Final Results - Part 1
WPP Group PLC
29 February 2008
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 29 February 2008
WPP
2007 PRELIMINARY RESULTS
Billings up over 5% to £31.7 billion
Revenue up almost 5% to £6.186billion
Constant currency revenue up over 8%
Like-for-like revenue up 5%
Headline EBITDA rises over 7% to £1.072 billion
Headline operating margin up 0.5 margin points to 15.0%
Headline operating profit before interest and tax up 8% to £928 million
Headline Profit before tax up almost 7% to £817 million
Profit before tax up over 5% to £719 million
Diluted headline earnings per share up over 9% at 46.0p
Final dividend up 20% to 9.13p per share
• Billings up over 5% to £31.7 billion.
• Reported revenue up 4.7% to £6.186 billion, up 8.2% in constant
currency.
• Like-for-like revenue up 5.0%.
• Headline EBITDA rises over 7% from £1.002 billion to £1.072 billion.
• Headline operating profits before interest and tax up 8.0% to £928
million from £859 million.
• Operating margin up 0.5 margin points to 15.0% from 14.5%.
• Headline profits before tax up 6.7% to £817 million from £766 million.
• Profit before tax up 5.5% to £719 million from £682 million.
• Diluted headline earnings per share up 9.5% to 46.0p from 42.0p.
• Reported diluted earnings per share up 8.0% to 38.0p from 35.2p.
• Final dividend up 20% to 9.13p per share making a total for the year of
13.45p up 20% over 2006.
• Average net debt up £305 million to £1,458 million from £1,153 million
(at 2007 exchange rates).
• Record estimated net new billings of over £5.0 billion ($9.8 billion).
• Operating margin targets of 15.5% and 16.0% remain in place for 2008 and
2009.
• Rolling share-buyback programme to continue at 4-5% of outstanding share
capital in 2008.
In this press release not all of the figures and ratios used are readily
available from the unaudited preliminary results included in Appendix I. Where
required, details of how these have been arrived at are shown in the Appendix.
Summary of results
The Board of WPP Group plc ("WPP") announces the unaudited preliminary results
for the year ended 31 December 2007, the Group's twenty-second year. These
record results again reflect the continued steady strength of the world economy,
despite the current credit and liquidity crisis, positively impacting almost all
disciplines and geographies and the strength of the Group's operating brands and
franchise. 2007 also saw an historically unprecedented run of new business wins
across the Group, building a strong base for 2008.
Billings were up 5.1% at £31.7 billion, around $63.5 billion.
Reportable revenue was up 4.7% to £6.186 billion. Revenue, including 100% of
associates, is estimated to total over £7.3 billion. On a constant currency
basis, revenue was up 8.2%, chiefly due to the 8.6% decline in the US dollar
against the pound sterling. Like-for-like revenues, excluding the impact of
acquisitions and on a constant currency basis, were up 5.0%. On the same basis,
gross margin was up 5.1%. Like-for-like revenues were up 5.3% in the first half
of 2007 and up 4.8% in the second half, continuing the strong organic growth of
5.4% in 2006. Fourth quarter revenues were up 4.9%.
The relative weakness of the US dollar against the pound sterling has
highlighted currency differences between those companies that report in US
dollars and those that report in pounds sterling. So that comparisons can more
easily be drawn, we have summarised here the key income statement numbers, as if
the Group had reported in US dollars in 2007. On this basis, revenues were up
13.6% to $12.4 billion, headline profits were up 16.5% to $1.865 billion and
diluted headline earnings per share up 18.1% to 92.6c. Appendix 2 shows WPP's
preliminary results in reportable US dollars.
Headline earnings before interest, depreciation and amortisation ("Headline
EBITDA") rose 7.1% to £1.072 billion and 9.2% in constant currencies. Headline
operating profit was up 8.0% to £928 million and up 10.1% in constant
currencies.
Reported operating costs together with direct costs (but excluding goodwill
impairment, amortisation of acquired intangibles and profits on disposal of
fixed asset investments), rose by 4.2% and by 7.9% in constant currency.
Like-for-like total operating and direct costs rose 4.6%. Reported staff costs,
excluding incentives (which includes the cost of share-based compensation), were
up 4.6%. Incentive payments (including the cost of share-based compensation)
totalled £230.7 million (£246.9 million in 2006), down 6.6%, which represents
20.6% (23.1% in 2006) of headline operating profit before bonuses and income
from associates. Before these incentive payments, operating margins remain
strong at 18.7%. On a reported basis, the Group's staff cost to revenue ratio
improved 0.5 margin points to 58.3% compared with 58.8% in 2006.
Part of the Group's strategy is to continue to increase variable staff costs as
a proportion of total staff costs and revenue, as this provides flexibility to
deal with volatility in revenues and recessions or slow-downs. Through the
cyclical upswing of the 1990s, variable staff costs as a proportion of total
staff costs increased, reaching a peak of 12.1% in 2000. The impact of the
recession in 2001 and 2002 was to reduce this ratio to 9.2% and variable staff
costs as a proportion of revenue to 5.3% (calculated under 2004 UK GAAP). In
2004, following the significant improvement in pre-bonus operating profit and
incentives, variable staff costs as a proportion of staff costs increased. There
was a slight deterioration in 2005, with the ratio declining slightly by 0.4
percentage points, to 12.8% (under IFRS - which includes 1.0 percentage points
attributable to share-based compensation), but in 2006 the ratio strengthened
again to 13.0%. In 2007 the proportion changed marginally by 0.3 percentage
points to 12.7%.
The number of people in the Group averaged 84,848 against 77,686 in 2006, an
increase of 9.2%. On a like-for-like basis, average headcount was up to 84,848
from 81,086, an increase of 4.6%. At the end of 2007, staff numbers were 90,182
compared with 86,254 at the end of 2006 on a like-for-like basis, an increase of
4.6%.
Headline operating profit or profit pre-goodwill impairment, amortisation of
acquired intangibles, interest, tax and investment gains and write-downs was up
8.0% to £928 million from £859 million and up 10.1% in constant currencies.
Reported profit before interest and tax was up 8.1% to £846 million from £783
million and up 10.0% in constant currencies. Headline profit before tax or
profit pre-goodwill impairment, amortisation of acquired intangibles, investment
gains and write-downs, revaluation of financial instruments and tax was up 6.7%
to £817 million from £766 million and up 8.8% in constant currencies. Reported
headline operating margin (including income from associates) increased 0.5
margin points to a record 15.0% from 14.5%, in line with the revised target set
in February 2007.
Net finance costs (excluding the revaluation of financial instruments) were
£110.7 million up from £92.7 million last year, largely reflecting higher
interest rates, the impact of the cash cost of the acquisition of 24/7 Real
Media Inc. in July 2007, partly offset by improved liquidity as a result of a
reduction in average working capital.
Reported profit before tax rose by 5.5% to £719 million, and by 7.4% in constant
currencies.
The Group's tax rate on headline profits was 25.0%, a reduction of one
percentage point over 2006. This reflects the continuing positive impact of the
Group's tax planning initiatives.
Diluted headline earnings per share were up 9.5% at 46.0p. In constant currency,
earnings per share on the same basis were up 13.6%. Diluted earnings per share
rose by 8.0% to 38.0p and by 12.0% in constant currencies.
The Board recommends an increase of 20% in the final dividend to 9.13p per
share, making a total of 13.45p per share for 2007, a 20% increase over 2006.
The record date for this dividend is 6 June 2008, payable on 7 July 2008. The
dividend paid in 2007 is over four times covered by headline earnings.
Further details of WPP's financial performance are provided in Appendix I.
Review of operations
The financial world's sub-prime and insurance monoline credit crisis had little
or no impact on the Group's financial performance in 2007.
Despite the lack of any maxi-quadrennial or mini-quadrennial events, the Group's
financial model continued to deliver, with like-for-like revenues growing at
around 5% and operating profits up around 10%, and with operating margins
growing in-line with the target of 0.5 margin points. Small- and medium-sized
acquisitions brought constant currency revenue growth into the 5-10% range and
earnings per share growth into the 10-15% range, with share buy-backs further
driving earnings per share growth towards 15%. All geographical and functional
segments showed growth. Three geographical growth speeds remain though - fastest
growth in Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa, the Middle East and Central and
Eastern Europe; a surprisingly steady speed in the United States; and a slower
speed in Western Europe.
2007 also marked continued client focus on top-line growth, as corporate
profitability, margins and liquidity continued to improve significantly.
Corporate profitability remains at historically high levels on both sides of the
Atlantic. This resulted in continued high levels of new business activity.
Network television price inflation and declining audiences, fragmentation of
traditional media and rapid development of new technologies continued to drive
experimentation by our clients in new media and non-traditional alternatives.
1998 was really the first year when WPP's marketing services activities
represented over 50% of Group revenue. By 2004, these activities represented
almost 54% of Group revenue. In 2005, they represented 52%, as media investment
management was again the fastest growing part of our business, following major
success in winning media planning and buying consolidations, and reflected the
first time inclusion of Grey Worldwide and MediaCom. In 2006, the underlying
relative strength of the inaptly named "below-the-line" services re-asserted
itself, as marketing services grew to 52.5% of revenues. In 2007, they grew
further to 53.8%. In addition, in 2007, our broadly-defined internet-related
revenue was almost $2.8 billion or 23% of our worldwide reported revenue and our
narrowly-defined internet-related revenue was almost $1.5 billion or 12% of our
worldwide reported revenue. These are both more than the 10% for on-line media's
share of total advertising spend both in the United States and worldwide. The
new media continue to build their share of client spending.
Revenue and operating profit by region
The pattern of revenue growth differed regionally. The table below gives details
of revenue and revenue growth (on a constant currency basis including the impact
of acquisitions) by region for 2007 as well as proportions of operating profits:
Region Revenue as a % Revenue growth Operating profit Like-for-Like
of Total Group % +/(-) 07/06 as a % of Total Revenue growth
Group % +/(-) 07/06
North America 37.6 7.6 43.5 3.8
United Kingdom 14.4 4.0 11.6 2.1*
Continental Europe 26.12 7.0 23.1 3.9
Asia Pacific, 21.9** 13.7 21.8 10.9
Latin America,
Africa & the
Middle East
_____ ____ _____ ____
Total Group 100.0 8.2 100.0 5.0
_____ ____ _____ ____
* Gross margin up 3.4%
** If Central and Eastern Europe is included with the faster growing markets of
Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East, the proportion of Group
revenues represented by these markets rises to 24.4% and Continental Europe
falls to 23.6%.
The United States continues to grow, with like-for-like growth of almost 4%,
Latin America remained one of the fastest growing regions, as it has been over
the last three years, accelerating in the second half to almost 14%. Asia
Pacific remained strong across the region, with Mainland China and India growing
fastest, with like-for-like growth rates of over 31% and almost 23%
respectively. Continental Europe, although relatively more difficult, improved
significantly in the second half, with like-for-like growth of almost 5%. In the
final quarter, like-for-like growth was over 6%. The United Kingdom was broadly
similar in the first half, with second half like-for-like growth of 2%. As seen
in the first half, but even more pronounced in the second half, rates of growth
in Europe continue to be two-paced, with Western Continental Europe softer and
Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and the other CIS countries, in particular,
more buoyant. Of the big five Western European markets, Spain remains a stronger
growth market (though there are now real estate bubble worries), although
Germany and Italy began to show some renewed signs of life. The faster growing
markets of Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East and Central
and Eastern Europe now account for over 24% of revenues, against the target of
one-third over the next 5-10 years.
Estimated net new billings of £5.03 billion ($9.81 billion) were won last year,
reflecting an historically unprecedented run of net new business wins in the
final quarters of 2007. The Group was ranked first in the major new business
surveys for 2007.
Revenue and operating profit by communications services sector and brand
The pattern of revenue growth also varied by communications services sector and
brand. The table below gives details of revenue and revenue growth by
communications services sector for 2007 (on a constant currency basis including
the impact of acquisitions) as well as proportions of operating profits:
Communications Revenue as a Revenue Operating Like-for-Like
services % of Total growth % +/ profit as a % Revenue growth
Group (-) 07/06 of Total Group % +/(-)
07/06
Advertising, Media 46.2 5.1 49.9 4.5
Investment Management
Information, Insight 14.6 4.5 11.2 2.7*
& Consultancy
Public Relations & 10.5 12.6 11.7 8.2
Public Affairs
Branding & Identity, 28.7 14.1 27.2 6.1
Healthcare &
Specialist
Communications
Total Group ______ _____ _____ _____
100.0 8.2 100.0 5.0
______ _____ _____ _____
* Gross margin up 4.0%
Media investment management continued to show the strongest growth of all our
communications services over 14%, along with direct, internet and interactive
(part of specialist communications) and public affairs. This makes it four years
in a row, when like-for-like revenue growth in media investment management was
14% or over, almost three times the average for the Group, as a whole, of 5-6%
over the same period. Direct and digitally-related activities now account for
over 23% of the Group's revenues, which are running at the rate of over $12
billion per annum. Brand advertising, particularly in the new faster growing
markets, along with information, insight & consultancy and branding & identity,
show consistent growth. Public relations and public affairs also continues to
show significant improvement over last year, following a strong year in 2006.
The new technologies have demonstrated the power of editorial publicity through
fast-growing new applications of new technology such as MySpace, YouTube,
Facebook, Flickr and Wikipedia, along with the difficulties of making money on
social networking sites through advertising, as even Facebook found out with
Beacon. Media investment management and information, insight & consultancy
combined, grew their gross margins by well over 10% on a like-for-like basis,
ahead of independent competitors.
Advertising and Media Investment Management
In constant currencies, advertising and media investment management revenue grew
by over 5%. Like-for-like revenue growth was 4.5%. The combined operating margin
of this sector is now 16.0%.
In 2007, Ogilvy & Mather Worldwide, JWT, Y&R Advertising, Grey Worldwide and
United Red Cell generated estimated net new billings of £723 million ($1.4
billion).
Also in 2007, GroupM, the Group's media investment management company, which
includes MindShare, Mediaedge:cia, MediaCom and MAXUS generated estimated net
new billings of £3.686 billion ($7.188 billion).
Information, Insight and Consultancy
On a constant currency basis information, insight and consultancy revenues grew
over 4%, with like-for-like revenues up almost 3%. Gross margin grew by 4.0% on
a like-for-like basis. Overall margins improved by 0.3 margin points to 11.3%.
Strong performances were recorded by Millward Brown (MaPS in the United States,
Canada, Millward Brown and Dynamic Logic in the United Kingdom, Hungary, Italy,
Centrum in the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Turkey, Impact in South Africa,
Australia ACSR in China, the Philippines, Singapore, Colombia, Brazil and
Mexico); BMRB International in the United Kingdom, Mediafax; Research
International (in the United Kingdom, Italy, SIFO in Norway, South Africa,
Mexico, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand); Ziment in the
United States and All Global in the United Kingdom; IMRB in India; Lightspeed
Research in the United Kingdom; Mattson Jack in the United States, Icon Added
Value in Germany, Spain, Japan; RMS in-store in the United Kingdom.
Public Relations and Public Affairs
Public relations and public affairs continued its strong growth with constant
currency growth of over 12% and like-for-like growth of over 8%. Particularly
strong were Hill & Knowlton, Burson-Marsteller, Ogilvy Public Relations
Worldwide, Finsbury and Clarion in the UK and Public Strategies in the USA.
Operating margins continued to improve and are now over 16.5%, an improvement of
1.5 margin points over the previous year.
Branding and Identity, Healthcare and Specialist Communications
The Group's branding and identity, healthcare and specialist communications
revenues rose by over 14%. Like-for-like revenues rose by over 6%. Operating
margins were down slightly by 0.2 margin points. The Group's direct, internet
and interactive businesses showed particularly strong revenue growth.
Several companies performed particularly well:
• in branding and identity - Landor Associates in New York and Chicago in
the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Dubai, Hong
Kong and Australia; The Brand Union (formerly Enterprise IG) in the United
States, France, Germany, Ireland, Spain, South Africa, China, Hong Kong,
Japan, Singapore and Ray & Keshavan in India, Addison and the Partners in
the United Kingdom; Fitch in the United Kingdom, Peclers in France, Norway
and Dubai.
• in healthcare - Sudler & Hennessey in the United Kingdom, France,
Germany, Italy, Sydney in Australia, China and India; Grey Healthcare Group
in Catalyst Online, Innovative Customer Solutions, BrandEdge and Insight
Medical Communications in the United States, WG Consulting and Grey
Healthcare London in the United Kingdom, Australia and Japan; in Ogilvy
Healthworld in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, the
Netherlands, Spain, Switzerland and Turkey.
• in promotion and direct marketing - OgilvyOne (in Global Strategies,
Eicoff, The Lacek Group, Leopard, San Francisco and Neo@Ogilvy in the United
States, Neo@Ogilvy in Canada, Neo@Ogilvy and OgilvyOne London in the United
Kingdom, Ireland, Denmark, France, Portugal, Italy, Sweden, the Czech
Republic, Poland, Russia, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Hong Kong, India,
Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore); 141 Worldwide; Wunderman (in San
Francisco, Seattle, RTC, KBM, Fortelligent, Studiocom and ZAAZ in the United
States, Canada, Burrows, Good Technology and iMpact in the United Kingdom,
Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, Switzerland, the Czech
Republic, Aqua On-Line in South Africa, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico,
Singapore, Thailand); RMG Connect (in the United States, Canada, Mexico,
Hong Kong, India, Japan and Singapore); G2 (in Direct & Digital and
Interactive Marketing in the United States, Joshua in the United Kingdom,
Germany, Russia, Colombia, Chile, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and
Taiwan).
• in specialist marketing resources - Bridge, VML and The Geppetto Group
in the United States, Metro Group, The Farm and Spafax and Headcount in the
United Kingdom.
Manufacturing
Revenues and profits at the Group's manufacturing division were disappointingly
down in 2007.
Balance sheet and cash flow
The unaudited preliminary Group consolidated balance sheet as at 31 December
2007 is attached in Appendix I. As at 31 December 2007, the Group's net debt
increased to £1.286 billion compared with £815 million at 31 December 2006,
largely reflecting acquisition spend and share repurchases.
Net debt averaged £1,458 million in 2007, up £305 million from £1,153 million in
2006 (at 2007 exchange rates). These net debt figures compare with a current
equity market capitalisation of approximately £7.4 billion, giving a total
enterprise value of approximately £8.9 billion.
Cash flow strengthened as a result of improved working capital management and
cash flow from operations. In 2007, operating profit before goodwill impairment,
amortisation of acquired intangible assets and charges for non-cash based
incentive plans was £950 million, capital expenditure £171 million, depreciation
£144 million, tax paid £151 million, interest and similar charges paid £106
million and other net cash inflows of £32 million. Free cash flow available for
debt repayment, acquisitions, share buybacks and dividends was therefore £698
million. This free cash flow was absorbed by £675 million in net acquisition
payments and investments, share repurchases and cancellations of £415 million
and dividends of £139 million. This resulted in a net outflow of £531 million.
An unaudited consolidated cash flow statement is included in Appendix I.
In the first seven weeks of 2008, up until 22 February, the last date for which
information is available prior to this announcement, net debt averaged £1,498
million up £569 million versus £929 million for the same period last year at
2008 exchange rates.
Your Board continues to examine ways of deploying its EBITDA of almost £1.1
billion (over $2 billion) and substantial cash flow of over £800 million or
almost $1.6 billion per annum to enhance share owner value. As necessary capital
expenditure, spent mainly on information technology and property, is expected to
remain approximately equal to the depreciation charge in the long-term, the
Company has concentrated on examining potential acquisitions and on returning
excess capital to share owners in the form of dividends and/or share buy-backs.
In 2007, in addition to the acquisition of 24/7 Real Media Inc., the Group
continued to make small to medium-sized acquisitions and/or investments in high
growth geographical or functional areas. The net initial cost of all
acquisitions was £579 million in cash, in advertising and media investment
management in the United States (including digital), the United Kingdom,
Austria, France, Germany (including digital), Hungary, the Netherlands
(including digital), Russia, Spain, South Africa, Brazil, Colombia, Australia,
China and Japan; in information, insight & consultancy in the United States and
the United Kingdom; in public relations & public affairs in the United States;
in branding and identity in Ireland and Dubai; in healthcare in the United
Kingdom and in direct, internet & interactive in the United States, Canada,
Belgium, Germany, South Africa, the Middle East, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Korea
and Singapore.
Consistent with the objective, announced in 2006, of increasing the share
buy-back programme to 4-5% of the Group's share capital in 2007 and 2008, 59.19
million ordinary shares, equivalent to 4.7% of the share capital, were purchased
at an average price of £7.03 per share and total cost of £415.4 million. Of
these shares, 57.19 million were purchased in the market and subsequently
cancelled. Such annual rolling share repurchases are believed to have a more
significant impact in improving share owner value than sporadic buy-backs.
As noted above, your Board has also decided to increase the final dividend by
20% to 9.13p per share, taking the full year dividend to 13.45p per share.
Developments in 2007 and 2008
Including associates, the Group had over 110,000 full-time people in over 2,000
offices in 106 countries at the year end. It services over 340 of the Fortune
Global 500 companies, over one-half of the Nasdaq 100, over 30 of the Fortune
e-50, and approximately 610 national or multi-national clients in three or more
disciplines. More than 370 clients are served in four disciplines and these
clients account for 58% of Group revenues. The Group also works with over 270
clients in six or more countries.
These statistics reflect the increasing opportunities for developing client
relationships between activities nationally, internationally and by function.
The Group estimates that over 35% of new assignments in the year were generated
through the joint development of opportunities by two or more Group companies.
New integration mechanisms, sensitive to global and local opportunities,
including WPP global client leaders and country managers, continue to be
developed. There is an increasing number of major client creative and
integration opportunities at a Group level. 2007 saw, for instance, the
development of a new agency, in successful competition against all our major
competitors, specifically to address the objectives of one high technology
client.
Future prospects
Despite the recent financial crisis, the world economy continued to grow in
2007, after the recovery in both 2003 and 2004, driven by the United States,
Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, Russia and the other CIS
countries. As a result, your Company has performed again at record levels. In
addition, Africa also showed significant signs of growth, no doubt stimulated by
Chinese interest and investment and is increasingly becoming a continent of
opportunity. The FIFA World Cup in South Africa in 2010 will have a significant
impact in focusing further attention on the African continent.
Whilst like-for-like revenues have grown beyond market expectations,
like-for-like average headcount has grown less. Following this productivity
improvement, the Group's operating margin at post-incentive levels has improved.
In addition, given improved levels of operating profit and margin, incentive
pools and variable staff costs are now at around the highest levels. This will
improve operational gearing and flexibility in 2008 and beyond.
The task of improving property utilisation continues to be a priority with a
portfolio of approximately 19 million square feet worldwide. In December 2002,
establishment cost as a percentage of revenue was 8.4%, with a goal of reducing
this ratio to 7.0% in the medium term. At the end of 2004 the establishment cost
to revenue ratio reduced to 7.6% and by December 2005 this ratio improved
further to 7.2%, driven by better utilisation and higher revenues. In 2006 and
2007, further improvements were made and this ratio reduced slightly to 6.9%.
As usual, the budgets for 2008 have been prepared on a prudent basis, largely
excluding new business, particularly in advertising and media investment
management. They predict improvements in like-for-like revenues at even higher
levels than at this time in 2007 (which were around 4.0% to 4.5%), with balanced
growth in the first and second half of the year. They also indicate marketing
services revenues growing faster than advertising and media investment
management. We have only preliminary data for January in 2008 and this shows
like-for-like revenues up 5%. On the basis of these data, 2008 should be a
better year than 2007, against the views of most economic forecasters, who
predict a gloomy 2008.
Despite the severe financial crisis, the 'real' economy continues to grow and
our clients continue to expand, particularly in the BRICs and the Next Eleven
markets, addressing the twin opportunities of geographical expansion and
technological change.
However, it seems inevitable that the 'real' world will at some point in time be
affected by the private equity, sub-prime, insurance monoline, and housing
market crises, that we have seen. In our view, this seems more likely to be in
2009, when a slow-down (not a recession) in the United States will be hard to
avoid, particularly as a new United States President tries to deal with heavy
government spending and twin deficits, and 'kitchen-sinks' his or her budgets,
in front of a possible eight year "reign", just as new CEOs tend to do with
companies - and there are no mini- or maxi-quadrennial events to stimulate
economic activity. The decoupling theories will also be challenged, as China may
pause a little, after the stimulation of the Beijing Olympics, and the world
continues to catch cold when America sneezes - if not influenza, as it used to
be.
2010 may be a different story, however, with the FIFA World Cup in South Africa,
the Winter Olympics in Vancouver and the mid-term Congressional elections in the
United States, stimulating economic activity
Concerns remain over the Middle East, oil and commodity prices and the twin
deficits of the United States economy and inflation, in general. Despite
significant increases in prices of raw material inputs, clients, particularly
FMCG or packaged goods companies, have been able to pass on cost increases so
far in the form of price increases, as inflation quickens. This year's
prospects, therefore, again look good, with worldwide advertising and marketing
services spending set to rise by at least 4% and with your company expected to
grow in excess of this and therefore increasing share. Although growth in the
world economy continues to be led by Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa and the
Middle East, Russia and the other CIS countries, even Western Continental Europe
may continue the improvement seen in 2007, where growth in the second half was
up significantly.
2008 should also benefit from the build-up to the United States Presidential
elections and the Beijing Olympics, which, as a maxi-quadrennial year, should be
a very strong one, buoyed by heavy United States political advertising as the
multiple candidates slug it out and by the European Football Championships.
In the short-term, growth in advertising and marketing services expenditure may
remain in low to medium single digit territory, given the historically low
inflationary environment and the fear of inflation growing, concentrating
distribution and consequent lack of pricing power. In this climate, procurement
pressure continues (but less so in new media) and the significant proportion of
fee remuneration dampens revenue growth on cyclical upturns (and moderates on
downturns). However, there continues to be significant opportunities in the area
of outsourcing clients' marketing activities, consolidating clients' budgets and
capitalising on competitive weaknesses. In addition, spending amongst the
packaged goods, pharmaceutical, oil and energy, government (the government
continues to be one of the largest advertisers in the UK market) and price-value
retail sectors, which remained relatively resilient in the recession of 2001 and
2002, have been buttressed by increased activity in previously
recession-affected sectors like technology, financial services, media and
entertainment and telecommunications.
In the long-term, the outlook appears very favourable. Overcapacity of
production in most sectors and the shortage of human capital, the developments
in new technologies and media, the growth in importance of internal
communications, the continued strength of the United States economy, the need to
influence distribution, and the new focus on corporate responsibility issues
such as climate change, underpin the need for our clients to continue to
differentiate their products and services both tangibly and intangibly.
Moreover, the continuing growth of the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and China),
Next Eleven and other faster-growing geographical markets, will add significant
opportunities in Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East and
Central and Eastern Europe - along with the growth of "new-BRICs" such as
Vietnam, Pakistan, Indonesia and Bangladesh. Advertising and marketing services
expenditure as a proportion of gross national product should resume its growth
and burst through the cyclical high established in 2000.
Given these short-term and long-term trends, your Company has three strategic
priorities. In the short-term, having weathered the recession, to continue to
capitalise on the 2004 to 2007 up-turn and deal with any slow-downs; in the
medium-term, to continue to successfully integrate acquired companies; and
finally, in the long-term, to continue to develop its businesses in the
faster-growing geographical areas of Asia Pacific, Latin America, Africa and the
Middle East, and Central and Eastern Europe and in the faster-growing functional
areas of marketing services, particularly direct, internet, interactive and
market research.
Incentive plans for 2008 will again focus more on operating profit growth than
historically, in order to stimulate top-line growth, particularly in
information, insight and consultancy, although objectives will continue to
include operating margin improvement, improvement in staff costs to revenue
ratios and qualitative Group objectives, including co-ordination, talent
management and succession planning.
In these circumstances, there is no reason to believe that the Group cannot
achieve the revised margin targets set with the announcement of last year's
results, to achieve margins of 15.5% in 2008 and 16.0% in 2009. Budgets and
incentive targets for 2008 include the operating margin target of 15.5%
previously set for 2008. Neither is there any reason why operating margins could
not be improved beyond these levels by continuing focus on revenue growth and
careful husbandry of costs. Our ultimate objective continues to be to achieve a
19% margin over a period of time and to continue to improve the return on
capital employed. We believe we can continue to make the necessary investment in
talent and the application of technology, whilst, at the same time, improving
operating margins, at around current levels of like-for-like revenue growth.
Increasingly, WPP is concentrating on its mission of the "management of the
imagination", and ensuring it is a big company with the heart and mind of a
small one. To aid the achievement of this objective and to develop the benefits
of membership in the Group for both clients and our people, the parent company
continues to develop its activities in the areas of human resources, property,
procurement, information technology and practice development. Eleven practice
areas which span all our brands have been developed initially in media
investment management, healthcare, privatisation, new technologies, new faster
growing markets, internal communications, retail, entertainment and media,
financial services, hi-tech and telecommunications and corporate responsibility.
Another reason for cautious optimism ...
The world continues to be a restless place: nothing stays still for very long;
there is a constant thirst for change. And restlessness continues to be good for
the marketing communications industry.
Both companies and governments have learnt an important lesson over the last
twenty years or so: it's an extremely dangerous and expensive exercise to
attempt to impose change on citizens, employees or consumers without first
taking them into your confidence. And that, of course, means consulting them,
involving them, talking them through the reasons for change and presenting them
clearly with its intended benefits. The real costs involved in such
communications programmes are minimal; if only because the costs of encountering
resistance can be so formidable. Planned communications act as a kind of
lubricant - and so help make all organisations more efficient.
From fundamental research right through to consumer advertising, WPP companies
are there to help their clients put change into effect as seamlessly as
possible. It involves the scrupulous mining of hard data as well as an intuitive
understanding of people's aims and apprehensions and how they respond to
promise.
And that, in turn, is why you'll find such an extraordinary diversity of talent
in WPP companies: statisticians and art directors; product designers and web
designers; futurologists and copywriters; experts in everything from fashion to
pharmaceuticals.
There are getting on for 100,000 of them, putting their talents at the disposal
of our clients. So when, as now, we reveal our gratifying figures for last year,
we are very glad indeed to recognise those many thousands of men and women
around the world who made those figures possible. We thank them all; and wish
them great satisfaction in their future work and all deserved success.
Further information:
Sir Martin Sorrell ) (+44) 20 7408 2204
Paul Richardson )
Feona McEwan )
Fran Butera (+1) 212 632 2235
www.wppinvestor.com
This press release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially including
adjustments arising from the annual audit by management and the company's
independent auditors. For further information on factors which could impact the
company and the statements contained herein, please refer to public filings by
the company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The statements in this
press release should be considered in light of these risks and uncertainties.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange