserve - realised 205,128 292,278 257,176 Capital reserve - unrealised (69,888) (72,296) (44,467) Revenue reserve 17,582 16,103 13,280 SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (all equity) 545,866 629,127 619,031 Net asset value per ordinary share (in pence) - Basic 119.62 137.87 135.66 - Fully diluted n/a 137.04 135.21 The Restatement at 30 April 2001 is explained on page 3. CASH FLOW STATEMENT For the six For the six months For the months to to 31 October 2001 year 31 October £'000 to 30 2001 April (unaudited) 2001 £'000 Restated (unaudited) £'000 (audited) Reconciliation of operating profit to net cash inflow from operating activities Operating activities 6,248 4,647 8,947 Decrease in debtors 17 34 22 (Increase)/decrease in accrued (3,309) 2,457 259 income (Decrease) in creditors (262) (145) (125) Increase/(decrease) in provisions 63 - (36) Net cash inflow from operating 2,757 6,993 9,067 activities Cash flow statement Net cash inflow from operating 2,757 6,993 9,067 activities Taxation (692) (309) (1,739) Financial investments 144,862 (57,519) (48,794) 146,927 (50,835) (41,466) Dividends paid (5,704) (5,104) (5,104) 141,223 (55,939) (46,570) Management of liquid resources (155,267) 9,830 (15,631) Financing 2 (17,932) (17,932) (Decrease) in cash (14,042) (64,041) (80,133) Reconciliation of net cash flow to movement in net funds (Decrease) in cash in the period (14,042) (64,041) (80,133) Cash inflow/(outflow) from increase/ (decrease) in liquid resources 155,267 (9,830) 15,631 Movement in net funds 141,225 (73,871) (64,502) Foreign exchange translation and 108 (114) 11 other differences Opening net funds 61,636 126,127 126,127 Closing net funds 202,969 52,142 61,636 The unaudited interim financial information, which does not comprise full statutory accounts in terms of the Companies Act 1985, has been prepared on the basis of the accounting policies in the statutory accounts for the year ended 30 April 2001. The statutory accounts, which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies, received an unqualified audit report and did not contain a statement under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. GEOGRAPHIC ASSET DISTRIBUTION AS AT 31 OCTOBER 2001 AS AT 30 APRIL 2001 COUNTRY % % China 8.05 0.95 South Africa 6.35 15.13 Mexico 6.01 13.57 Korea (South) 5.44 7.96 Thailand 4.49 6.33 Hong Kong 4.17 5.70 Brazil 3.54 6.64 Turkey 3.41 6.91 Hungary 3.32 1.20 Indonesia 3.14 2.41 Singapore 2.30 2.76 Argentina 2.15 2.37 Russia 1.92 1.58 Greece 1.80 0.67 India 1.61 1.38 Poland 1.57 5.08 Egypt 1.38 1.49 Philippines 1.21 1.20 Finland 0.68 0.17 Malaysia 0.66 0.58 Estonia 0.41 0.37 Croatia 0.30 0.53 Czech Republic 0.28 1.29 Austria 0.14 0.00 Taiwan 0.00 1.43 Pakistan 0.00 0.99 Venezuela 0.00 0.73 Columbia 0.00 0.37 Israel 0.00 0.21 Chile 0.00 0.08 Slovak Republic 0.00 0.01 Liquid Assets 35.67 9.91 100.00 100.00 TOP TWENTY HOLDINGS As at 31 October 2001 Company Country Industry Market Value £'000s China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., H China Integrated Oil & Gas 18,815 South African Breweries PLC South Brewers 17,340 Africa SK Telecom Co. Ltd. South Wireless 13,979 Korea Telecommunication Services Kimberly Clark de Mexico SA de CV, A Mexico Paper Products 10,387 Cemex SA Mexico Construction Materials 10,274 Hellenic Telecommunications Greece Integrated 9,830 Organisation SA (OTE) Telecommunication Services Samsung SDI Co. Ltd. South Electronic Equipment & 9,261 Korea Instruments PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia TBK, B Indonesia Integrated 8,957 Telecommunication Services Quilmes Industrial SA, ADR, B Argentina Brewers 8,701 Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA Poland Oil & Gas Refining & 8,591 Marketing MOL Magyar Olaj-Es Gazipari Rt. Hungary Integrated Oil & Gas 8,528 PetroChina Co. Ltd., H China Integrated Oil & Gas 8,093 Telefonos de Mexico SA (TELMEX), L, Mexico Integrated 7,983 ADR Telecommunication Services Tupras-Turkiye Petrol Rafineleri AS Turkey Oil & Gas Refining & 7,865 Marketing Gedeon Richter Ltd. Hungary Pharmaceuticals 7,492 Siam Commercial Bank, 5.25%, cvt. Thailand Banks 7,351 pfd., fgn. Companhia Paranaense De Brazil Electric Utilities 7,312 Energia-Copel, B, pfd. Fraser and Neave Ltd. Singapore Brewers 7,133 Remgro Ltd. South Industrial Conglomerates 6,808 Africa Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA Brazil Electric Utilities 6,628 (Eletrobras), B, pfd. Top 20 Holdings - 35.05% of Net 191,328 Assets INVESTMENT REVIEW This is the semi-annual report for the Templeton Emerging Markets Investment Trust PLC covering the six-month period ending 31 October 2001. Overview Many emerging markets suffered during the last six months as a result of increased concerns over the US economy and for that matter, slowing growth globally. The debt problems experienced by Argentina and Turkey also led to lower investor confidence. The horrific attacks in New York and Washington D.C. on 11 September disrupted virtually every facet of normal day-to-day life in the United States and had a global impact. International capital markets were affected, with many key Exchanges temporarily closed, and increased volatility in prices of commodities, currencies and other market assets. The subsequent war on terrorism and the anthrax scare have also led to greater uncertainty. It does not seem an easy task for the U.S., but we remain optimistic that the Middle East conflicts may be resolved. Portfolio Changes & Investment Strategies In such an environment, we discovered more opportunities in a number of markets, which in our opinion had excessively corrected, not due to a lack of improving fundamentals or economic breakdown but due to panic selling and a general loss of interest. While many investors stayed on the sidelines, we used the downturn to build positions in equities we deemed were trading at appealing valuations. During the period, efforts aimed at restructuring the portfolio resulted in the divestment of complete holdings in Israel, Pakistan, Taiwan, Chile, Colombia, Venezuela and the Slovak Republic. The Fund also reduced its exposure to South Africa, as we believed that some of the companies had exceeded their fair value as a result of share price appreciations experienced during the period. For example, sales included Astral Food Limited where returns of over 38% were experienced. As a result, cash levels rose from the 25.96% recorded at the beginning of the quarter to 35.67% as of end October 2001. However, the cash level has been reduced to single-digit at the time of writing. While our objective is always to be fully invested in the best possible opportunities available in the market place, cash levels will always increase when we are moving from one position to another. In fact because of our value strategy, we have begun using our cash to take advantage of the recent downturn in many stock markets to accumulate undervalued stocks around the world. The Company's exposure to China-related stocks was augmented as we believe that China's imminent entry into the World Trade Organisation and the hosting of the Olympic Games in 2008 could lead to greater opportunities for earnings growth for Chinese companies. Exposure to Hungarian companies also increased, as they are trading at attractive multiples. Economic recovery in Hungary is also well on its way with sustainable growth and improving inflation. As a result of the positive corporate changes in Indonesia, exposure to that nation was increased. On the other hand, holdings in Korea and Hong Kong were decreased as some of the holdings there continued to under perform due to their export dependence. Exposure to Mexico also fell due to a reduction in firms that are expected to be impacted by a downturn in the US economy. Holdings in Brazil were also reduced as contagion from Argentina continued to impact Brazilian stock markets. Within the top 10 holdings, Telekomunikasi (Indonesia), Kimberly Clark (Mexico), Korean companies, SK Telecom and Samsung SDI, OTE Hellenic Telecommunications (Greece), Quilmes (Argentina) and China Petroleum & Chemical (Hong Kong 'H' share) replaced Samsung Electronics (Korea), Cheung Kong (Hong Kong), Banacci (Mexico), South African companies, Sasol and Anglo American Corp., Banco Bradesco (Brazil) and Tupras (Turkey). Political Climate In Asia, the Constitutional Court acquitted Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra of graft charges. This single event removed the political uncertainty that had hindered his administration since it took office and should now allow Thaksin to concentrate on implementing key reforms. In Indonesia, Vice-President Megawati Sukarnoputri took over the presidency after the Parliament voted to remove Abdurrahman Wahid. Both of those South East Asian nations have undergone tremendous strains, both politically and economically, but we expect the new governments to work towards the swift implementation of key reforms to expedite recovery and attract foreign investment. In May, the US Secretary of State, Colin Powell toured Africa and commended South Africa for its progress on the democracy front and said that he supported free trade with Africa and democracy on the continent. Furthermore, the government plans to strengthen the protection given to landowners. We believe that the government is moving in the right direction and hope that the implementation of much needed reforms is accelerated. Moving to Latin America, in December 2001, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) refused to disburse additional loans to Argentina due to the non-compliance with the agreement signed in December 2000. These funds were critical for the country to keep on servicing interest and principal maturities, given that Argentina has been out of the voluntary financial markets since the end of 1999. It should be noted that the negotiation with the IMF is not dead, and that the organisation has asked Argentina to make some fiscal adjustments in order to unlock the funds that were due in December. However, political disagreements continue to bar the implementation of the adjustments. Furthermore, with the opposition Peronist party's strengthened position in Congress (it has now replaced the government alliance as the largest party in the Lower House in the 14 October elections), greater pressure may be upon on President Fernando de la Rua. In addition, the government also partially froze bank accounts by limiting withdrawal and transfers for the next three months in an attempt to prevent excessive outflows of funds from the financial system. In Brazil, the presidential elections scheduled for next year may divert attention away from the implementation of much needed reforms. Energy rationing during the first few months of the period also exerted pressure on the nation. Though as a result of higher reservoir levels, the government announced that it would ease the energy rationing measures from November onwards. In Europe, Poland's elections saw the Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) emerge victorious. However, in order to gain a majority position, the SLD formed a coalition government with the Polish Peasant Party (PSL) and the Labor Union (UP), the establishment of which could lead to greater stability and greater power to implement policy changes. As a result of Russia's robust 2000 growth and higher revenues due to 10-year high oil prices last year, the nation announced that it was prepared to repay its loans to the International Monetary Fund ahead of schedule. International credit agencies, Fitch and Standard & Poor's, raised their respective ratings and outlook for Russia as the country's macro-economic performance and pace of structural reforms continue to impress the markets. Economic Conditions Despite slowing economic growth and exports, we expect Asia to continue to attract foreign investment. Most Asian economies should continue to benefit from lower interest rates in the US and improving regional cooperation initiatives. Continued recovery, albeit slower than seen after the Asian crisis, along with active reforms and restructuring should further result in expanded domestic demand. During August, South Korea repaid the final instalment of its loan from the International Monetary Fund ahead of schedule. This clearly signals a strengthening economy on the right track. The economy grew 2.7% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2001, faster than many of its regional counterparts. Most Latin American economies suffered as a result of the uncertainty in Argentina, although an agreement to provide US$8 billion in additional loans to Argentina from the IMF provided some temporary relief to investors. The closure of the financial markets in the US resulted in great volatility across Latin America and all international markets for that matter. However, we believe that over the longer term, markets should be able to recover. As a result of the crisis in Argentina and the energy crisis and rationing, Brazilian GDP grew just 0.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2001 and actually fell 1% quarter-on-quarter. In Eastern Europe, aspirations of convergence to European Union standards continued to push most markets to thrive towards positive change. Concerns over slowing economic growth led Poland's Central Bank to cut key interest rates by 150 basis points in October, its fifth cut this year. This could augur well for companies with debt, as it would lead to lower interest payments, thus allowing companies to divert funds elsewhere. For the first half of 2001, Poland's trade deficit reduced to US$7.1 billion from US$9 billion a year earlier. In line with slowing global growth, South Africa's GDP grew 2.5% in the second quarter, slightly slower than the 2.7% growth recorded in the first quarter. Outlook Despite the dramatic events of 11 September, we believe that the key reasons favouring emerging markets investments are still intact. Indeed, as a result of the panic selling in September, we find that many markets are exhibiting strong fundamentals and are at low levels when compared to their historical highs. Our high levels of liquidity enable us to invest in stocks at low prices because of positioning of the portfolio during the six months. As we continue our search for bargains, we have made every attempt to mitigate some of the risks by focusing on companies that do not rely on exports to the US but instead on the respective domestic economies for earnings and growth. Of course, if the whole world is in recession, there is no escaping the repercussions but by positioning the portfolios defensively we can outperform and preserve assets under management. Thank you for your continued interest and support. Dr. Mark Mobius, Ph.D. Director 17 December 2001 Copies of the Interim Report will shortly be sent to shareholders. For information please contact Richard Locke/William Simmonds at Cazenove & Co. Ltd (0207 588 2828). No representation or warranty is made by Cazenove & Co. Ltd as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this announcement and no liability will be accepted for any loss arising from its use. These figures have been prepared by Franklin Templeton Investments and are their sole responsibility. End of Announcement.
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