Final Results
Glasgow Income Trust PLC
14 November 2000
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
Glasgow Income Trust's principal objective is to provide shareholders with a
high level of income and to obtain growth in both income and capital over the
longer term. The Company is managed by Glasgow Investment Managers.
Preliminary Announcement of Results for Year Ended 30 September 2000
* Introduction of higher gearing through Zero Coupon Finance strategy with
the objective of increasing the yield on net assets and reducing the
discount.
* Revenue per ordinary share up 28.3% reflecting introduction of higher
gearing. Final dividend of 1.55p per share which brings total dividends for
year to 3.7p, an increase of 23.3% over the corresponding period last year.
* As a result of the benefit to revenue of higher gearing for a full year,
the Board intends to pay a dividend of not less than 4.7p in the year to 30
September 2001, representing a net yield of 7.2%, based on the share price of
65p at 31 October 2000.
* Total return to shareholders was 0.5%. Performance relative to the
Company's benchmark, the FTSE All Share Index, was adversely affected by
underweight positions in low yielding pharmaceutical and technology stocks,
which performed well over the year.
* With expectations that lower inflation in the UK will lead to a fall in
interest rates, the equity outlook is favourable, particularly for cyclical
stocks offering above average yields.
For further information please contact:
David Williams, Managing Director
Glasgow Investment Managers 0141 572 2700
GLASGOW INCOME TRUST plc
ANNUAL REPORT
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT
Investment Strategy
In the year to 30 September 2000 the investment strategy of the Company
changed with a view principally of increasing the yield to shareholders.
Following the introduction of the new strategy, revenue per ordinary share
increased by 28.3% in the year.
When Glasgow Income Trust was launched, in July 1988, the initial yield on
net assets was 7.5%, which compared with a yield of 4.25% on the All-Share
Index at that time. Until 1995 the shares traded more often at a premium to
net asset value per share than at a discount. In that year, the yield on net
assets fell below 7.5% and stayed below that level. At about the same time
the share price moved below net asset value per share, where it has remained.
It appeared that the lower yield was a significant factor in the subsequent
persistence of the discount.
The level of the discount has been a matter of concern to the Board for some
time and several different possible strategies were reviewed. While it was
considered desirable to raise the yield on net assets with a view to
encouraging a fall in the discount, the Directors sought also to retain the
growth characteristics of the portfolio and did not wish to introduce a
complex capital structure to the Company.
Gearing through Zero Coupon Finance
It was decided to introduce higher gearing to the Company so that the yield
on net assets might be raised. At the end of May £9.9 million of zero coupon
finance, repayable in 2005, was raised through a series of option
transactions on the FTSE 100 Index. The structure of the strategy is such
that the amount of liability is unaffected by movements of the FTSE 100 Index
in either an upward or downward direction. The counterparty in these
transactions is a leading global bank and the details of options purchased
and sold are set out in the Investment Managers' Review in the Report and
Accounts.
As the initial proceeds, maturity value and term of the strategy are known,
so is the annualised cost of the finance raised, 7.19% per annum. Although
the total cost of the funds raised is predetermined, its incidence over time
and the final outcome in respect of each constituent option are not, as both
are determined by market price movements.
As a result of the nature of this fund-raising strategy, the net movement in
the value of the options involved is a charge to capital reserve and there is
no charge to revenue.
This form of financing has two principal advantages over zero dividend
preference shares. It is less expensive and it can be repaid or rolled over
at or before the maturity of the strategy without the liquidation or
restructuring of the Company as may be required on the redemption of zero
dividend preference shares.
Investment Background
The year to 30 September 2000 was a challenging and volatile period for
investors in higher-yielding UK equities. In the first half the stock market
was driven by enthusiasm for the low-yielding telecoms, media and technology
stocks in the so-called 'new economy'. The return on the FTSE Higher Yield
Index over those six months was -3.3 %, lagging some way behind the 11.2%
return on the FTSE All-Share Index. In the second half the more conventional
merits of the companies in the less fashionable 'old economy' reasserted
themselves and for the year as a whole the Higher Yield Index returned 7.0%,
a little below the 9.6% return on the All-Share Index.
Investment Returns
The total return on net assets was 0.5%. Performance relative to benchmark
was adversely affected by the underweight positions in pharmaceutical and
technology stocks, which performed well over the year but did not offer high
yields which would contribute to the income objective, and the overweight
position in General Retailers, a sector which offered attractive yields but
which performed poorly. In the last quarter, the investments in Media stocks
suffered a setback when the Monopolies and Mergers Commission blocked the
proposed merger between United News and Carlton Communications.
Earnings and Dividends
As a result of the introduction of the new strategy in June, the Revenue
Return per ordinary share rose by 28.3%, from 3.21p to 4.12p. The Board is
recommending a final dividend of 1.55p per share, which will bring total
dividends for the year to 3.7p, an increase of 23.3% over the level of
dividends paid last year. If approved, the final dividend will be paid on 28
February 2000 to shareholders on the register at close of business on 2
February 2001.
As the Company's revenues will benefit from the higher gearing being in place
for the whole year to 30 September 2001, the Board intends to pay total
dividends of not less than 4.7p per share. At the share price of 69.5p as at
30 September 2000 that would represent a net yield of 6.8%.
Portfolio Profile
The yield on the portfolio has been raised by investing the additional
gearing in corporate fixed interest securities, which are researched and
monitored by the Managers in the same way as the portfolio of convertible
securities has been managed in the past. It is intended that the growth
characteristics of the Company's portfolio will be maintained by ensuring
that, allowing for the investment policy being followed from time to time,
the portfolio exposure to ordinary shares will be approximately equal to the
value of net assets.
At 30 September 2000, with the new strategy in place, total gearing was
49.7%, with exposure to ordinary shares at 97.2% and investment in fixed
income securities 52.5% all expressed as a percentage of net assets.
Discount
Since the strategy was implemented the discount has fallen from 14.6% at 31
May 2000 to 5.8% at 30 September 2000.
Outlook
Recent statistics show that business activity in the USA grew more slowly in
the third quarter of 2000 than for over a year and that weaker growth of
aggregate demand was accompanied by lower inflation. This seems to confirm
that higher interest rates and the rise in the oil price have combined to
restrain the economy. A similar picture is emerging in the UK, where output
growth has been less robust and inflation lower. If these developments
encourage expectations that interest rates will fall, equities are likely to
respond favourably, particularly cyclical stocks which offer above average
yields and are well represented in the Company's portfolio.
Annual Report and Annual General Meeting
The Annual Report will be mailed to shareholders on 14 November 2000 and the
Annual General Meeting will be held at Clydeport, 16 Robertson Street,
Glasgow G2 8DS on Wednesday 13 December at 12 noon.
R G Hanna
Chairman 14 November 2000
Consolidated Statement of Total Return
(incorporating the Revenue Account*)
for the year ended 30 September 2000
2000 1999
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
0
(Losses)/Gains on
investments - (970) (970) - 3,359 3,359
Income 1,630 - 1,630 1,314 - 1,314
Investment
management
fee 80 80 160 72 72 144
Other
administrative
expenses 158 - 158 171 17 188
NET
RETURN BEFORE
FINANCE COSTS
AND TAXATION 1,392 (1,050) 342 1,071 3,270 4,341
Finance costs of
borrowings 102 102 204 74 74 148
RETURN ON
ORDINARY ACTIVITIES
BEFORE TAXATION 1,290 (1,152) 138 997 3,196 4,193
Taxation 10 - 10 - - -
RETURN ON
ORDINARY ACTIVITIES
AFTER TAXATION FOR
THE FINANCIAL YEAR 1,280 (1,152) 128 997 3,196 4,193
Dividends on
equity shares 1,148 - 1,148 931 - 931
TRANSFER
TO RESERVES 132 (1,152) (1,020) 66 3,196 3,262
Return per
ordinary share 4.12p (3.71)p 0.41p 3.21p 10.30p 13.51p
Dividends per
ordinary share 3.70p 3.00p
* The revenue column of this statement is the consolidated revenue
account of the Group.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
No operations were acquired or discontinued in the year.
There were no movements in shareholders' funds other than the amounts shown
above as transfers to reserves.
The financial information set out above and on the following page does not
constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 30 September
1999 and 2000 but is derived from those accounts. Statutory accounts for 1999
have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and those for 2000 will be
delivered following the Company's annual general meeting. The auditors have
reported on those accounts; their reports were unqualified and did not
contain statements under section 237 (2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
Distribution of Assets
30 September 2000 30 September 1999
Market % of Market % of
Value Shareholders' Value Shareholders'
£000 Funds £000 Funds
Ordinary shares 22,261 97.2 25,247 105.5
Convertibles 2,089 9.1 3,156 13.2
Corporate Bonds 9,949 43.4 - -
Unquoted bonds - - 488 2.0
_____ ____ _____ ____
34,299 149.7 28,891 120.7
Net current
liabilities (1,058) (4.6) (4,962) (20.7)
Zero coupon finance (10,332) (45.1) - -
22,909 100.0 23,929 100.0
Net asset value per
ordinary share 73.80p 77.09p
Analysis of Portfolio
2000 1999
% %
Resources 7.7 8.5
Basic industries 5.2 11.9
General industrials 2.8 9.7
Non-cyclical consumer goods 10.6 5.8
Cyclical services 17.2 30.4
Non-cyclical services 14.2 5.8
Utilities 5.5 7.9
Financials and investment trusts 32.9 20.0
Information technology 3.9 -
100.0 100.0
____ ____
The portfolio is wholly invested in the United Kingdom.